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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-03-16 | Kings +1.5 v. Magic | 94-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Patrick Cousins is a walking talking freak show and time bomb. But , hey the guy can play basketball, so I guess he can be given a break, since we are talking basketball. The talented star is averaging 26.8 points per game and 9.6 rebounds per game. The Kings are 4.6 points per 100 possessions better with Cousins on the floor than their opponents, according to NBA.com's stats database. They score a team-best 109.9 points per 100 possessions with Cousins on the floor. Their season average is 100.9. Witht hat said, the NBA top big man Cousins should do very well today, vs a revamped Orlando team that I have downgraded. The Magic Magic are giving up 106.6 points per game and dont matchup well vs the Kings. It must be noted Orlando is off a ugly close win vs the Sixers and the Kings are off loss. However, the Kings play into a league wide trend, that suggests they have an edge here as All NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Sacramento - off a road loss against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 23-4 ATS in their follow up game for a powerful 85% conversion rate. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 209 | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers relied on defense to roll past the Utah Jazz 88-75 in their home opener Sunday, and will once again center on controlling tempo in this event vs a Oklahoma City side that likes to run and gun. Look for another concerted defensive effort from the Cliipers and for their efforts to result in a Total combined score that remains on the low side of the number. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-5 UNDER L/24 versus poor passing teams, averaging 20 or less assists/game.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game with an average 203 ppg going on the scoreboard.LA CLIPPERS are 30-18 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season. LA CLIPPERS are 12-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points with a combined average of 190.9 ppg going on the board.LA CLIPPERS are 17-4 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average og 195.2 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 UNDER L/21 in home games against Northwest division opponents with na average of 195.8 ppg getting scored. LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 UNDER in home games after scoring 110 points or more which happened in a 116-98 win last time out, with an average of 193.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Bulls +4 v. Celtics | 100-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Dwyane Wade and the new-look Chicago Bulls with 7 new players put their perfect start on the line when they visit the Boston Celtics in an early season rematch Wednesday night. Last week in Chicago, the Bulls (3-0) scored a 105-99 victory over the Celtics (2-1) and look like they matchup very well vs the Celtics. The Bulls have looked very cohesive, for not having played with each other, and if things remain intact, their chemistry looks like the key to more of their current success on the court. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-16 | Pelicans +6 v. Grizzlies | 83-89 | Push | 0 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game in desperation mode, after starting their current campaign at 0-4 SU. The biright spot is star Anthony Davis who is averaging 37 points and 13 rebounds a game. the key problem for Pelicans is that they have allowed 111 points a game. HC Gentry was livid after the last game, which is rare for guy with a calm cool character. Now with a fire lit under their behinds, I expect the Pelicans come out here, with all guns blazing. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
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11-02-16 | Cubs -114 v. Indians | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (1-1, 1.31 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (4-1, 0.89) I am betting the 108 year drought the Cubs have experienced will come to an abrupt end in Game 7. In my opinion, the superior team is the Cubs. In this type of game intricate handicapping really has no merit, so I will end this with ....Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection  |
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11-01-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +5 | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors this Tuesday night. Last season, the Blazers matched up well vs the Dubs , in the play offs despite of losing. I continue to rank Portland higher than the linesmakers and very much like their chances to cover in this spot. Note: GS Durant was injured in his last game, but will play, but is less than 100% and has been known to be injury prone, and may have his minutes limited. Golden State is 15-30 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams .PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.( LR: Port 115- Denver 113) Golden State is 0-3 ATS so far this season. From a league wide perspective nba teams like Golden State- off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games have failed to cover 24 of the L/29 times for go against 83% ATS conversion rate.Â
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11-01-16 | Cubs -149 v. Indians | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
Before I get into which side my predicted winner for game 6 will be Ive included some very interesting numerological numbers that have been making the rounds among believers and skeptics alike. Here they are . Whether they have merit is up to you. But non the less its interesting. Also just a heads up, my selection tonight is not based on these numbers.  As most fans know, the Cubs last won the World Series in 1908; 108 years ago. And that number, 108, seems to keep turning up in significant Cubs events. The biggest moment of the first playoff game against the Giants was Javier Baez's home run, the only run scored in the game. And it came on the 108th pitch. Grant DePorter, president and managing partner of Harry Caray's Restaurant Group, may be the world's leading expert in Cubs numerology. He wrote a book on the subject, and a huge display in his restaurant documents the significance of number 108. There's the number of stitches on a baseball: 108. The numbers of the last two Cubs inducted into the Hall of Fame, Ron Santo and Andre Dawson, add up to 108. "Everywhere you look, it's 108. You just can't get away from it," DePorter said. He could go on for days about the numbers. Some of the highlights: -Wrigley Field was assigned planned development no. 108 in the city out of more than 1,300 assigned -The Cubs' lawsuit for lights at Wrigley in 1988 is documented in volume 108 of the Supreme Court -The distance to Wrigley foul poles in right and left fields is 108 meters -The first World Series game at Wrigley was on October 8th, or 10/8 -The Cubs' last World Series game win was also on 10/8 DePorter believes the next win will be this year. "In our lifetime, they've never been a better team," he said.  Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (1-1, 3.78 ERA) vs. Indians RH Josh Tomlin (2-0, 1.76) Arrieta took a no-hitter into the sixth inning in Game 2 at Cleveland and ended up with the win, his first of the postseason and I am betting he is going to be golden again this Tuesday as Game 7 looms. CHICAGO CUBS are 29-9 L/38 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 .ARRIETA is 24-4 L/28 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.Cubs are 40-15 in Arrietas last 55 starts.Road team is 6-0 in Wests last 6 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
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11-01-16 | Blues v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
The Blues are playing a very conservative style of hockey at the moment, and they themselves are also struggling to score having netted 1 goal 5 times in their L/6 tilts. The Blues have also allowed 2 goals or less in 6 of their 9 games this season.(Under is 3-0-2 in Blues last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.)Meanwhile. the Rangers , have not allowed more than 2 goals in 5 of their L/6, with their offense extremely inconsistent. The Rangers did score 6 goals last time out, but I expect a reversion back to their usual explosions that are followed by offense fall offs. They have scored previous to their L/game  5 goals or more in 3 previous tilts and each time they followed up with 2 goals or less on offense.(Under is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.)Note: Everything points to a total score that remains on the low side of the number. ST LOUIS is 16-5 UNDER L/21 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 17-4 UNDER L/21 in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons and is 9-1 UNDER in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. From a league wide NHL perspective Any team against the total like the Rangers - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game have gone under 49 of the L/ 64 times for a 75% conversion rate . Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-31-16 | Vikings v. Bears +5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 97 h 36 m | Show | |
Although the Vikings defense appears to have a decisive edge against the Bears offense, the same does not hold true on the opposite side of the ball. Minnesota is No. 31 in total offense with 299.2 yards per game, and Chicago is No. 12 in total defense with 350.4 yards allowed per game. According to my own data this game should me much closerthan the linesmakers estimate, and I will not be surprised if the Bad News Bears, give causaul NFL watchers some surprising headlines come Tuesday morning. The Vikings are 8-22 ATS L/30 in road games vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game.CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS L/6 after 3 or more consecutive losses. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-16 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 43 | 23-29 | Loss | -108 | 73 h 36 m | Show | |
These two teams have two of the better Ds, in the NFL at the moment. (Philly allows only 14.7 ppg with the Boyz D allows 17.8 ppg. The host Cowboys come in off their Bye Week with a current 5-game winning streak. whch sets into motion a long term trend that has seen these type of teams go under 8 straight times since 2010: It shows that All NFL home teams off their BYE WEEK... and a 3-game-or-more winning streak (Cowboys). are 0-8 under. These teams have averaged also only ombined for just 29.9 ppg . And finally Game 8 division matchups have seen only 15 of 48 l/48 tilts eclipse the total. From a league wide NFL data base it must be noted that Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 point like the Cowboys - off a upset win as an underdog, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season have seen 54- of 77 games stay under for a 70% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-16 | Warriors v. Suns +12 | 106-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors have some questions marks surrounding them, from my own perspective. After closely watching sports since I was maybe 6 years old, (48 years) it was evident that some teams with star laden lineups never materialized into great teams, and some remained very average. Now Im not saying this is the case with the Warriors, but with the addition of Durant in the off season, could the possibility of over crowded ego situation hamper the Warriors. Their loaded , but so far this season, their flow seems a little off especially defensively in transistion. They were beaten up on by San Antonio 129-100 in their home opener and despite of beating New Orleans last time out, 122-114 they still don't have the feel of a championship team at the moment. I know its early, and Im not suggesting anything apocalyptic, but they have given me food for thought. With that said, today here on the road, the Dubs are being asked to cover a DD spread, and in the past this may have looked like a positive ATS situation for them. But Im betting not today, vs a young talented Suns team that clobbered the Sacramento Kings in their first game and than lost to Oklahoma City in a hard fought OT battle. Last season, the Warriors crushed Phoenix by 19 and 25 points in their first two meetings, but then had to battle hard for very tough eight- and seven-point victories later in the season. You might be saying, but now the Warriors have Durnat in their lineup. But it must be noted , he's recorded double-figure rebounds just once in three matchups last season vs the Suns. Look for the Suns Booker and Bledsoe to be instrumental in a cover for the home side today.
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10-30-16 | Packers +3 v. Falcons | 32-33 | Win | 101 | 69 h 48 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers Aaron Rogers broke the 300 yard plaeau last time out after 15 straight games and looks to be back in tune ,The Packers offense piled up 406 yards and controlling the ball for almost 40 minutes against Chicago.Meanwhile, Atlanta's defense ranks 27th in scoring, 26th in yards allowed and 31st in passing yards allowed.Matt Ryan has failed to cover 5 straight vs NFC North opponents. Last year HC Quinn and company started out 5-0 before finsihing 3-8 run and after back to back losses it loooks like the Falcons are headed in that direction again. after a 4-1 start .ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. ATLANTA is 1-10 ATS L/10 as a favorite. Play on the Green Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-16 | Raiders v. Bucs UNDER 49.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
We are looking at a Total that takes into consideration a Raiders defense that ranks last in the NFL in total defense and passing defense. However, what must also be considered from my perspective at least is the Bucs very inconsistent offense , that has scored an average of 19 ppg at home this season, and had two seperate 7 points outputs. Oakland is working hard on correcting their defensive defecincies, and TB knowing the Raiders explosiveness will try to slow this games flow down . This combination , I am betting will help keep this combined score on the low side of the Totals number. |
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10-30-16 | New Mexico +3.5 v. Hawaii | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 83 h 4 m | Show | |
Hawaii has put alot of air miles on their bodies so far this season, and after pulling off the upset of Air force last week come home on tired legs and in a letdown scenario. Meanwhile, New Mexico owns the No.1 rush offense in the country that allows opposing run offenses to cruise to 259 ypg . New Mexico gets the nod. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW MEXICO) - good rushing team - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 30-8 ATS L/38 opportunities.NEW MEXICO is 20-8 ATS ( in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play. HAWAII is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after playing 2 straight conference games. HAWAII is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest. New Mexico has won 6 straight meetings in this series and 3-0 L/3 visits to Hawaii. New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Stanford v. Arizona UNDER 49 | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 50 h 24 m | Show | |
My College football totals are based on a comprehensive data sheet, which incorporates my power ranking scores . No stone has been left unturned in quest to punish the books for weak College Sports Totals numbers. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Blazers +2 v. Nuggets | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are loaded with young talent, but they're developing almost all of it simultaneously and their will be growing pains. Denver, did pull off a win as a road underdog in their first game of the season, but are 2-11 ATS L/13 off a road win and 8-20 ATS L/28 after playing as a road underdog. From a league wide trends perspective: NBA teams of-3 to +3 line of a upset win like the Nuggets are 95-153 ATS in the followup game for a lowly 38% ATS conversion rate. Meanwhile visiting Portland is a very under rated team, and I expect they build on their 44 win season last year and a play off series. They lost as underdogs to the Clippers in a hotly contested home opener, but are now 31-18 ATS after playing a game as underdog. Bottom line: Portland is the superior side, and have proven that in 7 of their L/8 meetings. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Clemson v. Florida State +4.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 79 h 21 m | Show | |
Florida State is quietly playing better football of late, allowing just one TD in their L/6 quarters of play. Now in good form and being pegged as home underdogs vs Clemson, I feel strongly about pulling the trigger and backing them as home pups in a place where they have won 23 of their l/24 games. Consdering Clemson is just 0-6 ATS as road favorite of less than a TD, my recommendation here is to take the points with the host puppies. Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 | 59-30 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 7 m | Show | |
10-29-16 | Old Dominion -4 v. UTEP | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 79 h 5 m | Show | |
 Utep barely got a win last week in a exhausting 5 OT affair vs UTSA. Now beat up and in an emotional letdowns scenario, they go against a Dominion side fresh off a humiliating loss to explosive Western Kentucky. With redemption a key motivator here this week for a visitor with a chip on their shoulders the home side is in trouble. It must be noted that UTEP has allowed an average of 39.2 ppg at home this season. College Football underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTEP) - a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record 17-46 ATS L/63.UTEP is 4-17 ATS in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games. Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Tulsa v. Memphis UNDER 73.5 | 59-30 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 59 m | Show | |
10-29-16 | Grizzlies v. Knicks -1.5 | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Three highly-regarded newcomers for the New York Knicks will be play tonight for the first time in NY as Knicks host the Memphis Grizzlies Saturday at Madison Square Garden.Center Joakim Noah and shooting guard Courtney Lee and former MVP Derrick Rose bring their show to the big apple. There is alot of hope , among the pundits , in NY for a resurgence of the franchises fortunes and this is a big opportunity to slowly but surely move in that direction. Im even expecting the lackadaisical star Carmello Anthony to put on a rare game face , and help lead his team past the visiting Grizzlies. Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Auburn -4 v. Ole Miss | 40-29 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show | |
The Tigers are coming off an impressive 56-3 dismantling of an Arkansas team that dealt the Rebels a 34-30 setback the week before. Auburn averaged 9.5 ypc on the ground last time out. Thats not a good omen for a Ole Miss side that ranks 113th out of 128 FBS teams against the run and don't rank any better than 70th nationally in pass defense, total defense or scoring defense. Auburns D allows just 14 ppg. This is a mismatch based on current perfromances and worth a wager on the visitor as short chalk. Malzahn is 9-0 ATS L/9 after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread and is s 10-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse like Ole Miss. Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Wisconsin | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 82 h 49 m | Show | |
The Badgers are brusied and battered after taking on three straight tough opponents, Michigan, Ohio State and Iowa. Today against a under appreciated 7-0 Nebraska side, that has covered 4 of their L/5 as conference dog of 8 points or less Wisconsin is at a disadvantage. Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (WISCONSIN) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 20-43 ATS L/46 opportunities. Nebraskas coach Riley is 24-7 ATS in road games in October games in all games he has coached and is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. mistake free teams like Wisconsin - 42 or less penalty yards per game in all games. Play on  Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Penguins -120 v. Flyers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Side Crosby will be on the ice against the Flyers at Wells Fargo Center. Crosby has scored more goals against the Flyers (33 in 55 games) than he has against any other NHL team. The Pens Norris Trophy candidate Chris Letang is however, expected to miss tonight vs a struggling Flyers side, but his team has won 3 o the 4 games he has already missed. Philadelphia's D,looks vulnerable right now, and the Pens are the type of team that can take advantage of such a situation. Flyers golaies Neuvirth(1-0-0, 4.47)and Steve Mason(2-4-1, 3.15 GAA)are struggling. Marc-Andre Fleury (5-2-1, 2.97 GAA) will be between the pipes for Pittsburgh. Play on the Pittsburgh Pens on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Texas Tech +8.5 v. TCU | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 54 m | Show | |
Texas Techs offense is so explosive its rediculous. I know their D, is atrocious, but after their 66-59 loss last week to Oklahoma, Im betting facing the Frogs offense wont be such a big task. It must also be noted TCUs offense has been stagnant of late, scoring 24 points vs a rebuilding Kansas program, and scoring just 10 points vs W.Virginia las t week, while losing 3 straight stat sheet battles. Im betting the Frogs weak favorites vs a Texas Tech side that is offensively tenacious and hungry. TCU is 0-6 ATS when playing on a Saturday this season.TEXAS TECH is 8-0 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals and is 21-9 ATS L/30 off a home loss against a conference rival. Texas Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Washington v. Utah +10 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
The unbeaten and fourth-ranked Washington Huskies are enjoying their best ranking since the end of the 2000 season, but they are heading into what their coach calls their toughest test of the season.Utah senior running back Joe Williams Im betting is the catalyst this week for the Utes, as he is coming out of a five-week retirement due to injuries, rushing for 179 yards against the Beavers and a school-record 332 vs. the Bruins. The coaching staff convinced him to come back after other injuries ravaged the position.UTAH is 36-19 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 pointsUtah is 7-1 this year and their only loss came by 5 points at California this season, and game they had a chance to win late. It must be noted that HC Whittingham in 72 games has only lost 6 times by 10 or more points in Salt Lake City. The Utes are 12-3 ATS as double-digit dogs – 3-0 SU the last three –including 3-0 ATS at home. Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Texas Tech v. TCU UNDER 86.5 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 41 m | Show | |
10-29-16 | Baylor v. Texas +3.5 | 34-35 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. Texas junior running back D'Onta Foreman has been a key cog in the Longhorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. Baylor has yet to be tested this season, and now they go against a desperate Texas team that is trying ressurrect their season from a scrape heap of over estimated enthusiasm. ghorns' offense and ranks third in the country with an average of 142.5 rushing yards per game. Foreman has carried the ball 141 times for 855 yards (11th nationally) and eight touchdowns, and will be the key catalyst behind what I am betting will be a Texas cover at home. TEXAS is 16-5 ATS L/21 vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 5.25 or less passing yards/att. Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Army +7 v. Wake Forest | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 75 h 32 m | Show | |
Seven turnovers doomed Army last week vs North Texas. My own projections tell me this a better team than many might expect and much better than they showed us last week. This week, I expect they take care of the ball and get us a cover and possible upset vs a Wake Forest side that just does not float my boat. Underdogs like Army of 3.5 to 10 points - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games are 37-11 ATS L/48 opportunities.WAKE FOREST is 2-11 ATS in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest . Army to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Hawks v. 76ers +7.5 | 104-72 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
I really like the way Philadelphia handled themselves vs the Oklahoma City Thunder in their opening game despite of losing. I was very impressed by Joel Embiid who had 20 points and a core of young players that look ready to take the next step forward in their development. Meanwhile, Atlanta;s once dominating starting five no longer boasts Tegaue or Hoford , and must be considered much less intimidating with Shroder and Dwight Howard as their replacements. There is finally some light at the end of the tunnel and Philly and with that I recommend we take the points here with the home side. Philadephia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Penn State v. Purdue +11.5 | 62-24 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 21 m | Show | |
Penn State is off a huge win vs Ohio State last week, and now will be in a monumental letdown spot. Considering Penn State has not covered in 8 straight road games and 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites and as a program going back 3 decades have failed to cover 3 straight times after a home underdog win. Meanwhile, Purdue looked good last week in a hard fought loss to Nebraska, and look more motivated now that fired HC Darrell Hazel is gone. Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Kentucky +4.5 v. Missouri | 35-21 | Win | 100 | 71 h 19 m | Show | |
Kentucky impressed me last week, getting a win last week vs a Mississippi State side that has won the previous 7 tilts against them. The wildcats have now won 4 of their L/5 games, and have a very good chance of pulling off another underdog win this week vs a Missouri side, that is less than impressive this season. The Tigers are on a3-0 ATSSU run and 3-11 SU L/14 vs opposition football teams and allowing an ugly 518 ypg and 35 points per game this season, and very much look like fade material. A road team like Kentucky - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. Play on the Kentucky Wildcats to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Kent State +15.5 v. Central Michigan | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 18 m | Show | |
Central Michigan are a top tier MAC side, but Kent state are no pushovers with 17 returning starters on the roster. I know th Golden Flashes own a sub par 2-6 record, but their D, is raked 29th in the nation and must not be ignored when looking at DD spreads. After playing their hearts out vs Toldeo last week in a 31-17 loss, Im betting the Chips are in a letdown scenario and ripe for the upset. With that saidd, lets take the boatload full of points . Play on Kent State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Louisville v. Virginia +31.5 | 32-25 | Win | 100 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
Lousiville is a great team, but we are starting to get into the outer limits of  their favorite status with this spread. I know impresive wins are a must now for the Cardinal after losing to Clemson earlier this season. However, thats alot of pressure and I doubt very highly Virginia would just lie down and die here at home in what is a great opportunity for the program to spring a upset. The Cavs have covered 4 of their L/5 as DD home dogs, and get my nod here as huge home doggies. Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-16 | Kentucky v. Missouri UNDER 70.5 | 35-21 | Win | 100 | 45 h 58 m | Show | |
10-28-16 | Senators v. Flames OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Senators will be without their starting goaltender tonight, Craig Anderson, as he takes a leave of abscense to deal with a family issue. In his absence, the Senators will go with the goaltending tandem of Andrew Hammond and Chris Driedger, with both being highly inconsistent propositions between the pipes Hammond went 20-1-2 in his rookie campaign with the Sens in 2014-15, but than failed miserably going 7-11-1 last season and even spent a stint in the AHL in Binghamton where he had no wins to go with two losses. Meanwhile, Flames goalie Brian Elliot has played well of late, but it must be noted he owns a lowly .867 SVP% in two home games this season. In Ottawas L/15 non conference games an average of 6.7 gpg have been scored. OTTAWA in their L/9 games against poor starting goalies - save % of less than .895 of shots against wih acombined average of 7.2 gpg going on the scoreboard. CALGARY is 10-3 OVER L/13 in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with acombined average of 6.9 gpg getting scored. The L/4 meetings in this series have gone over. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-16 | Suns +9.5 v. Thunder | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns lost their first game of the season to Sacramento, but as the game went on it became apparent that their young players are aggressive and fast , and must not be underestimated coming into this contest. With Suns guard Bledsoe healthy again the Suns remain dangerous underdogs. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City had their hands full with Philadelphia last time out, pulling out a late win, but a non cover. Dealing with the loss of Ibaka and Durant in the front court, Im betting will mess with their offensive flow, and against a speedy Suns line up that will become apparent tonight. OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-24 ATS L/37 when playing against a team with a losing record and they are 8-21 ATS L/29 after a non conference game. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-16 | San Diego State -6 v. Utah State | 40-13 | Win | 100 | 59 h 10 m | Show | |
San Diego State is continuing to impress me with a solid D that is allowing just 17.6 ppg on the seaspn and just 285.7 ypg. Thats not a good omen for a Utah state side that ranks 81st in offense . It must aso be noted that the Aggies are a ugly 7-31-1 ATS in home losses, and have failed to cover their L/10 if they lose. I really like SD State SU, here, and barring a minor miracle the Aztecs should easily win and more importantly cover. SAN DIEGO ST is 9-2 ATS L/11 against conference opponents with the average margin of their wins coming by 22.8 ppg. Long is 15-4 ATS L/19 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in all games he has coached with the average margin of victory coming by 10.2 ppg. Road favorites like San Diego State of 3.5 to 10 points after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team have cashed 30 of the L/37 times. San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-16 | Magic +4.5 v. Pistons | 82-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Stan Van Gundy the respected coach of th Detroit Pistons anticipated his offense would have some problems in the early part of this season. Motowns head coach has even more concerns about his defense and rebounding after an less than respectable performance on opening night vs Toronto in a loss.The Pistons also clearly missed floor leader Reggie Jackson, who is expected to sit out approximately 20 games with knee tendinitis and are in trouble again vs a hungry Orlando team also off a loss. I know Orlando looked bad in their opener, but I have more hope for them right now than I do the Pistons, at least from a head on matchup perspective. ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS L/17 off a home loss . Detroit has had the upper hand in recent meetings, but this is a revamped Magic side, and they now get to go against a depleted and banged up Pistons team that is no where near where they were last season, at the moment. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-16 | Cavs -2 v. Raptors | 94-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
I have alot of respect for the Raptors, but the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers are the superior side, according to my numbers. Thus covering a 2 or 3 point spread makes for a viable wager. Toronto (1-0) had its season cut short last spring by the Cavaliers, who defeated the Raptors in six games of the Eastern Conference finals to advance to the NBA Finals and the Raps are still not ready in my humble opinion to change those recent outcomes. Cleveland (1-0) opened the season with a 117-88 thumping of the New York Knicks on Tuesday night and look more explosive than ever. From a long term NBA trends comes this beauty: Underdogs like Toronto - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points like the Cavs are 64-111 ATS for ugly 36% conversion rate on the betting line. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-16 | Clippers v. Blazers +2 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
Last season, the Blazers exceeded expectations with a 44 win season. They continue to be under estimated and their young group led by Lillard are only getting better with age. Meanwhile, the Clippers remain airly intact, and have stayed that way for a few years now, which makes them pretty easy to figure out from a systems perspective. I know LAC is explosive and talented, but a good technical team can play spoliers against them more often than not. |
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10-27-16 | Spurs v. Kings UNDER 205.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
The Kings took a 113-94 win as underdogs, opening-night at Phoenix on Tuesday and played some exrtremely good D, allowing the Suns just 38 first half points. After allowing a league high 109.1 ppg on defense last season, playing better in transistion has become a focal point for improvement for the Kings. Tonight, knowing how explosive their opponent is defense will once again come to the forefront. Meanwhile, we all know that playing strong D, is a key for the Spurs, as was evident when they held the Golden State Warriors potent offense to just 100 points in their wild 129-100 victory opener. From a league wide trends perspective it must be noted that All NBA teams like the Kings and Spurs where the total is 200 to 209.5 - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more have gone under 31 of the L/40 times. SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more with ana verage combined score of 181.8 ppg. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-16 | Predators v. Kings -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
After opening the season with three consecutive losses, the Kings (3-3-0) have bounced back to win three in a row and are now ready to deliver their fourth straight win, vs a struggling Predators at home Thursday night. The Kings went 2-1-0 vs. the Predators in 2015-16 with both wins secured in overtime. Key for the Kings tonight is third string goalie , Budaj, who's surrendered eight goals on 75 shots over the last three contests.Nashville now on tired ledgs dropped to 0-3-0 on the road this season after being crushed 6-1 by Anaheim on Wednesday night and until they can correct some of their numerous issues are fade material. Nashville 6-15 ATS L/21 in the first half of the season on the road dating back to last season and are 7-18 ATS L/25 with no rest. Play on the LA Kings to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-16 | Jaguars v. Titans -3 | 22-36 | Win | 111 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
The Jaguars are allowing 27 points per game, putting pressure on an offense that hasn't been able to keep pace and things don't look to get much better vs a Tennessee side with a top tier QB Marcus Mariota at the heelm of the offense. Tennessee blew a chance to make it 3 straight wins last week vs Indianapolis, but will primed for redemption tonight. I know the Titans have some nasty ATS numbers in their data base, but all good and bad numbers usually revert back to their norms, so those ATS numbers don't bother me when looking at handicapping this tilt. The Titans are however, 6-1 ATS L/7 Thursday night games and a perfect 5-0 ATS off a loss. Play on Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-16 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh +4.5 | 39-36 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
Historically speaking, this Pitt football program has a leg up on Virginia Tech, as the Panthers are winners of four consecutive meetings at Heinz Field and six of the previous seven. It seems that this long standing rivalry always brings out the best in the Panthers, no matter how good or bad they are doing at the time of their clashes. I know the Hokies run game is progressing upward quickly, as was evident against Miami last week in a lopsided win, but  against a Pitt defense that’s been as stingy as any in the ACC in the run game, allowing only 96.6 yards per game, the fifth best mark nationally, their in deeper than many might now think. Piitsburgh is 5-0 ATS L/5 at home in this series all 5 as underdogs. PITTSBURGH is 15-4 ATS in home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, which happened against Virginia last week. Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-16 | Thunder v. 76ers +9 | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Embiid and Saric, two Euro hoops stars that it took years to get over to Philly, will now lead a young team that might finally have the pieces to move forward.These new pegs including bringing over Jayred Bayless from Milwaukee to run the point bring genuine hope to a Sixers fan base that needs some positive news. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State now has to deal with finding chemistry without Durant and Ibaka in the front court, which Im betting will be more troubling than many pundits might expect. OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-15 ATS L/20 against Atlantic division opponents . PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS L/19 against Northwest division opponents and 21-8 ATS L/29 in non-conference games. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-16 | Canadiens +105 v. Islanders | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Montreal prepares to take their 5th straight win this Wednesday night on the bad ice in Brooklyn. Goaltender Al Montoya (NHL second-best 1.30 goals-against average) is looking to build off his 36-save performance in a 4-0 win over Pittsburgh on Oct. 18 when he faces his former team, which he is 3-0-0 in his career. It must be noted that the Habs have won the L/6 meetings in this series and 5 straight in NY. I know the Isles beat Minnesota 6-3 last time out , but their still having issues with flow, as HC Capuanos conservative system does not match up well with the Isles high end young offense talent. ie Strome, Nelson, Lee. Play on the Habs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-16 | Spurs +9 v. Warriors | 129-100 | Win | 100 | 33 h 7 m | Show | |
The Warriors, enter this season loaded with stars including newly acquired FA Durant, reigning back-to-back MVP Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green. Meanwhile, the Spurs remain as potent as ever. even though they are now without retired Tim Duncan. Spurs Starting Lineup: Tony Parker, Danny Green, Kawhi Leonard, LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol. Bottom line here: Just because the Warriors are loaded, it still a situation where chemistry has not been factored in and whether this group will work well together . Tonight Im betting this line is being over estimated and that getting points here is a strong opportunity to cash a ticket.  SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS L/34 ATS first half of the season. Road underdogs like the Spurs a horrible foul drawing team from last season - attempted 21 or less free throws/game are 58-27 ATS L/85 opportunities. Also nba teams like San Antonio vs the money line - excellent offensive team from last season that scored 102 or more points are 51-17 SU. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-16 | Cubs v. Indians UNDER 6.5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Lester is 2-0 with three quality starts, an 0.86 ERA and an 0.76 WHIP in 21 innings in the playoffs this year and will give a Cleveland offense that will be rusty from an extended rest fits. Meanwhile, the Indians starter Corey Kluber owns a 0.98 ERA in his L/3 starts and owns a stingy 2.90 ERA at home this season! Kluber in one start vs the Cubbies garnered a 1.17 ERA in a hard luck 2-1 loss. Cleveland's pitching staff, despite injuries to three start pitchers, has given only 15 runs in eight playoff games. LESTER is 13-2 UNDER L/15 vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season with an average of 5.1 combined runs going on the scoreboard. KLUBER is 22-8 UNDER when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6 rpg going on the scoreboard.HC FRANCONA is 12-2 UNDER in October games with a combined average of 5.5 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-16 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 5.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 60 m | Show | |
This young Toronto team played their best defensive game of the season in their lone game at home so far allowing just 1 goal vs Boston. Knowing the explosiveness , of the Bolts, you can bet the Buds will be in a conservative state of mind especially after consistently coughing up leads on the road in recent games. This I m betting leads to a tight Defensive affair that stays on the low side of the number. TAMPA BAY is 10-2 UNDER in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game with a combined averge score of 4 gpg going on the scoreboard. TORONTO is 20-8 UNDER L/28 against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opposition sides. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-16 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 204.5 | 88-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
NY K new HC Jeff Hornacek continues to look forward to implementing his uptempo style of basketball into a triangle system that Phil Jackson insists on continuing to be used. I personally believe the HC may have problems getting the most out of the system with the personnel he has. Also with the linesmakers more than aware of how the public will perceive this , they will raise this total past where it should be, thus giving some room for sharp money to step in. Overall I expect despite of emotions involved in raising a championship banner, that the home side , are well aware of their run and gun opponents intentions and will be ready to slow the flow down to suit their intentions. NEW YORK is 30-15 L/45 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 200 . CLEVELAND is 32-14 UNDER L/46 against Atlantic division opponents. The L/7 meetings in this series have stayed under the Total. Under is 20-6 in Knicks last 26 overall.Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 23-9 in Cavaliers last 32 vs. NBA Atlantic. From a NBA wide perspective , All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 - good ball handling team like Cleveland from last season that committed 14 or less turnovers/game are 101-61 on the under in a huge sample size for a hefty 63% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-16 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 43 | 6-6 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 57 m | Show | |
10-23-16 | Chargers +6.5 v. Falcons | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 53 h 18 m | Show | |
Earlier this month, the Atlanta Falcons battled last season's Super Bowl teams in back-to-back weeks and emerged with two victories and are a early season surprise. My feeling is that the Falcons are over rated, yes improved, but over rated especially considering todays line. Atlanta is tied for 26th in pass defense, yielding 285.3 yards per game, and will have their hand full with the Chargers Drew Brees and company. Yes, Matt Ryan the Atlanta Falcons QB is a stud, but its not like he has not crashed and burned before, when many least expect it. I also know, that Atlanta has not faired well recently vs bad defenses, 3-11 ATS L/14 vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. |
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10-23-16 | Bucs v. 49ers +1 | 34-17 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 16 m | Show | |
TB beat Carolina last week 17-14 as 6 point dogs. It must than be noted Any team in the NFL - off a win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more point like TB are 6-26 ATS.TAMPA BAY is 2-12 ATS L/14 off a win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more point . The 49ers have won 6 of the L/7 here in SF SU. Play on the SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-16 | Bucs v. 49ers OVER 46 | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 52 h 9 m | Show | |
SF has the worst rushing D, in the league allowing an average of 174.3 ypg. NFL teams allowing 140 or more yards per game have only seen 9 of 66 games fail to eclipse the total. The 49ers have the 31 ranked D in the league allowing an average of 30.8 ppg and the Bucs scoring D is ranked 27 allowing 28.4 ppg.Look for QBs Kappernick and Winston to take part in a back forth affair. Play OVEr 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-16 | Chargers v. Falcons UNDER 54 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 49 m | Show | |
 I know both these teams can put points up in a hurry, but what I am betting here is that the linesmakers have over compensated on the total and the public money that is flowing in is getting caught in a numbers trap. ATLANTA is 8-0 UNDER L/8 vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game and s 9-0 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse and s 13-1 UNDER after the first month of the season. The L/5 meetings have stayed UNDER. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-16 | Saints +7 v. Chiefs | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
Kansas City has proven to be wildly inconsistent so far this season. Last week they came off a bye and owned the Oakland Raiders in a lopsided 16 point win. Just a couple of weeks ago the Chiefs are got clobbered by the Pittsburgh Steelers losing by 29 points. KC now goes against a New Orleans team that is the league's top passing unit, with an average of 335.4 yards per game from Brees to a top tier of receivers, led by Brandin Cooks, Willie Snead and rookie Michael Thomas.The Saints have won two straight games and are averaging 413.4 yards per game and rank No. 2 in the league behind only Atlanta. With KCs d, with alot of banged up players, they look vulnerable.  From a league wide perspective: Home teams like KC - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are just 36-71 ATS.NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS L/14 as an underdog. Play on the New Orleans Saints to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-16 | Bills v. Dolphins OVER 43.5 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 50 h 32 m | Show | |
 The Buffalo Bills use the run game their major impetus for offensive explosion. The Bills are rushing for an average of 166.3 rushing ypg.. Meanwhile, MIAMI their opponents today are allowing 147.0 rushing yards per game. In 36 games this season, teams that rush for 140 ypg or more have only failed to go over 9 times. Considering Buffalos continued propensity to run the ball, and the Fins inability to stop it , I wont be surprised if the Bills offense explodes again, and that Miami is forced to open up via the pass in order to keep up in tilt that I am betting eclipses the number. Note: The Fins have gone over in 9 of their L/10 when playing in their 3rd straight home game. The Bills ave gone over in 4 straight as road favs. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Fresno State v. Utah State -16 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 84 h 11 m | Show | |
Fresno State enters this game having lost 15 of his L/17 games against FBS opponents and when they lose SU, from a historical stand point are 8-47 ATS L/55 games. Utah state needs a win badly, and after a week off to prepare for this game I expect they will crush their lowly opponent . Utah State is a perfect 6-0 ATS off a bye. UTAH ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in home games after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game which happened last time out. |
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10-22-16 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
The Vancouver Canucks have implemented a conservative defensive system this season, allowing no more than 1 goal in 3 of their 4 games, while scoring no more than 2 goals in those tilts, and that is the type of hockey I expect tonight in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the usually defensive minded Kings, have allowed 4,6,3 goals in their L/3 games, and will be primed to get back to basics here tonight and stop the bleeding LOS ANGELES is 5-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games dating back to last season. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Ole Miss +6 v. LSU | 21-38 | Loss | -105 | 83 h 56 m | Show | |
OIe Miss, coming off a 34-30 loss to Arkansas that dropped it to 1-3 against ranked opponents, are a inconsistent side. Im betting on quarterback Chad Kelly and company react with alot of energy to the loss at Arkansas that was sealed when he lost a fumble on the Rebels' final drive, ending hopes for a comeback win.I think this is when you find out a lot about yourself, a lot about your team, and a lot about your kids," Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze said I couldn't agree with him more. Ole Miss has some good character players and they will be in this game. Back to back wins vs Missouri and southern Miss are not impressive enough opponents to make me think their current 2-0 run under coach Orgeron is stimulus for this program to get back on track. Note: LSU is 1-10 ATS L/11 after playing at conference game at home. Ole Miss is 9-1 ATS L/10 at Baton Rouge. |
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10-22-16 | UL-Monroe +17 v. New Mexico | 17-59 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech +14 | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 82 h 32 m | Show | |
We have revenge on board for Texas Tech, against Oklahoma for last seasons 63-27 beat down. Last week Tech was clobbered and thoroughly embarrassed by West Virginia not scoring 50 points for the first time all and now their going to want some redemption. Texas Tech has covered 7 straight, when getting 5 or more points as home pups. TEXAS TECH is also 7-0 ATS L/7 off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more over the last few seasons. |
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10-22-16 | Mississippi State -3 v. Kentucky | 38-40 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 44 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | Canadiens +112 v. Bruins | 4-2 | Win | 112 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Former Hart and Vezina Trophy winner Price the Habs starting goalie tonight has had considerable success against Boston in his career, posting a 22-8-3 record with one shutout and a 2.37 goals-against average in 34 contests.Canadiens are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Boston and are my choice here tonight in Beantown.Tuukka Rask,Bruins expected goalie, is just 5-15-3 lifetime against the Canadiens. Play on the Montreal Canadiens to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Sharks -145 v. Red Wings | 0-3 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The San Jose Sharks are off a disturbing 3-2 loss vs banged up Pittsburgh last time out, after leading 2-0 going into the final frame. I expect tonight in the finale of a 5 game trip they will be out to displace the feeling of that loss with a big time start to finish effort this evening in Motown.Sharks are 22-9 in their last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Wings played last night but are 1-10 in their last 11 games playing on 0 days rest.Sharks are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. |
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10-22-16 | UL-Lafayette -5.5 v. Texas State | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 81 h 34 m | Show | |
After getting shutout by App State last week, UL Lafayette will be primed to beat up on a team they have owned over the last three seasons, winning each game by 3 or more Tds. Texas State has been out stated in 16 of their L/17 games overall and Im betting will once again be on the wrong side of the score sheet again. Play on UL Lafayette to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Houston -21 v. SMU | 16-38 | Loss | -104 | 81 h 33 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | UTEP +10 v. Texas-San Antonio | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | Oregon State +36.5 v. Washington | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 53 h 51 m | Show | |
Washington has a very high rating, but I still believe their little over rated with three of their wins coming against Rutgers, Idaho and Portland State . Meanwhile, Oregon State has played admirably of late, upsetting California and losing to Utah by just 5 points. It must also be noted that HC Gary Anderson teams are 7-0 ATS of more than 23 points as they are here today. Also another interesting anomaly or trend shows that Washington is 0-10 SU week 7 record. Oregon State has the ability to cover this number. Play on Oregon state to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Arkansas +10 v. Auburn | 3-56 | Loss | -115 | 80 h 45 m | Show | |
Arkansas HC Bielema is 6-0 ATS L/6 in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 and s 15-4 ATS L/19 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is 13 of 16 ATS as a dog off a SUATS win in his career, including 11-1 ATS as a underdog of 10 or less points. |
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10-22-16 | Utah +7 v. UCLA | 52-45 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
My own projections say this contest should be closer to a -3 line rather than the 7 we are getting. Big time value is available here with Utah to cover.UTAH is 36-13 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 120 or less rushing yards/game and is 35-19 ATS L/54 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.UCLA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in games played on a grass field. |
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10-22-16 | TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia | 10-34 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 40 m | Show | |
West Virginia, which lost nine starters from last year's defensive unit and arguably its best player in free safety Dravon Askew-Henry in fall camp to a torn ACL, has utilized the odd 3-3-5 stack and disguised its blitzing to create problems for opposing offenses. But now 6 games in you can bet some top tier teams like TCU , know what they have to do to knock this group down a notch. "You have to make plays and tackle in space, and they were able to do that," HC Patterson said. "They got after Patrick (Mahomes II), who is a really good quarterback. They have great skill players."You have to be able to run the ball against them. Two years ago, we had to run the football to win. If you can't, you're going to get yourself in a lot of trouble." With that siad, Im a big fan of Pattersons, and with the extra week of rest to prepare for this game Im betting he has his Frgs ready to perform. Note: TCU is a perfect 13-0 ATS entering a game off a bye. TCU is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game.W VIRGINIA is 3-12 ATS L/15 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Texas A&M +18.5 v. Alabama | 14-33 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 43 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | Memphis v. Navy +2.5 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
No. 24 Navy will Im betting capitalize on its 13 game straight home-field dominance in a pivotal matchup against conference rival Memphis on Saturday.The Midshipmen had two weeks to prepare after their last game against East Carolina was postponed to Nov. 19 because of flooding from Hurricane Matthew and will be very fresh for this game. NAVY is 9-1 ATS /10-0 SU in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. |
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10-22-16 | Eastern Michigan +24 v. Western Michigan | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show | |
Western Michigan (7-0) is a special MAC team, but today here at Waldo Stadium their being asked to cover a boatload full of points vs a E.Michigan side that has some very good offensive capabilities and own road wins at Missouri, Bowling Green and Ohio and have only allowed 25 + points twice this season on their way to a 5-2 record. Im betting on the Eagles to make it 6 straight covers in this spot. Note: W Mich is 4-14 ATS L/18 in home games versus good offensive teams -averaging 425 or more yards per game. |
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10-22-16 | North Carolina v. Virginia +8.5 | 35-14 | Loss | -115 | 77 h 46 m | Show | |
‘Bronco M’ as the HC  Virginia head  is 24-11-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points, including 8-2 ATS in conference play. The  Cavs under his tutledge  are 4-1 ATS as home dogs of 6 or more points.Meanwhile, the Heels are 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites of 7 or more points and  including 0-6 ATS versus an opponent off a SU loss. Virginia has covered 13 of their L/15 as dogs and get the nod here today.Bronco Mendenhall is 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS at home in games off a SU home defeat VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS L/6 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Play on the Virginia Cavs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Colorado +2.5 v. Stanford | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 67 h 38 m | Show | |
I was big on Stanford before the season started ,but now Im pretty sure their flow is off. With star RB Christian McCaffrey operating with nagging injuries a key ingredient in their chemistry is causing issues. They have lost 2 of their L/3 and lost 3 straight stats sheet battles. Meanwhile, Colorado is proving their the real deal, outgainging opponents by an average of 200 ypg. The Buffs have revenge on board for last season 42-10 home loss to the Cardinal, and are 5-0 ATS L/5 on the road looking to get even. It must be noted that visiting sides where the line is +3 to -3 - excellent offensive team - scoring 35 or more points/game are a bankroll expanding 83-40 ATS over a huge 123 game sample size for a 68% conversion rate . |
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10-22-16 | Ohio v. Kent State +3.5 | 14-10 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 47 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | Syracuse +5 v. Boston College | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 74 h 19 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | Texas v. Kansas State -2.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 74 h 48 m | Show | |
Charlie Strong saved his job last week,with a win vs Iowa State but I am betting that is short lived, and that the Longhorns problems are more pronounced than many might think. KState lost to Oklahoma last week 38-17, but are 11-1 ATS off a road blowout loss by 21 points.TEXAS is 0-6 ATS L/6 after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game.KANSAS ST is 14-4 ATS in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game.TEXAS is 2-11 ATS in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game. |
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10-22-16 | UMass v. South Carolina -20 | 28-34 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 48 m | Show | |
UMass is ranked 105th in the country on D, and have been out gained by an average 152 ypg this season. Even Carolinas pedestrian offense, should be able to pound away and put points on the board. The Gamecocks D, is of the top tier variety and have held to SEC opponents to season low yards, and Mass should have their hands full even putting up a few field goals here. |
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10-22-16 | Indiana +1.5 v. Northwestern | 14-24 | Loss | -102 | 74 h 47 m | Show | |
The wrong team is favored here. Yes Northwestern has won 2 in a row , but the superior side is Indiana according to my own power ratings. From a league wide perspective Home teams like the Northwestern where the line is +3 to -3 - after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in October games are just 17-46 ATS for a lowly 23 % conversion rate . HC Fitzgerald is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games . |
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10-22-16 | Rutgers +17 v. Minnesota | 32-34 | Win | 100 | 69 h 28 m | Show | |
[QB] 10/18/2016 -Minnys Mitch Leidner is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Rutgers ( Concussion ) |
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10-22-16 | Wisconsin -3 v. Iowa | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 51 h 28 m | Show | |
10-22-16 | North Texas +19.5 v. Army | 35-18 | Win | 100 | 49 h 4 m | Show | |
These Army and North Texas teams are both improved from recent years, and Im expecting the points to be golden here. Army has only covered 2 of their L/16 as DD favorites. From a league wide perspective teams like Army A home team after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are just 7-30 ATS. North Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-16 | Miami (OH) +4.5 v. Bowling Green | 40-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 36 m | Show | |
Bowling Green played their hearts out in their L/game vs Toledo but could still not get the win and will be in an emotional letdown situation this week . Bowling Green has lost 5 straight and nothing seems to come easy to them and this week will be no different. MIAMI OHIO is 10-2 ATS L/12 in road games against teams who commit 2.75 or more turnovers/game on the season. Miami O has covered 6 of their L/7 trips to Bowling Green. |
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10-21-16 | Oregon +3 v. California | 49-52 | Push | 0 | 61 h 43 m | Show | |
Oregon - the ducks are coming off a bye week so their well rested and ready to get back in the win column after 4 straight losses. Recent history is on the side of the Ducks, as they have won seven straight matchups with the Golden Bears, dating back to 2009. the Bears are also off a bye after a loss on the road to Oregon State 47-44, but are banged up with some key injuries to WR Chad Hansen and QB Davis Webb. Both should play but are less than 100%. No matter what , because of Cals Defense, no lead is safe, and going against them as favorites against a side that can put points up in bunches makes for what I am betting is a solid underdog pick. Note: Cals Sonny Dykes is 0-12 SU in his career vs Oregon. Play on the Oregon ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-16 | South Florida v. Temple +7 | 30-46 | Win | 100 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
Temple came back last week , for a late 25-24 win vs UCF , as QB Philip Walker hit a 8 yard touchdown pass. After watching that win I have come to the conclusion that Temple is improving with each week, and their D, is now in mid season form, and a danger to a full throttle USF that needs to flow to do well. Temple I am betting will disrupt their flow. It must be noted that the Owls have held four teams to season low offensive numbers and are moneymakers has underdogs under HC Matt Rhule, covering 18 of their 25. Temple to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-16 | Hurricanes v. Flames -145 | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Carolina Canes are winless to start their campaign, and Im betting on their current record to stay intact tonight in Calgary.Hurricanes G Cam Ward is 3-3-0 with a bloated 3.62 goals-against average versus Calgary and the Canes are 0-7 in their L/7 trips into Alberta to play the Flames. Flames are 22-8 in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play on the Calgary Flames 1 unit reg selection on the moneyline |
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10-20-16 | Bears +7.5 v. Packers | 10-26 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
Something is wrong with the GB Packers, no flow, and problems galore with the chemistry on the offense, as Aaron Rodgers and company are being out gained on the season and are expected to be without , their three top cornerbacks. I know the Bad News Bears don't exactly inspire alot of bettors, but the stats say the Bears own the better D, and offense and will have a QB in Hoyer who has had 4 straight 300 yd passing yard games. The Bears are seventh in total offense, including fourth in passing offense, but they're just 31st in scoring with 16.8 points per game and I am expecting a reversal in their fortunes starting tonight in Lambeau. With that said, lets take the points with the desperate visitor. Note: QB Rodgers has not thrown for 300 yds in his L/16 games. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-16 | Maple Leafs v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs played last night and lost 5-4 in OT despite of a 4-0 lead. The second such time the Buds folded like that this season. Now on tired legs I expect the Leafs coaching staff will center their focus on a better defensive effort tonight. This will slow down the speed of this game, The host team Wild are doing some scoring, but Im betting that outburst will be short lived, behind a conservative offensive philosphy. Under is 13-4-10 in Wild last 27 vs. Atlantic. Under is 3-1-2 in Wild last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Wild last 8 vs. a team with a winning % below .400 • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-16 | LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx OVER 157.5 | 77-76 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 19 m | Show | |
10-20-16 | LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx -5.5 | 77-76 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
10-20-16 | Troy v. South Alabama UNDER 48 | 28-21 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 30 m | Show | |
10-20-16 | Ducks +105 v. Flyers | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Ducks have started their season out with 3 straight losses, and despite of saying their not panicking , Im betting they are feeling some desperation and will play hard tonight. The Ducks are a big physical team, and they will be in a bruising nasty mood tonight, and the Flyers will not be able to match their intensity. The Ducks also have a positive series history , winning 6 straight meetings and the last 5 here in the City of Brotherly love. ( The flyers are a lowly 6-21 L/27 vs Pacific division sides) Play on the Anaehim Ducks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-16 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Tech -6 | 16-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an average Miami team coming off back-to-back losses, and Im sure their egos are little damaged as well . I know alot has been made the Canes, and how good a team they have become. In my opinion their over hyped to an extent, and out of their league tonight vs a Vtech side on the rise. I know you would never know it by last weeks loss at Syracuse, but , previous to that brain fart, the Hokies were dominant and here this week I expect them to return to form. Virginia Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-19-16 | Maple Leafs v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
10-18-16 | Sabres v. Flames -145 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Im of the belief that Calgary will be a very good team this season, and tonight, Im betting they , notch a win vs a well coached but very average Buffalo Sabres side trying to find their way after seeing 2015 No. 2 overall pick Jack Eichel suffer a high ankle sprain and Evander Kane sustain three cracked ribs in the season opener. Note: Calgary G Robin Lehner, has allowed 11 goals in three starts versus Calgary, will be in net.Sabres are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Calgary. and the home team has only lost 4 o the L/23 meetings.  Play on the Calgary Flames to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-18-16 | Indians +111 v. Blue Jays | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Indians RH Corey Kluber (2-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Aaron Sanchez (0-0, 9.53) Cleveland turns to its ace Tuesday as it attempts to remain perfect in the postseason and complete a sweep of the AL Championship Series against the Blue Jays in Toronto.He shut the Jays down in game 1 of this series and is capable of turing the trick again. The Indians are 5-0 in Klubers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff games.Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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