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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-14-21 | Angels v. Royals +110 | 1-6 | Win | 110 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Brad Keller will look to turn things around against the Angels after two short starts to open the season. He allowed four runs on six hits in 3 1/3 innings last week against the White Sox, with three walks and three strikeouts. The righty likes pitching here at home and deserves respect on a value line . KELLER is 6-0 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)KANSAS CITY is 21-9 (against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. Royals are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Royals are 11-4 in their last 15 home games. Angels are 18-40 in their last 58 road games. Angels are 8-21 in their last 29 during game 3 of a series. Play on the Royals to win |
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04-13-21 | Thunder +17 v. Jazz | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
We have two teams playing at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum at the moment going head to head here this evening. The Jazz remain one of the leagues top teams, while the Thunder look to be in tank mode. But Im betting on the Jazz overlooking their downtrodden opponent, while I expect the Thunder to be motivated to play a top tier side, with a nothing to lose attitude. From a linesmakers perspective this is not an outlandish line considering the matchup, but the NBA is not a cut dry type of league when it comes to deciphering equilibriums , and with that said Ill take a contrarian view and recommend we plug our noses and take the points. Oklahoma City is 4-0 SU L/4 visits to Utah. OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-7 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-14 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 227-154 ATS L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 178-115 ATS L/24 seasons for a 61`% conversion rate. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-13-21 | Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 222 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate a total that should be closer to 218. Thus giving us value with an under wager. We have a full possession plus to work with this spot play. OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-8 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-20 UNDER (+10.0 Units) when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (UTAH) - a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against a struggling team ( 7 PPG or less differential), after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 26-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - a very good team (+7 or more PPG diff.) against a struggling team (- 7 or less PPG diff.) after 42 or more games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 23-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-13-21 | Lakers +2 v. Hornets | 101-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being without their two top players James and Davis have shown themselves to be a difficult team to face, thanks to a very strong defence that ranks 2nd in the league in ppg allowed and 1st in defensive efficiency. Its their conditioning that makes them dangerous because they run constantly in transition. Note:LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. I know the Lakers played yesterday and lost, but they are Lakers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog and are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and also 4-0 ATS off an SU loss and also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. Lakers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest. Charlotte also boasts a strong defensive presence but the Lakers rank higher , and in this type of head to head matchup have an edge according to my projections. Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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04-13-21 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 232 | 126-115 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Clippers rank 28th in pace in the NBA and own the 6th best ppg defense and 2nd ranked defensive rating and have allowed an average of 107 ppg on the road. Im betting the Clippers do what they do best and control the pace of this tilt and defensively own a side that is going to be in a regression mode tonight after taking part in a 132-125 uptempo affair last time out. This Im betting directly effects the the total combined score to the under here. INDIANA is 18-4 UNDER after scoring 130 points or more with an average of 201.4 ppg scored. LA CLIPPERS are 18-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score of 218.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - good 3PT shooting team ( 36.5% or more ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots are 28-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (LA CLIPPERS) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after allowing 115 points or more are 32-6 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, off a road win are 43-12 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-13-21 | Rangers v. Rays -166 | 8-3 | Loss | -166 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Over the past three years, Yarbrough has led the Rays in innings (344 2/3) despite making only 29 starts during that span and being introduced as a bulk-innings pitcher in 2018 and must not be underestimated in his ability to long here vs a struggling Texas offence. Since his debut in 2018, no pitcher with at least 300 innings has recorded a lower average exit velocity than Yarbrough’s 84.6 mph mark, according to Statcast. Yarbourgh gets my support. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 2-37 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. Play on the Rays to win |
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04-13-21 | Rangers -169 v. Devils | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
After gutting their team base of veteran players over the last couple of seasons, the Devils are a very young inexperienced side with little to no momentum and have lost 6 of their L/7 games. Meanwhile, the Rangers have shown a little life, and have won 8 of their L/14 and according to my power rankings have an edge. Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a favorite. Rangers are 60-29 in their last 89 games as a road favorite.Devils are 14-37 in their last 51 games as a home underdog. Road team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. NEW JERSEY is 0-10 against the money line in home games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season.NEW JERSEY is 4-18 against the money line in home games this season. Play on NY Rangers to win |
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04-12-21 | Nuggets -4 v. Warriors | 107-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver is off a down performance last time out and now Im betting on a big bounce back effort. DENVER is 20-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 28-4 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Denver to cover |
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04-12-21 | Bulls +3 v. Grizzlies | 90-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The Bulls were upset last night vs Minnesota , but they are a well conditioned group despite of this being a back to back game, and their 5th and final road game on this current trip. Donovan is 17-5 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of CHICAGO. CHICAGO is 13-4 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. Chicago is 18-10 SU against opponents with a losing record. The Grizzlies are 12-15 SU in home games. Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bulls are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bulls to cover |
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04-12-21 | Wizards v. Jazz OVER 234.5 | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jazz average just under 120 ppg at home this season, and against a lower tier defensive side like the Wizards Im betting on them putting 5 to 10 more points on that average tonight, while the Wizards Im betting will be good for 110+ points in a chasing environment. When these teams played back on March 18th the Wizards took a 131-122 affair, and more fireworks should be considered highly likely again in the rematch as Utah will have little empathy in melt up type of revenge match.WASHINGTON is 15-3 OVER as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 247.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season with a combined average of 250.7 ppg going on the board.WASHINGTON is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 258.3 ppg scored. NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-12-21 | Coyotes +290 v. Avalanche | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: ARIZONA - ADIN HILL, COLORADO - JONAS JOHANSSON . There is alot of value on this current offered line, despite of the opposite records which makes for viable wagering opportunity. Coyotes are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NHL underdog against the money line (ARIZONA) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more are 21-9 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win/cover |
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04-12-21 | 76ers -2.5 v. Mavs | 113-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Dallas lost to San Antonio last night in a close game by a 119-117 count and are now on tired legs against a top tier side that beat them already this year by a DD deficit. Rinse and repeat on tonights agenda. Carlisle is 36-53 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. DALLAS is 0-7 ATS after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season. The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite after being outscored in the paint by double digits last game with each win coming by by more than 5 points. PHILADELPHIA is 22-12 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 63-105 L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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04-12-21 | Rangers v. Rays -197 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Tyler RHP(0-0, 0.75 ERA, 15 SO)Glasnow will look to continue his excellent start to the season, having allowed just one run while striking out 15 in 12 innings over two starts. He has a career 3.92 ERA with 110 strikeouts in 78 innings over 16 starts at Tropicana Field and gives us an edge here with the home chalk. Tampa Bay is according to my power rankings the far superior side here today and deserve my support on a favorite line that requires laying some heavy lumber. TEXAS is 1-15 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 0-10 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 2-36 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 6-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-11-21 | Bulls v. Wolves +5 | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota has played alot more competitively of late especially with Karl-Anthony Towns in the lineup covering 6 of their L/9 and once again according to my power rankings look like viable underdogs in this spot play vs the visiting Chicago Bulls side that has lost 9 of their L/14 SU overall and off a loss last time out. CHICAGO is 17-31 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Bulls are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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04-11-21 | Spurs v. Mavs OVER 220 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Spurs D has been trashed on a very consistent basis of late, allowing 134, 132, 134, 139, 125, 121 points in a 10 game span, and against this kind of opponent my estimates project Dallas to score in excess of 115+ points while the Spurs project to score 109+ points. Note: DALLAS is 20-4 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 238 ppg going on the board. The Spurs are 11-0-1 OVER L/12 as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers last game with a combined average of 237.1 ppg scored. Popovich is 34-16 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 as the coach of SAN ANTONIO with a combined average of 231.1 ppg going on the board . Play OVER |
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04-11-21 | Bucks -8.5 v. Magic | 124-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The Bucks have now lost 3 straight games, and will be vert hungry to get back on the winning track against a Orlando side they match up well against according to my power rankings and SRS numbers data. Milwaukee is ranked 4th in SRS 4.31 while, Orlando is ranked 27th with a -6.94 mark. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Advantage Milwaukee. Bucks are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 11-33 L/24 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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04-11-21 | Capitals -107 v. Bruins | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Capitals enter this game playing a crammed schedule, but are 6-0 in their last 6 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. They also seem to like Sunday hockey going 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games. The Capitals are also 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite. Meanwhile, Boston is in a back to back situation, which has not been positive for them recently as their 2-5 record on no rest would indicate. With revenge on board for a previous loss to the Bruins, Im betting on a motivated effort from the Capitals in this spot.WASHINGTON is 7-0 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. Play on Washington to win |
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04-11-21 | Phillies v. Braves -155 | 7-6 | Loss | -155 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Atlantas starter Drew Smyly(LHP) 0-0, 3.00 ERA, 8 SO curveball was effective as he recorded eight strikeouts and allowed just two earned runs in his season debut against the Nationals and looks like a viable option in this spot. Meanwhile, Phillies Matt Moore(LHP)0-0, 5.40 ERA, 4 SO struggled on Monday in his Phillies' debut. After he retired the first seven batters he faced, striking out four, he lost command of his pitches. He exited after just 3 1/3 innings, and now looks like fade material in his current form. ATLANTA is 12-0 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 11-0 ( against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 season. ATLANTA is 70-27 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Atlanta to win |
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04-11-21 | Nationals v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Max Scherzer (RHP)0-0, 6.00 ERA, 9 SO will make his second start of the season after pitching on Opening Day, when he allowed four home runs and struck out nine against the Braves. Meanwhile, Clayton Kershaw despite of a strong effort last time out has been very inconsistent since spring training and could easily get lit up here a Nationals side that my projections estimate matches up well against him. Over is 10-0-1 in Nationals last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog. WASHINGTON is 16-3 OVER against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 12-1 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 20-7 OVER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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04-11-21 | Coyotes +215 v. Golden Knights | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Coyotes are playing good hockey and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and deserve respect here on a big underdog line. Coyotes are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game which was the case this past Friday in a 7-4 loss to these same Knights .ARIZONA is 18-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Coyotes to win |
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04-11-21 | Rockies +116 v. Giants | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
German Marquez (RHP0-0, 3.60 ERA, 7 SO)After struggling with command on Opening Day, Márquez was better in his second start, at home Tuesday against the D-backs asnd now with momentum looks like a viable selection in an underdog role.
MARQUEZ is 11-3 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MARQUEZ is 23-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) MARQUEZ is 23-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on Colorado to win |
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04-11-21 | Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 105-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Afternoon basketball can start a little slower then night time hoops, and today Im betting on an affair that is grinding in nature and that combines to stay under the offered totals number. Denver runs the 29th ranked pace in the NBA along with the 9th best ppg defence. Meanwhile, Boston ranks 21st in pace in own the 10th best ppg defence. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 overall. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-11-21 | Padres -161 v. Rangers | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Adrian Morejon(LHP)0-0, 4.50 ERA, 2 SOThus far, the Padres' decision to convert Morejon into a full-time starter has been a smooth one. He was excellent all spring and was sharp in his start against the Giants. Morejon allowed two runs before he was pinch-hit for in the fourth inning. In his current form he gives the Padres the needed edge to get us a win here. TEXAS is 9-26 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.'SAN DIEGO is 23-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (TEXAS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 31-105 L/24 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego to win |
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04-11-21 | Royals v. White Sox -125 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Royals lefty Mike Minor(1-0, 6.00 ERA, 6 SO)made it through six innings on April 3 against the Rangers, but he allowed four runs on four hits in his season debut and Im betting the White Sox strong left handed batting order adjusts and even does more damage in the rematch.
CHI WHITE SOX are 18-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on the White Sox to win |
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04-11-21 | Hawks v. Hornets UNDER 219.5 | 105-101 | Win | 102 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
Charlotte plays a style conducive to slowing down teams like Atlanta. This Im betting will see this afternoon tilt garner alot less scoring than some may be anticipated. Play UNDER |
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04-10-21 | 76ers v. Thunder OVER 216.5 | 117-93 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City's D, has been shredded on a consistent basis of late, allowing an average of 129.4 ppg in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. With that said, Im expecting this trend to continue which projects into what Im betting will be a combined score that eclipses this offered totals number. Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 10-2 in Thunder last 12 home games. Over is 26-10-1 in 76ers last 37 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-10-21 | Kings v. Jazz -12 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings have lost 5 straight games, and look very much like they will lose again tonight and by a hefty count vs a Utah side that can crush the best of sides without empathy. UTAH is 10-2 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season . Jazz are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite. The Jazz are 16-0 ATS /SU at home after Rudy Gobert had a double double last game. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover |
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04-10-21 | Lightning v. Predators +160 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
TB has lost 5 of their L/8 while Nashville has won 9 of their L/10. TB gets the favorite role here based on brand recognition and value resides with the Preds. TAMPA BAY is 4-13 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. NASHVILLE is 21-13 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons. Play on Nashville to win |
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04-10-21 | Phillies v. Braves -128 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 3 straight and beginning to heat up putting 8 runs on the board in a 8-1 win yesterday vs these same Phillies. More of the same action coming today. ATLANTA is 11-0 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - struggling offensive team - scoring 4.0 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after a combined score of 2 runs or less are 29-9 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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04-10-21 | Senators +290 v. Maple Leafs | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Toronto has won 5 in a row in 8 of their L/9 , but the last time they played the Sens, the underdog Sens looked like they matched up well and hung on to a 4-3 win. Rinse and repeat on a big value ML offering. TORONTO is 2-11 against the money line off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 0-4 ATS in home games after a 5 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons. Play on Ottawa to win |
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04-10-21 | Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
#1 GOALTENDERS: CHICAGO - KEVIN LANKINEN, COLUMBUS - JOONAS KORPISALO CHICAGO is 8-0 UNDER after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season. CHICAGO is 5-0 UNDER in road games against terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season. Under is 5-0 in Blackhawks last 5 games as a road favorite. COLUMBUS is 10-1 UNDER against lower tier defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4 gpg. Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CHICAGO) - after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games are 145-84 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-10-21 | Padres -166 v. Rangers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Padres have faired well vs Interlegue righties of late and Jordan Lyles Im betting will be another one of a long line of starters that feels the heat of the Padres consistent offence this Saturday. Padres are 9-0 in their last 9 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. SAN DIEGO is 22-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Padres are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Play on San Diego to win |
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04-10-21 | Brewers +102 v. Cardinals | 9-5 | Win | 102 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Adrian Houser (0-1, 3.60 ERA, 4 SO) when he is on, he's a ground-ball machine. He did a good job of that in his season debut against the Twins following a shaky first inning. He'll be seeing the Cardinals with fresh eyes; Houser didn't start against them last year. Im betting his style matches up well vs the Cards. COUNSELL is 24-12 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span as the manager of MILWAUKEE. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 23-53 L/5 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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04-10-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | 9-5 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
ADRIAN HOUSER (R) vs. CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) Both these teams have gone under the total in their L/4 games, and after comparing the starting pitchers and bullpen my projections give us value on a under wager. MILWAUKEE is 18-4 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 18-6 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) over the last 3 seasons. Under is 8-0 in Brewers last 8 during game 2 of a series. Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 home games. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis. Play on the UNDER |
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04-10-21 | Bruins -116 v. Flyers | 2-3 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Bruins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games and get my support today vs a Flyers side, that has lost 13 of their L/16 overall as underdogs. PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. PHILADELPHIA is 2-7 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. Play on Boston Bruins to win |
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04-09-21 | Rockets +12 v. Clippers | 109-126 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Playing hard last night in a start to finish win vs the Suns, the clippers now on tired legs and not completely focused on this lowly opponent ( Rockets) should offer room for a cover by the road underdog that has covered 3 of their L/5 and not lost by more than 10 points in their L/8 games. HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 8-21 ATS in home games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1996 NBA team (LA CLIPPERS) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 19-57 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate. Play on the Rockets to cover |
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04-09-21 | Reds v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -121 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
Reds right hander Tyler Mahle (1-0, 3.60 ERA), 9 SOIn a 9-6 win over the Cardinals on Saturday, Mahle touched 98 mph with his four-seam fastball, and he was getting strikes, as he fanned nine batters over five-plus innings. In his current form he wont be easily hit. Meanwhile, righty Taylor Widener (1-0, 0.00 ERA, 5 SO was originally scheduled to pitch Saturday but was moved up a day when Caleb Smith was removed from the rotation. He is still pitching on regular rest because of last Monday's off-day. He provides a good arm here, and with the backup of a vialbe bullpene should limit the Reds flaming hot bats. Under is 10-1 in Reds last 11 vs. National League West. Under is 35-15-1 in Reds last 51 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. MAHLE is 16-6 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 22-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.BELL is 25-12 UNDER in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse as the manager of CINCINNATI.Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall. Play UNDER |
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04-09-21 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 220.5 | 119-121 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Denver owns the 9th ranked ppg D in the NBA behind the 29th ranked pace, while, San Antonio ranks 15th in pce in 22nd in offense ppg. Considering both sides condensed exhausting schedule, and their other pertinent numbers we have a projected tilt that very much looks like a combined score that fails to eclipse this number is a likely scenario. Malone is 10-1 UNDER in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 198.6 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 214.6 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-09-21 | 76ers v. Pelicans +7.5 | 94-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams is playing all that well of late, but considering this is the Sixers 5th game in 9 days means they are the more tired side here. With that said, Im betting we have an edge with the home side . SRS numbers -Phil 4.81 vs NO - 0.32- Suggest the number is tainted with general value going to the underdog. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average 76ers are 10-22-2 ATS in their last 34 road games vs. a team with a winning home record 76ers are 1-3-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on the NO Pelicans to cover |
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04-08-21 | Pistons +6.5 v. Kings | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
The Pistons have been very competitive of late covering 10 of their L/15 overall, but they did get beat up on by Denver last time out, 134-119. The thin air of the Mile High city and the fact the Pistons were playing back to back games and already on tired legs contributed to their loss. Now with rest Im betting on them coming out here alot fresher vs a Kings side they have revenge against for a 110-107 loss back in late February. DETROIT is 8-0 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season. DETROIT is 20-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Road underdogs (DETROIT) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible to being run over by a side that will have little empathy for them, as they look to send a message their upstart conference rivals. LA CLIPPERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. LA CLIPPERS are 62-42 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. NBA road underdogs (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 222.5 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Phoenix suns played and emotional game that ended in a OT win vs Utah last night, and now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state are susceptible to a very slow start and a down offensive performance against a defense that has alot of stopping power as is evident by ranking 6th in ppg allowed behind the 27th ranked pace. Advantage under. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 71-31 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 40-13 L/7 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-08-21 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 230 | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Utah enters this game off an exhausting game last night vs the Suns, losing in OT. Now in an emotional letdown spot I expect the Jazz to not be as aggressive offensive as usual which Im betting results in a game that goes under the set total. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are they 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-08-21 | Cavs v. Thunder +3.5 | 129-102 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Both these sides are playing sub par hoops at the moment, but according to my projections we have value with the home dog in this spot play. CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS against Northwest division opponents this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games are 8-30 L/24 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-08-21 | Devils v. Sabres +117 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The NJ Devils will deal with playing without key components newly traded Kyle Palmieri, Travis Zajac tonight vs a Buffalo team that is playing better winning 3 of their L/4 games overall. BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Sabres to win |
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04-08-21 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 8 | 2-10 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Berríos didn't get a third consecutive Opening Day nod, but he'll start Minnesota's home opener after he held the Brewers hitless over six innings and matched a career-high with 12 strikeouts on April 3 Im betting he shuts down the Mariners while Marco Gonzalez and company do just enough to limit the Mariners in a game I have pegged to go under the total. MINNESOTA is 25-7 UNDER vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. MINNESOTA is 13-1 UNDER in home games after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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04-08-21 | Cubs v. Pirates +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games are 32-4 L/25 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. |
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04-07-21 | Jazz -1.5 v. Suns | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
The Jazz will be ramped up take out the Suns this Wednesday night in Phoenix after the Suns took out Utah in their New Year eve game by DDs. Im sure the Jazz were side swiped by a team that they had probably previously over looked. it must be noted that the Jazz since last season have been one of the leagues most dangerous road teams winning 30 off 44 games SU, including a 7-0 SU mark vs a side they have revenge against. Note: Utah is 3rd in ppg allowed defense and 3rd in ppg offense and rank 1st in the NBA in SRS with a 10.02 mark vs the Suns 3rd ranked SRS with a 6.33 mark which includes ranking 5th in defense ppg, and 9th in ppg offense. Utah has won their 3 most recent visits to Phoenix. Rinse and repeat event on board. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. The Phoenix Suns are 4-185-2 ATS at home in SU losses to avenging opponents, including 0-30 ATS in their last 30 games. Play on Utah to cover |
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04-07-21 | Grizzlies v. Hawks -2.5 | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are a hot team in search of their 14th victory in 18 games under interim coach Nate McMillan and will host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night. I know they played last night but are a well conditioned team and more than capable of continuing to run and gun here vs a Memphis side that also played last night and , that they this franchise has beaten at home in 17 of their L/24 games. Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Grizzlies are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (MEMPHIS) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a double digit win as a underdog of 6 points or more are 1-29 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -9.5 ppg. Play on atlanta to win /cover |
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04-07-21 | Orioles v. Yankees -182 | 4-3 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
New York enters Taillon's debut with a major-league leading 1.76 ERA. The Yankees have allowed three runs or less in the first five games of the season for the first time since 1992 and I will recommend we ride the rightys momentum into this tilt vs the Orioles. He was off last season, after Tommy John surgery but looked brilliant in spring training recording a 1-1 record and a 1.08 ERA in four spring games (three starts), striking out 14 against four walks in 8 1/3 innings. NY YANKEES are 15-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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04-07-21 | Pirates v. Reds -206 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Castillos last start vs. the Pirates was a seven-inning, three-hit, 10-strikeout performance during a 1-0 win on Sept. 16, 2020. Im betting on a strong effort here today and for the Reds explosive offense to buoy him. PITTSBURGH is 2-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 34-74 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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04-06-21 | Ducks v. Sharks -170 | 5-1 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The San Jose Sharks look to extend their season-long winning streak to five games on Tuesday night as they host a Anaheim Ducks side that they have dominated this season going 4-0-1 against. Rinse and repeat.
Play on San Jose to win |
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04-06-21 | White Sox -136 v. Mariners | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito The White Sox ace was solid in his second straight Opening Day start, striking out eight and walking two over 5 1/3 innings. The right-hander’s changeup was especially effective, as he allowed just two runs before leaving and get my support here. GIOLITO is 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)Meanwhile, lefty James Paxton who was initially slated to start Game 2 on Friday, but he was pushed back due to what manager Scott Servais summed up to extra rest could easily find the going tough here as his conditioned is in question. Note: CHI WHITE SOX are 17-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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04-06-21 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 237.5 | 121-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
This is the Bucks 5th straight road game and now on tired legs I expect a slower pace from them here and a more defensive minded stance, as they allowed 128 points last time out in a back and forth 129-128 win. Note: MILWAUKEE is 20-9 UNDER after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219. 8 ppg scored. The Warriors are 0-10-2 UNDER off a road loss in which Stephen Curry had a positive plus/minus. GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 UNDER versus below average foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NB ARoad teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more are 29-5 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-06-21 | Dodgers v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Kershaw has made four previous starts against the A's, going 0-0 despite a 1.35 ERA. Kershaw is 21-5 in interleague play, with a 1.71 ERA in three starts in Oakland and today Im betting he holds down the struggling bats of the As after struggling on opening day. Meanwhile, right hander Chris Bassitt drew the first Opening Day assignment of his career last week against Houston. Though he took the loss, the righty kept the A's in the ballgame, allowing three runs on four hits in 5 1/3 innings and will be primed to help his team get its first win of the season.
Play UNDER |
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04-06-21 | Pistons +14 v. Nuggets | 119-134 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Pistons have played well against top tier sides like Denver as is evident by a 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. DETROIT is also 11-1 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a sub par 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and is 8-18 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. I know The Nuggets scored a 119-109 win on Sunday over Orlando for their fifth straight and are hot, but this number is just slightly inflated and gives us some needed value. Detroit also looked good last time out, taking a 132-108 win vs the Thunder and have momentum entering this tilt.Road underdogs (DETROIT) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 52-24 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate. Detroit has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series and Im betting they stay within the number here tonight. Play on the Pistons to cover |
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04-06-21 | Grizzlies v. Heat OVER 216 | 124-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Over is 5-1-1 in Grizzlies last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and tonight Im betting they push the red hot Heat into a faster paced more offensive game then they would like to partake in. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. MIAMI is 8-0 OVER in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 238.4 ppg scored. MIAMI is 13-3 OVER in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg. MEMPHIS is 9-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 11-2 OVER in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. Only one of Grizzlies last 10 games have seen less than 216 combined points scored. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Miami. Play OVER |
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04-06-21 | 76ers -1 v. Celtics | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
Boston is owns the 6th best SRS in the league at 4.57 while Boston ranks 10th with a 1.96 mark. My projections and power rankings along with the SRS data, makes the 76ers the fav by 2.5 plus points making them my selection this spot. Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 25-1 L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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04-06-21 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 223 | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
The Sixers ranks 7th in ppg allowed while the Celtics rank 10th behind the 21st ranked pace. Both sides are considered eastern conference contenders and rivals and tonight Im betting on a physical affair, as both jockey for play off seeding possibilities and domination from a head to head standpoint. Boston has gone under in 5 straight. Philadelphia have stayed under in 8 of their L/11 overall. BOSTON is 30-11 UNDER L/41 after a huge blowout win by 30 or more with the average combined score of 193 ppg scored. (Beat Charlotte 116-86 last time out) Regression is expected. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 51-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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04-06-21 | Lakers v. Raptors -2 | 110-101 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lakers remain without the services of Anthony Davis and LeBron James and are fade material in their current form that has seen them lose 6 of the L/9 and while covering just 2 times. The Lakers also have a history of poor performances vs the Atlantic division failing to cover 20 of their L/24 opportunities including 4 straight meetings vs the Raptors as visitors. Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on the Raptors to cover |
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04-06-21 | Pelicans v. Hawks -3 | 107-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
04-06-21 | Pirates v. Reds -148 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
The Reds can record a fourth straight victory by handing the visiting Pirates their fourth consecutive defeat when the NL Central foes continue their series on Tuesday night and thats what Im betting happens. Pirates Wade Miley Miley dealt with a hamstring issue that briefly halted his spring. The club moved him back to the fifth spot so he could get extra reps on the side, including an intrasquad scrimmage on Wednesday. In 10 career starts vs. Pittsburgh, he owns a viable 3.98 ERA. He and his bullpen get the nod today vs journeyman Cahil who worked just 3 2/3 innings in spring training.PITTSBURGH is 2-20 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 2-19 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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04-06-21 | Twins -131 v. Tigers | 3-4 | Loss | -131 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
Twins starter J.A. Happ saw some questioning from the media talking heads as to whether he would be fully prepared for the start of the season, due to a positive COVID-19 test at the start of camp, but he appears to be stretched out and ready to pitch and as far as the covid 19 went showed no real symptoms. Happ had a 3.47 ERA for the Yankees last year. HAPP is 33-15 (+14.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Tigers starter Casey Mize their top pitching prospect had to fight for a spot while battling command issues in Spring Training, but he still struck out 21 batters over 14 innings. Mize faced the Twins three times last year, posting an 8.49 ERA with 11 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings and is fade material here. DETROIT is 1-16 against the money line in home games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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04-05-21 | White Sox -116 v. Mariners | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
White Sox Carlos Rodon was non-tendered by the White Sox this past offseason but brought back two months later via free agency and had a tremendous Spring Training. He is fully healthy after throwing 42 1/3 innings over the last two seasons and Im recommending we ride his momentum today vs another LHP Sheffield. us Spring Training. He is fully healthy after throwing 42 1/3 innings over the last two seasons. Rodon, who is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three career starts against Seattle
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play on Chicago White Sox to win |
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04-05-21 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 9.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Astros starter Luis Garcia hadn’t pitched above Class A ball before appearing in five games for the Astros in 2020, posting a 2.92 ERA. That included five scoreless innings in his only big league regular-season start Sept. 9. Meanwhile, Halos starter Jose Quintana is set to make his Angels debut after a strong Spring Training that saw him post a 3.32 ERA in six starts. He was limited to just 10 innings due to injury in 2020 but is fully healthy now. Both hurlers and bullpends according to my projections give us an edge on the under.QUINTANA is 71-44 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)BAKER is 141-100 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in all games he has managed since 1997.Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 8-3-2 in Angels last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play UNDER |
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04-05-21 | Baylor +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-05-21 | Suns v. Rockets OVER 222 | 133-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
The Suns, who will visit the Houston Rockets on Monday, closed Sunday ranked seventh in offensive rating (115.3) and tonight Im betting on more offensive explosiveness, that will result in a wide open affair that eclipses this number. The Rockets are 21-0-1 OVER with no rest after a loss in which they led after the third quarter which was the case last time out. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 61-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-05-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Nets | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The Knicks have proved themselves to be a top tier defensive side this season behind key catalyst Rose who plays into their system perfectly. Since Derrick Rose came to this team the Knicks own the best defense in the NBA as is evident by allowing just 107.2 points per 100 possessions. Tonight whether James Harden or Durant play for the Nets, I still like the Knicks and their never say die attitude, and hard core physical attributes and team chemistry to make life difficult for the Nets.The Knicks are 9-2 ATS l/11 on the road vs .750 or better opposition. The Knicks have lost both meetings this season, by 5 and 7 points respectively and another close one will be on this agenda , but Im betting on the Knicks tenaciousness to get them the cover in revenge mode. Note:Knicks are 4-0 ATS in this series when playing with same-season double revenge- exact . Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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04-05-21 | Cardinals v. Marlins -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
St.Louis Cards are set to visit the Miami Marlins on Monday night for the start of a three-game series. The Marlins starter Rogers ranked second in the majors with 29 strikeouts, earning praise from Marlins manager Don Mattingly. Tonight we will ride what could easily be a surprise standout in the Miami rotation this season. Meanwhile, Cards starter Ponce de Leon, 29, has made 33 major league appearances, including 20 starts, and his ERA has risen in each of his three seasons (2.73, 3.70 and 4.96). His walk rate per nine innings has also gone up each year (3.5, 4.8 and 5.5) and is fade material according to my projections. MIAMI is 8-0 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. ( Marlins bats exploded yesterday winning by 12-7 count, and that offenive momentum Im betting will buoy them to a win today) Play on Miami to win |
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04-05-21 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 15-6 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Jose Urena -The Tigers starter today signed Ureña to provide veteran stability to the rotation, but also because they saw upside in his game. He had an up-and-down Spring Training, including more walks (nine) than hits (seven) over 14 innings, but he showed an electric arsenal. Meanwhile, Matt Shoemaker the Twins starter has only made 18 starts in the last three seasons due to a series of setbacks, but he’s hopeful that his “freak injuries” are behind him, as the 2014 AL Rookie of the Year Award runner-up aims to rebuild his stock with the Twin. He is a quality stable hurler when healthy. Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 14-6-1 in Twins last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 14-6-2 in Twins last 22 road games. MINNESOTA is 27-11 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 27-10 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.MINNESOTA is 30-16 UNDER against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | White Sox +1.5 v. Angels | 4-7 | Loss | -168 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
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04-04-21 | Warriors v. Hawks UNDER 225.5 | 111-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks return home and are now on tired legs after their season-long eight-game road trip and now this Sunday play to host the Golden State Warriors.Both sides are banged up as the condensed schedule takes its toll on teams. If Warriors Seth curry plays he will be less than 100% with a sore tailbone as will Atlantas Trae Young who has knee issues. With that said, Im betting on a muted type tilt that will be slower than might be expected, which will translate into a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers estimates. The last time these teams played the Hawks pounded the Warriors by a DD deficit and now I expect the Warriors to be more vigilant defensively.Note: Kerr is 35-18 UNDER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 216.5 ppg scored.GOLDEN STATE is 34-21 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 18-9 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 222.9 ppg scored. The Warriors are 0-10 UNDER L/10 after they had at least 5 turnovers more than their season-to-date average last game with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 47-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Blue Jackets +151 v. Panthers | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
The Columbus Blue Jackets, who are on pace to miss the playoffs for the first time in five years are now in desperation mode and need a win badly. I know the Panthers beat up on the Jackets yesterday by a 5-2 count but the Jackets have been resilient of late after a loss by 3 or more goals going 7-2 L/9 opportunities. Play on Columbus to win |
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04-04-21 | Diamondbacks +192 v. Padres | 3-1 | Win | 192 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Widener pitched well for the D-backs out of the bullpen last year, and he will take the spot of the injured Zac Gallen in the rotation to start the year. Widener improved his slider this spring, which should help him be even better in 2021. ARIZONA is 20-8 against the money line in road games with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings since 1997. SAN DIEGO is 9-17 ( against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% or less) over the last 3 seasons. Play on the DBacks to win |
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04-04-21 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 86-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The Lakers modus operandi has been a top tier brand of defense , as is evident by ranking 2nd in the league in ppg allowed, behind what is now a short handed offense that ranks 22nd in ppg scored this season. The Lakers have gone under in 9 of their L/10 games. Competing here against the explosive Clippers Im betting will see the Lakers be even more attentive in transition which will dictate a slower pace (ranked 15th in the league) than is usually the case and this this will translate into a combined score that does not eclipse this offered number. LA LAKERS are 16-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 210.7 ppg. LA LAKERS are 20-4 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season for a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 16-3 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215 ppg. LA LAKERS are 23-8 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 10-2 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 212.7 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 92-38 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller (1-1, 2.91 ERA in 2020) is scheduled to oppose Zach Davies (7-4, 2.73 ERA in 2020) in a battle of right-handers. Its another windy April day in Chicago and these two pitchers and their bullpens should provide us with a lower scoring affair in difficult conditions. Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. National League Central. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Twins v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-2 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Minnesota will send right-hander Michael Pineda to the mound against Milwaukee right-hander Adrian Houser on Sunday afternoon in the rubber game of their season-opening three-game series in Milwaukee. My projections estimate both hurlers matchup well against the others batting order and should go fairly deep. .Under is 7-2 in Twins last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-2 in Twins last 9 road games.Under is 16-5-3 in Twins last 24 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 39-18-4 in Twins last 61 overall.Under is 39-18-4 in Twins last 61 on grass.Under is 45-22-2 in Twins last 69 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 games following a loss.Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 15-6 in Brewers last 21 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 36-15-3 in Brewers last 54 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 overall. Play UNDER |
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04-04-21 | Nets -2 v. Bulls | 107-115 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
The Nets come into the game 34-15, fresh off an truly eye opening 111-89 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Thursday night. The home blowout represented a fourth straight victory for the Nets, who have won 12 of their last 14 to climb to the top of the Eastern Conference during this hot stretch. This team is heading into top gear and looks unstoppable in their current form especially against an inconsistent Bulls side that looks lost after 6 straight losses where they have been outplayed. Note: The Nets are 14-2 in 2/1 rest situations and are 6-1 ATS L/7 in this series . Rinse and repeat situation on board. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Even if Durant is not in the lineup today the Nets still have the guns to defeat the Bulls. NBA Road teams (BROOKLYN) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 62-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn Nets to win |
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04-04-21 | Indians v. Tigers +1.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Tigers starter Skubal, one of baseball’s top pitching prospects, won a rotation spot in Detroit based on his impressive Spring Training performance and a focus that impressed manager A.J. Hinch. He faced Cleveland once last year, striking out five over 2 1/3 innings of one-run ball and gets my support here today vs the Indians on the RL/ MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are 11-30 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - off 2 straight upset losses to division rivals as a road favorite, vs. division opponents are L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to cover +1.5 |
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04-03-21 | Pacers +5.5 v. Spurs | 139-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs have not played well at home this season, and have won only twice through the first seven games of their franchise-high 9 game home-stand, and once again look like vulnerable favs in this spot. Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I know that the Pacers are not exactly playing great basketball, but a sense of desperation now permeates around this team, and a win is extremely important right now. This Im betting will see the Pacers pull out all the stops here this evening, making getting points a viable investment option. Pacers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Pacers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a double-digit loss at homePacers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio. NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 31-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover |
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04-03-21 | Giants -114 v. Mariners | 0-4 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Webb dazzled this spring, allowing only one run over 17 innings (0.53 ERA) in five starts during exhibition play and I recommend we ride his momentum into this tilt on a short line .Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games as a favorite.Mariners are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague home games. Play on the Giants to win |
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04-03-21 | UCLA +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 82 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-03-21 | Cavs v. Heat OVER 204.5 | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Cleveland has been held under 100 points in each of its past four games, but all the more need to open up, which will effect their defensive numbers. Miami popped 116 points on the board last time out, and are more than capable of putting points on the board here. MIAMI is 9-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.2 ppg. MIAMI is 15-4 OVER in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 226 ppg going on the board. MIAMI is 11-1 OVER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.7 ppg. CLEVELAND is 13-4 OVER in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.4 ppg were scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 25-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games are 35-11 OVER L/24 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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04-03-21 | Cavs v. Heat -11.5 | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Cleveland has lost 4 straight games by DD deficits and even now in desperation mode look like candidates to be blown out of the water in another blowout style affair. vs a Heat side that is heating up and that has won and cover 5 straight in this series at home. The Cavaliers are 0-11 ATS /SU failing to cover by more than 14 ppg as a 8+ point dog after Collin Sexton was their high scorer last game with the average ppg diff clicking in at 25.1 ppg. CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.4 ppg. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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04-03-21 | Houston +5 v. Baylor | 59-78 | Loss | -107 | 97 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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04-02-21 | Bucks v. Blazers UNDER 236.5 | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
These teams have plenty of offensive fire power, but they both still possess some physical defensive attributes, and Im betting those stopping qualities will shine in this tilt between top tier sides. I expect both teams to pay special attention to defense especially in transition. Bucks HC Budenholzer is 83-56 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in all games he has coached with the average combined score ringing in at 209.9 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/ PORTLAND) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 29-4 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PORTLAND) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-8 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-02-21 | White Sox +106 v. Angels | 12-8 | Win | 106 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
The left-hander Keuchel begins his second season with the White Sox, and looks prepared to build off a tremendous debut in which he produced a 1.99 ERA in 11 starts. The veteran feels ready to go after throwing 11 1/3 Cactus League innings. KEUCHEL is 12-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.185. Meanwhile, Angels , southpaw, Andrew Heaney was the club's Opening Day starter in 2020 and had a 4.46 ERA in 12 starts with 70 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings. He has allowed way to may homers , and is always susceptible to allowing big innings bv opposition offences. CHI WHITE SOX are 15-0 against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
Play on White Sox to win |
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04-02-21 | Hawks +2 v. Pelicans | 126-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks and the New Orleans Pelicans both played overtime Thursday night.Both were short-handed. Both will be tired when they complete back-to-backs with a Friday night matchup in New Orleans. However, one side the Hawks does have the edge according to my power rankings which adjust for conditioning. The Hawks rank higher on my charts and are one of the better conditioned sides in the league. Pelicans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite and are also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Hawks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Hawks HC McMillan is 13-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games in all games he has coached since 1996. NEW ORLEANS is 1-12 ATS in home games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more- 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-02-21 | Rockets v. Celtics UNDER 223.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Houston ranks 25th in ppg offence , while Boston ranks 16th in offensive ppg output. both have proven themselves highly inconsistent offensively and Im betting on more of the same muted action when they meet this Friday night. Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games as a road underdog. HOUSTON is 18-4 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average score of 216.6 ppg. HOUSTON is 25-9 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season for a combined average of 217.9 ppg. HOUSTON is 14-2 UNDER after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Boston. Play UNDER |
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04-02-21 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 225.5 | 77-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The Raptors in my opinion are in tank mode and playing with little or no motivation, and their offence has proven futile for a quite a while now. The Raptors are 0-12 UNDER L/12 at home off a loss in which they shot under 40% from the field, which was the case last time out. Torontos opponent Golden State, is 20-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons . This game has sleeper written all over it, that will translate to a lower scoring affair. Play on the UNDER |
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04-01-21 | Astros v. A's -105 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
Chris Bassitt draws the first Opening Day assignment of his career. The 32-year-old emerged as Oakland’s unlikely ace in 2020, going 5-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 63 innings. The right-hander looked sharp this spring, posting a 1.74 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, Astros -Zack Greinke will be the fifth Opening Day assignment for Greinke, who started for the Royals in 2010 and the D-backs in ’16-17 and ’19. He’s never won on Opening Day, though, going 0-1 with an 8.20 ERA. That includes two starts with the D-backs in which he gave up seven earned runs. Advantage with As at home behind Bassit as the starter. HOUSTON is 3-12 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 6-20 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. Astros are 10-21 in their last 31 games as a road underdog.Astros are 5-12 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. OAKLAND is 29-13 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. Athletics are 90-37 in their last 127 games as a home favorite.Athletics are 50-22 in their last 72 home games.Athletics are 67-32 in their last 99 games as a favorite. Play on Oakland to win |
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04-01-21 | Magic v. Pelicans OVER 219 | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly, which could see their improving defensive game lapse early giving us the room for a faster pace game as this tilt progresses giving an edge for this total to go over the offered number. NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 OVER in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 243.5 ppg scored.Van Gundy is 11-1 OVER in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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04-01-21 | Magic +9 v. Pelicans | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game off a 115-109 upset win vs Boston on the road last time out. But now on in a letdown spot could start slowly vs a Orlando Magic side that is playing better lately from a bettors perspective having covered 4 straight and 7 of their L/9 overall in competitive fashion. The Magic are also 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings vs the Pelicans and get my support here getting points. NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA team vs the money line (ORLANDO) - - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 26-6 L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 71-39 L/24 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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04-01-21 | Warriors v. Heat UNDER 219.5 | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
The Heat rank 27th in offensive output per game in the league and rank 3rd in defense ppg in the league behind a grinding pace that ranks 28th in the NBA. Seth Curry and company may want to open up but with the Heat dictating the pace of their games. Im betting this will be a sloshy affair that runs much slower than even this totals number indicates. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207. 8 ppg scored. MIAMI is 12-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 205.1 ppg going on the board. The Warriors are 0-13-1 UNDER by more than 20 points a game as a dog with rest off a game as a dog in which they had less than 10% of their points from free throws with none of the game sin this 14 game set going over this offered number. Play UNDER |
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04-01-21 | Stars v. Predators +113 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 40 m | Show | |
Predators are 6-0 in their last 6 overall and tonight Im recommending we ride their momentum on a value line. Predators are 5-0 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. DALLAS is 3-15 ATS against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or more of their chances this season. Stars are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.Stars are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.Stars are 6-20 in their last 26 overall. NHL home underdogs against the money line (NASHVILLE) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average scoring teams (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) are 25-8 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Nashville to win |
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04-01-21 | Hornets v. Nets -3 | 89-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Nets, who glided past the visiting Houston Rockets 120-108 on Wednesday night, hold the best record in the Eastern Conference. Their 33-15 record includes a 19-6 mark in home games and despite of how well the Hornets have played this season, Im betting they are in a bad spot vs a side that will be more than ready to send a message, yes even if James Harden cannot play. The Hornets won their first matchup with the Nets this season, a 106-104 decision on Dec. 27 in Charlotte and now we have the motivation of a strong side to back here in revenge mode. BROOKLYN is 11-2 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.The Hornets are 0-14 ATS /SU as a road dog coming off a game as a favorite. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-01-21 | 76ers v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 114-94 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers are off a loss last time out which was their 2nd straight and now i expect a more aggressive offensive effort after producing just 95 points last time out whihc will help this combined score get eclipsed . The Seventysixers are 11-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite coming off a loss as a road dog with a combined average of 235.9 ppg scored. NBA road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or better on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 22-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-01-21 | Braves +105 v. Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Braves starting hurler here today Max Fried loved facing the Phillies last season. In two starts, the southpaw only allowed one run and struck out 11 on nine hits over 10 total innings of top tier baseball with both tilts ending in a W. FRIED is 16-4 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . ATLANTA is 13-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 3 seasonsBraves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 17-36 in their last 53 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Nola has not enjoyed his time against the potent Braves batting order over in the recent past as is evident in his 46 2/3 innings of sub par work against the Braves since the 2019 campaign, allowing 23 runs on 42 hits including 23 walks for an ERA 4.00 plus . Advantage Braves. NOLA is 4-10 ( against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Play on Atlanta to win . |
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03-31-21 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 231 | 106-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Sacramento took out the Spurs 132-115 when they played a couple of days ago, and now Im betting the Spurs paying alot more attention to defence especially in transition which should slow this game down a bit. Which I am betting helps keep this combined score on the low side of the total. SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213.4 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 32-17 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 39-13 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 27-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-31-21 | Jazz v. Grizzlies +5.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
The Jazz will try to extend their six-game winning streak on Wednesday night when they take on the Grizzlies in Memphis, but Im betting things wont go as easily as some may believe. The Jazz's arrival in Memphis was delayed after their charter plane, which departed from Salt Lake City, was forced to make an emergency landing in the same city shortly after takeoff on Tuesday when it hit a flock of birds that caused an engine issue. No players were injured, but the plane returned to Salt Lake City International Airport, where the Jazz waited for another aircraft. This kind of delay is never easy on players, and Im betting it will show on the court. MEMPHIS is 19-8 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. MEMPHIS is 23-11 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. MEMPHIS is 27-13 ATS against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are 14-0 ATS /12-2 SU with rest after outscoring their opponent in the paint by at least 10 points last game with both losses coming by 3 points or less. Play on Memphis to cover |
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