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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-14-17 | Northern Illinois -5.5 v. Buffalo | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 9 m | Show | |
Buffalo is of a grueling 5 OT loss last week vs Western Michigan by a 71-68 count in now will be exhausted and in a huge let down scenario. Now they go against a Northern Illinois program that leads the nation in tackles for a loss and has owned this series in the past winning 9 straight times by an average of 29 ppg. Northern Illinois after a leisurely 24-3 win vs Kent State last week, will be fresh enough to own and cover this game as well. BUFFALO is 4-17 ATS L/21 off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival and is 2-10 ATS off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival .N ILLINOIS is 8-0 ATS L/8 after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers and 11-1 ATS L/112 after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins and also 6-0 ATS L/6 after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game .N ILLINOIS is 11-3 ATS L/`4 in road games. College Football FBS road chalk are 42-4 SU this season and 36-8-2 ATS vs sides like Buffalo off a loss. Play on Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-14-17 | UNLV +7.5 v. Air Force | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 75 h 15 m | Show | |
Air Force will be a letdown situation today against UNLV, after dueling against their rivals Navy last week and losing. It must be noted that the Falcons are 0-7 ATS L/7 after playing against the Midshipman, and UNLV is 2-0 ATS on the road this season, and 4-1 ATS away dating back to last season. I'm betting on the Rebels run game that is averaging 266 ypg to run over a Air force run D, that is allowing 254 ypg. AIR FORCE is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 425 or more yards/game. CFB road teams like UNLV - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 turnovers/game committed or less), after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are a long term 136-83 ATS for a 62% conversion rate. Play on the UNLV Rebels to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-14-17 | BYU v. Mississippi State -23.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 72 h 7 m | Show | |
Oh how the mighty have fallen . BYU enters this game ranked 126th in pass efficiency this season and 124th in time of possession and have been outscored by a 104-37 count in their L/3 losses. Meanwhile, Miss State after a fast start to their campaign were bent over by top tier nationally ranked Auburn and Georgia , and are now angry and very much ready for redemption against what is now a struggling Cougars side that cannot move the ball. I know the linesmakers are asking us to lay the lumber in a 3+ TD Spread, but I'm betting we have value here with well rested chalk off their bye week. Cougars are 0-7 ATS L/7 vs SEC. Lay the points with Miss State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-13-17 | Yankees v. Astros -160 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Keuchel the Astros starter is 4-2 with a 1.41 ERA over six career starts against the Yankees, In his one postseason start against the Yankees, Keuchel pitched six superb shutout innings with seven strikeouts in the 2015 AL wild-card game, a 3-0 Astros victory at Yankee Stadium.On May 11, he limited the Yankees to five hits, one walk and one unearned run with nine strikeouts over six innings in a 3-2 win. Meanwhile, Tanaka the Yankees starter has been hos worst on the road this season as is evident by a 4-7 record along with a bloated 6.48 ERA over 15 road starts in 2017. He is 0-2 with a 10.38 ERA over four career starts against Houston. From a starting pitcher perspective the Astros must be respected here, and backed on the money-line. KEUCHEL team when he starts is 13-3 L/16 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game .TANAKA is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.86 and a WHIP of 1.701.Astros are 5-1 in Keuchels last 6 starts vs. Yankees. Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 League Championship games and are 0-4 in their last 4 League Championship road games.Yankees are 2-5 in Tanakas last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff home games.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 League Championship games. NY YANKEES are 11-23 L/33 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.HOUSTON is 81-38 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.HOUSTON is 23-8 against the money line after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Yankees - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are just 11-41 for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more like the Yankees - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 14-52 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-13-17 | Capitals -136 v. Devils | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
NJ enters this game off a big win vs the Toronto Maple Leafs last time out by a 6-3 count and will now be in a let down spot, vs a hungry and motivated Washington Capitals team looking to avoid a third straight loss.Washington went 3-0-1 against the Devils, last season allowing them to a combined five goals in the four head to head tilts. With that said, look for Capitals super star Alex Ovechkin , 8 g in 4 games to be the catalyst behind a road win vs a side that they matchup very well against. Devils are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.Devils are 7-19 in their last 26 home games.Devils are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Capitals are 11-4 in their last 15 road games.Capitals are 40-14 in their last 54 games playing on 1 days rest. Capitals are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New Jersey.Capitals are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-13-17 | Clemson v. Syracuse +22.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 58 h 52 m | Show | |
Kelly Bryant the Clemson QB no matter what the media is saying, is not 100% for this game with a ankle injury. I'm going do a little speculating, by predicting he may not see that much game time, as HC Swinney will not want to jeopardize his stud pivot, and risk further injury to his already tender ankle. I 'm betting if he dresses , that he may just be their as a backup if things go wrong, and if he starts, he could easily get pulled and rested, if the Tigers are up big. With that said, either scenario bodes well for the Syracuse Orange covering this DD number as home dogs.
Clemson beat Syracuse 37-27 last time they played here at the Carrier Dome, in game that was much closer than many pundits expected. The Orange are 5-2 ATS L/7 at home as 14 point or more dogs while the Tigers are 0-8 ATS L/8 as AWAY favorites of 18 or more points and have covered just 2 of their L/8 off a DD home conference win , which happened vs Wake Forest last week. Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.Orange are 4-0 ATS L/4 vs. a team with a winning record.. Play on Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-13-17 | Calgary -9.5 v. Hamilton | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
Calgary enters this game against Hamilton as the class of the league, after having won their first 7 games and covering 6 of those 7 tilts. The Stamps can beat you in many different ways, and when focused are a lethal force. Tonight against a Hamilton team that has been improving since a horrendous start to their season, and off a upset win vs the Winnipeg Blue Bombers last time out, will now have the full attention of a well coached Stampeders team. I know the Ti-Cats will be primed to compete and pull off another upset, but Calgary has a way of feeding off other teams ramped up home crowds, and use that energy to smack around their hosts. Lay it and play it with the visitors tonight. Stampeders are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.Tiger-Cats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Tiger-Cats are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 home games.Tiger-Cats are 4-12-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Stampeders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Hamilton. CFL team Calgary - after allowing 325 or less total yards in 3 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-5 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-12-17 | Jets -123 v. Canucks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jets enter this game well rested after two days off, and should be primed to take down a Vancouver side that despite of being 1-1 on the season, is a team I have pegged for decline in 2017-18, . The Canucks depend way to much on a pair of aging 36 year old Sedin brothers and as the team try's to fit new players in slowly, they will struggle , and currently do not matchup well vs the Winnipeg Jets team that has a lot of firepower ie (Mark Scheifele, Nikolaj Ehlers, Blake Wheeler and Patrick Laine). That firepower was on display in their last game against a very good Edmonton Oilers squad as visitors winning a 5-2 decision deep in the heart of Alberta as +140 dogs. Tonight as roach chalk, they once again look like a viable investment option on the moneyline. My projections estimate that Winnipeg will score three or more goals tonight. VANCOUVER is 9-33 ATS when they allow 3 goals or more over the last few seasons. Note: The Canucks have only managed one power-play goal on 11 extra-man chances this season, and I'm betting that will be their demise tonight and going forward. Canucks are 1-10 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Canucks are 5-16 in their last 21 home games. VANCOUVER is 9-23 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last few seasons. Jets are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.Jets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Jets are 8-2 in their last 10 overall. NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line lie the Canucks- off a close home loss by 1 goal, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season in the first half of the season are just 14-51 during the last 20 seasons, for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | 28-23 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 24 m | Show | |
Carolina (4-1) very much looks like they have returned to the form that got them to the 2015 Super Bowl. QB Cam Newton despite of injury woes and being maligned by the pundits and even me on occasion, has shown a lot of professionalism and to his point in the season proved almost everyone wrong. He had a great game against the Lions last time out, leading his team to a 27-24 road dog win, and looks like he is on a mission. Meanwhile, Philadelphia (4-1) is off beating up on a Arizona team with numerous issues and injuries by a lopsided 34-7 count. The Eagles have looked very competitive so far, but here in Carolina, I'm betting they are over matched, on a short line , which in my opinion makes for a viable wagering opportunity backing the host side. There is also extra motivation for the Panthers, as they look for redemption for a embarrassing DD home loss to the Saints the last time they played in front of their own fans on Sept 24. Carolina HC Rivera is 32-13 ATS L/45 after playing their last game on the road. CAROLINA is 18-6 ATS L/24 in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game.CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS L/12 after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games.Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The Panthers are 15-0 SU/ 14-1 ATS as a regular season home favorite when they are off a road game and facing an opponent that is averaging at least 360 offensive yards per game. The smallest margin of victory came by 4 points , with the average margin of victory registering at 16 ppg. NFL Home teams like Carolina - off an upset win as a road underdog, in a game involving two top-level teams (75% or better) are 23-6 ATS over the L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick like Philadelphia - after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 11-35 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-11-17 | South Alabama +17 v. Troy | 19-8 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show | |
Troy in their last trip to the gridiron defeated LSU on the road , in a huge upset as 21 point under dogs. Now they come home to play South Alabama in conference action off a bye week and despite of being rested I'm betting it will be very hard not to be in an emotional let down scenario here as big DD favorites. It must also be noted that none of Troys 3 wins vs FBS opponents have come by more than 5 points , with two coming by a FG margin. After the huge win at LSU, the Trojans now also have a huge target on their backs, and you can bet South Alabama will be primed and extremely motivated to pull of an upset of their own. With that said, I'm expecting a very hard fought affair here with the points ending up being golden. The last two meetings in this series in 2015, 2016 were decided by a 6 and 7 points respectively and similar margin of victory is what I'm projecting tonight. S ALABAMA is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games in the first half of the season. TROY is 0-6 ATS L/6 when the total is between 49.5 and 56 dating back to last season. Play on South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-10-17 | Blackhawks +110 v. Canadiens | 3-1 | Win | 110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Montreal Canadiens (1-2-0) have started their season struggling on offense and have scored four goals (one at even strength) in regulation and overtime during their three-game road trip . They scored one goal total in their past two games, a 6-1 loss to the Washington Capitals on Saturday and a 2-0 loss to the New York Rangers on Sunday. Needless to say their are offensive issues in the Habs camp as was the case most of last season. note: The Canadiens entered Monday one of six teams yet to score a power-play goal. Add to that the Habs are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, and their are at a disadvantage from a few different perspectives. Canadiens are just 4-11 in their last 15 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and are 0-4 in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Meanwhile ,the Blackhawks (2-0-1) have scored 18 goals in three games, one behind the Maple Leafs for most in the NHL. Chicago is coming off a 4-3 overtime loss to Toronto on Monday, but are well prepared and conditioned to bounce back , despite of playing last night and 3 games in the last 4 days. Blackhawks are 8-1 in their last 9 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Blackhawks are 36-15 in their last 51 games following OT on the previous day. The Blackhawks have had the Habs number of late winning 7 straight meetings, and with both teams operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum at the moment it will be easy decision to back the Hawks here as road dogs. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-09-17 | Flames v. Ducks | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
The Calgary Flames do battle with their long time nemesis the Anaheim Ducks this Monday night. The Flames have had a horrendous ride against the Ducks , especially when visiting California as they have lost a record setting 29 times here. Tonight the lines-makers are telling us that the Ducks should once again win, despite of being banged up. I know this streak will eventually come to an end, some day , maybe even tonight, but I'll continue to ride this gravy train till it crashes and burns. With that said, and according to Einstein, " Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results is a sign of insanity." I agree with Einstein, to an extent, but must also point out that from a betting perspective and in life all good and bad runs must eventually come to end. But timing it can sometimes prove difficult. So for now on what I perceive to a value money-line opportunity, I'll back the physically intimidating Ducks to make it 30 straight home victories in this series. Flames are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Pacific. Ducks are 20-9 in their last 29 vs. Western Conference.Ducks are 40-16 in their last 56 vs. Pacific.Flames are 0-29 in the last 29 meetings in Anaheim. Play on the Anaheim Ducks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-09-17 | Avalanche +188 v. Bruins | 4-0 | Win | 188 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
The Avalanche,(1-1-0) opened the season with a 4-2 win over the Rangers in New York an than lost a 4-1 decision at New Jersey on Saturday night despite of out shooting (41-39) and in my opinion out playing the Devils. I know not a lot is expected from the Avs this season, but their not as bad as some of the pundits might think. With that said, I'm betting tonight against a Bruins (1-0) lineup dealing with some injuries and illnesses, and alot of youth in their lineup the Avs are a viable underdog . Boston injuries: forwards Patrice Bergeron (lower body) and Austin Czarnik (illness) as well as defenseman Torey Krug (jaw). If any play they will be less than 100%. Colorado has won 9 straight meetings here in Boston.Bruins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Boston has not won its first two games since the 2013-14 season. Play on the Colorado Avs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-08-17 | Packers +2 v. Cowboys | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 124 h 59 m | Show | |
Green Bay played the Thursday night game in Week 4 and destroyed Chicago by a DD deficit. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have alternated wins and losses this season and looked inconsistent last week in a loss to a Rams team that must be considered a lower tier side at the moment. After watching GB QB Aaron Rodgers operate at an extremely high level over the last couple of weeks , and knowing how streaky he is it will not be a hard decision to support a Packers side that is now in a upswing and with momentum behind them. GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS L/6 off a division game. HC Garrett is just 2-10 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less. GB HC McCarthy is 29-10 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game. Dallas is 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against teams with winning road records.Cowboys are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games on fieldturf.Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. NFL team like the Packers - after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 31-7 ATS during the L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the GB Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-08-17 | Seahawks +1.5 v. Rams | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 102 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rams are being made favorites here against a veteran Seattle side after upsetting the Dallas Cowboys last week in a 35-30 win. But despite of the victory the Rams are exhibiting a Swiss cheese type of defense that has allowed 93 points in their L/3 tilts and more than 400 yards in two consecutive games. It must be noted that the LA RAMS are just 2-14 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games . Today against a Seattle side, with a great D , I'm betting the Rams find it hard to move the ball and score consistently and for the Seahwaks to use the momentum of consecutive offensive outbursts of 27 and 47 points to do a great deal of offensive damage on their way to a cover. Seahawks are 23-6-2 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Rams are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC. First year coaches off an underdog SU win, are just 11-31 -1 ATS in their follow up games as chalk. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-08-17 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Astros RH Brad Peacock (13-2, 3.00 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (5-9, 4.88) Fister the Red Sox starter today vs the Astros enters Game 3 with a 4-1 career record and 1.78 ERA in eight postseason starts, and I'm expecting him to be in good form here again and slow down the hot bats of the Astros. Meanwhile, the Stros starter Peacock enters this tilt having held his last seven opponents to two or fewer earned runs .With the way the struggling offense of the BoSox is operating at the moment, I'm betting on them having a less than favorable output in this spot. Under is 6-1 in Fisters last 7 starts overall.Under is 28-12-2 in Red Sox last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-0-1 in Fisters last 7 home starts.Under is 20-8 in Red Sox last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Peacocks last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Astros - in a playoff game, having won 15 or more of their last 20 games are 32-9 UNDER dating back 20 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Astors - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% are 32-8 UNDER dating back 20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-08-17 | Bills +3 v. Bengals | 16-20 | Loss | -116 | 145 h 40 m | Show | |
Buffalo enters this tilt against Cincinnati with a 3-1 record, and last week went into Atlanta and beat the Atlanta Falcons straight up as 8 point dogs and the week before beat a very tough Denver team. Now they are being made 3 point opening line dogs to a Cincinnati team that has looked extremely inconsistent getting shutout in their opener by a now down graded Baltimore side, and than in week 3 fell apart after taking a big lead against the Packers, showing me their defensive deficiencies. I know they clobbered the Browns last week, but that cannot be considered surprising. This week, however, I'm betting the Bengals will have their hands full with a smash mouth D, that will have them struggling to move the ball, much like was the case in their first two games where they scored a total of 9 points. Bengals HC Lewis is 7-18 ATS L/25 after a 2 game road trip .Lewis is 9-20 ATS L/29 against AFC East division opponents and is 11-22 ATS L/33 vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. NFL Home favorites like the Bengals - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 5-24 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams vs the money line like Buffalo - mistake-free team (1.25 TO/game committed or less) against a team with 1.25 TO/game forced or less, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 32-2 SU dating back 10 seasons for a 94% conversion rate! NFL Road teams like the Bills- mistake-free team (1.25 TO/game committed or less) against a team with 1.25 TO/game or less forced, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 38-13 ATS for a 75% conversion rate for bettors dating back 24 seasons. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-08-17 | Panthers v. Lions -3 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 141 h 16 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are 3-1 on the season, after last weeks underdog win on the road vs the Minnesota Vikings. Their one loss was a controversial one, against the Atlanta Falcons where it appeared they scored a last minute TD, that was over turned by the NFL head office despite of irrefutable evidence. Now the up trending Lions face a Carolina side, that has been very inconsistent this season, and now off an emotional letdown scenario after defeating the league champions New England Pats last time out in a Foxboro by a 33-30 count. I'm not sold on Carolina's QB Cam Newton having back to back decent games, and feel the Lions will give him a lot of headaches here in Motown on their way to a bigger win then the lines-makers estimate. Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. NFL team vs the money line like the Lions - mistake-free team (1.25 TO/game committed or less) against a team with 1.25 TO/game or less forced, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 32-2 SU L/35 games for a 94% conversion rate for bettors.. Home teams like the Lions - off an upset win as a road underdog, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better) are 23-5 ATS dating back 24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-08-17 | Cardinals v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 43 h 21 m | Show | |
Arizona's high powered offense of the last few seasons has been muted so far this season, as they are averaging just 18.5 ppg in their first 4 games , thanks in part to a weak offensive line. Arizona is also without RB David Johnson and they will miss him greatly here. Meanwhile, Philadelphia has been adequate on both offense and defense, and another average output game will be expected. Their also on tired legs after traveling out to the West Coast last week, and could come here a little slowly.Considering both teams current form I'm betting on a combined score that remains on the low side of the number. Arizona has gone under in 4 of their L/5 vs Philly with a combined average of 43.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.
The Cardinals are 0-12 UNDER L/12 on grass after a win in which they did not hold the lead after any of the first three quarters with a combined average of 32.2 ppg going on the board. NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points like Philadelphia - off a upset win as an underdog, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 57-24 UNDER for a 70% conversion rate during the L/24 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Stanford v. Utah +7 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 131 h 42 m | Show | |
Utah (4-0) well rested off a bye week enters this PAC 12 game against Stanford (3-2) as the most under rated team in the conference and must be respected here as home dogs. This Utes team is experienced and tough as nails and now have a viable offense to go along with a D that must be considered of the top tier variety. Meanwhile, the Cardinal despite of pre season billing , as conference front runners, have been a disappointment in some ways especially defense , as is evident by allowing USC 42 points , UCLA 34 and Arizona State 24 points respectively. With that said, I expect the Utes to make more key defensive stops today and get us the cover , behind a multi faceted offense that can do damage. UTAH is 34-17 ATS L/51 after a bye week and is 36-19 ATS L/55 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Utah HC Whittingham is 18-9 ATS l/27 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with the average score ringing in at Utah 30.3 and opposition 25. My own estimates suggest that Utah will score at least 28 points, which is a positive indicator when considering that the Utes are 8-1 ATS L/9 when they score 28 or more points winning by an average of two TDs a game. Play on the Utah Utes to cover Projected score: Utah 30 Stanford 28 |
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10-07-17 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +12.5 | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 33 m | Show | |
Memorial Stadium will be rocking in Lincoln, Neb. A sellout string of 358 games dating to Nov. 3, 1962 will have the Cornhuskers with a full house as they take on the Wisconsin Badgers this Saturday night. In their two most recent battles against Wisconsin they held the Badgers to 23 points and lost by 2 and 6 points respectively. I know Nebraska has started a little slowly this season, but their have been flashes of brilliance, and I'm betting the disrespect associated with DD home underdog role, will ignite them even further. The Huskers are 5-1 ATS L/6 as conference home dog of 5 points or more , while the Badgers are 1-5 ATS as a DD road favorite vs a side off a win. ( Nebraska beat Illinois last week) I expect the wild card to be a steadily improving Nebraska D, under the tutelage of first-year defensive coordinator Bob Diaco. NEBRASKA is 11-1 ATS L/12 in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game and is 13-4 ATS L/17 in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season. NEBRASKA is also 22-9 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Nebraska - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 62-29 ATS for a 66% conversion rate over the L/10 seasons. Play on Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +27 | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 74 h 30 m | Show | |
Alabama has been obliterating opponents and crushed back to back SEC foes by a combined 125-3 count and are now because of this domination being made huge favorites vs a team getting very little respect from the public and linesmakers. Meanwhile, their hosts Texas A&M after losing their opener to UCLA after blowing a 44-10 lead and losing 45-44 have won 4 straight and if it were not for that epic crash would be 5-0 on the season. Now we have a situation where Sumlin and company can get some redemption, for their opening embarrassment if they can stay competitive. With that said, I'm betting that the Aggies leave everything on the field today, and cover the number. (Texas A&M has covered 4 of their L/5 as DD home dogs) CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points like the Aggies - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 40-11 ATS over the L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road favorites like Alabama - excellent rushing team (230 RY/G or more) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (100 RY/game or better), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are just 9-31 ATS for a 78% conversion rate for bettors during the 25 seasons. Play on Texas A&M to cover |
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10-07-17 | Kansas State +4 v. Texas | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 16 m | Show | |
Kansas State opened up Big 12 play with a victory against Baylor and will now head back on the road to face the Texas Longhorns on Saturday at Texas Memorial Stadium. .K-State defense remains it strong point and has held its first four opponents to under 21 points, and I'm betting on Texas having issues scoring here today. K-State has run over teams from the state of Texas of late as is evident by the Cats having won their last six confrontations against teams from Texas, including all five major FBS programs in the state last season (Texas, Texas A&M, TCU, Texas Tech, Baylor.Since 2011, K-State is 16-11 in Big 12 play on the road and should be respected here as underdogs. K-State D is their staple, but the it must be noted that the offense has been one of the best red zone groups over the last few seasons as the Wildcats are the only team to finish in the top-15 nationally in red zone offense in 2014, 2015 and 2016. KANSAS ST is 21-9 ATS L/30 as a road underdog of 7 points or less.KANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games. HC Snyder is 30-17 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. CFB Road underdogs like KState - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game are 125-64 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Sabres v. Islanders -125 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The NY Islanders started their current season losing a 5-0 decision to the Columbus Blue Jackets last night. The Islanders looked in disarray, early in the game and their starting goaltender Greiss had a bad outing, and was pulled in favor of Halak who will start tonight in Barclays in NYI home opener. Halak did not allow a goal in the third, and finished off last season in red hot form, and I'm betting will once again buoy his team to victory vs a Buffalo Sabres team the Isles match up well against. Yes, I know the Isles might be on tired legs after playing last night, but the trip was short and the season young and being one of the best conditioned teams in the league they will be prepared to compete here and get redemption for the last nights debacle. Islanders are 8-0 in their last 8 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.Islanders are 10-1 in their last 11 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Sabres are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Note: Buffalo starting goalie Lehner has struggled against teams from the Metro Division as he has recorded a lowly 9-25 record along with a 3.11 GAA in his career. Play on the NY Islanders to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | SMU +7 v. Houston | 22-35 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 6 m | Show | |
I keep looking for reasons to downgrade the SMU Mustnags, but I cannot do it based on consistent performances. They have averaged 48.5 ppg, and scored 58, 54,36, 44, 49 points respectively in 5 tilts , with their lowest output coming against a 5-0 TCU. Now they go against a tough cougars D, that trys to eat clock with s lead. But the biggest problem with Houston is that their offense stumbles alot and is not as cohesive as their defense. Here against a extremely explosive SMU attack, I'm betting their in trouble. I know that Houston has revenge in mind for a 38-16 set back as home favs last season vs SMU, but you don't always get what you want, especially against a team like the Mustangs that matches up very well against them. With that said, getting points here makes for a viable investment option. |
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10-07-17 | Southern Miss +13.5 v. UTSA | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 79 h 10 m | Show | |
Southern Miss looked really good in their first three games, until the wheels fell of the proverbial truck as they blew a decent lead vs North Texas last week. I know UTSA is undefeated in their first three games, but they continue to shoot themselves in the foot as they take a boat load full penalties ( no.1 in the nation) and that I'm betting that will be their downfall this week, vs a Southern Miss program that will be hell bent on getting some pay back for a 55-32 loss here last season. It must be noted that Southern Miss out gained the Roadrunners in that game piling up 562 yards in offense but lost because of 3 turnovers. Play on Southern Miss to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Cubs +115 v. Nationals | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Jon Lester (13-8, 4.33 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (15-9, 2.96) Lester finished his season in top form as is evident by a 5-1 record in September and is 9-7 in play off action along with a stingy 2.63 ERA in 22 career appearances (19 starts). This season he has been in good form vs the Nationals and owns a solid 2.84 ERA in two no-decisions. Meanwhile, Gonzalez struggled down the stretch, losing four of his last six starts. The defending World Series champs came away the victory in game 1 of this NL series, and I'm betting they get the win here again today over the Nationals. Watching both teams, its become apparent to me that the Cubs look calm cool and calculated, while their seems to be an edge or nervousness surrounding the Nationals as they nervously try to avoid their forth straight first round elimination. Nationals are 3-8 in their last 11 Divisional Playoff games.Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff home games.Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Nationals are 4-13 in Gonzalezs last 17 starts vs. National League Central.Nationals are 0-4 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts vs. Cubs. Cubs are 8-1 in Lesters last 9 starts vs. National League East.Cubs are 7-2 in Lesters last 9 road starts.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 20-8 in Lesters last 28 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff road games.Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 Divisional Playoff games. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Colorado State v. Utah State +8 | 27-14 | Loss | -106 | 76 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado State will be playing their 3 rd straight road game this week, after flying out to Hawaii and beating up on the Warriors by A 51-21 count. The Rams now tired and jet lagged will be at a disadvantage vs a feisty and somewhat surprisingly explosive Utah State Aggies side that has put 101 points on the board in their 2 games. Utah is 28-6-1 L/35 at home SU. UTAH ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 when the total is greater than or equal to 63 and is 10-2 ATS in home games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. CFN Road favorites like Colorado State - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 6-27 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for betting backers. Play on the Utah State Aggies to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Maryland +30.5 v. Ohio State | 14-62 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 49 m | Show | |
The Terps controlled Minnesota last week in a 31-24 win and held the Gophers to a season-low 309 yards , while rushing for 262 yards against a D that was ranked No. 1 in the country against the run. Now this week against a Ohio State program that smashed the Terps for the worst defeat in program history last year (62-3), I expect a very motivated effort and more importantly a cover by the visitors in this spot. OHIO ST is 2-10 ATS L/12 in home games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. HC Meyer is 4-17 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game which happened against Rutgers in a lopsided 56-0 win. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Ohio State - after playing their last game on the road, in October games are just 14-40 ATS in their follow up game for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors. CFB Road underdogs like Maryland - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 105-52 ATS over the L/5 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Maryland to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | LSU +3.5 v. Florida | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 71 h 12 m | Show | |
LSU did not prepare well for Troy State last week and were upset by a 24-21 count. The Bayou Tigers probably got caught looking to this game vs Florida. Now this week a big meeting took place on campus and the teams coaches going forward are supposedly now on the same page, according to a press release. Whatever, that means. Truth be told this meeting was more of , what the hell happened question and answer session. But like the old saying goes , On Any Given Sunday or Saturday in this case, any team can pull off a win. With that said, Nothing has changed for LSU , its still a good program and still loaded with talent, and despite of their recent struggles are more than capable of upending a Florida Gators side now operating under a new QB Fileipe Franks as a starting pivot Jack Del Rio is out with an injury. Florida won last year's meeting 16-10, stopping the Tigers on two rushes from the Gators' 1 on the final two plays of the game and now with revenge on board and HC Orgeron on the hot seat, I expect we see the best the Tigers have to offer. LSU is 27-13 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses and is 15-4-1 ATS as a dog following a SU favorite defeat, including 12-1-1 ATS when facing a better than .700 opponent. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Gators - after going over the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season are 19-48 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Miami-FL v. Florida State +3.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 68 h 10 m | Show | |
Florida State after not playing for three weeks because of hurricane cancellations are taking time to jell this season, especially after losing their starting QB Deondre Francois. But this Seminoles program is deep and talented, and now I'm betting we see them at their best this week vs a very good Miami Florida team . It must be noted that Seminoles coach Jimbo Fisher is 43-7 SU at home, in his career and has covered 14 of 17 vs undefeated opposition like the Canes including 7-1 ATS at home. FLORIDA ST is 20-8 ATS L/28 off a road no-cover where the team won as a favorite, and are 23-9 L/32 ATS when the line is +3 to -3.Fisher is 10-2 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. Considering Florida State has won 7 straight meetings in this series straight up, and has covered 5 straight as dogs it will not be a hard decision taking them as home pups in this spot. Play on Florida State to cover |
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10-07-17 | Penn State v. Northwestern +15.5 | 31-7 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State is turning into a Big 10 contender, but Northwestern is not intimated by them in them in the least as they have beaten them in back to back meetings. It must be also noted that Penn State has failed in 6 straight with conference revenge in road games, and with HC Frankilin 3-11-1 ATS and 1-7 SU and have not covered once during that span vs teams like Northwestern that have allowed 26 points or less, the Lions don't look like solid favorites . I know Penn State has regained a lot of their tarnished respect back with some wins over the last few seasons, but not all is perfect with the football program on the field, as they have struggled with their offensive line of late, and their running game, and their overall numbers outside of the win column are also a concern. I also know Northwestern might seem like a disappointment to some who thought they turned a corner towards bigger and better things this season, but the season is still young, and today I'm betting we see them at their best. PENN ST is 8-19 ATS L/27 in road games off a home blowout win by 28 points or more which happened in a 45-14 win vs Indiana last week. Play on Northwestern to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Temple -2.5 v. East Carolina | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 64 h 23 m | Show | |
East Carolina's defense is no better than going against a bunch of pylons and have allowed 34 or more points or more a game n 9 straight tilts dating back to last season. So yes, even Temples pedestrian offense should tee off today, and usually solid D, will provide enough key stops to get us the win and cover in this spot.
TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 425 or more yards/game. TEMPLE is 10-1 ATS L/11 against conference opponents .TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.E CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS L/17 in all games. Play on Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-07-17 | Wake Forest +22.5 v. Clemson | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 41 h 3 m | Show | |
Last week the Demon Deacons showed me their toughness in a hard fought 26-19 home loss to Florida State. Its Wake Forests D makes them a formidable underdog as they are ranked 29th in total yards allowed (317.2 ypg), 32nd vs the pass (184.4 ypg) and 52nd vs rushing attacks (132.8 ypg), and are allowing just 14.4 ppg, which ranks them 13th in the nation.The Deacons returned 19 starters off last season's team, including senior quarterback John Wolford. Meanwhile, Clemson off a road win vs VTech and out yarded by 10 yards are now exhausted after playing three top 15 football programs during the month of September. With that said, I will not be surprised if the hard working Demon Decons catch Dabo Swinney and company in a letdown spot and get us the cover. Wake Forests HC Dave Clawson is 11-2 ATS as a underdog of 19 or more points, including 6-0 ATS when they have a .500 or greater record. Meanwhile, Clemson is just 1-6-1 ATS as a conference home favorite of 15 or more points . WAKE FOREST is 8-1 ATS L/9 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CLEMSON is 2-14 ATS L/16 after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 5 straight games. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Clemson - after playing their last game on the road, in October games are 14-40 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors over the L/5 seasons.Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Clemson - off 1 or more consecutive unders, excellent offensive team - scoring 35 or more points/game are 13-38 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-06-17 | Boise State v. BYU +9 | 24-7 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 42 m | Show | |
BYU has really fallen in every ones power rankings , but this team is still capable of a decent effort here in their own digs (59-12 L/71 SU L/12 seasons), and must not be disrespected or underestimated vs a Boise State football program that as failed to cover 12 of their L/15 games overall, and have been out yarded while allowing 29 ppg this season. It must also be noted that the Cougars are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 when on a 4 game skid, and have won 8 straight at home SU when off a loss as a favorite as was the case in last weeks negative outcome to Utah State. BOISE ST is 0-7 ATS L/7 after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games and is 1-8 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game. BYU is 30-0 SU at home since 2006 against opposition sides that allow more than 28 PPG like Boise State. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Boise State - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are a long term 35-68 ATS for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. BYU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-06-17 | Hamilton +14.5 v. Winnipeg | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 75 h 55 m | Show | |
Hamilton after a horrendous start to their season have been very competitive of late, and have covered their L/2 as DD road dogs, at Ottawa and BC winning both times SU. Now we are getting more than two TDs again with the Ti Cats vs a Winnipeg side, off a grueling and emotional underdog road win vs Edmonton last time out, and now will be in a letdown mode vs a side they maybe over looking and underestimating. Tiger-Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 16.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Winnipeg. CFL Road underdogs or pick like the TI Cats - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 45-18 ATS for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Hamilton to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-06-17 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 7 | 3-0 | Win | 110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
The Cubs enter this game batting under the Mendoza line on the road this season, averaging just 4.8 rpg on a .247 BA. With that said, I'm betting their offensive output against Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg will be muted . The Nats starter is in top form, and registered a stingy 1.93 ERA in his L/3 starts and is 7-2 at home this season along with a stable 2.85 ERA. Meanwhile, The Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks is also in red hot form and has registered a miniscule 0.96 ERA in his L/3 starts and owns a viable 2.83 ERA in away tilts. It must be noted that the Nationals have done their least damage vs RHP this season, batting just .266 and should once again find putting runners in scoring position a difficult prospect.Considering both bullpens are stable, it will not be a hard decision to recommend we take an under stance here. |
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10-05-17 | Penguins v. Blackhawks -130 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks after a very good campaign, in 2016- 2017 , were unceremoniously dumped from the play offs in speedy fashion by the Nashville Predators. Now this year the Hawks are on a search and destroy mission, and have the guns to get the job done. Tonight in their home opener I expect they will take advantage of a Penguins team on tired legs and off a game last night that they had to work hard to tie with two late goals, and will now be in an emotional and physical letdown state after losing in OT. Note:Penguins are 3-12 in their last 15 games following OT on the previous day and have lost 4 of their L/5 with no rest. The Pens have lost 6 straight to the Hawks and number 7 I'm betting comes tonight in Illinois. Hawks will start G Crawford who has been nearly flawless vs the Pens in his career as is evident by 6-1-0 record along with a .946 save percentage and a 1.65 goals-against average in seven games. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-05-17 | Patriots -5 v. Bucs | 19-14 | Push | 0 | 35 h 50 m | Show | |
Many pundits are now down the New England Patriots, but any team with Tom Brady at QB and Bill Belichick as their HC is an extremely dangerous animal when wounded. I know that through four games,including Sunday's 33-30 home loss against the Carolina Panthers, the Patriots are off to their worst defensive start under coach Bill Belichick , which is surprise considering the Pats owned the best D in the league last season. However with that said, the Pats have the talent to right their sinking ship and trend back towards their expected norm beginning tonight in Tampa Bay. I'm not a big proponent of laying lumber on the road in any sport, but in this situation I'm betting we have an edge, behind a QB a future hall of famer in Tom Brady that is 16-3 SU/ATS off a loss as favorite and now on the road and 9-1 ATS on Thursday nights and 6-1 ATS away. It must be noted that TB has not had success vs defenses that are allowing a lot of yards. TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS L/15 in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game. NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS lL6 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game and is 9-1 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play.NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored with the average margin of victory coming by almost 15 ppg. TB is 0-4 ATS at home on Thursday nights. NFL Road favorites like the Pats - excellent passing team - averaging 255 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 22-4 ATS dating back 34 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on the New England Pats to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-05-17 | Louisville v. NC State +4.5 | 25-39 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show | |
Everyone loves the offensive explosiveness of the Louisville Cards behind the legs and arm of super athletic LaMar Jackson. But what few seem to recognize is the inconsistency of the Cardinals defense, which is not of the top tier variety, as was the case against Clemson allowing 47 points, and N.Carolina 35 and Purdue 28. The only two teams that did not run over their D, was the bumbling duo of Kent St and Murray State. Meanwhile, NC State can play a tough brand of defense, and have shown their propensity as dogs when they upset Florida State by a 27-21 count. The Wolfpack are on a current 4 game win streak, and still have not peaked in my opinion. With revenge on board I expect this 22 returning starter side, to be wound up to get payback for a ugly and merciless 54-13 beat-down at Louisville last season. Cardinals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Cardinals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Cardinals are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points NC State - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game are 88-45 ATS dating back 24 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-04-17 | Rockies +155 v. Diamondbacks | 8-11 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20) Colorado's starting hurler Gray became a key part of the rotation after the All-Star break while going 8-4 with a 3.65 ERA over 15 starts, and allowed a total of just seven runs in 30 innings of quality work in his last five appearances and struck out 10 batters to win at Arizona on June 30 and is more than capable of shocking the DBacks tonight. Meanwhile, Arizona's ace Greinke looked fatigued to me towards the end of the season, and was hammered in his last home start against Miami on Sept. 22 as he allowed eight runs in just four innings. I know the Rockies are underdogs here, but I'm betting they matchup well against Greinke and deliver a value line winner behind what can be an explosive offense. Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Greinkes last 5 home starts vs. Rockies. GRAY is 5-0 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 road starts.Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-04-17 | Maple Leafs v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs and Jets officially drop the puck on a new year in hockey Oct. 4 . These teams have gone over in their last 4 meetings. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Winnipeg .In the Jets last 29 non conference games an average of 6.7 gpg were scored. Key Notes from last season: Toronto converted an NHL second-best 23.8 percent of its power plays last season while Winnipeg had the league's fifth-worst penalty kill at 77.5 percent. The Jets allowed 3.1 goals per game last season, which was fourth worst in the NHL. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-03-17 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 4-8 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
American League Wild Card Game Minnesota's Santana, the ace of Minnesota's staff, will make his ninth career postseason appearance and third start in the AL Wild Card Game. He finished the year strong with a 3.31 ERA in six September starts. The Twins starter struck out 230 batters over 193 1/3 innings this season and will be a hand full for the Yankees .Meanwhile, Severino will be making his first career postseason appearance at any level in Tuesday's AL Wild Card Game for the Yankees, after going 9-2 with a 2.28 ERA since the break. The big thrower, has a lot of stamina and can go deep into games, as was evident by his velocity late into games, throwing more 100-plus mph fastballs after the seventh inning than any other starter. With two quality hurlers on the mound, and sudden death implications, I expect defense and pitching and a mistake free mentality to make for a low scoring affair. SANTANA is 16-4 UNDER L/20 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 6 rpg gong on the scoreboard. NYY Manager GIRARDI is 19-7 L/26 UNDER in home games in October games with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 playoff home games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games. These teams have gone under in 5 of 6 meetings this season. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 like Yankees - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, in October games are 58-23 UNDER for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 20 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-01-17 | Eagles +1.5 v. Chargers | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 3 m | Show | |
Some people and some teams just don't like change. Looks like the Chargers are one of those teams. Since finding out their moving out of the comforts of San Diego , the team has nose dived. Since last December the Chargers are 1-11 SU/ATS overall and are 0-4SU/ATS in their new Stadium , where no more than 25000 people have come to watch them play lately. It's hardly a home winning environment, and once again I'm fading them in this spot. LA CHARGERS is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game.PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS L/8 off 2 or more consecutive overs. Play on Philadelphia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-01-17 | Mets +110 v. Phillies | 0-11 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Phillies rookie Nick Pivetta (7-10, 6.26 ERA) goes to the hill to face the Mets here this afternoon . Pivetta is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA, surrendering 18 hits to Mets batters in 16 2/3 innings. Meanwhile, the Mets will respond with Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 3.18 ERA) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in Sunday afternoon's season finale.He has pitched well against the Phillies, as is evident by a 4-1 career record and a stingy 1.89 ERA against them. This is an important start for Syndergaard as will have direct implications for his future standing with the Mets. I'm recommending we back his motivational intentions today.
The Mets are 7-2 in Philadelphia this season. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-01-17 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 44 | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 123 h 36 m | Show | |
After the Ravens were ripped apart in London last Sunday , absorbing a 37-point loss , I'm betting they look for immediate atonement, and come out here with a staunch defensive effort vs their rivals the Steelers in game I am betting is a grinding hard hitting affair that stays under the Total. Under is 21-7 in Steelers last 28 road games.Under is 23-9-1 in Steelers last 33 vs. AFC.Under is 9-4 in Steelers last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 vs. AFC North.Under is 10-4 in Ravens last 14 home games.Under is 7-2 in Ravens last 9 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. PITTSBURGH is 11-2 UNDER L/13 as a road favorite with a combined average of 40 ppg going on the board. PITTSBURGH is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in the first half of the season with a combined average of 41.6 ppg going on the board. Baltimore's HC Harbaugh is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game with a combined average of 27.4 ppg going on the board.The Ravens have gone under 12 straight times by an average of 9.5 ppg as a home dog vs a team that had more regular season wins the previous season with a combined average of 32.8 ppg going on the scoreboard, with highest combined score clicking in at 39 points. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-01-17 | Rams v. Cowboys UNDER 46.5 | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 33 m | Show | |
The Dallas D, came to play last week against Arizona winning 28-17 on the road at Arizona and I'm betting that same D, will control Rams QB Jeared Goff and company this Sunday. I'm also betting on a Rams well rested D, that despite of being inconsistent to display some stopping power with fresh legs under them. Look for both teams to use a run heavy orientated attack that will speed the clock up and slow the game down to a grind , which in turn will result in a lower scoring affair than the line might indicate. DALLAS is 7-0 UNDER L/7 vs. lower tier defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last few seasons with the combined score of those tilts ringing in at 34.7 ppg.LA RAMS is 7-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored , which happened in last Thursday nights 41-39 win vs the 49ers , with the average combined score clicking in at 33.8 ppg. LA RAMS is 6-0 UNDER l/6 in road games after playing their last game on the road with a combined score of 33.4 ppg scored. The Rams are 0-15 UNDER by an average of 11.5 ppg on the road vs a non-divisional opponent that is scoring more than 24.3% of their points from field goals with the average combined score clicking in at 29.4 ppg, with the highest combined score during the run 39 points NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points like the Rams - off an big road win scoring 31 or more points are 27-6 under in their next game, dating back 34 seasons, for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-01-17 | Bills +8 v. Falcons | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 114 h 12 m | Show | |
Last week vs a highly-respected defense in Denver, the Bills moved the the ball with impunity in superb fashion and coasted to a 26-16 victory. QB Taylor completed 20 of 26 passes for 213 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions, and now owns a 126 PASSER ratting , and could finally be reaching the bar that was set so high for him out of the gate in his career. Quote: “I sense that our team embraces some of the underdog role, and that’s good,” head coach Sean McDermott said. “There’s a lot of power in that. I would say that we focus on a lot that’s going on in this building, not outside of this building.” END QUOTE: With that said, I expect the Bills to give Atlanta all they can handle this week, and for their D, to be the key behind what I am betting will a Buffalo cover. ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS L/22 in home games after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game which happened against the Lions last time out. ATLANTA is 13-32 ATS 45 in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. Bills are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. NFL team vs the money line like the Bills - mistake-free team - committing 0.75 or less turnovers/game, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better have won 38 of the L/48 times SU, thus giving us extra value getting points here. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-01-17 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | 26-9 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 19 m | Show | |
Baltimore's Quarterback Joe Flacco had the worst game of his entire career in London last time out. He completed eight of 18 pass attempts for just 28 yards with two interceptions. He finished with a quarterback rating of 12.0 and his team was gutted 44-7. But this is still a good Ravens team, that is not as bad as their last game might indicate. Now looking to exercise the demons of that embarrassment I expect the Ravens to give their arch rivals the Pittsburgh Steelers a fight for their money this Sunday. Baltimore has bounced back well in the past off a 20 or more point loss winning 7 of 9 games straight up and teams coming back from England are 9-0-1 ATS L/10 dating back to the 2015 season. BALTIMORE is 9-0 ATS L/9 after being outgained by 200 or more total yds in their previous game . Baltimore has covered 3 straight in this series, and are 2-0 ATS/SU L/2 at home. NFL Road favorites like the Steelers - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 34-73 ATS dating back 34 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 68% for bettors. Play on Baltimore to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Nevada +10.5 v. Fresno State | 21-41 | Loss | -110 | 109 h 36 m | Show | |
Nevada enters this game at 0-4, but they have been very competitive according to my own numbers (not so much last week vs a great looking Wash St side) but overall stats and power rankings and must not be underestimated. Meanwhile, Fresno State despite of a 1-2 record are according to my own numbers, no more than -5.5 to 6 point home favorite,. I know that the Wolfpack could be with out RB Jaxon Kincaide, but as I have said before, that position is the most easily filled position in College Football, and the Pack can fill the void if need be. With that said, I'm betting on Nevada off a bye week covering what I believe to be a generous spread. Wolf Pack are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. NEVADA is 8-1 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game .Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Fresno State.Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.FRESNO ST is 7-22 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. Play on Nevada to cover |
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09-30-17 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech +7.5 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 31 m | Show | |
Clemson owns a great football program and I have a lot of respect for them. But tonight I'm going against them vs a side that matches up well head to head with them, the VTech Hokies. In last seasons ACC Championship game the Tigers pulled off a 42-35 win and now pay back is on Justin Fuente mind. It must be noted as great as Clemson is, they are just 3-7 ATS as 10 point or less away favs, and 4-9 ATS L/13 vs a conference side with revenge. Meanwhile, VTech is 7-0 ATS L/7 at home with ACC revenge as a underdog. It must also be noted that National champs are 0-6 ATS away L.37 years, when laying points against an undefeated opponent. VIRGINIA TECH is 10-2 ATS L/12 in home games vs. excellent teams - outscoring opponents by 17+ PPG on the season.CLEMSON is 6-20 ATS L/26 after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight. VTech has covered 6 of the L/9 in this series including 2 of 3 here at home. CFB Road favorites like Clemson - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 2.75 or less rushing yds/carry, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are just 12-37 ATS dating back 25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Play on VTech to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Diamondbacks v. Royals +104 | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (9-9, 3.54 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jake Junis (8-3, 4.39) KC sends Rookie Jake Junis to hill to start for them today. He is 8-3 with a 4.39 ERA with 75 strikeouts in 92 1/3 innings. He lost his previous start to the New York Yankees, ending an impressive personal six-game winning streak.Junis is 2-0 with a 3.49 ERA in six starts and two relief appearances this year at Kauffman Stadium and is a viable pitcher to back here against a Arizona Dbacks side that has already clinched a wild card birth and looking ahead to post season play. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, Walker has been on the wrong end of back-to-back starts to San Francisco and Miami, working a total of 8 2/3 innings, but getting beaten around for early exits. Walker is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two career starts against the Royals. Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Royals are 4-0 in Junis' last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Royals are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Royals are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Diamondbacks are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. KANSAS CITY is 12-5 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.JUNIS when he starts for the Royals has seen his team go 7-1 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida Atlantic -2.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 105 h 10 m | Show | |
Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic (1-3) might not be putting many wins up on the board , but they are showing steady improvement. Last week against a very strong Buffalo Bulls football program they went toe to toe losing a 34-31 heartbreaker as 3 point road dogs . Now this week as they peak I am betting their ready to notch a home victory vs a banged up Middle Tennessee State (2-2) side, that has starting QB Brent Stockstill suffering with a shoulder injury and key wide receiver, Richie James dealing with an ankle injury. It must also be noted RB Shane Tucker is also banged up. If any of them play they are expected to be less than 100%. Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Florida Atlantic - excellent rushing team - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 35-11 ATS dating back 5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on Florida Atlantic to cover |
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09-30-17 | Troy +21 v. LSU | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 82 h 35 m | Show | |
LSU looks like they have problems and HC Orgeron is on the hot seat. Another tumultuous game is now on the Horizon vs a feisty Troy group that is a perfect 4-0 L/4 as 21 or more point dogs. As a matter of fact Orgeron is his career is just 10-25 SU vs an above .500 side. That is not a good omen for a LSU gridiron group that utilizes RB Derrius Guice a great deal to move the ball, and with him banged up, and no one as talented as him to take his place, I'm negative on the Bayou Bengals chances at covering. LSU is 2-12 ATS L/14 in home games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry.LSU is 7-18 ATS L/25 as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points.
Play on Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Iowa v. Michigan State -3.5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 77 h 33 m | Show | |
Michigan State outs yarded Notre Dame last week by 141 yds, but still found themselves on the wrong end of a lopsided score thanks to no less than three costly turnovers and a boatload full of penalty yards. Now this week, with less pressure on them to perform I expect they beat up on a Iowa team that is completely deflated after a hugely emotional loss to Penn State last week. The Hawkeyes played their hearts out, and have nothing to show for it and now will have nothing left in the tank for this tilt. With Michigan on board next week, you can bet we will see the best the Spartans here. Play on Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Buffalo -7 v. Kent State | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 68 h 18 m | Show | |
This Buffalo football program has come a long way over the last few seasons, and are now in a position to challenge for a MAC Championship. The Bulls played Big 10 opponent Minnesota very tough in their opener losing by a 17-7 count and are 2-1 since. Now they go against a 0-3 Kent State side, that has been out yarded by an average of 352 yards per game so far this season. With said, I'm betting this very good Buffalo Bulls team comes out here with their helmets on fire as they look to avenge last years 44-20 drubbing at home vs the Flashes. It must be noted that the host team is 0-7 ATS L/7 in this series. KENT ST is 0-9 ATS after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game and is 0-10 ATS after gaining 2.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. CFB Home underdogs like Kent St - after 2 straight losses by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 18-46 ATS over the last 10 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Buffalo Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Florida State -7 v. Wake Forest | 26-19 | Push | 0 | 49 h 47 m | Show | |
Florida State (0-2) looked rusty after an extended layoff, because of Hurricane Irma, vs NC State and lost 27-21. But this team is just to talented not to get up off the matt and get things going, even with star QB Deandre Francois out with an injury. I know Wake Forest is a fine team, but the Seminoles thrive vs top tier defenses as Fisher is 10-1 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game winning SU by more than 20 points per game on average. FLORIDA ST is 38-22 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. CFB Road teams like Florida State with a 0-2 record, playing as road favorites are 5-0 ATS vs a undefeated side like Wake Forest (4-0) dating back 20 seasons. Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Vanderbilt +10 v. Florida | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 49 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt got blasted by No.1 Alabama last week, by an embarrassing 59-0 count. Now looking to get some pride and respectability back I'm betting the Commodores come out here and give a Gators program off back to back last minute wins vs Tennessee and Kentucky , a run for their money. The Gators after those aforementioned victories will now find themselves in a letdown spot, and showcase what has become a lethargic inconsistent attack that lives and dies via a internal horse shoe wedged deep inside of them. Both these teams can play a strong grinding defensive style of football, and that's what I'm betting happens today in what will be closer game than the line indicates. Thus getting points here will be golden in my humble opinion. VANDERBILT is 6-0 ATS L/6 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread dating back to last season! Vandys HC Mason is 9-2 ATS L/11 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points Florida - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 13-39 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. Play on Vanderbilt to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Colorado State -7 v. Hawaii | 51-21 | Win | 100 | 74 h 58 m | Show | |
Hawaii played a very good game last time out despite of losing to Wyoming. They outplayed their opponent and still did not find the win column. Now jetlagged and downtrodden, an emotional let down scenario, is at hand when they play the Colorado State Rams. After staying competitive vs a extremely tough Alabama program last time out, and scoring 23 points in a cover, this will seem like a walk in the park for the Rams. COLORADO ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.COLORADO ST is 18-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6.25 yards/play or more. COLORADO ST is 23-8 ATS L/31 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game.HAWAII is 4-13 ATS L/17 against conference opponents.HAWAII is 0-6 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games.HAWAII is 1-8 ATS L/9 off a road loss. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Colorado State - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 31-8 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-30-17 | Colorado State v. Hawaii OVER 63 | 51-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Colorado State is a explosive side with a lot of offensive talent. Against a defensively challenged team like Hawaii I'm betting they unload for a boatload full of points. Meanwhile, Hawaii, has proven they can score in bunches, and will reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in what I am betting will be a high scoring affair. COLORADO ST in its L/6 games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play have seen a combined score of 74.3 ppg go on the board.COLORADO ST is 9-1 L/10 OVER in road games vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game with a combined average of 66.5 ppg getting scored.HAWAII is 15-1 OVER L/16 off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival which happened vs Wyoming last time out in a 28-21 loss. The combined average score of those games rings in at 66.5 ppg. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-29-17 | USC v. Washington State +4 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 15 m | Show | |
USC( 4-0) No.5 enter this game ranked very highly , thanks in part to an early season DD win vs a tough Stanford group. Other than that victory, they have barely gotten past three of their opponents. Now here against No.16 Washington State (4-0) their undefeated season is in jeopardy vs a HC Mike Leach team that is 9-1 ATS as a dog vs a undefeated side like USC. It must also be noted that Washington States D, is 100 ypg better than the Trojans at this point in the season, and will be the difference maker here tonight in a tilt featuring two explosive offenses. WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game .WASHINGTON ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play.WASHINGTON ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return .USC is 0-8 ATS L/8 in road games off 2 no-covers where the team won as a favorite.WASHINGTON ST is 13-3 ATS L/16 when the total is greater than or equal to 63. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Washington State- quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 49-17 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-29-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. LA Sparks UNDER 155 | 64-75 | Win | 100 | 58 h 42 m | Show | |
09-29-17 | Brewers -130 v. Cardinals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Chase Anderson (11-4, 2.81 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH John Gant (0-0, 3.65) Anderson the Brewers starter tonight lost to the Chicago Cubs in his last appearance but won each of his previous four decisions and remains a viable candidate to deliver a winning ticket tonight. With Milwaukee still having a chance of catching the Colorado Rockies for the second National League wild-card spot I expect he will get some motivated support. Meanwhile, also considering the Cardinals are now deflated after their 11th-inning, 2-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Thursday night eliminated them from the play off race, I expect the Brewers have a edge based on motivation. With that said, I expect the Brewers to beat up on Cardinals' starter John Gant, who is making only his second start since he was recalled from Triple-A Memphis at the start of September.
Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-29-17 | BYU -3 v. Utah State | 24-40 | Loss | -115 | 80 h 44 m | Show | |
After facing LSU , Utah, and Wisconsin, going against Utah State for BYU will be like a walk in the park even though they are expected to be without starting QB Tanner Magnum. Those games toughened up this Mormon football program and have them ready to compete here this week. Utah State is coming off a lopsided win vs downtrodden San Jose State last time out, but it must be noted that Utah State has logged a lot air miles so far this season, and may finally have a down game. The Aggies travelled out to Wisconsin to begin their season, than all the way home to Utah to play Idaho St in week 2, and than back east to play Wake Forest and than back to San Jose State on the West Coast. Tired is the best way to describe the Aggies. Also Utah State is just are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win and have covered just 3 of their L/10 vs a non conference opponent. Aggies are also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MWC and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. UTAH ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 as an underdog losing SU by an average of 23.7 ppg. Play on BYU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-29-17 | Miami-FL v. Duke +7 | 31-6 | Loss | -115 | 69 h 31 m | Show | |
Duke coach David Cutcliffe doesn't like that his Blue Devils are playing a Friday night home game against No. 14 Miami and has it made known publicly . I don't like the fact that Friday night football exists because it should be for high schools," Cutcliffe said to the Raleigh News & Observer. So he's not in a good mood and should have his team take it out on his opposition the Miami Fl Canes.Last year, Miami topped Duke 40-21 in Miami Garden, Fla.,last season, and now the smell of revenge is in the air. With Miami just 3-7ATS as road fav vs an undefeated team and 0-5 as chalk of 7 points or less Ill recommend we pull the trigger on the Blue Devils. MIAMI is 4-14 ATS L/18 after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. CFB Road favorites like Miami Fl- excellent rushing team (230 RY/G or more) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (100 or less RY/game or less ), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 8-31 ATS L/25 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Duke Blue Devils to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-28-17 | Texas v. Iowa State +6.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 11 m | Show | |
So Texas is a favorite here based on reputation and past pedigree, but definitely not because their current form. This is a team that even their greatest high profile fan Matthew McConaughey could not feel good about. Tom Herman has a great reputation , but he is still dealing with a young gridiron group dealing with a Charlie Strong hangover, and they will take a while to jell. So here on the road against a feisty Iowa State side, I'm betting the visiting Longhorns who are 1-4 ATS L/5 as conference road chalk will find it tough to get out of here with a cover. It must be noted that Iowa State is 8-0-1 ATS L/9 as underdogs of 16 points or less vs a below .500 team with Matt Campbells teams covering 6 of their L/8 as a home dog. TEXAS is 2-12 ATS L/14 in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season and is 6-16 ATS in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game.IOWA ST is 9-2 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.Campbell is 13-4 ATS L/17 in home games in the first half of the season . Play on the Iowa State Cyclones to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-28-17 | Cubs +183 v. Cardinals | 2-1 | Win | 183 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Cardinals have lost four of their last five, scoring two or fewer runs three times over that stretch and one more loss would put them out of any play off contention. I know Chicago has clinched their spot in post season play, but would love nothing more than to finish off their opponents hopes in killer fashion which is repeatedly exhibited by championship teams. I expect some of the Cubs young talent to see time tonight, and to want to make a mark, so I don't expect the Cubs to lay down and just the let the desperate Cards roll over them. It must also be noted that Cubs starter Hendricks who has been very sharp of late is in line to start the Cubs’ playoff opener, and will be primed to make an impression on his coaching staff tonight with a top notch effort . He is 4-4 with a 2.25 ERA in his last eight apperances – all quality starts – and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his 12 trips to the hill since coming off the disabled list July 24. Meanwhile, cards starter Lynn has only one victory over his last nine starts and off a very ugly effort last time out, and owns a 13.03 ERA in his L/3 overall. He looked fatigued in the above mentioned outing, which is not a good omen for his teams chances at staying alive after tonight. Lynn has seen his team lose 7 straight vs the Cubs when he starts. Cardinals are 1-7 in Lynns last 8 starts overall. Cubs are 22-5 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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09-27-17 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 10 | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Houston's Astros bats are on fire , as is evident by scoring 25 runs in their L/2 games. The way they are hitting I don't think it matters which pitcher they go against. Today against Nick Martinez, who makes his fourth start since rejoining the rotation this month, I'm betting the Astros explode again vs a 3-7 pitcher with a 5.42 ERA. Martinez is 0-3 over his past four starts with a 4.63 ERA and a .230/.264/.425/.689 opponents' slash line. Meanwhile, a relaxed Texas side playing as spoilers will primed to bang out some hits and runs vs a hurler in Verlander that they have done well against. Verlander is 1-1 with a slightly bloated 5.54 ERA against Texas this season, both starts coming with Detroit. HOUSTON is 12-3 OVER L/15 in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg going on the board.TEXAS is 15-4 OVER L/19 in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over with a combined average of 12.5 rpg going on the scoreboard. TEXAS is 9-1 OVER after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games with aa combined average of 12.2 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 11-2 OVER in road games after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Rangers - after 2 straight losses by 6 runs or more against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 74-38 OVER dating back 20 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for over bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-25-17 | Padres +255 v. Dodgers | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Padres LH Travis Wood (4-6, 6.55 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (9-12, 3.96) |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -115 | 82 h 29 m | Show | |
Arizona is being underestimated here in my humble opinion and listed as underdogs vs a very public Dallas side. However, I am not totally surprised after last seasons disappointing results for the Cards, and the top tier season that the Cowboys had. But now their seems to be decent in the Boyz locker room and side lines with coach Garrett calling out RBs Elliott's hustle and or competitiveness when the RB showed little interest in turning into a defensive player following two Dak Prescott interceptions in the Cowboys embarrassing loss at Denver last week. That kind of work ethic, tells me a story of a Dallas team that might be resting on their recent laurels and believing in their own headlines, which won't equate well in on the field performances as was the case last week . Elliott had more carries (nine) than rushing yards (eight) in that tilt and Prescott did not look like a star QB. Despite of missing the play offs last year Bruce Arians team outstated their opponents overall, and once again look like viable post season contenders this year. It must be noted that Dallas is just 0-4 SU/ATS L/4 in this series, 0-3 SU/ATS L/3 games here in the desert losing all three as chalk. Meanwhile, Arizona is 14-1 ATS L/15 and 7-0 ATS L/7 vs NFC East opposition , and have covered 11 straight vs these teams off a victory.Arians is 6-0 ATS L/6 as a home underdog of 3 points or less and is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less . Play on the Arizona Cards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-24-17 | Raiders v. Redskins +3.5 | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 57 h 59 m | Show | |
Everyone loves the Raiders and their explosive attack, and they are a fine team behind an exceptional QB in Carr and a strong offensive line, but their Achilles heel remains their defense. Also with the success and attention they have garnered they now have a big target on their backs with teams very hyped up to bring them back down to earth. Tonight I'm betting that Oakland after logging a lot of miles during the L/3 weeks , first travelling out to Tennessee in a highly charged game, than flying back home to the West Coat last week for their opener, and now back east to play in DC , could easily find themselves in a letdown spot and tired against a motivated Redskins side that would love nothing more to pull off an upset. It must also be noted that the Raiders are 0-7 ATS away in Sunday games after back to back SU/ATS wins. The Raiders are 0-13 ATS L/14 on grass after a game in which they rushed for at least 50 yards more than their season-to-date average, and are 1-12 SU losing SU by an average of 2 TDs per game, with the lone win coming by 3 points. Play on the Washington Redskins to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-24-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Houston enters this game with their pitching in defense in top form , having allowed a total of 10 runs in their L/6 games. Meanwhile, the LA Angles have scored a total of 15 runs in their L/6 and once again look like offensive production will be curtailed as they face Astros starter McCullers who has pitched his best at home this season going 4-0 in 8 starts along with a stable 2.87 ERA. He will also be well rested after being off since Sept 6 , recouping from fatigue.McCullers, has allowed only one unearned run over 13 2/3 innings in two starts versus the Angels this season and should once again be solid and fresh in this spot.Meanwhile, the Angels starter Skaggs has been in strong form of late as his last three starts would indicate, posting a 2.45 ERA. I'm betting bot these hurlers and their bullpens do enough to help keep this contest from eclipsing the total. Under is 5-0 in Skaggs' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 overall.Under is 17-5 in McCullers Jr.s last 22 home starts.Under is 6-0 in McCullers Jr.s last 6 starts vs. Angels.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Houston. MCCULLERS JR. is 17-4 UNDER L/21 vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game dating back to last season with a combined average of 5.9 rpg going on the board. MCCULLERS JR. is 15-4 UNDER L/19 with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. LA ANGELS are 18-5 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season, with a combined average of 6.7 rpg getting scored.MCCULLERS JR. is 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 dting back last season with a combined average of 5.2 rpg scored. The Angels are 0-15-1 UNDER by an average of 4.19 rpg in the last game of a series as a dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-24-17 | Bengals v. Packers UNDER 44.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 42 m | Show | |
Cincinnati was on the wrong end of a 13-9 decision at home against the Texans on Thursday Night Football last week. The Bengals are ranked a dismal 22nd in the NFL in both passing (178.5 yards per game) and rushing (79.5 yards per game) and are ranked 31st in scoring offense averaging just 4.5 ppg. On the flip side they are currently ranked 7th in scoring defense allowing just 16.5 points per tilt. These early season numbers are not an anomaly and something that I'm betting continues. Meanwhile, Green Bay enters this game, in a letdown spot off a loss in the NFC Finals rematch last week against Atlanta and may come out with a muted early effort this week , which will contribute to a much lower scoring game than many might expect. Under is 20-8-1 in Bengals last 29 road games.Under is 11-5 in Packers last 16 home games. Lewis is 15-5 UNDER L/20 in road games after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games with a combined average of 37.5 ppg going on the board. The Bengals have gone under 14 straight times by an average of 12.82 ppg on the road after a game in which at least 30 percent of their first downs were from third down with a combined average of 31.4 ppg going on the board with the highest score clicking in at 42 points. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-24-17 | LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 158.5 | 85-84 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 11 m | Show | |
09-24-17 | Saints +6 v. Panthers | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 123 h 15 m | Show | |
New Orleans have started their season, at 0-2, and while its still early, a sense of urgency now permeates around the team, and now I'm betting on big effort from the Saints against 2-0 Carolina this Sunday. I know both teams have operated at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum , entering this tilt, but I pretty well know what to expect from both teams when they meet based on my power and head to head divergence rankings .With that said, my own numbers based on both teams strengths and weakneeses tell me that this game will be closely contested, thus making getting points to be a viable investment decision. Saints HC Payton is 15-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and is 19-8 ATS L/27 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. New Orelans is 4-0 ATS L/4 in this series. NFL Home favorites like Carolina - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games 5-23 ATS for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors dating 5 seasons. The Saints are 13-0 ATS L/13 when facing an undefeated team after week 1 and 9-4 SU with two losses coming by 2 points and the other two by 4 and 5 points respectively. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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09-24-17 | Falcons v. Lions +3 | 30-26 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 44 m | Show | |
Atlanta (2-0) got by their first two opponents, and have yet to experience the dreaded Super Bowl hangover.However, with that said, I'm betting that hangover finally catches up with them this week vs a Detroit Lions team that is finally starting to live up to expectations behind their top tier QB Matthew Stafford. Detroit has a good recent history vs NC South opponents winning 5 straight meetings and get the nod again today, NFL Road Favs like Atlanta - a solid team from last season-outscored opposition by 7 or more points , after a win by 10 or more points are 4-22 ATS L/26 opportunities for a go against conversion rate of 85% for bettotrs 34 seasons. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-24-17 | Browns v. Colts UNDER 40.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 58 m | Show | |
The Browns going forward now base their successes and failures and their ground attack and ball control and overall conservative approach that eats up a lot of clock time. They will not score a lot of points , but also won't score many, Today they face a Indianapolis team that is a mess, and without starting QB Andrew Luck which will make their offense muted as well. This combination will lead to a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total. INDIANAPOLIS is 21-8 UNDER L/29 in home games against AFC North division opponents with a combined average of 37.7 ppg getting scored. Browns have gone under 19 straight times by an average 9.29 ppg when the line is within three of pick and they are off two games in which they scored fewer points than expected with a combined average of 28.4 ppg getting scored with the highest output clicking in at 38 points. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-24-17 | Broncos v. Bills OVER 40 | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 96 h 37 m | Show | |
The Broncos smacked 42 points on the board vs Dallas last time out and showed their offensive prowess, and now this week, I expect they will also do significant damage vs a Buffalo side that has over achieved defensively in their first two games, vs the Jets and the Panthers. I'm also expecting for the Bills to score above what the lines makers expect in a big time back and forth effort. No matter which way this plays out the Total is tainted because of previous results, and way to low in my humble betting opinion. BUFFALO is 8-1 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons, with a combined average of 54 ppg going on the board. Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games in September.Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.Over is 10-4 in Bills last 14 games overall. The Broncos have gone over 16 straight times by an average of 13.2 rpg as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent that had less than 26:15 minutes of possession time in their last game with combined average of 60.7 ppg getting scored, with the lowest output during the streak clicking in at 45 points. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points like the Bills - good offensive team from last season - scored 24 or more points/game are 37-12 OVER for 76% conversion rate the last 10 seasons for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-24-17 | Ravens v. Jaguars OVER 39.5 | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 93 h 49 m | Show | |
Last week Jacksonvilles D, got blown up for 37 points by Tennessee, and now I'm betting Baltimore and QB Joe Flacco will have their turn to burn the Jags D this week in Wimbley Stadium in London England even though they have injury issues with the offensive line. With Jags QB Blake Bortles under pressure to perform , I'm betting a sometimes explosive Jags offense will keep pace, and provide us with a tilt that eclipses the number. Hey, I know the Ravens D has looked good in their first two games vs Cincinnati and Cleveland , but that is hardly a measuring stick of their stopping proficiency. Last week the Ravens allowed 293 passing yards and 93 rushing yards on 21 carries and it was their ability to get turnovers that buoyed them. Harbaugh is 6-0 OVER in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival , which happened in a 24-10 vs Cleveland . the combined score of these tilts rings in at a combined average of 48 ppg. The Jaguars have gone over in 16 straight by an average of 12.25 ppg in franchise history on a natural surface off a home loss in which they never led and they are facing a team that is averaging less than 1.6 turnovers per game. with a combined average of 57.5 ppg getting scored with the lowest combined output clicking in at 43 points. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | UCLA +7.5 v. Stanford | 34-58 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 47 m | Show | |
Rosen jumped out to the top of the Heisman watch list after throwing for 3,668 yards and 23 touchdowns as a freshman in 2015 and than last season , the hopes for UCLAs winning the PAC 12 and making a big Bowl appearance was erased because of the Rosen injury. Now after his triumphant return to the gridiron which saw the Bruins stage a miraculous 45-44 comeback win vs Texas A&M after being down by more than 30 points at one point , the legend of Josh Rosen continues to grow. So far this season he's been lights out, and despite of losing a 48-45 heartbreaker last week in Memphis he must be respected here vs Stanford just because of the share fire power this Bruins team has. Yes, they're defense is their Achilles heel, and Mora's team will give a load of points on a regular basis, to strong offenses, but their own offense will keep them in most games, as I am betting will be the case this week vs the Cardinal who are not a confident group at the moment after coming off two straight losses, to USC and San Diego State. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Stanford - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 15-42 ATS for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors during the past 10 seasons. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like UCLA - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 51-19 ATS for a 73% conversion rate for bettors dating back 10 seasons. Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State +4 | 38-18 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 26 m | Show | |
Notre Dame goes on the road for the 2nd week in a row. Last week , the band wagon crawlers came out of the woodwork , after the Irish defeated Boston College. However defeating this Michigan State program will be a much harder conquest. The Spartans enter this game as the nations 3rd ranked D, and must not be disrespected on offense either as a deep set of backs could easily wreak havoc on a side, that may find it difficult adjusting and dealing with a team that can actually move the ball, after facing Boston Colleges horrendous offense last week. It must be noted that Notre Dame has covered in just 2 of the L/13 games in this series, and the Spartans DanAntonio is 17-2-1 ATS L/20 at home taking on sides off a SU/ATS victory. MICHIGAN ST is 15-3 ATS L/18 allowing 225 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games.MICHIGAN ST is 17-4 ATS L/21 after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games. NOTRE DAME is 2-14 ATS L/16. in road games after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game CBB Road favorites like the Fighting Irish- excellent rushing team (230 RY/G or more) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (100 RY/game or better), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 7-31 ATS dating back 25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Florida -2.5 v. Kentucky | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 12 m | Show | |
The Florida Gators have beaten the Kentucky Wildcats 30 straight times. It does not seem to matter which team is better at the time of the meetings. With that said, and after watching Florida fail away on offense in their first few games of the season, they suddenly woke up with a 63 yard hail Mary pass to defeat Tennessee 26-20 last week, and will now be sky high , entering this game and I'm betting be jolted into getting some more points on the board With that said, the Gators defense is extremly solid and of the top tier variety and here against a Kentucky team that can be inconssitent with their attack a times , I'm betting their in trouble. The Wildcats have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as dogs of 10 points or less. With that said, I recommend we take the Gators in this spot. FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnovers. Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Florida Atlantic +3 v. Buffalo | 31-34 | Push | 0 | 130 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm betting Florida Atlantics new HC Lane Kiffin and company after having time to work with his new team is finally ready to make his mark. It takes time to have a team jell, and now with 3 games in their back pockets against the likes of Wisconsin and Navy and a blow out tune up win last week 45-0 vs Bet Cooke, Kiffins Owls behind 14 returning starters and a talented quarterback will now be fine tuned to take out (cover) Buffalo as visitors. FLA ATLANTIC is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 42 points or more last game. CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Florida Atlantic - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against an average offensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game are 26-5 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for bettors dating back 25 seasons .CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Buffalo - after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 9-30 ATS L/39 dating back 10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Florida Atlantic Owls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Arkansas State +4.5 v. SMU | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 40 m | Show | |
Last week SMU was hyped up to play in state rivals TCU , and despite of a valiant effort still got blown out by DDs. Now in a letdown situation the Mustangs face a very staunch and experienced Arkansas State team that must never be underestimated. Arkansas State struggled last year to score despite of a top tier D, but after HC Blake Anderson took control of the QBS in the off season they look extremely cohesive now , and buoy the teams chances at repeating as and one of the top Sun Belt football programs as well as staying competitive today against a very explosive offense .According to my own power rankings the Red Wolves have a 52% chance of pulling off the SU upset, and a much higher probability of more importantly covering the spread. SMU is 5-16 ATS L/21 in home games after playing 2 straight non-conference games. Home favorites like SMU - quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after a loss by 17 or more points are 25-58 ATS L/83 L/5 years for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arkansas State Red Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Bowling Green +10 v. Middle Tennessee State | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 26 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State enters this game off a DD loss to Minnesota last time out by a 34-3 count, and are banged with key wide receiver, Richie James at less than 100% or expected to miss with a ankle injury as well as starting QB Brent Stockstill who still questionable with a shoulder injury. These key contributors will effect the cohesiveness of the Blue Raiders, making them fade material tonight vs a desperate Bowling Green team that needs a win badly after 3 straight losses. BOWLING GREEN is 25-12 ATS when playing against a losing team with a (Win Pct. 25% to 40% like Middle Tennessee State.BOWLING GREEN is 13-4 ATS L/17 after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread.BOWLING GREEN is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Bowling Green - with a terrible defense - allowing 6.1 or more yards/play, after allowing 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS for a 77% conversion rate for bettors over the L/10 seasons. Play on the Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Montreal +7.5 v. Toronto | 19-33 | Loss | -130 | 51 h 31 m | Show | |
Montreal has revenge on board for a embarrassing 38-6 beatdown at the hands of the Argos last time these teams met on Aug 19. That loss triggered a current 5 game losing streak for the Als, and now I expect a big time motivated effort from Montreal in this spot as they look for payback and a chance at correcting their current run. It must be noted that Montreal did beat the Als the week before the above mentioned loss by a 21-9 count, and actually matchup well vs Toronto.
Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | San Diego State v. Air Force +3.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
Air Force played valiantly against Michigan last week covering as DD dogs, behind a top tier defense, so going up against San Diego State side that has an upper tier D, won't be an issue. Meanwhile, San Diego State enters this tilt off a DD dog win vs Stanford, last week in a grueling close game and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a Falcons side that has won 5 straight at home as underdogs. This game has the makings of an extremely close affair. The Falcons have surrendered only one offensive touchdown in their L/10 quarters of play, dating back to a 45-21 win over South Alabama in the 2016 Arizona Bowl. Calhoun is 19-5 ATS L/24 when the total is between 42.5 and 49. Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Alabama v. Vanderbilt +19.5 | 59-0 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 2 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt enters this tilt as the top team in the nation in Scoring D and are No.2 in red zone D. there a top tier team that must not be disrespected as was the case last week when they defeated Snyders KState by a 14-7 count. I know how strong Alabama is and their legendary status is sometimes hard to bet against, even getting this many points. With that said, this week I'm going against the main stream betting minds and talking heads and taking points with a football program on the rise, in their most important game of the season. the Commodores dating back to last season have won 5 straight at home, and have upset two top 25 opponents along the way, and are a bankroll expanding 9-2 ATS L/11 as 15 point or more dogs. note: Nick Saban has covered on 2 of his L/7 as fav of 15 points or more between undefeated teams. Despite of losing 14 straight in this series the Commodores are 10-4 ATS in those games including 5-2 ATS L/7 as hosts. CFB Road favorites like Alabama - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 2.75 or less rushing yds/carry, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 11-37 ATS for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors over the L/25 seasons. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points like Vandy - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season 39-10 ATS L/49 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors over the L/25 years . Play on Vanderbilt 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Toledo v. Miami-FL -12 | 30-52 | Win | 100 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
Toledo is one of the best teams in the MAC, and deserve respect. But Miami is a national championship contender in my opinion, and also deserve a great deal of respect. After watching Toledo get torched by Tulsa last week for 51 points and 548 total yards , I feel Miami's offense will be ready to chew Rockets up this week. But unfortunately for Toledo, they won't be able to reciprocate with their own offensive fireworks vs a very strong Hurricane D ,like they did vs Tulsa 's stand and watch secondary and D last week. Toledo's coach agrees with my assessments , as here is a quote from Jason Candle who is concerned about Miami's speed. MIAMI is 6-0 ATS L/6 off a home win by 17 points or more.MIAMI is 7-0 ATS L/7 after scoring 37 points or more last game . MIAMI is 15-4 ATS L/19 after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. Play on Miami FL to cover 1 unit unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Duke v. North Carolina +2.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
North Carolina after losses to California and Louisville in their first two home games, will now be ready to get into the win column vs a inconsistent looking Duke football program, that had problems dealing with a downtrodden Baylor team last week. Here on the road in their ACC opener things promise to be a lot more difficult for Duke, and I won't be surprised if they lose straight up as favs. It must be noted that North Carolina has scored and increased their offensive output in each game so far this season, 30, 35, 53 points respectively and are now in a offensive groove and ready to compete. HC Fedora is 7-0 SU/ATS following a victory where his team has a below .500 record. ( The tar Heels smashed Old Dominion last week by a 53-23 count. N CAROLINA is 23-10 ATS L/33 vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. CFB team (N CAROLINA) - terrible defensive team (440 YPG or more ) against an excellent defensive team (280 YPG or less), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-7 ATS L/25 years for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Houston Right-hander Charlie Morton (12-7, 3.75 ERA) will start for the Astros this Saturday afternoon. Morton is 2-0 with a 3.74 ERA in four career starts against the Angels, including two this season where in 10 combined innings allowed just three runs on nine hits including registering eight strikeouts. Morton is a capable hurler who can hold a struggling Halos group to a limited offensive out put. Overall Houston pitching has allowed a total of 8 runs in their L/5 games overall , with all 5 staying under the total Note: LAA has scored just 13 runs in their L/ 5 games (2.6 rpg) Meanwhile, Right-hander Bud Norris (2-5, 4.53 ERA) will make just his second start of the season for the Angels. Norris,has done a majority of his work as the closer this season, and started against the Texas Rangers on Sept. 15 allowing one hit over two scoreless innings.Norris has 19 saves this season and is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in seven games (one start) against Houston, and matches up well against a Astros batting order that has scored just 11 runs in their L/4 games. MORTON in his L/22 in home games /day games has seen a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored with 17 of those games staying under the total.LA ANGELS are 12-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses this season with the combined average clicking in at 5.7 rpg.LA ANGELS are 34-17 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. These teams have gone under in 7 of their L/9 in Houston. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-22-17 | Utah -3 v. Arizona | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 38 m | Show | |
woUtah in my opinion is turning into a PAC12 championship contender, thanks to being able to generate more of a downfield passing game along with their already very viable run attack and what is becoming a defense that ranks among the nations toughest and most physical. I know Arizona can put points up in bunches, but their D despite of showing some improvements , still remains susceptible to allowing a ton of yards and a now in trouble vs a multi- dimensional attack like Utah owns. |
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09-22-17 | Rangers v. A's -122 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Martinez the Rangers starter has not notched a single win in his past nine outings, allowing 28 earned runs in 35 innings. He is 0-3 over the stretch that dates back to June 25 and is fade material here tonight in Oakland against the As. It must be noted that the Rangers are 0-13 L/13 when Nick Martinez starts on the road when they lost in his last start.
TEXAS is 4-12 against the money line vs. lower tier speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 9-3 against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less this season. Right now the As are playing their best ball of the season, and have won 10 of their L/13 including 4 in a row, and here tonight against a struggling pitcher have the edge. Play on the Oakland A's to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 73 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rams lost at home to the Redskins last week by a 27-20 count while San Francisco looked really tough in a grinding 9-6 loss at Seattle last week. This SF team looks very much like a blue collar group looking for respect and they now have it from me after watching clips of last weeks game vs HC Carroll and company. I know the 49ers offense has looked muted so far this season against elite defenses that are owned by the Seahawks and Panthers in their first two games, but against a Rams defense that has proven very inconsistent over the last few seasons, I'm now expecting a reversal in the Niner's offensive output and more importantly a cover in this spot.\ 49ers are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 in this series. NFL teams like the 49ers- after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games are 34-11 ATS over the last 10 seasons. NFL team vs the money line LA Rams - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses, bad team from last season (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team last year (25% or less) are 8-27 for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-21-17 | Nationals -133 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark of the Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves' R.A. Dickey, are two pitchers operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. Roark is 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 outings since the All-Star break.Roark is also 6-2 with a 2.80 ERA in his career against Atlanta and beat them in Washington on Sept. 14, when he allowed two runs and four hits Meanwhile, the Braves veteran knuckleballer Dickey is 0-2 with a 10.50 ERA in three starts this month. Opponents have batted .333 in his past six trips to the hill, and looks to be in trouble vs a explosive Nationals batting order tonight.Dickey is 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA in four starts against Washington this year and 4-9 with a 4.17 ERA in 20 career games (18 starts) vs. the Nationals. With the Nationals remaining consistent and on a 3 game win streak, Atlanta looks a little lost and have lost 4 straight. Considering the pitching matchup and both teams current form I am recommending we take the Nationals in this spot play. ATLANTA is 1-11 L/12 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span.ATLANTA is 0-10 L/10 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season
Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-17 | Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Right-hander Luke Weaver (6-1, 1.89 ERA) will start for St. Louis on Wednesday. Weaver is 5-0 in his L/5 starts has recorded a 1.15 ERA, having walked four and struck out 42.Cincinnati counters with right-hander Rookie Davis, a 24-year-old rookie who rejoined the rotation after Triple-A Louisville's season ended. He's a solid pitcher that still has some maturing to do and despite of not looking all that good in limited MLB action is still respected by his own organization. I expect both hurlers to do enough to help keep this tilt on the low side of the number. Under is 4-1-1 in Weavers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in umpire Segals last 10 games behind home plate. The Cardinals have gone under 13 straight times as a road favorite of more than 140 after a game in which they used five-plus pitchers and it is not a series opener with a combined score of 4.76 rpg going on the board with highest total run count during that span clicking in 7 combined runs! Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-17 | A's -107 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Daniel Mengden the As starter this afternoon, tossed a complete-game shutout against the Philadelphia Phillies last time out and gets my support here this afternoon . He is opposed by the inconsistent Anibel Sanchez (3-4, 7.03 ERA).OAKLAND is 6-0 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse this season.SANCHEZ team when he starts is 9-21 L/30 against the money line against AL West opponents in his career. With these teams playing at the opposite proverbial end of the performance spectrum at the moment it will be an easy decision to back the As this afternoon. Note: Motown has lost 9 of their L/11 while Oakland has won 3 in a row and 10 of their l/13. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like As - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 61-28 since 1997 for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline (LATE STEAM)
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09-19-17 | A's -124 v. Tigers | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-3, 6.42) The Tigers starting hurler Bell(0-3, 6.42 ERA) has struggled since joining the Detroit rotation in September. He has allowed 13 runs in 12 innings in three starts in September, and he lasted just 3 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday, allowing six runs and nine hits in 3 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) will go to the hill for the As. The righty hurler has shown a lot of improvement against two of the majors' best offensive teams in his last couple of appearances.Gossett held the Houston Astros to one run on six hits and struck out seven on Sept. 9 for his fourth victory, then allowed three runs and five hits in 5 1/3 innings at Boston on Thursday and being that he is in very good form at the moment while Bell is not the Athletics have the starting pitcher edge. Tigers are 2-11 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League West.Athletics are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. DETROIT is 27-43 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 9-22 against the money line against AL West opponents this season.OAKLAND is 18-11 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-19-17 | Brewers -120 v. Pirates | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is now completely deflated and just playing out the string, after just getting swept by the Reds, and losing yesterday in the opener of this series the Brewers for their 5th straight loss which includes being defeated in 11 of the L/12 games. Tonight I expect more of the same negative results from the Pirates , as they face the Milwaukee Brewers Chase Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) who beat the Pirates last week 8-2, and matches up well against their batting order.Anderson is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates. This season, he is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts vs. Pittsburgh. Anderson faces against off against the Pirates Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA) who has lost 4 of his L/5 decisions. MILWAUKEE is 12-3 against the money line in road games after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season, which happened last time out beating the Pirates by a 3-0 count. MILWAUKEE is 11-4 against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 9-3 against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less this season.PITTSBURGH is 4-18 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Pirates - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are a long term bad bet 77-192 for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection ( LATE STEAM) |
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09-18-17 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 122 h 46 m | Show | |
The New York Giants struggled mightily in their opener without star wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., losing in ugly fashion 19-3 at Dallas on Sunday night. Even if Beckham returns their looks to be some series issues with the offensive line protecting QB Eli Manning, and moving the ball. Meanwhile, on the flipside , after a slow start, QB Stafford of the Detroit Lions looked motivated by his new multi million dollar contract , completing 29 of 41 for 292 yards for four TDs in a 35-23 win vs Arizona and look capable of possibly pulling off the upset this week as road dogs. Road team is 6-2 ATS last 8 in series. Giants are 0-5 ATS last 5 in Week 2. Motown has covered 4 of their L/5 visits vs NYG. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover
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