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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-23-23 | Mariners v. Orioles -110 | 13-1 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Os starter GIBSON is 10-1 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Seattles starter GILBERT is 3-8 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) Mariners are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter like Gibson.Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League East.Mariners are 4-12 in their last 16 road games. Value resides with the Orioles at home. ( The Orioles are 22-13 at home this season, with a a .629 winning percentage that ranks them third in the American League as hosts) SEATTLE is 16-28 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 56-29 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Baltimore to win |
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06-22-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -115 | 10-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
New York opened this series with Seattle with a 3-1 victory on Tuesday and followed it up with a 4-2 win on Wednesday and Im betting the Yanks turn the trick again behind the arm of German. The Yanks starter faces a struggling offense that has scored three runs and eight hits in the first two games of this series.German is 3-0 with a 4.22 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Mariners. Meanwhile, the Mariners will reply with rookie hurler Bryan Woo (0-1, 7.30 ERA) who makes his fourth career start . I know the Yankees offense since A. Judge went down has been less than amazing, but this kid will still have his hands full in this intimidating venue. Mariners are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter like NYY D.German. Mariners are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.Mariners are 6-21 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.Yankees are 41-15 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Mariners are 4-14 in the last 18 meetings in New York.Mariners are 15-38 in the last 53 meetings. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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06-22-23 | Red Sox +140 v. Twins | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Minnesota sends suddenly struggling right-hander Joe Ryan (7-4, 3.30 ERA) to the hill . Ryan allowed a season-high six runs over seven innings in a 7-1 loss to the Detroit Tigers on Friday.Ryan, after a solid start this campaign has allowed 16 runs over his last four outings covering 23 2/3 innings (6.08 ERA) and is now being over rated on this line offering giving us value with the visiting BoSox. Minnesota ended a winning streak yesterday with a extra inning victory, but that momentum Im betting will be short lives vs a Red Sox team that outscored opponents 50-18 during its win streak, Boston went 3-for-15 with runners in scoring position during the Wednesday loss and immediate bounce back is the call.Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter like Ryan.Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Twins are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a win. Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.Twins are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 4 of a series. Red Sox are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Boston Red Sox to win |
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06-22-23 | Braves -105 v. Phillies | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
 Bryce Elder (5-1, 2.60 ERA) will start on Thursday vs Phillies , and Im betting the fireballer gives the Braves who are on a 8 game winning streak a solid chance at victory here vs Nola and the Phillies. The Braves have a lot of momentum on this sides, and after yesterdays cancelled  game will be rested and primed to resume their winning ways.Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like Nola.  Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League East. Braves are 41-14 in their last 55 during game 2 of a series.Braves are 37-14 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 42-16 in their last 58 vs. National League East. Play on Atlanta to win |
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06-21-23 | Mariners v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
 The New York pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average this season, and Im projecting and betting on their starter today staying within those data parameters. Meanwhile, Seattle starting hurler Luis Castillo, has allowed just six earned runs in his last five starts (30.2 IP) and matches up well here vs a NYY batting order playing without super star A Judge. Im betting on both throwers going long and strong and for the capable bullpens to help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered total. Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 overall. Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 games following a win.Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 2 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games.Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 44-21-5 in the last 70 meetings.Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in New York. Play under |
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06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers +135 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Gallen (8-2, 2.96 ERA) will be opposed by right-hander Julio Teheran (2-2, 1.78). I know Gallens numbers look very viable but he has over achieved and is due for regression. stat cast projects his true ERA at (3.84 xERA) Note: Gallen  is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts at Milwaukee in his career. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Teheran is 4-1 with a 2.98 ERA in 11 career starts against the Diamondbacks and has pitched well since returning from the minors. The Brewers have won 14 of the past 17 meetings with Arizona in Milwaukee and get the nod again on a value line. Diamondbacks are 42-87 in their last 129 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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06-21-23 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Baltimores starter Wells (6-2, 3.20 ERA), goes to the hill Wednesday vs the Tampa Bay Rays ., Wells has become and elite team leader in four important stats that demonstrate his rotational value. ERA, strikeouts (82) and opposing batting average (.183) are the best Baltimore's starting rotation, while his WHIP (0.86) leads MLB. Meanwhile, TB will send fire baller, Bradley to the mound  His 13.19 K/9 rate ranks second in the league among starting hurlers. He has struck out over 34% of the batters he has gone against and is coming off an 11 strikeout outing . I know these strong pitchers, will go against solid offenses, but Im betting their young arms go long and strong, and for both bullpens to pick up any slack in what my projections estimate will be a lower scoring affair. Under is 11-5-1 in Rays last 17 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 13-6-1 in Rays last 20 overall.  Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play under |
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06-21-23 | Blue Jays -128 v. Marlins | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Gausman has won his past four decisions and he hasn't lost since May 4 and enters this game with momentum.In seven appearances, including six starts, he is 3-1 with a 1.53 ERA.vs Miami and when visiting south Florida  Gausman is 1-0 with a 1.04 ERA in three appearances (two starts). Gausman has pitched better than Miamis star hurler  Alcantara and gets my support today.Marlins are 35-72 in their last 107 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Marlins are 20-41 in their last 61 inter-league home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 35-16 in their last 51 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter like Alcantara. .Blue Jays are 39-18 in their last 57 inter-league games. Blue Jays are 23-9 in their last 32 vs. National League East. Blue Jays are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Blue Jays to win |
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06-20-23 | Sun v. Storm +8.5 | 85-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-20-23 | Padres +100 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
SF starter DeSclafani is off a win last time out , but he lasted just three innings, allowing five runs in. a 8-5 victory vs . He has been beaten up for 13 runs (12 earned) over just 12 innings in his three June starts and is fade material, even though the Giants are on a 8 game win streak. Remember all winning and losing streaks eventually come to an end.Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss.( They lost yesterday in extra innings)Padres are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Francisco. Play on San Diego to win |
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06-20-23 | Diamondbacks +106 v. Brewers | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizonas starter Nelson, , is 1-0 with a 0.53 ERA in his past three road starts, having allowed just one run in 17 innings and gets the nod here today vs the inconsistent Milwaukee Brewers.The Diamondbacks, have won three of four this season vs. the Brewers, and have won six consecutive road games. Momentum gives the edge to the Dbacks. Diamondbacks are also 18-6 in their last 24 road games.Brewers are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League West. Play on the Arizona Dbacks to win |
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06-20-23 | Mariners v. Yankees -122 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Yankees right-hander Gerrit Cole (7-1, 2.75 ERA), has allowed two runs or less in 12 of his 15 starts this season and gives the Yankees a solid opportunity for a victory here tonight against Seattle. The Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Mariners are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in New York.Mariners are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings. Play on the NYY to win |
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06-20-23 | Blue Jays +105 v. Marlins | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Toronto will send Yusei Kikuchi (6-2, 4.31). The left-hander, who has never faced Miami, went 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA in April and deserves respect here as an underdog. I know the Blue Jays have lost three straight and four of five, but will be very primed for a bounce back here in this spot play. Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Blue Jays are 11-2 in their last 13 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. Marlins are 15-39 in their last 54 vs. American League East.Marlins are 8-17 in their last 25 inter-league home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.Blue Jays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Blue Jays to win |
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06-20-23 | Braves -144 v. Phillies | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Spencer Strider (7-2, 4.12 ERA) gets the start for the Braves.Strider has been effective against the Phillies in his career, going 5-0 with a 1.65 ERA in five games with four starts and gets the nod here again today.The Braves enter this game in Philadelphia on a six-game winning streak, highlighted by a four-game home sweep over the Colorado Rockies and enter this game in top form, and according to my power rankings matchup well here against another hot side.Braves are also 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Suarez.Braves are 40-18 in their last 58 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League East. Play on Atlanta to win |
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06-19-23 | Padres -108 v. Giants | 4-7 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Both these sides are playing very good baseball at this time, but the Padres stand out as the superior side, based on their ability to hold down opposing offenses with top tier pitching--- both from their starters and bullpen. Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres Walker. Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Walker. Giants are 9-23 in their last 32 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days which is the case here today after playing the Dodgers and Cards. Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wacha and are are 19-46 in their last 65 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Wacha. Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 home games Padres are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.Padres are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in San Francisco. Play on the Padres to win |
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06-19-23 | Red Sox +117 v. Twins | 9-3 | Win | 117 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
With LHP pitcher James Paxton healthy the Bosox are a dangerous side.Paxton goes for his  fourth consecutive top tier start when he takes to the hill in the opener of a four-game series against the Minnesota Twins on Monday night in Minneapolis. Paxton (2-1, 3.09 ERA) allowed just one unearned run in six innings in his most recent outing and Im betting continues his upward momentum.Paxton has made six starts against the Twins in his career and is 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA and gets the nod today on. a value line. Quote:"We feel really confident whenever Paxton is taking the bump right now," Red Sox outfielder Rob Refsnyder said. "He's got pretty special stuff, as you see. A high 90s fastball, kind of just bearing in. He gives us ace-caliber stuff." End Quote. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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06-19-23 | Cardinals v. Nationals +132 | 8-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Todays pitching matchup features St. Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (3-5, 4.64 ERA) against Washington right-hander Josiah Gray (4-5, 3.19). These pitchers according to my power rankings are pretty evenly matched and both batting orders are also fairly even in most of key data points. Thus the line does not match what my own numbers suggest should be near even, with the subsequent home field advantage giving us an edge with the underdog. Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. Play on the Nationals to win |
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06-18-23 | White Sox v. Mariners -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 131 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Lynn, is in. a big time funk as is evident by having allowed 17 earned runs over his last three starts spanning (14 innings), and overall has have a very disappointing start to his season. He is getting hit hard ,ranking in the 31st percentile in hard-hit rate. Meanwhile, Mariners starter Bryce Miller is projected to have a decent game here vs a White Sox offense that ranks 24th in baseball in runs per game scored. Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Lynn.. White Sox are 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Miller. White Sox are 6-20 in their last 26 during game 3 of a series. Play on Seattle to win |
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06-18-23 | Guardians v. Diamondbacks -104 | 12-3 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Guardians are 1-8 in their last 9 inter-league road games and are 0-7 in their last 7 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter including 0-6 in their last 6 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter. ( Arizona starter Davies is a RHP) Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league games are 5-0 in their last 5 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter like the Guardians Bibee. .Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 inter-league games vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are also 10-1 in their last 11 vs. American League Central. Guardians are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona and nothing changes today. Play on Arizona to win |
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06-18-23 | Dream v. Fever UNDER 162.5 | 100-94 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-18-23 | Orioles v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Sunday’s Wrigley Field weather forecast estimates an average of 8 mph winds blowing from right to left in Chicago. With that kind of wind city action.Im betting the pitchers have the advantage over the hitters, and a game Im projecting to stay under the set total. Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 inter-league home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Os Kremer.. Under is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 Under is 8-0 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like the Cubs Taillon. Under is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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06-18-23 | Mercury v. Liberty -12.5 | 71-89 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-17-23 | Rays -105 v. Padres | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
 Padres starter Blake Snell continues to be a hard luck pitcher, and despite of pitching decently , has lost five of his last seven starts. Meanwhile, the Rays are 10-2 when Eflin starts this season, and the Padres are just 3-10 when Snell takes goes to the mound. Advantage Rays. Padres are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Snell. Rays are also 22-6 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter. Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.Rays are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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06-17-23 | Reds +114 v. Astros | 10-3 | Win | 114 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Cincinnati starter Greene,  is 1-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 38 strikeouts over his past four starts and 24 1/3 innings and is a viable underdog pitcher to back in this spot play in Houston today. It must be noted that the Astros have dropped seven of 10 games since they were last 12 games over .500, and in their current form are fade material. Meanwhile, the Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 overall and are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter like Houstons starter Bielak. Reds are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings.Reds are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Houston. Cincinnati Reds to win |
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06-17-23 | White Sox +138 v. Mariners | 4-3 | Win | 138 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
White Sox starter  Giolito has pitched well lately and over  his last 13 innings of work, has only surrendered one run on a solo homer and Im betting on his momentum carrying into this tilt vs the Mariners.Note: Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter like White Sox starter Giolito. White Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.White Sox are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the White Sox to win |
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06-17-23 | Marlins -148 v. Nationals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Miami's starter Garrett is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA over his last six starts, with 41 strikeouts and seven walks in 32 innings. The Marlins have won five of those games and Im betting he helps them to the promised land again. Meanwhile, the Marlins , go against Nats starter  Irvin. The rookie has allowed eight runs (seven earned) over nine innings in his last two trips to the hill while garnering a 8.41 ERA over his last five starts. He has skipped a start to give him some rest, but the rust Im betting beats the rest here and for the Marlins hitters to roll up on the young man.Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 overall.Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter like Irvin. Marlins are 28-11 in their last 39 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. Marlins are 21-6 in the last 27 meetings and 10-2 L/12 in Washington. Play on Miami to win |
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06-17-23 | Blue Jays v. Rangers +110 | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
, Dunning is 3-1 with a 3.29 ERA with 13 walks to 25 strikeouts as a starter this season and gives his team a good chance at victory in the 2nd game of this series vs the Blue Jays. Texas lost yesterdays tilt so you can bet they will be primed to bounce back. Note: Despite of winning 2-1 yesterday the Jays only managed three hits.Rangers are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Play on Texas to win |
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06-16-23 | Lynx +6 v. Sparks | 77-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-16-23 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-15 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Red Sox starting pitchers have allowed two earned runs or fewer in 19 of the past 26 games and Im betting BoSox starter Houck will carry on with this current tradition of top tier starting pitching into this tilt against the Yankees. Houck is 2-2 with a 2.41 ERA in 33 2/3 innings over 10 appearances (five starts) in his career against the Yankees and has pitched at least five innings in 10 of his 12 starts this season. Meanwhile, the NYY will start Domingo German (4-3, 3.49) . He is off pitching six innings of one-run ball Saturday in what was the Yankees' lone win of the last Boston series. in 13 games (11 starts) against the Red Sox, German is 3-2 along with a stable 3.64 ERA. Note: German has worked at least six innings in his last three trips to the hill while allowing two or fewer runs in six of his last seven. Advantage to the under. Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League East.Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. GERMAN is 22-9 UNDER when working on 5 or 6 days rest in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 43-25 UNDER vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League East. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 54-19 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the |
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06-15-23 | Guardians v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 8-6 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these sides have shown sub par offensive performance charts this season, while their pitching , defense and bullpens are of the top tier variety. Everything points to this type of data inputing into this tilt and for the combined score to stay on the low side of the offered total. Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 vs. National League West.Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 interleague games. Under is 31-13-1 in Guardians last 45 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 23-10 in Guardians last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres Weathers .Under is 34-15-2 in Guardians last 51 overall. Under is 13-3 in Guardians last 16 during game 3 of a series. CLEVELAND is 19-9 UNDER vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored in those 28 games. Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Guardians Allen. Under is 11-3 in Padres last 14 during game 3 of a series. SAN DIEGO is 8-0 UNDER after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season with a combined average of 5.6 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 8-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 13-3 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO/ CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%), playing on Thursday are 104-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego. Play under |
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06-15-23 | Nationals +188 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 188 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
WASHINGTON is 5-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% over the last 3 season like Houstons starter Javier.WASHINGTON is 11-5 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. JAVIER is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 17.17 and a WHIP of 2.997.  I know the Astros are playing for the sweep here, but the Nats have an uncanny way of coming to life vs top tier pitching, and offer value on this moneyline offering in a spot play situation. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Nationals are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter like Javier. HOUSTON is 6-10 against the money line in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Nationals are 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in Houston. Play on Washington to win |
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06-15-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +116 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Phillies right hander Nola (5-5, 4.60 ERA) gave up a season-high six runs in a 9-0 loss to the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday and has been highly inconsistent this season and is fade material here, despite of having a potent offense backing him. Meanwhile, Arizona behind quality starting and bullpen pitching and top tier D, must not be underestimated in the dog role at home today.NOLA is 10-20 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NOLA is 2-9 against the money line against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ARIZONA is 28-16 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. NOLA is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 8.41 and a WHIP of 1.672. PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Play on Arizona to win |
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06-14-23 | Rays v. A's +1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
The Rays after a very fast start to their season, are suffering some regression entering this game, as is evident by having lost 3 of their L/4 including the first two games of this series against a Oakland As side that has now won 7 straight, and on a proverbial opposite trajectory to their opponents after a disturbing start to their current campaign. The As have momentum on thier sides, and it seems all aspects of their game pitching/hitting are all in high gear at this time which Im betting gives us value on this runline offering. Rays are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the As Medina .Rays are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League West. TAMPA BAY is 10-17 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oakland to cover +1.5 runline |
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06-14-23 | Reds -107 v. Royals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 inter-league road games.Reds are 7-2 in their last 9 inter-league games vs. a left-handed starter like the Royals starter Lynch and are currently in top form and deserve respect here as short favs. Note: Reds have won their L/4 road games. Meanwhile, KC has lost 8 straight and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation manifesting itself again. KANSAS CITY is 9-33 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. KANSAS CITY is 9-30 against the money line in night games this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 11-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Reds are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City. Play on Reds to win |
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06-14-23 | Angels +134 v. Rangers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Angels are 8-1 in their last 9 overall and deserve respect here as underdogs in this current form. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West. Meanwhile, the Rangers after a fast start to their current campaign, have looked sub par of late as is evident by losing 5 of their L/ 6 overall and are fade material in this current form.Previous to yesterday game the Rangers in. a 7 game span were hitting just .235 as a team, and Im betting they have not bottomed out yet. TEXAS is 0-6 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% over the last 2 seasons like Detmers. TEXAS is 40-51 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season are 33- 48 L/5 seasons. Angels are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play on LA Angels to win |
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06-14-23 | Sparks v. Wings UNDER 169 | 79-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-13-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +120 | 15-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
Philadelphia right-hander Zack Wheeler (4-4, 3.91 ERA) will start on Tuesday. ARIZONA is 16-6 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like the Phillies starter Wheeler. Note: Wheeler is supported by a bullpen with a 5.25 ERA, and the Dbacks are the kind of team that can make shoddy bullpens pay a high price in later innings. Meanwhile, the Dbacks send  Right-hander Zach Davies (1-1, 4.68 ERA) to the hill. He took down the Washington Nationals in his most recent outing when he gave up two runs, five hits and one walk in 6 2/3 innings while striking out eight in a quality start and has upward momentum entering this tilt. Considering Arizona has won 6 straight they look like viable underdog selections here vs what is a over rated Phillies side, that is just 13-22 on the road this season. Phillies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Diamondbacks are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.Diamondbacks are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 21-7 in their last 28 overall. PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. Phillies are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona.Play on Arizona to win |
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06-13-23 | Rays v. A's +220 | 1-2 | Win | 220 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Oakland has won 6 straight games and with momentum on their sides look very much like viable underdogs here tonight at home vs TB left-hander Jalen Beeks (2-3, 6.12) who is 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA in three appearances this month, all in relief. By the way this a As group playing with a chip on their shoulders, as the pundits smash them on a regular basis for being so darn bad. Well the Bad news As get the nod again on a value line. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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06-13-23 | Pirates +115 v. Cubs | 3-11 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Cubs starter  Jameson Taillon (1-4, 7.02 ERA) on the season and is 0-2 with an 8.27 ERA in four home starts and in his current form is fade material. After opening 11-6, Chicago is 17-31 and has averaged 2.5 runs in the last 13 contest and no way shape or form deserve to favs , even here at home in Wrigley at this time . PITTSBURGH is 16-6 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.PITTSBURGH is 10-4 against the money line against division opponents this season. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or more over his last 5 starts, cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games are 43-67 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pirates to win |
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06-13-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 161 | 35 h 0 m | Show | |
Florida looked like they were completely out of gas last time out, and may of used their last bit of energy in a comeback attempt in game 4 as they were down 3-0 before a couple of what Ill call fortunate goals got them to the point of possibly pulling off mild miracle. Now exhausted and an emotional letdown state after a great play off run, Im betting their coming into this game on empty. Not a good scenario for them, against a Vegas Knights team that will play like wild men in attempt to hoist Lord Stanleys Cup over their heads.VEGAS is 7-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA when playing in Vegas lifetime. Play on Las Vegas to win -1.5 puckline |
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06-13-23 | Dream +10.5 v. Liberty | 86-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating back 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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06-12-23 | Marlins +112 v. Mariners | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
Marlins left-hander Jesus Luzardo (5-4, 3.79 ERA) is expected to start against Mariners rookie righty Bryce Miller (3-3. 4.46) on Monday night. Luzardo, who is 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) against the Mariners, and is off a quality start last time out against Kansas City. He allowed one run on two hits in seven innings of top tier work, with no walks and eight strikeouts, in a 6-1 win. With momentum on his side, against a Seattle offense in a funk he gives his team the edge Miamis starter LUZARDO is also 8-0 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) MIAMI is 12-2 (against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season.MIAMI is 14-3 against the money line in an inter-league game this season.MIAMI is 13-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. SEATTLE is 8-13 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. SEATTLE is 18-26 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season MLB team (MIAMI) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings are 29-10 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 30 m | Show | |
Its obvious the Miami Heat are in full regression mode, after a great play off run. Truth is the Heat were a very average team during this campaign, while their opponents the Nuggets have been for the most part very consistent and a top tier group all season long. This particular matchup has proven to me that the Nuggets are the superior side at both ends of the court, and the game 2 hiccup the Nuggets suffered was basically a rust issue after a long lay off leading into these Finals. Now the fresher of both sides, and the more talented side will Im betting get the job, done here at home in front of what will be a lively crowd with the NBA championship on the line.  DENVER is 22-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.Malone is 30-14 ATS after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games as the coach of DENVER. Nuggets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. MIAMI is 19-31 ATS after playing a home game this season. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 14-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.  Denver to cover |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 208.5 | 89-94 | Loss | -114 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Im betting Miami comes out here ready to leave everything on the floor in last ditch effort to stave off elimination and that alone will elevate their expected point total. Meanwhile the capable Nuggets playing on their own home floor with championship aspirations just a victory away will reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in a game I have pegged to eclipse this total. MIAMI in their L/35 games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 223.3 ppg scored.  NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 26-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MIAMI) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play over |
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06-12-23 | Rockies +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-3 | Win | 115 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Im betting the Rockies will catch the Red Sox in an emotional letdown spot after a come from behind victory last night in extra innings against arch rivals the NYY. BOSTON is 1-8 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game this season. Both these hurlers Seabold and Paxton have pitched decently of late and both have seen their L/2 trips to the mound decided by 1 run and with that said, I expect a closer game than the line might indicate. Since we are getting +1.5 runs here on plus money, Im feeling confident about the viability of this wager. Red Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter like Seabold. Play on Colorado on the +1.5 runline |
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06-11-23 | Red Sox v. Yankees -117 | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Right-hander Brayan Bello (3-4, 3.97 ERA)takes a three-game losing streak Sunday night against the NY Yankees and Im betting his streak will continue on the negative side.Bostons starter BELLO is 0-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Bello lost both of his starts against the Yankees in 2022 He allowed three unearned runs in five innings of a 5-3 loss at Boston on Sept. 14 and allowed an earned run in six innings of a rain-shortened 2-0 loss in New York on Sept. 25 and seems to be one of those pitchers that lacks run support from his offense on a consistent basis and is fade material. Yankees are 40-14 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 during game 3 of a series.Yankees are 54-25 in their last 79 vs. a team with a losing record.Yankees are 61-29 in their last 90 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. BOSTON is 41-68 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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06-11-23 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 8.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Bostons Bello is 0-3 with a respectable 3.18 ERA in his L/3 starts and is consistently seeing a lack of run support.Bello has allowed three runs or less in his past eight outings.Bello lost both of his starts against the Yankees in 2022 but he allowed just three unearned runs in five innings of a 5-3 loss at Boston on Sept. 14 and allowed an earned run in six innings of a rain-shortened 2-0 loss in New York on Sept. 25. Meanwhile, Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt (2-6, 4.96), who despite of being winless in his past three starts,  owns a 2.16 ERA during that span and also suffers from run support.Schmidt last pitched in Tuesday's 3-2 home defeat to the Chicago White Sox when he allowed three runs and six hits in six innings . The righty has also allowed just 1 homer, in his L/5 starts which makes him a viable candidate to keep the Red Sox offense at bay. Considering both hurlers lack of run support and viable pitching abilities it becomes obvious to me a lower scoring game that fails to eclipse this number makes for a viable wagering opportunity. SCHMIDT is 9-1 UNDER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record ) with a combined average of 5.8 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Sunday games.Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 overall.Under is 6-2 in Red Sox last 8 on grass.Under is 9-3 in Red Sox last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 11-4 in Red Sox last 15 road games.Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games following a win. Play under |
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06-11-23 | Rangers +171 v. Rays | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rangers starting pitcher PEREZ is 22-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 8-1 against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PEREZ is 10-1 against the money line in road games after giving up no earned runs last outing in his career. (Team's Record) Perez won both of his starts vs. the Rays last season-  pitching seven scoreless innings with five strikeouts in a 3-0 home win on May 31, and then allowed three runs on nine hits with three strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings in a 4-3 road victory on Sept. 16. TEXAS is 9-2 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season like the Rays starter Mcclanahan. The Rays hurler is a top tier pitcher, but the Rangers have annihilated LHP this season averaging 7.2 rpg via a .294 BA. Rangers are also 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. TEXAS is 13-4 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TAMPA BAY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL), averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game on the season are 15-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to win |
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06-11-23 | Twins +183 v. Blue Jays | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays' scheduled starter is right-hander Kevin Gausman (5-3, 2.63). In 10 career starts against Minnesota, he is 1-4 with a 5.88 ERA, After losing the first two games of this series, the consensus is that Toronto will bounce back here, but Im going the other way in true contrarian fashion. It must be noted that the Twins have won 12 of their past 15 games in Toronto and are being disrespected here on this line. I know Gausman had a tremendous outing last time out against Houston recording 13 SO in a victory, but now Im betting on immediate regression in an emotional and physical letdown situation. GAUSMAN is 3-7 against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GAUSMAN is 12-21 against the money line against AL Central opponents in his career. (Team's Record) SCHNEIDER is 17-23 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of TORONTO. Play on Minnesota to win |
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06-11-23 | Mets v. Pirates -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
In the series finale, New York right-hander Carlos Carrasco (2-2, 5.94 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (7-2, 3.60 ERA). The pitching advantage goes to the Pirates and their bullpen is stable enough to clean things up when need be. I know Keller has been roughed up in his l/2 starts but hes a viable pitcher and a bounce back is a favorable option. Meanwhile, Corrasco seems to be on the downside of his career as his SO ratio is way down this season, (10% below his career average). PITTSBURGH is 17-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. Pirates are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 overall. NY METS are 2-11 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. National League Central.Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 overall. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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06-10-23 | Golden Knights +102 v. Panthers | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
The Panthers were fortunate to eek out a win in game 3 of this series, in OT. Watching this series and using my own power rankings adjusted data is obvious to me the Knights are the superior side.It must noted Florida has  scored two regulation goals or less in nine of their last 10 games and are lucky to have lasted this long into the play offs, despite of a lackluster season that saw them just sneak into the post season after a mediocre campaign. Now with key cogs Matthew Tkachuk and Brandon Montour banged up things should become even more difficult for the Panthers. Advantage Knights. VEGAS is 30-12 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season. Golden Knights are 12-2 in their last 14 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Golden Knights are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Golden Knights are 15-5 in their last 20 vs. Atlantic.Golden Knights are 27-10 in their last 37 vs. a team with a winning record.Golden Knights are 15-6 in their last 21 road games. Play on Vegas to win |
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06-10-23 | Red Sox v. Yankees -116 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Boston has lost 8 of their L/11 and look to be adding to that negative column tonight against Yankees starter German who has seen his team win his L/3 starts. Meanwhile Boston's Tanner Houck (3-5, 5.46 ERA) will bring a seven-game winless skid into Saturdays action. Im betting his current negative run continues even though he will not have to face the injured Aaron Judge. Red Sox are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.Red Sox are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games are 172-114 L/26 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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06-10-23 | Astros +120 v. Guardians | 6-4 | Win | 120 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Astros right-hander J.P. France (1-1, 3.44 ERA) goes to the hill on Saturday. The rookie received a no-decision after allowing three hits over seven innings of one-run ball against the Los Angeles Angels this past Sunday. He had a no-hitter for the first 5 1/3 innings of that tilt and enters this game with momentum making the Astros a viable underdog.France owns a 29-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first six career starts spanning 34 innings and is a under rated hurler at his time.HOUSTON is 40-26 (against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland has won three straight, while Houston has dropped a season-high four consecutive games, but it will be the desperation of a hard working Houston group that will the difference maker tonight.
Play on the Astros to win |
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06-10-23 | Astros v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 6-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Astros starting hurler France owns a 29-to-9 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first six career starts covering 34 innings and will Im betting make life difficult on the Cleveland Guardians batting order. Cleveland will fire back with right-hander Triston McKenzie (0-0, 0.00), who is off a successful season debut. He returned after being out with a  major muscle strain and allowed just one hit and one walk while striking out 10 over five scoreless innings against the Minnesota Twins on Sunday. He still not 100% but his bullpen should at least help keep the Astros bats to minimal production as compared to out expectations. After yesterdays 10-9 victory by the Guardians in extra innings Im betting on immediate offensive regression. Under is 10-1 in Astros last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 9-4 in Astros last 13 during game 2 of a series.Under is 11-5 in Astros last 16 road games. Under is 25-8-1 in Guardians last 34 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 20-7 in Guardians last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 22-8 in Guardians last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 29-11-1 in Guardians last 41 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 5-2 in Guardians last 7 Saturday games.Under is 43-18-1 in Guardians last 62 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 7.1 rpg. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Play under |
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06-10-23 | Padres v. Rockies +119 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
San Diego beat Colorado 9-6 on Friday in the opener of a three-game series at Denver, but that has not been a good omen in the past for the Fathers as they have lost 5 of 6 after a victory. Padres starter WEATHERS is 0-7 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)COLORADO is 9-3 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Weathers. Weathers is 0-1 with a 9.69 ERA in his four career appearances (three starts) against the Rockies, all of which came in his rookie year of 2021. More pain to come here today is my bet. The Rockies stater FREELAND is 34-16  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 41-23 against the money line in day games in his career. (Team's Record) note: Freeland, who will face the Padres for the second time this season threw six scoreless innings in the second game of the season to get the victory. Play on Colorado to win SAN DIEGO is 3-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons.Padres are 17-35 in their last 52 road games with the total set at 11 or higher.Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. |
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06-09-23 | Cubs +105 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Stroman is on a tear right now winning his L/3 games while posting a minuscule 0.78 ERA. In his current form he gives the Cubbies a strong chance of victory tonight in SF. SAN FRANCISCO is 15-35 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Stroman whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. Giants are 17-45 in their last 62 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
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06-09-23 | Mystics v. Storm +12.5 | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
06-09-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Heat | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
The Nuggets after a long lay off had a rust vs rest situation manifest positively for them in game 1 against a tired group of the Heat. However, in game 2 you could see the Nuggets looked less than cohesive despite of entering the 4th quarter of that tilt up by 8 points before completely falling apart in the 4th quarter for their first loss at home in these play offs. Then came game 3 where the rust was completely off as the Nuggets dominated a Heat side that is now suffering regression after a strong play off run.  Still the fresher of both sides and according to my power rankings the superior side , the Nuggets get the nod again as road favs in game 4. From a overall SRS perspective Denver is the superior side. Note: Denver ranks 6th in the league with a +3.04 mark while Miami ranks 19th with a -0.13 mark. So according to this SIMPLE RATING SYSTEM -a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average the Nuggets are the true favs even with home court advantage taken into consideration. the lines-makers have it right, and with that said, Im also on the Nuggets to pull a game 4 victory out and grab the cover in the process.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season. DENVER is 29-12 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 14-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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06-09-23 | Astros -118 v. Guardians | 9-10 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Houstons offense has done their best work vs lLHP this season as is evident by averaging 5.5 rpg on a .276 BA and and should one again fair well vs Cleveland's southpaw hurler Allen. Also my pitcher vs power rankings suggest Christian Javier the Astros starter has the edge here, as is evident by a solid 2.84 overall ERA and a recent 1.59 ERA in his L/3 starts all victories. Both sides, have solid bullpens, but the difference maker comes on offense, where Cleveland owns a ugly .233 BA at home where they average just 3.1 rpg. Guardians are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.  HOUSTON is 30-15 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like Allen. Astros are 40-11 in their last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter like Allen. Astros are 36-17 in their last 53 road games.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Astros are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.Astros are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.Play on Houston to win |
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06-09-23 | Twins v. Blue Jays -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
The Twins have lost 5 straight and are fade material in their current form.Â
Jays lefty starter KIKUCHI is 17-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Minnesota has struggled against LHP this season averaging just 3.5 rpg via a nasty looking .224 BA and are a disadvantage tonight that has won 7 of their L/8 games overall while allowing 2 runs or less in 6 of those tilts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 8-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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06-08-23 | Cubs +117 v. Angels | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Angels left-hander Reid Detmers (0-5, 5.15 ERA) will make his 11th start of the season on Thursday and is fade material in his current form. I know he has a decent bullpen behind him, but he is the type of hurler that can implode and put his team in the hole quickly. DETMERS is 7-16 ( against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 inter-league games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, Cubs   left-hander Drew Smyly (5-3, 3.56 ERA) goes to the hill for the Cubs. SMYLY is 49-33 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 in his career. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 21-13 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 1-13 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons like Smyly. Note:Angels outfielder Hunter Renfroe will miss this game as he is off with paternity leave. Cubs are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Cubs are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Cubs to win |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights +110 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 51 m | Show | |
The Golden Knights are looking very cohesive entering this game and according to my current power rankings matchup very well vs the Florida Panthers as was evident in the first two lopsided wins for the Knights in game 1 and 2 of this series. You have to remember that this Panthers team barely snuck into the play offs after a sub par season and after a great run may now be going into regression mode that brings them back to the mean average. I know the Panthers are playing at home and in desperation mode, but my money rides with what is now a very confident group of Vegas Knights.FLORIDA is 1-5 ATS in home games after allowing 6 goals or more this season which was the case last time out in a 7-2 loss) .Golden Knights are 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Golden Knights are 40-19 in their last 59 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Golden Knights to win |
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06-08-23 | Aces v. Sun UNDER 169.5 | 77-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under |
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06-08-23 | Giants v. Rockies +166 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Chase Anderson owns a stingy 1.72 ERA at home in Coors Field this season, and is a viable underdog hurler to back here today . Meanwhile, Giants starting pitcher COBB is 2-8  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Giants are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League West.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Rockies are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Play on Colorado to win |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets -2 v. Heat | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 40 h 34 m | Show | |
The Nuggets after a long lay off had a rust vs rest situation manifest positively for them in game 1 against a tired group of the Heat. However, in game 2 you could see the Nuggets looked less than cohesive despite of entering the 4th quarter of that tilt up by 8 points before completely falling apart in the 4th quarter for their first loss at home in these play offs. Now with this being their 3rd game off extended rest, Im betting we will see the Nuggets at their optimal setting, and with the added incentive of a bounce back performance look like very viable short favs on the road today according to my overall power rankings. From a overall SRS perspective Denver is the superior side. Note: Denver ranks 6th in the league with a +3.04 mark while Miami ranks 19th with a -0.34 mark. So according to this SIMPLE RATING SYSTEM -a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average the Nuggets are the true favs even with home court advantage taken into consideration. the lines-makers have it right, and with that said, Im also on the Nuggets to pull a game 3 victory out. NBA  team (DENVER) - off a close home loss by 3 points or less against opponent off a road win by 3 points or less are 28-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. ( Miami won 111-108) NBA Favorites (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 44-12 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. NBA Road favorites (DENVER) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 29-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Denver has won and covered their L/3 most recent visits to Miami. Play on Denver Nuggets to win/cover |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat OVER 214.5 | 109-94 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
When these teams played here in Miami back in Feb the Nuggets won 112-108 and my current line and total projections estimate a number closer to 219/220 giving us 3 full possession value with an over wager. I know the Heat will continue to be physical and try disrupt the Nuggets flow . However, with time to adjust and shake off some rust Im betting the Nuggets come out here in very aggressive fashion and force the Heat to reciprocate with some fire works of their own or be blown off the court, which will translate into a higher score than the lines-makers anticipate. DENVER is 18-7 OVER  off a home loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.9 ppg scored.  Malone is 15-5 OVER off a close home loss by 3 points or less as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 224 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. MIAMI is 20-11 OVER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. Over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 11-4 in Heat last 15 home games.Over is 19-7 in Heat last 26 games following a straight up win.Over is 13-5 in Heat last 18 games following a ATS win.Over is 20-8 in Heat last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 118-74 OVER L/27 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 226-158 OVER L/27 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play over |
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06-07-23 | Dodgers v. Reds +150 | 6-8 | Win | 150 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
The Dodgers pitching staff is not as strong it has been in recent seasons, and their starter today Noah Syndergaard has not looked as dominating as he did in the past as is evident by his 6.45 ERA and a 9.90 road ERA in 20 innings of sub par work. With that said, their is to much value here to pass up fading Syndergaard in his current form. Note: Dodgers bullpen owns a bloated 5.73 road ERA. CINCINNATI is 21-7 L/28 against the money line at home when the total is 11 or higher. LA DODGERS are 11-19 against the money line vs. good base-running teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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06-07-23 | Twins +130 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
The Rays go with a bullpen game on Monday led by Shawn Armstrong. However, with that said my data and power rankings suggest not only is the Twins starting pitcher Lopez under rated but their bullpen has also proven to be of the top tier variety early on this season as is evident by a solid 3.45 overall ERA. Lopez has won his L/2 starts vs Cleveland and Toronto and gets my support here on a value line.Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Rays are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 2 of a series.Twins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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06-06-23 | Mariners +120 v. Padres | 4-1 | Win | 120 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
Seattles starter GILBERT is 15-4 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 9-1) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). GILBERT is 19-7 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Padres are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Seattles starter Gilbert. Im betting Gilbert has a decent night, vs a   Padres squad that has the seventh-lowest scoring offense in the majors, averaging 4.10 runs per game while rankings) 21st in OPS+ 96. I know the Mariners are not much better, but it must be noted the Padres starter Musgrove,  is just 3-10 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)SEATTLE is 25-10 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons. Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 7-2 in their last 9 games following an off day.Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. SAN DIEGO is 6-12 against the money line in home games in night games this season. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a bad team (38-46%) are 37-13 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners |
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06-06-23 | Mariners v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
I know both these offenses have been less than consistent this season, but my pitcher vs power rankings suggest this Totals line offers value for over bettors based on my projections that suggest runs output to be closer to 8.3 . Seattles starting pitcher GILBERT is 15-4 OVER in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. Padres starting right handed hurler  MUSGROVE is 16-6 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.6 rpg scored. Over is 21-6 in Mariners last 27 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter like Musgrove. SEATTLE is 16-4 OVER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 21-9 OVER after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scored. Over is 15-5-1 in Padres last 21 vs. American League West.Over is 33-15-3 in Padres last 51 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100  or better over his last 10 games are 37-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in San Diego. Play over |
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06-06-23 | Fever v. Sky -6 | 103-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on the Sky to cover |
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06-06-23 | Red Sox +110 v. Guardians | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The Red Sox will send left-hander fire baller James Paxton (1-1, 4.26 ERA) to the hill in the series opener. He allowed one run and struck out eight over five innings in a no-decision against the Cincinnati Reds last week. Paxton had pitched a total of 21 2/3 innings in his previous three seasons due to a number of injuries, but looks now to be back in top form and health. He has allowed two or fewer runs in three of his first four outings this season, while recording 27 strikeouts in 19 innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings matches up well against the light hitting guardians.BOSTON is 18-4 against the money line vs. sub standard power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. Note:Cleveland starting right-hander Shane Bieber (4-3, 3.72 ERA), enters this game in a bit of a funk after allowing seven runs over four innings against the Baltimore Orioles last week.Bieber has recorded a 3-3 record along with a bloated 5.50 ERA in six career tilts (five starts) vs. BoSox and is fade material here today.The Red Sox offense rank top-eight against right-handed pitching. Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.Red Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day. Guardians are 1-11 in their last 12 Tuesday games. Red Sox are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -131 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
After a long lay off the Panthers looked out of sorts in game 1 of this series, and it also looked like that extended rest broke the momentum held by their s goalie Sergei Bobrovsky who was red hot in the post season despite a mediocre reg season, mimicking his teams overall performance that saw them barely squeeze into the playoffs. Note:  Bobrovsky was 24-20-3 in 49 games during the regular season, and his 3.07 GAA ranked him 27th among the 42 NHL goalies who played at least 30 games. Meanwhile,  the Knights net-minder Hill is having an amazing postseason, leading all puck stoppers with a .938 save percentage including eight quality starts in 10 games during the playoffs Vegas is now a team to be reckoned with as was evident in their 5-2 game 1 victory. Note: Florida has never won a Stanley Cup Finals game, that was their 5th straight loss in championship round. Rinse and repeat. Golden Knights are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Golden Knights are 19-7 in their last 26 home games. Golden Knights are 15-4 in their last 19 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game Vegas is 6-0 L/6 vs the Panthers including 3-0 SU at home. Play on Golden Knights to win |
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06-05-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers UNDER 10 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Rangers starter Martin Perez has pitched his best baseball at home this season garnering. a 1. 93 ERA in 18.7 innings of work and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Cards and should once again have. a stable outing . Under is 11-4 in Cardinals last 15 inter-league road games vs. a left-handed starter like Perez.Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 inter-league games.Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 road games. On the flip-side , I know former cy Young award candidate Wainwright (2-1, 6.15 ERA) has yet to complete six innings, and his ERA is nearly double his career mark of 3.41, but hes to talented not see upward momentum, and must be respected to keep the explosive Rangers bats at bay. Under is 5-2 in Rangers last 7 overall. ST LOUIS is 28-15 UNDER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored in this 33 tilts. ST LOUIS is 20-9 UNDER in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 40-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for. a 82% conversion rate. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.Under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play under |
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06-05-23 | Cardinals v. Rangers -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cardinals will be facing Texas left-hander Martin Perez (6-1, 4.43) and despite of not pitching at home in over a month showed he enjoyed being on the hill at home going 3-0 along with a stingy 1.93 ERA. Im betting on home cooking being favorable to him again and for the Rangers to bring home the cash.PEREZ is 15-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)PEREZ is 21-7 against the money line in June games in his career (Team's Record) Cardinals are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League West.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.  Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright.Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Wainwright.Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 20-7 in their last 27 overall. Cardinals are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Texas. Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8 | 111-108 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
The Nuggets are still well rested , while the Heat must still be feeling some exhaustion after their grueling 7 game series, with the Celtics and than immediately leaving for the Rockies to play in the Mile High City. This is never an easy venue to play in and nothing will change tonight for a Heat side, that according to my current power rankings is over matched . Hey Im not knocking the Heat, as they are a talented hard working group, but the physical toll of play off hoops Im betting will take its toll on them vs a very fresh Denver side, that has had one game to get the rust off, and now could easily be even more explosive in game 2 of this series. MIAMI is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest this season. MIAMI is 0-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season.Heat are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Denver is 7-0 SU/ATS L/7 in this series including 4-0 SU/ATS as hosts. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest.Nuggets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 13-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 32-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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06-04-23 | Yankees +136 v. Dodgers | 4-1 | Win | 136 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
NYY starter German is in good form so far this season, garnering a 3-3 record along with a 3.98 ERA in 10 starts. He’s struck out 53 in 54.1 innings . His 0.98 WHIP is of the top tier variety and he must be respected here in LA on a vleu line tonight .GERMAN is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167. I know Miller the young Dodgers right handed hurler, has been strong since coming up from the minors because of rotational  injuries, going 2-0 along with a  1.64 ERA in his first two MLB starts, however, Im betting regression is imminent against an explosive veteran Yankees lineup that could easily make this kid look mortal. Note: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games.Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 34-15 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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06-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Mets -125 | 6-4 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Jays won the first two games of this low scoring series , but Im betting their vaunted but recently struggling offense will have problems today dealing with the ghost forkball a pitch used by Mets right-hander Kodai Senga (5-3, 3.44 ERA) . The pitch has accounted for 39 of the 70 strikeouts Senga has in 10 starts this season, according to information provided by the Mets. NY METS are 36-19 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. SHOWALTER is 29-13 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 as the manager of NY METS. TORONTO is 11-18 against the money line after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs over the last 2 seasons.Â
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 5-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY METS) - after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 37-8 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Mets to win |
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06-04-23 | Rays -115 v. Red Sox | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Rays right-hander Taj Bradley (3-2, 3.60 ERA) will start against the team he opposed in his MLB debut on April 12. He struck out eight in five innings of three-run ball, helping the Rays in their four-game series sweep and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation to manifest itself here today in Fenway. Rays are 13-5 in their last 18 during game 3 of a series.Rays are 39-15 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like BoSox Starter Houck. TAMPA BAY is 37-13 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -123 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Panthers enter this game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals with nine days off . Im betting alot of the momentum they gained during this play off run may well have worn of now , and will be hard thier star goalie Bobrovsky to get back on the flow he had during these play offs. I know Florida has won 7 of 8 road games in the play offs, but 5 of those games went to OT, and they were far from dominating . Meanwhile, Vegas is rested , but not to the extent of Florida and will more easily get into the flow of things here in game 1 on their own home ice where they garnered a 6-3 play off record and a overall 25-15-2 record this season. The key difference maker tonight will be in even man play as Vegas is  averaging 3.42 even-strength goals per 60, ranking No,1 in the post season. Also Vegas netminder, Hill has been playing some of his best hockey of the season as he owns a 5-2 record, a 1.99 GAA and a .941 save percentage in his past seven tilts. VEGAS is 12-5 ATS as a # 1 seed in the playoffs this season.FLORIDA is 13-19 ATS in non-conference games this season. Golden Knights are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. Atlantic.Golden Knights are 18-6 in their last 24 home games.Golden Knights are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Play on Vegas to win |
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06-03-23 | Yankees -115 v. Dodgers | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Yankees starter COLE is 10-0 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record)COLE is 16-3 against the money line in road games in June games in his career. (Team's Record)Cole (6-0, 2.93 ERA) has not lost a game this season in 12 starts and gets the nod again. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will replay with M. Grove (0-1, 8.44 ERA) has been out since April 21 with a strained right groin and fade material until he can get himself back in a regular rotational groove. Note:Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter and are 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague games. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rare for bettors. Play on NYY to win |
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06-03-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates +125 | 3-4 | Win | 125 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
On Saturday, St. Louis left-hander Jordan Montgomery (2-6, 4.48 ERA) and Pittsburgh right-hander Luis L. Ortiz (1-2, 4.35) are expected to start. Montgomery is tied for the team lead with five quality starts but is 0-6 with a 5.03 ERA over his past nine starts and Im betting his luck will continue to be bad here today vs a under rated Pittsburgh side off a win vs the Cards yesterday and playing at home. Cards lefty starter MONTGOMERY is 0-6  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)MONTGOMERY is 1-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 2-9  against the money line in the first half of the season this season. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 2-7  against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Pirates are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. PITTSBURGH is 14-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. ST LOUIS is 7-12  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.MARMOL is 6-17 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on Pittsburgh to win |
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06-03-23 | Rays v. Red Sox -110 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
After an extremely fast start to their season the Rays have finally cooled off as is evident by losing 8 of their L/11 games. Im betting on that regression to continue here today in Fenway vs a Red Sox team averaging 6 rpg at home this season. It must be noted the Boston's starting pitchers have allowed four or fewer earned runs in 12 of the past 14 games . Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Bos sox starter Whitlock. BOSTON is 9-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East. TAMPA BAY is 8-19 against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games and are 11-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate. Play on Boston to win |
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06-02-23 | Orioles +145 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 145 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
Kremer went 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in five May starts, not allowing more than three runs in any of them and gives his team a very good chance at pulling off an underdog win here vs the Giants and their top tier starter Logan Webb tonight. Orioles starter KREMER is 8-0 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 15-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KREMER is 9-2 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BALTIMORE is 12-2  against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 17-22 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start are 43-19 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orioles to win |
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06-02-23 | Yankees +126 v. Dodgers | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
LA dodgers starter Kershaw (6-4, 3.32 ERA) will make his fifth career start against the Yankees. He does not have a win against them despite of a 1.67 ERA over 27 innings. Im betting he does not stay in tune with his previous efforts, as this version of the Yanks batting order own a .870 OPS against Kershaw in 140 plate appearances, With the Yanks sending right-hander Luis Severino (0-0, 1.59), to the hill for his third start of the season after a lat injury Im betting the Yanks have an edge on a value money line offering. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY YANKEES) - allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games are 26-11 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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06-02-23 | Angels +117 v. Astros | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Right-hander Shohei Ohtani (5-1, 2.91 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Angels on Friday. He leads the majors in opponent batting average (.155), ranks second in WHIP (0.95) and fourth in strikeouts (90) and offers value as an underdog vs a defending World Series Champion side that does not look as potent as it has in recent seasons. The Angels after a out control event yesterday, that saw Manager Nevin ejected fro arguing balls and strikes will be primed to for a bounce-back effort after losing 5-2 yesterday. Motivation factor will be key for a Halos victory. HOUSTON is 2-8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Astros starter Valdez. Play on the LAA to win |
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06-02-23 | Aces v. Dream +12.5 | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 27 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 27 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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06-02-23 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
We have two viable pitchers starting for each team (Gray vs Wheeler), but both bullpens are substandard as is their defenses. Its also going to be a hitters environment tonight as the wind is blowing out to center field with  temps  expected in the high 80s. With that said, Im betting this is value Totals offering that needs to be taken advantage of. Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings.Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Washington. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 39-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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06-02-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates +119 | 5-7 | Win | 119 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starter CONTRERAS is 10-4 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CONTRERAS is 9-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 7-20 in their last 27 during game 1 of a series. Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more are 14-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Advantage Pittsburgh Pirates ( play to win) |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets -8.5 | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 39 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - NBA Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 1 The Miami Heat after a dominating game 7 game win and series clincher against the Celtics  will now be in an emotional letdown spot on the road in the high altitudes of the Mile High City. Im betting the combination of a playing a grueling 7 game series, and than taking a long trip from the East to the West will take its toll on the Heat here for game 1 in thin air environment that is never easy for opposing sides to play in. MIAMI is 0-10 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season. Note: In Denver 38 home games this season the average ppg diff clicks in a +10.1 . NBA Favorites (DENVER) - in non-conference games, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog.are 33-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Denver is 6-0 SU /ATS L/3 seasons vs the Heat including 3-0 SU/ATS at home. Play on the Nuggets to cover |
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06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
After a grueling 7 game series vs the Celtics the Heat will be on tired legs here and in an emotional letdown spot, that will have them unable to play a physical style of defensive ball. On the flip side the Nuggets are well rested and healthy and should come out here on fire ready to run and gun.  This combination Im betting will see this Totals offering eclipsed in more wide open game than the lines-makers are expecting. Over is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - after 6 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 38-14 OVER L/27 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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06-01-23 | Sun v. Lynx UNDER 161.5 | 89-84 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
 My WNBA sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more are 196-127 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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06-01-23 | Guardians +125 v. Twins | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee (1-1, 2.88 ERA) on Thursday giving the Guardians a good chance of cashing here as underdogs. Bibee will be opposed by right-hander Pablo Lopez (3-3, 4.11), a hurler that my power rankings suggest the Guardians batting order matches up well against. Note: The Twins are also in an emotional letdown spot after taking 2 of 3 from the defending World Series Champs the Houston Astros. Im betting a motivated group of Guardians that are now 3.5 games behind the Twins will be primed to claw out a win here in this spot play situation. Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win and are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20) (AL), after 2 straight games with no home runs are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Guardians are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.Guardians are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings. Play on the Guardians to win |
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06-01-23 | Rockies +157 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
The Diamondbacks will send Zach Davies (0-1, 5.68 ERA) to the hill to face the Rockies this afternoon. I know the Rockies won the first 3 games of this 4 game series but Im betting they don't get the sweep. This will be Davies 2nd start since coming of the injured list, and he still does not look 100% and is vulnerable .  In four starts vs. Colorado last year, Davies had no decisions and a 4.05 ERA and looked average at best. Also veteran Charlie Blackmon returns from a stint on the bereavement list, and should boost the Rockies sometimes doormat offense giving us an edge with a value based dog. COLORADO is 12-6 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. Play on Colorado to win |
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06-01-23 | Brewers +176 v. Blue Jays | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Neither the Jays or the Brewers have been playing top tier baseball of late. But the one thing that stands out about the Jays sub par performances is a sudden lack of offense more often than one would expect with this type of lineup. For example in yesterdays 4-2 loss the the Brewers the Jays went 1-for-13 with runners in scoring position. With that said, Im betting on the Brewers to win this game in what is a coin flip event. The price does not match the situation or data thus giving us value with the underdog. Jays righty starter GAUSMAN is 3-8  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  GAUSMAN is 1-7  against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 inter-league games vs. a right-handed starter. MILWAUKEE is 20-7 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 inter-league games vs. a team with a winning record. Brewers are 12-5 in their last 17 inter-league road games. The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Brewers starter Peralta. Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Play on the Brewers |
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05-31-23 | Yankees +129 v. Mariners | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
The Yankees are up-trending in top form as is evident by their 5-0 record in their last 5 vs. American League including a 6-0 record in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Seattles starterKirby .Yankees are also 6-0 in their last 6 road games and they get the nod again vs a Seattle side that is  3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East.SEATTLE is 7-12 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 39-58. L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Yankees to win |
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05-31-23 | Rays -128 v. Cubs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Steele started fast this season in top form but has regressed lately going  1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in his last four trips to the hill. Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter like Steele. Rays are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the CHICAGO CUBS are 14-24 against the money line against right-handed starters like Eflin this season.TAMPA BAY is 35-12 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a seriesEFLIN is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.326. STEELE is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 13.48 and a WHIP of 2.247. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) are 15-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays to win |
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05-31-23 | Rangers v. Tigers +125 | 2-3 | Win | 125 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Texas starter Dunning has pitched well this season so far but is do for regression. Note: DUNNING is 0-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.125.DUNNING is 2-12 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 2-14 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 1-10 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DUNNING is 0-7 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Advantage Motown.  MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or worse), with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% are 25-9 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Detroit Tigers to win |
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05-30-23 | Braves -1.5 v. A's | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Braves behind top tier pitcher Elder (3-0, 2.01 ERA) look like viable bets here tonight on the run-line vs a downtrodden As side. The right-hander's ERA ranks third among all qualified major league pitchers. Oakland ended an 11-game losing streak with a 7-2 victory on Monday, giving the A's just their 11th win this season and sixth at home. Im betting on them having immediate regression here today and for the Braves to be primed for a big win in redemption mode. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 inter-league road games vs. a team with a losing record. Braves are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oakland.OAKLAND is 1-19 SU vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with the average run per game diff clicking in at +4 which easily qualifies on this run line offering.OAKLAND is 8-41 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.7. Play on Atlanta Braves -1.5 to win |
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05-30-23 | Yankees +135 v. Mariners | 10-2 | Win | 135 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Yankees left-hander Nestor Cortes (4-2, 5.30 ERA) is scheduled to start Tuesday against Mariners right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-2, 3.60). My power rankings suggest the Yanks have the edge here. Note:Gilbert is 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees. GILBERT is 2-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. American League East. SEATTLE is 12-19 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Yankees are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.Yankees are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Seattle. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SEATTLE) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after allowing 10 runs or more are 11-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Yankees to win |
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