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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-10-21 | Pistons +4 v. Rockets | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
The Rockets have dropped eight consecutive games and closed a recent five-game road trip without a victory and now are suddenly being asked to cover as favorites. Motown may not inspire bettors, but they have shown a few flashes of brilliance this season . Also some bad beats and calls make them look worse than they are. No way a trust the Rockets in the fav role and will back the Pistons here getting points. DETROIT is 17-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 9-22 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 8-27 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 10-22 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. Silas is 2-17 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON.HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 season.Rockets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Pistons are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston. |
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11-10-21 | Ball State -2.5 v. Northern Illinois | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have been a top tier unit against the run as they have not allowed more than 130 yards in any of the last four games and that will be key Im betting in a road win N.Illinois. On the flipside add to that the Huskies have allowed 12 touchdowns on 23 possessions over the last two games and you have an edge to the short road fav. BALL ST is 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 season. Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. CFB home team (N ILLINOIS) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 4-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate.
Injury note:[QB] 11/04/2021 - Rocky Lombardi left last game, is "?" Wednesday vs Ball State ( Head ) Play on Ball State to cover |
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11-10-21 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois UNDER 62 | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a big game for both teams when it comes to play off and possible Bowl implications and Im expecting to be hard fought. Im not sold on N.Illinois D, but tonights weather forecast in DeKalb, Ill. is predicting 13-15 mph winds throughout the game, which will hamper both air attacks which in turn will effect offensive output.N ILLINOIS is 16-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 and N ILLINOIS is 23-9 UNDER in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored which was the case last time out. with a combined average of 52.8 ppg. CFB team against the total (N ILLINOIS) - good passing team (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.) against a poor passing defense (7.5-8.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 64-28 L/5 seasons for 70% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-10-21 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 50 | 49-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Toledo has a bad defensive game last time out vs Eastern Michigan but have been very good overall this season, and now Im expecting a bounce back effort. Im also betting we will see Toledo grind on the ground all night, against a tough Bowling Green D and their spotty offense in what will be a low scoring war in the trenches. TOLEDO is 23-8 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TOLEDO) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-5 UNDER L/5 seasons . CFB team against the total (BOWLING GREEN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points are 73-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-10-21 | Robert Morris +16.5 v. UCF | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
UCF is a talented big team, but Robert Morris might surprise them here a bit tonight, behind HC Toole , and knows how to slow a game down in the half court. UCF Im sure will oblige and carry on at a snails pace like they usually do. Advantage getting points is the call CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (UCF) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-28 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Robert Morris to cover |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Last night we saw ,MAC hoops programs perform admirably against their Big Ten advisories. The Akron Zips looked very strong against Ohio State and Eastern Michigan over powered Indiana down the stretch in the 2nd half. Now a Bulls team with 5 returning starters and plenty of experience, also looks like a side that could give a revamped Michigan side that lost alot of their scoring from last season some problems.This is a Buffalo program that ranked in the top-25 Division I teams in defensive effective FG%, as well as defensive 3P% and offensive rebounding conversion rate and that defensive prowess Im betting will be the difference maker tonight.Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | 109-117 | Win | 101 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won 4 straight and are currently in top form. Meanwhile, the Trailblazers have been highly inconsistent this season, and have not shown themselves to be viable bets on the road failing to cover in their L/6 away games. Recent history also favors the Clippers who are 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series at home. LA CLIPPERS are 41-27 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 43-16 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBAHome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 49-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Clippers to win |
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11-09-21 | Hawks v. Jazz OVER 221.5 | 98-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks will match up with the Utah Jazz for the 2nd time this week. Utah won the first meeting 116-98 but Im betting on a aggregate of 10 more points on the board here according to my projections thus giving value to an over bet. Part of this assessment is based on the Jazz expecting to have Mike Conley back in the lineup which aid in offensive flow. Add to that Atlanta has allowed each of its past seven opponents to score between 111 and 127 points and we have a large output expectation here. ATLANTA is 31-13 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 232.4 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games as a home favorite. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 48-17 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (UTAH) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-13 L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-09-21 | Ohio +6 v. Eastern Michigan | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
The Eagles took part in a back and forth affair last time out on the road vs Toledo winning by a 52-49 count as 9 point dogs, and will now be in a letdown spot here this Tuesday making them vulnerable to a Ohio program that has covered 5 of their 6 tilts in this series. Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Bobcats are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog. Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. E MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS L/12 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.E MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS in home games after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Eagles are 16-33 ATS in their last 49 games following a straight up win. Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.Eagles are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. OHIO U is 10-2 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. Play on Ohio. to cover |
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11-09-21 | UMKC +8.5 v. Minnesota | 56-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Top scorer Brandon McKissic moved on but now but UKMC return two of their four double-digit scorers and have a tenacious group of rebounders to compliment them. Meanwile, Minnesota finished last season losing 8 of their L/9 games and now have a boatload full of transfers in the lineup which Im betting will see them take time to jell. Thats not conducive to covering tonights spread according to my projections. |
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11-09-21 | Jacksonville State +8.5 v. Wichita State | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State returns 96% of its scoring from an 18-win team and has a talented group that includes high-major transfers,. With that said Jacksonville State poses a formidable opposition for the higher brand name Wichita State Shockers. Key problem with the Shockers could be their rebounding that saw them finish 20 worst defensive rebounding teams in Division I. They will obviously try to address this but against this type of opponent the correction process could be paused right out of the gate. JACKSONVILLE ST is 8-1 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Plus this interesting anomaly that shows them cashing 16 of their L/19 Tuesday night tilts. Harper is 39-21 ATS as an underdog as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST. Jacksonville State to cover |
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11-09-21 | Miami-OH +10 v. Georgia Tech | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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11-09-21 | Kings v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Kings pulled off the upset last night on the road against the Leafs and now come into this game in an emotional letdown state and on tired legs. Thus Im betting on a conservative energy conserving effort here tonight vs the Habs. I expect the Kings will play most of this game in transition, and the Les Canadiens to fall into the trap system after a recent bad defensive performance , and because of their lack of current offensive production . Everything for me leans towards a lower scoring affair. Under is 3-1-1 in Canadiens last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a win.Under is 17-4 in Kings last 21 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Kings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 9-3-1 in Kings last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 8-3 in Kings last 11 overall.Under is 5-2 in Kings last 7 games as an underdog. LOS ANGELES is 21-10 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Montreal. Play on the UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Buffalo +7.5 v. Miami-OH | 18-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS L/27 when the total is between 56.5 and 63. Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 51-19 ATS L/29 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 13-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-09-21 | Akron v. Western Michigan UNDER 62 | 40-45 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
These are two teams that base their offensive attacks on a run-heavy game plan and both sides also are ranked among the slowest paces in college football. I know Akrons D, is horrendous and Western Michigan will do some damage, but they have had problems finishing drives, so output Im betting will not be as extreme as the lines-makers expect. Meanwhile, Akron despite of some recent success through the air will have issues against a solid Broncos secondary. For me this equates to a more muted score than the pundits expect. Note:Under is 24-6 in Zips last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game which was the case last time out vs Central Michigan. ( A more concerted D effort is to be expected). Play on the UNDER |
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11-09-21 | Appalachian State v. Iona -6 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The Gaels posted a strong MAAC Tournament showing ripping though all their opponents to get the big dance, and once again look like a cohesive unit and hoops program on the rise. App State is a solid group but Im betting their over matched. Pitino is 21-7 ATS L/28 in home games in November games in all games he has coached.Play on Iona to cover |
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11-09-21 | Mt. St. Mary's v. Villanova UNDER 132.5 | 51-91 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Mount Saint Marys is a big team, and they wont be easily pushed around by Villanova.Malik Jefferson ,Mezie Offurum, Nana Opoku are all 6-foot-8 or taller and will have not problems bumping heads here in what will be a physical approach to this game to slow down their top tier opponent. the Mount ranked first in defensive efficiency in their conference last season and ranked 10th in all of College Hoops in field goal percentage, allowing a 45% conversion rate . The Mount also ranked ninth nationally in field goal percentage at the rim and must not be underestimated int heir ability to coheres Villanova into a muted offensive output . With the mount losing top offensive player Chong Qui they in turn will have problems with offensive flow. I know Villanova can light it up, especially from three point land , but they did run at slower pace than expected when adjusted to tempo ranking 334th in the nation. Im expecting a grinding affair, here today and a score that remains on the low side of the total. MOUNT ST MARYS is 22-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 130.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-08-21 | Suns v. Kings +3 | 109-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
The Kings lost last night to the Indiana Pacers, but Sacramento has proved resilient off a loss lately going 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Suns will be without Deandre Ayton and that Im betting messes with their offensive flow and their ability to beat a well conditioned Kings team. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. SACRAMENTO is 15-2 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. PHOENIX is 15-31 ATS after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games are 24-4 ATS L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 15-43 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors, NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are 71-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Suns are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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11-08-21 | Hawks v. Warriors -3 | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 of their L/7 and are not in good form coming into this game against a Golden state side has won 8 of 9 games. Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games and are fade material in this spot play vs a Warriors side that is in triple revenge mode. ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 free or less throws/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 4-15 ATSin road games versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 15 or more turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 23-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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11-08-21 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 214 | 92-108 | Win | 100 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost 6 straight thanks to a lack off offensive flow, and Im betting nothing changes tonight as they play a Dallas team that is playing a strong brand of defense at the moment. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that fails to eclipse this number. DALLAS is 12-3 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. Under is 5-0-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a favorite. DALLAS is 29-12 UNDER L/41 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or more. NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 UNDER in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games as a road underdog.
NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (NEW ORLEANS/DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor three point shooting teams (33% or less), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 40-12 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. |
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11-08-21 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is Brooklyns 3rd game in 4 nights and enter this contest with no rest after playing last night in Toronto with tonight being their 2nd straight of back to back road tilts. Needless to say they are vulnerable here in Chicago on tired legs. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - a struggling offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 6 points or less are 49-101 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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11-08-21 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | 118-125 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 including 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Wolves remain competitive beyond the expectations of the lines-makers and deserve respect here vs a Memphis side, that are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record. are 25-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-07-21 | Blues -162 v. Ducks | 1-4 | Loss | -162 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The Blues offense is rolling and are fifth in the NHL with 36 goals, and the defense is also in top form having allowed only 20 goals , rankings third- in Goals allowed in the NHL. Blues are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game which happened last time out and are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.Blues are also 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Pacific and are 4-1 in their last 5 road games and are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.Blues are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Anaheim. Meanwhile, the Ducks despite of playing some decent hockey at home of late are still not at the same level as St.Louis. Note:Ducks are 16-40 in their last 56 games as an underdog. Ducks are 14-37 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Ducks are 6-24 in their last 30 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Ducks are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Central.Ducks are 5-21 in their last 26 games as a home underdog.Ducks are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Road Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (ST LOUIS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, on Sunday games are 56-18 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on St.Louis to win |
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11-07-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Knicks | 126-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Cleveland has won 6 of their L/8 games including 3 straight and are up-trending in my power rankings. They are off a tenacious road win vs the Raptors last time out and once again deserve respect as underdogs here in NY vs the Knicks. Meanwhile, the Knicks after some uneven performances took a big road win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last time out, which will have them in a letdown spot . Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. NBA team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 49-23 L/25 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bucks v. Wizards OVER 221 | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Milwaukee because of some injury issues have been less than fluid offensively lately and that has resulted in a string of unders. However, Budenholzer has been repeating a mantra of late that his team needs to be more aggressive, and after their loss to NYK at home last time out, Im betting we see exactly what the HC is calling for. With Washington getting into a offensive flow of late, Im betting on a higher scoring game than the lines-makers may anticipate. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. WASHINGTON is 10-1 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 246.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 13-3 in Wizards last 16 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 21-6 in Wizards last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 42-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rater for bettors. Bucks and Wizards have gone over in 8 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals v. 49ers +2.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
,Arizona had their perfect 7-0 season come to an abrupt end last time out and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. The Cards are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a SU home chalk loss and have lost 8 of their L/9 overall in tilts after playing against the Green Bay Packers. With QB Jimmy Garoppolo looking healthy and off a strong performance last time ( 17-of-28 for 322 yards) I like the 49ers chances in this spot play. With the Niners 4-0 ATS at home in a key division game vs a team off a Thursday night game Im liking our chances.ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 2 season.Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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11-07-21 | Nets v. Raptors +3.5 | 116-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Toronto had a 5 game win streak end last time vs Cleveland in a 1 point loss. Now Im betting on a motivated bounce back effort against a Brooklyn side that is on a 4 game win streak, and vulnerable here to being upset by a Raptors side that are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons here in TO. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 61-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 72 h 43 m | Show | |
The Saints are off a huge underdog win vs TB last week and will now be in a emotional letdown situation. It must be noted that teams that upset Super Bowl champion as a dog are just 19-36 SU/ATS bd division opposition the following game, when not favored by 7 or more points. I know Atlanta may not inspire bettors but is also must be noted that NEW ORLEANS is 7-23 ATS L/20 in home games vs. struggling teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. NEW ORLEANS is 10-22 ATS in home games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season are 11-34 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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11-07-21 | Bills v. Jaguars +15 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 67 h 23 m | Show | |
The Jags do not inspire many bettors, but when value arises I have to bite my pride, and follow the right path. Buffalo is obviously the superior side, but this is just to many points in my humble opinion, especially with Urban Meyer and company looking at this tilt like an opportunity for redemption after a disastrous start to this campaign. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - with a good first half defense - 7 or less points per game, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites (BUFFALO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 19-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Jacksonville to cover |
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11-07-21 | Texans +6.5 v. Dolphins | 9-17 | Loss | -123 | 67 h 17 m | Show | |
These two teams have lost 7 games in row, and both will desperate for a win here and Im betting it will be a battle to the very end with getting points being eventually golden. HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI and have won 3 of the L/4 visits here . NFL Road underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - after 6 or more consecutive losses, in November games are 44-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites (MIAMI) - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a horrible defensive team ( 27 PPG or more ), after a loss by 10 or more points are 9-38 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 56 h 26 m | Show | |
Denver is off a grinding home win last time out vs Washington and now come into this game with momentum vs americas team the Dallas Cowboys who are on a 6 game win streak . The Broncos according to my power rankings are being underestimated this week, no matter who starts at QB for the Cowboys ( Prescott or Rush). I know how well the Cowboys have played overall, but from a historical standpoint laying DDs at home vs a non divisional opponent has not been profitable for their backers as they have failed to cover 10 of their L/13 opportunities. Also NFL road dogs like Denver coming off a win of 6 or more points are 15-3 ATS so far this season. Denver has also won and covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Dallas to play the Boyz. It must also be noted that Denver QB Teddy Bridgewater away games as an NFL starter, is a perfect 10-0 ATS versus above .500 opposition and is key here for a Broncos cover. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NFL Favorites (DALLAS) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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11-06-21 | USC +10.5 v. Arizona State | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sun Devils enter into this game in a 2 game losing streak and recently that has not been a good formula for success for this program as they are just 6-15 SU in conference games when coming off two straight negative results. I know the Trojans may not inspire bettors with their uneven play this season but they are 17-4 L/21 vs Arizona State and from a matchup view point offer value on this line. I know USC will be without star WR Drake London, (injury) but QB Kedon Slovis still has a strong duo of WRs Tahj Washington and Gary Bryant that could start on most college football teams in this nation. CFB Home favorites (ARIZONA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season are 26-60 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on USC to cover |
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11-06-21 | 76ers +3.5 v. Bulls | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers will look for a sixth consecutive win they travel to to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday.76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall . Meanwhile, the Bulls fell behind by double figures in their last two games. They managed to erase a 19-point deficit vs Boston but against tonights competition the Sixers they could not complete the comeback, and as a result of those two games Im betting the Bulls will be on tired legs and on the flip-side Im betting the Sixers will be more vigilant this time around. Advantage Philadelphia. CHICAGO is 13-25 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites (CHICAGO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are just 14-40 L/25 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 here in Illinois. Play on Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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11-06-21 | Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan | 7-29 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
After blowing a huge lead last time out to Michigan state - Michigan will come in here hanging their heads low vs a side that would love nothing more than to inflict more damage on their already battered egos. they could also easily find themselves looking ahead to Penn State which will be their next opponent. I know Penix Jr is out at QB for the Hooisers but they are quite capable of top tier offensive production behind freshman QB Donaven McCulley who threw for 242 yards and two scores last time out in a 38-35 loss to Maryland . Note: Donaven McCulley was a 4 star prospect. MICHIGAN is 9-21 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Indiana is also 6-0 ATS L/6 on the road in conference action as a 13 point or more dog. INDIANA is 19-8 ATS L/27 in road games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (INDIANA) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 30-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-06-21 | Texas +7 v. Iowa State | 7-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
Texas RB RB Bijan Robinson ran for just 43 yards last time out on 19 carries . It was a disappointing performance for a back that had accumulated 100 yards in five straight games previous to that. This week Im betting on the senior bouncing back in a big way and being a key contributor in a Texas cover vs Iowa State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 12-38 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 36-11 ATS L/29 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November. Play on Texas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Florida v. South Carolina +18.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 36 h 43 m | Show | |
Last weeks lopsided loss to Georgia will be a demoralizing factor coming into this road game against the Gamecocks. South Carolina (4-4, 1-4) is coming off a bye week that followed a 44-14 defeat at then-No. 17 Texas A&M on Oct. 23 and now on rested legs will be out to pull off the upset while trying to get some kind of redemption. Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.Gators are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Gators are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. South Carolina 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games at home as an underdog of 13 or more points. CFB Road favorites (FLORIDA) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-54 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. South Carolina to cover |
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11-06-21 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My matchup stats suggest that despite of these teams recent overall trends that they will combine for 6 or more goals. BOSTON is 17-5 OVER in road games off a blowout win by 4 goals or more over a division rival with z combined average of 6.4 gpg scored. Over is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - after a blowout win by 4 goals or more against opponent after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 22-4 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. Play on the OVER |
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11-06-21 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -12.5 | 21-31 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-1) host the Montreal Alouettes (6-5) at IG Field on Saturday. the Bombers are a team on a mission and Montreal is not a team that can slow them according to my power rankings. Note: the Blue Bombers faced the Lions a last week and won by a score of 45-0 count. Another explosion and cover is my call here this evening. WINNIPEG is 18-2 ATS off a division game over the last 3 seasons.WINNIPEG is 18-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.The Blue Bombers are allowing 11.5 points per contest, rankings 1st in the CFL. The Blue Bombers are 1st in the CFL in offensive output averaging of 27 ppg. Play on Winnipeg to cover |
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11-06-21 | LSU +29 v. Alabama | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is alot of points to be laying if your a Alabama backers, especially considering the LSU Tigers have revenge on board for a ugly DD loss they suffered to the Tide the last time they played. Now rested and off a bye week with a great deal of preparation time Im betting on LSU making a game out of this or at the the very least covering the number. LSU is 6-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. LSU Is 8-2 ATS L/10 as a dog of 20 or more points , including 7-0 ATS when playing with revenge. LSU has covered 8 of their L/12 visits here, and won SU the last time they were here in 2019. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. LSU is 13-2 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on LSU to cover |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | 28-31 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Miss State is off a big win vs Kentucky last week, and could find it hard to get up the energy to take out a Arkansas side that my power rankings suggest is a under rated opponent. MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals ARKANSAS is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - excellent team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G), after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.6 ppg. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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11-06-21 | Utah State v. New Mexico State +18.5 | 35-13 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah State can put points on the board but their defense is atrocious allowing an average 435-yards per game. That to me is not conducive to be able to cover this big of spread on the road . I know New Mexico state may not inspire may bettors, but this is a viable point take here for the home dog according to my projections, especially since they are off a bye week and have had two weeks to prepare . Add to that back door cover capabilities with the 28t h ranked passing offense in the nation ( 276 yards per game) and Im betting we have value with a ugly puppy. Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Aggies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC. Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Michigan State v. Purdue +3 | 29-40 | Win | 100 | 30 h 45 m | Show | |
Michigan State used alot of energy to come back from a DD deficit to defeat their long time Big 10 rivals Michigan last week, and will now have some problems getting back that intensity vs a Purdue side that has won the stats battles in 6 of their 8 games this season. It was not all peaches and cream for the spartans lat week a they allowed a hefty amount of yards on D. MICHIGAN ST is 4-18 ATS L/22 in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Brohm is 8-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 7-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of PURDUE.Brohm is 17-4 ATS L/21 versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached. Play on Purdue to cover |
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11-06-21 | Middle Tennessee State +17 v. Western Kentucky | 21-48 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
Middle Tenn State vs W Kentucky “100 miles of hate”. plus the points looks like a viable wagering opportunity. These teams are big time rivals , and Im betting on fireworks tonight in a tilt Im expecting to be closer than the line might indicate. Both sides are 4-4 on the season, and are both playing well overall right now. Major Bowl implications and a rivalry situation makes the points golden in my humble betting opinion. Hey I know how explosive the Hilltoppers offense has been , but Middle Tenn has also been explosive recently scoring 34 or more points in 4 of their L/5 trips to the gridiron.Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in November.Hilltoppers are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 3 and 4 points. Play on Midd Tenn State to cover |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +3.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
West Virginia with recent wins vs Iowa State and TCU are now in bowl contention and must not be underestimated as home dogs when they are determined to get a much needed third straight victory. Oklahoma State is a fine team, winning 7 of 8 but are just 2-9 ATS L/11 as road favs going against a side off 2 consecutive SU/ATS wins. CFB team (W VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 29-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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11-06-21 | SMU v. Memphis +5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Huge heart breaker last week as SMU lost their first game of the season, thanks to a punt return returned for a TD and a subsequent 44-37 loss. That was excruciating painful and Im betting the Mustangs will have a huge problem getting their butts off the mat for this one.SMU is 14-30 ATS in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game while MEMPHIS is 24-10 ATS in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. Dykes is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play as the coach of SMU. Memphis covered six straight times in this series until suffering a close 30-27, loss as chalk last season . SMU is 1-9 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-12 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-06-21 | Illinois v. Minnesota -14.5 | 14-6 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Illinois has almost no offensive flow while Minnesotas D, has been mostly staunch as is evident by allowing just 18.9 ppg with 5 of their L/6 opponents unable to muster more than 16 points. The Gophers can also light up the board, especially at home where they have put 30 or more points in the board in 3 of their L/4 as hosts. Im betting on a lopsided affair here. MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MINNESOTA) - good rushing team (190-230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) after 7+ games, in conference games are 24-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-06-21 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 37.5 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
These sides slugged away on the ground against each other last year in a game that ended in a 10-7 score ( 17 total points) and the year prior to that a 17-13 final score ( 30 points) . Im betting on another grinder here and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the number again. Note : Academy Totals are 39-9-1 UNDER L/49 for a 81% win rate. AIR FORCE is 7-0 UNDER after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.ARMY is 7-0 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford +9 | 52-7 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
Stanford is highly inconsistent but according to my power rankings this ATS number is bloated making the Cardinal a live home dog here vs Utah. The Cardinal showed their inconsistencies last time out in. a favorite loss to Washington by a 20-13 count, but the Huskies are very under rated so Ill give the Cards a break on that one. HC Shaw is 14-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite as the coach of STANFORD. He's on the hot seat right now, and if he does not have his team ready to play this week, a farewell party maybe on the agenda. Stanfords Desperation, redemption quotas have me taking points here. UTAH is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (STANFORD) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 56-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but after watching them I still feel there is not a sufficient amount of flow and team chemistry might be an issue. Its early in the season to make that kind of statement, and things may eventually even out for the Pacers but for now they have alot of wrinkles to iron out, and this is not a good matchup for them according to my power rankings. The Blazers have won 11 of the L/12 meetings here SU with the lone loss coming last season, making this a revenge spot for them. Trail Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. INDIANA is 13-26 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons Pacers are 3-14 ATS in the last 17 overall meetings. NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite, first half of the season are 24-1 L/25 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-05-21 | Coyotes +146 v. Ducks | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
Its got to end some time. Coyotes winless streak ends here tonight. ANAHEIM is 0-13 against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.ANAHEIM is 1-12 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 season. Play on the Coyotes |
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11-05-21 | Cavs v. Raptors -5.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Raptors are heating up as is evident by 5 straight wins, and matchup well here vs a Cleveland side that despite of up-trending are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th road game in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Toronto has won 5 of the L/6 meetings here at the ACC center in this seres and have covered 4 straight times and tonight Im betting we ride their current momentum to another win and cover.Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on Toronto to cover |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech -2 v. Boston College | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Boston College is having problems again the run and especially dual QB threats. Louisville Cardinal Malik Cunningham and Syracuse’ Orange pivot Garrett Shrader ran all over Boston College as the Eagles allowed 620 + rushing yards including 6.4 yards per carry in those losing tilts. Don't look now but now they have to face another strong ground game featuring double trouble threat Burmeister. CFB team (BOSTON COLLEGE) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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11-05-21 | Nets v. Pistons +10.5 | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets haven't gone on the road for nearly two weeks and Im betting they're equilibrium and energy levels will take time to adjust to being-on the road and going without proverbial home cooking. The Pistons got smacked around the when they played 117-91 on Halloween night vs the Nets and now Im betting they get up enough gumption to redeem themselves at least from a competitive standpoint. DETROIT is 16-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 107-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a struggling team (25% or less) are 125-189 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Motown to cover |
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11-04-21 | Thunder +14.5 v. Lakers | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
The Thunders only win of the season came against the Lakers, and Im betting they wont be taken down easily tonight vs a side that has a tendency of taking nights off vs lower tier sides. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-6 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive road losses. LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 13-25 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, in November games are 106-61 ATS L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-04-21 | Jets +10.5 v. Colts | 30-45 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is off a frustrating OT loss vs Tennessee last Sunday and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot this Monday night vs a NY Jets team with a new QB at the helm Mike White who led them to a OT win vs a tough Cincinnati crew by a 34-31 count. I know Carson Wentz is a quality QB but he's not consistent enough and has a tendency to fold under pressure more often than not . On the flip-side the Jets players have said they were very happy when Mike White Lightning came on the field as their new QB and the entire team Im betting will play behind him which is important for team chemistry. Momentum and confidence sit on the Jets side of the field. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. NFL Road underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 24-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (INDIANAPOLIS) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 17-42 ATS L/38 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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11-04-21 | Georgia State v. UL-Lafayette -12 | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Georgia State took part in a hammering slugfest vs Southern Georgia last week and Im betting they are still not at 100% after that nasty battle in the trenches and could find the sledding rougher than expected against a very physical Lafayette side. Meanwhile, Louisiana Head coach Billy Napier is a perfect 15-0 all-time against Sun Belt West sides including a 5-0 record in conference play this year and 5-0 all-time against Georgia State. I know these are SU numbers, but Lafayette is explosive averaging 40.5 ppg at home this season while allowing just over 12 ppg, and that will be the difference maker -the Cajuns offense. The Ragin Cajuns at home have outscored their opposition by an average of 23.5 point per game and have covered by 15 or more points in each of their last three home games. Meanwhile, Georgia State is 1-3 ATS as dogs this season. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival, in November games are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.3 ppg which qualifies on this spread. Play on Lafayette to cover |
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11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
Detroit is the only team shooting below 40 percent (39.4), and is even worse behind the 3-point arc (26.7 percent, also worst in the NBA) and because of this the lines-makers have under estimated the Totals number here. This kind of ineptness is bound to recoil on the upide of the output markers. Philadelphia took a 110-102 victory vs the Pistons at home last Thursday and my estimate makes the Total closer to 212 which according to those projections makes for a viable over wager here.Over is 6-0 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit and 7-0 OVER L/7 overall meetings. Rinse and repeat to the over in play here. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (DETROIT) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 77-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Isles have gone under in 5 straight games as they continue to dictate a slow pace to their games, with at present inconsistent results in offensive output bodes well for a lower scoring affair vs a struggling offensive team in the Habs . NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.5 gog scored. NY ISLANDERS are 7-0 UNDER in road games against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5% or less of their chances over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Islanders last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 7-1-1 in Canadiens last 9 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-3 in Canadiens last 10 games as a home underdog.Under is 13-3-2 in Canadiens last 18 vs. Eastern Conference NHL team against the total (MONTREAL) - horrible offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 40-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-04-21 | Capitals +130 v. Panthers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Florida had a 8 game win streak abruptly end in Boston last time out, and now they come home to go against a Washington team that is well suited to play against them. Washington has lost only once in regulation this season and that was to TB, and once again must be respected in this spot to pull of the SYU underdog win. WASHINGTON is 10-0 against the money line in road games against sub par defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. Play on Washington to win |
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11-03-21 | Blues -128 v. Kings | 2-3 | Loss | -128 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
St. Louis buried the biscuit 6 straight times after falling behind 1-0 against the Kings on Oct. 23 and eventually won 7-3 and than were backed by goalie Ville Husso, who made 34 saves in a 3-0 victory vs the LAK crew again. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in LALA land vs the Kings but this time behind G Jordan Binnington who remains the No. 1 goalie for St. Louis and is coming off a 25-save shutout in a 1-0 win against the visiting Chicago Blackhawks on Saturday. Blues are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. Kings are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Kings are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent by 3 goals or more, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 3-23 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win |
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11-03-21 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 106-108 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Memphis opened the two-game set against the Nuggets with a 106-97 victory on Monday, and now Im betting on the Nuggets to get redemption in this spot play. The Nuggets looked tired last time out QUOTE: "I didn't think we were ready to play," Malone said. "I think we had some guys that looked like they had no energy out there, just kind of fatigued, tired or whatever you want to call it." END QUOTE: Im expecting a big bounce back effort tonight. Malone is 34-19 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Grizzlies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves UNDER 215.5 | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
The Clippers have not breached the 100 point plateau in 3 straight games, while the Wolves have not scored more than 98 points in 4 of their L/5 overall. Clippers also own the 6th best 'ppg defense and the 26th ranked ppg offense and 27th ranked offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Wolves rank 7th in ppg allowed and 25 in ppg scored offense. Everything points to a lower scoring affair. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER versus struggling offensive teams - scoring 108 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 214.7 ppg. MINNESOTA is 10-0 UNDER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 22-9 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or less 3 straight games are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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11-03-21 | Clippers v. Wolves +1 | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Neither side is inspiring bettors but home court advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here this evening. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Timberwolves are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Timberwolves are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss.Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 29-6 L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz -9 | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
The Jazz are already operating in mid season form as they bring a 5-1 record into this tilt with the 5 wins coming by 9 or more points. The Jazz have defeated Sacramento five times in a row and more importantly have covered the all important number all 5 times including a 110-101 win on the road back on Oct 22. The Kings small ball style of play is something that Utah is and has been prepared to deal with. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 48-20 ATS L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-02-21 | Braves v. Astros -118 | 7-0 | Loss | -118 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
Its do or die for the Astros and Im betting they avoid folding just yet and will find a way to win here this evening to tie their World Series matchup vs the Braves at 3 games a piece.HOUSTON is 19-6 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. I know the Braves starter Fried is a top tier hurler, but the Astros are 30-11 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season and 35-14 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.ATLANTA is 9-16 against the money line in an inter-league game this season. Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 59-22 in their last 81 games following an off day.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite.Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games as a favorite.Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games. Play on the Astros to win |
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11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2.5 | 125-110 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mavs are looking like a viable side , especially at home, where they are 3-0, so far on the season , winning 4 of their L/5 tilts. The Mavs in their current form are more than capable of covering and or upsetting the streaking Heat that despite of being on a 4 game win streak, are on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights including their 3rd road game. Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 8-28 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate . NBA Road favorites (MIAMI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 2 days rest are 17-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavs to cover |
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11-02-21 | Miami-OH -7.5 v. Ohio | 33-35 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami (OH) gets their starting QB back making them a dangerous opponent for Ohio. RedHawks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record. Ohio is 1-7 on the year and have lost four of their last five games and fade material in this current form. MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OHIO U is 3-15 ATS L/18 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) Martin is 30-9 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games as the coach of MIAMI OHIO.Martin is 12-1 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season as the coach of MIAMI OHIO. OHIO U is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-10 ATS in home games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 87-46 ATS L/29 season for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Ohio Red Hawks to cover |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has lost only one game by more than 7 points this season and that was to Wisconsin on the road. Creighton is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of E MICHIGAN and always has his team ready to compete. Creighton is 6-0 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better as the coach of E MICHIGAN. Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games. Candle is 3-11 ATS off a home win against a conference rival as the coach of TOLEDO which was the case vs W.Michigan last time out.Candle is also just 4-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% like E.Michigan or better as the coach of TOLEDO.Rockets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.Rockets are 2-7 ATS/SU in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Play on Eastern Michigan |
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11-02-21 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Vegas has seen a total of 6 attached to just 8 of their road games since last season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored. Considering the Leafs offense seems to be in an early season funk scoring more than 3 goals just once this season, it wont be a hard decision here to take the under , especially with Vegas dealing with some nagging injuries up front. Under is 4-0 in Golden Knights last 4 games as a road underdog. Under is 10-3-2 in Maple Leafs last 15 games following a win.Under is 21-7-1 in Maple Leafs last 29 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-3 in Maple Leafs last 11 overall.Under is 7-3 in Maple Leafs last 10 games as a favorite.Under is 39-18-2 in Maple Leafs last 59 vs. Pacific. NHL Road teams against the total (VEGAS) - after winning 2 consecutive games in overtime against opponent after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more are 22-4 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 4.4 gpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
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11-02-21 | Red Wings v. Canadiens -132 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Montreal has just two wins this season, one of them came against tonights opposition Detroit by a 6-1 count. Advantage Habs. Red Wings are 36-94 in their last 130 games as an underdog. Red Wings are 11-41 in their last 52 vs. Eastern Conference. Red Wings are 12-52 in their last 64 games as a road underdog.NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (MONTREAL) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a terrible team (30% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 35-8 L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Canadiens to win |
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11-01-21 | Senators v. Blackhawks -127 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 34 h 59 m | Show | |
Chicago has lost 8 straight games to begin their season, and now have a Ottawa team according to my power rankings that they can handle. All good and bad runs must eventually come to end. NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (CHICAGO) - off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival, winless on the season are 41-7 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (CHICAGO) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a terrible team (30% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 34-8 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blackhawks to win |
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11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 128-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Chicago ranks 4th in ppg allowed D, and have shown themselves to be methodical in their approach ranking 22nd in pace and Im betting . Meanwhile, the Celtics despite of some tainted numbers are also running at a slower pace ranking 14th in the league. My projections have estimated this Totals offering to be off by almost a full possession to the under at 215 giving us value on this offered number. CHICAGO is 17-7 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.6 ppg . CHICAGO is 14-3 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 road games.Under is 14-3 in Bulls last 17 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (CHICAGO) - off a home win, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 41-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on UNDER |
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11-01-21 | Spurs v. Pacers -2.5 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
I know Indiana has been struggling of late, but according to my power rankings the Pacers style vs style algorithms matchup well vs San Antonio here at home. Spurs are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 30-1 L/25 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 ppg which qualifies ATS on this offered number. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) are 62-29 ATS L/25 seasons for 68% conversion rate. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-31-21 | Rangers -115 v. Seattle Kraken | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The expansion Kraken put together their first winning streak of the season , taking out Montreal 5-1 Tuesday and Minnesota 4-1 Thursday, both at home . However, tonight Im betting the crew from Seattle wont reach the magic of 3 mark vs a NY Rangers side in top form after winning 5 of their L/6 games behind a very strong D, that has allowed a total of just 5 goals in the 5 above mentioned wins.Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Play on the NY Rangers to win |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 52 | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 57 m | Show | |
Dallas is really lighting it up and look like a team possessed scoring 35, 44, 36, and 41 in their last 4 trips to the gridiron .Non-Division teams like the Cowboys who produced 35 or more points off offense in each of their last 4 contests are a perfect 6-0 L/6 opportunities OVER when the Total is 46 or higher. Dallas has gone over 9 straight times, vs the NFC north where the Vikings reside, and Im betting on rested legs and off a bye week they will light the board up against vs a inconsistent Vikings D.Over is 14-3-1 in Cowboys last 18 games following a bye week.DALLAS is 11-3 OVER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 61.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the Vikings also off a bye week will have to fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own, which Im betting will result in a combined score to go over the offered number. Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games following a bye week.Over is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 vs. NFC.MINNESOTA is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 61.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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10-31-21 | Pistons +12 v. Nets | 91-117 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Detroit won last night and has some momentum coming into this tilt and now face a Brooklyn side off a win last time out as well, but their play overall has been uneven. Also in the recent past the Nets have used games against lower tier opponents like a defacto night off, and overlooked those sides. Note: BROOKLYN is 0-8 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% or less) over the last 2 seasons. Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks +2 | 107-95 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The loss last night by the Bucks to the Spurs was their second straight defeat at home and now Im betting the Bucks will come in here ready to get some redemption vs one of the NBAs top teams the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, the Jazz after opening their season with a 4-0 record lost last night in Chicago by a 107-90 score and looked a little wiped as the game progressed, which does not bode well for them here in a tough road environment. Hey I know their host Milwaukee are also on the tired side of the tracks, but overall on younger legs the defending champs have the edge. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. MILWAUKEE is 28-13 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or more TO's) are 113-67 ATS L/25 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +4.5 | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 53 h 40 m | Show | |
Tom Brady and company took out the Saints last season in the NFC playoffs last season, and now Im betting on a huge revenge scenario to manifest here and for the Saints to come out spitting fire. Note: Saints are 11-2-1 ATS as home underdogs L/15 seasons , and failed to cover just once under new head coach Sean Payton. New Orleans has owned this series in the regular season going 5-0 SUATS L/5 meetings and Im betting have the edge again getting points as hosts. Payton is 24-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NFL Favorites (TAMPA BAY) - with an incredible offense - averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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10-31-21 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas has started this season paying special attention to defense and that has resulted in 5 straight unders. The Mavericks are ranked 8th in ppg allowed and 24th in pace and dead last in offensive output. Meanwhile, Sacramento runs at a faster pace, but will have their flow curtailed here which Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered number. Note: Afternoon NBA games also generally have a tendency of being slower events. Under is 6-0 in Kings last 6 Sunday games.Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-1 in Kings last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 21-5-1 in Kings last 27 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 overall.Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 home games. Under is 12-3 in Mavericks last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA team (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 72-36 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER NBA team (DALLAS) - an excellent defensive team (104 or less PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 48 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 112-63 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the UNDER |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets +11 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
The Bengals are off a huge underdog win last time out vs the Baltimore Ravens and will find themselves in an emotional letdown spot here vs a ugly home dog in the NY Jets making them vulnerable . Previous to the Bengals win last week, they had not beat an above .500 team so Im not ready to crown them possible super Bowl contenders just yet. With that said, I know it will be tough for many of you to take the points here with the Jets, but with Zach Wilson now on the sidelines for the Jets and Mike White under center Im betting we will see a better version of the Jets this week. White was brilliant in his time with Western Kentucky and must not be underestimated . Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. NY JETS are 16-6 ATS L/22 after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. NY JETS is 7-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992. in NY. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. NFL Favorites (CINCINNATI) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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10-31-21 | Dolphins +14 v. Bills | 11-26 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
I am not disputing which side is the better group, but in a division game a two TD difference is a little over the top. I know how well and how badly each team has played, but this line is bloated according to my power rankings and Im willing to take the points with a clothes pin attached firmly to my nose. Note: NFL home favorites in division games of 14 or more points are just 48-65-6 ATS L/41 seasons , including a 0-7 L/7 ATS run. BUFFALO is 18-33 ATS L/51 after having won 4 out of their last 5 games. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 6 m | Show | |
After back to back underdogs wins vs Buffalo and Kansas City Im betting the Titans will have problems mustering the energy needed to take out the Colts as visitors. The Colts current group is also suited well to defending against the run , and with QB Carson Wentz in top form throwing multiple TDs pass in 4 straight games with no interceptions the Colts are a dangerous looking team. Note: Tennessee 0-4 ATS in games coming off consecutive SU underdog wins.I INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons
Play on the Colts to cover |
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10-31-21 | Rams v. Texans +16 | 38-22 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Rams took out the lowly Lions last week by a 28-19 count, but they had to work extremely hard to do it after falling 10-0 in the first quarter. To me its obvious the Rams are taking defacto bye weeks to rest players against lower tier sides at least from an emotional standpoint ( their effort and grit look less than positive at time despite of the talent levels. In the recent past it seems the odds makers have over estimated the Rams ability to beat up on lower level sides, as is evident by their 1-5 ATS mark vs. a team with a losing record. After last weeks emotional come from behind victory Im fading them as huge road favs vs a team that will be motivated for redemption of some sort. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. LA RAMS are 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. NFL Favorites (LA RAMS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texans to cover |
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10-30-21 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
The Washington Huskies are a 7-0 team if the offensive play-calling wasn’t so bad. The talent is there at Washington but its the guys directing plays on the sidelines that down grade this Huskies program. However, today vs a inconsistent Stanford team Im betting the visitors find a way to cash for us here this Saturday. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. CFBl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-30-21 | Cavs +10 v. Suns | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Cleveland had a 3 game win streak halted vs the Lakers last time out, but I have liked their form this season, and my power rankings have as well, and with that said Im betting we have an edge on the line vs a Suns team that is exhibiting a major Championship finals hangover. as is evident by their 1-4 record to start the season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential) are 40-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-30-21 | Astros +100 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zack Greinke will be the Game 4 starter for the Astros and Im betting after seeing very little action is prepared to compete here. The veteran has pitched only 2 1/3 innings in two appearances (one start) during these play offs after seeing his role diminish late in the season. Greinke made two previous World Series starts, both in 2019 for the Astros, and produced a 2.45 ERA in two no-decisions. Greinke is 11-6 with a 4.16 ERA in 29 starts and one relief appearance during the 2021 regular season and deserves respect in a key situation for the Astros. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. Braves are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 2-11 in their last 13 interleague home games. HOUSTON is 32-19 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. Play on Astros to cover |
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10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 61 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State started their season with a 5-0 run and than after blowing a late lead lost to Iowa 20-18 in heart breaking fashion, and than in a letdown situation lost last time out in surprising fashion 20-18 to Illinois last time out. No matter what there has been one constant with Penn State this season, and that is a top tier D, both against the run and secondary as is evident by allowing an average of 14.7 ppg. With the opportunity to gain back some respect, Im betting the Lions really lean on the Buckeyes and make them work for points this week. This Im betting directly effects the combined score to the under as Penn State has also proven to be a conservative team on offense. Franklin is 11-2 UNDER after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 44.4 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team ( 6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 32-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Jets v. Sharks -105 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The Sharks after winning four games to start the season, have lost three in a row, managing just four goals in the process , but Im betting this is a good opportunity for redemption vs a tired Winnipeg side, that is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights on their current west coast road trip. NHL team against the money line (SAN JOSE) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the first half of the season are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Jose to win |
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10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pelicans played and lost last night, and are now on tired legs . Add to that their offensive flow without Zion Williamson is muted ranking 27th in ppg offensive average and you have a situation where points will be hard to come by vs a staunch defensive side that plays a good portion of their games in a slow paced environment. note: Knicks rank 26th in pace in the NBA Under is 5-0-1 in Pelicans last 6 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 195.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 20-9 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons of 210.5 ppg. Under is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 31-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 212.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn is well rested and off a bye week, and will be primed to take down Ole Miss in this spot play. The Auburn D, will be the difference maker as they are 78 yards bette than the Ole Miss stopping units. Auburn has won the two most recent meetings in this series and are 17-4 L/21 overall meetings. CFB Home favorites (AUBURN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 121-76 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting the explosive offense of SMU will be held in check this week by the Houston Cougars D, that is ranked 4th overall. The host has covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting on a Rinse and Repeat situation. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-15 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB home team (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston UNDER 62.5 | 37-44 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Houstons D, is of the top tier variety allowing just 17.3 ppg on the season and 14.3 ppg at home. I know SMU owns and explosive offense but Im betting they will be muted here. Meanwhile, SMUs D, is also under rated and despite of allowing alot of points in garbage time have still allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg . Today in this important game for these side, Im expecting more of a chess game than an all out slugfest which will result in this total not being eclipsed. HOUSTON is 20-7 UNDERoff a no-cover where the team won as a favorite with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (SMU) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 62% or better, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 57-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 56 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Recent history in this series: Since the first meeting in this series back in 2014 the Panthers took the next three games, winning 34-7 in 2015 in Statesboro, 30-24 in 2016 in Atlanta and 21-17 in 2017 in Statesboro. GS won the next two games, 35-14 in 2018 in Atlanta and 38-10 in 2019 in Statesboro before the Panthers won last year 30-24 in Atlanta. According to these numbers none of confrontations has seen the combined score eclipse this total. Georgia Southern remains a ground-oriented team. The Eagles rank No. 1 in the conference with 238.5 yards per game. Meanwhile, Georgia State averages 221.9 yards rushing per game, No. 3 in the Sun Belt, behind its big, experienced offensive line and will also pound the ball. With both teams leaning on their ground games alot of clock time will be eaten, and Im betting that results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. GEORGIA ST is 11-2 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (GEORGIA ST/GA Southern) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games are 40-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State -6 v. Georgia Southern | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 29-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Georgia State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wizards took out the Celtics 3 days ago in Boston winning by a 116-107 count and are now 4-1 on the season, and in a better flow than the Clovers who are q team that is down trending in my power rankings at the moment . Based on current form the home side has the edge tonight. Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. WASHINGTON is 14-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons here in D.C. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 59-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Celtics are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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10-30-21 | Southern Miss v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
Southern Miss generated just 107 offensive yards last week while getting shut out by UAB and they are big time fade material here vs a Middle Tennessee State team that up-trending in my rankings. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.9 ppg. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.9 ppg. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for 79% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.9. Middle Tennessee to cover |
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10-30-21 | Islanders v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Barry Trotz Islanders are now in a defensive groove and that discipline will continue here again vs the Nashville Predators this afternoon. Note: Isles goalie Ilya Sorokin for KHL phenom could easily be headed to towards NHL stardom if he stays healthy. He has already recorded 2 shutouts an was less than a minute away from a third one. Note:NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41. gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 14-2 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State is the real deal and just keep improving. Ill be honest I was not sold on them, but after watching the Spartans play on more than one occasion I get the feeling this is a never say die very tough crew . Entering this game against arch nemesis Michigan they are averaging 34.9 points and 451.7 yards per game while the defense, which allowed more than 21 points just once this season. CFB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Michigan State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -13.5 | 56-44 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Bowling Green has won just 5 of their L/30 trips to the gridiron and are completely outgunned according to my projections by a Buffalo program that plays their best football at home and after 2-54 start have won 2 straight and in contention in the MAcEast. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking 31.3 ppg. Buffalo 6-1 ATS win skein in this series. BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons . Opponent 49.2 BG 8.3 BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21 ppg. CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BUFFALO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the Buffalo to cover |
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10-29-21 | UNLV +20 v. Nevada | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Nevada according to my power rankings is being over rated here on this line. I know UNLV is o-7 on the season, but they have been mostly competitive and deserve respect here getting 20 plus points . The last time these teams met the Rebels upset Nevada 33-30 two seasons ago, and Im betting they make the Wolfpack work hard again.Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Play on the UNLV to cover |
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