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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-14-20 | Mavs v. Warriors +8.5 | 124-97 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Golden State was blasted in two straight meetings vs Dallas , allowing 141, and 142 points, and now after those embarrassing efforts will come out here looking for redemption.  GOLDEN STATE is 17-7 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Kerr is 23-11 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. The Warriors are 9-0 ATS/8-1 SU L/9 at home off a loss as a road dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. Teams are 0-11 ATS L/11 as a 8+ favorite with more than one day of rest off a win.  Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 24-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate for bettors. Golden State Warriors to cover ( Late Steam) |
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01-14-20 | Akron v. Northern Illinois +2.5 | 72-49 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Despite two divergent records and matchup discrepancies , N.Illinois have converted baskets via assists at a better rate than the Akron Zips of late. Northern Illinois has 39 assists on 79 field goals (49.4 percent) in its previous three trips to the hardwood while Akron has assists on 38 of 78 field goals (48.7 percent) during its past three games. Better team play here will see the Huskies give the Zips a battle for their money in this MAC confrontation this Tuesday night. N ILLINOIS is 31-13 ATS L/44 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ game. Northern Illinois to cover |
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01-14-20 | VCU +8 v. Dayton | 65-79 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
VCU is off having a 21 game home win streak come to end last time out to Rhode Island, and Im betting they got caught looking ahead to this big game vs Dayton. Now in rebound mode and fully focused Im betting on them coming up big here and getting us the cover.vs the Flyers Note: Daytons HC Grant coached against his former team five teams in his first two seasons at Dayton. The last four of those games featured go-ahead baskets in the final minute with VCU being victorious each time. This is a rinse repeat situation and with a boatload full of points on board, the underdog looks like a solid bet. Play on VCU to cover |
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01-14-20 | Suns v. Hawks +3.5 | 110-123 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Trae Young and DeAndre Hunter are in the lineup tonight for the Hawks at home . Meanwhile, Phoenix despite of being improved this season are not a consistent enough commodity to be this big favorite on the road. Atlanta has won their L/2 games here vs the Suns and get my support to cover as home dogs. Note:The Suns are 0-11 ATS /1-10 SU after playing as a home favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws.The Hawks are 17-2 ATS L/19 at home off a 10+ loss in a road game in which they had less than 40% of the total rebounds. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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01-14-20 | Jazz v. Nets +3.5 | 118-107 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
When Kyrie Irving and C Levert are in the lineup for Brooklyn their a more efficient team with a great deal of flow. These two guys make Brooklyn a dangerous underdog here at home vs Utah tonight. Note:Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The Nets are 20-1 ATS L/21 with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they are playing a non-conference game with two conference games before after. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BROOKLYN) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 or more shots/game), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 32-10 ATS L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Brooklyn to cover |
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01-14-20 | Suns v. Hawks UNDER 231 | 110-123 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Over the last two games the Suns have allowed 94 and 92 points, the first time they've won consecutive games while allowing 94 or fewer since 2015. Considering this is now a recipe for success Im betting they will be paying special attention to being cogent in transition which Im betting sees this game played at slower pace than expected which will result in a combined score that stays on the low side of this total. Phoenix did beat Atlanta 128-112 when the clubs met in Phoenix on Nov. 14, but Atlanta in the past has been vigilant defensively in revenge situations as they are 11-2 UNDER  revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of just 212.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Suns are 2-16-2 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home favorite in which allowing 50-plus points in the paint with a combined average of 202.6 ppg scored. The Hawks are 3-30 UNDER L/33 at home with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a combined average of 186.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-14-20 | Kings +240 v. Lightning | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
 The Lightning come in here looking tired as this will be their 4th game in 6 nights. Actually they looked a little winded in their tilt vs the Devils last time out, a 3-1 loss. Tonight against a well rested Kings team that is 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest they are a disadvantage despite of the talent discrepancies. Play on the LA Kings to win on the ML |
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01-14-20 | Duke v. Clemson OVER 133 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Dukes offence is averaging 83.3 ppg this season and Im betting they dictate the pace here tonight and push Clemson into chasing with more wide open action than they may like. DUKE is 7-1 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season have seen a combined score of 142 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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01-14-20 | LSU v. Texas A&M OVER 128.5 | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.  LSU is 6-0 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153.3 ppg scored. LSU is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with as combined average of 163.24ppg scored. Wade is 11-1 OVER L/12 in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots in all games he has coached since 1997. Play OVER |
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01-13-20 | Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | 25-42 | Loss | -115 | 155 h 13 m | Show | |
I look at this game, and see an experienced tested championship team like Clemson, going against an upstart LSU team that has had a tremendous success in the short term behind a very talented group of players, but lacks experience in big games. That experience and Clemsons superior defence Im betting wins out here today. Advantage Clemson. CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game this season. CLEMSON is 8-0 ATS in road games after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons (Clemson 40.9 opp 11.1) Swinney is 15-3 ATS vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return as the coach of CLEMSON. Play on Clemson to cover  |
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01-13-20 | Bulls v. Celtics OVER 215.5 | 101-113 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Boston scored 140 points for the second time this season last time out and has reached triple digits in five of its past seven games and my projections estimate the Celtics a team that averages +115 ppg at home this season should score in the +112 point range here tonight at home vs the Bulls that despite of a good defensive performance last time out . Previous to that game the Bulls allowed 111, 118, 123, 116 points respectively . Note: BOSTON is 13-4 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 11-3 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 226.7 ppg scored. The Bulls are 13-1-1 OVER L/15 as a road dog with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average of 231.9 ppg going on the board. NBA Teams like the Celtics and Bulls are 15-1-1 OVER L/17 with rest after they had a field goal percentage of at least 50 a free throw percentage of at least 85 with a combined average of 232.5 ppg . NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 33-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 225.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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01-13-20 | Pelicans v. Pistons -1.5 | 117-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Coach Alvin Gentry stated that Holiday is more likely to return for Thursday's game, which basically means Monday he wont play as he continues to deal with a strained elbow. Derrick Favors (hamstring) and JJ Redick (hamstring) are both questionable to play. Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram will get added minutes, but they have been far from cohesive and are not reliable starters. I know Blake Griffin is out for the Pistons but here at home vs a banged up Pelicans team that have an edge. The Pelicans are 0-14 ATS /SU l/14 when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s. NEW ORLEANS is 15-26 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 38-12 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-13-20 | Jackson State -1 v. Southern | 50-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Southern has lost 9 straight games, and are fade material in their current form vs a Jackson State hoops program that despite of a sub par record showed their tenacity against two top 10 teams: No. 6 Baylor and No. 9 Memphis each back in the month of December. The Tigers were competitive in against both teams but ultimately fell in each tilt. they matchup well here vs a struggling team and get my support on what is essentially a pickem line. JACKSON ST is 6-0 ATS in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons. Woods is 0-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of SOUTHERN U. Play on Jackson State to cover |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers UNDER 47.5 | 23-28 | Loss | -116 | 105 h 14 m | Show | |
I know the public sees a shootout when they look at the starting QB situation, but what I see is two defences, that will be prepared to grind it out today in the cold tundra air of Northern Wisconsin. For long stretches this season, the Packers have struggled to score consistently, despite the reputation of their stud Qb Rodgers who has by the way according the metrics, not performed as well as he did earlier on his career, as is evident by a almost a full yard regression , 8.2 yard per play output in the first decade of his career , and a 7.3 ypp output in recent seasons. Meanwhile, Colin Wilson the Seattle star QB , is dealing with injuries on his offensive line, with his top center and left tackle injured, which has tempered his teams offensive output of late as was evident when they scored only 17 points last weeks win vs Philadelphia to advance and their 13 and 21 point respective output in their two previous tilts. GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored.GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games this season with a combined average 36.2 ppg scored.GREEN BAY is 7-0 UNDER after a 2 game road trip over the last 3 season with a combined average of 35 ppg scored. SEATTLE L/13 in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons have seen a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-12-20 | Penguins v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Arizona has been shutout in back to back games and are obviously struggling offensively. With this being Pittsburgh final game of a 3 game west coast road trip Im betting they are on tired legs after two 4-3 wins , and will be more tempered in their approach to this game against what they know is hungry team. What Arizona continues to do despite of their recent scoring woes, is play strong defence, and today against a upper echelon side, that defensive vigilance Im betting will be on full display. ARIZONA is 8-1 UNDER in home games against excellent starting goalies - saving 93% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg. ARIZONA is 24-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. NHL road teams where the total is 5.5 (PITTSBURGH) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 46-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-12-20 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 229 | 86-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Atlanta is pretty banged up with Trae Young just added to the injury report due to left hamstring pain. He and De'Andre Hunter (foot) are questionable. Bruno Fernando (personal) remains away from the team. It must be noted young had 86 points combined in this L/2 games vs Brooklyn, and with him banged up his offence out-put Im betting will be curtailed if he plays. With Brooklyns Kyrie Irving returning to the floor, it looks like this total has been adjusted upward of where my line projections set at 224, which is a two possession discrepancy. There are just to many injuries for the Hawks to have flow here tonight and Irving despite of a huge emotional lift for his team, will still be restricted minute wise and will take time to blend in again and provide his team with positive offensive flow . ATLANTA is 10-2 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season are a combined average of 214 ppg. Note: the Hawks are 0-21 UNDER L/21 after at least 1 day rest and having held their previous opponent to less than 40% field goals and 20 fast break points and the Hawks having at least two steals in that game(which was the case vs free wheeling Washington offence last time out) The Nets are 0-11 UNDER L/11 with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with a combined average of 211.8 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-12-20 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 51 | 31-51 | Loss | -105 | 102 h 26 m | Show | |
AFC Divisional Playoffs Bottom line here today is that Arrowhead at the best times is a tough place to play in for both the home side and visitors. Here at home since Andy Reid came to town to coach the Chiefs t have gone under at a 36-22-1 clip including playoffs for a 20.9% Return on Investment. Part of that is the difference in their offensive output at home as compared to their offensive production away from Arrowhead. Dating back 6 seasons, the Chiefs have scored about a FG less at home, which has resulted in a combined 43.4 ppg output on average, as compared to more than 51 combined points in away games. Thats a huge difference . Add to that Outdoor NFL play off games games have been going under more often than not notching a 75-56-4 UNDER record for a close to 11% return on investment and you can see which way Im leaning here as I go directly against media and public perceptions.  HOUSTON is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined 38 ppg scored.  KANSAS CITY is 8-0 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons. with a combined average of 38.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-12-20 | Siena v. Manhattan UNDER 130.5 | 69-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The last three meetings in this series have seen scores of 51-49 , 53-40, and 51-47(dating back to the 2018 campaign). History has a way of repeating itself, and considering both teams projected style of play and defensive perimeters as adjusted to offensive output, a low scoring tilt that stays on the low side of the total is more likely than not. SIENA is 14-2 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 122.5 ppg scored. MANHATTAN is 10-1 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 3 season with a combined average of 121.2 ppg scored.MANHATTAN is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 season with a combined average of 115.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-12-20 | Canisius +2.5 v. St. Peter's | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
The Canisius Golden Griffs enter the meeting winless in conference play, sitting at 0-4 on the year. • Despite the losing MAAC record, three of the four defeats came by less than four points and they must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a St.Peters program that they have faired well against of late winning 3 straight meetings and 2 here on the road. Witherspoon is 16-4 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of CANISIUS is is 8-1 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. CBB favorite (ST PETERS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%) are 29-60 ATS L/23 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Canisius to cover |
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01-12-20 | Michigan State v. Purdue +4.5 | 42-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show | |
As great a hoops program as Michigan State is they have had problems here on the road against Purdue. None of the current Spartans have ever won there as they have lost three in a row in West Lafayette, Indiana, their last win coming Feb. 20, 2014.Mackey, is as hostile a venue as it comes and its not an easy place to win and you can bet your bottom dollar, the Boilermakers will be prepared to perform .This past Thursday  Purdue showed their metal with a hard-fought 84-78 double-overtime loss at Michigan and they already have two Big 10 wins at home this season, vs Northwestern and Minnesota and Im betting they keep it close today vs Michigan State. Painter is 33-19 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games as the coach of PURDUE.Painter is 23-12 ATS  vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game after 15+games as the coach of PURDUE. Play on Purdue to cover |
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01-11-20 | Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
 GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY Columbus enters this game playing a tremendous brand of tight defensive hockey that bases their own scoring chances out of transition. In the Blue Jackets last 13 games they have allowed an average of just 2 GPG and the combined average of those tilts clicks in at 5 gpg. Vegas has been taking part in some high scoring back and forth games of late, but their HC Gallant has not been happy with the teams play, and wants to get back what has made the Knights so hard to play against since their inception into the NHL. tonight he has a prime opportunity to get back to basics vs a team that will be in a fore checking mode from the get go. COLUMBUS is 17-7 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season. NHLHome teams against the total (VEGAS) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (score 2.9 or more goals/G) vs an average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) are 84-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. NHL team against the total (COLUMBUS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 93-54 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-11-20 | Long Beach State +14 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 55-52 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The Thunderdome has been a home away from home recently for the Beach, as Long Beach State has won four straight games on the road at UCSB. This is a long standing rivalry and Im betting this tilt will be a,lot closer than the line suggests. I know the public loves UC Santa Barbara here based on recency bias, and Long Beach State nasty defensive numbers, but it must be noted from a historical standpoint, that UC-SANTA BARBARA is 0-12 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997. Also despite of Santa Barbara's record and current 6 game winning streak, the program is just   9-25 ATS ( L/34 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins, mostly because of bloated recency bias lines. Play on Long Beach State |
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01-11-20 | Titans +10 v. Ravens | 28-12 | Win | 100 | 84 h 26 m | Show | |
All season long the Ravens have had the pedal to the metal.All season long I could not get the feeling out of my head, that they would eventually run out of gas before hitting the proverbial finish line. So here they are in their first play off game of the season , as a huge public favorite , going up against a upstart group Tennessee group fresh off a upset of the New England Pats. Bottom line :The Titans with momentum and confidence on their sides. and a physical defense and strong running game are a team built to compete with a side like the Ravens. It must also be noted that since QB  Ryan Tannehill became the starter, the Titans are 7-3-1 ATS for an impressive 35.4% ROI. But about football god, QB Lamar Jackson, he surely can make this a cake walk. I say hold your horses, on that concept, as road underdogs are 8-3 ATS for a 41% Return on Investment against the Ravens in Jackson’s starts under center. Play on the Titans to cover |
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01-11-20 | Lakers v. Thunder +1 | 125-110 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Danny Green out, LeBron James out and the hobbled Anthony Davis likely out because this is a back to back . the Lakers will be shorthanded on Saturday and fade material here against a hard working Oklahoma City Thunder side , that would love to put a beating on the Lakers in this spot. |
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01-11-20 | Oklahoma v. Iowa State -3 | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Ioaa State crapped the bed last time out vs Kansas and were thoroughly embarrassed at home. This a proud program that wont take getting slapped around lightly. Tonight Im betting on rebound performance vs a Oklahoma side in an emotional letdown situation as they are coming off a big upset victory at Texas and have the added problem of having Kansas on deck. Bad spot for the Sooners against an angry and embarrassed group that needs redemption badly.OKLAHOMA is 1-8 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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01-11-20 | Bulls +4 v. Pistons | 108-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Detroit lost a 115-112 overtime decision to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday. Thats not a good omen for Motown covering here as NBA Teams like the Bulls are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a road dog off a loss in which their opponent had overtime. The Pistons have also not had much luck vs the Bulls of late, and have lost all 3 meetings. Pistons are 0-14 ATS /SU when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and are 0-7 ATS  when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent this season. The Bulls are 12-0 ATS L/12 on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds.Casey is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game as the coach of DETROIT. Play on Chicago to cover |
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01-11-20 | Pelicans v. Celtics OVER 224 | 105-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Celtics had a losing streak reach three games for the first time when they fell 109-98 to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. Boston has dropped each of its last two games by double-digit margins, including a 15-point loss to the San Antonio Spurs its last time at home and are now in desperation mode here at home again tonight. With that said, I expect the Green Clovers to come right at the Pelicans and to obliterate their porous D, that ranks 28th in ppg allowed  with an all out assault and for the Pelicans to answer back behind their 8th ranked offensive output (113.3 ppg) and 3rd ranked pace and for this total to be obliterated. New Orleans has gone over 7 straight times. NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 20-4 OVER L/24 on the road when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted with a combined average of 230 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 54-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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01-11-20 | Pelicans v. Celtics -9.5 | 105-140 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Celtics are in desperation mode and ready to come out here with all guns blazing as they look to attempt to halt their current 3 game losing streak. With True Holiday and Derrick Favours out for the Pelicans today the Clovers have a big edge .  The Celtics are 24-1 ATS /25-0 SU as a favorite with rest off a game as a dog after being outscored in the paint by double digit.The Pelicans are 2-18 ATS L/20/1-19 SU as a dog with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in which they had an assist percentage at least 10 better than their season-to-date average. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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01-11-20 | St. Louis +5.5 v. Richmond | 74-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Saint Louis 13-3 on the season enter this tilt against Richmond having won five of six straight up, and have been viable underdog bets as well cashing  4 of 6 opportunities with nice upset win vs Belmont and Boston College  SLU has four starters who average double figures, and are one of the most balanced team in the A10 and must be respected as underdogs. In tilts decided by five points or fewer, Saint Louis is 3-0 SU and are not an easy out fortifying my underdog stance here. Note:  The Spiders are just 3-6 as a home team favorite of eight points or less. SAINT LOUIS is 15-4 ATS L/19versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games. CBB team (SAINT LOUIS) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game) are 56-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% converison rate for bettors. Play on SLU to cover |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -109 | 80 h 37 m | Show | |
 I have said all season long, that the Vikings were going to be a dark horse favorite of mine entering the play offs, because of their hardcore work ethic, and bruising defense, and ability to play up to opponents and hand out a smash mouth type of performance. I know the public just loves SFs super star QB Jimmy G, but like the old saying goes defense travels well, and here today against a 49ers side, that not seen play off football for a while, the wheels may come off at the worst possible time. Look for QB Cousins of the Vikings to do just enough to help us get the cover today. Dating back 16 seasons Divisional Round road underdogs are 36-24-1 ATS for a 16.3% Return on investment . Minnesota s HC Mike Zimmer dating back 5 seasons has been a ATM for Vikings betting backers when going up against non-divisional foes recording a massive bankroll expanding 44-19-1 ATS record for a 35.4% ROI. NFL  Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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01-11-20 | Gonzaga v. Loyola Marymount +19 | 87-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Bulldogs (17-1, 3-0) smashed the San Diego Toreros, 94-50 last time out, but previous to that had won 2 conference games by just an average of 9 ppg vs sub par competition. Bulldogs now go against a Loyola Marymount team that ranks 289th in the nation by scoring only 66.8 points per game and thus and exaggerated line has been offered. I know how great of a team Gonzaga is and the discrepancies of this matchup, but after playing a 40 minute end to end game last time out, Im betting the Dogs do just enough to get the win here vs a team Im sure their over looking. Play on Loyola Marymount to cover |
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01-11-20 | Drexel v. James Madison UNDER 153.5 | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play UNDERÂ |
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01-11-20 | Denver v. Western Illinois -4 | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Denver is on a 9 game losing streak entering this game and are fade material in their current form. DENVER is 4-18 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  DENVER is 0-8 ATS in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45%or more over the last 2 seasons. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (W ILLINOIS) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) are 90-64 ATS for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (DENVER) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 5-64 SU L/23 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Western Illinois to cover |
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01-11-20 | Louisville v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
The Cards (12-3, 3-1 in the ACC) travel up to South Bend, Indiana for a Saturday showdown with the Fighting Irish. The Fighting Irish play a lot of zone defense and commit the fewest numbers of fouls per game across college basketball, at 11.9 per game, and rank third in the nation with just 9.9 turnovers a night. They are also consistently trying to hit 3s, and despite of being average this and the other two perimeters make them very viable getting points at home. The last time these two teams met in South Bend, the Cards came away with an 82-78 2OT victory in January of 2018. Im betting on another hard fought battle here with the points being golden. |
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01-11-20 | James Madison v. North Dakota State UNDER 52 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 99 h 12 m | Show | |
Two top tier football programs with hardcore discipline go head to head in the FCS championship game. This game sees North Dakota States 33-1 SU play off record on the line . ( interestingly enough the only loss came against James Madison). Bottom line is Im betting the total is a better investment option than what my projections estimate is a coin flip game. I cannot see either quarterback carving up the others secondary, and I also expect for both running games to falter against staunch front 7s. Im betting both sides have moderate grinding success moving the ball between the 30s but when it comes to finishing drives we will see what hardcore defence is all about. Both these sides are tough as nails and rarely make mistakes, which bolsters my under wager . Play UNDER |
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01-11-20 | Cincinnati v. UCF +2.5 | 68-54 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
 The UCF Knights had a successful non-conference season, going 9-3 overall, but has now dropped its first three games of the American Athletic Conference season. Today however, Im betting they will be sky high and extremely motivated  to get back in the win column vs Cincinnati. CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. UCF is 21-7 ATS L/28 in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). CBB underdog (UCF) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 34-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UCF to cover |
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01-10-20 | Warriors v. Clippers -13.5 | 100-109 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Defense has been an issue recently for the Los Angeles Clippers. However, they've had four days to work on it before they host the struggling Golden State Warriors and should be very ready to play a shut down game here on rested legs, which to me suggests a blowout situation. The Clippers hammered the Warriors 141-122 on Oct. 24. Rinse and repeat at hand tonight as teams now have a chance to give back some the nasty medicine the Warriors forced on opponents over an extended period of time in the last decade. No Mercy rule in effect. LA CLIPPERS are 8-0 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons. NBA Teams like the Clippers are 19-2 ATS /21-0 SU as a 8+ favorite with more than one day of rest off a game as a favorite in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field with a the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.9 ppg. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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01-10-20 | Bucks -8 v. Kings | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Sacramento will be short handed and banged up for tonights game against the explosive Milwaukee Bucks with Richaun Holmes and Bogdan Bogdanovic laready ruled out, while Cory Joseph and Nemanja Bjelica sat out Thursday’s practice due to bumps, bruises and illness. Advantage Bucks as their super star Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected play. The Bucks are 19-1 ATS /20-1 SU as a 8+ favorite with less than two days rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws with the average ppg diff clicking in at +22.2. The Kings are 0-16 ATS /0-16 SU as a home dog off a win as a road dog facing an opponent averaging more than 5 blocks per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.8. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - excellent defensive team (41.5% or less ) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) are 30-6 ATS L/23 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a young Grizzlies team that is suppose to be rebuilding, but what most pundits are missing is how talented they are and how consistent they have been of late. I know their opponents the Spurs have the bigger names, and respected franchise pedigree but , what they dont have is consistency and work ethic and that is why Im backing the home side tonight to get the cover. The Grizzlies are 11-0 ATS /SU L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick after they had a field goal percentage of at least 50 a free throw percentage of at least 85. (Which was the case last time out.The Grizzlies are also 10-0 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits. The Spurs are 1-16-1 ATS /1-17 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a 10+ win in a road game. Play on Memphis to cover |
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01-10-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 230.5 | 121-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
 Memphis ranks 10th in offence, and 27 in ppg allowed on defence, behind a 3rd ranked pace. Meanwhile. San Antonio ranks 6th in ppg on offence, and 25th in pgg allowed on D, behind the 12 ranked pace. Needless to say the odds are suggesting a fairly high scoring affair here. Question is how many combined points can both teams accumulate here. My answer and projections estimate north of 230 . Note:SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined average of 239 ppg scoredAN ANTONIO is 23-9 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 234.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.The Grizzlies are 12-1 OVE$R L/12 facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with a combined average 236.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-10-20 | Heat v. Nets +4 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Brooklyns C LeVert is getting healthy again and hes now ready tp play a full game, with no minute restrictions, and Im betting we now see more flow from what was clunky Brooklyn offence . Meanwhile, the Heat are showing themselves to be atop tier team this season, but have had issues against lower tier teams , as was evident by recent losses vs Orlando and Washington . Meanwhile, BROOKLYN is 22-10 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%or better ) over the last 3 seasons. The Nets are 10-0 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick with more than one day of rest off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times. The Heat are 0-12 ATS /L/12 as a road favorite off a win after allowing 50-plus points in the paint The Heat are 1-13 ATS /SU when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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01-10-20 | Manhattan +2 v. Fairfield | 60-68 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
The Jaspers are among the nation's best on defense, limiting teams to a MAAC-low 63.7 ppg (65th NCAA) while also pacing the MAAC in field goal percentage defense (.396-64th NCAA) and 3-point defense (.318). Manhattan also ranks among the nation's leaders in forced turnovers (15.6/game-74th NCAA) and steals (7.6/game-92nd NCAA). I know Fairfield also plays tough D, but the difference maker will come via the better offence which my ranking suggest belong to the Jaspers. Manhattan has already won their L/2 MAAC road games and wont be surprised if they turn the tric again. FAIRFIELD is 5-13 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (MANHATTAN) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a bad team (20 to 40%) are 31-10 ATS L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Manhattan to cover |
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01-10-20 | Manhattan v. Fairfield UNDER 116 | 60-68 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Play UNDERÂ |
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01-09-20 | BYU +4.5 v. St. Mary's | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. BYU to cover |
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01-09-20 | Hawaii v. CS-Fullerton +3.5 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | Gonzaga v. San Diego +15.5 | 94-50 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Top-ranked Gonzaga typically sails through West Coast Conference play, but its first two conference victories this season were by an average of just nine points and they are showing signs of regression this season as compared to past program groups. Advantage SD to cover. SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 3 seasons. San Diego has covered the L/4 meetings in this series.  Play on San Diego to cover |
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01-09-20 | Arizona +4 v. Oregon | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | Northern Colorado v. Weber State +3 | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | Predators -133 v. Blackhawks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
 GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE, CHICAGO - ROBIN LEHNER Nashville has revenge on board for an embarrassing 7-2 loss they suffered to Chicago back in November and will be primed for payback here. I know both sides, are playing at the opposite proverbial end of the performance spectrum, but this could be the wake up call the Preds need to get back on track again. CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS in home games against good offensive teams - 29 shots or more on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season. NHL Road Favorites against the money line (NASHVILLE) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 27-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Nashville Predators to win |
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01-09-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Texas State OVER 140 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | Western Kentucky v. UABÂ +2 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | Celtics +2.5 v. 76ers | 98-109 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers will be severely short-handed for their game against the visiting Boston Celtics on Thursday.All-Star center Joel Embiid will miss the game with a dislocated left ring finger. Meanwhile, Bostons star forward Kemba Walker, who had missed the previous three games with flu-like symptoms, played 18 minutes while on a minutes restriction last time out, and should get more time tonight. Tonight Im expecting a Celtics team with redemption and revenge on mind for two losses in this series earlier this season and two current overall losses to have an edge on a value line. BOSTON is 9-1 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season. BOSTON is 13-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season NBA team vs the money line (BOSTON) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite are 39-19 SU L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Celtics to cover |
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01-09-20 | Memphis +6.5 v. Wichita State | 67-76 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Morehead State -8 | 77-83 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | NC-Wilmington +12 v. William & Mary | 63-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-09-20 | Wagner +8 v. St Francis PA | 62-80 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Wagner to cover |
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01-09-20 | Purdue +6 v. Michigan | 78-84 | Push | 0 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Purdue to cover |
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01-08-20 | Kansas v. Iowa State +5.5 | 79-53 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The game will feature the Big 12's top-two scorers in KU's Devon Dotson (18.4 ppg) and ISU's Tyrese Haliburton (17.7)...ISU (80.2) and KU (79.5) also are the league's top scoring teams.Im betting on hard fought affair and for KANSAS to add to a 3-11 ATS mark in road lined games over the last 2 seasons. I know Iowa State is off a close loss last time out vs TCU on the road, but now with redemption at hand vs a perennial Big 12 super program, Im betting we see them at their best. Note: IOWA ST is 16-4 ATS in home games off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival. The Cyclones have won three of the last five meetings in Ames. In the last 13 meetings, ISU is 7-6 against KU with eight of those outcomes being decided by seven points or less. CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA ST) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 44-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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01-08-20 | Rockets -8 v. Hawks | 122-115 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
These two teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Houston has won 11 of their L/14 SU while, Atlanta has lost 12 of their L/14 overall, and when these teams met earlier this season, the divergence in talent was on full display as the Rockets smashed the Hawks by a 158-111 count. I know Atlanta has revenge on board, but Im betting they dont have the legs to get redemption as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights against a visitor that is fresh and on 4 days rest. ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 30-1 SU L/23 seasons, with the average ppg diff clicking in at +9.2 ppg which qualify as a positive league wide trends situations when applied to this offered side number. NBA Home underdogs (ATLANTA) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are 45-15 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Rockets Play on Houston to cover |
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01-08-20 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 220.5 | 129-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Kemba vWalker might be out for the Celtics but they are still capable of getting offensive production from their bench vs a Spurs side that has been defensively challenged this season. Im betting tonight the Celtics will have no choice but to do some running and gunning vs a Spurs side , starting to heat up , and are off a win vs mighty Milwaukee last time out, by a 126-104 count thanks to an uptick in their beyond the arc shooting . SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.1 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average 232 ppg scored. The Spurs are 13-0 OVER as a dog for the second straight game with a combined average of 236.9 ppg scored.  NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 220 (SAN ANTONIO) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning teams are 37-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-08-20 | Raptors v. Hornets +3 | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
The Raptors are banged up with a boat load full of injuries and fade material in their current condition and form. Team scoring leader Pascal Siakam remains out with a groin injury. The Raptors were also without Fred VanVleet (hamstring), Marc Gasol (hamstring) and Norman Powell (shoulder) on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Charlotte despite of a overall dismal record has shown some life of late winning and covering 2 of their L/3 and get my support to get us a cover here tonight. The Raptors are 0-15 ATS /3-12 SU off a loss as a favorite in which they led after each of the first three quarters  Play on Charlotte to cover |
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01-08-20 | Marist v. Fairfield -12 | 70-58 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-08-20 | Mississippi State v. Alabama UNDER 153.5 | 69-90 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play under |
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01-07-20 | Knicks +13.5 v. Lakers | 87-117 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The superior team here is obviously the LA Lakers, but it has also become obvious that the Lakers have a tendency of conserving energy and not going full throttle against most of their lesser opponents which is like to resting players. The Lakers have not seen a more than 13 point margin of victory in almost a month spanning 12 games and tonight Im betting the Knicks keep this run alive with a cover . NEW YORK is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a road game this season ( they are currently playing their 3rd road in a west coast trip)   LA LAKERS are 1-10 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons. LA LAKERS are 7-21 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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01-07-20 | TCU +1 v. Kansas State | 59-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-07-20 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -3 | 57-52 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Both these teams are red hot, but home court advantage for the Raiders will be paramount here vs a Baylor team that has played only one true road game this season at Coastal Carolina where they looked average at best. Here at home in the recent past Texas Tech are 3-0 SU at home against Baylor with an average margin of victory coming by 17.3 points and a repeat as far fetched as it might sound is a definite possibility. The Red Raiders own the 13th-best adjusted defensive efficiency in the nation while holding opponents to just 42.9% FG conversion rate and their ability to slow the Bears offence will be key to us getting a cover here tonight in this Big 12 mega matchup. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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01-07-20 | Villanova v. Creighton -1.5 | 64-59 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Villanova is one of the youngest teams in the nation, and despite of being talented are just to inexperienced for me to consider them as having a protracted enough edge to win in a place like Creighton where the home team has won all 10 of their games this season. Dating back to last season the Blue Jays have won 15 in a row at home.Add to that the Blue Jays are an explosive offensive side that have scored 89+ points in 5 of their L/6 in front of their own alumni and you have a viable short favorite to bet on in this spot. CREIGHTON is 11-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons ( they lost at Butler last time out and will be ready rebound) Play on Creighton to cover |
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01-07-20 | Flames v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
Chicago has been doing some scoring of late and have seen an average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 games find the back of the net. Meanwhile, their D, remains sub par and has allowed 3.3 gpg in their L/5 and on the season as a whole. Over is 6-1 in Blackhawks last 7 vs. Pacific. Their opponents tonight Calgary have also been scoring consistently lately scoring 3.8 gpg in their L/5 games while allowing 3.6 gpg during that span with 7 of their L/8 going over the total. Over is 5-0-1 in Flames last 6 games as a favorite. Im betting when they converge tonight a all out run and gun affair will take place and this score will eclipse this total number. These teams in their most recent meetings have taken part in high scoring affairs, including this season 5-3 tilt that the Blackhawks took. CHICAGO is 22-9 OVER against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 gpg. CHICAGO is 16-3 OVER ( against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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01-07-20 | Wolves v. Grizzlies -3 | 112-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies continue to uptrend in my power rankings as they go for their  straight win and 9th in their L/15 when they open a six-game home stand against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday.  The Grizzlies have momentum and confidence entering tilt behind an explosive cohesive offence that is off an impressive 140-114 rout of the Los Angeles Clippers and followed up by a 121-114 victory over the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. As far as this tilt vs a very banged up Minnesota Wolves team is concerned , that matchup very well here, as is evident by two previous victories in this series this season via a 137-121 home win on Nov. 6, and a 115-107 victory in Minneapolis on Dec. 1. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here this evening in Memphis vs a Wolves side that has lost 8 of their L/10 on the road. Memphis has won 3 of their L/4 meetings at home in this series and 7 of the L/9 meetings overall . Play on Memphis |
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01-07-20 | Missouri State v. Illinois State | 67-63 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 23 m | Show | |
Illinois State has won five of the last six games in the series between the two teams, the only Missouri State win in that stretch came last season when the Bears used a last-second half court shot to pick up the victory.  This season Illinois State opponents average an offensive possession length of 19.0 seconds. That time is the third-longest defensive possession length in the country, behind only Navy (19.6 seconds per possession) and Washington (19.1)Teams are having problems penetrating the perimeter against this Redbirds team and that Im betting will the difference maker tonight. Ford is 0-6 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MISSOURI ST. Ford is 2-10 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of MISSOURI ST. Play on Illinois State to cover |
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01-07-20 | Thunder v. Nets UNDER 216 | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City played last night but are well conditioned and Im betting will still have the energy to be physical with the Nets, a team that is suffering offensively of late. This tilt has the ear marking of  setting a slower more methodical pace as one team tries to per-serve energy for a-second half surge and the other just trying to right their sinking ship. Note: The Thunder work off the 6th slowest pace in the NBA and 12th ranked ppg allowed D. BROOKLYN is 8-0 UNDER in home games vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 210.7 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-4 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Thunder are 0-23 to the UNDER when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a game in which they allowed 50-plus points in the paint and they are facing a team that has averaged fewer than 55 points in the paint. Play UNDER |
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01-07-20 | Canucks +193 v. Lightning | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
The Lightning are red hot and on a 7 game win streak but extremely tired with this being their 7th game in 10 nights. I look for the Vancouver Canucks who are also sizzling and on a 7 game win streak to take advantage of this situation this Tuesday night and provide us with a win on a value under dog line. Canucks are 10-2 SU L/12 vs Atlantic division sides, like TB, and have won 3 of their L/4 visits to the West Coast of Florida. Play on the Vancouver Canucks to win on the ML |
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01-07-20 | Senators v. Capitals -288 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
This one is obvious as it gets. How high of a price can the books put on a game like this . Answer pretty darn high, so despite of what I usually perceive to be out of my price range, this wager is actually discounted as compared to the projected odds of an upset happening or more likely not happening . NHL Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (OTTAWA) - after allowing 4 goals or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 0-26 L/23 seasons for a 100% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win on the ML |
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01-07-20 | Coyotes +120 v. Panthers | 5-2 | Win | 120 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
The Coyotes have won three straight games and have momentum entering this game against Florida. They are down to their third string goalie,Hill, who was Arizona's third-round pick in 2015. In his career starts he owns solid 2.89 goals-against average and a .901 save percentage. With him between the pipes, and a D that ranks third in the NHL with an average of 2.50 goals allowed per game, Im betting they have an edge on the 5th best offensive in the NHL. Like the old saying goes defense travels and thats one of the reasons Im on the road side. Note:  Coyotes are one of the top four road teams in the NHL so far this season, sporting a 13-6-3 record. Also Florida is very tired as they play their 6th game in 10 nights and could easily find it hard to compete for a full 60 minutes vs a very physical grinding team like the Coyotes that is on two days rest.ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season and are 5-0 ATS   in road games after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game ( Arizona beat Philadelphia 6-2 last time out). Play on Arizona on the ML |
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01-07-20 | Pistons -3 v. Cavs | 115-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Cleveland is in complete disarray with key starters like Kevin Love not getting along with HC Altman , and the team as whole showing little or no chemistry. Meanwhile, Detroit despite of playing without Blake Griffin are a team, that gets along and plays hard as a unit and Im betting their work ethic gets them to the promised land tonight and provides us with a cover. Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Cavaliers are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. Cavaliers are 22-51 ATS in their last 73 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season NBA Home teams (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games are 47-93 ATS L/23 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
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01-07-20 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 218.5 | 115-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Detroits banged up and on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 nights, and Im betting they will play this game a reduced pace vs a Cleveland team showing less and less offensive cohesiveness of late averaging just 101.2 ppg behind the 23rd ranked pace in the NBA . Note: DETROIT is 16-1 UNDER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 202.4 ppg scored. DETROIT is 30-18 UNDER in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CLEVELAND) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 4 straight games are 39-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-07-20 | Blazers v. Raptors UNDER 220 | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Raptors are banged up and Im betting they slow this game down and rely on their bench to play top tier D here tonight in a game I have projected to stay on the low side of the total. PG] 01/06/2020 - Fred VanVleet is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs Portland ( Hamstring )[C] 12/19/2019 - Marc Gasol is out indefinitely ( Hamstring )[SF] 12/19/2019 - Norman Powell is out indefinitely ( Shoulder )[PF] 12/19/2019 - Pascal Siakam is out indefinitely ( Groin ) PORTLAND is 28-15 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 215.8 ppg scored. The Trailblazers are 0-17 UNDER in the history of the franchise as a road dog off a loss as a road dog in which Damian Lillard had 30-plus points with a combined average 194.2 ppg scored with none of the total eclipsing this number. Play UNDER |
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01-07-20 | Toledo +4.5 v. Kent State | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Kent State id read hot after winning 11 of their 15 games so far.  Visting Toledo is only 8-6 but are much better than their record might indicate and rank almost as highly a the Flashes in my power rankings which coincide in the efficiency numbers at kenpom that rank the Flashes 96th and Rockets  105th, which dictate a line that should be closer +3. Value here with the visiting underdog in a a close to a one to two possession line. Note:TOLEDO is 12-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Toledo to cover |
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01-07-20 | Virginia v. Boston College +9 | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 1 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-06-20 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State +1.5 | 55-41 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
West Virginia just played two very tough back to back games against ranked opposition defeating Ohio State in Cleveland in a neutral court environment and than a hard fought loss to Kansas and will now come into another tough environment in what could easily be a letdown situation which will result in a lack of energy against a hungry team in a need of a marquee win.Advantage -Oklahoma State. CBB underdog (OKLAHOMA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 57-21 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State ( LATE STEAM) |
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01-06-20 | Bulls v. Mavs UNDER 216.5 | 110-118 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Bulls continue to play at a very high level on the defensive side of the court and protect the perimeter with a take no prisoners attitude. The Bulls have held their opposition to the fourth-lowest 3PT% (.334) conversion rate in the league which will be of ultra importance here tonight against a Dallas group which ranks second in beyond the arc conversion rate this season. The Bulls struggle to score ranking 25th in ppg behind what has recently been a slow pace on a regular basis and with some injury woes ie (Markkanen) out with an injury this will be the case again, which in turn will highlight the need to be even more stringent offensively, which Im betting holds down the combined points total here this evening to the low side of the number. Note: Dallas is also playing a markedly slower pace of late, and now rank 20th in in the NBA in pace. Play UNDER |
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01-06-20 | Alcorn State v. Texas Southern -11 | 95-80 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Texas Southern has a sub par record losing 10 of their first 14 games this season, but their competetion has been amazing and of the top tier variety which includes true road games at Wichita State, Gonzaga, Nevada, Oregon, and Arizona State. /that Im betting will have them playing this tilt like its a walk in the park. Meanwhile, Alcorn State has looked every bit as bad as their 4-8 record would indicate . Texas Southern HC  Johnny Jones knows how to win and is merciless in his pursuit of victories behind a explosive offence that operates behind tbhe 16th ranked adjusted tempo. Thats not a good omen for Alcorn State to be competetive here tonight behind a pathetic 2P% conversion rate of 38.7% while ranking 299th behind the arc with a 29.6% conversion ratio. From my standpoint and projections this is a big time blowout situation that favors the home side Texas Southern. ALCORN ST is 1-8 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 season with the average ppg diff clicking at at -17.7 ppg. Texas Southern to cover |
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01-06-20 | Alabama A&M v. Jackson State -7.5 | 66-57 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Jackson State Tigers are battle tested after taking on two top 10 teams: No. 6 Baylor and No. 9 Memphis each back in the month of December. The Tigers were competitive against both teams but ultimately fell in each contest. Tonight against a Alabama State team that 3-9 on the season, while  averaging 66.6 points per game on offence while allowing whopping 81.6 ppg on defence the Tigers have a big edge here at home. Play on Jackson State to cover |
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01-06-20 | Jazz -2 v. Pelicans | 128-126 | Push | 0 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
New Orleans has been playing very well of late and have won 5 of their L/6 overall, but that will have Utah wide awake and ready to compete vs a uptrending side. The Jazz are also playing their best hoops of the season , winning 10 of their L/11 SU and have coved 6 straight times.  UTAH is 14-4 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +6 ppg. Utah is 10-1 ATS L/11 overall and have won and covered their 4 most trips to the Bayou to take on the Pelicans. Play on Utah to cover |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 55.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
LendingTree Bowl - Ladd Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL Miami O offence just cannot generrate consistent flow and the Redhawks rank outside the top 100 in quarterback passer rating, line yards and finishing drives. The RedHawks offence or lack ther off will go against a  UL Lafayette group that ranks top 20 in defensive finishing drives, which is not a good omen for ouptut conversion rate when entering the red zone. Something Im betting the Redhawks dont do much of today aqnyway. On the other side, of the ball, Miami Os defence is very capable and physical for a MAC team and have the ability to slow down the Cajuns explosive attack. Note: Miami 0 is ranked 26th in the nation defensive havoc. Both punt units rank to 20 in the nation, so field postion will also hinder offences if expected averages continue --which the odds say are highly likey. What Im betting on here is a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. In Miami Os last L/12 non conference games a combined average of 51.1 have been scored. CFB Neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (MIAMI OHIO) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games are 38-10 UNDER L/27 seasomns for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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01-06-20 | Jets +128 v. Canadiens | 3-2 | Win | 128 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Both these teams are slumping, but the Habs look in worse overall shape having lost 5 straight . Note: MONTREAL is 1-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses this season ( Montreal 2.6 Opp 4.3) This is a rematch of a pre Christmas December game where Montreal came into Winnipeg and smacked the Jets 6-2 in front of their own fans. Now with revenge on board Im betting on a motivational payback scenario to favor the Jets cashing for us tonight on a value line. The Jets are also off a divisional road loss last time out by a 3-2 count which is a good omen from a trends perspective as the Jets are 8-0 ATS off a road loss this season. (Winnipeg 4.8 opp 2.5) WINNIPEG is also 4-0 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more this season (jets 5 opp 2.5)  Advantage Winnipeg to win on the moneyline |
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01-06-20 | Thunder +7 v. 76ers | 113-120 | Push | 0 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City has been playing some very good basketball of late, and have won 9 of tjheir L/10 and covered 7 of their L/8 behind a stingy defence that has allowed 101.1 ppg in their L/5 overall all of which were wins. That Im betitng will be key to them being competetive vs a slumping Phaildephia team that is completely out of rythm and on a 4 game losing streak. Yes, I know the Sixers are desperate and have played their best hoops at home this season ( 16-2), but in their current form cannot be trusted to cover this wide a spread vs a streaking side that is built to throw offences out of their flow. Oklahoma City is 20-1 SU L/21 in this series and get my support to cover here tonight. Play on Oklahoma city to cover |
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01-06-20 | UL - Lafayette v. Appalachian State UNDER 144 | 81-73 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
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01-05-20 | Grizzlies +6.5 v. Suns | 121-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing well of late, winning 8 of their L/14 SU and are a vialbe underdog here vs a side that they have already played twice this season. and have notched a v115-108 victory at Phoenix . According to my projections Memphis in their current form matchup very well vs the Suns, and get my support here getting points. PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS in home games after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Grizzlies are 13-0 ATS /9-4 SU as a dog off a win in a road game in which they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals. The Suns are 0-14-1 ATS L/15 as a home favorite off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - horrible foul drawing team - attempting 21 or less free throws/game, on Sunday games are 46-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Grizzlies to cover |
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01-05-20 | Panthers v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
These two teams have not combined to score more than 6 goals in any of their L/4 meetings dating back to last season and Im betting nothing changes here today. Add to that Flordia is on tired legs after playing lat night and the Pens are banged up, Im expecting a slower game played out of transition. Note: Florida is expected to start backup G Driedger who is 3-1-0 with a 2.00 goals-against average, a .938 save percentage and one shutout this season. PITTSBURGH is 13-4 UNDER in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 33-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphais hard core defense and a offence that will be primed to the run ball and make this a gridning affair in the trenches has me firmly on the under. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. this season. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 UNDER in home games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.Pederson is 10-0 UNDER in home games off a division game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. Pederson is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in home games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. ( all the above totals averages were below this listed total) Carroll is 9-2 UNDER in road games against NFC East division opponents as the coach of SEATTLE. Play UNDER |
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01-05-20 | Knicks +9 v. Clippers | 132-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers were pounded 140-114 by the visiting Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday and are obviously not in a groove. I know NY may not inspire bettors, but if Leonard does not play tonight which is higly likely since he is not played in back to back games, this season, the Knicks can hang here and get us the cover. The Clippers are 1-18 ATS L/19 at home with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 3 straight vs current opponent. The Clippers are 1-22 ATS L/23 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a home game when they won 2 straight vs current opponet.  NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 49-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate flor bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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01-05-20 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 222.5 | 132-135 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
The Clippers got blasted by the Memphis Grizzlies yesterday a 140-114 count . It was an ugly defensive showing by the Clippers and today I expect they try to repair their proverbial defensive damn by slowing this game down and concentrating on their transition game. This Im betting directly effects this total to the low side of the number. NEW YORK is 18-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the lal/31st 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.4 ppg scored.  The Knicks are 4-26-1 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. NBA Teams are 5-33-1 UNDER L/39 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a home game in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 202.2 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days against opponent extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 42-17 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-05-20 | Northern Kentucky +1 v. Oakland | 75-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
NKU has been the most dominant hopps program in the Horizon League over the last three seasons, recording a 47-17 mark against league opposition while winning four of the combined six league championships (regular season and tournament). They have not started to roll quite yet ,but here againast this is a rebuilding Oakland team they have an edge. NKU has been stingy on the defensive end, holding teams to 65.7 points per game, and makes its hay with the nation's 11th-best 3-point field-goal shooting defense, limiting foes to just 26.6 percent, while their hosts the Golden Grizzlies score at a 64.0 points per game clip, but surrender 67.1.In the flip side NKU Offensively, are converting a strong rate from down town in the land of the trey as is evident by ranking 13th in the country in 3-point field-goal attempts (406) and 32nd in made threes (131). The combination of the Norse ability to slow the Oakland offence and their beyond the arc shooting to get us a win here. Note:Neither team has fared well on its home court, as NKU is 6-4 all-time at Oakland and Oakland is 7-3 at NKU. Advantage NKU OAKLAND is 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after allowing 85 points or more (Wright State lit them up last time out 96-69 for their 7th loss in 9 games. CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (N KENTUCKY) - off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) are 78-40 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 66% conversion rate for bettors. ( That happened in their last game vs Detroit Mercy last time out). |
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01-05-20 | IUPU-Indianapolis +11.5 v. Green Bay | 93-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
IUPU-Indianapolis has won and covered 4 straight meetings in this series and almost always seem to bring their best efforts to tilts against Green Bay. I know the Phoenix are explosive offensivevly but their still a 7-9 team that cannot be trusted to cover a DD spread like this on a consistent basis in a conference game. IUPUI has seen 6 of their losses this season decided by 2 possessions or less and Im betting they can hang. The Jaguarts have won the last five meetings in the series. IUPUI is 4-0 against the Phoenix since joining the Horizon League prior to the 2017-2018 campaign.  Play on IUPU Indianapolis to cover |
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01-05-20 | Vikings +9 v. Saints | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 98 h 46 m | Show | |
NFC Wild Card Playoffs I firmly believe that the Vikings are dark horse playoff contenders, and Im will to put my money where my mouth his here today vs the mighty Saints. The big concern with New Orleans is their D, and despite of their good over lying numbers, the metrics tell a different story, as they have been torched for 28 or more more points in 3 of their L/6 games. Vikings HC Mike Zimmer, responds owns a  43-18-2 ATS career record  in non-division tilts, including 18-3-1 ATS when coming off a loss which they did in their last game of the regular season. The Vikings are also  13-0 ATS L/13 covering my more than 12 ppg as a dog when their opponent is off two double-digit win and they are not off a double-digit win. NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS in dome games over the last 3 seasons. NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 13-35 ATS L5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home teams (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win against a division rival, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 7-25 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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01-04-20 | Titans v. Patriots -4.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -115 | 63 h 36 m | Show | |
The Pats may not be a real Super Bowl contender this season, and Tom Brady may have lost a few steps as Father Time catches up to him . However, this experienced New England team is more than capable of knocking off a Tennessee team that did not play against the Pats this season, and have no real gauge as to handle their attack or perceived weaknesses, other than film and scouting reports. The same can be said for Beliichik and company, but it must noted that the Pats are 17-1 SU in playoff games behind Bill Belichick in games against opponents they did not face during the regular season. It must also be noted that QB Ryan Tannehill has no experience in the play offs while, Tom Brady is the god of play off football, and is always one patented series of plays away from a key TD,making the Pats the side to back today. Hey guys I know recency bias comes into play here as NE looks horrendous last week vs Miami. However, as outlandish as it might sound I would not  be surprised if Bellichick and company really wanted to win last week as badly as many might have thought and instead were playing possum. I know , this sounds like a whacky conspiracy theory , but this HC is a football and mad genius like no other  , and who. knows where his degenerate thoughts go. He's proven he is not beyond doing anything to win games and this might be his physiological peace  de resistance . Time will tell, but Im betting on the Pats to advance and more importantly cover in a short line.  The Titans are 2-22 ATS L/24 when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game. NEW ENGLAND is 31-10 ATS  when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season since 1992. NEW ENGLAND is 20-8 ATS  in home games against AFC South division opponents since 1992. Play on the NE Pats |
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01-04-20 | NC-Greensboro v. Wofford -1 | 92-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. |
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01-04-20 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 216 | 121-102 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow Brooklyn has shown very little cohesive flow in their L/ 10 games, with the offense having averaged 108 points on 44.4 percent field goal shooting, including 32.8 percent from 3-point range. That's not a good omen for their offensive output today vs a Toronto side that has held their L/4 opponents to 97 points or less. This tilt has an under written all over it even though the Nets have formerly inured Levert back in the lineup after a long injury layoff. The Raptors are 1-11-1 UNDER L/13 on the road facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 202 ppg scored. Teams like the Nets are 0-14-2 UNDER L/16 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game when they are off two games in which they allowed their opponent to score 10+ more than they usually allow with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans OVER 43.5 | 19-22 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
AFC Wild Card Playoffs The lines-makers are estimating this will be a very close. game and I agree as my projections estimate each team will score in the vicinity of 20 points each. Note: BUFFALO is 8-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average 54.6 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON in their L/22 tilts when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons a combined average of 57.3 ppg scored.  In a coin flip game that could be won by a late FG or OT, the total looks much more viable than the side.  Play OVER |
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