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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-10-20 | Hornets +2.5 v. Pistons | 87-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Things are not good for both these franchises. However, it seems at the time of this game, that the Hornets are the lesser of these two evils. Detroit has absolutely no continuity, and looked extremely weak, last time out, as they were out rebounded by a 47-28 in a 95-92 loss Saturday to the New York Knicks. I feel strongly that trading veteran Andre   Drummond to Cleveland will wreak temporary havoc on the flow of this team making them fade material in their curret form. Overall, Charlotte has defeated Detroit nine consecutive times and Im betting they get us the cover here tonight. DETROIT is 0-8 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. The Pistons are 1-16 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent. 'NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 53-25 ATS L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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02-09-20 | Blackhawks v. Jets OVER 6 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams have seen 6 gpg average in their games this season, and this one set up to eclipse those averages according to my projections. Over is 13-3 in Blackhawks last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 6-1-1 in Jets last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. CHICAGO is 24-8 OVER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an AVERAGE OF 7.3 gog scored. WINNIPEG is 15-4 OVER L/19 after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games with a combined average of 7 gpg going on the scoreboard. NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game are 31-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER |
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02-09-20 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Jazz are 1-18 L/19 with rest off a win in a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times with a combined average of 201 ppg scored with the highest combined score during the 19 game run clicking in at 227. The Jazz are 1-17-2 UNDER L/20 off a win in a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score clicking in at 191.7 ppg with none of the 20 games going over this set total. The Rockets are 1-16-1 UNDER L/18 as a home favorite off a loss as a road favorite after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 206.7 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 31-16 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg. HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. HOUSTON is 23-12 UNDER against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (UTAH) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 32-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-09-20 | Northwestern v. Rutgers -10.5 | 73-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
After suffering two straight close road losses this is a critical game for the Scarlet Knights as they return home to the RAC and try to maintain an undefeated record. Im betting on them really bringing the heat here vs a Northwestern team that is on a 6 game losing streak. Key here is Rutgers 60th ranked defensive rebounding efficiency and 45th in offensive rebounding conversion rate. Meanwhile, in conference play Northwestern ranks 12th in limiting opponents’ second-chance opportunities and just dont matchup well here. NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. RUTGERS is 9-0 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season. Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 26-2-1 ATS. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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02-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Wizards +2 | 106-99 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Memphis has been uptrending for a while now but are off a hard fought loos last night in Philadelphia and are now on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 4 night. Meanwhile, Washington has shown signs of life of late, as they play hard and show great work ethic , while winning 3 of their L/4 while covering 6 of their L/9. Tonight vs the Grizzlies I expect more consistent work, and some extra motivation in revenge mode for a loss they suffered to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Dec 14th . WASHINGTON is 22-11 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more this season. The Grizzlies are 1-15-1 ATS /0-17 SU off a road game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS /SU on the road off a loss as a road dog facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on Washington to cover |
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02-09-20 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 226.5 | 135-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This will be the second time Atlanta and New York have played. The Knicks won the first contest 143-120 on Dec. 17 and now Im betting they come at each other with same energy here today and get us an over winner. ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Knicks are 15-0 OVER L/15 after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Hawks are 15-0-1 OVER L/16 as a favorite with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game with the average combined score clicking in at 231.4 ppg. Play on the OVER |
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02-09-20 | Notre Dame v. Clemson +1 | 61-57 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Clemson has played their best basketball at home this season, and have recent wins vs Duke, Syracuse , NC Stare and Wake Forest as hosts. I know Notre Dame has been playing well, and on a 3 game win streak, but the Tigers are highly motivated after two straight hard fought defensive road losses, and will come out here like their hair is on fire.NOTRE DAME is 8-18 ATSÂ versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 5 straight games. CBBÂ teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEMSON) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 5 straight games are 40-15 SU L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson |
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02-09-20 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -1.5 | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Since losing five out of six games during a mid-year slog, the Buckeyes have clawed their way back into a tie for No. 10 in the Big Ten standings with a three-game winning streak, but Im betting that all comes to an end vs a Wisconsin side that matches up very well against them and is able to play their rough and tumble style of rugby/hoops.  Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 26-2-1 ATS. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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02-08-20 | Gonzaga -5.5 v. St. Mary's | 90-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Gonzaga's HC Mark Few has one loss in his L/27 league games and that was to St.Marys last season in the conference tournament. Now with big time revenge on board I look for Gonzaga to bring their A game. St.Mary is a just 3-15 ATS in this series, including 0-7 ATS at home. ST MARYS-CA is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season after 15+games .ST MARYS-CA is 4-13 ATS in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) after 15 or more games. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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02-08-20 | Boise State v. Utah State -9.5 | 61-70 | Loss | -119 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Utah State is now finally fully healthy and owns one of the nation’s best home-court advantages and have revenge on board for blowing a big lead and suffering a surprising loss to Boise State . This indicates a pedal to the metal situation here that favors the Aggies here to get us the cover. Play Utah State to cover |
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02-08-20 | Nuggets -3 v. Suns | 117-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Phoenix blasted the Houston Rockets on the first leg of a back to back Friday, 127-91, snapping a four-game losing skid. However, the Suns have proven highly inconsistent and Im betting they fall flat here tonight vs a Denver Nuggets team that went into Utah and pulled off an upset last time out. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 33-8 L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. The Nuggets are 15-0 ATS /14-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick when they are off two games in which they allowed fewer than 100 points. NBA teams like the Suns are 0-19 ATS /0-19 SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. Play on Denver to cover |
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02-08-20 | Avalanche v. Blue Jackets +121 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets are 9-0-1 in their last 10 games after Friday's 2-0 win over the Detroit Red Wings, and they are 19-2-5 since dropping four in a row in early December. Even though they are playing back to back games they are not going to be n easy out here for Colorado a team that is road weary as they have not played at home since Jan 20th.COLUMBUS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances in the 2nd half of the year this season and is 6-0 ATS against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season and is 10-0 ATS against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season. Play on Columbus to win on the ML |
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02-08-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -14.5 | 72-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Iowa is off a ugly road loss to Purdue and will now be very hungry here today to bounce back and take out their frustrations on a team that they matchup very well against. Lay it and play it. IOWA is 6-0 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 23.3 ppg. OWA is 9-2 ATS in home lined games this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.3 ppg.  Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS. Play on Iowa to cover |
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02-08-20 | Bucks v. Magic UNDER 220.5 | 112-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Orlando owns the best ppg defence in the NBA and ranks 29th in offence, behind the 28th ranked pace, so its obvious to see the type of game plan they implement. Mean while, ee all know Milwaukee can light the board up quickly behind the No.1 offence so Orlando will take special care here and try to drag this game down to a speed that takes the Bucks out of their flow. Note: Milwaukee also ranks 9th in ppg D, in the league so the Magics pedestrian O is really going to have trouble tonight with output. Advantage to the under. The Magic are 0-15 L/15 as a dog with rest off a loss in a road game in which they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average with a combined average of 181.5 ppg going on the board. The Magic are 0-17 UNDER L/17 at home off a loss when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 12-2 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 204.8 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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02-08-20 | Minnesota v. Penn State -6 | 77-83 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Penn State has won 5 straight games thanks to a tenacious style of hoops and blue collar play around the rim as they continue to scoop up rebounds at a high rate. Last time out they went into Michigan State and upset the mighty Spartans by a 75-70 count and are now directly eyeing the possibility of Big 10 championship. Im betting on early season low expectations to have now disappeared for this Nitanny Lions team to continue to play with purpose. MINNESOTA is 4-19 ATS L/23 in road games after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less. Pitino is 8-21 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of MINNESOTA. PENN ST is 7-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. PENN ST is 9-0 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons. PENN ST is 22-9 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 season Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS. Play on Penn State to cover |
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02-08-20 | Arkansas v. Missouri +1.5 | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
 Mizzou after two losses needs to rebound and todays atmosphere in a Rally For Rhyan game is perfect to get some energy up for the feat . The Razorbacks are a solid team but their rebounding issues show their weaknesses making them vulnerable. The Tigers struggled a great deal against Texas A&M on Tuesday and now Missouri knowing this will be pushing even harder .Look for Mizzou to pulls off a grinder here an stay perfect in Rally For Rhyan games. ARKANSAS is 10-23 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games.ARKANSAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on Missouri to cover |
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02-08-20 | Seton Hall +4 v. Villanova | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
According to the metrics Seton Hall matches up well vs Villanova.The Pirates have frecorded a remarkable road record of 6-2, including 5-0 in the Big East play and despite not winning here in Villanova since 1994 this program is not going to be intimidated behind a veteran roster. If there was ever a time for an upset and long drought to end its here today. Play on Seton Hall to cover |
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02-08-20 | Purdue v. Indiana -3 | 74-62 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
There are a lot of similarities with Indiana and Purdue this season. Both teams, most notably, have been great at home and have struggled on the road.  Purdue played Wednesday night against Iowa, so that' a quick turnaround and Im betting they will be a little tired while Indiana has not played since last Saturday at Ohio State Im betting they will be fresh and ready to work hard today on their way to win and cover . PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season. PURDUE is 1-7 ATS in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. PURDUE is 0-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season. INDIANA is 8-1 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 3 seasons. Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 25-1 ATS. |
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02-08-20 | Kansas v. TCU +8 | 60-46 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
TCU Basketball has lost four games in a row after a 4-0 start in conference play, and are very desperate to end their skid, and Im betting they leave everything on the floor here in an attempt to somehow salvage their season with a marquee win. Self is 10-20 ATS in road games after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse as the coach of KANSAS. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KANSAS) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 29-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on TCU to cover |
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02-08-20 | LSU +5 v. Auburn | 90-91 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show | |
 Auburn. Bruce Pearl’s has seen his side work hard to take a victory in double overtime against Ole Miss, and previous to that a home win over Kentucky and overtime with Arkansas. Needless to say the Tigers are exhausted which makes taking points here with LSU a legit-mate side investment option. I know LSU came our flat las time and were upset by Vanderbilt but Im sure they were caught looking ahead to this tilt. Play on LSU to cover |
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02-08-20 | SMU v. Temple +1.5 | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 1 h 32 m | Show | |
Temple, under the direction of first-year head coach Aaron McKie, sports a balanced attack with two players averaging double figures and another four averaging 6.0 points or more and matchup well at home vs a  Mustangs program that is 4-4 on the road this season, including 1-3 in conference games.. Jankovich is 2-10 ATS in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42%or less of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Temple to cover |
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02-07-20 | Blazers v. Jazz -8.5 | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
Utah looked asleep at the wheel vs a short handed Denver side the other night and suffered a 3 point loss at home as 9 point favorites. It was embarrassing to say the least, for a team that prides itself on hardcore blue collar work ethic. Now looking for redemption Im betting they get it vs a exhausted Portland team that played last night in as come from behind win  and now playing their 4th game in week . UTAH is 13-3 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 season. Note: The Trailblazers are 0-10 ATS/SU L/10 as a dog after a win in which they trailed after the third with the average ppg diff registering at -13.6 ppg. PORTLAND is 4-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Jazz are 13-1 ATS /SU as a favorite off a loss after a game with 8+ lead changes. The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU off a loss in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg. The Jazz are 19-3-1 ATS /21-2 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.5 ppg. NBA Teams like the Jazz are 11-0 ATS /SU L/14 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot worse than 25% from beyond the arc with at least 20 attempts with the average ppg diff clicking in at +20.9 ppg. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-07-20 | Rockets v. Suns UNDER 234 | 91-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The new look Rockets, on tired legs get set to play the second of a road back-to-back set Friday night against the  Phoenix Suns . Im betting some of their trades screw with the offensive flow of the team at least for tonight, and because of their uptempo win vs the Lakers last night will now be in an emotional letdown spot in regression stage. This  Im betting will effect the total to the low side here this evening. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a dog with rest off a loss as a favorite when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home with a combined average of 187.6 ppg scored. The Rockets are 0-16-2 UNDER L/18 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with a combined average of 213.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Teams like the Suns are 1-17-1 UNDER L/19 as a home dog with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 212.9 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (HOUSTON) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more are 42-13 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-07-20 | Raptors -1 v. Pacers | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors recorded an impressive victory for their franchise-best 12-game winning streak by come from behind and erasing a 19-point deficit to upend the Indiana Pacers. This Raptors team is confident and is never out of a game because of their consistency at both ends of the court. Im betting they will be pushed tonight, but in the end will find a way to notch a 2nd straight victory in this series. Note:The Raptors are 10-0 ATS /9-1 SU with less than two days rest off a win in a home game after a win in which they trailed by 15. Teams like the Pacers are 0-10 ATS /SU L/10 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after a loss in which they led by 15. NBA Teams like the Raptors are 11-0 ATS /SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a home game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses. NBA  team vs the money line (INDIANA) - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 11-30 SU L/5 seasons and 0-5 this season! NBA team (INDIANA) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 46-105 ATS L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to cover |
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02-07-20 | Mavs -3 v. Wizards | 118-119 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas does its best work against teams like Washington. DALLAS is 12-2 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%or better of their attempts this season and have excelled as road chalk going  13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an away favorite. Also when Dallas comes off a home game and then playing on the road they are  19-0 ATS  L/19 overall. I know the Mavericks are with super star Donic and possibly Kristaps Porzingis but from a depth standpoint still have the guns needed to take down a defensively deficient opponent.DALLAS is 15-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season. The Mavericks are 15-0 ATS and have won 13 straight SU/ATS on the road with rest off a home game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. NBA teams like the Mavericks are 25-2-1 ATS /26-2 SU as a road favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they had a shooting percentage at least 10 lower than their opponent. NBA Home underdogs (WASHINGTON) - excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games are 17-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-07-20 | Harvard +5.5 v. Yale | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
 Harvard and Yale are the two best teams in the Ivy league . Yale has won 11 of their last 12 while the Crimson have won 8 in a row. Now the rematch of last seasons conference Championship game that Yale won is at hand and should be very competitive . Look for a Tommy Amakers Crimson tide team to be very hungry here in revenge and add the old ball coaches 6-0 ATS run in his last six Ivy games when seeking revenge, and his programs 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS conversion rate in the last eight meetings in this series . Play on Harvard to cover |
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02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers UNDER 229.5 | 117-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
San Antonio operates a medium speed ranking 15th in the NBA pace, and own the 12 ranked offensive rating with the average combined score of their road games clicking in at 228.4 ppg a full possession under this offered total and tonight Im betting their output and pace will slow even more as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights . Meanwhile, Portland owns the 11th ranked pace, and are in a regression state after their star Damian Lillard went on a historic points run . Both circumstances Im betting combine to see a score that stays on the low side of this number. The Trailblazers are 0-13 UNDER L/13 when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with a combined average of 198.4 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Spurs are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in a road game in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average score of 210.5 ppg. |
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02-06-20 | Sharks v. Oilers OVER 6 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: SAN JOSE - AARON DELL, EDMONTON - MIKKO KOSKINEN Edmonton (8-1-2) L/11 has scored at least four goals in each of the wins before absorbing a 3-0 defeat to the Coyotes, the team's first shutout loss since Oct. 22. Today I expect a big bounce back and alot more offensive output. Note:Edmonton's top-ranked power play is converting on 28.9 percent of its chances. Meanwhile, San Jose has allowed 25 goals in their L/7 games and are deficient defensively, and this will be a key here to us getting an over bet to cash on this tilt. EDMONTON is 13-6 OVER in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. SAN JOSE is 15-4 OVER off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with an average of 7.4 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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02-06-20 | Oral Roberts -1.5 v. North Dakota | 68-74 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
The Golden Eagles own The Summit League's highest scoring offense at 79.0 points per game, which improved to 24th in the NCAA and have to much fire power for N.Dakota to contend with as was the case earlier this season when ORU took a 88-73 decision at home. N DAKOTA is 1-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this seaso CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORAL ROBERTS) - in a game involving two excellent free throw shooting teams (73% or better ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 40-14 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on on Oral Roberts to cover |
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02-06-20 | Murray State +6.5 v. Belmont | 64-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Murray State has won 11 straight games, and Im betting they dont go down without a fight here if they lose. Belmont lost to Murray State 85-75 as 1 point dogs earlier in conference play this season, and in my opinion this is to big of point spread adjustment on that result and now shouts value for advantage players. The Racers last lost on Dec. 21, a 78-76 overtime thriller at Evansville. CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (BELMONT) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 13-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. CBB home team vs. the money line (BELMONT) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins are 38-100 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Murray State to cover |
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02-06-20 | Ducks +138 v. Canadiens | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Both teams have won five of their past seven games and up trending coming into this tilt. But the value lies with a Ducks team that matches up well against the Habs, because of their physicality and size advantage. Canadiens goaliePrice is listed as probable against the Ducks, a team he has struggled against during his career.Price is 3-7-1 against Anaheim with a 3.13 goals-against average and .895 save percentage, both of which are far off his career marks of 2.48 and .918, respectively. MONTREAL is 0-9 ATS after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more this season which was the case last time out vs NY in a 5-4 win. MONTREAL is 0-12 ATS after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored this season. Advantage Anaheim on the ML |
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02-06-20 | Oakland +10.5 v. Northern Kentucky | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
In each of the past five road games, the Golden Grizzlies have jumped out to a double digit lead in the first half: +15 at Detroit, +10 at Milwaukee, +15 at Green Bay, +12 at Cleveland State, +13 at Youngstown State. The Golden Grizzlies took a lead into half in four of the five outings: +9 at Detroit, +3 at Green Bay, +3 at Cleveland State, +4 at Youngstown State, -4 at Milwaukee. Oaklands fast starts seem predicated towards us getting a cover here tonight at Northern Kentucky. Play on Oakland to cover |
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02-05-20 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota -3.5 | 52-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
After an upset win over now-No. 16 Michigan State this past weekend, the Wisconsin Badgers make their way across state borders to face Minnesota on Wednesday evening in what Im betting is a huge letdown spot. I know there could be some recncy bias applied here by bettors and pundits because of the Gophers last game that saw them lose at Illinois last time out 59-51 despite of looking every bit efficient as their opponents. Note: MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 2 seasons Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 81-10 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.9 ppg. Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-1 ATS.
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02-05-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz -9 | 98-95 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Utah has dominated this series at home winning 9 straight here and are 7-2-1 ATS and Im betting they have a distinct edge tonight vs a Utah side that played hard last night from start to finish vs Portland which was their 3rd game in 4days. Now in a letdown spot on tired legs the host has the edge.The Denver Nuggets could also find themselves with a short bench for their Wednesday road game against the Utah Jazz after reportedly pulling off a four-team trade Tuesday night. This will effect their flow.  DENVER is 1-9 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. The Jazz are 19-2-1 ATS /21-1 SU at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-05-20 | Wake Forest +15.5 v. Louisville | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The No. 5 Cardinals eye a ninth straight victory on Wednesday night when they host a Wake Forest squad that's looking to win back-to-back league games for the first time in three years. While I do believe that the Cardinals will get the win Im betting it just wont come by more than 15 points. LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS in home games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (LOUISVILLE) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 9-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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02-05-20 | LSU v. Vanderbilt +11.5 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
The Tigers playing winning ball ,but this line looks a little bloated as .Six of their nine consecutive wins have come by four points or fewer. LSU has yet to play a team ranked in this week's AP Top 25 and maybe getting just to much respect. I know Vanderbilt may not inspire bettors but  the Commodores took both Kentucky and Florida to the final minutes of their past two games before losing by nine and six points, respectively. and are more than capable of staying competitive here in this spot play as DD home dogs. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 228.5 | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
 Doncic's second sprained ankle this season has him on the sidelines again, and while the Mavericks has adapted without him Im seeing flow issues with the offense especially on the perimeter. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are talking about playing better defence, and last time out scored just 96 points but held the Pistons to just 82 points and Im betting more stringent D, will once again be on tonight s . agenda in Dallas which will help keep this score on the low side of the total. MEMPHIS is 24-9 UNDER in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.9 ppg. MEMPHIS is 18-8 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 217 ppg scored. The Grizzlies are 0-14 UNDER L/14 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.8 ppg. The Mavericks are 4-20-1UNDER L/25 with rest off a win in a road game in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 3-24 UNDER L/27 as a home favorite off a game as a dog when their last four games are LLWW with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-05-20 | Bruins -145 v. Blackhawks | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Inconsistent play from his team before the All-Star break prompted Boston Bruins coach Bruce Cassidy to challenge players with internal competition.Since than the  Bruins have responded and   enter play with a 13-3-3 record against Western Conference foes this season, including a 7-2-1 mark against clubs from the Central Division. Last night the Bruins shut out the red hot Vancouver Canucks by a 4-0 count and despite of this being a back to back look be revving up in into play off form and deserve out backing on the moneyline. BOSTON is 31-9 ATS after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasonCHICAGO is 3-12 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Bruins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Central. Bruins are 10-4 in their last 14 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Bruins are 16-7 in their last 23 games as a road favorite. Blackhawks are 13-28 in their last 41 games as a home underdog. Play on the Boston Bruins to win on the ML |
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02-05-20 | Hawks +5 v. Wolves | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Halting   a season-long 12-game losing streak when they return home to host the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday Im betting will not be as easy as the line indicates, even though the Hawks are short handed. Nothing comes easy to the Wolves, especially winning. MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The Timberwolves are 2-17 ATS at home facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves are 0-14 ATS /1-13 SU at home when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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02-05-20 | Iowa v. Purdue -4 | 68-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Purdue has been dominant at home in wins over Minnesota, Maryland, Michigan, Rutgers, Wisconsin, and Illinois and Im betting they continue their top tier work as hosts tonight against Iowa. |
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02-05-20 | Creighton v. Providence -2 | 56-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Creighton can really run and gun and shoot the lights out but Providence has a’ size advantage and Im betting they control the glass and slow this game down to a speed that suits them. Look for the Friars physicality to be the difference maker down low . Note : Friars have revenge on board for a heart breaking 78-74 loss earlier this season to the Jays, and will be motivated here. CREIGHTON is 1-10 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Cooley is 17-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick as the coach of PROVIDENCE. Play on Providence to cover |
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02-04-20 | Spurs +12 v. Lakers | 102-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
The Spurs fell 108-105 to the Clippers last night in have looked competitive for a while now and up-trending in my power rankings. Its not an easy task playing on consecutive nights in the NBA and especially not here in LA where two top tier teams are located, but San Antonio is one of the leagues better conditioned teams, and are going to be motivated to get revenge for a 114-104 loss at home in this series back in late November. SAN ANTONIO is 31-7 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Also teams playing the 2nd of back to back in LA are actually a long term good bets, going 82-65-1 ATS for a 56% conversion rate. ( just the opposite of what you might expect) SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons The Lakers are 1-18 ATS as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored 10 or more points in the first than the fourth quarter. The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /9-3 SU as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a road dog in which they had more than 8 times as` many field goal attempts as turnovers with all 3 losses ins trends subset coming by exactly 2 points. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games are 23-6 L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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02-04-20 | Blazers +4.5 v. Nuggets | 99-127 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
The Blazers enter this game on a red hot 4 game win streak behind the blazing efforts of super star Damian Lillard. The Trail Blazers guard is on a historic run—one that could shape the West’s 8-seed race and Portland’s plans at the trade deadline. Tonight behind Lillard Im betting on the Blazers making life tough on the Nuggets and getting us the cover in revenge mode, for the two losses they have suffered to the Nuggets this season home and away. Note: Denver is off an OT win vs the Pistons last time out on Sunday, and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown spot. NBA Teams like the Nuggets are 2-17 ATS 6-13 SU L/19 as a favorite after they had overtime. NBA Teams like the Blazers are 18-0 ATS as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.The Trailblazers are 21-3-1 ATS on the road after playing as a home dog.The Trailblazers are also 14-1 ATS off a win as a dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Nuggets are 1-16 ATS L/17 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on Portland to cover |
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02-04-20 | Bucks -6 v. Pelicans | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Milwaukee bounced back from a 127-115 home loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday to close their three-game homestand with a 129-108 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday and roll into the Bayou to play the up trending Pelicans. You can bet because of the hype of Zion Williamson that the powerful Bucks will be in the mood to to make a statement here and give the kid and his team something to think about. Meanwhile, the Pelicans were humbled last time out vs Houston after imploding late, and giving up a boat load full of points thanks to a massive amount of turnovers. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents are 26-66 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. he Bucks are 23-3 ATS /24-2 SU as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they scored a least 18 fast break points with the L/19 wins coming by 7 ppg or more and the overall ppg diff clicking in at +12.4 ppg. The Pelicans are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU at home off a loss facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff registering in at 11 ppg. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 0-17-1 ATS /0-18 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at 17.2 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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02-04-20 | Canucks v. Bruins OVER 6 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Vancouver is on tired legs as they enter this tilt playing their 4th straight road game in less than a week, and Im betting will find it difficult tonight vs a Bruins team that is off a 6-1 win last time out and on a couple of days rest. The Canucks have been finding ways to win, this season, much to the surprise of the pundits thanks to a better than advertised offence, but lately despite of scoring their D is showing some chinks in their proverbial arm-our and a a result they have gone over in 3 straight games. On the road the Canucks allow an average of 3.4 gpg , and Im betting their season average as visitors will be eclipsed here, and their own ability to bury the biscuit will help this score go over the total.  VANCOUVER is 7-1 OVER in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season with an average of 7.7 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 50-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-04-20 | Duke v. Boston College +15 | 63-55 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Duke is off a huge win at Syracuse last time out where they shot the lights out in a 97-88 win, and now in an emotional letdown state, and in an obvious regression situation , Im betting a emotional charged Boston College will be completive enough to cover. DUKE is 0-7 ATS after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower over the last 3 seasons. CBB underdog (BOSTON COLLEGE) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 50 points, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 points or more are 30-5 ATS L/23 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. (Duke smashed Boston College back on Dec 31 at home by DDs-Duke 88-49) Play on Boston College to cover |
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02-04-20 | Ohio State v. Michigan -2 | 61-58 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Ohio State is one of the nation's top shooting teams, ranking No. 16 overall with a 38.1% 3-point shooting percentage  42.4% of their field-goal attempts come from behind the arc. key here will be Michigans D, which is very viable when preventing 3-pointers. Just 26.9% of opponents' field-goal attempts have been from beyond the arc — third-lowest in the nation. And only 22.9% of the total points scored against Michigan have been from 3s; so this edge Im betting will be the difference maker. MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-0 ATS. Play on Michigan to cover |
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02-04-20 | Bowling Green v. Central Michigan -2 | 82-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
A matchup of the top two teams in the Mid-American Conference men's basketball race favors the home team according to my power rankings. Home Court Advantage CMU is 10-1 at home, tied for the best in the conference. CMU's turnover margin of plus 4.4 is the best in the MAC and is No. 14 in the country. C MICHIGAN is 21-6 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS in February games over the last 2 seasons. Play on CMU to cover |
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02-03-20 | Spurs +10 v. Clippers | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won two of three against the Spurs, including a 134-109 victory the last time they met on Dec. 21 in San Antonio. However, it must be noted that SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 4-24-1 ATS L/29 as a home favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. NBA Teams like the Clippers are 0-16 ATS as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint. The Spurs are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a dog off a home game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. NBA  Favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 6-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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02-03-20 | Wolves v. Kings -1.5 | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Timberwolves are mired in an 11-game losing streak for the second time this season and are fade material in their current form. The Timberwolves are 0-18 ATS/SU as a dog after Karl Anthony Towns was their high scorer by double digits last game. The Kings are 11-0 ATS/SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. NBA Teams like the Kings are 18-0 SU/ 17-1 ATS as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 118-33 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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02-03-20 | Baylor v. Kansas State +8 | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Kansas State may not inspire bettors when going against a ranked opponent like Baylor, but Im betting we have value here with the home dog. KState has won 3 of their L/4 home games with the one loss to TCU coming by 2 points. They must never be underestimated when on their own floor, and tonight Im betting home court advantage will be golden and upset not out of the question. Note: Kansas State has won the last 4 meetings in this series.Weber is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) as the coach of KANSAS St. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies enter this game having won 11 of their L/14 and despite of loss are capable home favorites vs a team that continues to play with out their top player Griffin and will now be without  point guard Derrick Rose who is unlikely to play Monday due to a groin injury suffered during the first half of Sunday's game. The Pistons are 1-18 ATS /SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Pistons are 0-9-1 ATS/0-10 SU L/10 as a road dog off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at - 13.3 ppg. The Grizzlies are 11-0-1 ATS/12-0 SU as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 worse than their season-to-date average with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg. NBA Teams like the Grizzlies are 18-2 ATS /19-1 SU as a home favorite with more than one day of rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP with the average ppg diff registering at +13.9 ppg. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
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02-03-20 | Eastern Washington +2 v. Northern Arizona | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
The E.Washington Eagles are on a five-game winning streak that includes three road wins in a row, and matchup well vs a N.Arizona team that  owns a porous defense, ranking 290th in effective field goal percentage allowed and 285th in 2P field goal percentage conversion rate. Look for Eastern Washingtons uptempo attack to wreak havoc and for this conference top teams to come away with a victory for the 5th straight time in this series. Eastern Washington to cover |
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02-03-20 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | 123-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. The Hawks are 1-19 ATS/SU as a home dog off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. NBA Teams like the Hawks are 0-15-1 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on Celtics to cover |
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02-03-20 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 224 | 123-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks will have trouble finding enough healthy players to compete on Monday when they host the Boston Celtics.. The Hawks lost two more starters on Saturday and could be without leading scorer Trae Young when they return home to meet the Celtics. If young plays he may see limited time because of nagging minor injuries. With thaqt said, Im betting the Hawks offensive flow will be curtailed as will be their offensive output in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a road 8+ favorite with rest coming off a win with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored. HC Stevens is 25-9 UNDER as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points as the coach of BOSTON with the combined average score of those tilts clikcing in at 205.6 ppg. The Hawks are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a 8+ dog off a loss in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before with a combined averag of 198.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-03-20 | Coppin State v. Howard +4.5 | 64-56 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Howard is not as bad as their record would indicate, as they have covered 9 of 21 games despite of a ugly 11 game losing streak. Howards L/3 losses have been by single digits, and they offer value here because of their ugly record.  Meanwhile, their opposition Coppin State has lost 8 straight road games , and despite of beating this Howard side when they met earlier in conference play, my matchup stats says this is more evenly matched than the line would indicate. Last time out  Senior guard Charles Williams (18.2 ppg, 4.7 rpg) struggled vs Coppin State , but a rebound must be expected as this kids to talented to tank again. Sometimes an ugly situation like this offers value. Howard to cover |
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02-03-20 | Magic -4 v. Hornets | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Hornets have lost 10 of their last 11 games, including two on the road since pulling off Tuesday night's home victory against in the New York Knicks.The Magic are in a five-game losing streak, coming off Saturday night's 102-89 home loss to the Miami Heat. both have conistently been in the loss column However, I see more promise from the Magic and give them by support here tonight.Prior to last week, the Hornets lost six consecutive home games. In the last seven home outings, they've failed to score more than 107 points in regulation in any of those. Advantage : Orlando. ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.7 ppg. When Orlando visited here on Jan 20th they won by a 106-83 count and a rinse and repeat effort is my projection. NBA Teams like the Magic are 14-0 ATS/SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a 10+ loss facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the average ppg diff registering at + 11 ppg. Play on Orlando to cover  |
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02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | 20-31 | Loss | -103 | 76 h 19 m | Show | |
SF HC Shanahan, has gone 21-5 . SU with Jimmy Garoppolo at QB , and overall the 49ers have  the edge in rush offense, rush defense and pass defense. I know the best player on the field is considered to be young QB super star Patrick Mahomes, but the complete package is on the side he is facing today. Considering the Chiefs were down by two TDs to the Pats , and were down 24-0 to the Texans, and 10-0 to the Titans, the feeling here for me here is, that as explosive as the Chiefs are there karmic regression is coming and their consistent flirting with disaster is essentially going to bite them on the proverbial butts vs a side that if in the lead will grind them into the ground via a concerted ground attack. All in all Im all in here on the 49ers being this years super bowl champs. Play on the SF 49ers to cover |
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02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 58 h 6 m | Show | |
Super Bowl LIV - Hard Rock Stadium - Miami Gardens, FL I know most bettors who look at this Super Bowl matchup see a back and forth see saw offensive affair taking place. However, after watching how extraordinarily  tough the 49ers D is and how this team plays (run baby run ball) whether behind or ahead it gives me pause in my assessment of this total and its value to the under . I also dont see alot of penalties called here today by the officiating crew, which will result in less first downs and offensive flow and that will directly effect output. Note: KC HC Reid is 20-5 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in all games he has coached since 1992 with the combined average score of those games , clicking in at 39 ppg. NFL team against the total (KANSAS CITY) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 37-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | Bulls +10.5 v. Raptors | 102-129 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Thanks to Torontos current 10 game win streak there is a slightly bloated line attached to this tilt involving the Chicago Bulls. When these teams played earlier this season, the Raptors pulled out a 93-92 squeaker, and Im betting on another close tilt here with the Bulls getting my support. Note: From a SRS perspective: Chicago owns a -2.97 marker, while Toronto a 5.72 , which roughly evens out into a -9 true line according to those projections. So we have a one possession edge which qualifies for me to back the Bulls here getting points. SRS =Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. TORONTO is 14-29 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins. The Bulls are 14-0-1 ATS on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at 1.2 ppg. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (TORONTO) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate. Play on Chicago to cover |
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02-02-20 | Utah +4 v. UCLA | 57-73 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Bruins Alford has a talented roster but is inconsistent at 11-10 through 21 games. The Bruins have home losses to Hofstra and Cal State Fullerton, and a neutral-court loss to a Cole Anthony-less North Carolina team and could miss the postseason entirely. Utah has also struggled but from a matchup perspective should be competitive. UCLA is 1-8 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. UCLA is 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. UTAH is 7-0 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less over the last 3 seasons. (Utah lost at USC 56-52 last time out) CBB road team (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 34-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 29-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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02-02-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, MONTREAL - CHARLIE LINDGREN Price is 1-1-0 against the Jackets this season, allowing seven goals. Over his career against Columbus, he is 10-5-1 with a 2.36 goals-against average. COLUMBUS is 8-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with the combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER (+13.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season, with a combined average of 4.7 gpg . NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MONTREAL) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 108-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Rockets | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have an adrenalin rush and momentum entering this game as Zion Williamson makes his presence felt. New Orleans has won 3 straight, and will not be easily defeated by the Rockets here today. The Pelicans are 11-0 ATS/SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a favorite when they shot better than 50 percent from the field their last two tilts. NBA team vs the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 245 points or more are 26-3 L/23 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home win are 36-13 L/23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-02-20 | Suns v. Bucks UNDER 231 | 108-129 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127- . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort. Teams like the Bucks are 7-27-1 UNDER as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they scored 15 or more points in the first than the second half with a combined average of 200.9 ppg. Teams like Bucks are 1-13-1 UNDER L/15 with rest after playing as a home favorite when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with a combined average of 210.5 ppg. The Suns are 0-11 UNDER L/11 on the road off a loss in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 207.4 ppg. The Suns are 1-13 UNDER as a dog off a loss as a dog in which their assists decreased by at least 10 from the game before with a combined average of 207.3 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 15-4 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons are 213.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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02-02-20 | Suns v. Bucks -11 | 108-129 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Milwaukee came out last time out asleep at the proverbial wheel, and lost as DD favorites to a short handed Denver team by a 127-115 . Now a little embarrassed Im expecting a concerted effort to make sure they don't have a repeat performance and to make sure they have a much better defensive effort in what should be a start to finish effort. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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02-02-20 | South Dakota v. Nebraska-Omaha | 81-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on Jan 19 S.Dakota took at 91-81 win, and now with revenge on board and playing at home where they are 10-0 this season, I look for Omaha Nebraska to get the win and cover and get the redemption they so badly want. NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 6-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasonsNEBRASKA-OMAHA is 12-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. CBB underdog (S DAKOTA) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 30-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Nebraska Omaha to cover |
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02-02-20 | Illinois v. Iowa OVER 146 | 65-72 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. My projections estimate a combined score in the range of 151 points . Play OVER |
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02-01-20 | Jazz -5 v. Blazers | 107-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
The Blazers are off a huge emotional upset vs the Lakers last night in LA, for Kobe Bryants memorial celebration last night where Lilliard went off for 48 points. The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS /SU with no rest after a game as a road dog in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at -8.9.  The Jazz are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points with the average ppg diff registering at +18.9 ppg. |
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02-01-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Kings | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The Lakers payed tribute to former superstar Kobe Bryant before their Friday home game against the Portland Trail Blazers, but then they couldn't get a win and were punished by Damian Lillard's 48-point Kobe like explosion in a 127-119 defeat. Now a little embarrassed Im betting they come out here and take their frustration out on the Kings in a start to finish effort. Note: The Lakers are 6-0 SU on second nights, including 4-0 on the road. The Kings are 0-17 ATS/0-17 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -16 ppg. NBA Teams like the Kings are 0-18 ATS /SU as a home dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes (Which was the case for the Kings in a upset win vs the Clippers last time out) Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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02-01-20 | Purdue v. Northwestern +5.5 | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 21-0 ATS.PURDUE is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.PURDUE is 1-13 ATS in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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02-01-20 | 76ers v. Celtics -3 | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
Kemba Walker is a 50 /50 bet to play tonight for the Celtics which would slightly adjust my projections but not enough not to lay three with a deep home team in an important eastern conference matchup.  The Celtics are 19-0-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent with none of the L/20 games in this subset coming by less than 5 points a game. NBA Home favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 55-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like the Sixers are 1-14 SU/2-13 ATS as a dog off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. Play on Boston to cover |
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02-01-20 | Nets v. Wizards UNDER 242.5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The Wizards allow an average of 121 points per game, the worst figure in the NBA by a large margin, and because they rank 3rd in offensive output we  we are getting a bloated public line to bet into. Add to that a couple of back forth performances by the Nets in high scoring games and we now have what Im betting is two possession value to the under.  Nets are 0-14 OU with no rest when the line is within 3 of pick with the combined average score of 204.4 ppg going on the board. The Wizards are 0-11 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 209.5 ppg. The Nets are 2-23 UNDER with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when the total is at least 15 points more than their last game with a combined average of 191.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-01-20 | Heat -2.5 v. Magic | 102-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic, losers of four straight games, have been off since their 113-92 loss at the Miami Heat on Monday. That rest may hinder them rather than help them vs a Heat team that is well conditioned and in a flow despite of some recent losses. The Heat are 19-1 ATS with more than one day of rest off a loss as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game. Mimai beat Orlando at home in their last meetings, but it must be noted that  ORLANDO is 1-14 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.  MIAMI is 11-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Teams like Heat are 18-0 ATS /SU as a road favorite with more than one day of rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ORLANDO) - off a road loss against a division rival, playing with 3 or more days rest are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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02-01-20 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Auburn | 66-75 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
 Bruce Pearl’s Tigers got of to a hot start this season registering a 15-0 mark but are just 3-2 L/5 SU failing to cover 4 of those tilts including a pair of DD beatdowns . Now down trending the Tigers face a Kentucky team on a 4 gam er win streak and that will be out to revenge a 77- 71 overtime loss in the Elite 8 round to the Tigers last season.  The Wildcats are 34-4 SU overall in this series and have covered 11 of their 17 on the road here in Auburn . Kentucky behind Calapari are 12-2 ATS in their last fourteen games when in revenge mode, including 7-0 ATS L/7 versus top tier opposition with a .777 record or better. Key to this game will be the 29th ranked Kentucky FG D, and their ability to sink shots at the charity stripe ( Entering the game at 77.1% at the foul line, the Wildcats had another solid performance at 84.2% (16 of 19) last time out. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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02-01-20 | New Mexico v. Fresno State -9 | 77-82 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Key New Mexico starter aQuan Lyle is OUT Saturday vs Fresno State ( Suspension ) . The Lobos have lost 4 of their L/5 by DDs, and look lifeless right now.  Fresno State has won five of its last seven meetings with New Mexico, which includes three straight wins in games at the Save Mart Center.  Fresno State has won 50 of its last 66 home games. NEW MEXICO is 4-12 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.2 ppg. Fresno State to cover |
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02-01-20 | TCU +11.5 v. Baylor | 52-68 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
TCU was upset by Texas at home last season, but the program has done well in rebound mode after a situation like this going 16-6 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a home favorite . I know Baylor is getting huge accolades and playing very well but this line is a little bloated and public leaning and Im betting we have value with a under appreciated and under valued side in the Horned Frogs. Play on TCU to cover |
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02-01-20 | Gonzaga v. San Francisco +11 | 83-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings SF is one of the most under rated teams in the country and must never be underestimated behind a veteran group that can score in bunches.USF is 16-7 on the year and 5-3 in the WCC. Since falling to Portland, the Dons have gone 5-1 - their lone loss during that stretch a 58-48 loss at Saint Mary's.The Dons are 11-3 at home this season where they average 81.8 ppg and shooting 46.0% from the field.  Saturdays: The Dons are 8-1 this season on the sixth day of the week. The lone loss came on the road at Portland. For the year, USF is averaging 80.0 ppg and shooting 48.7% from the field. Minlend, Bouyea, and Lull all average 13.0 or more on Saturday. Favorites of 10 or more points (GONZAGA) - hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 9-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on USF Dons to cover on the Hill vs Gonzaga |
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02-01-20 | Indiana v. Ohio State -7 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 21-0 ATS. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 115-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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01-31-20 | Thunder +1 v. Suns | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
In the teams' first meeting, Dec. 20 in Oklahoma City, the Thunder pulled out a 126-108 victory and Im betting on the Thunders domination last time to continue here. The Thunder come into Friday's game having won six consecutive on the road to tie the second-longest streak in Oklahoma City history. The Thunder have won 11 of their last 12 on the road. The Suns are 0-14 ATS/SU with more than one day of rest after they shot over 50% from the field.The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS /0-15 SU off a win as a road dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road. The Thunder are 14-0-1 ATS L/15 on the road with less than two days rest.The Thunder are 13-0-1 ATS L/14 on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s all from this season and have won their L/6 SU . Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -5.5 | 111-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Memphis has come a long way and New Orleans is just getting started on the road to bigger and better things as along as Zion Williamson stays healthy. Tonight backing home court advantage for teams that play similar styles is my recommendation. The Pelicans are 14-0 ATS/SU as a favorite off a win in a road game in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the ppg diff clicking in at 15.9 ppg. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game) after 42+ games, red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Teams like Memphis are 0-16-1 ATS /1-16 SU L/17 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win . Play on New Orleans to cover |
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01-31-20 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans UNDER 241 | 111-139 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light it up offensively and because of this the linemakers are setting what Im betting is a public leaning line that offers value for sharp under bettors. The Grizzlies are 2-19-1 UNDER L/22 as a road dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 184.7 ppg scored. NBAHome teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 29-11 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS/ NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 41-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-31-20 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +6.5 | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
 Wright State enters this road game vs Wis Milwaukee leading the conference with a 18-4 overall record and and 8-1 in conference mark, but Im betting their in an emotional letdown spot after taking our N.Kentucky last time out by DDs in an all out performance vs a , side that eliminated them last season from the conference tournament. Meanwhile, Wisc-Milwaukee owns a sub .500 recored (9-10)  with one of their 10 losses coming earlier this season to Wright State on the road by a , 82-70 count, but have gotten better since that meeting according to my power rankings, and deserve our respect on home floor tonight getting points vs a side that should be in what I describe as energy regression.Underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Play on Wis Milwaukee to cover |
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01-31-20 | Raptors -4.5 v. Pistons | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The Raptors defeated the Pistons 125-113 on Oct. 30 and 112-99 on Dec. 18 and  matchup well vs the Griffin less Pistons who are experiencing alot of inconsistencies with the lineup they have been putting on the floor. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game this season with the average ppg diff registering a -9.6 ppg. NBA Teams like the Pistons are 0-14-1 ATS/0-15 SU L/15 as a home dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.3 ppg. The Pistons are 0-13-1 ATS /0-14 SU L/14 as a dog with rest off a road game after allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of - 14.1 ppg diff.  The Raptors are 23-4 ATS /25-2 SU L/27 with less than two days rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.6 ppg including 15 wins and 14 of 15 covers. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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01-30-20 | Oregon State v. Stanford -6.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
Stanford (15-4 overall) after starting 4-0 in the Pac-12 play have lost 2 straight but will be primed for a bounce back effort tonight at home where they are 11-1 this season. Meanwhile, Oregon State is struggling mightily losing 4 straight, the last 3 by ugly DD deficits and are fade material in their current form. STANFORD is 12-1 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons and  is a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. STANFORD is 7-0 ATS after allowing 55 points or less this season which was the case in a lethargic 52-50 loss vs California last time out. HC Tinkle is 0-7 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Stanford to cover |
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01-30-20 | Oregon State v. Stanford UNDER 129.5 | 68-63 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Play UNDER |
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01-30-20 | Kings v. Clippers -12 | 124-103 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
LAC Key starters George and Patrick Beverley are listed as probable and Kawhi Leonard also expected to play . Note:  In his last eight games, Leonard is averaging 35 points, 7.9 rebounds and 5.4 assists on 51.8 percent shooting which  makes for a perilous matchup for a Sacramento Kings team that the Clippers have owned in recent matchups from a ATS perspective as is evident by a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 mark in this series.In their last meeting on Dec. 31, the Clippers earned a 105-87 victory. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight and a Clipper cover. Clippers have covered 5 straight at home vs opposition playing 2nd of back to back like the Kings ( Kings lost by 20 to Oklahoma City on the road last night and looked exhausted which does not bode well against a now healthy Clippers side) The Clippers are 20-0 SU/ 18-2 ATS as a home favorite off a road game when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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01-30-20 | Idaho State +14.5 v. Northern Colorado | 67-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Im taking a contrarian stance with IDAHO ST college hoops program that is a perfect is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points over the last 2 seasons. Yes, Northern Colorado is the superior side and despite of Idaho State losing 4 straight have been competitive not losing by 8,6,3 and 9 points respectively . It must also be noted that N.Colorado is a off a grueling hard fought loss vs E.Washington last time out on the road and with this being their 3rd game in 5 days could easily lack the energy to cover this DD spread. Note: Betting against the public ( including 7 parameters that have used) has netted a 120-56-2 68% CBB record dating back to the 2005 seasons for a massive 32% ROI. Play on Idaho State to cover |
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01-30-20 | Iowa v. Maryland -5 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Two of the Big Ten's hottest teams will meet Thursday when No. 18 Iowa visits No. 15 Maryland in College Park, Md.Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 19-0 ATS. Maryland continues to prove to me they are the real deal and are my choice here tonight on their own home floor. MARYLAND is 21-9 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MARYLAND) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 59-28 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Maryland to cover |
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01-30-20 | Eastern Illinois +10.5 v. Murray State | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Im taking a contrarian stance here tonight with Eastern Illinois a team running hot and on a 4 game win streak getting DDs vs a highly touted hoops program( Murray State). It must be noted that Murray State is in a look ahead situation here as they have Austin Peay on board for Saturday in a matchup of the OVcs top teams. Im betting this will have Murray State not completely 100% focused here giving us an extra edge. Note:MURRAY ST is 4-16 ATS in home games after 9 or more consecutive wins since 1997- I attribute this kind of line attrition to bloated lines based on recency bias) This EIU hoops group is hard working and currently leads the OVC in blocks and ranks 41st in the NCAA and must be respected here as a DD dog. Note: Betting against the public ( including 7 parameters that have used) has netted a 120-56-2 68% record dating back to the 2005 seasons for a massive 32% ROI. Play on Eastern Illinois to cover |
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01-30-20 | Minnesota v. Illinois -5.5 | 51-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 19-0 ATS. I have Illinois ranked No.18 as 7 point chalk here according to my numbers . Im betting Illinois wins their 8th in a row and covers. Play on Illinois to cover |
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01-30-20 | Raptors v. Cavs +10 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champion Raptors are rolling right now,as is evident by a current 8 game win streak. Now because of their run, Im betting we have a slightly bloated line to bet in to here with the home underdog Cleveland Cavaliers. I know the Cavs have looked asleep at the wheel, for most of this season, but if there was ever a time to wake up , it would be at home against the defending NBA champs. Note: Cleveland is 5-1 SU/ATS L/6 at home in this series. NBA Teams like the Cavaliers are 17-0 ATS L/17 as a dog with rest after playing as a home dog when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road with the average ppg diff clicking in at -1.9 ppg. NBA Teams like the Cavs are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a 8+ dog off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with the average ppg diff 0f -0.7 ppg. NBA Teams like the Raptors are 0-14 ATS L/14 as a 8+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with the average ppg diff clicking in at +1.9 ppg.The Raptors are 0-11 ATS /3-8 SU L/11 on the road with rest off a win in which their opponent had at least a 10 percent higher BAP. NBA team (TORONTO) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 17-51 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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01-30-20 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 221.5 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Toronto has been firing on all cylinders of late averaging more than 117 ppg on offence, with the combined average of 226.1 ppg scored in those tilts. On the season Cleveland has average 113.5 +ppg while allowing 114.1 ppg behind the 29th ranked defensive rating. Everything points to those numbers projecting a total combined score that will breach this total. TORONTO is 8-1 OVER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 233.1 ppg scored. The Raptors are 12-1 OVER L/13 as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win when they are off two wins as favorites with a combined average score of 234.9 ppg going on the board. NBA teams like the Raptors  are 22-2 OVER L/24 as a road favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint with a combined average of 237.9 ppg scored. The Cavaliers are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 232.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-29-20 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +10 | 85-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
New Mexico has looked pretty bad in recent games , losing 3 of their L/4 big big DD amounts, so it might be hard for some of you to the pull the trigger here against a 21-0 SU San Diego State team that looks almost unstoppable. However, those above ugly losses came on the road and it must be noted that The Lobos are a perfect 13-0 at home this season, and must not be underestimated getting DDs as home dogs. A team like the Lobos that plays fast and averages more than 80 ppg is always going to be a dangerous pup. The last time UNM hosted a top-10 opponent was last season when UNM pulled off a 27-point victory over then-undefeated and No. 5/6 Nevada on Jan. 5, 2019. CBB teams off a big loss going against a top 5 ranked opponent dating back to the 2005 season have been a good money making venture for bettors going 107-56-1 ATS for a 66% conversion rate and a massive 26.6% ROI. Play on New Mexico to cover |
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01-29-20 | Indiana v. Penn State -6 | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
 IU is coming off a 77-76 loss to #17 Maryland on Sunday after blowing a late lead and this Im betting will have an impact on their confidence here tonight in Penn State. Meanwhile, the Nittany Lions are off a big confidence building road victory vs Michigan last time out . Note: CBB  Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PENN ST) - off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) are 64-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Also Since the beginning of 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are playing at home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 18-0 ATS L/18 opportunities. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-29-20 | Texas v. TCU -4 | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
TCU has been a bit inconsistent but in big games they come to play as was evident in a win vs Texas Tech as 2.5-point home dogs last week.. Here tonight against a Longhorns side that has failed to cover 12 of their 18 lined games this season and are SU losers of 6 of 9 Big 12 road tilts the Horney Toad/Frogs have the edge.  .TCU is a perfect 4-0 ATS L/4 at home vs Texas and with playing with revenge are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS L/7 at home in this series. Key to this game: TCUs D has been hard on Big 12 conference opponents holding them to 28.8 percent shooting from beyond the arc this season and are the No.1 rebounding side in the conference. Texas Im betting will struggle in these two facets of the game and will fail here against a side with revenge for a key loss last season that cost them a No.1 seed in the Big 12 Tourney. Play on TCU to cover |
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01-29-20 | South Florida +1 v. Tulane | 66-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
USF enters play coming off a setback at No. 25 Houston in which the Bulls held their 18th opponent of the season under its scoring average. The Bulls struggle to score but their D is tenacious and Im betting a Tulane hoops program that is currently averaging 59.4 ppg in offence in their L/5 games is in serious trouble here tonight. S FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons.S FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 3 seasons. TULANE is 0-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TULANE) - in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (20/ or more game) after 15+ games, cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 9-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on South Florida to cover |
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01-29-20 | Grizzlies -2 v. Knicks | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams played last night with the Grizzlies winning and the Knicks losing after holding an early DD lead, which is a confidence buster. Note:  The Knicks are 0-12 ATS SU/ATS after a game as a road dog after a loss in which they led by double digits after the first. NY is up trending but Memphis has shown more consistent flow for a longer period of time and have the explosive offensive guns to get the win here on the road. The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS /SU with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they had 30+ assists.The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.The Knicks are 0-13 ATS SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field. Play on Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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01-29-20 | Predators v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 107 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Nashville upset Washington by a 6-5 count the last time they played on Oct 10, and now with revenge on board Im betting on the Capitals will be coming at the Preds with everything but the kitchen sink, knowing that he scores last will most probably be the victors here. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER revenging a road loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. WASHINGTON is 25-9 OVER vs team defense that allow their - opponents to average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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01-29-20 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -17 | 50-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
In an unexpected dogfight with upstart Illinois near the halfway point of the Big Ten Conference schedule, Michigan State coach Tom Izzo is looking for better production from his 14th-ranked Spartans and Im betting he gets tonight vs Northwestern here at home in what could go down as a statement game at least from a score sheet assessment. Northwestern ha lost 8 of their L/9 and drowning in their own tears, will not have answer for a Spartans side on a mission. Note: The Spartans are 6-0 SU/ATS L/3 seasons at home vs a .200 to .400 side , with the average ppg diff clicking in at a whopping 45+ ppg. ( Mich State 103.5 opp 58.3) . Lay it and play it with Mich State to cover |
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01-28-20 | Butler v. Georgetown -1 | 69-64 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Butler ended a 3 game losing streak last time out with a hard fought back and forth high octane 89-85 win vs Marquette last time out but still failed to cover for the 4th straight time. Butler looked explosive in the early part of this season, but they have fallen back down to earth of late, and Im betting their in for another tough tilt here in Georgetown vs the Hoyas this Tuesday night. Key will be the Hoyas top tier offence ranked 2nd in the  BIG EAST in scoring (77.9 ppg) and average 82.2 ppg at Capital One Arena this season, scoring at least 80 points in their last five home games.  .Head Coach Patrick Ewing is 4-2 in his last six outings against teams ranked among the Associated Press Top 25. BUTLER is 0-7 ATS in road games after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons. BUTLER is 0-10 ATS in road games after scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (BUTLER) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgetown to cover |
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