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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-25-19 | Spurs +2 v. Nets | 85-101 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
San Antonio  concludes a  sub par 1-6  annual rodeo trip vs a Brooklyn team that  they have beaten in the last 7 meetings. The Spurs recorded a 117-114 win in San Antonio on Jan. 31, and get the nod again here. Desperation here is a key factor in me backing a good but frustrated Spurs side in tonight confrontation. Note: Brooklyn after a torrid mid season inning run, have cooled off, and is 4-7 in its last 11 games and looking vulnerable at the moment in their current form. SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Spurs are 26-5 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a favorite which happened last time out.San Antonio  lost 120-117 at Toronto.The Spurs are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field. The Nets are 0-11 ATS/SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 75-32 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the San Antonio. Spurs to cover |
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02-25-19 | Warriors v. Hornets UNDER 233 | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
My own projections make this offered Total slightly bloated as my number is closer to 229. I know its just a few points, but from system vs system matchup chart I use the numbers suggest  a combined score in the vicinity of 225 via a variable chart that is also in place, thus giving us added value to the under. Note: CHARLOTTE is 10-2 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. ( Charlotte is ranked 20th in pace and 18th in ppg scored and can only compete by being more physical, which will effect overall scoring output) The Warriors are 0-11 UNDER  on the road with rest off a loss when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals with the average combined score clicking in at 182.1 ppg . The Hornets are 0-11 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss in which they scored 10 or more points in the fourth than the first quarter with a average combined score of 195.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-24-19 | Clippers v. Nuggets -8.5 | 96-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have owned opponents at home this season winning 20 of 24 games here in the Mile High City which includes a 121-100 win vs todays visitor the LA Clippers back on Jan 10. I know the Clippers will be out to bounce back and be more competitive in the rematch, but my power rankings system vs system matchup analysis suggests that this is not a good matchup for the Clippers and avoiding a more than 9 point loss, is not a high probability occurrence. With that said, Im recommending we lay the points with the home side. The Nuggets are 11-0 ATS/SU as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws.The Nuggets are 17-2 ATS/18-1 SU at home with less than two days rest off a win as a road favorite. The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS/SU L/10 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. DENVER is 20-9 ATS  in home games this season and  14-1 ATS  in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season.DENVER is 7-0 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. The Clippers are 1-15-1 ATS /1-16 SU as a dog with rest off a win in a road game in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field the average point differential was -11.8 ppg. Play on Denver to cover |
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02-24-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan UNDER 130.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This is going to be a behemoth and very physical conference  battle involving two stop tier defensive teams that dont like each other very much. The Spartans love the run and gun out of transition , but Michigan is a team built to slow the most explosive sides in the nation down. With all the Spartans injuries, I doubt they will be is fluid as usual and instead be hell bent on delivering heavy elbows in the paint and trying to find a way to win by making life difficult for Teske and drawing him into foul trouble. This Im betting will see a much lower scoring tilt than then the linesmakers and public expect. MICHIGAN ST is 9-0 UNDER off 2 straight wins against conference rivals this seasonMICHIGAN is 9-1 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days this season.MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season. CBB Road teams against the total (MICHIGAN ST) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or more) are 55-23 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-24-19 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 113-98 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors are playing in top tier form at the moment and have won 7 straight games, and will be ramped up to deliver payback to a Orlando team that beat them by a surprising 116-87 count back in December . The Magic , however, won't be easily intimidated as they have also been playing decent ball winning 5 of their L/6. What Im betting on here today is for the Raptors despite of the early start to be wide awake and to come out here running and gunning and to pour down points in revenge mode against the Magic and for the young men from Central Florida to fire back in chase mode in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. TORONTO is 11-3 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. The Raptors are 8-0 OVER after a game as a home favorite in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers with a combined average of 233 ppg scored which was the case last time out vs San Antonio. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 39-11 OVER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 224 ppg going on the score board. Play OVER |
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02-24-19 | Villanova v. Xavier OVER 136 | 54-66 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
This is the second and final regular-season meeting between the teams. Villanova won 85-75 on its home court Jan. 18 and Im expecting a out put of at least 142 points here according to my projections , which is a full 6 points higher than this offered Total which makes for a strong value call here to the OVER. Note: Four of the L/5 meetings here at Xavier have gone OVER. The OVER is 5-1 in Musketeers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 39-18 in Musketeers last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. XAVIER is 18-5 OVER L/23 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games with a combined average score of 153.3 ppg scored. Play on the OVERÂ |
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02-23-19 | Mavs v. Jazz -10 | 109-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
 The Jazz were absolutely embarrassed and smashed by Dallas the last time these teams met earlier this season by a 118-68 count. It was the Jazz’ worst loss in franchise history. Tonight Im betting pay back is on the agenda and if recent history repeats itself like I think it will the Jazz will increase on a  3-0 ATS record when seeking revenge from a 40-point or more loss. The Jazz have  also won and covered  4 straight in same-season non-divisional revenge this season and from a league wide NBA data base it must be reported that sides playing with revenge from a loss of 50 or more points are 4-0 ATS against teams playing on back to back nights like Dallas is. Its not often I lay DDs, but this situation warrants laying this many points. UTAH is 9-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. NBA  Home favorites (UTAH) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 48-19 ATS L/5 season for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jazz to cover |
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02-23-19 | Kansas +5.5 v. Texas Tech | 62-91 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
 Kansas despite of being banged up and having to deal with suspensions  has still  won  14 consecutive conference titles, behind Bill Selfs tut-ledge are always a dangerous opponent for all comers.  In addition, the Jayhawks have dominated this series in the past vs TexasTech and  are 18-1 SU in L/19 meetings. These teams are  tied  in the standings and to break the lock Im betting this will be a harder fought affair for the Red Raiders than the home chalk designation is indicating. Kanas beat Texas Tech convincingly back on Feb. 2 79-63 and Im betting the swing on this line is to much based on the last matchup.  Kansas coach Bill Self in his career as a conference dog from Game 25 out, is 10-0 ATS against hoops programs  he beat by 3 or more points in the most recent meeting. KANSAS is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less over the last 3 seasons. Play on Kansas to cover |
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02-23-19 | Kings v. Thunder OVER 239 | 119-116 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Over the last two games, Thunder star Westbrook is averaging 43.5 points, is shooting 56 percent from the floor, and has a combined 10 made 3-pointers and Im betting his team feeds off that energy tonight against the run and gun Kings in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: Sacramento runs at the 3rd fastest pace in the league and owns the 27th ranked defence. Meanwhile, the Thunder own the 2nd ranked pace , and the leagues 3rd best offensive output . This total might seem high , but the the speed these teams play and the way they can pour down points Im betting the Total gets eclipsed. Oklahoma City beat the Kings on the road this season by a 132-111 count. Im expecting Thunder to explode for close to the same amount this time around and for the Kings to eclipse their previous out put. SACRAMENTO is 12-1 OVER  as a road underdog on the opening line of 6.5 to 12 points this season.  The Thunder are 14-1-1 OVER off a win as a home favorite in which their points increased by at least 25 from the game before.The Kings are 23-5-2 OVER as a dog with rest after a game as a road dog in which out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits. Play OVER |
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02-23-19 | VMI v. Western Carolina OVER 156.5 | 83-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
When these teams met back on Jan 19, they took part in a high scoring affair, that resulted in a 91-83 output of 174 points. Im betting on a similar back forth high scoring affair here today that eclipses this Total.  W CAROLINA is 9-1 OVER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 169.5 pig scored with a combined average of 162.9 ppp going on the board. VMI is 13-3 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season. VMI is 8-0 OVER  after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog this season with a combined average of 166.6 ppg scored. CBB Road teams against the total (VMI) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games are 100-62 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-23-19 | Grizzlies v. Cavs -2 | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
With Kevin Love back in the lineup Cleveland is becoming very competitive and deserve respect here as short favourites vs a Memphis side that has lost 15 of their L/19 games overall and playing without without star rookie Jaren Jackson Jr..  The Grizzlies are 2-16 ATS on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest after being outscored in the paint by double digits. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 108-26 SU L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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02-23-19 | Duke v. Syracuse +5 | 75-65 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Duke will be playing without injured star Zion Williamson, the leading candidate to win the National Player of the Year Award. That should help Syracuse be confident enough to be competitive here today behind what is expected to be a gigantic crowed  tonight. I know HC Boheim was in a fatal car crash earlier this week that killed a pedestrian, but he will be on the bench and has the type of personality that will help him deal with this sad event. Look for his team to respond to his situation in a big way and provide a competitive effort. Also I know Syracuse (18-8, 9-4) won the first game between the teams 95-91 in overtime, and Duke has revenge on board, but from empirical standpoint these competing systems matchup much more evenly than many might expect.  SYRACUSE is 13-4 ATS  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. SYRACUSE is 17-7 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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02-23-19 | Auburn +7.5 v. Kentucky | 53-80 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Im betting Kentucky gets tested here tonight against Bruce Pearls high flying run and  gun  Auburn squad.Auburn lives and dies by the 3-point shot and by easy buckets off turnovers and when their in top form like they are here tonight, their not going to be easy to beat. Yes, not even here at Rupp Arena. Kentucky turns the ball over a lot and they defend in close much better than at the down town line curve. Im not saying Auburn pulls off a win in one of the hardest venues to win at in the nation, Im just betting that they make a game of this and get us a cover . Play on Auburn to cover |
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02-23-19 | Virginia v. Louisville +6 | 64-52 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
 Methodical Virginia one of the best coached teams in the country from a systems stand point is not invincible like some might think, as was the case when they lost to Duke earlier this season, and when they were unceremoniously knocked out of the NCAA tourney in the first round of last year.  Today against their host Louisville  Im betting their conservative ways and dependence on 3 point shooting for big leads will be tested as the home crowd makes life difficult for the visitors cohesiveness. Add to that the Cardinal have revenge for a loss in the ACC tourney last season you have a very motivated opponent to deal with.  Note:  The Cards are 32-7 SU with conference revenge at the KFC Yum! Center. I know Louisville has struggled a bit of late, but Im betting that won't be the case here as redemption is at hand.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS  after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons. Play on Louisville to cover |
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02-23-19 | Tennessee v. LSU +2 | 80-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
LSU hosts Tennessee at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center this Saturday afternoon. The top tier Vols go against a LSU team off an upset loss at home last time out by Florida, but it must be noted that the Tigers have been good bounce back side especially at home where they have not lost back-to-back home games this season and wont be easily defeated here today, making getting points in my humble opinion a very good betting option. LSU is 11-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and s 6-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. LSU is 8-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts this season. Play on LSU to cover |
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02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs +3.5 | 114-104 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas looked a little flat going into the all star break and will be out looking to get back on track here tonight against visiting Denver. The Cavs have been strong at home this season going 20-9 SU while, Denver has been a .500 road team, but are sub par from a all important betting perspective as they have failed to cover 18 of their 28 road games for a 36% ATS conversion rate. Dallas has won and covered 3 of their L/4 as hosts and Im recommending we take the points in this spot play. Denver HC Malone is 4-15 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins in all games he has coached since 1996 ( The Nuggets won their L/2 before the all star break) DENVER is 8-20 ATS  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 1-10 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 8-1 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.DALLAS is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog this season. NBA Home underdogs (DALLAS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 46-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, in February games are 25-11 SU L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the average point differential of the 36 game sample size clicking in at +1.1 ppg. Play on Dallas to cover |
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02-22-19 | Pistons v. Hawks +4 | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
Detroit was red hot winning 4 of their L/5 with the lone loss coming to Boston at the all star break. However, despite of their up trending play , this Motown group have not been very good overall on the road this season losing 19 of their 26 away tilts. Pistons are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 vs. NBA Southeast.Pistons are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss.Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Meanwhile, their opponents Atlanta lost their last game at home before the All star break but are capable of bouncing back as they continue their rebuild and have shown flashes of brilliance, this season. The last time they played the Pistons the Hawks upset them 98-95 as 9 point road dogs back in December and despite of Detroit looking for revenge it must be noted that HC Casey is 8-25 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more in all games he has coached since 1996. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Hawks are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a double-digit loss at home.DETROIT is 11-24 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons and   is 16-25 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season. ATLANTA is 20-9 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons .Note: NBA Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 28-7 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (ATLANTA) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 47-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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02-22-19 | Wolves v. Knicks +6 | 115-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves are 8-20 on the road and just don't sit well with me as road chalk by this much, yes not even against the lowly Knicks. The Knicks will be attempting to win consecutive games for just the second time this season. New York after ending a ugly 18-game losing streak with a 106-91 win at Atlanta on Feb. 14 look use the momentum of that win here tonight.  With that Knicks incorporating some new blood into the lineup Im betting they will be competitive tonight. NY is 2-0 ATS L/2 vs Minnesota at home. The Knicks are 12-1 ATS /SU at home off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the one straight up loss coming by 1 point. MINNESOTA is 0-12 ATS  in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.The Timberwolves are 0-13 ATS /2-11 SU on the road after they shot over 50% from the field. with the two victories coming by 4 points and 2 points. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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02-22-19 | Spurs +7.5 v. Raptors | 117-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The Spurs entered the all star break in a slump, and many believe Toronto will be out looking for retribution for a DD loss to the Spurs earlier this season. Yes, the Spurs were slumping and yes the Raptors have revenge on board, but because of this the price being asked on the line a is a little bloated according to my projections. The line I have set clicks in a 4.5 so according to my estimates we have value with a talented San Antonio team that desperately needs to get back on track and won't be easily run over here. Note:  TORONTO is 3-13 ATS  in home games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Spurs are 13-3 SU L/16 overall meetings and are 5-0 ATS L/5 battles. SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots this season. TORONTO is 10-19 ATS  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games, in non-conference games are 69-31 ATS L/22 season for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover |
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02-22-19 | Harvard v. Brown +2 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
 A couple of weeks ago Harvard demolished Brown by a 68-47 walloping. That was a strange game considering these are the leagues two top scoring teams.. The low scoring domination by the Crimson Im betting was an outlier and that this game will be more true to form, with the revenge minded home team getting the advantage taking points as their opponent will Im betting get caught looking ahead to a big game with Yale tomorrow.    Play on Brown to cover |
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02-22-19 | Dartmouth +9.5 v. Yale | 59-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
When I look for underdogs one of my criteria is find a team that can shoot threes consistently and convert on FTs from the charity stripe. The Big Green are one of those pups , as their shooting percentages include 71.7% for free throws and 38.4% for three point percentage so far this season. Their hosts Yale, shooting percentages include 69.5% for free throw percentage and 36.9% for three point percentage at this point of the campaign. Yale is the superior overall team, but they do have a big game against Harvard tomorrow, and could easily be overlooking this opponent and if Bulldogs have a big lead , could also easily take their foot of the pedal and allow an opportunity for a back door cover. DARTMOUTH is 17-2 ATS in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better since 1997(which was the case against Princeton last time out in a 1 point loss) DARTMOUTH is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. McLaughlin is 8-1 ATS in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games as the coach of DARTMOUTH. Big Green are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Big Green are 20-8-4 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss.Big Green are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Ivy LeagueRoad team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Big Green are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Yale. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (YALE) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 19-45 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% for bettors on the blind. Play on Dartmouth to cover |
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02-22-19 | Bowling Green -4 v. Ohio | 87-92 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Ohio looks like they have packed it in for the season as is evident by having lost 6 straight games SU/ATS. Meanwhile, Bowling Green is 11-2 in conference play and wont let up Im betting until they cross the finish line. BOWLING GREEN is 10-0 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. OHIO U is 4-18 ATS in all games this season.OHIO U is 1-11 ATS  after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. OHIO U is 0-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season. CBB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 10-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bowling Green to cover |
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02-21-19 | Hawaii +3.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 61-79 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Hawaii has revenge on board here tonight for a ugly DD loss as 3-point home favs to Santa Barbara la couple of weeks ago and have responded by winning 3 of their L/4 and will be primed for pay back here vs a side that has lost 3 straight games. UC-SANTA BARBARA is 18-33 ATS L/51 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more  of their shots after 15+ games .Ganot is 11-3 ATS  in road games in February games as the coach of HAWAII. HAWAII is 9-2 ATS after playing a home game this season.  UC-SANTA BARBARA is 2-8 ATS  against conference opponents this season. CBB team (HAWAII) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are  101-56 L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Hawaii to cover |
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02-21-19 | Kings +12 v. Warriors | 123-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are the type of team that matchup well vs the explosive Dubs, and are very viable underdogs here on the road. Sacramento has covered 4 of the L/5 meetings here in gets the nod again in this spot play. Note: The Kings are 4-0 ATS L/4 with more than 5 days rest. Golden State is 4-14 ATS L/18 after 5 days rest. GOLDEN STATE is 9-22 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. The Warriors are 1-12 ATS at home with rest after playing as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. The Kings are 12-0 ATS/10-2 SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s a game. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover |
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02-21-19 | Idaho +12.5 v. Northern Arizona | 54-75 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
This line according to projections is bloated and should be closer to -9 t for the home team thus giving us line value of more than 1 possession , which makes for a viable advantage player proposition. Back on Feb 2 N.Arizona bombed Idaho by DDs, and now the visitors have revenge on board. Im betting they stand tall here, and make a better effort in the rematch and get us the cover. Verlin is 30-15 ATS  revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of IDAHO. ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS  when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. CBB Underdogs of 10 or more points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 55-21 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-21-19 | UL - Lafayette +3 v. Texas-Arlington | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Top seeded Lafayette was dramatically upset in the semifinals of their conference tourney last by UT Arlington, 71-68 after looking like they would be going to the NCAA tournament towards the end of late season. Now with huge revenge on board I expect  a Louisiana  side that is a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8  when seeking revenge for a LTKO conference tourney loss the previous season to get us the cover here today. I know the Mavs are a strong team despite of being on a 2 game losing streak but the Cajuns are battle tested after brutal non conference schedule , that seen them play  Power 5 programs Indiana, Arkansas, Missouri and Texas, plus top-5 ranked Gonzaga. CBB team (LA-LAFAYETTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 75-27 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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02-21-19 | Blazers -1.5 v. Nets | 113-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
After a big mid season run Brooklyn has six losses in its last nine games and according to my matchup stats are over matched here vs a side that can easily run with them.The Blazers went into the all star break showing how under rated they are when they dominated the fourth quarter in their 129-107 win over the Warriors at home behind. Damian Lillard scored 29 points. Im betting he will be the key again here tonight in a road victory for the Blazers.PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season. Note: Portland owns a 9th ranked +3.71 SRS compared to Brooklyns 21st ranked -1.22 SRS. ( SRS stands for Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Portland is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Nets and has won their L/2 visits to Brooklyn. NBA Home underdogs (BROOKLYN) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 12-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Portland to cover |
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02-21-19 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 220 | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
The Heat base all their successes and failures on their ability to play gritty shutdown defence, and tonight against the explosive Philadelphia 76ers Im expecting more of the same action. With Philadelphia expected to play without the injured Joel Embiid ( knee) Im betting the Sixers ability flow freely in offence will also be hindered. This above combination has a high probability of making for a lower scoring game than the linesmkaers are expecting and thus Im recommending a under wager here . The Heat rank third in the league in points per game allowed (105.7 ppg) and 27th in point scored ( 105.1 ppg). MIAMIs L/20 road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 203.1 ppg scored. Brown is 10-1 UNDER in home games after 2 consecutive division games as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. (This occurred just before the all star break) The Heat are 0-19  L/19 UNDER as a road dog with rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score 189.9 ppg scored. Non of the 19 games saw more than 213 combined points scored. The 76er are 0-14 UNDER  off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 193.8 ppg scored. None of the 14 games eclipsed this total. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHILADELPHIA) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 36-12 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MIAMI) - off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog against opponent off a win against a division rival are 35-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
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02-21-19 | Capitals +150 v. Maple Leafs | 3-2 | Win | 150 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Washington has lost the first two meetings between these teams this season, but looked like the better team in their last matchup taking 44 shots on net as compared to the Leafs 37 despite of losing 6-3. Now in revenge mode and out to prove themselves worthy of their Stanley Cup champion designation, Im betting we see them at their best tonight in TO. WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. NHL Road teams against the money line (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent by 3 goals or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the second half of the season are 5-0 this season and a long term 37-17 L/5 seasons. Play on Washington to win on the money line |
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02-21-19 | Suns v. Cavs | 98-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Two NBA bottom feeders go head to head tonight in Cleveland with the Suns visiting the Cavs. . The Suns have lost 15 straight games , while the Cavaliers dropped 23 of their past 27 games. If th Suns lose they will have broken a franchise record, and tonight because of their embarrassing scenario will be extremely primed to get a win. QUOTE:"Fresh start. We have a stretch of games, very winnable games for us," Suns shooting guard Devin Booker told reporters. "Cleveland, Atlanta, Miami -- so we're about to go out East for the last time and hopefully come out with some big wins." END QUOTE. If there is a game that the Suns can win its this one and and they as a group will be hell bent on getting the victory making them a viable side to back.  Cleveland in 19 non conference games this season has seen a averagepoint differential of 14.4 ppg.CLEVELAND is 10-23 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 12-39 SU l22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 25-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Phoenix to cover |
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02-21-19 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary OVER 145.5 | 84-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections have made this total closer to 149.5 -150 this according to my estimates we have value on this offered totals number. Both these teams are lighting it up offensively of late, and nothing Im betting will change tonight. Coll of Charleston has scored 83 or more points in 4 straight games. William Mary has scored 84 or more points in 3 of their L/4 overall. WM & MARY is 8-0 OVER at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 180.1 ppg scored.WM & MARY is 9-0 OVER in home games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 173.3 ppg scored. WM & MARY is 12-0 OVER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with. combined average of 175 ppg scored.WM & MARY is 14-2 OVER  in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14  or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 172.5 ppg scored. COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-3 OVER versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.6 ppg going on the score board. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games are 68-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-20-19 | Wichita State v. Tulsa -2.5 | 81-60 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
 Greg Marshall’s Shockers basketball program is down quite. few notches this season,  for past incarnations, and are far from the dangerous opponent they have been in the recent past as they're AAC  12-11 SU would indicate. The Shockers have played better of late, but Im sure their in an emotional  letdown spot  after tangling with the Cincinnati Bearcats in a hard fought loss last time out and susceptible to a down effort in what will be back to back road games. Meanwhile Frank Haith’s Tulsa  team is out looking for revenge for a DD loss as visitors to Wichita earlier this month. It must be noted that the Canes are  14-1-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and  7-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Considering Wichita State is 0-16 L/16 SU in this series when made underdogs  I like our odds here for cashing a ticket on short chalk line. Play on Tulsa to cover |
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02-20-19 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech UNDER 128.5 | 65-73 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Gtech plays basketball at a methodical pace, behind a offence that can't produce with any consistency, and thus their games consistently go under as is evident by 9 of the L/10 staying below the offered totals number. Meanwhile, Pittsburghs strength is their ability to play decent defence, and have allowed just 67.2 ppg on the road this season while their offence has converted for under 67 ppg on the road while shooting a lowly 39.4 % from the Field. These teams most recent meetings have all stayed below this offered Total with a combined average of 118.6 ppg scored, and Im betting a similar output tonight. PITTSBURGH is 20-6 UNDER  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.PITTSBURGH is 20-8 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 6-0 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. GEORGIA TECH is 10-1 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season with a combined average of 122.9 ppg scored. Pastner is 8-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of GEORGIA TECH with a combined average of 121 ppg scored. 818 Georgia Tech / Pitt UNDER |
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02-20-19 | Northwestern v. Ohio State UNDER 128 | 49-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
 Northwestern is ranked first in the Big Ten and 12th nationally in three-point field goal defense, holding teams to 29.6 percent, with Ohio State sporting two top 15 down town shooters in their lineup this will be a pivotal factor in muting a lot of the Buckeyes scoreboard out put,  which in turn will  directly contribute to this being a lower scoring game than the lines makers expect. Note: Northwestern D has allowed 59 points exact in 3 of their L/4 games and should once again be hard to score on here behind top tier rebounding work. Ohio Stats D, is also in top form having allowed 52,63-62 respectively in their L/3 tips to the hardwood. with all three going under the set total.  Tonight Im betting  this will be a hardcore physical defensive battle that stays under the set total. NORTHWESTERN is 16-4 UNDER after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 126.2 ppg scored and s 6-0 UNDER after playing a game as a road underdog this season with a combined average 121 ppg scored. NORTHWESTERN is 8-0 UNDER  after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 125.4 ppg going on the board. CBB Home teams against the total (OHIO ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record are 38-17 UNDER L22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 814 Ohio State /Northwestern UNDER |
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02-20-19 | Arkansas +12 v. Auburn | 56-79 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
The Razorbacks have struggled a little bit over the past week and have lost their last three games, but overall this team has been competitive and have tremendous talent on their bench thanks to one of the better recruiting classes in the nation and are viable dogs here at explosive Auburn.  Razorbacks are 12-13 SU at Auburn, but the 12 wins  ties for second-most by the Razorbacks  victories against any SEC team.The teams split the last four meetings but the Razorbacks have won 10 of the last 12. Head coach Mike Anderson is 8-2 versus Auburn as Arkansas head coach. In the last three meetings between these sides the Hogs have started quickly and outscored the Tigers by almost 7 points going into the 2nd half.Im betting they will be all over the Tigers again, making them very solid underdogs here in this spot if my projections are correct. Some key matchup stats suggest Arkansas must not be disrespected here as underdogs. Arkansas is third in the SEC in turnover margin (2.6) and ranks second in turnovers forced (16.48) — which ranks 19th nationally. Arkansas (1.17) and Auburn (1.16) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assist-to- turnover ratio, Arkansas (406) and Auburn (379) rank 2-3 in the SEC in assists. Auburn (9.1 avg) and Arkansas (8.1 avg) rank among the NCAA top 25 in steals. CBB Home favorites of 10 or more points (AUBURN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are 31-70 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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02-19-19 | UNLV v. Wyoming +5.5 | 66-56 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
UNLV enters the game dumping the cash for their supporters on a regular basis of late , failing to cover 6 of their L/7 . Meanwhile, Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games , and viable bets here vs a poor travelling Rebels squad that is 5-6 SU/ATS on the road this season and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 away. WYOMING is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. UNLV is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. UNLV is 9-22 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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02-19-19 | Alabama -1.5 v. Texas A&M | 56-65 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
 Avery Johnson’s Alabama enters this game with one goal and that is to get a win here, because if they lose this game their tournament chances are probably gone. After two ugly blowout losses they are desperate. With the Tide playing with a sense of urgency Im betting they cross the finish line ahead of the Aggies and get us the win and cover here tonight. ( note: TexasA&M beat Alabama 81-80 as road dogs about a month agao and now the Tide have revenge on board)  . ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS after scoring 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Johnson is 11-1 ATS after scoring 55 points or less as the coach of ALABAMA.  A&M is 9-18 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ALABAMA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite 37-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Alabama to cover |
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02-19-19 | Vanderbilt +18.5 v. Tennessee | 46-58 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
 The Tennessee Vols come off a lopsided loss vs Kentucky that abruptly snapped their undefeated SEC streak this past weekend and are now expected by the public  to angrily come storming out here tonight  and hand out  a beating on hapless Vanderbilt.  The Vols might snatch the win , but how motivated they will be after that big time clash and negative result is something that Im questioning, as its never easy getting back the same energy levels immediately after having taken part in a proverbial heavy weight battle for any competitor. Especially if that competitor was knocked out and humbled in the process.  Add to that the the price on the line offered seems a little exuberant , considering this is a rivalry game that has seen Vandy cover 6 of the L/7 meetings. I know Im playing physiologist here in my perception of this matchup, but from an empirical standpoint my numbers also suggest we have a  mathematical edge on the line no matter what the  situation and thus offers up line value for advantage players. I know it's not easy betting against the Vols, and backing a struggling side like the Commies but its all about edges, and win or lose this methodology must always be in place in my humble opinion. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. Drew is 10-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more  assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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02-19-19 | St. Peter's v. Siena OVER 116 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
When these teams played back on January 3rd they combined for 125 points. Im betting on a similar output here today. It must also be noted that Siena is off a 107-100 offensive slugfest last time out, and could easily still be a run and gun mood here vs a St.Peters team allowing more than 70 ppg on the road this season. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SIENA) - off a home loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%) are 35-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road teams where the total is 119.5 or less (ST PETERS) - after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 34-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-18-19 | Golden Knights -128 v. Avalanche | 0-3 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
The Avalanche are in free fall after losing 23 of their last 29 games and are fade material here tonight vs a blue collar Vegas group that must not be underestimated in their ability to win on the road vs a side that has lost 17 of 27 home games. Vegas has won 3 of the L/4 all time meetings. COLORADO is 0-8 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season this season.COLORADO is 7-22 ATS  after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.COLORADO is 3-15 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. Play on Vegas to win on the moneyline |
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02-18-19 | Kansas State v. West Virginia +6.5 | 65-51 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
West Virginia is down quite a few notches thanks to inconsistent backcourt, from past Huggins program incarnations, while Kansas State is proving that they are a Big 12 contender. Earlier this season, the Mounties lost a hard fought 71-69 battle on the road in this series, and will be primed for pay back here in the rematch at home despite of being short handed and in a complete tailspin. Note: The Wildcats are expected to be without Dean Wade and Cartier Diarra. Bob Huggins hasn’t lost to K-State at home since 2013, and despite of what their records might indicate are plausible home dogs in this spot. Play on West Virginia to cover |
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02-18-19 | North Carolina Central +2 v. Howard | 98-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The Bison host North Carolina Central in their home finale Monday (Feb. 18) for Senior Night, and will be primed to perform but according to my projections , the wrong team is favoured , and the line should be flipped.  Each team is coming off of a loss this past Saturday. Howard lost 85-81 at home to NC A&T, while NC Central fell 75-71 in overtime at Norfolk State. NC Central is a senior dependent side with  seniors. Raasean Davis, Zacarry Douglas, Jibri Blount and Larry McJr.  accounting for 56 percent of the team's scoring this year and 59 percent of all Eagles points over the team's last five game. Im betting these older guys will be key to us getting a cover here tonight behind a D that has allowed 63.4 points per game in 12 conference games. That will be key against a Howard side, that leads the league in ppg. Play on North Carolina Central to cover |
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02-18-19 | Florida A&M +2 v. South Carolina State | 54-57 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
 MEAC foes meet as FAMU squares off against SC St. Florida A&M has won its last three road games, scoring 74 points, while allowing 70 per game.Florida A&M has been playing shut down defence allowing opposing teams to 67.2 points per game, the second-lowest ppg among all MEAC teams. The Rattlers have allowed just 63.1 points per game against conference opponents.Look for their defense and key offensive cogs  Justin Ravenel, Isaiah Martin and Tracy Hector who have collectively accounted for 42 percent of the team’s scoring this season and 71% of all the Rattlers points over the last five games to be the catalysts for cover here on the road. Rattlers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Rattlers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Rattlers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-Eastern Athletic. Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. MEC. Play on Florida A&M to cover |
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02-18-19 | Idaho +15.5 v. Eastern Washington | 57-82 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The local rivalry is back on Monday afternoon, with Idaho making the trip up to Cheney to take on Eastern Washington.  Idaho (4-20, 1-12 BSC) defeated Eastern Washington (9-15, 7-6 BSC), 74-71, in the first meeting in Moscow and actually matchup well in head to head systems analysis. IDAHO is 34-19 ATS in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game .E WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS in all lined games this season. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (IDAHO) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 46-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Idaho to cover |
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02-18-19 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech +6.5 | 64-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
The Hokies are off two straight wins vs  Georgia Tech and then Pittsburgh this past Saturday  and  now are primed to play a game they have had circled for a long time vs their instate rivals the Virginia Cavs. The Hokies are particularly motivated here thanks to being pounded by a 81-59 count last month by the merciless Cavs and will be out for payback here tonight. I know its never easy going agains the Wahoos, but this situation offers some clear value based on past trends and point spread  mathematics. Note. Virginia Tech is 15-5 ATS log in its last 20 home games when playing with revenge and 8-1 ATS at home with revenge in the series.Virginia Tech is 6-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Virginia Tech is also 13-0 ATS L/13 at home as a dog when seeking revenge. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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02-17-19 | Capitals v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
The Ducks have scored just 2.16 goals per game, last in the NHL, with the next closest team at 2.40 per game and will have a hard time scoring again vs the the defending Stanley Cup champion Capitals who are off a beatdown of San Jose last time out. Knowing how explosive the Caps will be and how limited the Ducks offence is as well, I expect a game plan by Anaheim that will focus on disciplined defence and attacking only in transition, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair. Under is 7-1 in Capitals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. ANAHEIM is 22-6 UNDER in non-conference games this season.ANAHEIM is 11-2 UNDER after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (WASHINGTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 4 goals or more are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-17-19 | Team LeBron v. Team Giannis +6 | 178-164 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
I have analyzed the rosters and matchups for this contest and Im now releasing a very viable point-spread selection. I will say its been a while since I bet a All star fromat game, but this one has enough value that Im willing to recommend we pull the trigger. Alot is being made of Super star LeBron James side, but the Greek Freak Antetokounmpo and center Joel Embiid and Thunder forward Paul George,Stephen Curry and Kemba Walker (playing at home in Charlotte) are a big strong group with heaps of athletic prowess and will not make life easy for James and company.With Russell Westbrook and Middleton coming off the bench this Giannis group is dangerous and a good bet in my opinion getting points. Take the points with Team Giannis |
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02-17-19 | Missouri State v. Loyola-Chicago -6 | 65-61 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
 LUC after last years huge run that took them deep into the NCAAA tourney has become a distant memory for most, but despite of not being as prolific as last season still  lead the MVC with a 9-4 record . Today they could summon up what made them great last season vs a Missouri State team that embarrassed them back in January by a unbelievable 70-35 blowout score that stung more than a locker room wet towel to the cannolis. Now with huge revenge on board  Im betting on a huge effort and payback scenario . It must be noted that Missouri State is just 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games and despite of that above mentioned victory are just 2-7 ATS mark in this series of late, and have failed to cover 4 of their 5 as visitors.  MISSOURI ST is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 season.LOYOLA-IL is 21-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSOURI ST) - after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams score 65 points or less are 16-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Loyola Chicago |
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02-17-19 | Houston v. Tulane OVER 140 | 85-50 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
In its most recent action, Tulane (4-19) dropped an 80-57 decision against Tulsa in New Orleans on Thursday. there D, was atrocious in that game, and Im betting Houston(24-1) will light them up here today, and Tulane will chase , which in turn will make for a high scoring affair that eclipses this total. The last two meetings in this series went over the total, and 7 of the L/9 meetings overall. TULANE is 11-2 OVER after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more and  is 8-1 OVER in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 152 pp scored.HOUSTON is 21-9 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (HOUSTON) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 45-11 OVER L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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02-16-19 | Pacific v. Santa Clara | 59-64 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
According to my projections Pacific in their current form are the superior side and get the nod here on a pickem line in a revenge scenario. The Tigers dropped , 57-69 decision at home on January 19, 2019 to Santa Clara, Pacific led for nearly 30 minutes in its first game vs Santa Clara, but ran out of gas. they will be much more prepared to keep the pedal to the medal this time around.SANTA CLARA is 0-6 ATS in home games off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 3 season whihc was the case last time out. PACIFIC is 9-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 season. PACIFIC is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or more turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (PACIFIC) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals are 41-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pacific to cover |
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02-16-19 | Northwestern v. Nebraska UNDER 131 | 50-59 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Both these  teams can  play hardcore  defense , as is evident by  the Cats ranking 36th in the nation allowing 64.8 PPG, and 18th vs the downtown 3-ball at 29.7%.On offence Northwestern ranks 300th ranked scoring offense and will once again struggle to score here vs a Huskers  side that are ranked 18th in the nation allowing teams to score only 63.4 PPG, and rank 29th in the nation allowing the opposition to make just 40.2%  of their FGs. Everything points to this being a fairly low scoring affair base don my own totals projections. NEBRASKA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. NEBRASKA is 9-1 UNDER  vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA is 9-1 UNDER  after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. NORTHWESTERN is 23-12 UNDER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 17-8 UNDER (+8.2 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 season.NORTHWESTERN is 7-0 UNDER  after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons.NORTHWESTERN is 10-3 UNDER  against conference opponents this season.NORTHWESTERN is 20-9 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. 740 Nebraska/ Northwestern UNDER |
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02-16-19 | Tennessee +4 v. Kentucky | 69-86 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Vols  are 4-point underdogs in this spot-- which makes  for a greatly value wagering  situation behind the nation's No. 1 team . Tennessee is 11-0 in the SEC and winning league games by an average of 16.6 points per contest, but yet here we are getting points with them, as they face a behemoth public favourite. Don't get me wrong I have all the respect in the World for the Cats, but this is strictly a mathematical play, with a group that is every bit as good as the home side if not better. I know LSU is off a loss vs LSU, and are primed to bounce back and show the world the SEC is still theirs for the taking, but the Vols will not be an easy out, which makes for a viable wagering proposition.The Vols' 23-1 SU record features five wins over top-50 KenPom teams -- most notably neutral-court victories over Gonzaga and Louisville and will not give-up a 19-game winning streak easily vs Kentucky. Note:TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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02-16-19 | Harvard +2 v. Pennsylvania | 75-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
 This 5-returning starter Harvard squad  played last night and got a win vs Princeton and are in top form.  These kids play smart, and will be ready to grab a victory on back to back nights and  are 6-2  ATS in the last eight matchups with Penn when playing without rest. With Harvard out looking to get revenge  for a loss in last seasons Ivy tournament 68-65 you can payback will be a priority here and a rally call for the Tide.  Note:HARVARD is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. HC Donahue of Penn is 9-22 ATS  in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37%  or more of their attempts after 15+ games in all games and is 4-12 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game as the coach of PENNSYLVANIA. Play on Harvard to cover |
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02-16-19 | Iowa v. Rutgers +3.5 | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Iowa has had most of this week off and could be rusty here vs a pesky Rutgers side that is capable of upsetting anyone in the Big 10 in their current form.Note: HC McCaffery is 4-12 ATS in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest as the coach of IOWA and is 4-12 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. The Scarlet Knights in took out Iowa 80-64 home win on Jan. 17, 2018 and get my support again getting points.  Play on Rutgers to cover |
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02-16-19 | Winthrop -1 v. Gardner-Webb | 60-64 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Eagles enter the game on a three-game winning streak vs Gardner-Webb a strong home team that is undefeated there this season. But Winthrop is a strong enough group to come out of this with a win. Winthrop is 4-1 on the road in league play and has won five of the last seven away from home and have to be respected. Winthrop is the league's top scoring team at 85.6 ppg and Gardner-Webb is third at 80.0. Eagles lead the  all-time series 22-9 overall and have won 10 straight in the series and get the nod again in a key conference game. Play on Winthrop to cover |
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02-16-19 | Ohio +7.5 v. Central Michigan | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
analysis to follow-thank you for your patience Ohio to cover |
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02-16-19 | Iowa State +3 v. Kansas State | 78-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
 Kansas State has won nine consecutive Big 12 games,  is at the top of the conference standings and are ranked in the top 20. but because of those lofty numbers and stats opponents see a big target on their backs and are coming at Kansas State with a lot of motivation. Kansas, Baylor and Texas came at the Wildcats with some huge intensity levels in each of the last three tilts. The Wildcats trailed at halftime in all three of those games and had to exert a tremendous amount  of energy to come back, and now Im betting all that tenacious work could easily go against them here, vs a Iowa State team that also has endless amounts of energy.The Cyclones are two games behind Kansas State in the standings and need a victory in this game in order to stay in the Big 12 race so they won't be easy outs here.  Iowa State to cover |
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02-16-19 | Indiana +4 v. Minnesota | 63-84 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Richard Pitino's Minnesota is ranked 13th in the Big Ten in conference in points per possession allowed, at more than 1.08. The Gophers don't force turnovers, they don't defend FG shooting well and their weak around the rim.  Minnesota has lost its last four games and are down trending in my power rankings making desperate Indiana a pick here for today getting points. INNESOTA is 7-23 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons . CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 42-14 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover |
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02-16-19 | The Citadel v. Western Carolina | 82-103 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Western Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games Western Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
THE CITADEL is 10-2 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS Â in home games after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.HCÂ Baucom is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game as the coach of THE CITADEL. THE CITADEL is 11-3 ATS Â in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.W CAROLINA is 11-22 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. CBB Home teams as an underdog or pick (W CAROLINA) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games are 9-38 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 767 Citadel to cover /win |
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02-16-19 | Texas A&M +4 v. South Carolina | 77-84 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
The Aggies (10-3, 3-8) have rebounded with consecutive victories including 3 straight covers and have  been competitive in recent losses to Ole Miss and Tennessee. Today in this  Southeastern Conference basketball battle Im betting the Texas A&M  are primed to be competitive here today vs a South Carolina side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Im betting senior post Christian Mekowulu, who has recorded 30 points and 25 rebounds in the last two games to be the key to this game and a Aggies cover. 623 Texas A&M  to cover |
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02-16-19 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +9.5 | 64-53 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
 Auburn goes into Nashville today play Vanderbilt early start Saturday tipoff at Memorial Gymnasium . Bruce Pearl’s squad off a tough loss vs Ole Miss last time could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a 0-12 conference team that they maybe overlooking . But hold your horses , as Bryce Drew’s bottom feeders wont just lay over and die, like some think they will as they are 27-9 SU , including 9-1 SUATS the last ten meetings in this series and must not be underestimated as home dogs . Note:AUBURN is 0-6 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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02-16-19 | Oklahoma +6 v. TCU | 71-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Oklahoma (15-10, 3-9 Big 12) travels to Fort Worth for a Saturday morning showdown with TCU (17-7, 5-6 Big 12). In the recent past these two teams have battled in closely contested affairs. The last three meetings between OU and TCU have been decided by a combined six points with the Sooners escaping with victories in all three and Im betting on a repeat performance here today in this high noon showdown. OU has recorded a 22-4 all-time record vs TCU and has won 14 of the last 17 meetings. OU leads the series 11-3 since the Frogs joined the Big 12 in 2012.Oklahoma is also 9-2 when taking on the Horned  Frogs on the road in Fort Worth. OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.OKLAHOMA is 16-6 ATS  in all games this season. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (OKLAHOMA) - off 3 straight losses against conference rivals, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 69-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on on Oklahoma to cover |
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02-15-19 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State -1 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
The second place Wright State hosts the first place Northern Kentucky Norse to the WSU Nutter Center Friday night.The Raiders, are currently riding a three-game winning streak and have won seven of the last eight. The Raiders are 11-2 overall and 5-1 in league games at home and haven't lost at the Nutter Center since the overtime slip to UIC on Dec. 28. The visiting the Norse won the first meetings between these rivals by a 68-64 count at NKU on Jan. 11. In that game and will be primed for revenge. The Raiders won both meetings last year, 69-67 at home, and 84-81 at Northern. WRIGHT ST is 11-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Nagy is 25-8 ATS in home games in February games in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB underdog (N KENTUCKY) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or more ) against an poor defensive team (45-47.5) are 37-74 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Wright State to cover |
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02-15-19 | Marist +3.5 v. Quinnipiac | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
 Marist has four of the MAAC's top 12 in three-point %: Isaiah Lamb (5th, .421); David Knudsen (7th, .413); Ryan Funk (11th, .390); and Aleksandar Dozic (12th, .385 and can hang with Quinnipac MAAC leading 3 point totals (10.3 per game) CBB  A favorite (QUINNIPIAC) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Friday nights are 46-80 ATS L/5 seasons for go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Marist to cover |
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02-15-19 | Brown v. Cornell | 66-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
 Brown is a team that must be respected when they have revenge on board behind 5-returning-starters in their lineup.Brown ranks second in the Ivy League in scoring offense (75.1 ppg), scoring defense (68.9 ppg) and field goal defense (.414), while leading the league in 3-point FG defense (.301).Last season this group took a couple  of losses vs Cornell and will now be out get some payback, Meanwhile, the Big Red, are  3-9 SU this season vs winning teams like Brown of late and in the past have been a bankroll draining  8-23 ATS in this series . Play on Brown to cover |
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02-15-19 | Fairfield v. Canisius -3.5 | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
After winning a pair of road games last weekend at Rider and Saint Peter's, the GoldenGriffins return home this weekend for a pair of MAAC games on well rested legs. The Griffs beat Fairfield 73-68 earlier this season, and matchup well against them and have the edge here at home in the rematch.  FAIRFIELD is 1-8 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (FAIRFIELD) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 4-58 SU L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11 ppg. Play on Canisius to cover |
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02-14-19 | BYU v. San Diego -3 | 88-82 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
 San Diego is a solid team with 4 returning starters back from last season, and have shown flashes of brilliance this season. With revenge on board for a being knocked out of their conference tourney vs BYU last season they will come here primed to give back some  payback. The  Cougars are a god awful 2-8 ATS in  away games from Provo this season. BYU is 1-7 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.BYU is 1-11 ATS  in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. San Diego to cover |
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02-14-19 | Northern Arizona v. Portland State UNDER 151 | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Portland State has revenge on board for a 82-75 loss back in January to Northern Arizona . In the past PORTLAND ST is 7-1 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent this season with a combined average score of with a combined average of 145.5 ppg. PORTLAND ST is 11-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5. Under is 5-1 in Lumberjacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 Thursday games.Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 vs. Big Sky.Under is 19-7 in Vikings last 26 overall.Under is 8-3 in Vikings last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4 in Vikings last 13 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Portland St..Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER |
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02-14-19 | Thunder v. Pelicans +5 | 122-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Pelicans looked horrendous in a ugly effort vs Oralndo last time out, as the team as a whole stunk out the place as they showed their displeasure in having tp play alongside  super star Anthony Davis , a ego that isn't  really interested in being a part of this group.   Davis himeslef had the second-lowest point total of his seven-year career in games in which he has played 20 or more minutes. He had two points in 20 minutes against Toronto as a rookie.Davis had just three points on 1-of-9 shooting and in 24 minutes of the Pelicans nasty 118-88 home loss to Orlando on Tuesday. However, now after being embarrassed I expect Davis will come out here like his hairs on fire and in effort to keep pace with Westbook and company tonight, and for his teammates at least temporarily come to life behind him in an effort to take down a red hot Oklahoma City team. The Pelicans have covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and my choice getting points tonight. It must be noted that the Pelicans are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a loss in a home game. Donovan is 8-21 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite are 54-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, second half of the season are 45-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on New Orleans to cover |
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02-14-19 | Hornets +3.5 v. Magic | 89-127 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
The Hornets have beaten the Magic 13 times in a row, including six straight at Orlando and Im betting if they lose tonight they won't go down without a fight and actually matchup well vs a Orlando team that despite of playing well at the moment are far from consistent. It must also be noted that the Magic: 1-16 L17 as division home favs and just don't inspire me.The Magic  in their two meetings this season vs Charlotte were horrendous from down beyond the arc going a combined 16-for-66 (24.2 percent) and Im betting their inability to pop and  stop from downtown vs this Hornets group will be their downfall again. Note: ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS  as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 0-10 ATS/1-9 SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals with the only SU win coming by 2 points.  The Magic are 0-11 ATS/SU at home with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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02-14-19 | Flames -135 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Two quality teams that are not playing winning hockey of late go head to head looking to get their proverbial ships up right and floating again. The Flames have lost 3 straight, and the Panthers have lost two straight at home. From a matchup and system vs system power rankings projection that I use the Flames are the superior side in a head to head situation and get the nod. Note: Calgary has scored an average of 3.7 gpg this season, and rank 3rd in the league in offensive output and with the the Panthers struggling to score as was the case in a  3-0 loss to the Dallas Stars last time out, and a 2 game stretch where the Panthers went 0-for-8 with the man advantage their definitely at a disadvantage. CALGARY is 15-8 ATS  in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season. Play on Calgary to win on the money line |
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02-14-19 | Illinois v. Ohio State -8 | 63-56 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
After winning three straight and four of the last five games with a pair of upsets over Top 25 teams Illinois is gaining respect, but the Illini still don't have a true road victory and are  0-6 in visitors role this season. With that said, Im betting Illinois road troubles will continue vs a Ohio State team up trending and  on a 3 game win streak, The Buckeyes took the first game in this series this season by 10 points on the road, and are capable of turning the trick again as -8 chalk as hosts. ILLINOIS is 8-18 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 3 seasons with the point diff clicking in at -10.2 ppg. ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with the average point differential -10.8 ppg. CBB underdog vs. the money line (ILLINOIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 5 points or less against opponent off a close road win by 3 points or less are 0-44 SU L/22 seasons with the average margin loss differential clicking in at -12.2 ppg. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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02-14-19 | Hofstra v. College of Charleston -1 | 99-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
A Valentine's Day showdown between the College of Charleston (20-6, 9-4 CAA) and Hofstra (21-4, 11-1) will showcase the Colonial Athletic Association's schedule today.Charleston has rattled off six-straight victories since its mid-January 0-2 road trip to Northeastern and Hofstra and are playing their very best hoops at home as is evident by a 11-1 mark here, as compared to Hofstras 7-4 road record. CofC is 4-2 lifetime when playing at home in the series and get the nod again. Play on College of Charleston to cover |
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02-13-19 | Arizona State v. Colorado -1.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
Colorado has big time revenge on board tonight for a ugly 83-61 loss at Tempe  last month and will be very motivated to get some payback vs an Arizona State side off an emotional win vs Washington last time out and could easily be in letdown spot. With that said, Im betting a energized group of Buffaloes now playing their best hoops of the season will avenge that previous loss and extend their current 3 game win streak.CU is 7-1 all-time against the Sun Devils in Boulder, including four straight wins. ARIZONA ST is 5-17 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.Hurley is 11-21 ATS  in road games against conference opponents as the coach of ARIZONA ST. ARIZONA ST is 4-13 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 6-0 ATS  in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.COLORADO is 8-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.Boyle is 18-4 ATS  in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 as the coach of COLORADO. Play on Colorado to cover |
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02-13-19 | Kings v. Nuggets -7.5 | 118-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Denver plays its best basketball at home and are 24-4 SU & 20-8 ATS as hosts this season coming into this tilt vs Sacramento. Meanwhile, the Kings while looking very competitive this season do not match up well on the road vs teams that can run and gun with them like Denver can as is evident by the following trend.SACRAMENTO is 1-8 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season with the average point differential -14.3 ppg. Also DENVER is 18-8 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with the average differential of +12.1 ppg. DENVER is 15-2 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins this season (Denver beat Miami 103-87 here in the MileHigh City last time out) The Kings are 0-15 ATS /0-15 SU on the road off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game.The Nuggets are 13-0 ATS/ SU as a home favorite off a win after a game with 8+ lead changes and it is before the All-Star break. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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02-13-19 | Heat +3 v. Mavs | 112-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
 Miami has been struggling of late , but must not be underestimated in their ability to cover or pull off an upset here vs a Dallas team that is highly inconsistent despite of of the accolades it gets from the media for having a rising star in their lineup , Luka Doncic. With this being both teams last game before the all star break I expect a spirited affair that will see getting points to be a golden proposition. MIAMI is 21-9 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.MIAMI is 31-17 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 16-4 ATS in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 31-19 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 19-7 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons and 17-7 ATS on the road in non conference games. Spoelstra is 23-8 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games as the coach of MIAMI.The Heat are 9-0 ATS  on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, in February games are 24-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 45-19 ATS for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami Heat to cover |
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02-13-19 | Heat v. Mavs UNDER 208 | 112-101 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Miami enters this game ranked 3rd in ppg allowed in the NBA behind the 24th ranked pace and 27th ranked offense. Needless to say the Heat play a methodical brand of hoops that has resulted in some lower scoring affairs. Here on the road in their 5th straight road game, Im betting the pesky Heat gear down once again in turn this into a war in the trenches vs their hosts the Mavericks which will result in a lower scoring tilt than the lines-makers might expect. Note: DALLAS is 23-11 UNDER in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score of 201.7 ppg being scored. The Heat are 0-23-2 UNDER as a dog with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the average combined score of 189.2 ppg scored. The Mavericks are 0-18 UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average combined score of 182.2 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DALLAS) - teams with a offensive  output (102  or more PPG) against a  team  that allows(102 or more PPG), after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 34-11 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-13-19 | Grizzlies v. Bulls -1.5 | 110-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls will be motivated to avoid a winless home stand vs a side that they matchup well against when they host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday night.The Grizzlies will be playing on short rest after losing 108-107 to the visiting San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night and now exhausted and in a letdown spot are susceptible to a down effort vs a Chicago side that went 2-0 against the Grizzlies last season, with both wins coming by single digits. The lines-makers once again expect a close game, but my own projections estimate that the Bulls should be 3 point chalk here at home, which give credence to me backing the Bulls in this spot play. Note: Mike Conley's status for this game is questionable as he suffers with a undisclosed illness. MEMPHIS is 4-13 ATS off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.  The Bulls are 18-0 ATS /16-2 SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a loss as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 105-26 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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02-13-19 | Syracuse +3 v. NC State | 58-73 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
 After a fast start to their current campaign that saw them go 13-1 SU NC State with the easiest non conference schedule in the nation has cooled off quite a bit. ,  losing 6 of their L/9 while covering just twice during that time. Considering the series host is just 2-7-1 ATS  I wont be surprised when Boheim and company cover and or pull off the SU upset vs a side that has become very inconsistent. Note:  North Carolina State won the first meeting between the teams under new head coach Kevin Keatts, winning 74-70 in the Carrier Dome last year, and now the visitors will have the extra motivation of looking for payback here. Matchup analysis: North Carolina State full-court defense and transition offense Im betting will have some issues  when they push the tempo vs Syracuse methodical 2-3 zone. The Wolfpack can fight for rebounds in the offensive zone, but  they are one of ACC’s  worst defensive rebounding teams and that's where Im betting they will get in trouble. Play on Syracuse to cover  |
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02-13-19 | St. Louis v. George Washington UNDER 130 | 73-58 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
St. Louis was blown out last time out vs St.Jospehs 91-61 and now Im betting they get back to playing a more solid brand of defence here this Wednesday night vs a George Washington side that averages 64.2 ppg in offence this season. SAINT LOUIS is 6-0 UNDER  in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 114.4 ppg. SAINT LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER  versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots over the last 3 seasons .  784 George Washington /St. Louis UNDER |
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02-12-19 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 226 | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Despite of an explosive offensive lineup, coach Brett Brown's attention is now on defense and preparing for the playoffs. QUOTE: "All I think about is, 'How do you have a defense that can play in the playoffs?'" he said."Right now, the pace of the game made the game a little bit difficult. I think our defense right now is a B- or C+. We're OK. We turn it up; we turn it down. It needs to be better than it is. It's certainly going to have to be better against the Celtics. But the notion of what's the end game, it's always about the playoffs." END QUOTE: Meanwhile, Boston will come in here without Kyrie Irving, which will curtail their offensive abilities, and will make them more focused on playing top tier basketball in an effort to slow their ferocious opponent. Considering the circumstances, and both teams situations, Im expecting a play off type game here that is alot more physical than many might expect and as a result a much lower scoring game than the linesmakers might also expect. BOSTON is 10-0 UNDER in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 206.9 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games after a combined score of 245 points or more with a combined average score of 198.3 ppg . ( They beat the Lakers 143-120 last time out, setting off Brown on his defensive speech above) Play UNDER |
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02-12-19 | Magic v. Pelicans -4.5 | 118-88 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Orlando is playing decently and have won their first two games of their current 3 game road trip and 3 in a row, but are still a team that is far from being considered a upper tier team, and not a group that have proven long term consistent upward trajectory status. Meanwhile, their hosts tonight the Pelicans, are off a loss last time out, to the Grizzlies, in a ugly game (99-90), on the 10th of Feb, but should now be well rested and ready to rebound, as they become acclimated to having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup. Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. The Magic are 0-16 ATS/SU with rest off a win when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 6 refereed turnovers per game. Magic are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover |
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02-12-19 | Capitals +136 v. Blue Jackets | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Washington Capitals will be motivated to put more distance between themselves and a Columbus Blue Jackets team that has lost 3 straight at home . The Capitals who are ahead of the Jackets in the Metropolitan Division will be primed for payback for a 2-1 home loss they suffered back in early January in this series. Note: Washington has won 4 straight on the road and the underdog cashing 4 straight times in this series and get the nod again. WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals this season. COLUMBUS is 0-5 ATS in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games this season. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline |
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02-12-19 | St Bonaventure +1.5 v. St. Joe's | 76-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Up-trending St. Bonaventure travels to Philadelphia looking for a sweep of this year's series with Saint Joseph's Tuesday night.St. Bonaventure has won its last three Atlantic 10 road games, winning at UMass, Richmond and Duquesne.St. Bonaventure dominated St.Josephs in the first game and led from start to finish by a final score of 73, 47. Now St.Josephs is being made home favs here. While they might want revenge, St.Josephs looks like they don't matchup well vs this current group of Bonnies and in my opinion false favorites. The Bonnies have won the last nine of the last 10 meetings and get the nod again.  .ST BONAVENTURE is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons CBB underdog (ST BONAVENTURE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 62-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Bonaventure to cover |
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02-12-19 | Purdue v. Maryland | 56-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Purdue currently on a 8 game win streak held Maryland to 28.6 percent shooting in second half of 62-60 win on Dec. 6. That matchup showed me how well the Boilermakers matchup against Maryland and gives me credence backing them to win and cover here tonight on the road in the rematch . Also since that victory All of the data shows 12th-ranked Purdue is a different team than when its Dec. 6 win over Maryland and could be even more ferocious this time around. Purdue has won the last 5 meetings in this series. Note: Maryland has not scored more than 70 points in over a month which is not a good omen vs a  Purdue side that is ranked fourth nationally in offensive efficiency. Maryland is ranked last in the Big 10 in turnover diff. Purdue has won three straight Big Ten road games by a combined 25 points. PURDUE is 11-3 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons.( Maryland is ranked No.1 in Big 10 rebounding margin at 8.9 pg) Play on Purdue to cover |
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02-11-19 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1 v. Alabama A&M | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling but according to my power rankings and system vs system data, the visitors are actually the superior team on a short line. My personal line for this game makes the wrong team the favorite in this spot play. Play on Arkansas Pine Bluff to cover |
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02-11-19 | Bucks v. Bulls +10.5 | 112-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
 Milwaukee's star player Giannis Antetokounmpo is suffering with some knee pain, and despite of being expected to play tonight is less than 100%. The last time out the Bucks struggled in a home loss to the Orlando Magic and blamed it on tired legs. Well Im sure that was true, but another truth is that the Bucks have come at opponents relentlessly this season and are not pacing themselves and I wont be surprised if that comes back to haunt them again tonight. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Bulls are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after scoring 90 points or less are just 7-26 L/5seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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02-11-19 | Mavs v. Rockets -10 | 104-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
The Mavs  are exhausted after a tenacious come from behind win vs Portland last night  which is not a good omen vs a Houston side hell bent on revenge for a earlier loss to the Mavericks this season. It must be noted that the Mavericks have lost 10 straight games when playing without rest against same-season avenging side and are just 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS as a road dog without rest after facing the Blazers. With that said, a combination and exhaustion and revenge will be the key us getting the cover here laying DDs. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover  |
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02-11-19 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
 With Kevin Love back from injury and Brandon Knight now in the Cleveland lineup theirs alot more offensive firepower on the floor for the Cavs and Im betting that will show here tonight against the Knicks on the scoreboard. The Knicks also have a little more fire power with DeAndre Jordan now here after being traded and the top tier play of the young Mitchell who is averaging 13 ppg via 76.2 % shooting conversion rate in just 20.3 minutes over his last three games. With the Knicks desperate to end a 16 game losing streak, Im betting they come out here spitting bullets, and Im betting Cleveland reciprocates with some offensive fire works of their own in a game I have pegged to eclipse this number which isn't reflective of the current rosters. Fizdale is 23-9 OVER in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 213.1 ppg scored. Over is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - off a home loss, a terrible team (25% or less) playing a team with a losing record are 48-16 OVER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the OVER |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina +2 | 69-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Roy Williams North Carolina's  owns an explosive offence that can hang with Virginias offence and also give hem issues defensively, much like Duke proved last Saturday when they took out Cavs in front of their own fans. Here on the road, vs the Tar Heels, an emotionally spent  Cavaliers will once again find themselves in trouble in a very unfriendly atmosphere. Add to that  the Tar Heels have revenge on board for a 71-63 loss to Virginia in the 2018 ACC Championship game and  Im betting you have a recipe for the Cavs suffering their second consecutive loss. Home team is 10--1 ATS L/11 meetings in this series. N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is 10-1 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. NC is  18-1 SU as a host i in this series when they own a win percentage of .666 or greater. N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons. Play North Carolina to cover |
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02-10-19 | Heat +14.5 v. Warriors | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Im betting on Miami hanging tough here vs this explosive Golden State team, based on my power ranking projections. There is value on this underdog line and we must always follow long term edges, win or lose. Look for Hassan WhiteSide who has recorded a double-double in each of the last four games and is shooting 67.3 percent from the floor in these tilts to be a key factor here tonight in making this alot more physical than the Warriors would like.  MIAMI is 32-17 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. MIAMI is 16-5 ATS in road games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 8-0 ATS  after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. HC Spoelstra is 41-25 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game as the coach of MIAMI. The Heat are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 as a dog with less than two days rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 1-13-1 ATS at home off a win as a favorite facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game.The Warriors are 0-9-1 ATSL/10 as a home 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ win in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5. Play on Miami to cover |
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02-10-19 | Stanford v. Oregon -6 | 46-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Stanford  currently on a three game win streak earned a 35-point win (96-61) at Maples Pavilion in the lone meeting last season and you can bet Altman and company have had this game circled on their calendars for a while and will be prepared to return the favour in front of their own fans . Im betting Oregon winners of 3 of their L/4 overall get their revenge and cover according to my own projections that suggest the Ducks are being under valued as favs.  My line is  -8 points favouring Oregon on their own home floor. Under coach Dana Altman, Oregon has a 52-21 record (.712) during the second half of Pac-12 play. STANFORD is 0-6 ATS  off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.OREGON is 10-0 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Play on Oregon to cover |
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02-10-19 | Magic v. Hawks UNDER 224 | 124-108 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
These teams both played last night and this will be the Hawks 4th game in 5 nights, and the Magics 4th game in 6 nights. Needless to say both sides should show some factors of fatigue here this evening, and will not be ready to run and gun. This Im betting results in a lower scoring game than the lines makers expect. ATLANTA is 19-6 UNDER L/25 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite with the combined average score of 205 ppg scored. ( Orlando beat Atlanta on Jan 21 this season) The Hawks are 0-16 UNDER L/16 with no rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game with a combined average of 192.1 ppg scored.The Magic are 0-11-1 L/12 UNDER L/12 as a favorite off a game as a dog facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws and it is before the All-Star break with a. combined average of 198.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-10-19 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa | 79-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Northwestern enters this game having limited opponents to shooting just 29.1 percent from beyond the arc this season, the best mark in the conference and 12th best nationally. Iowa their Big 10 hosts tonight have made 37.3% of their three-point attempts and has attempted the fourth-most threes in the conference. This Im betting will be key to Northwestern staying close vs Hawkeyes' big town town game. My own projections estimate that Northwestern will score 67+ points or more, whihc sets up well for us covering, as NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. CBB underdog (NORTHWESTERN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse are 61-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northwestern to cover |
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02-10-19 | Lakers +7 v. 76ers | 120-143 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
 The Lakers looked good in a win vs the Boston Celtics 3 days ago as underdogs, and now with some momentum on their sides, Im betting Philadelphia will have to play hard to take the Lakers out here , especially if key player Joel Embiid does not play because of illness. Thus getting points here with the Lakers is a viable opportunity to cash a ticket. Add to that the Lakers have revenge on board for a loss they suffered in LA 121-105, and we have a nice revenge situation to bet into.  The Lakers are 12-0 ATS L/12 off a game as a dog in which their opponent made at least 10 more free throws and are are 11-0 ATS on the road with rest off a win as a road dog after scoring 15+ points more than Vegas projected. The Seventysixers are 1-14 ATS L/15 with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had more than 10 refereed turnovers. LA LAKERS are 8-1 ATS in road games after allowing 120 points or more this season LA LAKERS are 15-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. PHILADELPHIA is 11-20 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free or less throws/game this season.PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Underdogs (LA LAKERS) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 153-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers to cover |
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02-10-19 | Maryland-Baltimore County -2 v. Maine | 67-66 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
 The UMBC  (14-10, 6-3 America East) looks for its third consecutive road win in America East when they  go against the inconsistent Maine Black Bears (5-19, 3-6) this Sunday. UMBC had a 5 game losing streak come to end last time out, but will be very ready to rebound here today, behind a solid D, that leads the league in scoring defense at 63.3 points per game.UMBC has won nine consecutive games in the series and are 5-0 at Maine since the 2014 season and get the nod again. Maryland Baltimore to cover |
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02-09-19 | Washington v. Arizona State -1 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
I know the Sun Devils  might not look like a viable choice for public bettors to beat a team on 12 game win streak. But it must be noted that Arizona State is one of the few teams  that can handle a  2-3 zone defense like Washington owns. Also the Huskies after a hard fought win vs Arizona last time out on the road will now have a hard time rising to the occasion again, and may actually be emotionally drained against a reved up team ready to play hard and garner an upset. ASU tenacious ball snatching work will go a long way to them getting us the win here. The Sun Devils are  the Pac-12 leader in rebounding margin (+6.6), has outrebounded 18 of 22 opponents this year. ARIZONA ST is 7-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 2 seasons and is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Arizona State to cover |
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02-09-19 | Thunder v. Rockets -2 | 117-112 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
These two teams are evenly matched according to my power rankings but , home court advantage favours Houston to pull this one out vs the Thunder making it 7 wins in their L/8 tries at home in this series. OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-17 ATS  in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 1-10 ATS/SU with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game when the line is at least 10 points higher than their last game. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive road wins, on Saturday games are 25-3 L/22 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 120 points or more are 14-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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02-09-19 | Wizards v. Bulls +2.5 | 134-125 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
 The Bulls carry the momentum of their impressive effort vs Brooklyn last night notching a 125-106 win. Newly acquired  Porter shot 7-for-9 overall and 4-for-5 on 3-pointers, helping the Bulls convert 50.0 percent of their 28 attempts from three point land. Porter got the start alongside Lauri Markkanen in both looked to mesh well together as does Guard Zach LaVine. This group looks to have chemistry and must be respected here as dogs tonight vs a poor travelling Washington team that have lost 21 of 28 road games. The Bulls won 101-92 at Washington in December in the clubs' only previous meeting this season. The win was the Chicago's second straight over Washington and a third straight win is not out of the question tonight. Washington also won last night in a 119-106 victory vs Cleveland, but are just 1-12 ATS in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season and is 0-12 ATS (in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. WASHINGTON is 6-21 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. CHICAGO is 20-9 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  The Bulls are 20-3 ATS L/23 when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.The Wizards are 4-23 ATS/SU on the road facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) - poor foul drawing team - attempting 24 . or less free throws/game, poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% . or better on the season are 84-129  over the last 5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Bulls to cover |
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02-09-19 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
There was a vibe around the Pelicans last night against the Minnesota Wolves that was not a positive one despite of team winning. It seems to me , that this group isn't thrilled about having super star Anthony Davis back in the lineup. Yes, they pulled off the victory but , it seemed like their was a real awkward adjustment having the self centered star back in the lineup , knowing that he doesnt want to be there, making them fade material tonight vs a much hungrier Grizzlies team with a more positive vibe after some players were traded .Coach Alvin Gentry didn't play Davis in the final 15-plus minutes even though Minnesota made it a one-possession game several times while Davis sat. The Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS/SU at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a road game after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break.The Pelicans are 0-8 ATS/SU on the road with no rest when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. NBA team (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are 35-80 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - vs. division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more are 39-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Memphis to cover |
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