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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-31-18 | Mets +170 v. Nationals | 4-25 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) The Nationals starter Roark  has lost all three of his starts against the Mets this season, with the right-hander allowing 11 runs in 17 innings of sub par work and is fade material here in this spot as a over valued favorite. ROARK is 0-5 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) The Nationals have lost 6 straight on the moneyline with Tanner Roark as a home favorite when they scored more than six runs in his last start.ROARK is 0-6 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Nationals are 0-4 in Roarks last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts vs. National League East.Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Matz from the Mets has allowed six earned runs in 15 innings of three starts against Washington this season. Matz is only 1-3 vs the Nats in his career but has posted a solid 2.64 ERA in seven starts against the Nationals. Mets are 4-1 in Matzs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.WASHINGTON is 4-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -146 | 5-2 | Loss | -146 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R) |
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07-30-18 | Blue Jays v. A's -145 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R) Estrada is set to return after missing the last four weeks with a strained glute and I won't be surprised if he exhibits some rust here in this spot vs the Athletics. Blue Jays are 1-7 in Estradas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 0-4 in Estradas last 4 starts vs. American League West.The Jays did win yesterday, by a 7-4 count, but in the recent past have not done well after garnering a victory as is evident by a 2-7 mark after a win, and when they scored 5 or more runs in a previous game they are a lowly 8-23 so  expecting another negative outcome here tonight in Oakland is likely considering the pitching matchup and overall play both teams over the long haul. Meanwhile, the As lost yesterday, and will now be primed to recover quickly, after also being swept in their previous series vs the red hot Rockies. Athletics are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss. JACKSON the As starter is 15-4  against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season JACKSON is 11-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 23-9  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this .OAKLAND is also 12-2  against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season and is 32-11  against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.OAKLAND is 29-9  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Blue Jays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Rockies +135 v. Cardinals | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-3, 3.57 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-6, 3.39)  Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Martinez, has lost his last two starts, and despite of a 3-1 record vs the Rockies in his career owns a nasty looking 6.35 ERA in 5 starts and 4 relief appearances.  Note:Martinez has allowed nine runs (eight earned) on 13 hits his past couple starts and is not looking like an ace right now, and may also not be 100% healthy. Cardinals are 1-4 in Martinezs last 5 home starts.Cardinals are 1-6 in Martinezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. TYLER ANDERSON is  a perfect 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. COLORADO is 16-4 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.COLORADO is 22-13  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Indians -117 v. Twins | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R Ervin Santana (0-0, 5.40 ERA) is scheduled to make his second start of the season -  - when he goes against the Indians' rookie Shane Bieber (5-2, 4.80 ERA) in a battle of right-handers.  My own  power ranking suggest we have  value with the visiting Tribe and Bieber.Santana is 7-11 with a 3.70 ERA in 25 career starts against the Indians. Bieber is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two career starts against the Twins. Twins are 9-21 in Santanas last 30 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 4-0 in Biebers last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.MINNESOTA is 9-24  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB teams like (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 80-40 L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mariners v. Angels -115 | 8-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. FELIX PENA (R) The Angels have looked explosive offensively of late and have scored 14, 11, 11, 12 runs in 4 of their 7 games, and roughed up the visiting Mariners yesterday by a 11-5 count. The way the Halos are swinging the bats of late, it does not matter who the Mariners send to the hill. Yes, I know Gonzales the Ms starter has been in good form but, Angels center fielder Mike Trout is 7-for-15 in his career against Gonzales, shortstop Andrelton Simmons is 6-for-13, and backup first baseman Jefry Marte is 3-for-10 with two home runs and I'm betting on them continuing to heat up here. Mariners are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 6 straight on the road overall. Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Angels have won 21 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite in the last game of a series when they are off a five-plus run win as a favorite and they are not on a wining streak of more than five games.The Mariners have lost 14 straight on the moneyline  after the All-Star break as a dog in the last game of a series when they are off a game in which their opponent scored first. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Blue Jays v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-4 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) These teams have struggled against LHP starters this season, with the Blue Jays averaging 3.8 rpg via a lowly .234 BA, while the White Sox have averaged 3.6 rpg via a ugly .226 BA vs southpaws. I'm betting their struggles continue today vs two viable hurlers Rodon and Borucki, which help keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. CHI WHITE SOX are 30-14 UNDER after a win by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.8 rpg scored.  WHITE SOX are 25-11 UNDER  after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-1 in Boruckis last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-2 in Rodons last 10 Sunday starts.Under is 4-1 in Rodons last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous gameUnder is 17-8-2 in White Sox last 27 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts during game 3 of series. Play UNDER |
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07-29-18 | Rangers +220 v. Astros | 4-3 | Win | 220 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
The Astros have had their hands full with the Texas Rangers this weekend and lost the first two games of this 3 game series. I know the Astros will be primed to avert a embarrassing sweep at home but I'm betting that won't be an easy proposition vs vs a Rangers teams playing loose. It must also be noted that Astros starter McCullers has struggled of late , permitting 11 runs on 10 hits and 10 walks with only four strikeouts over 8 1/3 innings in consecutive losses . McCullers is also just  1-3 with a 5.72 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers and is far from being a solid pitcher to back in this spot play. Astros are 0-7 in McCullers Jr.s last 7 starts with 6 days of rest.MCCULLERS JR. is 2-9  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 1-6  against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rangers have won 9 in a row as a 170-plus underdog after All-Star break when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher for a loss in which they had at least five hits. MLB team (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 19-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 18-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mets v. Pirates -135 | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R) New York right-hander Zack Wheeler (4-6, 4.33 ERA) is scheduled to face righty Joe Musgrove (4-4, 3.90 ERA). The Pirates after yesterdays shut out win vs the Mets have won 13 of their past 15 games after picking up their league-leading 12th shutout . It must be noted that the Mets have lost 22 of their L/26 when they have failed to score at least 2 runs. The momentum is very much on the Pirates side, and I'm betting they feed off what have been packed houses in Pittsburgh this weekend. Mets are 0-4 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Mets are 4-12 in Wheelers last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a win.Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Pittsburgh. The Pirates have won 11 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home 135-plus favorite after a game in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mets v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh recent resurgence has been predicated on strong two way play, but their defense has really stood out, as was the case yesterday when they shutout the Mets. The Pirates have allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of their L/9 games and have only allowed more than 4 runs , one time during their L/9 tilts. Today Im betting on the Mets offence struggling vs a hurler in Musgrove that my own current power rankings suggest matches up well vs the Mets current 9, and for Wheeler the Mets hurler to do just enough vs the Pirates offence to help keep this total combined score on the low side of the number.  Add to that we have a home plate umpire in Bellinno that has only seen 13 of his L/53 games eclipse the Total. Under is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 4 of a series.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 during game 4 of a series.Under is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 7-2-2 in Mets last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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07-29-18 | Dodgers v. Braves +130 | 1-4 | Win | 130 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Stripling has been a quality hurler for the Dodgers , but was  kicked around  in the All-Star game and in his first start after the break his confidence looked wobbly as he suffered in that game as well, giving up 5 runs in less than 5 innings of sub par work. I know it might seem like the Braves won't be able to take advantage of any issues Stripling might have right now because of their recent offensive struggles it must be noted the Braves are 7-0  against the money line after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. On the flip side Newcombe the Braves starter is looking better of late, after some recent struggles, and took a 12-1 win allowing 4 hits in his last start.Newcombe has also pitched well at home this season , garnering a stable 3.19 ERA and should once again keep his team in this tilt and help us cash a value line underdog ticket.  Braves Manager SNITKER is 11-4 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% as the manager of ATLANTA. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Phillies v. Reds -110 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) Phillies RH Zach Eflin (7-2, 3.41 ERA) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.30) The Philadelphia Phillies are in first place in the  National League East, but  have struggled against lower tier teams away from home this season, and have lost consecutive series to the Mets and Marlins on the road and are fade material in this spot play. I know the Phillies starter Eflin is a strong hurler, but Reds starter Castillo has allowed a total of seven runs over his last four trips to the hill and must be respected in his ability to slow the Phillies here. Phillies are 1-6 in Eflins last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Reds are 6-1 in Castillos last 7 home starts.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Cincinnati.  PHILADELPHIA is 25-41 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 22-37 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), playing on Sunday are 98-39 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cincinnati Redsto win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) Cleveland ace right-hander Corey Kluber (12-6, 2.88 ERA) pitches on an extra day of rest Sunday and will extremely dangerous in this spot.Kluber beat the Tigers in his two starts against them this year, allowing two runs in 16 innings.Meanwhile, Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (4-2, 3.97 ERA) makes his second post All-Star game start for Detroit,  Over his career, Zimmermann is 0-4 with a 10.57 ERA when facing the Indians . Im betting Zimmerman and the Tigers are big time fade material in this spot. The Indians have won 21 straight in franchise history when Corey Kluber starts as a 160-plus favorite in an afternoon game. with the average margin of victory coming by more than 6 rpg. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the run-line |
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07-29-18 | Twins v. Red Sox -147 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Twins RH Jose Berrios (10-7, 3.48 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (3-4, 4.26) The Twins enter this game losing 12 of their L/14 vs an above .500 team, and have lost 15 of their L/21 on the road with Barrios on the hill. The Twins have also lost 14 of their L/19 road games overall, and are in a bad spot vs a hot hitting BoSox crew.  The Red Sox have been solid finishing off opponents as well, and are 6-0 in game 4 of series, and have cashed in 16 of their L/21 at home vs a below .500 team like Minnesota.  These two teams are playing with different emotional mind sets, and at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, giving us an advantage with the home side. MINNESOTA is 8-21 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 22-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 51-19  against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.BOSTON is 23-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 25-5  against the money line in day games this season. HC MOLITOR is 8-33 L/41 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season .  favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 42-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-28-18 | Brewers v. Giants -106 | 7-1 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R) The Brewers beat the Giants yesterday 3-1 and have now lost 7 of their L/8 games, but it must be noted that SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is also 27-16  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. With San Francisco hurler Johnny Cueto 11-1 at home in his career team starts against the Brewers, including 11-0 the last eleven overall I'm betting on the Giants bouncing back here and getting us a win. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start 62-156 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 37-100  L/5 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline |
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07-28-18 | Mariners +115 v. Angels | 5-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R) Barria the Angels starter has gone 0-6 L/6 in seven starts and his team has lost all 7 starts .Barria has made three of his last seven starts against Seattle, losing all three despite allowing three runs or fewer in each outing. Meanwhile, Hernandez the Mariners veteran starter owns a solid 2.99 career ERA at Angel Stadium and is the best ERA among pitchers who haven't played for the Halos and gets my support in this road spot. The Angles beat the Mariners yesterday 4-3, but the Mariners have proven resilient after a 1 run loss.SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line after a one run loss this season and once again look like viable investment proposition. Note: Angles have lost 7 of their L/10 after a victory. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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07-28-18 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan UNDER 47.5 | 34-22 | Loss | -102 | 109 h 9 m | Show | |
Calgary's defence has been brilliantly amazing to this point in the season. The Stamps  have allowed an average of just 9.2 ppg, and today vs a Stampeders team, that is averaging just 22 ppg overall and 20.7 ppg at home on offence, I'm betting more of the same smash mouth stopping action will be featured once again. Meanwhile, the Stamps despite of not scoring on a consistent basis this season, have played solid D, and in 3 home games have allowed just 18.3 ppg this season. With that said, everything points to this being a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the Total. Note: The L/5 meetings in this series have remained on the low side of the Total with a combined average score of 35.4 ppg scored, with the last 2 in Saskatchewan seeing 24, and 29 Total points go on the board. CALGARY is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 41.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. CALGARY is 7-0 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 44.9 ppg scoredCALGARY is 9-2 UNDER  versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored.SASK HC Jones is 10-1 UNDER inches career in home games after allowing 275 or less total yards in their previous game  with a combined average of 41 ppg scored.SASK HC Jones is 9-1 UNDER in his career in home games versus good passing teams averaging 8.3 or more passing yards/att with a combined average of 40.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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07-27-18 | Toronto +12 v. Winnipeg | 14-40 | Loss | -125 | 85 h 13 m | Show | |
The Toronto Argos took it on the chin last week, vs this same Winnipeg Blue Bombers team by a 38-20 count as short home dogs, and now have revenge on board in the quick turnaround rematch of a home and home series. I know the Bombers dominated, but last week they were being underestimated by the lines makers, and now this week their is over reaction to the last result. Toronto despite of exhibiting some issues, showed some promise at QB with James Franklin (65.5 %  Comp) and look very much to be a value choice here vs this slightly bloated line. It must be noted that the Blue Bombers have failed to cover five straight games as a double-digit favorite while TO has covered 5 of their L/7 as underdogs. Also from a league wide database it must also be noted that road dogs off a loss, with at least 4 days rest are a long term solid wagering opportunity cashing at 62% or more of the time, if they are less than 14 point dogs.  HC O'Shea of Winnipeg is 0-7 ATS  after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game , which the Argos were able to accomplish. WINNIPEG is 5-17 ATS  after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game and is 10-24 ATS after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. CFL Road underdogs or pick (TORONTO) - with a poor defense - allowing 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game are 54-25 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover |
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07-27-18 | Blue Jays v. White Sox +125 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) STROMAN Toronto's starter  is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.303 and his team has lost 5 of his lifetime appearances. Meanwhile, Lopez, the Pale Hose starter  loves pitching in Southside Chicago and has recorded a a 3.17 ERA and .209 batting average against as opposed to 4.95 and .275 on the road.  The Blue Jays have really been going  deep into their bullpen of late and this I'm betting that  will effect them going forward. Note:  TORONTO is 2-10 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.TORONTO is 18-32  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays have lost 11 straight on the moneyline  on the road off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Dodgers v. Braves +145 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Kershaw despite of throwing the ball well still does not look 100% as was evident against Milwaukee this past  Saturday .Kershaw pitched six innings and gave up four runs. He only threw 88 pitches and struck out five. The Dodgers lost the game 4-2  and I'm betting he won't lead his team to victory here as well. Kershaw has battled injuries all season. He missed 21 games with left biceps tendinitis in May and missed 18 games with a lower back strain in June, so he's far from healthy as he try to adjust to nagging injuries. KERSHAW is 0-5  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 16-9  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - average hitting team (AVG. 255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 163-87 L/5 seasons for a long 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Mets v. Pirates -152 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) |
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07-26-18 | A's -130 v. Rangers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (1-2, 2.95 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-8, 4.85) Cahill the As starter tonight vs the Texas Rangers is 10-4 with a 2.81 ERA in 18 career starts against the Rangers, including a no-decision at Texas this season, with the 10 victories he has earned are the most versus any MLB team. Athletics are 6-1 in Cahills last 7 road starts vs. Rangers.Meanwhile, Rangers starter Colon is a down turn as is evident by a  0-3 record along with a slightly bloated 5.30 ERA in three starts this month . He looked like a tired 45 year old middle aged man in his last effort , allowing  five runs and eight hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland on Saturday. With that said Im betting the starting pitching matchup favours the As in this tilt. From a offensive perspective it must be noted that the Athletics have averaged 5.7 rpg on the road this season, and have scored 19 runs in the last two games of this series, and are in top form now and hitting on all cylinders and must be respected here as short favorites. The As look like a viable investment option to sweep this 4 game series with a victory here. Note: The Athletics have won 16 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite in the last game of a series after a road win in which they had 12+ hits. Athletics are 24-8 in their last 32 road games.Athletics are also 26-7 in their last 33 overall. Rangers are 1-8 in their last 9 home games.Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rangers are 6-21 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 OAKLAND is 10-3  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 33-21 against the money line in road games this season.OAKLAND is 41-26 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. TEXAS is 7-21 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasonsTEXAS is 5-18  against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | Edmonton v. Montreal +10 | 44-23 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
As bad as perceptions of the Allouettes might be, their still a proud group playing at home. Losing to what my power rankings suggest is the leagues best team last week  (Calgary ) by a 25-8 count , is nothing to be embarrassed of. The Als also went right into Saskatchewan this season and pulled off the SU upset , and despite of their 1-4 record are being underestimated vs a Edmonton side that has lost both their road games this season.  Right or wrong  there is just to much home value to pass in taking the home dog in this spot. EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons ands 4-12 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and s 2-9 ATS L/11  in non-conference games. CFL team vs the money line (EDMONTON) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Montreal Als to cover |
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07-26-18 | Twins v. Red Sox -145 | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-7, 3.57 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (1-3, 3.81) The Twins play their best ball at home, but here on the road where they are tonight, their poster boys for futility as is evident by losing 20 of their L/28 away games. Tonight against a rested Boston team off a cancelled game yesterday I'm betting their in trouble. Note: BOSTON is 13-1 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. The Red Sox have also won 15 straight on the moneyline as a rested favorite in the first game of a series after a loss as a road favorite in which they held the lead. (Which happened the day before yesterday in a 7-6 loss to Baltimore as -155 chalk)  The Twins starting pitcher Gibson despite of a being in good form , immolates his teams lack of success on the road as is evident by the Twins going 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 road starts. Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts vs. Red Sox. Meanwhile, the RedSox starter Johnson has seen his team win his last 5 home starts. The Twins have lost 20 straight on the moneyline  in the first game of a series with no rest as a dog of more than 120 after a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter. MINNESOTA is 1-11  against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 7-20 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. JOHNSON is 9-1  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 40-129 L/21 season for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
 Milone Nats vs Marlins RH Dan Straily (4-4, 4.02) WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. |
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07-26-18 | Rays v. Orioles +110 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Alex Cobb has been a good pitcher most of his career, but this season in Baltimore has been night mare as it has been for the entire team. Cobb has however, pitched well of late , and has garnered a stable 3.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill despite of losing all 3 games. His close but no cigar outings, Im betting come to an end today vs a TB side in a letdown situation and now using to their bullpen to start,  after taking the finale of a 3 game set vs the Yankees last time out which cliched the series. Im betting they will now over look this downtrodden opponent to their own detriment. QUOTE:"I know that there's a lot of discussions about wins and losses and how they don't matter," Cobb said after the game. "But I worked really hard my whole career to try and have a real nice-looking record because whether you're a casual fan or real in-depth into the numbers, the first thing you see on the back of your (baseball) cards is your win-loss. I've always taken pride in that in my whole career. I think I've always had a winning record. It sucks. END QUOTE: Rays are 4-15 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Note:The Rays have lost 26 straight  on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits , which happened against the Yankees last time out. The Rays have also lost 14 straight on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | White Sox +177 v. Angels | 8-12 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Covey (4-5, 4.95 ERA) the Pale Hose Hurler should be primed and ready to pitch well in front of family and friends,  after coming off the best effort of his short career. The young right hander  took a no-hitter into the sixth inning against the Seattle Mariners on Saturday  going into the 9th inning. The White Sox went on to win 5-0. LA ANGELS are 5-14 (against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Meanwhile, Halos right-hander , Tropeano (3-5, 4.58) will make his second start since missing nearly six weeks with inflammation in his throwing shoulder and I'm betting he is still not 100%.  In his L/3 starts overall he owns a ugly looking 7.07 ERA  and is fade material here this afternoon. Note: The White Sox have won 6 straight on the moneyline after they had six or fewer hits and it is post All-Star break.  The Pale hose were a +200 underdog on average. MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 35-22 L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Astros v. Rockies +112 | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. JON GRAY (R) Morton is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA in eight career starts against the Rockies and 1-1, 6.97 in four starts at Coors Field and is fade material according to my power rankings in this spot. In his last start before the All-Star break on July 12, Morton allowed six hits and three runs in 4 1/3 innings against Oakland and ended up with a no-decision in Houston's 6-4 loss and overall allowed 8 runs and 11 hits  in his L/2 starts before the break spanning just 10 innings. Astros are 1-4 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Gray, the Rockies starter permitted the Mariners to just five hits and one run in a season-high 7 1/3 innings with one walk and six strikeouts last time out in comes in this tilt brimming with confidence and has the added incentive of facing the defending world champs.  That above mentioned effort was an efficient outing for Gray, who threw 64 of 93 pitches for strikes. GRAY is 8-2  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)GRAY is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Gray has recorded a 5-1 record and 3.42 ERA in nine career interleague starts. Rockies are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The Rockies have won 10 straight on the moneyline at home off a game as a dog in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break with all 10 victories coming by multiple runs. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Tigers v. Royals -115 | 8-4 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
MATT BOYD (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) The Royals grabbed a win this series vs the Tigers yesterday, and have proven to be a solid side to back in this situation as they are  14-2  against the money line in home games off a one run win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.  The Tigers will start left-hander Matthew Boyd, who is 4-9 with a 4.62 ERA in 19 starts. He went 6-11 with a 5.27 ERA in 25 starts last season and is one of the Tigers least consistent options for victory. Boyd has made 11 career starts against the Royals, recording a 2-6 record with a bloated 6.79 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts this season against Kansas City. Tigers are 0-6 in Boyds last 6 starts.Tigers are 2-12 in Boyds last 14 road starts. Meanwhile, KCs starter Duffy's  is currently in top form garnering aminsucle 0.45 ERA in his L/3 starts. After beginning the season 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in his first 10 starts, Duffy is 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA in his past 11 starts and is a dangerous opponent for a inconsistent Tigers batting order. Royals are 5-1 in Duffys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.The Royals are also  14-1 L/15 on the moneyline  when Danny Duffy starts at home when they won his last two starts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 49-120 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors on the blind. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Pirates +172 v. Indians | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) Pittsburgh enters this game on fire, having won 11 straight games, while putting up huge offensive numbers in the process. Instead of going against the flow like the lines makers are suggesting Ill ride the wave until it crashes and suggest we back them in this spot play vs the Cleveland Indians. Meanwhile, Pirates starter Taillon has been in top form  in his last two trips to the hill ,  as is evident by giving up two runs on 10 hits and three walks over 11 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts .  The Bucks hurler has also limited 16 opponents to three or fewer runs in his 20 starts this season  and  has garnered a 3.02 ERA since the beginning of June.  Meanwhile, the Indians starter Bauer struggled in his first appearance after the All-Star break, allowing four runs on nine hits and five walks across just  four innings of a no-decision at Texas and in his L/3 starts overall has shown sudden command issues permitting 10 walks during that span.  He has good numbers but currently looks vulnerable at the worst possible time vs a Pittsburgh batting order that is seeing the ball very well at the moment. Note:Bauer has been the Tribes version of  a hard-luck starter when it comes to run support. In his six losses, the Indians have scored a total of seven runs.Indians are 2-9 in Bauers last 11 interleague starts. PITTSBURGH is 9-1  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 12-2  against the money line in an inter-league game this season . Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Pirates are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Liberty +11 v. Lynx | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Lynx are off a game where they were very focused in beating a very good Phoenix Mercury team on the road, showing their championship pedigree in the process . But now I doubt we will see the Lynx at their best vs a less than consistent NY Liberty side thus giving us value with a underdog line. Minnesota for the most part have proven themselves as week chalk of late failing to cover 10 of their L/14 as favs of 7 points or more and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as DD favs as they are here today. NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS  after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better this season.MINNESOTA is 10-20 ATS  after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. WNBA team vs the money line/SU (NEW YORK) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog are 21-5 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (NEW YORK) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games are 50-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. WNBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - revenging a loss versus opponent against opponent off an upset win as an underdog are 26-6 ATS L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - after a game where they failed to cover the spread, playing with 2 days rest are 31-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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07-24-18 | Cardinals -117 v. Reds | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The Cards lost a heartbreaker yesterday, 2-1 as the Reds rallied late to win, but it must be noted that ST LOUIS is 12-2  against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. Bailey the Reds starter vs the cards tonight is a ugly  1-7 with a 6.68 In his L/9 starts, and has  allowed16 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings over his last three starts, the last coming May 28. He was then sent to Triple-A Louisville to rehabilitate a right knee injury and get himself back on track , but only looked average recording a  2-2 record with a slightly bloated 4.78 ERA in seven games, six of them starts. Whatever his issues were, they still don't look fixed and is fade material here in this spot. BAILEY is 1-9  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cardinals haven 20 straight as a moneyline favorite off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.15 on the seasons and it is post All-Star break.  CINCINNATI is 8-21  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season and 8-21 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts 36-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Storm v. Fever +11 | 92-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The teams top team (Seattle) is obviously much better than the leagues worst team ( Indiana) However, the  Indiana Fever have played their best against the top teams in the WNBA this season.The Fever (3-22) have only three wins in 2018, but they've come against teams currently ranked No. 2 (Atlanta), No. 5 (Minnesota) and, most recently, No. 3 (Los Angeles on Friday) in the WNBA standings and tonight I'm betting on them giving a tired Seattle side a run for their money. It must be noted that the Storm , lost their first road game in a month last time out to a very good Atlanta side and exhibited some exhaustion in that tilt, something I'm betting continues here. SEATTLE is 4-12 ATS  after 3 straight games where they committed 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line /SU (SEATTLE) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 15-46 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. WNBA Underdogs (INDIANA) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 35-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-24-18 | Mystics v. Sun UNDER 171 | 68-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
These teams have already played each other 3 times this season, with the last two featuring high offensive shooting percentages by both sides. However, the way both sides have trending of late, with Connecticut staying under in 9 of their 11 , as they pay more attention to defense, and Washington going under in 3 of their L/4 thanks in part to decent defensive stances, I'm betting this total combined score will fall under the Totals plateau that the lines makers have released. It must also be note that  both these coaches know playing a tough defensive brand of hoops as the play offs approach is of the utmost importance. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season with a combined average score of 157.7 ppg scored and is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 158.1 ppg going on the score board. CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER  versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 156.6 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 10-1 UNDER  after a combined score of 165 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 154.8 ppg. HC Thibault of Washington is 16-5 UNDER  after a game where a team made 50% of their shots or better with the combined average of 158.3 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CONNECTICUT) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (43.5-46%), good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (14.5 or less TO's) are 49-18. UNDER  L/21 seasons for a  73% conversion rate for bettors and 10-3 UNDER  this season. Play UNDER |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox -142 v. Orioles | 6-7 | Loss | -142 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09) Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz  owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards.The Orioles are 0-4 since trading away All-Star shortstop Manny Machado. and Boston is perfect 9-0 L/9 games played at Camden Yards. The negative trends I'm betting continue for the Orioles tonight. BALTIMORE is 6-32  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Red Sox are 17-4 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. The Red Sox have cashed 22 straight times as a road 140+ favorite off a contest as a chalk when their oppositions starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.62 on the season and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. Also 20 of those 22 victories came by multiple runs. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are  42-15 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-24-18 | Red Sox v. Orioles UNDER 10 | 6-7 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Drew Pomeranz (1-3, 6.81 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Yefry Ramirez (0-3, 3.09) Pomeranz the BoSox starter comes off the disabled list fresh and ready to get back on track this Tuesday vs the lowly Baltimore Orioles. Pomeranz owns a 1.80 ERA in four career games (two starts) at Camden Yards. meanwhile, Orioles rookie Ramirez, despite of being a hard luck pitcher and not garnering enough support for wins, is a solid hurler who began his career in the majors with 4 1/3 innings of three-run ball against  the  BoSox on June 13 this season.  Ramirez is allowing opposition batters to a .224 average and has 24 strikeouts through his first 23 1/3 innings. I'm betting the kid does just enough to limit the explosive Boston offence from bombing away and  embarrassing him in this spot. With that said, look for a combined score that fails to eclipse the bloated number. POMERANZ is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.POMERANZ is 13-2 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. BOSTON is 23-8 UNDER  when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. .BALTIMORE is 18-3 UNDER vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 on grass.Under is 9-3 in Orioles last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 3-1-2 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 14-5 in Orioles last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 19-7-3 in Orioles last 29 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 18-7-3 in Orioles last 28 home games.Under is 25-10-2 in Orioles last 37 games following a loss.Under is 35-16 in Orioles last 51 during game 2 of a series.Under is 33-16-2 in Orioles last 51 Tuesday games. Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 overallUnder is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 road starts.Under is 5-2 in Pomeranzs last 7 starts overall. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.Under is 4-1-1 in Pomeranzs last 6 starts vs. Orioles. MLB Home teams (BALTIMORE) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a terrible starting pitcher (WHIP 1.700 or better ) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 31-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.800 or worse on the season-AL are 52-18 UNDER L/21 season for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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07-23-18 | Braves v. Marlins +123 | 12-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Braves LH Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Jose Urena (2-9, 4.39) Newcomb struggled just before the All-Star break by losing each of his last three outings, posting a 9.75 ERA with 12 walks and four homers allowed in 12 innings of sub par work. I originally thought he should be refreshed after the break, but reports out of Atlanta ...accurate or not have suggested he already has some dead arm issues, and or some discomfort in his throwing arm. Whether their is accuracy to these reports I don't know but their question marks, that could get answered today vs a Miami team that on occasion have proven golden in this role when playing with same season revenge for a walkoff loss which happened the last time these teams met. The Marlins have won 12 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a home series when seeking same season revenge for a walk-off loss.. Braves are 0-5 in Newcombs last 5 starts.Marlins are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MIAMI) - horrible team, outscored by opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 39-20 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline |
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07-23-18 | Cardinals +118 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Daniel Poncedeleon (ML debut) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.49 ERA) Poncedeleon the Cards starter is 9-3 with a 2.15 ERA and 103 strikeouts in 92 innings at Triple-A Memphis. He has worked 20 frames over his last three outings without allowing an earned run. This hurler underwent  brain surgery this past year, after being hit in the temple by a line drive , since than it looks like a miraculous situation unfolded. I'm betting on more wow , action in his big league debut vs a Reds team that was destroyed Reds,  ( outscored ) by a 27-5 count during a three-game sweep at the hands of Pittsburgh over the weekend. Castillo the Reds starter  is 0-3 with a 5.24 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis in his career. iThe Cardinals have won 12 straight on the moneyline  in the first game of a road series with no rest when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is post All-Star break. Which was the case yesterday. Cardinals are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Cincinnati.Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the moneyline Play on the St.Louis Cards on the moneyline |
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07-23-18 | Dodgers -134 v. Phillies | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Ross Stripling owns a 4-2 record along with a stingy 1.81 ERA on the road while allowing  opposition batters to a .235 batting average. He and the Dodgers get my backing here today. EFLIN the Phillies starter despite of a good season is 0-2 in 3 career starts when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.500. His team lost all three of his trips to the hill vs the Dodgers, including a 8-2 blasting earlier this season. The Phillies have lost 17 straight as a 125+ dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss. Dodgers are 14-2 in their last 16 during game 1 of a seriesDodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 road gamesDodgers are 14-3 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Phillies are 1-5 in Eflins last 6 starts vs. National League West. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 61-154 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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07-22-18 | Fever +8 v. Aces | 74-88 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Vegas is a young team, and despite of being talented young teams sometimes lose their concentration and show a lack of consistency especially after a big upset win like they pulled last time out vs the Phoenix Mercury. Today vs a 3-21  Indiana team I'm betting the Aces in a letdown situation overlook their opponent, and possibly get upset, and more importantly as far as we are concerned we get a cover with Indiana. LAS VEGAS is 6-19 ATS  L/25 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - off an road win where they scored 85 or more points, with a losing record after 15 or more games are just 8 -19 L/21 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-22-18 | Astros -117 v. Angels | 5-14 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L) |
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07-22-18 | Sun v. Wings UNDER 177 | 92-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
This is from a systems play, that has shown a great deal of profit potential over the last 5 seasons. Off course many other factors go into a selection, but this is strong situational system that deserves our attention. |
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07-22-18 | Braves v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) Both teams decided not to go with Saturday's starters after yesterdays cancellation/postponement -- Atlanta's Sean Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) and Washington's Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.72) -- and instead stay with Sunday's scheduled pitchers.All-Stars Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 2.66 ERA) of the Braves and Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.41) of the Nationals. Scherzer the Nationals starter today is 1-1 against the Braves this season and has allowed two earned runs in 14 innings. Meanwhile, Foltynewicz the Braves man on the hill owns a decent achievement chart against the Nationals this season, allowing three earned runs in 10 1/3 innings for a stingy 1.40 ERA . The Braves righty ranks fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while holding opposition batters to a .146 average in nine tries. I expect after yesterdays day off, that the offences could find themselves starting slow while the pitchers dominate, as they are well rested and rejuvenated after the break. Under is 7-2-3 in Foltynewiczs last 12 starts vs. National League East.Under is 7-2 in Scherzers last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 home starts.Under is 6-2 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 22-6 in Nationals last 28 during game 2 of a series.Under is 7-2 in Nationals last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-7 in Nationals last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 40-15-3 in Nationals last 58 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game . WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 7.5 rpg going on the board.
Play UNDERÂ |
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07-22-18 | Braves +195 v. Nationals | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
 MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs M.SCHERZER Foltynewicz the Braves starter had a couple of down efforts before the all star break, but Im expecting he will be  refreshed after the break and ready return to the form that has him ranked 4th fourth in the NL in ERA and fifth in strikeouts per nine innings (10.6), pitched to a 0.87 ERA while allowing opposition batters to hit  a lowly .146 average in nine tries before his final two outings. Foltynewicz is 2-1 with a 1.40 ERA in three starts against the Nationals this season and matches up very well against them. I'm betting on his out duelling Nats starter Scherzer today. The Braves have defeated Washington five times in the last six meetings and from a team to team matchup perspective are the superior side according to my power rankings. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. National League East.Braves are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves have won 8 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a dog of more than 150 when they are off a game in which they had 12+ hits and scored five-plus runs.Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-22-18 | Storm v. Dream +2 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Atlanta might be a dog here today vs Seattle but they are more than capable of pulling of the upset. This is Seattles third straight road game and are off a underdog upset vs the Connecticut Sun that time out, and susceptible to a letdown on tired legs. Meanwhile, Atlanta just might be the real deal, as they enter this game on a 7 game win streak, and have only one loss in their L/8 , and that was on the road to his same Seattle team team 95-86. With revenge on board Im betting the Dream coming out of this with a win, and more importantly as we are concerned a cover. Atlanta is 7-2 ATS L/9 meetings overall. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog over the last 2 seasonsSEATTLE is 1-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog ATLANTA is 25-12 ATS  as a home underdog of 6 points or less since 1997. ATLANTA is 7-1 ATS in July games this season. ATLANTA is 61-33 ATS  after 3 consecutive division games since 1997. ATLANTA is 20-6 ATS  in home games off a home win against a division rival since 1997. ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS  after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games this season. ATLANTA is 8-2 ATS after scoring 70 points or more in 5 straight games this season. ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games this seasonATLANTA is 6-0 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. WNBA Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 15- 45 L/5 season for go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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07-22-18 | Storm v. Dream UNDER 163.5 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
This is from a systems play, that has shown a great deal of profit potential over the last 5 seasons. Off course many other factors go into a selection, but this is strong situational system that deserves our attention. |
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07-21-18 | Lynx v. Mercury | 80-75 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Two of the top teams in the WNBA enter this game against each other in what must be considered slumps. The Mercury have lost 4 of their L/5 and the Lynx have lost 4 of their L/7 with no back to back wins since early July. Both are desperate to get back on track, but I'm betting home court advantage for the Mercury will be the difference maker. PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS  in home games off a close home loss by 3 points or less . Which happened last time out in a 85-82 loss to Vegas. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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07-21-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R) These teams took part in a 11-10 slugfest yesterday with Colorado winning. I'm betting on more of the same action in this spot. Arizona's starter Godley (11-6, 4.61 ERA) has been ingot form of late, but has been inconsistent this season, as is evident by his slightly bloated ERA.  His 1.56 WHIP is the highest among the 39 NL qualifiers, but he has been supported by 4 1/2 runs per game. I expect Colorado's sometimes explosive bats to do some damage against him here today. Over is 8-1-2 in Rockies last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Freeland the Rockies starter  is 1-2 with a 4.07 ERA in five career starts against Arizona and despite of being a quality pitcher my own power rankings suggest the Backs should do well against him here today in the desert heat. He is backed by a bullpen that owns a bloated 5.82 ERA and a 4.58 ERA away from Coors Field. Over is 5-1-1 in Godleys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times after a game as a home favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break with a combined average of 15.08 rpg scored, with no game seeing less than 10 runs scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 37-12 OVER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-21-18 | Rockies +140 v. Diamondbacks | 6-5 | Win | 140 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
KYLE FREELAND (L) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R Godely is a decent pitcher but it must be noted COLORADO is 8-2 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season averaging 5.6 rpg .With Colorado heating up winning 11 of their L/14 their  a dangerous opponent for all comers and a value option on a underdog line.  FREELAND is 9-3  against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rockies are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline  as a UNDERDOG off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base , which happened yesterday and were an average of 148 + dogs on the line in those 11 tilts. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Astros -168 v. Angels | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R) Verlander the Astros starter after some bad breaks before the all star game, and some down efforts compared to his usual self should be revitalized by the break and continue his domination of the Angels. Verlander owns a 2-0 record with a shutout and a 1.13 ERA in two turns this year vs the Halos and gets the nod here in this spot play. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. American League West.Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. Angels. The Astros have won 10 of their L/14 and I'm betting they will also capture their 4th straight road win vs a inconsistent and banged up Angels team. Angels are 7-21 in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. LA ANGELS are 1-11  against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.LA ANGELS are 2-12 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Astros have won 13 straight on the moneyline  as a favorite off a road game in which they did not score after the third inning and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener. HOUSTON is 21-4 against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. LA ANGELS are 1-7  against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75or less), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.50or worse over his last 3 starts are 10-46 L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettorsHOUSTON is 20-3  against the money line in road games against division opponents this season Play on Houston to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Red Sox -158 v. Tigers | 0-5 | Loss | -158 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
BRIAN JOHNSON (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) Johnson makes his fourth start on Saturday, coming off strong showing against the Blue Jays during which he held Toronto to two runs over 4 1/3 innings. Red Sox are 9-0 in Johnsons last 9 starts and get my support again in this spot. BOSTON is 14-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. The Red Sox have won 15 straight as a favorite off a game as a 130-plus favorite in which their opponent left 18-plus men on base. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (DETROIT) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 18-53 L/5 seasons for a 82% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-21-18 | Winnipeg -2 v. Toronto | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 35 m | Show | |
The Argos continue to play without their starting QB Ricky Ray, and my humble opinion are in trouble. The Toronto offence has already shown signs of floundering without Ray at the helm, and tonight vs an under rated Winnipeg side those problems could easily be magnified. Winnipeg owns a +48 point differential this season while, Toronto is a chilly -40. Yes, the Argos D, has looked solid, but will tire if the team continues to stagnate on offence and the D  remains on the field for extended periods of time. The Argos have already shown lapses in their pass defense and more breakdowns are possible going forward. I know Winnipeg lost last week, vs the Lions thanks to a late collapse, but the Bombers are legitimate contenders despite of a 2-3 record , and must not be underestimated. Bombers are 17-4 SU ATS L/21 road games. WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game over the last few seasons. WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games off a division game over the last few seasons. CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - off a non-conference game are  11-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to cover |
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07-20-18 | Pirates v. Reds -108 | 12-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
JAMESON TAILLON (R) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R) Reds right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-7) was 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA in his previous seven starts before making his worst start of the season, a 19-4 loss to the Cleveland Indians on July 11 in which he gave up five earned runs and six hits in 2 1-3 innings. Im betting on him rebounding here vs the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. Note: The Reds have won 16 in a row when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after playing as a road dog when their starter went less than four innings in his last start. Reds are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Reds batting order matches up well vs Pirates starter Taillon.  The Pirates right-hander  (6-7), who  was roughed up for six runs and eight hits in six innings the last time he faced the Reds, in May and is my go against hurler in this spot. Pirates are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati.PITTSBURGH is 21-45  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Wings v. Sky UNDER 180 | 99-114 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Chicago losers of 17 of their 23 games this season  know they need to slow this game down against the super explosive Wings'  to have any chance at victory, and I'm betting as a result  will be very physical here . The Sky enter the game  losers of their last four contests, with each of those losses coming by double digits and in no way shape or form feel confident in turning this into a run and gun affair. Meanwhile, the Wings are off a nationally televised game vs the Mystics and will now be on tired legs and less than capable of running and gunning themselves. This I'm betting will result in a much lower scoring tilt than the lines makers expect. It must be noted that only two of Dallas's last 14 games have eclipsed this current total being offered. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or more) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more  of their shots are 35-8  UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 153.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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07-20-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -140 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (6-9, 4.35 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.58)  Bundy the the Orioles starter  Is  0-2 in his L/2 trips to the hill along with a ugly 12.27 ERA and is fade material here vs a Toronto side that outscored Baltimore 27-11 while sweeping four game series at home back in June. Orioles are 1-10 in Bundys last 11 starts vs. American League East Meanwhile,Gaviglio,  the Jays starter, has a 1.97 ERA in seven games (five starts) at home and looks like a viable pitcher to back here this evening. Blue Jays are 4-0 in Gaviglios last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.Note:The Orioles have lost 15 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with rest on the road after they scored in at most two separate innings, which happened before the break. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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07-20-18 | Storm v. Sun -2 | 78-65 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Seattle is a top tier team, and Connecticut are also a team that needs to be respected especially on their own home court . Connecticut started the season 7-1 but has gone 5-10 since, the last two losses coming in stunning fashion, thanks to their lack of ability to pace themselves and just plain bad luck.The Sun lost to the New York Liberty on a buzzer-beating 3-pointer by Shavonte Zellous. Then, after two wins, Connecticut set up for the last shot against the Dream with the score tied. But the Sun turned the ball over, and Atlanta's Tiffany Hayes hit a Hail Mary half-court shot for the 86-83 victory. The indignity of those types of losses Im betting will ignite this Sun team into fervently seeking redemption against one of the leagues top teams. The Sun also have revenge on board for previous losses to the Storm, so II big time effort is something I'm banking on by the host side. I know its hard going against a team like the Storm , especially after they dismantled Chicago last time out, but a 101-83 count, but a letdown situation is not out of ordinary after a performance like that. Note: SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS  off an road win where they scored 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons and  is 3-11 ATS  after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Favorites (CONNECTICUT) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season are 30-9 ATS for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams SU (CONNECTICUT) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 25-5 L/5 seasons for a 83% SU conversion rate. WNBA Home favorites SU (CONNECTICUT) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite are 31-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors winning by an average of 8.1ppg. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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07-20-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs -132 | 18-5 | Loss | -132 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) The Cubs have won 13 of their last 16 games and own a  three-game lead over Milwaukee in the National League Central. Meanwhile, the Cards have lost 4 of their L/5 , and 8.5 games behind the Cubs, and once again look like fade material, as they go with Flaherty on the hill who is winless in his last six starts. Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. , Cubs sud starter Lester hasn’t lost since May 23, and has recorded  8-0 record along with a 2.80 ERA in nine starts over that stretch and once again I'm betting on nothing changing here vs the Cards. Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. Cardinals. LESTER is 11-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 11-1 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)LESTER is 16-3 against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ST LOUIS) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 19-61 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of  76% for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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07-19-18 | Liberty v. Dream UNDER 160.5 | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
New York goes into the Atlanta off a 104-87 loss at Dallas on Tuesday that ended the Liberty's two-game winning streak. The Liberty after scoring 107 points in a win in their previous game now a much needed attention to playing better D,. With that said, I'm betting on a more physical game plan this time around that focuses on paying attention to their transitional play and taking care of business in their own end . New York beat the Dream 79-72 at home on June 19 and a repeat type total combined score is not out of the question in this spot. NEW YORK is 10-2 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta has won 5 straight thanks to playing solid defence, allowing an average of 78.6 ppg in those tilts. Nothing changes tonight in a tilt I have pegged to fail to eclipse the Total. Note: ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a close win by 3 points or less , which happened in a 86-83 loss to the Connecticut Sun last time out. The combined average score of those games was 151.3 ppg. |
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07-17-18 | Liberty v. Wings UNDER 167 | 87-104 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
New York is off an explosive offensive game last time, scoring 107 points, and I'm betting  they will now revert back to their mean average of  78 ppg overall, and 76.2 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, Dallas is in a emotional letdown state after a hard fought loss to the Seattle Storm last time out. I know Dallas can play some big time offence ,  but overall their coaching staff  preaches a  defence first mentality and they have  an ability to slow teams down, which I'm betting they do tonight against the Liberty.  Considering the above mentioned situations I expect a muted total score here that fails to eclipse the number. NEW YORK is 7-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots this season with a  combined average of 152.3 ppg scored . NEW YORK is 16-5 UNDER  after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better with the average combined score 127.4 ppg. NEW YORK is 15-4 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 19-8 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 27 games clicking in at 153 ppg. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-15-18 | Mariners +145 v. Rockies | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L) The Mariners starter LEAKE is 7-2  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Colorado bats have been on fire of late, but in the past they have proven less than productive going forward, as is evident by the following trend  that shows COLORADOs won loss futility as being 4-16 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. It also seems the Rockies start to get a little to comfortable when playing on extended home stands, as they are  is 9-21 against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last couple seasons. Meanwhile, Anderson the Rockies starter is in good form, but lost his last trip to the hill, 5-3 to Arizona, and in his career is just  0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 2.600 in his career. COLORADO is 10-16  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. SEATTLE is 17-3  against the money line after 5 or more consecutive road games this season.SEATTLE is  also 9-1 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 28-12  L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (COLORADO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL is 19-37 L/22 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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07-15-18 | Mystics v. Dream +1 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Dream enter this game playing their best hoops of the season, and  coming off a dominating 98-74 victory over Indiana on Friday in which seven Dream players scored 10 or more points in a game for the first time in franchise history.Atlanta has scored 90.6 points per game in the first five outings this month and are dangerous in their current form, and are my choice today vs the Washington Mystics. ( TheMystics won last time out but lost their two games and one to Atlanta previous to that and have looked unstable at times and unstoppable on other occasions, today Im expecting they will just be out played by a confident side. QUOTE:"When you get on a roll, it is the beauty of sports in general, confidence is a beautiful thing," Atlanta coach Nicki Collen said. "When the person next to you is making shots and you get a little cushion, it becomes a little easy to step up and take the next shot. There is not a ton of pressure when you are playing with a 12-point lead to take an open 3 and make it 15." END QUOTE. Atlanta clobbered the Mystics 106-89 as road dogs on July 11 , last week, and matchup very well vs the Dream. Note: WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. WNBA Road underdogs (WASHINGTON) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more are 28-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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07-15-18 | Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R) We have two strong pitchers on the mound today, but we also have two sometimes explosive offences going against these hurlers Tanka of the Yankees and Bauer of the Indians.I'm betting on the offences finding a way to so some damage here today and for this Total to be eclipsed. TANAKA is 13-2 OVER  in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.6 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 23-8 OVER  in home games against right-handed starters this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored.  Cleveland is 15-4 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg being scored. CLEVELAND is 10-2 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored.CLEVELAND is 11-1 OVER  at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Yankees have gone OVER 6 straight times on the road with Masahiro Tanaka when their starter went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games. The average final score in these six games was 15 rpg , with none of those tilts failing to hit the 9 run plateau. MLB teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY YANKEES) -  (AVG or less .260) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60 or better, WHIP 1.300 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 82-44 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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07-15-18 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -142 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. BRIAN JOHNSON (L)  The pitching matchup might seem to favour the Blue Jays, but the Jays starter JOHNSON is 7-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Jays flounder a lot at the plate and must not be overestimated here and have struggled against LHP like Johnson , going just 11-23  against the money line against left-handed starters this season. It must also be noted that the the Blue Jays have lost 10 straight on the moneyline with Marcus Stroman as a road dog when they won in his last start. JOHNSON is 8-0  against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 22-7 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 23-5 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season. The Blue Jays have lost 19 straight on the moneyline  in the last game of a series as a underdog of more than 130 when they are off a defeat in which they held the lead which happened yesterday at Fenway. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Cubs v. Padres OVER 8 | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R) Padres starter Perdomo's will make his  third start since he returned from Triple-A El Paso on July 4. He is 0-1 in his first two outings back, allowing eight runs on 14 hits and seven walks with three strikeouts over 12 2/3 innings and could easily get lit up by the Cubs batting order here today.PERDOMO is 10-1 OVER  in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.6 rpg going on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Cubs starting hurler  Hendricks is 1-2 with a 5.20 ERA during the past month and has given up 17 runs (16 earned) on 30 hits and 12 walks in 27 2/3 innings.I expect the Padres 9 will also do some damage here and will help to contribute to this total being eclipsed. SAN DIEGO is 10-0 OVER in home games after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons, (which happened yesterday ) with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. CHICAGO CUBS are 21-9 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 10.3 rpg scored. MLB Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  of 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 64-35 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. The Cubs have gone OVER the Total 7 straight times as a road 160-plus favorite off a game as a favorite that was tied at the end of the sixth inning. The average final score  averaged out to 12.28 rpg. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 54 | 17-20 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
With Jonathon Jennings struggling, the Lions have promoted veteran Travis Lulay to the No. 1 spot for Saturday’s home game against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. I'm betting he will be worth one more score and that that this combined total score will be eclipsed. The Lions are going to need it , as they are allowing  more than 30 ppg, and were clobbered 41-19 last week vs these same Bombers. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has a great deal of depth on offence, and it is their strength and I'm betting they will do some damage today as well, as teams have a hard time preparing for the different talented options. Winnipeg has averaged 36 ppg this season, and I won't be surprised, if they come close to equaling those numbers here. These teams have gone OVER in their L/3 meetings in BC overall, with the Lions scoring 35,31,42 points in closely contested back and forth battles, that also saw 67,63, and 87 combined  points going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 games in July.Over is 13-4 in Blue Bombers last 17 road games.Over is 18-7-2 in Blue Bombers last 27 vs. West.Over is 5-2 in Blue Bombers last 7 games overall.Over is 15-6 in Blue Bombers last 21 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in July.Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 vs. West.Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games overall.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 Saturday games. WINNIPEG is 15-6 OVER in road games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.3 ppg scored. O'Shea is 12-4 OVER off a home win as the coach of WINNIPEG with combined average of 60.1 ppg going on the board. WINNIPEG is 21-8 OVER versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 58 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the OVER |
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07-14-18 | Wings v. Storm UNDER 173.5 | 84-91 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
The Wings are averaging 87.3 points per game, and their opponents the Storm  average 87 ppg. However, both these coaches preach a defence first system, and that I'm betting will be at the forefront of this contest as both know how explosive each others offences are. With that said, I'm expecting a lower scoring tilt then the line offered. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 home games. SEATTLE is 8-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 153.4 ppg going on the board. SEATTLE is 20-7 UNDER versus teams who make 5 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (SEATTLE) - excellent free throw shooting team (80% or less ) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or more of their shots are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (DALLAS) - after a road game where both teams score 75 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 31-9 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-14-18 | Angels v. Dodgers -154 | 5-4 | Loss | -154 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Heaney (5-6, 3.84) has been one of the rare Angels pitchers to avoid injury. He is one of three Angels starters to make at least 16 starts. He has proved resilient but has not been fortunate enough to garner more wins than losses, and I'm betting he will be on the wrong side of W/L her/his Saturday evening. Note: Heaney yielded three runs over seven innings in his last start against the Dodgers on Sunday. He is 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers. HEANEY is 1-10  against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Angels are 0-6 in Heaneys last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, Wood enters the rematch hoping to pick up a winning decision after not factoring in the decision vs. the Angels on Sunday. The lefty has tossed six-plus innings in each of his past four starts, a stretch during which he’s 3-0 with a 2.88 ERA. He gets my support here tonight. Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. LA ANGELS are 8-17  against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Angels are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Angels are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.LA ANGELS are 10-25  against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.  Manager ROBERTS of LAD  is 54-18 against the money line in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games . Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 8 | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) Newcomb (8-4, 3.44 ERA)  Is struggling of late as is evident by going a  combined 6 1/3 innings and giving up 10 runs in his last two trips to the hill. I'm betting the Backs bats don't let him off easily and accumulate some runs here that will help get us over the total. Meanwhile, Zack Greinke (9-5, 3.39 ERA) comes into the start with momentum, having won six of his past seven , but has still not been his usual dominant self despite of getting all star allocation this season. I expect the Braves a team that have averaged 4.9 rpg this season do also do some damage with this total getting eclipsed.  ATLANTA is 10-2 OVER  revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. (Arizona beat the Braves yesterday 2-1) Over is 9-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 15-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 23 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 4-0 in Newcombs last 4 starts overall. Over is 5-2 in Braves last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or less  over his last 3 starts are 42-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. The Diamondbacks have gone OVER 11 straight times  when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a road game in which they scored 3 runs or fewer and won with a combined average of 10.28 rpg scored, with no game failing to reach the 8 point totals plateau. Play OVER |
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07-14-18 | Reds +130 v. Cardinals | 8-2 | Win | 130 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
The Cards looked completely asleep at the wheel yesterday losing by a 9-1 count, and that does not bode well for them here this afternoon. The Cardinals  have lost 14 of their last 23 home games and are far from solid favs as a host.  Im betting things don't get much better,  with Cards rookie right-hander Jack Flaherty (3-4, 3.34)  on the hill to face the surging Reds (42-52), who have won 20 of their last 29 games . .Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Reds Manager RIGGLEMAN is 10-3  against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities  .  The Cardinals has lost 5 straight  as a 130-plus home favorite after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.The Cincinnati Reds has won 6 straight  as a moneyline dog after a game in which they scored in at least three innings and hit multiple home runs.  Every win was by 2 or more  runs. ST LOUIS is 15-20 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (ST LOUIS) - off a loss by 8 runs or more to a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP  1.100 or less over his last 10 games are just 16-26 L/21 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Braves +100 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Greinke, whose road ERA is 4.31 in nine starts, looks susceptible to being lit up here today, vs a Atlanta team that has proven itself dangerous this season offensively. The Diamondbacks have lost  19 straight when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a dog when their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 1.97 on the season and it is not a series opener , which NewCombe the Braves starterhas. Diamondbacks are 6-14 in their last 20 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 8-22 in their last 30 vs. a team with a winning record.Diamondbacks are 5-14 in their last 19 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a winDiamondbacks are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-14-18 | Royals v. White Sox -126 | 5-0 | Loss | -126 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The White Sox  are well prepared for their third straight win as they send Reynaldo Lopez (4-6, 3.77 ERA)  to the hill . The hurler  will be looking for his third victory in his past four outings. The 24-year-old right-hander had won back-to-back starts before he allowed three runs and six hits in just 4 2/3 innings last week against the Houston Astros. I'll forgive that effort vs a side that could easily be World Series Champs this season. Lopez is 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA in four career starts against the Royals and gets my support in this spot. White Sox are 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. Royals.Meanwhile, the Royals starter DUFFY is 4-15  against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 7-25  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. RENTERIA is 31-18 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-13-18 | Reds v. Cardinals -148 | 9-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Reds RH Matt Harvey (4-5, 4.80 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-4, 3.05) Martinez won his third straight start Saturday after allowing one run on six hits over seven innings in a 3-2 victory at San Francisco and enters tis game as solid option in top form. The  righty thrower owns a 1-1 record along  with a stable 2.70 ERA in three starts against Cincinnati this season,  and has over powered the Reds batting order recording 23 strikeouts (16 2/3 innings).Reds are 25-55 in their last 80 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Cardinals are 34-16 in Martinezs last 50 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cardinals are 8-3 in Martinezs last 11 starts vs. Reds. Meanwhile, the Reds starter Harvey  is 8-20 L/28 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in his career. (Team's Record) Reds are  also 1-4 in Harveys last 5 road starts and are fade material here, where Harvey has pitched his worst ball this season recording a bloated .5.21 ERA in 9 away starts and does not matchup well vs this Cards batting order according to my power rankings data. CINCINNATI is 5-20  against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. After exploding for 14 runs in win on Wednesday the Cards followed that up with a clunker and lost a 4-0 decision, but in the recent past have proven resilient off a loss going 4-0 after a defeat  the last four times it happened. I'm betting they bounce back today. Note: Reds are 4-17 in the last 21 meetings.Play on the St.Louis Cardinals on the moneyline to win |
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07-13-18 | Rangers -109 v. Orioles | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R) Cobb will make his scheduled start after a blister forced him to leave his previous start early. He took the loss in that outing after allowing five earned runs on seven hits and one walk in five innings and is fade material here in this spot. Cobb is 0-4 at home this season along with a bloated 5.71 ERA.  Meanwhile, Cole Hamels the Rangers hurler, despite of struggling of late, is still a decent pitcher, who has his pitched his best ball on the road garnering a steady .2.57 ERA in 9 trips to the hill. Rangers manager Jeff Banister is confident Hamels will bounce back. "Very uncharacteristic," Banister said after the latest poor outing. "For me, Cole looked as strong as he's been all year long. ... Cole will be all right." Rangers are 33-12 in Hamels' last 45 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 20-9 in Hamels' last 29 starts during game 1 of a series.Orioles are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.COBB is 0-10 L/10 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record).HAMELS is 11-2 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB team (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (4.2or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70)-AL, in July games are 26-54 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-13-18 | Fever v. Dream -7.5 | 74-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
WNBA Underdogs vs the money line (INDIANA) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games are 2-28 L/21 seasons losing by an average of 16.4 ppg. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game are 18-48 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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07-12-18 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (11-5, 2.33 ERA) vs. Mets LH Steven Matz (4-6, 3.31) This will be Scherzer's first start of the season against the Mets. Although he has been solid this month, he has not been his usual dominant self in his last two outings with a 4.85 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 13 innings and looks ripe to be taken advantage of by a Mets order that despite of struggling to score have on occasion mustered enough talent to light up opposing hurlers. A few added runs will be a totals breaker here, to the upper side of the number. I also know Matz the Mets starter is in top form, but the Nationals cannot be underestimated in their offensive abilities as recently they put up 14 and 18 runs in two separate tilts. Over is 3-1-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts vs. National League East.Over is 15-7-1 in the last 23 meetings.NY Mets  In their L/24 against the money line as an underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 10.2 rpg go on the board.WASHINGTON I L/66 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 7.7 rpg get scored.The Nationals have gone OVER 15 of the L/16 times  in the first game of a series with no rest as a 140+ favorite off a road game in which they scored in at most two separate innings.All games have at least reached the 7 run plateau , with the average combined score of those 16 games clicking in at 10.88 rpg. Play OVER |
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07-12-18 | Yankees -111 v. Indians | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (14-2, 2.12 ERA) vs. Indians RH Corey Kluber (12-4, 2.49) Corey Kluber the Tribes starter tonight has been a home 11 times since 2012, with his team losing 9 of the 11 games. After a fast start to his current campaign, Kluber has been average at best of late going  2-2 with a 4.39 ERA. Meanwhile, Severino (14-2, 2.12 ERA) has not lost since June 10. In five starts since then he is 5-0 with a 1.67 ERA.The Yankees lead the American League with a 2.74 bullpen ERA while Cleveland has a league-worst 5.37 ERA for its relievers. SEVERINO is 15-1 against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record) .SEVERINO is 16-1 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 6-10  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. The Yankees are 3-0 against the Indians this season after and get the nod again Severino on the hill. It must be noted that the Indians have lost 5 straight in the first game of a home series when they are seeking same season revenge for a loss. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the money line  |
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07-12-18 | Brewers +122 v. Pirates | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
WADE MILEY (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R Miley the Brewers starter will return from the 60-day DL to make his first Brewers start since May 8, when he strained his right oblique against the Indians in his second game back from a groin injury. The coaches say he is healthy and looking strong, and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Pirates. MILEY is 9-1 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over dating back to last season. (Team's Record) Pirates are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.PITTSBURGH is 17-36  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. MILWAUKEE is 18-8  against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Meanwhile, Tallion the Pirates starter has been very inconsistent this season, and according to my power rankings data does not matchup well vs the Brewers. Taillon is 1-4 with a 3.70 ERA in eight starts against the Brewers, including a loss and a no-decision this season.TAILLON is 3-9  against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Pirates are 0-4 in Taillons last 4 home starts. Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 38-18 in their last 56 games following a loss.Brewers are 21-10 in their last 31 vs. a team with a losing record.MILWAUKEE is 38-16  against the money line in night games this season. The Pirates have lost 14 straight and 12 by multiple runs in the first game of a home series with no rest after a game as a home dog in which they held a multiple-run lead. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA=3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season is 45-15 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win on the moneyline |
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07-11-18 | Dodgers v. Padres +145 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L) Padres starter Luchessi a rookie left-hander has made four starts since he returned from a right hip strain, and he’s looked very good in the last three.The young hurler , who returned June 20 from a five-week stint on the disabled list with a strained glute muscle, has allowed two runs on five hits and seven walks with 14 strikeouts over 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts. Lucchesi,  has pitched 14 2/3 innings against the Dodgers, allowing one run on 11 hits and three walks with 13 strikeouts and looks like a viable underdog option in this spot. The Dodgers have struggled  mightily vs LHP this season averaging just 3.7 rpg in production, via a lowly .225 team BA. Meanwhile, the Dodgers will send   right-hander Kenta Maeda (5-5, 3.24 ERA),  to the hill vs the Fathers.  Overall, Maeda is 4-3 with a slightly bloated 4.78 ERA in 11 career appearances (10 starts) against the Padres. Key here however, is that the  Padres have hit .327 against Maeda. Note: MAEDA is 3-7  against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) I know the Padres bats have been slumping of late but they have proved resilient after offensive droughts going 13-4  against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. A DODGERS are 5-12  against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The Padres have cashed 7 straight for their backers as a 140-plus home dog after a game in which they hit multiple home runs and it is not a series opener. (Which happened last night) Play on the Padres to win on the moneyline |
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07-11-18 | Lynx v. Fever +11 | 87-65 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
The Indiana Fever have two wins this season and one of them came  vs today's guests the Minnesota Lynx last week on July 3. The linesmakers  are now expecting the defending champion lynx to come out and get their revenge with a conclusive DD victory. But I' betting a win by the Lynx won't come as easily as some might think. The lynx scored just 59 points in their loss to the fever and despite of bouncing back in their next game they followed that up with another clunker and scored just 63 points in a another  loss to Dallas by a 90-63 count. It' obvious the Lynx are struggling right now , and have shown a lack of consistency since early in the season. I know Fever may not inspire bettors but this home under dog line does have value attached to it. MINNESOTA is 4-11 ATS  after playing a game as favorite this season. MINNESOTA is 18-33 ATS L51 in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or more of their shots after 15+ games. Favorites (MINNESOTA) - revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite against opponent off a road loss are 11-37 last  5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off a road loss ARE just 7-26 L5 seasons for a go against 79%conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Indiana  Fever to cover |
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07-10-18 | Mariners v. Angels -145 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. GARRETT RICHARDS (R Richards gave up three runs (two earned) over 5 1/3 innings against the Mariners on Wednesday in his first start since returning from the disabled list. He is 7-4 with a 3.06 ERA in 21 career appearances (13 starts) against Seattle. Angels are 4-1 in Richards' last 5 home starts vs. Mariners.Meanwhile, Leake has faced the Halos three times this season, including his last outing, when he lasted four innings and allowed four runs (three earned) on nine hits. He is 1-2 with a 4.11 ERA in the three games, all at Safeco Field and according to my matchup rankings is fade material in this spot. RICHARDS is 28-8 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 in his career. (Team's Record) LEAKE is 14-24 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 9-4 in their last 13 home games.ÂMLB  favorites with a opening money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less  over his last 10 games are 35-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline |
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07-10-18 | Aces v. Sky UNDER 174.5 | 98-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
Chicago played good defense in this last tilt, and got the win by a 73-66 count vs the defending league champion Lynx. Needless to say HC Stocks is happy with their play , and I;'m betting they will be out to slow the fast paced wide open attack of the visiting Aces in this spot. Aces veteran HC Lambeer in retaliatory fashion will push his ladies to be equally physical, which I'm betting results in a lower scoring game than the lines makers are estimating. CHICAGO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 157.7 ppg scored. LAS VEGAS is 13-5 UNDER in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.5 ppg going on the board. Las Vegas HC Lambeer is 34-17 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more in 2 straight games in his career something the Aces just achieved.( A Combined average of 153.2 ppg were scored in those tilts) Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (CHICAGO) - excellent free throw shooting team (80%or better) against a good free throw shooting team (76-80%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons . Play UNDER |
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07-10-18 | Royals v. Twins -162 | 9-4 | Loss | -162 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. AARON SLEGERS (R) Kansas City, has lost 10 straight and 28 of 32. The Royals have lost 11 consecutive series dating back to the end of May and have a record only a mother could love. Meanwhile, the Twins have suddenly awoken to post 5 straight victories, Ian Kennedy the Royals starter has gone 15 starts without a win dating back to April 7, the longest active winless streak in the majors. The righty hurler, was 0-3 along with a bloated 6.43 mark in five outings last season vs the Twins and is fade material here in this spot. KENNEDY is 1-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Twins will sendIn a spot-start on Thursday that also served as an audition for Minnesota's fifth rotation spot, Slegers picked up his first career win as he held the Orioles to one run over six innings and in his season debut on May 30 against Kansas City, he allowed just two runs and six hits in 5 1/3 frames of relief. Note: KANSAS CITY is 12-47 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MINNESOTA is 17-3 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% since 1997. Royals are 0-9 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Royals are 0-7 in Kennedys last 7 road starts.Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. MLB Road teams (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 29-70 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to win on the moneyline |
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07-10-18 | Mercury v. Wings UNDER 168 | 72-101 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 163 -163.5 , thus we are getting a two possession advantage according to my line. This is a value play based on a inflated line that will be bet down from the opener. DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER  in home games after scoring 90 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 160.5 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score of 149.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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07-10-18 | Sparks v. Storm | 77-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm a little surprised at how erratic the LA Sparks have played of late, as they have lost 5 of their L/6 games and look to be in a tailspin defensively, allowing 81 or more points in 5 of their L/7, where they have in the recent past played their best hoops. In the Sparks current form, it won't be a hard decision to fade them against a Seattle side with a killer instinct and currently playing their best basketball of the season as is evident by having registered 5 straight wins and 7 victories in their L/8 trips to the court. Seattle is a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings here at home in this series. LOS ANGELES is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when they allow 83 or more points in a game this season WNBA Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 8-30 ATS L/21 seasons for go against  79% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a game where both teams scored 75 points or more are 32-1 L/21 season for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - off a home win, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 29-2 for a 93% conversion rate L/5 seasons. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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07-09-18 | Phillies -165 v. Mets | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
AARON NOLA (R) vs. COREY OSWALT (R) Game #2 Double Header In tonights  nightcap of a two game set , ace Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (11-2, 2.41 ERA),  is scheduled to oppose New York rookie right-hander Corey Oswalt (0-1, 7.94 ERA). The pitching matchup favours the Phillies vs an opponent that is  8-25 since May 31 -- including 5-21 in June, which was the third-worst month in franchise history.  NOLA is 10-1  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) NY METS are 8-21  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. The Mets have lost 24 straight as a home dog of more than 135 vs a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings and it is not a series opener. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (NY METS) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 20-86 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Yes, we are laying a little lumber here, but the odds considering the matchup is skewed in our favour and worth the extra outlay. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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07-08-18 | Mercury -4 v. Dream | 70-76 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Phoenix (14-5) is the real deal behind the clutch play of Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner, and I'm betting these two stars will own the Atlanta Dream( 8-9) this afternoon at the McCamish Pavilion on the campus of Georgia Tech University. Phoenix won the first game between the two teams 78-71 on June 3 in Atlanta and a repeat performance is high probability event today. |
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07-08-18 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. JON LESTER (L) Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.53 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (11-2, 2.25) Lester has been in fine form this season, but my power rankings suggest the potent Cincinnati Reds batting lineup matches up well against him. Lester in his career is 6-1 vs the Reds but , owns a slightly bloated 4.07 ERA in those meetings. Lesters two last starts overall have been wins, but a combined 21 and 13 runs went on the board in those tilts, ( 11-10) (9-4). His team is backing him with support and I'm betting nothing changes today as the Cubs take care of business vs the up and down right hurler Luis Castillo who isles than dependable as is evident by his 5.53 overall ERA and 6.70 road ERA in 10 starts. Note: The Cubs have averaged 7.9 rpg in their L/7 trips to diamonds. Over is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 20-7-3 in Cubs last 30 Sunday games.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 13-5 in Cubs last 18 games following a win.Over is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 overall.Over is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 on grass.Under is 10-4 in Cubs last 14 home games.Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Lesters last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-2-1 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-3-1 in Lesters last 12 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 10-4 in Lesters last 14 home starts. Over is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.Over is 8-1 in Reds last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1-1 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 Sunday games.Over is 8-2-1 in Reds last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-2 in Reds last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 overall.Over is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 on grass.Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 games following a loss.Over is 6-2-1 in Reds last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 7-1 in Castillos last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 5-1 in Castillos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 Sunday starts.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Castillos last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Over is 6-2 in Castillos last 8 road starts.Over is 7-3 in Castillos last 10 starts on grass.Over is 7-3 in Castillos last 10 starts overall. Over is 8-1-2 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. Reds.Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts vs. Reds.Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.Over is 35-13-3 in the last 51 meetings. The Cubs have gone OVER 8 straight times with Jon Lester as a favorite when they won his last three starts. Chicago has gone over the total by an average of 5.81 runs in these 8 tilts and Im betting on more OVER action today. Play on the OVER |
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07-08-18 | Braves v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Newcomb the Braves lefty starter had a bad outing last time out, but the heat was unbearable as was a swirling wind. Prior that outing he was 7-1 with a 2.07 ERA in the 11 previous starts and I'm betting he will revert back  to that form Sunday when he faces Milwaukee. The Brewers have struggled vs southpaws this season, hitting .20 points under the Mendoza line, .230 while collecting just 138 hits in 600 AB . Meanwhile, The Twins couldn’t solve Guerra the Brewers starter when he hurled five shutout innings of two-hit ball. Guerra has allowed more than three runs in a start just once since May 9 and continues to be in top form for the Brewers and Im expecting more top tier work again. He is also backed with a solid bullpen that will aid in his start limiting the Braves offence. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 during game 4 of a series.Under is 40-19-1 in Brewers last 60 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Guerras last 4 starts vs. National League East.Under is 13-2 in Guerras last 15 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Guerras last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Guerras last 7 home starts.Under is 14-3 in Guerras last 17 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 18-4 in Guerras last 22 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Guerras last 15 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Guerras last 9 starts on grass.Under is 7-2 in Guerras last 9 starts overall. Under is 19-6-1 in Brewers last 26 Sunday games.Under is 21-7-1 in Brewers last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 vs. National League East.Under is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 during game 4 of a series.Under is 55-22-1 in Brewers last 78 games following a loss.Under is 44-18-1 in Brewers last 63 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game There is a good umpire on board for a low scoring game: Under is 7-1-2 in Wolcotts last 10 games behind home plate. GUERRA is 17-6 UNDER L/23 in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game . (Team's Record) with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 6.3 rpg. GUERRA is 7-0 UNDER in day games this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored.GUERRA is 15-4 UNDER  at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 96-39 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-08-18 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
TREVOR RICHARDS (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) Roark the Nationals starter has not looked all that great of late, but according to my power rankings pitcher vs offence charts matches up well vs Miami, and could have a fast reversal of fortunes in this spot. It must be noted Roark has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts against the Marlins and I'm betting he keeps that momentum alive in this rematch. Meanwhile, Trevor Richards is a pitcher that continues to gain confidence and has shown composure of late. He is not easily rattled, and I expect he will temper the Nats offence here today, as the home teams comes off an offensive explosion yesterday, and could experience a battery draining reversion to the mean that has seen them average just 3.9 rpg in day time games this season. Under is 6-2-1 in Roarks last 9 starts vs. Marlins.Under is 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yesterday the Nationals unloaded the Marlins in a big way winning by a 13-4 count. Previous to that they won 3-2,  after winning the first game of the series by a 14-12 count. With that said, the it must be noted that the Nationals have gone UNDER in the last 9  game of a home series after a game in which they hit multiple home runs, staying under by an average of 3.72 rpg. The last 7 games have not seen more than 6 combined runs scored and none of these 9 games have eclipsed the 9 run totals plateau offered here today by the books. Under is 7-0-2 in umpire Reynolds' last 9 games behind home plate. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (WASHINGTON) - after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival, in July games are 88-43 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-18 | BC +6 v. Winnipeg | 19-41 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 51 m | Show | |
The Bombers continue to play  without star quarterback Matt Nichols, but Chris Streveler has played well as his replacement. However, that may be short lived as the scouts get better reads on this QB.  I'm betting his current fluidity will be tested, most probably tonight vs a BC Lions defence, that despite of giving up some big plays and points last week vs Edmonton are a solid speedy group that must not be disrespected or underestimated. Meanwhile, the Lions are also capable of taking advantage of a Bombers D, that was dominated on time of possession last week by  the Tiger-Cats , and were on the field for a total of 37:30 of the tilt and could still be feeling the effects of that exhausting sub par performance. In their two losses this season, the Bombers  have  allowed opposition quarterbacks to throw 777 yards via their aerial attacks, and could get torched again, by a a QB in Johnathon Jennings that is itching be let loose by HC Buono. Its interesting to note that BC won the last meeting between these teams by a 36-27 count , but the previous 5 meetings were close affairs, with 4 of those games decided by a FG or less, and one by 6 points. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-20 ATS L/58  as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.BC HC Buono is 35-8 ATS  as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points in all games he has coached in his career and 24-9 ATS  in road games off a loss against a division rival in all games he has coached. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - in the first month of the season are 33-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on BC Lions to cover |
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07-07-18 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7 | 4-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R) LHP Wei-Yin Chen (2-5, 5.55) starts for the Marlins and has a 9.85 ERA in seven road starts this season and looks like cannon fodder once again, and could easily all by himself facilitate a score that eclipses this beatable number. In his last seven starts, Chen is 1-3 with a 5.85 ERA. Meanwhile, Scherzer has lost four consecutive decisions for the first time since 2009-10, with complaints about of lack of run support. Today he should finally get the help he needs, why he himself may not do all that well vs a Marlins offence that according to my own power rankings actually matches up well against him.MIAMI is 11-2 OVER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored.MIAMI in 28 games as a road underdog of +150 or more this season have seen a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 13-2 OVER  vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Chens last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 road games.Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzers last 6 home starts vs. Marlins. The Marlins have gone OVER 16 straight times by an average of 4.88 rpg as a road 170+ dog after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 or less (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 runs/game or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 2  roles earned runs in his last 2 outings are 46-19 OVER L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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07-07-18 | Mystics v. Sparks -7 | 83-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Los Angeles is a top tier side that has struggled a bit  of late as they have dropped two straight and four of their past five games. The Sparks, however, did  did look good against  defending champs Minnesota, last time out, but  the  Lynx were on a mission, after scoring just 59 points in a previous loss , and the Sparks were not able to match their intensity and lost . Tonight, I expect a big bounce back effort by the Sparks vs the Mystics with behind their league leading  scoring defense that allows  76.5 points a contest as will the Sparks ability to be physical vs a side that struggles under the glass, as is evident by Washington ranking  11th in the league in rebounding (31.9 boards per game). Don't get me wrong the Mystics are a fine team, but LAs will to get back on track will be of paramount importance here as Candace Parker, Nneka Ogwumike and company roll. LA has dominated this series , over the last few seasons garnering a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS mark in the L/7 meetings. Im betting on these trends to stay intact . LOS ANGELES is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games off a road loss over the last few seasons winning by DD averages. LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival over the last few seasons. WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS  after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite since in their inception to the WNBA.WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS  revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOS ANGELES) - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 52-16 ATS L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - excellent shooting team (46% or better) against an poor defensive team (43.5-46%), hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 42% or better of their shots are 28-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate winning by a an average of 10.4 ppg. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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07-07-18 | Rangers -115 v. Tigers | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) The Tigers took out the Rangers yesterday in game 2 of this series . It must be noted however, that the Texas Rangers have won 8 straight on the moneyline in franchise history with Cole Hamels when they are a favorite and seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a favorite. With Hamels pitching his best best ball on the road this season, as is evident by garnering 3-1 record along with a stingy 2.05 ERA in 8 starts, he and is team look like a viable option to keep this streak alive. Hamels  owns a singy 1.80 ERA in three career starts at Comerica Park. HAMELS  team is 19-3  against the money line when he starts vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. Fiers the Tigers starter owns an 8.10 ERA in seven career outing vs the Rangers (six starts). Rangers are 12-4 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.Rangers are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Detroit.Tigers are 1-12 in their last 13 games on natural playing surface and have lost 14 of their L/17 overall.ÂDETROIT is 16-36 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 7-22  against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-07-18 | Rockies +178 v. Mariners | 5-1 | Win | 178 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rockies are off a a 7-1 win yesterday, where they left a lot of runners on base vs their hosts Seattle. The score could have been even more one sided if thats possible. It must be noted however, the The Rockies  have won 10 straight as a dog off a road game in which they left 18+ men on base. COLORADO is also 9-3  against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season and must not be underestimated. Colorado will send left-hander Kyle Freeland (8-6, 3.25) to the hill to face the Seattle Mariners this Saturday afternoon Freeland has made one career start against the Mariners, a 6-3 victory at Safeco Field last season. He pitched six innings in that game and allowed two runs on six hits. In five career interleague starts, Freeland is a perfect 4-0 while garenring a 2.14 ERA and gets my support here. Yes, the powerful Paxton goes to the hill for the Mariners, but with Colorados bats finally starting to heat up no pitcher is safe. Note: Rockies star offensive weapon Charlie Blackmon is back in form and hit a home run last night.During the Rockies recent' four-game win streak, Blackmon is batting .471 (8-for-17) with two homers.Blackmon has a .305 career average against southpaws like Paxton. Of the left-handed batters with a minimum of 750 plate appearances, the only ones in baseball history with a better average against southpaws are Ichiro Suzuki, Tony Gwynn, Rod Carew and Larry Walker. When this guy is on fire, the Rockies offence feeds off of him. It must also be noted that the Rockies have won 9 straight on the moneyline as a road underdog after a game in which Charlie Blackmon hit a home run. Mariners are 1-7 in Paxtons last 8 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mariners are 2-5 in Paxtons last 7 interleague starts.Rockies are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.Play on Colorado to win on the moneyline |
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07-07-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | 8-5 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Two top tier starting pitchers Severino (13-2, 1.98 ERA) and Happ (10-4, 4.03) go to the hill today to face each other in a tilt I have pegged as a pitcher duel.Severino has looked good vs the  Blue Jays this season going  2-0 with a 0.71 ERA in two starts and has currently on a 13 2./3 scoreless innings streak. In 17 career starts against the Yankees, Happ is  8-3 along with a 3.53 ERA.  Yesterday the Blue Jays started the series with a 6-2 victory , and chased the Yankees starter from the game early. Its very important to note however, that The Yankees have gone under 18 in a row  as a road favorite of more than 120 after a game in which their starter pitched less than three innings and it is not a series opener.The last 17 have only seen  three games reach the 8 run Totals plateau and non eclipsing it. The average combined score clicked in a 6.89 rpg. NY YANKEES are 15-6 UNDER  on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season with a combined average score of 7.2 rpg scored.TORONTO is 21-9 UNDER against division opponents this season with the average score of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on astroturf.Under is 24-5 in Yankees last 29 overall.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 road gamesUnder is 35-16-2 in Happs last 53 starts vs. American League East.Under is 36-17-3 in Happs last 56 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 21-10-3 in Happs last 34 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Play UNDER Play UNDER |
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07-06-18 | Braves +122 v. Brewers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R) Right-hander Mike Foltynewicz gets the nod from me here in tis spot as he starts for the Braves.  Foltynewicz owns a minuscule 0.87 ERA over his last nine starts, holding opponents to a .146 average during that stretch with 64 strikeouts in 52 innings.Needless to say , getting him on a value line looks very much like a blue chip investment option. Opponents scored more than one run against him in one of those above mentioned trips to the hill . The top tier right hander has held opponents scoreless in five of them, including his last outing when the Cardinals managed just one hit against him in five innings.Foltynewicz has owned  the Brewers during his four seasons in the big leagues, recording a 1.48 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee. He faced them twice last season, allowing two earned runs (five total) over 11 innings while striking out 15 and is my choice to deliver us some bankroll expanding profits in this spot vs the host Brewers. A key perfect trend also indicates the The Braves are 5-0 on the moneymen with Mike Foltynewicz as a underdog when they won his last three starts , which has just happened. I know the Braves have struggled a little bit of late, but they have proven resilient, and show good fight going forward as is evident by ATLANTA going 10-1  against the money line after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. I also know that the Braves face a good young pitcher in Peralleta but they have proven themselves vs strong pitching opponents, going 10-3 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are just 15-27 L/21 seasons for a long term go against 64% for bettors on the blind. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-06-18 | Rays v. Mets UNDER 7 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
RYAN STANEK (R) vs. JACOB DEGROM (R) Stanek the Mets starter today vs the struggling offence of the NY Mets has been in top form  in spot starts as an "opener" for the Rays. he recently had a  streak of 12 consecutive scoreless trips to the hill  halted in a  relief loss at Miami this past Monday . But the confident hurler  bounced back quickly with two shut out innings of relief the next day against the Marlins, striking out three in the process.  Note: Stanek is the only pitcher in history with seven straight scoreless starts, something I have taken into consideration as have the lines makers. Meanwhile, his Mets pitching opponent Jacob DeGrom, despite of owning the best ERA in the National League, continues to be frustrated, thanks to a lack of run support and clutch hitting by a offence that is averaging just 3.2 rpg on the season at home via a ugly .215 BA. He has made eight starts at home, posting a 2-2 record despite a 1.90 ERA and .199 batting average against. I expect he will be in top form again, vs a TB side that has averaged just 3.2 rpg in interleage action this season. Im expecting both pitchers and their bullpens to highlight what I'm betting will be a lower scoring fair that fails to eclipse the total. Note:The Mets  have gone 14 straight times in the first game of a series with rest as a home favorite off a game as a dog when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost ( That happened to Degrom last time out). The L/13 have not seen more than 7 runs scored, with the average combined score clicking in at 4.3 rpg.  The L/8 have seen 4 shutouts, and a combined average score of 3.5 rpg scored. The Rays had a day off yesterday: Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games following an off day. Under is 3-0-1 in Rays last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15Under is 12-4 in Rays last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 5-0 in Mets last 5 interleague home games.Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterUnder is 6-1 in Mets last 7 interleague games. Play UNDER |
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07-06-18 | A's +170 v. Indians | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
PAUL BLACKBURN (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R) A's will send Paul Blackburn (2-2, 6.46 ERA) to face the Tribe tonight. I know is stats don't look like their of the top tier variety , but what is important here is not his overall numbers, but the facts that in his last start on June 29 in Oakland, Blackburn owned the  Indians, pitching 6 1/3 scoreless innings and giving up just three hits in a 3-1 victory. . In two career starts against the Indians, Blackburn is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA. BLACKBURN is 9-3  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Cleveland will fire back  with the rusty Carlos Carrasco (8-5, 4.24), who will make his first start since June 16, a 9-3 loss to Minnesota. It will take him some time to get things going in the right direction, something he wasn't doing before being sidelined. There is a lot of value sitting on the table here, and even though there is never great value with consistently taking dogs on the blind in MLB (myth) , there are obviously consistent spots where underdogs can pay big dividends. This one has the  potential to pay out, according to my investment chart parameters. CARRASCO is 3-10  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 13-4  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 9-4  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. The Indians have lost 9 straight in the first game of a series with rest after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed. MLBRoad underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (OAKLAND) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more, starting a pitcher who walked 1 hitters or less each of his last 2 outings are 35-22 L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-05-18 | Angels v. Mariners -132 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
JAIME BARRIA (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) |
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07-05-18 | Padres +140 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 140 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R) |
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