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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-25-19 | Wolves v. Hornets +5.5 | 121-99 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Both Minnesota and Charlotte are coming off one point victories in their first games of the season.Minnesota won 127-126 in overtime against the Brooklyn Nets in New York while, the Hornets overcame a 10-point, fourth-quarter deficit Wednesday in a 126-125 victory against the visiting Chicago Bulls. Im betting the Wolves game was more strenuous than the Hornets game, and they will be fresher and ready to compete here on their own home floor as underdogs. Note:MINNESOTA is 3-14 ATS in road games after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Charlotte is 2-0 in the 2 most recent games here and 12-3 SU L/15 as a host in this series and get my support to cover in this spot play. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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10-25-19 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs area well rested team that goes vs a Sharks side playing on back-to-back nights. The Sharks are already playing tough D, and have allowed 2 goals or less in in 3 of their L/5 overall, and will be even more conservative here vs an explosive opponent as they play on tired legs. With that said, Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side of the number. SAN JOSE is 14-3 UNDER in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 season with a combined average of 5.1god scored. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing San Jose. Play UNDER |
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10-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | 141-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Both teams will take the court with revenge motivation: the Clippers on an opponent that ended their season last April; the Warriors on Leonard, who denied Golden State a three-peat while leading the Toronto Raptors to the championship in June. With that said,Im expecting a spirited back and forth game with a boatload full of points going on the board.  Over is 7-2 L/9 meetings at Golden State. Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 10-1 in Clippers last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 road games.Over is 12-5 in Clippers last 17 Thursday games.Over is 14-6 in Clippers last 20 overall.Over is 13-6 in Clippers last 19 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. NBA Pacific.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 overall.Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 /WARRIORS (LA CLIPPERS) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-13 OVER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-24-19 | SMU v. Houston +15 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 12 m | Show | |
SMU looked good last week in an easy win vs Temple and are now the frontrunners for the AAC West title  . There were a lot of record setting performances by SMU in that game both personal and institutional  as they put up 655 yards of offence , their most this season so far. The Mustangs were sky high for that game and left it all out on the filed and now on short rest may have very little left in the tank when they face a juiced up Houston this week on the road. Coach Sonny Dykes  has a very talented team  but the Cougars and HC Holgorsen, Im betting won't be so easily pushed around in this tilt. and with revenge on board for a 45-31 loss, as 13-point favorites last season, will now be looking forward to payback  .  Houston is 4-1 ATS the last five as home underdogs and deserve respect at this two plus TD spread or better. Houston is 8-1 SU L/9 at home in this series. SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons and is 3-12 ATS L/15 in road games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. CFB Road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (SMU) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 23-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-24-19 | Sabres v. Rangers OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
New York won its first two games by scoring 10 goals in wins over Winnipeg and Ottawa on Oct. 3 and 5, but since then, the Rangers are 0-4-1 and have been outscored 20-9 while being outshot by a 177-129 margin and now tonight Im betting red hot Buffalo lights them up , and then they have no choice but to open in a game that Im expecting to be a wide open back and forth affair. NY RANGERS are 16-4 lL20 OVER in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 5 straight games with an average of 6.4 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off an home win scoring 4 or more goals, top level team, winning 70% or more of their games on the season are 52-24 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-23-19 | Kings v. Suns +2 | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
The Suns HC Williams has implemented a "no-stick" offensive philosophy that asks players to pass, dribble or shoot in five-tenths of a second. Rubio, Booker, Saric, re-signed free agent Kelly Oubre Jr. and Ayton are the expected starters , as he has the type of lineup that can implement his philosophy fully. I know how bad the Suns have been over the last few seasons, but Im betting on them to up trend. Tonight against a Sacramento Kings side, that is just 1-3 in their L/4 visits here Im siding with the Suns to get us the cover. Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Play on the Phoenix suns to cover |
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10-23-19 | Nationals v. Astros UNDER 7 | 12-3 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Strasburg the Nats starter for Game2 of theWorld Series has been over powering with 33 strikeouts and just one walk in 22 innings in the play offs, allowing just four runs on just 18 hits and Im betting for him to long and strong here tonight. Meanwhile, Astros starterJustin Verlander, with alot to prove after getting alot of bad reviews for his previous post season failures, will Im betting be very ready to go and provide his team with a strong effort behind some strong veteran experience and tools. Note: VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) VERLANDER is 13-3 UNDER (+9.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.VERLANDER is 20-5 UNDER in night games this season. (Team's Record) with an average of 6.4 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 13-2 UNDER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - after 7 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 79-52 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-23-19 | Penguins v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Both these teams have alot of offensive firepower, but these veteran filled sides also, take pride in not taking part in run and gun affairs, vs sides they respect. Instead Im betting on a more conservative tilt that will feature strong defensive and base offensive chances on transitional play. With Pittsburgh on tired legs playing tbeir 8th game in 14 days and suddenly finding it hard to score in their last two games( 2 goals total) Im betting they will be even more conservative than usual. Note:PITTSBURGH is 24-15 UNDER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-23-19 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 211 | 93-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Im projecting that this big man crew of Philadelphia to really push forward here this Wednesday night in attempt to assert their standing in the East. I also expect a take no prisoners type of affair with alot more points going on the board than the linesmakers and public might expect. In the past Boston has been able to slow down Joel Embiid, thanks to the work of Al Horford and Aron Baynes’ , and now that both are gone, Im expecting Embiid to explode offensively and carry his team forward with maximum momentum  The revamped Celtics will have to follow suit and open up, with some offense of their own, or be blown off the court, which Im betting helps us get over the Number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA/BOSTON) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents are 28-7 OVER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
The public right out of the gate loves the over here in this Battle of LA game based in part to the concept that LAL super stars Davis and James will almost single hand-idly eclipse this total all by themselves.(Tongue in cheek) But Im betting the chemistry between these guys is over blown just like this total based on perceptions. Instead Im betting on Lakers sturdy D, to be key. I know the Clippers can also run and gun, but Im betting that wont be the case here tonight as they devise a game plan to slow down Davis and James and the fast break explosiveness of  Alex Caruso and Kuzma, resulting in a more tempered effort by the Clippers in transition. Under is 8-3 in Lakers last 11 vs. Western Conference.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Lakers's last 19 games when playing LA Clippers. Play on the UNDER |
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10-22-19 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Vegas Knights are on tired legs as they play their 3rd road game in 4 nights and will not be prepared to run and gun tonight and instead Im betting they will play more conservatively in transition. Especially after  a sloppy 6-2 loss at Philadelphia last time out. Meanwhile, their hosts the Chicago Blackhawks are a team that has a renewed respect for fore checking and solid defensive play , as has been evident of late , by going under the total in 3 of their L/4 games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 31-9 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NHLRoad teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 22-8 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Astros will send starter Gerrit Cole to the hill to face the Nationals in game one of this series.  Cole (20-5, 2.50 ERA, 326 SO)who has been near-unhittable this postseason, with a 0.40 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his three starts has a big edge vs this Nats batting order according to my power rankings. His 358 strikeouts entering the World Series are the most by anyone in a single year since Randy Johnson in 2001 (419). Im betting on More of the same here today, while the Astros over powering batting order does more than damage against Nats starter Scherzer and his bullpen accomplices. Note:   Nationals are 2-8 in Scherzers last 10 starts during game 1 of a series. MLB home favorites since the 2005 season are 16-3 SU in Games 1 and 2 of the World Series, winning by an average of 2.5 runs per game. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans +7 v. Raptors | 122-130 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
There will be no Zion Williamson (knee injury) in the New Orleans lineup this Tuesday night in Toronto on opening night as the Raptors begin the defense of their NBA championship. Because of this this we are getting a generous line to bet into with the visiting Pelicans. Despite of New Orleans not having Williamson in the lineup on opening night the proverbial cupboard is still not empty as top tier  veterans like Holiday and Favors, Redick still make this team a fairly formidable opponent, and with the key additions of up trending young talent like Ingram, Ball and Hart must not be discounted to be competitive vs a side that lost their key starter Kawhi Leonard to free agency in the off season and have no real individual big stars in their lineup. This Pelicans group has alot to prove after their super star Davis left town via trade, and especially now with Williamson down, and Im expecting them to play a big game tonight vs a side that could easily experience a championship hangover. Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.  New Orleans is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road. Road team is 23-6-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings.Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Home teams (TORONTO) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 83 or more shots/game, in non-conference games are just 49-61 SU L/5 seasons for a 44.5% win conversion rate. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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10-20-19 | Eagles +3 v. Cowboys | 10-37 | Loss | -125 | 35 h 35 m | Show | |
Things are not good in Dallas right now as Americas team has lost three straight games, but are still being made favs here at home vs a Eagles side that has won 2 of their L3 games overall. This game is important to both sides, and Im betting it will be a hard fought battle that makes getting points a solid investment opportunity. It must be noted that HC Garrett has covered just 5 of 19 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less as the coach of DALLAS.The Dallas Cowboys, are also just 1-18-1 ATS as home favorites when coming off a SU and ATS loss. The Cowboys when made  home favorites  have allowed road underdogs to cash at a 34-19-1 ATS clip during the L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate . Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in October.Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Road team is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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10-20-19 | Rams v. Falcons +3 | 37-10 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 8 m | Show | |
Things are not going the Atlanta Falcons way so far this season, as was evident last week when they out yarded and out played Arizona and still found a way to lose a one point 34-33 road tilt. Now the Falcons are extremely desperate to get a win here at home this week vs a struggling Rams side on a 3 game losing streak and Im betting take advantage of downtrodden team that is reeling out of control. Note:Super Bowl loser like the Rams as a non-division road chalk are just  (28-51-5 ATS) .  The Falcons are 4-0/SU/ATS L/4 in this series and get the nod again to get us the cover. ATLANTA is 21-8 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.LA RAMS is 14-28 ATS L/42 in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - an average offensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a good offensive team (23-27 PPG), after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 39-15 ATS L/36 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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10-20-19 | Dolphins +17.5 v. Bills | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 54 m | Show | |
Bills QB Josh Allen(Concussion protocol) has found ways to win despite throwing seven interceptions and losing several fumbles. He is truly a over rated QB at this point in his career. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are changing quarterbacks and last week, behind Ryan Fitzpatrick almost pulled off a miraculous comeback.  Look for Fitzmagic to be the difference maker here today vs a solid but vulnerable D, that Its use will be over looking this current opponent. BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992. The Bills have lost the last two times they've been favored by 15 1/2 or more points. Buffalo lost 24-17 to the New York Jets on Dec. 6, 1992, and 16-13 at Indianapolis the previous week. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog, winless on the season are 25-6 ATS L/36 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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10-20-19 | 49ers v. Redskins +10 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
Lets not fool ourselves here , Washington is a horrendous team. However, travelling from west to east like the 49ers are here today and playing out of your time zone can also cause some havoc with a players body, and  mind set and even  preparedness. After being emotionally charged up for their last game , a win vs division rival the LA Rams Im expecting an emotional let down situation to concur with their east coast travel plans. With that said , Im betting on the 5-0 Niners to come out flat here and for the Skins to find a ugly way to cover. SAN FRANCISCO is 10-23 ATS L/33 in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less). NFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 5-24 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Redskins to cover |
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10-20-19 | Raiders v. Packers OVER 46.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
The Raiders have back to back road underdog wins and 3 straight wins overall, and proving that they maybe better than many expected. It must be noted that both games easily eclipsed the total, and they have gone over in 3 straight games overall.  Meanwhile, Green Bay is off a short week after playing a Monday night game at Lambeau and their D maybe a little tired and vulnerable forcing Aaron Rodgers to air it out more than might be expected this Sunday . Note: NFC chalk off a Monday Night division game like the Packers ... have gone 19-2-1 OVER dating back 8 seasons, including a 100% perfect 9-0 OVER when the Total is north of 45 points. Also GREEN BAY is 16-2 OVER after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 51.9 ppg going on the board. Im projecting for both teams to score 20+ points here tonight. OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.6 ppg. GREEN BAY is 9-2 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 57.2 ppg scored. This series has gone over 5 straight times average Total of : 44.7  and the  average combined score clicking in at 51.4 ppg. Play OVER |
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10-20-19 | Dolphins v. Bills OVER 41 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
Neither one of these teams is as good or as a bad as they have looked so far this season. No the Fins offence is not as bad as it seemed early on , as was evident when QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was put under center last week , almost bringing his team back from a 14 point deficit. With that said, Im expecting Miami to do more offensive damage than than the linesmakers expect this week behind the arm and mind of one of the leagues most under rated QBs. Meanwhile, Buffalo in its usually methodical way will also land some blows in a game I have pegged to eclipse this artificially low total that is based almost solely on recency bias of unders by both sides. Note: Miami has allowed an average of 36 ppg this season! BUFFALO is 10-2 OVER vs. terrible ball control teams, 28 or lessminutes TOP, 16 or less FD's per game with a combined average of 46.8 ppg scored.  Buffalo has gone over the L/7 times its has been made a 8 point or more favortie. Dolphins have gone over 5 straight times  after a non conference home game. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the first half of the season are 33-12 OVER L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team against the total (BUFFALO) - after allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 41-13 OVER L/36 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-19-19 | Yankees v. Astros -140 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
L Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - HOU leads 3-2 The Yankees likely will open Game 6 with Chad Green, JA Happ two hurlers that my power rankings suggest the Astros matchup very well against. Overall this a bullpen day, and from a statistical matchup , yes the Yanks look to have an edge if using regular season stats, but from a tactical standpoint the use of key Astros pitchers Im betting will be the difference maker. Also Urquidy a hurler who has rebounded well from Tommy John surgery is a guy that has the ability to go long here as is evident by a 40:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first 33 MLB innings of work. This Astros hurler has some nasty stuff that the Yanks have not seen , which is an obvious advantage. HOUSTON is 52-13 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. Note: Since the 2005 season MLB playoff series (games 5-7), home teams have an edge, going 45-36 (55.6%). MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games are 52-18 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate.  Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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10-19-19 | Islanders +104 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 104 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
The Isles are a well coached top tier defensive team behind Barry Trotz, and are dangerous dogs having won 6 of their L/9 road games dating back to last season, and on a current 3 game win streak including a 3-1 win vs Winnipeg on Thursday night. Now going against a stripped down Columbus side that no longer packs alot of offensive firepower the Jackets are vulnerable against this type of opponent. Play on the NY Islanders to win on the ML |
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10-19-19 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -115 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Leafs might without scoring star John Tavares, but they are far from without extensive fire power as Ilya Mikheyev will join Mitch Marner and Alex Kerfoot on the top line. This will be the first meeting between them and the visiting Bruins since last seasons play offs, that saw the Buds eliminated during what was a year that was promising for the Leafs. With revenge on board vs their rivals I look for the Leafs to come out here with fire and purpose and to get the victory. Toronto is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston. Play on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the ML |
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10-19-19 | Tulane +4 v. Memphis | 17-47 | Loss | -104 | 61 h 53 m | Show | |
Tulane beat  up on Memphis, by a 40-24 count, last year as a 14-point home dog .Now Im betting they  can turn the trick and more importantly cover here vs a Tigers team that had their undefeated season come to end last week and that will now be in an emotional let down state and very vulnerable. Memphis has failed to cover 6 of their L/7 as home chalk of 9 points or less.MEMPHIS is 8-22 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TULANE) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG), after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 14-44 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulane to cover |
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10-19-19 | Army v. Georgia State +5.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show | |
 Army enters this game against Georgia State having lost two games in a row including their last game against Western Kentucky where they only scored eight points. This is an Army team I respect but there are obviously issues moving the ball right now. Meanwhile, Georgia State is an explosive offensive side, that always has a punchers chance against heavy weights because of their explosiveness.This is Georgia States 6th game but they  have been favoured in only one of the tilts but still have four wins on the campaign and get my support getting points here as a under rated home dog. Panthers are 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Panthers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games in October.Panthers are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Play on Georgia State to cover |
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10-19-19 | Kentucky +25.5 v. Georgia | 0-21 | Win | 100 | 72 h 8 m | Show | |
Georgia lost an ugly OT game by a 20-17 count at  home last time out to South Carolina  and now getting to the College Football Playoff looks like a broken dream which will have the Dogs in a letdown situation here vs a under rated opponent.  Bulldogs QB Jake Fromm,just didn't have it last time out, and in the process showed me he's not ready for prime time games just yet . Meanwhile, the Wildcats are tough blue collar team that is  5-2 ATS as dogs of 10 or more points, and despite of playing with a back up QB Lynn Bowden Jr. who is also their best WR the Cats won a 24-20 battle vs. Arkansas. Bowden who is a complete athlete rushed for 196 yards, and completed 7 of 11 passes, including a TD pass and must be respected here even against Georgia. GEORGIA is 18-34 ATS in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992. CFB Home favorites (GEORGIA) - off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a home win are 18-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs (KENTUCKY) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival are 34-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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10-19-19 | Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | 45-27 | Win | 100 | 80 h 30 m | Show | |
Mark Rhules undefeated Baylor Bears come to Oklahoma State to take on the Pokes in a Saturday afternoon tilt.  We all know how explosive the Cowboys offence is but the  the defense they are going against  is holding opponents to just 17ppg and only one opponent the Red Raiders put more than 21 points on the board. Meanwhile, Baylors QB Charlie Brewer is a extremely smart athlete that does not make a lot of mistakes and until his last game did not throw an interception. That kind of discipline and mind set really makes the Bears a hard team to beat, thus getting points here in my betting opinion  golden.  Rhule is 10-1 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry in all games.Rhule is 23-9 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game in all games he has coached . Rhule is 38-18 ATS in conference games in his career and , 21-7 ATS away, and 13-1 ATS on the road against opponents coming off a loss like Oklahoma State. ( The Cowboys lost to Texas Tech last time out a team Baylor beat) CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OKLAHOMA ST) - with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 24-60 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs (BAYLOR) - dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 44-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baylor to cover |
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10-19-19 | Charlotte v. Western Kentucky -9 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 48 h 21 m | Show | |
Charlotte continues to get to much respect from the linesmakers as they enter this tilt off three straight losses with their only two wins this season coming against FCS school Gardner Webb and one FBS program that is in a shambles UMass. Meanwhile, Western Kentucky despite of losing their starting QB a few weeks ago continue to show upward momentum having won three 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 behind a very strong D, that is allowing just 18.5 ppg. Bottom line here is that Western Kentucky according to my power rankings is set the superior side playing at home with revenge for a ugly 40-14 loss last season, now will be primed for payback. CFB  A home team (W KENTUCKY) - after allowing 9 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game are 23-2 SU L/27 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.2 ppg. Western Kentucky to cover |
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10-19-19 | Old Dominion v. UAB -16.5 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
 Old Dominion enters this game in complete disarray and has dropped five straight games SU and have been out yarded by almost 100 ypg while UAB has won 5 of their L/6 and gaining momentum. UAB has held 3 of your last four opponents to season-low yards, and are currently on a 15 game home winning streak and more than capable of exploding here today and cashing as DD home chalk . UAB is 6-0 ATS in October games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21.3 ppg. CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UAB) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 26-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UAB Blazers to cover |
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10-19-19 | Canadiens +127 v. Blues | 5-2 | Win | 127 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
The St.Louis Blues are on a 3 game losing streak, and showing signs of a Stanley Cup hangover. Im betting on on star Habs goalie Price who is 6-6-2 with a 2.61 goals-against average versus St. Louis to be the difference maker today. .St. Louis is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games at home.Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road. Play on the Montreal Canadians to win on the ML |
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10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50 | 52-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Northwestern is a team that bases its strength on defense as their offence is anemic and atrocious and tonight against an explosive Ohio State offence Im betting they limit big plays and eat up clock in methodical fashion. As I just mentioned the Cats offense is one of the worst in the nation., Northwestern ranks No. 5 overall on defense and 124th on offense and    rank  last in the nation in yards-per-play, points-per-play, and explosive play percentage conversion rate.Tonight Northwestern's excruciatingly slow paced offense will be taking on a over powering Ohio State defense that’s only allowing 8.8 ypg via just 3.7 yards per play and which ranks second in the nation in defensive havoc.If the Wildcats a side that is averaging just 14.4 ppg (3rd worst int he country) get shutout tonight I wont be surprised . Also Im expecting the Buckeyes to not open their playbook to much this week with Wisconsin on deck for next week, and instead use their run game quite a bit today, something that they have used more often this season than in recent years ranking 15th in the country in  run play percentage plays. You don't have to be a mathematician to see the writing on the wall that this game has value for under bettors. OHIO ST is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 475 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. NORTHWESTERN is 10-1 UNDER after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons with the combined average of 40.8 ppg scored. NORTHWESTERN L/22 games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons has seen a combined average of 45 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-18-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Yankees starter James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO)exited after just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 in Houston, even though he allowed only one run on four hits. Neither Paxton nor manager Aaron Boone believed the lefty was giving his pitches away. It was simply time to get the starter out of the game. Paxton went 7-3 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 home games this season and Im betting he has another top tier effort here tonight in desperation mode. Meanwhile,Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) looked to back in top form after his last ALCS start, allowing just two runs on an Aaron Judge homer in 6 2/3 innings as the Astros won, 3-2. In three playoff starts against the Yankees as an Astro, Verlander has a 1.19 ERA and 28 strikeouts. More of the same here today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League West.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship games. Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 playoff games.Under is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 vs. American League East. Under is 15-2 in umpire Danleys last 17 games behind home plate vs. Houston including 6 straight unders in Astros games.Under is 19-5-3 in Danleys last 27 games behind home plate.Under is 9-4-1 in Danleys last 14 games behind home plate vs. New York. MLB team (NY YANKEES) - after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 32-10 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-18-19 | Pittsburgh -3 v. Syracuse | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 81 h 14 m | Show | |
  Well rested Pittsburgh goes against a struggling Syracuse side this week .  Pittsburgh has just one loss and contending for the ACC Coastal. Pitts key to success is their blue collar old school  defense, which is  ranked No. 2  in the nation with sacks (27)  .  Meanwhile, Syracuse is downtrodden and  just cannot move the ball consistently especially on the ground and in their 3 losses have been held to an average of  1.16 yards a carry. and have been out yarded to a tune of  (-116 YPG) vs FBS opposition.Tonight Im betting Pittsburgh D controls the line of scrimmage and their offence does more than enough damage against a porous Orange D,  and subsequently takes care of business here on the road. Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in October.Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Orange are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.Panthers are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Play on the Pittsburgh Panthers to cover |
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10-18-19 | Marshall +6 v. Florida Atlantic | 36-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
 I think alot of bettors feel FAU is the better team, and that the way the media has portrayed them here for this Friday night matchup and now the linesmakers are taking the lead by making the Owls favorites in a game that should be closer to a FG (-3). But according to my power ranking numbers Marshall is under rated and deserves my support getting points. It must be noted that FAU ranks 96th in the country in yard per play on offense and defense while Marshall is ranked 44th in YPP and 68th on defence. I also like Marshalls offensive line, better than Florida Atantic's group and they way they protect their run game, which makes for long grinding drives, which will take FAU out of their flow when they finally get the ball. To this point in the season Marshall has struggled with Red Zone efficiency thanks to some very unlucky circumstances , bad calls, and just about everything under the sun, but Im expecting that to change. FLA ATLANTIC is 1-9 ATS l/10 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Lane Kiffin’s  is just 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in back-to-back tilts at FAU Stadium. CFB Road underdogs (MARSHALL) - good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 32-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Marshall to cover |
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10-17-19 | Predators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Nashville has really been playing some very wide open offensive hockey and should push the Coyotes into opening up, which Im betting results in a fairly high scoring affair. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVERÂ in all games this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (NASHVILLE) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 39-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-17-19 | UCLA v. Stanford UNDER 50.5 | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Stanford has held two of its last three opponents to season low yardage, as the defence continues to improve.  Im betting on more of the same action here today vs a UCLA side that has huge problems moving the ball consistently. Today Im betting on a lot of clock time getting eaten away as Stanford a run first team will pound away on a Bruins team with a smaller Defensive front, and for a lower scoring game to ensue. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (STANFORD) - off a upset win as a double digit underdog, in weeks 5 through are 37-11 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (UCLA) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 40-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos +3.5 | 30-6 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas City is struggling after losing 2 straight games thanks in part to Patrick Mahomes’ limited mobility because of an ankle injury. Tonight against a bruising run orientated Denver team Im betting those struggles continue. Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. KANSAS CITY is 2-14 L/16 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games. Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.Broncos are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games. Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The Broncos are 11-0 ATS/SU on natural surface vs a divisional opponent after a win by more than a TD as a home favorite in which they were up by more than a FG at the half.  NFL Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 9-31 ATS L/36 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Denver Broncos to cover |
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10-17-19 | Astros v. Yankees UNDER 8 | 8-3 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
 It looks like two top tier hurlers will go to the hill Grienke ( Astros) vs Tanaka ( NYY) . But I once again expect some bullpen action and top tier pitching to out duel the explosive offences of both teams. Tanka  owns a 1.32 ERA over 41 career postseason innings spanning seven starts, dating to the 2015 AL Wild Card Game against Houston. GREINKE is 13-4 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rog scored.   Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 overall.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 on grass.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 playoff games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 League Championship games.Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 11-4-1 in Astros last 16 road games.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 playoff games.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 League Championship games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Yankees last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 15-5-1 in Yankees last 21 vs. American League West. Under is 16-5-2 in umpire Bellinos last 23 games behind home plate vs. New York.Under is 14-5-3 in umpire Bellinos last 22 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Play UNDER |
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10-17-19 | Rangers v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
The Rangers are very fresh as they have played the fewest games in the NHL, just three, while most other squads have at least six contests in the books. Needless to say they will the have the legs to push the action here tonight, vs a Jersey team that allows 4.8 gpg and that has seen 4 of their L/5 home games eclipse the total with a combined average of 8.7 gpg scored. Tonight Im betting on more high scoring action. NEW JERSEY is 23-9 OVER against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gpg scored in those 32 tilts. The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Jersey's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Rangers. NHLRoad teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a losing record.102-64 OVER L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-16-19 | South Alabama v. Troy OVER 56 | 13-37 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
 Troys defence especially their secondary is a mess, and Im betting on South Alabama quarterback Cephus Johnson clicking on some big plays against a susceptible Troy pass D and doing alot more damage here than the linesmakers expect. Also it must be noted that Troy is ranked last in the nation in opponent pass yards per attempt abd 91st in opponent third-down conversions and last in opponent explosive passing.Meanwhile,Troys offense has proven explosive this season ranking 49th in points per game, 52nd in explosiveness, and 54th in efficiency while averaging a 42.7 ppg at home and very fresh off a bye week. Needless to say Im betting on a tilt that exceeds this number based on my projections. Over is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 home games.Over is 8-2 in Trojans last 10 games on turf. Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games following a ATS win. Play OVER |
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10-16-19 | Avalanche v. Penguins -110 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh has gotten a recent infusion of extra energy -- and offense -- from a few forwards called up from Wilkes-Barre/Scranton of the American Hockey League because of the injuries and they are playing with alot of enthusiasm right now and deserve respect in their current form here at home. Yes even against the undefeated Colorado Avalanche. Penguins are 117-55 in their last 172 games as a home favorite. COLORADO is 3-11 ATS after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.  Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado.Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Play on the Pittsburgh Pens to win on the ML |
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10-15-19 | Wild v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
The Wild have to deal with an explosive Leafs team on the road here tonight and Im betting they play conservatively here as they use the momentum of a 2-0 shutout win vs the Seans last time out as motivation. I know the Leafs are chalk loaded full of up front talent, but HC Mike Babcock after some ugly early season defensive performances, is stressing on his team to forecheck and play better D. This combination Im betting will end up seeing this combined score stay on the low side of the total.  The Wild have killed 16-of-19 penalties this season after Ottawa went 0-for-5 on the power play and their current pp killing abilities will help them here against the tide of a dangerous Buds power play. Leafs G  Andersen is expected to be in goal Tuesday and is 4-3-0 with a 2.61 goals-against average and .913 save percentage in seven games against Minnesota. Wild G Devan Dubnyk  is 6-3-1, 2.72, .910 in 11 games (10 starts) versus Toronto. MINNESOTA is 15-5 UNDER in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scoed. TORONTO is 11-2 UNDER off a road win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored. ( The Leafs took out Detroit 5-2 on the road last time out) Play UNDER |
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10-15-19 | Astros -154 v. Yankees | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
 Astros starter Gerrit Cole (20-5 2.50 ERA, 326 SO) is coming off an ALDS for the ages -- he beat the Rays twice, including in the winner-take-all Game 5, allowing just one run in 15 2/3 innings with a DS-record 25 strikeouts. Cole has 10-plus strikeouts in 11 consecutive starts and needless to say after watching him dominate is my choice here tonight vs the Yankees in game 3. Astros are 7-0 in Coles last 7 road starts.Astros are 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts vs. American League East.Astros are 4-0 in Coles last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. COLE is 29-9 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. (Team's Record) Astros are 9-0 in their last 9 games with umpire Nelson behind home plate. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 59-9 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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10-14-19 | Lions v. Packers OVER 45.5 | 22-23 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Here we go as the Detroit Lions visit the Green Bay Packers in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. Im betting on Lions QB Mathew Stafford who has owned the Packers D in the recent past to have a big night here. Stafford has thrown for multiple touchdowns in nine consecutive battles in this series, and nothing will change tonight. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and in his usual way will return fire, despite of being without WR Davante Adams and will also use explosive RB  Jones who leads the NFL with eight rushing touchdowns to rip apart of the D line as has been his MO . Jones has over powered his way into the end zone in six straight games at Lambeau Field. These teams have gone over 6 of the L/7 meetings with the average combined score of those tilts clicking in at 49.1 ppg. Detroit in their L/5 MNF games have seen a combined average score of 54.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Lions as a dog off a loss when they failed to score in the red zone at least 3 times, have gone over in the following game 7 straight times with at least 50 combined points scored. Im looking for the Lions to be very much more aggressive here tonight especially in the red zone, and to do a fair amount of offensive damage which will buoy this combined score over the number. Play OVER |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals -125 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg (18-6, 3.32 ERA, 251 SO)hung in after a pair of early homers to give the Nats six solid innings in their comeback win in the winner-take-all Game 5 of the NLDS. He now has a 1.32 postseason ERA in six career games, and has struck out 45 in 34 innings and gets my support here again today. STRASBURG is 19-3  against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 17-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. ST LOUIS is 3-10 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less ) (NL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 68-17 L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win vs the ML |
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10-13-19 | Golden Knights v. Kings +135 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Kings have changed their opus operandi and are now play a much more aggressive offensive style of hockey and must be feared here on their own home ice. Now with momentum on thei sides after a 7-4 win vs good Nashville team last time out, they are my choice here tonight on a value line.  VEGAS is 3-14 ATS  in road games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons. Golden Knights are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Kings are 6-0 in their last 6 Sunday games. Kings are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Play on the LA Kings to win on the ML |
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10-13-19 | Steelers v. Chargers -6.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -109 | 83 h 11 m | Show | |
The Steelers suffered a bitter 26-23 overtime loss to the Ravens last week and will now be in an emotional letdown spot here this week. Also With Mason Rudolph injured(knocked out cold last week in frightening fashion) and  playing at less than 100% or not at all , the Steelers are now down to third string Quarterback Devlin Hodges and are very much fade material here in this spot play. I know the Chargers came out flat last week vs the Broncos, and lost a 20-14 sleeper but now wide awake after that metaphorical nap Im expecting the Chargers to wake up in a big way and to add more pain to the Steeler nation. I know theSteelers are known as a chalk killer, and have consistently cashed in the underdog role overthe last few seasons, but todays situation does not bode well for this trend to continue. LA CHARGERS is 8-1 ATS after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons and is 29-14 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. NFL team (LA CHARGERS) - after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 79-40 L/37 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover |
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10-13-19 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NY Leads 1-0J James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA, 186 SO) In his first career postseason start, battled through 4 2/3 innings, striking out eight but allowing three runs. The Yanks left-hander allowed five runs to in Houston on April 10 but held to one run in New York on June 21 and is more than capable of holding down the fort here.Meanwhile, Astros starter Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA, 300 SO) had a rare postseason down effort last time out pitching on short rest in his last start against the Rays, lasting only 3 2/3 innings. But Verlander still has a 2.92 ERA in the playoffs as an Astro, including two dominant wins over the Yankees in 2017. Verlander (1-1, 3.38 ERA in the ALDS) has made six career postseason starts against the Yankees, producing a 4-0 record with a 2.33 ERA and 41 strikeouts over 38 2/3 innings.VERLANDER is 10-2 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. Im betting on these two dominant hurlers to help keep this game on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1-1 in Yankees last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 League Championship road games.Under is 12-3 in Yankees last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 playoff road games. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) (AL), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 38-14 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-13-19 | Penguins +106 v. Jets | 7-2 | Win | 106 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jets, who are opening a six-game homestand, will be playing their third game in four nights, including a 3-2 overtime victory Saturday in Chicago and will be at a disadvantage here as they enter this tilt against the Penguins on tired legs. Yes, I know the Penguins are banged up , but their call ups from the AHL are a hard working fast skating forechecking group with alot to prove., and are thus motivated. QUOTE:"For me, they're not AHL guys. They're Pittsburgh Penguins, and that's how we look at them," Penguins coach Mike Sullivan said. "These guys are all good players. They can all play in this league. They're capable of being impactful on the game. That's why they're here, and that's why they're in our lineup." END QUOTE. The current situational factors have me giving the Penguins my support here on the ML. Penguins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.Jets are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.Penguins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Winnipeg. Play on the Pittsburgh Penguins to win on the ML |
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10-13-19 | Cowboys v. Jets +7.5 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 53 m | Show | |
Dallas has lost their last two games, and are looking less and less viable as contenders as this season progresses. Meanwhile,  with the Jets QB Sam Darnold now expected to be back in the lineup the Jets look like viable home dogs in this spot. Im not saying the Jets will win, but getting 7 points at home with your starting QB back in the lineup will provide both a logistics edge as well an emotional one of the home dog. Jets are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jets are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October. Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Cowboys are 1-16 ATS as a favorite on turf when they are off a game as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40%. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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10-13-19 | Falcons -1 v. Cardinals | 33-34 | Loss | -125 | 81 h 34 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Falcons are now in desperation mode, vs a team Im betting they can handle in the Arizona Cardinals. I know the Flacons have lost three straight and in their last game got blasted 53-32 at Houston, but this has been a motivating factor for the Falcons in the past as they are  9-0 ATS L/9 times in road games off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more. Arizona got their first win of the season vs a banged up Bengals team last time out but are just  2-11- SU and 3-10- ATS in games when coming off a win, including 0-4-1 SUATS at home. The Cardinals are also 0-14 SU/ATS  as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses like the Falcons. Today Im betting on QB Matt Ryan delivering what the Falcons need and thats a win and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover.  NFL Road teams (ATLANTA) - outrushed by their opponents by 40 or more yards/game on the season, after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game are 24-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road favorites (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team - averaging 255 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 36-12 ATS L/36 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta  Falcons to cover |
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10-13-19 | Redskins v. Dolphins +3.5 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 77 h 41 m | Show | |
 The Dolphins are a despicable team , and so is are their opponents the Washington Redskins. But the lesser of the two evils according to my projections resides with the Dolphins getting points at home. This is strictly about performance charts and the mathematics associated with betting pro football. No way in hell do the Redksins deserve to be 3 plus point chalk on the road , not even against the Fins and this game according to my estimates should be a pickem and thus in my betting opinion getting points here will be golden. Note: The Dolphins are well rested and have had time to get ready for this tilt. Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week. Washington has historically been a bad bet as favorites- WASHINGTON is 33-54 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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10-13-19 | Seahawks v. Browns +2 | 32-28 | Loss | -105 | 76 h 27 m | Show | |
The Seattle Seahawks enter this game vs the Cleveland Browns after beating the Los Angeles Rams 30-29 on Thursday Night Football in what was a hard fought emotional affair and now Im betting they will be hung over. Meanwhile, Cleveland is off being embarrassed 31-3 in a Monday night tilt, and will be primed to bounce back. I know Browns QB Baker Mayfield has struggled a bit of late, but today against a  Seahawks 26th ranked pass D secondary that is allowing 270.6 passing yards per game,  Im betting he comes to life and buoys his team to a cover. Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. The Seahawks are 0-12 SU/ATS as a dog vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win and their rushing yards increased over each of their last two games. Home team is 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Cleveland Browns to cover |
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10-13-19 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 55.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 47 m | Show | |
Patrik Mahomes only has one TD in his last two games, and Andy Reids D, is play ing lazy ball. Now that its become obvious that Mahomes is not a football god just yet, and possibly experiencing a sophomore jinx, this chiefs D is going to have up their game.  Meanwhile, Texas is off an explosive 52 output last week, and in a all out offensive battle  vsTB in a win and now Im expecting a regression to the mean. This combination will Im betting make for a lower scoring game than public and pundits might expect. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER  in home games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 39.9 ppg. Reid is 18-4 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 41.3 ppg scored. Reid is 21-7 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 44.3 ppg scored. The Chiefs are 3-15  UNDER as +5 or more non division home chalk. HOUSTON is 7-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 36.8 ppg scored and have gone under 4 straight times after a win by 14 or more points. HOUSTON has gone under in 10 of their L/11 non division home games. Play UNDER |
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10-13-19 | Panthers -1 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 89 h 22 m | Show | |
 . Tottenham Hotspur Stadium - London, England Tampa off two consecutive road games and now travelling across the pond look vulnerable in a place  (England) that has not been kind to them going 0-2 SUATS while being outscored by 59-25 count , and Im betting they end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard here this week against the Carolina Panthers. Look for Panthers QB Kyle Allen to improve to 5-0 SUATS as a NFL starter . When these teams met back on Sept 12 TB upset Carolina at home and now revenge is on board for the Panthers . Note: Rivera is 13-4 ATS revenging a home loss against opponent as the coach of CAROLINA. also since that loss the Panthers have won 3 straight and have the confidence and momentum to get what they want. TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.  NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TAMPA BAY) - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover |
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10-12-19 | Washington v. Arizona +6.5 | 51-27 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 7 m | Show | |
With the previously injured QB Khalil Tate  back with the Arizona  Wildcats they now look explosive as was the case when they lit up  Colorado for 400 yards, in an upset win. Meanwhile, Washington remains an enigma of a team as was the case last week against Stanford as they were outgunned and outgained  482-294,  and scored just one TD in a loss. So one team Arizona has momentum and the other the Huskies are downtrodden and looking vulnerable, making getting points with a Wildcats side that has only failed to cash once in their L/6 times as PAC12 tilts. ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON) - off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 8-30 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to cover |
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10-12-19 | Wyoming +4 v. San Diego State | 22-26 | Push | 0 | 111 h 11 m | Show | |
Wyoming enters this contest pounding the ball down opposition D, piling up an average of just under 250 yards per contest via the rush. Meanwhile, San Diego States offence has been less than consistent,  recording just  20.6 points per game and Im betting they struggle to score in this tilt vs a stout Wyoming D. Wyoming Cowboys have picked up wins in three of the last four contests in San Diego. San Diego State has not played all that well at home of late losing 3 of their L/4 SU at home and Im betting the Boyz getting us the cover here in this spot. Aztecs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games. SAN DIEGO ST is 2-11 ATS versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game .SAN DIEGO ST is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. WYOMING is 6-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.WYOMING is 12-2 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in October. Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WYOMING) - after going over the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in weeks 5 through 9 are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Wyoming Cowboys to cover |
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10-12-19 | Penn State v. Iowa +3.5 | 17-12 | Loss | -115 | 130 h 28 m | Show | |
It never easy playing the Iowa Hawkeyes at Kinnick Stadium as was evident when Michigan in 2017 and Ohio State in 2018 visited and were subsequently upset. It must be noted that Penn State barely survived its last trip to Iowa City in 2017. It took a Trace McSorley to Juwan Johnson touchdown pass on the final play of the game to squeak out a 21-19 victory. Im betting on another close game here and for the Hawkeyes to get us the cover. Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.Hawkeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.Hawkeyes are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf. Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Play on Iowa to cover |
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10-12-19 | Jets v. Blackhawks -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Blackhawks G Robin Lehner, who signed with Chicago as a free agent after playing with the Islanders last season, has yet to make his debut but is expected to start Saturday against the Jets , giving Chicago an advantage between the pipes tonight. Blackhawks are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.Blackhawks are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Jets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win on the ML |
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10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals OVER 7 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS leads 1-0 Scherzer is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts this season against St. Louis - his hometown team -  and Im betting he gets roughed up a little bit here today. Over is 4-0-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2-1 in Scherzers last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, I know Wainwright has done well at home during the regular season, registering a 2.56 ERA over 16 starts, but the Nats offence matches up well from a metrics standpoint against righty hurlers like him, and Im betting they do more damage than the linesmakers are expecting. We saw a low scoring game yesterday with the Nationals squeaking out a 2-0 win, However it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 32-17 OVER in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 49 games clicking in at 9.3 rpg. (Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game) Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a loss. Over is 3-0-1 in Conroys last 4 games behind home plate. .Play on the OVER |
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10-12-19 | Montreal +4 v. Winnipeg | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Both teams have clinched playoff berths.but Montreal is playing with momentum and motivation and still trying to track down Hamilton who are in first place in the East while Winnipeg is struggling mightily having lost 3 straight. Montreal has already proved they can hang with the Bombers when they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to storm back and beat the Bombers at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, and an upset here is not out of the question, thus making getting points golden in my humble opinion. Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Alouettes are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. .Alouettes are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 Saturday games.Alouettes are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - giving up 23 or less points/game this season. MONTREAL is 10-1 ATSin road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 7-0 ATS when playing on a Saturday this season. MONTREAL is 12-3 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) are fade material in the long term- after scoring 9 points or less last game are 44-91 L/23 seasons for a lowly 32.6 % conversion rate for bettors. CFLUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Montreal Als to cover |
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10-12-19 | Cincinnati -7 v. Houston | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 91 h 26 m | Show | |
Cincinnati is getting alot of respect here as they are being favored on the road vs the Houston Cougars and rightly so. Defensively, the Cougars are still a work in progress after a horrendous stat line last season, and offensively they now have to work with a new QB as starter D'Eriq King is out for season ( Redshirt ). Against this type of over powering Bearcats D, this will be a huge problem for them today. Im betting on Cincinnati putting a load of points on the board vs a swiss cheese defence, while the Cougars struggle to score against the Bearcats top tier stop units. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home underdogs (HOUSTON) - excellent rushing team - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 7-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Bearcats to cover |
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10-12-19 | Washington State +1 v. Arizona State | 34-38 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 49 m | Show | |
Washington State enters this game off two straight losses, but don't be fooled by their current status, as this well coached team behind their air raid offence can do a lot of damage when its wide awake and primed to perform. I know that Arizona State is now ranked (18th) in the nation, with a 4-1 record, but Im betting their over rated. It must also be noted Herm Edwards is just 5-12 ATS as a favourite while Mike Leach is 7-2 ATS on the road off two losses and a perfect 4-0 ATS off two losses period and more than capable of bouncing back. WASHINGTON ST is 13-3 ATS in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season.Leach is 22-9 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game as the coach of WASHINGTON ST. CFB road team (WASHINGTON ST) - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 63-29 ATS L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington State to cover |
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10-12-19 | Michigan State +11 v. Wisconsin | 0-38 | Loss | -112 | 79 h 21 m | Show | |
Im betting on a hard nosed  defensive battle  here today as Michigan State’s No. 6 overall ranked defense goes against undefeated Wisconsin’s No. 1 overall ranked defense in a game that Im betting will be closely contested and brutal. It must be noted that when the linesmakers expect a low scoring away game when Mich state plays - Dantonio is 9-1 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of MICHIGAN ST. MSU  is  9-2 ATS as Big Ten dogs versus an undefeated opposition, and 8-2 ATS as a conference road dog of 13 points or less. WISCONSIN is 0-6 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. CFB team (WISCONSIN) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 80% or better ) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 14-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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10-12-19 | BYU v. South Florida +6.5 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 79 h 48 m | Show | |
 Charlie Strong and USF really need this game  here  and Im betting they come up with a big effort vs a banged up BYU side, with their starting QB Zach Wilson on the sidelines with a thumb injury and  their top RB Tyson Wiliqms gone for the season  with a ACL . Even without these top tier guys on offence the Mormons have really struggled to move the ball consistently as they are the  3rd worst team in the nation in Time Of Possession this season. Combination of Charlie Strong desperation and the Cougars diminished  key roster positions, make the home dogs a viable wagering opportunity here. Note: BYU is off a bye week but in the past that has not been a favourable situation for their betting backers as they are 2-11 ATS L/13 with rest. Play on South Florida to cover |
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10-12-19 | Georgia Tech v. Duke UNDER 48 | 23-41 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Duke (16th) has the second best defensive efficiency in the ACC, , behind Clemson (2nd). Today against a struggling GTEch offence averaging just 15.2 ppg and 8 points per game on the road, should once again have a stellar day. Im betting on Duke establishing the run early and to pound away all day in clock burning fashion, in a tilt I hav pegged to stay on the low side of the total. My projections power rankings suggest Duke will hold GTech to less than 4.5 ypp. GEORGIA TECH is 20-3 UNDER when they gain 4 to 4.5 total yards per play with a combined average of 31.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-12-19 | Rutgers v. Indiana -27.5 | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
 The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are hands down the worst team in the Big 10, a team that have scored just 23 points in its last four games combined. Meanwhile, Indiana did not look out of place vs Ohio State and looked good vs Michigan States top tier D, and has blown out UConn and Eastern Illinois and played well against a under rated Ball State side, winning by a a 34-24 and according to my projections are strong smash down chalk in this spot vs a team they very much match up well against. Indiana (3-2, 0-2 Big Ten) has lost four straight conference games, and now needs three more wins to become bowl-eligible for the first time since 2016 and will be fully focused here to get the victory and make it convincing. Note:Rutgers has lost 10 straight true road games, since Oct. 14, 2017. This season has been equally unkind with two losses by the combined score of 82-0. RUTGERS is 4-14 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 to 28 points since 1992 with the average ppg diff clicking in at just under -32 ppg. Play on the Indiana Hoosiers to cover |
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10-12-19 | Miami-OH +13 v. Western Michigan | 16-38 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
 Western Michigan is an experienced side, but their undisciplined penalty taking is a red flag for me. Their one of the worst team in the nation in penalties, and shooting themselves in the proverbial foot is not out of the question. Note:MIAMI OHIO is 7-0 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons.  Meanwhile, Miami O has is a well coached team that has been very competitive in MAC action of late cashing 8 of their L/9 opportunities vs conference opposition. and off a upset win vs the Buffalo Bulls two weeks ago. Now well rested of their bye week,Im betting on them hanging tough here again vs an explosive side.Note: Martin is 6-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog as the coach of MIAMI OHIO . Lester is 0-6 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better as the coach of W MICHIGAN. Miami O to cover |
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10-11-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Anibal Sanchez (0-0, 1.80 ERA) has been named to start Game 1 for the Nats. The right-hander started Game 3 against the Dodgers and held them to one run and four hits in five innings while posting nine strikeouts. Meanwhile, the Cards starter Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.50) will start the first game on regular rest. Mikolas started Game 1 against the Braves, allowing one run in five innings, and also pitched an inning of scoreless relief to earn the victory in Game 4. Im betting n both these pitchers and bullpens keeping this total on the low side of the number. Both teams are off key game 5 winning situations and will now be in a bit of an emotional let down spot which Im betting has both offences starting slowly. Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League Central.Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 playoff road games.Under is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 playoff home games.Under is 35-16 in Cardinals last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 13-6-1 in Cardinals last 20 League Championship home games.Under is 5-0-1 in Mikolas' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-1 in Mikolas' last 12 home starts. Under is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL -1 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 82 h 20 m | Show | |
 No. 20 Virginia prepare to go Helmut to helmut in Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens as the Cavaliers visit the Miami Hurricanes in Friday night ACC action. Last week the Canes came out flat against VTech and were down 28 -0 at the half, before mounting a furious comeback, but still lost 42-35. I know the recency bias of that loss and the inconsistencies of the Canes this season may not make this a popular pick, but from a matchup perspective my projections tell a different story. I know the Cavs are a well coached team, and they don;t make a lot of mistakes, but they have to this point in the season, been way over rated for my liking and after today I expect the pundits will have a less enthusiastic respect for them. CFB Home favorites (MIAMI) - average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR), after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games . are 23-3 ATS L/27 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Fl to cover |
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10-11-19 | Colorado State v. New Mexico +3.5 | 35-21 | Loss | -109 | 74 h 24 m | Show | |
[QB] 09/18/2019 - Collin Hill is out for season ( ACL ) New Mexico enters this tilt with a 2-3 record , while Colorado State is 1-5 with the  win coming over a FCS opponent in Western Illinois that is 0-5 on the season. Both teams still have meetings with No. 14 Boise State still to come, so for each team, the path to six wins and bowl eligibility means this contest is extremely important and will be a hard fought event which makes getting points golden in my betting opinion. COLORADO ST is 0-7 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO ST is 2-10 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 season. CFB team (NEW MEXICO) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 79-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 44 | 9-17 | Loss | -109 | 52 h 11 m | Show | |
Miami was upset last week by Vtech by a 42-35 count, which showed off some of the Canes defensive inefficiencies and of course their ability to click on offense. It must be noted that this  MIAMI football program in their L/18 tilts when off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more points have seen a combined average of 49.3 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Virginia continues to be efficient but not flashy and are capable of putting points on the board, as their 32.2 ppg offensive average would indicate. Note: MIAMI in their L/12 games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last three seasons has seen a combined average of 47.5 ppg scored. This season Miami has also averaged 38.3 ppg off offence in 3 homes games, and Im betting they do some damage here again in a game I have pegged to go over the total based on my mathematical projections. Virginia's HC Mendenhall is 30-15 OVER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average score of 58.7 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-11-19 | Ottawa +1.5 v. Toronto | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
In the first matchup between these two teams back in Week 13, the Argos went into TD Place and rolled to a 46-17 victory and now its payback time for the RedBlack. Toronto will also have a new face under center. McLeod Bethel-Thompson and Im betting this will hinder the Argos offence here tonight Argonauts are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games in October.Argonauts are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. East.Argonauts are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 18.RedBlacks are 28-13 ATS in their last 41 road games. TORONTO is 2-11 ATS versus good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. - after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons. OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road teams (OTTAWA) - off a home loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more are 33-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Toronto's HC Chamblin is 1-14 ATS versus struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse - after 9 or more games in all games he has coached since 1996.Chamblin is 1-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games in all games he has coached since 1996. CFL Road underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ottawa to cover |
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10-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Coyotes +101 | 1-4 | Win | 101 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
 Arizona coach Rick Tocchet, whose team is coming off a tough 1-0 home loss to the defending Eastern Conference champion Boston Bruins on Saturday, believes his team isn't that far away from being 2-0 after losing its season opener 2-1 at Anaheim and I tend to agree with him and like them here tonight against the visiting Las Vegas Knights. Golden Knights are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite.  Coyotes are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. ARIZONA is 5-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a positive goal differential of +2.1 gpg. Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win on the ML |
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10-10-19 | UL-Monroe -3 v. Texas State | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 77 h 40 m | Show | |
 ULMonroe is battle tested after taking on Iowa State, Memphis , and Florida State this season. They did not look out of place in those tilts, behind a high powered offence, and tonight against Texas State Im betting we see just how explosive they can be vs a good , but not quite ready for prime time Texas State D. Yes, Texas State has won two in a row and their last one coming against FCS Nicholls state 24-3 and the win previous to that was a ugly 37-34 win vs Georgia State. which was less than impressive Note: Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Warhawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Bobcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Bobcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Play on UL Monroe to cover |
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10-10-19 | Sun +7.5 v. Mystics | 78-89 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
These teams are proving particularly evenly matched, and Im betting this deciding game 5 will also be hard fought til the end, with the points proving golden. |
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10-10-19 | Rays v. Astros -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 5 - Tied 2-2 Gerrit Cole the Astros starter  (20-5, 2.50 ERA, 326 SO)A third straight trip to the ALCS for Houston hinges on Cole, who was historically dominant in Game 2 when he struck out 15 -- an Astros franchise playoff record -- in his 118-pitch outing across 7 2/3 inning. Im betting on Cole to shut down the upstart Rays and for the Astros to make a statement here.Cole is , unbeaten over his last 23 starts. Note: Eight different pitchers have worked at least three innings for the Rays in the ALDS, four out of the bullpen and fatigue may play a factor here vs an explosive Houston team that has alot of pent up energy to get rid of here tonight. It was interesting while it lasted, but now with their backs up against the wall Im betting on Houston keeping their World Series hopes alive in convincing fashion. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 50-5 SU L/5 seasons with the average run per game diff clicking in at +3 runs per game. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +100 or higher) (TAMPA BAY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 17-57 on the +RL for a go against 77% conversion rate fro bettors over the L/22 seasons. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the -1.5 RL |
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10-10-19 | Oilers v. Devils -123 | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
After flying out from Western Canada to play the NY Islanders on Tuesday night, Im now finally expecting a little jet lag to take hold of the Oilers here tonight in Jersey vs a struggling but desperate Devils team. I know James Neal has been making headlines with his goal scoring frenzy early this season, but hes far from a one man team, and from a matchup perspective the Devils according to my power rankings match up well here. Oilers are 18-44 in their last 62 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.Devils are 36-15 in their last 51 games as a home favorite and have won 11 of their L/16 as home chalk of -110-150. NHL team against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 31-15L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Devils to win on the ML |
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10-09-19 | Kings v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Vancouver Canucks were unable to get their offense untracked as they began the season with a pair of losses on the road. Note:Under is 17-5 in Canucks last 22 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Im betting their futility to put the biscuit in the back of the net will continue here vs the visiting LA Kings. Meanwhile, the Kings are a team that needs to really get back to basics after blowing a couple of leads in their first couple of games, and a more conservative and attentive performance Im betting will be on tonights agenda. Under is 4-0 in Canucks last 4 vs. Pacific.Under is 6-1 in Canucks last 7 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Under is 5-1 in Canucks last 6 home games.Under is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Under is 7-2-2 in Canucks last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 19-7 in Canucks last 26 vs. Western Conference. Play UNDER |
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10-09-19 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette -1 | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 25 m | Show | |
Look for LA Lafayette to control time of possession and bleed the clock via a top tier rush attack and to subsequently shock an explosive App State team. LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons. LA LAFAYETTE is 17-3 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games CFB  road team (APPALACHIAN ST) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 39-80 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. UL Lafayette to cover |
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10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 13-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty Flaherty the Cards starter was nearly unhittable in the second half of the season, but the explosive Braves were on him in his first postseason start, touching him up for eight hits in Game 2 and Im betting they pick up where they left off here today. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves starter submitted one of the best starts of his career in Game 2, despite of previous play off failures. After that last effort Im betting on a letdown situation here and a return to his previous post season inadequacies. Note:  Over is 5-2 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. ST LOUIS is 16-5 OVER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Over is 9-3 in Cardinals last 12 playoff games.Over is 15-7-1 in Braves last 23 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Atlanta.Over is 6-2 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts vs. Cardinals. Over is 8-3 in Hallions last 11 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER |
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10-08-19 | Mystics -2 v. Sun | 86-90 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
There is blood in the water, and the Mystics up 2-1 have the teeth to proverbially snatch and grab game 4 here and take home a WNBA championship. It is a well known fact that Washington has the deepest bench in the league, and that edge will be very important here in this key game. WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 27-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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10-08-19 | Astros v. Rays +210 | 1-4 | Win | 210 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 4 - HOU leads 2-1 Rays manager Kevin Cash announced after the Monday win that Game 4 would be a "bullpen day" for his club, starting with right-hander Diego Castillo (0-0). Rays start off with Diego Castillo but  It’s all hands on deck for the Rays. Castillo opened six games during the second half. Castillo tossed 1 2/3 scoreless innings against Houston in Game 2. Was that fear I saw in the eyes of the Astros yesterday in a lopsided loss. There is still some fight in the Rays and at times this season Houston has looked vulnerable. To much value to pass on this one. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (HOUSTON) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 223-394 for a lowly 36% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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10-08-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Carolina has played some solid D so far this season, and against top tier opposition last time out allowed 0 shots on goal vs the TB Lightning in the 2nd period of their game . It was the first time in NHL history that a reigning Presidents Trophy-winner was held without a shot on goal for an entire period. Tonight Im betting on more of the same type of staunch forechecking by the Canes, and for this contest involving the Florida Panthers to also end up being low scoring enough for us to cash an under ticket. Also Carolinas tired legs, will also have a direct result of the speed of this game.CAROLINA is 22-11 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Play UNDER |
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10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers -4.5 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The undefeated Forty Niners take on the public darling Browns tonight on Monday night Football .Teams like SF that are undefeated NFL home teams in Monday night prime time affairs are ,  25-5 SU and 23-7 ATS in non-division games. Overall this Niners franchise has a long history of MNF success going 40-16 SU and 41-14-1 ATS  . Meanwhile, the Browns enter with a 2-0 record in their first two away games for the first time in the L/25 years, and it came  against strong opposition (Ravens and Rams) and they must be respected for those efforts . However, from a historical standpoint this is not a good situation for the Browns as they have been futile in back to back road affairs as they have never won back to back away games dating back 16 season which includes 38 back-to-back road tilts. Its actually never easy for any NFL team to win back to back road games, and with the Browns playing their 3rd prime time game of the season, Im betting some emotional fatigue could rare its ugly head tonight giving the home side and extra advantage. CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS L/10 in road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival NFL .CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS L/20 after a win by 14 or more points. SAN FRANCISCO is 32-11 ATS when playing on Monday night since 1992. Road underdogs or pick (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 10-33 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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10-07-19 | Dodgers v. Nationals OVER 8 | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
NLDS - Best of 5 - Game 4 - LAD leads 2-1  This LA Dodgers team is downright offensively explosive as was the case last night when they blasted out 8 runs in one inning to break the game open and win 10-4. It does not matter who the Nats send to the hill here Im betting the Dodgers do some damage and help this contest to eclipse the total. Over is 7-3-3 in Scherzers last 13 starts vs. National League West. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington.Over is 3-1-2 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. Dodgers Over is 22-9-1 in Dodgers last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-0-1 in Hills last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0-1 in Hills last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 12-3-1 in Hills last 16 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Hills last 6 starts during game 4 of a series.Over is 8-2-2 in Hills last 12 road starts.Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  HILL the Dodgers starter is 25-11 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored during that 36 game sample size.HILL is 24-7 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.8 rpg scored and  s 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 5 starts are 54-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-07-19 | Braves v. Cardinals -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Cards starter Dakota Hudson(16-7, 3.35 ERA, 136 SO)Hudson led rookie starters in wins (16) this season and he had a 9-2 record and a stingy 2.75 ERA at Busch Stadium compared to a 4.13 ERA on the road. He faced the Braves once this season, allowing two runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings in a no-decision on May 25 and gets my support in this spot. Cardinals are 5-0 in Hudsons last 5 starts vs. National League East. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff road games. MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), after a combined score of 4 runs or less 2 straight games are 17-41 L/22 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the ML |
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10-07-19 | Astros v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
ALDS - Best of 5 - Game 3 - HOU leads 2-0 Astros starter Zack Greinke(18-5, 2.93 ERA, 187 SO) was 8-1 with a 3.02 ERA in 10 starts after being acquired from the D-backs in a July trade, going 18-5 with a 2.93 ERA for the season. He carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning of his final regular-season start on Sept. 25 in Seattle and enters this tilt well rested and with top tier momentum. Meanwhile, TB Rays start  Charlie Morton(16-6, 3.05 ERA, 240 SO)remade himself as a pitcher during his 2017-18 tenure with the Astros, and the right-hander has developed a knack for clutch October outings. The 35-year-old allowed an unearned run in five innings in the AL Wild Card Game to become the first pitcher in MLB history to win three winner-take-all postseason games (he also won Game 7 of the 2017 ALCS and World Series with Houston). With two top tier hurlers, and bull pens Im betting on this being a low scoring affair. Under is 5-0 in Greinkes last 5 road starts.Under is 12-1-3 in Astros last 16 on astroturf. GREINKE is 10-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored and 11-0 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. GREINKE is 11-1 UNDER after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. Under is 10-1 in Rays last 11 playoff home games.Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 Divisional Playoff home games. MORTON is 10-0 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 or more since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games are 37-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 21-4-2 in the last 27 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play UNDER |
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10-06-19 | Dodgers -130 v. Nationals | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Ryu was in the running for the NL Cy Young award after having recorded a stingy 1.45 ERA before a few non quality starts, but he finished the season with three consecutive top tier trips to the hill and comes into this play off game with plenty of momentum. Im betting on him buoying the Dodgers to a win here today. |
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10-06-19 | Jets v. Islanders UNDER 6 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Jets aggressive free flowing offence meets the defensive minded NY Islanders this Sunday . The Isles just don't have the finishers to put alot of goals on the board, so they will once again be ultra conservative under Barry Trotz system of defensive minded hockey which Im betting translates in a lower scoring game that fails to eclipse this total.Also with this being the Jets 3rd consecutive road game their legs may not allow them to be as aggressive as they have been in their first two tilts.NY ISLANDERS are 10-1 UNDERÂ in home games on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons. Under is 36-13-2 in Islanders last 51 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in Islanders last 11 vs. Central. Under is 48-20-2 in Islanders last 70 overall. Play UNDERÂ |
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10-06-19 | Mystics +2.5 v. Sun | 94-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
WNBA Finals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - Tied 1-1 Washington opened this best-of-five championship series with an impressive 95-86 home win over Connecticut last weekend and than Connecticut bounced back and now with the series tied 1-1 we go back to the land of the Sun. The key to this game with be Delle Donne who despite of being questionable for this game is expected to play.  Washington has outscored Connecticut by 12 points with Delle Donne in the game during these Finals. However, the Mystics have been outscored by 15 when she's not on the floor. Even for some reason, Donne can compete it must be noted that the Mystics have the deepest team in the league. QUOTE: We have the best bench in the league," Washington guard Kristi Toliver said. "Everybody knows that. Connecticut knows that. We've relied on them so much this year, and through injuries and people out. END QUOTE. Im betting on the Mystics finding a way to be very competitive and to get us the cover here.  CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS in home games hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 42% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons and s 1-10 ATS hot shooting team - 5 straight games making 42% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for 81% conversion rate. WNBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CONNECTICUT) - after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games are 6-27 ATS L/5 seasons for ago against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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10-06-19 | Patriots v. Redskins +16 | 33-7 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
New England had a hard fought win vs Buffalo last week by a 16-10 count as they failed to cover as TD road chalk. In that game, super star and future HOF QB Tom Brady’s 45.9 Passer Rating registered as  his worst  in 13 campaigns.  Is the  veteran starting to show his age or was this an anomaly? While I never want to count out one of the leagues all time great QBs ....it  still must be noted that " Father Time is Undefeated" and King Toms inevitable departure from the game  more imminent than many might realize. Meanwhile, Washington despite of their miserable efforts in back to back games, are not as bad as some of the pundits might think. Yes, the Skins have looked in-cohesive behind their current QBs Keenum and rookie Haskins but  the Skins  D has still shown some life and no team is ever as bad as they looked in their last game in this league . With that said, Im betting we have some value here with the ugly home dog from a mathematical perspective. Note: With veteran QB Colt McCoy now healthy and practicing after breaking his leg last season he could possibly be getting the start this week making the Skins are a very viable underdog. The former Texas Longhorns star appeared in three games last season, completing 34 of 54 passes for 372 yards with three touchdowns while also rushing for 63 yards on 10 carries.  Skins 6-1 ATS L/7 as home dogs against .600 or better opposition. WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 70 or less rushing yards/game .The Redskins are 12-1 ATS (L/13 as a dog vs a team like the Pats that is forcing more than 5.9 punts per game. NFL Favorites of 10.5 or more points (NEW ENGLAND) - outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 13-39 ATS L/36 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Favorites of 10.5 or more points (NEW ENGLAND) - good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 5-23 ATS L/36 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - outrushed by their opponents by 40 or more yards/game on the season, after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Redskins to cover |
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10-06-19 | Vikings -4.5 v. Giants | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 53 h 30 m | Show | |
Despite of losing to the Bears last week 16-6  the Minnesota Vikings are still a top tier team that has held two of their opponents to season low yards. Now this week against a young QB Daniel Jones, Im betting the Vikings defence comes out and completely dominates the line of scrimmage. Hey I know the Giants QB Jones is media darling, but he still has lessons to be learned before he can ascend  to his current premature god like status, and today Im betting those lessons will be brutal. Key today will be Minnesota running game that is averaging 155.3 yards rushing against a banged up Gmen rush D, that is currently ranked at 19th in the league. Giants are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.Giants are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS win.Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Giants are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Zimmer is 33-16 ATS as a favorite as the coach of MINNESOTA. Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer is 17-2-1 ATS against non- division opponents when coming off a loss, including 8-0 ATS as a favorite. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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10-06-19 | Falcons v. Texans OVER 50 | 32-53 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
 Houston offensive line has allowed the third-most quarterback sacks so far this season, but hat wont be an issue today vs a Atlanta side that just cannot generate much of a pass rush. With said, Im expecting the sometimes explosive and talented Jamies Winston to have a big day today. Meanwhile, the Falcons stud QB Matt Ryan ranks first in pass attempts, second in passing yards as is evident by having thrown for 300 or more yards in every game this season and should once again have a huge day vs a wobbly Texans secondary that has been torched on a regular basis this season . Over is 17-4 in Falcons last 21 games on fieldturf. Over is 15-5 in Texans last 20 games in October. Road teams against the total (ATLANTA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, in the first half of the season are 63-32 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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10-06-19 | Bills v. Titans OVER 38.5 | 14-7 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
All these early season low scoring games by two of the leagues top defences so far has this Totals number vulnerable for over bettors to cash. My own projections estimate a combined score in the low 40s, thus from a mathematical perspective based on those estimates Im recommending we take an over stance. NFL TENNESSEE is 31-13 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 285 or less yards/game with a combined average of 42.7 ppg. TENNESSEE is 23-10 OVER  in home games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game with a combined average of 44.1 ppg scored and in their L/21 games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game have seen a combined average of 48.8 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BUFFALO) - off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the first half of the season are 33-11 L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-06-19 | Ravens -3 v. Steelers | 26-23 | Push | 0 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Last week the Steelers implemented a wild cat offence, and had some success, thats not going to work against Baltimore. It also obvious to me now that without their veteran QB Roethlisberger at the helm of the offence, scoring is going to be difficult prospect for the Steelers going forward . On the flip side Im betting the ravens behind QB Lamar Jackson’s run heavy offence that has produced 200 yard plus efforts in 7 of 12 of his career starts awhile averaging 5.6 rpg carry will be the key to them getting the win and cover in this spot. The Ravens are 13-4 ATS L/17 on the road. Harbaugh is 6-0 ATS in road games after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games as the coach of BALTIMORE. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - excellent offensive team (370 or more YPG) against a team with a terrible defense (370 or more YPG), after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 44-4 L/10 seasons for 92% conversion rate. NFL Road favorites vs. the money line (BALTIMORE) - with a good offense - averaging 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 37-3 L/10 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Baltimore to cover |
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10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford +16.5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 82 h 23 m | Show | |
The Washington Huskies were sky-high after taking out the  USC Trojans  last time out in a game they had circled on their calendars for a while, and now Im betting they are in a letdown spot vs a Stanford side that is slowly getting better as the season progresses and that held an explosive Oregon team to a season low 320 yards of offence in late September. It must be noted that the sled dogs  have lost five straight times as visitors in this series, and are bankroll depleting 0-11 ATS after playing USC, as well as  1-5 ATS as Pac-12 road favs. Take the points with Stanford to cover |
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10-05-19 | Sharks +100 v. Ducks | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Ducks won their opener but Im not sold on them being much better than they were last season when they went into a 5-21-4 skein during one pivotal stretch and mustered a league-worst 2.39 goals per game over the whole campaign. Meanwhile, San Jose thanks to losing their first two game of the season, by a combined 9-2 count to Vegas in a home and away series are not getting much respect here which suits me fine as we bet into a recency bias line. Note: SJ will start goalie Dell w'ho has turned aside 50 of 56 shots to record a 1-0-1 mark in two career starts versus the Ducks. Note: San Jose has won 6 of their L/7 games here in Anaheim and get my support to cash again. Sharks are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on the SJ Sharks to win on the ML |
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10-05-19 | Pittsburgh +4 v. Duke | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 83 h 12 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh upset a very good UCF team a couple of weeks ago, and were in a letdown spot last week, and barely got by Delaware by a 17-14 count. Now refreshed and ready to go, Pittsburgh behind a top tier D, that has limited 3 of their L/4 opponents under their season offensive average look like viable bets here as underdogs vs a team that they have beaten 3 straight times a visitors . Duke is a very good team but the football program has not thrived in this role going  1-11 ATS as a home favorite under 7 points  and they have failed to cover five in a row as ACC chalk off a SU underdog winner ( Duke took out VTech last week by DDs as road dogs) PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers over the last 2 seasons. CFB Road underdogs (PITTSBURGH) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game are 100-52 ATS L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PITTSBURGH) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 1.5 or less rushing yards/attempt last game are 52-22 ATS L/27 season for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Panthers to cover |
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10-05-19 | Michigan State +20.5 v. Ohio State | 10-34 | Loss | -115 | 84 h 50 m | Show | |
Last week Ohio State obliterated Nebraska on their own home field by a score of 48-7. It was an absolutely dominating performance. Now because of that tilt, and how powerful the Buckeyes have looked so far this season, we are getting a recency bias line to bet into with the visiting underdog Michigan State. I myself am of the opinion that this is one of the better Michigan State teams coach Dantonio has put on the field in a while and with a top 10 scoring defense and a No. 4 overall defense taking points here is a golden opportunity for positive cash flow into our bankrolls. Note: The visitor has cashed 8 of the L/10 times these teams have played. OHIO ST is 7-19 ATS L/26 in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. OHIO ST is 0-6 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. HC Dantonio is 17-3-2 ATS away with conference revenge, including 5-0 ATS versus undefeated sides like Ohio State. CFB team (OHIO ST) - after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80%) are 12-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home favorites (OHIO ST) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last three games, undefeated on the season are 14-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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10-05-19 | Western Kentucky -3 v. Old Dominion | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 81 h 31 m | Show | |
Old Dominion has lost 3 straight since defeating FCS Norfolk State in their opener and  things don't look to get much better, here this week vs a revenge minded Western Kentucky team that lost 37-34 at home last season. to the Monarchs  ODU is just  2-8 ATS L/10  in  Sun Belt tilts and is fade material .  The key here to what Im betting will be a cover for the road team is the  Toppers  No. 19 ranked  overall defense,  that is limiting opposition offences to  to just 3 yards per rush. Im betting on a shutdown performance for the Hilltoppers. Western Kentucky has won their L/2 visits here and get the nod again. OLD DOMINION is 1-9 ATS in home games after playing a non-conference game. CFB Home underdogs (OLD DOMINION) - after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 7-30 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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