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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-17-19 | Mets +106 v. Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
Two quality hurlers go head to head today, but the value attached to road dog makes the Mets my choice this afternoon. I know Wheeler has been subpar out of the gate, but his stuff continues on a upward trajectory. Wheeler the Mets starter this afternoon is 3-0 with a 3.96 ERA lifetime in Philadelphia and 4-1 with a 3.36 ERA in 10 total starts against the Phillies. Meanwhile Phillies starter Arrieta is 2-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 career outings against the Mets. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 17-35 L/5seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win on the ML |
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04-16-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 218 | 94-114 | Loss | -109 | 37 h 53 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - POR Leads 1-0 The first game of this series was low scoring ,but that matchup was an anomaly as compared to the 4 previous meetings between these teams this season which were all high scoring affairs with 250, 231,237, 220 combined points scored. Im betting on a return to the previous type of offensive affairs in game 2 of this series. PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER in home games versus teams that are allowing - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 242.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games are126-84 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play Over |
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04-16-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6.5 | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0 Denver lost a101-96 decision to the San Antonio Spurs in Game 1 of the Western Conference quarterfinal series thanks to some atrocious shooting by key players. Note:The Nuggets shot just 42% from the field and 6-of-28 from 3 and still almost won. Now in a must-win situation for Denver as; (a loss drops the No. 2 seed in an 0-2 hole heading back to San Antonio for two games ) Im betting the Nuggets young guns nerves now settled come out here and play like nbnbtheir hairs on fire and get us the win and cover. NBA play off seeds (1-3) have historically hit a 58% conversion rate when playing as a home favorite after a loss and non-cover. SAN ANTONIO is 8-18 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is 12-3 ATS in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play onDenver Nuggets |
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04-16-19 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +120 | 3-7 | Win | 120 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - COB Leads 3-0 The Tampa Bay Lightning have not had a real slump all season long and now suddenly their in one and having difficulties dealing with the adversity and strong possibility of being swept in four straight games. Since taking a 3-0 lead in the first period of Game 1, the Lightning have been outscored 12-2 by the Jackets. With key cog Victor Hedman (, last year's Norris Trophy winner as the league's top defenseman) the Bolts the Presidents Trophy winners are in trouble against a Jackets team very ready to end this series at home as they don't want to give the Lightning a chance a staging a comeback. COLUMBUS is 17-5 ATS (after a 5 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons. Take ColUMBUS on the moneyline |
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04-16-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees -102 | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Two struggling AL rivals go head to head tonight in NY. The Yankees thanks to a lineup dealing with injuries has faltered out of the gate, while the Red Sox deal with a nasty world series hangover. In todays matchup the Yankees have the advantage of playing at home and another edge against a top tier hurler in Chris Sale that is probably pitching his absolute worst at the moment. Sale has said he cant remember being this inconsistent with his location in his career. With that said Im betting Yankees starter Paxton who is 2-0 along with a 2.13 ERA in 4 career starts vs the BoSox to get us the win here tonight. BOONE is 17-3 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse as the manager of NY YANKEES MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, playing on Tuesday are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees |
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04-15-19 | Clippers +13.5 v. Warriors | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 In true zig zag theory Im going to take the points here with the LA Clippers on a value spread. I know Golden State has owned this series of late, but I saw enough from them in game 1 to feel comfortable taking points with them here in game 2. GOLDEN STATE is 11-27 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 23-10 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. LA CLIPPERS are 14-5 ATS off a road loss this season. NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a loss against a division rival are 94-47 ATS L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent offensive team (102 r more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102r more PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more are 60-90 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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04-15-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Golden State prevailed by blocking 14 shots, limiting the Clippers to 40.4 percent shooting , but both still still a combined 225 points went on the board in game 1 of this series in the Warriors 121-104 win. Im now expecting theClippers to come out here more aggressively as they try to keep track with the explosive Dubs in a game I have pegged to go over the set total. Note: The LA CLIPPERS in their L/18 games off a road loss this season have combined to average for 235.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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04-15-19 | Indians v. Mariners -101 | 6-4 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
The Mariners are off being swept by the Houston Astros and will be primed for a bounce back win here tonight at home vs the visiting Cleveland Indians. Note: Bauer the Tribes starter is just 1-4 with a 4.60 ERA in eight career appearances against Seattle, including seven starts. The Mariners are 13-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that has lost at least their last two games. SEATTLE is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more are 18-48 L/5 seasons for ago against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle to win on the ML |
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04-15-19 | Flames v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 2-6 | Win | 101 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Avalanche, coming off the 3-2 win in Calgary on Saturday night, to tie this series at 1 game apiece had even more good news as they announced the signing Sunday morning of 20 year old Hobey Award winning Cale Makar who is considered a generational talent.This kid is a real game changer, and will see the Avs flying here tonight on home ice, which is worth a full goal according to my estimates which makes for a solid over wager in this spot. CALGARY is 13-4 OVER revenging a home loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.5 gpg. Over is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Over is 5-1 in Capitals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on the OVER |
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04-15-19 | Bruins +105 v. Maple Leafs | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 The Bruins played a far more physical game Saturday and limited the skating game of the Maple Leafs, who took the opener 4-1. The Leafs could not match the Bs physicality and Im betting will once again have issues here in game 3. Bruins are 10-3 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bruins are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play on Boston to win on the ML |
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04-15-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Washington won 4-2 on home ice in the series opener and followed with a 4-3 overtime victory Saturday. Carolina never led in either game and now 2 games down in tjis best of 7 series and now Im betting the Canes come out here in high octane fashion and go into full attack mode and for the defending champs to answer back which will make for a game that will see 6 + combined goals go on the score board. WASHINGTON is 17-9 OVER against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season. WASHINGTON is 7-1 OVER after winning their previous game in overtime this season. NHL Road teams against the total (WASHINGTON) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in April games are 33-17 over L/5 seasons for a 66%conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -6 | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 75 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The last playoff series to tip off in the NBA’s first round is the No. 5 Utah Jazz visiting the No. 4 Houston Rockets in the Western Conference on Sunday night. This is a rematch from last season’s Western Conference semifinals. . The Rockets took the series in five games, with every game in the series decided by at least eight points and Im betting this game will follow suit. Im betting on the Rockets super star Harden who led the league in scoring at 36.1 ppg, more than 8 points better than No. 2 Paul George to once again lead the way . Note: Harden’s average is the most since Michael Jordan’s 37.1 in 1986-87. Rockets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Rockets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.NBA Underdogs (UTAH) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)are 17-62 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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04-14-19 | Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 214.5 | 90-122 | Win | 100 | 54 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Rockets despite of their explosiveness rank 26th in the NBA in pace and own the 10 best D in the league, and they have gone under the set total in 14 of their L/19 games entering the play offs. Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz own the 4th best ppg D in the league, and bae all their successes and failures on their ability to play D, and here on the road in Houston Im betting they turn this tilt in a slug fest as they try to take the Rockets out of their flow, which will result in a lower score play off affair. HOUSTON is 24-9 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 13-5 UNDER against Northwest division opponents this season. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-14-19 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) Houstons Cole (0-2, 3.32 ERA) is still searching for his first victory of the season, while Seattles starter Gonzales (4-0, 3.16) has won each of his starts and offers us value on the runline . SEATTLE is 11-3 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. MLB team (SEATTLE) - excellent speed team - averaging 1 or more SB's/game on the season, on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games and are 48-17 L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. MLB underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 190 to +165) (SEATTLE) - good hitting team (AVG .285 or better ) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less ) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL 38-6 L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle on the RL |
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04-14-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 49 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Boston ranked 8th in ppg defence this season and 16th in pace, and 14th in offence. Meanwhile, Indiana ranked 1st in ppg allowed, 24th in pace, and 22nd on offence and base all their successes and failures on this stopping abilities. Nothing will change today as they force an inconsistent Boston side, in operating in a defensive mode as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. INDIANA is 15-4 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. INDIANA is 22-8 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46%or more of their shots this season NBA team (BOSTON/INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 30-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (INDIANA/BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, in April games are 25-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-13-19 | Astros v. Mariners +159 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 4 m | Show | |
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) Verlander the Astros hurler is a top tier hurler, but the way the Mariners are hitting scoring 66 runs in 7 games going into Friday nights action, any hurler they face right now could end up as cannon fodder. With that said, there is value with the home dog tonight. Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League West.Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.Mariners are 14-2 in their last 16 games on grass.Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.Astros are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. HOUSTON is 12-18 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62%or better ) over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 8-1 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this seasonSEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. MLB team (SEATTLE) - excellent speed team - averaging 1 or more SB's/game on the season, on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games are 48-15 L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Seattle to win on the ML |
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04-13-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins +150 | 1-4 | Win | 150 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - TOR Leads 1-0 |
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04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Raptors are an explosive side, but their D, was key to their successes this season and ranked 4th in defensive efficiency this season. Meanwhile, Orlando, ranked 5th in ppg allowed behind the 25th ranked pace and the 24th ppg ranked offence and obviously got to the post season thanks to their methodic defensive nature and nothing will change today. ORLANDO is 21-8 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 207 ppg. Clifford is 23-11 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots as the coach of ORLANDO with a combine average of 211 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in Magic last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Magic last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 13-6 in Raptors last 19 Conference Quarterfinals games.NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 52-23 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.Play UNDER |
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04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors -9 | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Im expecting the Toronto Raptors to shut the Orlando Magic down today, on their way to a DD win. Toronto after recent early departures from the play offs have a huge chip on their shoulders and will be out to get some real momentum going. ( LATE STEAM) Magic are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games. NBA Underdogs (ORLANDO) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 17-45 L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto Raptors to cover |
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04-13-19 | Hurricanes +145 v. Capitals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - WAS Leads 1-0 The Hurricanes were No.1 in the NHL in expected goals for per 60 minutes and expected goal differential per 60 minutes this season and must not be underestimated in their ability to pull of a upset here tonight vs the defending Stanley Cup Champion Washington Capitals. CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 9-15 ATS in home games when leading in a playoff series since 1996. Play on Carolina to win on the ML |
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04-13-19 | Nets +7 v. 76ers | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 Brooklyn has come along way and are now in the play offs, for the first time in a very long time, and Im betting they will be sky high here and leave everything on the floor here in game 1. I know the Nets dont have much play off experience but it must be noted that During the last 13 seasons, road teams without playoff experience are 74-47-4 (61.2%) ATS in the first round when taking on an opponent that made the postseason the year before. Meanwhile, Philadelphia enters these play offs suffering with a few nagging injuries to key players Joel Embiid(knee) and Jimmy Butler (back) and could find themselves in a real battle. Note: During their meetings in the regular season, the Nets outscored the 76ers by 40 points in 58 minutes with Embiid off the floor. Nets have the deeper bench in this series and get the nod from me to cover in game 1. Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.Nets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic. 76ers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half are 19-44 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate. Brooklyn to cover |
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04-12-19 | Rockies v. Giants -131 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L) Pomeranz has never lost to the Rockies, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in four meetings, including two starts. He's struck out 18 in 14 innings in those games, allowing seven hits, all singles and gets the nod again in this spot play.While winless, the San Francisco lefty has limited the Rays and Dodgers to a total of four runs in nine innings in his two starts. Bettis, the Rockies starter on the other hand, has been roughed up for 12 runs (11 earned) in 8 1/3 innings. BOCHY is 33-15 against the money line in home games after shutting out a division rival as the manager of SAN FRANCISCO. Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 overall.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 1-10 in their last 11 games following a loss.Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Rockies are 0-8 in their last 8 games on grass. Rockies are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in San Francisco.Play on SF Giants to win on the ML |
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04-12-19 | Blues +103 v. Jets | 4-3 | Win | 103 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - STL Leads 1-0 The St.Louis Blues have been one of the best teams in the NHL since January and are now one of the dark horses for a Stanley Cup in my humble opinion. Whether the Blues are able to manifest a shot a Stanley Cup finals appearance, is of not importance here tonight, as they matchup very well vs the Winnipeg team that staggered in the play offs losing 7 of their L/10 and very much look like fade material. St.Louis look stoic and completed unbothered by the crowd in their game 1 victory here and Winnipeg and a repeat performance by the Blues is a viable investment opportunity. WINNIPEG is 7-14 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.ST LOUIS is 11-2 ATS against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.ST LOUIS is 17-3 ATS against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Play on St.Louis to win on the ML |
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04-12-19 | Penguins v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Isles have slowed down most of their opponents this season, but Pittsburgh a team that bases their successes and failures on converting pp opportunities and attacking consistently in transition, the Isles will be forced to up their tempo and keep pace. With that said, Im betting a combined score here that eclipses this total. PITTSBURGH is 30-17 OVER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.7 gog scored and 18-7 OVER against excellent defensive teams - allowing 2.4or less goals/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7 gpg. PITTSBURGH is 25-9 OVER after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 71. gpg scored. Over is 6-1-3 in Penguins last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Play OVER |
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04-12-19 | Phillies v. Marlins +1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. SANDY ALCANTARA (R) Friday's pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: Miami's Sandy Alcantara (1-0, 1.50 ERA) against Philadelphia's Jake Arrieta (1-1, 2.77).Friday's pitching matchup features a pair of right-handers: Alcantara is overpowering at times with a fastball that averages 95.8 mph and has hit 100 mph and gets my support here on a +1.5 runline. Meanwhile, Arrietas looks to be down trending, as his ERA has gone up in each of his last three seasons (from 3.10 to 3.53 to 3.96) and in his most recent start, he got just one swing-and-miss in seven innings of a loss to the Minnesota Twins and is fade material here in this spot play. PHILADELPHIA is 11-18 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 season.
MLB Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (MIAMI) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a below avg bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season are 43-10 L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Miami Marlins on the RL |
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04-12-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
DAVID HESS (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) Red sox Starter left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez has struggled out of the gate this season, but Im betting he will right his ship here against the Baltimore Orioles tonight a team my power ranking suggest he matches up well against. Red Sox are 0-16 under with Eduardo Rodriguez when their opponent is averaging more than 7.6 strike outs a game and they lost in his last start with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. BOSTON is 22-9 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons. BALTIMORE is 17-6 UNDER with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings over the last 3 seasons MLB Road teams (BALTIMORE) - after two straight games where they had 5 or less hits, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games are 116-59 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-12-19 | Blue Jackets +230 v. Lightning | 5-1 | Win | 230 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
How brave do you have to be to chase value? Having courage is definitely an asset you will need tonight, as I recommend we take the the Columbus Blue Jackets . Yes, I know the prevailing view is that the President Cup Champs after being upset in game 1 of this series by a 4-3 count will come here and beat up on the Jackets. However, that might be easier said, than done, as the Jackets have shown flashes of brilliance all season long and must not be underestimated. Also from a line point of view, the lines-makers are asking a ridiculous price to back the Bolts, almost 40cents more than game 1. Im all about value, and favorites can also offer value, but at this price its difficult for me to pass on the under appreciated underdog Columbus. Win or lose I must take this opportunity to muscle in and cash a plus ticket. These teams have spilt the L/6 most recent meetings in this series.Blue Jackets are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Play on Columbus to win on the ML |
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04-11-19 | Pirates v. Cubs -129 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. JOSE QUINTANA (L) Jose Quintana (0-1, 10.29 ERA), who will also make his third appearance (second start) of the campaign is coming off an ugly start in which he gave up eight runs, all earned, on eight hits in three innings against the Milwaukee Brewers. Im betting Quintana will be primed to bounce back. Cubs are 6-0 on the ML in franchise history with Jose Quintana when he went fewer than five five innings in his last start . Quintana is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in five career starts against the Pirates. He has 29 strikeouts in 28 innings. MUSGROVE the Pirate starter is 1-12 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record) I know the Cubs have struggled but tonight they get my support. Note: MADDON is 23-5 against the money line in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games as the manager of CHICAGO CUBS. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite, a terrible team (38% or less) playing a team with a winning record are 34-11 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) - off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 8-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cubs on the ML |
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04-11-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 This is the second year in a row that the Leafs and Bruins will meet in Round 1 of the NHL Playoffs. Boston won last season 4 games to 3, despite of relinquishing a 3-1 lead. Boston’s successes and failures are based on playing a top tier brand of defence.. The boys from Beantown are near the top of the league allowing scoring chances and shot attempts and are never easy to score on. Meanwhile, Torontos key to success is their offence, but at the end of the season their ability to bury the biscuit was consistently stymied, scoring 2 goals or less in 7 of their L/11 tilts. With that said, Im betting the Bruins D, against a talented but struggling offence, will stand tall here, and to try to play shut down hockey and themselves do their scoring in transition, which will make for a chippy affair, that will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 12-5 UNDER against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. BOSTON is 18-8 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 5.4 gpg. TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-11-19 | A's v. Orioles UNDER 9.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
AARON BROOKS (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R Baltimore hasn't done much on offense the past two games, scoring a total of five runs while watching Oakland's offensive fireworks. Im betting on the Orioles offense to continue to falter, but today Im expecting their pitching to hold up enough to limit the As offence as well. Bundy the Orioles starter is 2-0 with a 3.60 career ERA in four appearances (three starts) against the A's. Note:BALTIMORE is 27-12 UNDER in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-10-19 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 218.5 | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Denver can claim the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with a win over Minnesota on Wednesday night. So you can bet they will play hard shutdown basketball here. Look for the banged up Minnesota Wolves to just go through the motions here, in the high altitudes of the Mile High City in what Im betting will be a lower scoring game the public might expect. DENVER is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 47-18 UNDER L2 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-10-19 | Stars +150 v. Predators | 3-2 | Win | 150 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Dallas went 5-1-1 down the stretch to take the top wild card and have momentum entering this play off game vs their hosts the Predators. Stars goalie Ben Bishop recorded a 1.98 goals-against average and league-best .934 save percentage and Im betting he will be key to the Stars getting a underdog win here in game 1 of this play off series. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest this season. NHL road teams against the money line (DALLAS) - off a win against a division rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more are 52-36 L/5 seasons . Note:Nashville had the league's worst power play, converting on only 12.9 percent of its chances. Play on Dallas ML in game 1 |
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04-10-19 | Blues v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Thanks in part to great goal tending from Jordan Binnington, who posted a .927 save percentage since JN 7, the Blues are one of the hottest teams in the league. Their calling card has been their defence , especially on the road where they have allowed 2.4 gpg this season while averaging 2.7 gpg on offence. Here tonight against an explosive Winnipeg offence, Im betting the Blues will be conservative and try to make this game and series a physical one that bases its aggressiveness on offence out of transition, which should relate to a lower scoring game here. When these teams played here in Winnipeg back in December the Blues took a 1-0 shutout victory , and Im betting on a similar blue print to be implemented by the visitors again. Under is 4-0 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Under is 7-1 in Blues last 8 playoff games as an underdog ST LOUIS is 14-3 UNDER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored.ST LOUIS is 12-4 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-10-19 | Thunder -4.5 v. Bucks | 127-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
The Bucks' playoff position is set as the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they'll sit Most Valuable Player candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo and starting center Brook Lopez to prepare for the playoffs , thus the advantage goes to the Thunder to get us the cover. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a game where they covered the spread, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 105-54 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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04-10-19 | Pacers v. Hawks -4.5 | 135-134 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
The Hawks will play an Indiana team with little left to play for after locking up a play off spot and that could be resting a majority of their starters here tonight in Atlanta as they try to stay healthy and fresh for the play offs. Atlanta has been one of the best teams down the stretch drive and have shown a lot of promise for next season and are motivated to give their fans a good send off this evening.ATLANTA is 20-11 ATS in the second half of the season this season. Play on Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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04-10-19 | Yankees +106 v. Astros | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. COLLIN MCHUGH (R) Paxton is 7-3 with a 2.89 ERA over 12 career starts against the Astros and won all four starts against Houston last season while pitching for the Seattle Mariners and is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA in seven starts at Minute Maid Park and get smy support here in the road underdog role. PAXTON is 11-3 against the money line in road games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.200 the last 10 games are 18-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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04-10-19 | Penguins v. Islanders +135 | 3-4 | Win | 135 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
The Islanders have not had a game 1 opening round at the Nassau County Coliseum in almost three decades, so you bet the atmosphere at the old barn will be raucous to say the least. The Islanders under Barry Trotz are built for play off hockey, and have a Stanley Cup coach behind their bench that should make up for their lack of play off experience vs a savvy Pittsburgh Penguins group lead by super star Sid Crosby. Im betting the Isles checking line that is lead by Czikas, Clutterbuck and Martin to wreak havoc here in game 1 and deliver Isles fans a victory on home ice. Note:New York's Robin Lehner and Thomas Greiss rank in the NHL's top five in both goals-against average and save percentage this season and combined for a league-best 11 shutouts and will also be a key factor for us cashing a ticket in game 1 of this play off series. Play on the NY Islanders to win on the ML |
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04-10-19 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 15-1 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
A combination of a high scoring game yesterday between these teams and a couple of struggling starting pitchers, has made this Total a just a bit bloated, with value to the under making this a viable investment opportunity. HELLICKSON the Nats starter is 16-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored and is 12-2 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.8 rg scored.HELLICKSON is 9-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WASHINGTON is 21-9 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-10-19 | Padres -107 v. Giants | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Giants have totaled just five runs in their starter Rodriguez's first two starts and im betting they have issues scoring again vs N. Margevicius the Padres starter. These two hurlers faced each other already this season, with Margevicius getting the better of the stats but Rodriguez taking the victory when the Giants found a way the promised land by a narrow 3-2 count. I expect another hard fought affair, but this time for the Padres to get the win. The Giants won the last game in this series, but SAN DIEGO is 28-23 against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons The Giants are 0-11 L/11 on the ML in the last game of a series when playing a team that has a better record. Play on San Diego to win on the ML |
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04-10-19 | Indians v. Tigers +123 | 1-4 | Win | 123 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Bauer the Indians starter carries a streak of 10 hitless innings into his third start of the season, a Wednesday afternoon tilt at Detroit, but all good bad things must come to an end. With that said, it must be noted that Tigers starter BOYD is 6-0 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is s 6-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and also s 9-0 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) . GARDENHIRE is 12-7 against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of DETROIT. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CLEVELAND) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base are 16-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit Tigers to win on the ML |
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04-09-19 | Rangers +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rangers LH Mike Minor (1-1, 4.63 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (1-1, 9.31) MINOR the Rangers starter is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 1.022. GREINKE is 3-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.092. GREINKE DBacks starter is 50-66 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 21-10 L/31 against the money line in road games after scoring 2 runs or less 3 straight games. Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (ARIZONA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 4-36 on the RL L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams (ARIZONA) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 16-45 SU for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Texas on the RL |
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04-09-19 | Rockets -2 v. Thunder | 111-112 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Houston broke its own NBA record by making 27 3-pointers in Sunday's 149-113 home victory over the Phoenix Suns and enter this game with a full head of steam and ready to keep their momentum in high gear entering the play offs. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City despite of needing to ramp things up, are struggling in alot of facets of their game, and after watching them barely get past Minnesota last time out, Im betting their over matched vs an explosive opponent. HOUSTON is 15-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less this season. Play on Houston Rockets to cover |
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04-09-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz -2.5 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz were piling up victories and creating momentum for the postseason until the lowly LA Lakers upset them by out working them. Needless to say coach Quinn Snyder was left irate. Now Im betting the Jazz coming out here with a big time effort and bounce back vs the Denver Nuggets a team they have beaten 8 straight times and matchup well against. UTAH is 20-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. NBA Underdogs (DENVER) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-61 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. ( Denver lost at Portland last time out but covered) Play on Utah to cover |
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04-09-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 214 | 108-118 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
After suffering a ugly 113-109 loss to the host Los Angeles Lakers the Jazz were embarrassed and their coach extremely cranky. Tonight Im betting on a rebound . Im alos betting on a more focused group that will concentrate on what has made the Jazz such a potent team down the stretch and that is the ability to play a top tier brand of defensive hoops. Utah ranks 3rd in ppg allowed and 2nd in in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Denver has also been playing more conservatively in transition as the season winds down, and have seen a combined average of just 210.6 ppg scored in their L/5 trips to the hardwood. This game has the makings of a hard fought defensive divisional affair. Under is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 14-3 in Nuggets last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a straight up loss.Under is 21-6 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 17-5 in Nuggets last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games.Under is 10-3 in Nuggets last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 9-3 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-7 in Nuggets last 27 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 games following a ATS win. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 9-1 in Jazz last 10 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 home games.Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 14-5 in Jazz last 19 Tuesday games.Under is 5-2 in Jazz last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Utah.Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-09-19 | Mariners -109 v. Royals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (3-0, 3.20 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (1-0, 4.63) Starter Marco Gonzales and the Seattle Mariners are in red hot form . The Mariners have scored at least five runs in 11 of their 12 games and are the first team in the majors to reach 10 victories. GONZALES is 14-3 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Junis the Royals starter is solid hurler, but unfortunately he is backed by a struggling bullpen. Note: The Royals have lost seven straight games, and thanks to a under performing bullpen . Through nine games this season, the Royals bullpen has allowed 27 earned runs on 36 hits in 27 1/3 innings of shoddy work garnering a ugly 8.89 ERA. Royals are 0-19 SU off a game as a dog in which they held a multiple-run lead and it is before the All-Star break which was the case yesterday in a 13-5 loss. KANSAS CITY is 7-27 against the money line against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the ML |
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04-09-19 | Raptors -7 v. Wolves | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Minnesota is depleted with injuries, and the Raptors despite of rapping up their play off spot, are still trying to enter the playoffs with momentum, and should be well prepared to lay down a beatdown here. NBA road favorites like Toronto between -3 and -10 points on the spread averaging 99+ points per game are 90-44-3 ATS L/137 for a 67.2% conversion rate after allowing 55 or more points in the first half of their last two games. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover |
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04-09-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +119 | 0-4 | Win | 119 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (0-0, 2.31 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Dakota Hudson (0-1, 5.40) The Cards beat the Dodgers last night and Im betting on St.Louis turning the trick again. I know the Dodgers are strong bunch, but hey dont underestimate the ability of the Cards here in their own back yard. It must be noted Hudson the Cards starter has some nasty stuff, and received Pitcher of the Year honors in the Texas League in 2017 and the Pacific Coast League last season, and is under rated and a solid underdog in this spot. Meanwhile, Dodgers starter Stripling is 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in five appearances (two starts) against St. Louis. ST LOUIS is 17-4 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 16-45 L/5 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis to win on the ML |
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04-09-19 | Twins +1.5 v. Mets | 14-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Twins RH Kyle Gibson (0-0, 9.64 ERA) vs. Mets RH Jacob deGrom (2-0, 0.00) DeGrom has pitched well out of the gate , picking up where he left off last season, but according to my matchup pitcher vs batting order stats does not matchup well here.DEGROM is 5-10 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 2-9 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CALLAWAY is 5-16 ( against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of NY METS. MLB teams (NY METS) - team who had a poor bullpen last season with an ERA of 4.50 or worse, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games are 27-66 L/22 seasons for ago against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Twins RL |
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04-09-19 | Grizzlies v. Pistons -10.5 | 93-100 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Despite losing four straight games, the Detroit Pistons sit in the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and need a win badly here and should come out ready to perform vs a Grizzlies side most likely playing out the string. Pistons HC Casey is 15-3 ATS in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached in his career. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 4-27 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover |
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04-09-19 | Nationals v. Phillies -140 | 10-6 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (1-0, 2.84 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (1-0, 7.00) Nola had a rocky opening start, but according to my pitcher vs batting order stats (power rankings) matches up well vs the Nationals.Nola, went 3-1 with a 2.14 ERA against the Nationals in 2018 and gets the nod here. Meanwhile, despite of Starasburg being a top tier hurler, their are issues supporting him from the bullpen. Note: Washington's relievers have surrendered at least one run in all but two games and has recorded a major league-worst 10.17 bullpen ERA. NOLA is 14-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (WASHINGTON) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities ARE 12-38 L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win on the ML |
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04-08-19 | Brewers v. Angels -102 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Halos star Trout is red hot , has has carried his team to wins in the final three games of their last series. Tonight Im betting they make it four straight wins as the Milwaukee Brewers visit for a three-game series beginning Monday. Also Angels starter Cahill is 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA in 13 career games against the Brewers, with 12 coming in relief and is well prepared to keep his ERA down in this spot vs the Brewers. The Angels are 17-0 L/17 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less are 36-17 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia -1 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
“The Ugliest National Championship” in history is what many are calling this game. But one of these ugly Bettys is going to get my money, and that is Virginia. I know Texas Tech has looked tremendous, in this tournament , but the Cavs wont be easily intimidated by the Raiders style of play especially with key cog 6-foot-10 Tariq Owens expected to play at less than 100% ( ankle injury). Meanwhile Virginia has remained steady from day 1 of this season, and are playing with a chip on their shoulders, after some recent early exits from the big dance. Both have top tier defences, but in my humble opinion Virginia is more battle tested after competing against teams like Duke this season. Im nit taking anything away from Texas Tech , but their win against Michigan State was in my humble opinion their best of the season, which has tainted this line. Note: VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better over the last 3 seasons. VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite this season. ( The Cavs beat Auburn by 1 point in the Final 4 as 5 point + chalk) CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 62-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Virginia to cover |
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04-08-19 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 10 | 13-5 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (1-0, 1.69 ERA) vs. Royals RH Homer Bailey (0-0, 5.40) I know the Royals have been giving up alot of runs in the early part of this campaign, but Brad Keller, Jakob Junis, Jorge Lopez and Homer Bailey -- have a combined ERA of 3.86. Its the bullpen that has struggled but Im betting they will eventually jump out of this slump and tonight do well enough to hold off a Seattle team that is in top form offensively . Right now because of the Royals bullpen issues we are getting value on this line to the under. Meanwhile, the Mariners starting pitchers are 8-0 and have combined for a 3.50 ERA over 64 1/3 innings. Their staff ERA is 3.83 and Im also betting on more of the same tonight in a game I have pegged to stay UNDER the total. Under is 9-3-1 in Hernandezs last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 8-3-1 in Royals last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 8-3-1 in Royals last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 road starts vs. Royals.SEATTLE is 33-18 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 10 or higher (SEATTLE) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 10 consecutive games against opponent after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 46-13 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-08-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +108 | 3-4 | Win | 108 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-0, 2.08 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (0-1, 7.20) LA played last night in Colorado and then got on a plane to St.Louis, and will now be a on tired legs in the fist game of their series vs the Cards which puts them at a disadvantage. Dodgers are 0-4 in Ryus last 4 starts vs. Cardinals.Cardinals are 7-0 in Mikolas' last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 7-1 in Mikolas' last 8 home starts. MIKOLAS is 23-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) IKOLAS is 25-9 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ST LOUIS is 16-4 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
MLB team (LA DODGERS) - with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 16-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis Cards to win on the ML |
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04-08-19 | Rays -164 v. White Sox | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
Reigning American League Cy Young winner Blake Snell is set to start Monday's game for the Tampa Bay Rays. The Top tier southpaw Snell is 1-1 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts in 13 innings this season, with just three walks and 16 strikeouts and gets my support here this afternoon vs the very inconsistent Chicago White Sox. Rays are 5-0 in Snells last 5 road starts.Rays are 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Rays are 7-0 in Snells last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Snell recorded 13 strikeouts in his most recent start, dominating the Colorado Rockies for seven innings of two-hit, shutout ball on April 2. Note:The Rays are 15-0 L15 on the ML with Blake Snell starts when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 and threw fewer than 110 pitches in his last start. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 11+ losses in last 15 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 game are 10-42 L/22 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. |
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04-07-19 | Pelicans v. Kings -9.5 | 133-129 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The home team has won each meeting this season , with the Pelicans winning 149-129 on Oct. 19 in New Orleans and the Kings winning 122-117 on Dec. 23 in Sacramento. Im betting on the home team giving their fans something to cheer about here in their home finale as they try to finish the season at .500. SACRAMENTO is 9-0 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) this season with the average point differential clicking in at 14 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 3-27 ATS for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors with the average point diff clicking in at 13.9 ppg. Play on Sacramento Kings to cover |
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04-07-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 217 | 108-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
There is still alot to play for when Denver and Portland go head to head tonight as they jockey for post season seeding. The Nuggets took a 109-100 win over the Trail Blazers on Friday in Denver and now in the rematch expect another tightly contested Defensive affair that remains on the low side of the total. Quote:"He was phenomenal," HC Malone said of the 6-foot-7 Craig. "His defense, his offense -- everything he did out there."The Nuggets were aggressive with their defense and the referees let a lot of the rough stuff go."It was very physical out there," said Portland center Enes Kanter, who scored 24 points and grabbed seven rebounds. "Their big men -- Jokic, Millsap and (Mason) Plumlee -- they were hitting me extra. But it's the NBA -- no complaining." END QUOTE Rinse and repeat here . Under is 14-2 in Nuggets last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 12-2 in Nuggets last 14 games following a straight up win.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 17-4 in Nuggets last 21 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 21-5 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. Western Conference.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 games following a ATS win.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 overall.Under is 20-6 in Nuggets last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 19-7 in Nuggets last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Play UNDER |
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04-07-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies +1.5 | 12-6 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Julio Urias (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Chad Bettis (0-1, 9.53) Urias, despite of good spring training and good start to his season, is just 11.57 ERA in two career games (one start) at Coors Field. We all know some hurlers don't do well here and Urias looks like one of them. BETTIS the Rockies starter is 9-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +115 to +160) (LA DODGERS) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 22-79 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Colorado +1.5 runline |
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04-07-19 | Nets v. Pacers OVER 219 | 108-96 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets grabbed a up a huge victory on Saturday night to boost their NBA playoff chances, and grabbing another win here would be huge for them in their chase for post season play against a team that has owned them of late . Im betting they come out here shooting darts, and push a the capable offense of the Pacers into a faster paced game. I know These teams play converging styles of basketball, but when they met earlier this season, Indiana took a 132-112 win in Indianapolis on Oct. 20 and Im betting on another fairly high scoring tilt here that eclipses this total. BROOKLYN is 13-4 OVER in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 229.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 20-8 OVER (+11.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230 ppg scored, NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 40-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play OVER |
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04-07-19 | Rangers v. Angels -127 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Shelby Miller (0-0, 4.91 ERA) vs. Angels RH Chris Stratton (0-1, 8.31) The Angels have won seven of the last eight meetings against the Rangers and according to my projections and models matchup very good against this Rangers group. Halos starter STRATTON is 14-4 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) STRATTON is 10-3 against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) LA ANGELS are 39-16 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Angels are 8-2 in their last 10 home game The Angels are 16-0 L/16 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed six or fewer hits. Rangers are 7-16 in their last 23 vs. American League West.Rangers are 6-14 in their last 20 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rangers are 7-20 in their last 27 road games.Rangers are 5-16 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Rangers are 4-14 in their last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on LA Angels to win on the ML |
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04-07-19 | Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 215 | 104-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons will host the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday in a matchup of teams still competing for a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference.With that said, Im betting on a hard fought physical affair that will focus on both teams trying to be mistake free which will make for muted affair . DETROIT is 22-11 UNDER after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of those 33 games clicking in at 210.6 ppg.The Pistons have gone under 12 straight times a as a favorite off a loss when Andre Drummond had negative plus/minus in each of their last three games with a combined average of 192.7 ppg scored.Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.Hornets Borrego is 16-4 UNDER after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread in all games he has coached with a combined average of 211.3 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DETROIT) - after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 5 straight games. are 34-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-07-19 | Blue Jays v. Indians -141 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (0-1, 1.42 ERA) vs. Indians RH Mike Clevinger (0-0, 0.00) The Jays have dropped six of their last seven and are in a huge funk and fade material here today against Cleveland. The Blue Jays are 0-23 SU in the last game of a series as a road 135 dog after they lost by three plus runs. Blue Jays are 1-6 in Stromans last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 1-6 in Stromans last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.Blue Jays are 0-4 in Stromans last 4 starts. Indians are 5-0 in Clevingers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Indians are 7-1 in Clevingers last 8 home starts.Indians are 6-1 in Clevingers last 7 starts on grass.Indians are 5-1 in Clevingers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Indians are 13-3 in Clevingers last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Indians are 13-3 in Clevingers last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Indians are 4-1 in Clevingers last 5 starts. Blue Jays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.Blue Jays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Cleveland to win on the moneyline |
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04-07-19 | Heat +7.5 v. Raptors | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
With Toronto firmly gripping on the No.2 seed in the East its all about staying healthy. Meanwhile, Miami have lost three straight games to fall out of playoff position in the Eastern Conference and desperately need a win and will play like their hair is on fore here this afternoon. MIAMI is 7-0 ATS in road games against Atlantic division opponents this season. MIAMI is 21-9 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.Heat are 45-17-2 ATS in their last 64 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games.Heat are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Heat are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. Raptors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Southeast.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.Heat are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Toronto is 9-24-1 ATS at home in non-division game. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 68-115 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rte for bettors. Play on Miami to cover |
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04-06-19 | Jets -125 v. Coyotes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The Jets (46-30-5, 97 points) are slumping having lost 5 of their L/6, but matchup well vs tonights opponents the Coyotes and are primed to jump back into first place in the final game of the season on Saturday, when they conclude their four-game road trip. Note: WINNIPEG is 5-0 ATS after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (WINNIPEG) - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rivals are 29-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the ML |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2 | 61-51 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Spartans have faired well against havoc style defenses in their last two games against Duke and LSU and Im betting they will be able to deal with what Texas Tech will bring. Izzo and company can play any style that is thrown at them. Remember what the great Bruce Lee said,“You must be shapeless, formless, like water. When you pour water in a cup, it becomes the cup. When you pour water in a bottle, it becomes the bottle. When you pour water in a teapot, it becomes the teapot. Water can drip and it can crash. Become like water my friend.” END QUOTE: Well Izzo is the Bruce Lee of basketball. A true master.( Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo is 22-0 SU as a favorite in the NCAA Tourney when coming off a SUATS victory ) Tonight Im betting the key will be The Spartans ability to control the board as Texas Tech only ranks 188th in the country in offensive rebounding percentage. I know alot is being said, about the Elite D, that the Raiders own, but the Spartans defense is also top tier ranking ninth overall in adjusted defensive efficiency and second in 2-point shooting percentage while smothering opponents to a 31.2% conversion rate from beyond the arc. MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games this season . Teams like Texas Tech n the Final Four Round if they lost SU in the first round of their conference tourney are 0-9 ATS. No.1 Teams like the Raiders who beat No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992 , when riding a 3-game ATS win streak. No. 1 seed in the Elite 8 round are only 1-12 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Final Four games since 1992. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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04-06-19 | Red Sox -135 v. Diamondbacks | 4-5 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH David Price (0-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (0-0, 8.31) Boston got blasted last night in the first game of this series vs Arizona by a 15-8 count, and will be primed to bounce back after that embarrassment here today. Im betting on Bostons starter Price, who is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA versus the Diamondbacks to help us cash a ticket today. Note: BOSTON is 33-10 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons and is 36-10 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons. WEAVER Arizonas starter is 1-7 against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record).CORA is 22-10 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities as the manager of BOSTON. Diamondbacks are 4-11 in their last 15 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 4-12 in their last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Diamondbacks are 4-13 in their last 17 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a win.Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 Saturday games.Diamondbacks are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League East. Red Sox are 4-0 in Prices last 4 starts vs. National League West.Red Sox are 7-0 in Prices last 7 interleague starts. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the ML |
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04-06-19 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 14-8 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Cole Hamels (0-0, 9.00 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Corbin Burnes (0-0, 7.20) Hamels was really doing well last time out for the frst 3 innings, but then the wheels feel off and gave a up a grand slam. Im betting he has a better all around performance today in rebound mode. Hamels is 7-3 with a 3.60 ERA in 15 starts against the Brewers, including a 4-1 mark and a 3.67 ERA in eight outings at Miller Park. HAMELS is 20-9 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.5 rpg scored. HAMELS is 13-2 UNDER against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Brewers Burnes is transitioning to a starting role after recording a 7-0 record and a 2.61 ERA in 30 appearances out of the bullpen last season. He is a very under rated hurler with alot of upside promise. I know the public likes the over here because of some obvious early seasons trends, but this particular game Im betting looks more like a sleeperfest than a slugfest. Under is 6-0 in Hamels' last 6 starts vs. National League Central.Under is 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-1 in Hamels' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 starts on grass.Under is 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Hamels' last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Hamels' last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 51-17 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -5 | 62-63 | Loss | -115 | 85 h 47 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Final Four - US Bank Stadium - Minneapolis, MN From day one of this season, I liked Virginia to have a very strong chance at winning it all, and Im not about to change my mind here as Im betting the Cavaliers defence will trump Pearls explosive offence. It's a old adage that offence can get you to a championship but defence will win it for you, and nothing changes in this battle. Auburn in their first final four appearance in the history of the program has had a great run , but Im betting that their hot streak will end vs the last No.1 Seed still in the tournament, Virginia. It must be noted that Final Four and championship games have not produced alot of winning underdog tickets. Since 2005 pups are just 16-25-1 ATS. Up trending dogs are public darling, but have been less than profitable during the above mentioned span cashing just 5 of the L/14 times. Lower seed in the Final Four or finals are just 9-20 ATS and 5-24 straight up. Dating back 34 seasons, 14 programs have made their Final Four debuts. Of those teams, only four have advanced to the championship game. VIRGINIA is 8-2 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. VIRGINIA is 11-1 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. VIRGINIA is 9-0 ATS in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (VIRGINIA) - an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less are 32-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia |
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04-06-19 | Nets +6.5 v. Bucks | 133-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
When the NBA playoffs start next week, the Milwaukee Bucks know they will have home-court advantage throughout so resting players and making sure their healthy is more important than winning this game tonight against the visiting Brooklyn Nets who are desperate for wins as their quest for a post season spot is still up for grabs.The most recent meeting was Monday in Brooklyn when the Bucks led by 15 after the first quarter and posted a 131-121 win.but Im betting all out do or die effort from the Nets here. BROOKLYN is 11-3 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season. BROOKLYN is 21-9 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Brooklyn to cover |
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04-06-19 | Rangers v. Angels -152 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Injury prone Angels hurler Skaggs pitched well against the Rangers last season, recording a 2-0 mark along with a minuscule 0.82 ERA in two starts, striking out 13 in 11 innings and gets my support here today as a marginally strong favorite. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Smyly is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA in six career games (four starts) against the Angels and is fade material here in this spot play . Rangers are 7-15 in their last 22 vs. American League West.Rangers are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.Rangers are 7-19 in their last 26 road games.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 home games. Rangers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.Rangers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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04-06-19 | Mariners v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 9-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Mariners RH Mike Leake (1-0, 3.00 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Lucas Giolito (1-0, 2.70) Despite of both these teams bats revving up with a boatload full of runs here in the early part of the season, Im betting on their being value with an under wager here according to my projections and models.
Under is 5-2 in Leakes last 7 road starts Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 16-7 in White Sox last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 35-14-2 in Estabrooks last 51 games behind home plate.Under is 9-4-1 in Estabrooks last 14 games behind home plate vs. Seattle. WHITE SOX are 23-9 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 31-14 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.CHI WHITE SOX are 29-14 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.Play UNDER |
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04-06-19 | Reds v. Pirates -115 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs pitching staff in bullpen are in top form and have shutout the Reds by identical 2-0 wins in the first two games in this series, which is a good omen for their winning ways to continue today. Note: The Pirates are 20-0 on the ML as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they shut out their opponent. Pirates starter Williams held the Reds to three hits in six scoreless innings with six strikeouts and a walk on 80 pitches, but he also drove in two runs Sunday in a 5-0 win and is key to us cashing a winning ticket here today. Pirates are 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts vs. Reds. Reds are 8-27 in their last 35 road games.Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss.Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.Reds are 0-7 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Pirates are 10-3 in their last 13 Saturday games.Pirates are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Pirates are 11-4 in their last 15 home games.Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Reds are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in Pittsburgh.Reds are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings.Home team is 5-0 in Rippergers last 5 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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04-05-19 | Rangers +114 v. Angels | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Lance Lynn (0-0, 11.12 ERA) vs. Angels RH Felix Pena (0-1, 9.82) My head to head power rankings and pitcher vs batting order estimations and models suggest Texas has a solid advantage here over in a 9 inning game vs an Angels team that has lost 5 straight games including last night by a 11-4 count to the Rangers. Angels are 0-4 in Penas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rangers are 6-0 on the ML as a dog in the second game of a road series when they won the opener by five-plus runs, for an ROI of +175%. LA ANGELS are 1-11 against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons and are 1-10 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (TEXAS) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 14+ losses in last 20 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, non-playoff team from last season who won 4+ of their last 5 games are 46-25 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Texas ML |
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04-05-19 | Kings +10.5 v. Jazz | 98-119 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are geared up to halt a stretch of 12 straight losing seasons and Im betting they will play hard tonight and get is the cover vs the banged up Utah Jazz who are dealing with a boatload full of injuries and may limit key player minutes tonight in attempt to get healthy with the play offs approaching. PG] 04/05/2019 - Raul Neto is "?" Friday vs Sacramento ( Ankle )[G] 04/04/2019 - Kyle Korver is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Sacramento ( Knee )[SF] 04/04/2019 - Jae Crowder is upgraded to probable Friday vs Sacramento ( Thigh )[F] 04/04/2019 - Derrick Favors is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Sacramento ( Back )[PG] 04/03/2019 - Ricky Rubio is "?" Friday vs Sacramento ( Hamstring )[PG] 03/18/2019 - Dante Exum is out indefinitely ( Knee ) UTAH is 1-9 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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04-05-19 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 213 | 122-112 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Two teams with really nothing to play for go head to head tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Grizzlies own the 30th ranked pace in the league, and are ranked 30th in offence, and 9th in defensive rating and here on the road today will try to turn this into a grinding sleepfest. The Mavericks have gone under in 9 of their L/12 overall since Jan 07, 2019 as a favorite with a combined average 211 ppg scored. DALLAS is 13-4 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season with a combined average of 209.6 ppg. DALLAS is 9-1 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 16-6 UNDER vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.7 ppg scored. MEMPHIS is 12-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 86-46 UNDER L/22 seasons are 65% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-05-19 | Cubs +119 v. Brewers | 10-13 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Cubs LH Jose Quintana (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (1-0, 3.60) Cubs starter Quintana is 6-2 with a 1.62 ERA in 11 career starts against the Brewers, including a 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.55 ERA in six appearances at Miller Park and buoys s strong underdog situation here for the Cubs this evening. Right now the Cubs are desperate for a win as they have come out of gate slowly, which did not surprise me. However tonight Im betting they have an edge in this spot play. Cubs are 4-0 in Quintanas last 4 road starts vs. Brewers. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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04-05-19 | A's +148 v. Astros | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
The Astros have dropped 5 of 6 games and returned home with a .235/.304/.363 slash line and a .667 OPS that ranks 10th in the American League and are fade material in this spot vs a very under rated Oakland As team. Im betting on right-hander Frankie Montas is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA this season, limiting the Los Angeles Angels to one run on three hits with six strikeouts over six innings in a 2-1 win on March 31 and in 2018 to get the job done here and help us to the promised land . The righty was also 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA over two starts vs the Astros last year and this season he owned a 16:5 K:BB ratio in 16 spring training innings, which is very impressive.MONTAS is 8-1 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Athletics are 7-0 ML on the road off a home game in which they hit at least one home run, winning by an average of 6.14 runs per game. HOUSTON is 4-9 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 4-10 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oakland to win on the ML |
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04-05-19 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Braves starter Gausman (10-11, 3.92 ERA in 2018) will against Marlins right-hander Pablo Lopez (1-0, 5.06) in the opener of a three-game set at SunTrust Park. Gausman was acquired at the trade deadline from Baltimore last summer when the Braves were looking for a veteran starter for the pennant drive. The righty hurler went 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 10 starts for Atlanta and garnered a solid 4-1 record along with a stingy 1.69 in five starts in August. GAUSMAN is 8-0 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). Under is 5-0 in Gausmans last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.GAUSMAN is 40-17 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) Lopez had a quality spring. He threw 20 2/3 innings with a 0.90 ERA, ranking No.1 in the Grapefruit League, with a .149 average against and a 0.55 WHIP. Im expecting fairly low scoring affair that stays on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and another under offers us solid edge on the number. Play UNDER |
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04-05-19 | Twins +142 v. Phillies | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Twins RH Jake Odorizzi (0-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Nick Pivetta (0-0, 7.71) Phillies starter Pivetta really did not look good in his opening assignment , and in my opinion needs some mechanics adjustments. In that start he allowed four runs on eight hits in 4 2/3 innings against Atlanta and today against a sometimes explosive Twins batting order Im betting he does not matchup well. Meanwhile, Ordizzi the Twins starter today looked good in his first outing, allowing just 1 hit and no runs and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Phillies batting order. Twins are 5-1 in Odorizzis last 6 interleague starts. The Twins are 10-0 ML in franchise history off a game as a favorite in which Jorge Polanco struck out at least twice and did not draw a walk. Phillies are 3-8 in Pivettas last 11 starts with 5 days of rest.Phillies are 3-9 in Pivettas last 12 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Phillies are 1-5 in Pivettas last 6 starts.MINNESOTA is 31-16 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better.Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 games on grass.Twins are 10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win.Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Twins are 23-9 in their last 32 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season are 21-36 L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 23-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL), after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less are 30-18 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota on the ML |
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04-05-19 | Raptors -5.5 v. Hornets | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Toronto has won five consecutive games since Lamb banked in a half-court heave at the buzzer for a 115-114 victory on March 24 and continue to ramp for the play offs against a team that is exhausted as they have feverishly chased a play off spot and off a 4 game road trip . I know Toronto can afford to take the pedal of metal , but their trying to stay in high gear entering the play offs and are in revenge mode for a 115-114 loss they suffered to the Hornets at home back in late March and will be ready to make their opponents pay here, especially knowing how desperate the Hornets are for wins. CHARLOTTE is 4-20 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more, off a road win are 71-38 ATS L/5 seasons for 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto Raptors |
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04-05-19 | Mariners v. White Sox +111 | 8-10 | Win | 111 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Mariners LH Yusei Kikuchi (0-0, 2.53 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-1, 9.00) The Seattle Mariners are off to a franchise-record 7-1 start as they visit the White Sox on Friday in Chicago's home opener but Im betting their being over valued here in this spot especially considering this his the White Sox home opener. The Pale Hose home opener was originally scheduled for Thursday but was postponed Wednesday because of rain in the forecast. Mariners starting hurler this afternoon Kikuchi has limited opponents to a .200 batting average over 10 2/3 innings covering two starts but pitching in this kind of chilly April weather here in Southside Chicago might not suit him well. Im fading the public here and taking the motivated home underdog instead. CHI WHITE SOX are 6-1 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. Mariners are 19-44 in the last 63 meetings in Chicago.Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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04-04-19 | Cavs v. Kings OVER 228 | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
Sacramento plays a one way attack orientated basketball behind the 3rd ranked pace and 10 best offensive output in the NBA and their D, remains suspect allowing an 114.9 ppg which ranks 26th in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been playing very wide open basketball for quite a while as well, as is evident by going over in 5 straight games with a combined average of 231 ppg going on the board. Note: The Cavaliers rank 30th in D efficiency in the league and tonight Im betting that will be exasperated in a tilt I have pegged to eclipse this total. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (SACRAMENTO) - after a combined score of 225 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 114-57 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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04-04-19 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 231 | 128-122 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers took part in a run and gun affair last night in Atlanta that they lost130-122, and now tonight on tired legs with the likely hood of Joel Embiid not playing and Jimmy Butler possibly resting and not playing or seeing limited action Im betting the 76ers will not be ready to run and gun and instead try to figure out a way to play better defence against a top tier opponent the Bucks. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is also short handed from a bench perspective and banged up despite of Kris Middleton supposedly playing tonight and star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo on the court. No matter how much each plays , Im still expecting a more defensive orientated post season type affair that will feature more defensive postures than offensive onslaughts despite of both sides obvious abilities to put points on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 UNDER after a combined score of 245 points or more since 1996 with a combined average of 207 ppg on the scoreboard. PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 UNDER in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - off a road win, in April games are 45-19 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 62-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-04-19 | Cubs v. Braves -115 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Chicago RH Yu Darvish (0-0, 10.13 ERA) vs. Braves LH Max Fried (0-0, 0.00) Fried the Braves starter has 1 2/3 innings of relief work in two appearances, garnering just two walks and no hits or runs. The southpaw has recorded a 1.15 WHIP with 18 strikeouts in 17 1/3 innings during spring training and deserves our respect here vs a Chicago team that Ive been fading early on the season. Meanwhile, Darvish was smashed around, in his first start of the season Saturday at Texas, walking seven hitters and surrendering three runs in 2 2/3 innings of sub par work and owns a 0-1 record along with a 5.19 ERA and six walks in 8 2/3 innings. CHICAGO CUBS are 0-8 (against the money line in road games after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons. Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 home games.Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League East.Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 road games.Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss.Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities, starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing 9-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to win on the ML |
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04-04-19 | Green Bay v. Marshall UNDER 169 | 70-90 | Win | 100 | 31 h 26 m | Show | |
This game is being projected to be high scoring, but Im betting the number is just to high despite of how the public views these teams and what kind of scoring output should be expected. It must be noted that MARSHALL is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 157.8 ppg scored.MARSHALL is 6-0 UNDER in home games after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored. MARSHALL is 9-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is 160 or more this season. WI-GREEN BAY is 22-9 UNDER off a home win over the last 3 seasons with combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. Under is 5-0 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 6-0 in Thundering Herd last 6 home games.Under is 7-1 in Thundering Herd last 8 non-conference games.Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Thundering Herd last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 5-0 in Phoenix last 5 Thursday games.Under is 4-0 in Phoenix last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 overall.Under is 4-1 in Phoenix last 5 non-conference games. Play UNDER |
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04-04-19 | Blue Jays v. Indians OVER 7 | 1-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Aaron Sanchez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (0-0, 1.29 ERA) Aaron Sanchez (1-0, 0.00 ERA), looked good in his opener versus Detroit. The 26-year-old right-hander owns a 1-0 mark with a 5.06 ERA in three career encounters with Cleveland. He soes go against a Cleveland team struggling on offence, but my pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest that the Tribe matches up well vs Sanchez and should do better than they generally have early this season. Meanwhile, Trevor Bauer (0-0, 1.29 ERA), allowed just one run and one hit while striking out nine over seven innings in a 2-1 victory at Minnesota on Saturday , but in the recent past has not faired well vs the Blue Jays as owns a 2-2 record along with a bloated 6.07 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in six career appearances (five starts) against Toronto. With the Jays starting to show some offensive upside scoring 5 runs in two of their L/3, I like them to do more damage today, and help to get this score over the set total. Over is 3-1-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.Over is 11-4-1 in Blue Jays last 16 Thursday games.Over is 17-8 in Blue Jays last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 3-0-1 in Sanchezs last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Over is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts on grass.Over is 6-1-1 in Sanchezs last 8 road starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Sanchezs last 8 starts overall. Over is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 5-1 in Indians last 6 home games.TORONTO is 15-4 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 11.7 rpg scored.TORONTO is 31-14 OVER in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 34-19 OVER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg. Toronto / Cleveland, Over |
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04-04-19 | Red Sox v. A's +107 | 3-7 | Win | 107 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Eduardo Rodriguez (0-1, 10.38 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Brett Anderson (1-0, 0.00) The defending World Series champions lost five of their first six games this season, before getting a come from behind victory last night. Im betting that last nights turnaround wont get the Red Sox out of their current World Series hangovers, and instead will continue to manifest negatively tonight vs the under rated Oakland As. Meanwhile, the BoSox starter today Rodriguez struggled in his season opener allowing six runs - five earned - on eight hits and three walks in 4 1/3 and could easily get lit up again vs a batting order that my power rankings really like. Meanwhile, his As pitching opponent ,Anderson was brilliant in his season debut against the Los Angeles Angels in his first start 5 days ago, allowing just three hits over six scoreless innings of top tier work and looks like a viable home underdog to back in this spot play. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.As are 7-3 L/10 meetings in this series. Play on the Oakland As to win on the money-line |
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04-04-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Yankees LH James Paxton (0-1, 1.59 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Alex Cobb (2018: 5-15, 4.90) Baltimore has come flying out of the gate this season and have now won 4 straight games and are currently playing with a lot of confidence Meanwhile, the Yankees are looking a little unstable, and have a boatload full of injuries, that is effecting their flow. Note: Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. ( Cobb)Yankees are 8-23 in their last 31 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 4-12 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.MLB favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line 120 to +115) (NY YANKEES) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities against opponent with a terrible bullpen whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season are just 16-43 L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the RL |
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04-04-19 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (0-0, 6.00 ERA) vs. Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (0-0, 6.00) Strasburg Nationals starter owns a 2.37 ERA in 10 outings at Citi Field, where he hasn’t lost since 2013. His Nets pitching opponent Syndergaard owns a 2.85 ERA in 16 career starts in March and April. Im betting on more of the same top tier pitching action here today and a combined score that remains on the low side of the total. Under is 6-0 in Syndergaards last 6 home starts vs. Nationals.Under is 6-2 in Syndergaards last 8 starts vs. Nationals. STRASBURG is 11-2 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) STRASBURG is 11-1 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) SYNDERGAARD is 12-3 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)MARTINEZ is 25-12 UNDER in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game as the manager of WASHINGTON. Play UNDER |
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04-03-19 | Rockets -1 v. Clippers | 135-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
The Rockets and Clippers are two of the hottest teams heading down the stretch of the regular season with Los Angeles going 16-4 in their past 20 games and Houston winning 17 of the their past 20 games. However, from a head to matchup perspective my own power rankings like the Rockets to deliver a winning ticket for us tonight. I know the Clippers won 115-112 on Oct. 21 in Los Angeles and Oct. 26 in Houston, the Clippers won by 20, 133-113 , but now with revenge on board Im betting on a primo effort from the Rockets.Note:HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent this season. Play on Houston to cover |
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04-03-19 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Giants LH Derek Holland (0-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (0-0, 0.00) Dan Bellino the home plate umpire for this tilt is the type of official thats makes taking the under a viable option here tonight as the Dodgers and Giants go head to head. The under has cashed 57.1% since 2005 with Bellino calling balls and strikes. Dodgers strter STRIPLING is 15-4 UNDER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7 rg scored.
Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games following a loss.Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 road games. Under is 20-6-2 in Giants last 28 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Giants last 29 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 21-7-1 in Giants last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 22-8-1 in Giants last 31 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 35-14-2 in Giants last 51 vs. National League West.Under is 34-15-2 in Giants last 51 overall.Under is 34-15-2 in Giants last 51 on grass.Under is 4-0 in Hollands last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Hollands last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Hollands last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-0 in Hollands last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Hollands last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3-1 in Hollands last 16 road starts.Under is 4-1-1 in Hollands last 6 starts vs. National League West.Under is 4-1 in Hollands last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Hollands last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 18-7-1 in Hollands last 26 starts on grass.Under is 18-7-1 in Hollands last 26 starts overall. Under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-03-19 | Wolves v. Mavs -2 | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Dallas looks like they have stopped tanking, and have won 2 straight games, and well positioned to make it 3 wins in a row vs a Minnesota group that has not played well on the road this season going 10-29 SU. Dallas also won both games in this series this season. DALLAS is 12-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 this season. MINNESOTA is 2-14 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. Mavericks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Northwest.Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Timberwolves are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games.Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. NBA Underdogs (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in April games are 13-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Dallas to cover |
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04-03-19 | Blues -154 v. Blackhawks | 3-4 | Loss | -154 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Im betting on the red hot Blues (28-10-4 run since Jan. 3), to continue their winning ways on Wednesday night when they visit the Chicago Blackhawks (34-33-12). ST LOUIS is 14-1 ATS (against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year this season. CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp this season.CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp this season. Blues to win |
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04-03-19 | Hornets -3.5 v. Pelicans | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Hornets are 0-3 on a road trip that concludes Wednesday night in New Orleans with Charlotte's playoff hopes hanging by a thread . Needless to say they are desperate for a win and tonight I expect they leave everything on the floor and get us the cover. CHARLOTTE is 13-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more, in April games are 15-42 ATS L/22 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play on Charlotte to cover |
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04-03-19 | 76ers v. Hawks +4 | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
The young Atlanta Hawks are playing hard, and showing promise for the future behind emerging super star Trae Young . Meanwhile, Philadelphia is just trying to stay healthy before the play offs begin, and tonight will be without star Joel Embiid is OUT next 2 games ( Rest )and the banged up Jimmy Butler . Note:The Hawks are 2-1 against the 76ers this season, including a 129-127 home victory on March 23, when Young had 32 points and 11 assists. QUOTE :"We clipped Philly last time, so I'm sure they are going to come in with a little bit of vengeance," Bazemore said on Fox Sports Southeast."With a couple of games left in the season, they are trying to be in the best position they can. At the same time, we're still trying to play spoiler and have a bunch of guys finish the season strong." END QUOTE. Im betting Philly despite fo wanting revenge, still wont come out here with guns blazing as the bigger picture is more important. Look for Atlanta to hold serve and get us the cover. Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. 76ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 76ers are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings.76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.Play on Atlanta to cover |
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04-03-19 | Cubs v. Braves -112 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Im a little late to the party on this one, as I was waiting on a couple of reports , and Ive lost leverage of about 10 cents on the opening line but I still feel confident in the value of backing Atlanta as short chalk here. I like Braves starter Julio Teheran here at home, and feel strongly that Chicago is over rated this season, as was the case when thye were clobbered 8-0 on Monday. Now after a day off for the Cubbies, Im betting the rest wont change the facts on the ground and I recommend going against them rebounding. Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 games following an off day. TEHERAN is 10-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better since 1997. (Team's Record).TEHERAN is 15-4 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Play on Atlanta to win on the ML |
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04-03-19 | Cardinals -102 v. Pirates | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Cardinals RH Miles Mikolas (0-1, 9.00 ERA) vs. Pirates RH Jameson Taillon (0-1, 6.00 ERA) Mikolas was 10-0 in 16 starts away from home in 2018 and despite of struggling in his first start of the season a 5-4 loss vs Milwaukee he's still a quality pitcher and capable of rebounding. In five starts last season, he allowed just two runs or less in four of the appearances against them Pirates while garnering 2.90 ERA with 26 SOs and is being under rated here. Note :MIKOLAS is 24-9 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Cardinals are 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 13-2 in Mikolas' last 15 starts with 5 days of rest.Cardinals are 12-2 in Mikolas' last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 5-1 in Mikolas' last 6 road starts.Cardinals are 5-1 in Mikolas' last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.Cardinals are 21-7 in Mikolas' last 28 starts.Cardinals are 21-7 in Mikolas' last 28 starts on grass. Cardinals are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Pittsburgh. Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. MIKE is 31-18 against the money line in night games as the manager of ST LOUIS. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win |
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04-03-19 | Phillies v. Nationals +126 | 8-9 | Win | 126 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Aaron Nola (1-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Anibal Sanchez (2018: 7-6, 2.83) Bryce Harper came back to Washington sptting bullets and showing no respect for his old team , answering a rowdy crowd by belting a two-run homer to highlight his three-hit performance as the Philadelphia Phillies improved to 4-0 on the season. Im betting now in an emotional let spot Harper and the Phillies may not be as potent today and could struggle against under rated hurler Sanchez who struck out 135 batters in 136 2/3 innings in 2018. Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Play Washington on the ML |
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04-02-19 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 221 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Denver enters this game playing at a more methodical pace of late, then was the case earlier this season, with defence being the mainstay of their successes and failures which is evident by seeing 16 of their L/19 games stay under the set total. Nothing will change tonight vs the explosive Warriors, who also are now into play off preparation mode and also paying attention to their defensive game especially in transition as is evident by seeing 12 of their L/15 games stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-2 in Nuggets last 12 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games.Under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Nuggets last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 18-5 in Nuggets last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 16-5 in Nuggets last 21 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 21-7 in Nuggets last 28 overall.Under is 6-2 in Nuggets last 8 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 10-2 in Warriors last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall.Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 games following a straight up win.Under is 14-5 in Warriors last 19 vs. NBA Northwest. Under is 35-17 in Warriors last 52 Tuesday games. HC Kerr of Golden State in his L/25 home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season has seen a combined average of 210.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 21-6 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. DENVER is 12-3 UNDER in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203 ppg. DENVER is 24-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 34-11 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-02-19 | Angels +102 v. Mariners | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
Angels RH Trevor Cahill (0-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (2-0, 4.76) Cahill the Halos starter in his first trip to the hill gave up multiple homers in a loss, but it must be noted that he did not allow multiple homers in any of his 20 starts in 2018 when he allowed only eight in 110 innings over 21 appearances with the Athletics. With that said, Im betting Cahill bounces back today and helps his team get the win and us cash a ticket. Meanwhile, the Mariners starter Gonzalez despite of starting his season at 2-0 with on win coming in Japan, he has looked inconsistent allowing 16 hits over 11 1/3 innings during his appearances, and looks far from fluid and from my power ratings pitcher vs batting order looks to be in a unfavourable situation. Mariners are 3-7 in Gonzales' last 10 starts.Mariners are 2-5 in Gonzales' last 7 starts vs. American League West.Mariners are 2-7 in Gonzales' last 9 starts on grass.Mariners are 1-4 in Gonzales' last 5 home starts.Mariners are 1-5 in Gonzales' last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 0-5 in Gonzales' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Reynolds behind home plate.LA ANGELS are 9-1 against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons. The Mariners are 0-4 with Marco Gonzalez as a home favorite when they scored more than six runs in his last start , which was the case in 12-4 victory vs the BoSox last time out on March 28th of this season. Play on LA Angels to win on the moneyline |
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