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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-06-22 | Coppin State v. NC State UNDER 157.5 | 72-94 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Keatts is 13-5 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of NC STATE with a combined average of 139.7 ppg. Dixon is 24-12 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game as the coach of COPPIN ST with a combined average of 139.6 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (NC STATE) - off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, on Tuesday nights are 28-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with a combined average of 130.5 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (COPPIN ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 77-33 L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-06-22 | Illinois +3 v. Texas | 85-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Madison Square Garden - New York, NY Illinois is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams. Illinois has 10 wins over top-10 teams since 2019-20, second-most in the NCAA behind Baylor (12). Illinois is the winningest team in the Big Ten over the last three seasons, registering a 44-17 mark in league play. In this matchup vs Texas it must be noted that the Illini schedule to date has seen them play tougher competition, and because their battle tested will have in advantage in a game I have lined as a pickem. Texas' strength of schedule is 304th, according to KenPom. Texas is decent at protecting shots from beyond the arc but this Illini side can sink the trey with a high degree of efficiency , with 36.6% of their scoring having come from downtown. Ive watched the Longhorns struggle at times with deep shooters, and despite of their talent may find themselves over whelmed in this spot. Underwood is 44-28 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game as the coach of ILLINOIS. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS  versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.TEXAS is 4-14 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Illinois to cover |
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12-05-22 | Pacers +10 v. Warriors | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
The Pacers looked lifeless last night in their 2nd straight loss but they have proven resilient in the recent past cashing 19 of their L/26 games ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest.Pacers are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of playing well, are just 3-7 ATS off a win and just 2-5 ATS after a SU win of 10 or more points. The Pacers have covered 4 of their L.5 trips to Golden State and have covered 4 of the L/5 meetings overall. Im betting on a competitive effort from the Pacers in redemption mode . NBA Road teams (INDIANA) - struggling defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after 2 straight blowout losses by 15 points or more are 28-8 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Pacers to cover |
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12-05-22 | Kent State +16 v. Gonzaga | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Kent State Flashes have won five of their eight games by 20+ points, and are 1-1 on the road and deserve respect here despite of the top tier Gonzaga program they are facing. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are coming off a heart breaking 64-63 loss against No. 6 Baylor in the first Peacock Classic in Sioux Falls, S.D and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot vs a under rated foe KENT ST is 15-2 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. KENT ST is 7-0 ATS in non-conference games this season GONZAGA is 22-38 ATS L/60 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS after playing a game as favorite this season which they were against Baylor last time out. Kent State to cover |
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12-05-22 | Suns +3.5 v. Mavs | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns have owned the regular-season matches with Dallas over the last three-plus seasons, but in last years play offs against the Mavericks they were blasted in the final two games of that series and fell flat on their faces. You can bet that the Suns will be in redemption mode tonight and breathing fire in all out effort to get back some lost respect. Both sides are also operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt as Phoenix has won seven of its last eight games while the Mavericks have victories  in just two of their last seven tilts. With that said motivation and form rest with the visitors getting points.
Williams is 24-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of PHOENIX. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover |
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12-05-22 | Bucks v. Magic OVER 225 | 109-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Orlando has allowed an average of 116.1 ppg at home this season and rank 27th in the league in defensive efficiency and Im betting the visiting Milwaukee Bucks will breach that output here today and for the Magic in chasing fashion to put up enough points for us to cash an over ticket. MILWAUKEE in 25 road tilts  versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons a combined average score of 226.1 ppg have gone on the scoreboard. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.  NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 25-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 239.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-05-22 | Avalanche v. Flyers UNDER 6 | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Colorado has seen 9 of their L11 games stay on the low side of the total, while Philadelphia has failed to eclipse 5 of their L/6 totals offerings. Im betting on these trends continuing to favor the under based on matchup projections. Under is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-1-1 in Avalanche last 7 road games. Under is 4-0-2 in Flyers last 6 vs. Central. Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 home games. COLORADO is 8-2 UNDER against struggling power play killing teams-opp score on 19% or more of chances this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team in the first half of the season are 46-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 47-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-04-22 | Colts +10.5 v. Cowboys | 19-54 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are running hot, but Im going to take a contrarian stance here tonight and back Indianapolis to cover the line. I know the Colts disappointed last week in a loss as favorites but they have proven resilient in the past off that type of loss winning 11 of their L/13 opportunities for redemption. NDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return over the last 3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons. DALLAS is 0-6 ATS in home games after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Dallas’ owns a sub par 9-17 SU and 7-17-2 ATS record against non-division opposition in prime time Sunday Night affairs. The Cowboys own a 0-5 ATS record as  chalk of more than 7 points when coming off a Thanksgiving day game . Meanwhile, the The Colts owns a powerful  8-1 ATS records before their Bye week, which is up next a are 7-1 ATS  in non-conference road tilts . Play on Indianapolis Colts to cover |
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12-04-22 | Northwestern v. Michigan State OVER 126.5 | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections estimate a Total that should be closer to 132 thus giving us value with an over wager here as we have a more than two possession edge based on my numbers. NORTHWESTERN is 10-0 OVER L/10 off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite with a combined average of 129 ppg scored. MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 OVER after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.5 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (MICHIGAN ST) - excellent ball handling team - committing 12 or less turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers are 50-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate with a combined average of 132.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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12-04-22 | Lakers v. Wizards -2.5 | 130-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
The Lakers have played decent ball of late winning 7 of their L/9 including an upset of the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. Now though in an emotional letdown spot the Lakers are vulnerable to a side that has played their best hoops at home this season as is evident by winning 8 of 12 tilts as hosts. LA LAKERS are 2-11 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. NBA team (WASHINGTON) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 35-9 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Washington. Play on Washington to cover |
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12-04-22 | Chiefs -1.5 v. Bengals | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
The Chiefs have big time revenge on board for their AFC championship game loss last season, to this Cincinnati side. Im betting they get their redemption behind the arm and legs of super star QB Patrick Mahomes who is  26-0 in his last 26 starts in November and December.  Play on KC Chiefs to cover |
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12-04-22 | Seahawks v. Rams +7 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 45 h 24 m | Show | |
I know the defending Super Bowl champions the LA Rams are banged up and not in top form , but this is just to many points for the Seahawks to cover in my humble opinion on the road , giving us value with the undervalued home underdog. SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS in road games off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. Carroll is 18-33 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less in all games he has coached since 1992. Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 13. Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December. NFL Favorites (SEATTLE) - good rushing team - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game are just 67-119 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rams to cover |
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12-04-22 | Ducks v. Jets -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
The Ducks have allowed a league-high 106 non-shootout goals, an average of 37.8 shots on goal and are mired in an 0-3-2 rut overall. The Ducks are mired in an 0-4-2 skid on the road, and are fade material in their current form. Meanwhile, Winnipeg after 3 straight wins lost last time out in front of their own fans, and were embarrassed in the process losing by a 4-1 count to Columbus where the team looked lifeless. Quote: "That's just not our team," Jets coach Rick Bowness said."Every game is important. We set the standard of how we're going to play regardless of who we play. And, as I told (the team), it's on every individual to look at yourself first." END QUOTE: With that said, Im betting on a big bounce back effort today by the Jets in a full game effort which gives us a quality wagering opportunity on the puckline.WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. ANAHEIM is 0-11 ATS in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season. ANAHEIM is 1-12 ATS in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season. Play on Winnipeg to win -1.5 puckline |
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12-04-22 | Monmouth +6.5 v. Manhattan | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Monmouth is playing its seventh road game in its first nine contests and have til now been unable to grab a victory. Because of their lack of Ws we are getting an advantageous line to bet into as the matchup is closer than this number would indicate according to my projections and power rankings. MONMOUTH is 9-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Monmouth is 3-0 SU/ATS L/3 visits here and have eight consecutive victories in this series. Play on MONMOUTH to cover |
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12-04-22 | George Washington +1.5 v. Radford | 76-86 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. George Washington is off a big win vs South Carolina last time out and are now forming into a cohesive unit. GW has held New Hampshire and South Carolina to an average of 54.5 points per game and 31.8% shooting over the last two games and their ability to play disciplined transitional ball will Im betting be a key to them covering today vs Radford. The home side did have a big offensive effort last time out, 80-78 win but now a major offensive regression is on board. Note:RADFORD is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games after scoring 80 points or more. GW has held its opponent below 40% shooting in four of its seven games. CBB Home underdogs vs. the money line (RADFORD) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 39-143 L/26 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on George Washington to cover Play on George Washington to cover |
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12-04-22 | Jets +3 v. Vikings | 22-27 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 35 m | Show | |
 The Jets have pivoted from QB Zach Wilson to Mike White and Im betting that will be a beneficial move . The Jets right now if the season ended would be in the play offs and are very motivated to get some upward momentum. It must be noted in two career starts, White owns passer ratings of 149.3 and 101.1 in his first and only other start last season. Interestingly enough the Jets had eclipsed the 30 point -plateau and 450 Total Yards in the last four seasons just 3 times and guess who was the starting QB in those games, you got it - White. So this week against a Vikings side that has lost the stats battles in 3 straight games, the Jets must not be underestimated in this ability to cash a ticket for us. NY JETS are 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season.NY JETS are 6-0 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game over the last 2 seasons. NFL Underdogs or pick (NY JETS) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NFLHome favorites (MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (1.25 or less turnovers/game committed), after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. NY Jets to cover |
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12-03-22 | Hurricanes v. Kings UNDER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
Carolina thanks to a strong defensive style game, have seen 10 of their L/13 games stay ont he low side of the total. Here on the road on tired legs Im expecting a very conservative transitional game plan that will help keep this score on the low side of the offered total. CAROLINA is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) in road games against poor starting goalies - saving 89.5% or less of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 gpg .Â
Under is 10-2 in Hurricanes last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Hurricanes last 10 overall.Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games following a win.Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 Saturday games.Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Hurricanes last 8 road games. Under is 4-1-1 in Kings last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 103-48 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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12-03-22 | St. Mary's v. Houston OVER 118.5 | 48-53 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Dickies Arena - Fort Worth, TX  My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Houston can run and gun and play solid D. We know St.Marys will try to grind this game down to halt in order to be competitive, but Houston will dictate the pace and not allow the Gaels to get into a comfort zone forcing them to open up or be completely embarrassed. This Im betting leads to a higher scoring affair than the linesmkaers are expecting. HOUSTON in their L/11 as a neutral court favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 128.4 ppg .HOUSTON is 7-0 OVER in road games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less since 1997 with a combined average of 143.5 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (HOUSTON) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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12-03-22 | Bucks -6 v. Hornets | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Bucks were upset by the Lakers last time out, but wil now be in bounce back mode and here and ready for redemption vs a Charlotte side that has lost 12 of their L/16 games overall and are sub .500 home side as is evident by a 4-6 record as hosts. MILWAUKEE is 23-10 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average pgg diff clicking in at +8.5.  Budenholzer is 55-34 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.4. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 31-6 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86'% conversion rate. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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12-03-22 | Kings v. Clippers -1.5 | 123-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Whether George or Leonard take to the court for the Clippers Im betting they still hold an advantage here at home. This Clippers side is constantly being under rated and underestimated when their super stars are out of the lineup but they have still proven resilient on many occasions thanks to team chemistry and top tier coaching and overall work ethic. Yes, the Kings have played great ball at times this season, but are still inconsistent as is evident by losing 3 of their L/4 .  NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or better) against an sub par defensive team (47% or better), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.7 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are n13-33 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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12-03-22 | LSU v. Georgia UNDER 52.5 | 30-50 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
SEC Championship Game - Mercedes-Benz Stadium - Atlanta, GA This total has steamed up by almost 5 points since opening and now that it's been over done Ill come back and take a contrarian stance and hit the under offering. Georgia has allowed 12.4 ppg on the road this season.The Dawgs have allowed 20 or less points in their L/7 games.( 10, 0, 20, 13, 19, 6, 14) Im betting Georgia will not allow more than 17 this week, while my own projections estimate a 31 point offensive output . GEORGIA is 6-0 UNDER when they score 29 to 35 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42.8 ppg scored. Kelly is 16-6 UNDER in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average of 49.9 ppg scored. GEORGIA is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 47.4 ppg scored. CFB  Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (LSU) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 35-8 UNDER L/30 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. CFB  team against the total (GEORGIA) - outrushing their opponents by 1.75 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 5 straight games are 44-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate with a combined average of 46.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-03-22 | Fresno State v. Boise State -3 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 49 m | Show | |
MW Championship Game Boise State took out Fresno State 40-20 earlier this season, and Im betting the Bulldogs will not have a big enough turn around to get the revenge win in the rematch. Boise is 11-1 SU L/12 at home this series and have won 5 of 6 home games . Home field advantage will prevail once again. BOISE ST is 33-17 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. Tedford is 14-28 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992.  CFB home team vs. the money line (BOISE ST) - with an excellent defense - allowing 285 or less total yards/game, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 29-2 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18.7. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (FRESNO ST) - revenging a road loss against opponent by 14 points or more, off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 13-38 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boise State to cover |
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12-03-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane -160 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 55 h 49 m | Show | |
From time to time I will lay a little lumber with a certain gridiron moneyline opportunity, and Tulane is my choice here this week .Home favorites vs. the money line (TULANE) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, a top-level team (80%)or better playing a team with a winning record are 33-1 L/5 seasons. Tulane has proved to me their the real deal after last weeks road victory vs Cincinnati. I know UCF is a top tier side, and beat Tulane the last time they visited here a few weeks ago 38-31. But now Im betting on a revenge scenario bounce back effort by the Green Wave in this championship game to be golden. Play on Tulane to win |
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12-03-22 | Indiana v. Rutgers +4 | 48-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. I know the Hoosiers are  are 7-0 but 5 of those victories have come vs KenPom sub-250 teams. Here against an aggressive and pestering D, getting a victory will not come easily .  Not an easy place to play in for visitors. Steve Pikiell as a Home Underdog since 2018 owns a 11-1 ATS mark. RUTGERS is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 2-16 ATS in road games off 3 or more consecutive home wins since 1997. Play on Rutgers to cover |
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12-03-22 | Coastal Carolina v. Troy -8.5 | 26-45 | Win | 100 | 55 h 43 m | Show | |
Ive made Troy -10 advantage favs here according to my own personal projection sheets. Thus laying this number makes for a viable wager. TROY is 7-1 ATS  against conference opponents this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.3 ppg. Note: Coastal Carolina is expected to play without starting QB Grayson McCall. His replacement QB Jarrett Guest has not shown much going 18-of-42 (42.9%) for 270 yards, 1 TD and 4 INTs in conference and here vs an extremely strong Trojans D, more struggles should be expected. CFB home team (TROY) - off a road blowout win by 28 points or more, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 30-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Troy to cover |
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12-03-22 | Tenn-Martin v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 150.5 | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Two teams with capable run and gun offense go head to head here this Saturday. . UNC Ashville has averaged 83.5 ppg in 2 home tilts so far this season while Tenn Martin averages 81 points per game overall while allowing 78 ppg on the road. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENN-MARTIN) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 28-4 L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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12-02-22 | Bulls v. Warriors -7 | 111-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
This will be the Bulls 5th straight road game, and now on tired legs are vulnerable to being beat up on by the explosive Golden State Warriors. Meanwhile, Golden state is 9-1 SU at home this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11 points, so the lines-makers are not asking to much here with the favorite. The two most recent meetings in this series saw the Warriors win by margins of 44 points and 26 points. Bulls are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings. CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Kerr is 20-8 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 5 or more as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.Kerr is 33-19 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover |
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12-02-22 | Illinois v. Maryland -1 | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. This is Illinois first true road game, and despite of playing lights out ball so far this season, are at a disadvantage as visitors tonight as the Terps are just as big and physical as the road side and just as defensively disciplined. It must be noted that Illinois has impressed with their downtown shooting, but Maryland ranks 25th defensively vs the trey and must be respected with the home crowd behind them. ILLINOIS is 4-14 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 season. MARYLAND is 28-14 ATS L/42 in home games vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game. ILLINOIS is 1-8 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Underwood is 8-19 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better as the coach of ILLINOIS. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARYLAND) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 41-13 ATS ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Maryland to cover |
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12-02-22 | Utah +3 v. USC | 47-24 | Win | 100 | 63 h 2 m | Show | |
Since these teams have met earlier this season, the Utes D has become more physical and has come together and currently showing alot of chemistry. Im betting the Utes physicality and grit will be the difference maker in the rematch.Entering the Pac-12 Championship game, Utah leads the Pac-12 in third down and fourth down defense, first downs defense, passing defense, rushing defense, scoring defense, total defense and time of possession.  It must be noted that on the season the Utes have the PPG differential advantage , winning by +19.3 as compared to USC’s +16.2 ppg diff average. •   The Utes are averaging 39.4 points per game, ranking 10th nationally. Utah is the only team in the Pac-12 that ranks in the top-20 nationally in both scoring offense and defense, ranking 10th and 19th.   In the last three games, Utah has been averaging 67.3 yards per scoring drive while averaging 51.4 in the previous nine games. Utah is averaging 26.4 first downs per game while holding opponents to 15.5, ranking fourth in first down offense and 11th in first downs defense in the FBS.  Note:Extending plays is Utah's specialty this season, ranking eighth in the FBS in third down conversions (.503)Utah ranks fifth in both sacks allowed and tackles for loss allowed per game in the country. UTAH is 22-10 ATS L/32 in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better. )  UTAH is 22-7 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. USC is 7-18 ATS in December games since 1992. CFB  team (USC) - excellent offensive team (6.2 or more YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play 2 consecutive games are 11-39 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CFB  team (UTAH) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a poor rushing defense (4.3 to 4.8 YPR) after 7+ games, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game are 34-13 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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12-02-22 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Hawks | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Denver has won 4 straight games with the last 3 victories coming by DDs and are currently playing at a very high level and deserve respect here as short road favs. Meanwhile, Atlanta has lost 3 of their L/4 and 4 of their L/6 and have failed to cover 6 of their L/8 tilts overall. I know the Hawks won their last time out, but that was against very inconsistent Orlando side. Note:  Home underdogs vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half (which was the case vs the Magic) are just 38-118 SU L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -5 easily qualifying on this ATS offering. Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. ATLANTA is 12-24 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Denver to cover |
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12-02-22 | North Texas v. UTSA UNDER 70 | 27-48 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
C-USA Championship Game North Texas has allowed 17 or less points in 3 of their L/4 games and are capable of staling the Roadrunners offense. Meanwhile, UTSA has allowed 7 points exact in two of their L/3. With this being a championship game, Im betting the action will not be as wide open as reg season action, and a more chess like game will be played. Im not saying is will be a defensive sleeper, but I am betting the final score will not top this steamed up offering. UTSA is 7-0 UNDER  sub par defensive teams - allowing 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 49.8 ppg scored. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 70 (UTSA) - off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season are 25-3 UNDER L/31 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 62.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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12-02-22 | Towson v. Long Island +17.5 | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. LONG ISLAND is 6-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. CBB road team (TOWSON ST) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a losing record are 2-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Long Island to cover |
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12-02-22 | South Dakota State +8 v. Kent State | 68-83 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  S DAKOTA ST is 33-18 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game . CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (KENT ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 6-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. South Dakota State to cover |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 43.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
 BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER as a road favorite this season with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. But with this prime time game registering like a play off affair Im betting on an even lower combined score in what Im betting will be a grinding affair. New England's consistency on offense is something that aids us tonight with this wager. They do not rank in the top half of the league in any statistical category. The Pats had some production last week vs the Vikings defense that ranks 31st in the league and dead last against the pass. But that wont be the case here vs a Buffalo D, that despite of inconsistencies is ready and capable of standing tall here tonight. Yes, last weeks Buffalos D failed it, but they will be primed for a complete game bounce back. Last week, Detroit offensive coordinator Ben Johnson used a lot of pre-snap motion and formations to generate one-on-one matchups, but the Pats are not capable of this with this current group . NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO) - versus division opponents, off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite are 27-5 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate with the average combined score clicking in at 37.3 ppg going on the board. NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NEW ENGLAND) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season are 61-24 UNDER L/39 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 41.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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12-01-22 | Mavs v. Pistons OVER 221.5 | 125-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
With top player Cade Cunningham sidelined due to a shin injury, the Pistons are finding it difficult to stay competitive, and tonight the Mavericks knowing how vulnerable their opponents are will be very aggressive especially on offense. This Im betting leads to a fairly wide open affair, that easily eclipses this total. Note: Detroit ranks 29th in the league in ppg allowed defense and 29th in defensive efficiency. Over is 12-5 in Mavericks last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. DETROIT is 13-4 OVER in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 228.9 ppg scored. Over is 8-3-1 in Pistons last 12 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG), after allowing 130 points or more are 45-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with a combined average score of 234.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (DALLAS) - after one or more consecutive overs, a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) against a poor defensive team (114-118 PPG).are 72-34 L/26 seasons for a 68% conversion rate with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 230.4 ppg. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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12-01-22 | Avalanche v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Colorado was beaten up on by the Winnipeg Jets last time out by a 5-0 count. Now awake and in redemption mode I expect a shutdown performance from the road side tonight which will result in a lower scoring affair.COLORADO is 13-4 L/17 UNDER in road games after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more in their previous game with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. COLORADO is 7-1 UNDER against good offensive teams like Buffalo- 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17%or better pp this season. Under is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-0 in Avalanche last 5 road games.Under is 7-1 in Avalanche last 8 overall.Under is 5-1 in Avalanche last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Avalanche last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 10-3 in Avalanche last 13 Thursday games. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 32-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-01-22 | Youngstown State v. Northern Kentucky OVER 141.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My totals projection is 144 on this total thus giving us a full one possession edge on the number. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-2 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 144.4 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 15-4 OVER L/19 as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick with s combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 9-1 OVER in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. YOUNGSTOWN ST is 8-1 OVER after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board. Over is 4-0 in Penguins last 4 games following a ATS win.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 overall.Over is 6-1 in Penguins last 7 games following a straight up win.Over is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 road games.Over is 4-1-1 in Penguins last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Over is 5-1 in Norse last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 9-2 in Norse last 11 Thursday games. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (N KENTUCKY) - off a home win scoring 85 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 39-11 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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11-30-22 | New Mexico v. St. Mary's OVER 136 | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. NEW MEXICO is 6-0 OVER in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 165.5 ppg.  NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 199 with a combined average of 145.3 ppg. scored. NEW MEXICO is 9-1 OVER after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite since 1997 with a combined average of 140.1 ppg.  CBB Road teams against the total (NEW MEXICO) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in a non-conference game between two teams from second tier division 1-A conferences are 25-5 OVER L/26 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 147.1 ppg scored. Play over |
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11-30-22 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 225.5 | 112-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
My owns projections estimate a combined score of 227 plus points , which gives us value on this offering .Utah averages  116.7 (4th of 30) while allowing  115.5 (22nd of 30). Meanwhile, the Clippers are essentially on the other side of the spectrum offensively and defensively, but as they showed us last night are reving up offensively and off a 118 output while allowing 112 points in a victory vs the Blazers. On tired legs tonight the Clippers in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City wont have the energy needed to play strong D, and this Im betting helps this combined score eclipse this offering. Over is 5-1-1 in Clippers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 31-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 235.8 ppg scored. NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - good free throw shooting team (76-79%) against an average free throw shooting team (72-76%), hot shooting team - 4 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 22-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Play OVER |
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11-30-22 | St. Joe's v. Pennsylvania -4.5 | 85-80 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
 My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. St.Josephs have lost two straight by DDs, while Penn has won 4 straight and the last 3 by DDs. Im betting on both these trends continuing here today and are chosen side to cover. PENNSYLVANIA is 9-1 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. PENNSYLVANIA is 6-0 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team vs. the money line (ST JOSEPHS) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted |
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11-30-22 | Bucks -5 v. Knicks | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Knicks took down the Pistons, last night  but now on tired legs as they now play back-to-back set vs the Milwaukee Bucks . This wont be as easy a task as playing a short handed squad yesterday. . The /bucks are currently in top form and off strong wins vs the Cavaliers and Mavericks and Im betting the magick of 3 is in play tonight. NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS  in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-21 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NEW YORK is 5-17 ATS  in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Thibodeau is 2-11 ATS in home games in November games as the coach of NEW YORK. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 33% or less of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game are 6-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win/cover |
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11-30-22 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
 Sharks goaltender Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 28 shots in Montreal to earn his third career shutout last time out but Im betting he wont be as lucky or good here tonight. Kahkonen has a 3-5-2 record with an .884 save percentage. The Sharks won for just the second time in their past seven games (2-4-1) and are at a disadvantage in this road game vs a Leafs side that has won 4 straight games and 5 of their L/6 overall. TORONTO is 23-4 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg clicking at +1.7. NHL home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (TORONTO) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 26-0 L/5 seasons for a 100% conversion rate with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3. Play on Toronto -1.5 to win |
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11-29-22 | Avalanche -126 v. Jets | 0-5 | Loss | -126 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
The Jets' took a 4-3 overtime win at Colorado on Oct. 19 and now the defending Stanley Cup champs have revenge on board and will primed for redemption. Tonight Im betting the Colorado's top tier goalie Alexander Georgiev who has stopped 95 of the 98 shots during a current three-game winning streak will be the difference maker. Avalanche are 8-0 in their last 8 Tuesday games.Avalanche are 14-2 in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.Avalanche are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. Central. COLORADO is 21-4 ATS after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS  in home games after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons. Jets are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NHL Home teams against the money line (WINNIPEG) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored are 14-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado Avs to win |
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11-29-22 | Warriors v. Mavs +2 | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Since they last met in June, the Mavericks have had this rematch circled on their calendars. I know the Mavericks are currently not playing at the same level as the Warriors , but Im betting with revenge on their minds and redemption as a goal , here on their own home floor they deserve respect having won 8 of 11 tilts this season . It must also be noted that the Warriors despite of their strong play have had problems on the road and have only garnered wins in their L/11 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 24-38 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas. Play on Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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11-29-22 | UC-Santa Barbara +2 v. Duquesne | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155/ATS (UC-SANTA BARBARA) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 32-5 SU/ATS L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UC Santa Barbara to cover |
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11-28-22 | Bulls v. Jazz -1.5 | 114-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
After a fast start to their season Utah has really cooled off but this is a good matchup for them here at home vs a Chicago Bulls side that has been highly inconsistent this season. The Jazz are off a heart breaking loss to the Suns on the road but proved their the really deal and here in the friendly confines of  Vivint Arena where they are 6-2 SU have na edge. Jazz are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CHICAGO is 20-34 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (UTAH) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 35-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 7-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover |
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11-28-22 | Pittsburgh v. Northwestern OVER 127.5 | 87-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Capel III is 24-14 OVER off a home win as the coach of PITTSBURGH with a combined average of 138.6 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (NORTHWESTERN) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 22-3 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 134.3 ppg scored. teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (PITTSBURGH) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 130 points going on the board. Play OVER |
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11-28-22 | Steelers +3 v. Colts | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is being under rated here in this matchup vs the Colts especially with JJ watts in the lineup. His energy permeates through this team and gives them an extra charge. The Steelers are  8-0-1 ATS in the last nine matchups versus AFC South opponents, while the Colts are just 1-6 ATS L/7 vs AFC North opponents. The Steelers are 16-2 SU L/18 in this series, including 2-0 SUATS as a pup. I know the Colts have played better of late, but this team is still in disarray and fade material in my humble betting opinion. Pittsburgh 8-1 ATS L/ 9 MNF vs division opposition Play Pittsburgh to cover . |
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11-28-22 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
The Golden Knights looked lethargic at times in Friday's 4-2 loss to Seattle, then fell behind 5-0 after two periods of an eventual 5-1 loss and now Im betting they pickup their defensive work here tonight and pay more attention in transition. Meanwhile, the Blue Jackets last played this past Friday at home when they were flipped in 3-2 by the New York Islanders. Im betting after an ugly start to their campaign, that a new focus on playing responsible Defensive hockey will continue. VEGAS is 7-1 UNDER after a division game this season with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VEGAS) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in their previous game are 31-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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11-27-22 | Packers +6.5 v. Eagles | 33-40 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
The Eagles had to get down and dirty in a come from behind in the 4th quarter last week to garner a 17-16 win vs Indianapolis and will now be in an unfortunate emotional letdown situation vs a very hungry Green Bay side. I know the Packers fell flat on their faces last week losing as favs , but it must be noted that  QB Aaron Rodgers is 10-1 SU/ATS as a pup when the Packers are coming off a SU favorite loss. Rodgers is a very streaky QB, and dont be surprised if he finishes this season on fire, starting tonight in Philly on national TV. It must also be noted that Philly has lost the stats wars in 3 of their L/6 games and are being over rated by the pundits in my humble betting opinion. PHILADELPHIA is 14-31 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992. NFL Underdogs or pick (GREEN BAY) - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 26-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NFLHome favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 5-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Green Bay Packers to cover |
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11-27-22 | Xavier v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | 84-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Veterans Memorial Coliseum - Portland, OR My projections estimate a combined score of no more than 155 points which adds significant value to us taking an under stance here. This estimate is above long term trend factors and gives us cushion room, but is viable with a 2 or more possession edge factor.  XAVIER is 22-8 UNDER L/30 in road games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored. GONZAGA L/19 games against Big East conference opponents since 1997 have seen a combined average of 146.1 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (Xavier/GONZAGA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-27-22 | Saints v. 49ers OVER 42.5 | 0-13 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 42 m | Show | |
The 49ers offense is multi dimensional with McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell at running back, receivers Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk, and tight end George Kittle. Im betting this group. matches up well for the Saints D, and does some damage . On the flispide Andy Dolton and the Saints despite of some inconsistencies put 27 points on the Rams last week in a victory and should not be underestimated in their ability to do have decent output vs. a strong SF D. Note:The Saints stand 8th in the league in passing offense with 237.5 yards per game and Im betting the 49ers will force them to bomb away as SF goes above their expected offensive output average. NFC WEST home teams like the 49ers vs any NFC SOUTH opponent like New Orleans , when the Total offering is 43 or more points are  10-1 OVER L/4 seasons. New Orleans and the SF 49ers have gone over 9 straight times here in California with a combined average of 52.5 ppg going on the board! Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 vs. NFC. Play OVER |
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11-27-22 | Pacers v. Clippers +1.5 | 100-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Indiana has been playing some viable basketball this season, while the Clippers have been inconsistent and on a 2 game losing run. However, its been a long standing mistake many pundits make under estimating the Clippers abilities even when Leonard and George are sidelined.Im betting on the Clippers undervalued depth and grit to triump here and get is the cover. Lue is 32-17 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 as the coach of LA CLIPPERS. NBA Road favorites (INDIANA) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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11-27-22 | Warriors v. Wolves +2 | 137-114 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
The Warriors against the Timberwolves in last seasons meetings , won by an average of 11 points in two home games, but lost by an average of 17.5 in two visits to Minnesota.Karl-Anthony Towns was key on the home wins for the Wolves garnering 26 points and 11 rebounds to a 119-99 romp in January, then 39 points and nine rebounds to a 129-114 triumph in March. Rinse and repeat pattern on board here with the line favoring the Wolves. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS in road games this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-24 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. NBA Road favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Sunday games are 9-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MINNESOTA) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 55-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota Wolves to cover |
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11-27-22 | Canisius +6.5 v. Buffalo | 66-86 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Canisius has made 10-or more treys in four of the first five games. Dangerous downtown shooting side that deserves respect as underdogs. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BUFFALO) - poor defensive team (45-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 31-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius to cover |
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11-27-22 | Bears +6 v. Jets | 10-31 | Loss | -107 | 75 h 50 m | Show | |
The Jets averaged 2.1 yards per play in last Sundays defeat at the hands of the New England Pats and don't deserve this much respect based on having a overall strong D. QB Wilson will not start this week, but any back up pivot Im betting wont fair much better . Yes, I do know QB Justin Fields is not 100% but his legs are dangerous offensive weapons and if he does not play pounding the ball on the ground is not a foreign concept of moving the ball for the Bears giving them an advantage in this type of matchup. NY JETS are 19-34 ATS off a road loss against a division rival since 1992. NY JETS are 22-38 ATS in home games in non-conference games since 1992. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NY JETS) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are 13-40 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate. CHICAGO is 6-1 against the spread versus NY JETS since 1992 and have covered their L/3 visits to NYJ. Chicago is 4-0 ATS L/4 vs AFC East opposition. Play on the Chicago Bears to cover |
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11-26-22 | Lakers -2.5 v. Spurs | 143-138 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
After watching these teams play last night Im betting there is value on taking the road team to grab their 2nd straight win in this series. Matchup discrepancies were obvious favoring the Lakers. Injury updates: [SF] LeBron James (Adductor) - Probable [11/21/2022] James is battling an adductor injury but will take the court for the Lakers. [C] Anthony Davis (Back) - Probable [11/19/2022] Davis is dealing with a back injury and is expected to take the court for the Lakers. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate! Play on the LA Lakers to win /cover |
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11-26-22 | Appalachian State v. Georgia Southern +6.5 | 48-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
 App State enters this game as a weak favorite in my betting opinion as their 2-7 ATS record in lined games would indicate as well as a ugly 1-7 ATS record as a chalk. The Mounties have also failed to cover 4 straight and despite of a boatload full of talent seem like their missing decent chemistry. On the flip-side we have to remember that the home side needs a victory here to garner a Bowl invite so they will leave it on the field today .APPALACHIAN ST is 1-9 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 3 seasons.Clark is 11-21 ATS as a favorite as the coach of APPALACHIAN ST. G Southern is 4-0 ATS L/4 home finales. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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11-26-22 | Iowa State +10 v. TCU | 14-62 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 7 m | Show | |
Iowa State takes on a perfect 10-0 TCU side that is off a late FG win in a grueling tilt vs Baylor last time out and could easily find themselves in a letdown situation this Saturday. Add to that Iowa State despite of not being Bowl eligible have played much better down the stretch than earlier in the season and have out yarded their L/5 opponents . This could easily be the Cyclones biggest and most important game of the season from a personal perspective and I expect we see them leave everything on the field versus a side easily looking ahead to their upcoming Big 12 championship game. Iowa State has covered 6 straight aas conference road pups and are 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series as underdogs. Campbell is 15-6 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of IOWA ST. CFB road team (IOWA ST) - poor rushing team - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry are 179-106 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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11-26-22 | UT-Rio Grande Valley v. Texas UNDER 146 | 54-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Leon Black Classic - Gregory Gymnasium - Austin, TX TEXAS is 95-53 UNDER as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997 with a combined average of 134.9 ppg scored. Under is 43-18 in Longhorns last 61 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 37-16 in Longhorns last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UTRGV) - an excellent offensive team (76 or more PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after 2 straight games where both teams score 75 points or more are 24-3 UNDERV L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TEXAS) - good defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of 42%, or less hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots.91-51 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-26-22 | Utah Valley +10 v. Boise State | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Two of Utah Valley's three losses this season have come in overtime. The Wolverines dropped a 68-65 overtime decision at Wake Forest before falling 73-72 in overtime to Morgan State and they must not be underestimated in their ability to go head to head against a top tier side like Boise State .Madsen is 13-5 ATS versus struggling 3 point shooting teams - making 31% or less of their attempts as the coach of UTAH VALLEY ST.BOISE ST is 0-7 ATS in home games after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 season. CBB team (BOISE ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 18-49 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah Valley to cover Play Utah Valley to cover |
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11-26-22 | New Mexico State v. Liberty -23.5 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 29 m | Show | |
Liberty is off a 1 point loss to Vtech last week and are not in a good mood. This Liberty side is known as the king of cripple killers and Im betting their wrath has no end this week, against a side they overwhelmingly matchup up well against. Note: Liberty has crushed  sub par .333 opponents by an average of 33 ppg in their L/17 opportunities and have covered and won these events. 7-0 straight times in lined tilts. Rinse and repeat. Play on Liberty to cover |
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11-26-22 | Northeastern v. Princeton -8 | 54-56 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  Princeton is 13th in defensive rebounding percentage and NU is 105th in offensive rebounding percentage and these 2nd chance opportunities will be a difference maker today.  Princeton to cover |
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11-26-22 | Michigan v. Ohio State -7.5 | 45-23 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
After playing Illinois last week Michigan is bruised and banged up and Im betting that will effect their performance this week vs. revenge minded Ohio State side that has had this game circled on their calendar for a while now after getting shellacked by a 42-27 count last season at the hands of the wolverines. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off a double digit road win are 20-50 ATS L/30 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Ohio State to cover |
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11-25-22 | Lakers v. Spurs +5.5 | 105-94 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
 Things are bad in San Antonio land of late , but dont be surprised if the Spurs put up a valiant effort here vs a Lakers side that seems to over look losing sides when on the road. Note: Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Popovich is 29-15 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. NBA team (SAN ANTONIO) - struggling  defensive team - shooting pct defense of 50% or worse on the season, averaging 48 or less rebounds/game on the season are 33-9 ATS L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. NBA Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (33% or less), poor ball handling team (16.5 or more TO's) against an average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 103-47 ATS L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-25-22 | Kings v. Celtics UNDER 237.5 | 104-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate a combined score of 230 . Thus we have value with taking the under in this public centric Totals offering. Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 5-1 in Kings last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Celtics last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. SACRAMENTO is 27-12 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 34-16 UNDER off a road loss over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 224.1 ppg . NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 70-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 42-16 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. NBA team (BOSTON) - hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 127-72 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate. Under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings in Boston. Play on the UNDER |
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11-25-22 | Kings v. Celtics -8 | 104-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The Kings are off a 115-106 loss at Atlanta on Wednesday that ended a seven-game winning run and now Im betting they suffer a 2nd straight loss and also fail to cover vs an explosive Boston side that has won 10 of their L/12 behind the leagues top duo of Tatum and Brown.BOSTON is 23-11 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.4. Note:The Kings have played just six games so far against elite teams with winning records, and own a sub par 2-4 record. NBA Home favorites SU (BOSTON) - an excellent offensive team (118 or more PPG) against a sub par defensive team (114-118 PPG) are 27-1 L/28 opportunities with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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11-25-22 | Arkansas v. Missouri +3 | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
Arkansas known as inconsistent football program under HC Pitman is off a huge win vs Miss last time out and now Bowl eligible will be in huge letdown spot vs a Missouri program that had success in this series over the years. Note: Arkansas has lost 11 of their L/15 off a upset win. ARKANSAS is 11-25 ATS L/37 as a road favorite . Drinkwitz is 9-2 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 450 yards/game as the coach of MISSOURI. MISSOURI is 11-2 ATS L/13 in home games versus inconsistent defensive teams - allowing 6.25 or more yards/play. CFB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARKANSAS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after out gaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 29-62 ATS L/30 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. MISSOURI is 3-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS .MISSOURI is 4-0 straight up against ARKANSAS at Arkansas. Play on Missouri to cover |
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11-25-22 | Maple Leafs -107 v. Wild | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Toronto snapped New Jersey's 13-game winning streak and avenged a 3-2 overtime loss to the Devils on Nov. 17 and now have confidence and momentum entering this tilt against a team that struggling at home of late having  won just four of 10 home games this season while garnering a  minus-four goal differential at Xcel Energy Center. TORONTO is 9-0 against the money line in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons. . It must be noted that despite a 2 game win streak Minnesota ranks 31st in the league in high-danger chances per 60 across the last two weeks. Play on Toronto to win |
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11-25-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Harvard +3 | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Amaker is 18-7 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997. CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. CBB road team vs. the money line (LOYOLA-IL) - poor foul drawing team from last season - attempted 18 or less free throws/game, team from a second tier division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major conference are 8-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Harvard to cover  |
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11-25-22 | Tulane v. Cincinnati -2 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 21 m | Show | |
Both these teams have identical 9-2 records on the season, and their only recent losses have both come to UCF in closely contested affairs. The difference maker today will come via Bearcats home field advantage and the fact this is a football program is use to high pressure games and will not fold under any kind of pressure. This is not the case for Tulane. CFB home team vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - off a double digit road win, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 80% or better) are 36-4 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.1. Play on Cincinnati cover |
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11-25-22 | Washington +10.5 v. St. Mary's | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Wooden Legacy - Anaheim Convention Center - Anaheim, CA The Huskies and Gaels meet for the first time since the 2018 NIT Tournament and eighth time in history, with the Dawgs holding a 6-1 edge. Washington advanced to the final with a 62-57 win over Fresno State on Wednesday while Saint Mary's topped Vanderbilt. The Huskies won the Wooden Legacy in 2014 and last played on Thanksgiving Day in 2015. WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. WASHINGTON is 13-2 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS in road games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (ST MARYS-CA) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 25-62 L/25 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -4.6 . Play on Washington to cover |
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11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings -2.5 | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
Wow it was a crazy week for both these sides last time out on the gridiron. The 8-2 Vikings took their worst home loss since 1963 and the Pats after looking asleep at the wheel for most of their game vs the Jets took a walk off win with a punt return for the length of the field. Now Im betting on a complete reversal of sorts as a huge redemption minded bounce back for the Vikes is in play and for karma to instantly strike back at the Pats vs an embarrassed side looking to gain back some self respect. Im betting on Minnesota to make it 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 Thanksgiving days games. MINNESOTA is 12-2 ATS in home games after a loss by 21 or more points since 1992. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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11-24-22 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss UNDER 59.5 | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show | |
No matter what stats both offensively or defensively have been recorded by either side this season should be discarded and it must be noted that this is a heated rivalry that is often very physical and grueling. This kind of battle also usually ends in a lower scoring affair as compared to the totals offering. These teams have gone under in 10 of their L/13 meetings in Ole Miss and in the two most recent battles these teams did not eclipse hefty totals of 71 and 65.5 with both tilts coming well under theses numbers registering in at 52 and 55 points respectively. OLE MISS is 8-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 53 points going on the board.OLE MISS is 10-2 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 53.6 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 road games. 80% Chance of rain in Oxford Thursday night. CFB team against the total (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 191-113 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 45.5 | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
The Giants were torched for 31 points last time out vs Detroit in a loss and now Im betting will be more focused and prepared to try to pair up their defense, by trying to slow this game down to a grind by using their running game , especially knowing they will be playing an explosive Dallas offense. Meanwhile, Dallas behind a strong D, allowing just 16.2 ppg at home this season will once again be hard to score on. This above mentioned combo Im betting will lead to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. NY GIANTS are 7-0 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 31.5 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 9-1 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.8 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 23-8 UNDER vs. sub par passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.3 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 7-0 UNDER revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.8 ppg scored. NY GIANTS are 21-8 UNDER in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 7-0 in Giants last 7 games in Week 12.Under is 8-1 in Giants last 9 games in November.Under is 20-5-2 in Giants last 27 games on fieldturf.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games.Under is 21-6-1 in Giants last 28 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Giants last 21 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 15-5-1 in Giants last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 9-3-2 in Giants last 14 vs. NFC.Under is 3-1-1 in Giants last 5 vs. NFC East.Under is 18-7-1 in Giants last 26 games following a ATS loss.Under is 18-7-1 in Giants last 26 games following a straight up loss.Under is 33-16-2 in Giants last 51 games overall. DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 43.3 ppg scored. Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 home games.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.Under is 13-3-1 in Cowboys last 17 games on fieldturf NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DALLAS) - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games are 61-28 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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11-24-22 | Princeton v. Army +10.5 | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
London Basketball Classic - Copper Box Arena - London, My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Play on Army to cover |
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11-23-22 | Bulls v. Bucks -7 | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has won 6 of the L/7 meetings vs Chicago and 5 of those wins have come by DDs with the smallest margin of victory coming by 7 points which is what we are being asked to coincidently cover here by backing the Bucks tongiht. From a power ranking and SRS perspective we actually have value backing the home side here. I know the Bulls are off an impressive win vs Boston last time out, but now Im betting a letdown scenario taking hold and for the Bucks not to be caught looking ahead and primed to crush a division competitor. Milwaukee ranks 7th in the league with a 3.28 mark and Chicago ranks 12th with a 1.37. Adding in my own power ranking adjustments this line should be closer to -9 giving us enough room for a full possession cover. There -6 available.  SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average Budenholzer is 49-20 ATS vs. division opponents as the coach of MILWAUKEE with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13. CHICAGO is 39-56 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons NBA Road underdogs (CHICAGO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 13-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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11-23-22 | Bruins v. Panthers -102 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Florida is in a bit of a funk having lost 3 straight and 4 of their L/5. However, this is a grand opportunity for redemption as the Panthers look to get back some lost confidence as well as gain momentum. Knowing that the Bruins are a top tier side, will have the home side who thrive as hosts wide awake and ready to complete. Note: Panthers are 53-17 in their last 70 home games and beat the Bruins the last time they visited south Florida back in Oct of 2021. Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. FLORIDA is 15-2 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. FLORIDA is 13-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.FLORIDA is 11-2 ATS in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasonsFLORIDA is 10-1 ATS against good power play killing teams - opp score on 14.5% or less of chances over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (FLORIDA) - after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 4 straight games are 25-3 L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida Panthers to win |
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11-23-22 | UMass Lowell v. Brown UNDER 145.5 | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (UMASS-LOWELL) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 38-8 UNDER L/25 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 135.6 ppg scored. Play on the under |
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11-23-22 | Maine +1 v. Central Connecticut State | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Maine made easy work of the Columbia Lions last Friday and carried off a 93-70 win. Maine is now 3-1 while Central Connecticut State sits at 0-5. CBB Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better ) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 SU L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MAINE) - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more ) against a poor 3PT def ense (36.5% or more ), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better are 31-5 ATS L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate! Play on Maine to cover |
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11-23-22 | Kansas v. NC State +9 | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  NC State 4-0 so far this season behind, head coach Kevin Keatts who has led the Pack to nine wins over ranked opponents in his tenure here and and his team should not be underestimated in their ability compete vs Kansas on a neutral court. NC STATE is 12-3 ATS L/15 as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 12 points . CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NC STATE) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, team that had a losing record last season are 22-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CBB team (NC STATE) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ ATS losses in last 10 games against opponent first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 7+ wins in last 8 games are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NC State to cover |
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11-22-22 | San Diego State +1 v. Arizona | 70-87 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Arizona played a hard fought run and gun Tourney affair with Cincinnati yesterday and could easily be vulnerable to a down effort here today in a letdown spot on short rest.  SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (ARIZONA) - excellent defensive team (40% or less) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%), red hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 50% or more of their shots are 20-51 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate! Play on San Diego State to cover |
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11-22-22 | Kings v. Grizzlies +2 | 113-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
After a slow start to their season Sacramento has peeled off 6 straight wins, while their opponents tonight Memphis has shown flashes of brilliance and unexpected collapses like they suffered last time out where they fell apart in the 4th quarter vs Brooklyn losing by a 127-115 count on the road as 8 point dogs. That was the Grizzlies 3rd straight road loss. However at home the Grizzlies have played their best hoops winning 6 of 7 overall with the lone loss coming the Boston Celtics by a 109-106 count. With that said Im betting on home court advantage for the Grizzlies being the difference maker. MEMPHIS is 7-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons and 3-0 L/3 at home in this series. MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 20-5 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-1 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 8-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 12-2 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 17-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - explosive offensive team - scoring 118+ points/game on the season, first half of the season are 12-32 ATS L/26 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-22-22 | Sabres v. Canadiens -109 | 7-2 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Buffalo has lost 8 straight games and are fade material in their current form vs a Habs side that has garnered wins in 4 of their L/6 trips to the ice. Note: key here is Buffalos inability to stop power plays as they have allowed 17-for-28 over the past nine games, a ugly 60.7 percent success rate, and has allowed at least one goal in nine straight tilts. BUFFALO is 0-8 ATS after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games this season. BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS  after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season. MONTREAL is 6-1 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. NHL Road teams against the money line (BUFFALO) - after allowing 4 goals or more 3 straight games against opponent after winning their previous game in overtime are 3-26 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Montreal to win |
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11-22-22 | Bradley +13 v. Auburn | 64-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The #13 Auburn Tigers will square off against the Bradley Braves at 6 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya. Pearl is 0-11 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games as the coach of AUBURN. CBB team (AUBURN) - up-tempo team averaging from last season 62 or more shots/game, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less are 6-24 ATS 26 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bradley to cover |
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11-21-22 | Jazz v. Clippers -3 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won five of seven since they lost to Utah earlier this season and with Kawhi Leonard back in the rotation they are strong candidates to get revenge here and notch a win. UTAH is 3-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) - excellent shooting team (47% or more) against an terrible defensive team (47% or more ), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO's) are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4! NBA Road teams (UTAH) - good offensive team - scoring 114+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games are 13-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% go against conversion rate. Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Play on LA Clippers to cover |
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11-21-22 | Mississippi State v. Marquette +3.5 | 58-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.  .  MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons Marquette to cover |
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11-21-22 | Knicks +2.5 v. Thunder | 129-119 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
After winning the first two games on their current road trip, the Knicks have dropped back-to-back games and are ready for a bounce back effort vs a Oklahoma City side that my power ranking suggest they matchup well against. Note: NEW YORK is 18-6 ATS L/24 in road games off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more . NEW YORK is 38-18 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW YORK) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 41-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate! Play on NY Knicks to cover |
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11-21-22 | Ducks v. Blues -205 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
The Ducks' 4.33 goals-against average is the second-worst in the NHL and have lost 5 of their L/6 overall while their hosts the Blues are 6-0 L/6 overall. Two teams playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Advantage Blues. NHL Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (ST LOUIS) - extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 25-0 100% L/5 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +2.3. Play on the St.Louis Blues |
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11-21-22 | Flames -1.5 v. Flyers | 5-2 | Win | 120 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Philadelphia has lost 6 straight, while Calgary has won 3 of their L/4. Considering the Flyers likely will be without Travis Konecny, who has team-leading totals in goals (seven) and points (19) or if he plays at less than 100% the Flyers are at a disadvantage. CALGARY is 10-0 ATS in road games against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp over the last 2 seasons with the average gpg diff clicking in at +3.6. PHILADELPHIA is 8-27 ATS in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS in home games off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons. Flames are 9-1 in their last 10 Monday games. Flames are 25-9 in their last 34 vs. a team with a losing record. Flames are 32-14 in their last 46 vs. Metropolitan. Play on Calgary to cover |
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11-21-22 | Loyola Maryland +13.5 v. Clemson | 41-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (CLEMSON) - first 5 games of the season, non-tournament team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games, mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 4-30 ATS L/26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Loyola Maryland to cover |
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11-21-22 | Nevada v. Tulane UNDER 145.5 | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. My projections make this line closer to 140 which gives us two full possession advantage. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (TULANE/NEVADA) - in a game involving two teams that had marginal losing records (40 to 49%) last season are 45-7 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate with. combined average of 133.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers UNDER 52 | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 63 h 57 m | Show | |
Im sure the pundits and weekend warriors are expecting a passing duel when Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs go head to head with Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers. However, both these teams are most prob going to have key receivers out of the lineup this week and Im betting that will hamper big downfield plays. Key here will be the Chargers  inconsistent offense this season behind a banged up QB Herbert’s who is still not 100% with a rib injury, which happened in a Week 2 loss to the Chiefs. Throw in the WR issues and the Chargers could have problems with point production vs a under rated KC defense and fail to live up to offensive estimates from the lines-makers which makes for an inflated Total that is vulnerable to be taken advantage of from under bettors. Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games in November.Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 vs. AFC. LA CHARGERS are 29-12 UNDER (L/41 in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored. LA CHARGERS are 25-12 UNDER L/37 in home games revenging a same season loss against opponent with a combined average of 39.6 ppg going on the board. Under is 22-6 in Chargers last 28 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game Game 15 or less road chalk of 6 or more points with a Totals line of 49 or more  have gone under in 12 of the L/13 times dating back 3 seasons. NFL games in which the home team is an UNDERDOG have gone 16-42 UNDER overall and 0-6 UNDER when AFC team is the home dog .  NFL Road teams against the total (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team (7.3 or more PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games. are 73-36 L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 42.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. NFL team against the total (LA CHARGERS) - excellent passing team (265 or more PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 42.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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11-20-22 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Nets | 115-127 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis snapped a losing streak  by earning a 121-110 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday when Jaren Jackson Jr. scored 25 in his second game back from right foot surgery and Im betting despite of Brooklyn playing some strong hoops at this time will be primed and ready compete. BROOKLYN is 7-33 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 9-29 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons. BROOKLYN is 1-13 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 32-19 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 5-0 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons and are 2-0 SU/ATS L/2 visits to Brooklyn. Play on Memphis to cover |
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11-20-22 | Colorado v. Boise State +2 | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Boise states hoops program prides itself on its fitness and ability to compete . So here on short rest must not be underestimated in their ability to run and gun the floor. Meanwhile, Colorado after a huge output last time out is vulnerable to major regression . Note: Boyle is 2-9 ATS after scoring 95 points or more as the coach of COLORADO. BOISE ST is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. BOISE ST is 15-4 ATS versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams (COLORADO) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, in November games are 17-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. |
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11-20-22 | UCF v. Santa Clara +3 | 57-50 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UCF upset Oklahoma state in OT last time out and will be in a huge letdown spot here vs a quality San Clara basketball program. UCF is 4-13 ATS L/17 in road games off an upset win as an underdog. SANTA CLARA is 12-3 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons.SANTA CLARA is 17-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (UCF) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 92-156 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Santa Clara to cover |
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11-20-22 | Virginia v. Illinois +1.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. No. 19 Illinois moves on to face #16 Virginia on Sunday in the Championship of the Continental Tire Main Event (2 p.m. CT, ESPN). Illinois is making its seventh trip to Las Vegas, and fifth for a multi-team event. Illinois won its first three MTE's in Vegas, claiming titles at the 2001 Las Vegas Invitational and 2004 Las Vegas Holiday Classic held at Valley High School, and the 2014 Continental Tire Las Vegas Invite at The Orleans. Illinois is 9-3 SU all-time in games played in Las Vegas and looks for its fourth MTE title in Las Vegas on Sunday vs. Virginia in the championship game of the Continental Tire Main Event. Virginia played a lights out big time game last time out taking out Baylor with some extraordinary down town shooting hitting treys in the 2nd half of the game. After making just one 3-pointer in the first half, the Cavaliers went 8-for-12 from deep in the final 20 minutes to knock off No. 5 Baylor (3-1) 86-79 Friday evening. No in a regressionary letdown situation Im betting their vulnerable.  Illinois' win last time out over No. 8 UCLA improved the program to 11-5 in their last 16 games versus top-10 teams during the Underwood era. ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or more assists over the last 3 seasons. ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. CBB Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VIRGINIA) - slow-down team from last season averaging 53 or less shots/game, after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better are 12-42 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Illinois to cover |
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11-20-22 | Bears +3 v. Falcons | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 66 h 7 m | Show | |
Atlanta is 4-6 SU on the season, but even at that sub standard record is a aberration as the Falcons have been out-yarded -82 in net YPG ranking second worse in the NFL and are an ugly  1-9 in the stats battles this campaign. Meanwhile, the Bears , despite of not being a top tier side, are dangerous behind the legs of QB Justin Fields and a offensive system that starting to micmic cfb military school programs. That might be an exaggeration but you get the picture. Im saying the Bears matchup well here vs a obviously over rated opponent based on stats. Bears are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss which was the case last time out. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home teams (ATLANTA) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) are 24-61 ATS L/39 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Play on Chicago Bears to cover |
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11-20-22 | Jets +3.5 v. Patriots | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 51 m | Show | |
NY Jets are playing over all proficient football and are 6-3 SUATS record, including 4-0 SUATS on the road and have an overall 5-1 SU record L/6 trips to the gridiron and obviously deserve respect as road dogs. I know New England carries a famous brand name but the Jets are a team on the rise and look very much like a viable side to back. Yes, I know the Pats are well rested, but that has not been a recipe for success for Bellichick and company going 1-10-1 ATS with rest. Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East. NY JETS are 37-21 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992. Play on NY Jets to cover |
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11-20-22 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 31-18 | Win | 100 | 56 h 8 m | Show | |
 Detroit rallied last week from a 24-10 deficit to pull off a 31-30 win, the franchise's first victory after trailing by 14 or more points entering the fourth quarter since 1993. Now with momentum on their sides the Lions enter with confidence and Im betting will be prepared to battle again this week vs the Giants. The Lions' offense has been very efficient over the past three games, turning the ball over just once and must not be underestimated in the dog role. Visitor is 10-2 ATS in this series .Detroit is 8-3 non-division road dogs of 6 points or less. DETROIT is 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.DETROIT is 17-5 ATS after being out-gained by 75 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Lions are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC. Campbell is 1-9 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992. NFL Road underdogs or pick (DETROIT) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points are 95-47 ATS L/39 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. DETROIT is 5-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS L/6 meetings.Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York. Play on Lions to cover |
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