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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets +11 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
The Bengals are off a huge underdog win last time out vs the Baltimore Ravens and will find themselves in an emotional letdown spot here vs a ugly home dog in the NY Jets making them vulnerable . Previous to the Bengals win last week, they had not beat an above .500 team so Im not ready to crown them possible super Bowl contenders just yet. With that said, I know it will be tough for many of you to take the points here with the Jets, but with Zach Wilson now on the sidelines for the Jets and Mike White under center Im betting we will see a better version of the Jets this week. White was brilliant in his time with Western Kentucky and must not be underestimated . Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. NY JETS are 16-6 ATS L/22 after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games. NY JETS is 7-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992. in NY. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. NFL Favorites (CINCINNATI) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover |
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10-31-21 | Dolphins +14 v. Bills | 11-26 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 41 m | Show | |
I am not disputing which side is the better group, but in a division game a two TD difference is a little over the top. I know how well and how badly each team has played, but this line is bloated according to my power rankings and Im willing to take the points with a clothes pin attached firmly to my nose. Note: NFL home favorites in division games of 14 or more points are just 48-65-6 ATS L/41 seasons , including a  0-7 L/7 ATS run. BUFFALO is 18-33 ATS L/51 after having won 4 out of their last 5 games.  NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - solid team - out-gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 6 m | Show | |
After back to back underdogs wins vs Buffalo and Kansas City Im betting the Titans will have problems mustering the energy needed to take out the Colts as visitors. The Colts current group is also suited well to defending against the run , and with QB Carson Wentz in top form throwing multiple TDs pass in 4 straight games with no interceptions the Colts are a dangerous looking team. Note: Tennessee 0-4 ATS in games coming off consecutive SU underdog wins.I INDIANAPOLIS is 14-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons
Play on the Colts to cover |
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10-31-21 | Rams v. Texans +16 | 38-22 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show | |
Rams took out the lowly Lions last week by a 28-19 count, but they had to work extremely hard to do it after falling 10-0 in the first quarter. To me its obvious the Rams are taking defacto bye weeks to rest players against lower tier sides at least from an emotional standpoint ( their effort and grit look less than positive at time despite of the talent levels. In the recent past it seems the odds makers have over estimated the Rams ability to beat up on lower level sides, as is evident by their  1-5 ATS mark vs. a team with a losing record. After last weeks emotional come from behind victory Im fading them as huge road favs vs a team that will be motivated for redemption of some sort. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS L/16 after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games. LA RAMS are 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. NFL Favorites (LA RAMS) - solid team - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 14-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texans to cover |
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10-30-21 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show | |
The Washington Huskies are a 7-0 team if the offensive play-calling wasn’t so bad. The talent is there at Washington but its the guys directing plays on the sidelines that down grade this Huskies program. However, today vs a inconsistent Stanford team Im betting the visitors find a way to cash for us here this Saturday. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. CFBl teams where the line is +3 to -3 (STANFORD) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 13-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to cover |
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10-30-21 | Cavs +10 v. Suns | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Cleveland had a 3 game win streak halted vs the Lakers last time out, but I have liked their form this season, and my power rankings have as well, and with that said Im betting we have an edge on the line vs a Suns team that is exhibiting a major Championship finals hangover. as is evident by their 1-4 record to start the season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 19-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (CLEVELAND) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a terrible team (7 PPG or less differential) are 40-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-30-21 | Astros +100 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
 Right-hander Zack Greinke will be the Game 4 starter for the Astros and Im betting after seeing very little action is prepared to compete here. The veteran has pitched only 2 1/3 innings in two appearances (one start) during these play offs after seeing his role diminish late in the season. Greinke made two previous World Series starts, both in 2019 for the Astros, and produced a 2.45 ERA in two no-decisions. Greinke is 11-6 with a 4.16 ERA in 29 starts and one relief appearance during the 2021 regular season and deserves respect in a key situation for the Astros. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss. Braves are 2-9 in their last 11 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 2-11 in their last 13 interleague home games. HOUSTON is 32-19  against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. Play on Astros to cover |
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10-30-21 | Penn State v. Ohio State UNDER 61 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 48 m | Show | |
Penn State started their season with a 5-0 run and than after blowing a late lead lost to Iowa 20-18 in heart breaking fashion, and than in a letdown situation lost last time out in surprising fashion 20-18 to Illinois last time out. No matter what there has been one constant with Penn State this season, and that is a top tier D, both against the run and secondary as is evident by allowing an average of 14.7 ppg. With the opportunity to gain back some respect, Im betting the Lions really lean on the Buckeyes and make them work for points this week. This Im betting directly effects the combined score to the under as Penn State has also proven to be a conservative team on offense. Franklin is 11-2 UNDER after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game in all games he has coached with a combined average of 44.4 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (OHIO ST) - excellent offensive team ( 6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 32-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OHIO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 37-10 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Jets v. Sharks -105 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The Sharks after winning four games to start the season, have lost three in a row, managing just four goals in the process , but Im betting this is a good opportunity for redemption vs a tired Winnipeg side, that is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights on their current west coast road trip. NHL team against the money line (SAN JOSE) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team in the first half of the season are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Jose to win |
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10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans UNDER 215 | 123-117 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Pelicans played and lost last night, and are now on tired legs . Add to that their offensive flow without Zion Williamson is muted ranking 27th in ppg offensive average and you have a situation where points will be hard to come by vs a staunch defensive side that plays a good portion of their games in a slow paced environment. note: Knicks rank 26th in pace in the NBA Under is 5-0-1 in Pelicans last 6 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-0 in Pelicans last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. NEW YORK is 9-0 UNDER versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 195.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 20-9 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons of 210.5 ppg.  Under is 9-2 in Knicks last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after a game where they covered the spread, a top-level team ( 75% or better) playing a struggling team (25% or less ) are 31-9 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 212.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn is well rested and off a bye week, and will be primed to take down Ole Miss in this spot play. The Auburn D, will be the difference maker as they are 78 yards bette than the Ole Miss stopping units. Auburn has won the two most recent meetings in this series and are 17-4 L/21 overall meetings. CFB Home favorites (AUBURN) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 121-76 ATS L/29 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Auburn to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 9 m | Show | |
 Im betting the explosive offense of SMU will be held in check this week by the Houston Cougars D, that is ranked 4th overall. The host has covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting on a Rinse and Repeat situation. SMU is 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.SMU is 3-15 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. CFB home team (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 28-6 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston UNDER 62.5 | 37-44 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 48 m | Show | |
Houstons D, is of the top tier variety allowing just 17.3 ppg on the season and 14.3 ppg at home. I know SMU owns and explosive offense but Im betting they will be muted here. Meanwhile, SMUs D, is also under rated and despite of allowing alot of points in garbage time have still allowed an average of just 22.7 ppg . Today in this important game for these side, Im expecting more of a chess game than an all out slugfest which will result in this total not being eclipsed. HOUSTON is 20-7 UNDERoff a no-cover where the team won as a favorite with a combined average of 55.7 ppg scored. CFB team against the total (SMU) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 100+ YPG) against a good team (+50-+100 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent passing team - with a completion pct of 62% or better, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 57-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB team against the total (SMU) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a good defense (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) after 7+ games, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern UNDER 56 | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 33 h 16 m | Show | |
Recent history in this series:  Since the first meeting in this series back in 2014  the Panthers took the next three games, winning 34-7 in 2015 in Statesboro, 30-24 in 2016 in Atlanta and 21-17 in 2017 in Statesboro. GS won the next two games, 35-14 in 2018 in Atlanta and 38-10 in 2019 in Statesboro before the Panthers won last year 30-24 in Atlanta. According to these numbers none of confrontations has seen the combined score eclipse this total.  Georgia Southern remains a ground-oriented team. The Eagles rank No. 1 in the conference with 238.5 yards per game. Meanwhile, Georgia State averages 221.9 yards rushing per game, No. 3 in the Sun Belt, behind its big, experienced offensive line and will also pound the ball. With both teams leaning on their ground games alot of clock time will be eaten, and Im betting that results in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse the total. GEORGIA ST is 11-2 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival with a combined average of 48.3 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (GEORGIA ST/GA Southern) - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games are 40-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Georgia State -6 v. Georgia Southern | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 1 h 37 m | Show | |
 GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992. GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse over the last 3 seasons CFB road team vs. the money line (GEORGIA ST) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a terrible team (outgained by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 29-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate. Georgia State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards -2 | 112-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wizards took out the Celtics 3 days ago in Boston winning by a 116-107 count and are now 4-1 on the season, and in a better flow than the Clovers who are q team that is down trending in my power rankings at the moment . Based on current form the home side has the edge tonight.  Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. WASHINGTON is 14-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.WASHINGTON is 9-0 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons here in D.C. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 59-20 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Celtics are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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10-30-21 | Southern Miss v. Middle Tennessee State -13.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
Southern Miss generated just 107 offensive yards last week while getting shut out by UAB and they are big time fade material here vs a Middle Tennessee State team that up-trending in my rankings. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS  as an underdog this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at -22.9 ppg. SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -24.9 ppg. CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a poor offense - averaging 315 or less total yards/game, after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play in their previous game are 8-29 ATS L/10 seasons for 79% conversion rate. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 8 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 1-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.9. Middle Tennessee to cover |
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10-30-21 | Islanders v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Barry Trotz Islanders are now in a defensive groove and that discipline will continue here again vs the Nashville Predators this afternoon. Note: Isles goalie Ilya Sorokin for KHL phenom could easily be headed to towards NHL stardom if he stays healthy. He has already recorded 2 shutouts an was less than a minute away from a third one. Note:NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41. gpg scored. NY ISLANDERS are 14-2 UNDER in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.  NASHVILLE is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State is the real deal and just keep improving. Ill be honest I was not sold on them, but after watching the Spartans play on more than one occasion I get the feeling this is a never say die very tough crew . Entering this game against arch nemesis Michigan they are averaging 34.9 points and 451.7 yards per game while the defense, which allowed more than 21 points just once this season. CFB home team (MICHIGAN ST) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Michigan State to cover |
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10-30-21 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -13.5 | 56-44 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Bowling Green has won just 5 of their L/30 trips to the gridiron and are completely outgunned according to my projections by a Buffalo program that plays their best football at home and after 2-54 start have won 2 straight and in contention in the MAcEast. BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking 31.3 ppg. Buffalo  6-1 ATS win skein in this series. BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS in road games after a loss by 17 or more points over the last 3 seasons . Opponent 49.2 BG 8.3 BUFFALO is 7-0 ATS in home games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 21 ppg. CFB Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BUFFALO) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on the Buffalo to cover |
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10-29-21 | UNLV +20 v. Nevada | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Nevada according to my power rankings is being over rated here on this line. I know UNLV is o-7 on the season, but they have been mostly competitive and deserve respect here getting 20 plus points . The last time these teams met the Rebels upset Nevada 33-30 two seasons ago, and Im betting they make the Wolfpack work hard again.Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Play on the UNLV to cover |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Astros Garcia struggled down the stretch after a very good season, and his problems have continued into the play offs. Considering Astros’ relievers saw alot of action in the  first two games it wont be hard for me to imagine the Braves doing some damage today. Meanwhile,  Anderson the Braves starter has been good but not spectacular this season, after an amazing 2020 season and my pitcher vs batting order rankings suggest he may take an early exist but before that Im betting on the Astros explosive offense to get back on track here in put enough runs on the board for us to eclipse this total. Atlanta used have a reputation for being a pitchers park but that has turned around a bit and must now be considered more of a hitters park. Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff games as an underdog.  Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 interleague home games. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff games as an underdogMLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (HOUSTON) - AL team with a high slugging percentage (.440 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities are 43-20 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205.5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Orlando has seen 4 of their 5 games go over the total this season, thanks to a bad D (allowing 120 or more points in 3 of those tilts. They will have to open up soon, or continue to see negative results because of their defensive ineptness. Tonight Im betting the Magic become more aggressive and for the Raptors to fire back in a tilt my projections estimate at 209. ORLANDO is 19-8 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 222.8 ppg scored in those 27 games.Â
NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (ORLANDO) - off a home loss, a struggling team (25% or ) playing a team with a losing record are 50-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Canadiens v. Sharks -127 | 4-0 | Loss | -127 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
The Habs take on a Sharks team that blanked them 5-0 on Oct. 19 in Montreal. My power rankings and style vs style of algorithm  formats give the Sharks the edge again here at home.San Jose is opening a five-game homestand after winning  3 of 5 games in their recent road trip that began with the victory at Montreal. Quote:"There's a lot of good things and I'm trying to see the positives with this group," San Jose coach Bob Boughner said. "It's early in the season, we're 4-2 after playing five out of six on the road. It's a pretty good spot to be in coming home for five games." Advantage San Jose. Canadiens are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.  Canadiens are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Canadiens are 0-12 in the last 12 meetings in San Jose. Sharks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Play on the San Jose Sharks |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -5.5 | 104-101 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
This selection is all about momentum and Im betting Golden States 4-0 season stretches to 5 tonight against a tired Memphis team off a DD blowout loss last night in Portland. Memphis now face the daunting task of playing their 4th straight road game against a confident side. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 are 25-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10 ppg. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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10-28-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 228 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Golden State is back to running and gunning and rank 5th in offensive out put and 6th in pace in the NBA and Im betting they continue to push forward here at a high octane pace tonight vs a tired Memphis side that wont have the legs to play defense after playing last night and this being their 4th straight road game. Subsequently I expect the Grizzlies will have to open up or be blown of the court which will result in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. MEMPHIS is 27-15 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 231.1 ppg scored in those 42 tilts. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE/MEMPHIS) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 237.4 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Flyers v. Canucks OVER 6 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia’s power play is explosive as is evident by having garnered  a eye popping 36.4% success rate. On the flip side I have watched portions of some Canuck games and their defense is just to shaky and inconsistent to deal with this kind of pressure from a smooth skating Flyers side that usually plays a wide open style of hockey. finally the Canucks have a strong top 6 and I expect they wont go down without all out fight here in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. Over is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 vs. Pacific.Over is 9-1-1 in Flyers last 11 vs. Western Conference.Over is 5-1 in Canucks last 6 vs. Metropolitan.PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 OVER in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. VANCOUVER is 8-1 OVER off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
Green Bay has gone into over drive after offseason drama with its star quarterback Rodgers meltdown and near retirement , a Week 1 blowout defeat and than a boat load full of injuries. They continue to jump all obstacles and now Rodgers after his off season sulking, and slow start is a man on a mission and will be primed to take down the undefeated Arizona Cards this Thursday night. Note: The Packers are 5-0 ATS L/5 versus undefeated NFC West opponents . Arizona QB Murray is 1-5 ATS as a non-division home favorite of fewer than 7 points in his career.
Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Cardinals are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS L/12 in home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game.ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS in home games after out-gaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS L/18 off a home blowout win by 21 points or more. GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 2 seasons. NFL Home teams (ARIZONA) - out-gaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 7-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ARIZONA) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a79% go against conversion rate.Â
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10-28-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -2 | 104-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago has won their first 4 games of the season, and Im betting they make it 5 in a row here vs the NY Knicks. Lets ride the momentum of a hungry side. Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - off a win against a division rival against opponent after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite are 8-54 L/25 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bulls to win |
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10-28-21 | Troy +17.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
Im betting that Coastal Carolina ha a huge hangover after having their undefeated season come to an abrupt end last time out vs  at Appalachian State by a 30-27 count. Now against the 7th ranked defense in the nation, Im betting Coastal has problems on lift off and will start slowly. Note: In recent meetings the Trojans have really made Coastal work for wins . CCU won 36-35 at home two seasons ago and than took a hard fought are 42-38 in L.A.. Im betting things wont come easily again. TROY is 7-0 ATS against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (16-21 PPG), after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 14-39 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Troy to cover |
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10-28-21 | South Florida +10 v. East Carolina | 14-29 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
East Carolina won last year's meeting 44-24 and now redemption is at hand for the Bulls and Im expecting them to be ready to perform after last weeks win vs Temple. The Pirates (3-4, 1-2),  have lost two games in a row, and are limping into this tilt. Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.Pirates are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. S FLORIDA is 5-0 straight up against E CAROLINA since 1992 here on the road. Play on South Florida to coverÂ
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10-28-21 | Troy v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 52 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
Defensively, Troy has been in top form this season and Im betting they keep Coastal Carolina from one of their usually explosive offense outputs. They are hard to run on and pass against, thus Im betting that this will contribute greatly to a lower scoring affair that does not see this offered total eclipsed. l. Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games on grass. Under is 9-2 in Trojans last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Chanticleers last 6 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Chanticleers last 5 games overall. COASTAL CAROLINA is 12-3 UNDER in home games after playing a conference game with a combined 47.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (TROY) - good passing team (230-275 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 24-4 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 49-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-28-21 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 222.5 | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Washington early on this season is not running and gunning like they have in the recent past and their pace is now ranked 17th in the league and they at least for now are paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition which Im betting translates in lower offensive outputs. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks , currently rank 29th in pace while their D, has been staunch ranking 3rd in ppg allowed and 4th in the league in overall defensive rankings . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring game than the offered total. Under is 9-3 in Hawks last 12 road games. Under is 9-2 in Wizards last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Washington. Play UNDER |
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10-28-21 | Pistons +10.5 v. 76ers | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
I know Motown is not inspiring NBA bettors at the moment but with Ben Simmons out til hes traded and top star Joel Imbiid injured or playing at less than 100% , the Pistons have enough edges here to cover the number. DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making 39%or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 13-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Detroit to cover |
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10-27-21 | Cavs v. Clippers -8 | 92-79 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Clippers have shown they can win without often injured super star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup and tonight Im betting they will prove their abilities again vs a Cleveland side that despite of winning two straight are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 3rd game in 4 nights. Im sure the Cavs are gassed after playing their last game in the high altitude of Denver and are very vulnerable vs a LAC side that has covered 5 straight in this series and 5 straight as hosts. Note: The Cavs are 2-12 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -18.6 ppg. CLEVELAND is 10-25 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg deficit clicking in at just 11 ppg. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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10-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -2.5 | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
 This will be the Grizzlies 3rd straight road game all in a 4night period making them. vulnerable on tired legs to a HC Billups coached side that needs to bounce back off a loss to the Clippers last time out. NBA Underdogs (MEMPHIS) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 6-27 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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10-27-21 | Golden Knights v. Stars -124 | 3-2 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
With captain Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty, the Golden Knights' starting top line players , sidelined due to injuries, goals and victories have been hard to come by this season for Vegas and despite of finding a miracle win vs a Colorado team that made a mistake of overlooking them last time out, Im betting they struggle tonight on tired legs as they play their fourth game in 6 nights. DALLAS is 11-0 ATS in home games against poor power play teams - scoring on 14.5% or less of their chances over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +2.3 gpg.  Stars are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.Stars are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.Stars are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Pacific. Stars are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. Golden Knights are 13-27 in their last 40 games as a road underdog.Golden Knights are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. NHL team against the money line (DALLAS) - after 6 or more consecutive unders, sub par team - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game are 20-7 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to win |
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10-27-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
 Both these bullpens have been taxed and are vulnerable, Atlanta's stater today Fried is obviously a top tier hurler , however, the Astros have completely annihilated left-handed pitching during their current campaign and recorded the highest wRC+vs lefties in MLB this season . As of today the Astros own a .305 BA vs southpaws along with a .838 OPS against lefties while overall averaging 6.3 rpg in the post season against all hurlers. Im expecting for the Astors to bounce back from yesterdays 6-2 loss here with a big offensive output but Im also betting the Braves continue to astound the lines-makers with some offensive fireworks of their own vs  J. Urquidy. The Houston hurler throws more than 55% of his pitches for fastballs, and the Braves are one of MLB best fastball hitting sides ranking 8th in the league agains these kind of hurlers. Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a loss.Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-27-21 | Hawks -6 v. Pelicans | 102-99 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
New Orleans has alot of problems with offensive flow this season and have scored +107 points just once so far early in this campaign ranking just 26th in offensive rating . Here tonight vs a top flight Hawks D, Im betting those problems continue to fester without the injured Zion Williamson in the lineup.The Pelicans went 2-9 SU and only covered 5 times without Williamson last season and look to be a disadvantage again. Hawks are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.Hawks are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.Pelicans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hawks took both meetings last season by 123-107 and 126-103 counts. Rinse and repeat on the agenda. Play on the Atlanta to win |
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10-26-21 | Canadiens v. Seattle Kraken -112 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
The Habs can play inspiring hockey at times, but this great franchise lives on brand name alone over the last few years, and tonight hey look vulnerable to a Seattle team that will love their first home win to be against one of hockeys most storied team. Im betting the Kraken come to play and have the Edge. MONTREAL is 2-9 ATS  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (SEATTLE) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two terrible teams (30% or less) in the first half of the season are 29-3 L/24 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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10-26-21 | Jets -139 v. Ducks | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
The Jets opened the season with a 4-1 loss at Anaheim on Oct. 13 but evened the series against the Ducks with a 5-1 home victory on Thursday night and now despite of some key offensive players out are still built to beat this Ducks team via a top tier system that HC Paul Maurice has implemented. Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Ducks are 16-39 in their last 55 overall.Ducks are 17-42 in their last 59 home games.Ducks are 15-38 in their last 53 games as an underdog.Ducks are 6-22 in their last 28 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Ducks are 16-39 in their last 55 overall. Ducks are 17-42 in their last 59 home games.Ducks are 15-38 in their last 53 games as an underdog.Ducks are 6-22 in their last 28 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Favorite is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.Jets are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play on Winnipeg Jets to win |
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10-26-21 | Lakers -2 v. Spurs | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Whether King LeBron plays or not my power rankings suggest the Lakers matchup very well vs the Spurs and this line is beatable for a cover. Note: Early on this season it has become obvious the Spurs are sharing the ball well, and the Lakers are well built to handle multiple looks form different players which gives them an edge here. SAN ANTONIO is 4-14 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons. SAN ANTONIO is 16-33 ATS in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons in Texas . NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, first half of the season are 33-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Lakers to cover |
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10-26-21 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 224 | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
Golden State won their 3rd straight game out of the gate this season, with their D, playing tough in Sacramento. Tonight against a Thunder team that look to have very little offensive flow at the moment, Im betting the Warriors once again will mute the Oklahoma City D, and aid in this tilt stay under the offered Totals number. Note: Oklahoma City is averaging just 93.3 ppg on offense so far this season. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games as a road favorite.Under is 5-0 in Thunder last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City.Under is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (GOLDEN STATE) - an explosive offensive team (118 PPG or more ) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG), after a win by 10 points or more are 25-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-26-21 | Braves v. Astros -127 | 6-2 | Loss | -127 | 35 h 56 m | Show | |
Astros starter VALDEZ is 10-1 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite. Braves starter MORTON is 8-12 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest this season. (Team's Record) Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.stros are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff home games. Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.A TLANTA is 6-14 against the money line in an inter-league game this season.ATLANTA is 3-12 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season.  Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. Braves are 21-46 in their last 67 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 playoff road games.Braves are 6-16 in their last 22 interleague games.Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. American League West. Braves are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 0-5 L/5 meetings in this series. HOUSTON is 28-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. All the key edges here at home for Houston make this a viable wagering opportunity on the home favorite. Play on Houston to win |
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10-25-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
The Clippers have proved in the past they can win without their star Kawhi Leonard in the lineup. The Clippers are off two straight losses to begin their season, but from a matchup perspective have an edge here vs a Portland side, that looks to be having some early season chemistry problems under new New Trail Blazers head coach Chauncey Billups . Yes, I know Portland won their last time out, but I watched parts of that game, and there were some definite issues that needed to be ironed out. Note: Portland's Norman Powell exited with a left knee injury on Saturday and will miss Monday's game. Tony Snell (foot) will also sit out the contest and this Im betting will effect the Blazers overall flow. Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. LA CLIPPERS are 39-22 ATS ( after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. LA CLIPPERS is 6-0 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, first half of the season are 17-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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10-25-21 | Magic v. Heat OVER 213.5 | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Two interstate rivals go head to head in a early season tilt that has to low of a totals number attached to it according to my projections. My number is closer to 216 thus giving us value with an over wager. Note: MIAMI is 11-0 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.5 ppg scored. Over is 7-1 in Heat last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a ATS loss.Over is 10-2 in Heat last 12 games as a favorite. Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 Monday games.Over is 7-0 in Magic last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 road games. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 7-2 in Heat last 9 home games. Play OVER |
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10-25-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +3 | 119-109 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Pacers after starting their season with 2 straight 1 point losses bounced back with a win at home in their opener against the Miami Heat and once again like viable opponents against a Milwaukee side that will be on tired legs as they play their third straight road game. Advantage ride with the home dog. MILWAUKEE is 9-23 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 10-24 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Indiana. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 26-2 L/25 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-25-21 | Stars -125 v. Blue Jackets | 1-4 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas plays a tough disciplined defensive system that has seen them win 3 straight 1 goal decisions. With that said, Im betting against a Columbus side that has problems burying the puck. Both will sludge away here, but the Stars are more rested as they enter this tilt having not played since the 22nd of October. |
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10-24-21 | Warriors v. Kings +3.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The Warriors are much improved but Im also betting the Kings will uptrend as well and deserve respect here as home underdogs as they have thrived overall dating back to last season as underdogs cashing 10 of their L/14 games taking points. The Kings are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and have covered 4 straight vs the Warriors here in Sacramento and overall have cashed 9 of the L/10 tickets for their backers in this series. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 79 h 30 m | Show | |
 The Colts after a slow 0-3 start have won 2 of their L/3 games, with the loss coming to Baltimore by a 31-25 count. This team and its current roster according to my power rankings is more than capable of hanging with a SF 49ers side that has a banged up QB (Jimmy Garoppolo ) at the helm of the offense that is playing at less than 100% when he is on the field. Advantage Colts to cover. INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons. NDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - off a blowout win by 28 points or more over a division rival, after the first month of the season are 31-6 L/10 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. NFL team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. ( This trend gives a decent probability of possible upset thus giving top tier value with taking points. INDIANAPOLIS is 3-0/ATS 2-1 SU against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO in SAN FRANCISCO since 1992. Indianapolis to cover |
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10-24-21 | Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 224.5 | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
The Celtics looked tired in flat last time out in a 115-83 loss to the Raptors. Im now expecting a much more focused effort that will see Boston playing alot more basketball in transition while paying attention to this defensive play which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered number. BOSTON in their L/18 games after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more have seen a combined average  of 202.6 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Rockets last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 34-16-1 in Rockets last 51 home games. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, team that had a losing record last season are 24-5 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (HOUSTON) - off a home win, team that had a losing record last season are 40-14 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. 16 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996 here in Houston. Play UNDER |
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10-24-21 | Red Wings v. Blackhawks -154 | 6-3 | Loss | -154 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Blackhawks are 0-4-1 and now in desperation mode for a win. I still believe in this group and are much deeper down the middle than alot of teams in the west. On the flipside, the Red Wings have not faired well vs the Blackhawks losing 6 of eight matchups with Detroit last season including 5 of 6 here in Chicago. Also with the Red Wings  playing a back-to-back and 4 games in 6 nights and are at a disadvantage vs a hungry side. Blackhawks are 16-5 in their last 21 vs. Atlantic. Blackhawks are 8-3 in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest. Red Wings are 10-51 in their last 61 games as a road underdog.Red Wings are 6-21 in their last 27 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Play on Chicago to win |
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10-24-21 | Texans v. Cardinals UNDER 47.5 | 5-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
The Texans have scored a total of 35 points in 4 games (8.75 ppg). Arizona has allowed an average of 18 ppg, and Im betting both these means to averages will continue. I know the Texans D, is atrocious and the Cards are putting up points in bunches, but Im betting Texas does everything possible to turn this into a grinding slow motion affair. On the flip-side Arizona is off a road underdog win last time out, and be in a letdown state here vs a side that Im sure they are not taking very seriously no matter what they say. Also after playing 3 of their L/4 games and at break neck speed this will be a spot where the Cardinals energy levels will be lower than usual which will relate to a slower event that may might expect. These are my expectations, and right or wrong Im betting this game with confidence to the under. HOUSTON is 10-2 UNDER in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game with a combined average of 36.1 ppg scored. Note: undefeated non-division home teams like the Arizona Cardinal from GAME 5 and beyond have gone a 0-11-1UNDER L/5 seasons when the Totals offering is 45 or more. NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (ARIZONA) - off a blowout upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog, after the first month of the season are 46-18 UNDER L/38 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-24-21 | Lions v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 51 m | Show | |
Detroit is ranked 28th in scoring in the NFL averaging 18.3 ppg and here against a solid Rams D, that output average will be further muted and have scored 17 or less points in 5 straight. That lack of productivity Im betting will help keep this combined score under the offered number. It must be noted that the LA Rams play at the rate in the NFL averaging just 59 plays per game. I expect a slower more deliberate game from the Rams after playing 2 consecutive road games. Its takes time to use to home cooking so I dont expect them to be as explosive as usual.Â
NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LA RAMS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDERÂ |
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10-24-21 | Washington Football Team +8.5 v. Packers | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 26 m | Show | |
That was a big win for Rodgers and company last week against their long time rivals the Bears and now Im expecting an emotional letdown situation to unfold for Green Bay giving us an advantage with taking points with the Washington football team. I know Washington has not looked good defensively, but they are still capable of slowing down the Packer train. Note: From a historical standpoint GREEN BAY is just 9-22 ATS  in home games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 6 yards/play or more . |
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10-24-21 | Jets +7 v. Patriots | 13-54 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
After last weeks back and forth tilt vs the Dallas Cowboys that saw New England lose to the Cowboys in OT, Im betting on a huge letdown performance from the Pats here this week vs the lowly Jets, Also according to my power rankings the Jets are not as bad as their record suggests and are more than capable of hanging tough here and pulling off the upset. NFL Road teams (NY JETS) - with a struggling offense - averaging 285 or less total yards/game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 39-14 ATS L/38 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. |
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10-23-21 | Islanders v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
HC Barry Trotz Islanders after a rough start are back playing the type of disciplined hockey they have become famous for and Im betting here on the road in Arizona I expect another one of those top defensive efforts. NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored.Â
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDERÂ |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs +7.5 | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Both San Antonio and Milwaukee are off losses. I expected the Bucks to come out strong in their home opener after their championship season, and they did, beating Brooklyn handily. However, now Im expecting a period of champion ship hangover to permeate for a while. With that said, Im betting on San Antonio giving the Bucks all they can handle tonight. Note: San Antonio is 6-0 ATS L/6 in this series, and it must also be noted MILWAUKEE is 0-10 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are 11-24 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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10-23-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 223 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a combined score in the high 220s here giving us ultimate value with an over wager in this spot. Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Over is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 road games. SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 OVER against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games as a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 home games. These teams have gone over in 7 straight meetings. Play OVER |
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10-23-21 | Pistons v. Bulls -8 | 82-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Bulls cruised to a 128-112 rout of the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Friday and beat the Pistons by 6 points in their first game of the season in Motown. I know the Bulls have played more game and are off playing last night, but they do matchup up very well against Detroit, and since its still early in the season Im betting they have plenty of energy left to dispatch the visitors here in Chicago tonight and get us the all important cover.Pistons are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings Pistons are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on Chicago Bulls to win/cover |
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10-23-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +165 | 2-4 | Win | 165 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Braves starter ANDERSON is 11-0 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) ANDERSON is 11-2 against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 14-4 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better this season like Scherzer. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs, playing on Saturday are 31-17 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 110-47 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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10-23-21 | USC +7 v. Notre Dame | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 38 m | Show | |
USC at 3-3 are not be respected right now by linesmakers despite of great deal of talent all through the lineup. Yes, they have not performed optimally but are still extremely dangerous opponent for an inconsistent and lucky to sport a 5-1 record this Fighting Irish side. Both sides are well rested but it must be noted that the Trojans are 9-1 ATS going into a non conference battle off a bye and 4-0 ATS L/4 off a loss. USC is 6-1 ATS as a underdog of 6 or more points and 11-2 ATS when coming off a SU home favorite loss. USC is 12-3 ATS after allowing 42 points or more last game. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (USC) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Play on USC to cover |
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10-23-21 | Maple Leafs v. Penguins +140 | 1-7 | Win | 140 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh, is playing some very strong disciplined hockey out of the gate this season, and look very viable even without Crosby, as fellow super star center Evgeni Malkin stands tall and looks to be in top form leading his team in energetic efforts. The Penguins have no regulation losses and six of a possible eight points through four tilts and have a history of playing the Maple Leafs tough as is evident by winning 11 of the L/15 games in this series . Note : The home team has won the L/4 meetings. Rise and repeat situation on board tonight. Play on Pittsburgh Penguins to win |
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10-23-21 | South Alabama v. UL-Monroe +13.5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 60 h 20 m | Show | |
 UL Monroe (3-3 on the season) scored a huge underdog upset vs Liberty last week by a 31-28 count and now with momentum on their sides I expect them to be competitive here again this week vs a South Alabama : Note: South Alabama is just 12-23-1 ATS on the road in Sun Belt play. S ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more which was the case in the 41-14 win vs Georgia Southern last week. Play on UL Monroe to cover |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State +3 v. Air Force | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Air Force is a one way offense that moves the chains on the ground, and that is a problem for them here tonight as they take on a San Diego State  rush defense allowing just 61 rushing yards per contest ranking among the best in the nation. SD State is 7-2 L9 ATS in this series and have won 9 straight with the Visitor going 3-0 L/3 . San Diego State is also 9-2 as 8 point dogs or less. AIR FORCE is 1-10 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. CFB road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego State to cover |
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10-23-21 | Hawks v. Cavs +7.5 | 95-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
 Atlanta defeated the Dallas Mavericks 113-87 on Thursday and are getting alot of accolades. But now in a letdown spot vs a desperate Cavaliers side that is 0-2 and lost their opener, Im betting we have a viable underdog spot to pick on. Atlanta has lost their L/4 trips to Cleveland SU, and are vulnerable here in this pot play.ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Cavaliers to cover |
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10-23-21 | Ducks v. Wild -240 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
 Ducks D and goaltending has tanked in their L/2 trips to the pond having allowed 6 and 5 goals respectively. Im betting they wont rectify their issues here as they play their fourth straight road games and will be on tired legs.  NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (MINNESOTA) - after 2 straight close wins by 1 goal are 28-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate and qualifies on the puckline as well because of the huge +2.5 gpg average margin of victory. However, we will take more risk on the outlay and go for the safer straight up win. Minnesota is 10-2 L/12 vs Anaheim.  Play on the Wild to win |
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10-23-21 | Boston College +6.5 v. Louisville | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 1 m | Show | |
Boston College roared out to a 4-0 start to their season, and than lost a hard fought battle to Clemson by a 19-13 count and than in a letdown state were beat up by North Carolina in their follow up. Now rested and ready for redemption Im betting the Eagles come out here and give Louisville all they can handle for the cover. Note: BC is 7-0 ATS L/7 entering this series off a loss. From a statistical standpoint the Golden Eagles are 122 yards superior to the Cards from a defensive standpoint, which Im betting will be the difference maker here today. BOSTON COLLEGE is 24-11 ATS (as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-1 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992. BC has won 4 of the L/5 meetings on the road in this series with the only loss coming by 2 points. Play on BC to cover |
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10-23-21 | BYU v. Washington State OVER 55.5 | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
My projections estimate both these sides will score+28 points which gives value to this over wager. Over is 9-2 in WStates last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-1 in BYU Cougars last 6 games on fieldturf. Over is 3-1-1 in CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (BYU/WASH ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (21-28 PPG) after 7 or more games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences are 30-2 OVER L/10 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 72.6 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-23-21 | Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Clemson has not been an underdog in 64 straight games dating back to the 2016 season. I know they have not performed optimally this season, behind their QB  DJ Uiagalele, but this is still a talented group especially on defense where Im betting they will give this explosive Pittsburgh team problems. CLEMSON is 21-9 ATS in road games vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game since 1992. Swinney is 11-2 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of CLEMSON. Narduzzi is 1-8 ATS in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of PITTSBURGH. CFB road team (CLEMSON) - with a good first half defense - 8 or less points per game, after a win by 6 or less points are 31-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Clemson to cover |
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10-23-21 | Colorado +9 v. California | 3-26 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 7 m | Show | |
Cal does not deserve to be this big a favorite here. The Bears have accumulated a  1-5 SU record with the only win against FCS Sacramento State.The Golden Bears currently rank last in the PAC 12 in total defense while their opponent the (Colorado Buffaloes ranks 4th and 6th in total offense . Note: CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. Colorado won 34-0 last week as dogs and are being put into the dog pound again this Saturday in Berkeley. Colorado under Dorrell is 5-0 ATS coming off a SU underdog victory. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) - with 16 total starters returning are 73-34 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado to cover |
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10-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 54.5 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
My projections on total offensive output is based on trending stats , but also how both these coach's perform under certain situations and perimeters. Add to that a overall college football trend that denotes a lower scoring affair and I am solidly on the under here today. This is an important MAC game so it will see some chess master moves by both coaches that will keep the game more conservative than might usually be the case , which will Im betting keep this tilt under the total. Candle is 6-0 UNDER in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of TOLEDO with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. Lester is 7-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 44.5 ppg scored.Lester is 8-1 UNDER after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game as the coach of W MICHIGAN with a combined average of 49.1 ppg scored. CFB Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (W MICHIGAN) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, game between two teams with 8 or more defensive starters returning are 39-8 L/10 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin -155 v. Purdue | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 102 h 50 m | Show | |
Purdue after upseting Iowa last week as road dogs will now be in a huge emotional letdown situation. Considering Wisconsin has won 12 straight meetings in this series  including 6-0 SUATS on the road Im betting the Badgers come away with the win vs a vulnerable side. Purdue is 5-21 L/16 SU as conference dogs. Play on Wisconsin to cover |
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10-23-21 | Flames v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 4-3 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Washingtons goalie Vanecek, the 2014 second-round draft pick, has looked like the real deal while garnering 1.30 goals-against average and .946 save percentage in three games as he makes a case to be the team's No. 1 netminder in his second pro season. Im betting he holds down the fort here tonight vs struggling Calgary offense. Im betting on Calgary struggling to score in a conservative game plan out of transition and for Washington to do minimal damage vs a Flames side that will not be taking many chances. CALGARY is 18-8 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg scored. CALGARY is 17-7 UNDER ( in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. Under is 4-0-2 in Flames last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Flames last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Flames last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 10-2-1 in Flames last 13 road games.Under is 12-3-1 in Flames last 16 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0-1 in Capitals last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-2 in Capitals last 6 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Capitals last 4 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Capitals last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 vs. Pacific. NHL team against the total (CALGARY) - struggling offensive team - scoring 2.4 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 39-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-23-21 | Kansas State +1 v. Texas Tech | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
 From a matchup perspective Kstate. Matched up well here according to my power rankings and from a historical standpoint have done well in this series winning  4 of their last 5 trips to Lubbock while winning 9 of the last 10 meetings overall. I know the wildcats lost last week, so they are not getting alot of respect right now form lines-makers, but it must be noted HC Chris Klieman when coming off a SUATS loss is 6-0 ATS L/6. Look for KStates top tier QB Skylar Thompson to be the difference maker. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992. Wells is 1-12 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached since 1992. TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. CFB home team (TEXAS TECH) - after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the KState Wildcats to cover |
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10-23-21 | Cincinnati v. Navy +28 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 46 m | Show | |
The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS as road favorites of 17 or more points and despite of all their obvious strengths could find the sledding tough against a never say die Navy side that has cashed 4 of their L/5 as 12 point or more conference dogs. Note: Military Dogs of 20 or more points are 5-0 ATS L/4 seasons. The Bearcats have also failed to cover in 6 of their L/8 vs Military schools including 0-3 ATS when favored by two TDs or more. Probably not an upset in the making, but getting points is a viable investment option. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-23-21 | Wake Forest v. Army +3 | 70-56 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
I know Wake Forest is undefeated on the season, but Im still not a big believer in their overall prowess as a top tier team , and feel strongly they will find the sledding tough here in West Point this Saturday vs Army. From a historical standpoint the Demon Deacons are just 0-3-1 ATS as road favs when carrying a undefeated record. The Black Knights can hit the weakest part of the Wake D, which allows an average of 171 ypg on the ground, behind the 2nd-ranked rushing offense in the nation and garner us a cover and possible outright upset. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WAKE FOREST) - after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more, in October game are 12-41 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% go against conversion rate. CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARMY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game are 29-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play on Army to cover |
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10-22-21 | Suns v. Lakers UNDER 222.5 | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
These numbers is bit high according to my projections and should be closer to 220 so we have a full possession value to the under. PHOENIX is 17-5 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more since 1996 with a combined average of 201 ppg going on scoreboard. Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as an underdog.Under is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games as a road underdog. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. LA LAKERS are 17-6 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.2 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State UNDER 59 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Colorado States D, is up-trending in my power rankings, and have allowed a total of 51 points in their L/4 trips to the gridiron ( 12.75 ppg average) and their ability to slow down Utah States attack will help directly keep this game from going over the number. Meanwhile, Utah State after an explosive start offensively have settled down and have 24,28, and 3 points in their L/3 with all those tilts staying under the total. Tonight Im expecting a grinding game between two Mountain west squads and a total that will not be eclipsed. Note: CSU is 4-1 under L/5 overall. COLORADO ST is 37-19 UNDER L/56 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) with a combined average of 51.6 ppg going on the board. UTAH ST is 39-21 UNDER L/60 when the total is between 56.5 and 63 with a combined average of 56 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (COLORADO ST) - with a good rushing D - allowing 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 52.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 9 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Astros offense has averaged 6.9 runs per game this postseason, ranked No. 1 in the MLB play offs and and have scored at least five runs in eight of their nine games. Here against BoSox starter Eovaldi a rinse and repeat situation is expected. especially considering how shaky Red sox bullpen support has been Note: From the 49 runs allowed by Boston in the post season 27 have been allowed by the bullpen Meanwhile, Astros starter Luis Garcia has had issues in his first two starts this postseason, not going past the third inning while giving up five earned runs in each outing and has garnered a ugly 24.55 ERA this postseason. He is not 100% with a knee injury and could easily get bounced around here from a Red Sox batting order that despite of being inconsistent can light up the best of hurlers in this league.HOUSTON is 11-1 OVER in October games this season with an average of 12.4 rpg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-22-21 | Nets -1 v. 76ers | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
Ben Simmons trade demand saga continues to have a demoralizing effect on the 76ers, and here vs a talented Brooklyn team that wants redemption for a beatdown to the defending champion Bucks last time out, Im betting more of the same negative feelings will permeate for them when the final buzzer goes off.  76ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Nets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. Nets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. BROOKLYN is 47-28 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games are 37-18 L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets |
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10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs +3 | 123-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Cleveland Im betting will be an upgraded unit this season, and I was personally impressed by them in game 1 of the season vs Memphis despite of losing. Note: Evan Mobley is the real deal and he proved it in his first league game, Also of importance was Jarrett Allen who had a perfect shooting night and Darius Garland and Ricky Rubio who recorded point-assist double-doubles. Meanwhile, Charlotte took an emotional comeback win and now are in a vulnerable letdown spot on the road. They played hard last time out, and Im sure exhaustion will now help us get a cover with the home side. Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. CLEVELAND is 24-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE at home since 1996. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset win as a home underdog, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses are 5-24 L/25 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-22-21 | Hornets v. Cavs UNDER 225.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these teams took part in wide open back forth high scoring hoops affairs in their first games of the season. Both now Im betting are on slightly tired legs and will now play a more conservative brand of hoops here in their 2nd game of the season. My projections estimate both sides will score no more than +108 points which sets in play key trends. CHARLOTTE is 17-0 UNDER  where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 202.1 ppg going on the board  .CLEVELAND is 18-1 UNDER where both teams score 108 or less points in a game over the last 2 season with a combined average of 192.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as a favorite.Under is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 Friday games.Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHARLOTTE) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 26-6 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida +1.5 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
UCF head coach Gus Malzahn is on the hot seat this teams need wins and now especially after getting smashed by 56-21 count at Cincinnati last week , which did not make Central Florida backers/boosters very happy and the rumblings are getting louder. The good news here for UCF is that host is on a  13-1 ATS run in this series while,  Memphis’ has lost 13 of their L/15 when playing on the road against UCF. MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 8-30 ATS L/29 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Central Florida to cover |
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10-21-21 | San Jose State v. UNLV OVER 43.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
When these teams played last season San Jose State won by a 34-17 count. Now despite of the Spartans offensive numbers showing. a distinct drop from last season, my own projections estimate they matchup well here vs D allowing 35 ppg on average and should easily go above their offensive  season averages. Meanwhile, UNLV winless on the season, are desperate for a win and will not be conservative in their approach here today and will come at the Spartans in aggressive fashion which increases the probability of an output that goes over this offered total. UNLV is 21-9 OVER L/30 vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.UNLV is 20-4 OVERoff a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival with a combined average of 65.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 Thursday games. Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (UNLV) - off a home loss against a conference rival, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 69-35 OVER L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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10-21-21 | Clippers v. Warriors -3.5 | 113-115 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
Golden State behind super star Curry looked good in their opener vs the LA Lakers, and once again are viable side options in this tilt as home favorites according to my projections. Note: Clippers super star Kawhi Leonard is expected out tonight with continued knee issues. What impressed me in the victory vs the Lakers was the defensive play of Stephen Curry and Jordan Poole they set the tone for the Warriors. They did not shoot the ball all that well, but wow were they tenacious. More of those efforts will make the Dubs a hard team to face this season. GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 games, team that had a winning record last season are 24-2 L/25 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4 ppg. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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10-21-21 | Ducks v. Jets -190 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
NHL Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (WINNIPEG) - off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival, winless on the season are 40-7 L/24 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. |
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10-21-21 | Braves +140 v. Dodgers | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Braves up 3-1 in this series are ready to bring the hammer down today . Braves starter FRIED is 19-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 27-6 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)FRIED is 24-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Braves are 5-1 in their last six playoff games and 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-21-21 | Flames -129 v. Red Wings | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Calgary will be seeking its first victory. The Flames lost to Edmonton 5-2 in their opener and 3-2 in overtime to Anaheim on Monday. Now well rested and desperate Im betting the Flames to grab the cash tonight. Flames are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.Flames are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.Flames are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Flames are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. Atlantic. Favorite is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Flames are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on Calgary to win |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
I have projected a 3 TD win + here for Lafayette. ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -28.3 ppg. CFB home underdogs (ARKANSAS ST) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored are 7-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team vs. the money line (LA LAFAYETTE) - off a home blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team ( 80% or more ) playing a terrible team ( 25%) are 25-1 SU with the average ppg diff clicking in at +25.5 points per game. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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10-20-21 | Kings +5 v. Blazers | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
 .The Trail Blazers biggest problem last season under former coach Terry Stotts was their defense, which was ranked 23rd in scoring defense last season while allowing 114.3 points per game.Now new HC Billups has said he is working to correct that but that in Im betting takes away from the Blazers flow at least for the early part of the season. Meanwhile their opponents tonight the Sacramento Kings have looked good in preseason action and have done well getting their defense in gear by winning all 4 games with a 11 ppg diff. The Kings are now built for the two way game and get the nod tonight. SACRAMENTO is 35-19 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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10-20-21 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 218.5 | 134-138 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
The Knicks had success last year playing a grinding systematic brand of hoops and nothing will change this season. Meanwhile, Boston is a little banged up, with Horford is Out (COVID-19), Jaylen Brown is questionable (COVID-19) and Payton Pritchard is probable (nose) and their flow could easily be off here in a tilt I have pegged to stay on the low side of the offered totals number. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games.Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a home favorite.Under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 home games. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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10-20-21 | Bruins -135 v. Flyers | 3-6 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
The Flyers are off a big win 6-1 win vs the expansion Kraken last time out, but they have not been a team that has shown consistency over the last few seasons as is evident by the following trends. PHILADELPHIA is 7-17 ATS off a win or tie in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.Bruins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. The Bruins are a solid team and when healthy like they are now a dangerous opponent for all comers. Add to that a top tier young goalie in Jeremy Swayman who finished last season with a 7-3-0 record and then stopped 27 of 28 shots against the Stars last Saturday you have a team back on the prowl in the East. Flyers are 8-21 in their last 29 games following a win.Flyers are 3-9 in their last 12 games as a home underdog.Flyers are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bruins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the Boston Bruins to win |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
 The Chanticleers are ranked and deserve respect even as road favs. But App State has a reputation for being giant killers and also deserve respect especially as home underdogs. Coastal enters this year's meeting undefeated and have a huge targets on their backs while Appalachian St is perfect 2-0 at home. The Mountaineers have also won 23 of their last 25 home games dating back to the middle of the 2017 season and 6 of 7 meetings in this series. Mountaineers’ 8-0 SU  when coming off a loss the past four seasons. Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons.  CFB Road favorites (COASTAL CAROLINA) - after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 15-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate . Play on App State to cover |
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10-20-21 | Astros +110 v. Red Sox | 9-1 | Win | 110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Houston exploded for seven runs in the ninth inning on their way to a 9-2 win in Game 4 of this series, leveling the best-of-seven American League Championship Series at two games apiece and Im betting on the Astros momentum to continue into this tilt behind starter Valdez who has posted a respectable 3-1 record with a 3.19 ERA in six career postseason games (five starts). In regular-season outings against Boston, the southpaw is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in four total appearances including two starts). Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Meanwhile, the flip side,the BoSox starter In nine career playoff games (six starts), has gone just 1-2 with a 6.91 ERA. Needless to say the top tier hurler, does not perform well under the limelight of post season play and is fade material here in this spot play.Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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10-19-21 | Nets v. Bucks +1 | 104-127 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show | |
There is a-lot of crap currently surrounding the Brooklyn Nets thanks to the spot light put on Kyrie Irving circus. I don't want to get into it here, but it is and will effect performance levels of this talented but some time unfocused team. Chemistry issues were evident during last years play offs and Im betting they wont be rectified at least in the short term, especially in this environment. Meanwhile, I know the Bucks are playing with a proverbial Championship hangover, but I expect they will be juiced to take down the Nets in this spot play. MILWAUKEE is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with or more straight spread covers, team that had a winning record last season are 68-15 L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight spread covers, team that had a winning record last season are 24-4 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Bucks to cover |
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10-19-21 | Canucks -140 v. Sabres | 2-5 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The Sabres, who finished last in the East Division last season with a 15-34-7 record, including an 18-game losing streak and just 37 points have started this season strongly, but Im betting their winning ways come to an abrupt end tonight vs the under rated Canucks. Sabres are 7-19 in their last 26 games as a home underdog.Sabres are 14-45 in their last 59 games as an underdog.Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Pacific. Canucks are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Play on Vancouver to win |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
The Braves turn to veteran right-hander Charlie Morton, who went 14-6 with a 3.34 ERA in the regular season and this season and 8-4 on the road along with a 2.96 ERA. He was 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA vs. Los Angeles this season and is more than capable of slowing down a suddenly struggling Dodgers offense. Note: The Dodgers are just 2-for-18 with runners in scoring position in the series. Meanwhile, the dodgers will respond with Walker Buelher who owns. a2.05 ERA at home this season, and is 3-0 when starting against Atlanta in his career along with a 3.06 ERA. Im betting on both these pitchers and two viable bullpens to help keep this game on the low side of the offered number. BUEHLER is 18-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in his career . (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored in those 24 games. Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 League Championship home games.Under is 7-3 in Dodgers last 10 playoff games. Under is 23-10-5 in Dodgers last 38 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Dodgers last 27 vs. National League East. Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games following an off day.Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 playoff road games.Under is 18-6-2 in Braves last 26 games as an underdog.Under is 13-6-2 in Braves last 21 vs. National League West. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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10-18-21 | Astros +108 v. Red Sox | 3-12 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Boston will start game 3 of this series with left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (0-1, 5.40 ERA). The hurler went winless in two playoff starts against Tampa Bay in the ALDS and is 0-1 with a 7.02 ERA in 10 career postseason games (three starts) RODRIGUEZ is 1-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.52 and a WHIP of 1.894. Rodriguez was smashed by the Astros in two regular-season starts going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in 9 1/3 innings. According to my power ranking pitcher vs batting order rankings the Astros matchup well vs Rodriguez. Urquidy went 8-3 with a 3.62 ERA over 20 starts in the regular season. In his postseason career, he is 1-1 with a 2.81 ERA in eight appearances (four starts).URQUIDY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667. Boston look the last game played in this series 9-5 but the Astros have proved resilient in the recent past off a loss winning 4 straight redemption situations. Astros are 9-4 in their last 13 playoff road games. Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 playoff games as an underdog. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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10-18-21 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
AMERICAN League Playoffs - LCS - Best Of 7 - Game 3 Astros starter URQUIDY is 13-5 OVER  vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored in those 18 games. URQUIDY is 12-4 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. BoSox Starter RODRIGUEZ in 63 games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. HOUSTON is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season with a combined score of 11.5 rpg going on the board in those 16 games. Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 playoff games. BOSTON is 32-16 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons with an average of 11 rpg scored in this 48 games. Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall. Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 playoff games.Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.Over is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 vs. American League West.Over is 10-1-1 in Red Sox last 12 League Championship home games. Over is 7-1-2 in Red Sox last 10 League Championship games. Play OVER |
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