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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-16-20 | East Carolina v. SMU UNDER 143 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-16-20 | Samford v. Troy State UNDER 148.5 | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-16-20 | South Florida +8.5 v. Cincinnati | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
On Saturday, the Bearcats nearly upset top tier opponent on the road to beat the highest-ranked team UC has faced over the last two seasons. But the Bearcats fell aprt down the stretch and only made one basket while turning the ball over, taking contested shots and committing offensive fouls. Now in an emotional letdown state, after being sky high in teir last game now makes them vulnerable vs an under rated opponent the South Florida Bulls. S FLORIDA is 15-6 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.S FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 3 seasons.S FLORIDA is 13-3 ATS (as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-16-20 | Northeastern +18 v. Syracuse | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
12-16-20 | Richmond v. Vanderbilt +6.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
One bad game against a good team dropped Richmond out of the Top 25 rankings. Im betting that may not be a complete anomaly as the Spiders from my projected forecasts are being over rated , which includes this line, against a 2-0 Vanderbilt side that has had more games canceled than played and are fresh here .The Commodores and Spiders met last year, with Richmond taking a 93-92 overtime win at home and Im betting on another close game. Take the points with Vanderbilt |
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12-15-20 | Indiana State v. St. Louis UNDER 142 | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-15-20 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech -125 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Clemson at 5-0 is looking strong, and because of this recency bias we are getting an opportunity lay short lumber with the 4-1 home side. The Hokies' game plan against Clemson Im betting will feature them establishing Keve Aluma inside, wjhich will force the Tigers will have to devote two defenders to him on post touches. That would allow Virginia Tech's contingent of 3-point threats to have cleaner looks. Advangage VTech. |
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12-15-20 | Stanford -16.5 v. CS-Northridge | 82-71 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
12-14-20 | Marquette v. Creighton -7 | 89-84 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Creighton enters the game on a three-game series winning streak and Im betting their top tier 3 point shooting and explosive offense will be the difference maker again vs a Marquette side that will have problems containing the Blue Jays downtown shooting group of senior Denzel Mahoney (43.8%), junior Marcus Zegarowski (41%) and senior Damien Jefferson (38.5%). CREIGHTON is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons. is 11-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CREIGHTON) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 85 points or more are 103-60 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Creighton to cover |
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12-14-20 | Ravens -3 v. Browns | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
The Ravens have gotten most of their players back following a stretch of 10 straight days with positive COVID-19 tests and Im betting they will be primed to play hard tonight against a side they matchup well against as was the case in Baltimore in Sept as the Ravens rolled to a 38-6 win. I know the Browns are playing better, and want revenge but the matchups according to my projections tell me a different story. BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS ( after allowing 6 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NFL team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 4-22 SU L/37 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) - after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 25-60 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win/cover |
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12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns UNDER 46 | 47-42 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Tonight games is supposed to be a windy affair with gusts of 20 mph and average winds clicking in at 14-17 mpg. With that said, Im betting on both sides reverting to run heavy ground games, and short passes which will eat alot of clock time and help keep this score to the low side of the total. Note: Divisional under reg/playoffs since with a total of between 44.5 to 60 since 2005 are 204-124-4 UNDER for a 62% conversion rate. CLEVELAND is 22-10 UNDER L/34 in home games versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game with a combined average of 37 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 12-3 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 42.2 ppg scored. BALTIMORE is 15-6 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.2 ppg going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win as an underdog, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season 104-53 L/37 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills OVER 48 | 15-26 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs offense has stalled in its last two games in recent weeks, but Im betting Tomlin and company will be more aggressive this week and get back to the 24 to 37 point output consistency they managed previous to those tilts. Meanwhile, Buffalo has really started to roll , scoring 44, 30,27, 34 points respectively in their L/4 trips to the gridiron and more than capable of piercing the Steelers top tier defence. The above combination will see this tilt eclipse the total. My projections estimate both sides will score 20+ points. Note: BUFFALO is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points this season with a combined average of 60.3 ppg scored. PITTSBURGH is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 54.7 ppg going on the board. BUFFALO is 7-0 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 60 ppg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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12-13-20 | Packers v. Lions OVER 54.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
Detroit plays wide open football at home in the dome the past two years. The Lions are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 at home. DETROIT is 10-0 OVER L/10 in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 60.3 ppg scored. The Packers are 12-0-1 OVER L/13 on the road coming off a game where they allowed less than 310 total yards. Play OVER |
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12-13-20 | Falcons -1 v. Chargers | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 2 m | Show | |
The Chargers are off a 45-0 embarrassment last week, and overall dont deserve alot of respect based on their three wins vs side that dont have more than 2 wins - the Jets (0-12), Jaguars (1-11) and Bengals (2-9). Meanwhile, Atlanta is exhibiting signs of life, with Raheem Harris as the coach winning 4 of 7, after a 0-5 start. The Chargers are 30th in DVOA, 18th in offense and 26th in defense and look like fodder here vs a Falcons side that is. 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record .Chargers are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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12-13-20 | Colts -2.5 v. Raiders | 44-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Colts QB Philip Rivers is set to take on the Raiders for a record 29th time so he will feel comfortable here and that will be the edge needed for the his team to get by their hosts here this week. |
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12-13-20 | Jets v. Seahawks -14.5 | 3-40 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
There is absolutely no value here on this underdog line with a Jets side that has shown very little cohesiveness this season, and now expected to without their most explosive offensive player rookie wide receiver Denzel Mims (personal). With Seattle looking to bounce back off a loss, I see very little mercy being shown here as Im betting on the Seahawks behind QB Wilson to blitz the Jets secondary all day long and for a Seattle D, that has finally rounded into top form having allowed an average of 19.5 ppg to take a dominant DD victory.NY JETS are 0-7 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 22.5 ppg. Play on Seattle to cover |
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12-13-20 | Air Force +11 v. Drake | 53-81 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
12-13-20 | Titans v. Jaguars OVER 51.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Im betting the Titans explosive offense will tee off on a Jaguars defense that ranks 31st in Football Outsiders DVOA. Meanwhile, on the flipside Tennesse ranks in the bottom five in DVOA and could easily get pierced by a Jacksonville side that has scored 25 or more points in 4 of their L/6 trips to the gridiron. These teams have seen 60 plus points go on the board in recent meetings. Note: Titans QB Tannehill has seen 21 of his L/25 games go over the set total in a regular season game. The Titans are 11-0 OVER L/11 facing a team Derrick Henry ran for at least 75 yards against last meeting. TENNESSEE is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an average of 57 ppg going on the board in those gamesTENNESSEE is 8-1 OVER against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 58.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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12-12-20 | UNLV +20 v. Hawaii | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
12-12-20 | San Diego State v. BYU -16.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
BYU is coming into this game off a loss to Coastal Carolina last time out and will be primed to come out here with a huge effort at home in the land of the Mormons. Quote: "It hurts," Milne said. "I think that happening honestly just put a chip on our shoulder, that we're not done yet. We've got a lot more to say, and we'd like any opportunity we can to just go prove ourselves." END Quote. The Cougars rank seventh in the nation in scoring offense (44.5 points per game) and total offense (522.7 yards per game) and Im betting after having to endure a strong defensive side last week, will now be acclimated to take another staunch D and will have more success. |
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12-12-20 | Oregon -7 v. Washington | 74-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Defending conference champion Oregon opens Pac-12 play at Washington and will be primed to roll over a Huskies side that is showing no improvement over last season dismal group. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower 95-51 ATS L/23 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. Play on Oregon to cover |
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12-12-20 | USC v. UCLA +3 | 43-38 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 6 m | Show | |
The “Crosstown Rivalry” battle of LA goes this Saturday. Play on UCLA to cover |
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12-12-20 | Louisiana Tech +21.5 v. TCU | 10-52 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
TCU will host Louisiana Tech on Saturday in Fort Worth, Texas. TCU is coming off a huge win as pups last time out but it must be noted that TCU is 0-15 ATS L/15 as a favorite of more than three points coming off a win as a dog which is the case going into this tilt vs LA Tech vs HC Skip Holtz who is 8-1 ATS during the regular season against sides coming off a SU underdog victory. . Note: HC Patterson of TCU when coming off a Straight up win as a underdog victory, going g 0-12 ATS L/12 when favored by more than 3 point TCU is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 2 seasons. LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Play on LA Tech to cover |
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12-12-20 | Boise State v. Wyoming +11.5 | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
Craig Bohl’s Cowboys have covered 4 of their L/5 in this series vs Boise State . Bohl also owns a 9-0 SU winning streak at home and must not be underestimated in his ability ofr his side compete here vs the Broncos. Note: Boise state is being outgained by -10 net yards per game, while Wyoming is out yarding their opposition by 95 yards per tilt. Advantage Wyoming. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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12-12-20 | Western Illinois +13 v. Eastern Illinois | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a rivalary game so Im expecting a spirited effort from both squads that Im betting results in a closely contested affair. After two hard fought road games that E.Illinois lost they may have problems getting up enough energy to really roll here in this one. Note: Spoonhour is 4-13 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less as the coach of E ILLINOIS. Eastern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record . |
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12-12-20 | Houston v. Memphis +5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 32 h 48 m | Show | |
Houston has under achieved this season, and despite of being in desperation mode as they look for a Bowl invite, Im betting if they find a way to win, it wont come easily vs the 6-3 Memphis Tigers who are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS L/5 in this series while having covered 9 of their L/12 at home as underdogs. Note: Houston because of covid issues have not played since Nov 14, which was a win vs defensive hapless South Florida. Rust and flow issues are my bet here in. atilt that favors Memphis and not the Cougars. HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Holgerson has failed to cover 18 of his L/24 games with rest. Play on Memphis to cover |
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12-12-20 | Navy v. Army UNDER 38 | 0-15 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show | |
We have a very low total attached to this game but rightly so. Since 2005, games between two of the three service academy teams have gone 36-9-1 to the under. And the Army-Navy matchup, specifically, has gone under 14 of the L/15 times. Rinse and repeat in another grinding affair between these two rivals. Play UNDER |
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12-12-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Troy +14 | 42-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 56 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina is off a huge win vs BYU last time out and now going on the road will be in a vulnerable emotional letdown situation. TROY is 7-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. The Trojans are 6-0 ATS as home underdogs of more than 10 points since becoming a Division-1 program in 2001 and must not disrespected or underestimated in this spot. Play on the Troy Trojans to cover |
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12-12-20 | UAB v. Rice +7.5 | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 30 h 55 m | Show | |
Rice upset a strong Marshall side last time out and deserve respect behind a strong secondary that had five picks in the above mentioned underdog win. Meanwhile, UAB hasn't played since Halloween and since then, leading WR Austin Watkins has decided to skip the rest of the season.RICE is 13-4 ATS L/17 off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points.RICE is 16-4 ATS in home games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. RICE is 25-6 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. CFBUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (RICE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/28 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rice to cover |
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12-12-20 | Wake Forest v. Louisville -1 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show | |
The Demon Deacons (4-3, 3-3 ACC) have played once since Oct. 31 -- a 59-53 loss Nov. 14 at North Carolina and held a full practice on Saturday, it was its first since Thanksgiving Day. The Deacons are a rusty team, and are at a disadvantage here mon the road this week. CFB road team vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - in a game involving two excellent offensive teams ( 440 or more YPG) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are 23-3 SU L/10 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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12-12-20 | Western Michigan v. Ball State -1.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Ball State enters this tilt in top form as is evident by having allowed season-low yardage in each of their last two tilts , with QB Drew Plitt passing for 300-yards in both games including 6 Touch down passes. Im betting on more of the same top tier action here at home today vs a Western Michigan team that is over rated according to my power rankings mostly because of a pourous defence that allows an average of 35 ppg. MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons. W MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-12-20 | Georgia v. Missouri +13.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
Its become obvious to me that Georgia is just not as explosive as recent incarnations of the program, and are getting far to much respect here in the road in this SEC matchup vs Missouri. Note: Georgia has questions at quarterback. Starter Stetson Bennett took a hard hit and injured his shoulder on Saturday. He left the game in favor of D'Wan Mathis, who struggled as a starter in the season opener against Arkansas and has seen limited playing time since. Considering that Stetson is less than 100% and may not play at all I like the Tigers chances according to my projections of getting us a cover here this week. |
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12-12-20 | Notre Dame v. Kentucky -7 | 64-63 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Every seasons looks like the same story unfolds for Calaparis Cats. Chalk full of top tier talent on the verge of NBA careers, but disappointing their supporters. Then, suddenly as soon as conference play starts the young group begins to jell and begin to play to their taqlent levels. Rinse and repeat situation here after the Cats started slowly losing much of the main stream public bettors with them. Advantage Kentucky based on talent and now finally some cohesion. |
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12-11-20 | Nevada +2 v. San Jose State | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Due to Santa Clara (Calif.) County’s COVID-19 restrictions, San Jose State is forced to leave home at UNLV’s old stadium. Thats not a conducive situation for success as Im sure their flow will be thrown off to some extent. Advantage Nevada. Play on Nevada to cover |
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12-11-20 | Marquette v. UCLA UNDER 140.5 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-11-20 | Nevada v. Grand Canyon UNDER 139.5 | 77-87 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-11-20 | George Washington +1 v. Delaware | 65-68 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Powered by sophomore transfer James Bishop, who leads the A-10 in both points per game (20.5) and assists per game (7.8), GDUB's offense also boasts the top scoring tandem in the conference in Bishop and fellow sophomore Jamison Battle , who has averaged 16.0 points per game this season and ranks 10th in the conference in scoring. Bottom line is GWashington is explosive to say the least and it will be their offense that will be the difference maker vs Delaware.Fightin' Blue Hens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Fightin' Blue Hens are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Fightin' Blue Hens are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. CBB road team (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses. are 42-16 ATS L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on George Washington to cover |
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12-10-20 | San Diego State v. Arizona State UNDER 146 | 80-68 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-10-20 | Long Beach State v. San Francisco OVER 148 | 62-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-10-20 | Patriots v. Rams OVER 44.5 | 3-24 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
My projections estimate this total to be closer to 48 which gives us alot of value here based on that projection. I perception here by the lines-makers and much of the public is that this will be a field position chess match, but I do not see it that way. Last week , the Pats put 45 points on the board, and look ready to surge offensively behind Cam Newton, while the Rams bounced off a loss in their previous week to put 38 points on the board in a win. I know both sides have shown under the total tendencies, and New Englands overall offensive numbers might look like smoke and mirrors, but Im expecting enough fire works based on my models to recommend we take the over. This game is all about flow, and both come in here surging. Note: NFL home favorites like the Rams of 3+ points on artificial surface are 29-0 OVER when they are off a double-digit vicotry as a favorite and they are going against a side that has averaged more than 7.5 rushing first downs per game as visitors with a combined average of 55.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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12-10-20 | UMKC v. Minnesota OVER 136.5 | 61-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-10-20 | Portland v. Oregon State -13.5 | 87-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Oregon state is 21-4 in nonconference home games since the start of the 2017-18 campaign. Oregon State is 30-3 SU mark in Corvallis vs Portland and Im betting they get the job done again here in convincing fashion as the Beavers look for redemption after two close losses. The key wil focus on 3-point percentage conversion rate which rings in at 39.7 percent and leads the PAc 12.
PORTLAND is 1-9 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with the average margin loss coming by more than 28 ppg. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (OREGON ST) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 44-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oregon State to cover |
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12-09-20 | Idaho v. Washington State UNDER 136 | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-09-20 | Santa Clara v. Cal Poly +10 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
CAL POLY-SLO is 9-2 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-09-20 | Providence v. TCU OVER 128 | 79-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-09-20 | Atalanta v. Ajax Amsterdam UNDER 3.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Coming into this tilt vs Ajax there have been two goals or less scored in Atalanta’s last five matches (six of its last seven overall) from all competitions including a shutout vs Liverpool at Anfield. I know the Ajax has had some defensive deficiencies lately , but at expected 6.6 expected goals against, which breaks down to in a +1.3 xGDiff and +0.26 xGDiff/90 minutes. With that said, Im betting the Son of God dial up a tougher tone on the pitch today, and help keep this game on the low side of the number vs a staunch defensive side. Play UNDER |
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12-08-20 | Cal-Irvine v. USC OVER 135.5 | 56-91 | Win | 100 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-08-20 | Cowboys +9.5 v. Ravens | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Baltimore is obviously the superior side but the they do have some covid issues and injuries to key contributors. Also the truth is the Ravens are not as dominating as last season and have lost 3 straight games, and cant be trusted in their current form to cover, vs a Dallas team that also needs to get a victory here if they have any chance for a play off spot.BALTIMORE is 8-19 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game.Harbaugh is 11-22 ATS in home games vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game as the coach of BALTIMORE. Play on the Dallas Cowboys to cover |
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12-08-20 | Tennessee State v. Belmont -14 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Belmont Bruins have played 4 games already and are and have developed some early-season chemistry on their roster. Tenn State maybe improved this season, but are still over matched. BELMONT is 6-0 ATS in home games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. TENNESSEE ST is 4-14 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on Belmont to cover |
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12-08-20 | Kent State -1 v. Detroit | 80-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Kent State opened their season on a positive not almost upset a top tier Virginia program losing in overtime in their 2nd game. Here today the Flashes dynamic offence should give a Detroit Mercy program that has given up a combined 161 points across their first two games alot of heart break and deliver us a victory. Senderoff is 19-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog as the coach of KENT ST. |
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12-08-20 | Colorado v. Tennessee OVER 136.5 | 47-56 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-08-20 | Purdue +2 v. Miami-FL | 54-58 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Purdue owns a league-best 11-8 record in the ACC / Big Ten Challenge. The Boilermakers have won nine of the their last 11 Challenge games.vPurdue is one of the top 3-point shooting teams in the nation ranking 17th in 3-point percentage (.436) and 29th in 3-pointers per game (10.3).) The Boilermakers have dominant rebounders on the both ends of the floor. Trevion Williams ranks fourth nationally in defensive rebounding percentage (.430), while Zack Edey is eighth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (.202) and more than capable of making life tough on Miami guard orientated attack. This will be alot like dealing with Clemson, which ended in the Boliermakers only loss this season, but after that experience Im betting their now ready for what awaits them here. Larranaga is 14-24 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of MIAMI.Larranaga is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 straight wins by 15 points or more as the coach of MIAMI. |
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12-07-20 | Northern Arizona v. Arizona OVER 139 | 53-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-07-20 | Bills v. 49ers +1 | 34-24 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Bills are 6-23 SU in prime-time tilts since the 2000 season, and have lost nine straight on Monday night since a victory at Miami on Oct. 4, 1999. Buffalo is 0-2 in night games this season, with losses at Tennessee, in a COVID-19 rescheduled Tuesday night outing on Oct. 13, and Kansas City the following week. After watching QB Nick Mullens top notch relief of injured starter Joe Garoppolo, which included a impressive victory last week on the road against the Los Angeles Rams Im betting the 49ers get the job done again vs a Buffalo side. that has lost 2 of their L/3 road games. SAN FRANCISCO is 33-12 ATS when playing on Monday night since 1992. The Niners are also 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 on Mondays vs AFC opposition . Play on SF 49ers to cover |
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12-07-20 | Loyola Marymount +4.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 58-69 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
Loyola Marymount has seen more game time against better opposition as this will be their 5th game of the season, while Santa Barbara will now play only their 2nd game of the season after going against lower tier Saint Katherine. LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 8-0 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Loyola Marymount to cover |
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12-07-20 | Morehead State +11 v. Eastern Kentucky | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
E KENTUCKY is 14-37 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 49-85 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Morhead St to cover |
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12-07-20 | George Washington +1.5 v. Maryland-Baltimore County | 81-92 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
GW Head Coach J Christian in his MAYHEM system, will provide Baltimore MD with a load of issues.
Odom is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game as the coach of MD-BALT COUNTY GEORGE WASHINGTON is 11-1 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less shots than opponent.GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-1 straight up against MD-BALT COUNTY since 1997. George Washington to cover |
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12-06-20 | Broncos +13.5 v. Chiefs | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Drew Lock will be back under center when Denver visits Kansas City this week. Having a stable position player should give the Broncos some balance and confidence entering this tilt against a top tier opponent. Quote: ''Drew's going to be motivated,'' Broncos tight end Noah Fant said. ''I'm expecting him to come out and do good things.'' End Quote. Last week the Broncos were short at the QB position and were subsequently crushed and embarrassed by a 31-3 count vs the Saints and will be ready to bounce back and get some semblance of respect back. Note: DENVER is 6-0 ATS after a loss by 14 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, KC is also off a big effort last time out, squeezing by TB 27-24 in a physical game that could easily see them in a emotional letdown spot. KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons Also Reid is 1-11 ATS in home games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992. Broncos enter 12-3-1 ATS in this series when the Chiefs own a .750 plus win percentage and get my support here as underdogs. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-06-20 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
HC Reid of KC likes to play teams he deems as lower tier sides alot more conservatively than might be expected. I believe Reid trys not to exert to much energy against inferior opponents especially if his team has bigger goals ahead like this version of the team he resides over which will usually translate into the positive of less injuries. This type of game plan will Im betting see a lower combined score than the linesmkaers are expecting. Reid is 12-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. Reid is 9-2 UNDER as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with the average combined score clicking in at 40.1 ppg. Reid is 16-4 UNDER in home games after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. The Chiefs are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a home favorite of more than a TD when the line is more than seven points lower than last game. The Broncos are 0-9 UNDER L/9 as a dog of more than three points coming off a game where they failed to cover. Broncos have gone under in their L/7 division road games. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (DENVER) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 26-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Seton Hall v. Penn State -2.5 | 98-92 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Seton Hall despite of their talent play a sloppy brand of hoops as was the case last time out when they turned the ball over 17 times which now has them ranked 152nd in the nation in Turnover Percentage. Here today against a Penn State side that ranks second in the nation in Steal Percentage and 13th in opponent turnovers per game Im betting they are at a disadvantage. With that said, Im backing Penn State to take down a Pirates side that has lost 4 of their L/5 road games SU. Play on Penn St to cover |
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12-06-20 | Seattle University +5 v. Long Beach State | 75-80 | Push | 0 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Seattle U opened the 2020-21 season with three consecutive wins for the first time since the 2008-09 season and are being under rated here in this spot according to my projections. |
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12-06-20 | Kentucky v. Georgia Tech UNDER 141.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Eagles v. Packers OVER 48.5 | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
The Eagles won 34-27 at Green Bay last year, which marked the Packers' only home loss and Im expecting more surprising action from a Philadelphia side that is still looking for a ;possible play off appearance. My projections estimate a higher scoring affair than the linesmakers are estimating. The Packers are 14-0-2 OVER L/18 coming off a home game and playing a team below .535 on the season. Green Bay is 11-1 OVER L/12 after division home game. GREEN BAY is 21-8 OVER ( versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5 or more rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 52.1 ppg scored. Over is 30-14 in Eagles last 44 road games. Philadelphia 7-0 OVER L/7 away vs NFC North. Play OVER |
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12-06-20 | Xavier v. Cincinnati UNDER 136.5 | 77-69 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Saints -2.5 v. Falcons | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
The Saints (9-2) have won two straight games since star QN Drew Brees went down with a rib injury, extending their overall winning streak to eight in a row heading into Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints can clinch a playoff spot with a victory and a loss by the Bears and I am predicting a top tier effort and win by them in this spot play vs a Falcons side that exerted alot of energy in a lopsided win last week.New Orleans has won five of the past six meetings in the twice-a-year rivalry.NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 season.NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in home games off a home blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 27-1 SU L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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12-06-20 | Bengals +11.5 v. Dolphins | 7-19 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dolphins played a conservative solid game last week notching a 20-3 victory vs the hapless Jets as a TD-plus road chalk . It must now be noted that NFL favorites like the Dolphins playing on a natural surface have failed to cover 22 straight times vs a non-divisional opponent when they themselves are off a 14 +point victory as a away favorite when they registered at least 28 minutes of possession time. CINCINNATI is 7-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. MIAMI is 3-15 ATS L/18 in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games . NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (MIAMI) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 29-66 ATS L/37 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets UNDER 47 | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
After losing for the 2nd straight time and being embarrassed by a 43-6 count last time out, I expect the Raiders to get back to basics and run the ball more consistently while playing a conservative game and a much better brand of defense. Today against a jets steam that struggles with offensive consistency as was evident by a 3 point output last week, Im betting we see a game that stays on the low side of the number this week. LAS VEGAS is 16-6 UNDER (L/22 in road games after allowing 35 points or more last game with a combined average score of 44.1 ppg. NFL team against the total (LAS VEGAS) - in conference games, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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12-06-20 | Villanova v. Texas OVER 132.5 | 68-64 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-05-20 | Fresno State +7 v. Nevada | 26-37 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 18 m | Show | |
After a long trip back home from Hawaii after having their undefeated season abruptly end Im expecting Wolf Pack... who have failed to cover the last five meetings in this series at home to once again feel the pinch in this key game vs a Fresno State side that deserves respect as an underdog. CFB home team (NEVADA) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals are 13-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEVADA) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 16-43 ATS L/28 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fresno St to cover |
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12-05-20 | Baylor +22 v. Oklahoma | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 45 m | Show | |
Baylor's largest loss this year was by 10 points and Im betting they find a way to hand tough here vs this potent Oklahoma Sooners offense.Oklahoma and Baylor played twice last season -- both thrilling games pulled out by the Sooners. In the regular-season matchup, Oklahoma overcame a 31-10 halftime deficit to win 34-31. In the Big 12 Championship Game, the Sooners needed overtime to win 30-23. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight. BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 season.BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (OKLAHOMA) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, when playing on a Saturday are 25-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baylor to cover |
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12-05-20 | Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 35 h 2 m | Show | |
The No. 3 Tigers smashed Pittsburgh last week and looked like they were not worried about running up the score. for their 28th-consecutive home win. Considering Clemsons D, now looks to be in top form as is evident by holding 4 of their last six opponents to season-low yards I will not feel any hesitation and laying a load of lumber here with them today vs a talented but over rated Virginia Tech side. Clemson is 17-0 ATS/SU L/17 as a road favorite of more than a TD coming off a game where scored more points than their team total with the average combined ppg diff clicking in at 36 ppg while covering by just under 19 ppg. Also CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons ( Clemson 43 Opp 9). Play on Clemson to cover |
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12-05-20 | Oakland v. Oklahoma State OVER 143 | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-05-20 | Northern Illinois v. Pittsburgh UNDER 133.5 | 59-89 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-05-20 | BYU v. Coastal Carolina +10.5 | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
The No. 14-ranked Chanticleers (9-0) were scheduled to face No. 25 Liberty (9-1) on Saturday. But that game was cancelled Thursday due to COVID-19 issues within the Flames program.So Coastal Carolina will host No. 8 Brigham Young (9-0) instead. According to my power rankings these sides are more closely matched than the linesmakers number and thus Im recommending we take the points. CFB A home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or more )are 43-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. CFB home team vs. the money line (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (34 or more PPG) after 7 or more games, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game are 30-7 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BYU) - in a game involving two good rushing teams (190 to 230 RY/game), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 5-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Coastal Carolina to cover |
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12-05-20 | Georgia Tech +6.5 v. NC State | 13-23 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
GTech after almost a month off came out and smashed the Duke Blue Devils last week putting a season-high 523 yards in their 56-33 victory. Now Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a North Carolina State season looking ahead to post season play and most probably looking to stay healthy. GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. GEORGIA TECH is 8-1 L/9 on the road against the spread versus NC STATE . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (GEORGIA TECH) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Tech to cover |
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12-05-20 | Miami-OH v. Wright State OVER 142.5 | 47-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
12-05-20 | Tulsa v. Navy +13 | 19-6 | Push | 0 | 30 h 5 m | Show | |
The Tulsa Canes produce just under 62% of its offensive flow via their passing game while the Navy defense ranks 2nd in the conference against the pass. Meanwhile, the Middies offense generates 62% of their drives on the ground while Tulsas defense ranks 4th in the conference against the rushing attacks. Im betting because of these peripherals that we see a game alot closer than the linesmakers are estimating . Add to that this is a look ahead situation for Tulsa with nationally ranked Cincinnati on deck for next week and a live dog looks to be on board here today. NAVY is 9-0 ATS vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-05-20 | Boston College +4 v. Virginia | 32-43 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Virginia is getting to much respect here based on three straight wins , that were actually not that impressive other than their 44-41 shootout win vs UNC where they were still out yarded. Prior to their current run they lost 4 straight games which included blowout beatdowns vs Wake Forest and NC State. Meanwhile, Boston College remains under rated , despite of a strong Q JBurkovec who has thrown for over 2,500 yards on the season with 17 touchdowns with only five interceptions and a never say die group around him that plays hard.Virginia ranks last in the ACC in pass defense, allowing 289.0 yards per game through the air and are vulnerable here today. Play on Boston College to cover |
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12-05-20 | Nebraska-Omaha v. SIU-Edwardsville +4 | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
SIUE can really tee up with the trey from downtown and Im betting they take advantage of a Omaha side that does not defend the three well and also cannot shoot with the same effecicncy from beyond the arc as their opponent. We have alot of value here with a under rated underdog.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 8-19 ATS L/27 in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better. Play on SIUE to cover |
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12-05-20 | Bowling Green +3 v. Akron | 3-31 | Loss | -112 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
Akron has lost 20 straight tilts overall, including 11 straight on the road and their L/9 at home . HC Tom Arth's Zips haven't won a single game at (0-16) and now they are being made 3 point chalk. Not buying it, and Im recommending we take the points with Bowling Green. AKRON is 0-10 ATS /SU when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. BOWLING GREEN is 6-1 against the spread versus AKRON since 1992 @ Akron! CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (AKRON) - with a turnover margin of -1.5 /game or worse on the season are 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs (BOWLING GREEN) - after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after a loss by 17 or more points are 62-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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12-05-20 | Eastern Michigan +13.5 v. Western Michigan | 53-42 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Western Michigan is a perfect 4-0 on the season but their L/3 games have been decided in one possession final scores. Now enters a never say die hard nosed E.Michigan side that is not usually an easy out as is evident by their 23-6 ATS L/29 game record as road underdogs. E.Michigan is off a loss last time out, but that sets them up for a big motivational bounce back situation here vs top tier opposition. Note: Eastern Michigan is 14-0 ATS L/14 on the road coming off a loss with none of the SU losses in this set coming. by more than a TD. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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12-05-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech UNDER 64.5 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 102 h 0 m | Show | |
12-05-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan State +24 | 52-12 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
The Buckeyes come into this game with COVID-19 problems, and go against a Michigan State side that is starting to find its stride and is off a surprising win vs Northwestern last time out. The Buckeyes are still obviously the superior side, but Im betting Ohio States flow will be off because of the health issues being centered upon by league officials and the media. Its just not a cohesive environment, for positive energy to flow. With that said, Ill give the edge to the uptrending Spartans and their solid defensive abilities to cover the number . MICHIGAN ST is 38-19 ATS after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. CFB Road favorites (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team (440 or more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-71 ATS L/28 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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12-05-20 | Nebraska v. Purdue OVER 62.5 | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
The Boilermakers have one of the most dynamic wide receiver duos in all of college football with Rondale Moore and David Bell and Im betting these two stars help put a boatload full of points on the board vs a Nebraska D, that is allowing an average of 32.6 ppg. Meanwhile, here on the road Im also betting Nebraska behind a offence that put 30 points on the board vs Penn State to open up here and reciprocate with some fireworks of their own.HC Brohm is 16-3 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 68.2 ppg scored .Brohm is 30-12 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 63 in all games he has coached since 1992 with a. combined average of with a combined average of 75.5 ppg scored. Brohm is 8-1 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less as the coach of PURDUE with a combined average of 63.9 ppg. Play OVER |
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12-04-20 | Oregon v. Seton Hall UNDER 140.5 | 83-70 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -2.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show | |
App State has lost two games this season one to ranked Coastal Carolina after blowing a lead and once to a powerful looking Marshall football program. But Im betting that will be their last loss in Sunbelt conference action this season. and from my power rankings list matchup well vs a ULL side that they own a perfect 8-0 SU record against in their L/8 meetings. Look for AUS QB Zac Thomas who is 30-5 as a starter in his College career to show us what hes made of today and that in my opinion is pure titanium After putting 70 points on the board vs UL Monroe last week, I look for a energy drop off here against a side that is out to make a statement. : You have to remember Lafayette has clinched a title shot and are a in a look ahed situation with Coastal Carolina up next in the conference title game. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (outgain opp. by 50-100 YPG), after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 29-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on App State to cover |
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12-04-20 | Jacksonville State +5 v. Florida International | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
The Gamecocks have won three in a row going into the weekend to begin the season with a 3-1 record and according to my projections are a under rated value dog . JACKSONVILLE ST is 33-16 ATS L/47 in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games.JACKSONVILLE ST is 20-7 ATS L/27 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) Jax State to cover |
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12-04-20 | Toledo v. Eastern Michigan +2.5 | 91-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
12-03-20 | Arizona State v. California UNDER 145.5 | 70-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-03-20 | Air Force v. Utah State OVER 51 | 35-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Air force will put 35+ points on the board vs a Utah State D, that has allowed an average of of 35.2 ppg . Note: UTAH ST is 20-7 L/27 OVER when they allow 35 to 41 points with the combined average score of 58.9 ppg scored.Meanwhile, Utah finally started to open up their offense , and get it flowing last time out putting 41 points on the board, and Im betting they do enough damage here to get this combined score over the total. AIR FORCE is 15-4 OVER L/19 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return with a combined average of 65.1 ppg. AIR FORCE is 10-2 OVER in road games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season with a combined average of 57.2 ppg going on the board.Calhoun is 31-17 OVER in road games in games played on turf as the coach of AIR FORCE with a combined average of 59.8 ppg. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UTAH ST) - with a poor rushing D - allowing 200 or more rushing yards/game, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 36-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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12-03-20 | Florida v. Boston College OVER 145 | 90-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-03-20 | Montana -120 v. Southern Utah | 63-64 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Montana has won 15 in a row in the series from 2003 through 2020 and have won 11 straight Big Sky conference opening games . Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here as my projections make the Grizzlies the superior side vs a decent but not ready for prime time Southern Utah squad. Play on Montana to cover |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut -1 v. USC | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Mohegan Sun Arena - Uncasville, CT Dating back to last season, the UConn Huskies are currently on a 10-2 run which includes three straight up wins as underdogs. I know USC is highly talented, but being out of their natural time zone Im betting the Trojans flow will be effected. CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Hurley is 14-4 ATS L/18 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games he has coached. CBB team (USC) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 68-119 L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UConn to cover |
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12-03-20 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas UNDER 66.5 | 42-31 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
Skip Holtz and LA Tech have not played since Halloween and Im betting his offence will be rusty and take time to get into a flow here. Meanwhile, North Texas despite of showing some defensive deficiencies this season, will according to my projections hold down the fort to an extent, and help keep this tilt on the low side of the slightly bloated number. Also look for The Mean Green to pound the ball on the ground against a Tech side that has had problems stopping the run whihc will eat clock time in a hurry. Note: Holtz is 10-1 UNDER in road games vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing 8.5 or more passing yards/att. in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average score of 43.7 ppg going on the board. LOUISIANA TECH is 11-1 UNDER in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45.9 ppg scored. NORTH TEXAS is 9-0 UNDER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 56.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (North Texas/ LOUISIANA TECH) - when playing on a Thursday are 50-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-03-20 | Washington v. Utah UNDER 135.5 | 62-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-03-20 | Chicago State v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 140 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-02-20 | Illinois v. Baylor -5 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Illinois is a strong defensive side, but their pack line defense Im betting has problems with a Baylor side that likes to throw alot of screens and have a bevy of scorers that can do alot of damage. Bottom line :Illinois has looked explosive against two ugly betty opponents, but when they faced Ohio they did not look good and barely escaped with a win. With that said look for the Bears bevy of top tier talent at the guard position to wreak havoc on Illinois over flow in transition at both ends of the court .Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. Baylor to cover |
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12-02-20 | Oregon State v. Washington State UNDER 139 | 55-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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12-02-20 | Arkansas State v. Memphis OVER 142 | 54-83 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play OVER |
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12-02-20 | Southern Illinois v. SE Missouri State UNDER 137 | 87-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play UNDER |
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