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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-10-16 | Long Beach State v. Texas UNDER 142 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
LONG BEACH ST is 15-3 UNDER L/18 in Saturday games with a combined average of 133 ppg scored. TEXAS is 13-2 UNDER L/15 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with an average of 139.2 ppg get scored. College Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - a lower tier team - shooting 42% or less with a defense of 45% or better on the season, in December games are a bankroll expanding 30-9 to the UNDER dating back to the 2011 campaign for a massive 80% conversion rate. |
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12-10-16 | Tulane -1.5 v. Southern Miss | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
This is based on my own line predictions. |
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12-10-16 | Wichita State -3.5 v. Oklahoma | 76-73 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Wichita State owns a superb team, and a NCAA tournament threat if they stay healthy. Meanwhile, Oklahoma despite of a final 4 appearence last season, have shown some weaknesses at power forward, as Spangeler is now departed, and while the Sooners are still a fine side, Wichita State is looking very dangerous, and solid favorites here. |
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12-10-16 | IUPU-Indianapolis -2 v. Miami (OH) | 68-71 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
MIAMI OHIO is 7-18 ATS L/25 in a non-conference game. |
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12-10-16 | Ohio v. Iona +1.5 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
OHIO U is 7-18 ATS L/25 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game like Iona. HC Phillips of Ohio is 9-21 ATS L/30 after playing a home game, which they just did. |
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12-10-16 | James Madison +5 v. Western Michigan | 67-74 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Both these teams have struggled to start their current campaigns, but according to my own lines we have value with the visitor,JAMES MADISON is 13-4 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record and 8-1 ATS L/9 versus poor passing teams, averaging or less 12 assists/game.JAMES MADISON is 20-8 ATS L/28 in road lined games. |
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12-09-16 | Pistons v. Wolves +2 | 117-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Minnesota looked really good against Toronto last night, but their inexperience and their lack of belief in themselves got the best of them last night, as they blew a lead to a strong opponent and eventually lost. Quote: The good teams are 48-minute teams," Timberwolves coach Tom Thibodeau said. "We're still not there...The fourth quarter is different. You have to understand that. The intensity of a fourth quarter is different. Your decision-making is different. We still have to figure that out. End Quote. With that said, despite of being on a short turn around, Im betting on this young well conditioned Wolves side to bounce back tonight, feeling like they need get some respect back. Meanwhile, Motown has played decently of late but off a muted loss last time out vs Charlotte scoring just 77 points in a 88-77 loss. It's hard sometimes for teams to go from a slow motion game speed to playing a uptempo game, which Minnesota is sure to bring to this tilt. It must be noted that the Pistons are just 15-26 ATS L/41 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game. Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-09-16 | Heat +13 v. Cavs | 84-114 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Despite being the defending champions and holding the best record in the East the Cavaliers have shown plenty of lapses so far this season, despite of a top tier record and numbers, and in the past have shown a propensity to play down to their opponents level, as is evident by a 16-29 ATS L/45 record when playing against a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, Miami is dealing with some injury woes, and trying to find an identity without Dwayne Wade , who is no longer with the team. But thanks to these injuries, it seems HC spolestra and company have found a take no prisoners idenity with the tough as nails Tyler Johnson who scored 27 points last time out, and attacks without fear of injury. This type of guy has a way of spreading his energy around a locker room , which transfers its flow onto the court. Tonight we have one side we have the media darling prima donnas ( Cleveland) and on their other side, a supposedly downtrodden side, that will I am betting elbow themselves into being competetive tonight and get us the cover. NBA teams that are Favorites of 10 or more points like the Cavaliers - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top- tier team (.750 or better ) playing a lower tier team (.250 to .400) are 51-96 ATS dating back 20 seasons . Play on Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-08-16 | Spurs v. Bulls +4 | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
The Spurs are 13-0 U and would love to tie the Golden State Warriors, record that saw then go undefeated in their first 14 road games last season. Meanwhile, the Bulls are in a bit of a slump and are coming off a 102-91 loss Tuesday at the Detroit Pistons, and could have been looking ahead to this game. But with veterans like Dwayne Wade and Jimmy Butler in the lineup, this Bulls team must not be under estimated, especially on their own floor. (Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss and 24-9 ATS in their last 33 Thursday games and also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.) With this being The Spurs 7th road game in their L/9 games overall, Im sure they are getting road weary, and could ind this game challenging vs a side that is capable of upsetting some of the best teams in this league as was the case 6 days ago when they up ended the defending champion Cavaliers by a 111-105 count. SAN ANTONIO is 14-26 ATS L/40 versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season like the Bulls. Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-08-16 | Flames -115 v. Coyotes | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
The Calgary Flames are on a four-game winning streak, and have won seven of their last 10 (7-2-1).Meanwhile, the Arizona Coyotes are on a five-game losing streak, and have lost 10 of their last 13 (3-6-4). It obvious both teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, with the Flames showing the most positive flow . Meanwhile, Arizona have scored more than two goals just three times in its last 13 games, which is not a conducive winning formula. Look for now healthy Flames forward Gaudreau and G Chad Johnson (9-2 with a .931 save percentage) to be the catalysts behind a Calgary road victory tonight in the desert vs a tired side, that is just 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days losing SU on the moneyline during that stretch by an average of 1.6 gpg. |
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12-08-16 | Raiders +3 v. Chiefs | 13-21 | Loss | -113 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Kansas City and Oakland do battle tonight, in a AFC battle, that should be hard fought. The Chiefs despite of their current 7-1 run, have been through some brutal battles, and have lost the stats wars in their L/5 games and are pretty lucky to be on this big of a run. I know KC beat up up on the Raiders in a earlier meeting in the Black hole, earlier this season 26-10, but things are different now with super star QB Carr moving into top tier NFL status. With that said, the Raiders must be respected enough to get the revenge they seek. Oakland is a perfect 9-0 SU/ATS as a division road underdog of 6 points or less. We know how explosive Oakland can be on offense, but the D, has shown some inadequacies. But it must be noted that KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games vs. lower tier defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.OAKLAND is 9-0 ATS L/9 as a road underdog . OAKLAND is 10-0 ATS L/10 in road games against conference opponents. Play on the Oakland Raiders to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Washington v. Gonzaga UNDER 166.5 | 71-98 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
Gonzaga has been dominant to this point in the season, and despite of showing an explosive offense, have also be stingy on defense allowing 64.6 ppg and 62.5 ppg as hosts. Here on their own home floor I expect Gonzaga slows down an inconsistent Washington side in what Im betting is a physical affair. GONZAGA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots like Washington and are 11-3 UNDER against a 500 or better side with the combined average of both trends well below this total.GONZAGA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 in non-conference games with a combined average of 140.2 ppg getting scored. College Hoops Home teams against the total Gonzaga - after 8 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) like Washington have gone under 37 of the L/45 times for a 82% conversion rate for under bettors.  Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 224.5 | 115-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers pride themselves on being able to play a top tier defensive game especially at home. The Clippers own the leagues top defensive rating , ( Notates Defensive Rating for players and teams - points allowed per 100 posessions. Tonight against the most explosive offensive team in the league you can bet the Clips will be out to slow down the Dubs and make this a more physical and methodical game than the Warriors prefer , which will result in a Total combined score that stays on the low side of the number. LA CLIPPERS are 56-34 UNDER L/90  in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 with the average combined score clicking in at 214 ppg and are 20-8 UNDER L/28 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with the  total combined average of 202.4 ppg going on the scoreboard. The Clippers are also 12-2 on the under in home games against top tier sides with a win % of .700 or better with a combined average of just 202.2 ppg getting scored.LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 UNDER L/10 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game dating back to last season with a combined average of 201.8 ppg getting scored. Golden State in their L/265 games, against a top tier team with a .700 or better record have seen a combined average of 205 ppg go on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games with an average of 2013.2 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Clippers/Warriors - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG the under is 58-18 dating back to the 2011 campaign. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Bruins v. Capitals -144 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show | |
Capitals G Braden Holtby has owned the Boston Bruins in his career as is evident by a  9-2-0 record, 1.57 GAA and three shutouts. Meanwhile, the Bruins starting goalie Rask has been torched by the Capitals, as he has won just once in 13 decisions (1-8-4) to go along with a 2.92 goals-against average. It must also be noted that Capitals captain Alex Ovechkin has 17 goals and 38 points in 39 games against the Bruins and Im betting will be the catalyst behind a Washington Capitals win on home ice tonight. Capitals are 38-13 in their last 51 vs. Atlantic.Capitals are 47-19 in their last 66 home games.Bruins are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Oral Roberts +20.5 v. Oklahoma | 66-92 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
According to my own numbers and matchup discrepancies this number is beatable from an underdog standpoint. OKLAHOMA is 10-20 ATS L/30 as a favorite. Favorites of 10 or more points like the Sooners - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (20% or less ) are just 22-61 ATS since 1997. Play on Oral Roberts to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Nuggets v. Nets +5 | 111-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The Nuggets captured an away win against Philadelphia last time out , but don;t deal with success well as they are just 3-14 ATS L/17 off a road win dating back to last season and have been very inconsistent during their current campaign. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has been a disaster this season , but took out a top tier LA Clippers team in a recent meeting by a 127-122 count, and have covered 3 of their L/4 games and showed themselves to be competitive on most nights. The Nets have also done well against Denver in the recent past winning 4 straight meetings SU in this series including the L/2 here in Brooklyn. My won matchup stats and power rating tell me we have value with the home dog here. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Missouri State v. SE Missouri State +9 | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Missouri State are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 away tilts, and go against a hard nosed SE Missouri State side that I am betting will stay close enough for a cover.  MISSOURI ST is 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days  and is 12-28 ATS L/36  in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws. Play on SE Missouri State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-07-16 | Celtics v. Magic +1 | 117-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
I really like the way this young Orlando team is playing and backed them last night in a 124-116 win vs Washington. With that said I like their chances against an above .500 Celtics side struggling on defense ranking 17th in defensive rating per 100 possessions. Meanwhile,the magic are one of the leagues top defensive teams 94.3 ppg per 100 possessions. |
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12-07-16 | Niagara +8.5 v. Kent State | 72-100 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Niagara is off a upset win last time out against Iona,  as 16.5 point road dogs. It must be noted that College Hoops Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Niagara - off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog, in December games are 30-10 ATS L/40 in their folow up tilt. College Hoops Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Niagara - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a non-conference game between two teams from mid-major division 1-A conferences have covered 32 of the L/41 times for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Kent State is 9-22 ATS at home when the total is between 140 to 149.5. Play on Niagara to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Florida +8 v. Duke | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
JIMMY V CLASSIC - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY No. 5 Blue Devils meet No. 19 Florida in the second game of the Jimmy V Classic on Tuesday night at Madison Square Garden in New York. Alot of hype surrounds this tourney game involving Florida and Duke, mostly because, Duke's two prized freshmen recruits will get their first big test. Center Marques Bolden and forward Jayson Tatum, both five-star recruits, were cleared to play Friday in the Blue Devils' 94-55 victory over Maine, but now will face a big step up in class. But despite of this talent, on the floor for the Blue Devils,  Florida is still a team, to be reckoned with, and not getting the respect they deserve on this line. With that said, Im recommeding we take the points. DUKE is 6-15 ATS L/21 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 turnovers or less per game.DUKE is just 2-10 ATS L/12 in all neutral court games. HC Krzyzewski is 48-64 ATS in road games after a cover as a double digit favorite. Play on Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Suns +7 v. Jazz | 105-112 | Push | 0 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Phoenix enters this game vs host Utah with a 20-8 ATS L/28 record after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, which happened last time out in a loss to offensively explosive Golden State by a 138-109 count. HC Watson of the Suns, has covered  19 of his L/24 after a game where they failed to cover the spread and once again will have his troops ready to compete here in Salt Lake City. I know Utah has been hot, but Favorites like Utah - a hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team, are just 57-100 ATS for a go against 64% conversion rate. Meanwhile, NBA Road underdogs like Suns - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less, are 26-4 ATS. (The Jazz are off a 107-101 win vs the Lakers last time out). Play on Phoenix to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | 76ers +8 v. Grizzlies | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Nothing comes easy to the Memphis Grizzlies these days and despite of winning some close games and games that reach overtime , they are still being over rated by linesmakers. Hers is an interesting quote: People keep talking about it, but most of our games are close from key Grizz play," Gasol . "I can't remember a blowout. We feel comfortable in those situations because we trust our defense and we don't panic." While that great for his team, thats an indicator that getting points with a Memphis opponent is most like golden. Yes, even with lowly Philadelphia as our chosen side. In these teams lat meeting in Philly the Grizzlies eeked out at 104-99 win and Im betting on another close game tonight as key contributor Mike Conely remains side lines with a back injury. PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS L/36 in non-conference games dating back to last season and are 29-14 ATS L/43 after 7 or more consecutive losses. NBA Road underdogs like the 76ers - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 26-4 ATS dating back to the 2011 campaign. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Spurs v. Wolves +5 | 105-91 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs visit the Minnesota Timberwolves this Tuesday night in an affair, that will see this young side motivated to end the Spurs undefeated road record this season. The Spurs barely made it out of Milwaukee last time out 97-96 win to keep their 12-0 away record intact. Meanwhile, Timberwolves ended a four-game losing streak on Saturday with a victory over Charlotte to make it two straight wins, and now have some confidence on their side, vs a superior side. Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Magic +3 v. Wizards | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Washington is on tired legs as they ended a three game road trip last night, with a hard fought come from behind win vs Brooklyn by a 118-113 count as 6 point favs. Note: WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS L/32 after a win by 6 points or less and 1-9 ATS L/10 after scoring 110 points or more. Washington also consistently struggles with their D, on most nights and now exhausted won;t have a lot in the tank to slow down their young and motivated opponents, that have won two straight and 3 of their L/4 on the road with the lone loss coming by 1 point at Memphis . Washington and Orlando each own a W in the series with the victories coming on the road. Orlando won 88-86 win on Nov. 5 in Washington. ORLANDO is 31-19 ATS L/50 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts . Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | Magic v. Wizards OVER 199 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
The Magic are 3-1 SU on their current five-game road trip, including Sunday's 98-92 victory at the Detroit Pistons. Meanwhile, Washington is on tired legs as they ended a three game road trip last night, with a hard fought come from behind win vs Brooklyn. Washington struggles on D, on most nights and now exhausted won;t have a lot in the tank to slow down their young and motivated opponents. It must be noted that WASHINGTON is 14-4 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 215.8 ppg going on the scoreboard and is 17-7 OVER when playing on back-to-back days with an average combined score of 208.9 ppg clicking on the the board. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of playing some lower scoring games of late , should be able to light up the scoreboard here tonight, in what could be a more wide open game than usual for the Magic. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-06-16 | St Bonaventure v. Hofstra +5 | 81-75 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Instate rivals Hofstra and visting St. Bonaventure go head to head tonight in a battle that I am betting favors the home dog. From a stat and power ranking standpoint , the line is dead on, But every now and than, I go against my own no edge lines, in such cases as this where rivals face off. What I also like about the Pride is their top tier shooting from beyond the arc . They are shooting 40.7% from the land of the trey, which is the 22nd best mark in the nation, which makes them a dangerous foe vs a capable offensive side like the Bonnies. Bonnies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Colonial Athletic Association.Bonnies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.Pride are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Play on Hofstra to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-05-16 | Hornets v. Mavs +5 | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Charlotte enters this game on tired legs as is evident by playing 6 games in 10 days. Their current run of 6 losses in 9 games while failing to cover 7 times during that span tells the story of a struggling team. Meanwhile, Dallas ,despite of some injury problems is playing competitive basketball, and off 4 straight covers including a solid win vs the Bulls last time out. Life without Dirk Nowitizki , a future hall of famer, is not easy pill to swallow for the Mavericks, but coach Carlisle is a top tier coach who can get the most out of a group, and Im betting he proves it here again tonight. CHARLOTTE is 45-72 ATS against Southwest division opponents. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points Charlotte- after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days have not been good long term bets going 39-69 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 63%. Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-05-16 | Colts -2 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
With Andrew Luck now expected to play, I have decided to pull the trigger on the Indianapolis Colts tonight in their battle with the downtrodden NY Jets.Colts still have a chance at the paly offs and will be playing with desperation. Meanwhile, despite of NYJ fans demanding a QB change, the Jets will once again go with the struggling Fitzpatrick who has thrown 13 interceptions in 10 games. Fitzpatrick has completed just 57.6 percent of his passes and looks unstable at best, and gives even more credence in my decision to lay it with Indy on the road. Andrew Luck is 19-4 SU and 16-4-3 ATS in division games and a perfect 8-0 SU of a Colts loss. INDIANAPOLIS is 25-12 ATS L/27 as a road favorite of 3 points or less and HC Pogano Pagano is 10-2 ATS L/12 vs. lower tier teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season.Â
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12-05-16 | Wizards v. Nets +6 | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game averaging only 99 ppg on offense on the road, while, their defense continues to get lit up on an almost nightly basis. With that said, even lowly Brooklyn, a team scoring an average of 104 ppg as hosts this season, has a chance to upend a inconsistent opponent like the Wizards, especially considering the visitors have allowd an average of 105.8 ppg . Brooklyn did prove that they can play some decent hoops, when they smacked the LA Clippers by a 127-122 count, and once again according to my own numbers solid underdogs in this spot. Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-05-16 | Thunder v. Hawks UNDER 213.5 | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Atlanta's defense has been floundering of late, and a concern for the coaching staff,as the team does not have the guns to score in bunches ranking 27th in Off rating , as is evident by scoring more than 96 points only 3 times in their L/12 trips to the hardwood . Tonight , against a Thunder team that can run and gun with the best teams in the NBA, Im betting a concerted effort by the Hawks to play heads up transitional ball will be on the game plan agenda. It must also be noted that Oklahoma City also owns a stringent D, that ranks 7th in the league in Defensive rating, which registers players and teams points allowed per 100 posessions. Everything points to this contest staying on the low side of the number. ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 after 2 straight games where they were called for 18 or less fouls this season with an average of 193.4 combined points going on the scoreboard. Hawks HC Budenholzer is 21-8 UNDER L/30 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game, with a combined average of 197.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Hawks - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games have gone under 35 of the L/46 times since the 2011 season.Â
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12-05-16 | CS-Northridge +13 v. St. John's | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
CS Northridge plays a wide open style of basketball, and despite of a lackluster defense, won;t be detterred from bombing away from down town. These types of teams are always dangerous in back door cover situations. St,John's had lost 5 straight before coming up with a win last time out by a 95-75 score vs Tulane. Note: St.John's has failed to cover 6 straight when they combined for 155 points or more in a previous game. St.John's has also failed to cover 17 of their L/23 as home favorites of 9.5 to 13 points. Play on CS Northridge to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Panthers v. Seahawks OVER 44 | 7-40 | Win | 100 | 84 h 37 m | Show | |
The Seahawks (7-3-1) and coming off another one of their boring and unmotivated losses. This team just seems to fall asleep at the proverbial wheel against lower tier teams. The14-5 loss at Tampa Bay solidified their inconsistent mannerisms.  The good nws for us today is that Settles HC Carroll is 7-0 OVER L/7 in Seattle home games after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points with the combined average of those games clicking in at 52.4 ppg. Seattle has also seen an average of 49.3 ppg go on the board at home against lower tier secondaries like Carolinas, allowing 260 or more yards a game Note: CAROLINA is 10-1 OVER L/10 vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att with a cmbined average of 62.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.SEATTLE is 13-4 OVER L/17 in home games after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points. Meanwhile, Carolina, with a 4-7 record continues to flounder, mostly because of defensive lapses late in games, and their inability to hold leads. Condionting could be an issue , with their D, which is never a good omen in a league that has seen alot of late fourth quarter scoring this season. Last week after an early lead they lost to comeback kids Oakland by a 35-32 score. Carolinas HC Rivera is 15-4 OVER L/19 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average score of 54.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. CAROLINA is 20-8 OVER L/28 in road games after allowing 30 points or more last game.CAROLINA is 15-6 OVER L/21 in road games. Considering Carolinas current form from both a defensive and offensive standpoint another high scoring game is a good bet here. The Panthers are 13-0 OU since Ron Rivera became their coach in 2011 as a dog of more than six points with the combined average score of those games clicking in at 58.3 ppg. NFL teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points like the Seahawks- off 2 or more consecutive unders, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game have gone over 55 of the L/76 times for a league wide 70% conversion rate for over bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Kings +2 v. Knicks | 98-106 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Sacramento (7-12) is 3-6 over its last nine games, but they have been very competetive in 5 of those 6 losses, and have covered 7 of their L/9 and must not be underestimated vs a Knicks (10-9) team that gets to much respect from the media pundits. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Kings - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days 60-21 ATS L/81. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Knicks - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss are 27-58 ATS over the L/5 seasons. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Magic v. Pistons UNDER 195.5 | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Detroit has found some offense, of late and thats why we get a decent total to bet into here on the under.  The linesmkaers are now over compensating for their recent offensive surge that seen them score 107 or more points in 5 of their L/6 games. The Pistons still maintain a soild defensive ranking listed 2nd in the league overall and the 24th ranked pace. Meanwhiile, Orlando has scored more than 95 points just once in their L/10 and remain conservative/ methodical in their approach, and nothing changes today. The Magic rank 3rd in points allowed, and 29th in points scored, while they mantain a 25 ranked pace. ORLANDO is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season and 12-4 L/16 versus sides that attempt 18 or more 3 pointers a game like Motown. Note: ORLANDO is 8-1 UNDER as an underdog this season with a combined average total score of 187.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Georgia State v. Mississippi State -3 | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots.GEORGIA ST is 0-7 ATS L/7 against SEC opponents losing SU by an average of 12.6 ppg. It must also be noted that GEORGIA ST is 0-9 ATS L/9 after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite which just happened. Play on Miss State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 102 h 1 m | Show | |
Arizona might not inspire alot of bettors right now after a very inconsistent season, but according to my power rankings, Washington is over rated and in a bad spot this week.It must also be noted that teams playing in non-division contests following a Thanksgiving Day appearance have lost 35 of 56 games (SU) and since 1992 are just 9-21 ATS L/30 and 9-20-1 SU away after their big Turkey dinner.. With that said, for at least one game , I expect we see a vintage Cards team take advantage of a shabby Skins D, and for their own D, to stand tall in the desert vs a Washington offense that will not be running on a full tank of gas. |
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12-04-16 | Bucs v. Chargers OVER 47 | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 96 h 25 m | Show | |
The Chargers enter this game playing alot of back forth games , with the home games being particularly high scoring with an average of 57.6 ppg going on the scoreboard. With Tampa Bays offense starting to click I can see them doing some damage offensively this week. I know that their D, looked good against Seattle last week, allowing just 5 points . But it must be noted that all non division road sides that allowed 6 points or less in a previous home game are 8-0 on the over in the proceeding game. Yes, I do know that TB scored just 14 points in that win, but non division pups off a SU/ATS win at home where they scored 14 or less points are 10-0-1 to the over dating back 8 seasons. TB is 8-0 over L/8 vs Chargers with a a combined average of 51.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. |
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12-04-16 | SE Missouri State +24.5 v. Indiana | 55-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Indiana has played 3 games in 5 days and enter this game on tired legs, giving a decent SE Missouris side a chance to stay close.SE MISSOURI ST is 12-2 ATS L/14 in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game like the Hoosiers and are 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game.  Road underdogs of 20 or more points SE Missouri State - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or more) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%) are 43-16 ATS for a 72% conversion rate.Â
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12-04-16 | Marquette +3 v. Georgia | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
Georgia hosts Marquette on Sunday, in a nonconference tilt it has tended to lose in past seasons when the programmed missed the NCAA tournament. Georgia (5-2) has so far lost at Clemson — team that’s now 4-2 — and on a neutral court to No. 4 Kansas. Meanwhile, Marquette (5-2) have their two losses to Michigan and Pittsburgh, on neutral courts. It opened its season with a 24-point smash down on the road at Vanderbilt, while its other four wins were all routs of low- or mid-major teams. Bottom line: Analysing this matchup, and power rankings tells me a story, of two teams that are fairly evenly matched, but Im betting Marquette could easily eek out a win here, and more importantly as far as we are concerend a cover. Play on Marquette to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-04-16 | Lions v. Saints -5.5 | 28-13 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans enters this game playing their best football of the season and have out stated their L/7 opponents since their bye week. Meanwhile, the Lions are off a crazy win thanks to last minute interception vs Minnesota on Thanks giving Day, after being down by 3 points with a few minutes left on the clock. With that said, I now expect the Lions to be in a letdown spot, after that emotional victory, It must also be noted the Saints are 3-17 SU in their L/20 post game situations after Turkey day and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5. NEW ORLEANS is also a perfect 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good offensive teams like the Lions - averaging 5.65 yards/play dating back to last season.DETROIT is 1-11 ATS L/12 in road games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games and is 8-26 ATS L/34 in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Play on New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | 109-138 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors showed their defensive vulnerabilities when they dropped a 132-127 double-overtime slug gest to the Houston Rockets on Thursday night. Now you can bet defense, was a key topic in the locker room and in practice the last couple of days, which will translate into a concerted effort on the court.( Under is 7-2-1 in Warriors last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game) Meanwhile, Phoenix has recently demonstrated an improved defense. Once statistically the worst defense in the league, the Suns allowed 107 or fewer points for the fifth time in their last seven games, and Im sure defense will once again be their key to try to slow Golden State explosive offense. GOLDEN STATE is 29-12 UNDER L/41 after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games witht he combined average of those tilts clicking in at 207.7 ppg. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Suns - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off an upset win as an underdog are 56-18 under for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Heat +6.5 v. Blazers | 92-99 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Miami enter this road game against Portland having won two straight games, and look like they are coming together as a group. The heat really struggled on offense earlier this season, but are quickly improving, as is evident by, averaging 107 points the past four games, including a 111-110 win at Utah on Thursday night.Center Hassan Whiteside ranks among the top 10 in the league in rebounds (first, 15.1), blocked shots (third, 2.56) and field-goal percentage (.559, ninth) while averaging a team-high 17.7 points. Im expecting he will be the catalyst in a Heat cover tonight. I know Portland offense has been explosive , but it must be noted that PORTLAND is 1-10 ATS after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games and is 1-9 ATS L/10 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game this season and 1-8 ATS L/9 after 1 or more consecutive wins this season which happend last time out. Portland is just 3-10 ATS L/13 overall while, Miami has covered 7 of their L/11. Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Colorado v. Portland UNDER 154 | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Pacific -3 v. CS-Fullerton | 77-78 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
12-03-16 | Oklahoma State v. Maryland | 70-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Bulls -3 v. Mavs | 82-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
After back-to-back losses to drop an NBA-worst 3-15 SU, the injury riddled Mavericks once again look like bad bets tonight vs visiting Chicago. Ater watching Chicago down, Cleveland last night by a 111-105 count, Im betting on them coming out here with confidence and sending Dallas to the locker rooms for a cold shower. I know Bulls star Dwayne Wade wont play tonight, in Dallas, but thats a good thing, because his team mates will want will be wide awake, and understand the challange of playing a struggling team with nothing to lose, without their star. I really believe HC Hoiberg will have the Bulls primed to take down a three-win team with no let down scenario because their schedule after this tilt will be a see them embark on a difficult three-game stretch ahead against Portland and Detroit on back-to-back nights followed by a visit from the San Antonio Spurs side that is undefeated as visitors this season two nights after that. Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Auburn +4 v. UAB | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
12-03-16 | Penn State v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 38-31 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 16 m | Show | |
I was hoping to see this matchup this week, and low in behold I get my wish. According to my own data base matchups Wisconsin on a neutral field should be 4.5 point favorities, but on further considerations, my player to player and offensive/defensive unit correlations tell me that this could easily be a 6 point plus victory for the Badgers. Thus laying points here is a viable investment option. Note: Wisconsin QB Alex Hornibrook is said to be feeling better after a some light head trauma last week, and despite of his status being day to day, may pundits expect he will play in this big game. If not his so called back up Houston is a very viable option and in my opinion the superior QB. HC Franklin of Penn State is 0-9 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team .750 or better win %.  PENN ST is 20-43 ATS L/63 versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 or less yards/game like Wisconsin and 8-22 ATS L/30 in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game.WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games when playing on a Saturday this season. Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Kansas State -12.5 v. St. Louis | 84-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
SAINT LOUIS is 0-8 ATS L/8 vs. top tier teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game like Kansas State losing SU by ana verage of 22.5 ppg. Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Middle Tennessee v. South Alabama UNDER 133.5 | 67-55 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Akron v. Creighton OVER 158 | 70-82 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Fairfield +8.5 v. Siena | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
FAIRFIELD is 11-3 ATS L/14 after playing a road game and the hoops prgram is 40-21 ATS L/61 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. Fairfield has covered 13 of their L/19 as visitors in this series. Fairfied HC Johnson is 14-4 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Sienas coach Patsos is 1-9 ATS ( in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 . Fairfield to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Idaho State v. CS-Northridge OVER 160 | 76-79 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Wofford v. Miami (Fla) -19 | 57-74 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Georgia State v. Idaho -6.5 | 12-37 | Win | 100 | 126 h 50 m | Show | |
Georgia State (3-8) has struggled this season, and are 0-5 on the road while averaging just 13 ppg on offense. Their rush D, has allowed an average of 236 ypg, when on the road, and thats not a good omen for this chances at a win or cover here vs a Idaho side that is 8-0 ATS L/8 when they rush for 150-to 200 ypg. IDAHO is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing against a team with a losing record and 6-0 ATS when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) Play on Idaho to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | San Diego State v. Loyola-Chicago +6 | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Baylor +16.5 v. West Virginia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 125 h 50 m | Show | |
We have a good situation to bet into here with Baylor as big double digit underdogs. I know the Bears have not looked all that stable of late, but West Virginia despite of a win last week, against Iowa State have shown some late season defensive holes, and have allowed 218, 316, and 190 yards rushing in their L/3 and are looking tired as a unit. Thats something Baylor can take advantage of via a run game that has averaged 5.8 ypc on the road and an average 326 ypg. It must be noted that WV HC Holgorsen is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game which happend vs Iowa State last week. Play on Baylor to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Xavier +5 v. Baylor | 61-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
12-03-16 | IUPU-Indianapolis +6 v. Ball State | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
IUPUI-Indiana Purdue to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Temple +3 v. Navy | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 122 h 54 m | Show | |
AAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - Navy Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD |
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12-03-16 | Kansas State +4.5 v. TCU | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 122 h 31 m | Show | |
Kansas State has proven a great deal to me this season, have already beaten up on Baylor in a road tilt this season. I have been impressed with their overall tenaciousness, and once again feel the Cats are solid underdogs this week vs a over rated opponent. It must be noted that TCU QB Kenny Hill hurt his foot last week, and if he plays will be less than 100% as is the case with RB Kyle Hicks with a rib injury. TCU is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points dating back to last season and has failed to cover their L/6 home games. Play on Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky -9.5 | 44-58 | Win | 100 | 117 h 11 m | Show | |
CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - LT Smith Stadium - Bowling Green, KY LA Tech beat W.Kentucy 55-52 in their first matchup this season at LA Tech. But now with revenge on board and front of what will be partisan home crowd I expect the tables will be reversed in a big way. With the ‘Toppers get revenge at home behind the arm of QB White and legs of RB Wales, and their more consistent defense will be the difference maker this week. W KENTUCKY is 12-4 ATS L/16 against conference opponents dating back to last season. A home team like Western Kentucky - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgaining opponents by 100+ YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games are 26-8 ATS since 1991. Play on Western Kentucky to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-03-16 | Wake Forest -2 v. Richmond | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
RICHMOND is 0-8 ATS L/8 vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or more of their shots like Wake Forest. The Charity stripe effecincy of the Demon Deacons will be the difference maker today. Play on Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Rockets +4 v. Nuggets | 128-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Houston has won 6 of their L/8 games, and is off a big win vs Golden State last night, in a 132-127 slugfest. The Rockets look like their for real, and are experienced enough not to let that victory go to their heads , and come out flat tonight. Heres a quote: "We're a resilient team," Rockets star Harden said on the TNT broadcast after Thursday's win. "Big-time win on the road and we have another one tomorrow. With that said, I'm betting the Rockets will be more than prepared to go back to work in this spot. Meanwhile, the Nuggets continue to struggle losing 8 of their L/12, and despite of being fast and mobile, their defense does not deal well with this kind of opponent, as was obvious in a recent 132-129 loss to Oklahoma State at home in the Mile High City. HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS L/10 after allowing 105 points or more this season.HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season. DENVER is 8-19 ATS L/27 in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread. Play on Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Clippers v. Pelicans +5.5 | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Clippers came out focused and played extremely hard last night vs the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers, and took a well deserved road victory. But now after that big time game , I believe they will be in a bit of an emotional let down scenario, and more importantly on tired legs, after last nights supreme effort which leads into this being their 6th straight road game. |
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12-02-16 | Wolves +2 v. Knicks | 114-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
The Knicks took a closely contested 106-104 win on the road vs Minnesota last time out and now the visiting Wolves have revenge on board. The share fact that the Wolves are in desperation mode after losing and failing to cover 6 of their L/7 has me backing their motivation and chances to cover here tonight. Minnesota is 17-4 ATS L/21 in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points dating back to last season. All teams where the line is +3 to -3 New York - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a upset loss as a favorite are 32-61 ATS.Road underdogs Minnesota - after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 26-4 ATS. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Ohio +19 v. Western Michigan | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 52 h 3 m | Show | |
Western Michigan still undefeated smashed Toledo last week in a DD win despite of losing the stats sheet battle, and now the College football world expects another easy win for the Bronos this week vs the Ohio Bobcats. However, I am not going to follow the party line and instead in contrarian fashion, expect the Bobbies to make a game of this MAC Championship event. It must be noted that in the past the W.Mich has covered only 1 of 5 games after a 20 point or more victory, while Ohio has covered 5 of their L/6 as DD conference dogs. Also MAC Championship games with a favorite of 7 or more points has crashed and burned 5 of the L/6 times with undefeated teams going 0-3 ATS while losing 2 times. After last weeks showdown with Toledo, Western Michigan is a precarious emotional situation, and despite of that win , as mentioned above lost the overall stats battle. |
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12-02-16 | Canisius +4 v. Manhattan | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
I have watched the MAAC for a long time, and know these programs well. They have played each other tough, recently and another closely contested matchup will not be a surprise, as the linesmakers have indicated. I'm betting the points end up being golden here, as my power rankings suggest a possible out right upset. But Im on the take in conservtive fashion. Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | SIU-Edwardsville +26 v. Indiana | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
SIU-Edwardsville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-02-16 | Niagara +7.5 v. Marist | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Niagara to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Texas-San Antonio +8 v. Cal Poly | 47-59 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
CAL POLY-SLO is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season like Tex San Antonio and 4-14 ATs L/18 vs sides with top tier defenses allowing a 42% less FG conversion rate.CAL POLY-SLO is also a lowly 1-10 ATS L/11 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games and 1-8 ATS with a total of 130 to 139.5. From a league wide database -CBB underdog like Texas San Antonio - off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 23-3 ATS since 1996. UTSA to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | CS Sacramento v. Pacific -9.5 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Saramento has not looked good to start their season, and are 0-6 ATS in their L/6. Meanwhile Pacific has shown promise and been competetive for the most part this season, against some strong teams like UCLA. Pacific is 4-0 ATS L/4 at home and 8-3 L/11 games following a loss which happened vs a pretty good Nevada hoops program last time out. My own number made Pacific 14 point favs, so laying 9.5 to 10 looks like a solid bet. CBB teams Pacific - lower tier shooting team 40% or less against an poor defensive team (45-47.5%), cold shooting team - 3 straight games making 40% or less of their shots are 44-14 ATS. Play on Pacific to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 43.5 | 17-15 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
Dallas is third in the league in scoring, averaging 28.7 points per game, and is fifth in total offense with 407.6 yards and have proven they can light up the best of defenses. In their L/6 games they have scored, 30, 29,35,35,27, 31 points respectively. With that said, Im betting they do some damage offensively tonight, and Minnesota in turn will have no choice but to open up and reciprocate with some fireworks of their own. That can cause , turnovers, interceptions and more scoring chances which will help this total score eclipse the number. The Vikings are 14-0 OU on turf off a loss as a dog when they are a dog by a TD or less to a non-divisional opponent that has a better record with a combined average of 60.7 ppg going on the scoreboard. ( The lowest total combined score during this run was 46 pts) MINNESOTA is 29-12 OVER L/41 vs. top tier passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att with a combined average of 54 ppg going on the scoreboard. HC Garrett is 12-3 OVER L/15 vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season with a combined average of 59.2 ppg getting scored. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Magic -1.5 v. Grizzlies | 94-95 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
With Mike Conley injured the Memphis Grizzlies are at a disadvantage tonight vs Orlando. HC Vogel stresses defense, so a young Memphis side without its no.1 ball-handler could have big problems. . Not only is Memphis short handed but they are also exhausted after playing 9 games in 14 days.The Magic enter this game with confidence after upsetting San Antonio as road underdogs and are in a very good position to improve on the momentum of that victory.ORLANDO is 23-8 ATS L/31 in road games in non-conference games. Play On Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Lightning v. Saint Louis Blues -126 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
The Blues, enter this game  having won their last five home games and are 8-0-2 in their last 10 home games. They have lost only once in regulation in 13 home games this season, and once again look like solid home chalk against a TB side, that has lost 3 straight, and  is off a 5-1 loss vs Columbus and that has lost 5 straight at St.Louis. ST LOUIS is 7-0 ATS L/7 in home games against top tier offensive teams -29 + shots on goal,  and converting 17% pp this season. TAMPA BAY is 0-5 ATS L/5 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. Play on St,Louis to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | South Florida v. Troy State UNDER 136 | 80-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points like Troy - playing with 5 or 6 days rest, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 82-45 under dating back 5 seasons. TROY is 12-1 UNDER L/13 in all home games dating back to last season and s 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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12-01-16 | Bucks v. Nets +6 | 111-93 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is a below average offensive team with a rating of 105.9. The Bucks are in the bottom third in scoring at 102.7 points per game and are far from solid road favorites. In the past and more recently they have shown glimpses of an upward trajectory as was the case last time out in a win vs Cleveland by a 118-101 score. But the Bucks have not dealt well with success in the past, and are 19-42 ATS L/65 off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. Meanwhile, Brooklyn enters this game with confidence after a 127-122 win vs the LA Clippers, and look like viable home dogs . In the first meeting of the season, Milwaukee recorded a 110-108 home victory on Oct. 26 and a repeat type game is highly likely with the points Im betting proving to be golden. Play on Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Utah State +9.5 v. BYU | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Utah State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Spurs v. Mavs UNDER 190 | 94-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
San Antonio had a 9 game winning streak , end in their last trip to the hardwood, as they looked exhausted, in a 95-83 loss to Orlando at home Tuesday night. It is not easy in this league, to sustain a consistent tenacious level over the long haul, and physics has now caught up to the Spurs, during a heavy part of their schedule. Meanwhile, the Mavericks picked up a win Sunday, beating New Orleans 91-81 in a strong defensive performance. Defense was the mainstay of that victory, and nothing will change tonight for the Mavericks vs a superior side. The bottom line is that Dallas just does not have alot of scoring options, with Dirk Nowitzki out, so slowing this game down with slow methodical physical play gives them their best chance at being competitive. It must be noted that Dallas has scored more than 95 points just once in 9 games, and another low output looks like a strong option tonight in game that I am betting stays on the low side of the number. SAN ANTONIO is 20-7 UNDER L/27 in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days . HC Carlisle of Dallas is 25-11 under in his L/37 games off an upset win as an underdog, with the average combined score clicking in at 184.7 ppg. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Western Carolina v. Marquette UNDER 144 | 44-90 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Marquette - Western Carolina UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | South Alabama -4.5 v. Southern Miss | 78-55 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
South Alabama to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Wright State +8.5 v. Georgia State | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
My own power rankings suggest Wright State is a very under rated commidity at the moment and have looked very competitive in their games, and once again look like a good bet to cover vs Georgia State and for the catalyst behind this to be G Mark Alstork a very under appreciated offensive force. The Raiders have failed to cover only 2 of their L/9 non conference tilts. GEORGIA ST is 2-11 ATS L/13 when the total is 130 to 139.5 and is  2-10 ATS L/12 after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. Georgia State 1-6-1 ATS L/8 at home. Play on Wright State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | Northeastern -3 v. Cornell | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Northeastern has been very competetive this season , winning against Boston U , UConn, Kent State. Which are good wins. Cornell has lost 5 of their L/6 and are fade material . Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Northeastern - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games are a bankroll expanding 82-45 ATS for a 65% conversion rate on the line. Northeastern to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-30-16 | NC-Wilmington v. Western Michigan OVER 145 | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-29-16 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Houston enters into this road game against UTah flying high, having made at least 10 3 pointers in 16 straight games. Breaking the record and getting 17 straight may not come so easily vs a Utah side, that generally plays a top tier defensive game and leads the league in scoring D, allowing just 93.4 ppg. The Jazz have also won 3 straight and are no pushovers, especially here at home. I know the visitors are explosive offensively , but I am betting defense and not offense is the difference maker tonight in Salt Lake City.Jazz are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game which happened last time out in a win vs Portland 130-114.  UTAH is 22-10 ATS L/32 versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS L/30 when the total is 200 to 209.5 dating back to last season.Houstons HC D'Antoni is 22-40 ATS L/62 after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more . Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Rockets - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are just 36-71 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 66%. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-29-16 | Pittsburgh +4.5 v. Maryland | 73-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Pitt comes in with a loss to SMU as the only blemish on its record this season, and that’s a respectable loss. Maryland’s still undefeated, but they’ve gone down to the wire against almost every opponent and will be lucky to win or pull away with a cover tonight, according to my own power rankings and matchup discrepencies. Getting to the charity stripe, and preventing others from doing the same is a strength of the Panthers. The Panthers are 36th in field goals conversion rate. Meanwhile, they also rank 15th in opponents’ field goals per free throw attempt, which shows their a disciplined group. This is key a projected close matchup, with getting points looking golden. MARYLAND is 3-13 ATS L/16 in home games in non-conference games. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Maryland a hot team- after 6 or more consecutive wins, playing only their 3rd game in a week are a bankroll depleting 9-30 ATS L/39. Play on Pittsburgh to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-28-16 | Boise State +17 v. Oregon | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Oregon was ranked as high as No. 4 in the country before losses to Baylor and Georgetown and may not be ranked after tonight. Boise State, which beat Oregon 74-72 last season, lost to College of Charleston and Mississippi State before winning two straight against Western Michigan and Presbyterian and look like a strong bet getting points tonight. BOISE ST is 19-9 ATS L/28 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. Play on Boise State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-28-16 | Packers +4 v. Eagles | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 100 h 58 m | Show | |
Green Bay and Philadelphia are in slumps, and both need a win here badly. The Packers have lost four in a row , while the Eagles have crashed back to Earth with losses in five of their last seven games, and last week at Seattle lost by 11 points. Hoever,  the Green Machine's other four losses have come by a combined 19 points. Those close games tell me nothing comes easy for the Eagles, win or lose , thus getting and taking points with another desperate team makes extreme sense.With both teams banged up and both are dealing with disadvantages, neither team has a solid advantage, other than home field advantage, which is desingnated via the line. But in a key game like this, Im betting on QB Aaron Rodgers out dueling Eagles rookie under center Carson Wentz. From a long term NFL trends perspective, Road teams like the Packers - off a road loss, in November games are 170-108 ATS L/278 games for a 61% conversion rate on the line. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like GB - off a road loss, a lower tier team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season, are 106 -60 ATS for a 63% conversion rate. Home teams like the Eagles - off a road loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more like the Packers are 72-120 ATS L/192 for go against conversion rate on the line of 63%. Play on the Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Rockets v. Blazers +2.5 | 130-114 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Portland and Houston love to run and gun. Both shoot threes in machine gun fashion and play with wreckless transistional abandon. Today I am betting the difference maker will come via rebounding. The Blazers started out their season consistently playing lazy ball and getting out rebounded, but lately a new kind of tenaciousness has over taken the team, and they have won the rebound batte in 4 of their L/5 tilts. HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS L/33 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games dating back to last season. Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Houston - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 35-71 ATS L/106 for a go against conversion rate of 67% for bettors. Play on Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 199.5 | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
In their L/5 trips to the floor, the New Orleans Pelcians are ranking sixth in defensive rating (99.0) in the league. Their offense is hitting effectively, but its the D that stands out. Against a Dallas team averaging 89.4 ppg game at home on offnese Im betting on the Mavericks output to be muted once again. With that said, look for the Mavs to try to slow this down to a crawll knowing that at this time out scoring the Pelicans is not an option. ( The Mavs have eclipsed the 95 point plateau on offense just twice in their L/ 12 trips to the floor) Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 199.5 Mavs - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, lower tier team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season 41-18 under for a 70% conversion rate on the Total for bettors. Under is 7-2 in Pelicans last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 11-4 in Pelicans last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.NEW ORLEANS is 11-1 UNDER L/12 in road games versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game with an average of 186.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. In 14 games as an underdog this season, the average combined score of their games has rung in at 195.4 ppg. Under is 39-17-1 in Mavericks last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Evansville +4.5 v. Middle Tennessee | 55-66 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
MUSIC CITY CHALLENGE - Final Rnd - Nashville Auditorium - Nashville, TN Projected score: Evansville 69 Midd Tenn State 66 Play on Evansville to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Bucks -1 v. Magic | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Orlando enters this game struggling , with a 6-10 record, thanks to a very inconsistent offense, averaging just 91 ppg. Meanwhile, the Bucks own a 6-8 record, and are also an inconsistent side, but one thing they do have that the Magic do not, is a sometimes explosive offense that has averaged 101.5 ppg. Magic are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Road favorites like the Bucks - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 29-8 ATS L/37 opportunities. Play on Milwaukee to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | UAB +12.5 v. St. Mary's | 63-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
UAB returns 11 of 12 players, including four of five starters, from last season's 26-7 squad, which won the Conference USA regular-season title. With their experience, and hardcore never say die mentality Im expecting they do well, against a methodical SMU team that struggles with speed and bases its successes on their D. Look for the Blazers' 6-foot-8 Chris Cokley who is averaging 13.2 points on 58.7 percent shooting from the field,to be a key cog in UABs cover in this tilt. UAB is 11-1 ATS L/12 versus top tier defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less. Play on UAB  to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Virginia Tech v. Nebraska +5 | 66-53 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. ACC opponents and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Scoring D, will be the difference makers here today vs Vtech, as the Cornhuskers rank 38th in the nation. In games against Dayton and UCLA the Huskers proved their worth physically and Iam betting the Hokies , wear down as this game progresses, levaing room for a Nebraska upset and more importantly a cover. Nebraska to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Miami (Fla) +3 v. Florida | 56-65 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
According to my power rankings these teams are dead even. Thus getting points is a strong option. FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS L/6 against ACC opponents.MIAMI is 15-4 ATS L/19 against SEC opponents. Canes HC Larranaga is 26-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 . Play on MiamiFl to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | 49ers v. Dolphins UNDER 44.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -107 | 89 h 27 m | Show | |
Miami loves to pound the ball on the ground , while the 49ers have a horrendous time scoring. These two attributes will help keep this game on the low side of the number, in humid and soggy Miami today. |
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11-27-16 | Cardinals v. Falcons OVER 50 | 19-38 | Win | 100 | 89 h 26 m | Show | |
Atlantas offense continues to be the top scoring unit in the league averaging 32 ppg. Meanwhile, Arizona's usually tough D, is getting smacked around of late, allowing 27 ppg in their L/3 overall. The Falcons have gone over in all 4 of their home games this season with a combined average of 65.9 ppg going on the scoreboard. It must also be noted that when NFC South teams go against NFC West sides the games have eclipsed the number 16 of 20 times for a 80% conversion rate. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Giants v. Browns UNDER 44 | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 89 h 25 m | Show | |
Cleveland's offense is a disaster scoring 10, 9 and 7 points respectively in their L/3 games. Scoring for the Browns will be a challenge once again this week vs a fairly consistent and decent Giants defense that is allowing an average of 19 ppg on road. The Gmens offense averages 15.7 ppg on the road. As you can see futility is the name of this game, and score that remains on the low side of the Total is a strong probability and a good wager. NY GIANTS are 12-2 UNDER L/14 in road games vs. lower tier teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season with a combined average of 32.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. CLEVELAND is 10-0 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season with an average of 36.4 ppg going on the board. NY GIANTS are 13-1 UNDER L/14 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points with an average of of 33.1 ppg getting scored. NFL teams like Cleveland where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - after 5 or more consecutive losses, a lower tier team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season have gone under 26 of the L/31 times for a 84% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-27-16 | Rams +7.5 v. Saints | 21-49 | Loss | -113 | 89 h 23 m | Show | |
New Orleans has not been able to take advantage of teams like St.Louis in the recent past that struggle to score consistently. Payton is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game as the coach. Meanwhile the Rams have done well vs lower tier defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game. LA RAMS are 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games . |
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11-26-16 | UMass +7.5 v. Hawaii | 40-46 | Win | 100 | 83 h 54 m | Show | |
After putting on a crazy amount of air miles on their bodies this season, Hawaii really looks burned out, and have very little left in the proverbial  tank. And yes, I know UMass does not give bettors a great deal of confidence, but they have shown flashes of some strong football, and are every bit as good as the Rainbow Warriors and will prove here tonight via a cover. HAWAII is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record dating back to last season and are 0-6 ATS L/6 as favorite and have failed to cover 7 straight November tilts and is 1-10 ATS L/11 in the second half of the season. Play on UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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