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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-07-21 | A's v. Astros -139 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
OAKLAND is 4-15 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons like Garcia. HOUSTON is 10-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season like As starter Manaea. The Astros are 13-0 L/13 at home off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Astros to win |
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07-07-21 | Blue Jays -181 v. Orioles | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Blue Jays starter RYU is 52-17 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record) RYU is 3-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.137. TORONTO is 11-1 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons like Orioles starter Harvey. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 5-32 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Toronto to win |
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07-07-21 | Denmark v. England -134 | 1-1 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling are going to be handful for Denmark to handle . I know Denmark has an explosive offense, but this maybe one of the great all time stopping crews the Three Lions have ever put on the pitch and here with the home fans on their sides the environment bodes well to energize them to victory here . Play on England to win |
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07-07-21 | Reds -131 v. Royals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Red starter GRAY who owns a 2.84 ERA in his L/3 starts is 13-1 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Royals are 0-18L/18 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), in July game are 15-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 715 conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Reds to win |
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07-07-21 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVERÂ vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season this season.MINNESOTA is 16-4 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 25-8 OVERÂ as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 10-1-2 in White Sox last 13 games following a win. Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 overall. |
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07-07-21 | Indians v. Rays OVER 7 | 1-8 | Win | 106 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
The Rays are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they had at least 12 hits. Now with momentum behind them it will not matter who the Indians send to the hill, Im expecting the Rays to do some damage and help propel this total to be eclipsed. Play OVER |
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07-06-21 | Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Cardinals Adam Wainwright (6-5, 3.49 ERA), has allowed just four runs over 21 innings in his last three starts and Im betting on that momentum to continue into this tilt vs the Giants. Meanwhile, the Giants counter with  Cueto i who owns a 3.92 ERA in 24 career starts against the Cardinals. Im betting the Giants righty will offer stability here in a game Im betting stays under the total. The Cardinals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings.Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games.Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 games following a win.ST LOUIS is 20-8 UNDER  after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play UNDER |
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07-06-21 | Rockies +119 v. Diamondbacks | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
 Jon Gray has plenty of experience pitching at Chase Field in Phoenix and has looked in top form of late. In two starts since returning from the injured list with a right flexor strain, Gray has allowed just two runs over 11 innings with 15 strikeouts and offers value here as a starter vs a extremely inconsistent DBacks side. Note: This season Gray is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts against them, which includes six innings of no-hit ball in his second start of the season. Meanwhile, Kelly Arizonas stater  is 1-3 with a 7.06 ERA in five career starts against Colorado. ARIZONA is 3-30  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. The Diamondbacks are 0-13 L/13 on the ML after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game. Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West. Rockies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less) -NL, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 10-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win |
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07-06-21 | Red Sox v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Red sox starter EOVALDI is 13-3 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)LA ANGELS are 10-0 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 14,2 rpg scored. Boston has been on fire offensively of late, and have averaged 6.1 rpg and Im betting on them lighting up whoever the the Angels send to the hill. The Halos bats have also been ignited, and they have been winning, and it must be noted that they are 17-4 OVER  after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Yes, I know the Angels have shortened bench, but they should do enough damage here to get us over the finish line and allow us to cash a over bet. Play on the OVER |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -5.5 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 58 h 4 m | Show | |
The Bucks played a hard fought series against the Hawks in the Eastern Conference final and now go against a well rested Suns team. Im betting the fresher legs of the Suns having a big edge here in game 1 on their own home court vs a exhausted team playing out side of their time zone. PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season this season.  MILWAUKEE is 8-21 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense ( 36.5% or better ) after 42+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 28-3 L24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 ppg which qualifies from a ATS standpoint. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns OVER 217 | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 38 h 58 m | Show | |
 The Suns are well rested and will be ready to bring alot of energy to game 1 of the NBA finals. They popped 130 points on the board in their final game vs a very good Clippers D, and more of the same explosive offensive fireworks are on tonights agenda, which will force the Bucks to open up as well or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. PHOENIX is 7-0 OVER after scoring 130 points or more this season with a combined average of 241.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. PHOENIX is 21-9 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. Williams is 16-5 OVER  after a blowout win by 20 points or more as the coach of PHOENIX with the combined average score of 231.3 ppg scored. Budenholzer in 67 games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of MILWAUKEE the average combined score has rung in at 231.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points 29-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHOENIX) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days are 52-22 OVER L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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07-06-21 | A's v. Astros -145 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
As stater Bassit is a top tier hurler, but against an explosive Astros lineup  lineup that is 31-18 vs right-handed starters Im betting he will be humbled. Also on the flipside, that Astros starter. Houston's Framber Valdez (5-1, 2.18 ERA) and deserves respect here at home. HOUSTON is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. HOUSTON is 15-1  against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 10-47 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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07-06-21 | Braves v. Pirates +165 | 1-2 | Win | 165 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
 The Pirates blasted the inconsistent Braves yesterday by a 11-1 count . Note: PITTSBURGH is 12-6 against the money line after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons The Pirates are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when their starter Chad Kuhl starts at home when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.  Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 79-39 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pirates to win |
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07-06-21 | Spain v. Italy OVER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Im not impressed by Spains defensive play, but we know they can be explosive and we need be attack in transition. Meanwhile, and considering Italy  plays one way under manager Roberto Mancini it obvious to me the best option here and most probable profitable outcome is to take an over stance. Play OVER |
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07-05-21 | Reds v. Royals -111 | 6-2 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 22-8 against the money line against NL Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Reds are 9-23 in their last 32 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. KANSAS CITY is 11-3 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games.Royals are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games.Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.Royals are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB home teams (KANSAS CITY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 30-9 L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Royals to win |
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07-05-21 | Braves v. Pirates +170 | 1-11 | Win | 170 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Braves have not been able to keep momentum going this season. ATLANTA is 0-10 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this seasons. Braves are also just 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ATLANTA) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 10-26 L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate. Play on the Pirates to win |
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07-05-21 | Dodgers -151 v. Marlins | 4-5 | Loss | -151 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Dodgers, the hottest team in the majors with nine straight wins, will visit the Miami Marlins on Monday night for the start of a four-game series. Lets ride their momentum here and bet on a 10th straight win. The Marlins are 0-14 L/14 on the ML as a home dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs. Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Marlins are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  MIAMI is 11-29  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.   LA DODGERS are 28-8 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 32-11 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Dodgers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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07-05-21 | Dodgers v. Marlins OVER 7 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Dodgers top tier starter BUEHLER is 13-3 OVER in road games after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)The Dodgers are 10-0-2 OVER L/12 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start. LA DODGERS are 10-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons with an average of 11.3 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.LA DODGERS are 21-7 OVER when total is 6.5 or lower which coordinates with a total they may get lowered as game draws closer. Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. These teams have gone over in 4 of L/5 meetings. Play over |
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07-04-21 | Storm v. Sparks +12.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is to many points according to my projections for the Storm to be laying on the road. Advantage LA . LOS ANGELES is 3-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons at home. NBA Home teams (LOS ANGELES) - off a loss against a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on LA Sparks to cover |
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07-04-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies -153 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
 Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 9-2 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when German Marquez starts as a home favorite of at least -130 when they won in his last start. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series. COLORADO is 21-8 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. COLORADO is 9-2 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season COLORADO is 7-1 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. Rockies are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a favorite. Rockies are 20-7 in their last 27 home games. Play on Colorado to win |
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07-04-21 | Twins -140 v. Royals | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Two underachieving Opening Day starters will take the mound for the finale, as Minnesota's Kenta Maeda (3-3, 5.56 ERA) squares off against Kansas City's Brad Keller (6-8, 6.67). But Im betting the difference maker will be the Twins offense. MAEDA is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200. The Royals are 0-17L/17 on the ML past the first game of a series as a home dog after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game.KANSAS CITY is 6-13 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. wins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite. Play on the Twins to win |
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07-04-21 | Marlins +157 v. Braves | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Miami rookie Zach Thompson (2-2, 1.50 ERA) will be opposed by Atlanta veteran Charlie Morton (7-3, 3.74) . The Marlins have won six of nine games against the Braves this season and will once again be a viable underdog alternative here today. ATLANTA is 0-9 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.  MLB  Home teams (ATLANTA) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or worse ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 24-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate. Play on the Marlins to win |
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07-03-21 | Rangers v. Mariners UNDER 9 | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Seattles starter GONZALES is 11-2 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. SEATTLE is 12-2 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. (Lyles the Rangers starter fits these parameters) Under is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mariners are 0-10-1 UNDER L/11 as a home favorite. Under is 12-3-2 in Mariners last 17 games as a favorite. WOODWARD is 28-15 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season as the manager of TEXAS. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 meetings in Seattle. Play on the UNDER |
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07-03-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -140 | 7-3 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Rangers right-hander Jordan Lyles (3-5, 5.12) is 1-5 with a 6.23 ERA in 10 career appearances against Seattle, including eight starts. Seattle has won 13 straight games against the Rangers at home and now Im going to fade Lyles here and ride the momentum of the Mariners home win streak in this series. TEXAS is 0-9 ( against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. Play on Seattle to win |
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07-03-21 | Lynx +3 v. Mercury | 99-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
 Reeve is 36-24 ATS  vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MINNESOTA. PHOENIX is 0-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (PHOENIX) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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07-03-21 | Bucks v. Hawks -2.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Its do or die here tonight for the Hawks and Im betting they leave everything on the floor and take this series to a game 7 even if Trae Young cannot go . Note: Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Atlanta ( Knee )- MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. McMillan is 9-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less as the coach of ATLANTA. McMillan is 17-3 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game as the coach of ATLANTA.McMillan is 14-2 ATS as a home favorite as the coach of ATLANTA. Bucks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or less) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or moreTO's) after 42+ games are 103-33 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate with a average ppg diff of 6.6 . Play on Hawks to cover |
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07-03-21 | Astros -158 v. Indians | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
Astros starter  Odorizzi looks to record his fourth straight scoreless outing on Saturday when he faces the host Cleveland Indians. Odorizzi has seen his team win his L/3 starts vs Cleveland. Meanwhile, the Indians will throw out a sacrificial lamb to face the Astros explosive batting order when they send rookie right-hander Eli Morgan (1-2, 9.37 ERA) to make his first appearance against Houston in his brief career. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Indians are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they drew 5+ walks. Astros are 12-3 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series.Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.Astros are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Astros to win |
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07-03-21 | Marlins +115 v. Braves | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Alcantara will make his 18th start of the year and second against the Braves. He beat Atlanta on June 11 when he allowed two runs and struck out six over six inning and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well here vs the Braves. ATLANTA is 0-9 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. ATLANTA is 14-17 (-10.9 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games. are 59-99 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on Miami to win |
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07-03-21 | White Sox -112 v. Tigers | 5-11 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Keuchel (6-2, 3.96 ERA) officially pitched in relief in his last outing, lasting five innings as the White Sox completed a suspended game against Seattle . He gave up two runs on six hits and wound up with a no-decision and enters this tilt with momentum. His Tigers pitching opponent Skubal has also pitched well lately, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings is at a disadvantage vs a White sox team that rips southpaws apart at the seams averaging 6 rpg. CHI WHITE SOX are 33-7 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL). are 26-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. MLB team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 43-18 last 24 seasons. Play on White Sox to win |
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07-03-21 | Brewers -160 v. Pirates | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
 The Brewers enter this game on a 10 game win streak including consecutive 7-2 wins in the first two games of this series vs a Pirates side that have lost five in a row overall and are struggling to score. They have six runs in their funk. With both teams art the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum it will not be a difficult decision to lay some road lumber here with the hotter team. The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 as a favorite of at least -140 after they scored at least five runs last game. Milwaukee is 13-4 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.  Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Brewers are 40-19 in their last 59 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. PITTSBURGH is 8-25 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. Play on the Brewers to win |
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07-03-21 | Mets v. Yankees -147 | 8-3 | Loss | -147 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
NY YANKEES are 26-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 3 seasons. Note: The /Mets are just   6-11 L/ 17 games, the Mets have been blanked four times and have scored three runs or less 11 times, including a 4-3 loss to the host Atlanta Braves on Thursday. More of the same whiffs and soft hits in this spot vs a viable pitcher ( Montgomery) MLB Road teams (NY METS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 28-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or more home runs last outing are 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the NYY |
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07-02-21 | Rangers v. Mariners -105 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
 Rangers starter Gibson has been in good form this season, but he has not faired well against Seattle recently losing his L/3 starts against them. The Mariners, have won 12 of their past 16 games and have my attention here on a short line, TEXAS is 0-11 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 0-7 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. The Rangers are 0-10 on the ML after a game as a road dog in which they scored in at least five separate innings which happened yesterday in a upset win of the As. Rangers are 16-44 in their last 60 games as a road underdog. Rangers are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. American League West. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - after a game they hit 4 or more home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors, |
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07-02-21 | Giants -139 v. Diamondbacks | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
 The giants after 4 straight losses will be motivated to get back in the win column and Im expecting them to be wide awake here vs a Arizona side that really does not deserve alot of respect despite of some recent upset wins vs SF. ARIZONA is 4-17 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like the Giants starter Wood. ARIZONA is 2-31 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Gants hav won 7 of their L/9 as road favorites. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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07-02-21 | Cardinals v. Rockies -101 | 9-3 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Cards starter OVIEDO is 2-12 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The righty hurler owns a 6.91 ERA in road starts this season and is fade material here in the launching pad known as Coors Field where the Rockies play their best baseball. The Rockies are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a favorite when they have gotten quality starts in three straight games.  COLORADO is 23-9  against the money line in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 15-4 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. COLORADO is 8-0 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 11 road games. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 55-19 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL) are 27-9 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Colorado to win |
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07-02-21 | White Sox v. Tigers +129 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Tigers orthodox starter MIZE is 7-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) CHI WHITE SOX are 0-9 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 2 seasons. MIZE is 6-1 ( against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record)  CHI WHITE SOX are 18-30 ( against the money line in road games against right-handed starters like MIZE over the last 2 seasons.  MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (DETROIT) - revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher are 30-15 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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07-02-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -105 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Last time these teams played the Jays were clobbered 14-8 and now with revenge on boarrd Ill bet on the Jays to get redemption in this spot play. TAMPA BAY is 0-8 against the money line after aTAMPA BAY is 0-8 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. Rays are 0-8 in their last 8 road games. TORONTO is 7-0 against the money line in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 12 or more runs over the last 3 seasons. Play on Toronto to win |
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07-02-21 | Dodgers -112 v. Nationals | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
 Im betting the Dodgers get their seventh consecutive win tonight , and for the Nationals to lose their fourth straight in a Scherzer home start on Friday night in Washington as his teams offence  , has totaled just one run while losing each of Scherzer's last three home starts. Scherzer has looked electric but his lack of run support which Im betting continues tonight is his Achilles heel. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Dodgers are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. LA DODGERS are 14-1 against the money line after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 60-30 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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07-02-21 | Spain -153 v. Switzerland | 1-1 | Loss | -153 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Switzerlands D has looked shaky of late, but they have still found ways to win and advance, but today against an explosive offensive side (Spain ) that is starting to find its front foot Im betting their run comes to an abrupt end. Note: Spain recorded  xG totals of 2.47 vs. Sweden; 3.36 vs. Poland; 3.56 vs. Slovakia; and 4.31 vs. Croatia and must be respected to break through here. Play on Spain to win |
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07-01-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -2 | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The Hawks are coming off of a over powering 110-88 win at home despite playing without Trae Young. The Bucks did not have much flow, and without Antetokounmpo who went down in the third quarter were lifeless. Now rejuvenated and ready to rebound at home, Im expecting the Bucks key forward Middletons ability to lead his team to be key here with Antetokounmpo expected to miss. Also without Trae Young in the lineup or him playing at less than 100% the Hawks will take a step back after their adrenalin filled victory in game 4. In other words its my opinion that the Bucks will do what the Hawks did in game 4 ,and that is find a way to win without their super star in the lineup. Milwaukee is 5-1 SU L/6 at home in this series. NBA Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 39-15 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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07-01-21 | Mets -154 v. Braves | 3-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
DEGROM in 24 career starts against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 0.959. The Mets are 10-0 L/10 on the ML Jacob deGrom starts on the road when their starter went fewer than 6 innings their last two games. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), in July games are 45-122 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on NY Mets to win |
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07-01-21 | Rangers v. A's -163 | 8-3 | Loss | -163 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
As starter MANAEA is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  MANAEA is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 6-31 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. The Athletics are 17-0 L/17 on the ML as a home favorite of more than -135 after they did not score after the third inning. Play on As to win |
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07-01-21 | Twins v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 5-8 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Twins starter Berrios recorded his third consecutive quality outing on June 24, allowing one run on four hits and two walks with nine strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings against the Cleveland Indians.The 27-year-old right-hander has allowed four earned runs or fewer in 15 consecutive starts to open the season. Berrios, owns a 2.65 ERA in 17 career starts against the White Sox, Meanwhile, the Pale hose will fire back with  Carlos Rodon (6-3, 2.06 ERA), who is looking to bounce back after giving up three runs over five innings Friday during a 9-3 loss to the Seattle Mariners. The left-hander has notched eight-plus strikeouts in each of his last seven starts, one short of the longest such streak in White Sox history. The White Sox are 0-11 UNDER L/11 in the last game of a series after a game as a home favorite in which they won by 5+ runs. CHI WHITE SOX are 16-7 UNDER vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg going on the board. CHI WHITE SOX are 21-9 UNDER  at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg.Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Play UNDER |
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06-30-21 | Rangers v. A's -184 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
As starter  BASSITT is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 18-3 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rangers starter ALLARD is 0-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 8.03 and a WHIP of 1.622. The Athletics are 21-0 L/21 on the ML as a favorite of at least -200 on the opening line off a home game in which they hit multiple home runs. TEXAS is 0-12 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Rangers are 7-25 in the last 32 meetings in Oakland. Play on the As to win |
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06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers | 130-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
 The Clippers cut the Suns' series lead to 3-2 on Monday with a 116-102 triumph in Phoenix as they attempt to overturn a 2-0 deficit for the third straight time this postseason. That was a valiant effort and the Clippers must be respected for fighting back and not succumbing . However, after exerting that much energy and as exhausted as they have looked of late, Im betting the party ends here tonight. Clippers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. PHOENIX is 21-7 ATS L/28 in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. Suns are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA  Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more are 22-5 ATS L/5 season for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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06-30-21 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -143 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Im expecting the Astros will beat up on Baltimores starting pitcher Harvey who has garnered a 8.10 ERA in his last 3 starts. HARVEY is 0-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 12.79 and a WHIP of 2.052. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - after a game without an extra base hit are 53-4 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the rpg diff clicking in at +3.6. Play on the Astros to win on the RL -1.5 |
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06-30-21 | Cubs +131 v. Brewers | 7-15 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Im betting on the Cubs averting being swept by the Brewers. I know these teams are at the opposite end of the performance spectrum at the moment but it must be noted that Arrieta seems to always bring his A game when going against streaking sides. Note: The Cubs are 14-0 L/14 on the ML when Jake Arrieta starts for the Cubs when their opponent is on a winning streak of at least four games. Cubs are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +7 | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
After losing the first game in this series SU, the Bucks have bounced back with two straight wins. However, in game 3 last time out, it looked like the Hawks were on their way to a win and cover as underdogs until Trae Young suffered what has now been diagnosed as a foot bruise. Now after training room preparations he should be able to suit up and be effective enough for us to get the cover this time around. McMillan is 9-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent as the coach of ATLANTA.ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 55-21 L/24 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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06-29-21 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
 White Sox - L. Giolito-R vs Twins - K. Maeda-R- Considering these pitching matchups and overall offensive output performance charts Im betting on a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 19-4-4 in Twins last 27 vs. American League Central.Over is 13-3 in Twins last 16 games as a road underdog. The Twins are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.MINNESOTA is 25-9 OVER  vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.MINNESOTA is 14-2 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less this season.MINNESOTA is 13-3 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.Over is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 4-0-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 1 of a series.Over is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 overall. Play OVER |
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06-29-21 | Rays -105 v. Nationals | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Rays Im betting will avoid a seventh consecutive away defeat on Tuesday when they face a Washington club that has won 12 of its past 15 games overall. Note: Rays starter Hill, 41, is 3-0 in his last five starts after he overcame five walks to allow just one run on three hits over five innings of an 8-2 victory against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday. He recorded five strikeouts. Hill is 3-0 with a 3.55 ERA in seven road starts this season and gets my support here for a motivated Rays side. The Rays are 13-0 L/13 on the ML as a road favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers. TAMPA BAY is 19-4 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 43-21  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 26-9 in their last 35 vs. National League East. Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home underdog MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) are 26-10 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5.5 | 116-102 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Clippers look exhausted especially Paul George who has had to play a great deal of hoops and tonight Im betting their viable play off run will come to an end. There will be no Kawhi Leonard in the Clippers lineup tonight, and Im betting the Suns finish the job and get us the cover. Note: Out of the possible 768 minutes in the the postseason, Paul George has played 652 of them. Out of the possible 576 minutes in the last 23 days, George has played 495 of them ( His proverbial tank is empty) PHOENIX is 16-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Williams is 11-1 ATS after 3 consecutive division games in all games he has coached . NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after allowing 80 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.7 ppg. NBA Favorites (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-10 ATS L/24 seasons are 74% conversion rate. Play on the Suns to cover |
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06-28-21 | Cubs +131 v. Brewers | 4-14 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 8-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)HENDRICKS is 15-4 in his career against the money line in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings .  Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. National League Central. Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-28-21 | Orioles v. Astros -291 | 9-7 | Loss | -291 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - after a game without an extra base hits are 53-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate with a +3.7 rpg diff which qualifies in a run-line wager. Play on the Astros to win |
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06-28-21 | Royals v. Red Sox -150 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
 KCs starter DUFFY is 3-17  against the money line in road games against AL East opponents in his career. (Team's Record) DUFFY is 0-6 in his career when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.26 and a WHIP of 1.865. BOSTON is 8-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 1 run or less 2 straight games are 6-37 L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks +5 | 113-102 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has not performed optimally on the road , as is evident by a current 17-25 ATS visitors mark this season. Atlanta has proven over and over again they can be competitive against the heavy weights in the Eastern Conference and now after a down effort last time out, Im betting on a big big bounce back here in true zig zag theory evolution. MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 11-1 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. McMillan is 13-1 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game as the coach of ATLANTA. ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS in home games on Sunday games this season.ATLANTA is 20-7 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - excellent free throw shooting team (79% or more ) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less ) after 42+ games going 132-30 L/5 seasons for 72% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-27-21 | Cubs v. Dodgers -185 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Dodgers ace lefty KERSHAW is 81-30 against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record) Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Dodgers are 28-0 L/28 in the last game of a series as a home favorite of at least -200 (on the opening line) after they won and never trailed last game which was the case in a 3-2 win.  CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. Cubs are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles. ROBERTS is 51-15 against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday as the manager of LA DODGERS. ROBERTS is 85-32 against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games as the manager of LA DODGERS MLB team (CHICAGO CUBS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. Play on LA Dodgers to win |
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06-27-21 | Royals v. Rangers -101 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
 Royals starter SINGER is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 13.51 and a WHIP of 2.402.  Rangers starting hurler LYLES is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.857. Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Royals are 7-25 in the last 32 meetings. Royals are 16-37 in the last 53 meetings in Texas. KANSAS CITY is 3-15 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the Rangers to win |
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06-27-21 | Angels v. Rays -145 | 6-4 | Loss | -145 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
These teams are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum of late with the Angles having lost 5 straight and the Rays on a 4 game win streak. Lets fade the negative momentum of the Halos and ride the Rays positive energy in this spot play. The Angels are 0-6 L/6 on the ML when Patrick Sandoval starts after their bullpen gave up at least three runs yesterday.  LA ANGELS are 18-54  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher like Yarbrough whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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06-27-21 | Nationals -125 v. Marlins | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
 Marlins top tier starer ALCANTARA has struggled against the Nats in his career and is just 1-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.46 and a WHIP of 1.793. MIAMI is 10-25  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like M. Scherzer.  SCHERZER is 14-5 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.99 and a WHIP of 1.053. The Marlins are 0-11 L/11 on the ML in the last game of a series at home after they had a comeback win last game. MLB team (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 54-103 L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 11-31 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. Play on Washington to win |
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06-27-21 | Angels v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Rays lefty starter  YARBROUGH is 9-1 OVER in all games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. MADDON is 31-12 OVER against left-handed starters as the manager of LA ANGELS with a combined 11.8 rpg scored. MADDON is 30-16 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 as the manager of LA ANGELS with an average of 10.5 rpg scored. Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as an underdog. Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a road underdog. Over is 9-2 in Angels last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.LA ANGELS are 20-6 OVER after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.   The Rays are 15-0 OVER L/15 in the last game of a series after they scored first before trailing and then coming back to win with the least amount of combined runs scored ringing in at 8 . Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA ANGELS) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-13 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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06-26-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
These two teams are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. The Diamondbacks are 0-24 SU L/24 on the road and are 4-20 on the runline. While the Padres have won 8 straight games and running hot.Â
Play on San Diego Padres |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1 | 84-80 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
The Clippers even without Kawhi Leonard looked like they matched up well vs the Suns in the first 3 games of this series, and in game 3 were the far better team. Tonight Im betting on that trend to continue and for the Clippers to tie this series here at home where they have won the L/14 meetings in this series. PHOENIX is 4-16 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS  in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Clippers successes are almost always based on top tier defensive play as is evident by their 7th ranked ppg defense, and precise shooting behind a deliberate 26th ranked pace. Meanwhile, the Suns also rank 26th in pace and are tied with the Clippers for the 7th best ppg defense. More of the same type of hoops Im betting will once again be on display here this evening which will result in a score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 25-12 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 217.5 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-6 UNDER versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg scored. Lue is 21-6 UNDER in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of 206.2 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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06-26-21 | Cubs +170 v. Dodgers | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Dodgers southpaw starter Urias has struggled of late as is evident by a 6.32 ERA in his L/3 starts. Note: The Cubs have clobbered lefties this season recording an average of 5.8 rpg via a .267 BA. The Cubs are 12-0 L/12 past the first game of a series when the opposing starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season. CHICAGO CUBS are 11-5 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.  CHICAGO CUBS are 10-5 against the money line against NL West opponents this season. LA DODGERS are 6-16 against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 59-72 L/5 seasons for a 55% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-26-21 | Rockies v. Brewers -183 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
 Brewers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record and know how to take care of sub .500 squads winning 20 of their L/26 against struggling sides. The Rockies are 0-12 L/12 on the ML when Antonio Senzatela starts on the road when their opponent is on a 3+ win streak. COLORADO is 4-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.COLORADO is 4-20 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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06-26-21 | Phillies v. Mets -238 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
EFLIN is 1-10 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season. (Team's Record) .EFLIN is 3-14 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons..... (Team's Record) MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY METS) - after a game without an extra base hit are 52-3 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 6-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games and 15-80 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate. Play on the NY Mets |
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06-26-21 | Pirates +135 v. Cardinals | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Pirates enter this game against their hosts the Cards having won five of their last seven games, while the Cardinals have lost five straight games and seven of eight. With both sides playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum it will be an easy decision to take the Pirates on a value money-line. Cardinals are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. National League Central. ST LOUIS is 3-11 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. ST LOUIS is 6-13 against the money line in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better ) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 9-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win |
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06-25-21 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 5-11 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
The Padres defense and pitching and particular the bullpen have been tremendous this season, and in their L/6 games have allowed 2 runs or less 4 times and Im betting an Arizona side that averages just 3.6 rpg on the road this season goes below their season average in offensive out put here tonight . Note: Padres starter PADDACK in 7 starts in his career against ARIZONA has garnered an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.062 and has seen 6 of those 7 games stay on the low side of the total. Also despite of being a top tier team with some strong hitters in their lineup the Padres only average 4.3 rpg via a lowly .236 BA at home. With that said, ,my projections make the combined average score to be closer to 7.5 rpg giving us a full 1 run edge here for a under wager to cash. The Padres are 0-9 UNDER L/9 off a home game where they were tied at the end of 6 innings with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg. ARIZONA is 20-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in San Diego. Play UNDER |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks -7.5 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical, where Im betting the Bucks have the edge, especially here at home in Milwaukee. Note: Chalk of 4 or more points in Games 2-5 off a playoff series defeat are 170-122-7 (58.2%) ATS in history. ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 7-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-37 ATS L/55 off a road win by 3 points or less . NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 1-6 ATS this season and 15-44 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Underdogs (ATLANTA) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 20-53 ATS L/24 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - when trailing in a playoff series, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 53-9 SU L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppf diff clicking in at +7.8 ppg. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 55-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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06-25-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226 | 91-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Trey Young almost single handily carried the Atlanta Hawks to victory in game 1 of this series. Now I expect Young to be curtailed and regress naturally and for this series to become alot more physical and defensive, which will result in a lower scoring affair with less flow. Under is 7-0 in Bucks last 7 games following a straight up loss. ATLANTA is 10-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored.ATLANTA is 25-7 UNDER when leading in a playoff series since 1996 with average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 29-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-25-21 | Islanders +145 v. Lightning | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
This game 7 is alot closer to a coin flip that the line indicates which has me on an Islanders team, that is every bit as physical as the Lightning. I expect the officials not to call alot of penalties tonight, which also aides the Islanders, considering how potent the Bolts PP is. Note: With key star forward and power play super star Kucherov not playing or less than 100% TB could find themselves in trouble. Islanders are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog NHL favorite against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, on Friday nights are 23-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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06-25-21 | Nationals +120 v. Marlins | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Lopez of the Marlins .Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 overall and deserve respect here as underdogs. WASHINGTON is 47-19 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Note: Lester has been in top form for a while with two or fewer earned runs allowed in each of his last five trips to the hill. Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. (Nats starter Lester is a southpaw hurler) MIAMI is 9-24 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Lester. MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are just 24-45 L/5 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate. Play on Washington to win |
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06-25-21 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 2-11 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Marlins starter LOPEZ is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)WASHINGTON is 11-0 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season. Washington stater Lester has been on an impressive run with two or fewer earned in each of his last five outings. WASHINGTON is 19-3 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.Under is 42-17-3 in Nationals last 62 overall.Under is 7-3-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4-1 in Nationals last 14 road games.Under is 11-5 in Nationals last 16 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 13-6-3 in Nationals last 22 games as a road underdog MIAMI is 22-9 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the UNDER |
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06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers +1.5 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
The Suns squeezed by the Clippers in game 2 104-103 to take a 2-0 lead in this series. Now in desperation mode I look for the Clippers even without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup to come out here and get the win behind the energy of their home town fans. Note: The Clippers have won 13 straight in LA vs the Suns and get my support to keep that streak alive tonight. LA CLIPPERS are 34-17 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 31-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are just 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-41 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% . Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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06-24-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -177 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and have the edge here vs a side that just cant find a way to get any kind of momentum going. Blue Jays have the edge.  TORONTO is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons.( Orioles starter Dean Kremer -RHP-0-6, 6.20 ERA,)  BALTIMORE is 0-12 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. The Orioles are 0-19 L/19 on the road. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 57-117 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays |
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06-24-21 | A's -137 v. Rangers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
The Athletics are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Chris Bassitt starts as a road favorite.BASSITT is 13-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 17-3  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Rangers starter,ALLARD is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 9.95 and a WHIP of 1.896. The Rangers found a way to get by the AS yesterday but are just 0-5 L/5 after a win. Athletics are 53-25 in their last 78 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Athletics are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Texas. Play on Oakland to win |
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06-23-21 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | 116-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Since the play offs began the Atlanta Hawks successes have been based on precise high opportunity shooting chances, and tough physical defensive hoops and nothing will change today vs their host the Milwaukee Bucks.  This Im betting helps keep the flow of this game at a slower pace than the lines-makers are expecting. Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 3-0-1 in Bucks last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 home games Budenholzer is 23-9 UNDER in home games in all playoff games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 195.8 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 35-19 UNDER in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.MILWAUKEE is 17-8 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 221.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-20 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-23-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +132 | 2-3 | Win | 132 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Islanders were smashed last time out, and did not look like themselves. This Islanders team is usually very disciplined, but that went out the window in game 5. Now here back home at the Nassau Coliseum Im betting on the Islanders being hell bent on redemption and of course not being eliminated will see them at their best . I respect HC Barry Trotz ability to have his team ready to compete and notch a victory.  NY ISLANDERS are 15-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.NY ISLANDERS are 9-2 ATS in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.Islanders are 37-18 in their last 55 home games. Play on the NY Islanders to win |
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06-23-21 | Lynx v. Dream UNDER 168 | 87-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Reeve is 25-12 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival as the coach of MINNESOTA. ( HC complained that the team had lost focus). Back to D and basics here in this tilt. ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER in home games against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (ATLANTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 TO's or less) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 TO's or less) are 64-29 UNDER L/24 seasons for a69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-23-21 | Nationals v. Phillies -104 | 13-12 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)The Phillies are also 9-0 on the ML L/9 since Jul 30, 2017 when Vince Velasquez starts at home after he had a WHIP of at least 2.00 in his last start. Nationals starter Fede has seen his team lose his L/3 starts vs Phillies.  Nationals are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. PHILADELPHIA is 13-1 against the money line in home games in day games this season. Play on Phillies to win |
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06-23-21 | White Sox -156 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Dylan Cease(RHP5-3, 3.99 ERA, 89 SO( has been in good form on the hill this season, plus he adds a live bat to the lineup in inter-leauge action as he went 3 for 3 last time he went against a NL team the the Reds. PITTSBURGH is 3-16 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.Â
The Pirates are 0-11 L/11 on the ML as a dog after they scored first and then trailed before coming back to win last game. MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - NL team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 to 1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 15-38 L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-23-21 | White Sox v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Considering how both pitching staffs and bullpens are operating of late, my projections see a combined score that eclipses this total.  Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 32-15-4 in Pirates last 51 during game 2 of a series. Over is 11-4 in White Sox last 15 games as a road favorite.Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. LARUSSA is 10-0 OVER  in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games in all games he has managed - dating back to 1996 with the average combined score of 11.6 rpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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06-22-21 | Rockies v. Mariners -164 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Seattle starter FLEXEN is 8-3  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)  FLEXEN is also 7-1 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 4-18 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. I know the White Sox have used up alot of innings with their bullpen staff of late, but COLORADO is 4-19 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.  MLB team (SEATTLE) - AL team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less ) against a terrible NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.650 or worse ), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 29-7 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mariners to win |
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06-22-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has allowed 29 runs in their L/4 gamers, after losing to the lowly Arizona Dbacks last night. Im betting that Arizona does more damage tonight, and for the Brewers to also do some of their own in a tilt I have projected to go over this total. Note: The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Freddy Peralta starts on the road after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start with a combined average of 13.7 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. COUNSELL is 36-22 OVER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 as the manager of MILWAUKEE with an average of 10.4 rpg scored. Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 games following a win. Over is 20-8-1 in Diamondbacks last 29 during game 2 of a series.  Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER |
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06-22-21 | Canadiens v. Golden Knights UNDER 5 | 4-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The recipe for Montreals success vs Vegas has been their ability to play very physical defensive hockey that is backed up by top tier goalie Price. More of this trap style of hockey Im betting will once again give an edge to a low scoring affair.Â
MONTREAL is 10-3 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5 or less (MONTREAL) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 69-38 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-22-21 | Clippers v. Suns -5 | 103-104 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
The Suns enter into game 2 of this series vs the Clippers off a win in game 1 for their 8th straight play off victory. I know the Clippers have found a way to win without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup but Im betting it will finally start to effect them as early as tonight. PHOENIX is 16-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. PHOENIX is 15-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Phoenix Suns to win |
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06-22-21 | Astros -174 v. Orioles | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 62-18 against the opening money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. Baltimores starter LOPEZ owns a ugly 8.23 ERA in his L/3 starts and is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 23.18 and a WHIP of 3.863. BALTIMORE is 2-15 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest, hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games are 35-16 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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06-21-21 | Dodgers v. Padres -124 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Padres starting hurler Yu Darvish(RHP6-2, 2.57 ERA, 97 SO)The Padres won 11 of Darvish's first 12 starts this season, but they've now lost two straight. Still, Darvish was mostly sharp in those two outings. He's allowed just 59 hits while striking out 97 across 84 innings this season and my support here in what will be a motivated start for the ace of the staff.Â
The Padres are 8-0 on the ML when Yu Darvish starts as a favorite after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Padres are 20-6 in their last 26 home games. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 17-35 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on San Diego to win |
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06-21-21 | Brewers -114 v. Diamondbacks | 1-5 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Fading the Dbacks has been a lucrative endeavor.Arizona has lost 13 straight and the momentum of their ugly run must be an option to back on this cheap of a line. Arizona has allowed 8.3 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. Note: Brewers starter Anderson is a southpaw hurler , ARIZONA is 3-15 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. The Brewers are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they scored at least six runs last game. ( Milwaukee scored 7 runs yesterday in a win) Play on Milwaukee to win |
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06-21-21 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Todays starting pitchers Anderson and Kelley according to projections are good for a combined 9 + runs. Which makes this a high probability over investment option. Over is 15-5-3 in Brewers last 23 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Arizona is allowing 8.3 rpg in their L/7 overall with a combined average score of 12.7 rpg scored. ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER  in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average of 14.1 rpg scored. Over is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 9-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last 9 games a home underdog.The Diamondbacks are 13-0 OVER L/13 at home after a loss as a home dog in which they never led. MLB  Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games are 31-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona. Play OVER |
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06-20-21 | Hawks +7 v. 76ers | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Its become obvious to me that the Hawks matchup well vs the Sixers and according to my projections this is just to many points here for me not grab the underdog line value. From historical standpoint the 76ers have never won a series when they were down 3-2 (0-14) which was the case last time out, with the Sixers leaving everything on the floor in a 5 point victory that could have gone either way. With that said, I would also not be surprised to see the young Hawks grab this series outright with a win, but more importantly taking the points is a solid option. Key:Young must own this game which Im betting he is capable of. He has been explosive offensively averaging of 30.3 points and 11.0 assists in this series. Interesting anomaly shows the Hawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games. Play on the Hawks to cover |
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06-20-21 | Phillies v. Giants -121 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Eflin has pitched fewer than six innings in two of his last three starts and in his current form a good hurler to fade.  The Phillies won yesterday 13-6 but now a regression factor comes into play favoring the sf Giants. The Giants are 10-0 L/10 on the ML after they did not score after the third inning last game. PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 against the money line after scoring 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 against the money line in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Play on Giants to win |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 221.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Clippers are off a exhausting 7 game series vs the Jazz last time out, and the Suns may be a little rusty after an extended lay off after disposing of the defending champion LA Lakers . Considering these parameters Im betting on a fairly grinding lack of flow from game 1 in afternoon action. Under is 8-2 in Suns last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Under is 30-14 in Clippers last 44 games as a road underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 105-44 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA CLIPPERS/PHOENIX) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 42-18 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - off a road win, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-20-21 | Red Sox -116 v. Royals | 3-7 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
KCs starter MINOR is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. (Team's Record)Â MINOR is 4-11Â against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Royals are 6-for-67 with runners in scoring position in their last eight games, and they've lost seven of them, including Saturday's 7-1 loss to the Boston Red Sox, in which the Royals were 0-for-11 with RISP. (Fade Material)
The Royals are 0-10 L/10 on the ML past the first game of a series after they scored in at most two separate innings last game. Play on Red Sox to win |
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06-19-21 | Brewers v. Rockies -105 | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Austin Gomber( LHP-6-5, 3.54 ERA, 75 SO)Remember when the going wisdom was curveballs were not good at Coors Field? Well, according to MLB Quality of Pitch, Gomber's knuckle curve ranks in the top four percent in MLB in overall quality.Colorados starter GOMBER is 8-1  against the money line as an opening line underdog of +100 to +150 in his career.Â
The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 on the ML at home off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs. COLORADO is 23-10 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. COLORADO is 15-6 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MILWAUKEE is 0-7 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-15  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Rockies have won 5 straight and the Brewers have lost 5 straight. Both are currently headed in opposite directions. This is a momentum play. Take the Rockies to win |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets -1.5 | 115-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has not played all that well on the road this season which is evident by their 16-25 ATS record as visitors, and are just 5-16 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons and 4-14 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Nash is 12-1 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of BROOKLYN. I know Kyrie Irving is not expected to play tonight for the Nets, but they are deep enough to adjust to that loss, and will be ready to compete tonight at home vs a Bucks franchise that is 0-7 in game 7s in their NBA lifetime. Note:HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLLWL:Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied WWLLWL irrespective of site order (Brooklyn) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2021 and NBA Preliminary rounds: 22-6 SU Game 7 record. Play on Brooklyn to win |
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06-19-21 | Lightning v. Islanders +115 | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Isles were down in their first two series 2-1 and came back to win their series 4-2. In game 2 they lost 2-1 but outhsot and outplayed the Bolts in the final half of the game, and are more than capable of pulling off a win here at the Nassau Coliseum as dogs.Islanders are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home underdog.Islanders are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Islanders are 25-10 in their last 35 home games. Note:In three games in this series, New York has a 6.89-5.09 advantage in terms of expected goals. Play on the NY Islanders |
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06-19-21 | White Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Astros hurler Valdez has been in top form of late, but the White Sox generally dominate southpaw pitchers as is evident by a 6.5 rpg offensive output . Meanwhile, Lance Lyn in his L/2 starts vs the Astros have seen the Pale Hose score 8 and 12 runs respectively . HOUSTON is 8-1 OVER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season. HOUSTON is 24-9 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. HOUSTON is 15-4 OVER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. The White Sox are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Over is 18-7-3 in White Sox last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the OVER |
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06-19-21 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 5-7 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP-7-2, 3.43 ERA, 91 SO) has allowed four runs or fewer in each of his past 25 starts over the past two years and Im betting on the run continuing today vs the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-7 UNDER L/7 when Domingo German starts in an afternoon game. NY YANKEES are 18-9 UNDER in day games this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 10-4-1 in Yankees last 15 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.  Under is 9-4 in Yankees last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 11-5 in Yankees last 16 home games OAKLAND is 19-7 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Under is 18-7-3 in Athletics last 28 vs. American League East.Under is 4-1-1 in Athletics last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-18-21 | Jazz -1.5 v. Clippers | 119-131 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
With Kawhi Leonard on the sidelines again tonight Im betting on the Jazz finding a way to extend this series with a take no prisoners effort here and take this to a game 7. Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 14-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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06-18-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants are 10-0-1 OVER L/11 as a favorite after they won by 5+ runs last game. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-1 OVER off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons Giants starter  CUETO is 11-1 OVER in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg going on the board.  CUETO is 1-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.284 in 13 games. SAN FRANCISCO is 23-5 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like the Phillies starter Velasquez. with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the score board. ( Velasquez owns a 8.25 ERA in his L/3 starts) MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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