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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-03-17 | Raptors v. Jazz -1.5 | 109-100 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
The Jazz struggled with their offense out of the gate as they got acclimated to some new faces , and I was concerned with their cohesiveness, but now I'm beginning to see progress, behind Ricky Rubio this season. He is a career 37.8 percent shooter, but he is shooting at a 43.7 percent clip through the first eight games of the 2016-17 season and fits in very well with this group in Utah. The Jazz (5-3) have won three straight and are averaging 104 points during that run with Rubio averaging 25.3 points on 48.9 percent shooting during the winning streak. I'm expecting more of that same flow tonight, as well as staunch Jazz defense to stand tall vs a Toronto side that according to my early season power rankings is being over rated, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they showed their true abilities last time out allowing Denver to put 129 points on the board.. Another thing I noticed about the Raptors is that the presence of big man Jonas Valanciunas. seems to slow this built for speed team down , which is something I'm keeping in eye on for future bets on the Raptors. Tonight Utah has the edge as short home chalk. UTAH is a long term good bet as hosts as their 171-127 ATS record as a home favorite of 6 points or less would indicate. Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Jazz are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.Jazz are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Play on Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-03-17 | Marshall +8 v. Florida Atlantic | 25-30 | Win | 100 | 59 h 31 m | Show | |
Marshall after a nice run that saw them winning 5 straight games behind a nasty D that allowed a total of 37 points ( 7.4 ppg) , looked asleep at the proverbial wheel last week at home in a loss to Florida International. Now wide awake after that embarrassment I expect they will be ready to respond in a big way vs Lane Kiffins high flying Florida Atlantic football program a side in a letdown situation after taking a big win against Western Kentucky last week by scoring 22 points in the 4th quarter for a 42-28 win. Marshall is 4-0 SU L/4 meetings in this series, and I'm betting they cover and possibly pull off a su upset here. MARSHALL is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return .FLA ATLANTIC is 0-9 ATS in home games off 2 or more consecutive overs. FLA ATLANTIC is 9-22 ATS L/31 as a home favorite and 1-12 ATS L/13. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MARSHALL) - in conference games, off a upset loss as a double digit home favorite are 47-17 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Marshall to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-17 | Sabres v. Coyotes -101 | 5-4 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a game involving two teams that are struggling to play consistent hockey as can be seen by their records. The Sabres are currently operating at a higher level and on paper may look to be the superior side between these bottom feeders, but according to my power rankings and cross reference matchup stats, the Coyotes, match up well against the Sabres on home ice and are viable bets to get the win with goalie Antti Raanta now healthy and expected to start tonight after being cleared to play. Goaltending has been Arizona's Achilles heel thus far, and Raanta will shore things up. Add to that the ugly Coyotes are desperate and the last NHL team without a home victory this season and you have a formula for an extremely motivated effort from the host. Arizona's HC Rick Tochett is on the hot seat, and with this game being looked at by team brass as a winnable affair, he better have his group hitting on all cylinders tonight, or he'll be off the hot seat and on his way out the door. With that said, I'll recommend we take the Coyotes on the moneyline. Sabres are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Sabres are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Pacific.BUFFALO is 7-25 ATS L/32 in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game. NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 like Arizona - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two lower tier teams (30% or less) in the first half of the season are 28-2 SU L/20 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-17 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 43 | 21-34 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Buffalo has played an extreme brand of disciplined/conservative ball on the road this season and have scored an average of just 14 ppg on offense, while allowing just 15.3 ppg. They have given up some yard but have proven resilient and bend but don't break mind set. Meanwhile, the Jets have scored just 20 ppg on average and given up just 18.7 ppg. My own projections estimate both team to put between 14-20 points on the board , which gives credence to an under bet based on my estimates. note: BUFFALO in their L/50 in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points have seen average of 35.9 ppg get scored. NY JETS are in their L/103 games when they allow 15 to 21 points have seen average of 36.8 ppg go on the board. The Bills have gone UNDER 14 straight times when the line is within four of pick and on turf vs a team that had fewer regular season wins the previous season, as long as they are not hosting the Dolphins the total highest combined score clicked in at 39 points with the average combined score coming in at 28.3 ppg. NFL team against the total like the Jets - in a game involving two lower tier defensive teams (335 to 370 YPG), after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game are 32-8 UNDER the L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for under bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-17 | Navy -8 v. Temple | 26-34 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 15 m | Show | |
Tonight Navy enters this game against Temple in a nasty mood after two straight hard fought losses derailed their undefeated season. Add to that revenge for a loss to Temple last year in the ACC title game and you have a Navy side that will be dangerous and merciless. It must be noted that this is not the same smash mouth Temple football program of the last few seasons, under new HC Cosby and despite of being feisty and well rested off a bye I'm betting they won't have big enough gonads to stop their fire breathing opponent in this spot. Temple when off a bye is 1-9 ATS L/10 SU/ATS vs a conference team looking for revenge. Navy is 5-0 ATS on the road this season. CFB Road favorites like Navy - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR), in conference games are 66-26 ATS L/10 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Temple - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are just 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-02-17 | Northern Illinois +8.5 v. Toledo | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
Northern Illinois and Toledo arguably the two best teams in the MAC will go head to head this Thursday night in the Glass Bowl. Toledo has been on a roll of late winning and covering three straight, but their biggest weakness remains their defense, which was evident when they allowed Tulsa and Miami Fl 52 and 51 points respectively and I'm betting the Huskies do some damage here this week via a balanced attack, while their own staunch D that allows just 18 ppg, will slow the Rockets explosive offense enough to keep them within striking distance of outright upset here this evening. It must also be noted that NIU is 27-3 SU and 25-5 ATS L/30 on the road in MAC battles and the series visitor has not failed to cover in the L/6 confrontations. It must also be noted NIU is 15-1 SU and 16-0 ATS on the road vs a side off a win like the Rockets are and a perfect 5-0 ATS L/5 away facing a team on a 3-0 SU/ATS run. N ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry. CFB Home favorites like Toledo - in conference games, with 5 offensive starters returning are a long term bad bet going just 61-141 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Northern Illinois Huskies to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-01-17 | Devils +106 v. Canucks | 2-0 | Win | 106 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
When the season began many people thought the Canucks would not do well this season, and despite of some decent results early on in their campaign I'm still not sold on them and do expect them to begin to falter . Meanwhile, NJ has also done well with low expectations also attached to them in this seasons NHL futures markets. But my own early season assessments , were that they would not be as bad as expected .With that said, and now in a battle between these two upstarts I'm going to put my opinion on the line by backing what I believe to be the superior overall side on a underdog value line worth taking. ( NJ Devils) Devils are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.NEW JERSEY is 6-1 ATS L/7 against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season.VANCOUVER is 9-25 ATS L/34 in home games off a home loss . NJ has won the L/5 meetings in this series. VANCOUVER is 3-16 ATS L/19 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record. Play on the NJ Devils to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-01-17 | Blazers +3.5 v. Jazz | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The offensive explosive Portland Trail Blazers who are averaging 107.6 points per game while presenting a consistent threat from the perimeter are a team that must be feared when getting points because of their abilities to keep games close and or just completely blow out their opponents. Yes, their has been some inconsistencies with their scoring, as was the case vs the raptors last time out only scoring 85 points, but I am expecting at some point this season, that they will ramp things up and go on a big run, maybe even starting tonight against Utah. Meanwhile, their opponents biggest problem is getting their offense in gear, which just won't be an easy feat with the type of personnel they have on the floor as they rely on their D, to keep them moving in a positive direction. As stated The Jazz D, is staunch but the offense has scored 97 or less points in 5 of their 7 games and against this type of team, their in trouble according to my cross reference matchup stats. UTAH is 1-9 ATS L/10 in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread .PORTLAND is 14-2 ATS L/16 after a combined score of 185 points or less ( The Blazers lost to Toronto by a 99-85 count )UTAH is 7-18 ATS L/25 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) . NBA team vs the money line like Portland - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games are 27-8 SU for a 77% conversion rate L/21 seasons. Play on the Portland Trail Blazers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-01-17 | Raptors +2.5 v. Nuggets | 111-129 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Raptors are looking good and coming off an impressive 99-85 win in Portland on Monday night and once again look like viable betting options in this spot vs a Denver team coming home off a grueling 4 game eastern road trip, and now on tired legs will now take time to acclimated to being back home. That's not a good omen for their chances against a staunch Raptors D, that is playing very physical disciplined ball at the moment. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games and get the nod here. NBA Favorites like Denver - an excellent offensive team (102 PPG or more) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are just 47 -93 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-01-17 | Astros +145 v. Dodgers | 5-1 | Win | 145 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0, 2.95 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (2-1, 4.15) Darvish the Dodgers starter for game 7 has served up seven homers in 24 2/3 career postseason innings, which includes his tenure with Texas and against this formidable long ball offense is very susceptible. I liked the Astros in game 6 and I'm coming right back tonight with them again.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 0-5 in Darvishs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Astros starter McCullers Jr.s is 8-1 in his last 9 starts with 4 days of rest. Road team is 8-0 in home plate Wegners last 8 games behind home plate. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams which post a win order of WLLWLW through six games irrespective of site (such as the Los Angeles Dodgers) have a 0-4 Game 7 record. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-01-17 | Wolves v. Pelicans -2 | 104-98 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
DeMarcus Cousins after being named the player of the week , came out in his last game asleep at the proverbial wheel something that is not uncommon for the highly sensitive and inconsistent super star. But I'm betting he will be up for this game tonight, which makes the Pelicans a good bet here. |
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10-31-17 | Astros -111 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -111 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
World Series - Game 6 - Best of 7 - The Houston Astros hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 13-runs-12 in 10 innings and now I'm betting they take the World Series here tonight in Los Angeles. Game 6 will go to Motown's Verlander, who's 4-0 with a 2.05 ERA in five games (four starts) this postseason. He allowed three runs on two homers in six innings in Game 2. He's 9-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) since joining Houston and is the guy I'm backing here. VERLANDER team when he starts 18-3 L/21 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career.HOUSTON is 16-4 L/20 against the money line in road games after scoring 9 runs or more.LA DODGERS are 2-7 L/9 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs.HOUSTON is 24-9 L/33 against the money line against NL West opponents. NOTE: HOU leads 3-2-Trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Dodgers have an MLB/NBA/NHL-worst 0-5 Game 6 record and a 0-5 series record . The Los Angeles Dodgers and their predecessor entity, the Brooklyn Dodgers, have a combined 0-8 series record upon trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like the Dodgers - allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 10 runs or more are 10-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-31-17 | Thunder -1.5 v. Bucks | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder top star Westbrook looks like he is coming to life and taking over the lead of his team, as was evident last time out as he had 12 points, 13 rebounds and 13 assists for his third triple-double of the season in a 101-69 smash down of the Bulls on Saturday in Chicago. Yes, there is other top tier talent on the Thunder, but its become obvious early on this season, that this team is at its optimal best when he leads the way. QUOTE: "That's special. He's a special player," said Paul George, Westbrook's new teammate. "He's solidifying himself early as a Hall of Famer." END QUOTE . I'm betting well rested Westbrook shows his best stuff again tonight, against a short handed Milwaukee group playing without Center Greg Monroe. MILWAUKEE is 3-12 ATS L/15 in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games and 6-20 ATS 26 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games.Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Northwest.Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. NBA Favorites like Oklahoma City - after allowing 75 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 27-7 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-31-17 | Suns +4.5 v. Nets | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The Nets after looking good in the early going of their current campaign, have suddenly began a quick decent, and showed little energy in a blowout road loss Friday to the New York Knicks and then got absolutely creamed in the third quarter Sunday by the Denver Nuggets on their way to a loss. Some of the blame goes, to D'Angelo Russell who has been hampered with a nagging knee injury, and he did not play well in the last two games. Things don't look to get better here, as Russell is still not 100% and now the Nets have to deal with the loss, of Quincy Acy, who leads the team at 52.4 percent from 3-point range as he nurses a injury for the second straight tilt. Also add to that two way specialist DeMarre Carroll is also questionable for the Nets and you have a short handed group that will once again have problems finding their mojo. I know their opponents Phoenix may not instill confidence in bettors, but the Suns are looking much better since new HC Jay Triano took over and have won 2 of their L/3 and more importantly have covered all three times. Nets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Western Conference.Nets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-17 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 43.5 | 19-29 | Loss | -110 | 145 h 57 m | Show | |
Denver enters this game off getting shut out last week, as their offense continues to look horrendous on a regular basis and has not score more than 17 points since their week 1 opener. One thing they have going for them is a solid D, ranked No.2 in the NFL and more than capable of slowing down the KC Chiefs this Monday night.DENVER is 13-4 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game , with the combined average score of 38.1 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, KC comes off a higher scoring Thursday night game losing a heartbreaker to Oakland 31-30 on a last minute play.. It must be noted however, that teams off a Thursday game than playing on a Monday have seen their games stay under the total 9 of the L/10 times dating back 6 seasons and the Chiefs have gone under 9 straight times after playing the Raiders, and are 1-5 under off a Thursday game. I',m expecting this to be a defensive snooze fest that remains on the low side of the number DENVER is 6-0 UNDER L/6 off a road loss with a combined average of 34 ppg going on the board.KANSAS CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points with a combined average of 39.1 ppg getting scored.Reid is 10-1 UNDER L/10 after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game with a combined average of 36.5 ppg going on the board.
Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-17 | Magic +8 v. Pelicans | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Pelicans, enter this home game having won three of their past four, and will now go against a under rated Orlando Magic team that has own 4 of their 6 games this season . The Pelicans and Magic according to my own power rankings matchup very well against each other. I know the Pelicans looked really good last time out in a upset DD win vs the Cleveland Cavs , but now in an emotional let downs state I'm betting their susceptible here to being upset themselves. Note: NEW ORLEANS is 2-13 ATS L/15 off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Pelicans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Underdog is 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Orlando has won 3 of the L/4 meeting sin this series straight up. Play on the Orlando Magic to cover |
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10-30-17 | Kings v. Blues -125 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
The Blues enter this game having gone 5-0-1 in their last six games 4-0 at home and are 9-2-1 for the season, while the Kings are 9-1-1 and have won their last three games, all on the road. Needless to say both teams are in red hot form. The difference maker I am betting tonight comes, via the fresher legs of the home side, as compared to the visitors who , will be wrapping up a six-game road trip on tired legs. LOS ANGELES is 1-7 ATS L/8 after allowing 1 goal or less in 2 straight games Looks like the Kings suffer from the: I don't like Mondays " syndrome. AKA UK band - Boom Town Rats 1979. .....Kings are 1-10 in their last 11 Monday games Kings are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Blues are 6-0 in their last 6 home games dating back to last season .Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Pacific. Kings are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the money-line 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-17 | Canadiens -104 v. Senators | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
The Montreal Canadians after a very slow start to their season, have won 2 of their L/3 games, and are riding a little momentum, coming in to this confrontation against the banged up Ottawa Senators. I know the Sens have done well considering all their injuries, to some of their best players, i.e defenseman Erik Karlsson, Kyle Turris, Bobby Ryan and Zack Smith, but I'm betting their luck will eventually run out, and I'm betting the downturn starts tonight. I see the biggest problems for Ottawa is on D, where they have allowed an average of 4 gpg in their L/5 tilts, and 9 goals in their L/2 in wide open undisciplined hockey. They have scored 3 goals on offense in back to back games but have had a ugly recent history after this kind of production as OTTAWA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more losing these games by an average of 2 gpg and are just 4-16 ATS L/20 in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games. Canadiens are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. Atlantic.Senators are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.Senators are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Play on the Habs to bring home the dough on the moneyline |
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10-30-17 | Spurs +3.5 v. Celtics | 94-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter this game having won four in a row winning by a 96-90 count vs Miami last time out. The Boston D, has looked good but the offense has been choppy, and I'm betting they struggle tonight against a Spurs side that can play physical defensive hoops. Note: BOSTON is 3-16 ATS L/19 after 4 or more consecutive wins. Meanwhile, the Spurs, are off two straight losses including a 97-94 loss to the Indiana Pacers last time out. Both teams might seem like their headed in the opposite direction, but the Spurs despite of injuries to K.Leonard and T. Parker are still a veteran laden team with a lot of talent and must not disrespected, especially with one of the best coaches in the NBA on the sidelines ( Popovich). San Antonio has won 11 straight meetings since its last loss to the Celtics in 2011, with six of those victories having come at TD Garden. BOSTON is 22-42 ATS L/64 in home games against Southwest division opponents. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - good team from last season who won 60% to 75% of their games, after 1 or more consecutive losses are 41-14 ATS L/24 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-30-17 | Nuggets v. Knicks +4.5 | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
NY Knicks behind Guard Tim Hardaway Jr. who had 34 points, and Kristaps Porzingis who finished with 31 points and 12 rebounds looked explosive in a win vs the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out. This is in my opinion a better team than they were last year with Carmelo Anthony in the lineup. There are less distractions and the pundits don't expect much from them. Which is sometimes a good thing. Tonight in top form against a Denver Nuggets team I'm betting they matchup well getting points here on their own home floor. DENVER is 9-22 ATS L/31 off a road win. Play on the NY Knicks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions +3 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 50 m | Show | |
The Detroit Lions are very well rested and coming off their bye week as they prepare to face the Pittsburgh Steelers at Ford Field on Sunday night. The Lions really showed me something before their bye , never giving up and almost coming back from huge DD deficit against the Saints in New Orleans. They looked tanked in that game early on , like I expected them to be, but somehow they found the energy to make a game of it, in never say die fashion which was impressive to say the least. That tells me something about this team and I'm going to back them here tonight getting points. I know the Steelers are a fine team, but no team is infallible in the new NFL, as was the case when their stud veteran QB Roethlisberger’s threw five-interceptions in a 30-9 loss to Jacksonville, three weeks ago. Yes, I also know Matt Stafford the Lions QB , has not performed all that well of late, but with some rest I expect the gifted QB to be at his best in this spot and get us the cover even though he will only have one key downfield target in Marvin Jones as WR Golden Tate is dealing with a shoulder injury . Take the points. Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. NFL Home teams like the Lions - off 1 or more straight overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) are 33-11 ATS L/10 L/10 years, for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Lions - a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG), after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 25-6 L/10 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets UNDER 212 | 113-120 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Orlando has shown the ability to play decent defense of late, allowing two of their L/3 opponents to 93 and 87 points respectively. Meanwhile, Charlotte has been playing a lot of physical basketball early in the season, and in between, struggling with their shooting and playing strong D, have seen their first 5 games of the season stay on the low side of the set Total. I'm betting both teams current trend of play continuing in this matchup. |
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10-29-17 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Nets | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
After watching the Nets first few games its become painfully obvious that their defensive abilities are atrocious , as is their rebounding work ethic, as was the case last time out vs the NY Knicks losing by a 107- 86 count while being out rebounded by a 55-34 edge on the glass, including 19-4 on the offensive side . Thus far on the season , the Nets have allowed an average of 117.3 ppg, and I'm betting their in big trouble today, thanks to horrid lack of two way basketball. HC Malone of Denver in his L/12 games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game has seen the average margin of victory for his team come by 7.5 ppg. In game expected to be high scoring game, a 5 point margin of victory is not out of the question, even for a road team laying lumber. BROOKLYN in their L/19 against Northwest division opponents have lost by an average of 9.6 ppg. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-17 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 204.5 | 117-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
The Hawks in their L/5 games have looked stagnant offensively scoring 93 or less points with a combined average of just 94.8 ppg getting scored. Tonight against a Bucks side that has wants to play more attention to sound defense Im betting on another muted offensive effort. Milwaukee has held their L/2 opponents to 94 and 96 points respectively. My own projections have the Hawks having a similar type out put today. Note: ATLANTA is 15-4 UNDER L/19 when they score 94 to 99 points with a combined average of 199.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 22-7 UNDER L/29 when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game with a combined average of 195.3 ppg getting scored. ATLANTA is 16-1 UNDER L/17 vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 197.8 ppg going on the board.ATLANTA is 18-4 UNDER L/22 after 3 or more consecutive unders with a combined average of 199.4 ppg going on the board. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-17 | Bucks -5 v. Hawks | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
After watching the Nets first few games its become painfully obvious that their defensive abilities are atrocious , as is their rebounding work ethic, as was the case last time out vs the NY Knicks losing by a 107- 86 count while being out rebounded by a 55-34 edge on the glass, including 19-4 on the offensive side . Thus far on the season , the Nets have allowed an average of 117.3 ppg, and I'm betting their in big trouble today, thanks to horrid lack of two way basketball. HC Malone of Denver in his L/12 games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game has seen the average margin of victory for his team come by 7.5 ppg. In game expected to be high scoring game, a 5 point margin of victory is not out of the question, even for a road team laying lumber. BROOKLYN in their L/19 against Northwest division opponents have lost by an average of 9.6 ppg. NBA Road favorites like Denver - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are 30-4 ATS L/5 seasons. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-17 | Chargers +9 v. Patriots | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 116 h 56 m | Show | |
The New England Pats enter this game off a hugely emotional win vs the Atlanta falcons last week, and will be in a letdown situation this week, vs a Chargers team that I feel is starting to peak and show a lot of promise as was evident last week in a 21-0 victory over Denver, which was their third straight victory. The Chargers in their 7 games this season, have been very competitive and have lost only one game by more than 7 points and that was to KC. Today I expect they will once again stay within striking distance of the Pats and get us the cover. LA CHARGERS is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game LA CHARGERS is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better and 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season. Road teams like the LA Chargers - mistake-free team (1.25 TO/game committed or less ) against a team with 1.25 TO/game forced or less, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 38-16 during the L/34 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Chargers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-17 | Raiders v. Bills -2.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 116 h 45 m | Show | |
Last week the Oakland Raiders pulled off an miraculous upset vs the KC Chiefs with under a minute left on the clock and will now be in a huge emotional letdown situation. What was surprising was how badly the raiders had been playing previous to this as was evident by losing 4 straight games, and how average they looked all night before the big play got them a victory. I'm betting they fall back into a state of mediocrity here, vs a Buffalo side that has won 3 of their L/4 games, what has been a solid overall defense, that before last week had not allowed more than 20 points allowing an average of 14.8 ppg in 5 games. I'm betting on the Bills D once again to be the catalyst behind a win and cover in this spot. OAKLAND is 0-8 ATS L/8 off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog . Favorites like Buffalo - after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored are 34-13 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Buffalo Bills to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-29-17 | 49ers v. Eagles OVER 47.5 | 10-33 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 44 m | Show | |
The 49ers enter this game ranked 30th in the league in scoring D, after last weeks debacle when they allowed 501 yards of offense and 40 points in a ugly home loss. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-4 OVER L/20 in road games after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 51.6 ppg going on the scoreboard and 11-2 OVER L/13 after allowing 500 or more total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 52.6 ppg going on the board. Meanwhile, Philly enters this tilt as one of the leagues most potent teams, averaging 28.4 ppg and 31.7 ppg at home, and are currently around -14 point favs here, which indicates a high scoring affair. It must be noted that non division conference chalk of -12 points or more have gone over 14 of the L/16 times. The Niners looked tired last week and now travelling from West to East their body clocks will see them even more tired, which I'm betting as the linesmakers do that they will get beat up on. However, I'm also betting that SF, will do just enough damage in response to the Eagles attack to push this game over the Total. Philadelphia has gone over in 3 straight and SF have gone over in 4 of their L/5. My own numbers suggest both teams will put 20 or more points on the board. PHILADELPHIA is 11-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points with a combined score with a combined average of 50.5 ppg going on the board. Projected score :Philadelphia 34 SF 21 NBA team against the total like the 49ers - slow starting offensive team - scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 39-13 OVER the L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | San Diego State -9 v. Hawaii | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 86 h 38 m | Show | |
San Diego State after staring 6-0 this season, have fell on hard times thanks to becoming easy to read as they just consistently pass the ball to RB Rashaad Penny. Now they go against a Hawaii side that owns the No#.128 ranked pass efficiency D in the nation , and I expect the Aztecs will finally open up the play book and start looking downfield for bigger gains and a much larger point production output. I also expect their own D, to stand tall here and give the one way passing game of the Hawaii Warriors some huge problems in what I'm betting will be a conclusive win. San Diego State has owned Hawaii in the past going `18-3 ATS L/21 meetings and smashed them last season 55-0. I know the Warriors are off a bye week, but they are just 1-6 ATS with rest L/7 and are over matched by a superior team that needs a win badly and that's not a good omen for them getting any kind of revenge here tonight in paradise island. SAN DIEGO ST is 10-1 ATS L/11 when playing against a team with a losing record with the average margin of victory ringing in at 28.1 ppg and they are a perfect 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better winning by an average of 27.7 ppg. HAWAII is 1-12 ATS L/13 after playing 3 straight conference games. Play on the San Diego State Aztecs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Suns v. Blazers UNDER 219 | 107-114 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
New interim HC Triano, who I consider to be a brilliant technical coach , has the Suns playing good basketball, after a humiliating and embarrassing 124-76 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers in their opener. Since taking over , from former HC Watson and company , Triano has tossed away bad apple Eric Bledsoe , who despite of being talented is a guy that has been said to be hard to deal with on many different levels and just did not want to be in Phoenix playing for the Suns anymore. He tweeted the sentence , I don't want to be here anymore " just a few hours before being canned. Well he got his wish, and the team now looks refreshed. Triano since taking over has emphasized discipline, and defensive responsibility . It's been a slow process but in their 97-88 win vs the Utah Jazz last time out, they maybe starting to finally find and identity. Now here in the rematch you can bet playing physical defensive brand of basketball will be implemented by Triano. QUOTE:Immediate objective with Suns: “I think our major issue is 130 points. Our goal initially is to try to get stops and see if we can be better at the defensive end.” END QUOTE: Considering that the Blazers have struggled with their offense of late, shooting .375 in a 103-93 win over New Orleans on Tuesday and a lowly .393 in a 104-103 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday. it is very conceivable that the Blazers offense could continue to struggle under pressure form a motivated opponent , and will help keep this game on the low side of the number.
Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 overall.The Trailblazers are 2-10-1 Over/Under going under by 9.92 ppg as a favorite, with the average combined score of 206.9 ppg getting scored with the average closing Total clicking in at 216.5. Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Portland.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 vs. NBA Northwest. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Suns - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 31-6 under dating back 21 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | 76ers v. Mavs +1 | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Both these teams Philadelphia and Dallas have just one win on the season entering Saturday night's game at the American Airlines Center. The Sixers are off blowing a late lead to Houston and losing by a 105-104 count on a buzzer beater. It's never easy for a young group like this to shake off the effects of that type of defeat, and could easily effect their confidence in this game. Add to that the 76ers are expected to play without the services of one their most talented young stars, No. 1 overall pick Markelle Fultz, and things are not looking all that bright. Also , add to that the fact Philly's Coach Brown who continues to have talented guys like Jahlil Okafor on the bench for long stretches, because the kid can't get his head on straight . Instead he is playing the less talented backup Amir Johnson. Quote:I'm playing Amir ahead of him and that's just the situation," Brown said, according to the Inquirer. "(Okafor) comes in and his head is good, his spirit is good and he and I talk all the time. But that is the bottom line: He is not in the rotation." END QUOTE: . This kind of drama , makes for a bad energy in the Sixers dressing room which translates into sub par on court performances. I don't want to get down on this very good Sixers side, because its early in the season, but things could unravel here quickly. As far as tonight is concerned, I like a hard working Dallas team , behind Harrison Barnes and rookie-of-the-year candidate Dennis Smith Jr., and the veteran presence of Dirk Nowitzki and other veterans to get us to the promised land and deliver to us a winning ticket. 76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS L/27 vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents . Dallas has won 11 straight meetings here at home in this series. NBA Favorites like Philadelphia - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games. are 16-47 ATS for 75% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Tennessee +6 v. Kentucky | 26-29 | Win | 100 | 107 h 28 m | Show | |
Kentucky enters this game against downtrodden Tennessee off a demoralizing loss vs Mississippi St last week by a 45-7 count. These young men are not like pros and don't easily get up off the matt when slapped around in that type of fashion, and a hangover performance by the Wildcats will I'm betting be the theme here this Saturday. Meanwhile, on the flipside, I really don't think that Tennessee is as bad as the pundits think they are. Yes, they got beaten up on by Alabama last week and Georgia 3 weeks again in ugly fashion, but a lot of other teams who get respect were also stepped all over by these top tier SEC teams. Prior to the Alabama game Tennessee stood tall vs South Carolina losing a 15-9 heart breaker that they had chances to win, and must not be underestimated vs a slightly over rated Kentucky football program that the Volunteers have virtually owned over the years. This is actually a game that Tennessee can with SU, and I think the team as a whole knows it and needing a win badly , will play with fire this week in what I expect will be a cover. In the last 20 games in this series, Tennessee has won 19 of 20 meetings SU with the lone loss coming by a 10-7 score back in 2011 at Kentucky. TENNESSEE is 30-16 ATS L/46 in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better like KU.KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS L/6 after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Volunteers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kentucky. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Tennessee - lower tier team - outgained by their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after gaining 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are actually good long term bets going 34-12 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | New Mexico -1.5 v. Wyoming | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a tilt, where my own power ranking systems suggest and outright win by the visitor (New Mexico) vs an over rated side ( WYOMING). ( Linesmakers agree with my assessments, as does early sharp money) The Lobos run heavy style of play very much matches up well against a Cowboys team struggling to score. Ball control and clock consumption, are the keys here for New Mexico who took a played a very good Colorado State football program close last week losing 27-24 covering as 10 point home dogs. Last season, Wyoming was clobbered by the Lobos (56-35), and despite of a revenge scenario being in play are just not built to be successfully against this type of team. I'll ring the bell here and expect the visitors to win and cover. NEW MEXICO is 26-11 ATS L/37 versus poor rushing teams - averaging 3.25 or less rushing yards/carry . CFB Home underdogs like Wyoming - poor offensive team (4.2 to 4.8 YPP) against an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) after 7+ games, after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game are just 11-35 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFB road team like New Mexico- excellent rushing team ( 4.8 YPR or more) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR), after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game are 41-14 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New Mexico Lobos to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Mississippi State v. Texas A&M | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 105 h 20 m | Show | |
I am finally a believer in Miss State , after last weeks non empathetic DD beat down at home of Kentucky. The Bulldogs only two losses have come to Auburn and Georgia who I consider as two of the top three teams in the SEC. Texas A&M is no where near the level of those teams according to my power rankings despite of recent wins/covers. Meanwhile, Miss State now in a upward trajectory and currently playing with a great deal of confidence and now forming into top gear look very capable of taking out a Texas A&M squad that has a history of not performing well off a bye week as HC Sumlins 2-9 ATS record with rest would indicate.
CFB road team like Miss State - after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after being outrushed by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 23-2 ATS dating back 10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Mississippi State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Ducks v. Lightning -149 | 4-1 | Loss | -149 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is off to the best start in franchise history at 9-1-1 and set a franchise record with six consecutive home victories to start the season following Thursday's win over Detroit . Tonight I'm going to back them here again with momentum on their sides vs a struggling Anaheim Ducks team that is off a ugly blowout loss to Florida last time out allowing 8 goals. This Bolts team has a lot of chemistry and are currently playing with a lot of flow. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy is also red hot and on a personal eight-game winning streak. In his past six starts, Vasilevskiy has allowed just seven goals while allowing two or fewer in all six games he has started. Meanwhile, the Ducks are dealing with a boatload full of injuries ie Sami Vatanen, Ryan Kesler, Ryan Miller and top Dman Cam Fowler, Anaheim also lost veteran defenseman Kevin Bieksa, who was placed on injured reserve and missed his first game on Thursday. Needless to say they are at a disadvantage. I know after being embarrassed last time out that Anaheim will get down and dirty and try to intimidate the Lightning here tonight, as is usually the case with this physical team, but I'm betting that won't be enough to get them a victory. TB is 8-0-5 in the last 13 meetings with the Ducks.Lightning are 10-1 in their last 11 home games dating back to last season.Lightning are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.Ducks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play on TB Lightning to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Minnesota +8 v. Iowa | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 83 h 15 m | Show | |
These teams are dead even in the Big 10 with 1-3 records and 4-3 records overall. The difference maker is that PJ Flecks Gophers are the superior defensive side. That's not a good omen for a Iowa side with the 126 ranked red zone offense in the nation. It must also be noted that Minnesota has not failed to cover in their L/15 attempts as Big 10 road dogs of 4 points or more and that HC Fleck is 13-3-1 ATS in his L/15 roadies vs.500 or better opposition. With revenge on board for their only home defeat last season to the Hawkeyes, I'm betting their motivation and energy will also be a deciding factor vs a side that many not have to ability to challenge them effectively after losing a heart breaker in OT last week to Northwestern. MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games after playing 2 straight conference games . CFB favorites playing as hosts like Iowa off one loss- exact in OT are 3-15 ATS L/18 when facing a winning avenging opponent like Minnesota. CFB Home favorites like Iowa - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record on the season are 36-74 ATS for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Utah v. Oregon +3.5 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 80 h 6 m | Show | |
Oregon and Utah are both teams trying to come out of slumps . Both have lost 3 straight. Both are desperate for a win, and I'm betting we are in for a close one here, with the points In my betting opinion ending up being golden . Look for Ducks super star RB Royce Clayton and the Ducks home field crowd energy to lead them to cover and be the difference maker . It must be noted that in the past the Ducks when on a 0-3 SU/ATS run have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS vs a side off consecutive losses and repeat and rinse of this historical precedent is on Saturdays agenda. Also HC Whittingham of Utah is just 1-6 ATS L/7 off consecutive losses. Also for a league wide CFB historical data base: CFB home team vs. the money line like Oregon - off 2 consecutive road losses, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 26-4 SU L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oregon Ducks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | NC State +7.5 v. Notre Dame | 14-35 | Loss | -105 | 104 h 35 m | Show | |
Highly ranked Notre Dame is off a huge win vs USC last week and will now be in a letdown situation this week vs a well rested NC State football program off a bye week and on a 6 game win streak . I expect the Wolfpack will be sky high for this game, while the Irish will have a hard time rising to the same energy levels they exhibited last week, which gives credence to my recommendation that we take the points here in this spot.
Note: When these teams played last season the Wolfpack to a 10-3 decision at home as 2.5 point chalk. From a historical program ATS standpoint: NC STATE is 31-14 ATS L/45 vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. NC STATE is 24-11 ATS L/35 in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest.NOTRE DAME is 6-23 ATS L/29 after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games and is 19-34 ATS L/53 after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games CFB Road underdogs like NC State - in a game involving two good rushing teams - both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 44-16 ATS L/50 dating back 10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on North Carolina State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Appalachian State -3 v. UMass | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 103 h 43 m | Show | |
UMass has been playing some decent ball of late, and been putting a boatload of points (50x2) on the board, as was the case in recent back to back games against Ohio and in their first win of the season last week vs a weaker than expected Georgia Southern program. Despite of that, I just don't believe that these young men are quite ready to take down, a Appalachian State football program that knows how to win , and I will be fading UMass in this spot as +3 point home dogs. Remember this is a Minutemen side that has lost to Coastal Carolina, struggling Old Dominion and inconsistent Hawaii this season. Also thanks to the Minutemen recent surprising offensive explosiveness will have the full attention of a Mountaineers side that has only two losses this season vs Georgia and Wake Forest by 1 point, which diminishes Umass chances at catching their opponent napping, and for a upset under dog win/cover. APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS L/9 versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game. Mountaineers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.Minutemen are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. CFB Underdogs of 3-3.5 to 10 points like Mass- after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Appalachian St to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Air Force +10.5 v. Colorado State | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 100 h 34 m | Show | |
Air Force for the most part has been a very competitive team with a explosive offense all season long, and must not be underestimated here in this spot vs a strong looking Colorado State football program . The Falcons took San Diego State and Navy down to the wire, teams that my own power rankings suggest are similar to Colorado States and are off conclusive back to back wins vs UNLV and Nevada. The Falcons did not even look out of place vs power 5 side Michigan losing 29-13 and staying close almost till the end. So as far as today is concerned I'm betting we have good value taking the points here with a team, that can run and gun with the best of teams, and capable of beating you SU or via the back door cover. Air Force HC Calhoun is 13-5 ATS L/18 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better) Air Force 25.1 Opponent 29.3. CFB Road underdogs like Air Force - in a game involving two excellent rushing teams (4.8 YPR or more), after gaining 6 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 81-34 ATS the L/10 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | San Jose State +13.5 v. BYU | 20-41 | Loss | -105 | 99 h 19 m | Show | |
Both these sides could easily be college football poster boys for futility , with 1-7 records. But according to my own cross reference rankings, San Jose State has recently shown more of an upward trajectory than BYU , and more all overall improvement, giving a decent Fresno State program a run for their money covering in a 27-10 loss, and playing decently in Hawaii losing 37-26 as 17 point dogs. Today I'm betting this young group will once again stay close enough for a cover or pull off the SU upset vs a BYU side that should not be a -13.5 point favorite vs anyone in the FBS. Take the points. SAN JOSE ST is 28-12 ATS L/40 when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less).BYU is 2-10 ATS L/12 in home games versus terrible rushing defenses - allowing 230 or more rushing yards/game.BYU is 0-8 ATS L/8 in all lined games this season.BYU is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. CFB Road underdogs like SJ State- poor rushing team (100-140 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, in non-conference games are 44-12 ATS dating back 25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on San Jose State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-28-17 | Virginia +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 14-31 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 54 m | Show | |
Last week Virginia fell asleep at the proverbial wheel and got crushed by Boston College ending an impressive 4 game winning run. Actually BC has been surprisingly offensively explosive, behind an already staunch D, so I'm not being to hard on Virginia. Actually I expect the Cavaliers will bounce back this week, and cover and possibly spring the upset vs a Panthers side they matchup very well against, especially from a coaching perspective behind Bronco Mendenhall who I have a great deal of respect for. Meanwhile, HC Narduzzi is 4-12 ATS L/16 in home games, has in my opinion mishandled a pretty good looking ( at least on paper) Panthers side. with that said, I'm fading Pittsburgh here at home as favorites. Cavaliers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home.Cavaliers are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road gamesPanthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Panthers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games. PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS L/7 in home games vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. CFB home team like Pittsburgh - after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 21-54 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 72% for bettors. Play on Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-17 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 225 | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers enter into this game well rested as they prepare to play only their 2nd game in 6 days and I'm betting that will allow them to keep up and slow down a run and gun Toronto squad defensively. Meanwhile, HC Casey of the Raptors seems to have a bit of different strategy on the road as he does at home,. The Raptors HC is just not as aggressive with his attacking options and with this being his teams 3rd straight west coast away game in 4 days, his less than deep bench may not be as fast paced as they usually are because of fatigue, which will I'm betting take a bite out their overall offensive point production in this spot. Note:Under is 21-7 in Raptors last 28 road games . It must also be noted that Casey is 34-14 UNDER L/48 versus good pressure defensive teams - forcing 16 or more turnovers/game like the Lakers, with a total combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 193 ppg game. TORONTO is 12-2 UNDER L/14 in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game with a combined average of 191.5 ppg going on the board . Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 home games. These teams have gone under in 4 of their L/5 overall meetings. Under is 6-1 in Lakers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Lakers - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, team that had a losing record last season are 29-6 to the UNDER dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-17 | Tulsa +10 v. SMU | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 110 h 53 m | Show | |
Tulsa is one very inconsistent team. There is a load of offensive talent, a lack of concentration , and a coaching staff that seems to be at the mercy of a group of young men who can come out and rock a stadium with explosive play or put you to sleep with a less than motivated performance. A few examples of this were, on display in Toledo earlier this season in the Glass Bowl against one of the MACs best teams the Rockets, taking part in a 54-51 blockbuster , almost pulling off the upset, and than in Houston taking out a decent Cougars side by a 45-17 count as DD dogs. Note:( SMU loss to Houston 35-22 in their meeting with them.) Two other tilts saw the young men from Tulsa play New Mexico and Navy very tough, losing close hard fought affairs, and than unexpected down games like their 20-14 loss at UConn last week as 6 point favorites. Now today, I expect this under rated Tulsa side, to make a game of their confrontation with SMU this week. It must be noted that Tulsa is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/games like SMU, while the Mustangs are just 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 450 or more yards/game. TULSA is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in the second half of the season over the last few seasons. Meanwhile, SMU is off hard fought 31-28 victory vs the Cincinnati bearcats last week, and now starting to show some chinks and their armour and maybe some fatigue as the season drags on, which is not a good omen against what can be a very high octane Canes side when their attention span is focused, as I'm betting it will be here. SMU is 2-12 ATS after a win by 3 or less points . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Tulsa - off 1 or more consecutive unders, with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game are a long term good bet going 70-36 ATS for a 66% conversion rate over the L/10 seasons. Play on Tulsa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-17 | Thunder v. Wolves +2 | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Minnesota is a fine young team that matchs up well vs the Oklahoma City Thunder as was the case when they beat the Thunder right in their own back yard by a 115-113 count. I know the Thunder are loaded full of talent, but I've been watching them closely and their just isn't something right with this team and their overall chemistry as was evident in recent loss to Utah and during extended stretches during their first 4 games . Despite of being 2-2 on the season, the Thunder have me starting to doubt their cohesiveness. My main concern is about Carmelo Anthony , who has shown over the years to be brilliantly talented, but for some reason his happy go lucky schoolyard attitude on the court which lacks the eye of the Tigers mindset, has only translated into a bevy of sub par winning out puts for his previous team the Knicks. Has he brought this losing mindset to the Thunder, and is it effecting the highly sensitive Russell Westbrook? Maybe Maybe not It's still early so , I''ll give the Thunder the benefit of the doubt. However, as far as going against the them tonight, I think this fast improving talented Minnesota group, with or without ( probable?) Jimmy Butler in the lineup on their own home court are more than capable of covering for us here. Thunder are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.Thunder are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota. NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like Oklahoma City- poor defensive team from last season - shooting pct defense of 45.5% or more are 17-33 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-17 | Florida State -3 v. Boston College | 3-35 | Loss | -120 | 62 h 20 m | Show | |
Jimbo Fisher better get his Seminoles rolling , and knows he needs a win here if he plans on keeping his job. I know Boston College has looked good of late in surprisingly explosive wins vs Louisville and Virginia , but , Fisher's Seminoles have owned this series in the past winning 7-0 straight SU , with this being lowest asking price the lines-makers have laid on the board during that run. I like Boston College feistiness and their D, and have been outstanding for a long time, but their offensive explosions of late, I'm betting are an anomaly that will end tonight .
Florida State has won its only 2 road games this season vs Wake Forest and Duke, teams with similar defenses as BCs , and I'm betting on similar results here tonight. Both those wins came by a TD. FSU is 5-0 ATS L/5 weekday games and BC is 0-5 ATS L/5 weekday games. FLORIDA ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games against conference opponents.FLORIDA ST is 13-4 ATS L/17 in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games . Play on Florida State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-17 | Blues +100 v. Hurricanes | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
Last night Carolina avoided a three-game losing streak by recording a 6-3 victory at Toronto. However, tonight on tired legs I'm betting they will be at a disadvantage vs a strong St.Louis Blues team that has gone 3-0-1 in their L/4 contests and on a days rest. Blues are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Blues are 23-7 in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Hurricanes are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Road team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. ST LOUIS is 15-2 ATS L/17 in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more and is 10-1 ATS L/11 in road games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game and is 6-0 ATS in road games off a home blowout win by 3 goals with the average score of 3.3 to 1.8 going on the scoreboard favoring the Blues. ( The Blues took out Calgary last time out by a 5-2 count). Play on the St.Louis Blues to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-27-17 | Nets +2.5 v. Knicks | 86-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
The top producing offense and the worst offensive output teams in the NBA go head to head on Friday night at Madison Square Garden when the suddenly explosive retooled Brooklyn Nets visit the rebuilding New York Knicks. The Nets are coming off a 112-107 win over LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers, and are in top form with momentum on their sides but still being made underdogs here on the early line. Brooklyn is leading the NBA in offensive production at 121.2 points per game, and are even outscoring the Golden State Warriors. Meanwhile, the NYK is exhibiting very little chemistry thus far in the early going of this season as their 0-3 start would indicate , New York has 84- and 89-point outputs in offense in two of their 3 games , and rank 30th in points per game at 93.3. Needless to say from a current power ranking and matchup perspective this line is tainted and must be taken advantage of. ( I have also taken into consideration DAngelo Russell being out tonight because of injury.)While anything is possible in NBA , and turnarounds and crashes constantly happen, it still makes sense that the superior side ( Nets) are worth a investment outlay as 2 to 2.5 point dogs here, and are actually viable SU money-line bets as well. However, as far as we are concerned getting points with insurance here is the more viable option. I know the Nets D, seem unstable at the moment, but the Knicks don't look built to take advantage of those deficiencies as is evident by receiving just 25 points per game from the starting three-man backcourt of point guard Ramon Sessions and shooting guards Tim Hardaway Jr. and Courtney Lee . NBA team vs the money line like NYK- off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival against opponent after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points are 5-20 SU L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 80% for bettors. NEW YORK is 6-20 ATS L/26 and 0-9 ATS L/9 in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5 and is 4-13 ATS L/17 overall vs. division opponents.Knicks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss dating back to last season. Favorites like the Knicks - lower tier team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are just 15-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-17 | Pelicans v. Kings +2 | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost three of their first four, as the highly talented DeMarcus Cousins spreads his nasty attitude into the mindset of yet another team he has joined. This kid has such great skill sets, that's it really shame that his attitude and locker room presence does not make for a winning attitude. Tonight Cousins and the visiting Pelicans will face a team he once played for. None of Cousins' six seasons in Sacramento saw his team win more than 33 games, and his 36-point, 13-rebound night for New Orleans in a 103-93 loss at Portland on Tuesday looked like the games he has played in the NBA. The self centered super star just isn't a winner and I have no problem recommending we wager against his team the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. I know that the Kings lost last time out to lowly Phoenix by 117-115 count, but they have a good history of bouncing back under these circumstances as SACRAMENTO is 8-0 ATS L/8 off a loss against a division rival . HC Gentry of New Orleans is 6-17 ATS L/23 versus poor offensive teams - scoring 98 or less points/game . From a long term NBA historical standpoint -Home teams vs. the money line like the Kings - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a lower defensive team (102 PPG or more), after a combined score of 215 points or more are 129-58 SU for a 69% conversion rate dating back 21 seasons. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-17 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Ravens | 0-40 | Loss | -120 | 37 h 31 m | Show | |
Let me start off by saying I was never a big fan of Jay Cutler, and was not impressed by the Fins off season signing of him. While you never like to see a player injured, I must say that this injury to Cutler is a blessing in disguise for Miami, as I believe they will do much better with Matt Moore under center. Last week Moore engineered a 17 point 4th quarter comeback, and navigated his team to a win vs the NY Jets. You know, Moore is no bum, when it comes to delivering cash to his bakers he's s stud QB as his 20-9 ATS overall record would indicate including a 10-4 ATS record in away tilts. Tonight the Dolphins go up against a less than reliable favorite with a ton of issues that continues to surrender yards and points in large chunks. This version of the Ravens thanks to injuries, QB Flacccos inconsistencies (or both) and just bad coaching, is not up to par with past incarnations of the franchise and should not be mistaken as such. This is not the Ray Lewis era, its far different and as of right now does not deserve our respect on this suspect line. BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS L/9 off 1 or more straight overs. Harbaugh is 12-22 ATS L/33 in October games, with the them and their opponents virtually tied in point production. Ravens have lost 4 of their L/5 overall! Dolphins QB Moore is 6-0 ATS against opposition with a .400 or better records off consecutive SU/ATS losses. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Baltimore - with a poor offense - averaging 285 or less total yards/game are 16-37 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-17 | Mavs +8 v. Grizzlies | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The Memphis Grizzlies suffered their first loss of the season last night to Dallas. Now in a early season back to back... home and home series they will go at FedEx Forum on Thursday night to try to reap revenge, but I'm betting that won't come without a fight . The Mavs were in control from the start and never surrendered the lead in the second half of lat night triumph and actually matchup well vs the Grizzlies despite of what the pundits might think It must also be noted , that Mavericks rookie point guard Dennis Smith Jr. has been in top form for the Mavs and last night finished with a team-high 19 points. Smith has led or tied for team-high scoring honors in two of his three games and is very underrated and must respected. He gives this retooling Mavs side a lot more balance than the causal on lookers might believe, making them viable opponents for all comers despite of some lackluster early season results. MEMPHIS is 6-17 ATS L/23 after a division game .DALLAS is 31-15 ATS L/46 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games . Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Mavericks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-17 | Hawks v. Bulls -3 | 86-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The Hawks are in the midst of a season-opening, five-game trip, which concludes with Thursday's visit to Chicago and are exhausted as this juncture and could easily fold as this game goes deeper into the 2nd half. I know Chicago is banged up and still winless , but they're playing at home, and are desperate. Tonight I'm betting they take advantage of a road weary group and notch their first win of the season and get us the cover as well. Injury update: Hawks Dennis Schroder is doubtful Thursday vs. Chicago ( Ankle ) Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Underdogs like the Hawks - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, after 2 or more consecutive losses are 7-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 78% for bettors. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-17 | Red Wings v. Lightning -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 60 m | Show | |
The Red Wings have been playing poorly of late and have lost their L/5 games, while their hosts the Bolts, have won 7 of their L/8 with their L/2 coming by 7-1 and 5-1 blowouts vs Pittsburgh and Carolina at home. Both teams are obviously operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. With that said,, and considering how dominate the Lightning have been at home in this series , I am recommending we lay the lumber on the puck-line and take TB. Lightning are 7-0 in their last 7 home games overall .DETROIT is 0-9 ATS L/9 off a close road loss by 1 goal losing by an average of 2.3 gpg game ( 4.1 to 1.8) My own projections estimate that TB will score 4 goals per game or more. (TAMPA BAY is 19-4 ATS when they score 4 goals)-winning by an average of 1.7 gpg) TAMPA BAY is 8-0 SU/ATS against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons at home. Play on the TB Lightning -1.5 on the puckline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-26-17 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois -7 | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigan has played some great defensive ball all season long, and have remained competitive on a consistent basis despite of their current 5 game losing streak. Their games have been grueling and exhausting, but the one that might have broke the camels back was last weeks hard fought 20-17 loss to Western Michigan in OT. That was truly heart breaking and you could feel the energy just completely sucked out of this young group as they stood on the sidelines after the game. Now in a huge letdown situation they go up against a torrid D, that might even be better than theirs , and a balanced Northern Illinois Huskies offense, that is very much better their own. Lay the lumber with the Huskies. N ILLINOIS is 10-1 ATS L/11 after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game and 6-0 ATS L/6 after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game and beginning to roll after a 48-17 beat-down of Bowling Green last week. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like E.Mich - after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 5-28 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-17 | Astros +100 v. Dodgers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Last night I watched the Dodgers find a way past the Astros. I wanted to get a better feel of what to expect before pulling the trigger on any game in this series. Tonight I'm ready to fire off my first shot . It must be noted that in four appearances (three starts) in this postseason, Verlander the Astros starter vs the Dodgers this evening owns a 1.46 ERA over 24 2/3 innings, striking out 24 with six walks. Each time the veteran hurler Verlander has gone to the hill this October, the Astros have come away with a victory and I'm betting on nothing changing tonight. HOUSTON is 12-3 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season .VERLANDER team record is 12-5 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.HOUSTON is 42-19 L/61 against the money line in an inter-league game . Astros HC HINCH is 21-8 L/29 against the money line against NL West opponents. MLB teams like the Dodgers - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs or more /game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are just 36-69 since 1997 for a go against conversion rate of 665 for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-25-17 | Rockets -3 v. 76ers | 105-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
The Sixers, host the Houston Rockets on Wednesday night and are off, beating the Detroit Pistons 97-86 on Monday. This is a fine young Sixer's team, but still are not ready for a wide awake veteran laden Houston team that won't be caught napping here as they come off a loss last time out vs Memphis, after falling a sleep at the proverbial wheel with less than 8 minutes left , blowing a DD lead. There have been some shot conversion issues for the Rockets early on this season despite of their 3-1 record, but I'm betting that will be quickly resolved , probably starting tonight vs a side, that I think is over rated defensively and their biggest weakness. I know the Rocket's are playing with out Chris Paul tonight, but they still are the overall superior team with a lot more experience in a game that the linesmakers are expecting to be close. HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS L/23 teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game.HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS L/18 on the road when the line is +3 to -3 . NBA Favorites like Hosuton - off a upset loss as a favorite, first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games are 60-31 ATS dating back to 1996 for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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10-24-17 | Pacers +12 v. Wolves | 130-107 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves enter their Tuesday game against the Indiana Pacers with a 2-1 record, thanks in to a buzzer-beater by Andrew Wiggins on Sunday in a 115-113 victory at Oklahoma City. Now the lines-makers are taking part in what I can best describe as irrational exuberance as they make the Wolves 12 point favorites. Hey this young Minnesota team is talented, but this line is higher than I expected and gives us value according to my own rankings taking points here. I know the Pacers have dropped two straight, but are still more than capable of hanging tough here.Minnesota and Indiana split their two-game series during the 2016-17 season. Both teams won on in the visitors role, with the Timberwolves barely sneaking by with a 115-114 victory on three late free throws in the final seconds. Rinse and repeat scenario in play , and take the points. MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS L/35 when playing against a team with a losing record.INDIANA is 11-1 ATS L/11 in road games when playing with 2 days rest .MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS L/14 in home games after scoring 115 points or more. NBA Favorites like Minn- bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-24-17 | Ducks +109 v. Flyers | 6-2 | Win | 109 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The Anaheim Might Ducks are well rested but have been banged and dealing with injuries up to start their season, but tonight will get key cog Ryan Getzlaf back in their lineup , which I'm betting helps their sagging power play. They did lose cam Fowler one of their top Dmen, but they will get back another solid defenseman Hampus Lindholm (shoulder) who is expected to make his season debut Tuesday night as well as Defenseman Sami Vatanen , which will not put them at a disadvantage. Meanwhile, Philadelphia lost their top D man last time out, Andrew MacDonald , and will be replaced by a rookie or AHL players and that's not a good omen for the Flyers here even though their at home. It must be noted that the Ducks, looked solid in a recent 5-2 win vs the Habs at home, and with the consistent stellar play of goaltender John Gibson (3-2-1, 2.55 goals-against average, .932 save percentage) the Ducks look like solid underdog options tonight. Flyers expected starting goalie Elliot owns a sub par .897 SV % on the season! ANAHEIM is 41-19 ATS L/60 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days .Ducks are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Ducks are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. Play on the Anaheim Ducks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-24-17 | Nets +5 v. Magic | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
It's still very early in the season, but the Nets off season changes look very much like they have added some positive energy/flow/chemistry into the lineup, something that was not there over the last few campaigns. This season Brooklyn looks like they matchup well against tonight's opponent Orlando as they beat them in the first meeting, putting a 126-point points on the board against the Magic and than followed that up with a 116-104 home win over the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday.Brooklyn held Atlanta to 34 percent shooting from the field, its best since Kenny Atkinson became the head coach last season. That to me is a be positive sign moving forward. Meanwhile, Orlando despite of a big upset win vs Cleveland last time out, still don't inspire me, and I'm betting they have an emotional letdown experience here tonight and fail to cover vs a side that actually matches up very well against them. Magic HC Vogel is 10-23 ATS L/33 after a game where they covered the spread. ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS L/26 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game . NBA Favorites like Orlando - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-44 ATS as favs dating back 5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-17 | Wizards v. Nuggets -3 | 109-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
It's never easy playing the Mile High City for visiting teams, because of the thin air, and I'm betting the Wizards travelling from East to West will find it difficult again tonight vs a Denver team that is playing physical/disciplined defensive ball early on this season, as was evident when they held Sacramento to 36.5 percent shooting in a lopsided 96-79 victory last time out. Yes, we all know how talented Washington is, but they have shown a tendency of throwing in clunkers in the past, and dating back to last season have failed to cover in their L/ 5 road games. Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. DENVER is 18-6 ATS L/24 after 2 or more consecutive unders . Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-17 | Raptors v. Spurs -3 | 97-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs and the Toronto Raptors, both unbeaten in their early-season schedules go head to head tonight when they do battle on Monday at the AT&T Center in San Antonio. A lot has been made of the Spurs missing, , star forward Kawhi Leonard and point guard Tony Parker because of injuries, but this is a deep team, with a lot of talent, and have proven they can find multiple ways to beat opponents, including a top tier D, which proved its metal in a 87-77 win on the road on Saturday vs the Chicago Bulls. On offense the Spurs , can beat you with one of the NBAs most explosive and talented players , LaMarcus Aldridge, who scored 28 points and had 10 rebounds to lead San Antonio over the Bulls. Like I said, the Spurs have just to many weapons, and are very diverse, compared to a one way run and gun Raptors side that is easily read by a coach like Popovich. I know the Raptors have looked good in wins vs Chicago and Philadelphia by a combined 51 points in their first two games, but tonight their playing what I'm betting is a superior team without a key cog , big man center Jonas Valanciunas who was injured last time out and expected to miss this tilt. Raptors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Raptors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio San Antonio beat the Raptors in both meetings last season and have a three-game winning streak against Toronto. The Spurs lead the all-time series 17-4 SU against the Raptors at home and another victory and cover is around the corner. NBA Underdogs like the Raptors - marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team that had a winning record are 19-42 ATS over the last 5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-17 | Warriors v. Mavs +13 | 133-103 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks, losers of their first three games and completely humiliated in Houston on Saturday night will now be playing with some pride and a huge chip on their shoulders in this spot, and should see Dennis Smith Jr. back and Devin Harris back after missing time early in the season . Meanwhile, Golden State I'm betting will be over looking a group that they probably don't respect a great deal. I know the Warriors are a great team, but they have had a recent lackluster ATS history vs losing teams as this trend indicates, especially on the road. Warriors dating back to last season are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons -3.5 | 97-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Detroit enters tis tilt with momentum on their sides as they come off a 111-107 road win vs the New York Knicks on Saturday. The Pistons rallied from a 21-point deficit, outscoring the Knicks 60-43 in the second half. Now they go against a young talented Philadelphia Sixer's group who still cannot find a way to consistently notch victories, losing three straight times to start their campaign, including Saturdays lopsided 128-94 loss to the Raptors. There is a lot of talent in the 76ers lineup, but playing as a group and showing chemistry/flow at the moment seems to be a problem, as their star center Joel Embiid , comes in and out of the lineup , because of his need to rest his surgically repaired knee. Tonight I'm betting the Sixers having more problems , vs a Motown side that has won and covered 6 of the L/7 meetings in this series. 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. DETROIT is 12-2 ATS L/14 in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5, with the average margin victory of the scores coming by 10.5 ppg. Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots -3 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 83 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots looked like they had lost last years Super Bowl before they pulled off the greatest comeback in the history of the NFL and left the Atlanta Falcons and their fans in shock with a unlikely 34-28 victory. At one point in the 3rd quarter Atlanta was up 28-3 before the Pats woke up and decided to thrash their opponents. Now the word REVENGE is making the rounds , as Atlanta fans and their betting backers bet on this scenario playing out. However, with said, it must be noted in life that you don't always get what you want. You have to remember, that New England has won 5 championships, and are probably the best coached team in football with Belichick at the helm, and arguably the best money QB in the game Tom Brady. These guys are as big as life, and whether they show it or not are ego driven, and will not take kindly to the Falcons wanting to come here and show the world that they are the better team, and last years loss was an anomaly. Instead I expect the Pats will primed to hand out another spanking, this time taking no chances and playing a complete focused game, which is not a good omen for a Falcons side that has shown big gaps in concentration over the last few seasons, despite of their top tier talent levels. Atlanta 's HC Quinn is 4-13 ATS L/17 vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better.Belichick is 38-16 ATS L/54 versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play winning on average by over a TD.NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS L/7 versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or more yards/play. NEW ENGLAND is 10-0 ATS L/17 after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games. The Patriots are 15-0 ATS /SU covering by over 14.8 ppg on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Atlanta Falcons. Play on the New England Patriots to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-17 | Wolves v. Thunder -4 | 115-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Last night in Utah Russell Westbrook looked surprisingly below average for the Oklahoma City Thunder in a loss. His energy levels as well as his teammates were very low in the team looked completely out of sync and tired looking. Tonight at home in a matchup with the Minnesota Timberwolves I expect he and his team will rebound in a big way. After posting a triple-double in a season-opening victory vs the NY Knicks, Westbrook recorded just six points on 2-of-11 shooting in 36 minutes of shabby play. This type of low level of play by the MVP was only the third time in his 10-year career that he has been held to six or less points while playing at least 30 minutes. Something that stood out to me, is that Westbrook is shooting 40.4 percent from 3-point range in 31 career games against the Timberwolves, which is his highest mark against all but two other NBA sides, which gives me credence in my belief he will bounce back in a big way and play hard with Carmelo Anthony and P George tonight at home in front of their own fans. I know the Wolves are a fine young team, but this is a beatable spread for the Oklahoma City Thunder backers .Meanwhile, the Timberwolves won their home opener the other night in a hard fought battle vs Utah, but it must be noted that from a recent performance betting standpoint that not a good thing as the Timberwolves are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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10-22-17 | Bengals +5.5 v. Steelers | 14-29 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 59 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Steelers are off a hard fought win vs the KC Chiefs last week, as they derailed the Chiefs undefeated season. Now in a letdown spot, vs the Cincinnati Bengals I'm betting they won't easily get by a well rested Bengals side off a bye week. It must be noted that the Bengals are 8-0 ATS L/8 after a bye week when facing a division foe with an above .500 record like the Steelers . Meanwhile, the Steelers are an ugly 1-5 ATS as chalk against a rested side with a below .500 record and 1-5 ATS as a home favorite after a victory as a dog and Big Ben Roethlisberger is also 1-5 ATS L/6 after a SU underdog win in his career. It must also be noted that in my most recent power ranking projections that I consider the Bengals to be the most under rated team in the NFL at the moment and other than their opening loss have been extremely competitive. CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games.HC Tomlin of the Steelers is 2-10 ATS L/12 off 4 or more consecutive unders NFL Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like the Steelers - in a game involving two average teams (plus/minus 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game are just 18-45 ATS over the L/24 seasons. Play on the Cincinnati Bengals to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-22-17 | Panthers v. Bears OVER 40.5 | 3-17 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 51 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers well rested after playing and losing last Thursday enter this game having gone over in 4 straight games with the combined average of 57.2 ppg gong on the board. This Sunday after their sleepy looking effort last time out will come out with all guns blazing looking for redemption and drag the Bears into a wider open affair than the lines-makers expect as is evident by the total. This I'm betting helps us easily eclipse this Total. |
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10-21-17 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217 | 88-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
The Suns played a fast back and forth game last night losing to the Lakers 132-130 and are banged playing mostly without center Alex Len (ankle) ( played last night 21 min), guard Davon Reed (knee) and forward Jared Dudley (toe). This I expect will effect their tempo and with a need to pay more attention to defense, should partake according to my own estimates in more subdued type of defensive game plan tonight in LA vs a Clippers side that is still trying to acclimate to a lot of new faces and injuries to various players that are still not 100% healed. The roster was completely intact for the season-opening victory vs the Lakers, but Patrick Beverley (knee) and Austin Rivers (glute) had just returned and Danilo Gallinari (sprained left foot), Sam Dekker (strained left oblique), Sindarius Thornwell (sprained right shoulder) and Jamil Wilson (back spasms) returned earlier last week. Overall team cohesiveness on both sides could easily be an issue this evening, and according to my own numbers the lines-makers have over done this Total to the high side considering the circumstances. It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the Suns - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Fresno State +7.5 v. San Diego State | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 75 h 27 m | Show | |
A lot of pundits believe that San Diego State will easily bounce back from last weeks surprising loss to Boise State ( 31-14) as their perfect season crashed and burned. But , hold your horses, I'm betting getting out of here vs a fast improving Fresno State football program will not come easily. Former California HC Tedford has really got the Bulldogs rocking winning 4 of 6 games with the losses coming to highly rated Alabama and Washington. Considering Fresno State has a top tier history of doing well with conference revenge failing to cover only once in their L/11 tries, it won't be a hard decision to back them here on the road in a key game getting TD plus. ( Last year SDSt beat Fresno State 17-3). SAN DIEGO ST is 11-24 ATS L/35 in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season .FRESNO ST is 9-0 ATS L/9 after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers .FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS L/16 in all lined games. Play on Fresno State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 52 m | Show | |
Wyoming after losing 2 of their first three games to begin their season have won three straight games SU/ATS, and are finally starting to perform up to expectations behind stud QB, Joh Allen who is still not in top form , but ready to explode at any time. However, Wyoming is ranked tied for first in Red Zone offense, and should do much better than San Diego State did last week vs Boise State . The Broncos surprised a lot of pundits last week, by beating SD State, but the truth is the Aztecs are starting to become easier to read as the season has gone on, as they just continually hand the ball to Rashad Penney . With that said, and now in a letdown scenario after their upset win, I'm betting the Broncos will have a hard time getting up for this tilt despite of being in revenge mode for a 30-28 loss at Larime last season. WYOMING is 8-1 ATS L/9 vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last few seasons.BOISE ST is 0-8 ATS L/8 as a home favorite and is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games after playing a conference game . CFB Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points like Wyoming - after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 28-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wyoming to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Thunder -4.5 v. Jazz | 87-96 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah is a fine team that I highly respect, but after playing last night in a physically grueling affair in Minnesota losing by 3 points and covering, I just don't believe they have enough left in the tank to deal with what is now In my humble opinion one of the most explosive offensive teams in the NBA, the Oklahoma City Thunder. Not only are they potent with their attack, they are showing early signs of being equally capable of over powering their opponents on the defensive end. With that said, I usually rarely lay lumber with a road team these circumstances at this juncture of my wagering campaign warrant such a bet and recommendation to my clients. Quote: "By playing great defense, especially this early in the season where probably most teams are trying to find their way, it gives you at least a little bit of room where if you don't have a great offensive night or are trying to figure it out offensively, you can really fall back to your defense," Thunder coach Billy Donovan told reporters after the game. Note: Rodney Hood was carried off the floor by his teammates after suffering an apparent lower-leg injury during the fourth quarter last night vs Minny which puts the Jazz at a distinct disadvantage in this tilt. UTAH is 7-20 ATS L/27 off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival and OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points with the average victory coming by 7.6 ppg. Ok City has won 7 of the L/8 meetings and 3 of the L/4 here in Utah and enter this game in much better shape roster wise than they have in the past. NBA Favorites like Oklahoma City - in a game involving two teams who had marginal winning records (51% to 60%) last season are 23-3 ATS over the L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors and also NBA Favorites like Oklahoma City - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, vs. division opponents are 27-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oklahoma City Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Blazers v. Bucks -3 | 110-113 | Push | 0 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks opened the season with games against Boston and Cleveland, and are pretty acclimated to playing some very tough competition. The Bucks looked pretty ordinary against a Cleveland team that looked to be on a mission last night, losing by a DD, count at home, but I'm still a big believer in this team. I know their opposition tonight, the Portland Trailblazers have looked explosive so far this season, in their first two games , but this will be the Blazers second consecutive road game in a back to back situation. Yes, I do know that the Bucks are also playing back to back games, but playing them while sleeping at home in your own bed, and playing back to backs , after taking a red eye flight are two completely different scenarios as far as how rested your team will be. With that said, I expect the Bucks come out in good form tonight and get us the win and cover. |
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10-21-17 | Hurricanes v. Stars -135 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Dallas started their season slowly going 0-2-0 start as their new new personnel looked they needed time to jell with their teammates. But now the positive chemistry is building behind the likes of the Stars new top line, which features Benn, Seguin and newcomer Alexander Radulov. Talk about explosive looking. This trio is dangerous and will be hard to stop by a Carolina team , that despite of operating a top tier level of hockey at the moment, will be on tired legs as they play their 4th straight road game. Dallas expected starting goaltender Ben Bishop, ranks seventh in the NHL with a 1.93 goals-against-average and is tied for third with four wins. CAROLINA is 4-18 ATS L/22 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record .CAROLINA is 8-21 ATS L/28 off a road win which they registered last time out. Hurricanes are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.Stars are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Metropolitan.Hurricanes are 1-11-1 in the last 13 meetings in Dallas.Hurricanes are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Dallas Stars to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Arizona v. California +3 | 45-44 | Win | 100 | 61 h 33 m | Show | |
Both these football programs have been playing good ball of late, as Arizona is off back to back upsets of Colorado and defensively deficient UCLA, while California is off a 37-3 beat down of formerly undefeated Washington State. It's been California's D, that has them turned around this season, and Arizona's explosive offense that made them so dangerous. So in a game I have tabbed for D vs Offense, I'm betting on the D coming out on top and helping us get the cover. It must also be noted that California is 13-1 ATS L/14 in this series as dogs, and once again look like loveable pups in this spot at home in Berkeley. ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs and 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. Arizona's HC Rodriguez is 2-16 ATS L/18 after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games and is 1-8 L/9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. California opened as the favorite here before the line was pushed back the other way favoring Arizona. The guys who work the other side of the counters in Vegas have some sharp minds, and despite of some early smart money coming in on Arizona I'm siding with the boys who make a living helping build Vegas in this spot. The line ORIGINALLY OPENED this way most probably because of some interesting long term trends that show , a CFB home team vs. the money line like California - off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, in October games are 43-14 in the follow up for a 75% conversion rate for SU bettors and also that a home team vs. the money line like the Bears- off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9 are 46-14 for a 77% conversion rate for bettors dating back 25 seasons. Play on the California Golden Bears to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Michigan +9.5 v. Penn State | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 53 m | Show | |
Michigan enters this game ranked No.1 in the nation in defense, and are giving up just 14.7 ppg. Granted they have a horrendous time moving the ball downfield, but if they get can Karan Higdon, going downhill today I'm betting we have an extroidnary chance at covering . Last week he had 200 plus yards and looks like he is shifting into top gear just when Harbaugh and company will need it most. I know Penn State looks like the team to beat in the Big 10, but despite of Michigan inconsistencies this season, must be respected as HC Harbaugh is 7-1 in his career vs undefeated opposition with the only loss coming by 4 points. Penn State has a bye week , but being well rested may become a secondary concern, as the offense may find themselves rusty against a nasty D, that will be out to hand out some big time pain this week. PENN ST is 2-14 ATS L/16 vs. good passing defenses - allowing 150 or less passing yards/game with a negative margin of 6.1 ppg. PENN ST is 6-25 ATS L/31 versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 4.25 or less yards/play. Penn State HC Franklin is just 9-19-1 ATS vs .750 or better foes like Michigan. Penn State is 1-13 as a favorite when undefeated following a DD win vs a ,750 or better winning record like Michigan. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Mich - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game are 72-35 ATS L/25 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Michigan to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Wake Forest +7 v. Georgia Tech | 24-38 | Loss | -130 | 74 h 29 m | Show | |
The Rambling Wreck are more one dimensional team then ever, and are not only a run team, but a run only team as they rank 128 th in the nation in pass efficiency. Their fairly easy to read for good Ds, which Wake owns. With Clemson on board next week, for GTech I'm betting their concentration will also be off, which is not a good omen against a very good Wake Forest team, that are 8-2 ATS in their L/10 road games. Also WAKE FOREST is 28-8 ATS L/36 vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game. I'm betting on a well rested Wake Forest team off a bye to have the edge today vs a GTECH side off a emotional loss a Miami Fl, last week. WAKE FOREST is 9-1 ATS L/10 as an underdog and 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games after a bye week. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like GTech - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 6-26 ATS L/32 dating back 25 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | 76ers +9.5 v. Raptors | 94-128 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers off a loss last night will face the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night.The 76ers, lost 3 of 4 to the Raptors last season, and have lost 15 of their past 16 games against Toronto, including nine in a row at Air Canada Centre. That and the fact that their over hyped young star is out tonight and expected to rest (Joel Embiid) ,has pushed this line to it's outer limits. With that said, and in contrarian fashion, I'm betting we have value taking a talented Sixers group , who despite of playing last night, will not be all that tired because of their young legs , and a Raptors side that is no longer as deep as they once were. With that said, I'm recommending we take the points here with a Philly side that is 7-2 ATS L/9 with no rest vs a Raptors side, that has failed to 6 of their 8 at home. PHILADELPHIA is 31-18 ATS L/49 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and have covered 19 of their 28 after a loss of 10 points or less which happened last night in a loss 102-92 loss to the Celtics. 76ers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Atlantic.76ers are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Phuladelphia 76ers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 217 | 94-128 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers off a loss last night will face the Toronto Raptors this Saturday night. Now tonight the Sixers are a expected to rest their young star(Joel Embiid) and I am betting they will be more conservative in their approach to this game from offensive perspective. Their D, failed the young men from Philly last night , after leading Boston for more most of the previous evening and a more concerted effort to be stoppers vs what continues to a free wheeling Toronto group will become of paramount importance in this spot. With that said, and in contrarian fashion, I'm betting instead of a run and gun shoot out like the linemakers are expecting a more subdued type of affair will play out and the total combined score will end up on the low side of the Totals spectrum. Under is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in 76ers last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Raptors last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. PHILADELPHIA is 73-49 L/122 when the total is 210 to 219.5. Toronto is their L/15 games against a lower tier team with a.250 win % or less have seen a combined average of 206.6 ppg go on the board. It must also be noted that from a NBA historical data base, that Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 like the like the 76ers - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite , are 23-3 under for a 88% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | UAB v. Charlotte +7.5 | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 59 h 39 m | Show | |
Charlotte is a lower tier team, no mistake about it, but UAB is as inconsistent as they come, and despite of back to back underdog wins, in no shape or form should be TD+ road favs here as they have failed in this role 12 of the L/17 times. UAB is 7-19 ATS L/26 in road games off a win against a conference rival. (They beat over rated Middle Tenn St last week 25-23) It must also be noted that CFB teams off back to back upset victories are not a good bet when going against below .500 opposition going just 14-30 ATS L/44 times dating back 27 seasons. Also CFB home team vs. the money line like Charlotte- off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent are 27-6 for a over powering 82% conversion rate over the L/10 seasons. ( Charlotte lost last week to W.Kentucky 45-14) In Charlottes lone home game against a viable FBS side they lost 14-3 to up trending Marshall) It was a good effort that can be replicated today against a side in a letdown/trap spot. Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Oregon +7 v. UCLA | 14-31 | Loss | -130 | 56 h 55 m | Show | |
Oregon has been getting beaten up on of late, losing two straight lopsided events , but I expect they will be in this game vs their hosts UCLA , as a more reliable QB Taylor Alle will be back under center after backup Braxton Burmeister proved he can't handle the role . Also the return of WR Royce Freeman will also aid the Ducks here in their ability to cover. Note: Taggart is 5-0 ATS L/5 after back to back ATS losses. Jim Mora's UCLA is a defensive and TO deficient train wreck this season. Ranking 126th in TO margin while allowing 40 ppg on average . Considering Oregon has a recent history of gauging the Bruins D in the past averaging 48.3 ppg in this series, it will be an easy decision for me to take the Ducks in this spot.UCLA is 0-7 ATS L/7 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. CFB road team like the Ducks - off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 63-26 ATS over the L/25 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Kentucky +11.5 v. Mississippi State | 7-45 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 33 m | Show | |
Everyone seems to love Miss State here, and on paper maybe their right. But some other personal observations have come to light for me after watching more and more the Rebels QB Nick Fitzgerald of late. What I have noticed is that he's being allowed to let loose, in dangerous situations, as was the case last week when he threw to unnecessary interceptions in the red zone. This kid seems not to concerned with risk management, and does not measure up some passing situations well leaving his side vulnerable for pick 6s. This kid just does not get it, despite of being ultra talented. Instead I like Kentucky's mobile QB Stephen Johnson behind a explosive offense to be the better of the two today and to keep his Wildcats team in this game and get us the cover. |
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10-21-17 | Winnipeg +1.5 v. Toronto | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
Winnipeg is a contender for this seasons Grey Cup according to my power rankings, an are in a uptrend at the moment winning 8 of their L/10. and despite of Toronto from time to time pulling off some quality performances, are needless to say not a real threat . The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have had good success on the road this season winning four of their last five away tilts behind QB Matt Nichols who is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 4,174 yards, 27 touchdowns and eight interceptions and I'm betting he really lights it up against a team the Bombers matchup well against. It must be noted that the Bombers have won 3 straight in this series, including the lone meeting back in July.TORONTO is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1.25 or less turnovers/game on the season and is 2-12 ATS L/14 versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game.WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS L/16 versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game.WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS L/11 versus awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse this season.WINNIPEG is 9-0 ATS L/9 off a home win , which happened last time out.WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS in road games after being outgained by opp by 70 or more total yards last game and is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games in non-conference games.TORONTO is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games in October games and is 4-14 ATS L/18 in non-conference games. CFL team vs the money line like Winnipeg - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 48-16 over the L/5 seasons and so far a perfect 8-0 this season! CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Toronto - off a non-conference game are 12-45 ATS in their follow up game over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors. Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Central Florida v. Navy +7.5 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a big time ACC battle , featuring Navy hosting undefeated UCF.
The Knights have bashed opponents with reckless abandon this season. Personally I feel their using up to much precious energy, and not pacing themselves, which will be a problem as this season progresses and here today, against a punishing team. With that said, I expect a very feisty Navy squad that leads the FBS in time of possession to pound away at UCF relentlessly today, with ground attack and keep themselves in a position to pull of the SU upset. Last week Navy;s Zach Abey usually sure handed turnover problems ended the Middies undefeated season vs Memphis ( 6 TOs) , but this week I'm betting things return to the norm, and he remains responsible. NAVY is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game.NAVY is 10-2 ATS L/12 when the total is greater than or equal to 63 Navy's is 17-4 SU and 3-1 ATS as dog in conference play since joining the AAC , and I'm betting they add to those positive numbers here today. Navy HC Niamatalolo is 6-2 SU off a loss and a perfect 8-0 ATS. Play on Navy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Arizona State +10 v. Utah | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 54 h 6 m | Show | |
Arizona St is off a big win vs Washington last time out, and have been competitive all season long, and have not lost by more than 10 points this season. I know The Sun Devils might be in a letdown mode, and that Utah has owned this series of late, but they are off two grueling physical losses in their L/2 games against Stanford and USC and should show those effects here today, and also be in a letdown state. With that said I'm taking the points here. Utah HC Whittingham is 12-27 ATS L/39 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. CFB team like Arizona State - off a upset win as a double digit underdog, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent are 23-4 ATS L/27 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-21-17 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 68 h 57 m | Show | |
E.Michigan has lost 4 straight games, but make no mistake about it, their a much better team than that and have been very competitive in those losses losing by an average of 4.25 ppg , losing by 7, 4.5.1 points respectively with 3 of those coming on the road. In the 7 point loss to Ohio at home , they had chances to win that game, against what is turning out to be one of the top teams in the MAC this season. Its the E.Michigan D, that been impressive, as was the case against an explosive SEC team in Kentucky on the road( 24-20 L). So slowing down a Western Michigans offense should not be a problem, as well as doing enough damage offensively to get us a cover. Remember this Broncos team is not a PJ Fleck coached side, and no longer deserves the respect they have over the last few seasons as was the case last week in a ugly 14-13 loss to Akron. E MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers.E MICHIGAN is 15-4 ATS L/19 in all lined games and is 11-2 ATS as an underdog.
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10-21-17 | Tulsa v. Connecticut +6 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 59 m | Show | |
Tulsa is off a huge surprise 45-17 win vs Houston last week, and will now be in a letdown scenario here this week vs a UConn team that is off a upset win vs Temple last week. The difference is that UConn had a good chance to win their previous game from the outset , while the Canes behind their 129th ranked D, were not. Now this extremely inconsistent Tulsa team is being asked to lay essentially a TD on the road, something I'm having a hard time swallowing. Especially considering how pathetic the Tulsa D has been this season. TULSA is 8-21 ATS L/29 versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 6.25 or more yards/play.CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS L/15 in home games off an upset win as an underdog. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like UConn - off 1 or more consecutive unders, with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game are 69-36 ATS over the L/10 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UConn Huskies to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Jazz +4.5 v. Wolves | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Utah took out Denver in their opener by a 106-96 count as 2.5 point favorites, while the Timberwolves lost on the road as an over estimated -1 chalk at the road vs San Antonio by a 107-99 count. I once again believe both teams are being undervalued by the linesmakers, and won't be surprised if the Jazz win this game outright making getting points golden in my betting opinion. There are new talented faces in the Wolves dressing room, ie ( Jimmy Butler, Jeff Teague and Taj Gibson, Crawford )and Utah is now a retooled team playing without the services of Gordon Hayward who left via free agency. What remains the same for the Jazz that makes them tough to play against, is a staunch D that led the NBA in scoring defense last season (96.8 points per game) as was evident in the opener, as they allowed the Nuggets to 13 fourth-quarter points and forcing 22 turnovers overall. Meanwhile, on the flipside, Minnesota looks to be packed with offensive talent, but here against this type of team that tampers with a teams flow, I'm betting their in trouble , as they continue to build chemistry and try gel as a team. MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS L/35 ATS as a favorite .The visiting team has won 10 of the past 15 meetings. Dating back to last season the Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Timberwolves are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA Favorites like Minnesota - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 15-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Yankees v. Astros -137 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04) I'm betting the Astros will stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday. The Astros new ace Justin Verlander looked good when facing the Yankees and Severino in Game 2 as he earned the victory in a complete game. That was the veteran rightys third win in as many 2017 postseason outings and he's not finished yet. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31 and expect his record to stay untarnished after this tilt is said and done. VERLANDER when he starts has seen his team go 24-4 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season in his career.HOUSTON is 17-5 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 8-18 against the money line in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season and 19-32 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher like Houston - good team, outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 149-71 L/5 seasons for conversion rate of 60% for bettors. MLB Road teams like the Yankees - good offensive team - scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 58-94 for a go against conversion rate of 61% for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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10-20-17 | Magic +2 v. Nets | 121-126 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Orlando looked good in beating Miami in their opener by a 116-109 count as 3.5 point dogs. What impressed me is their ability to stay calm and get the job done despite of a late Heat comeback attempt/surge. Meanwhile, Brooklyn looked defensively deficient in their opening loss to the Indiana Pacers as 3.5 dogs by a 140-131 deficit. I'm betting their defensive break down until addressed will end up being their demise again tonight. Add to that they lost Jeremy Lin for the season with a ruptured patella tendon in their opener and you have a bad news Nets team that just can't get over the hump no matter how many changes they made In the off season. Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The Magic have won six of the last seven meetings, but lost a 121-111 decision at Brooklyn last season. I'm betting they come back here with an edge and get us a cover. Play on Orlando to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Blazers -3 v. Pacers | 114-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Both these teams looked offensively explosive in their first games of the season, both sides getting wins . The Blazers scored the biggest margin of victory in NBA history, beating Phoenix 124-76. That was even without McCollum serving a one-game suspension for coming off the bench during an altercation in a preseason game, as reserve guard Pat Connaughton replaced him admirably and stopped and popped for a career-high 24 points. With that said, one of these teams stood to me as being very smooth and polished , in all aspects of the game, and that was the Portland Blazers. I'm not getting completely down on the Pacers as they were impressive offensively in the opener as well with a 140-131 triumph over the Brooklyn Nets, but their defense was horrendous to say the least and soft to be kind. It's still early and the competition limited, but from a head to head to matchup ranking system I use the Blazers have the edge here, even though they are on the road. The Blazers are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series . Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.Trail Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points NBA Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Portland - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 110 points or more are 35-11 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Also NBA Road favorites vs. the money line like Portland - after allowing 80 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 23-2 SU 92% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. Play on Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2.5 | 116-97 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks opened the season in top form, as they defeated last season's top Eastern Conference playoff seed on the road in Boston, despite of not playing a complete game and going cold in the second half. I really like the way this Bucks team has come together over the last few seasons, and I won't be surprised if they knock off the defending Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers (8 new players in the lineup) in the Bradley Center on Friday night for their home opener. I actually have the Bucks listed very high on my own power rankings list, and feel that they matchup very well against the Cavaliers current roster. CLEVELAND is 19-31 ATS L/50 after a game where they failed to cover the spread and 13-26 ATS L/39 vs. division opponents. Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Cavaliers - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more are 34-61 ATS during the L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors. ( Cleveland beat the Celtics 102-99 in their opener, the same teams the Bucks beat in their opener) Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Celtics +1.5 v. 76ers | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The new-look Boston Celtics will be primed and motivated to notch their first victory of the season when they visit the Philadelphia 76ers in their home opener on Friday night. The Celtics not only lost their two opening games, but lost Gordon Hayward to a nasty looking leg injury. Now their suddenly being looked at as non contenders which for now at least is a over reaction considering how early in the season it is. I'm betting Boston finds a way to get wins and will remain competitive especially against young teams like the Sixers who haven't proven anything yet. Meanwhile, the Sixer's their opponents despite of some promise remain a inconsistent component, after beginning the season with a 120-115 loss in Washington on Wednesday night. BOSTON is 30-18 ATS L/48 road games .76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games dating back to last season. Celtics have won 7 of the L/8 meetings in this series. teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Celtics - team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season, after 2 or more consecutive losses are 28-8 ATS over the L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Sharks -113 v. Devils | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
The NJ Devils are playing some great hockey, but I'm not keen on them overall, and feel like they are over achieving by quite a bit , having won 6 of their first 7 games including a5-4 OT win last night vs Ottawa. You have to remember this is a team that finished 29th in the league last year, and really are not that upgraded over last season. Meanwhile San Jose despite of starting slowly this season, is at least on paper a superior side, with momentum on their sides after finishing a 5 game home stand with a 5-2 win vs the Montreal Canadians. With that said ,I feel we have value here backing them in this spot vs a tired Devils side that are 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on no rest and 0-5 in their L/5 meetings at home in this series. The Sharks have allowed just one goal in their last 20 short-handed situations. Devils are 4-13 in their last 17 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Devils are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Play on the San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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10-20-17 | Marshall -2.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 51 h 17 m | Show | |
Marshall is a team the pundits are not paying a lot of attention to this season , thanks to last seasons miserable results . However, this season, they are in big time upswing, behind a solid defense that is ranked No.2 in the nation, in red zone defense and allowed 3 of their L/4 opponents to a FG or less and the defense overall has held 4 sides to 20 points or less this season. Tonight against a Middle Tennessee State football program that has failed to cover 9 of their L/15 as home dogs, the Blue Raiders are fade material in my betting opinion . note: the Raiders are off a upset loss last time out to UAB, 25-23 as 4 point chalk, , HC Stockstill is 2-9 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite and also 0-5 ATS /SU L/5 as a dog following a loss as a favorite. |
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10-19-17 | Clippers -5 v. Lakers | 108-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Pacific Division inter city rivals go head to head tonight in the City of Angels. the Clippers have dominated this series winning 14 of the last 15 meetings, including three of four last season and I'm betting these new look teams will continue a recent tradition of Clipper wins. The Clippers do have a new look, with Chris Paul gone and are now depending on quality new additions like Patrick Beverley, the flashy Milos Teodosic, and Danilo Gallinari and the usually solid presence of Blake Griffin & the explosive DeAndre Jordon to continue the franchises winning ways , via a faster mode of attack that just won't stop til it drops. Meanwhile, the Lakers are a team that depends way to much on Lonzo and Ingram to carry them and talented new acquisition Brooks Lopez that just does not know how to consistently win as was the case in Brooklyn . Its just to early in these guys careers to be put in a spot to lead a young team. With that said, I'm willing to make a bet that the Lakers are over matched in this spot. Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Pacific. Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders UNDER 47 | 30-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 28 m | Show | |
Oakland's offense enters this home game against the KC Chiefs struggling to put points up on the board, and have put 10, 10, 17 and 16 points up on the score board in their L/4 tilts respectively for an average of 13.25 ppg. Everything from the offensive line to the WRs, and even franchise QB Carr is struggling and don't believe any immediate answers will come vs the Chiefs smash mouth D ,tonight in Oakland. What is also surprising for me at least is how well, overall the Raiders D, has played allowing an average of just 21 ppg, and have held 4 of their 6 opponents to 20 points or less this season. With that said, I can see the Raiders offense continuing to struggle against a D that is now ramped up after a tough battle with Pittsburgh last week, and for the Raiders D, to continue their upward momentum towards respectability which will lead to a much lower scoring game than the lines-makers are anticipating. KCs HC Reid, is 8-0 UNDER L/8 after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game with a combined average of 39.9 ppg going on the board and is 15-4 UNDER L/19 in weeks 5 through 9 with a combined average of 40.1 ppg getting scored and is also 8-1 UNDER L/9 after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game with a combined average of 37.8 ppg going on the score board. Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games in Week 7.Under is 24-6 in Chiefs last 30 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Raiders last 5 vs. AFC West.Under is 18-6 in the last 24 meetings. The L/3 meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 36.7 ppg scored. Raiders have gone under in 4 straight in back to back division games. NFL Road teams against the total like KC- after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record are 24-2 UNDER for a 92% conversion rate for bettors during the L/5 seasons. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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10-19-17 | Memphis v. Houston -2.5 | 42-38 | Loss | -120 | 38 h 44 m | Show | |
Houston enters this game off a surprising and embarrassing loss to Tulsa last time out as DD road favorites. They looked truly asleep at the wheel in that tilt after a big revenge win vs a up trending SMU side the week before by a 35-22 count. The good news for Cougars fans is that they will take on a Memphis team that has not won here in 11 years, and play this game on home turf where the Cougars have not lost since 2014. Houston also has revenge on board for a 48-44 loss in Memphis last season, even though they put 624 yards of offense up. Considering the Tigers are off a grueling and hard fought win vs Navy last week, 30-27, I'm betting they won't have as much left in the tank in this spot vs a Houston side that is superior defensive side with 73 yard per game better stopping margin than their visiting opponents. MEMPHIS is 0-8 ATS L/8 off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less and 8-19 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. Houston has won 18 of their L/23 revengers. Play on the Houston Cougars to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-18-17 | Blazers v. Suns +2 | 124-76 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns enter the 2017-18 season as a team I have had cautiously circled this year a a side that could surprise for at least postseason contention. This is a very talented young group with a lot of potential. Meanwhile, Portland continues to be a team, that despite of looking good at the end of last season, after starting slowly , still remains inconsistent despite of a lot of promise. Tonight ,Portland will play the opener without McCollum, who was suspended for the first game of the regular season after running off the bench during an altercation between teammate Caleb Swanigan and Suns center Alex Len in a preseason game on Oct. 11 in Phoenix. Needless to say there is some bad blood between these sides at the moment, and that will put the young and hungry Suns on their own home court in the mood to run and play hard. When a bunch of 20 something year olds with talent, are in the mood to run, you better look out. I know the Blazers are still the superior side, overall, but tonight I'm betting they are going to be the lesser of these foes in the opener against the spread. Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Phoenix is 4-3 ATS L/7 in this series. NBA Road teams vs. the money line like the Blazers - first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 8-25 SU for a 76% go against conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. Play on the Phoenix suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-18-17 | Rockets v. Kings +8 | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The spot light is now on a new era in Houston with super star guards James Harden and Chris Paul roaming the floor together in their debut campaign . The Rockets are a deep team in a chase to end the supremacy of the Warriors in the West and upset them last night in a grueling raod affair by a 122-121 count as 9.5 point dogs. Now on tired legs and in an emotional letdown state I'm betting a more temperate effort from the Rockets here tonight.. Meanwhile, the Kings are young but very talented , including top pick De'Aaron Fox, a guard out of Kentucky. Despite of their lack of experience this team can play and I have they pegged in my early season power rankings as a possible play off contender. Look for them to be competitive here in their adrenalin filled opener . HOUSTON is 15-27 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season and 8-19 ATS L/27 off a road win. Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-18-17 | Wolves v. Spurs -1.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
The Spurs are now a different team without the services of star forward Kawhi Leonard and veteran star point guard Tony Parker who are both out with injuries, However despite of this I'm betting the Spurs are still a team that must be respected , thanks to a top tier defense, and pass-first offensive attack and one of the NBAs top HCs Gregg Popovich.San Antonio after winning 61 games last season and recording its best defensive rating (103.5) since 2011 and a 111.1 offensive rating will still be a force to reckoned with and the pundits maybe should not get ahead of themselves by automatically assuming that a up-trending Minnesota Wolves team can just march into San Antonio and pull off a upset. Yes, agreed , the Spurs could still not be at that the top of their game just yet, with new bodies acclimating to an old system, but I'm betting they are still capable of a win here on opening night especially with the likes of LaMarcus Aldridge on the floor and the new young blood of Joffrey Lauvergne, Rudy Gay, Derrick White, and Brandon Paul more than ready to compete. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of their quality roster are still a side, that has recorded eight consecutive losing seasons and has missed the playoffs for 13 straight years and should still be looked at as wait see type side. The Spurs have taken the last 11 tilts ion this series from Minnesota, including seven in a row at the AT&T Center and one more is on tonight's agenda. Timberwolves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. NBA Favorites vs. the money line like San Antonio - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a bad team from last year (25% to 40%) are 35-4 SU dating back 21 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play on San Antonio to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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