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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-18 | St. Joe's +11.5 v. Villanova | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
The Hawks lead the A-10 in three-point percentage, converting 39.5 percent, and hold the top two individual spots with Charlie Brown, Jr. (52.0) and Jared Bynum(50.0). Their ability to hit form downtown and a never say die attitude makes them viable DD underdogs vs a Villanova team that is not was good as last years championship version. Note: Leading scorer Charlie Brown, Jr., is questionable for today’s game , but reports are indicating he will play. Play on St.Joes to cover |
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12-08-18 | South Dakota State v. Kennesaw State +7.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
KSU has the third-longest active home winning streak in FCS at 15 games and is one of five programs with a winning streak of 10 or more games. QB Chandler Burks has started 36 consecutive games at QB and has led the Owls to a 31-5 (.861) record. He is also 17-1 as the starting QB inside Fifth Third Bank Stadium. If South Dakota State wins here today Im betting it won't come easily. Take the points with Kennesaw State to cover |
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12-07-18 | Idaho State v. Santa Clara -4 | 68-66 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Injuries have hampered the Broncos early this season, but after averaging 64.0 points over the first six games, the Broncos have produced a season-best 81 in each of the last two outings and enter this tilt winning 3 of their L/4 and with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, Idaho Stat win my opinion is to one dimensional, and when team key on slowing guard Brandon Boyd (17.3) who ranks third in the Big Sky Conference in scoring their chances become above average for beating this team. Santa Clara is more than capable of doing just that. The series is knotted at 2-all with the home team claiming each victory and Im betting the home team grabs the cash again. IDAHO ST is 5-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and is 16-28 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Play on Santa Clara to cover |
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12-07-18 | Warriors v. Bucks UNDER 240 | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Both these teams can light the scoreboard up, but when quality teams like this get together, a more physical brand of basketball is not unusual. GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 UNDER L/40 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 with a combined average score of 224.6 ppg scored. Also HC Kerr is 20-8 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored. Golden State allowed Milwaukkee to smash them 134-111 at home in their last meeting an now Im betting on them playing down lock down defence and responsible transitional basketball. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more 38-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-07-18 | Lakers v. Spurs OVER 225.5 | 120-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
San Antonio are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 6th game in 10 days and enter this game ranked 29th in the league in defensive efficiency and 11th in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the Lakers rank 9th in ppg in the league, averaging 113.1 ppg and 17th in ppg allowed at 111.1 ppg. When considering both sides current form, and system vs system analysis and player matchup trends, my projections estimate a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. Note: SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 OVER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored. These teams combined to put 235 ppg on the board in LA 2 days ato in their last meeting, which was a back and forth affair, and Im betting on more of the same action here tonight deep in the heart of Texas. Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Friday games.Over is 5-0-1 in Spurs last 6 games following a straight up loss.Over is 8-0 in Spurs last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 7-0 in Spurs last 7 vs. Western Conference.Over is 6-0-1 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 10-1-1 in Spurs last 12 overall.Over is 9-1-1 in Spurs last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 18-7-1 in Spurs last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 74-29 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-07-18 | Thunder v. Bulls +9 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
The struggling Bulls lost 96-90 vs the Indiana Pacers last time out, but played well against a top tier team, and look to be ready clean things up with new HC Boylen on the side lines. The Bulls have now lost seven straight and 11th in their last 12 contests, but now coming off an extended road trip will be ready to compete here at home. Note:Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Bulls are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We all know how well the Thunder are playing, but covering 9 points here on the road, in what will be their 3rd game in 5 nights vs a very hungry team Im betting is asking for to much. With that said, there is value here taking the Bulls to cover. Donovan is 9-24 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-32 ATS after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in December games are 19-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 31-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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12-07-18 | Maine v. Weber State UNDER 44 | 23-18 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Maine Black Bears visit Weber State on Friday night in a key FCS play off tilt. These are two tough defensive teams. Maine allows 21.6 points per game (Weber State allows 21.0). Weber's rushing attack of Josh Davis and Treshawn Garrett are a key mode of moving the chains but will have tough sledding; Maine allows just 74.5 ground yards per contest, second-best in the country, and 295.3 per game overall. Im expecting a very physical affair played in cold temps today, and for this contest to stay on the low side of the Total. Play UNDER |
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12-07-18 | 76ers v. Pistons +2.5 | 117-111 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I like the way new HC Casey has the Pistons playing and despite coming off back to back losses including Milwaukee last time out, look like viable bets here vs a visiting Philadelphia team off a disappointing loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Note: Pistons HC Casey is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. Meanwhile, the 76ers despite of being talented have lost 8 of their L/12 road games this season, and now in a letdown situation vs a Motown crew that has played their best ball at home posting a 9-4 record their in trouble, and false favorites in my opinion. Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Pistons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. 76ers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 76ers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 5-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 84% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz -2 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz recorded a season high for points in their last trip to the hardwood and Im betting they use the momentum of that explosive offensive effort to take out the visiting Houston Rockets on Thursday. The hard working never say die Jazz has won four of their last six games and converted on a franchise-record 20 3-pointers in Tuesday's 139-105 beat down of the visiting San Antonio Spurs. Look for more of same action here at home vs a Rockets side that has been highly inconsistent this season, and have lost 5 of their L/7 games overall. Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest.Jazz are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season are 69-115 ATS for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4 | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is off a 6-0 win vs Indianapolis last time out at home. But whats obvious is that just can't move the chains regularly or put TDs on the board, averaging just 16.9 ppg on the season and with Cody Kessler under centre I doubt if things get much better vs the Titans. Also despite of the Jaguars exhibiting great D, at home this season, on the road they have proven to have a gridiron split personality allowing 27+ ppg. Meanwhile, the Titans are also off a win taking out the Jets 26-22 in come from behind fashion, which will have them exuding confidence here this Thursday night. The Jags are 1-4 ATS L/5 Thursdays when taking points.Thursday night NFL home teams have won 12 straight times. Titans are 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 at home in this series. Note:The Jags are 0-12 SU/ATS as underdogs during the regular season when coming off a SU underdog win and facing a opposition coming off a victory. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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12-06-18 | Knicks v. Celtics OVER 217.5 | 100-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Boston has been really lighting up the scoreboard of late, scoring 124,128, 118 in their L/3 trips to the floor. Tonight I expect they will continue to roll against a less than consistent NYK defence, that ranks 27th in D efficiency and 26th in points allowed ( 114.4 ppg). What Im betting is that for the Knicks to have no choice but the chase the Celtics and try to post some explosive offensive fire works of their own or be blown off the court in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair the eclipses this Total. My projections estimate that Boston will score within 115 to 121 points. Note: NEW YORK is 10-2 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.8 ppg scored.BOSTON is 8-1 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 228 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons ands 11-2 OVER after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (25 to 40%) are 28-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-06-18 | Avalanche v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Colorado is a strong team with probably the most explosive offensive line in the league , center Nathan MacKinnon and wingers Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen, but their on tired legs with this being their 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting will be more muted than usual. Meanwhile, Florida, a team that posted a shutout last time out and has allowed 3 goals or less in 4 of their L/5 games will be prepared to play shut down D, at home vs a dangerous offensive side. Under is 9-2-1 in Panthers last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-2-1 in Panthers last 11 Thursday games.Under is 4-1-2 in Panthers last 7 vs. Western Conference.Under is 16-5-5 in Panthers last 26 vs. a team with a winning record NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 28-6 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
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12-05-18 | Spurs +8.5 v. Lakers | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
Im a gluten for punishment, as I take the Spurs plus the points here on the road again tonight vs LAL, after losing my recommended wager on them taking points last night in Utah. I know San Antonio does not inspire bettors in their current form, but according to my power rankings they matchup well vs the Lakers. Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest. NBA team (LA LAKERS) - revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite, off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival are 4-23 ATS L/22 seasons, for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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12-05-18 | Temple +10 v. Villanova | 59-69 | Push | 0 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Villanova after losing players to the NBA last season, look vulnerable this season, as was the case when they were smashed by Michigan at home losing by 27 points and upset loss to Furman. Don't get me wrong theirs alot of talent on this Villy roster, but HC Jay Wright just does not have the top tier depth he had last season when the Cats ,\made their national championship run. Meanwhile, Temple has lost just once this season, by 6 points, and sport a 8-1 record, and here in this Philadelphia neighbourhood battle must be respected as DD dogs. TEMPLE is 14-5 ATS in road games in non-conference games. Temple to cover |
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12-05-18 | Mavs +6.5 v. Pelicans | 106-132 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
The Mavericks enter this Bayou tilt having won nine of 11 overall after a 111-102 home victory against Portland on Tuesday. That gave them three wins in four games against West contenders in the last week and has them playing with confidence. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are banged up with a fair amount of walking wounded including starting point guard Elfrid Payton, and have now lost six of their last eight games. Note: Pelicans Nikola Miratic has also been off, and is suffering from an illness of some type. Advantage Mavericks. DALLAS is 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons and is 15-7 ATS in the first half of the season this season.DALLAS is 13-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - after having won 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 24-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
The matchup pairs the NBA's fourth-leading defense (Grizzlies, 103.1 points per game) against the third-leading offense (Clippers, 117.7). Im betting defense as well as home court advantage will be the difference maker here tonight. The Grizzlies are 17-0 SU/ATS when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers. Memphis Grizzlies ( LATE STEAM) |
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12-05-18 | St. Louis +3 v. Southern Illinois | 56-61 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Saint Louis enters Wednesday’s game at Southern Illinois red hot with a 6-1 record.The Billikens are coming off a impressive 64-52 victory over Butler on Saturday afternoon. SLU played a lock-down defense, allowing the Bulldogs to shoot just 28.1percent from the field en route to a season-low 52 points. I know the Salukis have reeled off three consecutive wins against Tulsa, Colorado State and SIUE, but it will will be the Billikens defence that once again makes them very competitive and Im betting will allow us to cash a ticket here. Play on St.Louis to cover |
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12-05-18 | Tennessee-Martin v. Tulane UNDER 151 | 74-87 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
My own numbers make this total closer to the 144 mark, thus giving us value with a under wager. Tenn Martin has had a couple of big offensive outputs, so far this season, but Tulan has held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 68 points, and are well suited in this matchup for repeat performance which aid this total score staying under the Total. TENN-MARTIN is 8-1 UNDER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 128.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-05-18 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 232 | 131-117 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Washington is on a two game win streak thanks to paying better attention to defence, and being much more careful in transition.WASHINGTON is 17-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta continues to struggle to score consistently, with the 30th ranked offensive efficiency despite of procuring the No 1 pace in the league . Im betting despite of Hawks trying to run and gun , their efficiency , thanks to missing one of their key offensive players Prince will see their flow thwarted as well as their total output. Meanwhile, the Wizards will remain steadfast in their wish to play a better controlled brand of basketball. What Im betting on here is a lower scoring game than the hefty number might indicate. WASHINGTON is 9-0 UNDER vs. struggling rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.7 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 11-2 UNDER in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 22-7 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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12-05-18 | Bowling Green -3 v. Cleveland State | 64-82 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Cleveland State is in free fall losing 5 straight games, and are fade material here vs a Bowl in gGreen team that according to my power rankings should be closer to a 4 point fav here, giving us value with the road team as short chalk. BOWLING GREEN is 9-0 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons .CLEVELAND ST is 2-10 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 4 straight games. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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12-05-18 | Ohio State v. Illinois +5.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Illinois' spread offense features multiple ball handlers on the court with an emphasis on passing which has resulted in opening the court up for their big shooters. Illini have been filling it up from 3-point range to start the season. Illinois have made at least nine threes in six of its first eight games, averaging 10.3 treys per game to rank second in the Big Ten and 22nd in the NCAA. When your backing an underdog in college Hoops knowing you have side that can light the score board up out of the gate or in back door cover mode makes for a confident bet. Alternately on the flip side, the Illini defense ranks seventh in the nation in turnover rate, forcing turnovers on 24.8 percent of opponent possessions on the season. Opponents are averaging 17.9 turnovers against the Illini, with the Illini leading the Big Ten and ranking 16th in the NCAA in forced turnovers per game.Illinois is currently averaging 18.9 points off turnovers, outscoring foes by 5.3 points per game in that category. Im betting on their ability to light it up from down town and force trunovers keeps them in this game against a very good Ohio State hoops program. Buckeyes are 5-23 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games.Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Play on Illinois to cover |
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12-05-18 | Monmouth v. Hofstra OVER 142 | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Hofstra has averaged 86.2 ppg game at home this season where they play an uptempo attack type of hoops. Im betting on them reaching their average again vs a poor Monmouth D, that has allowed 77 plus points per game on the road. I know Monmouth is not a very efficient scoring team, but in a wide open type affair where they should constantly b chasing the score , they should have a 60 to 65 point output which will help breach this total to the upside if my projections are correct. HOFSTRA is 11-1 OVER in all home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (MONMOUTH) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or worse on the season, after 2 straight games making 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MONMOUTH) - cold shooting team - 5 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 33-11 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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12-05-18 | Western Illinois -6 v. Stetson | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Western Illinois to cover |
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12-04-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -140 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
The Vegas Golden Knights return to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Tuesday for a Stanley Cup Finals rematch with the Washington Capitals after producing four points on a recent three-game road trip. With revenge on tap, the Knights have the edge vs a Washington team, that lost 6-5 to the Anaheim Ducks last timeout after allowing them to score five unanswered goals in the last 26 minutes of the game . Now downtrodden and taken on a team that will show them very little mercy the Caps are at a disadvantage. Note: Vegas is rolling averaging 4.3 goals per game in winning six of their last seven games. Im betting on their momentum to keep on trucking into this tilt. WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS in road games after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games.VEGAS is 16-4 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. NHL favorite against the money line (VEGAS) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Vegas Knights to win |
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12-04-18 | Spurs +7.5 v. Jazz | 105-139 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
San Antonio came out of a lethargic state last time out by beating Portland 131-118 on Sunday. Im betting the momentum of their last victory will carry on into this game vs their host Utah, a team on tired legs after playing 6 games in 10 days. and overall have played 10 of their L/12 games on the road Note: NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games are just 36-69 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 26-9 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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12-04-18 | Michigan v. Northwestern +7 | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
No.5 Michigan, who comes into Welsh-Ryan Arena with an 8-0 record is getting some huge accolades from the media pundits, but according to my power rankings line adjustment variables, are slightly bloated favs here, thus giving us value with a viable home underdog in a conference tilt, that has the makings of a hard fought affair. Northwestern 6-2 lost to Indiana 68-66 last time out on the road, and more than capable of making a game of this this evening.NORTHWESTERN is 17-6 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival . Northwestern has won and covered the L/3 games in this series at home. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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12-04-18 | Evansville v. Arkansas State UNDER 156 | 77-87 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
My own projections make this game closer to 144.5 , which according to my estimates makes this a very good value pay to the under. I know Evansville can score in bunches, but Arkansas State will be prepared to play a slower more methodical game against them here at home where they allowed 54 points in their lone home game, which I'm betting results in a lower scoring tilt here today. ARKANSAS ST is 17-6 L/23 UNDER in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average score of 147.9 ppg scored.EVANSVILLE is 9-1 UNDER after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 123.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARKANSAS ST) - a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, in December games are 167-109 UNDER L/22 seasons for a solid 61% long term conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-04-18 | Bradley -4 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Bradley, took last seasons meeting with a dominant 86-46 home win. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-16 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons. ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 6-15 ATS in all home games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BRADLEY) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, playing only their 3rd game in a week are 51-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Bradley to cover |
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12-04-18 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 208.5 | 90-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Bulls take the court against the Pacers, with associate head coach Jim Boylen taking over as head coach after Hoiberg was tied yesterday. QUOTE "You might see a bit different style of the offensive end as we get going," Boylen told reporters at his introductory press conference Monday. "You got to put your hand print on it and make it yours. But you have to realize there's a level of shock that the players have to deal with." END QUOTE The shock that Boylen is speaking about Im betting will see the Bulls play a more methodical game plan, that will help keep this game slower paced then their used to and will result in a lower scoring game than the linesmakers expect. With Indiana on 3 days rest after a west coast road trip I expect they will be fresh enough to play some strong D, something the coaching staff have been emphasizing of late. Chicago has gone under in 10 of their L/13 games. Indiana has gone under in 3 straight. CHICAGO is 10-1 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 207.9 ppg scored.INDIANA is 10-1 UNDER in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board.INDIANA is 20-5 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHICAGO) - after playing 3 consecutive road games, playing with 2 days rest are 51-18 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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12-04-18 | Detroit v. Dayton OVER 144.5 | 59-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My own projections make this total closer to 149.5 thus giving us value to the over with my projections. DAYTON is 6-0 OVER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored.DETROIT is 15-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 with a combined average of 147.3 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DAYTON) - after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 97-52 OVER L/5 seasons for a solid 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles -6 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 80 h 54 m | Show | |
Redskins enter this game have lost the stats battles in 4 straight games and enter this game with backup QB Colt McCoy . McCoy is just 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS in division games in his NFL career.. Last week the Eagles showed their metal with a come from behind win vs the Giants , and will now use the momentum of that win to get the job done here again this Monday. QUOTE: "This was a big game for us," Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz said. "Obviously in terms of the division standings and all that fun stuff, but really mentally to show the resilience that we did. To get down early like we did, then to battle back, just really builds a lot of confidence -- to come from behind and get it done I think will speak volumes about our confidence going forward." END QUOTE: Meanwhile, Eagles QB Carson Wentz is a very dependable 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 6 or more points and gets my support here as his team plays with sense of urgency. Washington has failed to cover 9 of their L/10 Monday nighters. Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover |
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12-03-18 | Sabres v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Buffalo is having a tremendous season so far, and despite of losing 2 straight previous to that had won 10 straight tilts, allowing 2 goals or less in 7 of those 10 games and will be ready to once again play solid D vs a strong Predators side. With that said, Im betting on Nashville respecting their current opponents up-trending achievements and responding with a solid brand of defensive hockey themselves that has seen visiting opponents score an average of just 2.3 gpg this season. Nashville G Pekka Rinne has collected three shutouts in six career meetings with Buffalo. Under is 5-1 in Sabres last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 5-0 in Sabres last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 Monday games.Under is 5-0-1 in Predators last 6 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Predators last 5 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1 in Predators last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Predators last 5 games following a win. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (BUFFALO) - off a loss against a division rival, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 31-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-03-18 | Rutgers +13 v. Wisconsin | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Badgers (7-1, 1-0 Big Ten Conference), host Rutgers in their Big Ten home opener in Madison, Wis. on Monday night. The Scarlet Knights (5-2, 0-1) gave No. 9 Michigan State a tough battle, last time out but eventually fell 78-67 on Friday to the Spartans in Piscataway, N.J and are looking like an improved hoops program right now behind,junior forward Eugene Omoruyi who scored 13 points in that game.Omoruyi, who has four double-doubles this season, has averaged 15.1 points per game and 9.1 rebounds, and his side kick sophomore point guard Geo Baker contributes 14.6 points per game,.Rutgers snatched the most recent game in this series, a 64-60 win last January in Piscataway and will Im betting hang tough again. RUTGERS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-03-18 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 228 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Washington topped New York 108-95 earlier this season at home, and Im expecting the same type of lower scoring affair once again . NEW YORK is 29-16 UNDER L/45 when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 208.3 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 18-6 UNDER in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. HC Fizdale is 12-2 UNDER in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in all games he has coached with a combined average of 186.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 60-20 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 25-4 UNDER for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (NYK/ WASHINGTON) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%)are 24-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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12-03-18 | Warriors v. Hawks +11 | 128-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
While the defending champion Warriors have Steph Curry back in the lineup another key cog is still out as Draymond Green has missed the last eight games with a right toe sprain and also Alfonzo McKinnie has missed the last eight games with left foot soreness. Needless to say their still not at 100%. Note: The Warriors have not been very profitable for their backers of late as they are 2-9 ATS L/11 overall, and have failed to cover 6 of their L/7 as favourites. Long termGOLDEN STATE is 55-69 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Golden State won 110-103 when it hosted the Hawks on Nov. 13, and the young men from Atlanta proved they can hang with the big boys in that game, and Im betting they will primed to compete again here at home. Historical Trends value also favours this Hawks here as extreme lined home teams (double digit dogs or over 15 pt. favorites) off of a loss like the Hawks are 185-105-5 63.8% ATS with outliners included) Also teams averaging 103 or more ppg are 268-205-8 ATS 57% after a game where they were behind 15 points or more at the half. GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 16-49 ATS L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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12-03-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +1 | 110-83 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons are proving their a team that must be respected after taking out Golden State SU as 5 point home dogs last time out for their 5th straight home vicotry. Now their listed as underdogs again vs visiting Oklahoma City. The Motown reserves are standing tall, and showing the teams depth and Im betting they won;t bow down today, vs another deep team, especialy on their own court, where they have an edge. Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Detroit. CITY is 7-20 ATS in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite.OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-48 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in December games are just 96-176 L/22 seasons for go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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12-03-18 | Iowa v. Michigan State UNDER 157 | 68-90 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
My own projections suggest this total should be closer to 150, thus giving us value according to my estimations with an under wager. Under is 5-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games.Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 11-2 in Spartans last 13 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 home games.Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 vs. Big Ten. Play UNDER |
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12-02-18 | Chargers v. Steelers -3 | 33-30 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 48 m | Show | |
The Chargers are hot , as is evident by their 6-1 winning run and their QB Phillip Rivers is off a record setting game last time out. But now Im betting on regression to rear its ugly head, for Rivers, and the Chargers to finally meet their match. It must be noted that all but one of their wins this season have come against teams that currently have a losing record. The one exception was the victory over Seattle, which is barely over .500 at 6-5. |
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12-02-18 | Blazers +1 v. Spurs | 118-131 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Alot has changed in San Antonio, as they are now showing a lot of defensive holes and deficiencies. Popovich's team has seen the last two opponents combine to make 40 3-pointers in 95 attempts and they are off a ugly 128-89 loss to the Minnesota Wolves last time out. Im betting their fortunes wont get much better tonight vs a Portland side, that shot 53.6 percent while defeating the Spurs 121-108 at home on Oct. 20, showing their ability to matchup well vs the Spurs. I know the Spurs need to desperately bounce back, but like Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones have said before, You don't always get what you want. PORTLAND is 36-21 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons. Spurs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA team vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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12-02-18 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | 110-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers are a red hot 9-1 L/10 behind a balanced team effort, but their hosts Dallas are more than capable of cooling them off. I know the Mavs looked tired last time out, in a 114-103 road loss to the Lakers but now home again and on a couple of days rest should be more than ready to run and gun with the Clippers tonight, and notch a win and cover for us in this spot. DALLAS is 18-5 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and over have covered 11 of their L/16 and have played their best basketball at home where they sport a 8-2 SU/ATS record. Mavericks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Mavericks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.Mavericks are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.Mavericks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. DALLAS is 29-13 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 128-101 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DALLAS. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-02-18 | Clippers v. Mavs OVER 226 | 110-114 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Clippers come at you in waves both from the starters and the bench averaging 117.5 points per game, fourth in the league, and have been held to fewer than 100 only once. Im betting they force the Mavericks into a fast paced game via their 9th ranked pace. It must also be noted that the Clippers defence ranks 22nd in the NBA allowing 112+ ppg and Dallas behind an offence that averages more than 115 ppg at home should be successful converting against their soft defence regularly tonight. Everything is pointing to this being a high scoring affair. LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 235 points or more this season with a combined average score of 233.3 ppg scored. NBAVteams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - after scoring 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 56-28 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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12-02-18 | Jets -145 v. Rangers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Jets will be the road team on Sunday night, but will still be better-rested than their hosts the New York Rangers and with momentum as they come off a 4-3 OT win in NJ yesterday. But because the Jets did not travel very far for todays game should be fresher, than a Montreal team that flew home from Quebec last night after getting blasted by the Habs in Montreal 5-2 out. Advantage Jets. QUOTE: "We're not in the greatest mindset right now," Rangers rookie coach David Quinn told reporters after Saturday's game. "We're not playing with a lot of confidence, and for good reason." END QUOTE WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (WINNIPEG) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team (+0.4 or more goals/game diff.) vs an average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) are 23-2 L/22 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 45 h 41 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Vikings enter this game ranked No. 10 in defence and up trending as they have allowed 255 YPG and an average of just 17 ppg in their L/3 trips to the gridiron. Meanwhile, New England’s ranks No. 11 ranked defence has allowed only 17.5 PPG in their last four games overall. Under is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 games on fieldturf. Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.Under is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games in December.Over is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-2 in Patriots last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 9-3 in Patriots last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games on fieldturf. The L/6 meetings in this series have seen average of 39.5 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MINNESOTA) - off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival, in December games are 41-16 UNDERL/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams against the total (NEW ENGLAND) - after a 2 game road trip, in December games are 56-23 UNDER L/5 season for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-02-18 | Chiefs v. Raiders +15.5 | 40-33 | Win | 100 | 69 h 12 m | Show | |
Mahomes and the Chiefs have not played since taking part in a back and forth , 54-51 loss to the Los Angeles Rams on Nov. 19. Mahomes now with a week off might have take some time to get this high octane offence back working at optimal levels. Also strictly from an eye test, Oakland looks to be gaining some confidence, and QB Carr has suddenly learned to take care of the ball much better and has not given up an interception in 6 games to go along with a a high percentage completion rate on mostly short passes. The kind of football the Raiders are playing gives them high probability to survive what coming their wayand Im betting thats what they find a way to do here at home this week in what I project as cover performance. The explosive Chiefs have won 19 of their last 20 games against AFC West opponents with their only loss coming last year at Oakland. Could a repeat upset happen, probably not, but taking the 15 points here is a viable investment option. KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS L/7 after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games.KANSAS CITY is 2-10 ATS L/12 after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games. Raiders HC Gruden is 19-8 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached in his career. NFL team (OAKLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Raiders to cover |
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12-02-18 | Jets +9.5 v. Titans | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 69 h 50 m | Show | |
The Titans are off a ugly loss on Monday night football, to the Texans and now demoralized as their play off hopes start to fade. Now in an emotional letdown situation on short rest, the Titans are far from being solid TD + favs against any team in this league including the lowly NY Jets. Note: The Titans are 1-6 ATS L/7 off a Monday nighter, and just 2-8 ATS L/10 in this series. TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS in home games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return.TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS in home games vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return. NFL Home teams (TENNESSEE) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 19-54 ATS L/35 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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12-02-18 | Bills +4 v. Dolphins | 17-21 | Push | 0 | 73 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami losers of 4 of their L/5 have looked in-cohesive and inconsistent this season, taking part in some ugly affairs and choking in others at key junctures, and have also come out completely flat on other occasions. Meanwhile, Buffalo is up trending after two straight wins and must be respected here as underdogs vs a Fins team that just does not look confident right now. MIAMI is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games versus poor offensive teams - averaging 4.75 or less yards/play in the second half of the season.The Dolphins are 0-17 ATS ( L/17 as a favorite coming off a road game where they gained no more than 15 first downs. Which happened last week at Indianapolis in a loss. The Buffalo Bills are 15-2 ATS as road dogs of 3 or more points against opp coming off consecutive losses, including 7-0 ATS in division tilts. NFL Home teams (MIAMI) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are just 19-54 ATS L/35 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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12-02-18 | Bears v. Giants +4 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 51 h 14 m | Show | |
Chicago's QB Mitchell Trubisky is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs NY Giants ( Shoulder )which in my opinion gives the Giants enough edge on their own field to get us the cover. as Daniels starts instead This is the Bears 2nd straight road game and its never easy winning two straight games on the road in this league, even for a teams deemed hot like the Bears. Previous to last week the Giants had won two straight and than had the Eagles on the ropes as they took a 19-3 lead. Then instead of using emerging super star RB Saquon Barkely to slow the game down, the Gemn did the opposite . hmmm and blew the game . Anyway, now Im betting the Gmen bounce back, behind the arm of a QB that in Eli Manning that has a history of top tier efforts at home late in the season, as is evident by a 12-3-1 ATS record in December at home when coming off a loss and 7-0 ATS against opponent like Chicago coming off consecutive wins. Look for his side kick Sqauon Barkley to help keep the option wide open for Manning in what could be a SU upset for the home dog, but more importantly a cover . CHICAGO is 2-11 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. Play on the NY Giants to cover |
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12-02-18 | Colts v. Jaguars +5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Jacksonville despite of their 7 game losing streak, are still a team that must be respected, behind what must be considered a solid defence allowing an average of just 16.2 ppg on the season as hosts. They have lost their L/3 games by 4 points or less, and getting points is a viable option , vs a Indianapolis team that despite of a current 5 game win streak has lost 3 of their 5 road games this season. Look for Jags QB Kody Kessler who is starting in place of Bortles, to give his team a spark and a cover. Marrone is 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of JACKSONVILLE and s 6-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season. INDIANAPOLIS is 1-8 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons. Play on Jacksonville to cover |
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12-02-18 | Arizona v. Connecticut UNDER 152.5 | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
Connecticut has been running of gunning of late, vs lower tier teams, but still bases its success on their ability to play top tier defence. Here today against much better opposition in Arizona Im expecting a more pronounced defensive effort. Meanwhile, Arizona is now a defence first team, and have allowed only one team to score more than 73 points against them( Gonzaga) and have held 4 of their 7 opponents to not exceed the 66 points plateau. With that said, today Im betting on a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. CONNECTICUT is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121.5 ppg going on the board.CONNECTICUT is 26-13 UNDER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 142 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern +14.5 v. Ohio State | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 19 m | Show | |
BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN Thanks to Ohio State absolute obliteration of Michigan last week, 62-39, we have a nice value line to bet into backing Northwestern. When a team like Ohio State exerts that much emotional and irrational exuberance in one game, an emotional letdown scenario usually follows them into the next game. We all know that Ohio State has consistently played down to opponents this season, and that despite of their defence playing well last week, have showed themselves over and over again to be porous to say the least. Urban Meyers has failed to cover 5 straight as a DD conference favorite, while the Wildcats HC Pat Fitzgerald is 8-1 ATS L/9 as a DD dog and overall 7-1 ATS in conference action this season. NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 21-8 ATS in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game.NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS as an underdog this season. HIO ST is 2-11 ATS after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 season. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 45-17 L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (OHIO ST) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, a top-level team ( 80%or more ) playing a good team (60% to 80% are 26-61 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. The dog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven Big Ten title games and Im betting the pup or cat if you wish grabs the cash again. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State OVER 52 | 19-16 | Loss | -125 | 77 h 4 m | Show | |
MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID These teams have played some low scoring games of late with the last meeting in early November seeing Boise State win a 24-17 squeaker . But now in contrarian fashion Im betting we see a significant uptick in point production this time around behind teams that boasted top-25 scoring offenses this season. In the last game scoring chances effected the total score as the Bulldogs' last two drives ended with a blocked field goals and a fourth-down incompletion after they reached the Boise State 23-yard line with 1:18 remaining. Fresno State senior Marcus McMaryion has completed 258-of-366 passes for 24 touchdowns and three interceptions, and he is ranked No. 7 in passing efficiency. Boise Senior Rypien has completed 286-of-416 passes for 29 touchdowns and seven interceptions, and he is ranked No. 11 in the FBS in passing efficiency. He set Mountain West career records for passing yards completions in the earlier victory over Fresno State, and he had his league-record 21st 300-yard passing with 310 against Utah State. Look for these two guys to shine here today, and for a much different type of game than the public are anticipating. Boise State in their L/63 games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game since 1992 have seen a combined average of 59.5 ppg scored and in their L/59 tilts vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game have seen a combined average of 64.3 ppg go on the board. Play OVER |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State -2 | 19-16 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 50 m | Show | |
MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Albertsons Stadium - Boise, ID Boise State won the last time these teams met 24-17 right here on the Blue Carpet back in mid November, thanks to dominating that game in the final quarter . Im betting they use the momentum of their last meeting to keep on trucking here, and once again come out of this for their 11th straight victory at home in this series. With the said,Im betting on Boise State capturing the MWC title and more importantly getting the all important cover as short chalk . HC Harsin is 7-0 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6.25 or more yards/play in all games he has coached . Play on Boise State to cover |
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12-01-18 | Celtics v. Wolves UNDER 214.5 | 118-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
After Butler appeared in his last game with Minnesota on Nov. 9 at Sacramento, the Wolves were allowing 117.7 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting. In the last nine games, since Butler was traded the Wolves are now allowing just 99.3 points on 41.8 percent shooting. This is now a much better defensive team, and tonight against another top tier defensive team, the Boston Celtics ranked 2nd overall in defensive efficiency (104) in the league and 4th in ppg allowed 103.9 Im expecting a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total . MINNESOTA is 11-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 212.9 ppg scored.BOSTON in their L/34 games after a huge blowout win by 30 or more have seen a combined average of 187.4 ppg scored. ( Celtics smashed Cleveland 128-95 last night and will now be on tired legs) Under is 7-1 in Timberwolves last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 12-2 in Timberwolves last 14 overall.Over is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 Saturday games.Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 games following a straight up win.Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 home games.Under is 10-2 in Timberwolves last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Timberwolves last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-2 in Timberwolves last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Under is 10-4 in Timberwolves last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. NBA team (BOSTON) - after a huge blowout win by 30 or more against opponent after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 50-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 190.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-01-18 | Western Illinois v. SE Missouri State +1 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
The Redhawks won three of the last four meetings between these teams and goes after their third-straight victory in the series Saturday. Southeast Missouri won four of its last five games and enter the game with momentum on their sides.Southeast Missouri enters the weekend ranked 15th in the nation in 3-point field goal percentage defense. Opponents are shooting 25.9 percent against the Redhawks from behind the arc. The Redhawks rank second in the Ohio Valley Conference behind Murray State (17.6 percent) in that category.My power rankings suggest SE Missouri State is the superior team here in this battle Western Illinois and gets my support. SE MISSOURI ST is 12-3 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. South East Missouri State to cover |
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12-01-18 | Jets v. Devils OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Jets enter this game with a top their offence, scoring ana average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 , but its their defensive efforts that are alarming, as is evident by having allowed 23 goals in their last five games, never fewer than four in any one single contest in that stretch. Meanwhile the Devils their hosts have surrendered 19 goals in the last four games. What Im betting happens tonight, is that Jets will come at the Devils with their usual fast paced attack mentality and for New Jersey to have no choice but to respond in kind, and for the final score of this game eclipsing the total. Note: NJ has lost three straight on the road and now coming home where they are 7-1-3 this season where they have scored an average of 3.6 gpg. , NEW JERSEY is 7-0 OVER L/7 off 3 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. WINNIPEG is 10-1 OVER when playing against a team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 8.4 gpg scored.NEW JERSEY is 8-2 OVER against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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12-01-18 | Warriors v. Pistons +5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
The Pistons have won four straight, all at home and must not be underestimated in their ability to cover vs the Golden State Warriors here tonight even though previously injured Seth Curry is expected to return to the lineup for the Warriors. DETROIT is 10-2 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season. NBA Road teams (GOLDEN STATE) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-53 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
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12-01-18 | Nets +7 v. Wizards | 88-102 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Washington looked lifeless last night in a blowout loss to the Sixers as they shot 40.2 percent (37 of 92) from the field, including 8 of 28 (28.6 percent) from 3-point range . Now on tired legs the Wizards of OZ come back to face a hard working Brooklyn team, that despite of also playing last night after taking Memphis to Double OT are better conditioned than the Wizards, and consistently show more fight. BROOKLYN is 30-17 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 16-5 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 19-6 ATS in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.BROOKLYN is 20-8 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 14-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. NBA team (BROOKLYN) - after allowing 130 points or more against opponent after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more are 27-9 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NJ Nets to cover |
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12-01-18 | Penn State +6.5 v. Maryland | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Maryland is a strong team ranked 24th in the nation at this time, but Penn State are no pushovers, ranking 46th in the NCAA statistics for scoring defence allowing only 64.2 points per game, and 25th in 3-pt. field goal defence (27.3%). Im betting it will be their defence that will be the difference maker here that will get us the cover. PENN ST is 70-48 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents .PENN ST is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14or less turnovers/game over the last 2 season. PENN ST is 7-0 ATS after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 3 season.PENN ST is 8-1 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.( Penn St beat VTech last time out 63-62) All six of the Big Ten Conference meetings between Penn State and Maryland have been decided by six points or less and Im betting nothing changes here. Play on Penn State to cover |
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12-01-18 | Georgia +13.5 v. Alabama | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 80 h 47 m | Show | |
SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA This is a rematch of last year’s National Championship game and its being played on the same field . I felt Alabama was fortunate to get the win last season, and just got by the skin of their teeth in OT by 3 points thanks the heroics of Tide QB Tua Tagovailola. Now the Dawgs who are 6-1 ATS L/7 with SEC revenge and have cashed 6 straight times as underdogs in this series are the team I recommend backing as Georgia according to my rankings actually matchup well vs a side, that has yet to be tested this season. REVENGE , REVENGE. Georgia covers. GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons. GEORGIA is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. CFB Neutral field underdogs (GEORGIA) - excellent rushing team - averaging 225 or more rushing yards/game, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 23-3 ATS L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Georgia to cover |
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12-01-18 | Stanford -3 v. California | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
California has been outgunned in 4 straight games and was pounded by Colorado last week, and somehow still found a way to win. The Golden Bears biggest problem is that just can't score, and have failed to gain 300 yards overall in four straight games. Today however, Im betting their luck will run out against a team that is much better than their record might indicate. Bottom line here is you have to score to beat Stanford, and Cals passing game is less than viable, and the running game is putrid in trouble against strong Cardinal defensive front .The Bad News Bears are not going to be able to keep up on the scoreboard. Stanford has won 9 straight meetings in this series and the L/4 here at Cal dating back to the 2010. Last week, Stanford beat UCLA 49-42 , but that a good omen as STANFORD is 20-4 ATS in road games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored and HC Shaw is 7-0 ATS in road games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. Play on Stanford to cover |
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12-01-18 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee State -2.5 | 27-25 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 44 m | Show | |
CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Floyd Stadium - Murfreesboro, TN The Blue Raiders have won five of its last six games overall and five in a row over C-USA opponents, and their home winning streak is at seven games going back to last season. UAB has a great D, but HC Rick Stockstill also has a tough hard nosed D, and that was evident on Nov 24 of this season UAB was soundly beaten by Middle Tennessee State 27-3 and repeat performance is not out of the question according to my own projections in the rematch for the CUSA Championship. Note: [RB] 11/25/2018 - Spencer Brown is "?" Saturday vs Middle Tenn St ( Undisclosed ) UAB is 3-12 ATS L/15 in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games .MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-6 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (UAB) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 1-33 SU L/26 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate for bettors witht he average point differential clicking in at 21.6 ppg. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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12-01-18 | UAB v. Middle Tennessee State -1.5 | 27-25 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 55 m | Show | |
CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Floyd Stadium - Murfreesboro, TN The Blue Raiders have won five of its last six games overall and five in a row over C-USA opponents, and their home winning streak is at seven games going back to last season. UAB has a great D, but HC Rick Stockstill also has a tough hard nosed D, and that was evident on Nov 24 of this season UAB was soundly beaten by Middle Tennessee State 27-3 and repeat performance is not out of the question according to my own projections in the rematch for the CUSA Championship. Note: [RB] 11/25/2018 - Spencer Brown is "?" Saturday vs Middle Tenn St ( Undisclosed ) UAB is 3-12 ATS L/15 in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games .MIDDLE TENN ST is 16-6 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (UAB) - after gaining 150 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 1-33 SU L/26 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate for bettors witht he average point differential clicking in at 21.6 ppg. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | 27-39 | Loss | -102 | 77 h 25 m | Show | |
BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX Oklahomas body of work this season despite of star QB QB Kyler Murrays heroics have not impressed me, with their only really top tier outing coming vs West Virginia. The Sooners are erratic to say the least as their defence has allowed 46, 47, 40 and 56 points in the last four games and the word champion if they win today must be used loosely. I know Texas may not inspire bettors either as they have been extremely inconsistent. but they did win this seasons Red River clash 48-45 handing the Sooners they're only loss, and have now covered 6 straight in this series. Longhorns HC Tom Herman is 12-1 ATS as a underdog, including 7-0 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points. TEXAS is 6-0 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons. OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game this season and is 2-10 ATS in road games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. CFB team (OKLAHOMA) - revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite of 7 or more, after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more are 12-45 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team (OKLAHOMA) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 14-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas to cover |
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12-01-18 | Mercer -1.5 v. The Citadel | 69-79 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 52 m | Show | |
CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (THE CITADEL) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 30-71 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MERCER is 4-0 straight up against THE CITADEL since 1997 Play on Mercer to cover ( Late Steam) |
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12-01-18 | Marshall v. Virginia Tech UNDER 51 | 20-41 | Loss | -103 | 54 h 39 m | Show | |
Marshalls D, has been stingy this season allowing an average of 20.3 ppg, while VTech has had problems consistently putting points on the board as is evident by scoring 23 or less points in 5 of their L/7 games overall. This game has some significance for the Hokies as they need it to have change for a Bowl invite, while Marshall has a Bowl invite all ready in their back pocket, and are just playing spoilers here today. Look for these two Virginia/West Virginia rivals. to g head to head in a hard fought lower scoring affair that stays on the low side of the number. CFB team against the total (VIRGINIA TECH) - a good offensive team (28-34 PPG) against a good defensive team (16-21 PPG) after 7+ games, after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games are 26-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored. Virginia Tech has gone under11 straight times when com-ing off a win where they threw for less than 200 yards with no score in the subset going over the 51 point plateau. Play UNDER |
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11-30-18 | Nuggets v. Blazers -2 | 113-112 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver has been playing some very good hoops of late, winning 4 straight ,but the Trail Blazers at home are no pushovers, going 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Trail Blazers are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Northwest. They come into this game off a close win vs Orlando last time out ending a 3 game losing streak, which is a good thing as they are 8-0 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. PORTLAND is also 14-3 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons and is 21-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (PORTLAND) - after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more re 29-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 9-33 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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11-30-18 | Mavs v. Lakers -3 | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mavericks are 2-7 SU on the road this season and will be trying for their first two-game winning streak on the same road trip since going 3-0 against the Pacers, New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder from Dec. 27-31, 2017. Im betting they don't get it , and that they also fail to cover .With that a said, Im expecting for the the Lakers to use the 104-96 win against the visiting Indiana Pacers on Thursday night as a confidence and momentum builder heading in this tilt. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdogs are 1-36 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate for bettors witht he average margin point differential coming by 10.7 ppg. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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11-30-18 | Utah +5.5 v. Washington | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 1 m | Show | |
PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Levis Stadium - Santa Clara, CA The Washington Huskies upset Washington State last week in a 28-15 emotional filled event that will have them in a letdown scenario this week. It will be hard for them to get up to the same energy levels as last week, vs a tough physical Utah team that can make life miserable for them in the trenches I know Washington beat the Utes back in September but since than Utah is 7-1 SU and are 4-1 ATS as underdogs with conference revenge and 5-1 ATS when getting 6 points or less. Washington before last weeks Apple Cup victory were on a 6 game ATS losing streak and looked far from being championship calibre team. Note Utah is 15-0 SU in games not played on the weekend and 5-0 SUATS the last five overall . UTAH is 19-6 ATS L/25 in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or more). WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS as a favorite this season. CFB Neutral field underdogs (UTAH) - outrushing their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season are 33-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo OVER 49 | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 124 h 50 m | Show | |
MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Ford Field - Detroit, M The Bulls (10-2, 7-1 MAC) won the MAC East Division title Friday with a 44-14 win at Bowling Green, and face Northern Illinois (7-5, 6-2) for the MAC championship. My own projections make this opening total just to low.We all know N.Illinois is a defence first team, but to beat Buffalo they are going to have to score. With that said, Im on the over here out of the gate. I have Buffalo scoring 27+ points and N.Illinois scoring 24+ points. BUFFALO in 12 road games when they score 22 to 28 have seen a combined average of 56.7 ppg go on the board. N.Illinois in their L/33 November games have seen a combined average score of 59.5 ppg go on the board. Play on the OVER |
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11-30-18 | Jazz v. Hornets -1.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
This will be Utahs 4th game in 6 nights, and Im betting their on tired legs vs a side that can run the hell out of opponents, behind the 6th ranked offence. Charlotte is 8-3 at the Spectrum Center this season and have won four straight over Utah at home and get the nod again here on a short chalk line. From a SRS perspective: Utah is ranked 18th at -1.80 while, Charlotte is ranked 7th with a 3.80 SRS. ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average) NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (UTAH) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season against opponent after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are just 3-24 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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11-30-18 | Devils v. Capitals -150 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The Washington Capitals go for their seventh straight win when they host the New Jersey Devils on Friday night at Capital One Arena. New Jersey is playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum having dropped three in a row (0-1-2). The Capitals have outscored teams 24-13 during their winning streak and have huge momentum entering this game and are a solid monryline proposition tonight. Goalie matchup: NJ expected starter Kincaid is 3-3 with a 3.24 goals-against average (GAA) and .882 save percentage against the Capitals, while Holtby is 15-3-3 with a 1.98 GAA and a .925 save percentage versus the Devils. Play on the Washington capitals to win on the moneyline |
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11-30-18 | Appalachian State -1.5 v. East Carolina | 81-83 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
App State stands at 2-4 on the season and is averaging 86.6 points per game, which sits 22nd in the country. The Black and Gold are also shooting 43.0 percent from deep, which ranks 14th in the nation. Im betting their fire power propels them past E.Carolina today.
APPALACHIAN ST is 12-2 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 season.E CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS after 2 straight games making 78% of their free throws or better. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (E CAROLINA) - after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are just 189-290 ATS L/21 seasons for a 60% go against conversion rate. 729 Appalachian State to cover |
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11-30-18 | Duquesne +5.5 v. Pittsburgh | 53-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
at PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA Duquesne, off to a 4-1 start under second-year head coach Keith Dambrot, makes the one-block trek to play their neighbourhood rivals at the PPG Paints Arena as they go head to head with Pitt (6-1) in the 87th version of the City Game on Friday.The Dukes own a balanced attack as is evident by five players having either led or tied for the team lead in scoring in DU's first five games. That balance will keep them in this game and get us the cover. Duquesne to cover |
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11-30-18 | Delaware -10.5 v. Maryland-Eastern Shore | 71-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Delaware has a very talented recruiting class, that will get better as the season progresses. One key cog is Anderson, who never lost a regular season or district game during his high school career at St. John Neumann. This kids a winner, and a floor general and brings a attitude to this team that is hard to come by. Yes, he is coming off a season ending injury last season, but he's fresher than ever and a real treat to watch.The team is off to a 5-2 start this season and Anderson is certainly doing his part. He currently leads the Blue Hens with 29 assists and nine steals while ranking second by averaging 13.4 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. Look for him to lead te way today vs anover match Eastern Shore program. |
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11-29-18 | Clippers -2 v. Kings | 133-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My power rankings make the LA Clippers the superior side in this matchup even though they are in the visitors role. The Clippers have won 11 straight games in this series and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Yes, I know the Clippers are playing back to backs , but after not exerting much energy in a 115-99 DD victory vs the Suns last night, they have more than enough left in the tank to dispose of the Kings. |
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11-29-18 | California Baptist -1.5 v. UC Riverside | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
The Riverside,Highlanders prepare to host a dangerous opponent (California Baptist University) (CBU) in the Crosstown Showdown. The Lancers are in the midst of their inaugural season at the NCAA DI level and hungry to compete and will be sky high here and very prepared to take down a team that plays in their own back yard.CBU comes into Thursday's matchup with an overall record of 2-4 SU as the Lancers have dropped four straight after opening up the season 2-0. Nearly all of the team's games have been close losing by three points or less to both Tulsa and Howard, and falling to Arkansas Pin Bluff in Triple OT.The Highlanders are primo from downtown this season as their .350 3pt shooting percentage ranks 3rd in the Big West and eight different players have hit from the land of the trey. Their 3pt defence also ranks 3rd allowing opponents to shoot just .276. That will be the difference maker her tonight. Play on California Baptist to cover |
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11-29-18 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 223.5 | 128-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
These two teams are explosive offensively to say the least. The Raptors rank 3rd in offensive output in the league averaging 117 ppg and 2nd in offensive efficiency, behind the 11th fastest pace. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors, rank 6th in offence averaging 116 ppg and 3rd in offensive efficiency, behind the leagues 15th ranked pace . there outputs and pace were slowed for a while as they got used to playing with super star Curry, but now their picking up their speed and play Dubs ball. The Warriors do have some key injuries with Draymond Green and Step curry, out, but lately the team is looking more cohesive, and playing pretty good attack orientated ball , scoring 125,117,116 in consecutive games and will have no choice but to push the ball up court quickly vs a dangerous quick strike or be blown off the court.The Raptors have lost eight consecutive meetings with the Warriors, and knowing this Im betting they will be all business and ready to really lay down beating, and like I said above, the Warriors will have to respond. This will make Im betting for a high scoring affair that goes over this offered number. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 62-24 OVER L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 230.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 68-28 OVER for a 71% conversion rate for bettors L/22 seasons with a combined average of 230.1 ppg going on the board. Play on OVER |
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11-29-18 | UAB -15.5 v. Alabama A&M | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
UAB (4-2) will be carrying some momentum into the Rocket City after defeating Canisius, 68-58, to close out the AdvoCare Invitational in Orlando. The Blazers have relied on their defense to keep opponents down which ranks 71st in the NCAA and 4th in C-USA in scoring defense, allowing just 65.8 points per game. Additionally, the Blazers rank 56th in the nation in turnovers forced (16.67) and 64th in steals per game (8.2).Rebounding has been another big time component of the team's game, out-rebounding its opponents by a margin of 6.5, good for 61st in the NCAA. The Blazers have also been good on the offensive glass with 15.0 boards per contest, ranked 31st nationally and Im betting this will be key difference maker tonight. Note> The Blazers are a over powering 11-0 all-time against the Alabama A&M Bulldogs, with the last meeting coming last season, a 90-58 victory for UAB, in the BHM Jam. The Blazers are also a dominating 53-0 all-time against opponents from the SWAC, including a 9-0 mark under head coach Robert Ehsan. UAB-15.5 to cover |
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11-29-18 | Florida A&M +14.5 v. North Florida | 62-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Florida A&M to cover |
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11-29-18 | Marist -1.5 v. Dartmouth | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
Dartmouth (3-3) l is a up-tempo team, while Marist (1-4) plays a more physical slow down brand of hoops. Dartmouth can launch threes and score in bunches, but the Foxes are not easily scored on, and behind one of the lowest paces in all of college hoops and mess with the flow of a team like Big Green. Despite of the Foxes negative record they must be respected as three of those losses were by single-digits . It must also be mentioned that pundits believe this will be a mid to upper tier team Marist this year and they get my support here today. Neutral Court underdogs vs. the money line (DARTMOUTH) - off a road loss by 10 points or more against opponent off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points are 5-51 SU L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. MARIST is 32-16 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts. Play on Marist to win cover |
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11-28-18 | Missouri State -1.5 v. Air Force | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Missouri State Bears have gotten to the free throw line 20 times or more in four of their first six games and Im betting that will be the difference maker here tonight vs Air Force . Charity stripe action gives us an edge. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MISSOURI ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Missouri State to cover |
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11-28-18 | Georgia Tech v. Northwestern OVER 128.5 | 61-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
GEORGIA TECH is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 137.6 ppg scored. My own estimates project a combined score in 136 range, thus according to my numbers and GTechs combined scoring averages against top tier teams on the road an over bet here looks like a very viable option. Yes, folks I know both teams play a solid brand of methodical hoops, but the linesmakers in my estimation after under compensated when it comes to matchup discrepancies. Play OVER |
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11-28-18 | Monmouth v. Kentucky -24 | 44-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
My own projections make Kentucky 29+ point favourites vs 0-7 Monmouth, thus giving us value with laying 24 points here . Monmouth have lost 6 of their 7 games this season, by DDs, and are very over matched according to my power rankings, with a less than 40% chances for a cover. HC Calipari of the Wildcats has also made sure his team is not overlooking their opponents tonight. QUOTE:“They have nothing to lose,” Calipari said of a Monmouth team who played a close game with West Virginia just a few weeks ago. “They play fast; they play around their post player.” END QUOTE:Calipari went on to say if the Cats don’t play defense, Monmouth could beat them. The HC has been pretty livid about the Wildcats lack of D, lately and wants them to step up. Look for a complete performance and a cover by Kentucky. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans UNDER 242.5 | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
I have watching this Totals number for over night action and now this morning and Im ready to act and recommend we take an under stance. Washington stayed at home and defeated the Houston Rockets, 135-131, in overtime Monday night. At the same time New Orleans was struggling in a 124-107 home loss to the Boston Celtics. Both need to correct deficient defensive issues , and both are working hard to do so especially the Pelicans HC Gentry, who has finally realized running and gunning out of the gate has been a catastrophe for a team that has lost 4 straight. The Pelicans have allowed an average of 36.3 first-quarter points in the last three games. HC Gentry response is as follows: "If you do that," Gentry said, "more than likely you're going to be playing uphill for the other 36 minutes. We've got to get off to better starts so that when we do go on a run, we're creating separation and not just pulling even." END QUOTE. Look for New Orleans to be more methodical in the first quarter tonight, and start this game concentrating on playing better D in transition, which will result in a lower scoring game overall than many might expect. WASHINGTON is 9-1 UNDER L/10 off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.4 ppg scored.WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 212.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (WASHINGTON) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 27-3 UNDER L/22 seasons with a combined average of 207.8 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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11-28-18 | BYU -2.5 v. Illinois State | 89-92 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
BYU had a 5 game win streak end against Houston last time out, and will now be ready to bounce back vs Illinois State. BYU has held five of its seven opponents to 40 percent shooting or lower. For the season, BYU opponents are shooting 38.8 percent, top 50 in the NCAA.Through seven games, BYU is one of the top ball control teams in the country. The Cougars are No. 7 in the nation in turnovers at 8.9 per game and are No. 3 in assist to turnover ratio at 1.98:1. After averaging 11.7 turnovers in the first three games, BYU has averaged just 6.8 turnovers over the last four games Last Meeting: BYU won 80-68, 12/6/17Im betting on them again here as my power rankings makes them 4.5 favs here, which is value compared to this line. Play on BYU to cover |
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11-28-18 | UMKC v. South Dakota State -16.5 | 47-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart South Dakota State to cover |
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11-28-18 | Jazz v. Nets +4 | 101-91 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Utah's been struggling having lost 4 of their L/5 and now on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Im betting the Jazz will once again have a hard time getting by a under rated Brooklyn side that is fairly well rested and playing at home . Note: UTAH is 17-33 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. BROOKLYN I know the Nets do not inspire bettors, but from a matchup perspective according to my power rankings have an edge here on this side number. Brooklyn is 21-9 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons NBA Road teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home loss by 3 points or less are 4-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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11-28-18 | Blues -115 v. Red Wings | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Previously hot Detroit is now on a three-game skid (0-2-1) after losing just once in the previous seven games.The Blues are not much better and have lost four of five and six of eight and were booed off the ice by their own fans for their ugly performance on Saturday. Pros don't like to be embarrassed and Im betting on a big time effort from the Blues here in a bounce back redemption situation. DETROIT is 8-20 ATS in home games against decent offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 1-9 ATS after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons and is 7-23 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (ST LOUIS) - poor closing team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in third period, after allowing 6 goals or more are 39-11 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline |
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11-28-18 | Quinnipiac v. Massachusetts OVER 141 | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Mass can score in bunches as is evident by averaging 83.4 ppg. Quinnipiac has no where near the same offence, and they play a more conservative style of hoops. but today they will end up chasing a high powered offensive team, which will result in this artificially low total being eclisped. My estimations make this total closer to the 145 mark giving us value with a over wager in this spot. QUINNIPIAC is 10-1 OVER in road games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less with a combined average of 145.5 ppg scored, which happened last time out vs Maine 58-50. MASSACHUSETTS is 8-0 OVER versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 150.6 ppg scored. MASSACHUSETTS is 10-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combine average of 150.6 ppg going on the board. MASSACHUSETTS is 10-1 OVER after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 156.3 ppg scored.MASSACHUSETTS is 8-0 OVER after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 161.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MASSACHUSETTS) - after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 117-65 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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11-28-18 | Liberty -7 v. Navy | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Liberty to cover |
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11-27-18 | Texas-Arlington +11.5 v. Tulsa | 58-72 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Both UTA and TU will be looking to stop two-game losing streaks as the Mavericks are coming off setbacks at Indiana and Arkansas – both teams receiving votes in the national polls and battle hardened and ready to compete here.UTA has posted some solid early-season showings as the revamped Mavs already own victories over perennially-strong mid-major Northern Iowa and a UC Davis team which returns four starters from a Big West Regular Season Championship and NIT appearance and more than capable of hanging around here and cashing a ticket. TX-ARLINGTON is 15-5 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game and is 22-11 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons. TX-ARLINGTON is 10-1 ATS after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. 527 Texas Arlington to cover Texas Arlington to cover |
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11-27-18 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 216 | 85-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Los Angeles will take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday night in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Its interesting that my own projections estimate that both these teams will score more than 105 points. Note:DENVER is 41-4 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 236.8 ppg going on the board.LA LAKERS are 43-9 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 235.5 ppg scored. Im basing tonights OVER call on my own estimations. The Lakers have averaged 114.4 ppg on offence on the road this season, while allowing 111.4 ppg . Meanwhile, Denver has scored an average of 113.8 ppg at home. Play OVER |
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11-27-18 | Pacers -3 v. Suns | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Indiana is in top form and are off clobbering back to back opponents, and Im betting they still have enough left in the tank to get by a young Phoenix team that despite of flashing some brilliance on occasion still don't know how to win consistently. This is not a good matchup for the home side Suns. PHOENIX is 18-32 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 season with a average point differential off 11+ ppg. LATE STEAM NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 27-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors with the average margin of victory coming by 11.6 ppg. Play on Indiana to cover |
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11-27-18 | NC State +8 v. Wisconsin | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
North Carolina State with a perfect 6-0 record looks to have a fine team this season, but many don't believe they are a viable option here vs a power-conference team like Wisconsin playing on the road. However, Wisconsin's schedule heats up after tonight, with the Badgers probably looking ahead to a pair of Big Ten Conference games against Iowa and Rutgers after this and may not be totally focused in this spot. Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on North Carolina State to cover |
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11-27-18 | Temple +3.5 v. Missouri | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Temple has won 5 of their first 6 games, with key wins over California and Georgia early in the season deserve respect here as underdogs vs a inconsistent looking Missouri team that has some injury issues as Jordan Geist is battling back issues, and K.J. Santos still out with a fractured foot. The bottom line here is The Owls have too much fire power for Missouri to handle. TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. Temples HC Dunphy is 10-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more shots than opponent in all games he has coached since 1997. Play on Temple to cover |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +4.5 | 122-114 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Memphis after a 5 game win streak, has lost their last two games ,and lost their last time out as home chalk to NY Knicks. Its not uncommon for teams deemed superior to their opposition to take nights off in the /NBA and also overlook their opponents , which is what Im betting happened to the Grizzlies in that game vs a up-trending Knicks team. Now focusedI expect a usually hardworking Memphis group to give top tier visitor the Raptors a fight for the W behind the leagues top defence. Im betting on the Grizzlies methodical style of play to interrupt and ply havoc on the free flowing Raptors, and make life difficult for them. NBA Home underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - average to below average defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 31-61 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate. The average point differential of those games clicked in at 3.2 ppg, which adds credence to a cover call of 3.5 points or more with the Grizzlies. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover |
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11-27-18 | Golden Knights -120 v. Blackhawks | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Vegas after experiencing their Stanley cup finals hangover earlier on this season are now playing much better hockey and have won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 overall. Meanwhile, the once mighty Black Hawks are in disarray and despite of winning last time out, are just 3-9 in their L/12 games and have not faired well in the followup off a victory. Im betting on up-trending Vegas to grab the cash for us tonight in Illinois. CHICAGO is 4-11 ATS after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons and is 4-14 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons. Golden Knights are 52-25 in their last 77 vs. Western Conference.Blackhawks are 6-16 in their last 22 vs. a team with a losing record.Blackhawks are 6-20 in their last 26 games following a win.Blackhawks are 6-21 in their last 27 vs. Pacific.Blackhawks are 2-9 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Blackhawks are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Blackhawks are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (VEGAS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 28-4 L/21 seasons for a 88% conversion rate fro bettors. Play on Vegas to win on the moneyline |
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11-27-18 | North Texas +9.5 v. Oklahoma | 57-73 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
The North Texas men's basketball team is at Oklahoma on Tuesday aiming for its first 9-0 start to a season in program history.The Mean Green (8-0), who are the only 8-0 team in the country and riding a nation's best 10-game winning streak, take on the Oklahoma Sooners (5-1) and if they lose tonight Im betting it will come at less than the point spread.UNT's opponents have only averaged of 55.4 point per game this season, making the Mean Green defense a top 10 team in the nation. This is a group of players that competes as is evident by the fact that the mean Green only trailed this season for 12 minutes and 13 seconds all year, which means they've either led or have been tied for 96 percent of the season in this campaign.. N TEXAS is 13-5 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons N TEXAS is 11-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons.N TEXAS is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
Take the point with North Texas to cover |
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11-27-18 | Penguins v. Jets UNDER 6.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
The Penguins enter this game playing some solid defence over their L/3 games and have allowed a total of 5 goals in this those tilts ( 1.66 gpg). I expect the Pens will wait for their chances in transition and be methodical and cautious in their approach vs an explosive Winnipeg team , that can light their opposition quickly, as was evident when they scored 8 goals last time out. Im also betting that a combination of the Pens ability to be stoppers, and a natural regression in offensive output for the Jets to highlight a tilt that remains under the total. WINNIPEG is 7-1 UNDER in non-conference games this season and is 20-8 UNDER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game . Play UNDER |
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11-27-18 | Pennsylvania -19.5 v. Delaware State | 76-48 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Penn is red hot and started 4-0 for the first time since the 1978-79 season leads the series 2-1 after a 105-52 rout last year at The Palestra. Penn's win percentage in its last 48 games under Donahue (34-14) and they get the nod here to win and cover in what Im betting is a big blowout victory. 7755 Pennsylvania to cover over Delaware State |
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