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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-01-17 | Rays v. White Sox +155 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Tampa Bays starter southpaw Blake Snell (2-6, 4.29 ERA) will start today against a White Sox team that are big home underdogs. Last time out Chicago lost 5-4 in walk off fashion as underdogs , but this time around I'm betting they find their way and deliver a pay day vs a, pitcher that despite of some recent good outings is a  very hittable pitcher. Chicago has lost their L/2 games they played vs the Rays but are solid in that situation going 10-5 against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.The White Sox are also 6-0 L/6 as a home dog in the first game of a series with no rest when they are off a road game and they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost. Rays are 1-5 in Snells last 6 starts vs. American League Central.White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Rays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.Snell has won just two times in 20 career road starts. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-01-17 | Angels v. Rangers -101 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (1-4, 4.25 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Cole Hamels (9-2, 3.78) Skaggs the Angels starter tonight vs the Rangers  is 0-3 with a 4.56 ERA since coming off the disabled list . . Skaggs owns a 2-2 record along with  a 5.66 ERA against the Rangers in his career. I'm betting Skaggs in trouble today vs a Texas side that does their best offensive work at home averaging 5.8 rpg via a .271 BA. Meanwhile, Texas will respond with  southpaw Cole Hamels (9-2, 3.78 ERA), who had a solid August despite a ugly outing last time out. I expect this quality hurler to come back here with a vengeance. He owns a 4-1 record along  with a stingy 2.47 ERA for his career vs the Halos.Hamels is 6-0 at home this season in 8 starts along with a very stable 3.01 ERA. HAMELS team when he starts  is 16-2 L/18 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season.LA ANGELS are 3-11 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Rangers - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% are 48-21 during the L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-31-17 | New Mexico State v. Arizona State -22 | 31-37 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 54 m | Show | |
Head coach Todd Graham, of the Sun Devils is on the hot seat and to has show his detractors that he has the answers to some ugly questions about the stability of his defense and his ability to keep track in the talent laden PAC12. This in his opening game vs New Mexico state, I expect he makes sure his team leaves everything on the field. Yes, I do expect the  Aggies will do some scoring behind RB Larry Rose III and some talented receivers, but I also expect the Sun Devils D to be improved and to stifle the Aggies at key junctures of this game. In the end I 'm betting the Arizona States offense as the game progresses will swallow up the Aggies soft secondary and pass rush D, like a hungry desert snake and pull away for a lopsided victory and cover the spread. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points like Arizona State - terrible defense from last season - allowed 6.1 or more yards/play, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first month of the season are 32-9 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-31-17 | Ohio State v. Indiana +21.5 | 49-21 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 51 m | Show | |
The Ohio State Buckeyes enter this game having beaten the Indiana Hoosiers 22 straight times, but the line for this game seems a little bit over blown, and their is a line value edge in taking the underdog. |
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08-31-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees -135 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (4-4, 4.19 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.82) Sabathia is making his third start since returning from the disabled list because of  a right knee injury. Sabathia was on the DL when the Red Sox last visited New York and returned Aug. 19 in Boston when he allowed two runs and four hits.He followed it up by allowing just one run and five hits in seven quality innings in a no-decision in the Yanks heart breaking  11-inning loss to the Seattle Mariners this past Friday. Sabathia is shaping back into form and I expect he will be at his best in this tilt. . The current Boston roster is hitting a combined .187 (32-for-171) off him. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent,  in nine starts since May 25, Rodriguez the BoSox starter is 0-3 with a 5.76 ERA.Rodriguez is trying for his first win in over three months. The Red Sox swept the Yanks the last time they met, and now I expect the Yankees will be amped up to perform here, as they are not only in revenge mode, but in a desperation mode as well, as their play off aspirations, will hinge on their play over the next week. SABATHIA is 10-2  against the money line against division opponents this season.Red Sox are 0-5 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts vs. Red Sox. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-31-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles -128 | 11-8 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
I almost always like to put a starting pitching matchup analysis up , but when a situation like this arises, momentum plays a almost bigger factor in a projected outcome .Toronto just finished  a six-game homestand with a ugly 1-5 record and have now lost 10 of 12 overall. The Blue Jays sit in last place in the American League East and are regularly playing like bottom feeders and are fade material here again tonight vs a Baltimore team on a red hot 7 game win streak after yesterdays 8-7 win vs the Mariners.The Orioles have been offensively explosive during their winning run, scoring four or more runs in six of the seven victories. With play off aspirations still in play I expect we will see the Os, in top form, again tonight vs a team playing out the string  that they have beaten 7 of 10 times this season. BALTIMORE is 36-10 L/46 against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%).TORONTO is 4-11 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season.BALTIMORE is 67-29 L/96 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Os starter HELLICKSON is 7-2 against the money line against division opponents this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Jays - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 11-45 over the L/5 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-31-17 | White Sox +137 v. Twins | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Gonzalez the White Sox starter is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA over his last four starts and  owns a 2.93 ERA in eight starts since coming off the disabled list with AC joint inflammation in his right shoulder. Needless to say he is in top form. Meanwhile, Minnesota's veteran hurler, Colon, despite of being fairly stable , owns a bloated 6.94 ERA at home this year spanning 9 starts. Looking at this games pitching matchup, there is value in backing a visiting White Sox team that has cashed 4 of their L/7 as underdogs and 7 of their L/11 overall, with young rejuvenated lineup. CHI WHITE SOX are 17-7   against the money line after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival which happened last time out. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-30-17 | A's v. Angels -139 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Kendall Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) vs. Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 2.89) Bridwell the Angels starter tonight continued to be in top form last Friday but suffered his first loss in nine starts after giving up two runs and six hits in seven innings against Houston. Today I expect he will bounce back and get his team to the win via his usual solid work.Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Despite the absence of Mike Trout, the Angels have outscored the Athletics 11-3 in winning the first two , games of this series, and  with Trout expected back tonight the Angels will be ready for a bigger output. Meanwhile, Graveman (4-4, 4.24 ERA) has pitched well against Los Angeles this season, going 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in three starts. However, all three of those outings were well before he missed 2 1/2 months with a strained shoulder. He has pitched decently of late, but I still feel he is less than 100% and susceptible to being beaten around. Athletics are 0-5 in Gravemans last 5 road starts and are 0-6 in Gravemans last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 18-41 in their last 59 road games.Athletics are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles. BRIDWELL team when he starts is 8-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.LA ANGELS are 19-4 l/23 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons.OAKLAND is 17-42 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-30-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (8-15, 4.57 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (6-10, 4.10) Over his past five starts, Happ the Blue Jays starter is 3-2 with a 3.94 ERA. Happ won the first three of those starts, allowing one run in each outing, then lost the next two, allowing five runs each time. I expect he will bounce back today vs a Red Sox batting order that he matches up well against according to my own cross reference baseball pitcher vs offense power rankings. He has pitched once this season against the Red Sox, a no-decision July 18 in the Blue Jays' 5-4, 15-inning loss at Fenway Park. He allowed five hits, two walks and two earned runs while striking out two over five innings.Happ is 5-3 with an ERA of 3.66 in 14 career games (13 starts) against Boston. Meanwhile, his Boston Red Sox pitching opponent Porcello goes against a Toronto Blue Jays team that has averaged only 4.1 rpg at home this season via a .242 BA. Porcello ahs been average at best, but the way the inconsistent offense of the Jays is operating I expect he will have a decent start and than rely on a solid bullpen with a 3.21 ERA on the season. The Red Sox have gone under 12 straight times  as a dog past the first game of a series after they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter last game. Under is 6-0 in Porcellos last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Porcellos last 7 road starts.Under is 25-12 in Red Sox last 37 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in Blue Jays last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0 in Happs last 6 starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 5-1 in Happs last 6 starts overall. TORONTO is 24-9 UNDER L/33 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg going on the board.TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER  L/14 vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored.BOSTON is 31-18 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.HAPP is 10-1 UNDER  as a favorite of -110 or higher this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board.TORONTO is 30-18 UNDER in home games against right-handed starters this season. HAPP is 8-0 UNDER in night games this season with a combined average of 71 rpg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-30-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. Indiana Fever UNDER 155.5 | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
08-29-17 | Giants v. Padres -113 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
The Giants starter tonight Matt Moore’s has pitched well recently with his team winning his last two starts, but the Giants have not performed well in this spot going 0-11 on the road off a road tilt when they won the last two games their starter started, losing by an average of 4.2 rpg. Previous too his recent success Moore was just 1-8 from May 24-Aug. 7, so a regression to the norm is not out of the question. Meanwhile Perdomo (6-8, 4.84 ERA) the Fathers starter, was in top form in his last trip  out at St. Louis on Thursday. Over six innings, he allowed just two runs on seven hits and two walks in a no-decision.In seven career games against the Giants, Perdomo is 1-0 with a 3.94 ERA. He is 0-0 with a 3.63 ERA in three starts vs. San Francisco this year. I like the Padres hurler here to keep his team in the game. SF took a 3-0 win yesterday but SAN DIEGO is 7-1 against the money line revenging a shutout loss to opponent this season. Giants are 1-6 in Moores last 7 starts vs. National League West.Padres are 5-2 in Perdomos last 7 home starts.Padres are 6-1 in Perdomos last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Giants- starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are just 35-70 L/105 opportunities for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-29-17 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9 | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Minnesota will start right-hander Ervin Santana (13-7, 3.24 ERA), while Chicago will go with James Shields (2-4, 5.63 ERA).A new arm slot has aided Shields upward performance  in August, where he has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his four outings and he had three quality starts. He allowed three runs on three hits against the Twins on Aug. 23.He has a 3.00 ERA over two starts against the Twins this season. Meanwhile, the Twins starter Santana looks to close out a top tier August, during which he’s gone 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA. His last start was also against the White Sox where he allowed just three hits and one earned run but came away with a no-decision in Chicago's win.He is 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA over four starts against the South Siders this season. I'm betting both these capable hurlers will keep the other offense under wraps tonight and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the number. Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Shields' last 4 starts overall.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 10-1-1 in Santanas last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings.Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. CHI WHITE SOX are 10-2 UNDER L/12 after a win by 6 runs or more this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg.(White sox won 7-1 last time out) The Twins have gone under 14 of the l/15 times as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which they won by 5 or more runs with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board.(Minnesota won 7-2 last time out) Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-29-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Washington Mystics UNDER 169.5 | 86-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
08-28-17 | A's v. Angels -165 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Two pitchers who do not inspire all star day dreaming go to the mound to face each other tonight. The Angels left-hander Andrew Heaney (0-0, 8.10 ERA) will make his third start of the season following his return from Tommy John surgery.His last major league victory came against Oakland on Sept. 2, 2015, when he went seven innings and allowed three runs and seven hits in a 9-4 road victory.Heaney has made just 21 starts with the Angels since being acquired in a December 2014 trade. The 26-year-old is 6-5 with a 3.99 ERA in his Angels career. He has not been very good after coming off the disabled ,list , but now fully healed and the rust wearing off I'm betting he has enough juice in his arm, to keep the As bats under control tonight. Meanwhile, A's rookie hurler Gossett hasn't faced the Angels, but he is 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA against the AL West this season.Gossett gave up five runs in five innings in his return Wednesday but didn't get a decision in Baltimore.On the season, Gossett is 3-6 with a 5.49 ERA in 11 starts and is fade material in this spot play. Note:Angels superstar Mike Trout has hit more homers against the A's (24) than against any other team in his career. Trout is batting .308 in 104 games against Oakland in his career. I know Oakland has played well lately, but they have not dealt with success well. as they are  1-11  against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. Also the Athletics after the all star break are 0-20 L/20 after a 4 plus run win as a favorite , which happened yesterday vs the Rangers yesterday by a 8-3 count.OAKLAND is 9-22  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more like the Angels - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 191-64 over the L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win vs the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-28-17 | Rays v. Royals OVER 10 | 12-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.76 ERA) vs. Royals RH Ian Kennedy (4-9, 5.09)
KENNEDY is 7-0 OVER  in home games in night games this season with a combined 11.2 rpg going on the board. The Royals are 10-0 to the OVER as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they did not hit a home run. The L/7 games in this series here in KC have gone over the Total. MLB teams against the total KC Royals - after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts are 53-22 L/75 for a 71% conversion rate for OVER bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-28-17 | Mariners v. Orioles -115 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (0-1, 7.40 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Chris Tillman (1-7, 7.75) Tillaman the Os starter tongiht has had an off year, but the former all star is a very capable hurler , and has faired well against Seattle in his career as is evident by a 7-1 record along with a 3.30 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) and his team has won his L/7 starts vs the Mariners. Meanwhile, Gonzales the Mariners starter continues to struggle and has not made it past the 5th inning in any of his L/5 starts. After sweeping the American League East-leading Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park over the weekend, the streaking Orioles  (65-65) bring a four-game winning streak into tonight's tilt  vs the Seattle Mariners. Note the  above mentioned weekender vs the BOSox saw them out score them by a 25-4 count. BALTIMORE is 20-6 L/26  against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games. BALTIMORE is 17-4 L/21 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.SEATTLE is 3-11 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Orioles - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts, hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games are 33-12 during the last 20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-27-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Seattle Storm UNDER 166.5 | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
08-27-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. LA Sparks UNDER 156 | 67-78 | Win | 100 | 23 h 24 m | Show | |
08-27-17 | Bengals +3.5 v. Redskins | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
Gruden and the Redskins are 0-2 and have been outscored by a combined 44-20 in their first two preseason games. The offense has been particularly inconsistent and  In Week 2 versus Green Bay, as the HC kept his offense on the field for the entire first half against the Packers 2nd team D, and still looked very incohesive scoring just 1 TD, (barely). Meanwhile, the Bengals are 1-1, and looking like Dr. Jekyll and Mr.Hyde, as they smashed KC in game 1 and than looked horrendous in a game 2 loss to KC by a 30-12 count, mostly because their D, was asleep at the proverbial wheel and missing tackles on a consistent basis. HC Lewis was furious after that game, and I'm betting his team will respond in a big way here . |
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08-27-17 | Astros v. Angels +122 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
The Angels had a very efficient offensive performance yesterday scoring 7 runs in a win vs the Astros. LA ANGELS are 21-7 L/28 against the money line in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base . Today I expect Nolasco who is 7-2 in his career against the Astros with a 3.63 ERA in 69 1/3 innings and  1-1 in two starts against Houston this season with a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings to do well and get his team to the promised land. the veteran Halos hurler has won four of his last five outings and must not be underestimated on a underdog line. Meanwhile, Astros starter MORTON's team when he starts  is 14-36  against the money line in day games in his career and fade material in this spot play. Angels are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.  .HOUSTON is 9-15 against the money line in August games this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Angels - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 78-39 over the L/20 seasons, for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-27-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Orioles LH Wade Miley (7-10, 5.11 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (3-6, 4.78) It must be noted that the Bosox have dropped the first two games of this series: The Red Sox have gone under in 10 straight games  when it is the last game of a three game series and they are trying to avoid a sweep. MILEY is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season with a combined 7.7 rpg going on the board. BALTIMORE is 14-3 UNDER  rested bullpen - threw 2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board.BALTIMORE is 12-3 UNDER  L/15 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg being scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher like the Orioles - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 47-16 UNDER for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-27-17 | Pirates -119 v. Reds | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Taillon Pittsburgh Starter today will wear a jersey with "J-Mo" on the back above his number 50 as part of Players Weekend. After he was diagnosed with testicular cancer in May, the Pirates donned wristbands with the hashtag #JamoStrong for their friend and teammate. He has not pitched all that well of late, but this kids been through hell and back, and on a special occasion like today , I'm betting we see him at his best. Yesterday the Pirates shut out the Reds, and must be noted that  the Reds are 0-9 on the moneyline  as a dog coming off a home game in which they were shutout. The Pirates are also 13-0 L/13 against an opponent seeking immediate revenge for a shutout loss, with their starters providing 12 straight quality starts in this situation. Meanwhile, Mahle the Reds starting hurler  is ranked as the Reds' highly in the Reds pipleine of pitchers . The 22-year-old right-hander has a 2.06 ERA between Double-A Pensacola and Triple-A Louisville this season, and a combined 2.85 ERA in 105 career Minor League games, but here making his first MLB start I expect he won’t be as smooth here against top tier pros.  CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring 1 run or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-12 against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season.CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Packers +3 v. Broncos | 17-20 | Push | 0 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
All indications according to my prognostication and data mining suggest this should be a close game making getting points golden in my opinion. The QB combo of  Aaron Rodgers/ Brett Hundley  looked to be in top form last week and once again look like solid options in this tilt  as they look to go 3-0 in preseason ball . Meanwhile, theBroncos despite of a similar 2-0 record, played two soft opponents out of the gate, and this jump in class  I'm betting is to much for them to handle.  DENVER is 0-8 ATS  off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. DENVER is 0-7 ATS  off a upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. Denver beat up on the 49ers last week 33-14.  NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to –3 like the Broncos - after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better are 6-20 ATS L/26 over the L/10 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the GB Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Chargers +2.5 v. Rams | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
On the defensive side of the ball, the Rams starters struggled their last time out, allowing 21 points and despite of being 2-0 in preseason play it's their inconsistent defense , that remains their biggest issue. Their hard hitting take no prisoners reputation when they were in St.Louis has a quickly evaporated. Add to that a offense that is also highly inconsistent, and you have a recipe for consistent  crap performances. I'm not quite sold on the Rams getting much better this season. Meanwhile, the Chargers after back to back losses, are now very hungry to get into a winning state of mind, and this in their first battle of LA is a perfect opportunity to win over some fans. With that said,  I'm expecting management to be pressuring the HC and his staff to get things rolling here this week. Rams are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Rams are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. NFLX l teams with a money line of +130 to -150 like the Chargers - after a 2 game home stand are 39-15 SU for a 72 conversion rate for bettors. Considering this trend getting points very much makes for a value line.Underdogs or pick like the Chargers  - off an upset loss as a favorite, winless in the preseason are 40-17 ATS L/57 opportunities for 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick like the Chargers- off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a losing record are 49-19 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Tigers v. White Sox -108 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Left-hander Carlos Rodon (2-4, 3.88) will start Saturday for the White Sox. Right-hander Buck Farmer (2-1, 6.62) will start for Detroit.Farmer hasn't pitched for the Tigers since June 18 against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he allowed seven runs in 2 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Rodon owns a 2.49 ERA in his L/3 starts, while allowing just 6 ERs in his L/22 innings of work. Needless to say, these pitchers indicators are at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, making Rodon and the White Sox a viable moneyline investment option. RODON is 9-1 L/10 against the money line in home games after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings. White Sox are 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts vs. American League Central.White Sox are 8-3 in Rodons last 11 home starts.Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 road games. CHI WHITE SOX are 7-0 L/7 against the money line in home games off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher . Which happened yesterday in a 3-2 Pale Hose win vs Verlander and company.RODON is 8-0 L/8 against the money line in home games in August games over the last few seasons. Home teams like the white Sox - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 105-64 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Hawaii v. UMass | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 118 h 29 m | Show | |
Allianz Stadium - Sydney Austrailia Minutemen dropped 46-40 decision at Hawaii last year…Rainbow Warriors’ quarterback Dru Brown passed for 311 yards with five touchdowns and no interceptions, and now gong into his second full year as a starter I'm betting he will be even smoother vs a Minuteman secondary that had only 4 interceptions all season long. Meanwhile,  the Minutemen return seven offensive starters from last year’s team that compiled a ugly 2-10 record and nothing looks like it going to change this season , with core of the offense back , and doing what it does best and that is struggle to move the ball. Hey.I know Hawaii's D, is a lower tier group, but I expect they will do enough to fluster and easily frustrated Umass group. Yes, I also know the UMass defense returns 10 starters but that's also hardly a good thing, considering how horrendous they were last season. The difference maker here today, will be Hawaii's superior QB Brown, and the late start time of 6:00 pm et which will screw with the UMass teams internal clock as they travel half way around the world for this tilt. Meanwhile Hawaii is virtually a hope skip and a jump from Australia and will feel no jet lag or time change issues. Warriors 7-0 ATS season openers.HAWAII is 22-9 ATS  L/31 in the first two weeks of the season. Hawaii to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Rangers -114 v. A's | 3-8 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Since he came to the Texas Rangers on July 31, 2015, in a trade from the Philadelphia Phillies, left-hander Cole Hamels has gone 31-7 on the moneyline.This season, he's recorded a solid 9-1 record and will take a five-game winning streak into this the second game of the this set with their hosts the Oakland A's.Hamels has a .816 winning percentage in his career with the  Rangers. He's the second pitcher in major-league history with a winning percentage of .800 or higher in his first 60 starts with a team. Needless to say, I'm feeling confident in backing him in the Rangers this afternoon Hamels is 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA in five career starts against the A's. He's 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in three starts at the Coliseum..After losing the series opener against Oakland and falling two games behind Minnesota for the second wild-card spot in the American League I'm expecting his offense to also be ready to back him in this spot. Meanwhile, Manaea his pitching opponent from the A's is slumping and not in good form as his recent  slump, that has seen him go-0-3 with an 8.17 ERA in six starts. HAMELS is 9-0  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season. TEXAS is 33-17 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | BC +2 v. Ottawa | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 37 m | Show | |
Ottawa after winning the Grey Cup last season, came into this season with a huge target on their backs. The RedBlacks played hard like they always do , but ran themselves down, in some grueling hard fought early season games. Last week after 8 days of rest, they smashed the lowly Hamilton Ti-Cats by a 37-18 for their first comfortable win giving them a 2-6 record on the season. Now this week , against a hungry and under rated BC Lions team, I'm betting they will experience a let down effort, vs a team that played the leagues top team Calgary last week very tough losing a heart breaking 21 -17 decision, and that  a week after losing the 2nd of a home and home vs the Saskatchewan Riders. BRITISH COLUMBIA has reacted well in this situation going  6-0 ATS  L/6 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses . BRITISH COLUMBIA is also 10-1 ATS  L/11 in non-conference games winning SU by an average of 9.1 ppg. Meanwhile, OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game which happened against Hamilton last time out. . Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.RedBlacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Lions are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games. CFL team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 7-38 L/45 dating back 5 seasons also CFL  team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - a lower tier team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are just 5-43 for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road underdogs or pick like the Lions- in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are a long term profitable side to back going 95-48 ATS dating back 21 seasons. Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-26-17 | Oregon State +3.5 v. Colorado State | 27-58 | Loss | -105 | 308 h 11 m | Show | |
 Oregon State was playing at higher level by the end of the 2016 campaign. The Beavers finished Coach Gary Anderson’s second year with victories over Arizona and Oregon and must not be underestimated today vs Colorado State side that will opening a new on campus stadium. I know the Rams have a lot of key offensive players returning, but unlike many others I'm not all that impressed , and feel their over rated, especially outside of the Mountain West Conference. I'm betting the Beavers Running back Ryan Nall will be the centerpiece of the offense today, and despite of a uncertain QB situation, the Beavers will be able to do some damage downfield via play action , vs a average at best secondary. As a sophomore last season Nall rushed for 951 yards and 13 touchdowns and should be even better this season .The defense improved during year two of the Coach Anderson era and Oregon States goal will be to shore up the run defense which looks achievable.  Andersen is 20-8 ATS L/28 as a road underdog and is 24-11 ATS L35 in non-conference games . OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 in games played on turf . I respect coach Anderson a lot, and like the way he is rebuilding this Oregon State side. With that said, I'll take his PAC 12 team to get us the cover here on the road in week 0.  Play on the Oregon State Beavers to cover |
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08-25-17 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Tigers RH Justin Verlander (9-8, 3.96 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Miguel Gonzalez (7-10, 4.44) Detroit's starter Verlander is coming off a stellar performance against the Los Angeles Dodgers last weekend when he allowed one run on two hits and struck out nine over eight innings in a 6-1 Tigers victory. He was keyed up for that game, and will now be in an emotional let down situation. He is  3-6 with a 5.24 ERA away from Comerica Park this year, including three homers at Texas last week. it must also be noted the Tigers have lost their past seven road games since Aug. 5, including a three-game sweep at Texas last week. They've been outscored by a 54-20 margin in that stretch and overall have allowed 29 runs in their L/3 games, and  I'm betting on the White Sox doing some offensive damage tonight, which help us get over the Total. I know Migule Gonzalez the Pale Hose starter has pitched well lately, but he is just  3-6 with a 7.07 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) against Detroit and in 3 outings against them this season, two were disastrous allowing 13 runs in 12 innings of 24 hits. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter power rankings suggest Motown matches up well against him. VERLANDER in 7 starts this season in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season has seen a combined score of 9.6 rpg go on the scoreboard. CHI WHITE SOX are 23-12 OVER  vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg getting scored.DETROIT is 25-14 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored in those tilts. DETROIT in 31 games when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season has seen average of 10.2 rpg get scored. Over is 3-1-1 in Verlanders last 5 road starts vs. White Sox.Over is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts vs. Tigers.Over is 6-0 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts vs. American League Central.Over is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-3 in Tigers last 15 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-25-17 | Chiefs v. Seahawks -3 | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
Seattle and HC Peter Carroll take preseason football very seriously, as he believes it sets a tone for the regular season. This is a guy that just hates to lose at anything. This being a dress rehearsal week for the regular season, I expect a lot of starters will be in the Seahwaks lineup, for extended periods of time, making them a viable team to back. Meanwhile, the same can not be said about HC Reid preseason intentions, as he has lost 14 of his L/20 week 3 games and is just 1-6 ATS L/7 vs NFC foes. Carroll in his NFLX career, is 8-0 SU as a favorite in week 3, including 3-0 ATS at home, with each win coming by double digit deficits. Carroll is 15-4 ATS  L/19 against AFC West division opponents. Carroll is also a perfect 7-0 ATS  after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game , which was the case in a 20-14 win vs Minnesota last week. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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08-25-17 | Washington Mystics v. New York Liberty UNDER 157.5 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
08-25-17 | Mariners v. Yankees -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Tonight's pitching matchup for the opener of the Mariners @ NYY series will feature a pair of left-handers, New York's CC Sabathia (10-5, 3.99 ERA) and Seattle's Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.78). Sabathia returned from  the DL Saturday in Boston and was in good form, allowing just  two runs and four hits in six innings in a 4-3 win. He is 3-2 with a 4.45 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.One of those starts came on July 21 in Seattle, as the veteran allowed one run and four hits in five innings of a 5-1 win. Sabathia improved his career stats against the Mariners to 14-6 with a 2.62 ERA in 27 starts.. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Miranda is showing some inconsistencies. He was 7-4 with a 4.15 ERA in his first 18 starts but is 1-2 with a 6.51 ERA in his past seven outings and not exhibiting quality form at the moment and is fade material. SABATHIA is 7-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.SABATHIA is 8-0  against the money line after his team suffered al loss this season.Yankees are 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathias last 16 starts vs. Mariners Mariners are 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings. The Yankees are 15-0 L/15 as a 140+ favorite off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings , which happened in yesterdays 10-6 loss vs Detroit. Play on the NYY to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-25-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. San Antonio Stars UNDER 153 | 89-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
08-24-17 | LA Sparks v. Phoenix Mercury UNDER 162.5 | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
08-24-17 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Astros starter  Keuchel (11-2, 2.58 ERA) struggled coming off the  the disabled list, but has finally transformed back to the pitcher he was prior to his injuries and is 2-0 with a 0.66 ERA over his last two starts.KEUCHEL is 14-2 UNDER  L/16 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.  Meanwhile, Nationals Right-hander Stephen Strasburg (10-4, 3.24) will start the series finale. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA over two career starts against the Astros.On Saturday, Strasburg started after missing nearly a month with an elbow impingement, and took a 3-1 loss to the San Diego Padres, but pitched well as he gave up two runs on four hits, with eight strikeouts, over six innings. I'm betting his form will be even better today as he gets back into game shape. I expect both starting pitchers to go fairly deep today, and for this score to remain on the low side of the Total. WASHINGTON is 22-8 UNDER L/30 as an underdog of +125 to +175 with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.HOUSTON is 21-7 UNDER  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg going on the board.HOUSTON is 11-2 UNDER  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season dating back to last year, with a combined 6.4 rpg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg getting scored. Only one of Washington's L/12 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 2.33 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 11 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/14 games, and have gone under 6 straight times , allowing an average of 2.16 rpg. I'm betting this total score will also land on the low side of the number. The linesmakers have dropped this total a full 1 and 1.r runs lower than the first two totals listed in this series, but there is still real value attached to under wager in this spot. Play UNDER |
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08-24-17 | Panthers v. Jaguars +1.5 | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
Carolina's first string QB Cam Newton remains at less than 100% this preseason as he recovers from a shoulder injury and may not see action again this week. After watching a vastly upgraded Jacksonville D, play well last week, allowing just 12 points  I'm also betting the Panthers will have problems moving the ball, via the arm of Derek Anderson and the accompanying group of QBs. I also expect Jags QB Jakes Bortles to be hell bent on a good performance this week, after last weeks miserable output and his HCs displeasure with his work. With the  starting QB job, in question I also expect 2nd string Chad Henne to be ready to put on a show if asked, as he looks to steal the starting job away from the struggling Bortles. JACKSONVILLE is 15-2 ATS L/17  after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better . NFL team like the Jags - off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 25-7 ATS L/35 opportunities for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jacksonville Jags to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-24-17 | Rockies v. Royals -113 | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
Royals starter Jake Junis' is off a bad turn, out the bullpen last time out, but his last two starts for the Kansas City Royals were of a top tier variety and he looks ready to carry that momentum into this game vs the Rockies as KC trolls for the sweep.He limited the Seattle Mariners to four hits and one run over eight innings, walking none and striking out seven, in an Aug. 6 victory and than he controlled the Oakland Athletics on Aug. 14, giving up two runs on four hits over six innings, walking none and striking out two. With Kansas City in red hot form having won three straight and seven of 10 following Wednesday's 6-4 victory vs the Rockies |
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08-23-17 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Tonights pitching matchup - featyres Right-hander Mike Fiers (7-8, 4.32 ERA) going to the hill for the Astros. Right-hander Edwin Jackson (4-2, 3.43 ERA) will start for the Nationals.Jackson has won back-to-back starts, allowing just two runs over 13 innings in is currently in the best form of the season. Jackson has posted a strong 1.11 WHIP in six starts for the Nationals and has struck out 29 while issuing only eight walks. Meanwhile, Friers, the Astros starter despite of some ugly outings lately, is still a sold hurler, that has performed well against the Nationals in the past, as is evident by a 2-1 record along  with a 2.45 ERA over four career outings (including two starts) against the Nationals. Only one of Washingtons L/11 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 1.9 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 11 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/13 games, and have gone under 5 straight times , allowing an average of 2.4 rpg. I'm betting this total score will also land on the low side of the number. JACKSON is 10-1 UNDER L/11 when the total is 8.5 to 10 dating back to last season with a combined 5.8 rpg going on the board. FIERS is 22-8 UNDER  in career starts when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 21-8 UNDER  L/29 as an underdog of +125 to +175 with a combined average score of 7 rpg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the scoreboard. Under is 9-0-2 in Nationals last 11 overall.Under is 9-0 in Nationals last 9 interleague games.Under is 8-0 in Nationals last 8 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts overall.Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games.Under is 20-7-1 in Astros last 28 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Nationals  - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 60-33 under during the past 5 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-23-17 | Blue Jays -109 v. Rays | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (11-6, 2.99 ERA) vs. Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.37) Stroman the Blue Jays starter today enters this tilt against the Rays in top form as is evident by  having limited opposition batters to three earned runs or fewer in 20 of 25 starts this season. He has allowed just one homer over his last 10 starts and has recorded  a stingy 2.02 ERA over that time.Among starters with at least 100 batted balls allowed since the All-Star break, Stroman has the lowest average launch angle (-0.8 degrees), according to MLBs Statcast. He also has the second-lowest rate of barreled balls allowed (1.4 percent), surrendering only two total during that time. This will be Stroman's second straight start vs the Rays, as he faced them last Wednesday. On average, Stroman has performed better in the second game of those back-to-back starts. He recorded a 3.48 ERA over 20 2/3 innings in the second starts, and a 5.06 ERA over 16 innings the first time he faced the opponent. Today I'm betting we see the Jays young hurler at his best. Note: Stroman owns a  2.25 ERA over three starts against Tampa Bay. He's struck out 22 Rays over 20 innings this season. Meanwhile, Austin Pruitt (6-4, 5.37 a rookie  and will make his first start against the Blue Jays, though he's seen them three times coming out of the bullpen. He gave up 11 hits AND 6 RUNS in 7 innings last time out, and according to my own cross reference batter vs pitcher power rankings matches up poorly vs the Jays sometimes explosive offense. Overall, the Rays have lost four of Pruitt’s L/5 starts and the losses in his last three outings have all been at home, and I'm betting things don't get better in this spot as the Jays bounce back from yesterdays 6-5 loss. Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stromans last 5 starts vs. American League East.Blue Jays are 8-2 in Stromans last 10 starts on astroturf.Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 4-1 in Stromans last 5 road starts vs. Rays. Long term team trend: The Blue Jays are also 19-0 L/19 on the moneyline  as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is after the All-Star break. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-23-17 | Diamondbacks -154 v. Mets | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
DBacks starter Godley (5-6, 3.13 ERA) is scheduled to oppose NY Mets starter Flexen (2-2, 6.55) in a matchup of right-handers.Godley has allowed two runs or fewer in 10 of 18 starts. Godley is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against the Mets. Flexen has never faced the Diamondbacks. According to my own power rankings the DBacks have a bigger edge than the moneyline would indicate making them a solid investment opportunity here even a 1.50 + line! Arizona has won all 5 meetings in this series this season and get the nod again. NY METS are 1-12 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season and are 1-12 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. ARIZONA is 32-18  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. GODLEY team when he starts  is 21-12  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game .NY METS are 10-34 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season and 3-14 L/17 in the second half of the season.are 8-31 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season and are 0-11 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on Arizona dbacks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-23-17 | Yankees v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 10-2 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
NYY Severino (10-5, 3.18 ERA) is in top form and  has won five of his past six starts, including his last outing when he held the New York Mets to one run, which was unearned, in 6 1/3 innings while striking out nine. Meanwhile, Zimmerman his Motown pitching opponent, has not fared well in his L/2 starts, but is more than capable of coming back big, against a team he has done well against in the recent past. Zimmermann owns  a 3-0 record along with a miniscule 1.33 ERA in four outings against them. He tossed seven shutout innings against New York on Aug. 2 at Yankee Stadium. Yesterday these teams put a combined 17 runs on the board in a Yankees 13-4 win, but today I expect a much lower scoring affair.NY YANKEES are 16-5 UNDER   in road games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more scored with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the scoreboard. NY YANKEES are 12-3 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg getting scored. Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 15-7-1 in Yankees last 23 road games.Under is 10-3-1 in Yankees last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-23-17 | New York Liberty v. Indiana Fever UNDER 157 | 71-50 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
08-22-17 | Rangers v. Angels -139 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
 Rangers RH Tyson Ross (3-2, 7.02 ERA) vs. Angels RH Ricky Nolasco (6-12, 5.16) Nolasco the Angels starter tonight has won his last two decisions, including a victory over Washington in his last trip to the hill. Meanwhile, the Angels Tyson Ross is having control issues as is evident by allowing 15 walks in 13 2/3 innings over his last three trips to the hill and 31 on the season in just 42 1/3 innings. That is not a recipe for success and today I'm betting these control issues bite him in the proverbial butt. Ross owns a ugly 8.50 ERA in 4 road starts this season. The Angels lost yesterday to the Rangers 5-3, but tonight I'm betting they bounce back and add to a 9-3 L/12 run, as they desperately chase Minnesota for a wild card birth. The Angels are 17-0 L/17 as a moneyline favorite off a game as a favorite when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher and it is after the All-Star break and not a series opener. (Ross beat the Angels 5-2 on July 8.) Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-22-17 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Tanner Roark (9-8, 4.70 ERA) vs. Astros RH Charlie Morton (10-5, 3.69)  Charlie Morton the Astros starter today is 5-2 with a 3.26 ERA over eight starts following his reinstatement from a month long stay on the 10-day disabled list. Morton is 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA in his last five starts and struck out nine while allowing just one run on three hits over 6 1/3 innings against Arizona this past Wednesday. Meanwhile, Roark his pitching opponent from the Nationals, allowed three or fewer runs in each of his last three starts , and is in good form. With both starting pitchers in stable form, and both these teams showing a propensity to stay under the number of late, I'm recommending we go under again when these teams meet tonight.
Only one of Washingtons L/10 games have gone over the total allowing an average of 1.9 rpg during that span, On 5 different occasions during this 10 game run, they have allowed just 1 run. Meanwhile, the Astros have gone over only two times in their L/12 games, and have gone under 4 straight times , allowing an average of 2 rpg.
Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-22-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 160.5 | 69-105 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
08-22-17 | Cubs -153 v. Reds | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Cubs RH John Lackey (10-9, 4.67 ERA) vs. Reds RH Homer Bailey (4-6, 8.44) Lackey the Cubs starter today vs the Cincinnati Reds is 5-0 with a 3.06 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break. Needless to say he is in top form and must be given respect here in this spot. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Homer Bailey has been highly inconsistent this season, and had a propensity to be bashed around on a consistent basis, He was smashed for six runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings at Chicago on Wednesday. Bailey is 0-4 in 4 starts at home this season along with a ugly looking 14.33 ERA, and is fade material vs a Cubs team off a 3 game sweep of the Jays and in pursuit of sustaining another play off appearance .
Cubs are 7-0 in Lackeys last 7 starts.Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 The Cubs are 24-1 L/25 on the moneyline in the first game of a series as a 140-plus favorite off a home game when playing a team that has a worse record and it is after the All-Star break. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Reds - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts is 13-58 for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-21-17 | Rangers +142 v. Angels | 5-3 | Win | 142 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Hamels (8-1, 3.48 ERA) has a stellar career record against the Angels. In  seven turns against the Halos he owns a 3-1 record along with a 2.45 ERA and one complete game. The southpaw hurler has opposed the Angels twice this season, going 1-0 along with a minuscule 0.61 ERA. Meanwhile, the Angels Tyler Skaggs (1-3, 3.63 ERA) will start for Los Angeles on Monday, and is still not 100% after his  return to the rotation after missing three months with a strained oblique.Skaggs is 2-1 with a 5.46 ERA in six career starts against the Rangers, and that includes two starts in April this year before his injury. Skaggs got a no-decision in both games, giving up six runs in 10 innings of very average at best work.Angels are 2-5 in Skaggs' last 7 home starts. It must be noted that the Rangers have done their best offensive work against left handed starters this season averaging 5.1 rpg . Angels are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.Angels are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Angels are 24-49 in their last 73 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. HAMELS team when he starts  is 15-1 L/16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season dating back to last season. SKAGGS team when he starts is 4-12 L/16  against the money line in home games in the second half of the season in his career. Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Angels - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 27-53 for a go against 67% conversion rate for underdog bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-20-17 | Washington Mystics v. Indiana Fever UNDER 159.5 | 87-82 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
08-20-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 171 | 66-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
08-20-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. New York Liberty UNDER 157.5 | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
08-20-17 | Indians v. Royals +134 | 4-7 | Win | 134 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
KCs starter Jason Hammel (5-9, 4.74 ERA) will start the series finale for the Royals this afternoon knowing he has pitched well against the Indians this season, going 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts. He has limited them a .178 batting average. After beginning the season, 1-6 with a 6.18 ERA, Hammel is 4-3 with a 3.89 ERA since June. Meanwhile, Danny Salazar the Indians starter, despite of pitching well of late is is 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA over 11 2/3 innings against the Royals this year.Indians are also just 1-4 in Salazars last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. I know the Indians are hot, but I'm betting on the Royals getting the win here on a value line. KANSAS CITY is 25-11 L/36 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season .KANSAS CITY is 33-24  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.Royals are 23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Royals - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 37-18 for a 67% underdog conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-20-17 | Dodgers v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
The Dodgers will start right-hander Kenta Maeda (11-4, 3.76 ERA) on Sunday in their final interleague game vs the Detroit Tigers. He has been solid in his L/3 starts garnering a sting 2.08 ERA allowing just 4 ERS in just under 18 innings of work. Meanwhile, Detroit counters with Right-hander Justin Verlander (8-8, 4.11). The veteran hurler owns a  3-2 record along with a very stable 2.72 ERA in seven starts since the All-Star break.VERLANDER is 12-2 UNDER  L/14 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season, dating back to last season with a combined average of just 6.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. I am betting  both these pitchers do decently today and for the combined score to remain on the low side of the Total. Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Maedas last 5 interleague starts.Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. National League West.Under is 17-8-2 in Verlanders last 27 home starts. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Detroit. The Tigers are 0-17 UNDER L/17 as a dog when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they allowed at least the first two runs of the game and never led and it is after the All-Star break. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-19-17 | Phillies v. Giants -135 | 12-9 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (3-7, 4.33 ERA) vs. Giants LH Ty Blach (8-8, 4.37) Eickhoff the Phillies starter has been pitching better of late, but seems to find ways not to get wins for himself or his team as he only has 3 wins since June 7th. Eickhoff dropped his first career start against San Francisco on June 2 after giving up five runs on six hits and five walks over only 2 2/3 innings of sub par work. Meanwhile, Ty Blach the Giants starter, is off a down performance last time out, but prior to that made three strong quality starts, and is more than capable of bouncing back here. The Giants have not had a great season, but they have played close to .500 ball here at home (29-32) and have played decently of late, winning 8 of their L/13 and are of a 10-2 win vs the Phillies yesterday. Meanwhile, the Phillies have lost 8 of their L/9 and 6 in a row, and are fade material. PHILADELPHIA is 1-13 against the money line after a loss by 6 runs or more this season.PHILADELPHIA is 9-32  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season PHILADELPHIA is 1-11  against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. PHILADELPHIA is 9-26  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season Phillies are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Phillies are 1-5 in Eickhoffs last 6 starts vs. National League West.Phillies are 8-23 in Eickhoffs last 31 road starts.Giants are 4-1 in Blachs last 5 home starts.Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in San Francisco. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection . |
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08-19-17 | White Sox v. Rangers UNDER 11 | 7-17 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
update....White Sox LH Derek Holland (6-12, 5.68 ERA) vs. Rangers LH Martin Perez (7-10, 5.08) MLB teams where the total is 11 or higher like the Rangers - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 88-43 to the under dating back 20 seasons. Play UNDER |
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08-19-17 | A's v. Astros -170 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Right-hander Collin McHugh (0-2, 4.88 ERA) makes the  start of thefor the Astros (75-47) here vs Oakland tnight. McHugh missed the first three-plus months of the season, but after some key starts should be now rounding in to game form. The top tier hurler  is 6-1 with a 3.02 ERA over nine career starts against Oakland.MCHUGH is 13-2 L/15 against the money line against division opponents. Meanwhile, Oakalnd responds with Right-hander Kendall Graveman (3-3, 4.70 ERA). In three starts since coming off the the 10-day disabled list on Aug. 3, Graveman is 1-1 with a bloated 7.53 ERA and a .359 opponents batting average.Against the American League West Graverman is 1-3 in his career along with a 7.20 ERA in five starts on the road. He and the Athletics once again look like fade material in this the 2nd game of this series. The Astros are a franchise perfect 15-0 as a favorite of more than 135 with McHugh when they won his last start vs this team.Astros are 6-0 in McHughs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Astros are 6-0 in McHughs last 6 home starts vs. Athletics.Athletics are 0-5 in Gravemans last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 0-7 in Gravemans last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.Athletics are 0-4 in Gravemans last 4 road starts. OAKLAND is 11-34 L/45  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per game. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Astros - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games are 89-35 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-19-17 | Marlins +100 v. Mets | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Vance Worley (2-2, 4.97 ERA) vs. Mets RH Rafael Montero (1-8, 5.80)
The Mets are struggling, and essentially in my humble opinion have completely given up on their season and just going through the motions at this time. NY METS are 18-32Â Â against the money line after 2 or more consecutive home games this season. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline |
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08-19-17 | Colts +5.5 v. Cowboys | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 120 h 46 m | Show | |
This is the Cowboys third game of the preseason, and with injuries becoming a concern for Garrett and company I'm betting on a less emphatic response here in this tilt than the 5.5 point opening line would suggest. You also have to remember that Dallas is a public team, and some lines can be tainted, especially after last season's positive  results. Meanwhile, Indianapolis after losing their first game of the exhibition 24-10 to the Lions,  I'm betting they come out here fully intent on displaying an improved work ethic and game plan  for what many hope is going to be a Colts resurgence in 2017. My own projections make the Boyz just 3 to 3.5 point favs thus giving us value on this underdog line with the Colts.  Garrett is 3-13 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of DALLAS and is 2-9 ATS  after playing their last game on the road. INDIANAPOLIS is 11-2 ATS  off a home loss by 10 or more points. Game two favs like Dallas of 4 points or more off a SU/ATS win are 6-25-1 ATS L/27 vs a side like the Colts off a SU loss. NFL  Road teams like the Colts- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 23-3 ATS L/26 for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indianapolis Colts to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-19-17 | Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 9 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (9-5, 3.85 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Chad Kuhl (5-8, 4.64) Kuhl the Pirates starter here today lost to the Toronto Blue Jays in his last turn when he gave up five runs (four earned) and four hits over five innings. The Pirates right hander has struggled at home this season by going 3-4 with a 5.15 ERA in 12 starts at PNC Park. Kuhl is also 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis, including an 0-1 mark and 4.91 ERA in two 2017 outings. With the Cardinals bats on fire , scoring 22 runs in their L/2, I'm betting Kuhl will once again bump into trouble. I won't be surprised actually of the Cards eclipse this number all by themselves. Note: The Cardinals have scored eight or more runs in eight of their last 12 games, and procured  double digits five times during the stretch. Meanwhile, Wacha lost to the Atlanta Braves in his last outing when he gave up four runs and eight hits over five innings.The Cardinals are 14-0 OVER when Michael Wacha starts on the road after they lost in his last start. OVER is 5-0 in Wachas 5 L/ road starts vs the Pirates. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Pirates - after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game against opponent after a combined score of 20 runs or more are 59-20 OVER for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-18-17 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 98 h 25 m | Show | |
Minnesota has owned the Seattle Seahawks in the past cashing 7 of the L/8 meetings and are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 confrontations including 7-1 ATS L/8 as dogs. After clobbering the LA Chargers 48-17 last week, I'm betting Seattle and HC Carroll will be a little less anxious and in a natural let downstate this week , which will give a motivated Minnesota team that won a 17-10 decision vs Buffalo last week an emotional edge. MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS L/8 in games played on turf. NFL Home teams like the Seahawks - after a win by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 9-35 ATS L/44 for a go against conversion rate of 80% for bettors dating back 24 seasons.-NFL  Favorites like Seattle - after a win by 14 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game 4-23 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 85% conversion rate.\ Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-18-17 | Brewers v. Rockies -163 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
The starters for this tilt at Coors Field are Milwaukee's Matt Garza (6-6, 4.38 ERA) and Colorado's German Marquez (9-5, 4.13). Garza the Brewer starter tonight pitched decently last time out and got the win, but has been far from a work horse, and  has not pitched six innings in any of his past six starts.Garza is 2-5 with a 6.10 ERA in seven career starts against the Rockies and 0-3 with an 8.82 ERA in three starts at Coors Field. Meanwhile,  Marquez, the Rockies starter took at loss last time out, after 4 straight quality starts sand wins and is now ready to bounce back in a place where he seems to flourish as is evident by a  5-0 record along with a very stable  2.72 ERA in his past seven starts at Coors Field. The Rockies are 12-0 L/12 a 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four game games. I know the Rockies have not exactly been consistent of late as they have lost seven of their past 10 games overall but are 37-23 at home and most be respected in this spot. COLORADO is 9-1 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season.Brewers are 2-7 in Garzas last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Brewers are 1-4 in Garzas last 5 road starts.Rockies are 7-0 in Marquezs last 7 home starts. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-18-17 | LA Sparks v. Chicago Sky UNDER 165 | 115-106 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show | |
08-18-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Washington Mystics UNDER 165 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
08-18-17 | New York Liberty v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 168.5 | 82-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
08-18-17 | Yankees v. Red Sox -122 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Drew Pomeranz the BoSox starting pitcher tonight at Fenway is, one of the most underrated players on this year's Red Sox squad.The left-hander was in top form while notching a victory vs the Yankees on Aug. 12, giving up just seven hits and three runs over 6 2/3 innings. Pomeranz has given up three earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts. Meanwhile, Montgomery, the Yankees starter despite of being a quality pitcher, I'm betting will be in a natural letdown situation, after a hyped up appearance against this same Boston squad last Sunday night, against the ace of the Red Sox rotation Chris Sale. You could tell the kid was running high on emotion, which I really don't think will serve him well in the rematch. Boston hitters up and until now have seen him no more than 6 times ,but with each at bat should find the sledding easier against the big hard throwing young man. It must also be noted that NYY Chapman has struggled against Boston this season (two blown saves, 8.44 ERA), while Red Sox closer Craig Kimbrel has a 1.80 ERA and a .105 opponents' batting average in four appearances against New York. The Red Sox pitching staff have also been able to slow down the explosive bat of Aaron Judge this season, holding him to a .174 average and one home run in 12 tilts. Yankees are 1-6 in Montgomerys last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Red Sox are 6-0 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts vs. American League East.Red Sox are 14-3 in Pomeranzs last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 4-0 in Pomeranzs last 4 starts vs. Yankees.POMERANZ team when he starts is 11-1  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.NY YANKEES are 1-11 L/12 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs . MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are just 9-37 dating back 5 seasons for a go against  80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-18-17 | Mariners +117 v. Rays | 7-1 | Win | 117 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Erasmo Ramirez (4-4, 4.73 ERA) vs. Rays RH Austin Pruitt (6-3, 5.07) The Rays have lost 10 of their last 13 contests to fall three games back of the second AL wild card and currently playing at a very low operational performance level. In 13 games since Aug. 4, the Rays have totaled 23 runs. They are hitting .196 (82-for-419) overall and .105 (8-for-76) with runners in scoring position in those games and even below average pitchers have looked like cy Young award winners against them. Meanwhile, Seattle has won 2 in a row, and I'm betting they ride the momentum of those tilts and take out a struggling team here in game 1 of their series. Mariners are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and have won 7 of the L/9 meetings in TB. SEATTLE is 7-1  against the money line in road games after a one run win this season ( Mariners won yesterday 7-6)Seattle is 9-0 L/9 as a dog off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6+ runs and it is post All-Star break.Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. Play on Seattle to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-17-17 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +1 | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
After a hard fought physical 27-20 win vs Ottawa last week as visitors , I expect the Eskies at 7-0 will be a little tired and vulnerable here this week in their 2nd straight road game , vs what is now becoming a very explosive Winnipeg offense, that beat up on Hamilton last time out by a  39-12 count . Look for Winnipeg team that averages 34.4 ppg  to come out of this on top, buoyed by their home field advantage and under rated talent. EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game. EDMONTON is 6-17 ATS  L/23 after 2 straight wins by 8 or less points. WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS  L/14 as an underdog. CFL team Winnipeg - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents are 107-63 ATS 63% conversion rate 21 years. CFL Road teams vs. the money line like Edmonton - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game are 5-33 L/38 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors. Also Road teams vs. the money line like the Eskies - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game are 4-26 L/30 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors. Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-17-17 | White Sox v. Rangers -148 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Tyson Ross (3-2, 7.11) Ross the Rangers starter  recorded a no decision against the White Sox on July 2 when he allowed four runs and four hits over five innings and is 3-0 with a 2.95 ERA in four appearances (three starts) against Chicago and gets the nod from me here in this spot. The Rangers are playing some good ball at the moment and are going for their 4th straight win. With momentum on their sides after a 12-6 win yesterday I like their chances today against a very inconsistent Pale Hose team. Texas is 16-0 in the first game of a series with no rest as a 140+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored five-plus runs. White Sox are 6-16 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 14-37 in their last 51 road games.Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 36-16 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.CHI WHITE SOX are 17-42 L/59 against the money line in road games in the second half of the season dating back to last season.TEXAS is 60-34 L/94 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-17-17 | Cardinals +128 v. Pirates | 11-7 | Win | 128 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (12-5, 4.87 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Jameson Taillon (7-5, 4.50) Last night the Cardinals blew a lead late and lost to the Bosox by a 5-4 count. Their manager,Mike Matheny was ejected and will come in here with a chip in his shoulder, as will the rest of the Cardinals. The Cards had won 8 straight prior to a current 3 game losing streak, and are more than capable of up ending their losing run vs a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is mired in a slump, after losing their 4th straight yesterday to the Brewers by a 7-6 count. The Pittsburgh dressing room after the game according to media accounts was not in a up mood. PITTSBURGH is 11-26 L/37 against the money line after a one run loss. I know both these teams need wins, but I like the Cards overall form better than the inconsistent bats and arms  of the Pirates. With that said, I expect Cards starter Adam Wainwright to out duel Taillon of the Pirates. It must be noted that In his career, Adam Wainwright has never lost on the road vs a team on a 4-plus game losing streak. Wainwright earned the win in his last trip to the hill limiting Atlanta to one run over five innings to improve to 5-0 over his last eight mound appearance's. WAINWRIGHT is 11-2 L/13 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing. WAINWRIGHT team when he starts is 25-8 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 dating back to last season.Cardinals are 10-1 in Wainwrights last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Pirates St. Louis has won six of its last nine games at PNC Park. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-17-17 | Bills +4.5 v. Eagles | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 71 h 42 m | Show | |
The Eagles are telling us that that QB Wentz is having a good camp, and he looked fairly decent to me as well, in limited action, but this team is deficient in a lot of key areas and needs more than their QB to be competitive this season. Tonight I expect the Bills very strong defense to be the difference maker and for their viable running game to do just enough damage to get us the cover vs a Eagles team that looked bad in a loss to the GB Packers last week .   Any NFL team like Bills- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 25-4 ATS L/29 opportunities and NFL Road teams like the Bills- off a home loss against opponent off a road loss are 23-3 ATS L/26. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-16-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. Seattle Storm UNDER 165 | 61-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
08-16-17 | LA Sparks v. Washington Mystics UNDER 158.5 | 95-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
08-16-17 | Pirates +129 v. Brewers | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (10-8, 3.96 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Jimmy Nelson (9-6, 3.72)
Cole recorded his seventh straight quality start last time out after allowing three runs on six hits across a season-high eight innings of a 7-5 victory in Detroit vs the Tigers.The righty has owned the Brewers this season as is evident in three appearances this season, allowing them just three earned runs while striking out 23 batters in 21 innings of top top notch work. Note: Cole has won 7 straight road starts.Cole has been red hot over the past six weeks, going 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA in five starts since the beginning of July. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, from the Brewers, Nelson was slapped around for a career-high nine earned runs and 11 hits over 3 2/3 innings of an 11-10 loss versus Cincinnati this past Friday. He looked tired in that trip to the hill, and his tired arm could easily drag him into a lower tier performance here today. Nelson has also not pitched well against key Pittsburgh batters, Nelson has struggled against the likes of Starling Marte (.333), Andrew McCutchen (.318) and Josh Harrison (.304. Brewers are 1-4 in Nelsons last 5 starts. Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Pirates - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL are 124-81 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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08-15-17 | Braves v. Rockies -141 | 4-3 | Loss | -141 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Braves LH Sean Newcomb (1-7, 4.45 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (11-7, 3.70) Freeland a Denver native, enjoys pitching in his own digs, and  is 6-4 with a 3.19 ERA in 11 home starts. Growing up in Colorado and being accustomed to thin air, he has no problems pacing himself in this environment, and has an edge here tonight vs Atlanta batting order and team that has lost six of its last seven contests overall and have lost 11-straight games  at Coors Field after being shut out yesterday. Braves are 0-7 in Newcombs last 7 starts.Braves are 1-8 in their last 9 road games.Braves are 8-22 in their last 30 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Braves are 17-35 in their last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 home starts.Rockies are 21-8 in their last 29 home games. COLORADO is 34-17 L/51 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season.COLORADO is 14-4  against the money line after allowing 1 run or less this season.Atlanta is 0-13 L/13 when their opponent’s starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 and , their opponent is not on a three-plus game losing streak and it is not a series opener. Play on Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-15-17 | Cardinals v. Red Sox -135 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Mike Leake (7-10, 3.48 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (6-14, 4.63) Porcello enters this game in good form after a  two-start winning streak and finally starting to get some support from his offense, which has totaled 17 runs in his last two trips to the hill. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Leake is winless in his last three starts and was smacked  around for five runs - four earned - and 11 hits over five innings against Kansas City on Wednesday. These two hurlers are currently operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum. Both these teams are off losses, but Boston has proven itself consistently off of negative results, and get my backing here today. (.BOSTON is 27-7 against the money line in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more and 17-4 at home on the season after a loss including 4 straight overall wins of late after a loss. ) Porcello is 17-8 lifetime in interleague play, while Leake is just 6-10.Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 81-27 in their last 108 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 overall.Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. ST LOUIS is 10-20  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.ST LOUIS is 4-12 against the money line when playing with a day off this season. LEAKE's team when he starts is 17-34 in his career against the money line in road games in the second half of the season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the BoSox- average AL offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good NL starter (ERA 3.70 or less ) are 51-17 dating back 5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline  |
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08-15-17 | Connecticut Sun v. Atlanta Dream UNDER 166.5 | 96-75 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
08-15-17 | Astros v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Astros RH Brad Peacock (10-1, 3.07 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Anthony Banda (1-2, 4.60) Arizona and Houston have been explosive offensively for much of this season , but of late their bats have cooled off. The Astros have averaged 2.9 rpg during a current 7 game run, while the DBacks have averaged 3.9 rpg via a lowly .231 BA. Considering the pitching matchup, and the heat these two teams will deal with this afternoon , I'm expecting a fairly low scoring affair that will fail to eclipse  ARIZONA is 12-2 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season with a combined average of 6.7 rpg going on the board.HOUSTON is 25-9 UNDER  after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games with a combined average of 6.6 rpg getting scored. Under is 9-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in Peacocks last 13 road starts. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Astros - very good AL offensive team (5.4 runs/game or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% have gone under 32 of the L/38 times for a 84% conversion rate for under bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-14-17 | Phillies +114 v. Padres | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
: Phillies RH Jerad Eickhoff (3-7, 4.45 ERA) vs. Padres LH Travis Wood (2-4, 6.71) San Diego's starting hurler Travis Wood enters this game against the Phillies. in struggling form. Since coming to the Padres from the Kansas City Royals in a late-July trade, he has been sub par  in three starts, going 1-1 along with a bloated 6.19 ERA.Last time out against the Reds on Wednesday, he allowed six runs (five earned) and seven hits in five innings. Meanwhile, Phillies starter Jerad Eickhoff, is 3-0 along with a 2.00 ERA lifetime against the Padres, and is coming off one of his best starts of the current campaign, as he threw a season-high 6 2/3 innings and surrendered two runs on nine hits against the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday. He is currently in very good form and owns a 3.04 ERA in a recent 23 2/3 inning span. Considering both hurlers current form it will not be difficult for me to take the value moneyline situation with the Phillies. Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Phillies are 25-8 in the last 33 meetings in San Diego. WOOD team when he starts in his career is 7-23  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season.EICKHOFF is 10-3 L/13 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season .SAN DIEGO is 17-37 L/54 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-14-17 | Royals +110 v. A's | 6-2 | Win | 110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Royals RH Jake Junis (4-2, 4.70 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jharel Cotton (5-9, 5.72) Cotton the Athleitc's starter tonight vs the KC Royals is winless in his last four starts after  Wednesdays down performance which saw him smacked around for six runs and eight hits - three homers - in six innings of a loss to Seattle.Royals are 22-8 in their last 30 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, which Cotton has. Meanwhile, Junis is expected to be recalled from Triple-A Omaha to make a start in place of Trevor Cahill. The rookie was out standing against Seattle on Aug. 6, allowing one run and four hits while striking out a career-high seven in a victory, and is a pitcher that must not be under estimated. KC has looked good in back to back games, after an ugly slump, and won yesterday by a 14-6 count. I'm expecting they use that momentum of that game to continue gearing up into a top level of play here tonight in Oakland. Note:KANSAS CITY is 14-2 L/16 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more. Kansas City is 10-0 on the moneyline in the first game of a series with no rest after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent. Oakland is also off a blowout win vs Baltimore, but they don't do so well in this type of situation as the A’s are 0-9 on the moneyline at home when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a five-plus run win. MLB teams like the Royals - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 8 runs or more are 75-36 L/111 opportunities dating back 5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-13-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Sale the Red Sox ace has recorded a 1.17 ERA in 12 appearances (nine starts) against the Yankees. In New York, he is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in five games (four starts) and the current Yankees roster is a combined 19-for-96 (.198) against Sale.He leads the league in ERA, hits per nine innings (6.3), walks per nine (1.62), strikeouts per nine (12.77), strikeout-to-walk ratio (7.90) and innings pitched (161 1/3). With that said, Im betting the Yankees bats struggle here tonight. Meanwhile, the Yankees will reply with Montgomery , a hurler that has allowed three runs or fewer in 16 starts while recording a 4.05 ERA this season. He faced a good Cleveland batting order last week, and did well and ha looked exceptional in 2 of his L/3 starts. This kid is a viable young thrower and is capable of slowing the Red Sox batting order in this key spot. SALE is 14-4 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 6.5 rpg going on the board. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 like the Yankees - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 57-24 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for UNDER bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-13-17 | BC -1 v. Saskatchewan | 8-41 | Loss | -115 | 124 h 31 m | Show | |
 BC has had the Sask Roughriders number for a while now , as is evident by having won 7 straight meetings SU including 3 straight as visitors. Now we have a situation where , a famous Einstein quote comes into play. The definition of insanity is when you do the same thing over and over again and expect different results. While all good and bad runs must come to end, this individual situation I'm betting does not warrant a change in flow in my humble opinion. The Lions on paper matchup very well, vs the Green Riders, and barring some unforeseen circumstances are the right side here tonight. SUSASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring opponents by 5+ PPG on the season . BC HC Buono is 11-1 ATS L/12 off 1 or more consecutive unders , which has just happened. SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS  after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game . Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-13-17 | LA Sparks v. New York Liberty UNDER 158 | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
08-13-17 | Braves +1.5 v. Cardinals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
R.A. Dickey (7-7, 4.03), fresh arm will take the mound for the Braves this Sunday afternoon. Dickey the veteran knuckleballer hasn't pitched snince Aug. 4, when he took a 5-3 win over Miami, allowing three hits and three runs in six innings. Meanwhile, St.Louis responds, with Michael Wacha (9-4, 3.70 ERA).He has pitched four times in his career against the Braves, going 0-1 with a 3.07 ERA. I know The Cards are red hot but, Dickey I'm betting keeps them off balance today. I'm not all in on a moneyline win by the Braves, but I am betting they make this interesting , which makes for a value runline wager. DICKEY team when he starts is 9-3 Â against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season and is 11-1 against the money line in August games dating back to last season. The Cards, are 0-18 L/18 against runline, when Micheal Wacha starts as a favorite after he went 6 or more innings, and gave up 6 or less hits in his L/start. Play on the Atlanta Braves ruline +1.5 1 unit reg selection |
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08-13-17 | Twins v. Tigers -103 | 6-4 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Detroit closes its weekend series with Minnesota on Sunday with southpaw Matthew Boyd (5-6, 5.64 ERA) going o the hill. Boyd is 5-1 with a 3.52 ERA in eight starts against the Twins, with his team winning his L/4 starts in this series including 2-0 in three starts this season. Note: The Twins have struggled against lefties like Boyd this season averaging just 3.9 rpg via BA well below the mendoza line (.241).Minnesota counters with right-hander Ervin Santana (12-7, 3.27 ERA). Santana's shortest start of the season, 3 1/3 innings, came against the Tigers on July 21 at Target Field, and my own cross reference power rankings suggest that the Tigers batting order matches up well against him Twins are 1-6 in Santana L/7 starts in game 3 of a series. Twins are -1-6 in game 3 of a series if their opponent scored 5 or more runs.Tigers are 5-1 in Boyds L/5 starts. .MINNESOTA is 6-15 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season.DETROIT is 35-15Â against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more(Tigers won 12-11 yesterday vs the Twins) Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-12-17 | Mets v. Phillies -130 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
 Mets LH Steven Matz (2-5, 5.77 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (8-7, 3.12) Phillies stater today vs the NY Mets Nola is finally coming into his own as a Major League Hurler . The 24-year-old right-hander has been over powering in his last nine starts recording a 1.76 ERA, .207 batting average against and a 10.3 K/9 rate since June 22. Meanwhile, Matz his NY Mets southpaw pitching opponent is in a big time funk, as is evident by garnering a ugly  11.03 ERA in his last six starts. Opponents are hitting .418 with a 1.149 OPS against him during the 22 2/3-inning span and is fade material here in this spot. NY METS are 21-31 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. National League East.Mets are 7-21 in their last 28 during game 3 of a series. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Mets - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 14-63 over the 5 seasons, and have failed to get a win all 5 times this league wide trend has been effect this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Mets - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 33-109 dating back 5 seasons, and 1-15 this season. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-12-17 | Indians +126 v. Rays | 3-0 | Win | 126 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Indians RH Mike Clevinger (5-4, 4.00 ERA) vs. Rays RH Chris Archer (8-6, 3.80) Clevinger the Indians starter returns to the rotation after a brief spell in the bullpen and will make his first start since July 31 in Boston, and now I expect he will have a quality start with a fresh arm. He goes against a TB team that has lost 5 of their L/7 and that has suddenly gone into a offensive slump as is evident by being shut out in 4 of their L/7 games, as was the case yesterday in a 5-0 loss to the Indians. I know the Indians have not been playing all that well of late either, but have consistently shown they can bust out of temporary slumps. CLEVELAND is 41-14 against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. TBs starter -ARCHER has seen his team go 3-12 when he starts  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season and 4-11 L/15 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 . Indians are 5-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Rays are 3-8 in Archers last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rays are 0-6 in Archers last 6 starts vs. Indians. Indians are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-12-17 | Pirates v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Trevor Williams (5-4, 4.17 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Chris Rowley (NR) Williams the Pirates starter today has pitched well of late, but on the road this season, he has not been so dominant as is evident by a ERA that clicks in at 4.89. The Jays have averaged 5.5 RPG in their L/11 and will not be easily held down here in the Skydome. Meanwhile, Rowley the Jays starter has been spending most of his time in minors during his career, and I'm betting the Pirates batting order matches up well against him. Over is 9-3 in Pirates last 12 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 9-3-1 in Blue Jays last 13 interleague games.Over is 2-0-3 in home plate umpires Bakers last 5 interleague games behind home plate.PITTSBURGH is 11-1 OVER   in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg going on the board.The Blue Jays are 12-0 to OVER when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em off a game as a favorite in which they did not score after the third inning and it is after the All-Star break and not a series opener with a combined average of 13.2 rpg going on the board. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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08-11-17 | Cubs +110 v. Diamondbacks | 8-3 | Win | 110 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Cubs RH John Lackey (9-9, 4.81 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (6-5, 3.60) Cubs are 5-0 in Lackeys last 5 starts.Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Walkers last 5 starts.Cubs are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. ARIZONA is 9-20Â L/29Â against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game. CHICAGO CUBS are 62-32Â L/94Â against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150. Both these teams are struggling at the moment, but I'm betting the Cubs having the edge here today in the desert. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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08-11-17 | Braves v. Cardinals -135 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (10-6, 3.94 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (11-5, 5.00) Braves starter tonight . Foltynewicz is pitching well, but he was clobbered for seven runs in four innings of a loss to the Cardinals on May 5 in Atlanta. My own cross reference power rankings suggest the Cards batting order matches up very well against the Braves right hander. Note: . The Cardinals outscored the Braves 21-7 in sweeping a three-game series May 5-7 in Atlanta. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Wainwright struggled early in the season, but has since righted his ship, and has now won 11 of his L/13 decisions and gives his team a very good chance at victory in this spot. Braves are 8-21 in their last 29 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 3-8 in Foltynewiczs last 11 starts vs. National League Central.Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 home games.Cardinals are 41-13 in Wainwrights last 54 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 9-3 in Wainwrights last 12 starts vs. Braves.Braves are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings. The Cardinals are 19-0 L/19 on the moneyline in the first game of a home series as a favorite of more than 130 after playing as a home favorite when facing a team that has lost at least their last three games with the average margin of victory coming by 4.53 rpg. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-11-17 | LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 160 | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
08-11-17 | New York Liberty v. Atlanta Dream UNDER 160 | 83-77 | Push | 0 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
08-11-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees -132 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (4-3, 4.08 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Jaime Garcia (5-8, 4.49) Since returning from a knee injury July 17, Rodriguez the BoSox starter today is 0-1 with a 5.66 ERA in four starts. .Meanwhile, Since the All-Star break, Garcia the Yankees starting hurler tonight  is 3-1 with a 4.26 ERA in four starts and gives an edge to the Yanks at home in this spot. I know the Yankees were shut out yesterday 4-0 by the Jays but, I expect they will rebound in game 1 of this series vs their long time rivals the Bosox. NY YANKEES are 23-8 L/31 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season.Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in New York. The Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 on the moneyline  as a dog in the first game of a series when they are off a road game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and it is after the All-Star break losing by an average of 3.27 rpg. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Red Sox - after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after getting shut out are 108-189 dating back 5 seasons. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-11-17 | Steelers v. Giants -3 | 20-12 | Loss | -115 | 81 h 7 m | Show | |
Tomlin the Pittsburgh Steelers coach has recently not looked to enthused about winning pre season football games. He treats exhibition ball as a live drill opportunity, and does not seem to have a comprehensive game plan as is evident by losing 15 of his L/21 NFLX games and failing to cover 17 of those 21 tilts. Lately in preseason openers the Steelers have shown little to no interest in notching a win in openers losing 6 straight while not covering one of them. I'm not big about backing teams with so called revenge in preseason ball, but it must be noted that the Giants did get taken out by a 10 point margin in the regular season last season. Look for 2nd year HC McAdoo the former offensive cooridnator of the team looking to get his offense rolling almost immediately after last seasons debacle and for the Giants to get us the cover in their first preseason game. Play on the NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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08-10-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Dallas Wings UNDER 172 | 101-100 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 7 m | Show | |
08-10-17 | Indians -134 v. Rays | 1-4 | Loss | -134 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
 Indians RH Danny Salazar (4-5, 4.32 ERA) vs. Rays LH Blake Snell (0-6, 4.98)
Rays starter Snell is  0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. American League Central. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher TB - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are just 14-47 L/61 for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-10-17 | Mets -142 v. Phillies | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Mets have garnered victories in six of their last seven tilts and nine of their last 12 in Philadelphia including a three-game sweep at Citizens Bank Park in April and look primed to grab this game here vs the Phillies again with starting hurler DeGrom on the hill . The ace of the Mets staff is 5-0 with a 2.34 ERA in nine career starts against the Phillies. ( The Mets have won all 9 of those starts). Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Phillies V. Velasquez  is  1-4 with a 5.54 ERA in seven appearances in Philadelphia.Velasquez was slapped around for eight runs over 11 innings over back-to-back starts against the Mets in April and once again looks like fade material. Mets are 4-0 in deGroms last 4 starts vs. National League East.Mets are 10-2 in deGroms last 12 starts during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 3-9 in Velasquezs last 12 home starts.Mets are 4-0 in deGroms last 4 road starts vs. Phillies.DEGROM is 14-1 L/15 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season . Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-10-17 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +127 | 0-4 | Win | 127 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Sonny Gray (6-6, 3.41 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marco Estrada (4-7, 5.12) The Blue Jays bats have been inconsistent  this season, but it must be noted that when NYY starter GRAY goes to the hill, his team is 3-11  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season. GRAY when he starts  is 1-10  against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 dating back to last season I know Estrada the Jays starter has not had a great season, but he has garnered a tight 2.84 ERA in his L/3 starts, and is capable of holding the Yankees batters down. Blue Jays are 6-1 in Estradas last 7 starts vs. Yankees.Yankees are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings in Toronto. The Yanks are public favorites, so sometimes their lines are skewed, and today, with the unfortunate Sonny Gray on the hill I'm betting we have a value line to bet into with the Jays. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-09-17 | Padres v. Reds -143 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Padres LH Travis Wood (2-3, 6.49 ERA) vs. Reds RH Asher Wojciechowski (2-1, 4.15) I am betting on Votto and the Cincinnati offense to unload on Wood tonight and for rookie Wojciechowski to do just enough to get us to the promised land tonight. Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Padres are 29-59 in their last 88 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. The Reds are 24-0Â L/24 as a home 140+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6+ runs which happened yesterday. MLB teams with a money line of -100 to -150 like the Reds- after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts are long term 158-84 for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-09-17 | Rockies v. Indians -163 | 3-2 | Loss | -163 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Cleveland starter today vs Colorado is Trevor Bauer (10-8, 5.00 ERA). Bauer has won each of his past three starts, and has garnered a stingy 2.25 ERA and is tied with Corey Kluber and Carlos Carrasco for the team lead in wins. Meanwhile,Right-hander Antonio Senzatela (10-4, 4.78 ERA) will start Wednesday for the Rockies. Over his last five starts, he is 1-2 with an 8.05 ERA and is not in good form.
Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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08-08-17 | Orioles v. Angels -111 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Birdwell the Orioles starter today is 5-1 with a 3.20 ERA. Los Angeles is 9-1 in the games the rookie has pitched this season. Meanwhile, the O's will counter with newly acquired Hellickson (7-5, 4.45 ERA). The Orioles took out the Angels yesterday by a 6-2 count wasting Trouts 1000th career hit, and a HR , but today I'm betting they rebound and get us the win. BALTIMORE is 0-14 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season. BRIDWELL team when he starts is 7-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.BALTIMORE is 0-10 against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season. BRIDWELL team when he starts is 5-0 against the money line against AL East opponents this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Halos - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 77-38 dating back 20 seasons. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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