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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-20 | Utah State v. Boise State -16.5 | 13-42 | Win | 100 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Broncos have owned this series against the Aggies clicking on 16 of the L/17 meetings straight up and have been an ATM for their betting backers cashing on 13 of those games against the spread. Last season when these teams met at Utah State the Broncos teed of on the Aggies winning by a 56-21 count and that was with Utah States star QB in the lineup (Jordan Love). I know the Aggies will be out looking for revenge, but Im betting Bryan Harsins group just don't have same quality guns as the Broncos needed to get the job done. Key: .QB Bachmeier started eight games as a true freshman last season. He recorded a 7-1 record as a starter and threw for 1,879 yards and 9 touchdowns while completing 63 percent of his passes and today Im betting he continues his ascension. Play on Boise State to cover |
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10-24-20 | South Carolina v. LSU -5.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show | |
Missouri according to my power rankings is being over rated here today. Yes, they beat Auburn last time out, but despite of getting the W, they were out yarded by a  481-297 count, which tells a truer tale of their abilities . Here today vs a very hungry defending national champion Im betting their vulnerabilities will be exposed.  Missouri is 0-6-1 L/7 in this series vs LSU. LSU is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons. Defending National Champions are 50-9-1 SU in games with a below .500 record, including 9-1 ATS in conference games. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - struggling defensive team (440 or more YPG) against an average defensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 26-7 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.8 ppg. CFB home team vs. the money line (LSU) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 31-8 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 10.8 ppg. Play on LSU to cover |
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10-24-20 | Baylor +9.5 v. Texas | 16-27 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas has fallen in my power rankings thanks in part to a defense that has allowed 456 yards and 36 points per game. Meanwhile, Baylor is up-trending and took out Texas, 24-10, in Waco last season and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 visits to Austin. I know the Longhonrs have revenge on board, but the way they are playing nothing will come easy for them , thus getting points here makes for a viable wager. TEXAS is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 over the last 3 season.  Herman is 0-8 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 as the coach of TEXAS. BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 3 seasons.( Failed to cover their last time out on Oct 3 to W.Virginia is. a 27-21 loss) CFB Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, in the second half of the season are 27-62 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFB college football home favorite like Texas with a week of rest in Game Five if they allow 30 or more points per game are just 3-21 ATS L/30 seasons. Play on Baylor to cover |
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10-24-20 | Houston v. Navy +15 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 46 m | Show | |
Navy at 3-0 in AAC play is huge underdog here at home. I know Navy does not look as cohesive as past carnations of this program, but Houston is over rated as well, as was evident when BYU ran over them as visitors , and that fact the team has given up as many yards as they have accumulated. With that said, and knowing how Military colleges dont take to being embarrassed or disrespected by the linesmakers, Ill make a stand here with the Middies and the points. NAVY is 9-2 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. NAVY is 7-0 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Navy is 11-0 ATS L/12 as a dog facing a team allowing at least 29 points per game. The only 3 losses in this set came by 3 points exact. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10.5 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
After a muted 13-point effort against Clemson to open the season, the Demon Deacon offense has looked explosive . Wake Forests QB Hartman, has been in top form in his last three tilts, connecting through the air for an average of 9.0 yards per attempt with no interceptions. Thats the kind of team and QB you want to back as underdogs getting points. My own projections make this to many points for Vtech to be favored by, and Im buying in to the Deacons ability to cover vs a side that has failed to cover its last 4 in back to back road games. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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10-24-20 | Tulane v. Central Florida OVER 70 | 34-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
The Knights behind the big arm of quarterback Dillon Gabriel, who became the first UCF signal-caller to throw for over 500 yards last Saturday against Memphis Im betting will once again be ready to explode on offense vs a suspect Tulane D. Meanwhile, Tulane also has a top tier dual threat QB in Michael Pratt who Im betting will also tee off on a UCF D that ranks 74th in total defense out of 77 FBS teams. Play on the OVER |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa v. South Florida UNDER 50.5 | 42-13 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show | |
Tulsa’s showing us a strong defensive structure this season . Ranking third in Havoc ratings lead by Linebacker Zaven Collins who has owned the opposition with three sacks, three hurries and a top-10 tackles for loss On the flipside, the Canes offense has been below average ranking in the bottom 10 in Success Rate with a Finishing Drives rank of 63rd. .Meanwhile, USF while trying to move at an accelerated pace offense , still have huge problems as their Offensive Finishing Drives rank a lowly 75th. Thats not a good omen for Bulls fluidity against a Tulsa defense that allows just three points per trip in past the 40-yard line. All in all my projections estimate a total closer to 46 whihc gives us great value on a under wager. |
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10-22-20 | Giants +4.5 v. Eagles | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 36 h 48 m | Show | |
 The Giants are really hyped for this national TV game in a key divisional confrontation. If they win they will be 2nd in the division so their motivation factors are clear. Meanwhile, Philadelphia is over rated and their one win vs a banged up 49ers team was not as impressive as one might think or the media might have us believe as is evident by their favorite status in 3 games this season in which they did not win. The Giants are 19-0 ATS L/19 vs a divisional opponent that has at least one victory on the season and has forced fewer than 1.2 turnovers and has allowed 70-plus rushing yards per game season-to-date with no loss coming by more than 3 points. NY GIANTS are 10-1 ATS in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 10-0 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are 10-0 ATS as road dogs when coming off a division home victory. NFL  Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 5-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against for a 83% conversion rate.  Play on NY Giants to cover  |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -12.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 34 h 22 m | Show | |
Arkansas State has an explosive offense but the App State Mountaineers  defense is showing themselves to be as tough as nails, as is evident by holding their opposition to 19.3 PPG and in their only loss allowed another top tier explosive offense to just 17 points on the road vs Marshall. Tonight I expect the Mountaineers D, to own the line of scrimmage vs the Wolves and for the Mounties offense to tee off on a Arkansas St D, that is allowing 39.8 ppg. APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS /SU versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 or more yards/play over the last 2 season with average margin of victory coming by an average of just under 22 ppg. Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (ARKANSAS ST) - with a poor first half defense - 16 or more points per game, after 2 straight games where 70 total points or more were scored 39-82 ATS L/28 years for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on App State to cover |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers -147 | 6-4 | Loss | -147 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Ok the Rays have had a nice run, but now against a superior Dodgers side, that can hit their top tier hurlers they are in trouble. Snell according to my projections does not matchup well vs the this Dodgers lineup.  Dodgers are 45-17 in their last 62 games following a win.Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. American League East. Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 interleague games. Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 World Series games. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
According to my projections this total should be closer to 9. Thus giving us value on an over wager. Dodgers starter Gonsolin has made two shaky outings in the postseason so far, giving up seven runs in 6 1/3 innings for a 9.95 playoff ERA and Im betting the Rays tee off on his here. Meanwhile, the Dodgers explosive bats Im betting will also tee off on Snell, Over is 6-2-3 in Dodgers last 11 interleague games as a favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. American League East. Over is 10-1 in Rays last 11 vs. National League West. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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10-20-20 | Rays +152 v. Dodgers | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 21 m | Show | |
The value here on the Rays in my opinion is tremendous, as they may not be the superior overall side in this matchup, but do have the better bullpen and defense which in a play off series is of ultimate importance. Also today against southpaw Kershaw the Rays have an edge as they  have smashed left-handed pitching (.343 wOBA). With that said, the value resides with the Rays here in game 1. Play on TB Rays to win |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys +1.5 | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 15 m | Show | |
Only 31 teams have failed to cover a single point spread through the first five weeks of a season. But here we are with Dallas on the edge of such a precipice. The good news for Boyz betting betting backers are that teams are 22-9 (ATS) under those perimeters, with underdogs like Dallas holding an even bigger edge cashing 19 of 25 times for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. It must also be noted that sides  with sub par ATS records at 30% or less going against the teams with winning ATS records are 174-110-11 in Weeks 6-17 for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. I know top gun QB Dak Prescott is out for the Boyz, but his backup Andy Dolton has had top tier success in this league, and has a boatload full of experience and respected by his teammates making him a viable pivot to back in this spot vs a up-trending but still not top tier Arizona side, that is 0-7 ATS in Monday night affairs sporting a .500 or better record. Dallas is 5-1 ATS as a home dog dating back 40 seasons, and tonight Im betting they add to those positive numbers. DALLAS is 12-2 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992 Play on Dallas to cover |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills UNDER 57.5 | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 69 h 11 m | Show | |
Im not letting recency bias take away from my own projections that estimate this total to be closer to 54 giving us top tier value with an under wager. v KC has gone under in 12 of their L/14 after playing the Raiders. Buffalo has gone under in 5 of their L/6 as conference home dogs. BUFFALO is 9-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 34.8 ppg scored.BUFFALO is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 31.6 ppg scored. NFL Home teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 25-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills +5 | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 7 m | Show | |
The defending Super Bowl Champs suffered their first loss last time out against Las Vegas, and with that said it must be noted, that when that has happened in the past these elite teams are just 12-25 straight up in their following game . Thats not a good omen for the Chiefs vs a hungry Buffalo team with something to prove. Ill be taking points here all the way against Mahomes in company. |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 55 m | Show | |
Jimmy G had a crap game last week connecting on just 7 of 17 passes. However, he must not be counted out in his ability to bounce back even on a bum ankle. You have to remember Garoppolo is 25-8 in his career and 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS as a dog and 1-0 SU/ATS when hosting as a pup. Add to that the embarrassment associated with being benched , and you have a motivated talented competitor to deal with. Also after three straight home losses, the 49ers as a team will be ready to avert another embarrassing effort. There is not such thing as due, but Im betting on the Jimmy G train steaming into the proverbial station tonight and for the Niners to give the Rams more of a battle than the lines-makers expect them to. Play in San Francisco to cover |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 52 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 52 h 9 m | Show | |
Im betting on a rockem sockem hard fought affair that will be played fairly conservatively. I know after Miami upset the Niners and made their D, look lazy a huge bounce back effort will be on the agenda. Rams hardcore D, remains ready to adjust on the road here which Im betting leads to a lower scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. LA RAMS are 8-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 45 ppg going on the board. NFLHome teams against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 25-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams against the total (LA RAMS) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a losing record are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-18-20 | Bears v. Panthers -1 | 23-16 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections make the Panthers -3 favs at home this week, thus giving us value on the line. Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.Panthers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons.CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS in road games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS off a upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-28 L/10 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams (CHICAGO) - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 29-63 ATS L/37 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate. Play on the Carolina Panthers to win |
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10-18-20 | Browns +4 v. Steelers | 7-38 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 4-0 for first time since 1978 and 1979 but make no mistake this team is not a tough as the steel curtain group that dominated opponents and won Super Bowls, and are being over rated here based on recency bias.  Meanwhile, Cleveland has finally gotten to a point where they deserve respect , behind top tier QB Baker Mayfield. With Browns bring sporting a  5-0 ATS record as division road underdogs of 7 or less points Im betting they bring the heat here in this important early season game and get us the cover.Â
Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 56.5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in SEC action this Saturday in a game I have projected to eclipse this total. Ill state the obvious by saying that both teams possess explosive offenses with the Tide averaging 51 ppg and the Dawgs 36 ppg, and despite of viable defenses, it will take a boat load full of points for one of these teams to come out on top here, with OT also being a higher percentage possibility. These teams have seen the over eclisped in 8 of their L/10 meetings and last year they took part in a tilt that combined for 63 points. Rinse and repeat folks. |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
UNC showed its vulnerabilities on defense against the Hokies, allowing 46 points last week and now Im betting incumbent QB Jordan Travis will exploit those issues here this week for Florida State. I know Florida State never seems to inspire bettors, but N.Carolina is being over rated here on the line, thus giving us value with the home underdog. Florida State is 15-3-1 SU in this series since joining the ACC. and are 5-0-1 ATS when facing a undefeated Tar Heels. Play on Florida State to cover |
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10-17-20 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech +14 | 35-17 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
This is just to many points for Marshall to be laying on the road especially with the The Bulldogs showing a  16-4 ATS record as underdogs with revenge , including 13-1 ATS in conference tilts. Last year Fritz and company lost 31-10 at Marshall and now with payback on the agenda they will be at their best. MARSHALL is 6-17 ATS L/23 in road games off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival . LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. LA Tech to cover |
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10-17-20 | Braves +145 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
I know how badly the Dodgers want and need this game, to keep their championship hopes alive, but it must be noted that the Braves won this starting pitching matchup in Game 1 by a score of 5-1 and must be respected to close this series out on a value line here and bounce back from their game 5 loss .Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss. Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-17-20 | Central Florida -146 v. Memphis | 49-50 | Loss | -146 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
The Central Florida Golden Knights have owned  this series vs Memphis , winning 13 straight times and Im betting nothing changes here today. Considering Memphis has played just two games this season due to COVID-19 protocols Im betting their cohesiveness is in question, and that they have not reached peak performance capacity yet as was the case in a loss to SMU last time out. Needless to say the Tigers are vulnerable against a Central Florida football program that wants badly to bounce back after a off game last time out that resulted in their first loss of the season. Play on Central Florida to win and cover/split line pick and -3 |
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10-17-20 | Army v. UTSA +7.5 | 28-16 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
 Army lit up their two first opponents of the season recording crushing win vs MTSU and UL-Monroe, However since than Army has lost to Cincinnati by 14 points , allowed Abilene Christian to score 23 points on them and barley got by a less than stellar Citadel by just 4 points. Meanwhile,  the Roadrunners have captured three wins this season and gave BYU and UAB hard fought close tilts on the road. From a matchup perspective this line is slightly tainted based on Army's reputation which gives us value with a home pup that has cashed 5 of their L/6 as single digit dogs at home. Play on UTSA to cover |
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10-17-20 | Texas State v. South Alabama -3 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
South Alabama got beat by UAB at home on September 24th and have now had plenty of time to recuperate and be fully rested for this tilt vs Texas State(1-4) and have an edge. CFB home team vs. the money line (S ALABAMA) - excellent passing team (8.3 or more PY/Att.) against an average passing defense (6.4-7.5 PY/Att.), after allowing 9 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 30-8 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.6 ppg. Play on South Alabama to cover |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston +5.5 | 43-26 | Loss | -109 | 63 h 17 m | Show | |
Houston after a long delay played their first game of the season vs the Tulane Green Wave last week in successful fashion out gaining them by a 476-211 count rolling to a 49-31 victory. Meanwhile, BYU had a much harder time vs a physical UTSA squad winning by 7 points but failing to cover as 34+ point chalk. Now this week, BYU makes its first trip away from Provo , and are being pegged as favorites. However, the Mormons are just 2-12 ATS L/14 away as 4 point or more chalk, and in my humble opinion are being over estimated in their abilities at this point in the season. Tonight Im betting on Holgerson's heros to get us the cover. It must be noted the HC of Houston has seen his team cover 3 straight times vs undefeated sides. Meanwhile, Sitake is 0-6 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of BYU. Play on Houston to cover |
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10-16-20 | BYU v. Houston OVER 62 | 43-26 | Win | 100 | 63 h 9 m | Show | |
10-16-20 | Astros +124 v. Rays | 7-4 | Win | 124 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Astros’ some times potent bats erupted during the ALDS against the A’s, scoring 33 runs and hitting for a .345 average. Now in this series, the Astros have outhit the Rays, by a 34-24 margin, but have not been fluid , as they have left 55 men stranded in this series. Considering TB is a team that can go into long battling slumps, their is an ominous trend taking place, as the Rays   offense has gone into refrigeration mode over the last two games of this series, as is evident by a .212 BA  with just five extra base hits. With that said, look for the Astros hot bats to keep up with blake Snell while Houstons pitchers control the frozen bats of the Rays and force a game 7. Play on the Astros to win |
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10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +6.5 | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
The SMU Mustangs travel to play the Tulane Green Wave in College Football action this Friday night. Which side has the edge? Get the scholastic gridiron info the books do not want you to have. kick off after 6:00 pm et |
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10-15-20 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State UNDER 73 | 52-59 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The Arkansas State Red Wolves’ explosive offense will be in tough here against the Georgia State Panthers’ top tier defense. My projections say they will have success , but not on par with the linesmakers estimates. Yes both teams run fast paced offences, but the totals number, is just a tad high considering one of these sides defence is of the top tier variety Note:Georgia State ranks second in the nation in defensive Havoc and has registered 17 tackles for a loss. Georgia State, ranks first in Stuff Rate, Power Success and against pass explosiveness. Im betting the Panthers dont make life easy for the Red Wolves, and their 50/50 attack might turn to the run more often and eat clock time because of the problems that the Panthers secondary will provide. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers expect. GEORGIA ST is 7-0 UNDER in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 53.8 ppg scored.GEORGIA ST is 10-1 UNDER after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 48 ppg going on the score board. CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ARKANSAS ST/GEORGIA ST) - when playing on a Thursday are 48-18  UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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10-14-20 | Rays v. Astros +132 | 3-4 | Win | 132 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Astros’ offense went in to hyoer drive during the series against the A’s, scoring 33 runs and hitting for a .345 . However, that was then and this is now as the  Rays’ pitching staff have held Houston in check. Now with their best pitcher on the hill, Zack Greinke Im betting on the Astros to extend this series for at least one more game. Greinke is high velocity  fastball pitcher, thats lost some of his juice but his accuracy is still top notch and and where TB has had problems this season, has been vs these kinds of hurlers ranking 24th against fastballs. On the flipside, Glasnow the Rays starter is also a fast ball pitcher, but as was evident earlier in the post season the Astros were lighting these kinds of pitchers up. The combination of value and desperation has me on the /Astros tonight. Astros are 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. Astros are 11-5 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play on Houston to win |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -7 | 30-27 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Louisiana moved up in the national rankings this week, ranked No. 21 in the AP Top 25 poll and No. 21 in the USA Today Amway Coaches poll and deserve respect. I like Coastal Carolina football program and they are up trending, but according to my graphical data charts should be closer to -10 underdogs, thus giving us value with the favorite at home. Im betting on Levi Lewis to be key in their victory tonight. The Qb has thrown for 723 yards through three games this year. The yardage total  ranks him 34th in the nation . CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COASTAL CAROLINA) - excellent offensive team (6.2 YPP or more ) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), in conference games are 11-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play ON UL Lafayette. |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 60 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
In a battle of two undefeated teams, Im betting we see a closely contested affair that is conservative in nature. Neither of these teams plays to tempo. For example :UL Lafayette's offense  averages 26 seconds per play while  Coastal Carolina moves at a snails pace behind one the slowest offenses in the nation at 30.2 seconds per play.  The Ragin’ Cajuns have had alot of problems converting opportunity into points, with a Finishing Drives rank of 70th in the nation. Meanwhile, UL Lafayette's under appreciated defense has done a fantastic job of limiting explosive plays, ranking seventh in opposition plays from scrimmage of plus 20 yards. Everything for me points to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number. My projections estimate this total closer to 56 which gives credence to my recommended under bet. COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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10-13-20 | Braves v. Dodgers -155 | 8-7 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Clayton   Kershaw will make his fourth career start in the postseason against the Braves. In 14 innings this postseason, he’s allowed three runs and struck out 19. He has a 0.43 career ERA against the Braves in the playoffs and 7-0 in his career overall vs the Braves. With that said, Im betting on him going long and strong and getting us the win in game 2 of this series.  Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 playoff games as an underdog.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 League Championship games.Braves are 7-21 in the last 28 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 47-18 in their last 65 games following a loss. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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10-12-20 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Dodgers starter Buehler will start his third Game 1 of the 2020 postseason. He’s allowed three runs across eight innings (four IP in each). He has not thrown more than 95 pitches at any point in 2020 and is extremely fresh and ready to long and strong. Note: The Dodgers have gone UNDER 8 times in franchise history with Walker Buehler at home when they won his last three starts, with the average final score clicking in at 5.25 rpg. Meanwhile, the Braves LH starter  Max Friedhas seen the  Braves go 12-1 in 13 starts in 2020, including 2-0 in the postseason. After tossing seven scoreless innings in Game 1 of the Wild Card Series hes ready to bring the heat again today in this key game 1 event. The Braves gone under in 8 straight tilt as a underdog in the first game of a series with rest after a game in where they scored 6+ runs and had 8+ hits.ATLANTA is 25-10 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.  Play UNDER |
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10-11-20 | Vikings v. Seahawks -7 | 26-27 | Loss | -102 | 35 h 3 m | Show | |
Seattle has owned this series in the recent past winning 6 of the L/7 meetings. The Vikings are 0-10 ATSL/10 coming off a win as a dog where they scored at least 24 points. The Vikings are 0-8 ATS L/8 coming off a win as a dog where they gained at least 400 yards. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 23-1 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 which qualifies for a ATS selection. NFL- Road underdogs vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - after 4 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 1-25 L/10 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -13.3 which qualifies under a ATS selection. Play on Seattle to cover |
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10-11-20 | Lakers v. Heat UNDER 216 | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 34 h 18 m | Show | |
The Heat have never for one second stopped working hard, and are now getting more physical as the series progresses . Now with the noose tightening on the Lakers and the Heats confidence surging, Im betting on a absolute war here in game 6 with defense and hard core bone breaking action to take center stage. Look for almost every shot to be contested in a hardcore battle that results in a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. Play UNDER |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +1.5 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 69 h 26 m | Show | |
Indianapolis is 1-9 SUL/10 on the AFC North road, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 SU/ATS when coming off a victory. Considering Cleveland actually looks viable and up-trending in my power rankings Im betting on them bringing us home cash here tonight. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) - off a upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two top-level teams ( 75% or better) are 32-6 L/37 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to cover |
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10-11-20 | Dolphins v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | 43-17 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami QB Fitzpatrick has thrown five interceptions, tied for third most in the NFL. His passer rating ranks 28th and now this week I expect he will be out to protect the ball and make shorter smarter passes buoyed by his teams running game which Im betting eats up alot of clock time. Meanwhile, the Niners struggled on the offensive line last week, allowing 16 pressures, which is not a good omen for offensive flow here today. With that said, Im betting this number is just a bit bloated and should be closer to 47.5/ giving us value to the under. Jimmy Garoppolo is questionable Sunday vs Miami ( Ankle ) and if he does play will be less than 100%. MIAMI is 34-19 UNDER versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored.MIAMI is 27-10 L/37 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. Play on the UNDER |
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10-11-20 | Raiders +12.5 v. Chiefs | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
Raiders-Chiefs has long been one of the NFL's bitter rivalries. The teams have met 122 times since their days together in the AFL, and the animosity has been there regardless whether the Raiders played in Oakland, Los Angeles or now Las Vegas. With that said, Im betting on this being a closely contested and very physical game. NFL Home favorites of 10.5 or more points (KANSAS CITY) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 5 through 9 are 14-44 ATS L/37 seasons for a 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on LAS Vegas to cover |
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10-11-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. Steelers | 29-38 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
 Philadelphia after floundering for much of their earlier games finally got things going with a impressive 25-20 win over San Francisco as 8 point dogs . It must be noted that the Eagles are 9-0-1 ATS L/10 covering by more than 10 ppg off a game as a dog where they covered. Meanwhile, last time out the Steelers, came back to beat Houston 28-21 covering as short chalk. But its interesting to note the  Steelers are just 0-8 ATS L/8 as a favorite of more than three points off a game as a favorite that they covered. the Eagles look to be up-trending  following a ugly start and thanks to a defense that's nearly Pittsburgh's equal when it comes to getting after the quarterback we have value taking points . .... take the points with the under rated underdog vs a very big public favorite. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-10-20 | Miami-FL v. Clemson -13.5 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 61 h 24 m | Show | |
Miami may be improved but their still not in the same category as the Clemson Tigers.Dabo has won 24 straight at home and in my humbler betting opinion will be motivated to romp here today. The last two meetings in this series, were 58-0 and 38-3 victories for Clemson. Rinse and repeat. CLEMSON is 11-2 ATS vs. sub par/average passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons with Clemson scoring an average of 50.2 ppg while allowing 12,2 ppg.CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200 or more rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by just under 30 ppg. Play on Clemson to cover |
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10-10-20 | Marshall v. Western Kentucky +7 | 38-14 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 18 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky does not have great numbers, but must not be underestimated as home dogs vs a Marshall side in a letdown situation after a huge win vs Appalachian State last time out. W KENTUCKY is 16-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.  Holliday is 8-18 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of MARSHALL. CFB home team (W KENTUCKY) - off a road win against a conference rival against opponent off a double digit upset win as an underdog of 6 more are 38-13 ATS L/28 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Kentucky to cover |
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10-10-20 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky -125 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 36 h 24 m | Show | |
10-10-20 | Temple v. Navy +3.5 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
This will be Temples first game of the season, while Navy will play their 4th game of the season. I know Navy has looked uneven to this point, but with this being the Owls first real game, the Midshipman could easily have an edge .With that said, Im recommending we take the points. NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. NAVY is 10-2 ATS after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Midshipmen are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.Midshipmen are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Play on Navy to cover |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
 My projections estimate this game to be decided by one score or less. I also  wont be surprised if the Wildcats win this game SU. I know QB Skylar Thompson's arm injury might be a problem, but according to some insiders he should still be able to play if things go south for his backup. Also after TCUs huge win vs Texas last time out I expect them to be in a letdown situation. In the past playing the Longhorns has not been a good come for TCU betting backers as they have lost the cash in 11 of 12 tilts. Patterson is 2-12 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog as the coach of TCU.The Wildcats have won four of the last five meetings with the Frogs and get my support here taking points. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State v. TCU OVER 50 | 21-14 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 15 m | Show | |
 QB Skylar Thompson's arm injury is not as bad as had earlier been anticipated and he will probably play and if he does not Will Howard who is extremely capable will admirably fill in. Kansas State has proven they can move the ball and Im betting they do it again today vs a TCU D in a letdown spot after a big win vs Texas last time out. On the flip side, the Frogs can also light up the board , behind QB   Duggan, a sophomore, who has thrown for 472 yards and three touchdown. Patterson is 20-9 OVER after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs as the coach of TCU with a combined average of 60.2 ppg scored. Kansas State is 19-0-1 OVER L/20 dating back to the 2006 season as a dog of at least three points coming off a home game where they allowed at least two points fewer than expected with a combined average of 69.6 ppg scored with none of the 20 tilts seeing less a combined score at less than this total. Play OVER |
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10-10-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida International -3.5 | 31-28 | Loss | -118 | 56 h 44 m | Show | |
Neither of these teams inspire confidence in most bettors, but according to my projections FIU is the superior side by 6 + points. CFB Road underdogs (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 4-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (MIDDLE TENN ST) - in conference games, off 2 covers where the team lost as an underdog are 3-34 L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at -20.4 ppg. Play on Florida International to cover |
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10-10-20 | UTSA +35.5 v. BYU | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show | |
 The Roadrunners are much improved and deserve respect here . With that said, Im betting on them to continue their viable ATS profit run that has seen them cover 7 of their L/9 9 vs. FBS programs and 4 of their last 5 as visitors. Hey BYU looks powerful, but this spread is just to big in my humble betting opinion. BYU has covered on 2 of their L/13 as 30 plus point chalk. UTSA has covered all 5 of their games where they were made 30+ point underdogs. CFB Home favorites (BYU) - an excellent offensive team (34 or more PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-34 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points are 20-50 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UTSA |
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10-10-20 | Tennessee +12.5 v. Georgia | 21-44 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a Tennessee side that has won 6 straight SEC tilts and 8 wins overall, must be respected here getting points vs Georgia . My projections actually make this a very close game that will be decided by 1 score or less. The Vols have also cashed 4 of their L/6 on the road as 10 or more point dogs and look like solid underdogs in this spot play. Also with revenge on board board for a ugly 43-14 loss in Knoxville last season, there will be lots of motivation for the Vols here on the road vs a Dawgs side that has failed to cash in 4 of their L/5 at home as DD SEC home favs. Note: Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in this series when out looking for revenge, including 5-0 ATS as a underdog. Smart is 4-12 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as the coach of GEORGIA. Play on Tennessee to cover |
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10-10-20 | Duke v. Syracuse +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -120 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
. Duke enters this contest winless in 4 trips to the gridiron and are being over rated here vs a Cuse side that looked good recently in a win vs GTech by a 37-20 victory. The Orange smashed Duke , 49-6 last season, and even though the Blue Devils might want revenge, Im betting their effort to avenge that loss wont come easily. It must be noted  the Devils are just 2-7 ATS in their L/9 attempts when playing with ACC revenge. SYRACUSE is 16-5 ATS L/21 in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry. SYRACUSE is 16-6 ATS L/22 in home games off a home win by 17 points or more. DUKE is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after allowing 37 points or more in 2 straight games. CFB  home team (SYRACUSE) - off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9 are 47-18 L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M +7 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 72 h 43 m | Show | |
Im one of these guys who believes Florida is over rated. You have to remember that this is a Gators side that did not play well against  South Carolina winning by a 38-24 count while failing to cover as 18 point favs and also gave up a crap load full of points in the 51-35 victory at Ole Miss. I know Texas A&M were soundly beaten by Alabama. But hey that was Alabama , so Im giving them a break . Note: Aggies HC Jimbo Fisher is 6-0 SU all-time when coming off a loss of more than 17 points. These teams have split their last four meetings with the last game in 2017 ending in a 19-17 A&M victory. With that said, I;ll take the points here in what Im betting will be a closely contested affair. Texas A&M are 15-3-3 ATS as conference home underdogs against opposition coming off a victory of 14 or more points, including 12-1 ATS as underdogs of less than 15 points. Take the the points with Texas A&M |
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10-10-20 | Virginia Tech +5 v. North Carolina | 45-56 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 52 m | Show | |
Both teams enter with 2-0 records overall and in ACC play. Virginia Tech despite of being short handed on a regular basis has found ways to win while North Carolina had played twice since Sept 12 and looked average at best this past Saturday in a 26-22 win at Boston College . The Hokies lead the ACC (3rd nationally) with 319 yards rushing yards per game, behind Khalil Herbert who leads the nation with a 156-yard per-game average. North Carolina leads the ACC, and the nation, in rushing defense at 54 yards per game. Strength against strength has me envisioning a stalemate type of tilt that will be closely contested.   VIRGINIA TECH is 15-5 ATS L/20 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. Virginia Tech has covered 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series. CFB team (VIRGINIA TECH) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 75-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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10-09-20 | Yankees -149 v. Rays | 1-2 | Loss | -149 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
NYY star starter Gerrit  Cole will pitch on short rest for the first time in his big league career, telling manager Aaron Boone, "Give me the ball." The ace fired 97 pitches in his Game 1 victory, permitting three runs on six hits over six innings. He walked two and struck out eight. Im betting he goes long and strong and for the Yankees to get the win here. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.Yankees are 11-4 in their last 15 games following a win.Yankees are 46-18 in their last 64 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff games.Yankees are 36-16 in their last 52 playoff games as a favorite. Rays are 5-11 in their last 16 Divisional Playoff games. Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 5 of a series. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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10-09-20 | Yankees v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Im going to be a contrarian here tonight in recommend we take the under. I know based on recency bias the over looks like a viable option. However these types of games are usually hotly contested affairs with both sides having no problem going to their bullpens quickly as they wont want the game to get out of hand. With two viable starters on the hill Cole and Glasnow, the under is my call.Under is 7-2 in Rays last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 8-3 in Rays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play UNDER |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears UNDER 45 | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Tom Brady and company have accumulated a whopping 97 points (32.3 points per game) in their L/3 trips to the gridiron. Knowing this Im betting on the Bears coming up with a very conservative game plan here on the road and try to slow this tilt down to a crawl. Note: With Tarik Cohen out for season the Bears offense in no way behind QB Foles is going to be fluid. (The Bears ran for just 28 yards last week) Also with Buccaneers WRs Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Mike Evans (ankle) missing this week TBs offense may not be as fluid. CHICAGO is 12-4 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 34.6 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston UNDER 60 | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
My numbers suggest this total should be closer to 54.5. So when looking at this game and trying to dissect value I see the under as a viable wager. This is Houstons first game of the season, and Im betting their offensive flow will be less than fluent out of the gate. Meanwhile, as is almost always the case defenses have an edge in preparedness early on in a teams season, I can see Houston ready to play on that front with 93% production back from last season on the defensive side of the ball. Also look for Tulane to pound the ball on the ground and to eat up plenty of clock time. The Green Wave have rushed on more than 52% of its plays and its become obvious to me QB Keon Howard is not a guy to go to the air much, giving credence to a much more subdued offensive performance. In 57 passes Howard has yet to throw a TD pass and has complete just 48% off 44 drops backs. Play on the UNDER |
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10-08-20 | Braves -136 v. Marlins | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
The Marlins just dont offer any value even in a do or die situation.Yes, I know Wright the Braves starter will not inspire bettors but, its obvious to me that the Marlins just dont have the might to take down a up-trending side like Atlanta thats playing like their on a mission. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite. Braves are 40-16 in their last 56 during game 3 of a series. It must be noted that the Marlins are 0-6 on the moneyline at home against a side that has won at least their last three tilts and are also a bankroll depleting 0-13 as a underdog of more than 110 on the ML in at least the 3rd game of a series when they are off a shutout loss and their opponents starter has an ERA of less than six which Wright has. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-07-20 | Rays v. Yankees -116 | 8-4 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
 NYY are 6-0 on the ML L/6 with Masahiro Tanaka on the hill after August when its line is within 20 cents of pickem. Rays are 4-10 in their last 14 Divisional Playoff games.Yankees are 38-17 in their last 55 during game 3 of a series. Play on NYY to win |
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10-07-20 | A's v. Astros -114 | 9-7 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Urquidy will make his second start of the postseason with Zack Greinke out due to right arm trouble. Urquidy went 4 1/3 innings against the Twins in the AL Wild Card Series, allowing one run on two hits in a no-decision. He has a 1.26 career ERA in the postseason and is worth backing here on what I see as a cheap price on a team that is in a groove. Athletics are 3-8 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.Athletics are 2-8 in their last 10 playoff games.Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games. Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 Divisional Playoff games. Play on Houston to win  |
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10-07-20 | Marlins v. Braves -200 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
These two starters Lopez and Anderson faced each other almost two weeks ago with the Marlins winning by a 4-2 count. With that said, it must be noted that the Braves are a money making 17-0 as a 120+ moneyline home chalk off a home game when they are seeking same-season revenge vs their oppositions starting hurler. Marlins are 11-30 in their last 41 during game 2 of a series.Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League East.  Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games.Braves are 38-16 in their last 54 games as a favorite. Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7 v. Heat | 102-96 | Loss | -111 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers did not look like they were into the last game at all, while Butler and company came out with their balls to the walls , and essentially embarrassed the Lakers in the work ethic department. LEBron does not like to be made a fool of, and so far in these play offs when LAL has lost (3 times) they have bounced back in a big way and have won those following tilts by an average of 13 points per game , and overall each time they have won in these play offs they have seen at least a14 point margin of victory. Remember the Lakers have done the same thing in the last two series losing 1 game before rolling to convincing efforts. NBAFavorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 36-5 L/24 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 ppg. Play on the LA Lakers to win |
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10-06-20 | Marlins v. Braves -189 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 52 h 35 m | Show | |
 My projections make the Braves a strong favorite here in game 1 of this series. Braves starter FRIED is 18-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 17-103 L/23 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate. MLB  favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (ATLANTA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 56-7 L/23 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on Atlanta to win |
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10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | 16-30 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams record are the polar opposite of each other with the Packers at 3-0 and the Falcons at 0-3. Truth is though neither side is as good or bad as their records might indicate. Bottom line here is the Falcons behind star QB Ryan will be able  to move the ball fluently vs a Packers defense that has allowed an NFL-worst 6.9 yards per play so far this season. I know Atlantas defence and coaching have looked atrocious from a defensive perspective blowing tow huge DD leads for losses, but getting points in this situation behind an explosive offense has me taking points here tonight. GREEN BAY is 8-20 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6 or more yards/play since 1992.ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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10-05-20 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 7 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
 AMERICAN League Playoffs - LDS - Best Of 5 - Game 1 - San Diego, CA  The Yankees and Rays meet in the postseason for the first time when the American League East rivals open the best-of-five AL Division Series in San Diego on Monday. The Yankees and the Rays offense has been hitting on all cylinders of late. Making this to to very vulnerable total and a positive for us cashing a over bet. Note: The Rays are 8-0 L/8 OVER in the first game of a home series with rest after a tilt where they connected for 12+ hits, producing 7.12 runs per game in offense. Also Cole the Yankees starter despite of going 7-3 with a 2.84 ERA in the regular season has some sub standard efforts vs the Rays recording a 4.96 ERA and allowed five of his 14 homers in three starts against Tampa Bay. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 8-0 OVER L/8 off a game as chalk when their opposition starter has a strike-per-ball ratio of less than 1.6 on the season. The Yankees have seen their offense produce 8 runs ppg and allowed an average of 6.6 rpg under the above perimeters.  BOONE is 30-11 OVER after a 5 game span with an OBP of .375 or better as the manager of NY YANKEES with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (NY YANKEES) - after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 40-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-04-20 | Eagles v. 49ers -7 | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 50 m | Show | |
The deep Niners rallied around backup QB Nick Mullens last week as the pivot was 25-of-36 for 343 yards and was exceptional in key down situations. I cannot say the same about Carson Wentz of the Eagles. Traveling from East to west is not an easy task especially in a letdown state after a come from behind 23-23 OT tilt last week. Niners all the way here. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS L/6 seasons as road dogs against NFC West opposition. NFL away teams, following an overtime tie like the Philadelphia Eagles – are 0-15 SU dating back 32 seasons. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 27-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at +12.8 ppg which qualifies under this side call. Play on San Francisco to cover |
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10-04-20 | Lakers -9.5 v. Heat | 104-115 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - NBA Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Lake Buena Vista, FL Playing without point guard Goran Dragic (plantar fasciitis) and center Bam Adebayo (neck/shoulder strain), two of its three best players Miami looked to be in trouble last time out and with these two key cogs out or at less than 100% again this Heat side is in trouble. The only reason why the Lakers only won buy 10 points last time out , was because the Heat enjoyed a 34-17 free-throw disparity and I can't see that repeating itself here today. With the smell of NBA championship in the air for James and Davis, its not a difficult decision for me to back them here again. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 41-73 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders UNDER 53.5 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
I know we have to good QBs on the field today with Carr and Allen taking snaps, but because of this and some recency bias we have a total that is bloated and only good for public consumption. BUFFALO is 9-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 30.2 ppg scored. McDermott is 6-0 UNDER in road games after a win by 6 or less points as the coach of BUFFALO with a combined average of 33 points per game going on the board. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LAS VEGAS) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 22-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
The Bills built a 28-3 lead last week vs the Rams before running out of gas, and finally had to come from behind in their last drive of the game to come up with a win. Now winded and in a emotional letdown spot, Im betting the Raiders who will be primed to bounce back off a loss to make a game out of this here in Vegas in their new diggs and get us the cover. NFL Favorites (BUFFALO) - off a home win, in the first month of the season are just 43-81 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 65% for bettors. Raiders are 5-0 SU L/5 meetings in this series. Play on Las Vegas to cover |
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10-04-20 | Colts v. Bears +3 | 19-11 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Acquired from Jacksonville in the offseason, Foles took over in the third quarter at Atlanta last week and threw three touchdowns in the fourth as Chicago wiped out a 16-point deficit to win 30-26 and now the team feels confident and re-energized and are viable home underdogs here today. |
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10-04-20 | Jaguars +3 v. Bengals | 25-33 | Loss | -106 | 53 h 30 m | Show | |
Bengals rookie QB Joe Burrow gets little to no protection from his offensive line. The kid was sacked 8 times last week and the pressure he faces from DLs is fascinatingly ugly. This no 1 draft pick spends more time on his back than a Bunny Ranch sub -contractor. After getting public money and being favored in both their games so far this season and falling flat on their faces, I wont be surprised if their upset again, and more importantly I really dont believe they should be chalk against anyone in the NFL just yet despite of the promise of their young pivot. Note: The Jags are 9-0-3 ATS against the AFC North while the Bengals are 0-4 ATS L/4 vs AFC south as hosts. NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (JACKSONVILLE) - with a poor turnover defense - forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse are 49-20 L/37 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Jacksonville Jags to cover |
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10-04-20 | Browns +5 v. Cowboys | 49-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7 | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 52 h 31 m | Show | |
 The Sooners (1-1, 0-1 Big 12) have won five consecutive conference titles and have reached the College Football Playoff for three consecutive seasons, but their ability to continue either of those streaks is in doubt after last week's 38-35 loss to Kansas State. Now in desperation mode, Im betting they will come out here ready to play, but the linesmakers knowing this and playing to public sentiment have over evaluated this line giving us value with the underdog. The series has been largely lopsided with the Sooners winning 20 of the last 21 meetings and 24 consecutive games in Ames since 1961. But since Matt Campbell's arrival, the Cyclones have been competitive against Oklahoma. Each of the last four meetings has been decided by 10 or fewer points and Iowa State pulled off an upset at Oklahoma in 2017. CFB road team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate. CFB Road favorites (OKLAHOMA) - excellent offensive team (440 ot more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-69 ATS L/28 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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10-03-20 | Southern Miss v. North Texas -120 | 41-31 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
North Texas plays their best football at home where they have won 16 of their L/20 games, ande must be respected vs a Southern Miss team that has lost their first 3 games of the season. CFB Home favorites vs. the money line (NORTH TEXAS) - excellent offensive team (440 or moreYPG) against a team with a terrible defense (440 or more YPG), after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 33-1 L/10 years for a 97% conversion rate. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SOUTHERN MISS) - with a terrible rushing D - allowing 225 or more rushing yards/game, after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game are 6-28 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on North Texas to cover |
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10-03-20 | Arkansas +17 v. Mississippi State | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Arkansas' offense Im betting will flow  against Mississippi State and have more favorable results than it did against Georgia's top tier D. Meanwhile, Miss State off a huge win last week vs LSU will now find themselves in a letdown spot. With that said we have value with the Arkansas Razorbacks to cover .  Play on Arkansas to cover |
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10-03-20 | Navy v. Air Force UNDER 46 | 7-40 | Loss | -104 | 50 h 50 m | Show | |
Both these sides Air Force and Navy key on running the ball which grinds down alot of clock time. Both sides also know how to defend against the run especially from a similar opponent like they will face today. This adds up to a tilt that Im betting lands under this totals number. It must be noted that in games involving two of the three service academy programs a 35-9-1 record to the under has been registered for a  80% conversion rate. Last time out Navy made a huge comeback to win 27-24 after being down 24-0 at the half. Now in a huge letdown situation and rusty after a extended two week break Im also betting their offense has another Narcoleptic episode.  Niumatalolo is 17-3 UNDER after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game as the coach of NAVY. Also Niumatalolo is 20-4 UNDER in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as the coach of NAVY while averaging just 19.8 ppg on offense. Play UNDER |
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10-03-20 | Navy v. Air Force +7 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 50 h 49 m | Show | |
The Air Force Falcons have won eight consecutive games going back to last season, which matches Notre Dame for the nation's longest active winning streak. Navy has lost three consecutive games in Colorado Springs and Im betting if they win today it will not come easily. Niumatalolo is 7-16 ATS in road games after a bye week as the coach of NAVY CFB Road favorites (NAVY) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 22-55 ATS L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on Air Force to cover |
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10-03-20 | Memphis v. SMU +2.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 47 h 21 m | Show | |
This SMU side deserves respect here vs Memphis as they ride a 12-2 SU record that dates back to last season. This season they are 3-0 averaging 562 yards per game and 49 points. Note:  SMU HC Sonny Dykes owns a 5-0 SU record  when coming off three wins-exact and get the nod again today.  SMU is 6-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. Dykes is 6-0 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games as the coach of SMU. CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite, after the first month of the season are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. CFB home team vs. the money line (SMU) - after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 40-5 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SMU |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 47 h 18 m | Show | |
CFB home team vs. the money line (KANSAS ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.6 YPP), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 27-4 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Kansas State to cover |
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10-03-20 | South Florida +21 v. Cincinnati | 7-28 | Push | 0 | 47 h 16 m | Show | |
10-03-20 | North Carolina v. Boston College +14 | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show | |
Boston College behind HC Jeff Hafley are off to a 2-0 start, including victories against  Duke and Texas State. With the Golden Eagles 6-1-1 ATS as a conference home dog I looked closely at them to get us the cover today vs North Carolina .   Considering since game day, it will be three weeks since UNC last played with this being their first road game Im betting they will be rusty and less cohesive than they need to be vs a scarppy side giving us the edge we need with BC to cover at home as DD dogs. |
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10-03-20 | NC State +14 v. Pittsburgh | 30-29 | Win | 100 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
NC State's defense despite of some hickups had success pressuring the quarterback in the Wake Forest game, registering six sacks in that outing and Im betting they can replicate that here today on their way to a cover vs a hyped 3-0 public favorite( Pittsburgh) The L/4 times that Pittsburgh found themselves at 3-0 they failed to cash for their backers. I know Pitts D, looks strong but NC States offense looks capable of keeping pace . Take the points with NC State to cover |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech +24.5 v. BYU | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Thanks to recency bias of a 2-0 and 103-10 winning deficit to start their season BYU has been raised to its highest bar in seasons. However, a natural letdown is expected by me vs a Skip Holtz side that must not be underestimated in its ability to stay within the 24 point plus line . Holtz as a Road Underdog is 23-9 ATS L/32 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.  Louisiana Tech can really make a game fast and their pace right now is at 24.8 seconds per play. The offense has run 90% of plays through the 10 formation, and have gone to the air in 60% of those downs and overall ranked top 20 through two games in passing success rate behind the arm of Luke Anthony. When your looking to back a underdog like this I truly have always believed that that teams needs to be offensively efficient with a quick strike ability, and we have that with LA Tech. BYU s 0-7 ATS as double-digit favorite when playing off back-to-back wins against an opponent coming off a double-digit victory like LA Tech. Play on LA Tech to cover |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets UNDER 41.5 | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Denver and the NY Jets have showed very little flow on offence this season. Denver ranks 30th in DVOA and the NY Jets ranks 31st in DVOA. Both sides have offensive ,line and QB issues, not a good recipe for a high scoring affair, which favors the under.   DENVER is 6-0 UNDER in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.2 ppg going on the board. DENVER is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons for a combined average of 33.9 ppg scored. NY JETS are 6-0 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 33 ppg going on the score board. NFL Home teams against the total (NY JETS) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after 3 straight losses by 10 or more points are 26-6 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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10-01-20 | White Sox +109 v. A's | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
09-30-20 | Brewers +210 v. Dodgers | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
Brent Suter will start a bullpen game for the Brewers in Game 1, functioning as the "opener" because Milwaukee's starting rotation has been thinned by injury. In 16 appearances (four starts) this season, Suter posted a 3.13 ERA over 31 2/3 innings, with a 29.4 percent strikeout rate. Im betting he goes long and strong here and helps his team find a way to victory over the dodgers and their starter Buehler who has had blisters problems.  BUEHLER is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE.
Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA DODGERS) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a below avg starting pitcher (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season are just 20-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play Milwaukee Brewers |
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09-30-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 217.5 | 98-116 | Loss | -104 | 48 h 54 m | Show | |
At their current paces this game projects off as being a tilt that reaches the 220 point plateau which gives us an edge on this number to the OVER. Im betting both sides score more than 108 ppg each. Note: LA LAKERS are 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season. MIAMI is 46-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.4 ppg. When these teams played earlier this season they combined for 223 points. MIAMI is 21-12 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season with a combined average of 219.4 ppg. MIAMI is 20-9 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 226 ppg. M2IAMI is 18-8 OVER after a combined score of 235 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 223.8 ppg. Play OVER |
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09-30-20 | White Sox +118 v. A's | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel (LHP)0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO---After batting through back spasms and back soreness, the veteran southpaw has allowed one run in 10 innings during his two starts since returning. Keuchel is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA in his playoff history.The pitching matchup is strength vs. strength, with Bassitt 2-1 with a 0.72 ERA in six home starts this season while Keuchel has pitched his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 1.60 ERA in seven starts. White Sox are primed candidates for a wild car win and upset here today according to my projections. MLB team (OAKLAND) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series, after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 11-29 L/23 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on White Sox |
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09-30-20 | Reds v. Braves -130 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show | |
Braves starter  FRIED is 17-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 30-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FRIED is 16-3 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds starter BAUER is 3-10 against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 16-2 against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season.(Which was the case in their L/reg season game) )MLB  Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 6-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win |
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09-29-20 | White Sox v. A's +115 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Jesus Luzardo (LHP)0-0, -.-- ERA, 0 SO--gets his first playoff start after an electric postseason debut of three shutout innings out of the bullpen in last year’s Wild Card Game. The exhilarating left-hander finished second among rookies with 59 strikeouts, and looks to help his team cash a ticket for us as underdogs. Meanwhile, White Sox starter  GIOLITO is 2-10 against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 50-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 6-0 against CHI WHITE SOX over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 over his last 5 starts are 41-15 L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on the Oakland As to win |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 9 m | Show | |
I really feel comfortable taking points with the Chiefs . You have to remember Mahomes has in his pro football career never lost a game in the month of September , going 9-0 SU and must be respected getting points here vs a huge public favorite in Baltimore. Baltimore is 0-10 ATS as a single-digit favorite when coming off consecutive SUATS victories. Chiefs’ 11-0 ATS mark away off consecutive wins when facing AFC. KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. NFL Underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. NFL Road underdogs or pick (KANSAS CITY) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on KC Chiefs to cover |
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09-28-20 | Lightning -157 v. Stars | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 29 m | Show | |
Thanks to a double-overtime victory on Saturday to force Game 6 on Monday in Edmonton, the Stars are still alive in the Stanley Cup Final , but Im betting that will be short lived. |
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09-27-20 | Packers v. Saints -3 | 37-30 | Loss | -108 | 59 h 7 m | Show | |
Saints lost to Vegas last time out, which to some was surprising. I was not surprised after an emotional win vs Tom Brady in week one that had the Saints in a let down state vs aa Raiders side that wanted to make a big impression out of the gate in their new diggs. Now Im betting QB Drew Bress will be ready to bounce back here against a Green Bay team getting alot of media play after huge offensive outputs in their first two tilts. It must be noted that Saints QB Brees is 24-10 ATS in his career in non-division games when coming off a non-division defeat and the Saints are a perfect  8-0 SUATS in their last eight home games on Sunday night football. Payton is 20-10 ATS against NFC North division opponents as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 34-17 ATS off a non-conference game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. Payton is 28-13 ATS off a road loss as the coach of NEW ORLEANS. NFL team against the total (GREEN BAY) - off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a division rival, in September games are 18-47 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. New Orleans to cover |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 214 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Nothing in this series so far suggests that either teams offense will continue to average less than they have so far. Anything is possible, but remember we are playing the odds based on the data at hand, which suggests from a projections stand point that both teams will score more than 106 points each in what the lines-makers expect to be a closely contested affair. Boston really pushed against the Heat in the 4th quarter last time, and Im betting knowing that the Heat will want to open up and push the pace to keep the Celtics from setting up in the half court. Advantage OVER.  MIAMI is 45-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the combined average score of 233.3 ppg scored. BOSTON is 34-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234.1 ppg. MIAMI in 18 games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of those tilts clicking in at 223.7 ppg. Miami in 18 Atlantic division affairs this season have seen a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MIAMI) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 75-40 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys +5 v. Seahawks | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 25 m | Show | |
 Seattle QB Russell Wilson has looked explosive in the early going this season and Dallas has been less than sizzling and that in part is why we getting an off line to bet into here with the underdog Cowboys. It also must be noted that the Seahawks despite of their offensive fireworks behind a deep flow offense has been blitzed defensively and out-gained in each of their two wins as is evident by allowing a whopping 970 yards . Key to this game: Dallas leads the NFL with 41 plays of 10 yards or more through the first two games. Seattle has allowed the most plays of 10 yards or more with 47. Cowboys are a live dog based on current status of both sides real data. DALLAS is 16-4 ATS in road games after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992. (They came back big last time and carry that momen tun into this tilt) McCarthy is 14-4 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1992. NFLHome favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-25 ATS L/37 years for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NFLUnderdogs or pick (DALLAS) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game are 28-5 ATS L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas to cover |
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09-27-20 | Mets v. Nationals +136 | 5-15 | Win | 136 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Even with an expanded postseason field, the New York Mets will not play October baseball for the fourth consecutive year and today will be just going through the motions. Good spot to bet against them.Meanwhile, the Nationals will look to avoid becoming only the third defending World Series champion to finish last the following year when they host the Mets in the finale of the pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign. Needless to say the Nats will be more motivated than their opponents. Play on Washington to win |
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09-27-20 | Bengals +4.5 v. Eagles | 23-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 22 m | Show | |
The Bengals have had success for their betting backers  in this series covering 10 straight times and get my support here again today.PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Im not liking what I see from the Eagles so far, and according to my power rankings this game should be closer to the FG thus giving us a line advantage edge. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover |
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09-27-20 | Bengals v. Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 23-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
Both teams have been plagued by injuries on the offensive line and because of this Im betting offensive flow will be hampered here this week. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 40.4 ppg.  PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 37.8 ppg scored. Pederson is 8-1 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average score of 35.8 ppg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER in road games off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog since 1992 with a combined average of 32.2 ppg scored. NFL Home teams against the total (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite are 24-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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09-27-20 | Rams v. Bills -1 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 51 h 59 m | Show | |
Quarterback Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills - a team previously known for having a defense-first reputation now look to have an offense to go with their defense and good easily be in my humble opinion dark horse for a super bowl win. Don't laugh to loud, but it took him some time but Allen after looking NFL ready in his final College campaign with Wyoming is finally coming of age after a slow start to his career as is evident by his  729 yards passing, which ranks the Bills first in yards passing, third in yards gained and are tied for sixth in scoring 58 points. Im a believer and will take my stand with them today at home as short favs. BUFFALO is 21-9 ATS against NFC West division opponents since 1992. NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (LA RAMS) - off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival are 2-27 L/10 seasons for a go against 93% conversion rate. Play on Buffalo to win |
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