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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-07-19 | Chargers -1 v. Raiders | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
The Chargers are a team that does not get accolades from the public, and are in some ways homeless and using temporary shelter in LA where no one seems to care about them. So this Chargers team feels more comfortable on the road than when playing hosts . Meanwhile, the future Las Vegas Raiders , are a team that is up trending, and getting alot of respect from the pundits. However, it seems the lines makers are not buying the hype, and have installed the home team in this matchup as essentially a pickem on a short chalk line. It must be noted that Chargers QB Phillip Rivers , has been a ATM machine for his backers when he goes on the road vs division opposition going 27-12-1 ATS , and 16-4 ATS when his team is not favoured by more than 3 points which is the case here this Thursday night. I know Oakland has looked good this season, and are off a impressive win vs the Lions, but it must be noted that the Silver and Black have a long history of failure  this series losing 4 straight and 20 of the L/27 meetings SU and if they  are off a SU/ATS win and playing at home they are  0-11 ATS . Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.Chargers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Oakland. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +7.5 | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Boston is off a 119-113 win vs Cleveland last time out, in a high shooting percentage tilt for the Celtics. Note: BOSTON is 12-23 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Stevens is 5-16 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better as the coach of BOSTON. Meanwhile, Charlotte has won 3 straight , and are more than capable of hanging tough against a Celtics side playing their 3rd straight road game in 5 nights and on tired legs. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 78-125 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover (LATE STEAM) |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +1.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 4 m | Show | |
The Temple Owls enter this game off a bye week, but prior to their break, they allowed an average 45.3 PPG and 587 YPG in their last three tilts, which had me believing that they are highly over rated especially on D. Meanwhile, USF has won 3 of their L/4 and up trending and needs wins badly to become bowl eligible and will be ready to play a big game here tonight vs a program they have beaten in 3 of their L/4 meetings including the two most recent matchups as hosts. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEMPLE) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-70 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (S FLORIDA) - after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 27-6 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF to cover |
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11-07-19 | UAB v. Troy State UNDER 140.5 | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Early season action will have defences in better from than shooters. This is strong instate rivalry that should be hard fought, which will dictate a slower, more physical affair that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 9-1 in Blazers last 10 vs. Sun Belt.Under is 17-7-1 in Blazers last 25 Thursday games.Under is 51-25-2 in Blazers last 78 non-conference games.  Under is 6-1 in Trojans last 7 overall. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. UAB is 50-30 UNDER as a road favorite or pick since 1997 with a combined average `of 137.1 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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11-07-19 | Capitals v. Panthers -110 | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Two red hot teams go head tonight in South Florida as the Capitals visit the Panthers.Both the No. 1 goalies in this matchup ( Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky and Braden Holtby for Washington )have had several days to rest and are expected to start on Thursday. Bobrovsky is 6-2-3 with a 3.36 goals-against average and an .882 save percentage. Holtby is 6-1-3 with a 3.30 GAA and an .895 save percentage. Washington is 9-1 L/9 overall but their recent history vs the Panthers is not a positive one as the Caps are just 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida. The Panthers are 3-1-1 at home this season, and play top tier hockey here, and from a projection standpoint on my end matchup very well against the Capitals and get my support here this evening. Play on Florida Panthers to win on the ML |
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11-07-19 | Capitals v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: WASHINGTON - BRADEN HOLTBY, FLORIDA - SERGEI BOBROVSKY Both the No. 1 goalies in this matchup -- Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky and Braden Holtby for Washington -- have had several days to rest and are expected to start on Thursday and despite of some sub par save percentages this season, are top tier goalies who will be fresh and ready to compete in a game between streaking teams. Bobrovsky is 6-2-3 with a 3.36 goals-against average and an .882 save percentage. Holtby is 6-1-3 with a 3.30 GAA and an .895 save percentage. Play UNDERÂ |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz -2 | 104-106 | Push | 0 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
The Jazz have lost two straight both on the road, but still look lie a formidable NBA team, and now on two days rest will be prepared to bounce back here on home court vs a Philadelphia 76ers group playing their 3rd road game in 5 nights , Note: Jazz are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are also 12-0 ATS/SU at home off a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field and are 7-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 48-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Utah Jazz to cover |
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11-06-19 | Virginia -3 v. Syracuse | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
 Syracuse is being highly touted as usual under the tut-ledge of Jim Boheim, but he has his work cut out for him early on this season after losing four starters from last years team , while also adding a five-player freshman class. This is now a rebuilding program, with some top tier talent but a great deal of inexperience , which is never great when going against a defending champion such as Virginia. Tonight I am expecting Virginias extremely organized and tenacious pack line D, to dominate and to continue the recent string of Cavalier owner ship over the Orange. Note:  Virginia has won three in a row vs Syracuse, which includes their last two visits to the Carrier Dome by an average of 20.5 points. VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons wit the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. and s 9-1 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Virginia to cover |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio UNDER 55 | 24-21 | Win | 102 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
 Miami has proven highly inconsistent of offense ranking 126th in rushing success rate and 116th in passing success rate. Meanwhile, Ohio's offence generates it most effective results when they run the ball, and today I expect that to be their main modus operandi , which in turn will keep the clock ticking . The above combination Im betting results in a score that remains on the low side of this total . MIAMI OHIO is 31-10 UNDER struggling defensive teams - allowing 425 or more yards/game with a combined average of 48.8 ppg scored. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OHIO U) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 102-55 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-06-19 | Kings v. Raptors -7.5 | 120-124 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings the Toronto Raptors matchup well vs the Sacramento Kings , and with the added home court advantage look like very viable favorites here tonight. Torontos SRS: ranks 9th in the NBA ( 4.98) vs Sacramento's 27th ranking ( -7.52). SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Raptors NBA Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - excellent free throw shooting team (79%or better) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 25-2 SU 23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.9 ppg which makes this a via-able ATS situation. Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-06-19 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 224 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Indiana is exhausted as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights, and are off a 122-120 OT loss in Memphis last night. Tonight playing defence could easily become an issue on tired legs in a game I have pegged to be a wide open affair vs a Washington side, that is ranked 26th in ppg allowed on D, and 5th in ppg on offence and 8th in pace. Over is 6-0 in Wizards last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 8-1 in Wizards last 9 vs. NBA Central. Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. WASHINGTON is 30-16 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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11-06-19 | McNeese State +7.5 v. Western Michigan | 65-75 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams struggled last season, greatly, and are pretty evenly matched according to my projections as this season begins thus giving us value with the underdog here.McNeese, which lost 13 of its last 17 regular-season games including its last three, will put out a different roster compared to last season. The group they now have is under rated. Take the points with McNeese State to cover |
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11-05-19 | Blues +109 v. Canucks | 2-1 | Win | 109 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
 The defending Stanley Cup champion Blues have been tempering themselves and not working to hard , but their experience at finding ways to win continues , as they have come from behind in seven victories this season. They are a confident group, that must always be respected on as underdogs on a value line. Tonight against a up trending Vancouver team , Im betting the Blues will be motivated to get revenge for a home loss to the Canucks earlier this season on home ice by a 4-3 count. ST LOUIS is 10-5 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 13-6 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 season  NHL favorite against the money line (VANCOUVER) - off a road win against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 21-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the ML |
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11-05-19 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Canucks are a much-improved offensive team , but they will have to deal with a defending Stanley Cup Champion side that knows how to shut teams down and make life miserable for them in transition. Tonight Im betting on the Blues imposing their defensive will in a big way on their opponents and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.7 gpg going on the board. ST LOUIS is 9-1 UNDER in road games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 4.3 gpg scored.  VANCOUVER is 6-0 UNDER in home games off a road win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (ST LOUIS) - after a 4 game unbeaten streak, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the first half of the season are 56-24 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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11-05-19 | Michigan State v. Kentucky UNDER 138.5 | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
CHAMPIONS CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY Tonight’s No. 1 Michigan State vs. No. 2 Kentucky has a bit of a tainted public leaning totals number attached to it. ( The public loves to bang the over on marquee games) My number on this total is closer to 134 to 136, thus according to my projections we have value to the under. Note: Both teams have been hit with the injury bug, and because of personnel improvisations Im betting a more muted flow and pace which directly effect this total to the under.  CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - good rebounding team from last season - outrebounded opponents by 4+ per game, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls OVER 215.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Los Angeles has reeled off five straight victories since dropping the season opener against their intra-city rival Los Angeles Clippers behind super stars LeBron James and Anthony Davis and Im betting will have an above average output offensively today vs a struggling Chicago Bulls team allowing an average of 110.3 ppg. Meanwhile, LAL has been allowing 108 ppg on the road this season, and tonight I look for the chasing Bulls to aggressively open up to keep track on the scoreboard, which will result in combined score that eclipses this total. Play OVER |
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11-05-19 | Hurricanes -105 v. Flyers | 1-4 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
 The Hurricanes have been of the league's best teams through their first 14 games with a 9-4-1 record. meanwhile, the Flyers have played back-to-back shootouts -- a 4-3 road win on Friday against the New Jersey Devils followed by a 4-3 home loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday in 11 rounds and could easily find themselves on tired legs and at a disadvantage tonight vs a team that I have pegged as the superior side. Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia. Philadelphia is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games. Play on the Carolina Canes to win on the ML |
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11-04-19 | Coyotes -101 v. Oilers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Arizona is one of the most improved teams in the NHL and continue to uptrend in my power rankings. They have been particularly strong when going against division opposition in away tilts going  10-5 ATS in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are  13-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. I know Edmonton is also looking improved, but whats troubling is the amount of shots they give up , allowing an average of 33.3 shots per game at home this season with a +/- negative 3.3 shot per game diff. Edmonton is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Arizona. Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win on the ML |
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11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7 | 37-18 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys have defeated the NY Giants 5 straight times, but NYG QB Daniel Jones was not under center in any of those games. All good and bad things must eventually come to an end. Whether the tide changes or not will soon be foretold. But one thing I am betting on is that the Gmen will make a game of this behind the arm of their young gun Jones: Note: This is the first time Jones has all his skill players healthy and ready to play. WR Sterling Shepard looks ready to return after sitting out two games with his second concussion. TE Evan Engram is healthy. WR Golden Tate has played in four straight after returning from a suspension for using performance-enhancers. Barkley will be playing in his third straight after sitting out three with an ankle injury. DALLAS is 6-16 ATS in road games off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992. Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 9. Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. NFL Road teams (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in weeks 5 through 9 are 33-77 SU L/36 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Giants to cover |
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11-04-19 | Bucks v. Wolves +6.5 | 134-106 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Milwaukee might be the public darling here but from a matchup perspective Minnesota is being highly under rated.(The Timberwolves will once again be without their star center Towns when they host Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday) But this is a team that plays deeper and more systematically than past versions of the Wolves and can withstand his absence as was evident when they took out the Washington Wizards last time out. With Milwaukee off a hard fought emotional win vs the Raptors last time out, Im betting they are more vulnerable here than the linesmakers and public might anticipate. Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Timberwolves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. NBA Favorites (MILWAUKEE) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 71-118 L/23 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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11-04-19 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 224 | 99-115 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game against the Pistons having lost three straight while giving up an average of 138 points. Washington is ranked 28th in ppg allowed, and 3rd and pace and 7th in offence. The Wizards come at you in run and gun fashion, and essentially force you into opening up. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons are currently ranked 21st in ppg allowed, and 24th in defensive efficiency, and if they are going to win they have to up their17th ranked pace here tonight in a game I have pegged to fly over the total. Over is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 road games.Over is 7-1 in Pistons last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Over is 7-3 in Pistons last 10 overall. Over is 6-0 in Wizards last 6 home games.Over is 8-0 in Wizards last 8 vs. NBA Central.Over is 8-1 in Wizards last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 21-7 in Wizards last 28 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-6 in Wizards last 23 games following a straight up loss. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 25-2 OVER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 213 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
 Utah has the best D in the league so far this season ranking No.1 in ppg allowed at 94 ppg, and rank 28th in pace and 27th in ppg scored at 101. Its obvious what their formula for success is and Im betting on nothing changing tonight . Meanwhile, we all know about the Clippers and super star Kawhi Leonard, but Utah can slow down the most potent of teams , and isolate them in transition , which Im betting will be the case again tonight. With that said, Im betting a combined score that fails to eclipse this total. Utahs L/9 games dating back to last season, have gone under the total with the combined average score of 196.2 ppg going on the board. NBA team (UTAH/LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), first half of the season are 102-47 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 84-44 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-03-19 | Jazz +4.5 v. Clippers | 94-105 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Jazz are a team that matches up well against a side like the Clippers and already proved it once this season, in a 110-96 victory vs the Clippers on Oct. 30 in Utah. I know Kawhi Leonard was out that night because of load management , but despite of the super stars huge efforts this season, could find the going tough vs a team that knows how to control pace and muck things up which effects opposition flow. According to SRS equations, the Jazz are the superior team at this point on the season. Utah 6:25 SRS ranked 7th in the league vs Clippers 5.21 SRS, ranked 9th in the league. ( SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.) Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in L.A..Jazz are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. UTAH is 23-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.( Utah lost a 102-101 decision to the Sacramento Kings on Nov.1 and now with some rest should be ready to rebound) NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a good 3PT defense (33% or less), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 7-27 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens +4 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 109 h 26 m | Show | |
The undefeated New England Patriots actually look vulnerable here according to my power rankings, and matchup algorithms vs rested Baltimore side off a bye week . It must be noted  that the Baltimore  Ravens rush  offence puts up an average of 5.5 YPR, while the Patriots allow 4.6 Yards Per Rush on defense.  So what Im expecting tonight is for the hosts to pound the ball down the throat of the Pats and to do extensive damage with this formula, and to come out of this tilt with a cover. New England is just 2-9 ATS L/11 vs rested .500 or better non division opposition . BALTIMORE is 32-17 ATS against AFC East division opponents since 1992. NFL Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) - quick starting offensive team - scoring 14+ PPG in the first half, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 9-29 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites (NEW ENGLAND) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ENGLAND) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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11-03-19 | Patriots v. Ravens OVER 45 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 109 h 2 m | Show | |
 In the recent past when top tier teams do battle the OVER has hit 10 straight times dating back to last season  when the  teams involved own  .700 or better record on the campaign , and the  Total is is 41 or more  points. The combined average combined score of these tilts has clicked in at  67.5  points per game!  The Ravens have gone over in 5 straight vs NFC East and have gone over in 6 of their L/7  as 3 or more point dogs.  Harbaugh is 10-1 OVER vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game in the second half of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 48.3 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BALTIMORE/NEW ENGLAND) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG are 39-13 OVER 36 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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11-03-19 | Kings v. Knicks UNDER 215.5 | 113-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Two teams that are struggling to start their season go head to head tonight .Both entered Saturday tied for 27th in the NBA in assists per game (19.3). The Sacramento Kings issues have predicated on their lack of scoring consistency from downtown and at the charity stripe. Meanwhile, the Knicks the Kings hosts tonight, are ranked 28th in ppg on offence, and 27th slowest in pace, and depend on a hardcore work ethic to try to stay competitive. Both teams current structural inconsistencies make for a rocky flow, and Im betting tonight that will translate into a lower scoring affair that will not eclipse this total. The Knicks have gone under in 8 of their L/9 dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 206.9 ppg scored, and have gone under 4 straight times at home, with the with a combined average of 210.7 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 15-4 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.5 ppg going on the board.NEW YORK is 13-4 UNDER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - pathetic team - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or better on the season, poor rebounding team - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 28-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-03-19 | Packers v. Chargers +4 | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 95 h 18 m | Show | |
There is no real home field advantage for the LA Chargers playing here , in Dignity Health Sports Park and there will probably be more Packers fans than Chargers fans here. However, my power rankings suggest we have value in what could best be described as a neutral field environment.The Packers/Chargers are tied for the NFL lead with seven touchdown receptions by running backs and are more evenly matched than most might think. Last week the Chargers beat the Bears, but  the organization has had enough of  offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt  play calling and instead will have their QB coach Shane Steichen call plays this week a guy I think has been undervalued by the Chargers. This week look for QB Philip Rivers  who is s second in the league with 202 completions, fourth with 305attempts, third with 2,315 yards and 10th with 66.2 percent accuracy to have a decent Sunday, vs Aaron Rodgers and company.Note: In three career starts against Green Bay, he’s averaged 398 passing yards. I know its hard to bet against the Packers because of recency biases, but Im not going to give a great deal of attention to those numbers today and instead will base my opinion on the mathematics that suggest we have value taking points. NFL Underdogs or pick (LA CHARGERS) - struggling rushing team ( 3.5 YPR) against a poor rushing defense (4.5 or moreYPR) after 8+ games, after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games are 26-6 L/36 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
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11-03-19 | Browns v. Broncos +4.5 | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 16 m | Show | |
There is no culture of winning in Cleveland and now thye have to endure bad coaching which just does not bode well for this franchise. All the off seasons moves along with  the pundits in the media telling us how great Cleveland was going to be , still has the public believing the hype. I know QB  Baker Mayfield has a great arm, but he is no longer taking advantage of weak Big 12 defences, and here against secondaries and defences with a heart beat he's had his issues , and here against a blue collar Broncos D, Im betting those problems persist. I also know Joe Flacco is now lost to the Broncos for the season, and his backup Brandon Allen will start, but Flacco was not playing well and this might actually be a shot in the arm for  Denvers struggling offence. Note:Denver defense  has held each of their last four opponents to season low  or 2nd low yards. Im betting they will be key to us getting the cover. CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. I was on the fence , waiting and watching this line, and now that it has moved , thanks to public sentiment Ive changed my my mind and decided to jump in here and take the points. Play on the Denver Broncos to cover |
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11-03-19 | Vikings +2.5 v. Chiefs | 23-26 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 4 m | Show | |
Whether Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes  starts this week or not , he had previous to be injured  flashed  signs of  the dreaded sophomore jinx and in his three appearances prior to that as he  completed less than 58% of his passes in those aforementioned tilts. MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons. NFL team (MINNESOTA) - good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG) against an average team (+/- 40 YPG) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games 40-5 SU L/5 seasons.  Minnesota head coach Zimmer has seen his team cash 16 of his L/21 versus AFC opposition , including 6-0 ATS when the Vikings are coming off consecutive wins.Zimmer is also 41-15-2 ATS outside the NFC North and deserves respect as an underdog. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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11-03-19 | Bears v. Eagles -4.5 | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
Last time out the Eagles temporarily saved their season with a win as dogs, and on the flip side their opponents the Bears continue their incompetence, off a loss they should have had against the Chargers last week in a season full of a comedy of errors. Now Chicago Im betting will be feeling downtrodden while the Eagles will feel rejuvenated and ready to perform here at home with momentum on their sides. I honestly have not had a great read on the Eagles this season, but momentum means alot and I'm riding that here today. Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS off a upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons The Bears are 0-13 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 13 ppg as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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11-03-19 | Texans -1 v. Jaguars | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 73 h 12 m | Show | |
Wembley Stadium - London, England The Jags D, has been playing well of late but my own QB vs D, power rankings suggest Texans QB Deshaun Watson who has the  5th best QB rating in the league this season (105.7), has the edge. I know this is like the Jags second home after playing 6 games here in England,  but the overall matchup projections favour the Texans. The Jaguars are 2-16 SU/ATS as non-conference dogs dating back 7 seasons. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 64% or better, after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 46-5 L/10 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers OVER 221.5 | 129-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Joel Embiid is expected to miss tonight game for Philadelphia because of suspension, but the way the Sixers are built that wont slow down their offense or pace here this evening. Note: The Sixers are ranked 3rd in PACE this season (107.0). Also PORTLAND in their L/41 games when the total is 210 to 222 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 233 ppg go on the board. Full steam ahead here in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 OVER after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 232.7 ppg scored. NBA team (PORTLAND) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 43%or less on the season, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 113-62 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-02-19 | Blues v. Wild -115 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The Wild are 3-1-0 at home at Xcel Energy Center this season but just 1-8-0 on the road. Tonight within the confines of their own building I look for them to come out on top vs a St.Louis side on tired legs as they play their 4th game in 6 nights and missing key offensive contributor Vladimir Tarasenko . Note: The Blues are averaging just 28.6 shots per game, which ranks 27th in the NHL. Blues are expected to start Allen against the Wild. He is 1-1-0 with a 4.17 goals-against average this season. NH Lunderdog against the money line (ST LOUIS) - after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 3-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wild to win on the ML |
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11-02-19 | Oregon v. USC +4.5 | 56-24 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
 Im not sold on Oregon and believe their being over hyped by the media. The Ducks have recently struggled defensively against air raid offenses like USC owns and have really showed some serious cracks in their secondary. Oregons last two games, they were really blown up and had to make comebacks to win those tilts , by a combined 6 points. So tonight against an elite group of USC receivers, the Ducks Im betting are in trouble . On D, Im also believe more strongly than most in the Trojans D is a quality group. Note:USC is 10th in opponent red zone touchdown scoring and own a top-20 rank in points allowed per red zone trip. The Trojans are 16-6-1 ATS as home underdogs, including 9-1 ATS if they won .625 or less win percentage. CFB road team (OREGON) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 42-84 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the USC Trojans to cover |
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11-02-19 | Nets v. Pistons +1.5 | 109-113 | Win | 102 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Nets enter this game against the Pistons off a hard fought win vs the Houston Rockets last night. The Nets hosts tonight the Pistons also played last night in a loss, but the difference maker for this matchup comes via home court advantage and slightly fresher legs of the Pistons, vs a Nets team playing their 3rd game in 3 nights.Note: Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are just 66-131 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Dating back 5 seasons, teams like the Brooklyn Nets with a line between 3 to -3 off no rest & won their previous game as a dog by a margin less then 30 pts against an opponent who had 50 or more points in the paint are 0-23 ATS/ SU. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
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11-02-19 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Flyers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Leafs are expected to have a jolt of power tonight when star forward John Tavares returning to the lineup. The key here Im betting wont be Tavares, but G   Frederik Andersen took the who owns a 1.50 GAA while winning his two road starts this season. He is 7-2-2 with a 3.22 GAA in 11 career games versus Philadelphia. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (TORONTO) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 24-3 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the ML |
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11-02-19 | Devils v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: NEW JERSEY - CORY SCHNEIDER, CAROLINA - JAMES REIMER Both these teams have seen some upticks in offensive production, but overall they still have a long way to go to be considered offensive juggernauts. Carolina has scored 2 goals or less in 5 of their L/8 while NJ has scored 3 goals or less in 6 of their L/9 and have averaged 0.7 gpg on the road this season . ( Carolina has allowed an average of 2.1 gpg at home this season and base their successes and failures on top tier D). Tonight Im betting the Devils will continue to have issues scoring on the road and for this contest to stay on the low side of the total. The L/4 meetings here in Carolina have gone under the total. CAROLINA is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 gpg scored and is 16-7 UNDER L/23 in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-02-19 | Pelicans v. Thunder -3 | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are off an upset win last time out vs Denver by a 122-107 count as 4 point home dogs. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-15 ATS L/17 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog . The Pelicans have been running a full throttle take no prisoners game plan so far this season, and after that draining effort last time out Im looking for a regressionary effort today in Oklahoma City. Pelicans are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the well rested Thunder are off a 102-99 loss last time out to Portland, but have bounced back well in the recent past positing a  4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. We also have a interesting NBA trend anomaly attached to this tilt that favors the Thunder: NBA Home favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - poor ball handling team - committing 16 or more turnovers/game, on Saturday games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington +3.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -114 | 48 h 10 m | Show | |
Utahs top tier defence is relentless but they don't get alot of sacks. Tonight I betting Washingtons QB Eason will have time to operate and generate alot more scoring chances then the public and lines-makers are estimating. Im not underestimating how good a team the Utes, have and respect them greatly but my power ranking suggest that the Huskies matchup well against the Utes. Last season the Utes lost twice to Washington  , once as hosts  (in their only home loss of the campaign) and then in the rematch in the Pac-12 title game, scoring a lowly 10 combined points in those defeats. It must be noted HC Chris Peterson is much maligned, for his under performing ways,  and will now be operating in desperation mode under what could easily be his last stand. The wagons are  circled and the plans are in place, and I expect a huge effort from the under valued  home side in this spot. Since 2005, a Top 10 ranked team like Utah vs an unranked team like the Huskies off a loss & the line is 5 or less is just 1-13 SU. CFB  team (UTAH) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 80%) or better playing a good team (60% to 80%) is 16-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Huskies to cover |
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11-02-19 | Georgia -6 v. Florida | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 33 m | Show | |
TIAA Bank Field - Jacksonville, FL The Gators (7-1, 4-1 SEC) and Bulldogs (6-1, 3-1) both are ranked among the nation's Top 10 for a second straight meeting. GEORGIA is 11-2 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons Georgia's Jake Fromm will start against Florida for the third consecutive year after directing victories in 2017 (42-7) and last season (36-17). The junior quarterback has completed 70.7 percent of his passes (123 of 174) this season for 1,406 yards, with nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Im betting he is key to a victory here vs a a up-trending but not quite ready for prime time Florida side. Keys on Defence favors Georgia:Defensively, the Bulldogs rank seventh overall by allowing 266.7 yards; the Gators are 25th while allowing 319.5ypg. Florida ranks ninth with 29 sacks (3.63 average), while Georgia is fifth against the run (85.7 yards per game). Smart is 9-1 ATS in road games after a win by 21 or more points as the coach of GEORGIA. ( Georgia 21 Kentucky 0 last time out ) Play on Georgia to cover |
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11-02-19 | Kansas State v. Kansas +6.5 | 38-10 | Loss | -115 | 55 h 8 m | Show | |
Kansas State played an amazing game last week in a huge upset win vs Oklahoma. Now Im betting they will be in a huge emotional letdown situation vs a up trending Kansas side and very vulnerable. It must also be noted that Kansas State has lost the stat wars in 5 straight games, and own the No. 129th Red Zone Defense in the nation, and are highly over rated despite of their  media blitzed accomplishments. Im betting on QB Carter Stanley to add to his  900 yards in his last three games and 13 touchdowns with a primo effort here in a tilt that could feature a SU upset, but more importantly as far as we are concerned a Jayhawks cover. KANSAS is 12-3 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. CFB home team (KANSAS) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against an average defense (330 to 390 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 23-3 SU L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kansas to cover |
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11-02-19 | Marshall v. Rice +11.5 | 20-7 | Loss | -103 | 33 h 7 m | Show | |
The Thundering Herd are proving themselves highly inconsistent and a team that plays down their competition consistently. Note: Marshall is just  12-26-4 ATS as road favourite against below .500 opposition  .With a big time battle in the  C-USA West division  on the horizon vs No.1 Louisiana Tech  a full concentrated effort vs a team like Rice with no victories is a high probability. The Owls cannot get over the hump, but they are an improved team, that has suffered 4 losses by 10 points or less and viable Home Coming underdogs here this Saturday afternoon. MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons and is 0-6 ATS when playing on a Saturday this season and is also 0-6 ATS after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Play on Rice to cover |
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11-02-19 | Old Dominion v. Florida International -17 | 17-24 | Loss | -109 | 64 h 5 m | Show | |
Old Dominion enters this tilt against Florida International with just one victory this season and that came  against Norfolk State in their opener,. Currently on a 7 game losing streak, things don't look to get much better for a side just going through the motions, as they face a team that needs wins to get a Bowl game invite. Im betting the Monarchs128th offence that averages. only 14.5 PPG will be on the wrong side of a big time beatdown. ODU is 0-6 ATS L/6 as underdogs of 15 points or more and another negative output Is my bet today. Wilder is 7-16 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points as the coach of OLD DOMINION with the average ppg diff clicking in at -23.4 ppg. CFB road team (OLD DOMINION) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games are 10-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida International to cover |
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11-02-19 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan +1.5 | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
Since 2014 the Central Michigan Chips have been NIU’s kryptonite and have won four of the last five and Im betting they find a way to turn the trick again. Meanwhile, Quinten Dormady will once again take the snaps for the Chips in place of David Moore, starting his fourth game in a row. Dormady has completed 63.7% of his passes this season for 1022 yards. He is backed by  Jonathan Ward who is one of the best running backs in the MAC. He’s averaging 6.8 yards per carry and has 725 yards and nine touchdowns on the campaign. I am expecting the Chips to do more damage then the linesmakers expect vs a banged up NIU defence and get us the cover here today. C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (C MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 36-1 SU L/10seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Michigan to cover |
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11-01-19 | Lakers v. Mavs +2 | 119-110 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lakers are full of veteran talent, but they are a little banged up right now with key cog Anthony Davis at less than 100% with a nagging shoulder injury. Dallas meanwhile, despite of being young is healthy right now and deserve respect on their own home court. The Lakers dating back to last season are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas. Play on Dallas to cover |
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11-01-19 | Stars v. Avalanche UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: DALLAS - ANTON KHUDOBIN, COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER Only once in their L/10 games have the Dallas Stars scored more than 2 gaols. Last time out they won a by an unusual 6-3 score. Note: DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER in road games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.4 gog scored. Tonight against a banged up but still explosive Colorado side, Im expecting they get back to hard forechecking and a wait game in transition vs a superior side, which will result in a lower scoring game.   COLORADO is 7-1 UNDER  in home games against terrible power play teams - scoring on 13%or less of their chances over the last 2 seasons with  a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. COLORADO is 20-7 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (DALLAS) - off a home win, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 27-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-01-19 | Rockets v. Nets +4.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston and the Washington Wizards set a record with 317 combined points in a tilt that was decided by one point as the Rockets snatched a 159-158 win in that game. Im now expecting some regression on the part of the Rockets, after that energy draining effort. There are also some troubling numbers attached to the Rockets last effort most notably being that they  allowed Washington to shoot 62.6 percent from the floor. Look for Kyrie Irving and company to thrive in this spot play. HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS in road games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Brooklyn has win and covered 3 of the L/4 meetings in this series. Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Rockets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.Nets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Western Conference. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 7-23 L/23 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites (HOUSTON) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 66-111 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Brooklyn to cover |
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11-01-19 | Bucks v. Magic +5 | 123-91 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee matchup is the middle game of a set of three in four nights at Orlando. Im betting the Bucks tired legs play an integral part in us getting a cover here tonight with the home dog. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Bucks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Bucks are 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Orlando NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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11-01-19 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 214.5 | 95-102 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland took out the Chicago Bulls 117-111 this past Wednesday. The win marked Cleveland's third consecutive game with an uptick in its scoring, from 85 in the opener to 110 vs. Indiana then 112 in a loss at the Milwaukee Bucks. There is upward offensive momentum at play here tonight in my over call on this tilt. Meanwhile, Indiana (1-3) concluded a three-game road swing on Wednesday, scoring its first win of the 2019-20 season, 118-108 at the Brooklyn Nets. Both sides have shown slower paces so far this season, but their defensive weaknesses , and current uptrends offensively make this a solid over wager. The Cavaliers are 7-2 OVER as a road dog with a combined average of 228.2 ppg scored. Anomaly or not its interesting to note that CLEVELAND is 9-1 OVER in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Over is 17-4 in Cavaliers last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games.Play OVER |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 227.5 | 97-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
San Antonio has been off since beating the visiting Portland Trail Blazers on Monday to improve to 3-0 and are very fresh for this tilt vs the Clippers and should be very ready to press the action vs a LA Clippers side they matchup well against. With a rested Kawhi Leonard in the Clippers lineup they will also be ready to reciprocate in a what Im betting will be a run and gun affair. The L/3 meetings here in LA have all eclipsed the total. LA CLIPPERS are 19-6 OVER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of those 25 games clicking in at 236.6 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals +10 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 61 h 6 m | Show | |
 This Thursday night two teams to be perceived the public to be at the opposite end of the performance spectrum do battle. San Francisco is at the head of the NFC West as the remaining undefeated team in the conference after smashing Carolina last week 51-13, while Arizona is below .500 and in last place in the division. However, Arizona may not be as bad as the public might believe, as the Cardinals were riding a three-game winning streak before visiting the New Orleans Saints Sunday and losing 31-9. Recency bias plays into alot of lines in any bet-able sports, and because of this value can be obtained in certain circumstances. Tonight we have one of those situations as my own projections estimate that from a mathematical standpoint that Arizonas chances of covering are in the 55% range, which makes this a very viable investment opportunity. Note: Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 overall games when playing San Francisco and  is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco. ARIZONA is 25-8 ATS after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game . ARIZONA is 17-4 ATS L/21 vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game . NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFLRoad favorites (SAN FRANCISCO) - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after a win by 10 or more points are 18-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (ARIZONA) - mistake-free team - committing 0.75 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 31-5 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43 | 28-25 | Loss | -109 | 60 h 20 m | Show | |
New Orleans beat Arizona handily 31-9 last week. San Francisco had Sunday’s most lopsided victory, defeating Carolina 51-13. Tonight Im betting on SF regressing offensively, after last weeks explosive output , while their own top tier D continues to thrive. The Niners are ranked 2nd in the league in ppg allowed at 11. San Francisco has surrendered 23 total points in their last four games. Note:The last two meetings here in Arizona between these two teams have seen 33 combined points scored both times by identical 18-15 scores favoring Arizona.  NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 14 or more points against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - after a loss by 10 or more points against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game are 30-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-31-19 | Georgia Southern +15.5 v. Appalachian State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 48 h 20 m | Show | |
The Eagles currently on a 3 game win streak are 16-point underdogs entering the rivalry game,  at the time of my selection. GS  is the last team to take down App State by a a 34-14 shocker on Oct. 25, 2018. Since losing to the Eagles over a year ago, App has rolled off 13 straight victories. Can  Georgia Southern turn the trick again. Well I don't know , but I do believe according to my projections that we have value at two TDs or more with a Eagles side, that actually has the type of team that an make the Mounties work hard for a win.Georgia Southern ranks No. 7 nationally in rushing offense (259.9 yards per game),  and hardly ever throw. So we all know what's coming at App State , but that still does not make it an easy task for the Mountaineers. Look for this big time rivalry to be a physical hard fought battle that will be won on the ground. CFB  road team (GA SOUTHERN) - average defensive team (330-390 YPG) against a good defensive team (280 to 330 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 35-11 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (GA SOUTHERN) - off a home win by 17 points or more against opponent off a double digit road win are 40-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games, undefeated on the season are 17-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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10-31-19 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 56.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
No. 12 Baylor sits on top of the Big 12 standings and will be rested and ready when it hosts struggling West Virginia on Thursday night in Waco, Texas. West Virginia has scored just 14 points in back to back games and regressing offensively. Tonight Im betting they will once again have issues getting scores behind inconsistent QB Austin Kendall  against a well rested Baylor D, that is allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. Under is 10-3 in Bears last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.Under is 13-4 in Bears last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 conference games. Under is 9-3 in Mountaineers last 12 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 Thursday games. W VIRGINIA is 21-8 UNDER L/29 in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 with the average combined score of 48.8 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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10-31-19 | West Virginia v. Baylor -18 | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Baylor at 7-0 is off a by week and well rested, and very ready and fresh to lay a two way beatdown on a struggling West Virginia side that is just plain over matched here. West Virginia has averaged 14 ppg in their L/2 and Im betting they wont even reach that out put here this week, while they get gashed in a big way resulting in a Baylor cover. Note: BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS L/11 as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points : Baylor 40.9 Opponent 16.3 . CFB home team (BAYLOR) - a top caliber team (+14 or more PPG differential) against a terrible team (-10 PPG or less differential), after a win by 17 or more points are 27-1 U L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +31.4 ppg. Play on Baylor to cover |
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10-30-19 | Canucks v. Kings +105 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Kings have tried to force the action since the start of the season. No opponent has taken more shots on goal than they have in a game. It has not been an extremely strong game plan so far, but against a team like the Canucks that allows 31.3 shot on the goal this season the Kings can find success. There have also been some closed door discussions about getting the most out of veteran players, and a fire has been lit under their proverbial butts, so tonight Im expecting a motivated Kings .Add to that the Kings are also looking for redemption for a ugly 8-2 loss to the Canucks in their 2nd game of the season and we have a very angry team to bet on at a value ML price. Vancouver is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road NHL team against the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 31-16 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Kings to win on the ML |
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10-30-19 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 6 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
When these teams played earlier this season, LA lost a ugly 8-2 decision to the Canucks. Now in redemption mode I expect that Kings do their best to be careful in transition and actually procure some kind of forechecking tonight, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. I know Vancouvers offence has been clicking of late, but it must be noted that VANCOUVER is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 20-8 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons.( Nobody in the league takes more shots on net than the Kings) the average combined score of this 28 game sample size clicks in at 5.5 gpg. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 UNDER  in home games after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 3.2 gpg going on the board. VANCOUVER is 7-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 39-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-30-19 | Clippers v. Jazz -2.5 | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Jazz according to my own ratings should be -5 favs here against the public leaning Clippers. Hey I know the Clippers have the best player in the league Kawhi Leonard in their their lineup and their currently playing very good hoops, but Utah is no pushover. Utah has the second-lowest opponent expected eFG% in the league and their  defense is tops in the league allowing just 92 points per 100 possessions. The Clippers are 24th on D under the same parameters. With that said, Im going directly against the public and the Clippers and agreeing with the market forces that suggest Utah has an edge. Utah is 3-0 SU L/3 at home in this series. NBA Favorites (UTAH) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots are 106-61 ATS L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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10-30-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - Tied 3-3 Both teams will pull out all the stops tonight in the deciding game 7 of the World Series. Both will also be conservative in their approaches, as one mistake could be disastrous. This Im betting results in a low scoring tilt. GREINKE the Astros starter is 6-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.32 and a WHIP of 0.929. In 10 starts the under is 9-1.  SCHERZER the Nats starter is 4-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.065. Under is 9-2 in Scherzers last 11 interleague starts. Under is 4-1 in umpires Wolfs last 5 interleague games behind home plate. WASHINGTON is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - average NL hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good AL starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better ), playing on Wednesday are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-19 | Wild v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The visiting Wild fell 6-3 to the Dallas Stars on Tuesday night as they blew a 3-0 lead in the process . Minnesota has allowed 32 goals in in their seven losses away from home but the linesmakers are still projecting a fairly low scoring game, and Im betting their correct in their assessments.Goaltender Alex Stalock played last night for the tired Wild, so Dubnyk (2-5-0, 3.92 GAA, .880 save percentage) will likely start against the Blues. He was 3-0 with a 1.32 GAA and .947 save percentage against them last season. Im expecting his work between the pipes, and the exhausted Wilds need to play more conservatively on the road to be one of the keys of this being a low scoring game against a banged up St.Louis side playing without one of their top scorers Vladamir Tarasenko. MINNESOTA is 9-2 UNDER in road games after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - tired team - playing their 2nd road game in 2 days, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 71-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-30-19 | Oilers v. Blue Jackets -147 | 4-1 | Loss | -147 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
The Oilers have struggled of late and lost 4 of their L/5 and are on tired legs after playing last night in a 3-1 loss to the Detroit Red Wings, and are at a disadvantage here this evening vs the Columbus Jackets who are 2-1-2 in their L/5 . The Oilers continue to depend way to much on the trio of McDavid, Draisaitl and James Neal and seem like team more interested in buoying the numbers of their super stars instead of a team concept that can garner wins . Truth is the Oilers are just two one dimensional and easy to read. With that said , I'm betting on the Jackets to deliver the cash here tonight and cash for the 6th time in the L/8 meetings inColumbus in this series. Play on the Columbus Blue Jackets to win on the ML |
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10-30-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Kyrie Irving is playing at an extremely high level right of the game this season for his new team the Brooklyn Nets. However, I am expecting a natural letdown regression offensively , and for the Nets nasty defensive play to burden them against a Indiana side that are capable of busting out of an early season scoring slump. It must be noted that despite of Kyrie Irving circus the Nets needed a late Irving's 3-pointer Friday after blowing a 19-point lead. Two days later, the Nets held an eight-point lead with three minutes remaining and gave up a 10-2 run that forced overtime. The 1-2 Nets are down trending and may not be the solid bet the public thinks they are tonight. BROOKLYN is 4-14 ATS in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 3-0 SU l/3 visits to Brooklyn. NBA team (INDIANA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 6 or more of their last 8 games are 41-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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10-29-19 | Grizzlies v. Lakers UNDER 219.5 | 91-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
We have a huge talent disparity here in this game featuring Memphis and the LA Lakers and Im betting the rebuilding Grizzlies output will be muted, and their over all game plan will be a more conservative one , than they have shown so far this season, knowing what they are up against. With that said, Im betting we have a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Note : It must also be noted that there seems to be a concerted effort from the Lakers to be a all around team this season. LAL are ranked 3rd in ppg allowed this season, and 20th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace. The Lakers are 2-7 L/9 as a home favorite with the average combined score clicking in at 214.2 ppg. LA LAKERS are 21-7 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 29-5 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros OVER 7 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 After going down 2 games -0 the Astros, have come roaring back with 3 straight wins as the Houston offence has also suddenly come back to life, and will be a difficult assignment for Nats starter Strasburg. Houston has averaged 5.7 rpg vs RHP this season. Note: Stasburgs four career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Meanwhile, Verlander the expected Astros starter has allowed exactly four runs in three of his last four trips to the hill and comes into this game at 0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six career World Series starts and could easily get beaten around by a desperate Washington team looking to avoid elimination. Verlanders 3 career starts vs the Astros have gone over the total. Over is 5-1 in Strasburgs last 6 interleague starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 playoff games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 13-3 in Astros last 16 interleague home games. HOUSTON is 11-3 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 10-2 OVER in home games in an inter-league game this season with a combined average of 12.2 rpg. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 71-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-29-19 | Oilers v. Red Wings +112 | 1-3 | Win | 112 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Edmonton recorded a 2-1 home victory over Detroit on Oct. 18. It was the first meeting between the clubs since longtime Red Wings GM Ken Holland took the same position with the Oilers in May and now its payback time for the Red Wings. i know these teams might look like they re performing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, but according to my power rankings the Red Wings are up trending quickly.  Detroit is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Edmonton. EDMONTON is 11-18 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons and is 7-13 ATS against struggling teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit on the ML |
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10-29-19 | Sharks v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
 the Sharks have struggled in their first 12 games of this season. San Jose has allowed four or more goals eight times thus far while scoring two or fewer on six occasions. QUTE: "We're playing from behind in a lot of these games," San Jose coach Peter DeBoer said, "and instead of sticking with it and trusting the group and the system, everyone wants to step out and fix it themselves, but it doesn't work that way. So eventually you have to learn that lesson." END QUOTE. Im betting that the Sharks have learned their less, and will play a more disciplined game here vs a explosive Boston Bruins team. Note:The Sharks despite their over all struggle killed all four power plays they faced in their last contest, improving their league-leading penalty kill to 93.2 percent. Thats important here vs a Boston side, that had a power play conversion in 6 of their L/7 games overall. BOSTON is 8-1 UNDER in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 season ( with a combined average score of 4.8 gpg scored) SAN JOSE is 15-4 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. Tuukka Rask, fresh off a shutout of the defending champion St. Louis Blues on Saturday, is expected to start between the pipes for the Bruins. In his current form hes hard to beat, and is a key component here in my under projections for this tilt. NHL Road teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - after 2 straight blowout losses by 3 goals or more against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 36-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-28-19 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 216.5 | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Utah is a defence first team with a blue collar attitude, and Im betting that will be on full display here this evening in Phoenix. Its early in the season but the Jazz are ranked first in defence allowing 90.3 ppg and are ranked 27th on offence, but the tell tale tape shows them methodically operating with a 28th ranked pace, which is in part indicative of their on court conservative philosophical mindset. Meanwhile, the Suns are ranked 12th in ppg allowed and 14th in pace and should be on tired legs and in a regressionary offensive mode, after taking part in consecutive hard fought back forth affairs vs Denver and the LA Clippers.Add to that both teams are playing their 4th game in 6 nights and are certainly on tired legs which in turn will also effect the pace and output of this tilt to the low side of the totals number. Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 overall.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-0 in Jazz last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 Monday games.Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Jazz last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 games following a straight up win. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games following a straight up win. .Under is 16-5 in Suns last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-2 in Suns last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Phoenix. PHOENIX is 9-1 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. UTAH is 31-13 UNDER after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.5 ppg going on the score board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 27-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 36-12 UNDER 23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-28-19 | Jazz -4.5 v. Suns | 96-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
The Jazz made a season-high 18 3-pointers and tied a franchise record with 13 threes in the first half while routing Sacramento 113-81 on Saturday, in a top tier two way game. Defence remains the mainstay of the Jazz success behind two-time reigning NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert and here tonight Im betting their top tier D will be the difference maker as they march to a conclusive win vs a exhausted Suns team that will play their 3rd game in 4 nights and that they matchup well against .Utah has taken the last seven meetings by an average of 24.1 points and one more conclusive win is on tonights agenda. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 10-34 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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10-28-19 | Dolphins v. Steelers UNDER 43.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Dolphins rank last in the NFL in passer rating and Im betting things are not going to get any better tonight, as their offence will flounder against a capable D. Meanwhile, with Steelers, QB Mason Rudolph,  making his first appearance at Heinz Field in 3 weeks ended when he barely made his way to the sidelines following a vicious hit to the head by Baltimore's Earl Thomas that briefly left him unconscious, may still find himself a little gun shy this week. With that said and HC Tomlin being the alert coach he is will most like and probably peg his offensive schemes on a ground heavy approach which in turn will eat clock time. The above combination of projected events will make for a low scoring affair. Note: The Steelers owns the 6th slowest pace in the league, and the Fins when they are losing a game by more than 7 points own the slowest pace in the league. PITTSBURGH is 10-2 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41 ppg. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass.Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 13-4 in Dolphins last 17 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-1 in Steelers last 7 vs. AFC.Under is 9-2 in Steelers last 11 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Steelers last 8 games on grass.Under is 20-7 in Steelers last 27 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass.Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 13-4 in Dolphins last 17 games in Week 8.Under is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Big chalk  of  13  or more points have gone UNDER the Total  in 18 of the L/23 games, when the number is 52 or less points. Miami has gone under in 10 of their L/11 as non-division  dogs of 10 points or more. Play UNDER |
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10-28-19 | Warriors v. Pelicans -3 | 134-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
After the five-time defending Western Conference champion Warriors were hammered at home by the Clippers 141-122 in the season opener, Golden State coach Steve Kerr said the performance was not "a one-off." Quote:"This is the reality," Kerr said. "There's going to be nights like this this year."End Quote: And the next night like that came at Oklahoma City on Sunday as the Thunder led by as many as 41 points in rolling to a 120-92 victory. With the league now wanting to take advantage of a great franchise that took great joy and pounding opponents mercilessly over the last few years payback by their opponents is now at hand. Both these teams are still without a win this season, but New Orleans according to my projections has an edge here at home laying the short lumber. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 34-3 SU L/23 seasons with the combined average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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10-27-19 | Packers v. Chiefs +4 | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 55 m | Show | |
Aaron Rodgers is red hot, and the KC Chiefs will start a backup QB in place of their star pivot Patrick Mahomes who is surprisingly already back at practice. However, Andy Reid knows how to win, and it's never easy to get a victory in Arrow Head and covering here won't be an easy task. Packers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Packers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Chiefs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win.Chiefs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.Chiefs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games are 23-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on the KC Chiefs to cover |
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10-27-19 | Nets -4.5 v. Grizzlies | 133-134 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Kyrie Irving is fitting in well to his new home in Brooklyn and followed up a top tier 50-point performance in his season debut by highlighting a late surge in the fourth quarter of Brooklyn's 113-109 win versus the New York Knicks on Friday night. According to my early season projections, Irving and the Nets matchup well here vs Memphis and are viable road favorites of 5 points or less. MEMPHIS is 21-39 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.BROOKLYN is 53-32 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons . Nets are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Memphis. Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers OVER 42 | 13-51 | Win | 100 | 56 h 43 m | Show | |
The Panthers are fresh off a  bye week, which Im betting will see them  energized and ready to rumble here this week against a viable SF offence behind top tier QB James Garoppolo .  The Panthers have gone over in 5 straight off a week off, and have gone over the total in 7 of their L/8 vs a side with a .800 or better win record and eclipsed the total in 4 of their L/5 vs NFC west. Meanwhile, the 49ers have gone over in 9 of their L/11 vs a side of bye. Yes, folks I know how dominate the Niners defences has been , but because of this early season recency bias , we get a very good number to bet into from a over bettors perspective according to my projections. A reversion to the mean here for the 49ers D makes for a portion of my decision making process this Sunday. CAROLINA is 8-1 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 59.9 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CAROLINA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 27-1 OVER L/26 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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10-27-19 | Warriors v. Thunder +1.5 | 92-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The Warriors (0-1) and Thunder (0-2) are both still looking for their first wins. Golden State lost a 141-122 confrontation to the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma took season-opening losses at Utah and at home against Washington . Both rosters are vastly different from last season, but after watching some of key action from these games, I like the Thunder a little more at this point of the season, and believe they have an edge here on on home court this afternoon. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS L/5 as a favorite. Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 28-4 SU L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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10-27-19 | Giants +7 v. Lions | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 53 h 20 m | Show | |
NY was dumped last week vs Arizona by a 27-21 count, but did make a come back after being down by DDs earlier in that game and have the ability to hang with a Motown side that has lost 3 straight games thanks in part to a porous D. Note: NFL visiting underdogs are a bankroll expanding 45-24-1 ATS this season, including 18-4-1 ATS when facing opposition  coming off a defeat. Im betting on young gun Daniel Jones to have some luck here this week vs the Lions rickety secondary and for the Gmen to deliver the cash. Giants have won 4 of their L/5 visits to Detroit. NY GIANTS are 16-3 ATS L/19 after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. DETROIT is 31-52 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) - after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points are 36-12 ATS L/36 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Giants to cover |
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10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 53 h 54 m | Show | |
 Man did Philadelphia disappoint me last week in Dallas. It was an atrocious effort . Their D allowed 400 plus yards for the 2nd straight game. However despite of that,  according to my projections and perceptions  still a solid overall team that I whole heartedly believe in, especially against what I also project to be a over rated Buffalo team that has beat up on teams with a combined 6-25 SU record. I know this is the Eagles 3rd straight road game, and that they lost the previous two, but it must be noted that  NFL road teams in the 3rd of three straight away tilts are  a bankroll expanding 40-26 ATS when coming off consecutive losses and  32-16 ATS dating back 27 seasons), including 20-6 ATS in non- division tilts  and a near perfect 11-1 ATS when coming off a losing effort  of  10  or more points.. The Eagles themselves are  5-1 ATS as dogs in their 3rd straight away game.  The Eagles are also 12-1 SU and 13-0 ATS away in the regular season after scoring 10 or fewer points which was the case last week in Dallas. PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better) over the last 3 seasons. Bills are 1-4 ATS L/5 at home vs a side with a losing record. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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10-27-19 | Broncos +6 v. Colts | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 51 h 16 m | Show | |
I was going to completely by pass this game, but the key number I was looking for awoke me to the value being offered here on this line. I know the Colts are playing great football, but Denver has been highly competitive so far this season despite of last weeks debacle vs the KC chiefs and QB Flacco's sack numbers. The Broncos had won their previous two games, and lost by 2 points to Jacksonville, and Chicago and gave the red hot Packers a run for their money in a 26-17 loss. With recency bias on our sides and a the fact that all the Colts decisions have come within 7 points or less, this is a viable side opportunity with the underdog. I also expect the Colts to be in a letdown spot after their big win vs Houston last week giving the hungry side room to out energize their opponent. Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8.Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Colts are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the Denver Broncos to cover |
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10-27-19 | Seahawks v. Falcons +9.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
This line has just gone crazy as it opened at -3.5 and has steamed via public action all the way up to this -7 line. After that adjustment, we now have value with the ugly home mutt. I know Atlanta has looked horrendous for much of the early part of this season, but thanks to that recency bias we have value here taking points from a mathematical perspective. Fading large steam moves like this have been a long term winning proposition -131-77-6 ATS dating back 14 seasons for a solid 62% conversion rate and a ROI of 23%. ATLANTA is 33-17 ATS  after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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10-26-19 | San Diego State -13 v. UNLV | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 40 m | Show | |
UNLV found a way to beat Vanderbilt last time out, and will now be completely wiped out and in a emotional letdown state, vs a Aztecs side that has revenge on board for being upset by UNLV last season at home. San Diego State is currently in top form having held their last three opponents to season low averages, and another shut down performance Im betting will come late Saturday night. SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return with the average ppg diff clicking in at +19 ppg. San Diego State is 22-1 SU and 19-4 ATS off a SUATS victory under Rocky Long when taking on a .500 or less conference opponent, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS away. CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - a good team (+5 to +10 PPG diff.) against a terrible team (10 or less PPG diff.) after 7 or more games, in conference games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs (UNLV) - with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 11-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate! Play on San Diego State to cover |
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10-26-19 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 228 | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Suns will play host to the Clippers on Saturday in their second game without key starter Ayton, and will miss his point production, but overall, this Im betting helps their defence. Ayton has never been known for his defensive play and is also known as a defensive liability. Add to that the Suns, played last night and will be on tired legs after they lost l in OT by a 108-107 count in the high altitude of Denver which in itself is exhausting . So here in LA this evening, Im looking for a tempered effort from the Suns, against what is an explosive Clippers team. This Im betting leads to a much lower scoring tilt than the linesmakers expect. Note: HC Williams in 213 career games when playing against a team with a winning record in all games he has coached has seen a combined average of 192.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Astros v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
 Washington's bats were silent last night in game 3 of this series as the club went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position and stranded 12 for the game. Now tonight Im betting on a rebound by what has become a consistent offence, and much better run production. Note: WASHINGTON is 19-7 OVER in home games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 26 tilts. MARTINEZ is 36-16 OVER in home games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of WASHINGTON with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Houston after that 4-1 win last night now has momentum, and Im betting they continue upward in offensive production here today against starter Patrick Corbin who owns a 6.91 ERA and that according to my cross reference power rankings does not matchup well vs this power Astros batting order. Over is 3-0-1 in Corbins last 4 home starts. Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 interleague games.Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. National League East. Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings in Washington. Play OVER |
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10-26-19 | Astros -105 v. Nationals | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Im betting the explosive bats of the Astros do some real damage vs Washingtons Patrick Corbin (6.91 ERA) tonight and even this series at 2-2 games a piece. HOUSTON is 43-14 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 51-13 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season.WASHINGTON is 9-20 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or more) over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series.Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Astros are 40-11 in their last 51 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 44-14 in their last 58 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Astros are 40-13 in their last 53 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Astros are 38-13 in their last 51 Saturday games.Astros are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. National League East.Astros are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (HOUSTON) - very good AL offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 30-15 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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10-26-19 | Penguins v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Since the Penguins beat the Stars 4-2 on Oct. 18 in Pittsburgh, Dallas has won three straight games, while Pittsburgh has lost three in a row. The difference maker for the Stars is their ability to implement a NYI Barry Trotz type defensive plan, that allows them to stay close and look for the right opportunities in transition. This has been evident in their consecutive victories vs Philadelphia, Ottawa and Anaheim, by 4-1, 2-1 ,and 2-1 scores, and now with momentum and success on their sides, will Im betting continue down this path, vs the Penguins here tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: The Penguins have only scored a total of 4 goals in their L/3 games, thanks and part to injuries , and a new found vigor for playing a tighter brand of defensive hockey. DALLAS is 17-3 UNDER in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - after a 2 game unbeaten streak, a bad team, winning 30% to 40% of their games on the season are 134-68 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Missouri -10 v. Kentucky | 7-29 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 19 m | Show | |
Missouri was completely asleep at the proverbial wheel last week vs previously winless Vanderbilt, and had no energy what so ever after having rolled off 5 straight victories prior to that ugly affair,. Now steaming and embarrassed I expect the Tigers to come out here and roll over a toothless Kentucky offense that is down to using a WR as a QB. Last week, Kentuckys D, stood tall against Georgia in a rain drenched affair but could not move the ball and lost 21-0. The Wildcats might have more success this week, but Im betting it wont be enough against a Missouri team that will be angry and motivated. CFB Home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (KENTUCKY) - after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 38-77 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. CFBroad team (MISSOURI) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games are 35-11 ATS L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Missouri to cover |
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10-26-19 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 216.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Last time out Philadelphia showed their defensive abilities when they limited Boston to 36.7 percent shooting overall and 26.9 percent from 3-point range, and are more than capable of a shut down performance here vs Detroit on the road . Meanwhile the Motown Pistons, are off dropping their home opener to Atlanta 117-100 as chalk. There was a lack of good defence, and offence in that tilt, and HC Casey was particularly unhappy with the Pistons D, and tonight Im betting he sets out to correct that. QUOTE:"Our defense (Thursday) was porous and you put that along with bad shooting in the second half, that's a bad recipe," coach Dwane Casey said. END QUOTE. DETROIT is 17-6 UNDER off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons are with a combined average of 209.1 ppg scored. 76ers- Joel Embiid is "?" Saturday vs Detroit ( Ankle ) Pistons -Blake Griffin is out indefinitely ( Hamstring ) Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Texas Tech -3.5 v. Kansas | 34-37 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 41 m | Show | |
Kansas played a great game last week vs Texas, and despite of a humungous effort lost by two points. Now in a huge emotional let down spot Im betting they come out flat tonight against visiting Texas Tech and take it on the proverbial chin. I know the Texas Tech may not inspire bettors and they are off a loss last week, but in the past this has been a positive boost for their betting backers as the program has cashed 33 of their L/45 off a home defeat for a 73% conversion rate. Note:The Red Raiders have won 15 of the L/16 meetings including 8 straight as visitors and have the edge in this spot play.  KANSAS is 4-16 ATS L/20 after 3 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored . CFB Road favorites (TEXAS TECH) - average rushing team (+/- 40 RY/G) against a poor team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games are 61-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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10-26-19 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton +2 | 27-24 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
There is very good news coming out of Edmonton for the Eskimos as starting Quarterback Trevor Harris, has been activated off the six-game injured list. He can practice this week and it is likely, but not confirmed that he will start against the Roughriders on Saturday. However sources close to the team say he's ready to go. His presence Im betting buoys the Eskies to a cover and possible SU win this Saturday. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - with a good defense - allowing 350 or less total yards/game, after allowing 5.5 or less yards/play in their previous game are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover |
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10-26-19 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 223.5 | 131-126 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Butler, Miami's biggest offseason acquisition, missed Wednesday's season-opening win for the birth of his daughter and will miss Saturday's game against the Bucks and as a result will effectively curtail the Heats offensive output. The Heats L/7 road games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 216 ppg go on the board. The Heats usual motus operandi is based on playing staunch D which will be in effect here, vs the explosive Milwaukee Bucks. Long term historical trend: MIAMI is 563-469 L/1031 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 189.1 ppg scored over a very extensive period of time.MIAMI is 103-74 UNDER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average of 186.8 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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10-26-19 | Hawaii v. New Mexico +10 | 45-31 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a bad matchup for the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors according to my cross reference power rankings, thus getting points is a viable investment opportunity. Hawaii has not won in New Mexico since 1987, and if they finally get it done this week, Im betting they won't cover here vs a Lobos team that can pound the rock on the ground with merciless fashion and that is 2-1 SU at home this season.Not having suspended QB Sheriron Jones under center will have no impact on this game. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. HAWAII is 3-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NEW MEXICO is 40-21 ATS 61 vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW MEXICO) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (6.2 YPP), in conference games are 31-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW MEXICO) - off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals, in October games are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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10-26-19 | North Texas -3.5 v. Charlotte | 38-39 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 24 m | Show | |
 The Mean Green are desperate for wins as  UNT needs three wins in its final five games  to become Bowl eligible and will be ready to play a big game here in Charlotte today. The Mean Green’s  have won the stats battle in 5 of their /7 games this season despite of their sub par 3-4 record .   Charlotte is a side getting far to much respect after two wins this season against stumbling UMass and a FCS school Gardner-Webb . The 49ers have also been out stated in 4 straight games while accumulating a 0-4 ATS record, are truly fade material. Im betting the experienced  Mean Green  take care of business  in this spot play. North Texas to cover |
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10-26-19 | Oklahoma State +11 v. Iowa State | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
 Oklahoma State got ran over by a under rated Baylor team last week, and will now be primed to bounce back vs Iowa State this week ,a side Im betting my be looking ahead to their tilt with the Oklahoma Sooners next week. Note:  OSU head coach Mike Gundy is 6-0 ATS as a dog when coming off a SU favorite loss.I know Iowa State is hot and on a 3 game win streak, but OSU must note be underestimated and  can also  be explosive behind RB Chuba Hubbard  who leads FBS College football  in rushing with 1,265 yards and future  NFLer and all around athlete  Tylan Wallace  who has 7 TD catches and is averaging 17.2 YPC.  OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CFB road team (OKLAHOMA ST) - off a home loss by 14 or more points, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 41-15 ATS L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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10-26-19 | Texas v. TCU +1.5 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
 Wow that was one crazy game last week against Kansas that Texas took part in which it  took a last-second field goal to clinch a miraculous 50-48 victory.  The Longhorns are now Im betting going to be a in a letdown spot vs a TCU team that can torch their porous D, ( UT’s defense allows 470 yards  31 PPG which ranks them No. 118 in the nation  and has given up season-high yards in two of their last three tilts.  The Longhorns are exactly what the doctor ordered for a struggling Horned Frog offence, and with that said I look for the Frogs to make it 5 wins in their L/6 matchups vs Texas. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-67 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (TCU) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or better YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 82-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on TCU to cover |
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10-26-19 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 53.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
Nebraska is scoring just over 25 ppg, and are having trouble moving the ball scoring 7, 13, 7 points respectively in their L/3 tilts, thanks to Adrian Martinez their QB being banged up with a knee issue. The Cornhuskers D, however has looked decent and on the season have allowed 21 ppg at home. Meanwhile, Indiana , QB Michael Penix Jr.is injured and less than 100% for this game and could have problems moving the ball if he plays with limited mobility and converting this Saturday vs a staunch D. The Hoosiers D, has also been strong this season allowing just over 20 ppg on the average and deserves respect. All in all I expect both sides to have issues scoring , while the defences stand tall making for a lower scoring affair. NEBRASKA is 8-0 UNDER after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games with a combined average of 47.9 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (INDIANA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread are 51-21 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-26-19 | New Mexico State +14.5 v. Georgia Southern | 7-41 | Loss | -109 | 53 h 24 m | Show | |
New Mexico State is not a very good team, but Georgia Southern cannot be trusted to cover a 14 points spread, with a offence that ranks 125th in the nation. With that said, and from a completely mathematical standpoint taking points here makes for a viable investment opportunity. Aggies are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass. Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass. Eagles are 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Eagles are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in October. Play on New Mexico State to cover |
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10-26-19 | Iowa -10 v. Northwestern | 20-0 | Win | 100 | 41 h 28 m | Show | |
Kirk Ferentz’s Iowa is in a bit of a offensive funk but they still own the  No. 2 offense  in the nation in Red Zone and are more than capable of getting things going in a explosive way here vs a Northwestern side my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. Meanwhile, Northwestern struggles mightily to score averaging just 12.8 ppt ranking 124th in the country just ahead of Georgia Southerns muted attack and look very much like weak home dogs this week. Iowa is 9-0 ATS L/9 as conference road favorites of 15 or less points. CFB home team SU (NORTHWESTERN) - average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) against a team with a good rushing defense (3 to 3.5 YPR), after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 4-26 L/5 seasons SU, with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16.3 ppg. CFB Road favorites SU (IOWA) - after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after allowing 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 32-1 L/5 seasons SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +23.8 ppg. Play on Iowa to cover |
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10-25-19 | USC v. Colorado OVER 64 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 4 m | Show | |
Colorados D is a shambles as was evident in back-to-back blowout road losses at No. 11 Oregon (45-3) and Washington State (41-10) the last two weekends. Im betting they will be sliced and diced again, against an explosive Trojans offence ,but this time around I look for them to muster more points here on their own home field against a USC team battling key defensive injuries to (safety Talanoa Hufanga) and sacks leader Drake Jackson. Note:  Buffaloes rank last in scoring defense (34.9 points allowed per game), total defense (482.4 yards) and passing defense (316 yards). CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 34-6 OVER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 69.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-25-19 | USC v. Colorado +12 | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Buffs have an edge here at home going against a beat up USC Defence in a in a bad situational spot. Noe: USC has Oregon on board for next week and could easily be looking ahead. Clay Helton  USCs head coach has cashed just 8 of his 23 road games ATS  and is already 0-3 SU this season and 4-11-1 ATS L/16 away. I expect USC do offensive damage ,but Im also betting on Colorado responding in kind in a game Im betting the Buffs cover. Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. Home team is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Colorado to cover |
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10-25-19 | Astros -135 v. Nationals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston is in desperation mode here tonight after a travel day yesterday, and luckily for them they have the guns on offence to get the job done and notch a win, and subsequently get back into this series. Note: Since the 2005 campaign , visiting favorites are 12-9 on the ML in the World Series. HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.  WASHINGTON is 8-16 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) over the last 2 seasons. Greinke the Astros starter takes to the hill in his first World Series start after allowing one run, three hits and four walks with five strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in Houston's 8-3 win versus New York in Game 4 of the ALCS . My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest that the veteran hurler has an edge vs this type of lineup. GREINKE is 6-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.27 and a WHIP of 0.830. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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10-25-19 | Knicks +8.5 v. Nets | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
This is the NBAs version of the battle of NY, and it should be a good one, between the revamped NY Knicks and the up trending Brooklyn Nets. With Brooklyn off a heart breaking 127-126 OT loss last time out, Im betting they will be less energetic than the Knicks and easily suffering an emotional letdown. What Im betting here is the Knicks will play with passion and will not go down without a fight and advantageous line. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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10-25-19 | Sabres v. Red Wings +108 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
The Red Wings lost on back-to-back nights this week by identical 5-2 scores to the Vancouver Canucks and Ottawa Senators.Detroit has allowed five goals each in five of the six defeats since it defeated the Montreal Canadiens 4-2 on Oct. 10. However despite of their recent short comings, Im betting the desperate Wings have an edge here in this matchup vs a up trending team that is on tired legs after playing last night a 6-2 loss to the Rangers. BUFFALO is 1-10 ATSÂ in road games after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 12-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 6 or more consecutive games. Play ont the Detroit Red Wings to win on the ML |
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