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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-23 | Buffalo v. UL - Lafayette UNDER 153.5 | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Marshall v. Oakland UNDER 149.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-21-23 | Prairie View A&M +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Prairie View A&M to cover |
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11-21-23 | Binghamton v. Sacred Heart UNDER 146.5 | 75-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -140 | 21-17 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Chiefs matchup well here as their top tier defense will Im betting slow down the Philadelphia Receivers. On the flipside KCS start QB Mahomes could easily have a field day vs Eagles defensive secondary , that ranks 25th against short passes,  and 28th against the slot  and 28th over the middle of the field, including 32nd against tight ends -which wont be a good omen against KCs Kelce. . Bottom line is KC has won 4 straight meetings in this series and I dont see things changing this week, with home field advantage on the Chiefs side. At -140 on the ML we have an edge here tonight in Arrow Head. Key Note: Eagles QB Hurts has some nagging injuries and is not 100% for this tilt. NFL Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better ) are 7-30 L/30 seasons for. a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Chiefs |
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11-20-23 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | 93-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have been an inconsistent commodity this season, but they have recent wins against top tier opponents Denver, and Dallas, and 1 point loss to Minnesota and must be respect as underdogs here at home tonight vs the Sacramento Kings. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less) are 13-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-20-23 | Rangers +121 v. Stars | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
The Rangers have points in 11 straight games and deserve respect here as underdogs vs Minnesota ,especially with star goalie Shesterkin healthy again and sporting a 5-0 recored along with a brilliant .932 SV% and 1.96 GAA over his last five trips to the golden pond. The Russian export is 4-0-1in his career vs the Stars along with a .913 SV% and 2.60 GAA. Note: Stars  Goalie Oettinger has not looked good recently , as is evident by a .876 SV% and 3.71 GAA over his previous three trips to the golden pond. Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Stars are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (NY RANGERS) - after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more against opponent after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored are 35-19 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Rangers to win |
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11-20-23 | Bucks v. Wizards +9.5 | 142-129 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
The Bucks are off a physical high octane battle against Dallas that they won by a 132-125 count last time out and could easily be vulnerable to being a letdown spot here vs Washington on the road tonight. I know Milwaukee has looked unstoppable of late, but with all the running and gunning their doing , their proverbial tank is probably on empty and it should not come as a surprise that they could also be over looking a lower tier opponent. Note:MILWAUKEE in their L/34  after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games have seen a average ppg diff clicking in at -0.2. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 116-182 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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11-20-23 | Bruins -125 v. Lightning | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay and Boston go head to head tonight in Florida, with my power rankings giving us an edge taking the Bruins on the Money-line. The Bolts posted a 1-3-0 record vs. BOS last season, going 1-1-0 at home and 0-2-0 on the road. both these sides can score but the difference mkaer comes on defense and goaltending.  The Bruin lead the league in gpg against , with a 2.00 GAA. They alos board Vezina Trophy winner Linus Ullmark between the pipes . this season the top tier goalie owns a 2.23 GAA and 0.928 SVP in eight starts and deserves alot of respect. Meanwhile, the Bolts have Jonas Johansson in goal . His 3.40 GAA and 0.894 SVP tells a stroy of diversity here tonight. Advantage Bruins. Bruins are 42-11 in their last 53 overall.Bruins are 42-11 in their last 53 games following a win.Bruins are 60-17 in their last 77 vs. a team with a losing record. Bruins are 39-13 in their last 52 road games.BOSTON is 31-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Lightning are 4-11 in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference.Lightning are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Lightning are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. Atlantic.Lightning are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (BOSTON) - off a home win against a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals are 29-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors Play on Boston Bruins to win |
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11-20-23 | St. Joe's v. Kentucky -15 | 88-96 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kentucky basketball is playing with a shortened rotation as their 3 big men are not going to be available to play. But St.Josephs is not a team that can take advantage of this situation. Plus remaining talent on this Kentucky roster is more than capable of controlling play here tonight. Kentucky to cover |
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11-20-23 | Tennessee v. Syracuse +14 | 73-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Syracuse has won their first 3 games of the season, but have failed to cover each time and today Im betting they finally get out of their ATS funk for their betting backers and get us the cover vs Tennessee.Barnes in 9 road games against ACC opponents as the coach of TENNESSEE has seen the average ppg diff click in at +7.6 ppg. SYRACUSE is 44-24 ATS L/68 as a neutral court underdog or pick with the average ppg diff clicking at -0.5.  Play on Syracuse to cover |
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11-19-23 | Suns v. Jazz +5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Jazz, host the Suns again on Sunday night in Salt Lake City, after a hard fought battle that saw them lose 131-128 to Phoenix in an NBA in-season tournament game. Now here at home, in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City where alot of teams have have some problems playing will see the Jazz get revenge or more importantly get us the cover. UTAH is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - after a combined score of 255 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-19-23 | Northern Iowa v. South Florida UNDER 145.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score to reach the high 130s which give us a solid 2 to 3 possession edge on this totals offering to the under. S FLORIDA is 14-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 119.2 ppg scored. Jacobson in 184 road games after 1 or more consecutive wins as the coach of N IOWA ihas seen a verage combined score of 127.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 135.6 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S FLORIDA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 182-95 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 139 ppg going on the board. |
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11-19-23 | Seahawks -1 v. Rams | 16-17 | Loss | -103 | 56 h 8 m | Show | |
The Rams in my humble opinion continue to get to much respect from the pundits and betting public and even the lines-makers. Yes, the Rams are rested, but their overall inconsistencies and HC McVay poor coaching decisions just make them bad bets .Meanwhile, Seattle is a side, that has taken care of business against these types of teams, and with a top tier coach in Carrol on the side lines deserve respect here as a pickem or slight fav according to my power rankings. LA RAMS are 0-7 ATS in November games over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (LA RAMS) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 6 points or less last game are 3-23 L/10 seasons for ago against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seahawks to cover |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 55 h 9 m | Show | |
 The Bills are surprisingly just 5-5 on the season , and really need to get the wheels moving on their season . Their piss poor efforts are thanks in part to turnovers and a banged up D. Now n desperation mode Im and playing at home Im betting they come up big here this week vs a Jets side that is playing their 2nd straight road game after a loss at Las Vegas last time out. It must be noted that the Jets are just 1-8 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss and 1-6 ATS as a underdog after a chalk rating in their previous tilt. NY JETS are 1-8 ATS in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons. BUFFALO is 26-11 ATS L/37 after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a road loss are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NY JETS are 4-17 ATS L/21 in road games versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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11-19-23 | Titans +7 v. Jaguars | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jags look like weak favs here as they are just  2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS as division home favorites. I know Tennessee is off two straight losses, but it must be noted that HC Verbal has only failed to cover 1 of his L/8 as an underdog when coming off back-to-back defeats. The public is all over the Jags after the Titans miserable effort last week, but my data base has picked up on a NFL situational trend that is successful 61% of the time as it focuses on teams of that kind of ugly outing. TENNESSEE is 12-3 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.Pederson is 6-16 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 in all games he has coached since 1992 NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (JACKSONVILLE) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 16-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NF Lteam vs the money line (JACKSONVILLE) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 6 points or less last game are 3-23 L/10 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. ( Tennessee lost 20-6 last week at Tampa Bay) Play on Titans to cover |
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11-19-23 | Cardinals +5 v. Texans | 16-21 | Push | 0 | 53 h 8 m | Show | |
Texans are off an emotionally charged 30-27 upset of the Bengals in Cincinnati last week and Im betting will be in a letdown situation this Sunday against a Arizona squad with QB Kyle Murray back under center. Yes, he started a little slow after the long lay off last week, but this guy is dangerous two way threat with his legs and arm and makes this Cards side dangerous in the underdog role . Arizona is 5-1 ATS L/6 vs the AFC South. ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 6-20 ATS in home games after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game. HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS in home games after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - with a terrible passing D - allowing a comp pct of 64% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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11-19-23 | Giants v. Commanders OVER 37 | 31-19 | Win | 100 | 52 h 27 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst defenses in the NFL. Washington ranks 31 st allowing 27.4 ppg and the NY Giants are ranked 29th allowing 26.6 ppg. Washington has on occasion shown some offensive pop and Im betting they do damage this week, vs a shell shocked group of Giants, while the pedestrian offense of the giants finally gets a defense they can handle. NFL Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (NY GIANTS) - terrible offensive team - scoring 14 or less points/game, after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points are 45-19 OVER L/30 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the over |
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11-19-23 | Mississippi State v. Northwestern +4.5 | 66-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Northwestern and Miss State are two evenly matched teams , but Im betting it will Northwestern rebounding abilities that will keep them in this game against their SEC opponents. NORTHWESTERN is 13-5 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion to cover. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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11-19-23 | Connecticut -12 v. Indiana | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this has mismatch written all over it.The defending national champions Connecticut  are loaded and dominating at both ends of the court , They are backed by the back court withTristen Newton and Donovan Clingan at center, and Cam Spencer who can shoot the proverbial lights out.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country and have covered all 3 of their games in impressive fashion. Meanwhile, Indidana despite of their brand name and expected strong projections, are a one dimensional side, that just dont matchup well vs UConn.UConn is currently ranked as the No. 1 2-point offense in the country. with the average ppg diff clikcing in at 16.6 ppg.CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS ( after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons Play on the UConn to cover |
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11-18-23 | Mavs v. Bucks UNDER 243.5 | 125-132 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks ranked 4th in pace have for most of the season run and gun at a high octane rating and Im sure nothing will change here except their oppositions ability to slow them down and grind away with more physical type of game plan. Im looking for a much more grinding type of affair between two strong teams, and a score that remains on the low side of the offered total. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 230s giving a 2 possession plus edge on the number to the under.  MILWAUKEE in their L/25 games home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE in their L/33 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 29-8 UNDER L/37 in home games off a road blowout win by 20 points or more with a combined average score of 202.8 ppg scored.(Beat Charlotte last time out 130-99)  DALLAS  in their L/33 non-conference games over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS/ MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 43-9 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 223.2 ppg. NBA eams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more 2 straight games are 39-13 L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score registering at 227.4 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 25-5 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the average combined score of 225.6 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 37-13 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 229.2 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DALLAS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 31-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 222.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Oregon v. Arizona State UNDER 55 | 49-13 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 45 m | Show | |
Arizona State has only averaged 17.7 ppg on offense this season, and will try very hard to slow the pace of this game down, via slow snap counts and their running game as they play for survival here vs an explosive foe, and that Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers are projecting.Â
CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (ARIZONA ST) - after gaining 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 26-4 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 40 points per game scored. Play on the under |
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11-18-23 | Minnesota +27.5 v. Ohio State | 3-37 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 2 m | Show | |
Minnesota got caught looking ahead to this game with Ohio State this week, and were flattened by Purdue . That was the Gophers second straight loss but there is good news from a historical trends chart that I use. Notably Minnesota is 9-1 ATS when coming off consecutive SU/ATS losses, and HC Fleck is 5-0 ATS as a road dog of 25 or more points, and has coincidentally covered  4-0 straight as a double-digit pup versus undefeated opposition. Meanwhile, Ohio State Im betting will be looking ahead to their battle with Michigan next week and could easily find themselves more concentrated on staying healthy and play with less enthusiasm than usual. Fleck is 20-6 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return as the coach of MINNESOTA.Fleck is 13-4 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. in all games he has coached.MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 to 28 points since 1992. CFBroad team (MINNESOTA) - mistake-free team (1.25 or less TO/G committed) vs a team with 1.25 or less TO/G forced after 8+ games, after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 87-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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11-18-23 | North Carolina +7 v. Clemson | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 13 m | Show | |
The better team with the better record here is North Carolina vs a over rated Clemson side that should be. no more than a FG fav here based on home field advantage in Dearth Valley and not necessarily the talent gap. Mack Brown’s 16 -5- ATS in his career as a underdog with the better record, with 13 SU wins during that span, including 5-0 S/UATS the last five tilts. North Carolina has won the stats battles this season in 9 of 10 games and get the nod here to cover the number. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (N CAROLINA) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina to cover |
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11-18-23 | Cincinnati v. West Virginia UNDER 55 | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 28 m | Show | |
West Virginia has allowed 18.2 ppg at home this season, and Im betting they hold the inconsistent offense of the Cincinnati Bearkats within that range today. Look for key mode of moving thte ball to be their fairly efficient run game , and slower snap counts to see them try to grind out conservative game plan. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers average 213.8 rushing yards per game, No. 7 in the country and Im sure they will pound the ball again which in turn will eat alot of clock time. Lots of rsuh action makes for what Im projecting to be a combined score that stays on the low side of this totals offeirng. Brown is 12-4 UNDER in November games as the coach of W VIRGINIA with a combined average of 47.3 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons are 43.3 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. with pf 46.4 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 10-1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games with a combined average of 43.3 ppg scored.. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W VIRGINIA) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 36-8 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 44.8 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. La Salle UNDER 144.5 | 78-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score ranging from the high 130s to a maximum of 141 which gives us at least a 1 to 2 possession edge on this number. LASALLE is 9-1 UNDER in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 130.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LASALLE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 35-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-18-23 | Golden Knights -148 v. Flyers | 3-4 | Loss | -148 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
The Flyers have won 3 straight while Vegas after a hot start has cooled lately losing 3 of their L/5 but are off arousing 6-5 victory vs the Habs and have regained momentum. From a matchup perspective my power rankings suggest Vegas is the superior side. Also after a exhausting 4 game road trip to the West Coast Im betting the Flyers take time to get acclimated to home cooking again making them vulnerable in this spot play. Flyers are 2-6 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Flyers are 14-47 in their last 61 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Flyers are 0-8 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.Flyers are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. Golden Knights are 6-0 in their last 6 Saturday games.Golden Knights are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan.Golden Knights are 11-2 in their last 13 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game VEGAS is 11-1 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 7-32 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more are 7-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas to win |
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11-18-23 | Louisville v. Miami-FL +100 | 38-31 | Loss | -100 | 50 h 42 m | Show | |
Louisville is a dangerous side at home but are just 0-4 ATS in road games this season are  0-5-1 ATS as road favs the last two years. Here against Miami Fl, a side that is quite high in power rankings Im betting they have the edge here at home where they have covered 5 of their L/7 as dogs or pickem. LOUISVILLE is 0-6 AT in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 2-0 SU L/2 at home in this series. Play on Miami to cover |
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11-18-23 | Mississippi State -7 v. Washington State | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  KenPom ranks the Cougars 82nd nationally and outside the top 85 in Offensive and Defensive Efficiency despite of 3-0 record to begin this campaign. Yes the Cougars did win last time out in convincing fashion but this is still not a good matchup vs a staunch and physical Mississippi State' defense . The Bulldogs have smashed their opponents by DDs and I wont be surprised by a rinse and repeat situation here in this matchup vs a far less superior side.WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season.WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS ( in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on Mississippi State to cover |
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11-18-23 | Sacred Heart v. Loyola Maryland +2.5 | 66-51 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.Â
Loyola to cover |
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11-17-23 | San Diego State v. St. Mary's UNDER 131 | 79-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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11-17-23 | Mercer +30.5 v. Alabama | 67-98 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Tide are one of the best teams in the nation and because of this will be getting a great deal of public money which in turn will bloat this number from where the true market value is. Taking points is the right choice here because of this. The last time Mercer and Alabama met was Dec. 19, 2017 when the Tide held off a late charge by MU before prevailing, 80-79.  MERCER is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points . ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better which was the case last time out vs South Alabama in a 102-46 victory. CBB favorite (ALABAMA) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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11-17-23 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | 126-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be primed to snap a two-game skid and a 1-3 ATS run when they face the host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA in-season tournament on Friday night. In the two losses tge 76ers looked tired but now with extra day of rest Im betting they will be good to go. Note: PHILADELPHIA is 10-1 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, the Hawks are off a 116-114 home loss to the New York Knicks on Wednesday and are on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Also key star Trae Youngs wife just had a baby so Im sure life has been hectic for him and it could show on the court tonight at some juncture. ATLANTA is 16-29 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 18-34 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 16-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-17-23 | St. Thomas v. Cal Poly +7 | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CAL POLY-SLO is 15-3 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 11-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 7-0 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.CAL POLY-SLO is 9-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cal Poly to cover |
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11-17-23 | Holy Cross +11 v. Winthrop | 51-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Holy Cross stands 1-2 so far this year, including a 68-67 victory at Georgetown on Nov. 11 and must not be underestimated in their abilities to compete here vs Winthrop today. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (WINTHROP) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their game are 36-7 ATS L/27 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Holy Cross to cover |
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11-16-23 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
 The Blues have won five their last six games while outscoring opponents 27-12 and have scored 13 goals in their L/2 and Im betting on another top tier offensive output here as they are flowing well in offensive zone. Meanwhile, San Jose currently on a 0-3 run while allowing 14 combined goals in that span look vulnerable to being litup again in what Im betting will see a combined score that eclipses this offered total. ST LOUIS is 9-0 OVER after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 11-4 OVER after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play over |
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11-16-23 | Thunder -2 v. Warriors | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4; 8-3 ATS) have gone 4-1 SU and ATS over their last five trips to the hardwood  and have momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, the Warriors are on a four game losing run and are fade material in their current form especially with the explosive Curry and tough man Green out of the lineup. OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 ATS  revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS vs. sub pard rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 33-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clikcing in at +14.4. Play on Thunder to cover |
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11-16-23 | Utah v. Wake Forest +5.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Demon Deacons are coming off an 80-77 loss at Georgia in their first real raod game this this past Friday (Nov. 10) . Wake Forest went 16-of-18 (88.9 percent) from the free throw line against Georgia. For the season, the Deacs are now a stellar 35-of-39 (89.7 percent) from the charity stripe and Im betting it will be their ability to convert from the FT line will be a key difference maker tonight vs Utah. UTAH is 1-9 ATS  in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Smith is 4-17 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds as the coach of UTAH. Forbes is 23-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached since 1997. WAKE FOREST is 19-8 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.Forbes is 27-11 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens -3 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 52 m | Show | |
 Baltimore Ravens host the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday night with both sides entering off a loss. Baltimore claimed a 27-24 victory at Cincinnati in Week 2 and now Im betting on an even wider margin of victory in the rematch. CINCINNATI is 3-14 ATS L/17 versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 150 or more rushing yards/game in the second half of the season. NFL  team (BALTIMORE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 42-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) after 8+ games, after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game are 35-2 L/40 seasons for a 95% conversion for bettors with a average ppg diff of +10 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. . NFL road teams (CINCINNATI) - with a pathetic defense - allowing 6.0 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game are 5-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to cover |
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11-16-23 | College of Charleston v. Vermont UNDER 145.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Myrtle Beach Invitational - HTC Center - Conway, SC My totals projections for this game are in the low 140s giving us a one to two possession edge on this Totals offering. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 10-2 UNDER ) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 62-27 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 138 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (VERMONT) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 13+ wins in last 15 games are 54-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 135.5 ppg going on the board. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Islanders v. Canucks -150 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The NY Islanders and Vancouver Canucks are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. The Islanders have lost 5 straight games while the Canucks have won 6 of their 7 overall. Former Canuck Horvat makes his return to Canuckland and Im sure will not get a friendly welcome back here by the Canucks or the home town fans. Play on the Vancouver Canucks to win |
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11-15-23 | Long Island v. UCLA UNDER 142 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LONG ISLAND is 13-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 10-2 UNDER after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UCLA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 36-6 UNDER L/26 seasons with a combined average of 137.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Stony Brook v. Nebraska UNDER 141 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 137. Value to the under by 2 possessions. NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 130.9 ppg scored. STONY BROOK is 9-2 UNDER versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season with a combined average 131.9 ppg. CBB - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 137 pp scored. Play under |
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11-15-23 | Bucks v. Raptors +4.5 | 128-112 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
MILWAUKEE is 1-9 ATS in all games this season and have failed to cover 7 straight games overall. Their marker value has been consistently over rated by the lines-makers and tonight looks to be no different against what looks to be a tenacious hardworking group of Raptors. Key injury Note: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Calf) is not 100% despite of being expected to play tonight. Raptors are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series. The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (-19.55 Units / -17% ROI) dating back to last season. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 PPG or more) are 35-5 L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.6. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-15-23 | Celtics -3.5 v. 76ers | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Celtics have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Sixers last week by a 106-103 count, and will be primed for pay back here tonight in the rematch. Meanwhile, on the flipside the Sixers play again tonight after seeing their eight-game winning streak snapped last night vs Indiana . Now on tired legs against a talented and redemption minded squad Im betting the 76ers are in trouble. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is 15-3 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 points or more 2 straight games are 23-5 L/27 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking at +13.6. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 6-40 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.6. Play on Boston to cover |
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11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Redhawks are 24-8 SU all-time in home- openers since joining the NCAA Division I in 1991-92. Southeast Missouri began its home slate with a win in eight of the last 11 years and posted victories in 15 of its previous 18 home-opening contests. The Redhawks won their home-opener in five of their last seven seasons and according to my projections have the edge again. EVANSVILLE is 0-9 ATS in road games on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons. EVANSVILLE is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (EVANSVILLE) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 9-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.3. Play on Missouri State to cover |
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11-15-23 | Richmond v. Boston College UNDER 142.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. RICHMOND is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after a blowout win by 30 points or more. RICHMOND is 20-9 UNDER after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB  teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 358-249 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. CBB eams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RICHMOND) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-14-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 107-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
Lakers are off two straight wins and look to be in sync entering this tilt vs the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. I know the Grizzlies are off a win vs the Clippers on Sunday, but Im not impressed by the Clippers so far this season, so Im betting that the 2-8 bad news Bears revert back to the inconsistent type of play they have exhibited this season. MEMPHIS is 1-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 10-28 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an sub par defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team 14.5 TO's or less) against a good pressure defensive team (16.5 TO's or more )are 24-2 L/27 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 which esaily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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11-14-23 | Iowa v. Creighton UNDER 163.5 | 84-92 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score of 156 to 159 giving us solid value by 2 plus possessions to the under on this offering. I know both these sides have shown huge offensive lower tier competition , but now when facing some decent defensive talent a quick regression must be expected. IOWA in their L/11 against Big East conference opponents have seen a combined average of 155.5 ppg scored. CREIGHTON is 16-3 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 132 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (IOWA) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a blowout win by 30 points or more are 41-18 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (CREIGHTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 49-16 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play under |
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11-14-23 | Coyotes v. Stars -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas' is off a 8-3 victory over the Minnesota Wild on Sunday and have momentum entering this game as they go for their 4th straight win and 7th in their L/8. The Stars opponents the Arizona Coyotes are a side that owns a ugly 3-26 ATS in road games against explosive offensive teams like Dallas - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons Wild goalie Oettinger 7-2-1 with a 2.19 goals-against average and a .929 save percentage this season so far. and buoys what looks to be a solid team from top to bottom. I know the Coyotes have played decent competitive hockey for the most part this season but according to my analytics do not matchup well here vs the Stars. Dallas is one of the better conditioned teams in the NHL and that is evident by a  11-0 ATS mark in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 2.3 gpg. Coyotes are 13-47 in their last 60 road games. Coyotes are 6-22 in the last 28 meetings.Coyotes are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Dallas. Dallas to win -1.5 |
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11-14-23 | Texas A&M v. SMU +5.5 | 79-66 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big game for SMU at Moody tonight and Im betting their enthusiasm behind the home crowd should help them stay competitive via a havoc style of play that creates alot of turnovers . The Mustangs also exhibit tenacious rebounding on both the defensive and offensive board . With Texas A&M off a Big 10 win on the road, vs Ohio State last time out could find keeping their energy at a high level difficult. The last time SMU played an SEC school at home they upset Vanderbilt, 84-72, back in December of 2021. TEXAS A&M is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SMU) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13/game or more on the season, in November games are 26-18 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -0.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on SMU to cover |
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11-14-23 | Boston University +10.5 v. Howard | 53-64 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. According to my projections this line should be closer to -7 giving a solid one possession value to cover this hefty side offering.  BOSTON U is 23-8 ATS L/31 in road games versus sub par passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game. Play on Boston U to cover full game and first half Boston U to cover |
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11-14-23 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan -4 | 27-30 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Akron has lost all 6 of their road games this season by an average of 15 ppg, while their opponents Eastern Michigan have played their best football at Ryerson Stadium this season where they have won all 4 games. From a projection standpoint I have made the home side a -7 favorite based on some metrics the linesmakers are not using, thus giving us an edge by a FG over this offering, making this viable wagering opportunity laying points at what I perceive to be a discount . Eastern Michigan is 9-2 ATS L/11 meetings in this series and get the green light again. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (AKRON) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 6-63 L/10 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (AKRON) - after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored are 2-29 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -19.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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11-13-23 | Avalanche -140 v. Seattle Kraken | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Colorado Avs are in a early season slump and last time out looked completely asleep at the proverbial wheel in a embarrassing 8-2 loss at home vs an average at best Blues team. Now this talented but under performing Avs side will be in a huge bounce back and redemption situation. Pros dont like to have their egos bruised and you can bet the Avs come out here like their hairs on fire vs a Kraken squad that is finally looking lime an expansion team. NHL Road teams against the money line (COLORADO) - off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a losing record are 28-4 L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. "A lot of things kind of got to go wrong to lose (8-2)," Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar said. "This is a really tough streak of games ... it's a weird one. Its very weird considering the talent base the Avs have. Avalanche are 45-13 in their last 58 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Avalanche are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals.Avalanche are 44-17 in their last 61 road games.Avalanche are 28-11 in their last 39 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Colorado to win |
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11-13-23 | Islanders v. Oilers -166 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Two teams that have underperformed for a good part of this early season go head to head tonight in Alberta as the NYI visit the Edmonton Oilers. Edmonton is off a quality win vs the Kraken last time out by 4-1 count and now have momentum and confidence entering this game against a Isles side that is in complete disarray after suffering their 4th straight loss and 5th in their L/6 games. Advantage Oilers. NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (EDMONTON) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a struggling team (30% or less) playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season are 80-31 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Oilers are 39-16 in their last 55 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Islanders are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Edmonton.Favorite is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Edmonton Oilers to win |
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11-13-23 | Broncos v. Bills -7 | 24-22 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
Denver played a big game last time out upsetting the KC chiefs but this has not been a success-full situation for the Broncos in the past as their  0-9 ATS record would indicate when coming off an underdog victory. Add to that their a ugly 0-7 ATS L/7 record in this series vs the Bills. I know the Broncos are well rested but the Bills are not in a good mood after some sub par efforts and recent loss to the Bengals last time out, and will be primed to bounce back in a big way in front of their home town fans in prime time action. Buffalo also owns a  7-0 SUATS L/7  as chalk vs a the AFC West. Buffalo has struggled to cash for their betting backers of late failing in 3 straight opportunities,, but when this has happened to them previously the Bills are cash friendly 14-1 ATS L/15 against opposition  coming off a victory and 9-0 ATS playing as hosts. McDermott is 8-1 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season as the coach of BUFFALO. NFL Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more are 21-90 L/30 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.9 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Lay the points with the Buffalo Bills |
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11-13-23 | Rider v. Nebraska UNDER 149.5 | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections have estimated a combined score in the low to mid 140s range giving us a 2 possession or more edge on this offered totals number. Baggett is 48-34 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 as the coach of RIDER with a combined average of 144.6 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 11-2 UNDER in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 134 ppg scored. NEBRASKA is 32-17 UNDER as a home favorite of 10 or more points with a combined average of 134.5 ppg scored.  CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEBRASKA) - after allowing 55 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 32-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 138 ppg. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Knicks +9 v. Celtics | 98-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Knicks enter this game giving up 103.2 per outing (second in NBA) and here against the explosive Celtics Im betting they will be very physical and tenacious which will in turn take away the home teams positive flow. Based on a short list of early season results the line may not seem out of place, but after watching the Knicks on a few occasions this seasons it become obvious this a proud hard core type of team, that deserves alot more respect than they are getting tonight. NEW YORK is 32-18 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 10-1 ATS  after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 29-16 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (BOSTON) - off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against division rivals, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 19-47 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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11-13-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Northwestern State UNDER 146.5 | 96-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the upper 130s to maximum 141 range giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NORTHWESTERN ST) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games. are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with as combined average of 135.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB Home teams against the total (NORTHWESTERN ST) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 29-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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11-13-23 | East Tennessee State v. Butler UNDER 147 | 47-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. BUTLER is 13-2 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 135 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (BUTLER) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 30-8 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average for a 79% conversion rate. Play under |
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11-13-23 | Villanova v. Pennsylvania +11.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This is a Big 5 battle between the Villanova Wildcats and Penn Quakers.  .The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 14 consecutive games. The -11 line hasn’t been covered by Villanova in any of their last 10 games on the road.The +11 line has been covered by Pennsylvania in 3 of their last 4 games against Villanova.According to my line projections we have the edge with the home side Pennsylvania taking points. Play on Penn to cover |
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11-12-23 | Jets +1 v. Raiders | 12-16 | Loss | -112 | 79 h 25 m | Show | |
Jets D, is obviously their strong point and it will be their stopping units that Im betting stop the Raiders cold . A new interim coach had the Raiders playing all out football last week in a lopsided win, vs a hapless looking Giants team last week.However, I now expect all the teams previous inconsistencies to be on full display this Sunday Previous to last weeks loss the Jets had won 3 straight and according to my power rankings are the superior side here today. LAS VEGAS is 7-21 ATS L/28 in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +2.5 | 136-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans will be primed to bounce back from a 0-3 road trip when they host the Mavericks on Sunday night. Meanwhile, the Mavs are off a hard fought win vs conference rivals the Clippers last time out in what turned into a physical game and could easily be in a emotional let down state here in the Bayou tonight making them vulnerable to a hungry home side. NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 ATS in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.Green is 15-4 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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11-12-23 | Canucks v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on tired legs and because of this Im betting we will see a less concerted effort to be physical and less determined defensive work in transition. This Im betting results in alot of scoring chances and goals.Im projecting both teams reach at leas the 3 goal plateau . Note: VANCOUVER is 33-1 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 8.7 gpg scored. MONTREAL is 26-0 OVER (+26.3 Units) when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.9 gpg scored. Over is 4-0-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Atlantic.Over is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Canucks last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 9-3-5 in Canucks last 17 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 35-13-4 in Canucks last 52 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 33-14-4 in Canucks last 51 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 34-15-5 in Canucks last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 32-15-7 in Canucks last 54 road games. VANCOUVER is 11-3 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg.VANCOUVER is 21-8 OVER after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gog scored. MONTREAL is 6-0 OVER  when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 5-1-1 in Canadiens last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 8-2-1 in Canadiens last 11 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Montreal.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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11-12-23 | North Carolina Central v. Georgia UNDER 146 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a score that hits in the low 140s, which gives us a 1 to 2 possession edge on this totals offering.Â
White is 20-8 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs in all games he has coached with a combined average of 138.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGIA) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ ATS losses in last 8 games are 35-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 135.2 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 73 h 7 m | Show | |
The Jaguars (6-2) put their five-game winning streak on the line Sunday when they host the 49ers (5-3), a team that has lost three straight following a 5-0 start. However, from a-recent historical perspective this sis a good spot to support the 49ers . Note: HC  Kyle Shanahan’ is 4-0 ATS L/4 on the road off 3 consecutive ATS losses. This Niners team is just to talented to stay down for long and Im betting they rebound today in a big way. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons while Jacksonville is 7-21 ATS L/28 against NFC West division opponents. SAN FRANCISCO is 11-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 22-4 L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 35-13 ATS L/20 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. NFL Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF 49ers |
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11-12-23 | Saints -2.5 v. Vikings | 19-27 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
Joshua Dobbs makes his first start for his new team as the Vikings host the Saints (5-4) on Sunday .  Dobbs was named NFC Offensive Player of the Week after passing for 158 yards and two touchdowns , after replacing the youngster Hall, but now as a starter will have his hands full with a tough Saints D. His relative inexperience as a NFL starter will Im betting hinder him. The Saints lead the NFC South over the Falcons (4-5) and Buccaneers (3-5) and have momentum and motivation on their sides as they enter on a two game win streak. NEW ORLEANS is 21-9 ATS L/30  in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game.  Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover |
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11-12-23 | Texans +7 v. Bengals | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 72 h 18 m | Show | |
Texans rookie QB C.J. Stroud set a single-game rookie passing record with 470 yards in last week’s come from behind victory vs the Buccaneers. The kid looks like he is the real deal and with the team riding high after that win will ride that momentum into this game against Bengals side that is in a emotional letdowns situation after last weeks all out effort and win vs the Buffalo Bills. HOUSTON is 5-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI in Ohio. Houston to cover |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 48 h 59 m | Show | |
We know the Niners can score but after three straight losses you can bet the team will rest their prospects on a big time effort from a rested D, off a bye week. It must be noted NFL road chalk  having suffered 3 or more consecutive losses have gone under 12 of the L/13 times darting back to the 2019 season. The Jags despite of a 5 game win streak Im betting will find the offensive sledding tough today but I have enough respect in the Jags D, that SF most likely will also not have any obscene production keeping this combined score from eclipsing this number.  NFC road favorites of 3 points or more like the 49ers have gone under in 16 of the L/17 times vs AFC opposition like the Jags , when the offered Total is 47 or less . When both teams  are off their Bye Week like these two side are the under is  0-7 when the totals offering is  46 points or less. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.3 ppg scored. NFL Road teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after allowing 30 points or more last game are 63-27 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NF Lteam where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games are 102-55 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. All three games played here between these sides have stayed under the total. Play under |
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11-12-23 | UABÂ +5 v. Maryland | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Big 10 conference Maryland getting to much respect here vs experienced mid major conference side UAB. My own number makes the Terps just a 2 point fav. Full possession of value makes the Blazers to side to back. Kennedy is 22-12 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of UAB. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - bad pressure defensive team from last season - forced 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 13-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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11-12-23 | Colts v. Patriots +2 | 10-6 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 53 m | Show | |
Colts can score but their D is very suspect and Im betting even the pedestrian offense of the Pats will be able to take advantage of them. Meanwhile, the one positive New England has exhibited this season is a fairly consistent D. The Patriots have shown some signs of brilliance as was the case when they took out Buffalo by a 29-25 score a few weeks ago and must not be underestimated with a HC like Belichick  whose Patriots teams are 3-0 in international games all-time. NEW ENGLAND is 21-8 ATS L/29 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the second half of the season. Play on New England to cover |
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11-11-23 | Blues v. Avalanche -1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
 Blues rank 30th offensively with just 2.33 goals per game and with Goaltender Jordan Binnington slumping going 1-3-0 with a 3.52 GAA and an .895 save percentage in his last four trips to the golden pond the Blues look like fade material vs a sometimes explosive Colorado Avs side playing at home.Blues are 1-7 in their last 8 road games and their 3 most recent road losses have all come by 2 goals or more. Colorado has won the L/3 meetings by 2 or more goals dating back to last season. Play on Colorado Avs to win -1.5 |
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11-11-23 | Capitals +168 v. Islanders | 4-1 | Win | 168 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling but the Caps are in my opinion playing better hockey than a Isles side that is on a 3 game losing streak, and in somewhat disarray as their usually staunch goaltending and D, has let them down of late . The Islanders one of the older teams in the NHL are looking slow and HC Lane Lambert and company just dont look like they have the answers to do what needs to be done, which is to introduce more youth and speed into this lineup. key forward Barzel despite of being a whirlwind player just is not producing at a offensive rate compatible with his salary and his lack of leadership is reverberating a negative rate causing a break down in the cohesiveness of this group. I could go on, but the Isles in their current form are fade material Look for the Caps to get revenge for a loss to the Isles by a 3-0 count earlier this season.Islanders are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Caps are 5-2 L/7 overall.Â
Play on the Washington Capitals to win |
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11-11-23 | Raptors v. Celtics -8 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This will be the final stop on a four-game road trip for Toronto nd Im betting they will be on tired legs in a nasty home environment against a superior side the Celtics. BOSTON is 21-9 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons which is the case here tonight. Note: against this type of team in a cover situation you need to be able to make charity stripe conversion something  Toronto isa not doing well as they rank last in the NBA in free-throw percentage at 69.6 percent. NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 37-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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11-11-23 | Fresno State v. Kent State -2.5 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Kent State had their 23 games win streak abruptly end last time out in OT vs a very good looking James Madison side. However, Im now expecting to rebound vs aFresno State side traveling from West to East and way out of their time zone. CBB road team (FRESNO ST) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 11-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Kent State to cover |
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11-11-23 | Utah +9.5 v. Washington | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 52 h 20 m | Show | |
After a back forth high scoring battle against USC last week in a victory by a 52-42 count Im now looking for immediate offensive regression in a letdown spot by the Huskies who could easily find themsleves looking ahead to their big game against Oregon State next week. Huskies are 0-12 ATS L/12 after facing USC and 0-4 ATS L/4 before facing Oregon State. Washington is 0-4-1 ATS L/10 as a conference home fav of 10 points or less. Utah is 5-2 ATS L/7 in this series. Utah is 9-1 ATS L/10 as a conference road dog of 10 points or less. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 63-26 ATS L/31 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play Utah to cover |
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11-11-23 | Minnesota -124 v. Purdue | 30-49 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Purdue has lost 4 straight and have the worst record in the Big 10. They are playing with little or no motivation at his point and are fade material in their current form. PURDUE is 2-9 ATS  in home games over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons. Fleck is 7-0 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 or less points in all games he has coached since 1992 which was the case last time out in a 27-26 loss to Illinois. Play on Minnesota to win |
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11-11-23 | Utah Tech v. Jacksonville State UNDER 144.5 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this total out at 139 giving us a 2 to 3 possession value to the under. JACKSONVILLE ST is 21-8 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average fo 130.1 ppg scored. Harper is 36-24 UNDER as a home favorite or pick as the coach of JACKSONVILLE ST with a combined average of 139.5 ppg scored.. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (JACKSONVILLE ST) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season with a combined average of 135.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTAH TECH) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 180-87 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the combined average of 138.5 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-11-23 | NC-Wilmington v. North Carolina-Asheville | 83-66 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Both these programs are ranked in the College Insider Mid-Major Top 25, with the Seahawks checking at seventh on the list and UNC Asheville at 17th Asheville suffered a 99-74 loss to Michigan on Tuesday (Nov. 7), in their season opener, but after playing that type of type tier opponent will be well prepared for a bounce back effort. Meanwhile , UNC Wilmington comes into Saturday's game after defeating Mount Olive 105-66 on Monday (Nov. 6) and this will be a quick up turn in class which will not serve them well in this road game in a hostile foreign environment. UNC-ASHEVILLE is 6-0 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UNC-WILMINGTON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Asheville to cover |
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11-11-23 | Georgia Tech +14 v. Clemson | 21-42 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 53 m | Show | |
Clemson got by Notre Dame last time out to snap a two game losing streak. The win did not come easily, as the Tigers offense stalled in the 2nd half . Now in an emotional letdown scenario Im betting the home side is vulnerable and Im betting covering this spread vs an improving Georgia Tech squad will be a difficult chore. Both these teams sport identical records and both are vying for a bowl appearance, so a closer than expected game is my projection. Key is 9-2 ATS as an underdog as the coach of GEORGIA TECH. GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 season. Clemson is 1-5 ATS coming off a win. Play on Georgia Tech to cover |
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11-11-23 | Texas Tech +4 v. Kansas | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 53 h 38 m | Show | |
Texas Tech has owned this series winning 18 of the last 20 meetings  against Kansas, having been favored 18 times. In the two games they were the underdog, they notched wins both times SU. Tech has also only failed to cover one time in this L/7 as a conference dog of 7 points or less and deserve respect here to cover behind a QB in QB Behren Morton, who, has thrown for 978 yards and 10 TDS in his L/5 games . CFB Home favorites (KANSAS) - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 13-36 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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11-11-23 | Michigan v. Penn State +4.5 | 24-15 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 33 m | Show | |
Michigan enters this game with a perfect 9-0 record but from a historical standpoint teams with this type of W/L stat l are just 6-20-1 ATS when taking on a side a with top tier defense, that allow 20.5 ppg or less since 1982. With all the crap surrounding the Wolverines for cheating , a cloud now rests over this program, and could easily effect their play vs a motivated and very strong opponent playing at home. Franklin is 11-2 ATS after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of PENN ST PENN ST is 9-0 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons. CFB- Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after 3 straight wins by 17 or more points are 9-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% go against conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG are 37-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs (PENN ST) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 38-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (PENN ST) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-4 L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Penn State to cover |
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11-11-23 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +2 | 48-22 | Loss | -112 | 52 h 57 m | Show | |
BC has won 5 straight games but against what many would consider sub par competition. However, their opponent today Virginia Tech has not exactly set the ACC on fire, and after being humiliated in Louisville last time out by a 34-3 count don't look like viable road favs especially considering they have lost all 4 of their away games this season and have averaged just 12 ppg on offense in turf games this season. Alot of pundits are looking for reasons to fade Boston College, but from my perspective this is a hard working well coached team with alot of fight and deserve respect as home pups. Note:CFB road team vs. the money line (VIRGINIA TECH) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are just 4-42 L/31 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston College to cover |
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11-11-23 | Alabama v. Kentucky +11 | 49-21 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
 Huge revenge on board for Stoops as he gets ready to get redemption for a merciless 63-3 beatdown by Saban and company the last time these two programs met. With Alabama off what must be described as their best game of the season last time out vs LSU, a letdown scenario and regression must be expected . NoteL Saban is 2-7 ATS as conference road favorite of 3 or more points against a .500 or better side. Meanwhile, Kentucky is 5-0 ATS L/5 as conference home dogs of 4 pts or more and have cashed their L/4 home finales of the season. After watching Alabama this season I cant but keep feeling this is not a 5 star group like other incarnations of this program, and that they could fail in their attempt at a SEC championship and god forbid be upset here today,No matter what happens I strongly believe we get the cover here today by backing Kentucky. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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11-11-23 | Texas State v. Miami-OH +2.5 | 75-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Miami Ohio to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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11-10-23 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 222.5 | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Lakers have lost two straight and have allowed 120 or more points in 3 of their L/4 and in 5 road games this season have allowed an average of 221.4 ppg. Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged 120.3 ppg at home this season while allowing 117 ppg. After the recent negative results from the Lakers Im betting on a very aggressive take no prisoners effort from them , and for the Suns to reciprocate with some offense fireworks themselves and for this offered total to be eclipsed.  The suns have gone over in 5 of their L/6 overall NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 60-25 over L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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11-10-23 | Arizona v. Duke UNDER 154.5 | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . My projections for this tilt estimate a combined score that will plateau in the mid to high 140s giving us a two to 3 plus possession edge on this offered total to the under. ARIZONA in their L/152 road games in non-conference games have seen a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. DUKE in their L/6 home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 144.7 ppg. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARIZONA) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower are 41-14 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with the average combined ppg clicking in at 149.1 ppg. CBB Road teams against the total (ARIZONA) - team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%) playing a team that had a winning record, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 101-49 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 136.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (DUKE) - with four starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 10+ wins in last 12 games are 30-10 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 146.6 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-10-23 | UMass Lowell v. Dartmouth +2.5 | 81-48 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Duke clobbered Dartmouth last time out which was not a big surprise, but a closer look at the score sheet showed that the Big Green were only outrebounded by four, 33-29, and held a 10-5 edge in offensive boards. This came against a team that finished last season fifth nationally in rebounding margin (+7.9). That was a gritty performance, which bodes well here against Umass Lowell, a side the Big Green have beaten all 3 times they have faced them recently. The Big Green have done well in home-openers as is evident by winning 4 of their L/5 home openers and time in their last six tries and eight of their last 10 opportunities. Meanwhile, the River Hawks reached the America East Championship Game last season, finishing 17-0 at home but barley were a .500 team on road garnering a 9-8 away record. Note: The Big Green beat Princeton (who went on to advance to the Sweet 16) on Feb. 11 then Harvard in the season finale on Mar. 4 here at home and must not be underestimated. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UMASS-LOWELL) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 4 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 5-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB road team vs. the money line (UMASS-LOWELL) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 3 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 26-77 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dartmouth to cover |
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11-09-23 | Portland State v. UC-Santa Barbara -7 | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UC Santa Barbara Men's Basketball, have been voted to finish first in the conference.The reigning Big West Player of the Year and Big West Tournament MVP returns to the lineup for the Gauchos and earned his spot on the All-Big West Preseason Team. Mitchell's top tier campaign ended with him averaging 16.3 points and 5.1 assists per game while shooting at 50.6 percent from the field. More of the same on tape tonight in the Gauchos opener. Coburn is 8-18 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PORTLAND ST. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PORTLAND ST ) - off an upset win as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 3-54 L/26 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. UC San Barbara to cover |
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11-09-23 | Stephen F Austin v. Middle Tennessee -2.5 | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. After entering the season as preseason favorites in the Conference USA coaches poll, the Blue Raiders are coming off a 74-57 home victory over Northern Kentucky on Monday. MTSU over its last 32 home games has limited opponents to 59.6 points per game in regulation, having gone 30-2 in that stretch. The Blue Raiders added six newcomers to the roster to replace its six departing players. The average newcomer is 1.7 inches taller than the player he is replacing (6'8.0" vs. 6'6.3"). Defense remains a staple as does home court advantage. MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-1 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS  in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons.MIDDLE TENN ST is 10-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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11-09-23 | Howard +12 v. Georgia Tech | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgia Tech did well in their opener, but Im betting they will have their hands full with an explosive Howard group tonight. I know HC Damon Stoudamire bring s a big name with him, but Gtech still has some growing to do, an \d Im betting that will become evident this Thursday night. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (GEORGIA TECH) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 7-35 ATS L/26 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on. Howard to cover |
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11-09-23 | Islanders v. Bruins -126 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Eastern Conference's best team at 10-1-1, Boston bounced back from its first regulation loss with a Monday win at Dallas and according to my power rankings matchup well vs a NYI side that is expected to be without their top center Horvat and their most physical defenseman Pelech who if he does play is less than 100% .NY ISLANDERS are 10-26 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 35-4 ATS  after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.Boston is 3-0 SU L/3 at home in this series. Play on the Boston Bruins to win |
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11-09-23 | James Madison v. Kent State -3.5 | 113-108 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Golden Flashes began this season full force after a second-half spark that led to a 79-58 win over Malone in their home opener, extending their home game winning streak at home to 23 in a row. Im betting the Flashes continue their home streak. JMU began their season with an exciting overtime 79-76 win over No.4 Michigan State and will be vulnerable as they are in a huge letdown spot here today after that big upset. KENT ST is 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. KENT ST is 6-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (JAMES MADISON) - off an upset win as an underdog, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 3-54 L/26 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Kent State to cover |
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11-09-23 | North Florida v. Charleston Southern UNDER 149.5 | 81-70 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the low to mid 140s giving us a 2 to 3 possession edge to the under. N FLORIDA is 14-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 season with a combined average of 140.9 ppg scored. N FLORIDA is 20-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 with a combined average of 143.6 ppg scored. CHARLESTON SO is 22-10 UNDER L/32 after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (CHARLESTON SO) - excellent ball handling team from last season - committed 12 or less turnovers/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from weak division 1-A conferences are 27-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.3 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-08-23 | Pistons +12 v. Bucks | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Detroit had seven players sidelined by injuries or illness on Monday when it faced a fully healthy Golden State squad and still played cohesively for 90% of that game but faded late losing by 11. Im betting their young legs will keep them in this game as well, vs a Milwaukee side that Im sure will be over looking them and or showing less than desirable motivation, especially after taking part in a emotional thriller in Brooklyn last time out as they barley walked away with a  129-125 victory. Advantage Motown on the spread. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pistons to cover |
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11-08-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is in top form entering this home game against the Celtics as is evident by having won 5 straight games, with four straight coming by DDs. Meanwhile, the Celtics started strong with 5 straight victories , but that was suddenly snapped last time out vs Minnesota. This is obviously going to be a hard fought game between two eastern conference rivals , and for me that means taking points with the side honing home court advantage. PHILADELPHIA is 20-5 ATS versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in November games are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two top-level teams (75% or better ) are 15-42 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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11-08-23 | Western Illinois v. SMU OVER 144.5 | 53-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections for this tilt between W. Illinois and SMU are closer to the 150 plateau which gives us some very viable value here with an over wager. SMU is 11-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 season with a combined average of 152.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-07-23 | Predators +115 v. Flames | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Calgary snapped a six-game losing streak last time out, but Im betting they wont make it two in a row tonight as Nashville visits town.  Flames are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. The Predators arrive in Calgary after snatching a 5-2 victory over the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday and with momentum on their sides look like viable bets. Note:Calgary will be without Andrew Mangiapane after he received a one-game suspension for cross checking .He leads the Flames with four goals and will be missed. Nashville is 3-0 L/3 visits to Calgary.  Predators are 66-31 in their last 97 vs. a team with a losing record NHL Road teams against the money line (NASHVILLE) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) vs a poor team (0.4 or less goal/game diff.) are 52-11 L/5 seasons for. a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Nashville to win |
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11-07-23 | Albany v. Massachusetts UNDER 146.5 | 71-92 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a combined score in the high 130s, plateauing in around 141 as a expected combined offensive output. CBB Home teams against the total (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) from last year are 93-49 UNDER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 136..6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MASSACHUSETTS) - marginal losing team from last season (40% to 49%) playing a team who had a losing record are 354-222 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.4 ppg scored. Play under |
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11-07-23 | Ball State +10 v. Northern Illinois | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
It has mot been a very good campaign for Ball State overall as they have garnered only two wins so far, but they have been every competitive of late cashing 3 straight times, and playing with momentum and determination. Meanwhile, N.Illinois from a recent historical trend line has not been a very good home favorite,N.Illinois  is 1-10 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and is 0-7 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and are off a loss last time out, in game where their defense continually let them down allowing 37 points. Momentum resides with Ball State. Northern Illinois owns the third-best passing defense in the country, but they struggle to stop the run as is evident by allowing 167 rushing yards per game and because of that Im betting they will have issues against duel threat QB Kelly and top tier  running back Marquez Cooper . The Cardinals defense has been very staunch of late allowing just 19.5 points per game in their last four trips to the gridiron. They're 33rd against the rush and 68th against the pass and could easily give N. Illinois QB Lombardi fits here tonight .  N Neu is 14-5 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of BALL ST. Ball State has won three of the last four rivalry meetings with Northern Illinois . the average ppg diff of the last 5 Stalk events have been decided by 8 points or less. Ball State to cover |
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