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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-17 | Heat v. Bulls +7 | 100-93 | Push | 0 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat are expected to be missing  their most important player when they take the court on Sunday afternoon vs the rebuilding Chicago Bulls. Hassan Whiteside, if he plays will not be 100% and may see more bench time than playing time today if he plays at all. He's the heartbeat of this Heat group, and without him on the court the Heat are vulnerable. I know the Bulls may not inspire confidence in bettors, with a 3-14 record on the season, but two of those wins have come at home, where they play today. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points with the host team. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-17 | Panthers -5 v. Jets | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 33 m | Show | |
Carolina except for a few glitches this season has looked a like a solid contender in the NFC and must be respected on this line. The Panthers have played their best defensive football on the road this season and held their L/5 hosts to a season low in yards and have covered 5 of their L/6 away tilts. Both teams are rested so their no advantage for either team from that perspective. The only advantage comes via what is on paper and so far this season on the playing field is the super side. Hit it with CAROLINA. The Jets have lost 12 straight and 1-15 ATS L/16 after a road game in which they allowed at least 7.5 points fewer than their season-to-date average and they are not a double-digit dog . CAROLINA is 33-13 ATS L/46 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season.  NFL Favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (CAROLINA) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PY/Att.) are 29-2 winning by an average of 10.8 ppg which qualifies as an viable ATS trend on this chalk line. Play on Carolina to cover |
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11-26-17 | Bears v. Eagles UNDER 44 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 74 h 5 m | Show | |
We all know the Eagles bring an explosive offense to this game , but their defense must be respected. Actually Both the Eagles and the Bears are defensively capable, with the Eagles ranking #7 in yards allowed and Chicago ranked No.11 in yards allowed. With that said, I'm expecting a slower game than many might anticipate especially in the 2nd half.  This week I wont be surprised if Philly goes into cruise control, takes a big league than milks it slowly for a grinding victory. It must be noted that NFL favs of -13 or more have stayed UNDER the total 9 straight times with a total of 48 or less points . The Bears are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a TD-plus road dog when they are off a loss and facing a team that had more regular season wins the previous season with the combined average score clicking at 36.2 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 UNDER  L/13 in home games vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game in the second half of the season with t a combined average of 31.4 ppg scored. NFL team against the total like Philadelphia  - after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, in November games are 35-11 under L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-17 | Titans v. Colts +3.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -115 | 67 h 42 m | Show | |
The Tennessee Titans will bring with them a  nine-year losing streak at Lucas Oil Stadium when they visit the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon losing SU 9 straight times .Both teams will be well rested entering the Week 12 matchup. The Colts are coming off a bye and have not played since Nov. 12, when they lost 20-17 to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Titans will play on  nine days' rest after a Thursday night matchup in Week 11 in which they were embarrassed in a 40-17 loss to the Steelers, and showed me their an over rated team . Meanwhile, Colts quarterback Jacoby Brissett is expected to make his 10th start. He began the week in the NFL's concussion protocol . The Indy man under center has actually been impressive and has allowed his team to cover 3 straight games. It must also be noted that the Colts are 10-0 ATs L/10 in the first of consecutive divisional games. I know the Titans took the first meeting between these teams but with revenge on board I'm betting in a reversal of fortunes. TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS  L/8 when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games vs. struggling  teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS  L/8 vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season.INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS L/9 after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games. TENNESSEE is 8-23 ATS (L/31 against conference opponents. TENNESSEE is 6-15 ATS  L/21 in road lined games. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (INDIANAPOLIS) - revenging a loss against opponent, off a cover where the team lost as an underdog are 33-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indianapolis to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Central Michigan +6.5 v. CS Bakersfield | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Final Rnd - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK Central Mich lost two of its top contributors offensively from last season, but the replacements and supporting cast are even better. Central Mich was picked to finish 11th last season, and did much better than the prognosticators thought, and this years version is even better. The Roadrunner's lost 4 of their top 5 scorers' from last season, and despite of being dangerous are still over rated as they must contend with chemistry issues. With that said, take the points with Central Michigan. C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS  after allowing 60 points or less over the last few seasons. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points lime Central Mich - good offensive team from last season - scored 77 or more points/game are 91-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Mich to cover |
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11-25-17 | Clippers v. Kings +4.5 | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are retooling and rebuilding ,but have protected their home court well, and have  won four of their past five at Golden 1 Center. Meanwhile, the LA Clippers, just ended a 9 game losing streak vs the lowly Atlanta Hawks, but overall have struggled mightily and don't deserve to road favs here of almost 5 points. That above mentioned losing streak included a season-ending injury to guard Patrick Beverley, a defensive specialist and has really hurt the Clippers. With that said, I'm betting on the Kings being very competitive tonight and getting us the all important cover. Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Kings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (SACRAMENTO) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more), after scoring 110 points or more are 114-47 SU dating back 21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Flames v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
 Calgary enters this game on tired legs and will not have the energy to run and gun, and instead I expect a game played by them in transition. After allowing 1 goal in back to back games, the Flames lost a 6-4 battle last time out, and will now also be out to pay more attention to their defense. Meanwhile, the Avalanche have played their best defensive hockey at home this season, allowing just 2.4 gpg, and pitched a shut out last time as hosts, and defense I'm betting will be their key priority tonight . With that said, I'm recommending we take an under stance here. CALGARY is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average o f 4.5 gpg going on the scoreboard. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CALGARY) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-25-17 | Cal Poly +4.5 v. Idaho | 66-75 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Final Rnd - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK HC Callero and company are on my watch list of up trending teams. Since making the NCAA tournament in 2014 everything has gone down hill for this program, thanks to key injuries whsihc resulted in shooting issues last season. Now healthy and ready to move in the right direction again this group may surprise some pundits this season, and tonight I won't be surprised if they win vs Idaho SU. CAL POLY-SLO is 33-18 ATSÂ Â L/51Â in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog Play on Cal Poly Slo to cover |
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11-25-17 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 229.5 | 95-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors and the Pelicans will be playing their second game in two nights. Each is coming off a win on Friday and both will be on tired legs, and not ready or capable to run and gun. These teams did partake in a 128-120 slugfest in their first meeting this season, at New Orleans that Golden State won, but this time around , I expect a more conservative approach from the Pelicans. It must be noted that new Orleans has held their last two opponents to 91 points or less. On the flipside I'm betting  Golden State underrated D , ranked 9th in the league in efficiency to stand tall and to slow down Pelicans stars Cousins and Davis . With the above scenarios playing out, I expect a score that does not eclipse the total. NEW ORLEANS is 33-19 UNDER  L/51 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent with a combined average of 207.1 ppg going on the board. GOLDEN STATE is 20-7 UNDER L/27 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread with a combined average of 213.1 ppg going on the board. NBA team (GOLDEN STATE) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 47-12 L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for totals bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 30-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for totals bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 34-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-25-17 | Celtics -2 v. Pacers | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics (17-3), who have won 17 of 18 including a 118-103 win on Friday night against Orlando, travel to Indiana on Saturday as short road chalk . The Pacers have been playing strong ball, but last night were taken to the brink , eking out a 107-104 victory. Now on tired legs I'm betting they will have problems, dealing with what my own power rankings suggest is the superior side.Note: Pacers are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Celtics are 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win. BOSTON is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season and 8-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season.BOSTON is 13-2 ATS  L/15 in road games against Central division opponents. Home underdogs (INDIANA) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, in November games are 11-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Texas A&M +10 v. LSU | 21-45 | Loss | -115 | 60 h 57 m | Show | |
LSU showed me their vulnerabilities when they lost to Troy on Sept. 30 to fall to 3-2 on the season. I know they have played much better of late, but I'm still not sold on HC Ed Orgeron and company . Meanwhile, Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin is on the hot seat and really needs a win and a competitive showing here today. QUOTE: "I came here to Texas A&M to win football games," Sumlin said. "What we do and how we've done it has been the right way. It will continue to be the right way."END QUOTE. He is a quality coach and top tier recruiter, and I respect his abilities a lot, and I'm betting he has the Aggies ready to compete tonight vs a opponent that despite of a recent 5-0 ATS run is just 4 -16 ATS at home as a favorite off a win. LSU is 2-10 ATS  L/12 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins . CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Texas A&M - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 67-31 ATS  L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Magic +6 v. 76ers | 111-130 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
 The Philadelphia 76ers and the visiting  Orlando Magic on Saturday night are two teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. The Sixer's have won 4 of their L/5 while Orlando has lost 7 straight. However, despite of their current runs, my own cross reference players and systems matchup statistics actually favor the downtrodden dog to cover. Orlando has won 4 straight meetings here in Philly and I'm betting this desperate team won't go easily in this tilt. 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, on Saturday games are 67-35 ATS L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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11-25-17 | Spurs -1 v. Hornets | 106-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets come in to this  back-to-back situation vs the visiting  San Antonio Spurs in a letdown situation after an emotional and physical grueling 100-99 loss last night to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Meanwhile, the Spurs, are off 2 straight days off an will be energized for this tilt. With that said, I'm recommending we back a Spurs side that owns a one-sided season series 40-15 record, including  five of their last six visits to Charlotte. CHARLOTTE is 21-35 ATS L/56 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.Hornets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days. are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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11-25-17 | Oregon State v. Oregon -25 | 10-69 | Win | 100 | 58 h 26 m | Show | |
Last season Oregon State took out Oregon by a 34-24 count in their last game of the season, which resulted on the Ducks not getting a bowl bid. It was ugly, and the boosters were in a nasty mood. Now with redemption at hand, and the no mercy rule, thrown out, I expect the Ducks to come out here looking to annihilate their opponent. When their top tier QB Justin Herbert has been under center this season the Ducks average around 48 points per game in offense, as was the case last week in a beat down of pretty good looking Arizona side by a 48-28 count.  I expect at least that many points today for Oregon in a complete game one sided victory vs the beavers 118 ranked D, that is allowing 466 YPG. OREGON ST is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in road games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game losing SU by an average of 28.6 ppg. Play on Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Northern Kentucky v. Memphis UNDER 145 | 74-76 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Memphis allowed 62 and 52 points in their L/2 games at home, and it looks very much like playing a strong brand of D along with conservative disciplined hoops will be the name of the game this year for the Tigers. Meanwhile, N.Kentucky has allowed 68 ppg on the season, and also have an aggressive offense.  What I'm betting on today is the Tigers knowing the offensive capabilities of N.Kentucky will be primed to play a tough defensive slow down type of basketball, in an effort to keep the visitors from flowing. This in turn , will make for a much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate.  MEMPHIS is 8-0 UNDER   in home games on Saturday games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 131.4 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread which happened last time out. Play on the UNDER |
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11-25-17 | Georgia Southern +6 v. UL-Lafayette | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 4 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern after being completely asleep at the proverbial wheel, all season long, finally woke up last week, and decided to go on a rampage by destroying South Alabama by a 52-0 count as underdogs. Now behind a revived running game that averaged 5.4 ypg last week, I expect they use the momentum of that win to come out and take down another opponent. Needless to say , interim HC Chad Lundsford ability to wake these kids from their naps, makes me feel confident they can answer the bell again vs a UL Lafayette football program that has been highly inconsistent this season and just 2-2 in their L/4 overall. With that said,  I'm recommending we take the points . Note: UL Lafayette is just 3-13 ATS L/16 as home favorites. By the way I know the Georgia Southern D, has been porous at times this season, but LA LAFAYETTE is just  3-13 ATS L/16  in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 6.25 or more  yards/play and 7-18 ATS  L/25 in home games when playing against a lower tier team with a win % of .250 or less. LA LAFAYETTE is 1-11 ATS  L/12 in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2. CFB  Road underdogs like Georgia Southern  - with a lower tier defense - allowing 6.1 or more yards/play, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 80-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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11-25-17 | Michigan State v. Rutgers +13 | 40-7 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 50 m | Show | |
In between some ugly performances Rutgers has actually played some decent ball this season, and from time to time have looked competitive as wins vs Purdue, Illinois, and Maryland would suggest. Meanwhile, their visiting opponents the  Spartans are not the type of team that crushes their opponents, against even those sides that have looked inferior , and have no wins of 10 points or more in conference play this season. I'm betting Rutgers elevates their game looking for an upset and DAntonio and company do what they do best, grind out a slow sleepy win. With that said ,I'm recommending we take the points. MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS L/7 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). MICHIGAN ST is 0-8 ATS  L/8 as a road favorite .MICHIGAN ST is 4-15 ATS  L/19 in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games. CFB home team vs. the money line like RUTGERS - off 2 consecutive road losses, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 29-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line like Rutgers - off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 30-6 SU L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Alabama v. Auburn +5 | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 80 h 15 m | Show | |
It must be noted that this Alabama group is banged up right now with key defensive deficiencies. Yes, the Tide are deep and another 5 star recruit takes over for the injured player, but theirs a reason why one guy got the start over the other guy. Needless to say, as was the case last week against Mississippi State , the Tide, are currently short handed, and their offense is still not as fluid as it needs to be and must add they are not unbeatable. Despite of my great respect for the Tide, the Auburn football program they play today, are hitting their stride, and looking very much like a contender for the National Championship. Since their early season hard fought loss to Clemson, the offense has jelled ,  and comes in on a roll, scoring 40 points or more in seven of its last eight games.The Auburn defensive front has also been amazing, and are run stoppers extroidnare – as was the case vs Georgia ( 46 yards) and have not allowed 200  rushing yards on the year – and their secondary is equally brilliant as was evident against stud QB Nick Fitzgerald and the Mississippi State as they held him  under a  35% completion rate. In a tilt that could mark a changing in the guard in the SEC , I'm betting Auburn gets us the cover, and are a strong candidate to do the unthinkable , get the outright upset vs Alabama. This game has the feel of a late FG decision, making getting points with Auburn a viable investment option. AUBURN is 14-1 ATS  L/15 in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game and 10-1 ATS  L/11  in home games vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game. Nick Saban in his history as a coach has never beaten a .750 or better Auburn squad going 0-4 SU lifetime. CFB home underdogs like Auburn  that have scored 40 or more points in each of their L/3 tilts, and facing a team off a win by 3 or more points are a bankroll expanding 20-4 ATS L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line like AUBURN - an excellent offensive team (34 PPG or more) against an excellent defensive team (16 PPG or less) after 7+ games, after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games are 25-6 for a 81% conversion rate dating back 25 seasons. Play on the Auburn Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Hofstra -3 v. Siena | 76-85 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
Hofstra has depth with their perimeter shooting, and are working hard on getting their defense on par with their offense. They are off two consecutive games vs a top tier opponents Clemson and Auburn, and played very well in their last game vs a offensive minded Auburn side. Tonight against a Siena  program that lost 4 of their top 5 sorcerers from last season, the Pride have an edge and from a defensive perspective as they face a group that has looked unbalanced this season, allowing 86,91, 115 points in their L/3games all losses. Hofstra is the type of team that can take advantage of  this kind of porous defence, and have a edge here in a line I have set at closer to 6.5 to 7 points favoring Hofstra. HOFSTRA is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread CBB team like Siena  - after allowing 80 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game are 35-74 SU for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hofstra to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Boston College v. Syracuse +3.5 | 42-14 | Loss | -105 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
Both starting QBs for Boston College and their hosts Syracuse are expected to miss todays game. Boston without QB Anthony Brown have proven over an over again, that without him under center , moving the ball is like moving a 2000lb rock, which I'm betting will be their downfall today. Add to that Boston College already has a Bowl game locked up, and probably looking ahead to greener pastures , and you have a situation where the home dog will be motivated to prove they are better than some of their recent results suggest and finish off their season on a high note in front of their own alumni. Note: With Dungey out a QB for the Orange , they will concentrate on pounding the ball on the ground, and with that said,  it must be noted that BC has allowed 5 ypc, this season and are vulnerable via the opposing ground game. BC has covered on 5 of their L/21 as a road fav vs a team off consecutive losses. CFB home team vs. the money line like Syracuse - off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 30-6 SU L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. ( Louisville clobbered Syracuse 56-10 last time out) .\ Play on Syracuse to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-17 | Nevada -11.5 v. Hawaii | 67-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Nevada is picking off where they left off last season, and proving that they are the front runners for the Mountain West Conference and another NCAA tournament invite. They Pack have won 5 straight and proven resilient in the past when playing against another  team with a winning record like their hosts Hawaii,  going 18-4 ATS L/22 and 8-0 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 or more free throws/game.NEVADA is also 12-1 ATS  L/13 after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and 6-0 ATS   in road games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games . I'm recommending we take Nevada to continue to roll. Play on Nevada to cover |
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11-24-17 | Florida v. Gonzaga +3 | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
PK 80 INVITATIONAL - Round 2 - Moda Center - Portland, OR The first ranked matchup of the Phil Knight Invitational comes between No. 7 Florida and No. 17 Gonzaga in the second round of the "Motion" bracket of the Phil Knight 80 Invitational on Friday. It's never easy for a east coast team to play out west, especially a team that resides in this part of the country. After watching Gonzaga (4-0) cruise in their its first-round game, and easily defeating Ohio State 86-59 its has become obvious to me that they are going to be a force to be reckoned with again this season, despite of the new faces. GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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11-24-17 | Raptors -1.5 v. Pacers | 104-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
Toronto had won four in a row until a 41-10 third-quarter meltdown in Madison Square Garden last time out saw them go down to defeat by a 108-100 score. Nothing surprises me in the NBA anymore, and even consistent sides like the Raptors fall into these types of lapses. Today, however, I expect Canada's only NBA team to come back looking for redemption vs a Indiana side they matchup very well against. I know Indiana has won four in a row and surprised a couple of teams as underdogs, but tonight, they won't sneak up on anyone, and will have the full attention of their dangerous hosts. Toronto has  won nine of the last 11 meetings after taking two of three last season.Raptors are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Indiana. INDIANA is 1-12 ATS L/13 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog .INDIANA is 9-22 ATS  L/31 off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Indiana - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 6-26 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams like Toronto - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog are 26-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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11-24-17 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Hornets and the Cavaliers meet again at Friday in Cleveland. both teams are on winning streaks. The last time these two sides played each other 222 combined points went on the board in a 115 -107 Cleveland win. Controlling or at least slowing LeBron James is critical to holding down the explosiveness of the Cavaliers, and the Hornets I'm betting will focus their attention on him, and playing better overall defense on the whole especially here on the road behind the 12th ranked pace in the league .QUOTE: "His big, big nights, which he's had against us, it's going to be the fast-break baskets, the second-chance baskets and the cuts," Clifford said prior to Cleveland's 115-107 win over the Hornets on Nov. 15. "That's how he gets from, he's averaging 28, that's how he's going to get to 38. You know, if you do a good job on those, then you hope he gets 28. You control what you can control but again, the great, great ones, you've got to take those other easy ones away." END QUOTE: With that said, Cleveland has been playing fast and furious of late, but the old guys now will be on tired legs, as they play their 8th game in 13 days, and with Charlotte looking to slow this game down, I'm betting on point production output in this tilt to me more muted than what might expect. CHARLOTTE is 25-11 UNDER L/36 revenging a home loss vs opponent with a combined average of 200 ppg going on the board. NBA team like Charlotte - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or less), dominant rebounding team (+5.5 reb/game or more ) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 53-24 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 695 conversion rate for totals bettors.  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like Charlotte - after 3 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for 81% conversion rare for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-24-17 | Canucks v. Devils -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Devils are 3-3-4 since knocking off Vancouver 2-0 on Nov. 1 . Now they get another crack a team that they matchup well against. New Jersey G Cory Schneider is 5-1-2 against his former team and the Devils have won six straight overall versus the Canucks. I know the Canucks are off a big win last time out upsetting the Stanley Cup champs 5-2 on their own home ice. But now after that behemoth effort I'm betting the Canucks are in letdown mode. Note: Canucks are 7-26 in their last 33 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game and 1-4 on the moneyline off a win. Meanwhile, the Devils are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Play on the NJ Devils to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-17 | New Mexico +17.5 v. TCU | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
EMERALD COAST CLASSIC - Semifinals - The Arena at NW FL ST - Niceville, FL New Mexico snagged the coach of New Mexico State in the off season Paul Weir. In his lone season a coach, he took the Aggies to the NCAA Tournament and procured a 28-6 record on the season. Weir has an unproven roster, and they are a wait and see type of program at the moment, but tonight on a neutral court I believe they run and gun Lobos are being underestimated in their ability to cover vs a TCU side, that according to my own power rankings should be a 10 point favorite at most . TCU is 2-9 ATS  L/11  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% more of their attempts. NEW MEXICO is 35-19 ATS  L/54  in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%).TCU is 4-13 ATS  L/17 after playing 2 consecutive home games and 14-28 ATS L/42  in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins . Play on New Mexico to cover |
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11-24-17 | Winthrop +14.5 v. Auburn | 85-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Winthrop is a spoiler type team that finished 71st in RPI last season and made it the NCAA tournament. With a key player like Cooks in their lineup, this program will once again challenge for the Big South championship. Meanwhile, Auburn under Bruce Pearl remains a entertaining team, without actually making a run in post season play . The Tigers have talent, but the problem seems to be staying focused in the defensive end . That I'm betting will be their downfall tonight vs a feisty side. Play on Winthrop to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-17 | Western Carolina v. Texas-Arlington -15 | 65-89 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
 Western Carolina is really over matched here , on paper and as far as talent goes. This is a mismatch of mammoth proportions and if anything Arlington is not a getting the respect they deserve. With that said, lay the points. TX-ARLINGTON is 11-3 ATS L/14 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%).TX-ARLINGTON is 13-2 ATS L/15 when playing only their 3rd game in a week Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick Texas Arlington - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, in November games 31-9 ATS L/40 L/20 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Texas Arlington to cover |
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11-24-17 | Western Kentucky v. SMU UNDER 137 | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
BATTLE 4 ATLANTIS - Final Rnd - Imperial Arena at Atlantis Resort - Nassau W KENTUCKY is 21-9 UNDERÂ L/30Â in road games in November games. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (W KENTUCKY) - off an upset win as an underdog, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 50-20 UNDER L/70 for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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11-24-17 | Loyola-Chicago v. NC-Wilmington +4 | 102-78 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
UNC Wilmington under new head coach  McGrath  and former assistant at North Carolina ( national champs) after mentoring under Roy Williams, brings instant creditability to this up trending side, that made it to the NCAA tourney last year. He changed up the Seahawks style of play but I'm pretty sure they will remain competitive in the Colonial. As far as today goes, their opponents Loyola Chicago are team with a good starting 5 , but lack depth , something Wilmington has. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points. Loyola Chicago HC Moser is 2-12 ATS  L/14 as a neutral court favorite or pick in all games. Play on NC Wilmington to cover |
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11-24-17 | Iowa v. Nebraska +3.5 | 56-14 | Loss | -102 | 56 h 54 m | Show | |
HC Mike Riley is most likely on the way out of the door at Nebraska. However, the old ball coach has a little something left in his proverbial tank, and I'm betting he motivates his downtrodden team to a cover here at home, vs a Iowa football program, that looks to be living on their laurels of a recent upset win vs Ohio State. Since that monumental win the Hawkeyes have lost two straight and have been outscored by a combined 62-29 count. I know Nebraska has also lost two straight but in the past have proven resilient from a ATS standpoint cashing 13 of his L/14 after consecutive losses. NEBRASKA is 29-9 ATS L/38 after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.NEBRASKA is 15-3 ATS L/18 after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game.NEBRASKA is 21-8 ATS  L/29 after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game. ( Last week the Cornhuskers lost 55-44 to Penn State) Play on Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-17 | South Florida +11 v. Central Florida | 42-49 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show | |
South Florida (9-1)  and UCF (10-0) according to my own power rankings and cross reference matchup systems are very evenly matched and  the point spread should be much closer to a one possession spread . With the pressure of staying undefeated a deterrent for UCF, this situation also offers up an opportunity for a strong dog to pull off what would not be a surprising upset. South Florida has conclusively beaten UCF in their L/2 meetings, and today I'm betting they get us the cover on a bloated line again. My own projections estimate that S.Florida will score between 22-28 points which is a good omen , considering the Bulls are 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games when they score 22 to 28 points. CFB Road underdogs like SOUTH FLORIDA - in a game involving two excellent rushing teams (4.8 YPR or more), after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 87-37 L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs like SOUTH FLORIDA - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 25-6 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. South Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-17 | Rider +3 v. Cal-Irvine | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Rider is a team with a lot of size and despite of losing key scorers from last season remain a dangerous side behind a solid D, that plays differently than a lot of teams in the MAAC where they reside. UC Irvine plays a hard defensive type of basketball, but this Rider team is tough under glass and in the paint, and will over power UC Irvine . Note: Cal Irvines HC Turner is 14-30 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. UC-IRVINE is 0-8 ATS  L/8 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5 . Play on Rider to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-17 | College of Charleston v. Sam Houston State UNDER 133 | 59-49 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
GREAT ALASKA SHOOTOUT - Round 2 - Alaska Airlines Center - Anchorage, AK My College Hoops Totals calculations use a formula I have used for the L/16 years, and take into consideration player and systems ratings, and past trends, and the most recent performance numbers. Neutral court teams against the total (SAM HOUSTON ST) - in a game involving two poor shooting teams (40-42.5%) are 80-40 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.  Play UNDER |
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11-23-17 | Giants +7.5 v. Redskins | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
After watching a motivated  victory crumble  into a crushing overtime defeat Sunday at New Orleans, the Redskins come into this game in an emotional let down situation, and are now at a disadvantage vs a NY Giants team off a rousing OT win vs KC last week. Add to that the redskins are banged up , After placing four players on injured reserve Tuesday, and  will not even attempt a full practice before the game.  You can smell trouble brewing on the field for them this week. Look for Eli Manning and company who is  17-8 SU  as a starter against Washington to be a catalyst this week. He has completed 493 of 841 passes (59 percent) for 5,934 yards with 28 touchdowns and 23 interceptions vs. the Redskins. He will go against a  Redskins' defense has fallen to 31st in points allowed per game. NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. in the second half of the season dating back a few seasons.WASHINGTON is 13-28 ATS  L/41 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. The Redskins are 0-18 ATS L/18 as a FG-plus favorite when they are off a road game and facing a team that has forced 4.5 or fewer punts per game. Five of those 18 games were straight up wins , with only two coming by 3 points. The Giants are 14-0 ATS and 12-2 SU off a home game in which they rushed the ball at least ten more times than their season-to-date average. NFL Underdogs or pick like the Giants - after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, struggling team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 50-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Giants to cover |
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11-23-17 | Kansas State v. Arizona State +4 | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Arizona States HC Hurley one the greatest point guards in NCCAA history is ultra competitive and now in his third year as the head man, is ready to bolt his team to the next level. This group jelled over the summer in trip to Italy and Spain, and have chemistry and more versatility than the pundits might have expected . Both themselves and their opponents Kansas State are 4-0 on the season, and both are pretty evenly matched, thus taking points makes a a golden opportunity. Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-17 | Butler +3 v. Texas | 48-61 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
My own line and projections make this an evenly matched pickem, thus getting points is a viable wagering opportunity. This will be the Longhorns first real test of the season, after playing three fluffy games to start their season vs lower tier opposition. BUTLER is 7-0 ATS  L/7 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last couple of  seasons and is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game .BUTLER is 10-1 ATS L/11 when the line is +3 to -3 . TEXAS is 8-19 ATs L/27 as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Take the points with Butler to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-17 | St. Joe's v. Washington State +9 | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
This Wash St team only won 6 games last season, but have won 3 already this season. Cougars HC Kents recruiting looks like its been spot on. He has a group that can get up and down the floor in a hurry, and according to my own cross reference players /teams rankings match up very well vs St.Josephs. Take the points with Washington State |
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11-23-17 | Chargers -2 v. Cowboys | 28-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
Chargers HC Lynn, who played high school football at Texas small-town powerhouse Celina and college football at Texas Tech, said it's one of the two biggest days in the NFL season. So you can imagine how hopped up he is to be here and what a win would mean to him vs the banged up staggering Cowboys. Los Angeles has won four of its last six, and playing at a high level and must be respected here a short road favorites. Meanwhile, Dallas Star running back Ezekiel Elliott (suspension), All-Pro left tackle Tyron Smith (back, groin) and the most important part  of the defense, linebacker Sean Lee (hamstring), are all out of the lineup making Dallas fade material today. LA CHARGERS is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games.DALLAS is 0-6 ATS   in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games losing SU by an average of 10 ppg. Chargers are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Dallas. NFL Home teams like Dallas - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game are 16-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Chargers to cover |
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11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | 30-23 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions were the last team to beat the red hot Minnesota Vikings, back in in Minnesota on Oct 1 ( 14-7). The Lions matchup well against the Vikings according to my own power rankings, as Detroit is bidding for its third sweep of the season series in four years. I'm recommending we take the points with the home team here today on thanksgiving day. DETROIT is 8-1 ATSÂ L/9 in November games over the last few seasons.MINNESOTA is 26-43 ATSÂ L/69Â as a road favorite. The Lions are 12-0 ATS/SUÂ on turf when the line is within 3 of pick and they are off a win in which they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards winning SU by an average of 9.17 ppg and covering by more than 8.79 ppg. The Vikings are 0-14 ATSÂ / 3-11 SUÂ on the road off a TD-plus win in which they did not score in the first quarter with the 3 SUÂ Â wins coming by 3, 3 and 4 points. NFL team LIONS- mistake-free team ( 1.25 TO/GÂ or less committed) vs a team with 1.25 TO/GÂ or less forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 39-15 ATS for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 24 seasons. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-17 | Lakers -1 v. Kings | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
The Lakers (8-10) enter into this tilt vs Sacramento off their second straight win. Last night  Los Angeles posted a 103-94 home victory over the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday in a come from behind effort and very much look to be the superior team entering this tilt. Last night they controlled the boards , with a  54-39 rebounding advantage, and are currently ranked 4th in the NBA . thanks to those efforts the Lakers defensive rating, has them ranked 4th as well , as their top tier abilities fly under the radar of most pundits. Meanwhile, the Kings do not rebound well as is evident by giving up 7.8 more per game than their opponents, for last place in the  NBA. With Sacramento also expected to play its third straight game without second-leading scorer Buddy Hield (11.6 points per game), they are at a disadvantage tonight from multiple perspectives including their ability to outscore an opponent behind a lowly 93.2 points per game which is the worst output in the NBA. SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS  L/9 vs lower tier  defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season (this is mostly because of their won lack of scoring power) NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lakers - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, in November games are 71-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-17 | Bulls +9 v. Jazz | 80-110 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
The Bulls and Jazz enter this game both struggling. Both are desperate for wins, and both I expect will play hard tonight. The Jazz have dropped eight of their past 10 games, including a 107-86 road loss against the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday and without top tier center Rudy Gobert look like a key component has their usually well disciplined team  in disarray . Meanwhile, visiting  Chicago is 0-2 on a four-game trip after losing  by a 103-94 count to the Los Angeles Lakers last night. The Bulls threw away a 19-point second-half lead against the Lakers, which was embarrassing for them. Like the call from the French revolution, which said " Heads Will roll". That's exactly the situation now in Bulls land, and this group of players need to stand up and get some respect for themselves immediately . These are professionals that  know that this will have an adverse financial  effect on their careers going forward and how they are looked as players if they don't bounce  back and make amends for that ugly 2nd half effort last night. The Bulls won both of last season's meetings and have prevailed in three straight meetings and are my pick to cover here. Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Jazz are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. NBA Road underdogs like Chicago- off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing on back-to-back days are 67-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-17 | Sharks -134 v. Coyotes | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Coyotes are on  a three-game winning streak for the first time all season, but I'm betting that abruptly comes to end tonight vs the San Jose Sharks. After playing 12 of their L/15 games on the road, I'm sure the desert dogs will be happy to be home. However with that said, after spending that much time away, getting acclimated to there own digs may take a little time. Add to that home has not been so sweet for the Coyotes this season, as their 1-6-1 record as hosts would indicate and you have a recipe for catastrophic failure. Look for and expect Sharks Goaltender Martin Jones (8-5-1) with a 2.11 goals-against average and .926 save percentage to be key to the Sharks victory in this spot. Sharks are 20-7 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. ARIZONA is 0-11 ATS L/11 after having won 3 of their last 4 games over and 0-9 ATS  after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games .ARIZONA is 1-10 ATS  L/11 after a 3 game unbeaten streak losing SU by an average of 1.9 gpg. ARIZONA is 12-40 ATS L/52 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). NHL team against the money line Arizona  - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, lower tier team, winning 30% or less of their games in the first half of the season are 3-22 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 88% for bettors. Play on the San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-17 | Spurs v. Pelicans -1.5 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
 New Orleans owns a 4-0 ATS l/4 mark at home in this series. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS L/5 road games.Home team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. The Spurs have failed to cover 9 of the L/12 meetings in this series. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 29-4 SU for a 88% SU conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. Play on New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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11-22-17 | Miami-OH +11 v. Tulane | 59-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
 Miami O under a new head coach former assistant at Purdue Jack Owens isa side I'm going to keep an eye on going forward. Just like his mentor at Purdue (Painter) hard work and top tier defense first basketball will be the name of the game. There are some decent hardworking seniors on board, and versatile group that is hard working blue collar types. Their a feisty crew and here as underdogs have merits that I can back on a DD underdog line. Meanwhile, Tulane -was a 6 win team last season, and played to that level, they are improving, but I'm not buying this 11 point line the odds makers have placed on this tilt. TULANE is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less and  10-21 ATS  when playing against a team with a winning record. Play on Miami Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-17 | Senators v. Capitals -130 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
The Senators enter this game in a funk and have lost three straight games, scoring three goals in the process. In their most recent tilt, they had a season-low 20 shots on goal in a 3-0 loss to the New York Rangers on Sunday and I'm betting things don't get much better here tonight vs their hosts the Washington Capitals.  In November at home, Braden Holtby has recorded a 5-1-0 record, a 1.96 goals-against average and a .938 save % .Holtby is 7-3-1 with a 2.08 GAA and a .932 save percentage versus Ottawa. Ovechkin has 26 goals and 17 assists versus Ottawa, including an opening night hat trick in a 5-4 victory Oct. 5 and will be the catalyst behind a Capitals win tonight. OTTAWA is 2-7 ATS  L/9 against lower tier  defensive teams -allowing 29 shots on goal or more , and convert 17% or more pp this season. Senators are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Washington.Senators are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-17 | Bruins v. Devils -110 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Bruins are pretty banged up entering this game as HC Cassidy said the he will not have Brad Marchand, Torey Krug, Anders Bjork and Adam McQuaid because of injuries in the lineup tonight. Also after coming off a west coast road trip, I'm expecting the Bruins who are fifth in the Atlantic Division -- 12th overall in the Eastern Conference and 25th in the NHLÂ to be a little tired tonight, giving the home team the edge. Boston has not been able to take advantage of teams that allow 3+ goals/game this season like the Devils going 0-5 ATS . Bruins are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference and 0-4 L/4 vs Metro division. Bruins are 1-9 in their last 10 games following a win.Devils are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Atlantic.Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. NHL favorite against the money line like NJ - off a road win by 1 goal, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a losing record in the first half of the season are 43-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Devils to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-17 | Bulls +6 v. Lakers | 94-103 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a tilt of 2 fairly evenly matched teams, with home court advantage worth 3 points according to my own cross reference power rankings. Thus in a game I have pegged at close to one possession or 2 possession game, the Bulls  have an edge based on the numbers being offered by the sportsbooks both in Vegas and off shore. I will not be surprised at all if the Bulls pull of the SU upset here vs a Lakers team that should be on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 13 days. LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS L/29 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. LAKERS are 6-21 ATS  L/27 after playing 2 consecutive home games.CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots. NBA teams like Chicago have done well from a SU perspective vs NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the LAKERS- off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team winning SU 21 of the L/35 times for a 60% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons. NBA Home favorites like the Lakers - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. 61-111 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of more than 64% for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-17 | Davidson +6 v. Nevada | 68-81 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Davidson after depending way to much on two key players last season, had a down campaign, but with recruiting remaining strong, they should be more versatile and explosive this season, as was evident in their first two games when they scoried 108 and 110 points. Nevada is a fine team, but Davidson I'm betting gives them a big time battle, making getting the points golden. CBB team (NEVADA) - off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games 9-21 SU L/30 dating back 20 seasons. Play on Davidson to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-17 | Oilers v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Blues play a defensive minded style of hockey that works best in transition. Consistent goal tending and disciplined hockey, make them very hard to score against , as their 7th ranked GAA would indicate . Meanwhile, the Edmonton Oilers, a side with some big offensive names on their roster, ie (McDavid) are a side that is concentrating on playing much better defense, especially on the road thanks to their overall offense not being as productive as expected , ranking a lowly 29th in the league. The Oilers played a sloppy game last time out, losing 6-3, and their coach Todd McLellan was not happy with their performance. QUOTE: "The goalies have to be better, the defense, the forwards, the coaches have to be better," coach Todd McLellan told the Edmonton Sun. "None of us have lived up to where we need to be and that's why we're where we are in the standings. "I'm not going to single out the goaltender. It's team-wide. END QUOTE: I'm expecting a more disciplined approach from this Oilers group tonight in a game I expect to remain on the low side of the number.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Under is 20-5-3 in Blues last 28 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4-2 in Blues last 15 vs. Pacific.Under is 11-4-1 in Oilers last 16 games playing on 2 days rest. Road teams where the total is 5.5 like EDMONTON - revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more, a struggling team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-17 | Samford v. Valparaiso -10 | 67-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Valparaiso won 3 straight Horizon league championships behind the duo of Tevonn Walker and Max Joseph, both from Montreal Canada. They lead their college programs in Canada winning the Vanier Cup as well, and now here now in the Missouri Valley Conference they prepare to make another run at a championship. Look for a  group that knows how to win to run rough shot over a Samford side trying to figure out a guard heavy style of play. CBB team like SAMFORD - mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 17-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate 67% for bettors. Play on Valparaiso to cover |
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11-21-17 | Alabama A&M +39.5 v. Minnesota | 57-100 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
Donnie Marsh the HC of Alabama A&M takes over a team with the worst RPI in the nation last season. That is in part why this chalk line is this big. This is a hard working group, with some size, and I'm betting they stay within the number here and get the cover vs a Big 10 program Minnesota. Alabama A&M will face its second straight Top 25 team after losing 104-67 at No. 25 Alabama on Friday. Alabama A&M has hit 15 3-pointers and shot .500 from beyond the arc in its past two games. Johnson has four of the 3s and are capable of back door cover here. Play on the Alabama A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-17 | UCLA v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 72-70 | Loss | -126 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO Wisconsin will face No. 23 UCLA in the consolation game of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic on Tuesday night at Sprint Center. My won cross reference power rankings suggest that Wisconsin should be 4 point favs, and are the superior overall team at the moment with these rosters on the floor. UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18Â in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game
Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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11-21-17 | Western Carolina v. Massachusetts -13 | 76-85 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
UMass has played decently to this point in the season , and is on route to a quick turnaround after last years subpar results. McCall and company could surprise the pundits this season, and as far as tonight goes, very much over match a W Carolina group, that limps into this season, after suffering the injury bug last year, as key players such as Parks and Williams are still not 100%. Lay the points with UMASS. W CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS L/12 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less losing SU by an average of 24.6 ppg. W CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record winning SU by an average 29.4 ppg. W CAROLINA is 4-16 ATS L/20 as an underdog of 10 or more points .W CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points .
Play on UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-17 | Southern Illinois +16 v. Louisville | 42-84 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 54 m | Show | |
 After a single-digit win over 0-4 Omaha on Friday, No. 19 Louisville is facing a big step up in competition Tuesday night when Southern Illinois visits the KFC Yum! Center.. The Salukis (2-0) brought three starters and a host of role players back from last season's third-place Missouri Valley Conference team and have the edge on the line tonight. |
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11-20-17 | Blazers -2 v. Grizzlies | 100-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
The Portland Blazers go against a reeling Memphis Grizzlies  team that is playing with out point guard Mike Conely and on a current four game losing streak. Without Conely on the floor the team just doesn't seem to have consistent rhythm , and once again look like fade material in this spot. The Memphis D has also broken down and has allowed 100 or more points in eight of its past nine games. The Grizzlies went 1-7 in those games. It's also interesting to note that despite of appearances of a Grizzlies side that can supposedly play uptempo basketball as well as defense, the numbers and data don;t support their prowess, as they rank 29th in the league in pace and 25th in offensive production. With that said, I'm fading them tonight and keeping a eye on them until they can right their sinking ship. MEMPHIS is 4-16 ATS  L/20 in home games off a home loss . NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like PORTLAND  - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 106-25 SU during the L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-20-17 | Devils +168 v. Wild | 4-3 | Win | 168 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
The NJ Devils may not inspire bettors but their ( TRAP)Â style of play matches up well against the Wild, a team that flows in transition. I know the Devils are in a funk, but the Wild are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.The Devils have also had good outcomes vs the Wild of late winning the L/4 meetings and are 2-0 in the L/2 meetings here in Minnesota. Play on the NJ Devils to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-20-17 | Cavs -2 v. Pistons | 116-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Tyronn Lue's Cavaliers are starting to jell, as they are currently on a 4 game win streak. The victories have not been over powering, but they are getting the job done, behind a veteran crew that prefers a methodical game plan rather than a fast paced run and gun style game. After their recent come from behind victory vs the LA Clippers, key veteran Dwayne Wade said, QUOTE:"We're one of the oldest teams in the league. We're not built for all of this," Wade said. "We're built for when the game slows down -- and late in games, the game slows down, and that's kind of when we're at our best." END QUOTE. Tonight against a Motown group on tired legs as they play back to back after playing last night, I'm betting the tempo will be to the Cavaliers liking and give them a much needed edge. Detroit won a close grueling tilt last night, 100-97 score at Minnesota. Note: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like DETROIT- off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. DETROIT is 10-22 ATS  L/32 when the line is +3 to -3 . CLEVELAND is 13-4 ATS L/17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.DETROIT is 18-33 ATS  L/51 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread. Play on the Cleveland Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-20-17 | Jazz v. 76ers UNDER 212 | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
The Sixers are in a down mood and on tired legs after blowing a 24-point lead over the Golden State Warriors with 38 seconds into the second half on Saturday night.  The  explosive defending NBA champions outscored them 63-21 over the next 17:48 on their way to a 124-116 victory. Now trying to deal with a lack of defensive responsibility and being exhausted and in a emotional letdown state , I expect the 76ers aggressiveness to be muted, which result in a more conservative effort than the linesmakers are expecting. Meanwhile, their opponents the Utah Jazz are playing the finale of a 4 game road  trip and will also be on tired legs, and when called upon have been know to play hard core physical D, something I expect from them tonight. Note : The Jazz own the 5th best point allowed D in the league , the 24th ranked offensive rating, and the only 6 teams in the league play at a slower pace then they do. With that said, I'm recommending we take the under path tonight. UTAH is 37-18 UNDER  L/54 in road games versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106 or more points/game with the combined average score of 200.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.UTAH  in their L/10 road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) have seen a combined average score of 207.2 ppg go on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 UNDER L/21 against Northwest division opponents with a combined average of 201.1 ppg going on the board. NBA team like UTAH - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 46-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-20-17 | Creighton v. UCLA UNDER 171 | 100-89 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Semifinals - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO Two undefeated, high-scoring offenses square off as Creighton (3-0) faces No. 23 UCLA (3-0) in the first semifinal game of the 2017 CBE Hall of Fame Classic Monday night at Sprint Center in Kansas City, Mo. These are two heavy weights that can put points up on the board in a hurry, but as is usually the case when two big boys go head to head there is a wait see conservative period. With that look for both behemoths to be  vigilant and play disciplined defense first  basketball which I'm betting translates into a lower scoring game then the lines-makers estimate. It must also be noted that  UCLA, owns a whole new starting lineup five from last year. The top four scorers from last season are gone and the Bruins are still short-handed, as three top tier freshmen are suspended indefinitely following their arrest for shoplifting on a recent trip to China. In the Bruins only game vs decent basketball program they took part in a 63-60 physical affair. This one might not end up being played like that one , but I'm betting their won't be as many point going on the board as some might expect. CREIGHTON is 12-3 UNDER L/15 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts with the combined average score clicking in at 150 ppg. HC Alford of UCLA  is 28-10 UNDER   in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with the combined average score of 146.5ppg going on the board. Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 47-17 UNDER the L/21 seasons for a74% conversion rate for bettors.Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like CREIGHTON - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games are 24-5 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - in a tournament game, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better ) are 45-16 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.CBB Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 UCLA - undefeated on the season, in November games are 36-12 UNDER  L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Eagles v. Cowboys +4 | 37-9 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 13 m | Show | |
The Dallas Cowboys cannot really afford another loss, at this juncture of the season, and will be hell bent on taking out the red hot Philadelphia Eagles this Sunday night deep in the heart of Texas. Add to that the Cowboys have revenge on board for last seasons divisional play off loss, to these same Eagles and you have a hyped up and desperate side to back. It must be noted that the Cowboys are 7-0 ATS L/7 on Sundays playing with revenge with 6 of those games SU victories and are 31-16 ATS L/47 as home dogs. PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS  L/6 in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 or more yards/play.DALLAS is 34-18 ATS L/52 after a loss by 14 or more points which happened last time out. NFL Road favorites like Philadelphia  - excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after leading in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half are 19-45 ATS L/34 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors.  Play on the Dallas Cowboys to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Panthers v. Ducks -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
 Former Anaheim stars Teemu Selanne and Paul Kariya will be honored after their Hall of Fame inductions before the Ducks and Florida Panthers drop the puck so their is a bit more special meaning to this game for the Ducks and their fans. QUOTE: "I mean, you are talking about two legends right there, two guys we all grew up watching," said Roy, who grew up in Greenfield Park, Quebec, watching Selanne and Kariya work their magic. "The building is going to be electric for sure. We're all going to be skating with a little extra for those guys." END QUOTE: I know the Ducks are banged up with multiple injuries , but they are on 3 days rest, and have done well on fresh legs lately going 7-1 in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Meanwhile, the Panthers are tired as they play their 4th game in 6 days and are 0-5 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation and have played 6 games in 10 days, which is not a good omen for their chances, as they are 0-9 ATS L/ 9 in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days losing by an average of 2 gpg. I know Anaheim may not inspire bettors because of their current funk, but they are  8-0 ATS (+8.0 after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and viable bets here at home tonight behind their top tier goaltender John Gibson who is coming off a 42-save effort against Boston and now owns a 2.84 goals-against average and .920 save percentage on the season. Play on the Anaheim Ducks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Bulls +3 v. Suns | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Two franchises the Bulls and the Suns are going through rebuilding programs will meet today in Arizona.The Suns enter of a win vs the Lakers for the first time in three meetings and the Bulls took down Charlotte to end a five-game losing streak. When it comes to a direct cross reference player vs player and systems check, my own data suggests the Bulls are the superior team , which gives us value taking the points here in this spot.
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the SUNS - off an upset win as a road underdog, with a losing record 44-78 ATS for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Fordham +5 v. Tulane | 55-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
JAMAICA CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Montego Bay Convention Centre - Jamaica Jeff Neubauers Bronx crew ( Fordham) enter this season their a program that can finally give teams a run for their money and pull of upsets. That was not the mindset before this HC took over. Most recently they have beaten 9 of the 13 teams in the Atlantic 10, upsetting VCU in Rhode Island thanks to a stingy D and matchup very well vs todays opponent Tulane on a neutral court. TULANE is 1-10 ATS  L/11 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game. Neubauer is 25-7 ATS   in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less in all games he has coached in his career. Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like TULANE - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 5-25 ATS L/20 season for a go against conversion rate of 83% for bettors. Play on the Fordham to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Boise State +2 v. Iowa State | 64-75 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
PUERTO RICO TIP OFF - Final Rnd - HTC Center - Conway, SC Leon Rice has made this Boise State program a legitimate value line side, and have 20 or more wins in 6 of 7 seasons Rice has coached the team and have the best player sin the Mountain West on their side Chandler  Hutchinson ( 17.4 ppg). there are some changes but this team has tremendous work ethic can shoot darts from the perimeter. Meanwhile, Iowa State, despite of recent successes are a team in a rebuilding mode, after some key heavy player personel losses from last season, and it may take them time mature and jell this season with the younger group now on the floor. Right now Iowa State is fad material against this time of team in a wait see type situation. BOISE ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 after 3 consecutive non-conference games. Play on Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Samford +7.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 67-88 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Samford has 6 talented guards and must not be underestimated, after showing us their tenacity last season with a 20 win campaign. I'm betting they will have three point guards on the floor this afternoon and go small, which will give Wis Milwaukkee some problems. If they have to go big, they can do that also with the like s of 6'5 Denzel-Dyson and Cunningham at the post. A new head coach in Wis Milwaukee has many wondering how this program will form going forward with Baldwin at the helm, he inherits a side that finished last in the Horizon league standings last season that has hands full with the cupboard fairly empty.  I'm not sold on this team doing much this season and as far as being favs today, I expect they will be lucky to come out of this game with a win , little lone a cover.
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11-19-17 | Bucs v. Dolphins | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 90 h 4 m | Show | |
TB look like viable bets here as they come off a 15-10 win vs the Jets last week. I expect them to carry that  confidence of that victory here this week, into this tilt vs a Miami side that has been outgained in 7 of its L/9 games by an average of 66 ypg. The Fins are worse than their 4-5 record, and must not be over estimated in their ability to cover or win here even at home. The Fish have failed to cover 5 straight in this series, and are 1-8 ATS overall. Look for Buccaneer B Ryan Fitzpatrick to just enough to get team to the promised land in game of two downtrodden sides. MIAMI is 3-12 ATS  L/15 after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game .TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS  L/9 in weeks 10 through 13 over the last few seasons.TAMPA BAY is 17-6 ATS  L/23 in road games after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games . NFL team vs the money line like Miami - with a poor offense - averaging 4.8 or less yards/play, after allowing 500 or more total yards in their previous game are just 3-29 SU dating back 24 seasons for a go against SU conversion rate of 91% for bettors. NFL Home teams like Miami - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 18-51 ATS since 1983 for a go against conversion rate of 74% for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Rams +2.5 v. Vikings | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 51 m | Show | |
Its taken me some time to be persuaded that the Rams are for real. Well this week, I've finally come to the conclusion they are. After consistently beating up on opponents winning 4 straight and outscoring their L/3 opponents by a 117- 24 count their cross reference power rankings have skyrocketed.  With that said I;m sold on the Rams abilities and will back them today vs a what I still believe is a over rated Minnesota Vikings group that showed some vulnerabilities defensively last week by allowing Washington to put 30 points on the board against them. I'm also betting Case Keenum the upstart QB of the Vikings does not matchup well against this Rams smash mouth defense very well, and could find himself on his back quite a bit this week. NFL team vs the money line like the LA Rams - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games are 25-2 SU L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Rams to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Redskins v. Saints OVER 51 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 89 h 16 m | Show | |
This game looks very much like it will see a lot of points put on the board this week in the Super Dome. Both teams rank in the top 10 in passing yards, and will be ready to unload in a big way here this week. Dating back to the 2015  season the Skins have gone over in 12 of their L/15 road games. I know the Saints D, is much improved, but over the L/3 seasons Saints home games have seen a combined average 63 ppg go on the board, and no one should be surprised by another huge output here this Sunday. Last week Washington put 30 points on the board against the Vikings 4th ranked D, so based on their prowess packing on the points here will not be as difficult as some might think for the Skins. WASHINGTON is 6-0 OVER L/6 vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing 24 or more  yards per return.WASHINGTON is 11-1 OVER L/12 versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game.NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER  L/9 in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season .WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER  after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game ( All the combined averages of these games went over todays total) The Saints are 20-0 OU L/20 off a game as a favorite when facing a non-divisional opponent that has averaged fewer than 5.2 rushing first downs per game. the last 10 games have all eclipsed the 51 point plateau. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - off 1 or more straight overs, an excellent offensive team ( 27 PPG or more ) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG) after 8+ games have seen the OVER convert 24 of the L/29 times dating back 10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Indiana State +2.5 v. Ohio | 94-96 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
CHARLESTON CLASSIC - Final Rnd - TD Bank Arena - Charleston, SC Both these teams won their first games, but have both loss their L/2. Indiana St  has a history of playing teams tough , despite of having some tough luck from a win perspective. Last season, 18 of their 31 games were decided in the L/2 minutes, and 6 games went ot OT. Now with a little bit more determination, and a better recruiting class, I'm betting they remain consistent on this front, and according to my cross reference rankings matchup well vs this particular opponent and could easily win this game SU. OHIO U is 3-11 ATS L/14 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game. Play on Indiana St to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-17 | Monmouth +18.5 v. Virginia | 53-73 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Kings Rice's Monmouth group have been a tremendous MAAC program over the L/4 seasons. they have captured back to back 20 wins seasons and captured a reg season league championship. Yes, they no longer have 6 returning starters but the recruiting class is strong, especially on offense, and can  finally get this team over the hump and into the NCAA tourney. Meanwhile, Virginia, a side known for their stifling defense, is still a strong team despite of new faces, and some unknowns, but this line according to my own early season numbers is a little bloated, and based somewhat on their pedigree rather than the product on the floor. MONMOUTH is 14-5 ATS  L/19 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and is 13-3 ATS L/16 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots . Play on Monmouth to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Nevada v. San Diego State -16 | 23-42 | Win | 100 | 87 h 60 m | Show | |
Nevada owns a 2-8 record on the season, thanks in part to what must be considered an atrocious defense, especially on the road where they have allowed an average of 40.4 ppg. The Wolfpacks only saving grace has been a sometimes explosive offense, but today against a very strong San Diego State D, allowing an average of just 18.8 ppg their in big trouble vs a team that is 18-0 SU and   12-1 ATS L/13 when playing against a team with a losing record , with he average score clicking in at SD St 37.4 opposition 8.5. Add to that Rocky Longs, great late season runs of late that have seen him go 9-0 SU 8-0-1 ATS in his L/4 games of the season when coming off a DD ATS win which happened last time out in a 52-7 ATS blasting of San Jose State. No mercy rule in effect here tonight. CFB road team vs. the money line like Nevada - cold team, after having lost 8 or more out of their last 10 games against opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 1-34 SU losing SU by an average of 26.1 ppg.  CFB  home team vs. the money line like San Diego State - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 29-1 SU winning by an average of 24.2 ppg. Play on the San Diego State Aztecs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Kings +12 v. Blazers | 90-102 | Push | 0 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Trail Blazers enter into this game in cohesive form and were held to a season-low scoring output in an 86-82 loss to the Sacramento Kings on Friday night. Actually the Kings matchup well vs Portland and once again look like they will give problems to the Blazers inconsistent offense.The Trail Blazers have been held below 100 in five straight games and are averaging 94.8 points in that stretch. I know the Kings don't inspire bettors but, from a point spread perspective matchup well vs the host team, and are my recommended side here this evening. Trail Blazers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.Trail Blazers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.Trail Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points like Portland - after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less against opponent after scoring 90 points or less. are 75-126 ATS L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Sacramento to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Utah State v. Gonzaga -16 | 66-79 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Gonzaga was a few possessions away from a national championship last season, and enter this game as big favs as they should be. The group while going through some changes, will still be hugely talented as HC Few is known to be a master recruiter. From a depth perspective, their maybe deficiencies, but as long as Gonzaga's core stays healthy they should be dominant again. Meanwhile, Utah State remains a strong offensive team, leading the conference FG %, last season, but at the same time their are defensive short comings which were also  obvious to, and I don't think were addressed over the summer. With that said, Gonzaga may not be the juggernaut they were last season, but their still a force to be reckoned with, and must respected as 8 possession/conversion rate favorite vs this type of team. CFB Home teams as a favorite or pick like Gonzaga - after scoring 95 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are a bankroll expanding 31-6 ATS dating back 5 seasons. CFB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points like Gonzaga - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Gonzaga to cover |
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11-18-17 | Nevada v. Pacific +12 | 89-74 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Pacific under former NBA player HC Stoudamire are a team that should be respected as underdogs in this spot. the coach has a lot of respect from his players because of his playing career in the big leagues and has a good rapport with the players. He's done a fine job with this program, and if a few guys like Reynolds and Small  catch fire this season , this team will be surprise a lot of pundits. Meanwhile, Nevada, the Mountain West reg season champs, enter this game with a big time reputation under HC Musselman, but the caveat here comes via their off season losses, which made up a bulk of their offense. Yes, the Pack have looked good in their first three games, but laying this much lumber on the road , vs a feisty/crafty Pacific group still makes them fade material according to my own numbers. Note: Pacific lost 89-80 to Stanford a quality PAC 12 program, and have the ability to stay within the number here again tonight. Pacific is 7-2 SU l/9 in home games vs Nevada. CBB team like Nevada- off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games are just 8-21 L/29 SU for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on the Pacific to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Cal Poly +10 v. Santa Clara | 63-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
In the last 6 seasons, Cal Poly Slo has ranked no worse than 32nd nationally in turnover percentage. When I look at certain underdogs this kind of thing stands out to me. This is the mind set that is instilled in this team. Last season injury woes destroyed any chance this team of making a top 3 run in the conference, but this season, they are being very under rated and could surprise some pundits. If they shoot just a bit better than last seasons 45% FB conversion rate we have a strong side to back as DD dog vs a Santa Clara side retooling after some key departures last season. Take the points with Cal Poly Slo |
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11-18-17 | Bucknell v. Maryland -11.5 | 78-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Maryland has won 3 straight teams while Bucknell has lost three straight. MARYLAND is 14-4 ATSÂ after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds with the average margin of victory coming by 14.1 ppg. Play on Maryland to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Wild v. Capitals -115 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The reigning Presidents' Trophy winners Washington come home from a two-game road trip that saw them lose by scores of 6-3 in Nashville and 6-2 in Colorado. Top tier teams like this don't usually take well to being embarrassed and I'm betting they come out here with their hair on fire looking for quick redemption. I now their competition the Wild , have won for straight but their expected starting goalie, Dubnyk, , has struggled against Washington, posting a 2-4-1 mark with a 3.61 goals against average and a .879 save percentage and is fade material here this evening. Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Washington has won four in a row at Capital One Arena and get the nod again. NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line like the WILD- off 2 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 89% for bettors. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics, are off a top tier win over the reigning NBA champion Golden St Warriors, and tonight put their 14-game winning streak on the line when they travel to play an Atlanta Hawks . Atlanta a team in  rebuilding mode, came out fired up last time out on Wednesday and beat a sleepy looking Kings team in conclusive fashion. The Hawks really exerted a lot of energy in that tilt, and might not have the electricity needed to put forth another strong effort here vs a over powering side. After shooting 63 percent, in that above mentioned win, a reversion to the norm against a tremendous defensive team must be expected. I'm betting as this game progresses, the Celtics will pull away for a comfortable victory. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Celtics - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 33-8 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 81 % conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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11-18-17 | NC State +2 v. Wake Forest | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
No. 19 North Carolina State wants this game badly and  is on the verge of something special if they can get a 9 win season, stay in the top 25 and garner a big pay day with a top tier Bowl appearance. Needless to say North Carolina State is very motivated entering this tilt against a over rated Wake Forest program that despite of a explosive 64-43  win last week, vs Syracuse still allowed a whopping 621 yards on defense, and in the game before that allowed 710 yards to Notre Dame. I just don't like them today vs a a football program that has owned them of late winning three straight SU/ATS by an average of 22 points per game and are 8-1 L/9 in this series when the Deacons are off a win. I'm also betting on Wake Forest to be in an emotional letdown state , after last week astounding come back win. WAKE FOREST is 0-7 ATS  L/7 after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Wake Forest - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games are 8-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Demon Deacons - in a game involving two good rushing teams (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) after 7+ games are 13-44 ATS for a76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on N.C State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Islanders v. Lightning OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
This matchup between the visiting NY Islanders and their hosts the TB Lightning features two of the top three scoring teams in the league. TB is averaging 4.00 goals per game and scored five or more goals 9 times this season, including in four of the past five games. Three times the Lightning have smacked down  6 goals , including the last time out in a 6-1 victory against Dallas on Thursday.The Islanders, meanwhile, have scored the third-most goals in the league at 65 and are averaging the second-most goals in the league at 3.61 per game. New York scored five or more goals eight different times in 18 tilts and are coming off a shootout against Carolina in which the Islanders scored six goals. NY ISLANDERS are 6-0 OVER l/6 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg going on the score board. NHL team against the total NYI - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games are 52-19 over the L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Fairfield v. Purdue UNDER 154.5 | 64-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Purdue is a very strong Big 10 program with a lot of big athletic players in their ,lineup. Despite of having the guns to put down a boatload full of points, the Boilermaker HC Painter prides himself on being able to play shut down defense, and today against Fairfield I'm betting that will be the case. Meanwhile, Fairfield, is an easy team to slow down if you can control their super star Tyler Nelson ( 19.5 ppg last season), something I'm betting the Boliermakers will do. Also on the flipside, Fairfield owned the 2nd best D, in the MAAC last season behind St.Peters and according to my cross reference player personnel rankings will be even better this season. FAIRFIELD is 14-4 UNDER  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more  of their attempts with a combined average of 150.8 ppg going on the board.FAIRFIELD is 6-0 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more with a combined average of 140.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.  ÂCBB Home teams against the total like Purdue - after a game - shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 54-14 UNDER the L/20 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Houston Baptist v. Belmont -18 | 88-93 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Belmont is an extremely talented team, and will be out to lay down a beat down vs Houston Baptist this Saturday after wins vs Middle Tenn State and Vanderbilt and a hard fought road loss to Washington blowing a lead late. Yes, the Huskies made it to the CIT last season, and are a decent program in a lesser conference , but they are very much over matched here as they were against Providence in a 84-55 loss in their opener this season. It must also be noted that the Huskies are reloading and need time to jell, which is never a good thing when playing against this kind of explosive opponent.
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11-18-17 | Middle Tennessee -6.5 v. Tennessee State | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
Ford the coach of Tennessee State is a guy I respect, but today his team is in over their heads in my humble opinion vs a offensively explosive Middle Tennessee State hoops program. Ford built last teams squad around the now departed Tahjere McAll and all OVC pick, but now the cupboard may be a little empty on top tier talent, and  considering his three returning guards shot consistency was awful I'm betting defense will be the name of the game. Unfortunately theirs only so much a group like this can do vs a side that could easily find it itself in the NCAA tourney . Play  Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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11-18-17 | Rice v. Old Dominion -8.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 47 m | Show | |
I've kept an eye on Old Dominion , as I have been looking for improvement over the season, and I can see their on a upward trajectory. Last week vs FIU as DD road dogs, they took a 37-30 win in a game they actually dominated despite of the slight 7 point difference. The Monarchs freshman QB Steven Williams, continues to improve as their starting QB was injured earlier in the season. He had a 168 yards rushing, and 3 TDS in last weeks game, and give Old dominion the edge this week, vs a Rice team that can be best described as futile, allowing 40 or more points in 5 of their L/6 games. Note:OLD DOMINION is 7-0 ATS  L/7 vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game Last year winning SU by an average of 13.7 ppg. the Owls lost to the Monarchs by a 45-42 count as 7 point favorites, and look like weak dogs this week vs a Old Dominion side that is 16-0 SU L/16 as chalk, and 10--1-1 L/12 against the spread. CFB Road underdogs like Rice - lower tier team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored are 6-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Pittsburgh +15.5 v. Virginia Tech | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 66 h 12 m | Show | |
After back to back losses to Miami Fl and Georgia Tech I'm sure this Virginia Tech Hokies group feels downtrodden. With really nothing left o play for I cannot see them performing at optimal speed here today giving credence to my recommendation on taking a Pittsburgh team that needs a win badly to get a Bowl invite. In the past no matter which team has been better at the time, it seems the Panthers have found a way to be competitive as their 9-1 ATS and 6-3 SU record in this series would indicate. Overall Pittsburghs been a tough out on the road of late cashing 6 of their L/7 away as dogs, and are 6-2 ATS L/8 as conference dogs of 13 points or more,. CFB road team like Pittsburgh - after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 95-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors . Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Cincinnati -3 v. East Carolina | 20-48 | Loss | -120 | 100 h 44 m | Show | |
E.Carolina has struggled for most of this season , thanks to a defense, that has allowed 45 ppg during their 2017 campaign , and also a  offense that has generated just 23.8 ppg. I know visiting Cincinnati may not inspire bettors but this is a very winnable game for them. The Bearcats have shown life, and some upward trajectory in games vs Navy, SMU and a recent upset win vs Tulane, and are a viable side to back in this tilt of downtrodden sides. In other words , the lesser of two evils, is the choice here today. ( Lay the FG with the Bearcats) E CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 yards or less per return losing SU by an average of 11.2 ppg. E CAROLINA is 1-10 ATS  L/11 when the total is greater than or equal to 63 and 0-7 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 63.E CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS  L/14 against conference opponents and 0-6 ATS  L/6 in November games .E CAROLINA is 0-9 ATS L/9after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like E.Carolina  - after playing a game at home, in weeks 10 through 13 are just 13-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati Bearcats to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-17 | Texas +3.5 v. West Virginia | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 72 h 18 m | Show | |
Texas since their ugly opening loss to Maryland have steadily improved under Tom Herman, and I don't think we have seen them at their very best quite yet and could easily see them in top form today as they need one more win to secure a bowl bid. Meanwhile,  West Virginia already has a bowl game in their December plans, and may not be as motivated as their opponents. With that said, I'm betting we have an edge vs a W.Virginia side that has  not faired well as home chalk of late vs .500 or above conference  opposition  going 3-11 ATS . Meanwhile, the LongHorns HC Herman is 8-1 ATS L/7 as a underdog lifetime and has covered 11 of his L/13 vs a power 5 football programs and proved their metal in a recent road win vs Iowa State a home win vs KState, and two hard fought close losses to Oklahoma State by 3 points and a 5 point loss to Oklahoma. Note: My own projections tell me Texas will score 22 points or more, which is a good omen, as TEXAS is 6-0 ATS  L/6 when they score 22 to 28 points over the last few seasons.  CFB road team like the Longhorns - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, with 4+ more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with new QB are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-17 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -4.5 | 114-146 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets are playing with confidence right now and are  5-1 on their recent homestand. Their winning attitude was dealt a blow last time out, against the Portland Blazers, on the road , but they are more than capable of picking themselves up and get back to business here tonight in the high altitudes of the Mile High City where they own a strong home court advantage. Note: DENVER is 18-8 ATS L/26 off a road loss. Meanwhile, the Pelicans despite of having offensive juggernauts Davis and Cousins on the floor continue to play lazy defense, are allowing their opposition to shooting 42 percent from long range over the last five games and New Orleans has allowed 16 3-pointers in three of the past four games. Those are ugly numbers, and here in the thin air of Denver, I;m betting their defensive acumen will be tested once again as will their lagging conditioning and two way transitional play. Pelicans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southwest. With Three days off and the expected  return of guard Gary Harris Im betting helps propel the Nuggets  against the New Orleans Pelicans and get us to promise land. Lay the points. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-17 | New Mexico +5 v. New Mexico State | 56-75 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves, the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria, New Mexico to cover |
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11-17-17 | Middle Tennessee State v. Western Kentucky +3 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 60 h 41 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky does not look like the powerhouse it has been over the last few seasons, but Middle Tennessee State according to my own cross reference power ranking suggest that neither are the Blue raiders. Both sides have identical records . I know that Midd Tenn State has won 2 straight games convincingly , but those were against lowly UTEP and Charlotte. Meanwhile, W.Kentucky played Vanderbilt and Marshall very tough in back to back games, and despite of losing were looking better than the pundits might have you expect. Yes, the Hilltoppers as mentioned above may not be as potent some of their past incarnations, but are very viable home underdogs in this spot and have more than 50% chance of pulling off a straight up win. MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-9 ATS  L/10 after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins  W.Kentucky is 6-2 ATS L/8 at home while Midd Tenn State is 1-6 ATS L/7 CUSA road tilts. W KENTUCKY is 22-8 ATS L/30 vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game. Play on Western Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-17 | Thunder v. Spurs | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
The Thunder bring three-game win streak to San Antonio and are showing some signs of life of late, and look like their finally starting to jell, with Carmelo Anthony and Paul George still getting acclimated to playing with former MVP Russell Westbrook . Spurs reserve guard Manu Ginobili said of the Thunder. "When you make such big changes and you put together so many alpha players, it takes a little bit of time." END QUOTE. Tonight against the banged up Spurs, who are without either star forward Kawhi Leonard or point guard Tony Parker, the Spurs are a patch work side, and are vulnerable to being taken down even here on their own home floor. Last time out the Spurs lost 98-86 to the Wolves, and looked a little awkward in the loss, something I'm not used to seeing from Popovich and company. Tonight I'm fading them here at home as it looks at the moment the key losses and injuries are finally catching up with them. NBA team vs the money line like the THUNDER - off 3 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 44-10 for a 82% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons. Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover |
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11-17-17 | South Dakota State +22 v. Kansas | 64-98 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 21 m | Show | |
LATE UPDATE. My early season CBB projections and wagering recommendations are based on a very old system that I have formulated . It dates back almost 14 years, and takes into consideration injuries, line moves, the systems implemented by each program, past historical trends (short long term) , and head to head cross reference players and coaching matchups. Today according to those above mentioned criteria, Rice is the superior side, and I can see them winning this SU according to my own projections.  South Dakota State to covert |
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11-17-17 | Heat +5.5 v. Wizards | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Miami (6-8) travels to D.C. to play Friday night's rematch against the Washington Wizards (9-5) . This the second of back to back games vs each other which I'm betting favors the visitors covering. The Wizards were admittedly the better of the teams on Wednesday night when they played, but what I noticed was Washington's ugly  perimeter defense, that  saw the  Heat make 13 3-pointers -- four more than Washington -- and shot 43.3 percent from beyond the arc. The Wizards weakness is not finding ways to stop Wall or Beal , but instead consistently convert from downtown on  treys. Something I'm betting the heat can do again, and get us the cover. The Wizards despite of their talented offense, are lazy in the rebound department, as was also evident in the Heat's 15-8 advantage on second-chance points. Center Hassan Whiteside, who had 14 points and a game-high 21 rebounds is key here tonight, and now after getting acclimated to what the Wizards bring to the floor I expect Miami to be much better here in the 2nd go around. WASHINGTON is 5-16 ATS L/21 in home games off a road win . MIAMI is 10-0 ATS  L/10 in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, which has just happened. NBA team like Washington - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are just 4-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 88% for bettors. Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-17 | Columbia +13 v. Penn State | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Columbia took on a new coach last season, Jim Engles, and they had a decent season just missing out on the Ivey League play offs finishing 5th. He was an assistant their prior to that, so he pretty well kept the schemes and systems in place, which is a fast paced 3 point downtown type of hoops. He only had one starter back last season but the team still scored an average of 71.9 ppg and were ranked third from beyond the arc. Now that this group is more seasoned and the newcomers more talented, his system I'm betting will generate better results behind a lagging D, that should also be better this season. Meanwhile, Penn State is a big lumbering team now with the addition of a 7 footer in the off season, but their slower to. I'm expecting them to find the speed game here a little tiring on them, and for Columbia to be able to keep the back door open with their ability to down the trey, making Columbia a viable underdog in this spot. COLUMBIA is a long term  43-24 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more points. Play on Columbia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-17 | Fordham v. Florida State -15 | 43-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Florida State beat up on George Washington in their first game of the season winning a 87-67 decision as a 16.5 point favorite. HC Hamilton continues to make Florida State a relevant  program in the ACC , and has been recruiting some top tier talent of late ( prep All Americans). These kids plays a suffocating defense, and despite of a departure of 3 players to NBA, are still a blue blood team with plenty of talent. This team has still got 6 returning players with DD playing minutes under their belts and 5 extremely talented recruits and still the deepest roster in the ACC. Meanwhile Jeff Neubauers Fordham is will be lucky to have a ,500 seaon in the Atlantic 10, but they have  have come a long way since he took over, but  their still in way over their heads here, and unless they find a way to play way above themselves , are going down by 20 or more points in my betting opinion, making this a viable opportunity to back the superior side. FORDHAM is 0-7 ATS  L/7 in road games in non-conference games.FLORIDA ST is 13-2 ATS after a game where they attempted 7 or less free throws . Play on Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-17 | Capitals -131 v. Avalanche | 2-6 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Washington got beat up on in their last game against Nashville, by a 6-3 count after having won 5 of their previous 6 games. But now I'm betting on a bounce back effort from Ovechkin and company . It must be noted that the Capitals have won 12 of their last 14 games after allowing five or more goals in the previous contest and have owned the Colorado Avalanche of late winning 6 straight meetings. Braden Holtby (10-4-0, 2.68 goals-against average, .918 save percentage) is expected to start after stopping 19 of 25 shots and getting pulled after two periods Tuesday. That after allowing a total of six goals in 123 shots in his previous four starts. |
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11-16-17 | Titans v. Steelers -7 | 17-40 | Win | 103 | 37 h 33 m | Show | |
Tennessee enters this game with 4 straight wins as does their hosts the Pittsburgh Steelers. but according to my own cross reference power rankings and head to head matchup stats the Steelers are superior side.  Steelers HC Tomlin is 13-3 ATS L/16 in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points with the average score clicking in at Steelers 27.8 opposition 18 . That number is very close to my own projections which makes the Steelers in my humble opinion a viable wagering option in this spot. It must also be noted that Thursday night favs are 18-0 SU L/18 and 16-1-1 ATS in a non division tilt with a total of 41 or more attached to it. Tennessee is 1-6-2 ATS L/9 vs NFC north opposition, and their QB Marcus Mariota is just 1-7 ATS away L/8 off a win.
NFL Underdogs or pick like Tennessee - after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-17 | Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 216 | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The Celtics own the No. 1 defense  in the NBA overall and won their 13 straight behind a deliberate pace that ranks them 21st in the league ( 96.6)  . It's been their staunch D, that has got them to this point and I'm betting they will be well prepared to try to slow down the explosive Golden State Warriors in this spot. Meanwhile, Golden State on a 7 game win streak, despite of their reputation for being scoring machines, are also a viable defensive team, ranking 10th in defensive efficiency and are more than capable of keeping the deliberate Celtics from hitting their selective shots consistently. Look for this two heavy weights to collide in a physical slower paced game than the linesmakers and pundits expect. Under is 14-3 in Warriors last 17 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 13-2-1 in Celtics last 16 vs. NBA Pacific.Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston. NBA team like Boston/Golden State- after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for under Totals bettors. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-17 | Hofstra v. Dayton -1.5 | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
CHARLESTON CLASSIC - Round 1 - TD Bank Arena - Charleston, SC Dayton's coach Anthony Grant has coached as an assistant at Florida seen NBA time as an assistant  with Oklahoma City and knows  this game like few others. He takes over a Flyers program with a lot of pedigree and a winning culture and now has the parts to get his team moving in the right direction. There will be growing pains, but in matchups like this his side should have an edge. Meanwhile, Hofstra despite of having a team that can light the scoreboard up in a hurry, have been defensively deficient in the recent past ranking , 8th in their conference and on adjusted defensive efficiency numbers ranked a ugly 317 in the nation via Kenpom numbers! It will be their D, today that will be their downfall. Play on Dayton to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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