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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-05-19 | Twins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Masahiro Tanaka (11-9, 4.45 ERA), the most successful postseason pitcher on New York's active roster, will start Game 2. He owns a stingy 1.50 ERA in five postseason starts. Meanwhile, the Twins will respond with Dobnak who made nine appearances in the regular season and posted a 1.86 ERA in his five starts. He last pitched on Sept. 25 in Detroit, when he allowed an unearned run on one hit in six innings. Dobnak's last three appearances were as a starting pitcher. Im betting on these solid pitchers and their respective bullpends to hold serve over the offences and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. TANAKA is 12-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored. NY YANKEES in 34 games at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season the average combined score clicked in at 8.7 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - top level team, winning 62% or more of their games on the season, in October games are 36-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 88-44UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-05-19 | Northwestern +7.5 v. Nebraska | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 76 h 43 m | Show | |
Nebraska a proverbial middle weight got flattened last week by a heavy weight in Ohio State in embarrassing fashion, at home in front of their own illumjini and will now have a hard time getting up of the matt without being a little wobbly. I know the Huskers are now in desperation mode , but with bruised egos and mediocre talent they will have their hands full again this week vs the Cats. . Northwestern has covered 4 straight in this series on the road and previous to last weeks hard fought loss at Wisconsin were riding a 8-game Big Ten road win streak and must not be underestimated in the visitors role. Note: Fitzgerald is 6-0 ATS in road games off a cover where the team lost as an underdog as the coach of NORTHWESTERN. Northwestern is also a perfect 12-0 ATSL/12 as conference road dogs winning 9 of those game SU. Northwestern to cover |
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10-05-19 | Ohio v. Buffalo +2.5 | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 127 h 19 m | Show | |
Last week the Buffalo Bulls looked like they were in a hang over spot when they faced Miami O on the road. Previous to that loss they beat up on a pretty good Temple team. Meanwhile Miami came out on fire, after being humiliated the week before 76-5 by Ohio State and were also getting some good breaks and calls from the officials. Now with that game behind them the Bulls come home to take on the Ohio Bobcats, a team Im betting they matchup very well against. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulls are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bulls are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.Bulls are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings and Ohio is 0-4 ATS L/4 visits to Buffalo. BUFFALO is also 6-0 ATS in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.OHIO U is 2-13 ATS L/15 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). CFB road team vs. the money line (OHIO U) - off a big upset loss by 17 points or more as a favorite, a su bar performing team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 1-26 SU l/10 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) - after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Buffalo to cover |
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10-05-19 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -13 | 42-35 | Loss | -114 | 127 h 19 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech comes off a Friday night home game last week where they were dominated by the Duke Blue Devils and now this week Im betting they get their proverbial butts handed to them again. HC Fuentes Hokies just don't have a viable recruiting program any more and the talent levels are beginning to suffer, and that will become evident as this season progresses. Here on the road vs Miami look for the Canes top tier D that is holding opposing teams to just 16 PPG on defense and an efficient offence that is producing 31 PPG to dominate on both sides of the line of scrimmage . The wild card here belongs to the Canes behind QB Jarren Williams (1,027 yards, 7 TD) who is fast improving game changer with a high potential outlook. Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Hokies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Hokies are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Hokies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Hokies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. CFB Favorites of -425 or higher vs. the money line (MIAMI) - after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 44-1 SU L/27 seasons for a 98% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21+ ppg. Miami Fl to cover |
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10-05-19 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 44.5 | 25-34 | Loss | -109 | 92 h 38 m | Show | |
When Military academies go head to head its almost guaranteed your going to see a low scoring hard hitting battle. Run baby run, and lots of clock time getting eaten way. Is the mantra of the day. When Military academies have played against each other of late the UNDER has been predominant sinnce the 2006 campaign cashing 34 of the 42 times for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-05-19 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois -4 | 27-20 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
The Bronze Stalk Trophy is up for grabs when these two MAC rivals go head to head here this Saturday. The Huskies are 17-3 L/20 in this series SU including 10 straight SU and get my support here again. I know NIU has suffered three straight road losses against P5 opponents, but now Im betting being home and facing a team more on their own level that they have an edge behind a top tier D. BALL ST is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.N ILLINOIS is 30-15 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). Play on Northern Illinois to cover |
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10-05-19 | Air Force v. Navy +3.5 | 25-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Im betting on these two grounds attacks pounding away on each other today in a hard fought battle until the very end. AIR FORCE is 0-6 ATS after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Calhoun is 11-21 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry as the coach of AIR FORCE. Road favorites (AIR FORCE) - excellent rushing team (230 or more RY/G) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (100 or less RY/game), after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games are 8-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-05-19 | TCU +3.5 v. Iowa State | 24-49 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 56 m | Show | |
The Frogs are 6-2 L/8 in this series SU and are 40-15 on the road since 2009. That’s the third-most road wins in the country. Note: TCU freshman quarterback Max Duggan is going home. He was Iowa’s Gatorade Player of the Year in 2018 and he will be motivated to shine here today. Yes, this will be a hard fought game, but the difference maker will be TCUS ferocious ground attack which will make taking points golden. CFB home team (IOWA ST) - after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games are 4-30 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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10-05-19 | Iowa +4 v. Michigan | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
Im a big fan of Iowas HC Kirk Ferentz’. He has assembled a hard nosed blue collar D that is allowing just 8.5 PPG and must be respected vs a Michigan team that continues down trending. Harbaugh versus undefeated opponents, is 0-8 ATS in the last eight games overall. Michigan is just 4-10 ATS L/10 at home as 9 point or less favs. CFB Road underdogs (IOWA) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG), after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game are 32-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 38-12 L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. |
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10-04-19 | New Mexico +7 v. San Jose State | 21-32 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
San Jose State has not been favored in a few years stretching back 27 games, and despite of being an improved football program of late, they just don't deserve such a lofty chalk status. The Spartans average 71 plays per game and just 5.79 yards per play and after watching alot of their highlights just do not look like they have the guns to do a great deal of damage against a ugly New Mexico D. Yes, I know the San Jose State beat Arkansas but that was because of some huge offensive plays and not consistent vertical ball movement. Meanwhile, the Lobos can move the ball, but so far their red zone efficiency has been lacking, something I also bet will come to end here tonight against the Sparties. NEW MEXICO is 45-27 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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10-04-19 | Maple Leafs -148 v. Blue Jackets | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets, lost their leading scorer, Artemi Panarin, starting goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky and trade-deadline acquisition Matt Duchene as free agents during the offseason and are no longer as dangerous looking as they were last season. Meanwhile, Toronto looks to be playing with a real chip on their shoulder after being eliminated in the first round of the play offs last season, and Im betting will continue some upward momentum behind a strong start. Bottom line is here, there is just to much firepower in the Leafs lineup for the Jackets to deal with. Maple Leafs are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite and are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a favorite and get the nod here again tonight in Columbus. Play on the Maple Leafs to win on the ML |
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10-04-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Flaherty enters the playoffs with back-to-back scoreless trips to the hill and has garnered an amazing 0.91 ERA in his last 15 starts, and Im betting he goes deep here today for the Cardinals and help limit the Braves overall offensive production in game 2. He faced the Braves twice this season, going 1-0 with 2.25 ERA. FLAHERTY is 7-0 UNDER in road games in day games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter here in game two of this series, enters this tilt in sizzling form since being recalled on Aug. 5 where over his last seven starts, he has recorded a very stingy 1.73 ERA. ATLANTA in their L/123 home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better have seen a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in October games are 77-37 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better ) (NL), after 4 straight games where they committed no errors. are 83-38 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, in October games are 114-55 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-04-19 | Blackhawks v. Flyers UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
Scoring was not Chicago's problem last season, but the Blackhawks allowed the second most goals in the NHL, but their defensive play was an issue that is being addressed . The arrival of G Lehner from the Islanders as well as a more pronounced defensive attitude should improve those numbers dramatically. Tonight Im betting that the Blackhawks will have problems penetrating the back of the net vs G Carter Hart, who posted a 2.83 goals-against average and .917 save percentage during his rookie season, and for the Flyers to not find alot of room on the ice vs a group that says its dedicated to playing much better D. The last 4 meetings in this series have stayed under the total. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Coyotes v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona could not consistently score last season, and despite of adding Phill Kessel still dont have alot of offensive weapons, and will once again have to lean on their solid D, and goaltending to guide them through the season. The Coyotes return G Kuemper who posting a sizzling 22-9-6 record with a 2.05 goals-against average in his last 37 decisions. The 6-foot-5,back stop is expected to share goaltending duties with Antti Raanta, who is returning from knee surgery. Meanwhile, the Ducks are a squad that struggled to score goals (2.43 per game) and is in the midst of transition and Im betting continue to have trouble putting the biscuit in the back of the net this season. Their top goalie Gibson recorded a 26-22-8 record with two shutouts, a 2.84 goals-against average and .917 save percentage in 2018-19 and is capable of better numbers. Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference. Under is 12-2 in Coyotes last 14 vs. Western Conference.Under is 37-18-3 in Ducks last 58 vs. Pacific. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks -1.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 48 m | Show | |
Im betting Pete Carrolls Seahawks who are off a easy dd win last week vs Arizona will be primed for a big time effort here vs a reeling St.Louis team that was pounded 55-40 last week by TB at home. It must be noted this is the Seahawks first time playing here at CenturyLink Field after losing their first game ever game in September in front of their home town fans so their is definitely a motivation factor here at work today. Defending Super Bowl losers like the Rams against opposition like Seattle coming off a double-digit victory, are 2-15 SU when the defending finals group are off an ATS loss in their last game. Seattle QB Russell Wilson, is 12-1-1 ATS in his NFL career in tilts against opposition coming off a SU favorite loss including 9-0 ATS when they are chalk of 5 points or less in those games. SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 2 seasons. Carroll is 7-0 ATS when playing on a Thursday as the coach of SEATTLE. LA RAMS is 8-20 ATS L/28 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or kore yards/game. LA RAMS is 7-24 ATS L/31 after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. NFL Home teams (SEATTLE) - after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 24-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 49.5 | 29-30 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
After giving up 55 points last time out to Tampa Bay in a loss the Rams will be ready to slow things down and get back to playing hardcore defence. Meanwhile, Seattle almost always fields a tough D, as was the case when they allowed just 265 yards to New Orleans in their last home game which some how ended in a loss. Im betting they will be even more diligent and conservative here in their return home as they look to protect the ball from turnovers. This above projected combination of projected game plan scenarios, makes for a viable under wager. Carroll is 11-3 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games as the coach of SEATTLE with a combined average of 38 ppg going on the score board. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 51-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (SEATTLE) - with a poor passing D - allowing 230 or more passing yards/game, after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 35-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Temple v. East Carolina UNDER 48 | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Temple's 19th ranked overall D showed how elite their defence can be last week when they stopped Georgia Tech cold in a 24-3 win and Im betting they slow East Carolinas improving but not quite ready for prime time attack here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: TEMPLE is 16-4 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 45 ppg scored. All of East Carolinas 5 games have stayed on the low side of the total this season and in their 2 home games have allowed an average of 8 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (E CAROLINA) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in conference games are 41-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-03-19 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 9 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 1 Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (9-14, 4.16 ERA) vs. Braves LH Dallas Keuchel (8-8, 3.75) Cards starter Mikolas, is 4-8 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 17 road starts. Im betting he has his hands full with the Braves offence that leads the NL in runs scored, and is fourth in batting average and homers. MIKOLAS is 13-4 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. Meanwhile, his Braves pitching opponent lefty Dallas Keuchel enters post season play having allowed 11 earned runs in 16 innings across his final three regular-season outings and his current form looks vulnerable. The Cards have done their best work against LHP this season averaging 5.6 rpg and Im betting they do some damage here again vs a southpaw hurler. Both sides have average bullpens with home /away splits in the 4.00 ERA range. ST LOUIS is 15-4 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 13-3 OVER in home games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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10-02-19 | Capitals v. Blues -140 | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 31 h 2 m | Show | |
The St.Louis Blues were improbable NHL Stanley Cup Champs last season, and Im betting they start out on the right foot here this Wednesday night in their opening game of the season. These teams for the most part, have the same rosters as last season. But the key to this game is a injured Alex Ovechkin is "?" Wednesday vs St. Louis ( Lower Body ). Ifhe plays at all he will be less than 100% giving the Blues not only home ice advantage but a overall advantage. Last season the Blues defense allowed the third-fewest shots against per game and the fifth-fewest goals against and this will once again be the key to success here in game 1 of the new season. Capitals are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog and are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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10-02-19 | Rays v. A's -134 | 5-1 | Loss | -134 | 37 h 30 m | Show | |
AL Wild Card Game CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L) Two solid pitchers and bullpens go head to head here as TB and Oakland go head to head in the wildcard game. However, Im betting the difference maker will be home field advantage for the Athletics where they are 52-27 this season. Note: Rays are 31-66 in their last 97 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff games. MORTON the Rays starter is 5-13 against the money line vs. Lower tier speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MANAEA the As starter is 20-5 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Athletics are 10-3 in their last 13 games following an off day.Athletics are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. American League East.Athletics are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML |
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10-02-19 | Rays v. A's UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 36 h 21 m | Show | |
TB starter Morton is a big time curveball pitcher. It's his most-used pitch, and hitters are batting .151 with 136 strikeouts against it. The A's haven't hit curveballs very well this season . The As own . .211 team batting average against curves ranks 23rd in MLB and Im betting they do limited damage here tonight. The righty allowed one run over 13 1/3 innings (0.68 ERA) vs. Oakland in two starts this year and has a 2.97 ERA vs. the A's in his career. Meanwhile, the A's starter Manaea been dominant and healthy since his return, as he finishes his abbreviated 2019 season with a 1.21 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and 30/7 K/BB ratio across 29 2/3 innings of work and will Im betting be every bit as strong as his pitching opponent Morton. Both are backed by top 5 bullpens and generally average offences, which gives credence to my under call here in this Wild card game. OAKLAND in 27 games at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season have seen a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Athletics last 6 overall.Under is 5-0-1 in Athletics last 6 playoff home games. Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Oakland.Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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10-01-19 | Brewers +165 v. Nationals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Im betting the Brewers experience in last seasons play offs will aid them here tonight.Milwaukee went 20-7 in September and almost caught the Cards and enter this Wild Card game with momentum and confidence.The Brewers according to my projections match up well against the Nationals as was evident when they took 4 of 6 meetings this year. SCHERZER the Nats starter is 1-7 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Max Scherzer is 3-10 SU in postseason play, dating back to 2011, losing four games in a row and all three of his starts with the Nationals. Nationals are 2-5 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Nationals are 1-8 in Scherzers last 9 starts during game 1 of a series. MILWAUKEE is 20-6 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season.Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. WOODRUFF the Brewers starter is 12-1 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 16-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 9-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)Brewers are 4-0 in Woodruffs last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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10-01-19 | Sun v. Mystics OVER 170.5 | 99-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a fast paced 95-86 tilt that Washington won in game 1 of this series. Im betting on more of the same high octane action here in game 2 and a combined score that eclipses the total. Note : Washington has set the pace in all its home games this season, averaging 93+ ppg per game, and if Connecticut has any chance of being competitive here they will have to answer with some offensive fireworks of their own. WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER in home games vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored. CONNECTICUT is 7-0 OVER vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997 with a combined average of 173.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-30-19 | Bengals v. Steelers -3 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show | |
The Bengals enter this Monday night game looking very inconsistent this season which is not a good omen for them as they go against a Pittsburgh Steelers franchise that has dominated them. The Bengals have lost eight straight and 11 of 12 against their AFC North rival Steelers and are just 6-15 in prime-time games since 2011, including 2-5 on Monday night. Im betting more of the same misery awaits them is in this spot. I know the Steelers will be playing without their veteran QB Roethisberger but in my own betting opinion his back up Mason Rudolph is more than capable of getting the job done here tonight. NFL Underdogs or pick (CINCINNATI) - excellent offensive team (5.8 or more YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (5.8 or more YPP), after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 104 h 0 m | Show | |
Teddy Bridgewater looks just fine replacing super star QB Drew Bree's in last weeks road win vs Seattle. The Saints QB is now 24-7 ATS as a starter in the NFL, including 17-2 ATS in non-division tilts and Im betting he responds well here at home in the friendly confines of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Note: . HC Sean Payton has seen his teams thrive against non-division opposition like the Cowboys coming off a double-digit win, going 21-5-1 ATS in his NFL career, including a perfect 8-0 ATS in games when coming off a SU underdog victory. The Saints are 12-1 SU and 13-0 ATS L/13 at home during the regular season against .800 or greater opponents. NFL Road favorites (DALLAS) - with an excellent offense - averaging 5.7 or more yards/play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 9-31 ATS L/36 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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09-29-19 | Seahawks -4.5 v. Cardinals | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 81 h 31 m | Show | |
Last week Seattle's QB Russell Wilson. threw for 406 yards and four touchdowns and the Seahawks out yarded Saints 515-265) and still lost in a ugly looking contest at home, a place Pete Carrolls troops usually flourish. Now in a focused bounce back situation Im betting the Seahawks come out and take care of business vs a over matched Arizona side that is depending way to much on a rookie QB Kyler Murray’(0-2-1) to get things done. The lines makers believe the Seahawks are the superior side and I agree they have a very high probability of winning here and covering . Note: In the Cardinals last 39 home losses they are a astonishing 1-36-2 ATS. ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.7. Play on the Seattle Seahawks to cover |
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09-29-19 | Bucs v. Rams UNDER 50 | 55-40 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 22 m | Show | |
The Rams held the Saints to only nine points in their first home game this season and they were all over Drew Bree's and he finally got injured and left the game. This Rams pass rush is vicious and against a TB front 7 that allowed James Winston to be sacked 4 times last week, things won't get much better here and as a result of my prognosis Im betting the Bucanners point production will also take a hit. Note:The Buccaneers a have gone under 9 straight times off a home defeat that saw their QB sacked four or more times with a combined average of 33.6 ppg scored with the highest output coming in at 45 points. I also expect the Rams to be methodical in their approach as they look to keep Jeff Goff healthy and protected from an improving TB pass rush that has 5 sacks last week vs the Giants and for RB Todd Gurley to participate more than he did in last weeks game vs the Browns where he was targeted just once. This combination Im betting will lead to a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. NFL team against the total (LA RAMS) - a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 68-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-29-19 | Reds v. Pirates +111 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Reds starter Tyler Mahle (2-12, 5.34 ERA, 124 SO ) has made five career starts vs. the Pirates, posting an 0-3 record with a 4.61 ERA. Its been a tough campaign for Mahle and Im betting nothing changes here this afternoon in this finale. Reds are 2-14 in Mahles last 16 road starts.Reds are 1-8 in Mahles last 9 starts vs. National League Central.Reds are 0-7 in Mahles last 7 Sunday starts. Meanwhile,Trevor Williams (7-8, 5.52 ERA, 108 SO)is capable of ending the Pirates' disappointing season on a high note as he starts the finale at PNC Park. He's coming off a solid start, as he held the Brewers to two runs on three hits (two homers) in five efficient innings his last time out and has momentum entering this tilt. Pirates are 14-2 in Williams' last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 20-7 in Williams' last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 9-4 in Williams' last 13 home starts Pirates are 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts vs. Reds.Pirates are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 home starts vs. Reds. Reds are 0-5 in Mahles last 5 starts vs. Pirates. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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09-29-19 | Redskins +3 v. Giants | 3-24 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 7 m | Show | |
I know that if you watched the Redskins last Monday night, you might feel squeamish about pulling the trigger on them here. That was truly a horrendous effort in prime time as they were down 28-0 at the half before finally losing 31-15 . However, Im now betting this Skins team wants to make amends for being embarrassed in front the of the nation and will come out here with their proverbial hair on fire. Hey guys I know their is a love fest going on around NYG new QB Daniel Jones,but operating without star all purpose RB Saquon Barkley who is out for 6 to 8 weeks will hinder him going forward as will a Giants secondary that is getting torched on a regular basis. With that said Ill recommend you Plug your nose and take the points. It must be noted that Washington is a perfect 8-0 ATS on the road after a SU and ATS home loss winning 7 of those game SU with the only loss coming in OT by a FG. NY GIANTS are 1-11 ATS in home games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game which was the case agains the TB Bucs last week.NY GIANTS are 0-8 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NFL Favorites (NY GIANTS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Redskins to cover |
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09-28-19 | UCLA v. Arizona -7 | 17-20 | Loss | -114 | 86 h 54 m | Show | |
Ive seen some crazy occurrences over the years, but witnessing the Bruins come from behind win against No. 19 Washington State last week was one of the all time gridiron freak shows that I can recollect . The Bruins came back from a 49-17 deficit by scoring 50 points in the second half to pull off a miraculous 67-63 victory despite of allowing 720 yards in offence. A 6-1 turnover ratio was the difference maker. It was the 3rd largest comeback win ever in NCAA history, and now Im betting on Chip Kelleys Bruins team being in a major let down situation and now going against a side that will be fired up with revenge on board for last seasons 31-30 loss to the Bruins . The Wildcats when playing off a by bye week against an opponent coming off a SUATS victory are 9-0 SU and 8-0-1 ATS at home last 9 opportunities. I know alot of pundits think that UCLA might be turning a corner , after that last effort but if you look at the stats and slash lines for the Bruins, its obvious despite of last weeks crazy performance that this is highly not a probable hypothesis. UCLA is 8-20 ATS L/28 in road games after scoring 42 points or more last game . UCLA is 7-19 ATS in road games against teams who force 2.5 or more turnovers/game on the season. Sumlin is 12-3 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less) in all games . Sumlin is 21-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog are 27-6 ATS L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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09-28-19 | A's v. Mariners +164 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Mariners starter Marco Gonzales (16-12, 4.09 ERA, 143 SO) has posted career highs in wins (16), starts (33) and innings (196). The 27-year-old lefty closes out his season against the A's team that he beat in Tokyo on Opening Day in March. Gonzales is 3-1 with a 4.00 ERA in four starts vs. Oakland this year and gets my support on a value line here tonight.the Mariners snapped a four-game losing streak yesterday by upsetting the As, a side that could be looking ahead to their wildcard game next week. As for the Mariners their still playing hard . QUOTE:"Our guys have a lot to play for, too, trying to prove themselves," Seattle manager Scott Servais said. "It's nice for those guys to get the results like that." END QUOTE. Athletics are 1-6 in their starters Andersons last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mariners are 6-1 in Gonzales' last 7 home starts. MLB Home teams (SEATTLE) - allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 116-75 L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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09-28-19 | Colorado State v. Utah State -23.5 | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Utah State has been merciless against opponents at home of late as is evident by the following trend. This team does not take their foot off the pedal in start to finish wipeout wins. Note: UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 40.6 ppg. Utah State after playing against a staunch San Diego State D, will be ready to explode offensively against a Colorado State side allowing more than 40 ppg on the season. As far a s aback door cover , I doubt the banged up Rams who are expected to play without their top RB Marvin Kinsey (shoulder) and QB Colin Hill (ACL) this week to be much of a threat. Utah State is 17-0-1 ATS L/18 as a favorite of at least three points facing a team averaging at least 30 points per game with the L/5 wins coming by margins of 55,39,39,42,31 points. Play on Utah State to cover |
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09-28-19 | Ohio State -17 v. Nebraska | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 130 h 58 m | Show | |
An explosive looking Ohio State heads to Lincoln to go against up trending but not quite ready for prime time Nebraska. The Buckeyes are coming off a merciless clobbering ,over Miami (Ohio) at home by a 76-5 count . Ohio State has looked like a championship calibre team behind Quarterback Justin Fields who is already making a strong case for the Heisman Trophy and here today vs a Nebraska team that has been in close affairs vs much lesser sides, Im expecting a beatdown by the away side, as this tilt progresses. My own projections estimate a 20+ point win by the Buckeyes, making this a viable side option backing Ohio State. NEBRASKA is 1-9 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CFB road team (OHIO ST) - allowing 200 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road favorites of -425 or higher vs. the money line (OHIO ST) - after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 44-1 SU with the average ppg diff of +23.1 ppg going on the board. CFB Road favorites (OHIO ST) - after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game are 52-17 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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09-28-19 | Kentucky v. South Carolina -2.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 37 h 25 m | Show | |
The Kentucky Wildcats are suffering with QB injuries as both their starters QB Terry Wilson and Sawyer Smith are injured or less than 100%. Bob Stoops troops can still play top tier D, but having their offence limited thanks to their QB issues makes them fade material here vs South Carolina this week. The Cats are 0-10 ATS versus conference foes when coming off a double- digit loss . KENTUCKY is 20-36 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play since 1992. South Carolina to cover |
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09-28-19 | Braves +103 v. Mets | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Braves starting hurler has been top form of late and was brilliant on Sept. 20 against San Francisco, allowing three hits in eight shutout innings as the Braves clinched the NL East. Foltynewicz is now 6-0 with a 2.35 ERA with opposition batting orders hitting just .211 against him in nine starts since being recalled on Aug. 6. The righty hurler owns a a 1.49 ERA in his last seven starts and gets my support here today. Note: Mets starter Matz has seen his team lose his L/4 start vs the Braves.MATZ is 1-10 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)Mets are 0-6 in Matzs last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. FOLTYNEWICZ is 9-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) and is 8-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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09-28-19 | Kansas State +5 v. Oklahoma State | 13-26 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 29 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State is off an emotional hard fought affair that they lost to Texas last week and could now easily be in an emotional letdown spot . It must be noted that Cowboys HC Mike Gundy is 1-3 ATS as a favorite versus undefeated Big 12 opposition and 1-5 ATS as conference home favorite of 9.5 points or less. Oklahoma State is built to run and gun through with their efficiency leaning on their air attack which is not a good omen here vs a Kansas State side, with a top tier defensive secondary that is ranked 2nd in the nation, allowing just 118.7 YPG. HC Chris Kleiman is on a 24-0 SU road run dating back to his days with NDSU and knows how to get his troops prepared to play on the road. OKLAHOMA ST is 8-21 ATS vs. dominant ball control teams, 32 or more minutes TOP, 21 or more FD's per game. CFB Home favorites (OKLAHOMA ST) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 26-60 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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09-28-19 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State OVER 59.5 | 13-26 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 60 m | Show | |
Last week vs Texas Oklahoma State showed me two things. One their offence remains very viable and No.2 their defence is horrendous. This week against a under rated Kansas State offence Im betting they get torched and that they have no choice but to open up with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game i have projected to go over the total. This line is actually as low as it is because of the lines-makers respect the Kansas State D esecially the secondary, and their propensity to eat cock time via a top tier run game, but the Cowboys can score against the best of defences. My projections estimate both sides will score more than 28 points. Note: KANSAS ST is 57-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points since 1992 with the combined average score of 75.3 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA ST is 11-1 OVER in home games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 season with a combined average of 79.5 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 OVER vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or kore rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 89 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att with a combined average of 70 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 OVER in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 85.4 ppg scored. Oklahoma State is 15-0 OVER L/4 seasons at home when they allowed at least 28 points last game with the average combined score of 81.8 ppg going on the board. Every game surpassed todays total, with the smallest out put clicking in at 69 combined points. Play OVER |
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09-28-19 | Louisiana Tech -8.5 v. Rice | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 10 m | Show | |
LA Techs Skip Holtz despite of not getting alot of respect as a favourite in the recent past is now 2-0 ATS as chalk this season so far and Im betting he makes it 3 in a row here this Saturday vs Rice a football program with no recent tradition of winning as is evident by 6 victories in the last 3 seasons combined. The Owls had alot of players back from last season, but that does not mean much considering their previous performances. So far this season Rice is just 0-4 SU losing the stats battle all 4 times. Louisiana Tech’s has owned this series of late going a perfect 5-0 SU with the average margin of victory coming by 48 PPG and Im betting on another big time win here this Saturday. Rice is 0-7 ATS as dogs of less than 17 points versus team with a record of .600 or better. LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS against teams who commit 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season.LOUISIANA TECH is 7-0 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons. LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. CFB road team (LOUISIANA TECH) - good team (outgain opp. by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP) against a struggling team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-1 SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.1 . Play on LA Tech to cover |
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09-28-19 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +7 | 41-16 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 48 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan has won 5 of their L/6 and on the radar of most CFL pundits as Grey Cup contenders. Because of this recency bias we get a good number to bet into here with a Toronto team that is a up trending side and that has been very competitive of late . The Argos deserve our respect on this line. SASKATCHEWAN is 18-37 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1996. Note: Three of the Roughriders four defeats this season have come away from Regina. SASKATCHEWAN is 2-17 ATS L/19 in road games versus poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 35-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover |
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09-28-19 | Cincinnati -3.5 v. Marshall | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 82 h 30 m | Show | |
I have alot of respect for both these football programs, but I feel Cincinnati is the superior side, yes even here in Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Add to that the motivation of the Bearcats wanting revenge for a embarrassing 38-21 loss to the Herd at home during the 2017 season, and we have a favourable situation laying lumber here with Luke Fickells Cincinnati. The Bearcats are also off a bye week and well rested, and will have a freshness edge vs a Marshall side that is just 0-5 ATS in their L/5 in back to back homes games which is the situation this Saturday. The key this week will be the ability of the Bearcats top tier front 7 to limit the Thundering Herds key mode of moving the ball ....which is their ground game. CFB home team (MARSHALL) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), in non-conference games are 21-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Bearcats to cover |
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09-28-19 | SMU v. South Florida +8 | 48-21 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 54 m | Show | |
Sonny dykes really has the SMU Mustangs playing good football, but after upsetting TCU 41-38 last week I can see his up-trending team being in a letdown situation vs a under rated opponent playing at home. I know Charlie Strong may not inspire bettors but according to my projections we have value with the rested home dog. Mustangs are just 3-12-1 SU and 3-13 ATS away when coming off a SU underdog win, including 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS in conference tilts. SMU is 2-15 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. Mustangs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Mustangs are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Bulls are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week. Play on the USF Bulls to cover |
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09-28-19 | Florida Atlantic +1 v. Charlotte | 45-27 | Win | 100 | 80 h 31 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantics Lane, Kiffin is 2-2 this season,. but Im betting they come out on top here today at Jerry Richardson Stadium as they have revenge on board for a 27-24 defeat vs Charlotte as a 16-point home favorite in the final game of the 2018 season, costing the Owls to become Bowl eligible . Kiffin owns an 8-3 ATS record when he has revenge on the road and with the fan base getting restless you can bet he will have his team revved up to perform this week. vOwls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. 49ers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games in September. CFB road team (FLA ATLANTIC) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (34 or more PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 38-6 SU L/27 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida Atlantic to cover |
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09-28-19 | Iowa State v. Baylor +3 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 78 h 44 m | Show | |
Matt Rhule's Baylor a side that has out yarded their opponents by 235 jpg is going to be really primed to pull of the underdog upset here at home vs visiting Iowa State where they are 5-0 ATS L/5 at home. Last season the Bears lost 28-14 on the road at Ames, and now with revenge on board should really be fired up to get some payback. Note: Teams in this series with revenge have cashed 10 of the L/12 opportunities. HC Rhule is 15-3 ATS L/18 against conference opposition like the Cyclones coming off a double-digit win.Rhule is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. in all games he has coached since 1992.Rhule is 11-1 ATS in home games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992. IOWA ST is 6-17 ATS in road games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BAYLOR) - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games are 32-9 ATS L/27 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baylor to cover |
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09-28-19 | Buffalo +2.5 v. Miami-OH | 20-34 | Loss | -112 | 122 h 38 m | Show | |
After being bruised and battered and humiliated by Ohio State last week Im betting Miami O, wont be in the best of spirits, as they face a Buffalo team entering this game with momentum and confidence after they themselves pummelled a very good Temple squad last week. CFB home team vs. the money line (MIAMI OHIO) - after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games is 3-33 SU L/10 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites (MIAMI OHIO) - after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game are 4-23 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team (BUFFALO) - after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after being outrushed by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games are 23-3 ATS L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Buffalo Bulls to cover |
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09-28-19 | Middle Tennessee State +24 v. Iowa | 3-48 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 59 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State started their season covering vs Michigan but last time out were blasted by DDs by a under rated Duke team. Now this week I look for the Blue Raiders to be capable underdogs vs a Iowa side that has a tendency of playing down to opponents, and is also looking ahead to playing the Michigan Wolverines next week. MIDDLE TENN ST is 27-13 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points and are 4-1 ATS L/5 non conference road dogs of 14 points or more. This selection is based on the mathematics of my projections vs this line. Play on the Middle Tenn State to cover |
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09-27-19 | Arizona State v. California OVER 41 | 24-17 | Push | 0 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
California Bears quarterback Chase Garbers, threw for four touchdowns and finished 23-of-35 for 357 yards in a big time performance. QUOTE: “Chase was awesome. That’s the best game he has played; it’s not even close,” Cal coach Justin Wilcox told reporters. END QUOTE: I know California has a reputation for playing top tier D with Wilcox at the helm the last few seasons, but now with momentum on his side I look for Garbers to be cut loose and for the offence to begin to be more potent. Meanwhile, Arizona State , a fast improving offensive line that has two freshmen on board. This group is giving alot of protection Freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels who threw for 345 yards and two touchdowns against Colorado and allowed the Sun Devils to be dangerous with play option modules, senior wideout Brandon Aiyuk, who had nine receptions for 122 yards and a TD and Eno Benjamin who had 83 yards and two TDs via the ground attack. Both sides are recognized as defensive teams, but both offences are improving and Im betting on more points here than the lines makers are anticipating. Note:The Sun Devils have scored in double figures in 123 straight games, which is the longest active streak in the nation. Over is 8-2 in Sun Devils last 10 Friday games.Over is 13-5 in Golden Bears last 18 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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09-27-19 | Indians v. Nationals -139 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Nats starter Austin Voth (1-1, 3.35 ERA, 39 SO)No young player in the Nats’ organization took a bigger step forward this season than Voth, who will likely enter the team’s postseason bullpen. In four games since coming off the injured list, Voth picked up where he left off, with a 2.12 ERA and 19 K's in 17 innings and he gets my support here today vs the Indians. Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall. Indians are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Indians are 18-46 in their last 64 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the ML |
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09-27-19 | Reds v. Pirates +140 | 5-6 | Win | 140 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Cincinnati right-hander Anthony DeSclafani (9-9, 3.84 ERA) is scheduled to face Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (4-6, 5.07 ERA).Against Cincinnati, Pittsburghs starter Brault is 4-0 with a 1.01 ERA in nine career games, three of them starts, and he carries a scoreless streak of 19 2/3 innings.The Reds are 0-9 on the Money line when Anthony DeSclafani starts when their opponent is averaging more than seven strike outs a game and they won his last start. In 12 career starts against Pittsburgh, he is 2-6 with a 4.27 ERA. CINCINNATI is 7-14 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Cincinnati (73-85) has lost four in a row and five of six and Pittsburgh (68-91) have won three straight, a sweep against the Cubs and get my support here today with momentum on their sides. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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09-27-19 | Duke +3 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 56 h 30 m | Show | |
Coming off a 41-18 road victory over Middle Tennessee and a bye week, Duke enters ACC play as a possible dark horse in the Coastal Division and viable underdog vs a chaotic style defence that Virginia Tech utilizes. Tonight Im betting on the Blue Devils under rated QB Quentin Harris to handle the aggressive Virginia Tech defense. Harris owns a solid touchdown-to-interception ratio of four to one so far in the season and is the wild card here. Note: Well rested Duke off a bye week has revenge on board for a 31-17 loss to VTech as 7-point home fav last year and will be primed for pay back. The Dog is 5-1 ATSL/6 in this series. DUKE is 9-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992. DUKE is 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (VIRGINIA TECH) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season are 30-68 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Duke Blue Devils to cover |
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09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers -3.5 | 34-27 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
I said it earlier this season, and Im still on board with my thinking that this is a special version of the Green Bay Packers and that if they can avert injuries may surprise alot of pundits this season with a Super Bowl run. As far as this game goes, I really feel strongly that the Packers are the superior side, especially at home vs a Eagles team that is banged up with alot of injuries. Note: QB Aaron Rodgers is 9-2 ATS in his career in prime time Thursdays and a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS in his career vs the Eagles. NFL teams like the Packers that enter game 4 of the season at 3-0 ATS are 10-0 ATS against 0-3 ATS teams lhe Eagles since 1980. GREEN BAY is 20-5 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. NFL Underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, when playing on a Thursday are 21-52 ATS L/36 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover |
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09-26-19 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Since he opened the season with a 13-2 record and a 2.71 ERA in 22 starts, Kershaw has struggled. He has given up 13 homers in his last six starts. On the season, Kershaw has given up a career-high 28 homers -- with 10 of those coming in the first inning, where he an ERA of 6.00. In his current form giving up more runs than the linesmakers expect makes for a higher scoring game than the linesmakers also expect. KERSHAW is 15-3 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. LA DODGERS are 17-6 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 9.9 rpg going on the score board. Over is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 starts overall.Over is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 starts vs. National League West. Meanwhile Padres starter Lucchesi will be making his fourth start against the Dodgers this season. He is 1-1 in the first three meetings with a 5.29 ERA and could easily get rolled by a sometimes explosive Dodgers batting order .LUCCHESI is 1-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 6.67 and a WHIP of 1.483. Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 vs. National League West. Play OVER |
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09-25-19 | A's v. Angels +205 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Heaney is off a bad start last time but it must be noted that the Angels are 8-0 on the ML when Andrew Heaney starts at home and they lost in his last start. Meanwhile, As starterMontas was having a breakout season, going 9-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 15 starts, before he was suspended 80 games on June 21 for violating major league baseball's drug policy after testing positive for a performance-enhancing substance. Im betting he comes back a little rusty and gives the Angels a solid chance at us cashing a underdog ticket in this spot. Note: The Athletics are 0-4 SU as a 150-plus favorite off a road game in which their bullpen did not allow a run which was the case yesterday. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 213-371 L/5 seasons for lowly 36% conversion rate. Play on the LAAngels to win on the ML |
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09-25-19 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Indians starter Shane (15-7, 3.23 ERA, 252 SO)Bieber surpassed 250 strikeouts on the year in his Friday outing against the Phillies, becoming just the fourth Indians pitcher to reach that mark before turning 25 years old. The righty also picked up his 15th win after limiting Philadelphia to two runs over 7 1/3 innings. Im betting he shuts down the White Sox here tonight, and for him to be the main reason this combined score shows value to the under. BIEBER is 8-1 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored.BIEBER is 10-1 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 7-1 in Indians last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.The Indians have gone under 15 straight times in the second game of a series as a 125-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at least four separate innings and drew fewer than ten walks.No game saw more than 8 runs scored with the average combined score clicking in at 4.94 rpg. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 45 -16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-25-19 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks +117 | 7-9 | Win | 117 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
DBacks starter Merrill Kelly ( 12-14, 4.31 ERA, 151 SO) comes into the game riding a 15-inning scoreless streak. He tossed seven shutout innings in each of his previous two starts, against the Padres and Reds. Over his last four starts, he has a 1.00 ERA.Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Kellys last 4 home starts and gets my support here this afternoon at home. Meanwhile, Cards starter Wacha has looked a little fatigued of late, and has been on a short leash in September, pitching 15 innings in his four starts this month. The Cardinals (90-68) eliminated the Diamondbacks (81-77) from playoff contention with their win Monday and now its payback in the spoilers role this afternoon for Arizona. ARIZONA is 12-3 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. LOVULLO is 36-25 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher as the manager of ARIZONA. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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09-24-19 | A's v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
Bailey is coming off his best start of the season a shut vs Kansas City, on three hits in seven innings last Wednesday. He struck out a season-high 11 and walked just one. He's also 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his past seven starts overall and in top form. Meanwhile,Dillon Peters, 3-3 with a 4.81 ERA in 15 games (10 starts), will start for the Angels. He's coming off a serviceable performance against the New York Yankees last Wednesday, when he allowed just two runs and five hits in four innings and is capable of slowing down the As attack here tonight. Under is 3-0-1 in Baileys last 4 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in Peters' last 5 starts overall. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.600 to 1.700 on the season-AL are 35-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-24-19 | Orioles +105 v. Blue Jays | 11-4 | Win | 105 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
Baltimores starter Bundy is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays this season and gets my support here tonight in Toronto against the Blue Jays. Yesterday the Os won a 11-10 game, but teams in this situation in the followup have not been a profitable venture as the following trend illustrates.MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - after scoring 10 runs or more against opponent after scoring 9 runs or more are 52-74 L/5 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors.TORONTO is also just 8-21 against the money line in home games after a win this season. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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09-23-19 | Cardinals -135 v. Diamondbacks | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Wainwright the Cards starter tonight has allowed just two runs in his L/ 27 innings . The Cards have also won 12 of his last 14 starts including a mid July victory against Arizona, in seven scoreless innings of top tier work. The Cards hurler owns a 9-4 record along with a solid 2.56 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks and gets my support again here tonight in the desert. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Young has given up eight runs along with 10 hits with six walks in his last 7 2/3 innings of work in his L/2 sub par starts and looking like fade material vs a Cardinals team looking for momentum as they enter the post season . WAINWRIGHT is 12-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks. Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Youngs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +4 | 31-15 | Loss | -105 | 132 h 3 m | Show | |
Chicago just can't move the ball, and QB Trubisky looks lost 90% of the time. The Bears were fortunate to get a win last week vs Denver, but now in a letdown situation after that lucky and emotional win,Im betting on a rocky performance especially with this being the Bears 2nd straight road game. Bottom line is the Redksins have an edge getting points at home. WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. NFL Underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 34-13 ATS L/36 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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09-22-19 | Sun v. Sparks -4.5 | 78-56 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
There is recency bias attached to this game and line after Connecticut took the first two games of this series including a lopsided DD 94-68 beatdown last time out over a LA group that looked asleep at the proverbial wheel .However, now back in their own digs where the Sparks have dominated opponents going 15-2 SU this season Im betting they will bounce back. Sun are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Sun are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS off an home win scoring 85 or more points this season. CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons and is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts this season. LOS ANGELES is 8-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 73+ points/game after 15+ games this season.LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season. WNBA Favorites (LOS ANGELES) - revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 51-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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09-22-19 | Saints +4.5 v. Seahawks | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 93 h 16 m | Show | |
While confirming that starting quarterback Drew Brees would have surgery to repair a torn ligament in his right thumb, New Orleans Saints Coach Sean Payton said the offensive plan for Sunday’s game against Seattle will include both the No.2 and No3 quarterbacks, Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. Seattle HC Carroll will have his hands full facing and strategizing against a two QB system . Do not count out the talented Saints ability compete here. Payton is 21-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 27-13 ATS off a road loss as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NFL Home favorites (SEATTLE) - good offense from last season - averaged 5.4 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 11-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. Play on the Saints to cover |
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09-22-19 | Steelers +7 v. 49ers | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 6 m | Show | |
The Steelers begin life without injured future HOF QB Ben Roethisberger, and instead will be forced to start Mason Rudolph . Don't feel to sorry for the Steelers however, as there some talent still left, as well as a top tier coach in Tomlin who has proven he can guide his team to victory even when Big Ben is on the sidelines as is evident by winning 10 of 17 games su without their star QB. I know the Niners are getting alot of accolades and playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum than the Steelers, but in the past the 49ers are bad bets vs the following perimeters going just 1-7 ATS when coming off back-to-back ATS wins, and an unperfected 0-7 ATS off non-division tilts when facing opposition coming off consecutive losses like the Steelers. NFL teams like the Niners in Week 3 home openers after starting the season with back-to-back road games are jus 11-27-2 ATS L/40 opportunities for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Also home teams off back to back road games to start their season in their home opener have covered under 50% of their games dating back 16 seasons. PITTSBURGH in their L/103 games as a road underdog since 1992 have seen an average ppg diff of -1.8 ppg. NFL Home favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 5-34 ATS L/36 seasons for go go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover |
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09-22-19 | Rockies v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 101 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Dodgers manager Roberts will pair rookie catcher Will Smith with their starter today. Ryu the Dodgers starter has a 5.81 ERA in 26 1/3 innings with Smith behind the plate, which projects well for us hitting the over here, especially with the Rockies countering with right-hander Antonio Senzatela (10-10, 6.83), who has struggled mightily of late registering a 11.85 ERA over his last eight starts going back to July 5. Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 3-1-1 in Senzatelas last 5 road starts. Over is 3-0-1 in Senzatelas last 4 starts vs. Dodgers.Over is 4-1 in Ryus last 5 starts vs. Rockies. The Rockies have gone over 11 straight times as a road dog in the last game of a series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs with the average combined score clicking in at 13.27 rpg. (Ryan McMahon and Josh Fuentes hit solo homers, and the Rockies defeated Los Angeles 4-2 Saturday night to snap a 12-game skid in the Dodgers' home park.) Play OVER |
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09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings OVER 42 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 124 h 18 m | Show | |
Both Minnesota and Oakland are off losses last week after notching victories in week 1. This week I expect the Vikings to come out with all guns blazing after suffering a loss to the Packers last week by a 21-15 count. Cousins the Vikings QB did not have a great performance last week, but here at home vs a Raiders’ defense that has allowed a 120.5 passer rating and that will be without safety Jonathan Abram, Im betting Cousins flourishes and puts a load of points and production on the board via play action based on RB Dalvin Cooks ability to open up the field with the run. He leads the NFL with 265 rushing yards . Im also expecting Raiders QB Derek Carr to do just enough damage to see this combined score eclipse the total. Over is 4-0-1 in Raiders last 5 games on fieldturf. Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings. NFL team against the total (MINNESOTA) - in non-conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival are 61-24 OVER L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams like Oakland are 28-0 OVER L/28 as a 5 or more point underdog on artificial turf when they are off a home loss and facing a non-divisional opponent that is allowing fewer than 22.8 ppg season-to-date, but had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time in their last contest. Play OVER |
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09-22-19 | Dolphins +22 v. Cowboys | 6-31 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 50 m | Show | |
Wow.Im not going to blame the public here for being brave enough to lay 3+ TDS with Dak Prescott and Co. as last week they watched squares and sharps cash on the New England Pats. in a 43-0 whitewash that saw bettors laying -19 . In two games the Dolphins have shown no pride or fight what so ever while getting out scored 102-10. Now the pundits and even their dogs are laughing at the Fins, and this week Im expecting this group to come out in a nasty mood after being embarrassed. Remember these are not College kids and they dont like to be made to look like fools. it must also be noted that Dak Prescott is no Tom Brady modus operandi usually very precise and conservative that does not pile up points via a fast all out attack. The Cowboys are more of a grinding side, which gives me credence in my choice to take 22 points here in what Im betting is a mathematical edge according to my projections. NFL Underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - pathetic defense from last season - allowed 385 or more total yards/game are 33-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas head coach Jason Garrett has covered just 7 of his L/22 against the spread as a favorite of a touchdown or greater. NFL Home favorites (DALLAS) - good offense from last season - averaged 5.4 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 11-34 ATS L/10 seasons for go against 11-34 ATS record L/10 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate fir bettors. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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09-22-19 | Jets +24 v. Patriots | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 90 h 15 m | Show | |
New England clobbered hapless Miami last week, and now with a 3rd string QB expected to start this week for the Jets another beatdown is expected. However im betting QB Luke Falk via star RB Levon Bell and some other trickery will be utilized this Sunday and that the Jets a team that has a history of hanging tough at Gillette Stadium will get us the cover. Over the last 26 seasons seven NFL games have closed with a point spread of 20 points or higher and those teams are 7-0 straight up, but are just 1-6 against the spread. Since the 2007 season, favorites of 20 or more points are 0-5 ATS , failing to, cover the spread by 11.4 points per game. NFL team (NEW ENGLAND) - after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 15-39 ATS L/36 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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09-22-19 | Bengals +6 v. Bills | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 9 m | Show | |
Buffalo comes into this game off two straight road wins to start their season, and the city of Buffalo is now sky high. So as in their usual fashion, I won't be surprised of the Bills crap the bed here this week vs the Bengals, a team that has played Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde football to begin their campaign, playing well on the road vs Seattle in week 1 and than falling asleep at the proverbial wheel in game two and clobbered by DDs by non other than the 49ers. Now in a rebound mode I expect the Bengals to come out here, and really give the Bills a battle. Note: Buffalo is recently just 3-13 SU and 3-12-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SU/ATS victories. NFL teams like the Bills in Week 3 home openers after starting the season with back-to-back road games are just 11-27-2 ATS L/40 opportunities for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Also home teams off back to back road games to start their season in their home opener have covered under 50% of their games dating back 16 seasons. NFLUnderdogs or pick (CINCINNATI) - pathetic defense from last season - allowed 385 or more total yards/game are 31-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
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09-22-19 | Ravens +6 v. Chiefs | 28-33 | Win | 100 | 51 h 58 m | Show | |
Public darlings KC enter this game as favourites vs the upstart Baltimore Ravens who have clobbered opponent after opponent all the way back into the preseason and are Im betting capable of hanging with the explosive KC Chiefs.The Ravens are outgunning their opposition by +267 net YPG while averaging a league-best 41 PPG. Both teams can score , but the difference maker will come on D, where the. Ravens despite of some short comings are still better than the Swiss cheese D of the Chiefs that plays with very little emotion thanks to QB Patrick Mahomes ability to give them huge leads. I do believe the Ravens are putting alot miles on their bodies out of the gate this season with all out performances which could effect them later on in the campaign, but for this week Im expecting a full pedal to the metal performance. KANSAS CITY is 2-12 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games. Baltimore has won and covered 3 of their L/4 visits to Arrowhead. KC won last year 27-24 here at home, but it must be noted that HC Haraugh is 7-0-1 ATS the last eight when seeking revenge for a loss.
NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home win are 10-34 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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09-21-19 | Utah State v. San Diego State +4.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 2 m | Show | |
Rocky Longs San Diego State Aztecs have won two straight to begin their season, and look very much to be under rated here at home today vs a good but also over rated Utah State football program. This is a classic setup of offence vs defence. The Aggies are explosive, but the Aztecs D, is of the top tier variety as is evident by allowing just 248 yards and 8 points per game so far. SD St is a perfect 4-0 ATS L/4 as a home underdog. Aztecs coach Rocky Long is 12-1 ATS in his career as a conference dog when coming off back to back SU/ATS wins. UTAH ST is 10-22 ATS in road games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. Long is 11-2 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of SAN DIEGO ST. CFB Road favorites (UTAH ST) - excellent rushing team (230 or more RY/G) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (100 or less RY/game), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 10-33 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1.5 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 52-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego State Aztecs to cover |
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09-21-19 | Notre Dame +14.5 v. Georgia | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 83 h 20 m | Show | |
Georgia won 20-19 in 2017 at South Bend the last time these two football programs met. Now the rematch switches to Athens. The Dawgs are just 4-10 ATS L/14 at home with non conference revenge. This game is of ultra importance to the Fighting Irish as they have no conference championship game to play in, thus this becomes a must-win for Notre Dame and Im betting they come out here like a rabid dogs and metaphorically ready to fight to the death. Meanwhile Georgia can afford to suffer a loss and still be a front runner come selection Sundayand may not play with the same tenacity they would in a SEC tilt. Note: Underdogs of more than 12 points who won 12 or more games the previous season are 11-0 ATS over the L/4 seasons ( Notre Dame fits the bill and gets my support) Kelly is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers in all games he has coached CFB road team (NOTRE DAME) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with an excellent defense (4.2 or less YPP), after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs (NOTRE DAME) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Notre Dame to cover |
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09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia OVER 58 | 17-23 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 24 m | Show | |
Needless to say that these teams Notre Dame and Georgia are explosive offensively with Notre Dame averaging 50.5 ppg so far this season and Georgia producing 49.3 ppg overall. The last time these teams played Notre Dame came away with a 20-19 victory, but both these teams dynamics have changed since then and Im projecting an all out head to head slugfest in the rematch. First team to 40 wins. GEORGIA is 9-1 OVER after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 67.6 ppg scored. Over is 3-1-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 8-3-2 in Bulldogs last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-2-1 in Bulldogs last 8 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 16-7 in Fighting Irish last 23 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Over is 15-5 in Fighting Irish last 20 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Play on the OVER |
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09-21-19 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -5 | 30-36 | Win | 100 | 81 h 42 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have beat up on 3 inferior programs to start their campaign, and Texas in their only real battle, vs LSU (45-38) showed they are still up-trending despite of regression worries from the pundits . I know Oklahoma State has won 4 straight close battles in this series, but Texas according to my power rankings is the superior side, in a tilt vs a Cowboys team has failed to cover its L/7 Big12 openers. At anything lower than -7 Im laying here. OKLAHOMA ST is 0-7 ATS in road games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games since 1992. TEXAS is 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992. CFB Home favorites (TEXAS) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 5 or less defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 25-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to cover |
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09-21-19 | Giants +137 v. Braves | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Giants starter Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 6 SO)gets his third start of the season for the Giants when he faces the Braves. He has not given up a run in 10 innings pitched, while opponents are batting .129 against him in two starts and gets my support here tonight vs the Braves. Meanwhile, The Braves nailed down their 19th division championship with a 6-0 win over the Giants on Friday, and now will be vulnerable in an emotional letdown spot. Note: Max Fried the Braves starter has allowed five earned runs in three of his past five starts . Giants are 6-2 in Cuetos last 8 road starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts.Giants are 10-4 in Cuetos last 14 starts on grass. Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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09-21-19 | Oregon v. Stanford +10.5 | 21-6 | Loss | -105 | 57 h 28 m | Show | |
Stanford was annihilated last week by UCF in a DD beatdown. The Cardinal were in an unfortunate letdown spot last week after a loss to USC the previous week. However, after their last embarrassing effort I expect a bounce back effort here at home where the Cardinal are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS as a home underdog dating back 12 seasons, including 4-0 SUATS with head coach David Shaw. It must also be noted that Oregon has only cashed 4 of their L/21 away from Eugene . OREGON is 1-8 ATS after a win by 21 or more points over the last 3 seasons. STANFORD is 18-6 ATS L/24 versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 4.25 or less yards/play STANFORD is 28-13 ATS L/41 vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. CFB Road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (OREGON) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 19-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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09-21-19 | BC v. Ottawa +3 | 40-7 | Loss | -102 | 49 h 10 m | Show | |
The Lions snapped their seven game losing streak last weekend against the Redblacks in Vancouver and now in desperation and pay back mode the Redblacks get their opportunity to end their own losing streak at 5 games. Im betting on Dominique Rhymes and Receiver Brad Sinopoli who is due to come off the one-game IR to spark this Ottawa team to a possible upset victory and more importantly a cover. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-12 ATS after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. OTTAWA is 31-16 L/47 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (OTTAWA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 30-13 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFL team vs the money line (OTTAWA) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 9+ games, after gaining 95 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-6 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover |
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09-21-19 | Red Sox +195 v. Rays | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Boston Red Sox starter Travis Lakins will make his second career start as the Red Sox opt for a bullpen game against the Rays. The 25-year-old righty held the Yankees hitless over two frames during his first start on Sept. 7 and he and his bullpen crew gets my support here today in the spoilers role . Note: Rays starter Glasgow is 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Boston is 5-2 in Tampa Bay this season. The Red Sox are 6-0 L/6 on the ML as a road 170-plus dog off a road game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.Red Sox are 82-40 in their last 122 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Red Sox are 39-19 in their last 58 games on astroturf. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 57-29 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the BoSox to win on the ML |
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09-21-19 | New Mexico State +5 v. New Mexico | 52-55 | Win | 100 | 76 h 47 m | Show | |
New Mexico does not have a culture of winning in place and have now lost 17 of their L/21 SU overall. Davies HC Lobos played their hearts out against Notre Dame last week despite of being pounded by a 66-14 count and won't have enough left in the tank to be near enough dominant to cover the number this week in this instate rivalry game. Davie is 2-9 ATS in home games after playing a non-conference game as the coach of NEW MEXICO.Davie is 6-18 ATS (as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points in all games he has coached since 1992. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW MEXICO ST) - in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or less turnovers/game forced, after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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09-21-19 | South Carolina v. Missouri -9 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 27 m | Show | |
Missouri has not beaten South Carolina since the 2016 season, but Im betting that comes to end here this week at home vs a side that was battered and beaten physically last week by Alabama . it must be noted that Carolina maybe getting too much respect out of the gate this season, as they have been outgunned and out-gained by their 2 FBS opponents this season. Last season the Tigers lost 37-35 to the Gamecocks but were the superior side in the stats battle outgaining the Birds by a 490-377 count . Im expecting those numbers to be replicated and or bettered this week, and for Missouri to get the cover in convincing fashion. Missouri have dominated their last two opponents outscoring them by a 88-7 count.MISSOURI is 16-5 ATS in home games after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. CFB home team (MISSOURI) - after allowing 9 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game are 24-2 SU with the average point per game diff registering at +20.2 ppg. Play on Missouri to cover |
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09-21-19 | Central Florida v. Pittsburgh +12.5 | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 81 h 22 m | Show | |
UCF is off a convincing full throttle beat down of Stanford last week, and could easily find themselves in a natural letdown spot here vs Pittsburgh this week. Meanwhile, the Panthers thanks to a hard nosed D, and athletic top tier secondary gave Penn State all they could handle last week in a 17-10 loss and Im betting will be a handful for the Knights here in this spot. UCF is 0-13 SU in its school history in games against current FBS teams when the Knights are coming off a current FBS affiliated foe. PITTSBURGH is 10-0 ATS L/10 after 2 consecutive games where they forced no turnovers since 1992. CFB Road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UCF) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 475 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77%conversion rate. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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09-21-19 | Miami-OH +39.5 v. Ohio State | 5-76 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 31 m | Show | |
RedHawks coach Chuck Martin is 26-14 ATS as an underdog and also owns a 6-1 ATS mark as a non-conference underdog of 21 or more points. Meanwhile, Ohio State is 2-6 ATS as favorites of 34 or more points against MAC opposition and fade material on this big a chalk line. I know Ohio State is the vastly superior side, but from a mathematical standpoint my projections make this a value underdog line. CFB Road underdogs of 21.5 or more points (MIAMI OHIO) - after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites of 31.5 or more points (OHIO ST) - with a good offense - averaging 5.8 or more yards/play, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami O to cover |
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09-21-19 | Troy -17 v. Akron | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 78 h 36 m | Show | |
Akron s offence is practically non existent and has scored only 15.7 PPG, which is 124th in the country, and they won't be able to keep up with a team that just put up 42 points vs Mississippi State last week. This game has total annihilation written all over it. Note: CFB road team vs. the money line (TROY) - excellent offensive team (440 or moreYPG) against a poor offensive team (280 to 330 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-1 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. Play on Troy to cover |
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09-21-19 | UL-Lafayette +3 v. Ohio | 45-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Im impressed with UL Lafayette and their top tier running game and because Ohio continues to struggle against the run, Im betting their a live under appreciated dog . The Cajuns return five senior starting offensive linemen and are a tough experienced group that can protect the three headed monster of Raymond Calais, Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell who combined 2900 plus yards on the ground last season averaging 6.7 ypc. This season already this explosive trio is averaging 8.1 ypc. Im betting on more of the same dynamic action today vs an Ohio run D, that is allowing 5.2 yards per carry this season, ranking them a dismal 114th in the nation at not stopping the run. LA LAFAYETTE is 15-3 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 game. CFB home (OHIO U) - after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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09-21-19 | Coastal Carolina v. UMass +17.5 | 62-28 | Loss | -105 | 115 h 24 m | Show | |
UMass is looking like a dismal football program right now but Coastal Carolina in only their 3rd season of FBS football should not be this big fav on the road , not even against this horrid group. It must be noted that Coastal has only one road win by 11 points or more, since joining the FBS and with their Sunbelt opener coming next week vs App State they may not be fully focused here , making the ugly home dog a value selection on this line. UMass to cover |
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09-21-19 | Western Michigan +6 v. Syracuse | 33-52 | Loss | -105 | 74 h 19 m | Show | |
Syracuse after getting run over by Clemson last week in a much anticipated game will be ina letdown situation vs a under rated Western Michigan side with 14 starters returning and that put 352 yards against a stingy Michigan State defense in their opener and 7 TDs vs Georgia State last week .Considering Dino Barbers team have been run over to the tune 675 yards in the last two tilts things may not get much better today. CFB road team (W MICHIGAN) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a poor offensive team (280 to 330 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 . Play on Western Michigan to cover |
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09-20-19 | Rangers v. A's UNDER 9 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
Tonight we have a couple of top teir pitchers that have had some struggles of late. But Im betting on them correcting their slumps here this evening in Oakland in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: The Coliseum has been a place Fiers the AS right-hander loves to pitch in , as is evident by his 8-1 record along with a stingy 2.76 ERA over 15 starts in Oakland this year would indicate. Minor the Rangers starter has struggled a bit vs the As recently but knowing his work ethic and ego you can bet he will be ready to fire back. MINOR is 11-3 UNDER in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. MINOR is 10-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 55-21 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (TEXAS) - with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 87-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-20-19 | Utah v. USC +4 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 29 m | Show | |
Utah visits USC on Friday night. On the opening line a couple of land locked sports books opened this game as a pickem before the public and some sharps scrambled in with their money on Utah. But now at +4 we have value with the Trojans at home. Note:The home team has won 6 straight in the series and has covered 7 of the last 8 meetings. With that said, Im betting USC behind the big arm of Kedon Slovis’ and a strong running game and a defense that is top 20 in opponent red zone scoring and top 25 in sacks will get the job done and deliver to us some profits here this evening. It must be noted that USCs new air raid system is something that has given the Utes alot of problems of late, as they are 0-5 ATS L/5 vs a team using the air raid offence. Whittingham is 19-30 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of UTAH. CFB home team (USC) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 29-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the USC to cover |
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09-20-19 | Florida International +8.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 31-43 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 56 m | Show | |
FIU may not inspire bettors but they have a history of competing, and have cashed 8 of their L/9 against a 500 team like LA Tech. Skip Holtz has never been a coach to back laying points, and I really feel this is one of his lesser teams and lack value on a TD or more line as favs. Davis is 17-2 ATS after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached since 1992 which was the case in their last game vs New Hampshire. Holtz is 2-9 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of LOUISIANA TECH CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - with a terrible rushing D - allowing 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry are 50-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Florida International to cover |
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09-20-19 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Friday's pitching matchup will feature a pair of right-handers: Nationals veteran Anibal Sanchez (9-8, 3.86 ERA) against Marlins rookie Robert Dugger (0-2, 3.95 ERA). Sanchez beat the Marlins the last time he faced them. Note: The Marlins have gone over 12 straight at home when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher with each game seeing 9 or more runs scored. Over is 5-2 in Sanchezs last 7 starts on grass.Over is 9-1-1 in Marlins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 12-4-1 in Marlins last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami. MIAMI is 21-11 OVER in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 10.8 rg scored.MIAMI is 17-8 OVER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board.MIAMI is 13-3 OVER as a home underdog of +175 or more this season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg going on the board. Play OVER |
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09-20-19 | Mariners -110 v. Orioles | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The Mariners are heading to Baltimore riding a five-game winning streak after a 6-5 win vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday afternoon and have momentum on their sides . With Felix Hernandez a long standing hurler with Seattle dating back 14 seasons probably making his last start with the Mariners before becoming a free agent in the off season Im expecting a motivated and big effort from him which has me backing this veteran hurler. He is coming off a strong seven-inning outing in which he allowed just one run on five hits vs. the White Sox. Baltimore has lost four straight, including a 8-4 loss to Toronto on Thursday night. The Orioles are now 49-104 for the season, and showing little fight as they go through the motions of getting to the end of this nightmare season. Seattle has also had a dismal season, but they thrive against sides like Baltimore going 14-2 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season. Meanwhile,Baltimore has been the poster boys for futility when going against teams like Seattle.BALTIMORE is 6-31 against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season. Play on Seattle to win on the ML |
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09-19-19 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 39 | 7-20 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
These teams took part in low scoring affairs last week so a lot of the public is jumping on the under here. However, Im betting on a different result. The Titans and Jaguars have averaged 46.6 combined ppg in the last 7 meetings and a combined score in that range is on my projection charts for this tilt. Division tilts in week 3 of the reg season have gone 21-5 to the OVER when the Total is set at 39 points or more.AFC South Division contests like this one are 7-0 OVER dating back 7 seasons when the home side is a underdog of 3or more points.NFL home underdogs have gone 17-4 OVER dating back 11 seasons when both teams sides scored and allowed less than 20 points in their last game which was the case for both teams. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (JACKSONVILLE/TENNESSEE) - off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival are 37-12 OVER L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane UNDER 56.5 | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 5 m | Show | |
Tulane is a fine team with a under rated and strong D, and a grinding run game. Im betting these will both be on full display this Thursday night . Im also betting the Green Wave D, will limit Houstons explosive offence, and their run game will be dominate as the Cougars eat up plenty of click time. Meanwhile, Houston under HC Holgerson has implemented an extremely slow pace , so clock time will tick tick away in unison with Tulane's modus operandi which Im expecting to manifest in to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. TULANE is 13-4 UNDER versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more. rushing yards/carry. TULANE is 7-0 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. TULANE is 13-4 UNDER after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Note: The combined average scores of these trends above did not exceed this current totals number. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (HOUSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive unders, quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half are 35-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-19-19 | Angels +230 v. Yankees | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Yankees' Thursday starter, right-hander Masahiro Tanaka (10-8, 4.60 ERA), is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his past three starts. He gave up four runs on eight hits in five innings last Friday during New York's 6-5 loss at Toronto and currently looks vulnerable. Meanwhile, Heaney despite of some recent struggles has shown flashes of brilliance, as he went 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA in four starts in August. Heaney is 1-1 with a 1.47 ERA in three career starts against New York, one outing in 2015 and the other two last year. Angels are 5-1 in Heaneys last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Angels are 4-1 in Heaneys last 5 road starts. Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games with umpire Whitson behind home plate. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG at least .265) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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09-19-19 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Padres starter Joey Lucchesi 10-8, 4.22 ERA, 145 SO has emerged as one of the Padres' most reliable starters and Im betting he limits the Brewers production here this evening.LUCCHESI is 12-3 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. The Brewers have average just 4.2 rpg vs lefties this season via a .241 BA. Meanwhile, since coming over from the Pirates,Lyles is 6-1 with a 2.39 ERA and a .209 opponents’ average in his first nine starts for the Brewers and Im betting on him being equally tough on the Padres batting order here tonight . The Padres have gone under 11 straight times in the last game of a series as a road dog after a game in which they did not score after the third inning with a combined average of 6.45 rpg scored and no game has seen more than 9 runs scored. SAN DIEGO is 16-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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09-18-19 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
Brewers hurler Adrian Houser( 6-6, 3.84 ERA, 104 SO) is coming off a disappointing start in St. Louis marred by a Paul Goldschmidt grand slam. Before that, he'd allowed three or fewer runs in six straight starts and Im betting he bounces back here with a big effort vs an erratic Padres offence that has scored 3 or less runs in 8 of their L.12 games. I also expect the Padres pitchers to limit the Brewers damage here .Padres starter Lamet will be making his 13th start since returning from the Tommy John surgery that cost him all of 2018. He took the loss last Thursday, when he gave up three runs over five innings as the Padres fell to the Cubs, 4-1.SAN DIEGO is 15-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. The Padres hqve gone under 11 straight times off a road game in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored. No game has seen more than 8 runs scored. Play UNDER |
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09-18-19 | Angels +250 v. Yankees | 3-2 | Win | 250 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Veteran hurler CC Sabathia is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in his last eight starts. He is banged up and showing his age right now and is fade material in his current form. It must be noted that the Yankees took the first game of this series, 8-0 yesterday by have proven futile in a follow up under the following perimeters. The Yankees are 0-5 L/5 on the ML in the second game of a series as a 200+ favorite when they shut out their opponent in the series opener.LA ANGELS are 11-6 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more this season and are 33-17 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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09-18-19 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Miamis starter Sandy Alcantara (5-13, 3.93 ERA, 137 SO) has been a top tier hurler in recent weeks. He has gone at least seven innings in six of his past seven starts. One was a complete-game, four-hit shutout against the Royals on Sept. 8. This will be his second career start against Arizona and is more than capable of limiting the DBacks production here this afternoon. Alcantara is 1-3 with a 2.59 ERA in his past eight starts, with 36 hits allowed and 48 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Leake, 2-3 since joining Arizona at the trade deadline, has made quality starts in three of his past four outings., and is also more than capable of limiting the offensive production of one of MLB worst offences, averaging just 3.5 rpg on the road.Leake is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA in eight career starts against the Marlins, his second-best ERA against teams he has faced at least eight times.LEAKE is 11-1 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 52-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-18-19 | Mets v. Rockies +138 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
Noah Syndergaard has never made a start at Coors Filed but gets his chance today in the launching pad. Im betting it will be an unpleasant experience despite of the team granting his wish of having Rene Rivera or Tomas Nido as his catcher instead of Wilson Ramos despite of his managers reluctance to do so. Syndergaard has a 5.20 ERA. In 11 combined starts with Ramos and with Nido (10) and Rivera, he has a 2.22 ERA. However, today, they are giving him his wish in the worst possible place . Ummm makes you wonder if the Mets brass are trying to prove a point here. Anyhow the bottom line here is Im betting against Syndergard and the Mets, and backing Colorado on the value line at home. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher like Hoffman whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 21-42 L/22 seasons for a 65% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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09-17-19 | Royals v. A's -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The As were upset yesterday by the Royals and will be ready for big bounce back here today. Note: The Athletics have won 7 straight as a 140-plus favorite after they lost by one run, winning by an average of 8.43 runs per game qualifying as a strong runline situation. OAKLAND is 31-7 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.3 rpg. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +100 or higher) (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 15-43 L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As on the runline -1.5 |
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09-17-19 | Padres v. Brewers -132 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Brewers Brandon Woodruff (11-3, 3.75 ERA, 136 SO)The All-Star right-hander will be on a limited pitch count in his first start since he strained his left oblique pitching at Arizona on July 21. Veteran left-hander Gio Gonzalez will follow. Im betting on Woodruff and Gonzalez having the edge over what has looked like a fatigued Padres pitcher in Paddock who is expected to be shut down following Tuesday's start. He has already thrown 45 2/3 more innings than he did last season between Class-A and Double-A. Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 overall.Padres are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Brewers are 12-1 in Woodruffs last 13 home starts.Brewers are 8-1 in Woodruffs last 9 starts during game 2 of a seriesBrewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Brewers are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.WOODRUFF is 10-0 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record)WOODRUFF is 10-0 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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09-17-19 | Sparks +2.5 v. Sun | 75-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 1 This matchup features two of the best front courts in the league, but Im betting what I believe is the superior D, to win this series and game 1. Sparks have my support getting points. Note: Sparks are one of the league's original franchises and have garnered three WNBA titles , and have been to the Finals five times and have an overall culture of winning, and obvious play off experience which gives them in an edge in this environment vs a Connecticut side, that just cant matchup to those numbers, WNBA team (CONNECTICUT) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 4-26 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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09-16-19 | Browns v. Jets +3 | 23-3 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 18 m | Show | |
The public was all over the Cleveland in game 1 of the season, and they lost big time when the Browns crapped the bed in their opener for their 19th loss in 21 seasons in their opening game(includes a tie). Im still not a believer in a team with no winning culture in place, and despite of the upgrades and fantasy like dreams of a Super Bowl by the pundits and their supporters, I believe we should all temper our expectations at least for now on how good the Browns will be this season. I also don't think they deserve to road favs in this spot vs a hard nosed NY Jets team that matches up fairly well against them. With that said, Im recommending we take the points here tonight. Cleveland 0-3 ATS L/3 Monday night tilts. NY Jets are 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. Cleveland is 2-12 ATS L/14 coming off a loss. Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 35 points in their previous game, in conference games are 4-24 SU L/36 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 15-40 ATS since 1983 for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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