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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-23-17 | UCLA +7.5 v. Stanford | 34-58 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 47 m | Show | |
Rosen jumped out  to the top of the Heisman watch list after throwing for 3,668 yards and 23 touchdowns as a freshman in 2015 and than last season , the hopes for  UCLAs winning the PAC 12 and making a big Bowl appearance was erased because of the Rosen injury. Now after his triumphant return to the gridiron which saw the Bruins stage a miraculous 45-44 comeback win vs Texas A&M after being down by more than 30 points at one point , the legend of Josh Rosen continues to grow. So far this season he's been lights out, and despite of losing a 48-45 heartbreaker last week in Memphis he must be respected here vs Stanford just because of the share fire power this Bruins team has. Yes, they're defense is their Achilles heel, and Mora's team  will give a load of points on a regular basis, to strong offenses, but their own offense will keep them in most games, as I am betting  will be the case this week vs the Cardinal who are not a confident group at the moment after coming off two straight losses, to USC and San Diego State. CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Stanford  - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 15-42 ATS for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors during the past 10 seasons. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like UCLA - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 51-19 ATS for a 73% conversion rate for bettors dating back 10 seasons. Play on the UCLA Bruins to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State +4 | 38-18 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 26 m | Show | |
Notre Dame goes on the road for the 2nd week in a row. Last week , the band wagon crawlers came out of the woodwork , after the Irish defeated Boston College. However defeating this  Michigan State program will be a much harder conquest. The Spartans enter this game as the nations 3rd ranked D, and must not be disrespected on offense either as a deep set of backs could easily wreak havoc on a side, that may find it difficult adjusting and dealing with a team that can actually move the ball, after facing Boston Colleges horrendous offense last week. It must be noted that Notre Dame has covered in just 2 of the L/13 games in this series, and the Spartans  DanAntonio is 17-2-1 ATS L/20 at home taking on sides off a SU/ATS victory. MICHIGAN ST is 15-3 ATS L/18 allowing 225 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games.MICHIGAN ST is 17-4 ATS L/21 after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games. NOTRE DAME is 2-14 ATS  L/16. in road games after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game CBB Road favorites like the Fighting Irish- excellent rushing team (230 RY/G or more) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (100 RY/game or better), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 7-31 ATS dating back 25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Florida -2.5 v. Kentucky | 28-27 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 12 m | Show | |
The Florida Gators have beaten the Kentucky Wildcats 30 straight times. It does not seem to matter which team is better at the time of the meetings. With that said, and after watching Florida fail away on offense in their first few games of the season, they suddenly woke up with a 63 yard hail Mary pass to defeat Tennessee 26-20 last week, and  will now be sky high , entering this game  and I'm betting be jolted into getting some more points on the board With that said, the Gators defense is extremly solid and of the top tier variety and here against a Kentucky team that can be inconssitent with their attack a times , I'm betting their in trouble. The Wildcats have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 as dogs of 10 points or less. With that said, I recommend we take the Gators in this spot. FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS   in road games after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnovers. Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Florida Atlantic +3 v. Buffalo | 31-34 | Push | 0 | 130 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm betting Florida Atlantics new HC  Lane Kiffin and company after having time to work with his new team is finally ready to make his mark. It takes time to have a team jell, and now with 3 games in their back pockets against the likes of Wisconsin and Navy and a blow out tune up win last week 45-0 vs Bet Cooke, Kiffins Owls behind 14 returning starters and a talented quarterback will now be fine tuned to take out (cover) Buffalo as visitors. FLA ATLANTIC is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after scoring 42 points or more last game. CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Florida Atlantic  - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against an average offensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game are 26-5 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for bettors dating back 25 seasons .CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Buffalo - after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 9-30 ATS L/39 dating back 10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Florida Atlantic Owls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Arkansas State +4.5 v. SMU | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 40 m | Show | |
Last week SMU was hyped up to play in state rivals TCU , and despite of a valiant effort still got blown out by DDs. Now in a letdown situation the Mustangs face a very staunch and experienced Arkansas State team that must never be underestimated. Arkansas State struggled last year to score despite of a top tier D, but after HC Blake Anderson took control of the QBS in the off season they look extremely cohesive now , and buoy the teams chances at repeating as and one of the top Sun Belt football programs as well as staying competitive today against a very explosive offense .According to my own power rankings the Red Wolves  have a 52% chance of pulling off the SU upset, and a much higher probability of more importantly covering the spread. SMU is 5-16 ATS  L/21 in home games after playing 2 straight non-conference games. Home favorites like SMU - quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after a loss by 17 or more points are 25-58 ATS L/83 L/5 years for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arkansas State Red Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Bowling Green +10 v. Middle Tennessee State | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 26 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State enters this game off a DD loss to Minnesota last time out by a 34-3 count, and are banged with key wide receiver, Richie James at less than 100% or expected to miss with a ankle injury as well as starting QB Brent Stockstill who still questionable with a shoulder injury. These key contributors will effect the cohesiveness of the Blue Raiders, making them fade material tonight vs a desperate Bowling Green team that needs a win badly after 3 straight losses. BOWLING GREEN is 25-12 ATS when playing against a losing team with a (Win Pct. 25% to 40% like Middle Tennessee State.BOWLING GREEN is 13-4 ATS L/17 after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread.BOWLING GREEN is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Bowling Green - with a terrible defense - allowing 6.1 or more yards/play, after allowing 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 33-10 ATS for a 77% conversion rate for bettors over the L/10 seasons. Play on the Bowling Green to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Montreal +7.5 v. Toronto | 19-33 | Loss | -130 | 51 h 31 m | Show | |
Montreal has revenge on board for a embarrassing 38-6 beatdown at the hands of the Argos last time these teams met on Aug 19. That loss triggered a current 5 game losing streak for the Als, and now I expect a big time motivated effort from Montreal in this spot as they look for payback and a chance at correcting their current run. It must be noted that Montreal did beat the Als the week before the above mentioned loss by a 21-9 count, and actually matchup well vs Toronto.
Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | San Diego State v. Air Force +3.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
Air Force played valiantly against Michigan last week covering as DD dogs, behind a top tier defense, so going up against San Diego State side that has an upper tier D, won't be an issue. Meanwhile, San Diego State enters this tilt off a DD dog win vs Stanford, last week in a grueling close game and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a Falcons side that has won 5 straight at home as underdogs. This game has the makings of an extremely close affair. The Falcons have surrendered only one offensive touchdown in  their L/10 quarters of play, dating back to a 45-21 win over South Alabama in the 2016 Arizona Bowl. Calhoun is 19-5 ATS L/24 when the total is between 42.5 and 49. Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Alabama v. Vanderbilt +19.5 | 59-0 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 2 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt enters this tilt as the top team in the nation in Scoring D and are No.2 in red zone D. there a top tier team that must not be disrespected as was the case last week when they defeated Snyders KState by a 14-7 count.  I know how strong Alabama is and their legendary status is sometimes hard to bet against, even getting this many points. With that said, this week I'm going against the main stream betting minds and talking heads and taking points with  a football program on the rise, in their most important game of the season. the Commodores dating back to last season have won 5 straight at home, and have upset two top 25 opponents along the way, and are a bankroll expanding 9-2 ATS L/11 as 15 point or more dogs. note: Nick Saban has covered on 2 of his L/7 as fav of 15 points or more between undefeated teams. Despite of losing 14 straight in this series the Commodores are 10-4 ATS in those games including 5-2 ATS L/7 as hosts. CFB Road favorites like Alabama - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 2.75 or less rushing yds/carry, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 11-37 ATS for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors over the L/25 seasons. CFB Home underdogs of 14.5 or more points like Vandy - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season 39-10 ATS L/49 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors over the L/25 years . Play on Vanderbilt 1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Toledo v. Miami-FL -12 | 30-52 | Win | 100 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
Toledo is one of the best teams in the MAC, and deserve respect. But Miami is a national championship contender in my opinion, and also deserve a great deal of respect. After watching Toledo get torched by Tulsa last week for 51 points and 548 total yards , I feel Miami's offense will be ready to chew Rockets up this week. But unfortunately for Toledo, they won't be able to reciprocate with their own offensive fireworks vs a very strong Hurricane D ,like they did vs Tulsa 's stand and watch secondary and D last week. Toledo's coach agrees with my assessments , as here is a quote from Jason Candle who is concerned about Miami's speed. MIAMI is 6-0 ATS L/6 off a home win by 17 points or more.MIAMI is 7-0 ATS L/7 after scoring 37 points or more last game . MIAMI is 15-4 ATS L/19 after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game. Play on Miami FL to cover 1 unit unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Duke v. North Carolina +2.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
North Carolina after losses to California and Louisville in their first two home games, will now be ready to get into the win column vs a inconsistent looking Duke football program, that had problems dealing with a downtrodden Baylor team last week. Here on the road in their ACC opener things promise to be a lot more difficult for Duke, and I won't be surprised if they lose straight up as favs. It must be noted that North Carolina has scored and increased their offensive output in each game so far this season, 30, 35, 53 points respectively and are now in a offensive groove and ready to compete. HC Fedora is 7-0 SU/ATS following a victory where his team has a below .500 record. ( The tar Heels smashed Old Dominion last week by a 53-23 count.  N CAROLINA is 23-10 ATS  L/33 vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. CFB team (N CAROLINA) - terrible defensive team (440 YPG or more ) against an excellent defensive team (280 YPG or less), after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 28-7 ATS L/25 years for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina to cover  1 unit reg selection |
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09-23-17 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 9.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Houston Right-hander Charlie Morton (12-7, 3.75 ERA) will start for the Astros this Saturday afternoon. Morton is 2-0 with a 3.74 ERA in four career starts against the Angels, including two this season where in  10 combined innings allowed just  three runs on nine hits including registering eight strikeouts. Morton is a capable hurler who can hold a struggling Halos group to a limited offensive out put. Overall Houston pitching has allowed a total of 8 runs in their L/5 games overall , with all 5 staying under the total Note: LAA has scored just 13 runs in their L/ 5 games (2.6 rpg) Meanwhile, Right-hander Bud Norris (2-5, 4.53 ERA) will make just his second start of the season for the Angels. Norris,has done a majority of his work as the closer this season, and started against the Texas Rangers on Sept. 15 allowing one hit over two scoreless innings.Norris has 19 saves this season and is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in seven games (one start) against Houston, and matches up well against a Astros batting order that has scored just 11 runs in their L/4 games. MORTON in his L/22 in home games /day games has seen a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored with 17 of those games staying under the total.LA ANGELS are 12-1 UNDER  after 3 or more consecutive losses this season with the combined average clicking in at 5.7 rpg.LA ANGELS are 34-17 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. These teams have gone under in 7 of their L/9 in Houston. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-22-17 | Utah -3 v. Arizona | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 35 h 38 m | Show | |
woUtah in my opinion is turning into a PAC12 championship contender, thanks to being able to generate more of a downfield passing game along with their already very viable run attack and what is becoming a defense that ranks among the nations toughest and most physical. I know Arizona can put points up in bunches, but their D despite of showing some improvements , still remains susceptible to allowing a ton of yards and a now in trouble vs a multi- dimensional attack like Utah owns. |
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09-22-17 | Rangers v. A's -122 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
 Martinez the Rangers starter has not notched a single win in his past nine outings, allowing 28 earned runs in 35 innings. He is 0-3 over the stretch that dates back to June 25 and is fade material here tonight in Oakland against the As. It must be noted that the Rangers are 0-13 L/13 when Nick Martinez starts on the road when they lost in his last start.
TEXAS is 4-12 against the money line vs. lower tier speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 8-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 9-3 against the money line in home games after allowing 2 runs or less this season. Right now the As are playing their best ball of the season, and have won 10 of their L/13 including 4 in a row, and here tonight against a struggling pitcher have the edge. Play on the Oakland A's to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 73 h 37 m | Show | |
The Rams lost at home to the Redskins last week by a  27-20 count while San Francisco looked really tough in a grinding 9-6 loss at Seattle last week. This SF team looks very much like a blue collar group looking for respect and they now have it from me after watching clips of last weeks game vs HC Carroll and company. I know the 49ers offense has looked muted so far this season against elite defenses that are owned by the Seahawks and Panthers in their first two games, but against a Rams defense that has proven very inconsistent over the last few seasons, I'm now expecting a reversal in the Niner's offensive output and more importantly a cover in this spot.\ 49ers are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 in this series. NFL teams like the 49ers- after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games are 34-11 ATS over the last 10 seasons. NFL team vs the money line LA Rams  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses, bad team from last season (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team last year (25% or less) are 8-27 for a 77% conversion rate. Play on the SF 49ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-21-17 | Nationals -133 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Tanner Roark of the Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves' R.A. Dickey, are two pitchers operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum. Roark is 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 outings since the All-Star break.Roark is also 6-2 with a 2.80 ERA in his career against Atlanta and beat them in Washington on Sept. 14, when he allowed two runs and four hits Meanwhile, the Braves veteran knuckleballer Dickey is 0-2 with a 10.50 ERA in three starts this month. Opponents have batted .333 in his past six trips to the hill, and looks to be in trouble vs a explosive Nationals batting order tonight.Dickey is 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA in four starts against Washington this year and 4-9 with a 4.17 ERA in 20 career games (18 starts) vs. the Nationals. With the Nationals remaining consistent and on a 3 game win streak, Atlanta looks a little lost and have lost 4 straight. Considering the pitching matchup and both teams current form I am recommending we take the Nationals in this spot play. ATLANTA is 1-11 L/12 against the money line in home games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span.ATLANTA is 0-10 L/10 against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season
Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-17 | Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 9-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Right-hander Luke Weaver (6-1, 1.89 ERA) will start for St. Louis on Wednesday.  Weaver is 5-0 in his L/5 starts has recorded a 1.15 ERA, having walked four and struck out 42.Cincinnati counters with right-hander Rookie Davis, a 24-year-old rookie who rejoined the rotation after Triple-A Louisville's season ended. He's a solid pitcher that still has some maturing to do and despite of not looking all that good in limited MLB action is still respected by his own organization. I expect both hurlers to do enough to help keep this tilt on the low side of the number. Under is 4-1-1 in Weavers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in umpire Segals last 10 games behind home plate. The Cardinals have gone under 13 straight times as a road favorite of more than 140 after a game in which they used five-plus pitchers and it is not a series opener with a combined score of 4.76 rpg going on the board with highest total run count during that span clicking in 7 combined runs! Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-20-17 | A's -107 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Daniel Mengden the As starter this afternoon, tossed a complete-game shutout against the Philadelphia Phillies last time out and gets my support here this afternoon . He is opposed by the inconsistent Anibel Sanchez (3-4, 7.03 ERA).OAKLAND is 6-0  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse this season.SANCHEZ team when he starts  is 9-21 L/30  against the money line against AL West opponents in his career. With these teams playing at the opposite proverbial end of the performance spectrum at the moment it will be an easy decision to back the As this afternoon. Note: Motown has lost 9 of their L/11 while Oakland has won 3 in a row and 10 of their l/13. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like As - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 61-28 since 1997 for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline (LATE STEAM)
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09-19-17 | A's -124 v. Tigers | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-3, 6.42) The Tigers starting hurler Bell(0-3, 6.42 ERA) has struggled since joining the Detroit rotation in September. He has allowed 13 runs in 12 innings in three starts in September, and he lasted just 3 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Thursday, allowing six runs and nine hits in 3 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, Daniel Gossett (4-9, 5.02 ERA) will go to the hill for the As. The righty hurler  has shown a lot of improvement against two of the majors' best offensive teams in his last couple of appearances.Gossett held the Houston Astros to one run on six hits and struck out seven on Sept. 9 for his fourth victory, then allowed three runs and five hits in 5 1/3 innings at Boston on Thursday and being that he is in very good form at the moment while Bell is not the Athletics have the starting pitcher edge. Tigers are 2-11 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League West.Athletics are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. DETROIT is 27-43 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 9-22  against the money line against AL West opponents this season.OAKLAND is 18-11  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-19-17 | Brewers -120 v. Pirates | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is now completely deflated and just playing out the string, after just getting swept by the Reds, and losing yesterday in the opener of this series the Brewers for their 5th straight loss which includes being defeated in 11 of the L/12 games. Tonight I expect more of the same negative results from the Pirates , as they face the Milwaukee Brewers Chase Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) who beat the Pirates last week 8-2, and matches up well against their batting order.Anderson is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 career starts against the Pirates. This season, he is 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts vs. Pittsburgh. Anderson faces against off against the Pirates Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA) who has lost 4 of his L/5 decisions. MILWAUKEE is 12-3  against the money line in road games after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season, which happened last time out beating the Pirates by a 3-0 count. MILWAUKEE is 11-4  against the money line in road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. MILWAUKEE is 9-3 against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less this season.PITTSBURGH is 4-18  against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Pirates - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are a long term bad bet 77-192 for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection ( LATE STEAM) |
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09-18-17 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 122 h 46 m | Show | |
The New York Giants struggled mightily in their opener without star wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., losing in ugly fashion 19-3 at Dallas on Sunday night. Even if Beckham returns their looks to be some series issues with the offensive line protecting QB Eli Manning, and  moving the ball. Meanwhile, on the flipside , after a slow start, QB Stafford of the Detroit Lions looked motivated by his new multi million dollar contract , completing 29 of 41 for 292 yards for four TDs in a 35-23 win vs Arizona and look capable of possibly pulling off the upset this week as road dogs. Road team is 6-2 ATS last 8 in series. Giants are 0-5 ATS last 5 in Week 2. Motown has covered 4 of their L/5 visits vs NYG. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover
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09-17-17 | Packers +3 v. Falcons | 23-34 | Loss | -115 | 82 h 21 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers have revenge on their minds tonight against the Atlanta Falcons after last seasons, 44-21 conference final blowout that had them ousted from Super Bowl contention. Now in pay back mode, I expect the Packers who are 6-1 ATS Sunday night revengers, as dogs, and a bankroll expanding 9-1 ATS L/10 behind QB Aaron Rodgers when looking for revenge against a .750 or better opponent to get the job done here . Note: The Falcons have failed to cover 11 straight, as home chalk in reg season play following a victory when facing a side with revenge. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | LA Sparks v. Phoenix Mercury UNDER 155.5 | 89-87 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chargers | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
The Chargers, on a short week after playing the back end of a Monday Night Football doubleheader, will be a little tired jet lagged and in an emotional letdown scenario after absorbing a heartbreaking 27-24 loss to Denver in the Mile High City in their opener. Meanwhile, Miami after having their last game cancelled because of Hurricane Irma will be well rested and fresh. |
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09-17-17 | Jets +14 v. Raiders | 20-45 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 6 m | Show | |
Last week Oakland travelled West to East in an emotional charged first game that saw them clip a strong Tennessee team in their own back yard. Now drained and tired (jet lag) and playing a side that they may over look, I expect a letdown performance that leads to a no cover decision. OAKLAND is 20-40 ATS  L/60 off a upset win as an underdog dating back 25 seasons and are 0-6 ATS following a dog win last time out and now playing a below .500 foe. Note: The Raiders are 1-7 ATS L/8 home openers. Any team NY Jets- team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season, in conference games are 24-5 ATS for a 83% conversion rate over the L/10 seasons. Home teams like the Raiders - poor passing defense from last season - allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 18-44 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 8.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Dbacks starting hurler today Walker owns the 10th-best ERA road mark in the majors (2.71) and I'm betting on him once again being solid on the hill in the visitors role vs a Giants team that has been offensively challenged all season long. Meanwhile, SFO Stratton (2-3, 4.07) enters Sunday's contest well rested. He has pitched a total of only 4 1/3 innings in two September starts, and should be strong and fresh for this start. His issues today will come via run support, as was the case yesterday when the Giants were shutout. Under is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Giants last 13 home games.Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 5-1 inumpire Hobergs last 6 games behind home plate. WALKER is 14-5 UNDER  L/19 vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg going on the board.ARIZONA is 17-8 UNDER   in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season with a combined average of 7.1 rpg getting scored.SAN FRANCISCO is 15-3 UNDER after being shut out in a loss to a division rival with a combined average of 5.1 rpg going on the board.SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 UNDER  in home games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season with a combined 6.1 rpg getting scored. Play on the UNDER |
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09-17-17 | Minnesota Lynx v. Washington Mystics UNDER 165.5 | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
09-17-17 | Titans v. Jaguars | 37-16 | Win | 100 | 147 h 38 m | Show | |
Early on in every season we get carried away with evaluating a certain team after just one game. Jacksonville looked great in beating up on the  Texans as road dogs in week 1 by a 29-7 count, while Tennessee lost to what many think will be a Super bowl contender this season the Oakland Raiders by a 26-16 score. However, its obvious to me that Tennessee is a special team with huge potential upside, behind one of leagues premier QBs Marcus Mariota , while the Jags are a side that while looking better, have shown very little pedigree in the past and must not be over estimated for their talent levels. With that said, I'm betting on the superior team according to my own power rankings ( Titans) to bring home the win in this spot and get us the cover as short road favs. NFL team vs the money line like the Jags - off a upset win as an underdog, team that had a terrible record last season (25% or worse) playing a team had a winning record last year are just 1-28 L/29 times dating back 34 years. Play on the Tennessee Titans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 9 m | Show | |
KC may have taken part in a high scoring game with the NE Patriots last time out, (42-27) but Andy Reids teams are based on a grinding defensive style of play, and I'm betting the veteran coach reverts back to this type of football. Also the Eagles, despite of putting 30 points up on the hapless looking Washington Redskins last week, will find the sledding much tougher this week and I'm betting their  offensive output to be much more muted. This game Total is tainted in my opinion because of an over reaction to last weeks results which gives us value on the under side of this number. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 UNDER  L/7 in the first month of the season over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 41.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.KANSAS CITY is 9-1 UNDER  L/10 in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 36.5 ppg going on the board. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 in home games after playing their last game on the road with a combined average of 35.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 UNDER  L/6 in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread with a combined average 36.8 ppg getting scored. KC HC Reid is 21-7 UNDER  L/28 as a home favorite with a combined average of 38.5 ppg getting scored and is 16-4 UNDER  in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points with a combined average of 39.7 ppg going on the board. Reid is 15-4 UNDER  L/19 in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach with a combined average of 37.4 ppg clicking in. The Chiefs have gone under in 14 straight as a favorite and vs a non-divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season going under by an average of 8.39 ppg, with the combined average score of 35.6 ppg scored, with no game exceeding the 48 point Totals plateau. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Patriots -6.5 v. Saints | 36-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm not going to get over emotional and start judging the defending Super Bowl Champion, New England Patriots flat performance last time out, a 42-27 loss to the KC Chiefs. Being a successful team like the Pats, I think its hard sometimes getting up and motivated for any game, yes even for an opener. Add to that the amazing come from behind Super Bowl win, and an emotional letdown/hangover situation was not that surprising. Now this week, after being embarrassed in game 1 of their season, I expect Tom Brady and company will be wide awake this Sunday, which is not a good omen for the Saints chances in their home opener. NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS  L/20 in all games.NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS  after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game .NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS L/10 after playing a game at home .NEW ENGLAND is 15-4 ATS  L/19 as a favorite . The Patriots are 18-0 SU/ ATS L/18  on turf vs a non-divisional opponent when they are averaging less than 3.80 yards per rush and have won those games by an average of 18.83 ppg. Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-17-17 | Ottawa -2 v. Montreal | 29-11 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks after winning 3 straight games conclusively, fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out and were upset by the lowly Hamilton Ti Cats 26-22. The usually hard working RedBlacks were dismal in that game, and now I'm betting they rebound in a big way vs a Montreal team that has lost 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 SU , and that they clobbered 32-4 at Montreal on Aug 31. . Ottawa is 7-1 SU/ATS L/8 meetings in this series. OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS  L/11 in road games after playing a game at home.OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS  in road games versus division opponents .MONTREAL is 3-14 ATS   in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less - after 9 or more games.MONTREAL is 0-6 L/6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less. CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Montreal - off a non-conference game are 43-11 ATS for a 80% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons.  Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Stanford v. San Diego State +10 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 78 h 20 m | Show | |
Rocky Long has really put together a excellent football program at San Diego State, and really deserves a lot more respect than his team is getting from the lines-makers tonight. Meanwhile, Stanford despite of being a fine team, are in a huge letdown situation after being knocked out against USC last week and will find it difficult to get up off the proverbial matt(turf) here this week. San Diego State is a tough dog at home and have failed to cover only once their L/7 as hosts of 5 point dogs or more. Both these teams pound the ball on the ground consistently and both have stoppers on defense. I'm betting this is a grinding affair that will see getting  points being golden. Note: San Diego State limited Arizona State to 44 rushing yards and 1.4 yards per attempt. The Aztecs have won 20 of their last 23 home games. SAN DIEGO ST is 11-3 ATS  L/14 after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins . CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points Stanford - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are 14-40 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Diego State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Ole Miss v. California +4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 74 h 3 m | Show | |
Mississippi in no way shape or form should be favs here, even against a rebuilding California program. Travelling from East to West for any North American team is difficult proposition especially for a side, like Ole Miss that has looked asleep at the proverbial wheel at times this season despite of their perfect record and may still be reeling with the shock of losing their coach because of sex scandal. |
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09-16-17 | Arizona State +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 45-52 | Win | 100 | 121 h 7 m | Show | |
 The Sun Devils lost last week to a very good San Diego football program at home by a 30-20 count as -3.5 point favorites. Now at 1-1 they need a win to keep HC Graham from being thrown to the Wolves . The Sun Devils coach entered this season on wobbly legs, and the early season results have not been completely positive , so a sense of desperation now permeates around the team as they prepare for Texas Tech down in Lubbock this week. Last year, Texas Tech lost a offensive slugfest by a score of 68-55 to the Sun Devils and despite of being ramped up for revenge, will have a hard time coasting to a victory vs the type of team that matches up well against them. The Sun Devils are 8-3 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. Take the points with Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection
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09-16-17 | Padres +177 v. Rockies | 0-16 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Colorados Anderson (4-5, 5.75) will oppose the Padres Jordan Lyles (1-2, 6.75), who spent just over 3 1/2 years with the Rockies before they released him Aug. 1. Needless to say Lyles would love to beat his old team today in a place he is used to pitching in. I''m betting he has a good chance at helping his team notch the underdog win vs a lineup he is very familiar with. I know San Diego has lost 4 straight , including yesterday opening game in this series, by a 6-1 count  but they have been a positive  bet in the past, under these circumstances as they are 15-5 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive losses. Also Colorado is a ugly  0-9 L/9 off a home win in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and never trailed. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Clemson -3 v. Louisville | 47-21 | Win | 100 | 98 h 21 m | Show | |
Clemson had to face a very tough Auburn offense last week winning by a 14-6 count, and now this week against a porous Louisville D, this will seem like a walk in the park. I have come to the conclusion that the Cards defense is of the Swiss cheese variety after watching a rebuilding North Carolina offense slice and dice them last week for 35 points on 401 yds and Purdue put 28 points on them the week before . I know a lot is being made of Heisman Trophy front runner LaMar Jackson of the Cardinal, who helped his team stay unbeaten by buoying the offense with 47 points in that above mentioned game, but this top tier college QB will really have his work cut out for him against an elite defense that has allowed a total of 9 pts in two game and I'm betting will come down to earth in this spot. Remember , folks, as great as Jackson is , he cannot play D, and that will be his teams downfall this week. Play on Clemson to cover |
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09-16-17 | Kansas State v. Vanderbilt +4 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 71 h 20 m | Show | |
The Commodores enter this game vs Kstate averaging 384 yards of total offense while giving up an average of 159 yards per game. They're averaging 122 yards per tilt on the ground and 261.5 through the air. Most important, the Commodores have not had a turnover.Quarterback Kyle Shurmur has completed 76.1 percent of his passes for 249 yards per game and seven touchdowns. This young QB is super intelligent , and plays within his limitations, making him a dangerous foe. Meanwhile, on the flipside  I know KState's Coach (Bill) Snyder is one of the best in the business, but he's not perfect, especially on the road losing 3 of his L/13 non conference road games and 5 of his L/20 Sept road games. With my own projections estimating this game to be decided by a FG or a late score taking points here makes for a very viable wager. VANDERBILT is 13-2 ATS  L/15 off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite. CFB Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points KState - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are 14-40 ATS dating 25 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Also CFB  home team Vanderbilt  - after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 44-14 ATS dating back 25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFB  home team like Vanderbilt  - after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 29-7 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vanderbilt to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Tulsa +10 v. Toledo | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 119 h 44 m | Show | |
Golden Hurricane are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Tulsa - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 27-5 ATS going back 10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB. road team like Tulsa - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-8 ATS L/38 for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tulsa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Purdue +8 v. Missouri | 35-3 | Win | 100 | 117 h 19 m | Show | |
The Purdue Boilermakers (1-1) rebounded from an opening week loss to Louisville (35-28) by defeating Ohio 44-21 last week. They have looked very good in their first two games and must be respected here as road underdogs vs a weak looking defensive Missouri D, that  has allowed  74 points this season, in two games and an average of 426 yards per game. Considering the Boilermakers top tier coach Jeff Brohm is at the helm of the team, they are and will be  consistent dangerous foes for all comers going forward. Missouri , beware. Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. PURDUE is 12-2 ATS  in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.PURDUE is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing on a Saturday. MISSOURI is 8-18 ATS L/26 games.
  CFB team like Purdue - poor rushing team from last season - averaged 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 38 -13 ATS , for a 75% conversion rate for bettors dating back to 1992. Play on the Purdue Boilermakers to cover 1 unit reg selection   |
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09-16-17 | Middle Tennessee State +10.5 v. Minnesota | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 35 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State took out the Syracuse Orange last week 30-23 on the road, and in the previous game , played a very good SEC team Vanderbiilt tough losing by a 28 -6 count. Now against a Minnesota side getting to many accolades after smashing a  Oregon State team with series issues, I'm betting they revert back to the norm and for Middle Tennessee State to  make a game of this and even possible pull off a SU upset. In the Gophers previous game to last weeks road win, they barely squeezed by the Buffalo Bisons of the MAC at home by a 17-7 count as 21.5 favs, and things won't come much easier here. With that said, I'll recommend we take anything that resembles +8.5 to+10 . Note: The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have won six of their last seven road games and  4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.The Golden Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-0 ATS L/7 after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse over. Play on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | North Carolina v. Old Dominion +10 | 53-23 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 14 m | Show | |
Old Dominion may not be a big name school form a power 5 conference, but they are a viable underdog here against a rebuilding North Carolina program, that continues to exhibit very poor defensive abilities over the last few seasons. Last season Old Dominion was 7-0 SU at home and must not be underestimated in what is their biggest game of the season . With the Tar Heels QB expected to be less than 100% this week with a ankle injury, I'm betting that  N.Carolina at 0-2 and losing the stats war by an average 167 ypg has issues moving the ball with consistency , against a staunch Monarchs D , while their own D, will have problems stopping anything that can move. N CAROLINA is 10-25 ATS L/35 after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game which happened against Louisville last week. Play on Old Dominion to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | SMU v. TCU -19 | 36-56 | Win | 100 | 68 h 29 m | Show | |
TCU proved to me as long as they stay healthy they are going to be a juggernaut this season. Last week they owned Arkansas and were the more physical of both teams, winning a 28-7 decision . Now this week against SMU I'm betting we see an even more explosive effort vs a lower tier side that does not matchup well against them at all in almost aspects of the game. TCU is 7-0 ATS  as a home favorite of 17.5 to 21 points since 1992 winning by an average of 31.1 ppg. Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like TCU - good offensive team from last season - scored 31 or more points/game, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. are 40-13 L/53 for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. home team like TCU - after 2 straight wins by 21 or more points against opponent after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games are 29-7 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors over the L/25 years. Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Northern Illinois +14 v. Nebraska | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 116 h 13 m | Show | |
 Looking at this game in a casual way will have many assuming that Nebraska will blowout N.Illinois today in Lincoln. But N.Illnois has travelled well in the past and will not be easily intimidated by a team, that gave up 42 points to Oregon last week, and 36 points to lower tier  Arkansas State the week before. Nebraska was also hypoed for that last game vs the Ducks and will be in a natural let down spot here. There are some definite defensive issues that have yet to be addressed , by the Huskers and I expect a Northern Illinois side that is averaging 433 yards of offense this season with a pretty even split with their ground and aerial attack behind QB Daniel Santacaterina to do enough damage to stay within the number. It must also be noted that Northern Illinois is allowing only 17 PPG to opposing teams this season on the defensive side of the ball and must not be underestimated in their ability to slow down the home team here and make this closer than expected.  Play on Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | UCLA v. Memphis +3.5 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 68 h 6 m | Show | |
Everyone and his dog loves, the UCLA Bruins after their amazing comeback against Texas A&M in their opener winning a 45-44 freak show and followed that up with a easy win vs Hawaii and their dysfunctional defense. But now against a Memphis  program that has proven they can take down big programs in the recent past, I'm betting things won't come so easily for the Bruins as they now go on the road travelling from west to east , which is never an easy trek, especially with an early start time to deal with . The Bruins did not have much of an emotional letdown after their big comeback win in their opener, but now on a delayed reaction basis I expect they will deflate. It must be noted that the /Tigers are 16-4 in their L/20 home games SU, and are 15-3 ATS as home dogs facing a team off consecutive wins including a perfect 6-0 ATS record vs non conference foes under the same perimeters. Also with UCLA looking ahead to the PAC 12 opener with Stanford, their attention won't be completely on this game. Note: (The Bruins are 0-6 ATS L/6 before facing Stanford) UCLA is 1-8 ATS  L/9 after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. CFB Road favorites like UCLA - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 84% for bettors. Play on the Memphis Tigers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Kansas +7.5 v. Ohio | 30-42 | Loss | -107 | 65 h 23 m | Show | |
Kansas lost last week to Central Michigan at home as favorites. Key mistakes finally saw them lose by a 45-27 loss in a game that was closer than the final score might indicate. Now this week as dogs on the road vs another MAC team I'm betting they have a good chance at covering. With Ohio looking forward to a big revenger against a strong E.Michigan team next week, I expect Kansas to catch Ohio napping like they did last season when they pulled off an upset win against the Texas Longhorns. Kansas has cashed their L/2 against MAC opponents as underdogs. Play on Kansas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-16-17 | Air Force +24 v. Michigan | 13-29 | Win | 100 | 64 h 14 m | Show | |
The Falcons (1-0) bring a seven-game winning streak into The Big House to play Michigan this week. Meanwhile, Harbaugh's Wolverines are 2-0 and looking strong. But Air Force behind their option offense, provides big problems , yes even for good coaches, especially when these top coaches have not faced these types of attacks regularly. The Falcons know how to put up points in bunches, as they never scored fewer than 27 last season, when they finished 10-3 and beat South Alabama in the Arizona Bowl. They have exceeded the 40-point mark four times during their winning streak,, and will do some damage again today against Harbaughs tough D, making them viable underdogs in this spot. Note: Air Force has won six straight games against non-conference opponents and have cashed 4 straight on the road vs non conference opposition of 17 points or more. With Harbaugh eyeing his Big 10 opener against Purdue, I'm expecting the old ball coach won't have his full attention here. Michigan is 0-7 ATS L/7 before facing Purdue. AIR FORCE is 20-8 ATS L/28 after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game.MICHIGAN is 16-35 ATS L/51 after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games . CFB Home favorites like Micigan - off a home win by 17 points or more, in a game involving two teams who had good records (60% to 80%) from last season are 11-33 ATS L/44 for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-15-17 | Arizona -20 v. UTEP | 63-16 | Win | 100 | 102 h 7 m | Show | |
Arizona beat N.Arizona in week 1 by a 62-24 count and then lost a hard fought 19-16 battle vs Houston last week. Meanwhile the UTEP Miners fell to 0-2 on the season after being crushed by the Rice Owls 31-14, this past Saturday. UTEP struggled offensively throughout the game which is not a good omen for their chances against a Arizona offense that will find this game like a walk in the park after facing a stout Cougars D last week. Note: UTEP has allowed an average of 43+ ppg in two tilts, and with a less than cohesive offense, that is now without  key RB Aaron Jones who declared for the NFL draft and left the program. , things won't get better for a side that is ranked 126th in the nation in offense.  UTEP is 1-8 ATS L/9 in September games with the average score ringing in at 43.1 to 19.7 ppg for a average margin of defeat coming by 23.4 ppg. UTEP is 2-11 ATS L/13 in the first half of the season with their opponents averaging 40.1 ppg and with them scoring just 17.4 ppg. Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like Arizona  - excellent rushing team from last season - averaged 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first month of the season are 43-14 ATS dating back 24 seasons. Play on Arizona to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-15-17 | Illinois +17.5 v. South Florida | 23-47 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 59 m | Show | |
South Florida has not looked all that good in their first two games , maybe its the Charlie Strong effect, just maybe the Bulls over achieved last season, and now we expect more of them. In their first game, they were down to San Jose State 16-0 before coming back for the win, and vs Stony Brook were down 10-7 at the half before storming back. Last week their game against UConn was cancelled and instead of the rest doing them well, I'm betting it makes them rustier than they have already looked. Meanwhile, Illinois looks to be making progress under the tutelage of Lovie Smith, and must not be disrespected here in this spot. It must be noted that Illinois has covered 4 straight in their L/4 as 14 point or more dogs to a non conference foe. Meanwhile South Florida is 0-5 SU in the programs history vs the Big 10 with ACC teams going just 3-23 vs the Big 10. CFB road team like Illinois - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 126-72 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-15-17 | White Sox +103 v. Tigers | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
White Sox RH Carson Fulmer (2-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-4, 7.43) Sanchez Motown's starter tonight vs the White Sox is winless in his last five appearances and was crushed for seven runs and 12 hits in 4 2/3 innings at Toronto on Sunday. In 11 home outings this season, he is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA..Chicago pounded out 25 hits is 17-7 rout of Detroit in Thursday's series opener and I'm betting this young group will unleash another barrage on a Tigers teams just playing out the string.  Detroit dropped its last six games and 12 of the past 14.and are fade material again. SANCHEZ team when he starts is 6-21  against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game dating back to last season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-14-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks UNDER 155.5 | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
09-14-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 164 | 83-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
09-14-17 | New Mexico +15.5 v. Boise State | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
Last week New Mexico came out flat against New Mexico state and fell behind by a 30-5 count, before coming back with 23 4th Quarter points, and than failing to tie it on a two point conversion. It was a valiant effort by a decent team, and now they will be primed to come out here , and upend a Boise State football program off a heart breaking OT loss to Washington State loss last time out and now in a huge emotional let down situation. With Boise State just 1-10-1 ATS L/12 at home as favs, and New Mexico showing heart as DD, conference dog going 12 -2 ATS L/14, we have value here . I know that Boise State whooped the Lobos last season at visitors to Albuquerque, by a 49-21 count, but New Mexico's HC Bob Davie is 11-2 ATS as a DD MWC underdog with revenge.  With that said, I'm betting on the Lobos staying close enough to cover here, and for the Broncos Bryan Harsin to fall to 0-8 ATS in his L/8 conference home games. NEW MEXICO is 12-2 ATS  L/14 off an upset loss as a home favorite. NM has covered 3 of their L/4 visits to the Blue Carpet. CFB Home favorites like Boise State  - in conference games, with 5 offensive starters returning are 49-93 ATS dating back 5 seasons. Play on the New Mexico Lobos to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-14-17 | White Sox +115 v. Tigers | 17-7 | Win | 115 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
White Sox RH James Shields (3-6, 5.40 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Chad Bell (0-2, 5.79) Bell has a 6.28 ERA in 10 games (one start) at home and is fade material here today vs the Chicago White Sox. Note: Motown has lost 5 straight with the offense only  providing 9 runs in total during that span. Tigers are 0-8 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.The White Sox are a perfect  12-0 on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a 110-plus dog in which they did not hit a home run. Which was the case yesterday. Play on the Chicago White Sox ( Late Steam) |
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09-13-17 | Reds v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Jack Flaherty (0-0, 6.00 ERA) will draw the start for the Cardinals opposite Tyler Mahle (0-2, 3.60 ERA) in a matchup of rookies this Wednesday night in game that I am betting eclipses the total. |
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09-12-17 | Astros v. Angels +113 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Astros RH Justin Verlander (11-8, 3.74 ERA) vs. Angels RH Garrett Richards (0-0, 1.13) Richards now healthy after rehab this season is (0-0, 1.13 ERA) and the Angels face the American League West-leading Houston Astros, as underdogs tonight and are a value selection in this spot. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Verlander a former Tiger hurler, gets the call tonight for the Astros. It must be noted that VERLANDER is 0-7 L/7 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. VERLANDER is 1-8 L/9 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season. Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Angels are 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts.Angels are 30-14 in Richards' last 44 home starts.Angels are 4-1 in Richards' last 5 home starts vs. Astros. MLB Road teams like Houston - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs , are 29-55 66% go against  conversion rate . Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-12-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks UNDER 157.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 32 h 0 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. LA Sparks -8.5 | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Washington Mystics v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 159 | 81-101 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
09-12-17 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Suter the Brewers starter tonight In five career games against the Pirates, including four in relief, is 0-0 along with a stingy 1.80 ERA. Meanwhile, Gerrit Cole (11-9, 3.93 ERA) starts Tuesday for Pittsburgh. Cole has a 3.27 ERA over his past 16 starts. He has faced Milwaukee four times already this season, going 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 27 innings. MILWAUKEE is 12-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined 7.2 rpg.MILWAUKEE is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.MILWAUKEE is 16-4 UNDER  vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Brewers- good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less are 147-104 for a 59% conversion rate under.The Brewers are have not eclipsed the number in 14 straight games after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-11-17 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 10.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
The Rangers Cole Hamels (9-3, 4.03 ERA) will start the opener of a pivotal series against Seattle on Monday night when the Rangers host left-hander Ariel Miranda (8-6, 4.72) and the Mariners.In Hamel's last three starts, he is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA and 12 career starts against them , his ERA is 5.06. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from Seattle Miranda during a recent  11-start stretch, has garnered a bloated  6.28 ERA, and he hasn't pitched more than six innings in any of the starts. With that said, I expect both these offenses to light up the board tonight in what I'm betting  will be a high scoring affair. The Rangers are 16-0-3 OVER when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite after they scored first in his last start won.HAMELS is 20-9 OVER L/29  vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse with a combined average of 11.1 rpg going on the board. HAMELS is 10-1 OVER ) in September games with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Giants +4 v. Cowboys | 3-19 | Loss | -105 | 103 h 27 m | Show | |
Dallas hosts the New York Giants at AT&T Stadium to kick off NFL’s Sunday Night Football schedule. A lot of pundits believe that the Cowboys will continue their upward trajectory from last season, but I in my usual contrarian fashion expect some hiccups behind sophomore QB Prescott. I do however, believe the Giants to be a key contender in what should be a wide open NFC East battle. Last year, the Gmens QB Eli Manning finally looked a little motivated last season  completing 63 percent of his passes for just over 4,000 yards and had a ratio of 26 touchdowns to 16 interceptions. In todays matchup according to my own power rankings he  matches up well against the Boysz offensive line and secondary, and should accumulate a hardy amount of yards through the air that will translate into an above average score count for the Giants. With the Cowboys RB Elliot probably out this week with a suspension, Prescott will not have an easy out if under continuous pressure which I'm betting he will be. If if Elliot plays, it must also be noted that the Boyz will be without, Tight end Rico Gathers (concussion) and. Defensive end Damontre Moore (suspension). Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings against Dallas. Cowboys are 1-8 ATS L/9 home openers. cowboys Garrett is 6-16 ATS as a division favorite and 3-10 ATS L/13 as a favorite of 5 points or less.DALLAS is 6-15 ATS  L/21 in games played on turf . Play on the NY Giants to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Orioles +1.5 v. Indians | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
The Indians will attempt to extend their winning run to 18 games when they finish their three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles this Sunday night. Tonight's starter for the red hot Indians Bauer owns a 8-0 record along with a 2.47 ERA in his L/10 starts. Despite of this streak , and while, everyone and his dog will be Cleveland tonight, I'll be looking in the opposite direction.  It becomes very hard for a team to make runs like this without, having the other teams extremely motivated to take them down. Especially when that team has no pressure on them. It must be noted that Bauer despite of being in good form, has not liked facing the Orioles as is evident by his 0-3 record along with a bloated 6.75 ERA in four career starts . Meanwhile, Hellickson the Orioles, four career starts against the Indians, He is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA.HELLICKSON team when he starts is 10-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line 190 to +175) like Baltimore - after allowing 2 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 69-17 for a 80% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons and a perfect 9-0 100% conversion rate this season. MLB team like the Indians - red hot hitting team - batting .305 or better over their last 15 games, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are just 19-38 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Baltimore to cover +1.5 on the runline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Washington Mystics v. New York Liberty UNDER 153 | 82-68 | Win | 100 | 77 h 48 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Phoenix Mercury v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 164.5 | 88-83 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
09-10-17 | Brewers v. Cubs -155 | 3-1 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
 Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.29 ERA) will go to the hill in his fourth start this season against the Brewers.Hendricks, who is 6-3 in 13 career starts against Milwaukee, hasn't lost since Aug. 4 and is currently in top form and gets the nod in this spot.Cubs are 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. Brewers Meanwhile, The Brewers will answer back with right-hander Zach Davies (16-8, 3.77), who has lost two of his three starts against the Cubs this season and is fade material this afternoon. He's a quality pitcher but the Cubs offense matches up very well against him. Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Cubs are 24-11 in their last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like the Cubs - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 114-45 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | 0-7 | Loss | -150 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Ivan Nova (11-12, 4.11 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (11-7, 4.21). Both these pitchers are currently not in top form, but Nova has looked better to me than Wacha has and is a viable pitcher tp back here on a affordable runline price. Nova is also on extended rest and should be fresh here after 10 days off. I know the Cards are winning consistently, but their bats are not performing optimally, and look ready to fail, as they are 10-17 SU L/17 after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season, which has just happened. The Cardinals are 0-16 L/16 on the runline when Michael Wacha starts as a home favorite after a quality start in his last start. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 on the runline  |
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09-10-17 | Rays +138 v. Red Sox | 4-1 | Win | 138 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
The Rays throw Boston native Alex Cobb (10-9, 3.64 ERA) up against reigning American League Cy Young award winner Rick Porcello (9-16, 4.67) for the finale. Porcello has had a down year after last seasons great work and three of Porcello's losses this season have come against the Rays (1-3, 5.18 ERA), which is tied for his most defeats against a single opponent. Meanwhile, Rays starter  Cobb has fared well pitching in his hometown, going 4-1 with a 3.34 ERA in six career starts at Fenway Park and looks like a viable candidate to back today.
PORCELLO when he starts has seen his team go  2-7 L/9 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season and is 3-11 against the money line against division opponents this season. Boston has scored 9 runs in two straight games, but are 6-13 L/19 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like the BoSox - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL are 31-56 for a go against underdog conversion rate of 65% for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on TB Rays to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Lions | 23-35 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 44 m | Show | |
After last years less than desirable or expected results Arizona enters into this season with a chip on their shoulders, and will be primed for big opening day , vs the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the Lions are a decent team, that are over rated in my opinion and were lucky to make the play offs last season . I know their stud QB Stafford just signed a lucrative contract, but its not like he has been a big winner in the NFL as he owns a sub par 51-61 SU record and a 45-65-2 ATS mark. With that said, I'm betting on the Cards pulling off the cover here , while bolstering their current 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS mark in this series and converting for the 10th time in their L/11 road openers. It must be noted that the Lions have lost 19 of their L/24 vs the NFC West.Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC and have failed to cover 5 straight dating back to last season. Play on the Arizona Cardinals to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Falcons v. Bears +7 | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 64 h 21 m | Show | |
Atlanta had a great season last year, and made it to the Super Bowl, but imploded in that tilt and eventually lost . I'm betting they experience a bit of a let down here early in the season, and have problems disposing of a Chicago Bears team that will be marginally improved this season. In the past Super Bowl finalists have not done well in their opening game of the following season, going 2-15 SU/ATS in away games. It must also be noted that the Bears are 6-0 ATS in home openers a underdogs vs non divisional opposition. Meanwhile, Atlanta has failed to cover 5 of the L/6 in this series as favorites. Chicago has a good history at home in opening games, 23-10L/33 with only 3 of the losses coming by 7 pts or more and get the nod here to stay within the number. NFL teams like the Bears -- team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season, in conference games is 22-4 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-10-17 | Jets +9 v. Bills | 12-21 | Push | 0 | 64 h 7 m | Show | |
The Jets over hauled their team in the off season, but that is not necessarily a bad thing. Many pundits have over done how bad the Jets will be this year as the drop off in talent if looked at closely is not that bad, and I'm sure with very little pressure on them may surprise the same pundits that are dismissing them, as irrelevant . Meanwhile, the team I'm not sold on is the Buffalo Bills, behind inconsistent QB Tyrod Taylor, especially here in this spot as 9 point chalk. Historically speaking the Jets are 19-7 ATS as division road dogs, and 7-1 ATS as a road underdog in openers. NFL team like the Jets  - team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season, in conference games are 22-4 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Jets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | San Diego State +4 v. Arizona State | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
San Diego State must not be disrespected here vs a Arizona State team that looked weak defensively in week 1 vs New Mexico State, winning 37-31 but were outscored 18-7 in the last quarter. The Aztecs have  won 22 of its last 25 games SU. while Arizona State has 1 victory over a team with a above .500 record since beating rival Arizona on November 21, 2015. Rocky Long is 5-2 as a dog vs PAC12 opponents, while HC Graham of the Sun Devils is 1-4 ATS L/5 vs the Mountain West. SAN DIEGO ST is 10-2 ATS after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. Take the points with San Diego State 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Utah -2.5 v. BYU | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Utah is a hard hitting team, that will give a struggling BYU offense behind QB Tanner Mangum a lot of problems this week. Meanwhile, Utah despite of new parts on offense are a well coached team that I'm betting will find ways to move the ball. Meanwhile on the flips side, it must be noted that the BYU rushing attack was horrible in their shut-out loss to the Tigers last week. Â The Cougars were held to minus 5 yards rushing which means big problems for the Cougars because the Utes have had one of better run stop defenses in college football over the past few seasons.
teams where the line is +3 to -3 like BYU - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. are 20-51 ATS for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Utah has won 6 straight meetings in this series, and are 16-0 SU in their L/16 non conference games. Look for both streaks to stay alive in this spot. Play Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Stanford +6.5 v. USC | 24-42 | Loss | -107 | 57 h 24 m | Show | |
Stanford (1-0) well rested and fresh returns to action from a one-week layoff after opening the season Aug. 26 in Sydney, Australia, with a explosive one sided beat down of Rice. The Cardinal seeks to win a fourth straight against the Trojans (1-0). Meanwhile, USC had some early problems against Western Michigan but pulled away late for a DD win. Their D, especially the run D, looked a little porous allowing a whopping 263 yards and will be part of what I'm betting will be their failure to cover tonight vs Stanford.  The Stanford Cardinal have a defense that I'm betting rivals that of Alabama. Call me crazy for saying that , but this group is razor sharp and extremely physical and will be the difference maker here today vs the USC Trojans. Winning on the road is a key theme for the Cards.The Cardinal have taken 3 straight from the Trojans, and 7 of the last 9.Dating to 2007, the Cardinal have won four of five games at the Coliseum. USC is undefeated at the Coliseum since Helton took over as head coach midway through the 2015 season -- but also winless against Stanford at 0-2. Play on the Stanford Cardinal to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Giants -149 v. White Sox | 1-13 | Loss | -149 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
SF starting hurler Samardzija (9-12, 4.31 ERA) pitched a three-hit shutout vs the Padres on Aug. 28 and allowed that performance up vs the Cardinals allowing just  one run and two hits in seven innings on Sept. 2. He went 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA in six starts in August, his best month of the season and enters this game in top form, and a viable hurler to back against a struggling White Sox team that has lost 8 of their L/10 games.The Pale Hose respond, with veteran righty James Shields (2-6, 5.72 ERA) . SF beat the White Sox 9-2 yesterday and won 11-3 the day before and now with momentum on their side I like their chances again today. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 L/16 against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more SHIELDS when he starts has seen his team go 9-27 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. The White Sox are 0-14 L/14 past the first game of a series as a dog after they had 6 or fewer hits last game. MLB team like the White Sox - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30%, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 24-53 dating back 5 seasons. Play on the SF giants to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Auburn +6 v. Clemson | 6-14 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
Both teams are off lopsided easy wins in their week 1 matchups. Auburn lost a hard fought tilt to the Clemson last season by a 19-13, count , but I' betting their even better this season, and  are going to be hyped up about taking down the defending champs and get revenge for their loss to last season. I'm betting that this game will be hard fought and that getting points will be golden for a team I have pegged as the most improved in the SEC this season. AUBURN is 13-4 ATS  L/17 in road games after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards.AUBURN is 34-19 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards. Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games CFB Road underdogs like Auburn - after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 40-14 ATS for a 74% conversion rate for bettors dating back 10 seasons. Also CFB  Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Clemson - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse are 38-12 ATS for a 76% conversion rate for bettors over a 10 year period. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Auburn - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 40-11 ATS for a 78% conversion rate for bettors dating back 25 seasons. Play on Auburn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Toledo -9.5 v. Nevada | 37-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 44 m | Show | |
Nevada is getting a lot of accolades for staying close in a game vs Northwestern last week even though, their defense allowed over 500 yards and the home team to convert 26 first downs. If they are as porous this week, as last, which I think they will be, I'm betting their in big trouble vs the MACs best team. Last week against Northwestern the Wolfpack only controlled the ball offensively for just 21 minutes and turned the ball over twice during that game. Needless to say, from my standpoint , Nevada's performance was more smoke and mirrors than a top tier effort like it was being painted. Meanwhile, Toledo despite of starting slowly last week in a win, looked to put things together in the 2nd half, on route to a blow out 47-13 victory and will now use that momentum to take down a over rated opponent in this spot. The Rockets had 24 first downs and 553 total yards in the game. Rinse in repeat here for a DD margin of victory. Toledo 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.TOLEDO is 6-0 ATS in September games over the last 3 seasons.TOLEDO is 10-2 ATS L/12 after playing a game at home.TOLEDO is 21-6 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. Play on Toledo to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | UNLV +7 v. Idaho | 44-16 | Win | 100 | 105 h 11 m | Show | |
The Rebels fell to Howard as a 45-point favorite at home last time out, the worst point spread loss in history. Meanwhile, Idaho took an FCS opponent, notching a win vs  Sacramento, 28-6. As far as the Howard/UNLV games goes, Howard must not be disrespected, as their HC Mike London won a National championship with Richmond, and was able to recruit a very strong QB in Caylin Newton who is the brother of Cam Newton. The  UNLV D, was ugly, and the team on a whole. was caught looking ahead to greener pastures, which was in hindsight a mistake, that now has them embarrassed and ready for redemption this week in Idaho. UNLV can score in bunches, and that is why they have a chance this week to stay very close. Last season these teams played each other tough, with Idaho pulling off a 33-30 win, and I'm expecting another hard fought battle this week, with the points in my humble betting opinion ending be golden. IDAHO is 0-7 ATS  L/7 when the total is greater than or equal to 70.IDAHO is 8-20 ATS  L/28 in home games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. HC Petrino is 6-15 ATS  L/21 after playing a non-conference game . CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Idaho - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 14-41 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors.CFB  Road underdogs like UNLV  - after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season are 40-14 ATS L/54 opportunities for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UNLV to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | TCU -3 v. Arkansas | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 90 h 47 m | Show | |
Last year TCU lost 41-38 to Arkansas in Double OT as 10 point home favs, despite of out stating the Hogs 572-403. Now this season with revenge on board I expect Gary Andersons troops to be hell bent on laying down some pay back. I know Anderson and TCU had a losing season in their last campaign , but the two times he had losing seasons , he came back with 12 -1 and 11-1 marks. Last week they won 63-0 vs Jackson State and now come in rocking and rolling and in a vengeful mood. Note: Game 2 Chalk off a shut out win like TCU are 7-0 ATS L/7 winning every time by DDs. Bielema is 0-6 ATS  in home games after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game which happened vs Florida A&M last week in a 49-7 win. Play on TCU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Rutgers OVER 50.5 | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan enters this game off a 24-7 home win over Charlotte, while the Knights are off a 30-14 home loss to Washington. I was impressed by Rutgers ability to move the ball vs a top tier Washington football program last week. This week my own projections estimate that Rutgers will put 28+ points on the board vs Michigan, behind Louisville transfer, QB Kyle Bolin  . Last year E.Michigan allowed 29.8 ppg. E MICHIGAN is 8-1 OVER L/9 in road games when they allow 28 or more points with a combined average of 71.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. Meanwhile, on the flip side, E.Michigan has shown the ability to score in bunches in the past, behind QB Brogan Roback who last year had  a viable season as he threw for 2694 yards with 18 TDs .  Last year Rutgers were smashed  for 264.2 ypg on the ground, which was 126th in the nation, and while some think they will be improved , I'm not one of them . I'm betting E.Michigan does some damage this week, and both accumulate enough points to put this score over the listed total. CFB Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 like Rutgers - off a home loss, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more losses in last 5 games are 23-2 OVER dating back 10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Indiana -3 v. Virginia | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 117 h 5 m | Show | |
Indiana showed me a lot , when they played one of the best teams in the nation (Ohio State) very tough, this past Thursday night and were actually tied in third quarter before things got away from them. After that major tune up against a top tier team, I'm betting this game against Virginia will be like a walk in the park. Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. CFB home team like Virginia  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, with 5 offensive starters returning are just 15-45 for a go against conversion rate for a 74% for bettors. Also CFB home teams like Virginia - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 5 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 6-22 SU during the L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State -7 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 90 h 22 m | Show | |
Western Michigan travelled out to the west coast last week to play the USC Trojans. New Head Coach Tom Lesters team played valiantly for a while, before getting beaten by 49-31 count . Now tired and in an emotional letdown scenario the Broncos, go against a DAntonio coached Michigan State team, that has a lot to prove after last seasons dismal results. The Spartans looked determined a 35-10 beat down of Bowling Green last week, and get the nod to bring home the cash to their backers this time around as well. MICHIGAN ST is 26-9 ATS after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game . CFB Road underdogs like Western Michigan- after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 18-46 ATS L/25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Mich State - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games are 34-10 ATS for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mich State Spartans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -2 | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan took out the Bombers last week in a big Labor Day game by a 38-24 count as home favs of -2.5. Now in the rematch I expect home field advantage to once again be golden, and for the Bombers to get the revenge they so dearly want. WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATSÂ Â L/10 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATSÂ Â in home games after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game .SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATSÂ Â Â in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Iowa -2.5 v. Iowa State | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 112 h 9 m | Show | |
Iowa defensively  smothered what was supposed to be a offensively explosive Wyoming offense last week in their first game a 24-3 win. Now here in week 2 I expect that same D, will stand tall and be the catalyst for a win in cover vs instate rivals Iowa State . Iowa has taken the two most recent meetings in this series conclusively by scores of 42-13 last season and 31-17 in 2015. I'm betting on another easy win here today. IOWA is 17-5 ATS  as a road favorite of 7 points or less and 8-1 ATS  L/9  in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest. CFB home teams like Iowa State - terrible defense from last season - allowed 425 or more total yards/game, with 5 offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 6-22 SU L//28. Play on Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-09-17 | Louisville -10 v. North Carolina | 47-35 | Win | 100 | 73 h 29 m | Show | |
Coach Fedora and the Tar Heels, have almost always shown a lot of defensive deficiencies, as was the case last week in a loss to the California Bears by a 35-30 count. Thanks to first round pick QB Mitch Trubisky and some good wide receivers those defensive deficiencies were masked by simply outscoring their opposition. That won't be the case this season, as the gunslinger is now in the NFL and much of the offense is being reassembled. Last week the Tar Heels simply made a lot of mistakes on both sides of the ball, throwing two interceptions, losing a fumble and giving up big plays on defense and this week vs a hungry Lousiville program things will only get worse in my humble betting opinion. Louisville has covered the L/3 meetings in this series. CFB home team like N.Carolina  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 31-6 ATS L/37 for a go against conversion rate of 84% for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-08-17 | Montreal +8 v. BC | 18-41 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 25 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on 3 game losing streaks and both are hungry to get back into the win column. With that said , I'm betting  for this tilt to be a hard hitting and grueling affair that will see getting points being golden. Underdogs or pick like Montreal - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 57-18 ATS for a 76% conversion rate over the L/21 seasons. AQnd under the same perimeters if its a same season loss these teams like the Als are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS during the same time line for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-08-17 | Ohio +4.5 v. Purdue | 21-44 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 17 m | Show | |
Ohio destroyed a lower tier Hampton program by a 59-0 count last time out, hardly breaking a sweat in the process. Meanwhile, Purdue lost a grueling hard fought battle, to Louisville in their first game of the season, by a 35-28 count. That effort will now have them in an emotional letdown situation which will translate I'm betting into a muted effort that might actually see them upset by a pretty good MAC side. OHIO U is 6-0 ATS L/6  in road games in non-conference games.PURDUE is 1-10 ATS L/10 in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ohio - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, team that had a winning record last season are 36-10 ATS over the L/25 seasons. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ohio U - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season are 40-11 ATS over the L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.  CFB  home team like Purdue  - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, with 5 offensive starters returning are 15-42 ATS dating back 25 seasons. Play on Ohio U to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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09-08-17 | Orioles v. Indians -148 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
The Friday night pitching matchup has Baltimore left-hander Wade Miley (8-11, 4.91 ERA) opposing Cleveland righty Mike Clevinger (8-5, 3.50). Both pitchers have done well of late, but I'm betting the hotter bats of the Indians and home filed advantage will be the difference maker. BALTIMORE is 9-26 L/35 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season and is 2-15 L17 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better .CLEVELAND is 21-4 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive wins this season. Orioles are 11-24 in their last 35 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Indians are 7-0 in Clevingers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 like Cleveland - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 47-12 L/59 for a 80% conversion rate for bettors spanning 5 seasons. Play on the Cleveland Indians |
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09-07-17 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Lynn the Cards starter against the Padres tonight, has recorded a solid 3.25 ERA in six starts versus the Padres in his career , and  ranks in the National League top 10 in many pitching categories which includes, opposing batting average (.211), ERA (2.99) and hits/nine innings (6.79).He's held opponents to two earned runs or fewer in 12 starts, which leads the majors. Meanwhile, Richard, the Fathers starter is 3-1 with a 4.39 ERA in 13 games (nine starts) against the Cardinals. He is highly respected by his peers and leads a young pitching staff by example and work ethic unmatched in modern day baseball. He also leads the Padres in innings pitched (173) and in seven of his last eight games he's gone at least six innings. Under is 10-2 in Lynns last 12 starts overall.Under is 8-2 in Lynns last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 41-18-1 in Lynns last 60 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Lynns last 5 road starts.Under is 11-5 in Padres last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. Padres.Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 7-1 in umpire Tichenors last 8 Thursday games behind home plate and the last 8 times he has been behind home plate in a Cards game the total has stayed under. LYNN is 10-1 UNDER  L/11 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season dating back over the last few seasons. LYNN is 17-3 UNDER vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career.RICHARD is 31-14 UNDER  when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-07-17 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Marlins RH Dan Straily (9-8, 3.91 ERA) vs. Braves LH Sean Newcomb (2-8, 4.31) Miami will send Straily (9-8, 3.91 ERA) to the hill in the opener of a four-game series at SunTrust Park, and Atlanta will counter with rookie Sean Newcomb (2-8, 4.31) on Thursday. Straily the Marlins man on the mound has been extremely strong in three starts against Atlanta this season, going 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA. Straily has struck out 20 batters in 17 innings, has walked only three and has allowed just one home run. He matches up well against the Braves batters. Meanwhile, the Braves starter Newcomb is in good form at the end of his rookie season . He was 1-3 with a 4.02 ERA in six starts in August but allowed three or fewer runs in five of those starts. He lost to Chicago on Aug. 31 despite allowing only two earned runs in five innings with seven strikeouts. So the W's are not there , but solid pitching performances are which solidifies my bet that this tilt will stay under the Total. NEWCOMB is 8-0 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season with a combined average of 6.3 rpg getting scored. ATLANTA is 24-9 UNDER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. MIAMI is 31-18 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.ATLANTA is 16-8 UNDER in home games against division opponents this season. The Marlins are 0-13 L/13 UNDER in the first game of a series when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em when they are off two losses in which they never led going under by 3.62 rpg game. Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 7-0 in Newcombs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record including 5 straight at home vs a below .500 team.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-06-17 | Texas Rangers - Game #2 -117 v. Atlanta Braves - Game #2 | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Cole Hamels the ace of the Texas staff will make the start for the Rangers here in the 2nd game of this double Header. Meanwhile,  Julio Teheran (9-11, 4.75 ERA) will start for the Braves , making his first start at SunTrust Park since ending a nine-game home losing streak with a victory over the Colorado Rockies on Aug. 25. Unfortunately for him, and despite of pitching well of late I'm betting he reverts back to his losing ways here at home again. He threw 109 pitches in his last outing, allowing just 1 run in a win and will not be so fresh here and could tire early. Also with that in mind it must be noted that Atlanta is 0-11 L/11 when Julio Teheran starts at home and he averaged more than four pitches per batter in his last start. |
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09-06-17 | Royals v. Tigers OVER 9.5 | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
The Royals send Boyd to the hill to face the KC royals this week. He owns a 8.67 ERA in his L/3 starts.  The Motown hurler has been hit  hard in his eight career outings against them. He has a 2-3 record and 8.27 ERA in those appearances. He is 1-0 with a 6.52 ERA in two starts against Kansas City this year. Meanwhile, Hamels goes to the hill for the Royals. He has recorded a 5.21 ERA in his L/3 starts. Hammel is 2-2 with a 6.70 ERA in 12 career outings (nine starts) against the Tigers and is winless in his last six starts vs. Detroit dating back to 2011. Both hurlers look like they will be cannon fodder in this spot. KANSAS CITY is 28-11 OVER  L/39 in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season , with a combined average of 10.4 rpg going on the scoreboard. KANSAS CITY is 23-9 OVER in September games dating back to last season.KANSAS CITY is 10-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more with a combined average of 12.2 rpg going on the scoreboard.DETROIT is 20-11 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season with a combined average of 11.8 rpg getting scored. Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 like the Royals  - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.00 the last 10 games are 46-23 to the OVER dating back 5 seasons.  Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-06-17 | Phillies +103 v. Mets | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
The Mets have lost 17 of their last 23 and are fade material here this evening, vs a Philadelphia team that despite of being bottom feeders still have some fight left in them behind with a fairly young lineup with promise. The Phillies Pivetta the teams starter tonight in his most recent trip the hill allowed one run over six innings Friday as the Phillies beat the Miami Marlins 2-1 and gets the nod here in this spot. PHILADELPHIA is 12-3 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more this season and 8-2 after scoring 9 or more runs which happened yesterday in a 9-1 victory vs the Mets. NY METS are 14-37  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.NY METS are 4-15 L/19 against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like the Phillies - starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent starting a pitcher who is working on 3 or less days rest are 43-16 dating back 20 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for betting backers of this league wide trend. |
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09-05-17 | Royals -123 v. Tigers | 2-13 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Royals LH Jason Vargas (14-9, 3.87 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (3-3, 6.95) Sanchez the Tigers starter I'm betting exhibits some rust today after being on the disabled list over the L/2 weeks. Prior to his being sidelined, he allowed 17 runs on 23 hits - nine home runs - over 11 1/2 innings in three trips to the hill. I'm expecting he will be cannon fodder for the royals bats tonight. I know Vargas his pitching opponent tonight, has not been good form since the all star break, but is still a stable commodity compared to his counterpart. With that said, I'm betting the Royals hand the Tigers their 6th straight loss in this spot. VARGAS has seen his team go 20-9 L/29 when he starts against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse.KANSAS CITY is 19-6  against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season. SANCHEZ team when he starts is  is 5-18  against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher.Royals are 13-4 in Vargas' last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Royals are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.The Tigers are 0-14 as a home dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 12+ hits. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the tigers - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 26-82 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (KANSAS CITY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or worse over his last 3 starts are 72-24 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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09-05-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Pirates | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.32 ERA) vs. Pirates LH Steven Brault (0-0, 5.93) Hendricks the Cubs starter tonight vs Pittsburgh  is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts since the end of July when he came off the disabled list  .The righty hurler has made four straight quality starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any appearance since his return. Meanwhile,  Brault the Bucks starter will make his first big-league start of the season after six appearances out of the bullpen and has made seven major-league starts last season and went 0-3 with a 4.26 ERA, so he is still looking for his first major-league win. Brault has allowed 17 runs (nine earned) in 8 2/3 innings over four career trips to the hill(one start) against the Cubs and according to my cross reference pitching vs offensive power rankings is fade material tonight. (it must be noted that the cubs offense has done their best work against southpaw hurlers like Brault this season averaging 5.7 rpg in offense The Pirates smashed  the Cubs 12-0 in the series opener, and now embarrassed I expect they come here with intentions of getting back on track today and handing out some big pay back of their own.The Pirates are 0-14 L/14 on the runline and moneyline  as a 170+ dog after they scored six-plus runs and it is after the All-Star break , losing by an average of 4.43 rpg on the moneyline and 2.93 rpg on the runline. HENDRICKS when he starts has seen his team go 24-7  against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 with the average margin of victory coming by 1.9 rpg. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like the Pirates - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 24-90 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors. Play on Chicago Cubs -1.5 on the runline  1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Tennessee v. Georgia Tech OVER 55 | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech and Tennessee both have defensive issues when it comes to stopping the run. Last year Gtech front 7 was a sad group that recorded only 18 sacks all season long, and I'm betting early in this campaign, vs a decent recruitment core of Tennessee options ie (junior John Kelly)  their going to have issues again being able to sustain pressure and keep the field from opening up.. With both teams expected to be running the ball down the throat of the other side all night long a boatload full of accumulated yards and points must be expected. Both teams have question marks on offense, but both have more than enough reloaded talent behind attacking systems to do some damage here tonight vs defenses that should be soft at best. My own projected estimates suggest the Tennessee will allow the Ramblin Wreck 28pts+….It must be noted that Tennessee is TENNESSEE is 7-0 OVER when they allow 28 or more points with themselves and their opponents combining for a total of 76.7 ppg. Im also betting that Tennesse allows 300 yds + rushing ….TENNESSEE is 9-1 OVER  when they allow 300 or more rushing yards with a combined average of 64 ppg getting scored. I also expect GTech to allow at least 28 + points.....TENNESSEE is 6-0 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 79.6 ppg going on the board. GEORGIA TECH is 40-0 OVER  when both teams score 28 or more points with a combined average of 79.6 ppg getting scored.  Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Twins v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 4-11 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay will send right-hander Alex Cobb (9-9, 3.72 ERA) to the mound on Monday. Cobb is 0-3 in his past four starts but his pitched well in those three starts, recording a stingy 2.20 ERA . I'm expecting both there teams to have problems scoring today vs pitchers in top form.
Play on UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Angels -137 v. A's | 11-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
 Angels RH Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27) Right-handers Chris Smith (0-4, 6.27 ERA) of the A's and Parker Bridwell (7-2, 3.52) of the Angels will kick off a series this Monday.Smith the Athletics starter today is among my lowest ranking pitcher in my personal power rankings list. It must be noted that LA is 17-0 as a 125-plus road chalk on the moneyline off a road tilt when facing a team that is under .550 on the season whose starter has a strike-per-ball ratio of less than 1.625 like Smith. Angels are 6-0 in Bridwells last 6 road starts.Angels are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings. BRIDWELLs team is 8-0 when he starts  against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season and is 9-0  against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. OAKLAND is 7-22 l/29 against the money line in home games in September games over the last few seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher As - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or mote over his last 3 starts are just 21-86 over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 76% for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-04-17 | Yankees v. Orioles -122 | 7-4 | Loss | -122 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Yankees LH Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (13-8, 3.94) Bundy the Orioles starter is coming off his first career complete game, a one-hit shutout vs the Seattle Mariners  in which he registered 12 strikeouts. I'm betting he uses the momentum of that game to take out the NY Yankees to Monday afternoon. Bundy (13-8, 3.94 ERA) went 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in five starts in August. Meanwhile, the Yankees will start rookie Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.15 ERA). In his latest trip to the hill, Montgomery took the loss against the Cleveland Indians by allowing four runs and six hits over just four innings. He actually looked a little tired in that game, and is fade material here this afternoon in Baltimore in game 1 of this series. The Yankees I'm betting will also be in a natural letdown situation after beating the ace of the BoSox rotation last night Chris Sale by a 9-2 count. It must be noted however, that the Yankees have not performed all that well in this situation , as they are 4-15 against the money line in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this season. Yankees are 2-8 in Montgomerys last 10 starts.Yankees are 1-4 in Montgomerys last 5 road starts.Yankees are 1-8 in Montgomerys last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Orioles are 7-0 in Bundys last 7 starts.Orioles are 5-0 in Bundys last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Yankees are 8-23 in the last 31 meetings in Baltimore.The Orioles are 12-0 on the moneyline with no rest as a favorite in the first game of a series when playing a team that has a better record. BALTIMORE is 29-11 L/40 against the money line in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-17 | Phillies +117 v. Mets | 7-11 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Mark Leiter Jr. (2-4, 3.88 ERA) vs. Mets RH Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12)  New York's Rafael Montero (3-9, 5.12 ERA) is expected to face Philadelphia's Mark Leiter (2-4, 3.88 ERA) in a matchup of right-handers at Citi Field this Monday afternoon. In his past 15 games (11 starts), Montero is 3-5 with a 4.27 ERA and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 72-30 in 71 1/3 innings. He opened the season by going 0-4 with an 8.24 ERA in his first 13 games (two starts) and had a great outing last time out, but watching this young man pitch I'm betting that was an anomaly and I am going against him here this afternoon.Montero is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA in six career trips to the hill (two starts) against the Phillies. Leiter, a left-handed hurler, allowed one run over five innings of relief in his lone appearance against the Mets on Aug. 10 and gets the nod today. NY METS are 10-17  against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.NY METS are 12-29  against the money line in day games this season.The Phillies are 17-0 on the moneyline  in the first game of a series as a dog off a road game when their opponents starting pitcher has same-season-revenge and it is after the All-Star break.Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 1-6 in Monteros last 7 home starts.Mets are 3-12 in their last 15 home games. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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09-03-17 | Red Sox -115 v. Yankees | 2-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Chris Sale (15-6, 2.77 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (11-6, 3.14)  Sale owns a 2.12 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings against New York this season but is just 0-2 in four outings due to poor run support He is off a .dominating effort at Toronto on Tuesday, when he struck out 11 without walking a batter and scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings. Needless to say he enters this game with fire in his eyes, and is a quality hurler to back in this spot. Meanwhile, the Yankees will return fire with Luis Severino who's worst start of the season came in a home game home against Boston on Aug. 12, when he was crushed for 10 runs ( eight earned ) over 4 1/3 innings of ugly work. My own cross reference pitcher vs batter projections , tells me the BoSox offense should give Sale all the run support he will need tonight. Red Sox are 5-1 in Sales last 6 road starts. BOSTON is 37-19 L/56 against the money line in September games.BOSTON is 27- against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season dating back to last year.SEVERINO is 5-12 L/17 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) over.
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