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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-23-21 | A's -107 v. Angels | 5-6 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
As workhorse starter Sean Manaea(LHP3-2, 4.41 ERA, 48 SO) pitched around heavy traffic on the basepaths to limit the Astros to just three runs on Tuesday, despite allowing 10 hits over six innings. His quality outing kept the A's in striking distance of what was an eventual 6-5 walk-off win over Houston. He is a nnever say die hurler that deserves respect on a short chalk line. MANAEA is 11-2 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 2-9 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season which the As have. Angels starter UNDY is 5-22 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 12-2 against the money line vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 8-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. MLB team (LA ANGELS) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 5-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Oakland As to win |
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05-23-21 | A's v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Angels starter Dylan Bundy(RHP0-5, 6.02 ERA, 46 SO) has been dealing with a foot issue, but was cleared on Friday for his next start. He has a 10.13 ERA in three starts in May, allowing 15 runs in 13 1/3 innings and Im betting him and sub par bullpen will be responsible for helping this total get eclipsed. LA ANGELS are 7-0 OVER in home games against left-handed starters this season with a combined average of 17.2 rpg. (S.Manaea the As starter is a southpaw. )LA ANGELS are 8-0 OVER off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 13 rpg scored. The Angels are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits with a combined average of 12.2 rpg scored with each game eclipsing this offered total. Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | Lakers v. Suns OVER 213 | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
The Lakers opus Morandi has been based on playing solid defense this season, but this team with players like James and Davis can gear it up with the best of teams offensively and today Im betting their going to have to do just that , vs a Suns side that Im betting will be very aggressive in transition . The suns in their 72 games this season have seen a combined average of 224.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 8-1 OVER in home games after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the score board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LAL/PHOENIX) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, playing with 3 or more days rest are 30-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-23-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -139 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Rockies starter Jon Gray(RHP4-4, 3.48 ERA, 45 SO) has thrived at Coors Field (4-1, 2.00 ERA in six starts), including 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball vs. Arizona on April 8. Rinse and repeat.
The Diamondbacks are 0-8 L/8 on the ML as a road dog after a loss where they never led. ARIZONA is 1-12 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 season. ARIZONA is 4-23 ( against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games are 26-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 15 games are 51-115 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. |
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05-23-21 | Twins v. Indians -138 | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
The Indians squeaked out a 5-3 win with late inning runs yesterday vs the Twins which is emotionally deflating for a struggling side like the Twins making them fade material here in this spot . Note: Twins starter J.A. Happ (LHP 2-2, 5.35 ERA, 20 SO) has had less than viable starts recently and is on a two-game losing streak that has seen him total seven innings over his last two starts. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win |
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05-23-21 | Brewers v. Reds OVER 8 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Red starter fell to 1-6 with a 7.44 ERA in nine starts this season, including a seven-start winless streak and five straight losing decisions despite of 11 SOs last time out. Hes in a groove to be hard luck pitcher in his current form , and Im betting because of some glitches in this delivery his previous strong effort could easily be derailed here vs a Brewers batting order that my pitcher vs offense power ranking suggest is a bad matchup for him. The Brewers are 8-0 OVER L/8 when their starter Freddy Peralta starts as a favorite when they won in his last start with a combined average of 13.67 rpg scored. PERALTA is 13-3 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 16-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 21-10 OVER in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1 v. Nuggets | 123-109 | Win | 101 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 Portland has been on my radar for a while now as the teams chemistry has improved as this season has progressed and look like a viable dark horse entering the play offs. After watching game video of the last time these teams met on May 16th in game the Blazers won 132-116 it became obvious to me that unless the Nuggets made improbable changes that they could find themselves in trouble in this series. Im not counting the Nuggets out in this series, but here in game 1 I am betting they will not make the changes necessary for victory. PORTLAND is 16-7 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. PORTLAND is 19-7 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. DENVER is 16-25 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.DENVER is 5-13 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 12-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - playing with 3 or more days rest, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 70-19 L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Portland to win |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5 | 113-103 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 From a power ranking and SRS perspective the superior side here is the Clippers. The Clippers rank 2nd in the league in SRS with a 6.02 data point while the Mavericks rank 9th with a 2.26 mark. When factoring in home court advantage for the Clippers laying single digit lumber is a viable betting opportunity. Note: SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. DALLAS is 1-9 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season. Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Conference Quarterfinals games.Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 28-2 L/24 seasons for a 93% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.1 ppg which qualifies this trend on a ATS line. (Qualifying factor: Dallas beat the Clippers back in March and LAC lost their last two games this season) NBA Home teams (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite are 24-6 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
This play off game is being played early in the afternoon here on the west coast, and Im expecting a slower grinding game that will result in a lower scoring affair. Add to that the Clippers modus operandi is based on a more physical precise game plan behind the 28th ranked pace and the 4th best ppg defense and the 10th ranked ppg offense. Under is 6-0-2 in Clippers last 8 playoff games as a favorite. Meanwhile, Dallas , is 13-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 214 ppg scored and are 8-0 UNDER vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39% or better of their attempts this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored and 12-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 216 .6 ppg scored.DALLAS is also 10-1 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 212.5 ppg scored. So what Im getting at here is that Mavs HC Carlisle adjusts his game against teams like the Clippers which always look has me look at the offered total with a lower scoring result in mind. With that said, Im betting this number is beatable with an under wager. Note: Dallas ranks 9th in ppg defense, and 17 in ppg offense, and run at a slow 24th ranked pace. Under is 6-0 in Mavericks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 20-6 in Mavericks last 26 games as an underdog.Under is 13-4 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play UNDER |
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05-22-21 | Twins +152 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Indians starter Shane Bieber(RHP4-3, 3.17 ERA, 92 SO) Last time, lasted just 4 2/3 innings vs. Seattle. His slider (and command, overall) hasn't been as sharp as it was to start the year, and he is showing flaws in his mechanics which not a good sign, making him fade material on a value line. The Twins are 13-0 L/13 on the ML past the first game of a series on the road after they shut out their opponent last game. Manager BALDELLI is 29-13 against the money line in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs as the manager of MINNESOTA. MLB team (CLEVELAND) -struggling offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 8 runs or more are 8-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win |
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05-22-21 | Orioles v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | 9-12 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Two pitchers with alot to play. for as they try to solidify their standing in their rotations makes for what Im betting will see them limit two very inconsistent offences outputs. Both sides have viable bullpens so mop up action should be generally successful. Note: Nationals starter LESTER is 15-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.272. The Orioles are averaging just .224 BA on the road this season. MARTINEZ is 32-18 UNDER against AL East opponents as the manager of WASHINGTON with an average of 8.2 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 8-0 UNDER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER in day games this season with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 20-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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05-22-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies +105 | 6-7 | Win | 105 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
DBacks Madison Bumgarner(LHP4-3, 4.15 ERA, 54 SO) exited his last start early after having a spasm in his left adductor muscle and is still not 100%. The left-hander felt the injury during his pregame warmups, but he made it through four innings against the Dodgers before leaving the game. Im betting on his health effecting this out come which favors the rockies collecting the cash for their backers on a value moneyline offering. Rockies starter SENZATELA is 13-6 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 0-13 L/13 on the ML as a dog after they scored in at least four separate innings last game. ARIZONA is 4-22 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11 against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - poor team, outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 4 straight games are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win |
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05-22-21 | Penguins v. Islanders -110 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Big game here for the NY Islanders as they find themselves down 2-1 in this series. Im expecting Isles HC Barry Trotz to go with former KHL super star Sorokin between the pipes today and for late season acquisition Kyle Palmieri's energy to permeate throughout the lineup and for the Isles to even this series at 2-2. PITTSBURGH is 4-10 ATS in road games off a road win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. The home side is 4-1 L/5 meetings and I expect that trend continuing today. Play on the Islanders to win |
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05-21-21 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 5.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 36 h 14 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER, ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON Colorado won the first two games in this series by 4-1 and 6-3 counts and Im betting on even more offensive fireworks here as the Blues must open up or be blown out again.
ST LOUIS is 14-4 OVER in home games against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg.
NHLRoad teams where the total is 5.5 (COLORADO) - off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 27-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies +5 v. Warriors | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors put an all out effort vs the La Lakers last time out and still lost , and will now be in a huge letdown situation that will benefit the tenacious and well conditioned Memphis Grizzlies . Advantage Memphis. Grizzlies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season.MEMPHIS is 9-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season. NBA Road teams (MEMPHIS) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 76-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Memphis to cover |
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05-21-21 | Pirates v. Braves -180 | 1-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Braves starter Ian Anderson (RHP3-1, 3.20 ERA, 47 SO) carried a no-hit bid into the seventh inning of Saturday's start in Milwaukee. The young right-hander has held an opponent hitless through the first five innings of two of his first 15 career starts and is a very viable option to back in this spot play. ATLANTA is 22-9 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. ( T Anderson qualifies) ATLANTA is 14-2 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. The Pirates are 0-9 L/9 on the ML as a dog after they scored first lat game before trailing and coming back to win. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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05-21-21 | Orioles v. Nationals -195 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Orioles starter Jorge Lopez(RHP1-4, 6.35 ERA, 34 SO) was hit hard in his last outing, allowing five runs in two innings to the Yankees on Saturday. The right hander has completed at least five innings in just two of his seven starts this season and is fade material in his current form. BALTIMORE is 4-20 against the money line in road games after allowing 8 runs or more 3 straight games. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 10-52 L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Nationals to win |
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05-21-21 | Red Sox v. Phillies -145 | 11-3 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Red Sox starter Perez is pitching better lately, after some early season struggles, but watching his delivery has me a little alarmed at is overall health. Note: Peréz labored in a start at Philly last season, walking six and allowing five hits and four runs over five innings in a no-decision. The Phillies are 13-0 L/13 on the ML when their starter Aaron Nola starts as a home favorite of -140 or greater when they lost in his last start which is the case here. Nola has ben his best at home this season recording a 2-0 record along with a 1.40 ERA. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less), playing on Friday are 24-10 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on the Phillies to win |
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05-21-21 | White Sox -101 v. Yankees | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Carlos Rodon(LHP5-1, 1.47 ERA, 49 SO)After five starts and five decisive victories, Rodón lost for the first time in 2021 during his last trip to the mound Saturday against the Royals. Rodón has 49 strikeouts against 12 walks over 36 2/3 innings this season. Im now betting on a bounce back effort today. Note: Rodon is 3-0 on the road this season and has garnered a minuscule 0.56 ERA. Meanwhile, the Yankees will trot out southpaw Montgomery a hurler my power rankings suggest the White Sox hitters matchup well against. CHI WHITE SOX are 24-2 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.The White Sox are 10-0L/10 on the ML after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win |
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05-20-21 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 237 | 115-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Indiana plays a one way style of hoops, and cannot adapt to what can sometimes be a grinding style play off basketball in any way shape or form. Its not an attack on them its just the way their built to run and gun, and thats what they will do. The Pacers rank 5th in pace in the league, 25th in ppg allowed and 6th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Washington ranked No.1 in pace and 30th in ppg allowed and 3rd in offensive ppg output , and run their attack in a very similar way to the Pacers, and operate a game paln that is suited for high octane action. With that said, Im betting on both sides, to come out here and blaze a trail on the court and for this combined score to eclipse this offered number. Yes, the first game only saw 218 combined points but this game Im betting sees the Wizards attack from the beginning and for the Pacers to have to follow suit or be blown off the court. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 41-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 37-17 OVER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. INDIANA is 7-0 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 239.5 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-2 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. Bjorkgren is 10-1 OVER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of INDIANA. Over is 11-1 in Wizards last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Over is 20-6 in Wizards last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Play OVER |
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05-20-21 | Pirates v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Braves will send veteran left-hander Drew Smyly (2-2, 5.23 ERA) to the mound against Pittsburgh right-hander Wil Crowe (0-2, 4.35). both hurlers have been highly inconsistent so far this season. Over is 21-8-2 in Pirates last 31 road games vs. a left-handed starter like Smyly. The Braves are 9-0 OVER L/9 as a favorite off a home game in which Freddie Freeman had multiple hits with a combined average 15.56 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 20-8 OVER when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 16-5 OVER as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.3 rpg going on the board. SNITKER is 25-11 OVER vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of ATLANTA with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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05-20-21 | Twins -102 v. Angels | 1-7 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Game 1 of Double Header Angels starter Alex Cobb ( 1-2, 5.48 ERA) does matchup well vs the Twins batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings and is fade material in this spot play. The Angels are 0-11 L/11 on the ML after they lost by one run last game which was the case yesterday. LA ANGELS are 9-21 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. LA ANGELS are 3-12 against the money line with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 158-100 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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05-19-21 | Warriors v. Lakers -5 | 100-103 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 This was a trigger point of where I wanted to take a stance on this tilt and now at -5 to -6 Im all in here on the defending champion Lakers taking this game and covering the all important number. I know Golden State is red hot and Curry is lighting up the scoreboard for them, but here vs a side that has honed their defensive game (Ranked No.1 in Defensive Efficiency) for much of this season with an eye towards play off hoops, Im betting now with their full compliment of players in the lineup( ie James , Davis ) the Lakers have an advantage with what my power ranking suggest is the superior side. Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Warriors are also just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 ATSin road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 57-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are just 54-244 L/24 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% with the ppg diff clicking in at -9.1 ppg which qualifies on a ATS line. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-19-21 | Astros v. A's +105 | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 9-23 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) As starter Frankie Montas(RHP5-2, 4.93 ERA, 39 SO) has been sharp in the month of May, now 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA over three starts. He limited Houston to one run over six innings in a win on April 10 and gets my support turn the trcik again . MONTAS is 12-0 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the As to win |
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05-19-21 | Indians +114 v. Angels | 3-2 | Win | 114 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Starting Cleveland starter Aaron Civale (RHP) 5-1, 3.40 ERA, 39 SO ) is coming off his first loss of the year, allowing a season-high five runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Mariners and now Im betting on a bounce back effort vs a hurler has shown significant effecinchy this season. Considering Angels starter Ohtani has been shown signs of fatigue this season. The Indians are 11-0 L/11 on the ML on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game which was the case yesterday. MLB team (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or better ) (AL), ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 25-65 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to win |
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05-19-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -114 | 7-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Garret Richards has pitched well lately, but has not had a lot of luck vs the Blue Jays in the past posting a 2-5 record along with a 5.49 ERA in nine career games (seven starts) against Toronto. The Jays have a powerful batting order than can tear apart fast ball hurlers and thats wnhat Im betting on here tonight. Note: Blue Jays hurler STRIPLING is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.186 Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 on the ML on the road off a game as a dog in which they were shutout.TORONTO is 9-2 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. TORONTO is 9-2 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on Toronto to win |
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05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 222.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 Memphis ranks 6th in defensive rating in the league and in the middle of the pack in offensive output ppg and as the season was winding down began to play alot more attention to defensive play and ended going under in 6 of their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, The Spurs rank 15th in pace and 21st in offensive ppg efficiency and in 3 of their L/9 games failed to eclipse the 99 point plateau against similar type systematic teams ( NYK and twice vs Utah) . Im betting the Spurs one again struggle with flow vs a Grizzlies group that has become well adapted at suffocating their opponents flow. MEMPHIS is 15-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with a combined average of 215.7 ppg going on the score board in those 22 games. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216 ppg going on the scoreboard. MEMPHIS is 20-8 UNDER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 218 ppg going on the scoreboard. MEMPHIS is 8-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor rebounding teams - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 219 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER in home games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO/MEMPHIS ) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 33-10 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-19-21 | Sky v. Dream +6 | 85-77 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
My projections make this line closer to -3 for the road side which gives us a full possession of value taking points with the home dog . NBA Road favorites (CHICAGO) - excellent offensive team from last season - scored 75 or more points/game, after a win by 10 points or more are just 6-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dream to cover |
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05-18-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -116 | 5-0 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Juston Dunn the Mariners starter has the best numbers on the starting staff, but he is averaging less than five innings per outing. However, Im betting his support crew will help us get to the promised land . DUNN is 6-0 ( against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNN is 7-0 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) SEATTLE is 16-2 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers are 0-10 L/10 on the road after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually. Play on the Mariners |
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05-18-21 | Indians v. Angels OVER 7.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Both these starting hurlers have deficiencies and according to my pitcher vs batting order rankings this total should be closer to 8.5 to 9. LA ANGELS are 35-14 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. LA ANGELS are 32-14 OVER in home games over the last 2 seasons with 11.1 rpg scored. The Indians are 11-0 OVER L/11 on the road after they struck out at least ten times last game. MLB Road teams where the opening total is 8 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 47-18 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL offensive team ( 4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. are 53-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors . Play OVER |
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05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 233 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington plays a one way style of wide open hoops, and are not not suited to play off basketball in my humble opinion and will have issues operating in a more physical grinding environment. Meanwhile, the Celtics now without the services Jaylen Brown will need to readapt their game, and pay alot more attention to defense in transition which Im betting will help keep this game total combined score stay on the low side of the the total. UNDER is 5-0 L/5 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON/BOSTON ) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 32-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-18-21 | Lightning v. Panthers +112 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 5 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: TAMPA BAY - ANDREI VASILEVSKIY, FLORIDA - SERGEI BOBROVSKY Tampa Bay took a hard fought 5-4 win in game 1 of this series in OT. No way does Florida want to go down 2-0 to the defending champion Bolts and will be primed to leave everything on the ice here in what could be described a must win situation, even though there are more games to be played. TAMPA BAY is 0-4 ATS in road games off a road win by 1 goal this season. FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more this season. Play on Florida to win |
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05-18-21 | White Sox v. Twins +105 | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Twins starter Michael Pineda(RHP2-2, 2.79 ERA, 39 SO) consistent Twins career continued on with another strong start in which he allowed three runs over 5 1/3 innings on a season-high 96 pitches against the White Sox on Thursday. He's held opponents to three or fewer earned runs in six of his seven outings this season and must be respected in this underdog role as the Twins Im betting bounce back off a 16-4 drubbing yesterday. Note: Big time regression on board for a White Sox side that is just sub par vs righties. Pale Hose are just 4-14 L/18 vs righties.The Twins are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Michael Pineda starts against an opponent he lost to the last time he faced them which is the WS starter Lynn) Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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05-18-21 | Rays -143 v. Orioles | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
TB Rays starter ( Luis PatinoRHP1-1, 1.54 ERA, 13 SO) will make his second straight start, and he'll likely pitch more like a starter than an extended opener after working four strong innings vs. the Yankees last Tuesday. He has allowed only three runs (two earned) while striking out 13 in 11 2/3 innings and deserves respect here in this spot play. The Rays are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a road favorite off a game as a dog in which they won by 5+ runs.
MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 160-109 L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate. Play on TB to win |
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05-18-21 | Hornets +3 v. Pacers | 117-144 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1 Indiana plays a soft defensive game, and in my humble opinion are not suited well to handle what can be a grinding style of physical play that is often associated with success in the play offs. I know charlotte may not inspire bettors after finishing the season with 5 straight losses, but those loses games against a high level of talented sides, and will have them ready to compete here. .CHARLOTTE is 13-2 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season. INDIANA is 0-8 ATS in all playoff games over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9 ppg. Bjorkgren is 5-15 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of INDIANA. NBA Home teams (INDIANA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 49-104 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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05-17-21 | Tigers v. Mariners -173 | 4-1 | Loss | -173 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Seattle starter Yusei Kikuchi(LHP1-2, 4.30 ERA, 45 SO) is coming off a career-high 11 strikeouts, against the defending champion Dodgers, a competitive game in which Seattle's bullpen blew a late lead. He’s pitched into the seventh inning in each of his past three starts and according to my power ranking pitcher vs batting order data has a definitive edge here vs a Detroit offense that is hitting just .209 vs southpaws while averaging just 2.3 rpg. Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. SEATTLE is 16-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 55-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. \ Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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05-16-21 | Jazz -11 v. Kings | 121-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Sacramento Im betting goes through the motions today as they wont be in the play offs . Meanwhile, for Utah going into the post season with positive momentum is important and even though they will rest players during this game are deep enough to come out of this with a comfortable victory. They smashed the Kings 154-105 in their most recent meeting and have 3 consecutive DD victories in this series. NBA Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 3-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking at +16 ppg. Play on the Jazz to cover |
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05-16-21 | Heat v. Pistons OVER 217 | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
DETROIT is 11-0 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.6 ppg. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a road favorite and have gone over in 4 straight in Heat last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 road games. Over is 13-3 in Heat last 16 games as a favorite. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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05-16-21 | Cavs v. Nets -14 | 109-123 | Push | 0 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Brooklyn Im betting will want to finish off their season with a-lot of momentum both from a offensive and defensive perspective which Im betting results in a big time DD victory. The Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS/SU after their opponent made at least 10 more free throws than they did last game with each loss coming by 15 or more points with the average ppg diff clicking in by an average of 30.4 ppg. CLEVELAND is 9-23 ATS as a road underdog this season. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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05-16-21 | Mercury v. Sun -1.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
My early season power ranking suggest the Sun should be -3 favs here giving us value on an short fav line. CONNECTICUT is 33-14 ATS 47 as a home favorite of 3 points or less. WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - off a road win, marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team who had a losing record are 7-20 L/24 season for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sun to cover |
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05-16-21 | A's +106 v. Twins | 7-6 | Win | 106 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
As starter Chris Bassitt(RHP3-2, 3.54 ERA, 53 SO) has allowed just two runs in each of his last six starts. The right-hander is also striking out batters in bunches, recording a season-high 10 punchouts in a win over the Red Sox his last time out and in his current form is an easy take on a value moneyline. Twins starter MAEDA is 9-20 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 MINNESOTA is 1-11 against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-14 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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05-16-21 | Liberty v. Fever UNDER 164.5 | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this total should be closer 160 which gives us a two possession advantage on this offered total. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (INDIANA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 154-97 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-16-21 | Cubs -135 v. Tigers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Boyd the Tigers starter has pitched well overall despite of tendentious issues. It must be noted however, that The Tigers are 0-7 L/7 on the ML when Matthew Boyd starts in the last game of a series when they split the first two games. The Tigers are also 0-13 L/13 on the ML in the last game of a series as a dog after they won by one run last game. The Cubs have also been hard on southpaws like Boyd hitting .273 as a team an averaging a whopping 6.5 rpg. DETROIT is 30-63 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Cubs to win |
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05-16-21 | Mets v. Rays +100 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
Rays starter (Josh FlemingLHP2-3, 2.73 ERA, 16 SO)After making his last two appearances as a bulk-inning reliever out of the bullpen, Fleming will make his first start since May 1, when he pitched six innings vs. Houston. The lefty has allowed more than three runs just once in his 13 career outings and is more the capable of helping his team notch a win here vs the Mets. Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay. NY METS are 1-10 against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 14-35 L/24 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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05-16-21 | Islanders +120 v. Penguins | 4-3 | Win | 120 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
The Islanders are built for play off hockey. They are a defence first team with a top tier Russian goaltending tandem with Sorokin and Varlmaov between the pipes. I know the Pens have some big names in the lineup with Crosby and Malkin, but Im betting this team can not bring the same physicality the Isles can to this game. Advantage Islanders. Play on NYI to win |
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05-15-21 | Nationals -117 v. Diamondbacks | 4-11 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Joe Ross Diamondbacks are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Nationals are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Joe Ross starts as a favorite after he averaged more than 4 pitches per batter in his last start. Play on the Washington Nationals to win |
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05-15-21 | Phillies v. Blue Jays +128 | 0-4 | Win | 128 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Aaron Nola(RHP3-2, 3.59 ERA, 53 SO) threw a career-low 58 pitches in four innings in Sunday's loss to the Braves. Since he threw a shutout on April 18 against the Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park, Nola is 2-1 with a 5.09 ERA in four starts and today Im betting his problems continue vs an explosive Blue Jays batting order that according to my power rankings matches up well vs the righty.Phillies are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague road games. Phillies are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite. Play on Toronto to win |
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05-15-21 | Bruins -123 v. Capitals | 2-3 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
East Division Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 The Bruins posted a 12-4-1 record to finish the regular season, and will have forward Charlie Coyle back in the lineup to solidify their third line after he missed the final four games due to injury. In a series like this between tough veteran sides, it will come down Im betting to goaltending and with that said, depth favors the Bruins, with rookie phenom Jeremy Swayman playing behind veteran Tuukka Rask between the pipes. Bruins win game 1 |
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05-15-21 | Angels v. Red Sox +106 | 0-9 | Win | 106 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Dylan Bundy (RHP 0-4, 5.03 ERA, 43 SOD) is winless in his seven starts this season. The right-hander was removed in the fourth inning of his previous start after the Dodgers scored six earned runs on five hits. Rinse and repeat as Im betting the BoSox to pound away here and get us the win. The Angels are 0-9 L/9 after they lost by one run which was the case yesterday. Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 10-30 L/5 seasons for ago against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win |
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05-15-21 | Celtics +4.5 v. Wolves | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Boston was locked into a spot in the play-in tournament after its 102-94 loss in Cleveland on Wednesday night and find themselves in that spot because of injuries that have seen them struggle down the stretch. However, Boston is still a viable opponent for this afternoons competition the Minnesota Wolves who despite of playing better are still a non play off side with some major inconsistencies. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Timberwolves are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite. Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Celtics are 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on Boston to cover |
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05-15-21 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 122-115 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Lakers who are ranked No.1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency opus operandi bases it successes and failures on playing a tough defensive system that plays a great deal to transitional play. Considering Indiana runs a all out take no prisoners style of hoops its obvious that two different styles will go head to head here. However Im betting on the superior side solidifying that future play off game plan by making sure their will is imposed, which will see this game grind at a slower pace than the lines-makers expect or project. Also generally speaking afternoon action has a way of being slower paced than games played later in the day or night, thus adding to my belief that this combined score fails to eclipse the total. Note: Indiana is off a big time offensive slugfest last time out losing 143-132 to the Bucks , and Im betting they will regress here with less energy and offensive efficiency. INDIANA is 21-8 L/29 UNDER after scoring 130 points with the average combined score clicking in at 210.6 ppg. INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER in home games after allowing 130 points with a combined average of 201.8 ppg. LA LAKERS are 28-11 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the combined average score of 212.1 ppg going on the board. LA LAKERS are 32-15 UNDER (+15.5 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average combined score clicking at 215.1 ppg . LA LAKERS are 22-7 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 68-34 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 150-96 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-15-21 | Bulls v. Nets UNDER 235 | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has solidified its defensive play of late as they prepare for post season hoops and nothing changes here today vs the Bulls. Meanwhile, the Bulls continue to play good defense and have held 3 of their L/5 opponents to 99 point ore less. This afternoon Im betting on a continuation of this type of top tier D by both sides in a games that Im betting stays under the the offered total. CHICAGO is 13-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. CHICAGO is 12-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. Under is 9-0 in Bulls last 9 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-4 in Nets last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, on Saturday games are 42-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 45-18 L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate of bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-14-21 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 7 | 4-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Todays starting pitchers have been inconsistent this season, but both bullpens have shown alot of consistency and will supply ample support vs two offences that have shown alot of inconsistencies. San Diego team batting average at home is .213 while the Cards batting order has garnered a sub par .215 BA in on the road. SAN DIEGO is 11-2 UNDER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. SAN DIEGO is 8-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 2 runs or less this season. SAN DIEGO is 12-3 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (SAN DIEGO) - after scoring 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 28-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for 88% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-14-21 | Cardinals +166 v. Padres | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Padres starter MUSGROVE is 0-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . MUSGROVE is 1-7 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.92 and a WHIP of 1.377. ST LOUIS is 10-1 against the money line after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 20-11 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 8-1 against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Padres are 3-7 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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05-14-21 | Reds +100 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Colorado took a 13-8 win yesterday and now Im betting on a more muted effort from the Rockies. Reds starter Wade Miley (LHP)4-2, 2.00 ERA, 27 SO is , coming off last Friday's no-hitter against Cleveland, in which he tallied eight strikeouts to one walk and threw 114 pitches, gets an extra day of rest for this start and is primed to slow down the Rockies in this spot play. The Rockies are 0-12L/12 on the ML after they had 12+ hits last game. CINCINNATI is 26-12 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 14-3 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) are 14-43 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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05-14-21 | Jazz v. Thunder +14 | 109-93 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Im betting the Jazz will be treating this game like a night off as postseason basketball approaches. Injuries are always a concern so Im expecting we see alot of bench players getting more minutes than usual giving us value with a ugly home dog in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 8-1 ATS L/9 overall in this series. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse ) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are just 45-82 ATS L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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05-14-21 | Nuggets v. Pistons +9.5 | 104-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Utah played last night and are now on tired legs and with the post season almost here will be careful with their existing roster, so some top line players may get more rest than usual. I know Motown may not inspire bettors, but they are capable of a cover here at home, getting points. Note: Detroit got smashed last time out, 119-100 by the Wolves, but the Pistons have proven resilient this season going 11-1 ATS after a 15 point or more loss and is 16-4 ATS off a home loss this season. NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 28-6 SU L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate thus giving us value from a league wide trends perspective getting points. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-59 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (DENVER) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%). are 24-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit Pistons to cover |
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05-14-21 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 6-3 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Braves starter Smyly will be starting with three extra days of rest which will help him greatly here. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Houser had quite a night in his previous start at Miami matching a career-high 10 strikeouts and now with that momentum behind him should be in top form here in this spot. The Brewers are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 as a favorite after they had 6 or fewer hits last game with a combined average of 5.59 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 38-22 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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05-14-21 | Angels v. Red Sox -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta(RHP5-0, 3.19 ERA, 35 SO) has been Boston's best and most consistent starting pitcher this season. Pivetta has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six of his seven starts. Opponents are hitting .190 against him and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here vs a side he matches up well against according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 6-29 L/24 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games are 19-56 L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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05-14-21 | Cubs -127 v. Tigers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Detroit has been playing well but the Cubs matchup well here and deserve respect on a short chalk line . The Cubs are 13-0 L/13 on the ML when their starter today Jake Arrieta starts when their opponent is on a 4+ game win streak. MLB home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 9-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs |
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05-13-21 | Blazers v. Suns OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The Suns have gone over 7 straight times and their L/6 games have eclipsed this offered total. Meanwhile, the visiting Blazers are currently in high octane over drive, ranking 5th in the league on ppg offense and 4th in offensive rating, but just 22nd in ppg defense and a ugly 29th ranking in defensive rating. Looking at current form, and the overall data, it becomes obvious that in general terms that this game should be a high scoring slugfest. Play OVER |
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05-13-21 | Indians -114 v. Mariners | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Indians starter Zach Plesac (RHP2-3, 3.83 ERA, 31 SO)joined some rare company on Friday, when he ended up on the losing end of a no-hitter for the second time this season, he proved that his progression is far from slowing down. He turned in a gem of an outing, tossing eight scoreless frames, with seven K's. Considering his current form it will be an easy decision to back him here today vs the Mariners. SEATTLE is 9-28 against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.The Indians are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually which was the case last time out. Play on the Indians to win |
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05-13-21 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Wolves | 114-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota is a winner in back-to-back contests, including a 119-100 rout of Detroit on Tuesday in which it led throughout and have been playing better of late, but tonight they wont be catching the Nuggets asleep at the proverbial wheel, and will have the full attention of what my power rankings suggest is a superior side. Denvers SRS is 6th in the NBA at +6.03 while the Wolves rank 26th with a -5.41 mark, and even with a recent uptick in positive data are still over matched in general terms. Note: SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. MINNESOTA is 1-11 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 10-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons and 5-0 SU L/5 visits to Minnesota. Nuggets are 21-4-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 6-26 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 38-11 ATS L/24 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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05-13-21 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 218.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Heat have had great success of late pushing the tempo of their games, and as a result have gone over 10 straight times. Im betting that the Sixers if they are keen on winning this game , will have to match the Heats pace and that will result in a higher scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite this season with the average combined score clicking in at 232.5 ppg.MIAMI is 8-1 OVER in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with a. combined 224.9 ppg scored.MIAMI is 12-1 OVER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season with a combined average of 224 ppg scored. Philadelphia dating back to last season in their L/68 road games have seen a combined average of 221.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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05-13-21 | Yankees v. Rays +126 | 1-9 | Win | 126 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rich Hill(LHP1-1, 5.17 ERA, 32 SO)After a rough start, Hill has been on a roll lately. He has allowed two runs in 15 innings over his past three outings, including a scoreless six-inning start in Oakland last Friday night. Hill struck out seven Yankees in six innings in a win on April 9 and gets my support here vs the NY Yankees on a value ML. James Tallion the Yankees starter owns a 5.02 ERA and a has garnered a 10.23 ERA on the road and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rays strong left handed hitting batting order. TAMPA BAY is 51-28 (against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 3-11 against the money line in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 games on astroturf.Yankees are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Tampa Bay.Rays are 9-2 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and are 4-0 L/4 game 3 of a series. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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05-13-21 | Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin since joining Washington he is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six starts vs. the Phillies and is well suited to go against this group of Phillies hitter.s Meanwhile, Zach Eflin continues to pound the strike zone, which is a big reason for his strong start. He has walked only three batters in 45 1/3 innings in his first seven starts. And one of those walks was an intentional walk. He has struck out 42. Im betting on both hurlers doing decent work here and for the combined score of this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. WASHINGTON is 10-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.WASHINGTON is 15-4 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season.Washington has gone under in 3 straight and 7 of his L/8 games. Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER |
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05-13-21 | Blue Jays +142 v. Braves | 8-4 | Win | 142 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Charlie Morton(RHP2-2, 4.98 ERA, 40 SO) matched a career-short start when he recorded just two outs against the Phillies on Friday. The veteran hurler has not found a consistent feel for his curveball and cutter. Consequently, he's allowed at least four runs in four of his past five starts and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well here. Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games and have cashed 4 straight as interleague underdogs and get my support here today on a value ML. TORONTO is 25-12 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons. Jays have won all 4 meetings this season and have won 5 straight overall meetings. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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05-12-21 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 223 | 122-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Rockets obviously have nothing left to play for, but an opportunity to upend the defending champs Im betting is something that will motivate them and push them into action. They have been playing a wide open brand of hoops lately and nothing should change here at Staples tonight Note: Houston has combined with their opponents to average of 250+ ppg in tier L/5 games overall. Meanwhile, at this time of year teams like the Lakers are gearing up for the play offs and looking to gain momentum. I know the Lakers D has been key to their successes this season, but they also need to generate some offense , and will push forward here aggressively either out of need or greed which will see this tilt turn into a higher scoring game than the pundits might expect.HOUSTON in 7 games as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points this season have seen a combined average of 245 ppg scored.Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 overall. Play OVER |
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05-12-21 | Mariners v. Dodgers -237 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Julio Urias(LHP4-1, 3.59 ERA, 46 SO) is coming off his worst start of the year, with a season-high five earned runs in five innings. Contrast that with his April 20 outing in Seattle, when he had a career-best 11 strikeouts in seven scoreless innings -- the best start of his career to date and we have a situation where bounce back motivation and previous head to head success will give us an edge laying heavy lumber. URIAS is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.04 and a WHIP of 0.807.The Mariners are 0-18 L/18 as a road 140+ dog when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.
MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 8-51 L/24 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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05-12-21 | Golden Knights -200 v. Sharks | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Vegas is off a 2-1 loss to Colorado last time out and is now in bounce back mode as momentum is important as we near post season play. Golden Knights are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Knights opponent the Sharks are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. VEGAS is 25-4 ATS against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season.VEGAS is 19-4 ATS against struggling power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season.VEGAS is 6-0 ATS in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season. NHL Road teams against the money line (VEGAS) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored are 54-22 L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Golden Knights are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings and 5-0 L/5 in San Jose. Play on the Golden Knights to win |
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05-12-21 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nets | 116-128 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets played last night in a revenge tilt vs the Bulls and got the redemption they wanted. Now on tired legs as they play back to back games the Nets could find their hands full vs a hungry Popivich crew that are vying for a play off appearance, and also in revenge mode for a loss back on March 1st to these same Nets. Note: The Nets are 3-9 ATS with not rest last 12 overall at home and 0-5 ATS vs non conference opposition. Also HC Pop of the Spurs is an astute student of the game, and when given the opportunity to avenge a loss vs a foe is 150-78 SU. Spurs are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 road games.Spurs are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Brooklyn.Nets are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 0 days rest. Play on the Spurs to cover |
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05-12-21 | Angels v. Astros -124 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Astros starter Jose Urquidy(RHP3-2, 3.51 ERA, 29 SO) has thrived in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. He's allowed four earned runs in 20 innings in those starts, with all four runs coming off solo homers. Rinse and repeat situation vs the Angels in this spot play.
Play on the Astros to win |
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05-12-21 | Spurs v. Nets UNDER 233 | 116-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The Nets continue to play a much better brand of hoops of late as they pay special attention to their defensive responsibilities as the play offs approach. After playing last night the Nets will not be in a run and gun formation anyway and their tired legs could easily see them trying to grind this game down a bit to a slower pace vs the Spurs which should limit wide open back forth action which will relate to a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Nets are 5-1 UNDER L/6 games. The Nets are 0-11 L/11 UNDER at home off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 199.1 ppg going on the board. Under is 16-5 L/21 meetings in Brooklyn. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-9 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 28-10 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-12-21 | Wizards +7 v. Hawks | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
In the Wizards last 16 games they have won 13 times and lost 3 times twice by 1 point margins and once by 3 points. Washington has proved themselves to be a side that deserves respect when taking points and nothing changes tonight in the rematch vs Atlanta from Monday night where they lost a hard fought 125-124 affair. Even with Bradly Beal out there is enough offence off the bench to get the job done. WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 4.1 ppg. WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season and 12-4 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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05-11-21 | Nets v. Bulls UNDER 233 | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are playing a strong brand of defensive hoops of late holding three straight opponents to less than 99 points, with all 3 affairs generating wins for them. Im betting that because of their recent successes that type of basketball will continue to be played tonight vs the talented high flying Brooklyn Nets which will directly effect the pace of this game. Also with the play offs approaching the Nets have noticed are staring to pay attention to a better brand of defensive hoops that has resulted in the under cashing in 8 of their L/12 overall. CHICAGO is 10-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 215 ppg scored. In 33 home games this season the Bulls have seen a combined average score of 220.4 go on the score board. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 11-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, on Tuesday nights are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 30-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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05-11-21 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 218 | 115-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Clippers are gearing up for play off basketball by playing a top tier brand of D that has resulted in 8 straight unders.With Toronto playing short handed here Im betting Nurse will employ a conservative posture that will see a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 13-1 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 206.9 ppg scored.TORONTO is 20-7 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. Play UNDER |
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05-11-21 | Yankees v. Rays +117 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
TB starter Luis Patino (RHP1-0, 1.17 ERA), 10 SO ) Rather than pairing Patiño with Shane McClanahan on Sunday, the Rays held him back to start vs. New York. He's likely only built up to pitch 3-4 innings, but he's been lights out so far with four baserunners and 10 Ks in 7 2/3 IP over three outings and will take the Rays deep enough for the bull pen cleanup . Meanwhile, Yankees starter MONTGOMERY is 4-15 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125. MONTGOMERY is 1-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.500. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 28-12 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on TB to win |
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05-11-21 | Nuggets v. Hornets +6.5 | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Hornets are right around the edge of being No. 10 seed in this year’s Eastern Conference playoff chase and cannot afford anymore losses and Im betting that will see them leave everything on the floor here tonight vs the Nuggets giving us an edge taking points. It must also be noted that the Hornets have revenge on board for a beating they took in the Mile High city on March 14 which will add to their motivation factors in this spot play. Note :Denver has lost 3 of their L/4 and are on tired legs after back to back games vs Utah and Brooklyn and now playing their 4th game in 6 nights. The home side is 8-0 ATS L/8 meetings in this series. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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05-11-21 | Royals -120 v. Tigers | 7-8 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Tigers Brady Singer(RHP1-3, 3.41 ERA, 29 SO) had his best start of the season when the Royals visited Detroit in April, throwing seven dazzling innings while allowing just a run on three hits, no walks and eight strikeouts and gets my support here today.
The Tigers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML when Matthew Boyd starts as a dog when he went fewer than 5 innings in his last start. DETROIT is 0-11 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. DETROIT is 1-18 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 16-4 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play on Royals to win |
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05-11-21 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Erick Fedde(RHP2-3, 5.27 ERA, 28 SO) is 2-4 with a 5.26 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) in his career against the Phillies. He allowed five runs in as many innings in his last start on Wednesday vs. the Braves. Meanwhile, Chase Anderson the Phillies starter still has not pitched more than five innings in any of his first six starts and owns a bloated 5.54 ERA on the season, and does not matchup well vs the Nationals batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Over is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the OVER |
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05-10-21 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden States Curry has averaged 37.7 per game in his past 15 contests as the Warriors offense goes into warp speed when he is on the floor behind the leagues 2nd ranked pace. Meanwhile, Utah a team that ranks 1st in ppg offense in the league is more than capable of responding with offensive fireworks of their own, which Im betting will deliver a higher scoring affair that will see this totals number eclipsed. Over is 4-1-1 in Jazz last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Warriors/ Jazz 6-0 OVER L/6 meetings . The last 2 meetings this season, have seen 235 and 250 combined points go on the board. Play on the OVER |
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05-10-21 | Bucks v. Spurs +7.5 | 125-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
The Spurs are on the tipping point of a play off or new format play in position, and need wins badly and will play with a desperate edge in this tilt. The Bucks are the superior side, but have been less than reliable opposition away from home as is evident by their 14-19 SU road record would indicate. SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 meetings at home in this series. MILWAUKEE is also just 0-9 ATS against Southwest division opponents this season like San Antonio. MILWAUKEE is 4-12 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Road favorites (MILWAUKEE) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-63 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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05-10-21 | Wizards +7.5 v. Hawks | 124-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Washington is very under rated here from a data standpoint having lost on 3 times in their L/16 games with the 3 defeats coming by 1 point two times and 3 points in the other loss. I know Atlanta has really moved up in their respectability status in NBA play, but they are bering over rate here vs a very tough opponent. With revenge on board for a home loss back in the end of January Im betting we see the Wizards in top form and motivated. The Wizards are 12-0-1 ATS L/13 as a dog off a game as a favorite. WASHINGTON is 11-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 21-47 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate. Play on the Washington. Wizards to cover |
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05-10-21 | Lightning v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Two top tier sides go head to head here in a game Im betting will resemble play off style hockey. As we come closer to the post season teams headed to the play offs pay special attention in transition which generally results in tighter lower scoring games. FLORIDA is 12-1 UNDER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games . TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 34-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (TAMPA BAY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game. are 32-11 L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-09-21 | Thunder +10.5 v. Kings | 98-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Sacramento beat Oklahoma City 103-99 when they met May 4th in a closely contested game. From a mqtch-up perspective the Thunder are more than capable of covering here. I know the Thunder are near or at the bottom of the league in key stats, but its not like they cant be competitive as was the case recently when they went into Boston and upset the Celtics. So with that said lets just plug our noses and pull the trigger. Note: Thunder are 5-1 with 0/1 rest situation while the Kings are 0-5 ATS on Sunday as a host. OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-1 ATS on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-26 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.. OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-18 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons SACRAMENTO is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 69-109 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on the Thunder to cover . |
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05-09-21 | Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Chicago is off a rare good defensive effort taking a 2-1 win Carolina CHICAGO is 8-0 OVER in home games off a road win by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons.CHICAGO is 14-2 OVER in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 22-9 OVER in home games against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Note: Previous to that above mentioned good D effort, the Hawks had allowed 7, 4,4.5 and 6 goals. Meanwhile, Dallas opened up last time out with a 5 goal output and with that offensive momentum enter this game in a good position to do some damage. Everything points to a higher scoring affair. Play OVER |
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05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves +103 | 1-6 | Win | 103 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Braves starter Huascar Ynoa(RHP3-1, 2.36 ERA, 38 SO)Ynoa has become one of the game's top stories this year. The right-hander has allowed two runs or fewer in five of six starts and he has homered in both of his past two games. Meanwhile, Nola the Phillies starter is just 2-4 with a 3.97 ERA in eight starts at Truist Park in Atlanta.PHILADELPHIA is 17-39 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons
ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings, playing on Sunday are 54-25 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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05-09-21 | Rays +102 v. A's | 4-3 | Win | 102 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Rays starter Shane McClanahan(LHP0-0, 2.25 ERA, 10 SO) has unleashed his electric stuff in two starts. In eight innings, he's given up two runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out 10. He is now ready to go deeper as the Magick of 3 takes us to a win. The Rays are 11-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a road dog when they are off two losses in which they never led. TAMPA BAY is 21-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.TAMPA BAY is 13-6 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play on TB to win |
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05-09-21 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
The Clippers recently completed a three-game season sweep over their crosstown rivals, rolling the Los Angeles Lakers 118-94 on Thursday and its obvious their defense is rolling in top gear, and knowing the Knicks opus operandi is based on top tier defense and nothing changes today as Im betting on a low scoring grinder. NEW YORK in 62 games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season have seen a combined average of 211.9 ppg scored. The Knicks are 0-12 UNDER L/12 with rest coming off a loss in which they led by double digits. NEW YORK is 19-8 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 52-24 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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05-09-21 | White Sox -141 v. Royals | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
Royals starter Mike Minor(LHP2-1, 5.23 ERA, 30 SO) relied heavily on his fastball on Tuesday against the Indians, breezing through five innings before loading the bases and giving way to the bullpen in the sixth for the eventual loss. The lefty despite of that good effort last time out, still has not been consistent this season, and has lacked the ability to go deep which will once again put pressure on the Royals bullpen that owns a 4.77 ERA this season . Note: CHI WHITE SOX are 21-1 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 0-12 against the money line off 2 straight home losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after scoring 2 runs or less are 6-27 L/24 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate. Play on the White Sox to win |
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05-09-21 | Heat v. Celtics +1 | 130-124 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
This Im betting will be a hard fought affair that will result in a lower scoring style post season style affair. The Celtics own an edge here from a system vs system perspective vs Miami and matchup well here despite of the Heats upward momentum and the Celtics inconsistent efforts. The Celtics are 12-0 ATS /SU at home with rest after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers last game. Play on the Celtics to. cover (LATE STEAM) |
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05-09-21 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 222 | 130-124 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
The Celtics are 16-0 OVER L/16 off a road loss in a in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes with a combined average of 236 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - off an upset loss of 15 points or more as a road favorite are 27-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.
Play OVER |
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05-09-21 | Nationals v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Nats starter ROSS is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 in his career. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 8-0 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Nationals are 0-9 UNDER L/9 when Joe Ross starts on the road when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start. WASHINGTON is 10-2 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 10-2 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 48-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Nets v. Nuggets UNDER 231.5 | 125-119 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
Denver has the 9th ranked ppg defense in the NBA and owns the 26th ranked pace. So needless to say they are fairly methodical in their approach considering their successes. Nothing will change tonight at home in the Mile High city against a talented Nets group that despite of being able to put points on the board in bunches knows playing a better brand of defense as the post season approaches is very important. With that said, Im betting that this game will see some special attention to playing good transitional hoops which will reflect a muted response on the score board then the pundits might expect. BROOKLYN is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 225.2 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 24-11 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored in those 35 titls. DENVER is 10-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Rockets v. Jazz UNDER 227 | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Houston has been opening up of late, and are off a big time back and forth tilt vs Milwaukee last time out losing by a 141-131 count. However today Im betting on regression from the Rockets offense and energy depletion to rare its ugly head as they play their 5th game in 8 nights. Meanwhile, Utah is off a hard fought tilt vs Denver last night, and will also find them selves playing on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state which Im betting produces a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 23-11-1 in Rockets last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. HOUSTON is 25-6 UNDER L/31 vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 203.5 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 22-12 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored. UTAH is 13-5 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 216.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (7 or more PPG diff.) against a terrible team (7 or less PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 25-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Rockets +15.5 v. Jazz | 116-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
The Jazz are off a hard fought affair vs the Nuggets last time out and are now in an emotional letdown state and lacking overall energy and Im sure in some ways they are over looking the Rockets. With that said, there is value taking points here with a Houston side that is 11-1 as visiting underdogs of 4 points or more more vs .700 or better opposition. Meanwhile, the Jazz are just 1-5 ATS L/6 after facing the Nuggets. HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS ( in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBAFavorites of 10 or more points (UTAH) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days are 15-37 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rockets to cover |
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05-08-21 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 233 | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Spurs are on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game in 7 days and off a game last night. That will effect their pace, vs a Portland side that has allowed their opposition 109 points or less in 4 of their L/6 games. The Spurs are 0-14 UNDER L/14 off a game as a favorite in which they committed fewer than 15 fouls. Under is 7-2 in Trail Blazers last 9 games as a home favorite. Under is 9-3 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days are 60-28 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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05-08-21 | Diego Ferreira v. Gregor Gillespie -157 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Gregor “The Gift” Gillespieis 13-1 in his career with his last fight ending in a KO vs Kevin Lee.He has six knockouts and five submissions to his credit in his 13 wins and is a serious fighter who deserves respect as mid range favorite vs Diego Ferreria . Gillespie to win |
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05-08-21 | Grizzlies v. Raptors +5.5 | 109-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Raptors who are 4-0 ATS L/4 may no long er be a championship calibre side, but they are still no pushovers, and are more than capable of being competitive tonight vs the visiting Grizzlies even with injuries and key players out. Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Toronto is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in this series as hosts. Grizzlies are 1-9-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Nurse is 57-35 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of TORONTO NBA Road teams vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 18-65 L/24 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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05-08-21 | Phillies v. Braves -163 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 1-6 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.552. The Phillies are 0-9 L/9 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog after they scored 6+ runs last game. MLB Road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 13-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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