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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-05-18 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan +7.5 | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
The Riders have been giving up a some big plays that look great on highlight films but their overall defence is of the top tier variety and has not given up a lot of yards so far this season. Hamilton has a lot of playmakers, that begins with the arm of QB Masoli ,but moving the ball I'm betting won't be as easy as the pundits might think against this Riders D. With that said, take the points with the home dog Roughriders. Tiger-Cats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.Tiger-Cats are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in July. Roughriders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss and ATS loss. SASKATCHEWAN is 22-9 ATS L/31 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game. SASKATCHEWAN is 49-25 ATS L/74 as a home underdog. Saskatchewan has won the last 3 meetings in this series, including the last 2 here at home. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SASKATCHEWAN) - in the first month of the season are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CF L teams like (HAMILTON) - with an incredible offense - averaging 7.5 or more yards/play are just 10-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on the Saskatchewan Riders to cover |
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07-05-18 | Sparks v. Lynx -5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks despite of being a top tier team, have been struggling of late, losing 3 of their L/4 overall. It must be noted that WNBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are a long term bad bet losing 34 of their L/38 games SU dating back 21 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average loss coming by 10 ppg which qualifies on this line. WNBA Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 6-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Meanwhile, Minnesota the defending league champs had a 7 game win streak abruptly end last time out, to the lowly Indiana Fever who now have just two wins on the season, by a 71-59 count as -14 point chalk. That was embarrassing to say the least for the Lynx and their lowest offensive out put since the 2013 season. Before the loss, Minnesota was averaging 85.6 points per game during the team’s seven-game win streaking I'm betting they come out here like gangbusters looking for redemption. MINNESOTA is 31-16 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team after 15 or more games are 23-3 ATS L/21 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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07-04-18 | White Sox v. Reds -167 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. SAL ROMANO (R) Covey the Pale Hose starter today is fade material in this spot in his current form which has produced a 0-2 record along with a ugly 12.71 ERA in his last three starts .He is also off allowing nine runs on eight hits in 2 1/3 innings of an 11-3 setback at Texas. White Sox are 1-11 in Coveys last 12 road starts. White Sox are 0-6 in Coveys last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series. Yesterday Chicago showed rare offensive explosion in a 12-8 win vs the host Reds. But a long term historical trend favours the Reds to bounce back here. The Reds are 27-0 L/27 as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs which happened yesterday. CHI WHITE SOX are 3-21 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last couple of seasons. Cincinnati is 7-2 in interleave play this season, and have averaged close to a .300 team BA, and scored an average of more than 7 rpg. I am not a big proponent of laying heavy lumber, in money line situations, but this extra out lay , is worth it, according to my investment chart perimeters . Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the money line |
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07-04-18 | Astros -142 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Garrett Cole . (R) vs. MIKE MINOR (L) Cole the Astros starter today , had a 7 game win streak end lat time out, but will be more than prepared to bounce back in this spot . The righty hurler has allowed just eight hits while going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 20 innings in three very strong starts against the Rangers this season and is 3-0 with a 1.33 ERA in four career outings.Cole gets the nod vs an inconsistent Texas attack that averages just 4.3 rpg vs righties via a lowly .230 BA. Astros are 14-3 in Coles last 17 startsAstros are 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts vs. American League West.Rangers are 0-4 in Minors last 4 starts vs. American League WestRangers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Rangers are 8-21 in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600Astros are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings in Texas and have won 7 straight overall in this series.HOUSTON is 13-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.HOUSTON is 19-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. The Rangers are 1-16 L/17 on the money line as a home dog when they are off two losses in which they never led with 15 of those loses coming by multiple runs. MLB Road teams like (HOUSTON) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), in July games are a solid long term investment option going 159-105 L/21 seasons for a 60%+ conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the money line |
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07-04-18 | Red Sox -124 v. Nationals | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. ERICK FEDDE (R) |
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07-03-18 | Pirates v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) The Dodgers smashed the Pirates yesterday by a 17-1 count and now I'm expecting a natural letdown situation to occur offensively for the Dodgers here , which I'm betting helps facilitate a lower scoring affair.Note: The Pirates have gone under 10 straight times on the road after they allowed 12+ hits which happened in their last game. No score eclipsed the 7 run plateau, and the 10 games went under by an average of 3.8 rpg. The Pirates are 2-16-1 O/U as a road dog off a road game in which they lost by 5+ runs with no game over the 19 game span eclipsing the 7 run plateau. Two pitchers who have recently come of the DL go head to head tonight in LA as Clayton Kershaw of LA takes on Ivan Nova of the Pirates. In four starts since coming off the DL because of a sprained right finger, Nova is 2-0 with a 1.75 ERA.Nova ince coming off the DL and has given up one or no runs in three of those outings. Note:Under is 15-2 in Novas last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. Meanwhile, Kershaw will be making his third start since coming off the disabled list for his most recent back injury and is showing upward momentum and strength and owns a 2.77 ERA since his return, and I'm betting this will be his strongest start to date as the rust will now completely worn off. .KERSHAW is 17-5 UNDER in his career in home games in July . (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 5.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 home starts vs. Pirates. Under is 24-9-4 in Pirates last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (PITTSBURGH) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), in the second half of the season are 73-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. ( The que numbers are even better at 7.5) Play UNDER |
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07-03-18 | Orioles v. Phillies -149 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
Orioles are 3-11 in Cobbs last 14 starts.He owns a ugly 6.75 ERA on the season along with a 2-9 record and has registered an even uglier .6.90 ERA on the road .1730 WHIP allowing 67 hits in just 45 innings of substandard work. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 against the money line in home games with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 12-43 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season and s 6-24 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season.BALTIMORE is 2-18 against the money line revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season.Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Orioles have lost 14 straight on the money line in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings. MLB team (PHILADELPHIA) - off 2 consecutive one run wins over a division rival, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 31-11 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings are 127-43 L/21 seasons for 74% conversion rate on the blind for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win on the money line |
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07-03-18 | Red Sox -101 v. Nationals | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Roark the Nationals hurler has been in a funk for a while now He went 1-4 with a 6.08 ERA in five starts and one relief appearance in June, surrendering 18 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings of sub par work. He looked decent in his last outing but still looked erratic at times in is in unstable form at the moment and fade material vs a Boston Red Sox side that matches up well against him according to my power rankings . Meanwhile his pitching opponent from the BoSox Johnson a southpaw allowed a run in four innings for the Red Sox Thursday night against the Angels in place of Steven Wright, who went on the disabled list with a knee injury earlier last week. With this being Johnson's last chance to show his stuff as a starter in the rotation with Drew Pomeranz close to returning, I'm betting he will be primed to perform.Red Sox are 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts. WASHINGTON is 8-16 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. ROARK is 1-7 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record)ROARK is 5-11 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 45-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague road games. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the money line |
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07-02-18 | Indians v. Royals OVER 8 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
In his first 14 starts this year, Kluber the Tribes starter tonight vs the Royals was 10-2 with a 1.99 ERA. But in his last three starts, Kluber is 1-2 with a 6.59 ERA and struggling mightily. Meanwhile,Junis the Royals starter has lost his L/6 starts along with a bloated 6.30 ERA and was beaten around for five runs on seven hits , including three homers - and three walks over five innings of sub standard work vs the Brewers last time out.Junis' last start against Cleveland came May 13. In a 6-2 loss to the Indians, he pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing four runs and six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks.In three career appearances against Cleveland, Junis is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA and could easily get beaten around again vs a side that my power rankings suggest does not matchup well against. I won't be surprised if the sometimes explosive Indians offence puts enough runs on the board to eclipse this total all by themselves. KLUBER is 8-0 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)with a combined average score of 11.5 rpg scored.KLUBER is 39-22 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with an average of 10 rpg scored. Im betting a struggling KC offence does just enough damage here to help us eclipse the total. . KANSAS CITY is 54-32 OVER L/86 as a home underdog of +175 or more with a combined average of 11.3 rpg scored. MLBRoad teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 53-21 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-02-18 | Twins v. Brewers -138 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. BRENT SUTER (L) Gibson the Twins starter despite of decent overall numbers this season is beginning to go into a tailspin as is evident when he lost his second straight start and fell to 1-5 in his last eight trips to the hill this past Wednesday after allowing five runs on 11 hits in a 6-1 loss at the Chicago White Sox.With Gibson in a down turn, and the Twins struggling away from home losing 25 of 40 games, this season, they are fade material, especially considering how tired their over used bullpen is. SUTER the Brewers starter is 11-2 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Brewers are 4-0 in Suters last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 5-1 in Suters last 6 home starts. MINNESOTA is 1-9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.MINNESOTA is 3-14 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season. ( Note: The Twins pitching staff has just allowed 35 runs in a 3 game set vs the Cubs ) MILWAUKEE is 7-0 against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games dating back to last season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 2.000 the last 5 games are 40-6 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 34-7 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the money line |
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07-02-18 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -140 | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. RYAN BORUCKI (L) Fiers the Tigers starter has struggled on the road this season with a 5.15 ERA, nearly two full runs differential than his total at Comerica Park (3.19) and is fade material here in this spot. At the Rogers Centre Fiers, is 0-2 mark and 5.91 ERA in two career starts. Meanwhile, Borucki in his major league debut, allowed just 2 runs vs the explosive Houston Astros in 6 quality innings of work, and should be very well prepared for a far less cohesive offence in this spot. I know the Tigers won yesterday to end a 11 game losing streak, but I'm betting on them reverting back to usual selves this afternoon. The Tigers have lost 18 straight as a 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base.The Tigers have lost 18 straight as a 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent,The Tigers have lost 18 straight games as a road 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base.The Blue Jays have won 6 straight if not playing the first game of a series as a 140+ favorite after they scored first.Tigers are 4-17 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series. Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Blue Jays are 39-18 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.Tigers are 3-12 in the last 15 meetings in Toronto. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the money line |
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07-01-18 | Sun +4.5 v. Storm | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Make no mistake that the Connecticut Sun are one of the premier teams in this league, but recently have had to deal with an exhausting early season schedule, that effected their play to an extent, which included playing 4 games in 7 days against Washington , Phoenix, Seattle, and the defending champion Minnesota Lynx. Now with some much needed rest I expect the Sun will primed fora pay back effort vs another strong side ,their hosts the Seattle Storm who are now playing their 4th game of the week, and on tired legs . With that said, Im betting on the Sun getting us the cover here tonight. Miller is 20-9 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days as the coach of CONNECTICUT. SEATTLE is 9-20 ATS versus teams who average 42 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last couple of seasons and s 8-17 ATS L/25 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and 2-9 ATS versus teams who average 45 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.SEATTLE is 7-17 ATS L/24 against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 season.SEATTLE is 9-21 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games are 52-17 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Conneciut to cover |
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07-01-18 | Rockies +190 v. Dodgers | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Dodgers have looked asleep at the proverbial wheel in the first two games of this series vs the Colorado Rockies losing both times as hefty favs. I natural reaction by bettors would no be that the Dodgers will be now primed for a bounce back effort as they look to avoid the embarrassing sweep at home. Unfortunately though its not always easy to just push the start button, and reboot when your crashing, and that is what my contrarian position is in this spot. |
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07-01-18 | Braves v. Cardinals +102 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Atlantas starter Foltynewicz despite of pitching well of late has faced St. Louis three times in his career, going 1-2 with a 9.95 ERA and yielding a whopping 22 hits over 12 2/3 innings which coincides with me fading him as my power rankings suggest the Cards matchup well against him. Meanwhile, John Gant (2-2, 3.48). Gant, replacing the disabled Michael Wacha in the rotation, pitched the best game of his career Monday night, limiting Cleveland to an infield single by Yan Gomes over seven innings in a 5-0 victory. Now with confidence on board, the former Atlanta prospect will be out to show the Braves what they missed out on. |
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06-30-18 | Red Sox -135 v. Yankees | 11-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R) The ace of the BoSox pitching staff goes against the Yankees after striking out nine or more batters in each of his past four outings. He tallied eight strikeouts, allowed eight hits, walked none and surrendered one run over six innings against the Yankees on April 10 and matches up very well against the Yankees batting order. Note: Sale is getting stronger as the season has progressed ,his average fastball was 92.5 in April, 95.6 in May and 97.0 this month. Meanwhile, the Yanks starter Gray is off a loss in his last start, when he surrendered four runs and six hits in 6 2/3 innings to the Rays at Tropicana Field. He faced Boston on April 12, permitting six runs over three innings in a loss and my own power rankings suggest he will struggle against the Red Sox batting order again. Since joining the Yankees, he is 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox. For his career, Gray is 1-5 with a 5.97 ERA in seven games against Boston. GRAY is 6-16 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GRAY is 5-12 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 47-19 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Red Sox are 18-1 L/19 as a 130-plus favorite off a game as a dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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06-30-18 | Indians v. A's UNDER 9.5 | 2-7 | Win | 105 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
ADAM PLUTKO (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R) Plutko the Tribes starter today vs Oakland limited Detroit to two runs on six hits over six innings on Sunday, ending with four strikeouts and no walks. The right-hander has held righty batters to a .186 average with a .620 OPS in six outings this season. I'm expecting he does just fine vs Oakland offense that has struggled offensively at home this season generating just 3.6 rpg via a lowly .223 BA. Meanwhile, the Athletics will respond with Jackson who gave the A’s six innings in his 2018 debut, holding the Tigers to one run on Monday. He allowed just six hits and didn’t walk a batter, while striking out seven in the 80-pitch outing. I expect he gets even stronger today, and continues his past top tier efforts vs the Tribe, as is evident by 9-1 W/L career record along with a solid 2.81 ERA. The Indians have been a Dr.Jekyll and Mr.Hyde offense home and away this season. On the road Cleveland has averaged just 3.8 rpg behind a lackluster .224 BA and I'm betting on Jackson and a stable As bullpen 2.66 ERA at home to keep the Tribe for erupting, thus helping see this game score finish on the low side of the Total. JACKSON the As starter is 11-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored.
MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 48-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-30-18 | Angels v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Skaggs the Angles starter this afternoon took the loss in his last start on Monday despite holding the Royals to one run over seven innings. He has posted a 0.67 ERA over 27 innings in four June starts and I'm betting will make life difficult for the Os offense. Meanwhile, Baltimore's starter Cashner took a no-decision in his last start, against the Mariners, despite going six innings for the third time in four outings. The righty has a 3.68 ERA in June but is winless in four starts, thanks to a lack of clutch hitting and run support by the Os struggling batting order that has produced more than 3 runs only twice in their L/9 games. LA ANGELS are 9-1 UNDER after a win by 6 runs or more this season with the average combined score clicking at 6.4 rpg.BALTIMORE is 14-4 UNDER in home games after a loss by 6 runs or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 rpg scored. BALTIMORE is 20-7 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored and is 16-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. CASHNER is 9-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average scoring ringing in at 6.5 rpg. CASHNER is 12-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. CASHNER is 15-4 UNDER (+10.8 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 17-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-29-18 | Sparks v. Aces +7 | 78-94 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
LA played last night and lost to Seattle and are now on tired legs and susceptible to a letdown vs a young Vegas team that has surprised some opponents this season thanks to a talented coach in Lambeer and young group that is on a upward trajectory. |
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06-29-18 | Rockies +145 v. Dodgers | 3-1 | Win | 145 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
German Marquez the Rockies hurler has a below average won loss record of 5-8 and a bloated 5.64 ERA, but a lot of that damage has come at Coors field. On the road Marquez is 3-3 along with a stable 3.29 ERA , and is under rated on the line in this spot thus giving us value backing him and his teammates in this spot. It must also be noted that the Dodgers are 0-6 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse this season LA DODGERS are also just 3-10 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 6-0 against the money line revenging a 3 game sweep, beaten by 3+ runs in each game over the last 3 seasons. Which happened the last time these teams met in early June. LA DODGERS has also not been stable favorites as is evident by a 20-24 record against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. The Rockies have won 8 straight as a 150-plus underdog on the opening line off a road game in which they led by multiple runs, which was the case last time out. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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06-29-18 | Braves v. Cardinals -140 | 5-1 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. MILES MIKOLAS (R) The Braves starter today Teheran vs the Cards is coming off his worst start of the season after giving up 7 runs, including a grand slam in the first, to the O's last Saturday. Since starting the season 4-1, Teheran is 1-4 in his last six outings along with a bloated 6.06 ERA and seven homers allowed in 32 2/3 innings. He will be backed by a Braves bullpen, that has garnered a 5.46 ERA with 14 walks in 29 2/3 innings on the recent homestand. Meanwhile, Mikalos .the Cards starter has been one of major league baseballs pitching surprises this season, and is highly under rated and gives the Cards a strong chance foe victory tonight. The righty thrower has walked just 12 hitters in 97 innings while ranking second in the National League in WHIP (0.97) and sixth in ERA. He should do well vs a mix match banged up Atlanta batting order that is slumping of late, as was evident when they lost 4 of 6 in their recent home stand. TEHERAN is 18-35 against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cardinals are 41-9 L/50 since Sep 15, 2015 as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games, which the Braves have. MLB Teams are 19-4 since Jun 18, 2018 League as a home 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. MATHENY is 94-60 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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06-29-18 | Sky +4 v. Liberty | 103-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
The Liberty after playing a hard fought physical affair vs the Washington Mystics last night in DC will now be on tired legs and also in a huge emotional letdown spot after losing 80-77 on a last second downtown shot. I know the Chicago Sky may not inspire bettors with their overall record, but they have won 2 straight, and I'm betting won't be easy outs for a NY team that has lost 7 of their L/8 overall and have proven to be bad bets at home vs perceived lower teams with below .500 records like the Sky as the following trends demonstrate. NEW YORK is 3-15 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons.NEW YORK is 0-6 ATS in home games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last few seasons. NEW YORK is 4-13 ATS in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last few seasons. WNBA (CHICAGO) - with a losing record, in June games are 61-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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06-29-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L) Sabathia the Yankee starter tonight has lost his last two starts, both to the Rays, despite limiting them to five runs (four earned) with 14 strikeouts over 13 innings. I'm betting he keeps his team in this game as well and limits the Beantown offense to limited run producing opportunities. Meanwhile, Rodriguez the BoSox starter , despite of a rare substandard effort Mariners, when he allowed 5 runs in 4 innings, the southpaw has been solid, with a 2.97 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in the past seven games. Against the Yankees on May 10, he struck out eight over five scoreless innings. Both hurlers are backed by quality bullpens, and I'm betting on these hurlers providing up with quality work, which will help contribute to us cashing a under ticket here. Under is 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 home starts vs. Red Sox.Under is 5-1 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts vs. Yankees. Under is 13-3-1 in Yankees last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-0-1 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 23-9-2 in Rodriguezs last 34 starts vs. a team with a winning record. SABATHIA is 26-10 UNDER against division opponents over the last few seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 7.6 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 17-7 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 22-8 UNDER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 11-1 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined 5.5 rpg scored. BOONE is 22-4 UNDER L/26 in June games as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. BOONE is 27-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. The Red Sox are 3-17-2 OU L/22 by an average of 1.73 rpg in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after they used 5+ pitchers. The Red Sox are 9-27 OU since Jun 15, 2004 on the road off a game as a favorite vs a lefty when they won the last three times they faced a lefty with a combed average of 8.3 rpg scored. RODRIGUEZ is 12-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board. NY YANKEES are 20-8 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average score of 7.5 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are a long term good bet for under bettors and are 138-64 to the UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-28-18 | Brewers -102 v. Reds | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
JUNIOR GUERRA (R) vs. ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) The Reds hurler is currently in good form and off a quality start but it must be noted that the Reds are just 1-6 in DeSclafanis last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Meanwhile the Brewer starter Guerra despite of substandard win loss record, has not allowed more than 3 runs in any of his L/8 starts, and almost always gives his side a chance for victory. GUERRA is 21-10 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 1-10 against the money line in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years this season.Brewers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The Reds are 0-13 SU after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, trailed and won. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 40-13 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewer to win on the money line |
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06-28-18 | Liberty v. Mystics UNDER 160 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
"It's amazing when you play really good defense what kind of things can happen," Mystics coach Mike Thibault told the Washington Post after their recent win vs the Connecticut Sun . With that said, I now expect the Mystics to continue to stay focused on their defensive game, which will have a direct effect on the to total combined score of this game to the low side of the number. It must be noted that the Liberty have averaged barely 70 ppg in their L/5 overall, and struggling with their offensive flow. Meanwhile, I know the Mystics have been lighting the board up of late, but WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.8 ppg going on the board and is 9-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored.
WASHINGTON is 22-9 UNDER L/31 in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games with the combined average score of 140.6 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 31-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER |
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06-28-18 | Mariners -142 v. Orioles | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. JIMMY YACABONIS (R) Mike Leake (8-4, 4.11 ERA) will start for the Mariners against Jimmy Yacabonis (0-0, 15.43). Leake has the advantage according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings system. LEAKE is 12-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Seattle has won the first three games of this series, after yesterdays 8-7 victory in 11 innings over the slumping and injury-riddled Orioles and look like viable investment option to sweep this series.SEATTLE is 31-18 against the money line after a one run win over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 0-13 L/13 at home after playing as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record.
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06-27-18 | Cubs v. Dodgers -135 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) |
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06-27-18 | Indians +100 v. Cardinals | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
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06-27-18 | Twins -138 v. White Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The White Sox will go to right-hander James Shields (2-9, 4.59 ERA) to make his 17th start of the season, but are at a disadvantage as the Twins return fire with the confident Kyle Gibson who has limited opponents to two earned runs or fewer in each of his past five starts. Gibson owns a solid 6-2 record with a 2.42 ERA vs the Twins in his career.GIBSON is 11-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 13-4 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GIBSON is 25-9 ( against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record)GIBSON is 12-2 against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The White Sox are 4-18 since Apr 27, 2013 in not the first game of a series as a dog off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season including their L/11 in a row under these perimeters. The White Sox are 0-6 L/6 this season and its not the first game of a series as a home dog after a game as a home dog in which they scored 6+ runs.The White Sox are 0-10 L/10 this season and its not the first game of a series as a dog after playing as a home dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the money line |
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06-27-18 | Fever +12 v. Sun | 89-101 | Push | 0 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
I know the Fever don't inspire bettors, but they are capable of covering here vs a exhausted Connecticut team off a loss to the Mystics last night .The last time the Fever visited the Sun they lost by 9 points on May 26 this season ( 86-77). CONNECTICUT is 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or worse). CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS L/12 as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points . CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. INDIANA is 20-8 ATS in road games revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points . WNBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 48-15 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) - with a winning record on the season playing a losing team, in June games `13-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. WNBAHome favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are just 6-29 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 83% on the blind. WNBARoad underdogs of 10 or more points (INDIANA) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 31-9 ATS for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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06-27-18 | Blue Jays v. Astros -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) |
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06-27-18 | Royals v. Brewers -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. BRENT SUTER (L) Brent Suter (8-4, 4.15 ERA) will start for Milwaukee, looking for his fourth consecutive victory. The left-hander has been amazing during his winning streak, recording a 2.84 ERA while holding batters to a .185 average and a .551 OPS. He is in great form and gets my support to help his team cover on the run-in this afternoon vs a Royals that are 4-19 since June 1 and have lost 12 of their last 14 games -- six by four or more runs. It must be noted that the Brewers are 7-0 on the money line in franchise history with Brent Suter as a home favorite when they scored three-plus runs and won in his last start with the victories coming by an average of 5.71 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 7-31 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season losing by an average of 2.3 rpg. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers on the run line -1.5 ( Late update) |
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06-26-18 | Wings v. Sparks UNDER 163.5 | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played on June 22, the Dallas Wings were shooting the lights out, and the Sparks were playing uncharacteristically bad defensive basketball , as was evident in a 101-72 loss while allowing their opponent to average 53.1 % conversion rate from the Field. Now you can bet the Sparks will be primed to play much better D, and thwart the attack of the Wings. Two of the last three trips to the hardwood have seen the Sparks hold opponents to 55 and 54 points and they are more than capable standing tall here in this rematch in a tilt that I am betting see the total combined score stay on the low side of the number. |
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06-26-18 | Mariners -132 v. Orioles | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) The Mariners have won 25 straight on the moneyline as a road favorite of more than 130 when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.00 on the campaign, it is not a series opener, and they did not use more than five pitchers in their previous game.
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06-26-18 | Mercury -3.5 v. Liberty | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Phoenix enters on a two-game losing streak after enjoying a eight-game winning streak. During their winning run, the Mercury beat the Liberty 80-74 at Madison Square Garden three weeks ago, and matchup well against them. NY also lost two this past weekend, as they lost 88-78 to the young Las Vegas Aces on Friday. In their following game the struggling Liberty shot just 38.3 % in a ugly 80-54 loss to the Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday and now look like fade material in their current form. Both teams are desperate to get back in the win column, but team is superior to the other, and gets my support on a short chalk line. NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - after scoring 55 points or less are 4-24 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate with the average margin loss coming by an average of 7.2 ppg which then qualifies on this spread line. WNBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or less are 35-4 SU L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by more than 10.2 ppg Play on Phoenix to cover |
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06-25-18 | Indians v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. JOHN GANT (R) Cleveland and their bats have come to life of late, scoring 50 runs in their L/6 games and could put enough runs on the board vs the Cards starters in bullpen today to eclipse this weak total all by themselves.Over is 3-0-1 in Indians last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. CLEVELAND is 17-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive home games this season.( The Tribe just played 9 straight as hosts) The Cardinals have gone 7 straight times in the first game of a series with no rest as a underdog after a game as a road pup in which they used 5+ pitchers going over the total by an average of 8 runs per game. Play on the OVER |
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06-25-18 | Padres v. Rangers -140 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. COLE HAMELS (L) Hamels is 3-3 with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in his past 10 starts. Opponents are hitting .206 off him in that stretch. He is 9-2 with a 2.25 ERA in 17 career starts against the Padres.Hamels has gone six-plus innings in his past eight starts, his second-longest streak with the Rangers, and has allowed just one earned run in 13 innings in his last two starts. Note: HAMELS is 19-4 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SAN DIEGO is 2-16 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start dating back to last season. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less against opponent after getting shut out are 30-62 L/21 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB TEXAS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start are 36-17 for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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06-25-18 | Mariners -119 v. Orioles | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. ANDREW CASHNER (R) Andrew Cashner (2-8, 4.72 ERA) starts for the Orioles Monday against Felix Hernandez (6-6, 5.14 Despite a career-high ERA of 5.14, the veteran right-hander has pitched better of late, allowing two or fewer runs in three of his last four starts. He’s 4-1 with a 3.09 ERA in seven career starts at Camden Yards. He gives his team an edge, vs a hurler in Cashner that has been both inconsistent and the unlucky recipient of a lack of run support making him and struggling team fade material in this spot. HERNANDEZ team when he starts is 14-3 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record .SEATTLE is 37-21 against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.SEATTLE is 9-1 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games this season. BALTIMORE is 9-30 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 6-23 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. BALTIMORE is 9-23 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. Play on Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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06-25-18 | Yankees -142 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
JONATHAN LOAISIGA (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)
Yankees starter Loaisiga (1-0, 3.12 ERA) will make just the third start of his major league career. Note: Phillies starter VELASQUEZ is 0-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season. NY YANKEES are 24-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.NY YANKEES are 14-3 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season MLB Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are a LONG term negative bet as they are 62-105 L/21 seasons for a 62% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-24-18 | Phillies +108 v. Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
NICK PIVETTA (R) vs. JEFRY RODRIGUEZ (R) The Nationals will send the inexperienced Jerry Rodriguez to the hill to make his second career Major League start. The kid like so many young pitchers that get the call-up to the majors have some good stuff, but putting it to proper use is a constant issue as was the case was for Rodrigues , as is evident by allowing five runs on four hits in five innings in his first start. I'm betting he will once again get schooled by a Phillies team that are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Monday against the Cardinals, Pivetta looked rejuvenated after a couple down efforts and generated 11 of 21 strikeouts with his nasty curveball and struck out a career-high 13 in 7 1/3 innings. When the curve is working well he is hard to beat and gets my backing here tonight. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies have won the first two games of this series by a 17-5 count and are more than capable of completing the sweep with a win tonight in DC vs a struggling Nats team that has lost 7 of their L/9. Note: Philadelphia is 4-0 L/4 in games 3 of a series. PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.WASHINGTON is 9-15 against the money line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. MLB team (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR are 57-102 L/21 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the money line |
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06-24-18 | Marlins +157 v. Rockies | 8-5 | Win | 157 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
CALEB SMITH (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) German Marquez (5-7, 5.20) will start for the Rockies. He been consistently hit hard this season and is 0-2 with along with the bloated 5.23 ERA in two starts against the Marlins, including April 28 when he gave up three runs (one earned) in six innings in Colorado's 4-1 loss.The Rockies are 7-8 in starts by Marquez, who is 2-4 with a 7.45 ERA in eight starts at Coors Field this season and is fade material in his current lower tier form. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 5-1 in their starters Smiths last 6 starts. Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 3-7 in Marquezs last 10 home starts. COLORADO is 7-15 L/22 against the money line in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 6-2 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games this season.COLORADO is 9-20 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple of seasons.COLORADO is 4-15 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last couple of seasons. Marlins are 16-7 in the last 23 meetings. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the money line |
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06-24-18 | Storm v. Wings -2.5 | 97-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas is forming into top gear as was evident when they hammered the LA Sparks by a 100-72 count in their last trip to the hardwood. Meanwhile, the Storm look to be trending downward, after a loss to the young Vegas Aces last week and than had to play a top tier of defence to defeat lowly Indiana last time out. From my own perspective it just seems like Storm has lost its offensive flow, which is not a good omen for them facing a side that is starting to heat up offensively. With that said, lets lay some short lumber with the confident home side with momentum on their sides . Storm are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win. Wings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Wings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Wings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.Wings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Wings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, on Sunday games are 8-31 SU L/21 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors losing by an average of 7 points a game. WNBA team vs the money line (SEATTLE) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 44% or worse on the season, after a game where a team made 55% of their free throws or worse are 20-62 L/21 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors with the average loss coming by 7.2 pig. WNBA Underdogs vs the money line (SEATTLE) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are a long term bad bet , on a short line as they are just 142-358 for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin loss coming 5.2 peg. Play on Dallas Wings to cover |
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06-24-18 | Cardinals v. Brewers -131 | 8-2 | Loss | -131 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
LUKE WEAVER (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R) |
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06-24-18 | Tigers +150 v. Indians | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
MATT BOYD (L) vs. ADAM PLUTKO (R) |
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06-23-18 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) The lines-makers know well the odds of the Royals winning this game and have the same trends and data that I have on this tilt which I include here below. The Astros are 32-0 SU as a 200+ favorite after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is not a series opener.Since the start of 2017 campaign, the Astros have won 14 in a row with Lance McCullers as a 125-plus favorite when he went six-plus innings in his last start.As pertains to the run-in it must be noted that Houston has won 7 straight on the money line in this spot this season with every win by multiple runs. Houston Right-hander Lance McCullers (8-3, 3.77 ERA) gets the nod in the middle game of the series for Houston. He is 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA over four career starts against the Royals. Meanwhile,the Royals will answer back right-hander Ian Kennedy (1-7, 5.31 ERA) on Saturday. Kennedy is winless over his last 13 starts, one behind Athletics right-hander Chris Bassitt for the longest active streak in the majors. He is 0-7 with a 6.12 ERA since his only win on April and is fade material inches current form.KENNEDY is 1-10 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) losing SU by an average of 4 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros on the run-line -1.5 |
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06-23-18 | Dodgers -115 v. Mets | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R) Two star pitchers go to the hill today, but I'm betting the Dodgers behind Kershaw have the edge, because of the more consistent offence, and better clutch hitting I know DeGrom the Mets hurler has been lights out this season, but the Mets have lost 8 of his L/11 starts despite of him garnering a minsucle 0.90 ERA. DeGrom is also 0-3 with a 3.26 ERA in six career regular-season starts against the Dodgers. He has beaten every other team he has faced more than once. Kershaw is 8-0 with a 1.84 ERA in 12 regular-season starts against the Mets and I'm betting he remains perfect after today. NY METS are 9-22 ( against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLBHome teams (NY METS) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA dodgers to win on the money line |
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06-23-18 | Cubs -115 v. Reds | 2-11 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Luke Farrell (2-2, 3.63 ERA) vs. Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (2-1, 4.60) The Cubs have lost the first two games of this series, and will primed to bounce back here with a big effort this afternoon. Luke Farrell will make his first start of 2018 for the Cubs. The right-hander, who was named the starter following Friday's game, has made 12 relief appearances this year, allowing allowing seven earned runs over 17 1/3 innings for a 3.63 ERA and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Reds.Reds are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. National League Central. The Reds hurler , Anthony DeSclafani , according to my own rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubbies. It must be noted that the Cubs are 43-19 in their last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Reds are 11-23 in their last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-23-18 | Phillies -106 v. Nationals | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Nola the Phillies ace looks like a lock to make the NL All-Star team, and is in rebound mode after a rare forgettable start. He allowed four runs in 4 1/3 innings Sunday against the Brewers, just the second time this season he has allowed more than three runs. Phillies are 9-2 in Nolas last 11 starts.Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Nationals starter Fedde has given up 10 runs on 19 hits in three starts this season.Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.Nationals are 0-4 in Feddes last 4 home starts. Nola is a special pitcher and gives his team a chance at victory every time he goes to the hill. Considering the pitching matchup and the Nationals recent struggles , as is evident by losing 6 of their L/8 the Phillies have an edge. Washington has lost 12 of 18 home games vs teams whose hitters strike out more than 7 times a game this season. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies |
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06-23-18 | Rangers v. Twins -137 | 9-6 | Loss | -137 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Yovani Gallardo (0-0, 15.95 ERA) vs. Twins RH Jake Odorizzi (3-4, 4.38) |
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06-22-18 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R) Padres left-hander Clayton Richard (6-6, 4.31), enters this game in top form and has allowed just six earned runs in his L/ 20 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, Stratton the Giants starter threw seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit, in a 7-0 victory over the Padres in April and in his career owns a solid 2-1 record along with a stable 3.21 ERA against them in three games, including two starts. Under is 4-1 in Strattons last 5 starts overall. Both pitchers are backed by solid bullpens with SF relievers garnering a 2.87 home ERA and the Padres relievers recording a 2.79 overall ERA. The Giants have struggled against LHP this season like Richards averaging 4 rpg, via a lowly below the Mendoza line .241 team BA. The Fathers, 3.4 rpg on he road, while hitting just .225. SAN DIEGO is 20-9 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.6 rpg. Under is 8-2 in Padres last 10 overall.Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Everything points to this being a low scoring sleeper that fails to eclipse this total. Play UNDER |
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06-22-18 | Mystics -4.5 v. Sky | 93-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Washington owned the Chicago Sky in their last meeting on June 19 by a 88 -60 count, and are now only being asked to lay 5 points in the rematch. I know playing on the road is different than hosting, but it became painfully obvious to me that the Mystics match up extremely well vs the Sky, and another conclusive win is not out of the question and actually a viable wagering option. |
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06-22-18 | Tigers +184 v. Indians | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R) In two starts against the Indians this year, Fiers is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA, having allowed two runs and eight hits in 13 innings with 13 strikeouts and two walks. In six career starts against Cleveland, Fiers is 3-1 with a 2.04 ERA and must not be underestimated in his ability to help his team pull off a nice upset here tonight in Cleveland against the Tribe. FIERS team when he starts is 5-0 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. FIERS team when he starts is also 6-1 against the money line against division opponents this season. Tigers are 5-0 in Fiers' last 5 starts. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP of 1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 10-30 L/21 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Cubs -133 v. Reds | 3-6 | Loss | -133 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) The Cubs lost last night to Cincinnati blowing a 2-0 lead going into the 6th, eventually running out of gas and losing 6-2. However, the Cubs have proven resilient in the past off a loss vs an opponent, and are also 25-7 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite dating back last season. Quintana (6-5) was nearly flawless his last time out against the Reds, limiting them to a Scott Schebler single over seven innings while striking out seven and walking four during a 10-0 victory in the second game of a May 19 doubleheader and is my choice to get us the promised land here again tonight. Quintana has pitched extremely well vs Reds, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA while striking out 16 in 16 2-3 innings over three career starts.Note:The Cubs are 6-0 on the moneyline when Jose Quintana starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start. Chicago has won these six games by an average of 8.33 rpg. Cubs are 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Reds are 0-4 in Castillos last 4 starts. CINCINNATI is 14-31 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start and is 5-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season and is 17-42 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Cubs are 20-9 in the last 29 meetings in Cincinnati. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Mariners +122 v. Red Sox | 10-14 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R) The Red Sox will play their first home game after an extended road trip and will now be in a bit of jet lagged let down state that puts them at a disadvantage vs a quality opponent. note: Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Mariners starter tonight left-hander Wade LeBlanc pitched a top tier game when he out dueled Steven Wright and handing the Boston Red Sox a 1-0 defeat last time they faced each other last week. LeBlanc, who has been pitching well of late , is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA and has allowed only 11 earned runs in nine starts. LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three career starts against Boston and gets my support in this tilt vs the Red Sox. LEBLANC is 13-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 10-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season.
SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season.SEATTLE is 10-4 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.SEATTLE is 21-7 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season. Play on Seattle to win on the moneyline |
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06-22-18 | Diamondbacks -120 v. Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) |
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06-22-18 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | 56-10 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 43 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are of a grueling loss to the Edmonton Eskimos by a 33-30 count last week in their home opener, blowing a late lead , that will now have them in an emotional letdown scenario. Also here on the road with stating QB Matt Nichols ( Knee ) his inexperienced backups may have some problems dealing with an improved Al's defense. Meanwhile, this will be Montreal's first home game with HC Mike Sherman at the helm, and with his team backed by a rowdy home crowd will be primed and motivated to move this franchise back to the illustrious history it had previously enjoyed in the CFL prior to the last ugly couple of seasons. O'Shea is 3-13 ATS after a loss by 8 or less points as the coach of WINNIPEG. CFL Underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - in the first two weeks of the season are 29-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Montreal Als to cover |
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06-21-18 | Cubs -156 v. Reds | 2-6 | Loss | -156 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R) The Cubs just took 2 of 3 from the LA Dodgers and enter this game with momentum and confidence as they send starter Hendricks to the ill. The righty hurler is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in 11 career starts against the Reds.Cubs are 6-1 in Hendricks' last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Meanwhile, the Reds will send still-inconsistent right-hander Matt Harvey (1-5, 5.92 ERA) to hill. He is 0-3 in his L/4 starts, and is fade material in his current form. HARVEYs team when he starts in his career is 16-32 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record . Cubs are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Cubs are 43-17 in their last 60 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Cincinnati. Cubs are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings. CINCINNATI is 4-17 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season and is 4-17 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season.Cincinnati is 8-23 L/30 against NL Central sides.Reds are 9-20 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHICAGO CUBS) - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 85-22 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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06-21-18 | Mets v. Rockies -145 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L) |
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06-21-18 | Red Sox v. Twins +110 | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
Porcello the Bosox starter is 3-3 over the last eight starts with a 5.28 ERA. He far from being in top form and susceptible to being beaten around. Meanwhile, Twins starter Gibson a solid hurler, who was suffering from a lack of run support earlier this season is off a win last time out, outdueling Cleveland ace Corey Kluber by holding the Indians to a run over seven innings. I'm betting on more top tier work here vs a Boston team that is 2-for-22 with runners in scoring position in the series, including 0-for-9 in Wednesday’s setback. GIBSON team is now 9-1 when he starts against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. BOSTON is just 9-18 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. MINNESOTA is 9-3 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Twins have won 10 straight on the moneyline as a home dog after playing as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record. Play on Minnesota Twins ( LATE STEAM)
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06-20-18 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
AUSTIN BIBENS-DIRKX (R) vs. JAKE JUNIS (R) There are two very average pitchers on the hill today, but two below average offenses will face them. Texas has averaged 3.9 rpg on the road via a lowly .229 BA while KC has averaged 3.4 rpg on a .234 BA. The Royals have scored more than 3 runs just once in their L/11 games, and struggle with their bats at the best of times and even against the worst of pitchers. My projections once again suggest that topping 3 runs for the this futile KC offense will be hard to achieve, while, Texas will not be far behind or ahead in production , which makes for a viable under wager in this spot. KANSAS CITY is 17-6 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.4 rpg scored. KANSAS CITY is 18-9 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 road games. Under is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games following a win. Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 6-2 in umpire Fairchilds last 8 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 72-36 UNDER L/21 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-20-18 | Mariners +179 v. Yankees | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JONATHAN LOAISIGA (R) |
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06-19-18 | Mets v. Rockies -153 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) Laying a little lumber here tonight, but feel we have a big enough edge to make it a viable wagering opportunity. Jason Vargas the NY Mets starter has pitched decently of late but on the season has garnered a ugly 9.14 ERA on the road this and according to my projections another non quality start here in the launching pad known as Coors Field will find him in a front of a proverbial firing squad here again today. .Vargas, who is 2-2 with an inflated 9.00 ERA in five career starts versus Colorado, including 1-2 with an super bloated 11.40 ERA in three outings at Coors Field. Mets are 2-7 in Vargas' last 9 starts.Mets are 1-5 in Vargas' last 6 road starts. Meanwhile, Colorado's starter Marquez may not also inspire bettors, but the Rockies are 6-1 in Marquezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Vargas owns a 1-0 record along with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against the Mets, including six quality innings in a victory at Citi Field on May 4. My power rankings suggest he matches up well against this light hitting Mets offense. MLB team (NY METS) - poor NL offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 34-62 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (COLORADO) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL are 41-12 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to win on the moneyline |
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06-19-18 | Wings v. Lynx -9.5 | 83-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Dallas has been playing well of late but is on very tired legs as they play their 4th game in 7 days and are at a disadvantage in this spot vs a explosive Minnesota Lynx side. Meanwhile, Minnesota the defending WNBA champions after starting their season slowly in hangover mode , finally came out and looked fresh against the NY Liberty last time out and pounded them by a 85-71 count . The Lynx are also well rested with this being only their 2nd game in 10 days. This is a situation where the hungry well rested home team with superior fire power looks very much like a viable option, at anything under 11 points according to my power ranking line projections. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 51-15 L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 35-7 ATS L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Lynx to cover |
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06-19-18 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R) Milwaukee will recall right-hander Freddy Peralta (1-0, 3.72 ERA) from Triple-A Colorado Springs and give him his third career start Tuesday, against Pittsburgh righty Jameson Taillon (4-5, 3.94 ERA). In his earlier recall, Peralta, , made his major league debut on Mother's Day, recording 5 2/3 scoreless innings against Colorado, while allowing just one hit and setting a Brewers record for a debut with 13 strikeouts. The kid looks good and should have the confidence for a good start here .Meanwhile, Taillon the Pirates starter pitched on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on six hits in seven innings of a 5-4 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. I'm expecting both hurlers to do their part in what I'm betting will be another low scoring game in this series. Yesterday the Pirates took a 1-0 victory. Note: MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite dating back to last season with the combined average score clicking in at 6.9 rpg.MILWAUKEE is 21-8 UNDER after a loss this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg scored. These teams have stayed under in 13 of their L/19 games here in Pittsburgh. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. Taillon has stayed under in his L/4 meetings vs the Brewers and his L/4 here at home. Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 Tuesday games.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 46-15-1 in Brewers last 62 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 road games.Under is 53-18-1 in Brewers last 72 games following a loss/. Under is 30-12 in Brewers last 42 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 79-34-4 in Brewers last 117 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 35-16-1 in Brewers last 52 vs. National League Central.Under is 36-17-1 in Brewers last 54 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-2-1 in Pirates last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2-2 in Pirates last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 vs. a team with a winning recordUnder is 33-15-3 in Pirates last 51 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-0 in Taillons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 7-1 in Taillons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Taillons last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Play UNDER |
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06-19-18 | Sky +9.5 v. Mystics | 60-88 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
Washington has played great at times this season, and looked completely out of sync on other occasions. They have one win in their L/5 games, vs Connecticut, and were lucky to come put of that game with a victory despite of a 30 point half time lead. Meanwhile, the Chicago Sky have lost 4 straight, but from a matchup perspective look like they could be competitive in this spot vs D.Jeckyll and M.Hyde Mystics side that are just 1-5 ATS in 6 home games this season. Also from a historical league wide data base point of view , struggling teams like Chicago have actually been long term good bets while teams like Washington have not been( See below) WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an struggling defensive team (46% or worse) are 34-15 SU for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - after 3 or more consecutive losses are 80-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors . WNBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 40-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, in June games are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Favorites (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game dating back to last season.WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons.WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS L/40 in home games after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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06-19-18 | Sky v. Mystics UNDER 171 | 60-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Washington after taking part in a grueling run and gun and high anxiety physical affair in a 95-91 win vs Connecticut on the 13th than flew out to the West coast to play the LA Sparks and looked exhausted, in a loss( 97-86), and than after that affair, they then flew all the way back east (DC) on the 16th and now after a couple days off I still don't think they will have gotten over their jet lag or recuperated from their heavy schedule , and it will show on the court today vs a Chicago side that is also on tired legs with this being their 4th road game in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. Everything points to this being a closely contested lower scoring tilt that stays on the low side of the number. |
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06-19-18 | Dodgers -122 v. Cubs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R) |
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06-18-18 | Rangers -103 v. Royals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R) I know that old timer Bartolo Colon the Rangers starting pitcher may not inspire bettors, but the veteran is resilient, as is evident by him being the most profitable starter in the league this season when his team lost his last start, cashing 5 straight times on the moneyline.The Rangers are also 6-0 L/6on the moneyline off a walk-off win as a dog, which happened yesterday. COLON in his career when he starts is 56-31 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game . Meanwhile, his Royals pitching opponent KENNEDYs team when he starts is 3-14 against the money line in home games in night games dating back to last season. Kennedy is also winless in his last 12 starts overall, and never seems t catch a break no matter what, because of lack of run support and crap clutch hitting. Both these teams are less than impressive but the Rangers enter this game with some momentum after wiining 2 straight in Colorado, and look to be the better of two teams with sub par records. KANSAS CITY is 6-24 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.KANSAS CITY is 4-15 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 39-12 L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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06-18-18 | White Sox +1.5 v. Indians | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
DYLAN COVEY (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) The Tribe has lost 4 of their L/6 overall and have looked a little wobbly of late. In last weeks series vs the White Sox they lost 2 of 4 games, and had lost five straight to the Minnesota Twins - including the first two in their weekend set - before picking up ad desperation 4-1 win in the finale Sunday afternoon. The Indians have scored a total of just 18 runs in their L/6 games ( 3rpg) and could find themselves struggling to move runners again vs the Pale Hose starter Covey who is 3-0 with a 1.84 ERA since being recalled from the minors May 19. He was on the hill when the White Sox beat the Indians in south side Chicago last week by a 3-2 score. Meanwhile, Indians hurler BAUER in his career starts has seen his team go just 13-19 against the money line in home games against division opponents. Indians are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.White Sox are 4-1 in Coveys last 5 starts. CLEVELAND have lost 14 of their L/21 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the +1.5 runline |
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06-18-18 | Brewers -120 v. Pirates | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) Brewers starter Chacin Three of his last five outings have seen him not allow a run, including a six-inning effort in a win over the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday. He has won his last six decisions with opposition batters hitting just .227 overall against him. Chacin limited the Pirates to one run in six innings in his only meeting against them this season and matches up very well vs the Bucks. CHACIN team when he starts is 8-0 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Pirates have also lost 14 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a home game and they are seeking same-season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher. Meanwhile, Williams the Pirates starter has lasted just three innings in each of his last two starts, giving up a total 12 runs .Williams has not had a quality start in 5 straight and has garnered a 0-2 record along with an ugly 8.57 ERA during that nasty run. Needless to say, unless he suddenly comes to life, that Pirates chances look bleak here vs a winning team and pitcher. CHACIN is 9-2 against the money line in night games this season.Brewers are 10-1 in Chacins last 11 starts.Brewers are 5-0 in Chacins last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.Pirates are 9-19 in their last 28 overall. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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06-18-18 | Yankees -125 v. Nationals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 0 h 20 m | Show | |
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. ERICK FEDDE (R) .Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague games.Nationals and are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games.Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series and 1-4 in their L/5 vs the AL East. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-17-18 | Mercury v. Aces +7 | 92-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Bill Laimbeer's Aces , led by rookie A'ja Wilson, returns to the Mandalay Bay Events Center on the Las Vegas Strip Sunday to take on the Brittany Griner, Diana Taurasi and the 9-3 Phoenix Mercury. Vegas are coming off a road trip where they played well, despite a loss last time out, and showed progress capturing a couple of wins. Now with the confidence sky high I'm betting this young team will come out here ready to upset a hot Mercury side on a 7 game win streak. Meanwhile, the Phoenix is coming off an 89-72 home victory on Saturday night against the exhausted looking Connecticut Sun and extended its winning streak to seven games. In their only other meeting this season, the Mercury won 72-66 and I'm betting the Aces stay within the number again and get us the cover. |
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06-17-18 | Mets v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) Buchholz faced the Mets in his first start for Arizona, giving up one run on two hits in five innings in a 4-1 Mets victory at Citi Field on May 20. He is good form this season, as is evident by garnering 2.25 ERA in 5 starts. According to my power rankings he matches up well vs the Mets light hitting and inconsistent offensive lineup that has scored a total of 20 runs in their L/11 games. Meanwhile, the Mets Wheeler is 2-1 with a 2.13 ERA in four career games against Arizona, giving up 25 hits but only six earned runs while striking out 20 and walking five in 25 1/3 innings. Thanks to the Mets inability to score consistently and Wheelers ability to limit damage, I'm betting this tilt stays on the low side of the total. NY METS in their L/19 games after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season have seen a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 Under is 4-0-2 in umpire Reynolds' last 6 games behind home plate.Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 4 of a series. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season are 71-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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06-17-18 | Red Sox -125 v. Mariners | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R) Rodriguez the Bosox starter has won five in a row, the most recent being a 6-4 victory over the Orioles on Tuesday. He went 5 2/3 innings and allowed two runs and gets my support here today in the finale of this 4 game series vs the Seattle Mariners . Note: RODRIGUEZ team when he starts is 12-1 against the money line in all games this season Meanwhile, Mike Leake has also done well of late with his team winning his last seven starts . However, according to my power rankings he does not matchup well vs the Red Sox batting order .In his career vs Boston he (0-2, 6.56 ERA in four career meetings). Key Trend: LEAKE team when he starts is 1-12 against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better in his career) Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series.Red Sox are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts. BOSTON is 40-15 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. BOSTON is 13-3 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Play on the Boston Red sox to win on the moneyline |
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06-17-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Royals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. BRAD KELLER (R) Houston is merciless and the Royals are just plain bad. McCullers the Astros starter set a career high in wins (eight) by beating the A’s on Tuesday night in Oakland. He has thrown at least six innings in nine of his 14 starts. Of the 35 earned runs he has allowed, 15 have come in two rough starts and now he gets the nod today. Meanwhile, this is not a good spot vs Brad Keller who is making just his 4th career start. Houston is a mean offensive machine, averaging 6 rpg on the road and could easily beat up on this kid today. HOUSTON is 21-4 SU in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with the average combined margin of victory clicking in at 4.1 rpg. KANSAS CITY is 6-30 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last few seasons with the average margin defeat coming by 3.4 rpg. The Royals have lost 15 straight 140+ dog off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times which happened yesterday in a 10-2 loss to the Astros. Actually the L/5 times when this trend is in play the Royals were smashed and lost by an average of 7.5 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the runline -1.5 |
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06-16-18 | Montreal +8 v. BC | 10-22 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 42 m | Show | |
After a fast start last season, the BC Lions fell apart as the season progressed, and lost 9 of their L/11 games thanks to offense that had very little flow as is evident by scoring 25 or less points in 5 of their L/7 tilts. The Als have a new offensive coordinator but its the talent on board, that does not mix well, and I'm doubting a significant increase in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Montreal is off a horrendous season, but now with former GB Packers Mike Sherman in town and the speedy WR Chris Williams haul down passes their on their way to a rebound season, and more importantly be competitive here tonight. CFL Underdogs SU (MONTREAL) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 22-11 SU L/5 22 seasons. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games are 36-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CFL Road underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Montreal to cover |
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06-16-18 | Giants +135 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. ALEX WOOD (L) Alex Wood the Dodgers starter tonight, is a mess right now, and has allowed a total of 13 earned runs in his last three starts covering just 12 innings. He is 2-3 with a 4.53 ERA in 11 career games (seven starts) versus the Giants and is fade material in his current sub par form. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Bumgarner after missing the first part of this season struggled in his second start last Monday against Miami Marlins , giving up four runs in 5 1/3 innings. But I'm betting he will get better. QUOTE:“He’s only going to get better,” manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. “He needs to pitch. He'll get to where he needs to be.” The four-time All-Star is 15-9 with a 2.53 ERA in 29 career games (28 starts) against the Dodgers and get the nod tonight on a value line. Dodgers are 2-6 in Woods last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. LA DODGERS are just 12-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. LA DODGERS are 4-9 against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline |
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06-16-18 | Hamilton +8 v. Calgary | 14-28 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
Calgary annihilated the Ti-Cats 60-1 in an embarrassing affair here last season. You can bet the Ti -Cats will be hell bent on revenge and more importantly making sure they don't get run over again. Hamilton has a lot of speed on offense and can take advantage of the off season changes the Stampeders have made on defense. I know that Calgary QB bo Levi Mitchell is a stud QB ,and has a lot of weapons to work with, but Hamilton's newly revamped D, might surprise us here today. With that said, Ill recommend we take take the points . HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last few seasons. CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 22-11 L/22 seasons for a 68% SU conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at Team 27 Opp 24.2 . CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 36-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road underdogs or pick (HAMILTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road underdogs or pick (HAMILTON) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 61% or better are 23-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HAMILTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hamilton Ti Cats to cover |
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06-16-18 | Padres v. Braves -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) The Padres ended an eight-game drought in Atlanta on Friday night, beating the National League East-leading Braves 9-3 for their 12th victory in the past 17 games. Those 5 losses, however, have all come by multiple runs.The Braves bullpen blew a lead last night , but it must be noted that ATLANTA is 6-0 against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save this season. Lyles the Padres starter today allowed 11 hits in consecutive starts, and in his outing Monday vs. St. Louis he recorded only three swings and misses on 102 pitches.Lyles has a 6.35 ERA in four games (three starts) against the Braves, with the loss in San Diego last week his only decision, allowing 8 runs in just 4.1 innings of work. LYLES when he starts has seen his team go 10-37 in his career against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 with the average margin of defeat coming by 2 rpg. Meanwhile Sean Newcombe is off a rare bad start last time out and ready to rebound. the southpaw has had a tremendous season overall recording a 2.92 ERA and has been solid at home vs sub par opponents going 5-0 in L/5 starts . Newcombe has not allowed a run in his 12 career innings against San Diego. I'm betting the Braves have the edge with Newcombe here again. ATLANTA is 21-7 against the money line after a loss this season with the average win coming by more than 2 rpg. Atlantas last 8 wins have all come by 2 runs or more and they once again have the edge here on the -1.5 value runline. Play on Atlanta -1.5 on the runline |
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06-16-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Blue Jays | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) Scherzer the Nationals starter has made eight career starts against the Blue Jays, posting a stingy 2.15 ERA and averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. He has thrown at least seven innings and struck out at least nine in three consecutive starts. Needless to say hes owned them and I'm betting nothing will change today. Note: The Nationals have won 15 straight on the money-line by an average of 3.3 rpg with Scherzer as a favorite of more than 135 when they lost his last start.Meanwhile, the Jays starting hurler Estrada (3-6, 5.09 ERA) is coming off a quality start but that was against a weak, Baltimore offense .Blue Jays are 0-5 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. WASHINGTON is 41-9 lL50 against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more with the average win coming by 2.2 rpg, which qualifies on the runline option.SCHERZER is 23-5 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game with the average margin of victory coming by 3 rpg. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 44-10 with the average with the average scores coming by more than -1.5 runline offer. Play on the Washington Nationals -1.5 on the runline |
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06-16-18 | Marlins v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Chen of Miami and Cobb of Baltimore are two hurlers that have struggled recently. But going against respective offenses that must be looked at as lower tier attacks, these two sometimes very capable hurlers could easily look like Cy Young award candidates. COBB team when he starts is 15-4 UNDER in home games in day games in his career, with a combined average score of 5.6 rpg scored.BALTIMORE in 22 games vs. a starting pitcher that gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season have seen a combined average of just 7.5 rpg scored. CHEN is 44-23 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season in his career with a combined average score 7.7 rgg going on the board. BALTIMORE is 21-7 UNDER L/28 in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (MIAMI) - poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts are 49-20 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
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06-16-18 | Marlins v. Orioles -143 | 5-4 | Loss | -143 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Both pitchers are nothing to brag about, but from a home filed advantage situation in an interleague game, my own power rankings suggest that Cobb and his team have a big enough edge to get us a win here between two bottom feeders. Orioles are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter MIAMI is 11-31 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons..Orioles are 37-17 in their last 54 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record MLB team (BALTIMORE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing 44-17 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 5.00 or more ), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 31- 10 L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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06-15-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners -138 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L) The BoSox pulled off a 2-1 win in the first game of this series between two contenders last night, but it must be noted that Seattle has proved resilient off a close loss as is evident by the following trends. SEATTLE is 10-0 against the money line after a loss by 2 runs or less this season and is 8-0 against the money line after a one run loss this season. SEATTLE is also 19-6 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season The Mariners will send left-hander James Paxton (6-1, 3.02) to the mound. Paxton, a hurler that has not lost since his first start of the season, is 2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in three career starts against the Red Sox and gets my backing here tonight.BOSTON is 9-15 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. The Red Sox have also lost 16 straight on the money-line as an underdog vs a southpaw when they are off a game as a favorite and they faced righties in each of their last three games. I know Rick Porcello the BoSox starting thrower is currently in top form , but my pitcher vs offense power rankings suggest Seattle matches up well against him. Red Sox are 0-4 in Porcellos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Mariners are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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06-15-18 | Twins v. Indians OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R) Two pitchers Gibson( Min) and Kluber ( Indians) with strong ERAs are on the mound, but according to my projections 8 or more runs could easily go on the board here today based on my offensive estimates relating to the Tribes out put. According to my pitcher vs offense power rankings the Indians matchup very well vs Gibson and could come close to eclipsing this Totals number all by themselves. In 14 career starts against Cleveland, Gibson is 2-6 with a 5.60 ERA. He goes against a home team that has averaged 5.8 rpg at home this season. Note: Whether this is anomaly or not it is still interesting to note- GIBSON is 10-1 OVER when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored. Kluber is a stud, but his bullpen has been a little tainted, and when and if he comes out, things could roll out of hand . MINNESOTA is 31-13 OVER vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2couple of seasons. The Indians have gone OVER 10 straight times at home after they had a higher team-left-on-base % than their opponent, going over by an average of 7.1 rpg Cleveland s 15-4 OVER in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season with a combined average offensive output of 11.8 rpg going on the board. Play on the OVER |
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06-15-18 | Sparks -3 v. Mystics | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Mystics are off a enormously exhausting game vs the Connecticut Sun last time out ( 2 days ago). In the first half of that game they were explosive and jumped out to huge 30 point lead at the half, only to run out of gas, and allow the talented and never say die Sun to get back into the game, before rallying late for the upset win. The Mystics are now in a huge letdown spot vs a very good LA Sparks team that I'm betting will take advantage of this situation today on their way to a cover on the road as short chalk. LA is 6-0 SU/ATS L/6 in this series including 3-0 SU/ATS here in Washington. WASHINGTON is 6-16 ATS in as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average defict clickingi n under 10 ppg. WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS versus teams who are called for 18 or less fouls/game over the last few seasons. LOS ANGELES is 23-12 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game dating back to last season. Thibault is 10-20 ATS as a home underdog as the coach of WASHINGTON ( Opp 82.7 Wash 76.7) WNBA team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 23-6 SU for a 79% conversion rate last 22 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 10,2 ppg. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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06-14-18 | Red Sox v. Mariners OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) Seattle starter tonight King Felix is 6-5 this season with a career-worst 5.70 ERA. He has given up four or more runs in five of his past seven starts and now goes against a BoSox team that has averaged 5.3 rpg vs RHP this season. Meanwhile, the Red Sox will return fire with David Price a hurler in top form at the moment. but it must be noted that PRICE in 16 career games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) has seen his team back him with an average of 6.3 rpg and while the opposition has scored an average of 3.9 rpg , for average combined score of 10.2 rpg going on the board. Also Seattle's offense has revved up recently and has scored an average of 5.33 rpg in their L/9 trips to the field and is 17-8 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season . My own projections estimate the Mariners will at least score 4 runs while, the Red Sox should also put that many runs on the board, which will I'm betting result in score that eclipsed this beatable total. Note: Seattle has gone over in 5 straight games and have gone over 12 Straight times by 3+ runs off a game as a dog in which they had more than one multiple-run innings. Over is 5-1 in Prices last 6 starts vs. American League West.Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 8-3 in Prices last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 8-2 in Hernandezs last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 starts vs. Red Sox. Play OVER |
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06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +7.5 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 8 m | Show | |
Two teams off 12-6 campaigns go head to head today here in Winnipeg in the opening game of the season for both clubs. Edmonton has two veteran QBs with Reilly and Glen at the helm of the offense, but have lost offensive weapons in the off season. The defense on the other hand despite of some veteran stalwarts like Almondo Sewell are a over rated group in my humble betting opinion, and susceptible to down campaign. Meanwhile, the Bombers despite of having to replace starting QB Matt Nichols because of a knee injury, are more than capable of competing with Alex Ross and Chris Streveler under center, who will be buoyed with Darvin Adams and Andrew Harris as well as all purpose star RB Weston Dresser. On defense the Bombers return their two best tacklers, Loffler & Santo-Knox and one of the best pass rushers in the league Jackson Jeffcoat. With that said, I expect the home crowd will help motivate this under appreciated Bombers team to being an extremely competitive opponent for the visiting Eskimos. WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last few seasons. HC Maas is 4-12 ATS L/16 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of EDMONTON. Winnipeg is 4-2 SU L/7 meetings in this series. CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse are 36-25 L/22 seasons for a 59% SU conversion rate with the average deficits coming out at an aggregate of 0. This 61 game long term sample size has seen these types of games play out as even on the scoreboard. CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) - in the first two weeks of the season are 21-10 L/5 seasons wit the average margin between both opponents clicking in at 5.6 ppg Underdog 28.3 Fav 23.2. CFL Underdogs or pick (WINNIPEG) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 35-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to cover |
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06-14-18 | Rays v. Yankees -166 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R)
It must be noted that the Rays found a way to win yesterday vs Toronto despite of scoring just one run in a 1-0 win vs a strong hurler in AJ Happ. But in the past this has not been a strong omen for them in the follow up as is TAMPA BAY is just 3-21 against the money line in road games off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog and are also 0-24 on the moneyline on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits, getting pounded by an average of 3.5 rpg in the follow up. NY YANKEES are 22-8 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. NY YANKEES are 37-12 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 dating back to last season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - good offensive team ( 5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 38-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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06-14-18 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. FRANKIE MONTAS (R) The Astros have owned the first two games of the series between American League West rivals, winning by 6-3 and 13-5 deficits . More of the same one sided action I'm betting is on todays card, as star hurler Justin Verlander goes to the hill for the Astros. Verlander (8-2, 1.45 ERA), has been particularly dominating on the road where he has garnered a 6-1 record and miniscule 0.96 ERA this season. Yes, I know he is going against a As pitcher Montas getting a lot of accolades for a 3-0 start to his career, but two of those wins came against light hitting KC and one against a Arizona team that was struggling offensively when he faced them. This is a whole different kind of offense he will face today, as he goes against a Astros team that has averaged 6 rpg on the road this season and merciless in their domination of their opposition, putting the pedal to the metal from1 through 9. It must be noted that Astros have won 18 straight SU as a 125-plus regular season road favorite when they are off a five-plus run win and it is not a series opener, winning by an average of whopping 6.22 rpg, while the Athletics in their L/9 at home off a home game in which they struck out at least ten times, which happened in yesterdays 13-5 loss have scored an average of just 1.89 rpg in the follow up. HOUSTON is 18-4 against the money line in road games after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span dating back to last season winning by an average of 4 rpg. HOUSTON is 17-3 SU in road games against division opponents this season winning by an average of 3.4 rpg.HOUSTON is 19-4 SU in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season with the average margin of victory coming by 4.2 rpg. OAKLAND is 9-24 SU in home games vs. a team with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last few seasons losing by an average of 2.2 rpg. OAKLAND is 2-12 L/14 SU in home games revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent with the average loss coming by 2.8 rpg. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (HOUSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 33-14 L/5 seasons winning by an average of 2.8 rpg. Play on the Houston Astros -1.5 Runline |
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06-13-18 | Giants v. Marlins +103 | 4-5 | Win | 103 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
ANDREW SUAREZ (L) vs. CALEB SMITH (L) Miami has had the Giants number for a while now, and even when they look like they have an advantage they fall flat on their faces . The giants have now lost 6 of their L/7 games vs the Marlins and have lost 4 of their L/5 here in South Florida. Today we have two young pitchers on the hill, that throw consistently in the low 90s. The Marlins Smith holds the advantage over a Suarez as the later, has not looked comfortable in his five road starts this year, going just 1-2 along with a bloated 6.75 ERA. Meanwhile, the Marlins Smith leads National League rookies with 79 strikeouts. In his 13 starts this season, he is averaging 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings, which is a steady improvement from his 8.7 stat line of 2017. His walk rate of 4.1 is high but yet improved from his 4.8 figure of last year. This kids gaining confidence and deserves my backing in this spot play. Giants have lost 7 of their L/10 vs a LHP. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Giants are 22-46 in their last 68 road games. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, in June games are 22-62 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline |
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06-13-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -138 | 7-2 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Rockies enter this game in a funk and are on a five-game losing streak. Everything was going their way earlier this season despite of inconsistent offensive results, but now their pitching is failing them as well, and their not playing clutch ball. For example yesterday they out hit the Phillies but still lost, because of their inability to score with runners in scoring position. The Rockies have been outscored 41-24 during their last five games and look to be down-trending in a big way, and very much look fade material here again tonight in Philly. Tonight I expect Phillies starter Nick Pivetta who owns a solid 2.20 ERA at home this season in 7 starts to help his team score the W.Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 9-2 in Pivettas last 11 home starts.Nick Pivetta is 7-0 L/7 on the money-line when facing a team on a multi-game losing streak. Note that Anderson the Rockies starter is off a quality start last time out his best of the season, but that is not a good omen for his team as he has seen his side go just 3-13 after a quality start Phillies are 25-12 in their last 37 home games. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), after a one run win are a bankroll expanding 98-38 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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06-13-18 | Aces +10.5 v. Liberty | 78-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Bill Lambeer knows the Liberty well after being the HC there for 5 seasons. I'm betting he has his young but talented Aces ready to compete here , despite of being on tired legs after a OT victory yesterday in Atlanta and 3rd game in 5 days. Note: LAS VEGAS is 11-3 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days over the last few seasons. LAS VEGAS is 15-4 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last few seasons and is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers and also is 16-7 ATS L/23 against Eastern conference opponents. NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last few seasons and is 3-14 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record. WNBA Underdogs (LAS VEGAS) - below average team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 44-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Vegas Aces to cover |
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06-13-18 | Pirates +150 v. Diamondbacks | 5-4 | Win | 150 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
I've picked the Pirates in two straight games in Arizona, and have come up short both times. I know Einstein said, that doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results is a sign of insanity , but here I go again. Call me crazy if you like, but I'm recommending we take the Pirates on the value line, as my power rankings suggest they the Bucks actually matchup well vs the Dbacks despite of both teams currently being on different trajectories.
Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Whether this is an anomaly or not its still interesting to note that the DBacks have lost 8 straight Wednesday games. Hump day algorithm in play here. MLB Home teams (ARIZONA) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 14-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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06-13-18 | Mets -108 v. Braves | 0-2 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R)
This selection is based on the dominance of DeGrom vs the Braves this season. they just can't figure him out. With that said, Mets starter DeGrom (4-1, 1.57 ERA) will be making his fourth start against the Braves this season and has yet to have a decision despite a 0.50 ERA,.DeGrom is 5-3 with a 1.84 ERA in 14 career starts against the Braves, striking out 98 in 88 innings. DeGrom's ERA is the best in the National League by nearly a half run and he is second best with 106 strikeouts in 80 1/3 innings and he gets my backing here this afternoon vs the Atlanta Braves. Mets are 20-8 in DeGroms last 28 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. It must be noted that the Braves won yesterday but have not won back to back games since June 1 and I'm betting on that trend continuing here this Wednesday afternoon. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Dream +9 v. Sparks | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
The LA Sparks played their best game of the season , winning a wire to wire tilt against the Chicago Sky last time out after playing their worst game of the season, against Seattle the game before that in a ugly DD loss. In the last win the Sparks played lights out , and exerted a lot of energy and could easily find themselves in a emotional letdown spot here today vs what I'm starting to believe is a strong Dream defense. I was not sold on the Dream prior to that game, and still stubbornly not completely sold on them going forward, but they did get my attention and respect when they upset the Seattle Storm right in their own back yard last time out as 8 point road dogs. Also previous to that the Dream handed a strong Connecticut Sun team their only loss of the season to this point. I now do believe that the Dream are defensively as good as advertised and in a game that expect to be physical and fairly low scoring I'm betting getting 10 points makes for a feasible wagering option. |
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06-12-18 | Pirates +132 v. Diamondbacks | 8-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) There is bad blood between these two teams, after 5 batters were plunked yesterday. The Pirates looked pretty furious , and this I'm betting has them pumped up to play today and get revenge for yesterdays blown loss where they were up 5-0 before unceremoniously imploding and losing 9-5. Williams the Pirates starting hurler a Arizona State alum won his only career start in Arizona, allowing one run in five innings and will be primed to perform here in a State he knows well. Pirates are 7-1 in Williams' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. BUCHHOLZ Arizona's starter is 4-14 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last few seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games are 31-11 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Mercury -1 v. Wings | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
The game is a rematch between Phoenix (7-3) and Dallas from the season-opener on May 18 in Phoenix, won by the Mercury 86-78. Phoenix enters this game with a lot of momentum as is evident by their 5 game winning streak. It must be noted that the Mercury have top tier head on head collision with a super charged Connecticut team after this game, and I'm sure they want to go into that tilt with a winning mind set, so a look ahead scenario I'm betting will effect them positively and not in a negative way. Tonight I'm going to ride this run away freight train right through Dallas . My own power rankings suggest from a neutral court perspective that the Mercury are the superior team by 4 to 5 points, thus betting into what is essentially a pickem situation on the road does not deter me in the slightest. PHOENIX is 16-7 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game dating back to last season.PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS L/8 in road games off a win against a division rival. DALLAS is 11-23 ATS when playing 3 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. WNBA Any team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (76 or more PPG), after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half 41-13 SU L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Road favorites (PHOENIX) - good shooting team - shooting 44% OR BETTER on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% OR MORE of their shots are 41-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Phoenix Mercury |
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06-12-18 | Giants -118 v. Marlins | 1-3 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
CHRIS STRATTON (R) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R) SF had won 8 of their L/10 before their loss on Monday to the Marlins, but today I'm betting they will be focused and ready to bounce back vs the Marlins starting hurler Richards who has given up 29 hits and 14 walks across 28 2/3 innings overall. Giants are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Giants starter Stratton actually has been steadier on the road (3.86 ERA) than at home (5.45). Opponents are batting .206 off him on the road and .316 at AT&T Park and he gets the nod as road chalk tonight in South Florida. STRATTON is 10-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record). STRATTON is 11-2 against the money line in night games dating back to last season. STRATTON is 11-0 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 5-0 in Strattons last 5 starts. Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Road team is 17-4 in umpire Wegners last 21 games behind home plate. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Rockies v. Phillies -145 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
JON GRAY (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R) Early on this season, Colorado put up some nice numbers in the win loss column thanks to some strong pitching. Their offense was inconsistent during the first part of their season, but now suddenly their defense and pitching is going down hill quickly as is evident by allowing an average of just over 8 rpg in their L/11 tilts overall. Needless to say in their current form they are fade material according to my power rankings. Gray todays starting pitcher for the Rockies , is having motion problems, and looks ready to implode at any time. Note: GRAY is 1-13 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Phillies return fire with what I'm betting will be an all star pick for the NL this season. Nola has allowed more than three runs just once this season as he is establishing himself as one of the best starters in the National League.Phillies are 14-3 in Nolas last 17 home starts. NOLA is 11-1 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest dating back to last season. MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games, in June games are 81-24 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Red Sox -165 v. Orioles | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. DAVID HESS (R) The Red Sox Southpaw is currently in top form, going 4-1 with a 2.14 ERA in his last six starts. In seven career starts at Camden Yards, Rodriguez is 3-2 with a 2.75 ERA. Opponents are hitting just .228 against him this season. RODRIGUEZs team when he starts is 21-5 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher dating back to last season.RODRIGUEZ is 15-1 (+13.2 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more dating back to last season.(Team's Record) Meanwhile, Hess the Orioles starter is also pitching well, but the difference is that he does not have a consistent offense or bullpen behind him , while Rodriguez does. BALTIMORE is 1-20 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season which has just happened. BALTIMORE is 6-25 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BALTIMORE is 4-17 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.BALTIMORE is 1-15 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 10 games. are 36-8 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 37-9 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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06-12-18 | Aces +4 v. Fever | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
Las Vegas has tasted victory only once this year and was the worst team in the league in 2017 and another victory may not be out of the question tonight vs 0-8 Indiana. As the WNBA's 11th-place team last season, Indiana was swept by the 12th-place Stars (now Aces), losing the three meetings in 2017 by an average of 11.7 points per game and look like fade material again vs an under rated Aces side that despite of ugly 1-7 record has shown some life this season and competitiveness. INDIANA is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons.LAS VEGAS is 16-4 ATS L/20 after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game over the last few seasons. LAS VEGAS is 6-0 ATS in road games after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers dating back to last season. WNBA Road underdogs (LAS VEGAS) - after 3 or more consecutive losses are 67-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Las Vegas ( Late Steam) |
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