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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-04-22 | Kentucky +1 v. LSU | 60-65 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB team (LSU) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (40% or better ), after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are just 24-63 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. |
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01-04-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan +2.5 | 85-79 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-04-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Minnesota | 76-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-04-22 | Ohio v. Akron -1 | 69-63 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-03-22 | Nuggets v. Mavs -3 | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
When these teams played on Nov 15 the Mavs took a 111-101 victory on home court and proved to me they matchup well vs the Nuggets.Note: DENVER is just 8-18 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Dallas is off a strong defensive effort vs Oklahoma city lat time out, and have momentum entering this tilt vs the Nuggets. DALLAS is 18-6 ATS after scoring 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are playing well, recording three straight wins but they have proven highly inconsistent or over rated when they are on a positive run as Malone is 16-30 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins as the coach of DENVER. Advantage Dallas. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11 ppg. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | 14-26 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
  Cleveland is off two very close losses by 2 points each time and are desperate for a victory and despite of now being eliminated from the playoffs but are still a side that needs to finish strongly and play spoilers . Meanwhile, Pittsburgh was crushed by the Chiefs last time out , but still can win the AFC North. Needless to say this is a big game for the Steelers but because of their ineptness this will be a grinding affair with getting points in my opinion being golden. Browns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in January. Note: the Steelers have now been held without a TD in the first half of 5 consecutive games and these slow starts are a game killers and Im betting it could easily rare its ugly head again tonight. Plus I cant help but feel Steelers QB Ben Rothlisberger is not longer a top tier pivot as father time remains undefeated. Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Steelers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.Steelers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Steelers are 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NFL Underdogs on the opening l vs. the money line (PITTSBURGH) - off a road loss, when playing on Monday night are 1-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate for bettors.  NFL team vs the money line (PITTSBURGH) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 5-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CLEVELAND) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. are 27-6 ATS L/29 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play in Cleveland to cover |
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01-03-22 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Sam Houston State -8 | 78-86 | Push | 0 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UTRGV is 0-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. SAM HOUSTON ST is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19.5 . |
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01-03-22 | Wisconsin v. Purdue UNDER 140.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WISCONSIN is 7-0 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1997 with a combined average of 126.8 ppg scored. WISCONSIN is 18-7 UNDER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 128.4 ppg .WISCONSIN is 10-2 UNDER L/12 after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more with a combined average of 124.6 ppg scored. |
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01-02-22 | Wolves v. Lakers -8 | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Minnesota enters this tilt against the LA Lakers having lost 4 of their L/5 games, while the Lakers have won 2 of their L/3 covering all 3 times including a DD beatdown at home vs Portland last time out. After watching parts of the game against Portland and reviewing the Lakers overall play and the fact the team is looking healthier now , Im betting they continue their upward momentum, with a convincing win here on their own home court vs a Wolves side without key starter Karl Anthony Towns. Note: The Lakers also have the added incentive of having revenge on board for a loss to the Wolves back on Dec 17th in the Land o Lakes. MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 28-3 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.2 which qualifies on this ATS Line. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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01-02-22 | Suns v. Hornets +2.5 | 133-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Charlotte is very under rated and matchup well against explosive sides like the Suns. The Hornets rank 2nd in ppg offense in the NBA and are currently on a 3 game win streak where they have shown better defensive capabilities as well. Their current form will aid them well here, which makes them viable home court underdogs. Note: The Hornets are 11-2/ATS at home this season, while the Suns are 11-4 SU but have covered just 8 of those tilts. The Suns are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CHARLOTTE is 25-13 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. CHARLOTTE is 8-1 ATS  as a home underdog this season.  CHARLOTTE is 10-0 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 season. CHARLOTTE is 7-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Borrego is 20-8 ATS in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game as the coach of CHARLOTTE. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 20 or more of their last 25 games are just 18-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on charlotte to cover |
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01-02-22 | Flames -175 v. Blackhawks | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
CALGARY has owned poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp this season winning by an average of 4 gpg in 8 opportunities. Rinse and repeat here tonight as the Blackhawks do not matchup well vs the Flames. Flames are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Flames are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. NHL Home teams against the money line (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 16-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Calgary to win on the ML |
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01-02-22 | Arizona State +1.5 v. California | 50-74 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. ARIZONA ST is 3-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CALIFORNIA) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 38-83 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. What was supposed to be a road game against Stanford has become a home game vs. Arizona State for the Cal men’s basketball team on Sunday afternoon. The switch became necessary mid-week because of a COVID-19 outbreak on the Stanford team. |
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01-02-22 | Heat v. Kings +4 | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami is on the road here and are short handed because of covid protocols and injuries, while Sacramento is unscathed and playing on the confines of their own home building. I know the Heat are deep and well coached which always makes them dangerous , but the Kings despite of being highly inconsistent have shown flashes of brilliance and are viable underdogs with their team much healthier than their opponents .Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.Heat are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-02-22 | Louisville -3 v. Georgia Tech | 67-64 | Push | 0 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
01-02-22 | Lions +7 v. Seahawks | 29-51 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
The Seahawks are not going to play offs, and will now be in a emotional down situation here this week vs a rejuvenated Detroit side that will motivated to finish their season on a strong note. Note: Seattle probably does not deserve a play off spot anyway, considering they have lost the stats battles in 12 of 15 games.  this seasons ,by an average -82 net ypg. Seattle is 0-5 ATS in their last five battles against the NFC North. The Lions are 5-1 ATS record in NFC West game and have covered four straight vs NFC.  Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season this season. DETROIT is 8-2 ATS in games played on turf this season. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SEATTLE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 15-45 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to cover |
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01-02-22 | Dartmouth v. Cornell -4.5 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Cornell did not look out of place against 2 power 5 teams recently VTech and Syracuse and previous to that had won 4 straight. Meanwhile, Dartmouth after spending a good part of this season on the road out west and currently on a 7 game losing streak are at a disadvantage . CBB team (CORNELL) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams ( 60 or more shots/game), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 54-25 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. CORNELL is 8-1 ATS in all lined games this season.CORNELL is 7-0 ATS  in home games after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons. |
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01-02-22 | Richmond v. St. Louis UNDER 144 | 69-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 13 m | Show | |
Since star RB   Derrick Henry went on the IR the Titans have been in a bit of nose dive, and until he returns things wont get much better including today against a up trending Dolphins side that is on a 7 game win streak. Note : NFL sides on a 7 game win streak, are on a 12-1 ATS run when coming off a non-division victory. (Miami beat NO last week 20-3). Tennessee has had problems scoring since Henry went down, and recently during a 5 game run have averaged just 15.8 ppg in offense. On the flipside the Fins have allowed just one side more than 17 points in their L/7 games overall. MIAMI is 12-3 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 9-1 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. TENNESSEE is 20-35 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. NFL team vs the money line (TENNESSEE) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 5-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Miami to cover |
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01-02-22 | Jaguars +17 v. Patriots | 10-50 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 58 m | Show | |
The Jags are on a 7 game losing streak and have failed to cover 6 straight times, but here I am recommending we take the points . This offering from a mathematical standpoint according to my projections is a almost a full FG off , giving us value taking points. Last week the Pats got a reality check against the Bills in a loss and QB Mac Jones showed his relative immaturity in that loss. Desperation and some sort of redemption for this Jaguars side Im betting has them leaving everything on the field this Sunday. Jaguars have covered 3 of their L/4 as 13 or more points pups dating back to last season. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. NFL Road underdogs or pick (JACKSONVILLE) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 37-7 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover |
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01-01-22 | Warriors +5.5 v. Jazz | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
 Utah enters this game having won 6 straight and 14 of their L/16 games, while the Golden State Warriors have won 6 of their L/8 overall, and are 11-4 in road games this season and are are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. like the Jazz including 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Jazz are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The above trends give credence to an advantage taking points. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. UTAH is 2-13 ATS in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons NBA Favorites (UTAH) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 43 points or less in the first half last game are 17-44 L/25 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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01-01-22 | New Mexico v. Nevada -11 | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-01-22 | Baylor +1.5 v. Ole Miss | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Sugar Bowl - Ceasars Superdome - New Orleans, LA  Baylor's is a top tier two way side, controlling the ball for 31:37 per game and that will be the difference maker here today vs Ole Miss. BAYLOR is 9-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons.BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. SEC teams are 3-6 ATS in the last nine Sugar Bowls. Play on Baylor to cover |
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01-01-22 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Rockets | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston after showing some improvement about a month ago have now fallen back into a deep depression registering 6 straight losses, and 8 of their L/9. I know Denver is still dealing with injuries and covid protocol issues, but according to my projections still have enough weapons to come out this with a convincing victory. Silas is 1-10 ATS  in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more as the coach of HOUSTON. Silas is 8-23 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of HOUSTON. HOUSTON is 8-20 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after allowing 95 points or less are 49-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (DENVER) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 37-4 L/25 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +9.1 ppg which once again qualifies on this ATS line. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 or les PPG differential) are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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01-01-22 | Bulls v. Wizards +2 | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
 Washington, meanwhile, welcomed Bradley Beal back from protocol in its 110-93 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday and must be respected as home dogs here vs the red hot but tired Chicago Bulls who play their 3rd game in 4 nights and off playing Indiana last night in a hard fought 108-106 win. Advantage with the home side. Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. WASHINGTON is 16-2 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 13-39 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on Washington to cover |
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01-01-22 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 221.5 | 113-136 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Milwaukee in their L/5 trips to the hardwood have averaged 121.6 ppg and Im betting their explosive offense continues to produce a boatload full of points vs a inconsistent Pelicans D. Meanwhile, New Orleans has recently shown some good chemistry on offense and have recorded, 105 or more points in 14 of their L/15 games. Im betting both sides take part in a high tempo tilt as Milwaukee will force the issue and the Pelicans will have no choice but to open up which Im betting will result in a higher scoring affair that eclipses this Total. NEW ORLEANS is 12-1 OVER in January games over the last 2 season with a combined average of 232 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 14-3 OVER  after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 235 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-2 OVER after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite with a combined average of 235.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in January games are 48-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 230.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW ORLEANS) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 44-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-01-22 | Pelicans +11 v. Bucks | 113-136 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Based on the style of play the Pelicans have settled into of late, I believe they are capable of hanging in against the explosive Bucks. New Orleans has won 5 of their L/6 and have momentum and confidence on their sides. With Milwaukee off a Florida vacation taking down Orlando in two straight they could easily start slowly here back in the chilly climes of Wisconsin as they get accustomed to home cooking again. MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in January games are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 20-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -4 | 45-48 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Rose Bowl - Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA Ohio State has something to prove here after being defeated by Michigan to end their season. Im betting we see them at their best here vs a good but not quite ready for prime time Utah Utes side. I know some key players will be out for Ohio State as they prepare for the NFL draft but their replacements are top tier recruits and will be out to show off their abilities. OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more points. (Lost to Michigan 42-27 to end their season) OHIO ST is 29-13 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (OHIO ST) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an inexperienced QB as starter 32-2 L/29 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.6 . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) are 48-81 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate. Ohio State to cover |
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01-01-22 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Appalachian State UNDER 136 | 69-77 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-01-22 | Kentucky -3 v. Iowa | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
 Citrus Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL The Hawkeyes  and Wildcats use their ground attacks as their no1 option to move the chains and both play strong defense . Both are patient and can force mistakes. Both play similar styles but Im betting the Wildcats are the superior side. KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.  Bowl teams that scored 3 or less points in their last game are 1-11 ATS L/12 opportunities. (Iowa lost 42-3 to Michigan to end their season) CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (IOWA) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (KENTUCKY) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games, with an inexperienced QB as starter 32-2 L/29 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +16.6 ppg which qualifies on this offered ATS line. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State +1 v. Notre Dame | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ The Cowboys were in my humble opinion the most under rated team in the nation this season, behind a top tier D, and explosive offense . The Cowboys were also 5-0 SU/ATS on the road this season and must be respected here away from home vs a Notre Dame side that will be without their top RB Kyren Williams and their best defensive player DB Kyle Hamilton . Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games. Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as an underdog. Cowboys are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. NOTRE DAME is 14-33 ATS L/47 versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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01-01-22 | Oklahoma State v. Notre Dame OVER 45.5 | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Fiesta Bowl - State Farm Stadium - Glendale, AZ Both these sides have strong defenses, but the offenses are being under rated in a game that could easily be a back and forth affair. My own projections estimate a combined score of closer to 50 giving us value with an over wager. Over is 4-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games on grass.  Gundy is 22-11 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST with a combined average of 69 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (OKLAHOMA ST) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in January games are 30-5 OVER L/29 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 56.5 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (NOTRE DAME) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), in non-conference games are 50-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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01-01-22 | Arkansas v. Penn State +2.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Early on this season, the Lions looked like Big 10 Contenders , but some close loses to top tier competition looked to take the wind out of them down the stretch. Im now betting we see Penn State back in top form . I know Arkansas looked strong down the stretch but their defense remains vulnerable and could easily be their Achilles heel in this Bowl tilt. Razorbacks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. PENN ST is 21-9 ATS L/30 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return . PENN ST is 7-0 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.  Franklin is 8-1 ATS  after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as the coach of PENN ST.  .Nittany Lions are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 13-22 L/10 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-01-22 | West Virginia v. Texas UNDER 121.5 | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | 34-11 | Win | 101 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Georgia is the best team in the nation, and deserve to be 10 point favs according to my projections. I know Michigan has had a fine season, but this is a special SEC group of Bulldogs and they deserve the ultimate respect. I know anything can happen in one game, and upsets are possible but 99 out 100 times this Georgia team comes out with a conclusive victory according to my projections. Miracles are beautiful things to behold, but Im betting today wont bring any Sister Lucia like enlightenment to the Orange Bowl. Note: SEC Bowl favorites are 9-3 ATS L/12 versus the Big Ten. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 61-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Georgia to cover |
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12-31-21 | Clippers +6 v. Raptors | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
The Clippers are short handed because of injuries and covid but have some of the best chemistry in the entire NBA and bench depth and must be considered live dogs here vs a Toronto side that is a shell of itself at the moment because of covid protocols. LA CLIPPERS are 17-5 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 35-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons including 2-0 at Toronto. Take the points with the LA Clippers |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati +13.5 v. Alabama | 6-27 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
Cotton Bowl Classic - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Oh boy here I go Im going to bet against Nick Saban's Alabama. Im not only feeling brave, but confident. I know old Nick has a reputation as virtually unbeatable, but this is a big spread and the advantage must go to an undefeated side that has proven itself consistently against top tier opposition covering their L/7 vs above .900 opposition like Alabama. The Bearcats were also 7-0 ATS against above.500 foes this season. Bottom line: Cincinnatis D is very strong, even when considering this type of explosive offensive opposition. Note: The Bearcats own the No. 1 Team Passing Efficiency Defense, and rank No. 3 in the nation in Red Zone Defense. This Im betting keeps them competitive enough to get us the cover. CINCINNATI is 9-0 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons.CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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12-31-21 | Delaware v. College of Charleston -3 | 67-66 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-31-21 | Suns v. Celtics +4 | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
The Celtics have lost 3 straight games and are now in desperation mode and will prepared for a bounce back vs a top tier opponent . The Celtics also have the added motivation of revenging a loss to the Suns in the desert back on Dec 10th . Note: BOSTON is 11-1 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.BOSTON is 24-7 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA team (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 97-50 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (BOSTON) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 41-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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12-31-21 | Central Michigan +7 v. Washington State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 43 m | Show | |
Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl - El Paso, TX Im a fan of Central Michigan head coach Jim McElwain, who has a money making 12-5 SUATS  coming off a bye including 7-1 ATS run when coming off a victory. He has really put together a tough and explosive group together here with the Chips and deserves respect for his work and what is top tier preparation levels. They enter this game on a 4-0 SU/ATS run while averaging 41 points per game and Im betting will hang with their PAC 10 OPPONENTS . Pac-12’s sides like Washington State are 1-23 ATS in bowl games against opposition  coming off a win . C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS after a bye week over the last 3 seasons CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 39-20 ATS L/5 seasons for 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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12-31-21 | Rutgers v. Wake Forest OVER 61.5 | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
Gator Bowl - TIAA Bank Field - Jacksonville, FL Wake forest is one of the most explosive offensive teams in the nation averaging 41.2 ppg while on defense in road games allowed an average of 38.7 ppg. Meanwhile, Rutgers despite of their overall numbers have shown some offensive flashes of brilliance scoring 38 points on Indiana a month ago and are capable of putting points on the board in this type of non conference game. You cannot properly prepare for a team like Wake Forest on short notice especially from a defensive standpoint, which has me believing that the Demon Deacons will bring down the hammer here in a big way, while Rutgers will have no choice but to open up offensively against a D that is pedestrian to say the least. WAKE FOREST is 6-0 OVER  after a bye week over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 86.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-30-21 | Canucks +120 v. Kings | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
The Canucks have won 7 straight games and despite of playing last night should still be fresh enough tonight in LA vs the Kings considering the long covid lay off they were on. Meanwhile, the Kings took it on the chops in their first game back losing by a 6-3 count to Vegas and look like vulnerable favorites here tonight vs a red hot opponent, that has won 4 straight on the road and 6 straight meetings in this series overall. Kings are 4-12 in their last 16 vs. Western Conference. Kings are 3-7 in their last 10 home games. Play on Vancouver to win |
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12-30-21 | Arizona State v. Wisconsin -6.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
The Badgers looked strong down the stretch winning 7 of their L/8 games and deserve respect here vs Arizona State tonight . I know ASU have been strong defensively, but the Badgers are from a conference with some hardcore top tier defenses, and wont be phased . With that said, I really feel the Badgers have an edge, on both sides of the ball. The Badgers have only failed to cover 1 of their L/7 postseason tilts . From a historical view: Vegas Bowl has seen the favorites, cash 7 of the L/10 times. Wisconsin has won 7 of their L/8 Bowl games SU. Note: [RB] 12/09/2021 - Rachaad White is OUT Thursday vs Wisconsin ( Personal ) CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 61-30 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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12-30-21 | Tarleton St v. Dixie State UNDER 133 | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-21 | South Alabama v. Texas-Arlington +3 | 87-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-21 | Cavs +4 v. Wizards | 93-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Both sides are expected to be short handed tonight because of covid protocols, but based on bench depth, G-league signings and who is left to play, the Cavaliers are the superior side, which according to my projections makes getting points a advantageous situation. Wizards are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. CLEVELAND is 10-2 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring 108 points/game this season.CLEVELAND is 15-2 ATS  after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. NBA team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 11-37 L/5 seasons for a 77% go against conversion rate. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 159-243 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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12-30-21 | 76ers v. Nets -4.5 | 110-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has won 6 of its L/7 games overall, and have covered 4 of their L/5 meetings the 76ers. Meanwhile, I know the Sixers have won 3 of their L/4 overall and have won 3 straight road games, but despite of the current positive traveling data, do not matchup well here vs what my projections say is the superior side. With Kevin Durant expected to play tonight for the Nets, laying a little lumber here is a solid investment option. Note: From a SRS perspective the Sixers own a 16th ranking in the league (0.17) while the Nets are ranked 7th with at (2.75). Advantage Sixers with home court edge added in. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average BROOKLYN is 14-2 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS  off a road win this season.PHILADELPHIA is 12-25 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a poor offensive team (104-108 PPG), after scoring 120 points or more are 88-16 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at.+9 ppg, which qualifies on this ATS Line. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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12-30-21 | Old Dominion v. Florida International | 82-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -3 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Peach Bowl - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA Pitt won’t have their super star QB Kenny Pickett tonight as he opts out to to prepare for the NFL draft while Michigan State won’t have their prize RB Kenneth Walker III in the lineup. But like I have said many times before RBs are easily replaced , while big time QBs are not easily replaced. Advantage Michigan State. Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games. Big 10 have owned the ACC in bowl games, going  7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Michigan State to cover |
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12-29-21 | Mavs v. Kings +2.5 | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Dallas key component Luka Doncic is downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Sacramento ( Quarantine ) and there are more players being added as I write this. Advantage goes to home side Sacramento. DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 43-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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12-29-21 | Jazz v. Blazers +7 | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Key component for the Jazz Donovan Mitchell will be out tonight. I know their are missing bodies for the Blazers, but Im expecting a strong effort from the entire group in revenge mode for a DD loss the team suffered back on Nov.29th . NBA Underdogs (PORTLAND) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 34-8 L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Portland to cover |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma OVER 60.5 | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
These two teams are explosive offensively and not so strong from a defensive standpoint. Oregon has averaged 31.4 ppg on offense this season while allowing 30.3 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has averaged 38.4 ppg on offense while allowing a average of 33.2 ppg on the road. With that said Im expecting a back and forth affair that should be highly entertaining and high scoring. Im projecting both sides score above the 28 point level - Note: OKLAHOMA is 9-0 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 77.8 ppg scored. OREGON is 9-1 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 69.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. Over is 5-1 in Sooners last 6 vs. Pac-12. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OKLAHOMA OREGON) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 32-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-29-21 | Lakers +6 v. Grizzlies | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are off a hard fought 3 game road trip vs the Suns , Kings and Warriors and are now in a physical and emotional letdown situation here in their first game back home. After road trips like this it takes teams time to get use to home cooking again, and and jet lag will be have an effect on the Grizzlies over all performance. I know the Lakers played last night, but they looked like they have some swagger back after a conclusive road win which will suit them well here in Memphis tonight. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 31-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 75-39 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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12-29-21 | Memphis -9.5 v. Tulane | 84-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-29-21 | Hofstra v. William & Mary +14.5 | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-29-21 | Seton Hall +115 v. Providence | 65-70 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Home teams as an underdog or pick (PROVIDENCE) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, playing with 7 or more days rest are 4-23 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. |
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12-29-21 | LSU v. Auburn -4 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LSU) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 7 or more consecutive wins are 3-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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12-29-21 | Long Island v. Sacred Heart -2.5 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB road team (LONG ISLAND) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-29-21 | Missouri +20.5 v. Kentucky | 56-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. KENTUCKY is 1-11 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons.KENTUCKY is 0-9 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite over the last 3 seasons.KENTUCKY is 10-23 ATS ( L/33 in home games versus struggling defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more since 1997. |
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12-29-21 | Iowa State v. Clemson UNDER 44.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Cheez-It Bowl - Camping World Stadium - Orlando, FL Iowa States main mode of moving the ball has been through their super star RB Breece Hall who is out as he opts to skip this bowl game as he prepares for the NFL draft. The Cyclones will replace their RB but wont have nearly the success rate needed to get into position for scores which Im betting will mute their offensive output. Meanwhile, Clemson has had problems scoring all season long, but have shown that their D is of the top tier variety. Considering the above mentioned facts and scenarios a lower scoring affair should be expected. CLEMSON is 10-0 UNDER on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992. .Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 non-conference games.Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. Big 12. Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 games in December. Under is 8-3 in Tigers last 11 Bowl games. IOWA ST is 10-2 UNDER in a bowl game since 1992. Campbell is 10-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of IOWA ST. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (IOWA ST) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 25-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (IOWA ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 35-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-29-21 | DePaul v. Butler -120 | 59-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-29-21 | Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 139.5 | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-28-21 | Yale v. St. Mary's -12.5 | 60-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St.Mary's has been dominant at home so far this season going 8-0 with the average ppg diff clicking in at 18.5 ppg. Yale is just 2-5 on the season away, and a long way from home, in a unfriendly environment and at a big disadvantage vs a side that my projections estimate is the superior side. Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (YALE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 154-231 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Marys to cover |
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12-28-21 | Yale v. St. Mary's UNDER 130 | 60-87 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-28-21 | Cavs v. Pelicans +6 | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been playing better ball of late and just had a 4 game win streak end. Their chances of pulling off an upset are not particularly strong here as they face a superior Cavaliers side, but getting us the cover is however, a strong ;possibility based on their current momentum and team chemistry. Ill also add to that that this is the NBA and upsets are not out of the norm.  NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.Pelicans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 13-37 SU L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-28-21 | Lakers -5 v. Rockets | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Lakers are in a big time slump after suffering 5 straight losses, and are now very angry and in desperation mode as the media and management are becoming restless. Covid protocols have had an effect but overall team energy seems low. However, considering their predicament I expect the Lakers to dig deep here tonight and take out their frustrations on a Houston side that despite showing some signs of forward momentum are now slumping and back to playing a undisciplined form of hoops. Advantage Lakers.  HOUSTON is 1-12 ATS in home games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 16.1 ppg. HOUSTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.   Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest are 90-49 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors.  NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 31-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Lakers to cover |
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12-28-21 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 210.5 | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
The Raptors have gone over in 4 straight games, as they are playing a more wide open type of hoops at the moment, and as a result the defensive efforts have looked ugly as was the case last time out as they allowed 144 points in a loss. The Raptors now rank 20th overall in defensive rating at (110.3) and Im betting that wont get much better tonight. Meanwhile, the Sixers despite of their lower offensive output averages, matchup well here vs the Dinos D that is in a down mode at the moment and Im expecting they hit above their season averages. With that said Im expecting a combined score that eclipses this total. Over is 5-0-2 in 76ers last 7 games as a road favorite.Over is 4-1-1 in 76ers last 6 road games. Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-28-21 | Louisville v. Air Force +1.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Air Force as we know are going to pound the the ball via the run  behind an offense that averaged 341.4 YPG with their ground attack this season, and nothing will change today, vs a Louisville side that Im betting will have their hands full from the get go in this Bowl tilt. Note: Louisville ended their season on a down note getting pummeled 52-21 by Kentucky allowing 352 yards on the ground. LOUISVILLE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games off a home loss by 14 or more points. AIR FORCE is 7-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. this season. Note:Neutral field underdogs (AIR FORCE) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games are 31-8 L/29 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LOUISVILLE) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after out gaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9--31 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover |
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12-28-21 | Houston v. Auburn UNDER 51.5 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
Birmingham Bowl - Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL Houston was explosive this season offensively , but here against a SEC defense Im betting their offense will be muted. Remember this is a Tigers side that held Alabama to just 24 points. On the flip-side, the Auburn offense since Bo Nix went down, has been inconsistent and will have some issues here vs a Houston D that is allowing just 18.7 ppg in 9 games played on turf this season. AUBURN is 7-0 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 45.9 ppg. AUBURN is 6-0 UNDER  when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.1 ppg scored. Harsin is 18-2 UNDER (vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 45.4 ppg scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (HOUSTON) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 45-19 UNDER L/29 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-28-21 | Houston v. Auburn -2 | 17-13 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
Auburn gave a top tier Alabama team a decent battle losing by a 24-22 count to finish their season, and must be respected here against a Houston team that is talented but not of the same talent level as their SEC opponent . It will be the superior D, of the tigers that Im betting will be the difference maker. HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS L/12 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return .  Houston from a historical level is just 0-4 SUATS in the last four bowl appearances,. Also the AAC is a ugly 0-13 ATS as bowl pup of 7 or less points. Holgorsen is 6-21 ATS after a bye week in all games he has coached since 1992.Holgorsen is 2-10 ATS n December games in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Auburn to cover |
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12-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Suns OVER 220.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Memphis is on back to back games here tonight and Im betting they will be on tired legs and not ready to play hardcore defense against a Suns side that did not play well on Christmas day and will come out here spitting bullets in redemption mode. With that said, look for the Suns 4th best league offense, to explode in run and and gun style behind the 6th fastest pace. This will force the Grizzlies 5th ranked offense into having to open up or be blown off the court which will result in a combined score that eclipses this offered total. Over is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in road games off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with the combined average of 243.6 ppg scored. ( they smashed Sacramento last night by a 127-102 count) PHOENIX is 28-14 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-27-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Spurs | 110-104 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Jazz have revenge on board for a home loss suffered to the Spurs back on Dec 17th by a 128-126 count and now Im expecting they get their redemption. Previous to the above mentioned defeat the Jazz had won the L/3 meetings in this series by DDs.  UTAH is 37-20 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 1-12 ATS in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-18 ATS in home games off a home win over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 7-23 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 12-25 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 18-50 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 44-19 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Jazz are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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12-26-21 | Nuggets v. Clippers +4.5 | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Clippers are short handed because of injuries and covid protocols , but still have enough talent to put up a fight here vs the Nuggets and even possibly pull off the underdog victory SU. The Clippers are on three days rest and pulled off a victory as road pups at Sacramento before their rest and must not be underestimated. Note: Denver recently just lost to Oklahoma city and imploded against Charlotte last time out blowing a DD lead going into the final quarter and losing. Clippers are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Clippers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. LA CLIPPERS are 47-33 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. Nuggets are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 41-89 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clippers to cover |
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12-26-21 | Pacers v. Bulls OVER 217.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Indiana is banged up with key players not playing or less than 100%, but still have enough bench strength to be aggressive offensively tonight vs a Chicago side that is also short handed because of covid protocols and a key injury to Zach Lavine. The Bulls are also still capable of attacking but what seems missing of late from the Bulls is their ability to defend as they have allowed 107 or more points in 8 of their L/9 games, including 115, 118, 110, 118 points in their L/4 overall. With that said my projections estimate this line should be closer to 220 giving us a full possession of value to the OVER. Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games.Over is 10-4 in Pacers last 14 overall.  CHICAGO is 26-13 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Donovan is 113-79 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points in all games he has coached with a combined average of 218.7 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 57-24 OVER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHICAGO) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 70-37 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play OVER |
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12-26-21 | Grizzlies v. Kings +5 | 127-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Sacramento enters this home game well rested and fresh after 3 days off from the hardwood and Im betting they will present some problems in revenge mode for a Memphis side that has now lost three straight games. Note: Kings are 23-5 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Memphis put a beatdown, on a tired looking Kings team on the 17th of December which will have the Kings motivated for redemption . Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Play on Sacramento Kings |
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12-26-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +3.5 | 117-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The 76ers are consistently weak favorites as is evident by their  0-9 ATS mark in their last 9 games as a favorite and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite. I know the Wizards maybe without Bradley Beal tonight, but the line justification is off according to me making getting points a viable investment option. PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, on Sunday games are 35-13 L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Washington Wizards to cover |
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12-26-21 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 46.5 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs offense has been highly inconsistent this season, and have scored 20 or less points in 5 of their L/8 trips to the gridiron. Here today vs a KC side that is playing at a very high level behind a strong D, Im expecting another muted offensive effort from the Steelers. It must be noted that before their last outing where they allowed 28 points, the Chiefs had given up 17, 7,14, 9, 9, 9 points respectively. On the flip-side, the Steelers achilles heal has been their rush defense, and today I expect Reid and company to pound the ball in anticipation of an expected success rate, which in turn will eat plenty of clock time and help the combined score stay on the low side of the total.  Steelers have gone UNDER in 19 of their L/ 21 non-division away Tilts when the Total is set at  53 or less points. Under is 6-0-1 in Steelers last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. KANSAS CITY is 38-18 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points with a combined average of 39.7 ppg scored.  KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play this season with a combined average of 31.7 ppg scored. NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (PITTSBURGH) - after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game are 90-44 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.  Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Kansas City. Play the UNDER |
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12-26-21 | Lions +6.5 v. Falcons | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 49 h 14 m | Show | |
Jared Goff went 21-of-26 for 216 yards and three touchdowns in the Lions 30-12 win against the Arizona Cardinals last week as 13-point home underdog, which was the Lions 2nd victory in 3 games. Now with momentum on their sides, Im betting they once again stand tall against a Atlanta team that has not liked playing in their new digs , where they are 0-5 this season while averaging just 13.2 ppg in offense while allowing 28 ppg which clicks in at - 14.8 ppg diff. Nothing comes easy for the Falcons and if they break their home losing streak it wont come easily if at all which has me recommending we take the points here.  ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC. Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC and  are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover |
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12-26-21 | Jaguars +2 v. Jets | 21-26 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 2 m | Show | |
Ok Get ready this is a plug your nose special. Im betting the stench of the Urban Meyer experiment has cleared. With that said, Jacksonville will be ready to start a new chapter and in the short term at least show some motivational progress vs a Jets team that could also use some air freshener and a proverbial deep cleaning. Both these teams struggle to score, but the difference maker comes on defense where I feel the edge goes to the Jags . Note: Jacksonville is 8-0 ATS as a underdog against AFC East opposition , including 4-0 SUATS L/4. Jets are 3-10 ATS L/14 at home as 4 or less point home favs. NY JETS are 1-10 ATS L/10 in home games vs. struggling teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season.  NY JETS are 0-7 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. NY JETS are 4-16 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog. NFL team vs the money line (NY JETS) - bad team - outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more in 3 straight games are 3-25 L/5 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (NY JETS) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP) are 20-47 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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12-25-21 | Colts +1 v. Cardinals | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 35 h 27 m | Show | |
After a fast start to their season, the Cardinals are now just 3-4 SU/ATS L/7 and not in good form entering this tilt vs the under rated Colts. It seems ever since JJ Watt went down so did the chemistry of the Arizona defense. With some key injures on offense for the Cards ie( Hopkins), and a bruised and banged up QB Murray looking less than 100% the Colts look like a very viable option here behind star RB Johnathon Taylor. Im betting the Colts pound their way to a road win and continue their upward momentum after ending the Pats 7 game win streak last time out. Note: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Injury updates: Colts 3 of 5 starting offensive lineman will miss this game -Quinton Nelson (COVID list), Mark Glowinski (COVID list), and Ryan Kelly (personal)- which has moved this line . When handicapping this game 2 of these guys were part of my assessments . It must be noted that the replacements for the Colts are fresher, almost equally talented as the starters. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS  in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Reich is 11-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of INDIANAPOLIS. ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS  versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cardinals are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite.Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 2-37 L/38 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis to cover |
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12-25-21 | Nets v. Lakers UNDER 238 | 122-115 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
Covid protocols and injuries will effect this game greatly especially from a offensive standpoint, which Im betting results in a much lower scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. Regardless of GLeague signings Im betting cohesiv-ness will be an issue. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 30-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA LAKERS) - being called for 21 or less fouls/game on the season, on Saturday games are 44-18 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-25-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 215 | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Im betting on a hard fought play off type defensive affair tonight between two top tier opponents. The Suns are ranked 4th in ppg allowed defense, and the Warriors rank 1st in ppg defense in the league. Golden states road games have seen a combined average of 208.5 ppg scored while the Suns home tilts have seen a combined average of 216.1 ppg go on the board. Considering where this Totals line offering is at and basic math, a combined average score of 212 might be expected , which is what my projections have estimated. Of course its never easy estimating shooting efficiency and vise versa defensive efficiency , but usual average can be considered as well as the importance of the game from a one or more angles (seeding) and the types of systems both sides use. Both have been highly proficient at controlling offenses, and in a tilt that  you can bet will be physical to an extent. Note: Matchups with early start times (6 p.m. ET or before) for teams in the Pacific Division have gone 151-107-1 under  dating back to the 2005-2006 season for a 58% conversion rate. These teams have gone under in 8 of their L/9 meetings with the two most recent clashes seeing a combined average of 200 and 214 ppg go on the score board. PHOENIX is 7-0 UNDER vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 209.8 ppg scored.PHOENIX is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in home games after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more with a combined average of 189.5 ppg scored.  GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 210.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 10-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 12-0 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 209.5 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PP are 168-94 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-25-21 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Boston has played Milwaukee tough in the recent past and covered 7 straight meetings including the L/3 here in Wisconsin.note: Celtics are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and despite of some key missing players (ie Horford and Williams) they still have enough bench strength to hang here and get us the. cover. Boston grabbed a 122-113 overtime win at home versus Milwaukee in the teams' first meeting on Nov. 12. Take the points with the Celtics to cover |
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12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
Camellia Bowl - Cramton Bowl - Montgomery, AL Senior quarterback Drew Plitt Im betting will be the key for Ball State Cardinal on Christmas Day. He enters this game with a 124.9 quarterback rating while completing 60.5 % of his passes for 2,248 yards with 17 touchdowns . I know what perceptions are, but according to my cross conference power rankings Ball State matches up well vs Georgia State. BALL ST is 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. BALL ST is 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. CFB Underdogs of +155 to +300 vs. the money line (BALL ST) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in December games are 19-7 SU L/29 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALL ST) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 38-19 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ball State to cover |
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12-23-21 | Spurs v. Lakers | 138-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers have lost 3 straight games, and are short handed, but with Russell Westbrook and LeBron James available to play tonight, Im betting there is still enough talent to put forward a desperate effort from the home side, and subsequent win. -NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog are 4-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. (Lakers won both meetings this season home and away and the Spurs are off a 116-92 win vs the Clippers last time out, which has them qualifying on this long term trend) Note: The Spurs are 0-4 ATS L/5 off a ATS win. NBA Home favorites (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 326-223 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate.Â
Play on the LA Lakers to win |
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12-23-21 | BYU -5 v. Vanderbilt | 67-69 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BYU is 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-23-21 | Hornets v. Nuggets -2.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters this game exhausted as this is their 6th straight road game. Now on tired legs and playing in the Mile High city I can see the Hornets high octane attack sputtering and their usual lack of defence imploding. Meanwhile, Denver is off loss last time out, but this team under Malone does not take losing lightly as is evident by their  5-0 ATS mark in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Advantage Nuggets. Hornets are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Hornets are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Hornets are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. CHARLOTTE is 30-54 ATS in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996. DENVER is 54-31 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents since 1996. NBA team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 10-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite are 22-55 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate. Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. |
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12-23-21 | Wizards -1 v. Knicks | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
NYK and Washington have put forward disappointing seasons so far and both are operating at a low level of consistency. However according to my power rankings the Wizards matchup well against a short handed Knicks side that is  0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. as well as 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season. NBA Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 33-9 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Wizards are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in New York. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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12-23-21 | Hawks +9.5 v. 76ers | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The last time these teams met the Sixers took a 98-96 victory back on Dec 3rd and Im betting this tilt will also be fairly close as both play this game short handed because of COVID. Trae Young is expected back tonight for the Hawks, but even if he does not play this line still projects out to be slightly bloated. McMillan is 16-5 ATS off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite in all games he has coached. PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS off a road win this season. PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NBA Road teams (ATLANTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 45-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
Gasparilla Bowl - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL Florida melted in the Heat of Gainesville this fall. HC Mullen and the core of his assistants is gone, and were they're betting backers worst nightmare going 0-6 ATS down the stretch. On the flip-side HC Malzahn is experienced going against SEC sides, like Florida when he was with Auburn, so he wont feel overwhelmed by this sub standard group of Gators. Note: Malzahn 13-2 SU L/15 vs above .500 or less SEC opposition , including 7-1 SUATS on the road and get my support here getting points. FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UCF) - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season are 38-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on UCF to cover |
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12-23-21 | Fresno State +1.5 v. Weber State | 69-43 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-23-21 | Liberty +2.5 v. Stanford | 76-79 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Haase is 6-16 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. Cardinal are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. |
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12-23-21 | Miami-OH v. North Texas +2.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
This is like a defacto home game for North Texas as Denton is just down the highway from the Frisco Bowl( maybe in hr in traffic) With that said, the Mean Green enter this game with a lot of momentum as they finished their season on 6-0 SU/ATS run and must be respected here as what must be looked at as home underdogs. RedHawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.RedHawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. CUSA.RedHawks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.NORTH TEXAS is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse this season.NORTH TEXAS is 7-0 ATS after playing a conference game this season. Play on North Texas to cover |
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12-22-21 | San Diego +9 v. UNLV | 57-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UNLV is 0-7 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-22-21 | Missouri +6.5 v. Army | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX  The much maligned D of the Tigers actually matches up well against Army's smallish offensive line ( no one over 290 pounds). I know Missouri had problems slowing the run this season, but they do matchup well here according to power rankings. Meanwhile, Army's defensive line is a big strong group, but they are substantially slower than the Tigers offense, and Im betting they have problems slowing this superior athletic SEC group. I know the popular pick in Bowl season are military colleges behind their triple option, but this is just to big spread according to my projections making getting points here golden.Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. CFB Neutral field favorites vs. the money line (ARMY) - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 10-20 L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate. Play on Missouri to cover |
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12-22-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Hawks | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
 Atlanta is expected to be without Trae Young, the second-leading scorer in the NBA (27.3 points) which will effect the Hawks offensive flow. Meanwhile, Orlando played with a short roster on Saturday in an upset victory vs the Brooklyn Nets, which had 10 players in COVID protocol. The Magic continue to be short handed , but have momentum coming into this tilt. If this contest is not cancelled Im betting this game is much closer than anticipated. Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Hawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - struggling team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 33-9 ATS L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 44-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
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12-22-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Chattanooga OVER 139 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-22-21 | Clemson v. Virginia UNDER 120 | 67-50 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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12-21-21 | Pacers v. Heat +1.5 | 96-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Jimmy Butler is out for Miami tonight, but the Heat according to my power rankings have enough depth to deal with a Pacers team that is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this seasons. Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (104-108 PPG), after a combined score of 195 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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12-21-21 | San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
SAN DIEGO ST is 18-7 ATS in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTSA) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 19-45 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego State to cover |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams UNDER 46 | 10-20 | Win | 101 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
These divisional rivals have a recent history of fairly low scoring affairs as is evident by a 37.8 ppg combined score in their L/4 meetings overall. History does not always necessarily repeat itself but it does have a tendency to mimic it. LA RAMS are 7-0 UNDER  in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.9 ppg scored. SEATTLE is 7-1 UNDER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 37.6 ppg scored. Carroll is 16-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 41.1 ppg scored. Arizona has gone under in 13 of their L/14 in games in the 2nd of back to back road games. Rams have gone under in 6 of their L/7 after a MNF affair. Division games have a tendency of generally being hard fought conservative affairs late in the season usually from game 11 onward into the play offs ( line of 44.5 to 60) as is evident by a 225-143-5 UNDER run for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (SEATTLE) - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 39-14 L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing teams are 33-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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