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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-25-21 | Clemson v. NC State +10 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show | |
The Tigers' may not be as proficient as the early prognosticators thought as is event by the offense ranking 114th nationally and DJ Uiagalelei ranking 88th in passing yards per game . Meanwhile, NC State ranks 16th in total defense and 30th on offense behind and average 455 YPG this season as QB Devin Leary shows his top prowess. With that said we have an edge here taking points. NC STATE is 33-17 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NC STATE) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game, with 9 or more offensive starters returning are 148-87 ATS L/29 years for a 63% conversion rate. Play on NC State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Kent State +14.5 v. Maryland | 16-37 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 41 m | Show | |
I believe according to my projection matchups that the Flashes are well suited to hang tough here vs a inconsistent Maryland football program. Maryland are just 1-17 SUATS in their last eighteen games when coming off a conference victory which was the case in their win vs Illinois. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game. MARYLAND is 1-8 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. MARYLAND is 7-20 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season. Lewis is 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of KENT ST. Play on Kent State to cover |
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09-25-21 | Toledo v. Ball State +5 | 22-12 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 28 m | Show | |
After last weeks fiasco in Wyoming where Ball State was annihilated, we now have value with a MAC championship team, that must not be underestimated. The Cardinal have won the last two meetings vs Toledo and according to my matchup projections have an edge as underdogs in this spot play. Its obvious to me at least that Cards are in a championship hangover mode, but should be wide awake. Candle is 3-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better as the coach of TOLEDO. 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a loss of 20-plus points Play on Ball State to cover |
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09-25-21 | UMass +36 v. Coastal Carolina | 3-53 | Loss | -107 | 46 h 2 m | Show | |
UMass did not look completely out of place against Boston College or Eastern Michigan and stayed with a 17 point margin, and according to my power rankings are up-trending. Yes, they were at close to bottom of my rankings, but non the less they are much more formidable opposition than they were last season when they lost by 34 to Coastal Carolina. CFB home team (COASTAL CAROLINA) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or better YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), in non-conference games are 35-72 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UMass to cover |
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09-25-21 | Missouri v. Boston College +2 | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 50 h 0 m | Show | |
Boston College has looked strong to this point in the season as they are off to a 3-0 start , outscoring their opposition by a 124-31 count. Today vs what has been an explosive Eagles offense, Im betting Missouris crap defense that allows a ugly 455.7 YPG will get run over in a big way. I know the tigers can really pile point on but, BC has shown a strong D, allowing just 256 ypg and is well suited to slow down the Missouri locomotive. MISSOURI is 1-9 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BOSTON COLLEGE) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game and are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on Boston College to cover |
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09-24-21 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
 Dodgers starter T. Gonsolin 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA in six appearances and five starts at Chase Field. Meanwhile, Dbacks starter HUMBERTO CASTELLANOS has seen his L/3 starts feature a combined 10 runs or more all of which went over, while garnering a 7.07 ERA. LA DODGERS are 15-4 OVER in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38%) or less in the second half of the season.
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (ARIZONA) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERAÂ 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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09-24-21 | Liberty v. Syracuse +6.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show | |
Padres starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) He may not be considered a top tier hurler but he is obviously motivated when going against strong opponent. SAN DIEGO is 19-3 against the money line in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 20-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 52-84 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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09-24-21 | Middle Tennessee State +3 v. Charlotte | 39-42 | Push | 0 | 52 h 7 m | Show | |
 Charlotte took out the Blue Raiders 34-20 last season as 5 point home dogs under HC Will Healy. That was the Niners first victory in this series in 5 meetings. I like the grit that Charlotte plays with and Middle Tenn state may not inspire some bettors, but here in revenge mode vs a home side that has only covered 3 of 8 games as FBS chalk my projections estimate a possible upset and cover by the visitors. MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. CFB home team (CHARLOTTE) - after scoring 9 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - with a terrible rushing D - allowing 225 or more rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Middle Tenn State to cover |
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09-23-21 | Liberty +9 v. Mercury | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Phoenix enters this game reeling, having lost 3 straight entering the play offs while, the Liberty won their L/tilt of the season, and have covered 4 of their L/5 overall. Tonight Im betting on these two negative and positive momentums to continue and for the Liberty to get us the cover.   WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after allowing 70 points or more in 5 straight games against opponent after allowing 75 points or more in 5 straight games are 34-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate.   WNBA team vs the money line (NEW YORK) - revenging a home loss versus opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals are 23-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on NYL to cover |
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09-23-21 | Panthers v. Texans +8 | 24-9 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 18 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog loves the Carolina Panthers , and the lines-makers are following suit and almost completely discounting the Texans ability to hang tough here and get the cover. I know their are some negative images put into the minds of the public, because  franchise quarterback Deshaun Watson has been made inactive because of on going legal issues . But overall Im betting his absence is actually a good thing and makes this Houston team more cohesive chemistry wise. Ill recommend we take the points here even with Mills in at QB. * By the way Mills is tough as nails, and he will have a pro bowl left tackle in the lineup to keep him afloat here tonight in prime time. Carolina 0-6 ATS L/6 Thursday nighters. Texans 8-2 ATS on Thursdays. NFL home underdog of 7 points or more with a .500 record or better , going against an undefeated side are 31-9 ATS L/40 seasons. . NFL Underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 32-7 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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09-22-21 | Giants v. Padres +102 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Padres starter VELASQUEZ is 6-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage of .430 or better in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) He may not be considered a top tier hurler but he is obviously motivated when going agains strong opponent. SAN DIEGO is 19-3 against the money line in home games revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 3 seasons.SAN DIEGO is 20-6 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 52-84 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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09-21-21 | Mets v. Red Sox -135 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Boston has won five straight after sweeping the Baltimore Orioles over the past weekend and bring [positive momentum into this tilt vs the Mets. Red Sox starter RODRIGUEZ is 17-3 against the money line in an inter-league game in his career. (Team's Record) NY METS are 9-21 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. CORA is 18-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better in all games he has managed since 1997. ( Stroman of the Mets qualifies) MLB team (BOSTON) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 43-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Red Sox to win |
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09-20-21 | Lions v. Packers UNDER 48.5 | 17-35 | Loss | -109 | 85 h 37 m | Show | |
After the disaster of week 1 , for Green Bay which resulted in a lopsided 38-3 loss to New Orleans I expect a disciplined effort from the Packers in what will be a conservative mind set vs their long time division rivals the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the gridiron crew from Motown will also be ready to be more defensive minded after a 41-33 shootout in week 1 that resulted in a loss. Note: DETROIT is 37-20 UNDER L/57 in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite are 31-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (GREEN BAY) - versus division opponents, off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 22-2 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-20-21 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Pirates starter Peters (1-2, 2.66 ERA) was in top form against the Reds on Tuesday, throwing five shutout innings for his first MLB win since Sept. 24, 2019, when he played for the Los Angeles Angels. Im betting he and the Reds Guiterrez matchup well against both batting orders and that their bullpens should do enough to keep the combined score here on the low side of the total. PITTSBURGH is 15-5 UNDER in road games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less this season. Under is 6-1-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-2 in Pirates last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 10-4-3 in Pirates last 17 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 games as a favorite. Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 overall.Under is 9-3-1 in Reds last 13 on grass.Under is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 46-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-19-21 | Chiefs v. Ravens +4 | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 60 h 21 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog is jumping off the Baltimore Ravens bandwagon. Last week they lost in OT to the Raiders, and now the football world believes in their demise after a sub par 2020 campaign. I however, am not one of those skeptics, and still believe this is a talented team that deserves respect as underdogs at home vs a very public side in KC. Hey I know Patrick Mahomes and company are a top tier group, but they have had problems covering of late in games that are deemed to be considered close by linesmakers like this game . Note: KC is 10-0 SU in regular season tilts but just 0-9-1 ATS in one-score games since the start of last season. It must also be noted that Ravens QB Jackson is 31-11 in his NFL career, while winning 15 of 21 home games His only game as a home dog during that victorious stretch was the season before last . How did he respond to that , well Ill tell you. His team won as 3 point dogs to Football god Tom Brady of New England by a lopsided 37-20 count. Im a believer and will back the Raves to cover. Harbaugh is 10-2 ATS in home games in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE. Play on the Baltimore Ravens to cover |
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09-19-21 | Phillies +117 v. Mets | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Right-hander Kyle Gibson (10-7, 3.49 ERA) is slated to take the mound for the Phillies against left-hander Rich Hill (6-7, 3.88). The Mets have lost 5 straight games and are trying to avoid being swept by the visiting Phillies. But Im betting they wont be successful in stopping the Phillies momentum. NY METS are 1-9 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this season. The Phillies are in hot pursuit for a play off spot and will have plenty of motivation to be merciless here in NY. Phillies are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Phillies to win |
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09-19-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 50 m | Show | |
Sometimes the pundits make to big a deal of week 1 results, and this is what Im betting into here this week. Minnesota ,looked a little uneasy and made mistakes in their first game against under rated Cincinnati. Penalties and false starts etc,. However, despite of what the so called experts say, they will have a better offensive line this season if they stay healthy, and the D, Im betting can and will deal with the mobile Cards QB Murray. As big chunks of public money come in on the Cards Ill swing the other way with the maligned Vikings. Zimmer is 6-0 ATS in road games after a loss by 3 or less points as the coach of MINNESOTA. Vikings are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss. ARIZONA is 3-15 ATS L/18 in home games after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game . Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.  Road underdogs or pick (MINNESOTA) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 230 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 29-8 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MINNESOTA is 12-4 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992.Underdog is 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.Vikings are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Play on the Vikings to cover |
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09-19-21 | Bengals +2.5 v. Bears | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 1 m | Show | |
Cincinnati has a deep scouting report on Dalton the ex Bengals and current Bears QB starter, and will be well prepared to slow his production options. Plus Chicagos offensive line looks wobbly at best. I also suggest that the Bengals D, is very under rated , and that QB Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase could easily be big stories in the NFL this season. With that said, Im betting on Burrows to take advantage of the Bears weak secondary, for big gains, and for the Bengal D to stand tall against a QB thats seen his best days pass him by. CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS L/20 after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs. CHICAGO is 9-23 ATS after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game . NFL Underdogs or pick (CINCINNATI) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 55-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1992 at Chicago. Play on Cincinnati to cover |
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09-18-21 | Fresno State +11.5 v. UCLA | 40-37 | Win | 100 | 56 h 59 m | Show | |
My projections and power rankings suggest this line should be no higher than 10 points and thus according to my estimates we have value attached to under rated Fresno State. It must be noted UCLA is getting way to much respect for their win vs LSU. Note: The Bruins have failed to cover 6 of the L/8 games vs non conference opposition as a home favorite. Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS L/5 vs Pac 12. Fresno State is also 8-1 ATS L/9 as underdogs of 10 or more points. CFB home team (UCLA) - excellent rushing team ( 4.8 or more YPR) against an average rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR), in non-conference games are 33-70 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (FRESNO ST) - after allowing 250 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 9 or more defensive starters returning are 90-46 L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fresno State to cover |
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09-18-21 | Braves +121 v. Giants | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Charlie Morton will go to the hill for the Braves on Saturday. He has been in top tier form, and has garnered a 13-5 record this season along with an ERA of 3.49, a WHIP of 1.05 including 192 Ks. He brings enough quality form into this tilt to give credence to me backing him as an underdog. Meanwhile, Alex Wood goes for the Giants, and despite of being a viable hurler, will be in deep here vs a Atlanta side that has feasted on lefty hurlers this season, as is evident by averaging 5.8 rpg of output. The Braves lost yesterday in the first game of this series by a 6-5 count, but they have proven resilient in the past after a defeat going 24-9 in their last 33 games following a loss. Braves are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.Braves are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in San Francisco. ATLANTA is 21-8 against the money line in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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09-18-21 | Oklahoma State +4 v. Boise State | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 62 h 2 m | Show | |
The Boise State Broncos are still looking for steady direction under new head coach Andy Avalos and inconsistencies have looked common here early this season. The one consistency I do see, is that the defense has some work to do, and here against an explosive Oklahoma State squad difficulties will definitely  arise here against Cowboys star QB Spencer Sanders and company. Note:  The Cowboys beat BSU, 44-18, the last time these teams met back in 2018. Gundy is 38-24 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - in non-conference games, after playing a non-conference game are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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09-18-21 | Tulane +14.5 v. Ole Miss | 21-61 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 39 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light up the scoreboard in a hurry and the lines-makers are well aware of this as they have set a high totals count on this tilt. When projecting scoreboard tallys is become obvious to me that getting points here is a value play.Fritz is 13-4 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 63 in all games he has coached since 1992. Note: Rebels 1-9 ATS  as a favorite when coming off consecutive victories . Ole Miss HC Kiffin has failed to cover 13 of the L/20 vs a non conference opponent. Play on Tulane to cover |
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09-18-21 | Stanford v. Vanderbilt +12 | 41-23 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
The Stanford Cardinal are off a huge win last week against USC, and will now be in a letdown situation this week here on the road in a SEC venue at Vanderbilt. The Cardinal are 10-23 ats L/33 times off a underdog win. Vanderbilt is also off a \upset win, and Shaw and company are just 0-8-1 ATS L/9 vs these types of sides. CFB Home underdogs (VANDERBILT) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS L/29 seasons for 84% conversion rate. Play on Vandy to cover |
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09-18-21 | Auburn v. Penn State -4.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 58 h 13 m | Show | |
I have some futures tickets on Penn State and feel they are the most under rated team in the nation. While my assumptions may prove incorrect at some point , - for now I feel strongly about their talent levels, and believe they can beat any team in the nation if healthy including their SEC opponent today Auburn who return just 9 starters from last years squad. Auburn has blown away some sub par competition in their first two games, but here today their are in deep and that will show in the final score. Penn State currently 2-0 SU/ATS this season is 6-0 ATS/SU L/6 dating back to last season. Nittany Lions’ head coach James Franklin is 12-0 ATS over the last twelve games when coming off consecutive SU/ATS victories. |
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09-18-21 | Utah State +8.5 v. Air Force | 49-45 | Win | 100 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
. The Falcons are coming off a 23-3 win over Navy and Im betting they will be a in a letdown situation this week vs a under rated Utah State side.Utah State has averaged 311 passing yards per game through its first two tilts and the defense has only surrendered a total of 214 rushing yards and must be respected here as underdogs. Troy Calhoun is 19- 33 ATS ras conference chalk, and has failed to cover 16 of their L/24 after playing Navy, including 3-9 ATS as favs. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (UTAH ST) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored are 31-9 ATS L/29 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on Utah state to cover |
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09-18-21 | UAB v. North Texas +13 | 40-6 | Loss | -106 | 57 h 40 m | Show | |
This tilt is based on power ranking and projection output that favor the underdog covering this number. Each of the last 3 meetings between these CUSA rivals have been decided by 8 points or less. Im betting on similar results here thus giving us value with the home underdog. Last time out UAB was eaten alive by Georgia and that can be humiliating. College kids dont deal with defeat as well as pros do and despite of wanting to come back out here and get redemption, Im betting they wont be as able as many might think. Note:Clark is 1-8 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of UAB. Play on North Texas to cover |
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09-18-21 | South Carolina +32 v. Georgia | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show | |
Thanks to Georgias thunderous start to this campaign, Im betting that the lines-makers and public have got ahead of themselves and that we have value here with the underdog. Note: Georgia has failed to cover 8 of their L/11 as conference home favorite of 17 or more points,. Meanwhile, South Carolina is 7-1 ATS as conference dogs of more than 15 points. Also from a personal perspective Im a big fan of HC Shane Beamer, and what he brings to this Gamecocks football program. Pride and grit Im betting gets us a slice of Georgia pie here this Saturday. Smart is 0-6 ATS in home games after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of GEORGIA. GEORGIA is 7-21 ATS in home games after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game ( that happened vs UAB last week). Play on South Carolina to cover |
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09-18-21 | BC v. Montreal -2.5 | 27-18 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Well rested Montreal showed some explosive offensive pop last time out when they put 51 points on the board in a win vs Ottawa and Im betting that they continue to produce on their home field this week in what Im predicting will be a cover. Note: BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. CFL team vs the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - an average offensive team (23 to 28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-32 PPG), after allowing 14 points or less last game are 13-39 SU l/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Montreal to cover |
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09-18-21 | Ball State +7 v. Wyoming | 12-45 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 39 m | Show | |
 The defending MAC champs Ball State had a game 8-game winning streak. come to end at Penn State. Despite of losing to a top tier Big 10 team they did not look out of place and deserve respect here in Laramie this week. Meanwhile, Wyoming, beat Northern Illinois 50-43 last week, and Im having doubts about their overall ability to be a Mountain West contender.  BALL ST is 22-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BALL ST) - good passing team from last season - averaged 255 or more passing yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on Ball State to cover |
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09-18-21 | Mississippi State v. Memphis +3.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 56 h 12 m | Show | |
Both these teams worked hard for wins last week, and now with both in an emotional letdown situation, the offensive fireworks may start slowly, with home field advantage taking precedent for me with Memphis. note: Memphis is 9-3 ATS against SEC opposition with an above .500 record including 6-1 ATS at the Liberty Bowl. CFB home team (MEMPHIS) - after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 28-6 ATS L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on Memphis to cover |
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09-18-21 | Northwestern v. Duke +3 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 55 h 36 m | Show | |
Northwestern is just 3-7 in its last 10 road games and do not instill confidence in being road favorites at an SEC venue , even though its at Duke. The Wildcats lost more returning production from last year than any other FBS side, and cohesion going forward especially on the road will be an issue, especially with top tier defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz. NORTHWESTERN is 9-21 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992. Fitzgerald is 17-32 ATS in the first month of the season as the coach of NORTHWESTERN. Cutcliffe is 24-9 ATS after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of DUKE. Cutcliffe is 20-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DUKE.Cutcliffe is 33-16 ATS after playing a non-conference game as the coach of DUKE. Play on Duke to cover |
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09-18-21 | Purdue +7.5 v. Notre Dame | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 55 m | Show | |
Purdue is 8-1 ATS L/9 as 7 or more point underdogs , and the Boilermakers have cashed in the last three series meetings. Head coach Jeff Brohm has 18 starters back from last season, and deserve respect here as a pup vs a retooling Notre Dame program.Â
CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PURDUE) - good passing team from last season - averaged 255 or more passing yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PURDUE) - in non-conference games, after playing a non-conference game are 51-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Purdue to cover  |
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09-18-21 | Nevada v. Kansas State +2 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 57 m | Show | |
Kansas State has lost QB, Skylar Thompson, to a knee injury , and there is no news on when he will return. So now we get to bet into a underdog line, on a home side, with a strong D, and viable enough attack to make life difficult for their Mountain West opponents Nevada. I know Nevada beat Cal, but their ground game only produced 61 yards in that game and Im betting they have problems moving the chains again, via their ground game, and will bump into problems through the air vs the a under rated Kansas State secondary. The Wolfpack are 0-5 SU vs Big 12 . Kansas State to cover |
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09-18-21 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Red Sox starter PIVETTA is 8-1 UNDER  vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)PIVETTA is 12-2 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Pivetta is 6-0 with a 2.95 ERA in six career starts against the Orioles and Im betting his ability to limit the Orioles offensive output today will have a direct effect on keeping the combined score on the low side of the offered total. I know Orioles rookie starter Lowther may not inspire under bettors, but his numbers are a bit tainted thanks to facing the Red Sox in his first career start and then taking on the explosive Blue Jays in his 2nd start. After those firestorms I expect this talented hurler to show some more poise and keep the Red sox under at least minimal control. BOSTON is 22-11 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League East. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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09-18-21 | Minnesota +3 v. Colorado | 30-0 | Win | 100 | 51 h 24 m | Show | |
Gophers lost top tier RB Mohamed Ibrahim for the season but still have enough backup talent to be able to cope with that loss behind RB Treyson Pott who rushed for a 178 yards and 2 TDS last time out. After watching the Gophers play Ohio State tough in their opener Im betting Fleck and company are under rated and deserve respect getting points even on the road. MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers over the last 3 seasons CFB Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 36-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota to cover |
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09-18-21 | Cincinnati v. Indiana +4 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 27 m | Show | |
Indiana was humiliated by Iowa in a ugly 34-6 beatdown in their opener, and now need swift redemption against a top tier unit in what Im betting is a must win situation for the Hoosiers here against a tough Cincinnati football program on a 11 game reg season win streak. Im bolstered and confident in backing Indiana after watching them smash Idaho last week, and feel strongly they dont go down without an all out fight here at home. INDIANA is 7-0 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 11-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. Fickell is 1-5 SU on the road in Big Ten play , including 0-5 SU when his team is above .500. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (INDIANA) - team that had a winning record last season, in non-conference games are 79-34 ATS L/29 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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09-18-21 | Michigan State v. Miami-FL -6.5 | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
 Miami Fl QB D'Eriq King, leads this experienced Canes team . King Im betting will use veterans to punch through a over hyped Michigan State squad. Look for running back Cam'Ron Harris, tight end Will Mallory and receivers Mike Harley and Charleston Rambo to unload with big numbers today. Just a quick note: Losing to Alabama is not something that should impact a negative connotation towards Miami, and their close win vs a under rated and always tough App State side, the Canes should be looked upon more favorably. On the flip side Michigan State beating a depleted and rebuilding Northwestern team and than an a FCS side should also not suddenly catapult the Spartans to football god status. With that said, Im betting the right side is favored and there is value laying points at 7 points or less. Play on Miami fl to cover |
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09-17-21 | Mariners +100 v. Royals | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Seattle's starter FLEXEN is 8-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 13-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 12-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 8-1 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 10-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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09-16-21 | Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, is out with an injury and now Taylor Heinicke will be under center for the Washington Football team . He’s made two NFL starts , both at home that ended in losses and he could easily end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard again. Judge is 6-0 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of NY GIANTS. NY GIANTS is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons and Giants starting QB was the starter in all those tilts and will be again tonight. NFL Home favorites (WASHINGTON) - team that had a losing record last season, in conference games are 94-160 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-16-21 | Ohio +21 v. UL-Lafayette | 14-49 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is just to many points to pass up on according to my projections and power rankings. Because  of Ohios loss to FCS school last week Duquesne we have a tainted line to bet into here with the underdog . Im betting on Ohio doing what they do best and pounding the ball on the ground here which will eat up clock and help keep UL Lafayette off the field. The Bobcats are 8-0 against the spread in their last eight Thursday games. The Ragin’ Cajuns are just 2-8 ATS L/10 as a 14-point or more favorite. CFB Road underdogs (OHIO U) - team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference are 23-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio. to cover |
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09-15-21 | Angels v. White Sox -215 | 3-2 | Loss | -215 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 6-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-15-21 | Angels v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Pale Hose starter Keuchel has been dominant against the Angels in his career, going 12-2 with a 3.55 ERA in 19 appearances, including 18 starts and Im betting that continues here tonight. Meanwhile, Angels will answer with Rookie right-hander Janson Junk (0-1, 2.45 ERA) . Under is 5-1-3 in White Sox last 9 vs. American League West.Under is 5-1-1 in White Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 10-4 in Angels last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 17-7 in Angels last 24 games as a road underdog. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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09-15-21 | Rockies +176 v. Braves | 3-2 | Win | 176 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Colorado has won five of its past six road games, improving to 13-17 away from home since the All-Star break and have won 9 of their L/10 games here in Atlanta. Tonight behind starter Senzatela, who has quality starts in each of his last six trips to the hill, along with garnering a solid has a 2.54 ERA in 39 innings during that span, the Rockies look to be the right side on a value line. Senzatela has made four career appearances and three starts against the Braves, going 2-0 with a 3.66 ERA and gets my support here. Braves are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win |
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09-15-21 | Cardinals +142 v. Mets | 11-4 | Win | 142 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
St.Louis is running hot right now having won 6 of their L/7 games, and setting their sites on post season, ball will have them ready to compete tonight in NY where Im betting they will complete a 3 game sweep of the up and down Mets. Cards starter Lester is 8-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 regular season starts against the Mets and while pitching for Washington on June 19, he threw six-plus innings of two-run ball agains them. Rinse and repeat.LESTER is 63-31 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)NY METS are 17-29 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Play on St.Louis to win |
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09-15-21 | Liberty v. Sun UNDER 148.5 | 69-98 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 145 giving us a full possession edge on this number. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or better of their attempts this season. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER when playing with 3 or more days rest this season. NEW YORK is 8-1 UNDER in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CONNECTICUT) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 31-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-14-21 | Rockies +150 v. Braves | 5-4 | Win | 150 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Rockies starter GRAY in 6 career starts is 3-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.221. He made his return from a stint on the 10-day injured list with right forearm tightness against San Francisco last Wednesday and allowed three runs and struck out eight. Im betting he is much stronger in this spot play. Meanwhile, Atlanta's  Toussaint's last two starts, has seen him allowed seven runs, five earned, in six combined innings of sub par work, an is fade material in his current form. Rockies are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win |
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09-14-21 | Brewers v. Tigers +190 | 0-1 | Win | 190 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Peralta vs Peralta The Tigers have won three of their last four games and are viable underdogs here today vs their National league opponents the Milwaukee Brewers behind  right-hander Wily Peralta (3-3, 3.60 ERA) who gave up a run on six hits in four innings at Pittsburgh last Tuesday in his most recent start. Meanwhile, Brewers starter Freddy Peralta (9-4, 2.69 ERA) will start on Tuesday. Peralta has been on an innings limit and has not exceeded more than 3 2/3 innings in any of his last three starts . This tells me they are saving him for post season play or he is showing signs of fatigue or both an is vulnerable to getting blasted by a sometimes explosive Detroit offense.  Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day. Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. DETROIT is 8-4 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 49-100 L/149 against the money line in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs .MILWAUKEE is 10-17 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win |
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09-13-21 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 8 | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (SAN DIEGO) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 5 games are 53-21 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-13-21 | Ravens v. Raiders +4 | 27-33 | Win | 100 | 36 h 56 m | Show | |
 Black- and-Silver bring a 5-1 ATS record on Monday night games into this tilts including 3-0 SUATS the last three at home . Im looking for these positive numbers to continue here at Allegiant Stadium vs a banged up Baltimore side missing some key offensive cogs and that was not as potent last season on both sides of the ball. The Ravens are 5-10 SUATS L/8 seasons vs the AFC West, including 0-4 ATS when favored by 5 or less points. Raiders QB Carr is 4-2 as a starter on Monday nights, including wins in his past three Monday starts and takes my money here tonight.  Home team is 7-2 ATS L/9 meetings in this series. Play on the Vegas Raiders to cover |
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09-13-21 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Alcantara is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA this season vs the Nationals. The Marlins starter allowed five runs (four earned) including 2 HRs. In seven career starts versus the Nats, Alcantara is 1-6 with a 6.50 ERA and according to my power rankings and Im betting he gets lit up again. Meanwhile, the Nationals fire back with struggling starter Espino who is 1-1 with a 6.08 ERA in his L/ 23 ⅔ innings of sub par work where he , surrendered 16 earned runs  including six home runs. Im also betting on him giving up enough runs to help this combined score easily eclipse this total offering. Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. WASHINGTON is 38-24 OVER in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. MARTINEZ is 52-24 OVER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season as the manager of WASHINGTON. Play OVER |
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09-12-21 | Diamondbacks v. Mariners -161 | 5-4 | Loss | -161 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Sunday's series finale is scheduled to feature a matchup of left-handers in Arizona's Tyler Gilbert (1-2, 3.12 ERA) against Seattle's Yusei Kikuchi (7-8, 4.32). My power rankings give the edge to the Mariners in a bounce back situation after yesterdays flat loss. ARIZONA is 2-14 against the money line against AL West opponents this season. SERVAIS is 9-16 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of SEATTLE. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 61-20 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Seattle to win |
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09-12-21 | Reds v. Cardinals +123 | 0-2 | Win | 123 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Cards starter  HAPP is 20-9 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) Reds starter GRAY is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.471. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 27-12 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 50-81 L/24 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate. Cardinals are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Cardinals to win |
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09-12-21 | Cardinals v. Titans -3 | 38-13 | Loss | -108 | 843 h 2 m | Show | |
Cardinals are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (TENNESSEE) - first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses against opponent first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses are 28-1 L/28 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.9 ppg which qualifies on this spread line. |
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09-12-21 | Jets +4 v. Panthers | 14-19 | Loss | -104 | 69 h 32 m | Show | |
The new quarterback for the Carolina Panthers Darnold has proven inconsistent during his career. Im betting his inability for stability to continue vs his former team. Considering how well the Jets internal scouting report is on him , this should be a bad bounce back start for the play caller.Matt Rhule is in his second season with Carolina after a 5-11 record in 2020 and I just don't like what they offer overall, even against a revamped Jets side.Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Take the points with the NYJ to cover |
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09-12-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Falcons | 32-6 | Win | 100 | 68 h 27 m | Show | |
Philadelphias Jalen Hurts is better than he was at Alabama. Yes I believe he has matured and  Im betting after showing signs of brilliance , we will see him shine today behind an under rated group of WRs and backs. Meanwhile, Atlanta despite of having a veteran at Atlanta is 1-10 ATS L/11 as non division fav of 5 points or less. NFL Home favorites (ATLANTA) - team that had a losing record last season, in conference games. are 94-158 ATS L/38 seasons for a 62% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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09-12-21 | Vikings v. Bengals +3 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 13 m | Show | |
The QB savior of the Bengals Joe Burrows will be Im betting be the difference maker here today. Dating back to last season, Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Host 6-0 L/6 in this series and the Bengals are 8-2 ATS L/10 as non-conference Home dogs of 3 points or more. Bengals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf and  are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 1 as well as  5-2 ATS in their last 7 home gams and from a long term perspective are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games in September. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
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09-12-21 | Jaguars v. Texans +3 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
 Jacksonville's Trevor Lawrence in my humble betting opinion is being over hyped here. The kid was great at Clemson, but Im not sure he is ready to starter in this league just yet. I know QB Dshaun Watson wont be under center for the Texans, but the Texans: 6-0 SU last six games in this series while the Jaguars have lost 7 straight road games and have been a chalk in only two of its last 24 overall trips to the grid-ion , with both of those tilts ending a loss for the Jags. with that said, Ill take the points with the completely disrespected home dog.  NFL Underdogs or pick (HOUSTON) - excellent offense from last season - averaged 360 or more total yards/game, versus division opponents are 24-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NFL Favorites (JACKSONVILLE) - team that had a losing record last season, in conference games are 130-204 ATS L/38 seasons for a go against long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texans to cover |
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09-11-21 | Stanford +17.5 v. USC | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
 David Shaw is sometimes a hard HC to read. His team behind two QBs looked lost offensively, despite of the D, showing some strong potential this season, losing by a 24-7 final score to Kansas State last week. In this conference opener I do expect ,Shaw to stick with one QB, and for the defence to pressure a vulnerable looking USC offensive line giving Kedon Slovis some issues with distribution. Cardinal is 11-3 ATS L/14 as underdogs of more than a Touch Down. Shaw is 30-19 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of STANFORD. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (STANFORD) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins are 34-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Stanford to cover |
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09-11-21 | Vanderbilt +7 v. Colorado State | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 60 h 1 m | Show | |
Embarrassing is what must describe Vanderbilts opener vs a FCS school E.Tennessee State as they lost 22-3 . Wow. A new SEC low. However, now thanks to that ugly effort Im expecting a more wide awake Vandy crew here in game 2 vs Mountain West opponent Colorado State. Note and Key trend: 17 returning-starter underdogs like the Commodores in Game Two of the season are  18-2 ATS when coming off a loss of 15 or more points, and facing an opponent coming off a defeat l as Colorado State is. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO ST) - after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season are 7-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (VANDERBILT) - in non-conference games, after playing a non-conference game are 48-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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09-11-21 | Sun v. Mercury +4 | 76-67 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
We have value with a viable home dog in this spot play according to my power rankings. PHOENIX is 7-1 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or more of their attempts after 15+ games this season.Â
WNBAÂ Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 31-2 SU L/24 seasons for a 94% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix to cover |
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09-11-21 | Diamondbacks v. Mariners -175 | 7-3 | Loss | -175 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Mariners starter FLEXEN is 7-0 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 16-3 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. ARIZONA is 1-13 against the money line against AL West opponents this season.ARIZONA is 33-82 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Diamondbacks are 8-45 in their last 53 road games. Play on Seattle to win |
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09-11-21 | Washington +7 v. Michigan | 10-31 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 9 m | Show | |
Michigan is off a big 47-14 win vs MAC opponent Western Michigan in their first game out , but it must be noted  Michigan is 1-11 ATS L/12 facing Pac-12 opponents like Washington, including 0-7 ATS when the Wolverines are coming off a victory. MICHIGAN is 10-23 ATS  after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. I know Washington lost in an upset to the Montana , but in the past the Huskies have proved resilient- as the program has gone  8-0 SU in its last eight games after losing as a favorite, and 22-11 SU against the Big Ten L/33 meetings. WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse since 1992. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON) - in non-conference games, after playing a non-conference game are 48-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON) - good offense from last season - averaged 400 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 37-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Washington to cover |
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09-11-21 | Missouri +5.5 v. Kentucky | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 58 m | Show | |
Missouri won and covered the last time these teams met and now Im betting they will make a game of this tilt vs Kentucky as the dog covers for the 6th straight time in this series. Mark Stoops, is a bankroll depleting 3-10 SU in SEC openers for his backers , including 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS at home. Stoops is 0-9 ATS in home games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of KENTUCKY. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) - good passing team from last season - averaged 255 or more passing yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 27-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Missouri to cover |
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09-11-21 | Memphis v. Arkansas State +6 | 55-50 | Win | 100 | 58 h 38 m | Show | |
Memphis true freshman QB Seth Henigan looked good in a 42-17 victory vs FCS opponent Nicholls in their first game , as he recorded a 19-of-32 mark for 265 yards and a touchdown in his first career start. However, Ive rolled over some of the tape and just does not look polished enough to handle a steady Arkansas state defense and Im fading the Tigers vs a team that has revenge on board  37-24 loss at Memphis las season. Note:Tigers are 2-13 SU in road openers and 0-4 ATS on the road under Silverfield, including 1-5 ATS when coming off a victory. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARKANSAS ST) - good passing team from last season - averaged 255 or more passing yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 27-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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09-11-21 | Texas State +2 v. Florida International | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 56 h 41 m | Show | |
Florida International has lost 7 straight games to FBS schools and despite of a win vs FCS school just dont look like they have it in them to defeat a up-trending program like Texas State who despite of losing 29-20 looked pretty good vs Big 12 opponent Baylor last time out bringing home the cash as 14 point dogs. With a 17 players returning roster and a top tier QB in Bradie MacBride Texas State is a viable bet to win this game outright. Note: Texas State vs CUSA are 6-1 ATS and get the nod here. Play on Texas State to cover |
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09-11-21 | Calgary +1.5 v. Edmonton Elks | 32-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Edmonton upset the Calgary Stampeders last time out and now going against a revenge minded rival. With that said, Im now betting the Stamps get their redemption behind now healthy QB  Bo Levi Mitchell who is expected to start today under center . Dickenson is 11-1 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game as the coach of CALGARY. CALGARY is 16-6 ATS in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite . CFL Underdogs or pick (CALGARY) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 34-9 L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Calgary to cover |
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09-11-21 | Brewers v. Indians +175 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Cleveland's Zach Plesac (10-4, 4.53 ERA) goes to the hill Saturday vs the Milwaukee Brewers. Plesac, is 4-0 in his past five outings on Sunday after yielding three runs in five innings of an 11-5 victory over the Boston Red Sox. Meanwhile, right-hander Corbin Burnes (9-4, 2.38 ERA), takes the ball for the Brewers. He is also in good form going 7-0 with a 2.40 ERA in his past 16 trips to the mound . With two strong hurlers on the hill, the advantage according to my power rankings goes to the home side, on a value moneyline offering. I know Cleveland is struggling to score, but they matchup well vs /Burnes according to my pitcher vs batter power rankings. FRANCONA is 102-60 against the money line after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CLEVELAND MLB Road teams (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better ), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 41-68 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indians to win |
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09-11-21 | UAB +24.5 v. Georgia | 7-56 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 30 m | Show | |
. Georgia opened with a 10-3 win over Clemson in Charlotte on Saturday and now Im betting their in a letdown situation vs a staunch Sun Belt defense that is off a shut out and must be respected. Getting pumped up again vs UAB will be a difficult task for a Georgia club in a look ahead to South Carolina in their SEC opener. GEORGIA is 29-53 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992. CFB Home favorites of 21.5 or more points (GEORGIA) - solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 10 or more points/game, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are just 13-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UAB to cover |
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09-11-21 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 41 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 54 h 11 m | Show | |
Military Academies are on a 39-8-1 UNDER run! Play UNDER |
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09-11-21 | Temple v. Akron +7 | 45-24 | Loss | -103 | 52 h 24 m | Show | |
I don't like the way Temple is declining. They had a horrendous season last year, and now they started 0-1 after a 61-14 drubbing vs Rutgers and have lost 5 of their L/6 road games SU and are fade material as this big a favorite, yes even against Akron. TEMPLE is 6-17 ATS against MAC opponents since 1992. Note: starting QB  D'Wan Mathis is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Akron ( Foot ). CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AKRON) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 23-4 ATS L/29 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AKRON) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 31 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Akron to cover |
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09-11-21 | Toledo +17 v. Notre Dame | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 50 h 15 m | Show | |
There is alot of returning production back from last season, and they must be respected as DD underdogs vs a Notre Dame program that is retooling. Looking ahead to Big 10 competition next week, and in an emotional letdown state after a hard fought OT win vs Florida State last time out, Im betting we have an edge taking an explosive Toledo side getting points . The Rockets 11-4 ATS with a perfect record and are coming off a win of 28+ points, including 6-0 ATS L/6 in road tilts. (Toledo won last week( 49-10). Fighting Irish are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Play on Toledo to cover |
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09-11-21 | Middle Tennessee State v. Virginia Tech OVER 54 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State cranked it up offensively FCS opponent Monmouth, 50-15 and will come in there ready to keep an aggressive offensive mind set alive. Virginia Tech Im betting will also take advantage of Middle Tennessee State team that allowed 35.4 points and 446 yards per game last season. Last year, Virginia Tech averaged 31.1 points per game. Play OVER |
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09-11-21 | Illinois +10 v. Virginia | 14-42 | Loss | -107 | 51 h 14 m | Show | |
Illinois stepped up by taking down Nebraska in week one of the season , but were in a massive letdown spot the following week vs a under rated Texas State side and were upset . The up and down Illinois football side has proven fairly resilient in the past in this spot as they are 7-3 ATS away when coming off a SU favorite defeat. It must also be noted that  Illini HC Bielema is  6-0 ATS in his last six bounce back situations as a underdog when coming off a SU loss. The only  meetings in this series vs Virginia were won by Illinois. Both were bowl games. I am not a big fan of what the situation is in Virginia or the type of recruiting that they have done, and last years 5-5 mark is a statement to that mediocrity. With that saidm I'll recommend we take the point here. CFB  Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ILLINOIS) - in non-conference games, after playing a non-conference game are 48-18 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
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09-10-21 | Royals +115 v. Twins | 6-4 | Win | 115 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Twins right handed starter Jax has lost two of his last three starts and when he faced the Royals in his first major league start, on July 3 in Kansas City, he took the loss while allowing six runs on eight hits over five innings and is once again fade material here on a value money-line offering. MINNESOTA is 15-31  against the money line against left-handed starters this season and Lynch currently in decent form has an edge here. Twins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. a team with a losing record. Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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09-10-21 | Red Sox +142 v. White Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Red Sox (80-62) seized the pole position Wednesday with a win over the Tampa Bay Rays coupled with a New York Yankees loss. The Yankees dropped their sixth straight Thursday to up idle Boston's lead for the top spot to one game and now we have a BoSox side with confidence and a big chance at a play off spot. Motivation is key at this juncture in the season, and we have that in spades backing this underdog today. I know the White Sox are a stud team, but they have had problems scoring lately with consistency, making them vulnerable. Meanwhile, Red sox hurler Houck was nearly flawless over five scoreless innings against the Cleveland Indians last time out, allowing just three hits and striking out seven and also has momentum. Ride the wave here with Boston. RODON is 0-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.240 and his team has lost all 4 of his starts vs the BoSox. BOSTON is 29-22 (+10.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like Rodon. BOSTON is 17-4 against the money line when playing on Friday this season. Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Red Sox are 15-7 in their last 22 during game 1 of a series Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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09-10-21 | Brewers v. Indians +137 | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Indians rookie right-hander Eli Morgan is off a strong effort last time out as is Houser of Milwaukee. But according to my projections and power rankings the Indians have an edge, at home and must be respected as underdogs in this spot play. (Milwaukee is up big in their race for a secured play off spot and its never easy keeping an edge in a long season when you are at such lofty heights. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games. COUNSELL is 47-59 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season as the manager of MILWAUKEE. Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague road games. Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.MILWAUKEE is 2-7 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. MILWAUKEE is 5-10 against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are just 64-64 and spilling a boatload full of juice. Brewers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Brewers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Cleveland to win |
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09-09-21 | Cowboys +8 v. Bucs | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 38 h 46 m | Show | |
I know the Dallas Cowboys are off a down season, but with a healthy Dak Prescott back behind center Im betting the Cowboys will have a bounce back season, as long as health issues don't rear their ugly head again. I know Mike McCarthy the Cowboys coach did not have a very efficient first season at the helm of Americas team, but the last time one his teams had a sub .500 campaign he bounced back with a 11 win season. Meanwhile, their opponents tonight the defending Super Bowl Champs will be Im betting in an emotional hang over mode. Note: Super Bowl champs are 12-24-1 ATS L/ in their first two games of the new season, as 6 or more point favs. Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS L/5 Thursday night home games. Bucs are 0-5-1 ATS L/6 vs NFC East competition. Buccaneers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. Buccaneers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 1.  Boyz are 9-3 ATS L/12 as 7 or more point underdogs. Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. McCarthy is 95-66 ATS in games played on a grass field in all games he has coached in his career. Play on Dallas Cowboys to cover |
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09-09-21 | Royals +105 v. Orioles | 6-0 | Win | 105 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Royals starter HERNANDEZ is 11-5 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher in his career. (Team's Record) note: BALTIMORE is 4-17 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like Hernandez. .... Hernandez (5-1, 3.57 ERA) has been one of the majors' surprise starters. He joined the Royals' rotation in mid-July and is 4-0 with a 2.21 ERA in his past six starts.In two road starts this season, Hernandez is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA, having beaten the Chicago White Sox and the Chicago Cubs last month. Orioles lefty starter MEANS is 0-6 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record)MEANS is 0-10  against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Royals are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Royals are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.Royals are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter. Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series. Play on the Royals to win |
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09-09-21 | Mets v. Marlins +157 | 2-3 | Win | 157 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
The New York Mets have scored the third-fewest runs in the majors this season and even though they go against an inconsistent hurler in Luzardo, they have struggled to score and have had alot problems vs southpaws averaging just 3 rpg. Note: Luzardo beat the Mets the only time he went against them , which was on Aug. 2. In that tilt, he went five solid innings, allowing four hits, three walks and three runs. Rinse and repeat.  NY METS are 2-11 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 2 seasons. NY METS are 8-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road teams (NY METS) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or more ) -NL, in September games are 50-80 L/24 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 31-19 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse on the season (NL), in September games are 26-12 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win |
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09-09-21 | White Sox +129 v. A's | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
White Sox starter Reynaldo Lopez (3-1, 2.08 ERA). has been in top form in four career starts against the A's, going 2-1 along with a minuscule  0.77 ERA.One of those starts was Aug. 17 at home against the Athletics , when he went five innings in a 9-0 shutout win. I know Manaea is a top strong hurler, but the Pale Hose have been hard on left handed pitching producing an average of 5.3 rpg and  are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The White Sox lost yesterday to the As bu a 5-1 count, but the White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. OAKLAND is 11-24  against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.Play on the Chicago White sox to win |
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09-08-21 | Nationals v. Braves -209 | 4-2 | Loss | -209 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Washington left-hander Sean Nolin (0-2, 5.71) on Wednesday. The Braves will counter with right-hander Touki Toussaint (3-2, 4.19). Nationals are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Nationals are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Nationals are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a road underdog.Nationals are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record. Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.  Nationals are 6-21 in their last 27 road games. Nationals are 5-24 in their last 29 vs. National League East. WASHINGTON is 6-23 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 12-26 against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 4-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. Nationals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Nationals are 10-26 in the last 36 meetings. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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09-08-21 | Royals -124 v. Orioles | 8-9 | Loss | -124 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Orioles are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Royals starter today Minor.Minor is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in seven games (four starts) against the Orioles. Orioles starter Harvey (6-13, 6.28 ERA) including 0-4 in his last six trips to the hill , and the Orioles are 0-6 in his starts during that stretch. Rinse and repeat scenario on board here again.  MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%. are 7-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to winÂ
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09-08-21 | Tigers +110 v. Pirates | 5-1 | Win | 110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
 In the series finale, Detroit right-hander Matt Manning (3-6, 6.29 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (4-10, 6.23). Edge goes to Manning and the Tigers. Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as an underdog. Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Tigers are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. MLB team (DETROIT) - AL team with a terrible OBP (.310 or less ) against a terrible NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.650 or more ), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 30-7 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the Tigers to win |
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09-08-21 | Mariners +166 v. Astros | 8-5 | Win | 166 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Tyler Anderson goes to the mound for the Mariners . He has been a viable hurler for the Mariners as is evident by having won four of his last five starts, including a 6-3 victory at Houston.After pitching to a 4.35 ERA in Pittsburgh, Anderson has a 3.38 ERA in his seven starts since joining the Mariners.He has completed at least five innings in each of his starts this season and 27 straight starts dating back to last season and gets the nod here on a a value line. ANDERSON is 7-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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09-07-21 | Rangers +150 v. Diamondbacks | 3-1 | Win | 150 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
DBcks starter GALLEN is 1-11 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 inter-league home games. ARIZONA is 1-11 against the money line against AL West opponents this season. ARIZONA is 8-31 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 31-10 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on the Texas Rangers |
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09-07-21 | Rays +102 v. Red Sox | 12-7 | Win | 102 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
 TB is running hot and yesterday they came back from a 6 run deficit at. one point to win a 11-10 battle. BOSTON is 10-17against the money line in home games after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. TB looked a like a team possessed yesterday and Im betting they continue their aggression into todays tilt against a shell shocked Red Sox team that is reeling at the worst time of the year. TAMPA BAY is 23-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. TAMPA BAY is 21-9 against the money line off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game are 34-16 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on the TB Rays to win |
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09-07-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
NYY starter Cole and Blue Jays expected starter today Matz have both been in top form during the last month of this campaign. Since the start of August, these stud hurlers have combined for a 1.57 ERA in 57 1/3 innings of top tier work with a total of 8 runs crossing the plate . Cole has garnered a minuscule 0.73 ERA in his L/4 trips to the hill, Meanwhile, Matz has garnered 1.65 ERA and allowed just two runs or less in his L/6 starts. I know both these sides can realy rev up their offences but today Im betting on the a pitchers duel and enough bullpen support to keep this tilt on the low side of the total. NY YANKEES are 9-1 UNDER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage of .440 or better in the second half of the season this season. TORONTO is 24-11 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasonsTORONTO is 19-9 UNDER in road games against division opponents this season.TORONTO is 26-16 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Under is 10-2 in Blue Jays last 12 games as an underdog. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in New York. Play on the UNDER |
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09-07-21 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -198 | 5-1 | Loss | -198 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The blue Jays blew out the Yanks yesterday by a 8-0 count and now the Yankees will be primed for a bounce back and redemption. NYY starter COLE is 5-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 0.880. MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (NY YANKEES) - after a game without an extra base hit are 57-6 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (NY YANKEES) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 58-10 L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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09-07-21 | Twins v. Indians -136 | 3-0 | Loss | -136 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Civale (10-2, 3.32 ERA) went 3-0 over four June starts and threw 4 2/3 innings of scoreless ball against the Chicago Cubs on June 21. However, three days later he was placed on the injured list due to a sprained right middle finger. He's not been active since, but following a third rehab start last week, hes proclaimed himself 100% healthy and ready to hit the hill with confidence. Meanwhile, his Minnesota pitching opponent John Gant (4-9, 3.98 ERA) has lost 3 straight starts and six consecutive decisions and is fade material in his current form. Indians starter CIVALE is 12-3 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 26-8 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Twins are 9-21 in their last 30 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.CLEVELAND is 40-13 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. FRANCONA is 111-45 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of CLEVELAND. Play on Cleveland to win |
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09-06-21 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary UNDER 43 | 32-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Both Calgary and Edmonton have proved to have pedestrian offenses so far this season, and for their defenses to be of the top tier variety. The Elks have gone under 3 straight times and Calgary 3 out of 4 games. Non of the Edmonton games have seen a combined average above 43 points and only 1 of the Stamps games have eclipsed this offered total. Calgary has seen an average of 37.2 ppg scored in their 4 trips to the gridiron and Edmonton an average of 38.8 combined ppg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Stampeders last 4 games in Week 5.Under is 6-1 in Stampeders last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 12-4 in Stampeders last 16 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Elks last 4 games overall.Under is 5-1 in Elks last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. .Under is 13-4-1 in Elks last 18 road games.Under is 8-3 in Elks last 11 games as a road underdog.Under is 7-3 in Elks last 10 vs. West EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored. EDMONTON is 7-0 UNDER allowing 275 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER |
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09-06-21 | Giants v. Rockies +134 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Giants starter GAUSMAN is 0-5 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rockies starter FREELAND is 9-1 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 16-53 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rockies to win |
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09-06-21 | Giants v. Rockies UNDER 11 | 10-5 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Colorado starter FREELAND is 9-1 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 12-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 11-1 UNDER  vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) SF starter GAUSMAN is 56-33 UNDER against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record) COLORADO is 31-16 UNDER at home when the total is 11 or higher this season. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 8-1 in Rockies last 9 games as a home underdog.Under is 14-3 in Rockies last 17 games as an underdog.Under is 9-2 in Rockies last 11 vs. National League West. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-5 UNDER in road games after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL), with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) are 44-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-06-21 | Rays +122 v. Red Sox | 11-10 | Win | 122 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
 The Red Sox currently have 11 players on the covid list and Im betting that has them in a uneasy situation as far as team chemistry and energy goes.At 39-17, the Tampa Bay Rays have the best record in baseball since July 1 and must be respected in the underdog role. I know Red Sox starter Chris Sale is 3-0 with a 2.53 ERA since returning from injury, but the Rays are seeing the ball well, and their starter today Yarbrough is a viable pitching option, and is backed the best bullpen in the league. Note: This season TB is a perfect 7-0 on the road as an underdog of +130 or more on the opening line . Im betting that mark stays perfect after todays tilt ends. SALE is 14-21 against the money line in September games in his career. (Team's Record) Play on the TB Rays to win |
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09-05-21 | Notre Dame v. Florida State +7.5 | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 59 h 14 m | Show | |
 Mike Norvell in his 2nd year in Tallahassee Im betting is ready to shine. Yes, I know Florida state has not played great ball the last few seasons, but they are a talented bunch that is uptrending in my futures power rankings.With that said they deserve respect here vs a Notre Dame side returning only 9 starters and 3 on offense with two key contributors from last season gone ie (QB Ian Book /WR Javon McKinley). CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (FLORIDA ST) - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 57-24 ATS L/29 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida State to cover |
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09-05-21 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9 | 8-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Veteran right-hander Zach Davies (6-10, 4.91 ERA)goes to the hill for the Cubs today vs the Pirates. Davies is winless in his past seven starts, going 0-4 along with a bloated 6.82 ERA during that span and Im betting his lopsided ERA stays the same or continues to inflate.In 17 career starts against the Pirates, Davies owns a 4.64 ERA. He has faced Pittsburgh three times this season, and garnered a 5.65 ERA. Meanwhile, the Pirates will fire back with right-hander Wil Crowe (3-7, 5.46). Crowe has gone five starts without a victory and is seeking his first win since July 30 against Philadelphia. My projections and pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest that he will get lit up by the Cubs in this spot and help this score eclipse the total. Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games as a home favorite. Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Chicago. |
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09-05-21 | White Sox -161 v. Royals | 0-6 | Loss | -161 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
White Sox starter CEASE is 15-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record) CEASE is 3-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.68 and a WHIP of 1.168 and 3-0 in his L/3 vs the Royals. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 6-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win |
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09-05-21 | Phillies v. Marlins -114 | 4-3 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
The Phillies' two biggest offensive weapons ... Bryce Harper and r Marlin J.T. Realmuto have suddenly gone silent after a explosive run . Harper is just 1-for-8 with a single. Realmuto is 2-for-8 with two singles, and neither player has scored a run or recorded and RBI. Today vs a solid right-hander Elieser Hernandez (1-1, 3.62 ERA) more offensive ineptness will be on todays agenda. Note:Hernandez is 3-0 with a 3.93 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) versus the Phillies and gets my support in the underdog role here in this spot play.  Phillies are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Miami. PHILADELPHIA is 1-7 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an slugging percentage .390 or worse in the second half of the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this seaso MIAMI is 8-1 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Miami Marlins to win |
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09-04-21 | White Sox v. Royals +138 | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Lefty Daniel Lynch (4-3, 4.47 ERA), one of the most promising of Kansas City's youthful starters, will get the ball against right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (3-1, 1.54). Royals starter LYNCH is 6-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) LYNCH is 6-1 against the money line in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) Since returning from the minors July 25, LYNCH has been exceptional: going 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven starts. The Royals won six of those games. KANSAS CITY is 14-7 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season.Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. White Sox manager  La Russa has the advantage of a 9 1/2-game cushion in the AL Central standings and is not playing his team hard right now, as they all but have this thing wrapped up and staying healthy and strong, is more important right now, which gives the Royals who won the first game of this series, an edge in my humble opinion on a value line. Play on KC Royals to win |
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09-04-21 | Syracuse v. Ohio +2 | 29-9 | Loss | -113 | 35 h 27 m | Show | |
Dino Babers is way down on my list for coaches. Talent meets preparation, and Babers fails on that examination front, as is evident by his teams inconsistencies during his tenor at Syracuse which includes a 1-10 record last season. Meanwhile, Ohio despite of being without retired HC Solich , still has he assistant and now head guy Tim Albin at the helm and will keep the system his predecessor honed the intact. Last year ,Ohio averaged 216.7 yards rushing per game behind RB De'Montre Tuggle l who averaged 7.6 yards per carry, 134.3 per game, including 7 TDs. Stopping the run was an issue for the Orange last season  allowing an average of 32.7 points per game and a whopping 209.2 rushing yards per game last season. Ohio is 46-34 ATS L/80 as an underdog. Play on Ohio. to cover |
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09-04-21 | Indiana +4 v. Iowa | 6-34 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 27 m | Show | |
In a game I have pegged as. a single score game taking points with what my projections estimate is the better side is deemed a viable wager .Indiana is off a strong season under fifth-year coach Tom Allen, finishing with a 6-2 SU record  The Hoosiers are ranked in the preseason Top 25 for the first time since 1969 and must be respected. Hoosiers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Ferentz is 22-33 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 as the coach of IOWA. Play on Indiana to cover |
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