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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-04-21 | Marshall -150 v. Navy | 49-7 | Win | 100 | 164 h 51 m | Show | |
New era begins with new HC Charles Huff, Jr. of Marshall and Im betting it will be a successful venture behind an extremely talented Navy is off a down campaign finishing 3-7 and Im not sure they have upgraded enough to get back to their glory form of recent past seasons. CFB Home underdogs vs. the money line (NAVY) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 5 or more straight losses, with an experienced QB returning as starter, in the first two weeks of the season are 29-1 L/29 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. CFB home team (NAVY) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 6-36 L/29 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate. Play on Marshall to win |
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09-04-21 | Alabama v. Miami-FL +19.5 | 44-13 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 23 m | Show | |
The'Canes Im betting will continue to uptrend that they bring. back 19 starters. Meanwhile, Alabama is down 3 key players who finished in the top 5 of the Heisman vote, and return just 3 offensive starters . Hey I know what recruiting is like at Alabama and a few 4 and 5 star studs should make them a national championship contender squad this season, but here today against a under rated side with plenty of experience and talent Im betting on the underdog covering. Play on Miami Fl to cover |
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09-04-21 | Penn State +4.5 v. Wisconsin | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 160 h 22 m | Show | |
The Badgers are banged up on the offensive line and Im betting they have problems today moving the ball vs a under rated Litanny Lions D, that despite of giving up 27 ppg on average last season, allowed an average of just 329 ypg (the Lions numbers were skewed by alot of offensive turnovers) . Note: The previous 3 seasons the Lion defense allowed an average of just 17 PPG and this season and more importantly here today their D Im betting stands tall. Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PENN ST) - good passing team from last season - averaged 255 or more passing yards/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning are 24-3 ATS L/10 seasons for a 87"% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Penn State Nitanny Lions to cover |
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09-04-21 | Stanford +3.5 v. Kansas State | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 52 m | Show | |
AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX My projections suggest we have value with Stanford in this non conference spot play. The Cardinal have plenty if experience on offense especially the offensive line where Im betting they can dominate vs a KState side that looked flustered at times on defense last season. . The Cardinal are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games and have covered 5 straight times vs BIG12 opponents .Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-12. Play on the Stanford Cardinal to cover |
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09-03-21 | Astros -125 v. Padres | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
The Astros (78-55) are coming off back-to-back shutout losses against the Seattle Mariners while seeing their division lead fall to 4 1/2 games over the Oakland Athletics and they will now be primed and hungry for a bounce back effort. Padres starter ARRIETA is 1-10 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. (Team's Record) Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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09-03-21 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Northwestern | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
, Northwestern Wildcats only return 8 starters and Im betting they down trend this season in Big 10 action. Meanwhile, Michigan state returns 16 starters, and have beaten the Wildcats in their last 2 meetings. I wont be surprised if the Magic of 3 rears its head here as my projections estimate an actual upset , thus getting points makes for a viable wagering opportunity. Fitzgerald is 17-30 ATS in the first month of the season as the coach of NORTHWESTERN. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Road team is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN ST) - with 16 total starters returning are 67-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MICHIGAN ST) - team that had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season are 54-23 ATS L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan State to cover |
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09-03-21 | Northern Colorado v. Colorado OVER 56 | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Im betting Colorado smashes Northern Colorado with offensive punch after offensive punch here tonight . The Buffs averaged 4.6 yards per attempt and ranked 22nd in the nation in rushing yards per game vs top tier College Football opposition and here versus a defense that gave up a whopping 5.8 yards per carry and nearly 250 rushing yards per game against FCS competition some big time output is my bet. Im also expecting Colorados incoming QB Lewis to highlight a strong arm and aerial phenomenons against a suspect Northern Colorado secondary. On the flip side Im also betting on Northern Colorados spread offense to do more damage than the lines-makers expect vs a Buffs pass D that can be extorted and a D that allowed more than 32 points four times last season, and run D that was ranked 114th in the nation last season. Over is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 games overall. Play OVER . |
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09-03-21 | Cardinals +161 v. Brewers | 15-4 | Win | 161 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Brewers are off a big series with the Giants winning 3 of 4 and could now easily be in a letdown jet lagged spot as they travel back home off their West coast road trip . Cards starter WAINWRIGHT is 21-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WAINWRIGHT is 12-2 against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) which was the case last time out. MLB home teams (MILWAUKEE) - team with a poor OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 16-36 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.Louis to win |
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09-02-21 | Ohio State v. Minnesota +14 | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 37 h 4 m | Show | |
The Buckeyes look like an inexperienced bunch this season and return just 2 seniors from the 2-deep chart and rank last in Top tier conference of 130 teams in returning yards gained offensive production . Meanwhile, Minnesota bring back 20 starters, including 7 seniors and 12 athletes from the 2-deep chart. This is a tough conference, and their are some surprises coming this season, and the Buckeyes inexperience may end up being a glaring issue. Advantage on the line for the Gophers. MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 63 since 1992.Golden Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Golden Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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09-02-21 | East Carolina +10.5 v. Appalachian State | 19-33 | Loss | -112 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
East Carolina is a program that may surprise some pundits this season and more importantly tonight against the Sun Belt perennials App State . Shawn Clark will have to deal with a inexperienced QB at the helm of the Mountaineers offense. Meanwhile the Pirates return the most production of all the football programs in the American conference . HC Mike Houston Im betting is ready to make big strides in his teams competitiveness this season in his 3rd year. Advantage on the line goes to East Carolina. Mountaineers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Mountaineers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Play on East Carolina to cover |
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09-02-21 | Brewers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
The Giants will put , right-hander Logan Webb (8-3, 2.65 ERA), on the hill to face Brewers lefty Eric Lauer (4-5, 3.61).Webb owns a 1.47 ERA in his L/13 starts. Brewers starter Lauer formerly with the Padres knows the Giants well and has never lost to them going 3-0 with a viable 4.08 ERA in seven games, including six starts and is capable of slowing down a suddenly struggling SF offence that is averaging just 2.6 rpg in their L/7 trips to the diamonds. WEBB is 9-1 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) WEBB is 8-0 UNDER in home games this season. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 13-3 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (MILWAUKEE) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 55-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-01-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Since being acquired from the Washington Nationals at the trade deadline, Dodgers starter tonight Scherzer is 4-0 with the Dodgers along with garnering a 1.55 ERA. SCHERZER is 14-4 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 31-19 UNDER in road games against right-handed starters this season. The Braves starting left hander Max Fried (11-7, 3.54), is 4-0 along with a 1.36 ERA in five August starts. In two outings against the Dodgers in last year's National League Championship Series, Fried was 0-1 in two starts with a 2.84 ERA in 12 2/3 innings of top tier work. I am betting on more of the same here this evening. Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (ATLANTA) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 54-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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09-01-21 | Brewers v. Giants -152 | 5-2 | Loss | -152 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Brett Anderson has seen his L/4 four consecutive trips to the hill end in Milwaukee defeats and tonight Im betting that streak continues. Meanwhile, Giants starter Gausman (12-5, 2.49 ERA), has gone unbeaten in August, running up a 3-0 record and 3.16 ERA in five starts and looks to be the right side of this bet tonight as he he is backed by one on MLBs top bullpens. GAUSMAN is 10-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) SAN FRANCISCO is 21-4 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons MILWAUKEE is 9-15 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. MLB team (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or better over his last 10 games are 14-37 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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09-01-21 | UAB v. Jacksonville State +17 | 31-0 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
The Jacksonville St defense allowed their opposition to an average just 17.6 points in offensive output , 92.3 rushing yards, and 2.3 ypc in a 13-game campaign last season. With key contributors back Im betting they remain staunch. Meanwhile, the offense is also dangerous behind top tier prospect QB Zerrick Cooper who was on the Heisman watch list after leaving Clemson. On the flip-side, UAB is also a strong team that could make a run for the CUSA championship. Their strength remains on their grinding run game on offense and a defense that returns 9 starters. With that said, Im betting on the Gamecocks strong run stopping abilities and their superior QB to help them stay within the number in this game and to get us the cover. Note: UAB went 1-3 ATS last season as a double-digit favorites. Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field-turf. JSU was 2-0 ATS last season against FBS opponents. Play on Jacksonville state to cover |
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09-01-21 | A's -164 v. Tigers | 6-8 | Loss | -164 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
OAKLAND is 40-17 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.OAKLAND is 44-16 against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. Athletics are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Athletics are 74-24 in their last 98 vs. American League Central. DETROIT is 10-29 against the money line in home games after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series. Tigers are 37-82 in their last 119 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Tigers are 26-59 in their last 85 vs. American League West.Tigers are 64-148 in their last 212 vs. a team with a winning record.Tigers are 24-64 in their last 88 home games vs. a team with a winning record. OAKLAND is 11-1 against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons. Play on Oakland to win |
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08-31-21 | Sky v. Mercury +1 | 83-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
My projections make the Mercury 2 point favs thus giving us value with the home side. CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS after allowing 75 points or more this season. PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 17 or more assists/game after 15+ games this season. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games and 38-4 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate. Play on the Phoenix Mercury to cover |
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08-31-21 | Brewers -115 v. Giants | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Brewers send right-hander Brandon Woodruff (8-7, 2.38 ERA). The veteran hurler is coming off one of his best outings of the season. He struck out 10 and scattered four hits in six shutout innings in a 4-1 win over the Cincinnati Reds in a 4-1 win and has momentum on his side.He has never pitched in San Francisco and is 0-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his two lifetime appearances against the Giants. WOODRUFF is 21-6 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 11-1 against the money line in road games after allowing 1 run or less this season which was the case yesterday in a 3-1 win in game 1 of this series. MILWAUKEE is 18-3 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less) -NL, with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games are 29-60 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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08-31-21 | Marlins v. Mets -175 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
The Marlins are 0-9 L/9 Elieser Hernandez starts when they won in his last start. |
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08-30-21 | Brewers -123 v. Giants | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Brewers starter Burnes (8-4, 2.30 ERA) will start in the series opener. He will be opposed by veteran right-hander Johnny Cueto (7-6, 3.73), who started the finale of the previous series. Burnes was in top form in his previous start against the Giants, allowing just one run in seven innings. He didn't get a decision in the win, but he did extend his unbeaten streak, which stands at 14 games. Rinse and repeat. MILWAUKEE is 16-4 against the money line in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this seasons which was the case last time out. The Giants won the last two meetings in this series back in Milwaukee in August. Note" COUNSELL is 22-3 against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of MILWAUKEE. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - NL team with a high slugging percentage (.430 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 30-12 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win |
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08-30-21 | Rockies -135 v. Rangers | 3-4 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
Rockies starter MARQUEZ is 19-4 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)The Rockies are 9-0 L/9 vs German Marquez starts as a favorite after he gave up no walks in his last start which was the case. Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. TEXAS is 9-26 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. The Rangers upset the Astros yesterday and now Im expecting a letdown expeirence to derail them. Play on Colorado to win |
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08-30-21 | Red Sox +125 v. Rays | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Bostons starter PIVETTA is 9-1 against the money line when playing on Mondays in his career. (Team's Record) In the series opener, Boston's Nick Pivetta (9-6, 4.57 ERA) will make his third career start against the Rays - all this season.The right-hander is 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA overall and 0-1 with a 2.38 ERA in two starts in the Sunshine State and gets my support to hold down the fort against the red hot Rays. CORA is 25-16 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in all game. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or worse) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 35-70 L/5 seasons for a 68% go against conversion rate. Play on the Boston Red Sox |
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08-30-21 | Phillies v. Nationals +140 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Wheeler is 0-3 with a 6.53 ERA in his last three starts and in his current form is fade material. His young pitching opponent from the Nationals Gray has worked at least five innings and allowed more than three runs only once in five starts in the month of August. PHILADELPHIA is 16-22 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. MLB team (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) -NL, with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts are 29-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on The Washington Nationals to win |
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08-30-21 | Cardinals v. Reds -200 | 3-1 | Loss | -200 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Cincinnati's grasp on the National League's second wild-card slot is not a strong one and they need to get going here or fall by the way side as the post season stretch continues. With that said, Im expecting a big effort from the Reds here at home where they play their best baseball ( averaging 5.5 rpg in offense). The Cardinals are 0-19 L/19 as a road dog of more than +130 when facing a starter they lost to in their last same-season meeting. Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Reds are 24-7 in their last 31 games as a home favorite. CINCINNATI is 36-22 against the money line against division opponents this season. Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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08-29-21 | Yankees v. A's +134 | 1-3 | Win | 134 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery (5-5, 3.69) and A's righty Paul Blackburn (0-1, 4.09) are the scheduled starters in the season-series finale. Yesterday the As snapped the NY Yankees 13 game win streak, and Im betting they find a way tonight to spilt this series with a victory. Note: NYY starter Montgomery is over rated according to my power rankings and has problems vs righty batters (.306 wOBA), and his career statistics provide the same metrics of comparison( .310 vs. righties- vs.246 vs Lefty hitters). Considering the Athletics have been one of the most successful offenses in baseball against southpaw hurlers over the last few seasons we have some value here with the As. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series. MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 99-60 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the AS to win |
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08-29-21 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | 2-13 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Astros: Zack Greinke (11-4, 3.41 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 109 strikeouts) Rangers: Taylor Hearn (3-4, 3.82 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 71 strikeouts) Astros starting hurler GREINKE is 18-2 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros pitching staff has been solid this season garnering a 3.61 team ERA, fifth overall. Grienke owns a 1.42 ERA in his L/3 starts. Meanwhile, southpaw Taylor Hearn the Rangers starter has recorded a 3.69 ERA in his L/3 starts and is in good form in the moment and a viable pitcher to slow down the bats of the Astros. The last series between these side saw the Rangers held to only five runs in the three-game sweep against Houston late last month and in two games in this series now the Rangers have mustered only 6 total runs and Im expecting more futility today. TEXAS is 30-19 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.TEXAS is 16-5 UNDER in home games in day games this season. Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-29-21 | Blue Jays -170 v. Tigers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Tigers starting hurler Boyd (3-6, 3.44 ERA) completed a rehab assignment with Triple-A Toledo on Tuesday, and despite of being deemed healthy will have a short leash here because of what could end up being a rusty return to the hill vs a dangerous Blue Jays offence. Boyd is 0-2 with a 4.46 ERA in six career starts against Toronto . BOYD is 5-19 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Blue Jays are 10-0 L/10 on the ML as a road favorite off a road game in which they scored 3 runs or less and won. MLB Home teams (DETROIT) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320 or better ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 98-198 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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08-29-21 | Diamondbacks +162 v. Phillies | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is off a 7-0 2in vs Arizona yesterday but this has not been a profitable situation form Phillies supporters in follow up game. Note; The Phillies are 0-10 L/10 as a favorite off a home win by 5+ runs. With that said, I like the pitching matchup here enough for me tp grab the value with the underdog. Phillies starter Suarez is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks. Madison Bumgarner (7-8, 4.17 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Diamondbacks. Bumgarner is 6-3 with a 2.89 ERA in 12 career starts against the Phillies. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League East. Diamondbacks are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Philadelphia. PHILADELPHIA is 3-9 against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. of 28% or less) Play on the Arizona DBacks to win |
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08-29-21 | Cardinals -156 v. Pirates | 3-4 | Loss | -156 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Cards starter KIM is 18-9 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) KIM is 11-3 against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PITTSBURGH is 11-31 against the money line in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 3-16 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent this seasons. ST LOUIS is 19-3 against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons in Penn. Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 5-36 L/24 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cards to win |
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08-28-21 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
NYMets starter STROMAN is 19-4 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 10-1 UNDER in home games this season. (Team's Record) STROMAN is 8-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. (Team's Record) The Nationals are 0-10 UNDER L/10 on the road after their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. Under is 37-16-3 in Nationals last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. NY Mets have gone under in 9 of the L/10 seasons . Play UNDER |
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08-28-21 | Astros -223 v. Rangers | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Astros starter Valdez (8-4, 2.94 ERA) , is currently in top form posting a 1.83 ERA with six total walks in his last three outings and gets the nod here tonight vs a inconsistent Texas side . MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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08-28-21 | Blue Jays -194 v. Tigers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Tigers starter URENA is 9-26 against the money line in home games in night games in his career. (Team's Record) TORONTO is 13-1 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 20% over the last 3 seasons. TORONTO is 13-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Urena (2-8, 6.19 ERA) has not pitched for the Tigers since July 17 due to a groin injury and Im betting his rust will be evident in this spot. Tigers are 24-61 in their last 85 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 23-9 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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08-28-21 | Red Sox -137 v. Indians | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Cleveland righty starter QUANTRILL is 3-17 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) CORA is 101-57 against the money line in road games against right-handed starters in all games he has managed in his career. Meanwhile, Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (10-8, 3.72 ERA) is in form strong and gets my support in this spot ( Eovaldi owns a 1.42 ERA in his L/3 starts) Indians are 9-23 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 8-23 in their last 31 games as a home underdog. MLB team (BOSTON) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 45-74 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win |
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08-27-21 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
The Rockies are 0-15 UNDER L/15 when Kyle Freeland starts as a road dog of at least +140 after throwing a quality start last outing. FREELAND is 14-2 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better ) in his career. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 11-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) On the flip side, LAs pitching and defence are in top form and have allowed more than 3 runs just once in 10 games. Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-27-21 | Padres v. Angels +173 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Both these teams are struggling, and the Padres are fading from play off contention and looked dead on arrival last night in a 4-0 loss to the Dodgers. Absolutely no energy in the Fathers dugout and locker room and that will continue translate on the field. Advantage Padres. Note: Right-hander Joe Musgrove (8-8, 3.04 ERA) will start for San Diego . The Padres' offense struggles when hes on the hill. San Diego has averaged just 3.62 runs per game in his starts. Padres are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Padres are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. MADDON is 16-4 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse as the manager of LA ANGELS. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 12-29 L/5 seasons for a 71% go against conversion rate.
Play on the LAA to win |
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08-27-21 | Cubs v. White Sox -203 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
The White Sox are 15-0 L/15 on the ML as a home favorite after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game. |
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08-27-21 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 33.5 | 31-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 53 m | Show | |
The Eagles were shut out last week and it looks very much they will have issues with point production at least for the early part of this season. Hurts and company did score in a scrimmage drill against the Jets , but they faced lower tier bench opposition in one successful drive. Meanwhile first year NYJ head coach, Saleh is “leaning towards” playing quarterback Zach Wilson, the starting offensive line and the entire starting defense for possibly as much as the first two quarters Friday against the Eagles. Wilson and the offense are pedestrian and my opinion, but the D, looks solid according to my very early season rankings. This all points to a lower scoring pre season tilt. Note: During a joint scrimmage between these two teams, this week the Jets’ first- and second-teamers did not score, with Wilson’s one turn ending on a fourth-down sack. Jets have gone under in 9 straight preseason home games. These teams have combined to average 22.6 ppg in their L/5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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08-27-21 | Hamilton -2 v. Montreal | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
The Ticats will come into Molson Stadium well rested and motivated to get a W on the board . Fresh off of a bye week Hamilton is a dangerous opponent for a Als side that is showing just how undisciplined they are , taking bad penalty after bad penalty. Advantage Ti Cats. CFL Favorites vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers are 64-16 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hamilton TiCats to cover |
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08-27-21 | Giants v. Braves -115 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
The Braves are 16-0 L/16 on the ML when Max Fried starts in August. FRIED is 25-7 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Fried has a 0.67 ERA in his four starts in August. In three career appearances, two starts, against San Francisco, he is 2-0 with 2.03 ERA. Giants starter GAUSMAN is 17-33 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. (Team's Record) The Braves lost two games to the New York Yankees this week after nine consecutive victories and have the edge according to my projections in this spot. Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win |
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08-26-21 | Royals v. Mariners -161 | 6-4 | Loss | -161 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
The Royals are scheduled to start right-hander Brad Keller (8-12, 5.43 ERA) in the series opener against left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (7-7, 4.22), the Mariners' lone All-Star representative. My projections giver the edge to Kikuchi. The Mariners are 16-0 L/16 on the ML as a favorite of more than -130 off a road game when they won their last two games and their opponent has lost their last two games. SEATTLE is 10-3 against the money line in home games after a win by 4 runs or more this season which was the case last time out. Royals are 24-64 in their last 88 vs. American League West. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or better ) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 33-89 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate. Royals are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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08-26-21 | Yankees -109 v. A's | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
NYY starter TAILLON is 14-4 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) Taillon is 7-0 with a 3.21 ERA in his past 14 starts. The Yankees are streaking having won 11 straight games and are finding new ways to win on a consistent basis . This is a team on a mission and they must be respected on a short offering here even on the road . Play on the Yankees to win |
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08-26-21 | Giants -114 v. Mets | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco (0-2, 8.82 ERA) is slated to start for the Mets against Giants left-hander Alex Wood (10-4, 4.11 ERA). The edge goes to wood according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Thus Im betting the Giants get the sweep here. The Giants, own the best record in baseball at 82-44 and are 2 1/2 games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers and keep rolling into September. AN FRANCISCO is 33-12 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season The Mets are 0-11 L/11 past the first game of a series after they allowed 0-1 walks last game. MLB Home teams (NY METS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 21-45 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF giants to win |
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08-26-21 | Wings v. Mystics -3 | 82-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
The Washington Mystics will face the Dallas Wings for the second time this season on Thursday at home in D.C. In their first matchup on June 26, Dallas led by double-digits almost the entire game. Tonight Im betting the Mystics will get their revenge here at home where they have won the last two meetings. WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS revenging a road loss versus opponent by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 27-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. Play on Washington Mystics to win |
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08-25-21 | Rangers v. Indians -163 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Left-hander Jake Latz will make his major-league debut on Wednesday. Latz, recorded a 1-1 record with a 4.69 ERA in 15 appearances (13 starts) with Double-A Frisco and 0-0 mark with a 7.00 ERA in two starts with Triple-A Round Rock and according to my investigation of this kid Ive come to the conclusion he needs to faded here in a unfriendly road environment. I know the Rangers won yesterday, but Im betting they don't get the job done tonight. The Rangers are 0-20 L/20 on the ML as a road underdog of more than +165 after they held a multiple-run lead last game. Rangers are 11-40 in their last 51 road games vs. a right-handed starter. CLEVELAND is 13-1 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season. TEXAS is 7-31 against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 15-42 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 39-81 L/5 seasons for a 74% go against conversion rate. Play on Cleveland to win |
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08-25-21 | Rays +137 v. Phillies | 7-4 | Win | 137 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
Rays starter YARBROUGH is 13-3 against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like Wheeler. TAMPA BAY is 34-16 (+15.6 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season which was time case last time out. ] Tampa Bay has won the L/6 meetings in this series. Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Play on the Rays to win |
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08-24-21 | Giants -102 v. Mets | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Right-hander Tylor Megill (1-2, 3.21 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Mets against left-hander Sammy Long (1-1, 5.72 ERA) in a battle of rookies. Giants extended their lead over the Dodgers in the National League West to 2 1/2 games by edging the host Oakland Athletics, 2-1 and Im betting they keep their legs and bats going as they look to clinch a play off spot. Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. NY METS are 5-16 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.40 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Giants are 21-8 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 38-15 in their last 53 games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.Giants are 25-10 in their last 35 during game 1 of a series. Giants are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - team with a good SLG (.430 or more ) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games 97-51 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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08-24-21 | Angels -126 v. Orioles | 14-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Orioles have lost 18 straight games, the most since the Kansas City Royals dropped 19 in a row in 2005 and Im betting on that run continuing tonight. HYDE is 31-91 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of BALTIMORE like Dylan Bundy the Angles starter. The Orioles are 0-12 L/12 as a dog off a home game. BALTIMORE is 1-19 against the money line in August games this season. BALTIMORE is 0-9 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-39 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the LAA to win |
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08-24-21 | Aces v. Sun | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The sun play their best hoops at home where they own a 10-1 mark this season, and once again Im betting home court advantage will be golden. 'CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons. CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 40-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 34-6 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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08-23-21 | Royals v. Astros OVER 9 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Astros starter Greinke has pitched well lately but he Astros are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Zack Greinke starts at home after he gave up no walks in his last start with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. (This was the case last time out) GREINKE is 23-11 OVER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 24-11 OVER in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Daniel Lynch goes for the Royals. This is his 2nd straight vs the Astros and their vaunted offense knows him well. Lynch as a road starter this season has garnered a sub par 4.61 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this season and night tilts during this current campaign he has register a ugly 6.10 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in six trips to the hill. He will be backed by a Royals bullpen that has accumulated 4.92 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Houston. Play OVER |
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08-23-21 | Yankees +102 v. Braves | 5-1 | Win | 102 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
The Yankees have now erupted and are in top form and are on a extensive winning streak at 9 wins . New York has also won 10 of its last 11 games and is 31-11 record since winning the second game of a doubleheader on July 4. With that said Im backing Montgomery who is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in one career start against the Braves, which came last season to deliver us the cash. The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML after a game as a home favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead. MLB Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 120-78 L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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08-22-21 | Mets v. Dodgers -182 | 7-2 | Loss | -182 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
NYM starter STROMAN is 2-9 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) NY METS are 13-24 against the money line against left-handed starters this season like the Dodgers Price. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (NY METS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL) are 15-100 L/24 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Dodgers are 5-0 this season vs the Mets. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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08-22-21 | Royals -102 v. Cubs | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
. Kansas City won the series opener 6-2 and followed with a 4-2 victory on Saturday. The Royals are looking for their first sweep since July 23-25 against the Detroit Tigers and Im betting they get it vs a tanking Cubs team have lost 14 of 16 games . CHICAGO CUBS are 4-21 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season. Note: KC starter HERNANDEZ is 3-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.99. Play on the Royals to win |
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08-22-21 | Braves v. Orioles OVER 10 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Atlanta will start right-hander Touki Toussaint (2-2, 4.01 ERA) Sunday against Baltimore left-hander John Means (5-5, 3.44).Means will be making his first start against Atlanta. Toussaint lost his only career start against Baltimore last Sept. 14, when he allowed eight runs (five earned) on seven hits in 2 2/3 innings of a 14-1 loss and my pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he will get lit up again vs the Orioles offence. Meanwhile, the red hotBraves who are on a 12 game road win streak will also have a big output of production vs Means and the Orioles sub par bullpen, which will help us see a combined score that eclipses this total. BALTIMORE is 13-2 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. BALTIMORE is 12-3 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Play OVER |
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08-21-21 | Phillies +156 v. Padres | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Padres are struggling mightily at this time and yesterday they stranded 12 runners while losing for the eighth time in nine games.The Padres are batting .213 over that nine-game span, during which they've been held to three or fewer runs on six occasions. In their current form they are fade material. Note:The Phillies expect t Rhys Hoskins back from a groin injury tonight. Hoskins, who leads Philadelphia with 24 homers and 68 RBIs, is batting .394 (13-for-33) over his past 10 games, with three homers and 11 RBIs will add to the value here on backing the Phillies in this spot play.
Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Phillies are 38-17 in the last 55 meetings in San Diego. Play on the Phillies to win |
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08-21-21 | Mariners +140 v. Astros | 1-15 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Seattle starter GILBERT is 8-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 6-1 against the money line in road games this season. GILBERT is 7-1 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. (Team's Record) Mariners starters had allowed no more than three runs in 17 of 18 outings before Kikuchi surrendered seven runs on seven hits and three walks over just 2 2/3 innings in the series opener.(Im betting on a Bounce back in this spot) SEATTLE is 47-38 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season MLB underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 8 runs or more, off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division rival are 33-16 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. (Astros won 12-3 last night in game 1 of this series) Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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08-21-21 | Giants v. A's +110 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Giants starter GAUSMAN is 18-36 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in his career. (Team's Record)GAUSMAN is 17-33 against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in his career. (Team's Record Athletics starter MANAEA is 10-0 against the money line in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 15-2 against the money line in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or more home runs last outing are 32-12 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the As to win |
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08-21-21 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -245 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Jays starter RYU is 54-17 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in his career. (Team's Record) MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL), with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 10-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. MLB underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (DETROIT) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 2-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 95% conversion rate for bettors. Jays to win |
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08-20-21 | Mets v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY METS) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or better) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-9 OVER L/24 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. (Todays starting pitchers Carrasco/Buehler fit these parameters and my projections also signal a 9 or more combined score . ROBERTS is 33-17 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season as the manager of LA DODGERS with a combined average score of 9.3 rpg going on the scoreboard. Play over |
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08-20-21 | Mariners +165 v. Astros | 3-12 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Today I expect the Halos to get a win behind Kikuchi .SEATTLE is also 22-8 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season like Mccullers. Note:McCullers has posted consecutive losing decisions, allowing six runs on 14 hits and four walks over 10 1/3 innings with a .903 OPS allowed against the Twins and Angels.SEATTLE is also 31-17 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.SEATTLE is 37-28 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West. Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Mariners to win |
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08-20-21 | Mariners v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
According to my projections based on my pitcher vs batting order power rankings a total combined score of 9+ runs scored. The Mariners are 14-0 OVER L/14 on the road when they are off two straight wins in which they never trailed. Over is 16-7 in Astros last 23 vs. American League West. Over is 39-17 in Astros last 56 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs, playing on Friday are 57-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER |
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08-20-21 | Angels +106 v. Indians | 1-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
The Halos have proven resilient this season, after allowing big run outputs. Yesterday they beat the Tigers by a 13-10 count and now a strong situation is at hand, Note:LA ANGELS are 8-0 against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more this season. S.Hentges the Indians starter tonight was clobbered by the Angels on May 17, permitting six runs on five hits -- including a three-run homer to Ohtani -- with three walks in 1 2/3 innings of a 7-4 loss. He does not matchup well here and could easily find himself on the bench early on today. LA ANGELS are 13-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. Play on the LAA to win |
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08-20-21 | White Sox -117 v. Rays | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
The White Sox are 11-0 L/11 on the ML after a loss as a home favorite in which they held the lead. Rays starter Michael Wacha (2-4, 5.91 ERA), is bad form of late going 0-2 with an 11.57 ERA -- over his last three starts. Opposition hitters have crushed the 30-year-old Wacha with a .435 average and a 1.176 OPS. He is fade material at the moment. Play on the White Sox to win |
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08-20-21 | Braves -222 v. Orioles | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Braves are 15-0 L/15 on the ML when Max Fried starts in August games. BALTIMORE is 9-37 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. MLB team (ATLANTA) - after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival, in an inter-league game are 42-17 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +3 v. BC | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Edmonton has beaten BC three straight times and matches up well against them again tonight despite of already being 0-2 on the season. The fact they are looking for their first victory of the season makes Edmonton even more dangerous. CFL Favorites (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season are 24-60 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. Campbell is 10-22 ATS as a home favorite in all games he has coached since 1996. Edmonton. to cover |
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08-19-21 | Patriots v. Eagles OVER 38 | 35-0 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
In week 2 of the NFLX I look for vulnerable totals and my projections based on starters and depth players has me projecting a higher combined score than the lines-makers here in this tilt featuring the Eagles and the Pats. Im expecting rookie head coach Nick Sirianni to be motivated and for his players under an aggressive offensive system to back him here against Future HOF super bowl HC Belichick and company . The L/ 6 meetings in this series are 6-0 OVER with a combined average of (54.5 ppg) going on the board. Play OVER |
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08-19-21 | Lynx v. Sun -5 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Jasmine Thomas scored 19 points, Jonquel Jones had 17 points and 13 rebounds, and Connecticut beat Minnesota 72-60 on Tuesday night to snap the Lynx's eight-game winning streak. Rinse and repeat. Lynx enter this game with a 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 35-4 L/24 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 9.2 ppg which qualifies on this ATS line. WNBA Home favorites vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a home win by 10 points or more, in August or September games are 39-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at 11.9 which qualifies on this line. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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08-19-21 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Dbacks veteran starter Bumgarner (6-7, 4.30 ERA) has pitched well in six starts since returning from a shoulder injury that sidelined him for six-plus weeksHe allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of the starts while going 2-2 with a 2.09 ERA.Phillies BUMGARNER is 12-1 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 or more in his career (Team's Record) Phillies starter Wheeler, leads the majors in strikeouts (187) and innings pitched (162) while making 24 starts.The All-Star has struck out 10 or more batters six times. He fanned 11 on Aug. 8 when he tossed a two-hit shutout against the Mets. That was his second shutout and third complete game of the season, tying him for the major league lead in both categories.NYM WHEELER is 13-5 UNDER vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) Im betting on a pitchers duel here this afternoon. Under is 9-1-1 in Phillies last 11 overall.Under is 8-2 L/10 meetings in Arizona. Play UNDER |
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08-19-21 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 9 | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 10-1 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) MINOR is 11-1 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MINOR is 31-13 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 7-3 in Astros last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. My projections estimate no more than 8 runs here giving us value with a under wager. Under is 7-1-1 in Astros last 9 games following a loss.(Astros lost last time out) Under is 9-3-1 in Astros last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. KANSAS CITY is 23-9 UNDER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. MATHENY is 16-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in all games he has managed since 1997. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 34-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-19-21 | Mariners -130 v. Rangers | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Mariners starter FLEXEN is 7-0 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 11-3 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 13-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) FLEXEN is 4-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.040. The Mariners are 10-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a favorite after a win as a road favorite in which they never trailed. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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08-18-21 | Astros -156 v. Royals | 2-3 | Loss | -156 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 69-26 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 121-43 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career (Team's Record) KANSAS CITY is 1-14 against the money line with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 4-17 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. HOUSTON is 34-16 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Astros are 66-32 in their last 98 vs. American League Central. MLB Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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08-18-21 | Astros v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 17-2 UNDER ) as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros are 0-11-1 UNDER L/12 when Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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08-18-21 | Mariners -156 v. Rangers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Seattle starter GONZALES is 21-12 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gonzales has recently looked very effective and owns a miniscule 0.83 ERA in his L/3 starts and looks like a viable option here to back vs the Rangers. Texas starter Foltynewicz, is 0-5 with a 5.03 ERA in eight career appearances against the Mariners, with three of those losses coming this season and is fade material once again tonight. note: Foltynewicz has allowed a major-league-high 33 home runs this season. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 5-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win |
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08-18-21 | Brewers v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | 6-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
On Wednesday, the Brewers will start right-hander Freddy Peralta (9-3, 2.26 ERA), who has a 1.85 ERA in his past 15 starts. St.Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (9-1, 2.65) in his second start since he missed 2 1/2 months will go to the hill for the Cards. Flaherty scattered two hits over six innings in a 6-0 victory over the Kansas City Royals on Friday. Im betting both thee hurlers go ling and strong here today and along with bullpen support help keep this tilt on the low side of the totals number being offered. Cards starter FLAHERTY is 11-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season . (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 22-8 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons ST LOUIS is 12-1 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better over the last 3 seasons like Peralata. SHILDT is 21-8 UNDER in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (MILWAUKEE) - after a combined score of 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 40-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. Play on the UNDER |
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08-18-21 | Storm -3 v. Liberty | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
NYL last 3 losses have come by DDs, and Im betting they are being given a little ibt to much respect here even though we are backing a side from the west coast playing out side of their own time zone. WNBA team (SEATTLE) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games are 22-3 ATS L/24 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 8-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - playing with 2 days rest, with a losing record after 15 or more games are 9-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Storm to cover |
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08-18-21 | Storm v. Liberty UNDER 156.5 | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score in the low to mid 150s. Giving us value on anything above 155. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - after one or more consecutive overs, very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game are 144-86 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate! Play UNDER |
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08-17-21 | A's -108 v. White Sox | 0-9 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
As starter BASSITT is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record) BASSITT is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.174. In his past 15 outings, Bassitt is 9-1 with a 2.61 ERA. He is coming off a Thursday victory at Cleveland, where he scattered three hits, two walks and six strikeouts in six shutout innings and he gets my support here tonight vs the White Sox. Note: Bassitt (12-3, 3.06 ERA) has fanned 153 batters in an American League-leading 150 innings this season. Athletics are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Lopez.Athletics are 53-16 in their last 69 vs. American League Central. Athletics are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago. Athletics are 17-6 in the last 23 meetings. White Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games as an underdog. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) are 30-16 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win |
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08-17-21 | Mariners -137 v. Rangers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Tuesday's starting hurlers will be Tyler Anderson (5-8, 4.24 ERA) for Seattle and Spencer Howard (0-3, 5.61 ERA) for Texas. Slight edge to Seattle on the hill, and from a motivational factor the Mariners also get high grades as they are still in the hunt for a wildcard birth. Mariners are 17-6 in the last 23 meetings. The Rangers are 0-11 L/11 on the ML in the first game of a series with rest as a dog after they scored 6+ runs last game. SERVAIS is 30-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or worse) as the manager of SEATTLE. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - below average hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 12-51 L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Seattle to win |
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08-16-21 | Mets +1.5 v. Giants | 5-7 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
SFG starter GAUSMAN is 22-35 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record)GAUSMAN is 0-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.320. . Play on the Mets to cover +1.5 |
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08-16-21 | Indians v. Twins -123 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Tribe starter QUANTRILL is 2-13 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) QUANTRILL is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 12.47 and a WHIP of 1.617.(Includes 1 start) Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Indians are 0-12 L/12 on the ML on the road after they scored 6+ runs last game. Indians are in a natural letdown spot giving us value with the home side. Play on the Twins to win |
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08-16-21 | Cubs v. Reds -200 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Reds are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Wade Miley starts as a home favorite. MILEY is 16-1 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) The Reds are 10-0 L/10 on the ML a team that has lost at least their last four games. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 3-17 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. The Cubs are in tank mode, while Cincinnati continues to play hard. Advantage Reds to win |
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08-16-21 | Angels v. Yankees -250 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Angels starter SUAREZ is 1-14 against the money line vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yankees starter COLE is 6-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.041. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games are 7-41 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NYY to win |
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08-15-21 | Fever +3 v. Sparks | 70-75 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Fever were playing well before the break as they won 3 games in a row and Im betting on that momentum to continue vs a rebuilding Sparks side getting to much respect here in this spot. Fever are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Sparks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.Sparks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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08-15-21 | Dodgers v. Mets +1.5 | 14-4 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams bullpens in Major League Baseball and despite of how hot the dodgers are Im betting we have value with the Mets on the run-line in this spot. I know Dodgers Scherzer is hotter than Carrasco the Mets starter but from a matchup perspective , and how both pitchers approach hitters my projections tell me this will be a closer game than many might expect. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors against opponent after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 11-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate . Play on the Mets to cover +1.5 |
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08-15-21 | Yankees +165 v. White Sox | 5-3 | Win | 165 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Lucas Giolito goes to the hill vs the Yankees here this afternoon The righty does not seem to like pitching in days games in 2021 . In 10 daytime starts he has garnered a bloated 5.01 ERA and allowing 11 home runs in 55 2/3 innings of shabby work including 21 walks. With that said, Im betting on a Yankees team that has won 5 straight series dating back to July 27 to find a way to generate enough offence vs Giolito to get them to the promised land here today. GIOLITO is 1-5 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)GIOLITO is 1-5 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. (Team's Record) BOONE is 48-19 against the money line after a game where their bullpen blew a save as the manager of NY YANKEES which was the case yesterday. Play on the NY Yankees to win |
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08-15-21 | Orioles v. Red Sox -280 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
The Red Sox are 24-0 L/24 on the ML when Eduardo Rodriguez starts as a favorite of more than -180. MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who was hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings are 47-17 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Red Sox Big chalk blowout |
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08-15-21 | Reds v. Phillies -135 | 7-4 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
Philadelphia hurlers own a 1.38 ERA (six earned runs, 39 innings) from its starting pitchers in the past eight outings and get the nod with Nola on the hill. The Phillies have owned the Reds over the last few seasons especially at home garnering a 35-16 record. NOLA is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.122.GIRARDI is 26-9 against the money line in home games in day games as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. Play on the Phillies to win |
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08-14-21 | Yankees v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 7-5 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Yankees will send right-hander Jameson Taillon (7-4, 3.82 ERA). to the hill He is coming off back-to-back quality starts, including his last outing when he allowed one unearned run on four hits in six innings against the Kansas City Royals. In two career starts against the White Sox, Taillon is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA and Im betting on him coming uo big again and limiting the potent White Sox attack here. Meanwhile, Chicago will counter with right-hander Dylan Cease (9-6, 3.99 ERA) who is in top form recently a nd off striking out 10 batters in 5 innings last time out, and overall On the season, Cease has punched out 159 strikeouts in 119 2/3 innings. Im betting for both to long anf strong and to provide us with a top tier effort that sees this combined score stay on the low side of the offered number. The Yankees are 0-12 UNDER L/12 as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game. NY YANKEES are 19-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save are 50-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-14-21 | Saints v. Ravens -2 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 40 m | Show | |
The Saints enter this preseason game going 2-10 ATS L12 vs NFC opposition Meanwhile, Baltimore is 5-0 ATS L5 in this series and overall under Harbaugh have been absolute beasts in NFLX play accumulating a 21-3 ATS run over the L/6 seasons. The Ravens are currently on a 17-game preseason winning streak. When considering the starting lineup options and backups I conclusively estimate the Raves win vs a Saints team going through some remolding by a FG or more.... giving us value on this number. Play on Baltimore to cover |
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08-14-21 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Bears | 13-20 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Its only preseason ball but the Bears are pretty banged up with a huge injury list on both sides of the ball. I know QB Justin /Fields will make his debut here today and there is alot of hype surrounding his appearance, but he cant win this game on his own, and his backup Andy Dalton despite of being experienced is far from being in his prime. Meanwhile, the Miami dolphins HC Flores looks like he takes preseason ball seriously having gone 3-0 so far with the Fins, and with the solid QB duo of Tua Tagovailoa and Jacoby Brissett on the field the underdogs look like viable bets. Dolphins are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.Dolphins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Play on the Dolphins to cover |
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08-13-21 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
WASHINGTON is 20-8 OVER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season. Washington is 10-2 OVER L/12 games overall. Over is 5-0-1 in Nationals last 6 games a home underdog.Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Atlanta has gone over in 6 of their L/8 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 20-5-2 in Braves last 27 Friday games. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (ATLANTA) - after 4 straight games where they had 7 or less hits against opponent after 2 straight games with no home runs are 27-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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08-13-21 | Braves v. Nationals +169 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Braves are playing well right now , but that has not always been a formula to continue with that momentum and tonight Im betting they fall flat. ATLANTA is 4-13 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. WASHINGTON is 17-2 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Braves are 0-8 L/8 on the ML on the road vs a team that has lost at least their last three games. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. are. 40-19 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Washington to win |
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08-13-21 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 9 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Astros starter GREINKE is 23-11 UNDER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 35-18 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) GREINKE is 16-2 UNDER as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) The Astros are 0-10-1 UNDER l/11 Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite of at least -130. Meanwhile, angels starer PATRICK SANDOVAL owns a 1.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and matches up well here vs the Astros batting order according to my pitcher vs offence power rankings. Pitchers duel is my call. Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-2-1 in Angels last 9 games as a home underdog. Play UNDER |
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08-13-21 | Cardinals v. Royals UNDER 9 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
Royals starter MINOR is 30-13 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) St.Louis has scored more than 4 runs just once in their L/9 games. Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 during game 1 of a series.Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. ST LOUIS is 17-6 UNDER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 15-3 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons (Flaherty qualifies) Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for 85% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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08-13-21 | Rays -160 v. Twins | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is on fire offensively and in their current form are a good bet racking up no. less than 12,10, 9, 8, 8, 8, runs respectively in their L/6 games and have averaged 5.8 rpg on the road this season. Left-hander Shane McClanahan (6-4, 3.75 ERA), who has 99 strikeouts in 84 innings, will pitch against the Twins and gets my support here. MLB team (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 1 run or less against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 9-31 L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the Rays to win |
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08-12-21 | Steelers +1 v. Eagles | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh has already played one tilt in the preseason (Hall ofFame Game), and they were dominant winning a 16-3 decision vs the Dallas Cowboys . Here today against the new look Eagles, who have a new coach ( Nick Sirianni) and a revamped offense behind Jalen Hurts the more prepared Steelers and their iron curtain D, look like solid preseason bets. I know its difficult to predict how much of both teams starters will play, but my depth charts give an edge to the Steelers backups. Look for the Eagles offense to experience growing pains and for the Steelers D to continue to show their toughness. Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.Steelers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.Steelers are 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog.Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on natural surface. Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.Eagles are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Play on Pittsburgh to cover |
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08-12-21 | Reds v. Braves -145 | 12-3 | Loss | -145 | 1 h 26 m | Show | |
Cincinnati struggles against lefties like Muller. ( Reds batters wRC+ against southpaw pitching, striking out 23.7% of the time. TLANTA is 21-6 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central. Reds are 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog.Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Reds are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Atlanta Braves |
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08-12-21 | Brewers -199 v. Cubs | 17-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
The Cubs are in a complete funk having lost 7 straight and are fade material in their current form no matter who goes to the hill for them. MILWAUKEE is 9-1 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season. MILWAUKEE is 22-6 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. CHICAGO CUBS are 1-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent, off a loss by 10 runs or more to a division rival are 5-34 L/5 seasons for a 87% go against conversion rate. |
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08-12-21 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 17-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
The Brewers are 0-8 UNDER L/8 when Brandon Woodruff starts on the road in an afternoon game.WOODRUFF is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) WOODRUFF is 8-1 UNDER in road games this season. (Team's Record) Cubs starter HENDRICKS is 37-18 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) CHICAGO CUBS are 31-18 UNDER in day games this season. Under is 27-7-2 in the last 36 meetings in Chicago. Play UNDER |
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08-12-21 | Dodgers v. Phillies UNDER 11 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
The Phillies are 0-16-1 UNDER L/17 in the last game of a series as a dog after they allowed at least 12 hits last game. LA DODGERS are 20-8 UNDER after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 9-2-1 in Dodgers last 12 games following a win. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 64-35 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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08-11-21 | Blue Jays -169 v. Angels | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
Jays starter Manoah (4-1, 2.58 ERA) has continued to put up solid numbers snd gets my support here today to help the Blue Jays to a victory. Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Angels are 30-62 in their last 92 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a top level starting pitcher (ERA 3.60, or less WHIP 1.300 or less) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 4-31 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is worse than 30% are 32-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Blue Jays to win |
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08-11-21 | Tigers -112 v. Orioles | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Orioles are tanking and have lost 6 straight and are fade material. BALTIMORE is 1-22 against the money line after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse this season. The Tigers are 7-0 L/7 on the ML past the first game of a series after they won by 5+ runs last game. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Tigers to win |
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