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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-26-16 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 220 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
Minnesota enters this game against Golden State on tired legs after playing last night and than having to play break neck 4th quarter ball outscoring Phoenix 31-10 in the final period to end a three-game losing streak. Wiggins played 41 of the 48 minutes and three other starters, including Towns, at least 35, which means running the floor tonight is not an option. Meanwhile, Golden State has won 10 in a row, and have shown a top tier two game in the process, as was evident last time out, vs the Lakers in a 109-85 win. No Golden State starter played more than 36 minutes in the wire-to-wire effort, so needless say the Dubs are fresh, and scoring against them or keeping them from running will be a difficult proposition. Thus, what I am betting happens is that the Wolves knowing the situation, will revert to trying to slow this game down, to a crawl ,with a more physical appraoch behind their young bodies. It must also be remembered that the Wolves HC Thibodeau is a defensive specialist and has gone seen his teams go under in 37 of their L/56 versus frantic teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season like Golden State with the combined score of those tilts ringing in at a combined average of 191.4 ppg. Minnesota in their L/8 when playing back to back games have seen a combined average of 212.1 ppg go on the scoreboard. Minnesota in their L/ 47 road games have seen a combined average, of 208.9 ppg. GOLDEN STATE in their L/102 home games where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons have seen an average of 214 ppg go on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (82 shots/game or more), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making 50% or better of their shots have stayed under at a 99-59 clip for a powerful 63% conversion rate.
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11-26-16 | Blackhawks v. Kings OVER 5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The Western Conference-leading Chicago Blackhawks conclude their seven-game Circus road trip against the red-hot Los Angeles Kings on Saturday in game that I predict will eclipse the number. The Hawks are on tired legs so, I doubt D will be theri strong suit tonight, which result in a looser transistional game as this tilt progresses. Los Angeles is well-rested after defeating the New York Islanders 4-2 on Wednesday for its fourth straight victory, and could very well score on an above average clip later in this game as the Blackhawks wear down physically. Over is 5-0-1 in Blackhawks last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 3-0-2 in Kings last 5 overall.Over is 9-4-1 in Kings last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 5-0-3 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.Over is 8-1-4 in the last 13 meetings. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | Washington +2 v. TCU | 80-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Washington to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | Pistons v. Thunder UNDER 204 | 88-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
11-26-16 | Grizzlies v. Heat UNDER 184.5 | 110-107 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
After the Miami Heat beat the host Memphis Grizzlies 90-81 on Friday night, the teams fly south for the home-and-home rematch on Saturday night at AmericanAirlines Arena. I am expecting another hard fought physical affair tonight in the rematch. Memphis is 25th in the NBA in scoring. Miami is 28th in the league in scoring, and scoring will once again be at a premium. NBA teams like Memphis - revenging a home loss vs opponent, a top tier team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) like Miami has seen 116 of the L/182 games go under for a 63% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | Rice v. Stanford UNDER 55 | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
My own numbers suggest this total should be closer to 51 giving us a cushion of 4 points, which qualifies under my data criteria for totals. I really don't think Rice's offense will have much luck moving the ball this week, while I expect Stanford to get up early and than coast in the 2nd half , using alot of younger guys, and 2nd and third string players, which will see a muted combined score go on the board.  Stanfords HC Shaw is 20-10 UNDER L/30 when the total is between 49.5 and 56 with an average of 48.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. College Football team against the total Rice - after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games and 33-8 on the UNDER.Â
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11-26-16 | Spurs v. Wizards +7 | 112-100 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
11-26-16 | Virginia -12 v. Providence | 63-52 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
EMERALD COAST CLASSIC - Final Rnd - The Arena at NW FL ST - Niceville, FL Virginia is looking for its fourth straight regular-season tournament title after winning the Charleston Classic last year and my power rankins suggest they will get it vs Providence here tonight. Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (like the Cavs - good 3PT shooting team making (36.5% or more of their shots) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 32-7 ATs L/39. VIRGINIA is 10-1 ATS L/11 after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games winning su by just under 20 ppg and 7-0 ATS L/7 after allowing 55 or less points in two straight games with the average margin of victory clicking at 20 ppg.PROVIDENCE is 8-31 ATS L/39 after a combined score of 115 points or less points which happened last time out. Virginia to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | North Dakota v. Wright State -1.5 | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
MEN VS CANCER CLASSIC - Round 2 - Nutter Center - Dayton, OH HC Nagy of Wright State is 12-1 ATS in home games versus disciplined teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. Play on Wright State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | CS Sacramento v. San Francisco -4 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
EASTERN WASHINGTON CLASSIC - Round 1 - Reese Court - Cheney, WA SAN FRANCISCO is 20-8 ATS L/28 in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. Sacramento States Katz is 1-8 ATS Â versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game .
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11-26-16 | East Tennessee State -7.5 v. South Dakota State | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
SANFORD PENTAGON SHOWCASE - Round 2 - Sanford Pentagon - Sioux Falls, SD E.Tenn State has blowout wins in 3 of their 4 games thus far, and another one here acoording to my power rankings is a strong bet. Play on E.TennState to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | Jacksonville State -7 v. Northern Arizona | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
GLOBAL SPORTS CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Thomas & Mack Center - Las Vegas, NV ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS L/7 when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days and 1-8 ATS L/9in road games when playing with one or less days rest. Jck States HC Harper is 17-6 ATS L/23 in all tournament games in all games . Play on Jack State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | North Texas -3 v. UTEP | 24-52 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
North Texas to cover 1 unit reg selection -late steam |
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11-26-16 | Penn State +4 v. George Washington | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like PennState - attempting 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in November games are 75-40 ATS for a 65% conversion rate.HC Chambers is 27-7 ATS vs. teams like G Washington who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponent. Play on Penn State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | Mississippi State +8.5 v. Ole Miss | 55-20 | Win | 100 | 76 h 49 m | Show | |
Ole Miss is off getting blasted as 10 point road favorites vs Vanderbilt last week losing a 38-17 decision. Which puts into play a league wide trend that shows Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Ole Mississippi - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in November games are a ugly 8-31 ATS in their follow up game . Meanwhile, Miss State of off a 58-42 home loss to Arkansas last week, where the offense still rolled up big numbers . This trend is from a league wide trend - A road team like Miss State - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 31-10 ATS. MISSISSIPPI ST is 11-1 ATS L/12 after playing a game at home over the last couple of seasons. Play on Miss State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | Boston College +3.5 v. Wake Forest | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 75 h 54 m | Show | |
After highly charged and brutally physical back to back games against Louisville and Clemson, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons are in a tough situation against an extremely tough Boston College defense, that will once again punish their anemic offense. Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Wake Forest are 12-30 ATS L/42 - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. Play on Boston College to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-26-16 | Arkansas State -5 v. UL-Lafayette | 19-24 | Loss | -106 | 72 h 39 m | Show | |
Arkansas State has gotten progressively better as the season has gone on and are now a contender in the Sun Belt conference again. Last week they demolished Troy by a 34-7 count as 9 point dogs, and now this week as short road favorites vs a LA Lafayette team that showed promise earlier in the season, is struggling now and must be considered a strong go against bet. Lafayette has faded of late losing 4 of their L/6 SU. LA LAFAYETTE is 2-10 ATS L/12 in home games after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games.ARKANSAS ST is 15-4 ATS L/19 after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game.ARKANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 in November games. |
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11-26-16 | Rutgers +14 v. Maryland | 13-31 | Loss | -106 | 70 h 18 m | Show | |
This is the ugly Betty, of the College Football rotational board this week, as Maryland hosts Rutgers. Both programs have looked like crap this season, and both do not inspire bettors. But while looking at my data base I noticed big DD dogs, under various futile parameters have shown these ugly dogs do well ATS vs these not so pretty favorites. The same type of trends anomalies showed up earlier this season when Rutgers were 18 point dogs at decent Minnesota and almost sprung the upset by losing a 32-34 decision. With little left to play for I doubt Maryland will be pumped up for this tilt and will probably just go through the motions in front a bunch of empty seats. Note: Maryland injury update [QB] 11/20/2016 - Perry Hills questionalble Saturday vs. Rutgers ( Shoulder ) and if he plays will be less than 100%. Play on Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-16 | Pelicans +5 v. Blazers | 104-119 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Portland enters this game having lost 5 of their L/6 games and are exhausted after a 5 game east coast road trip, that culminated in a track meet vs the Cleveland Cavaliers. Meanwhile, their opponents the New Orleans Pelicans are rolling and playing with confidence winning 5 of their L/6 and once again look like solid bets going against the leagues worst defense. PORTLAND is 1-10 ATS L/11 versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game and s 0-8 ATS L/8 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.PORTLAND is 1-8 ATS L/9 when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season. New Orleans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-16 | Wolves v. Suns +1.5 | 98-85 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Wiggins a key cog in Minnesota's basketball machine has been slumping lately. The Wolves have lost three straight, which is not a good omen, vs a Suns side, that is off a strong defensive showing last time out, which resulted in them holding their 4th opponent of the season to under 90 points. Meanwhile, the Wolves have been outscored by a league-worst 8.3 points per game. With that said, my data charts and head to head matchup statistics, suggest Phoenix will deliver the cash in this spot. MINNESOTA is 4-17 ATS L/21 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more which happened when New Orleans crushed them by a 117-96 count. Phoenix is 4-0 SU L/4 as hosts in this series. Play on Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-16 | Raptors -3 v. Bucks | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Raptors have won 10 of the last 11 meetings with the Bucks, including all four contests last season and once again are solid choices in this spot. With Toronto's floor general DeRozan showing super man attributes in streaky fashion Im betting a Milwaukee side that is giving up 102.6 points per game this season, will have their hands full here.  TORONTO is 12-2 ATS L/14 after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Raptors - off an upset win as a road underdog are 160-103 for a 61% conversion rate on the line, which happened against Houston last time out in a 115-102 victory as 4 point dogs. TORONTO is 12-2 ATS L/14 after a road game where both teams score 100 or more winning SU by an average of 9.7 ppg.Â
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11-25-16 | SMU +3 v. USC | 73-78 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Despite of the recent hype behind USCs big win on the road vs Texas A&M and their 4-0 record, my own data base tells me for now despite of SMUs one loss, are the superior side , even here on the road. I don't think we have seen SMU in their full stride yet, but tonight they will be primed for a big showing vs a side they matchup well against.   USCs HC Enfield is 3-11 ATS L/12 in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts like SMU and just 2-11 ATS L/13 against disciplined opposition that is called for less than 17 fouls per game. The Trojans are just 3-7 ATS L/10 against a winning team, and 4-1 against the spread in their L/5 non conference games. SMU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-25-16 | Toledo +10 v. Western Michigan | 35-55 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a big MAC game between two of the better teams in the nation. I expect a hard fought affair from beginning to end, with the points eventually being golden for bettors. Grab the points for a solid bet. |
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11-25-16 | Elon +3 v. Northern Illinois | 85-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Elon to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-16 | Drake +5.5 v. Iona | 53-64 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
IONA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game like Drake .IONA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in non-conference games . Play on Drake to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-16 | LSU -6.5 v. Texas A&M | 54-39 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show | |
Two teams LSU and their hosts Texas A&M play this Thursday in a key game for both teams. The Tigers head coach Orgeron needs a signature win at a chance to remain as a long shot coach of LSU. (Doubtful but a win here might get him his shot) Meanwhile, the Aggies, at 8-3 would love to get a chance at a 10 win season, with a victory today and in their Bowl game. As is usually the case in big games, defense will be key. Both are stout, but LSU's D, when motivated and when in top form can stop the best of offenses in this conference and the country. (With both sides, expected to be without key offensive cogs, LSU - RB L. Fournette and Texas A&M starting QB Trevor Knight) D wins big games synopsis becomes more important than ever. TEXAS A&M is 1-12 ATS L/13 vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing 7.5 or less yards per return. TEXAS A&M is 0-6 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread, which has just happened.TEXAS A&M is 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games against conference opponents. TEXAS A&M is 1-11 ATS L/12 in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. LSU has won 5 straight meetings in this series. League Wide CFB Trend- Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like the Tigers - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are 43-16 ATS. Play on LSU to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-16 | New Mexico +5.5 v. Virginia Tech | 72-92 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
WOODEN CLASSIC - Round 1 - Titan Gym - Fullerton, CA Virginia Tech is a east coast team traveling out West in a difficult environment. New Mexico is closer to home, and will be very fresh for this game. I expect this tilt to be much closer than many might expect, thus getting points will be golden. NEW MEXICO is 54-32 ATS L/86 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) and is 36-15 ATS L/51 after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more, which they just achieved . New Mexico to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-16 | Wichita State -2 v. Louisville | 52-62 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
Louisville is unbeaten so far this season, despite of losing three key starters from last season, all three of whom were among the team's top four scorers. Wichita State is also undefeated , despite of some off season losses. Yesterday they clobbered LSU in merciless fashion 82-47 and once again look like a solid side to back . WICHITA ST is 21-9 ATS L/30 as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. Louisville is 0-6 ATS after being favored in 3 straight games, and are 0-6 ATS L/6 away from home after failing to cover the spread last time out. WICHITA ST is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more . Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Wichita State - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 31-6 ATS L/37.  Play on Wichita State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-16 | Vikings +2.5 v. Lions | 13-16 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
The Vikings enter this game with a 6-1 ATS record vs. a team with a winning record like Motown and 9-3 ATS in their L/12 road games. The Vikings won last time out, after an extended funk, and look ready to roll again. Meanwhile, the Lions are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC North and have only failed to cover 6 of the L/23 meetings in this series. |
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11-24-16 | Indiana State v. Iowa State -12 | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
ADVOCARE INVITATIONAL - Round 1 - HP Field House - Lake Buena Vista, FL No. 21 Iowa State is off to a 3-0 start against lower tier competition. The undefeated Cyclones beat Savannah State, Mount St. Mary's and The Citadel by an average margin of 42.3 points. Meanwhile, their opponents Indiana State despite of owning a respected hoops program and good coach has lost eight consecutive games to ranked teams, a stretch that dates back to Nov. 17, 2013. It must be noted that HC Prohm of Iowa State is 7-0 ATS L/7 after a game - shooting 57% or higher, and allowing an opponent a 43% or lower FG conversion rate , which happened against Citadel last time out with the average margin of victory coming by 15 ppg. My own line places Iowa State as 16 point favs, thus we have value taking this -12 chalk line. Play on Iowa State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-24-16 | Oakland +5 v. Nevada | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Oakland to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | Thunder +2.5 v. Kings | 101-116 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Kings' new, smaller starting five -- center DeMarcus Cousins, guards Darren Collison and Ty Lawson, and forwards Rudy Gay and Matt Barnes matches up well against some opponents, but I personally think this Oklahoma City squad is not one of them. I know Oklahoma City has lost six of eight since a 6-1 SU start and do not inspire alot of bettors because of their recent play, but I like them here against a very inconsistent Sacramento Kings squad tonight. Play on Thunder to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | Wolves -1 v. Pelicans | 96-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans have been playing , some very good ball of late and went into Atlanta, full of gusto and took out a sleep walking, Hawks side. It was a high energy, performance , and will have them in a physical and emotional situation tonight, which favors a well conditioned visiting Minnesota Wolves side. NEW ORLEANS is 3-16 ATS L/19 off an upset win as a road underdog over the last few seasons. HC Gentry is 8-19 ATS L/27 as a favorite. Play on the Minnesota Timberwolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | Spurs v. Hornets +5.5 | 119-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
San Antonio has opened up their season with a perfect 7-0 way record , but still are not playing inspired basketball of late, as their 7 new players on this years roster look to fit in and get use to playing Popovich's system. Meanwhile, Charlotte has lost two straight , and looked lethargic as favs last time out losing to Memphis, but are an under rated opponent for the Spurs, according to my own power rankings , especially here on their own home floor. League Wide NBA Trend: Home underdogs like the Hornets - off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are a bankroll expanding 53-21 ATS L/74. Play on the Charlotte Hornets 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | North Texas v. Rutgers -14 | 53-66 | Loss | -111 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points Rutgers 65-30 ATS - a top caliber team (11 PPG plus differential) against a terrible team (8 PPG or less differential), after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. N TEXAS is 3-12 ATS L/15 when playing against a team with a winning record and 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game.N TEXAS is 1-9 ATS L/10 as an underdog of 10 or more points . N TEXAS is 0-6 ATS L/6 in November games over.N TEXAS is 1-9 ATS L/9 in non-conference games. Rutgers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | Tennessee-Martin +5 v. Duquesne | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
TENN-MARTIN is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 assists/game or less. DUQUESNE 4-15 ATS L/19 in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots like Tenn Martin. DUQUESNE is 2-11 ATS L/13 in a home game where the total is 160 or more. Duquesenr coach Ferry is 2-9 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game. Tennessee Martin to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | William & Mary v. Duke UNDER 157 | 67-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | Colgate v. Penn State UNDER 142 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-23-16 | Hofstra v. South Dakota +3 | 65-57 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
South Dakota State , HC Mihalich of Hofstra is 4-13 ATS L/17 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game. HOFSTRA is 5-14 ATS L/19 after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds. Smith is 12-4 ATS L/16 in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Play on South Dakota to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-16 | Northern Arizona v. UNLV -12.5 | 71-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
UNLV is a far superior side to N.Arizona and my own numbers suggest a win of closer -17 points giving us value here with this favorite line. N ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games and 5-16 ATS L/21 after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. N ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS L/6 when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days losing SU by ana verage of 25 ppg. Play on UNLV to cover 1 unit reg seleciton |
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11-22-16 | Bulls v. Nuggets +2 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The young Nuggets after some early season injury woes are starting to get healthier, add to that their current form and tenacious work ethic, and have the formula for a team on rise. After watching the Nuggets play a top tier Raptors squad very tough and eventually suffering a heart breaking 113-111 loss, and than following that up with a rebound with 105-91 win vs Utah, I see tremendous potential in this team , and recommend backing them tonight. Meanwhile, the Bulls are off a upset win on the road vs the Lakers las time out, and have won 5 of their L/6, but it must be noted that CHICAGO is just 13-33 ATS L/46 off a road win. All NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Bulls - off an upset win as a road underdog are a long term bad bet going 102-159 ATS for a lowly 39% conversion rate....All NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Denver - off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are a bankroll expanding 26-6 ATS. CHICAGO is 11-24 ATS L/35 when playing against a lower tier team (Win Pct. 25% to 40% on the season) . DENVER is 20-7 ATS L/27 after playing 3 consecutive home games.(this is their fourth straight home tilt) Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-16 | Wisconsin v. Georgetown +5.5 | 73-57 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
The unranked Hoyas upset No. 13 Oregon 65-61 in the first round of the Maui Invitational Monday to set up a second-round game Tuesday against No. 16 Wisconsin, which beat Tennessee 74-62 in the first round. This game is going to be physical and tough and getting points with the underdog Im betting will be golden. WISCONSIN is 3-12 ATS L/15 after 2 consecutive non-conference games.WISCONSIN is 1-8 ATS L/9 in November games. Play on Georgtown to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-16 | Pelicans +8.5 v. Hawks | 112-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans after starting their season, 0-8 are now on a two game run, and have won 4 of their L/6 since True Holiday returned to the court. The Pelicans play with more energy on both offense and defense when he;s playing. Meanwhile, Atlanta , after a six game winning streak have lost two in a row after a six-game winning streak, and look to be out of sync entering this tilt. Considering that both sides are operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum, it will not be a hard decision to take the points with the surging visitors . NEW ORLEANS is 21-10 ATS L/31 versus top tier offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-16 | Blazers +1.5 v. Knicks | 103-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
New York has won three of its last four games, but are still not getting alot of love from lines-makers as they are short favorites here on their own home floor vs 8-7 Portland, and rightly so. Meanwhile, the Blazers ended a three-game losing streak with a 129-109 win over the Nets in Brooklyn on Sunday. Both teams defenses are a problem for them, but from a power ranking perspective and my own player to player team to team matchup scenarios I like the Blazers to deliver the cash tonight, thanks to a superior backcourt and offense. PORTLAND is 15-4 ATS L/19 after having lost 3 of their last 4 games. Play on Portland to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-22-16 | Texas Tech v. Auburn +6 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
Auburn has the edge here according to my early season, power rankings. I also like Pearls coaching abilities much more than the Red Raiders Beard. TEXAS TECH is 15-40 ATS L/55 in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or less. HC Pearl is 43-24 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) in all games he has coached . Auburn to cover 1unit reg selection |
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11-22-16 | Central Michigan +4.5 v. St Bonaventure | 71-102 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has won 4 straight games to start their current College Hoops campaign all by DDs, and are in top form . C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS L/7 after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more. |
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11-21-16 | Rockets -1.5 v. Pistons | 99-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The Pistons are falling apart at the seams and losses keep piling up. The usually calm Stan Van Gundy has this to say about the his teams current situation. Quote: "It's tough," Detroit coach Stan Van Gundy said. "We've lost three in a row now, six out of eight. We're in a really tough stretch. That weighs on everybody." The Pistons are in a three-week stretch where they play 13 games, with no more than one day off in-between those games and their already exhausted. Now in comes the Houston Rockets, a team starting to find themselves and currently on a two game win streak.. Quote: "We're getting better," Rockets Harden told ESPN. "We're continuing to get better and to grow. Each and every guy knows their role. They do it at a high level, and the result is we don't turn the basketball over and we get really good shots."  Key League Wide Trend: Home underdogs vs. the money line like the Pistons after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are just 9-45 SU for a go against 83% conversion rate on the moneyline. Play on Houston to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-16 | Warriors v. Pacers +13 | 120-83 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The Pacers own a .500 record on the season, but have played their best basketball at home compared to the road, as is evident by their 6-2 SU record in Indianapolis this season. They will look to their home crowd to pump them up as they play the Western Conference Champions vs Golden State . Both teams are in the top seven in the NBA in 3-point percentage shooting and overall field-goal percentage, so Indiana can keep pace here and I'm betting that what they do.The Pacers are 3-1 SU against the Western Conference this season, and get the nod from me to cover tonight. Dating back to last season, INDIANA is 32-18 ATS L/50 when playing against a team with a winning record. Play on Indiana to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-16 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 198 | 94-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Miami enters this game ranked 3rd in D, in the league ad 27th in offense and 23rd in pace . Meanwhile, their opponents Philadelphia rank 24th in offense, and 29th in offensive rating, and 11th in pace. Using my own formula, this total and matchup consistencies/discrepencies this total should be closer to 194.5 giving us some very nice cushion room , according to my data. This is a value total to the under ,in my humble opinion . Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-21-16 | NC State v. St. Joe's +5 | 73-63 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
I was on St.Josephs yesterday, and lost, Im coming right back with them again tonight. This team is under rated and NC State is over rated according to my own early season ratings/ranking. ST JOSEPHS is 16-4 ATS L/20 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game are 11-1 ATS L/12 versus good shooting teams - making 45% plus of their shots . St,Jospeh's to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-20-16 | Packers v. Redskins OVER 50 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 74 h 29 m | Show | |
The Packers enter this game on a three game losing streak, thanks to a defense that looks broken as is evident by allowing an average of 37 ppg during their current losing run. Their L/3 games have seen a combined average of 64.66 ppg go on the scoreboard. Now going against a Washington Redskins side in top form offensively averaging 461 ypg in their L/4 another big time out point of points must be expected. The Skins have gone over in all 5 of their home games , dating back to last season and one more is on the way here. WASHINGTON is 6-0 OVER L/6 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) with a combined average of 57.2 ppg going on the board.GREEN BAY is 15-1 OVER L/16 in road games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games sin with an average of 54.1 ppg getting scored. GREEN BAY is 16-5 OVER L/21 in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season with a combined average of 58.7 ppg going on the scoreboard and 20-8 OVER L/28 in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 6 or better yards/play with a combined average of 56.2 ppg getting scored. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-20-16 | NC State v. Creighton UNDER 160.5 | 94-112 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
I expect a tight defense first mindset to dictate this contest. All College Hoops teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 like Creighton and NC State - playing their 2nd road game in 3 days, in a game involving two top-level teams  with a 80% or better win percentage the under is 24-2 L/26 for a 92% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-20-16 | St. Joe's +3.5 v. Ole Miss | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Two programs, from different conferences. I know SEC programs have great recruiting abilities, but St.Josepshs HC Martelli, is a top tier coach, that follows a systems formula, that is really unmatched in my opinion.  From a betting perspective, taking the points in my humble opinion is a solid option. ST JOSEPHS is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts is is 11-0 ATS L/11 versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. ST JOSEPHS is 17-4 ATS L/21 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over like Olr Miss. ST JOSEPHS is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in non-conference games. Play on St.Joseph's to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-20-16 | Dolphins -1 v. Rams | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 75 h 59 m | Show | |
The Rams' No. 1 pick in this spring's NFL draft out of the University of California Jared Goff makes his debut this Sunday. I know the LA fan base is all giddy, but they really should temper their expectations, as the NFL has seen very few rookie QBs make a splash out of the gate. The Rams (4-5) were held without an offensive touchdown for the third straight game in a 9-6 victory over the Jets in New York last week, but the problems go beyond the QB position.Los Angeles ranks last in scoring at 15.4 points per game and the former No.1 man under center Keenum-led offense is 31st in total offense with an average of 308 yard. Meawhile, Miami at team that has won 4 straight, stayed out on the west coast all week, and have got themselves acclimated to the time change, and will be more than ready for this tilt. Miami is 6-1 L/7 played in this series. |
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11-20-16 | Bucs +7.5 v. Chiefs | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 53 h 46 m | Show | |
Kansas City enters into this game vs Tampa Bay off a come from behind victory vs Carolina last week, after being down by double digits. Now because of that enormous comeback , they will be in a let an emotional down scenario this week at home in Arrowhead and alos in a look ahead situation with the defending Super Bowl champs Denver on board next week. Nothing has really come easy for KC this season despite of their positive record. Thanks to a fortunate plus-14 on takeaways/giveaways, which ranks them the No. 1 team in the league . They have forced 22 turnovers and given opponents eight fumbles and interceptions, and have scored 72 points off those takeaways. If it were not for those pumped up digits, and a tenacious D inside the red zone I would say this is an average team. Don;t get me wrong I like Andy Reids Chiefs, but I keep getting the nagging feeling that their offense will eventually ail them, and that what I am betting on this week. Last week banged up QB Alex Smith struggled at times, and only had one completion for more than 20 yards. This Sunday, Im betting Tampa Bays QB Winston and his top tier array of wide receivers, including super star Mike Evans get a jump on the Chiefs, and for this contest to be surprisingly close. With that said, take the points. |
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11-20-16 | Ravens +7.5 v. Cowboys | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 54 m | Show | |
The Cowboys (8-1) are riding an NFL-best eight-game winning streak but according to my own power rankings are getting far to much respect here vs the best defense in the NFL. I expect new No.1 QB Prescott will struggle this week, because of the Ravens ability to control play option, thanks to the Ravens top tier defensive line, which is allowing just 71.3 yards per game via the run , also best in the NFL. It must be noted that the Cowboys are the only team in the NFL that does not have a victory against the Ravens, losing each of the last four confrontations. NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Baltimore- after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season are a bankroll expanding 35-12 ATS for a 75% conversion rate on the line. Note: Baltimore has not lost by more than 7 points this season. HC Garrett is 4-17 ATS L/21 in home games vs. lower tier passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse.
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11-19-16 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. CS-Northridge | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
My own power rankings suggest the wrong team is favored here. With that siad, lets take the points. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 4-13 ATS L/17 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game and is 3-17 ATS L/20 after 2 consecutive non-conference games and s 0-9 ATS when playing only their 3rd game in a week. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more, which happend last time out in a 96-69 loss at Stanford. Northridge coach Theus is 4-16 ATS L/20 in November games . Northern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Air Force -10 v. San Jose State | 41-38 | Loss | -106 | 59 h 49 m | Show | |
Air Force enters this game having won three straight tilts, but wont get a Mountain West title shot, and now are out to pad their Bowl game resume against a San Jose State side just playing out the string. Air force needs a big showing, while San Jose State will most likely stand around twiddling their thumbs waiting for a new coach after 4th straight losing season. SAN JOSE ST is 0-10 ATS L/10 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points . A College Football home team like the Spartans - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games. are an ugly 5-32 ATS L/37. College Football Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Air Force- after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in weeks 10 through 13 are a bankroll expanding 40-15 ATS L/55.A College Football home team like San Jose State - after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. is 8-37 ATS L/45. Play on Air Force to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Grand Canyon v. Albany NY +2 | 82-77 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
Albany to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Louisiana Tech +8.5 v. Nebraska | 54-65 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
LA Tech to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Suns -2 v. 76ers | 105-120 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Two teams Phoenix and Philadelphia are both having problems notching wins. From a talent standpoint both are evenly matched, but the Suns show more consistency and promise at the moment. With both sides desperate for wins I expect the more experienced side (Sun) to get the W here and to deliver the cash to their betting backers. Stats check shows: Sixers ranked 26thin the league in D, and 27th in the league in offense and dead last in offensive rating and last in SRS ( a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.) Play on Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit |
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11-19-16 | Arizona State +27 v. Washington | 18-44 | Win | 100 | 72 h 11 m | Show | |
Oh boy talk about a hangover. Thats what I am betting the Huskies have this week, after a hard fought and heart breaking loss to USC last week that ended their undefeated season. Now in a a emotional letdown scenario the Huskies go against a Arizona State side that has a recent history of domination in this series as is evident by a 10-0 SU/ATS L/10 record. Also the Suns Devils have only failed to cover once in their L/6 times as 12 or more point conference dogs. Arizona State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Jets +145 v. Bruins | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
The Bruins , have been struggling mightily this year on offense  and this has been evident by having scored just four total goals in their last three games and have averaged just 2.3 gpg in their last 10 games and enter this contest ranked 24th in the league in scoring averaging just 2.35 gpg. Yes. the Bruins have won some games lately, but thats because their goalie Rask has stood on his head. Needless to say, hand stands becoming tiring and today I expect some exhaustion to set in vs a fast paced Jets squad. Meanwhile, Winnipeg is off a 5-2 loss last time out, to the Flyers despite of owning a 33-22 shot advantage. Prior to that fall flat on their face event, the Jets had won 4 of 5 games and the offense was clicking, averaging 4 goals over a 7 game span. Im betting on them to rebound here today. Note: BOSTON is 1-11 ATS L/12 in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games, dating back to last season, losing SU by an average of 2.5 gpg. Play on the Winnipeg Jets on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Navy v. East Carolina OVER 65 | 66-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 19 m | Show | |
East Carolina's defense has been atrocious all season long, and in their L/7 games 6 , have been ugly as they have given up 54,47, 38, 31, 45, and 55 points . Meanwhile, Navy has scored 46, 42, 45, 28, and 42 points in their L/6 tilts. Assuming things remain the same, another Navy output in mid 45 point range should be expected. Also considering how porous Navys D, can be at times I will not be surprised if E.Carolina which has improved offensively of late does not also put up at least 30 plus points . Expectations here, give credence to this one going over the total.Â
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11-19-16 | Navy -7.5 v. East Carolina | 66-31 | Win | 100 | 1 h 48 m | Show | |
11-19-16 | Virginia Tech +1 v. Notre Dame | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 52 h 29 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech is the superior side and even though the Irish are improving, Virginia Tech’s D unit has been a little more consistent and will be the difference maker here on the road. College football Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Vtech - good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game. are 134-73 ATS for a long term 65% conversion rate on the line. NOTRE DAME is 0-8 ATS L/8 in home games off 4 or more consecutive unders. Play on VTech to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Washington State +4.5 v. Colorado | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 36 m | Show | |
Washington State enters this game against Colorado on a 8-0 run and are a perfect 7-0 in conference play. The Cougars are in top form, not only with their offense but with a defense, that has held four different opponents to season low or 2nd low yards per game. This one has the making of a one score game, with the points being golden. WASHINGTON ST is 11-1 ATS l/12 vs. good passing teams like Colorado with a completion pct. of 58% or better and 6-0 ATS vs a side with a 62% completion rate or better, and is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus top tier offensive teams - averaging 450 or more yards/game.WASHINGTON ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 as an underdog. Washington is a perfect 3-0 ATS L/3 games at Colorado. A College Football road team like Washington State - average defensive team (330-390 YPG) against a good defensive team (280 to 330 YPG) after 7+ games, after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game are 36-9 ATS for a 80% conversion rate on the line. Take the points with Washington State 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Northwestern v. Minnesota +3 | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Minnesota's HC Claeys is 6-0 ATS L/6 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. Minnesota to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-19-16 | Texas Tech -3 v. Iowa State | 10-66 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 22 m | Show | |
11-19-16 | Kansas State -1 v. Baylor | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show | |
Bill Snyders Kansas State is off a bye week, which is good news for their betting backers, as they flash a 10-0 ATS record with rest over the last 5 seasons. The Wildcats need just one win to get the a Bowl and Im betting it comes today, vs a Baylor squad on a 0-3 ATS/SU skid and that is expected to start a freshman QB this week in Zach Smith. BAYLOR is 10-23 ATS L/33 in home games versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 or less rushing yards/game.BAYLOR is 1-9 ATS L10 after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 game. Play on Kansas State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Clippers v. Kings +7.5 | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
 After jumping out of gate on fire with a 10-1 record, the Clippers looked a little tired in their last game against Memphis and lost a 111-107 decision as -12.5 point favorites. It is very hard to sustain the kind of momentum the Clippers had in the new NBA, and it showed on them as the game progressed vs the Grizzlies. Now they have to go against the leagues premier big man in Cousins, and Im betting, that their early season tenaciousness will get the better of them again vs a equally tenacious Kings squad that never seems to quit, despite of an ugly record. Be brave here folks, and take the points. Sacramento Kings to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Spurs v. Lakers +7 | 116-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
The Spurs (9-3) are riding a four-game winning streak after a 110-105 victory over the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday night, but are just 2-2 ATS . Meanwhile, LA has also been playing well winning 3 of their L/4 and covering 9 of their 12 games this season. According to my own power ranking systems, the Lakers are a viable options at +7 points. Take the points with the LA Lakers 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Raptors v. Nuggets +3.5 | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets experimented with two 7-footers in the starting lineup but things did not go well, as was evident by a 3-5 record . Coach Michael Malone was than forced to insert Kenneth Faried at power forward.It took a couple of games but the Nuggets finally got a win with Faried starting and Jokic coming off the bench. Now this team appears to be in a flow and should only get better with time. Meanwhile, the Raptors are in a bit of a funk after two straight losses, but their speedy play may be hindered in the thin air of the Mile High City, especially after an exhausting game against the Warriors last time out. DENVER is 14-1 ATS L/15 after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games.TORONTO is 8-20 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | St. John's +7 v. Minnesota | 86-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
According to my own power rankings, and data estimates the Gophers should only be 4 point home favs here. But also factoring in some old fashioned analysis, I feel St.Joh's style of play and overall player personnel matchup well here. MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS L/10 after 2 consecutive non-conference games and 1-8 ATS L/9 after 3 straight conference games, which has just happened . Gophers HC Pitino is 41-53 ATS in all games as the coached. Play on Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Nets +9.5 v. Thunder | 105-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City might have won last time out against Houston, but are lucky to have won that game, and its become obvious, that the Thunder are not flowing well of late. Brooklyn may not inspire confidence in bettors, but I expect they make a game of this vs a struggling side. OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-17 ATS L/22 against Atlantic division opponents. OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS L/11 after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 18 or less fouls. OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-26 ATS L/41 when playing against a team with a losing record. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points Oklahoma City - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are just 35-68 ATS for a 66% go against conversion rate . Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Warriors v. Celtics +7.5 | 104-88 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
The Warriors lost just nine games in their record-setting regular season last year. One of those losses was to the Celtics, in Oakland on April 1 . Boston also came close to beating Golden State again On Dec. 11, but , the Warriors rallied for a 124-119 double-overtime win against the Celtics. The Warriors are coming off a hard fought win vs Toronto last time out, and could be ripe again for a possible upset scenario. I know some the Celtics are banged up, but Im betting TD place will be rocking tonight, and that the momentum of the home crowd make this closer than the linesmkaers expect. NBA Favorites like Golden State - in a game involving two struggling defensive teams (102 PPG), after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games are just 6-27 ATS L/33. BOSTON is 24-11 ATS L/ 35 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots. GOLDEN STATE is 1-9 ATS L/10 in road games after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games. Play on the Celtics to cover 1 unit reg seleciton |
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11-18-16 | Coppin State v. Utah -27 | 51-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Utah to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Pistons v. Cavs UNDER 204 | 81-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Detroit enters this game ranking 22nd in pace in the NBA and 25 th in offensive output, and 4th in defensive rating. This is a team that defends well and is very inconsistent of offense. Meanwhile, Cleveland is ranked 12th in pace and 13 in defensive rating, bot towards the middle of the league. The offense is 3rd in output, but with Motown unable to run and gun with Cleveland Van Gundy a smart coach knows what has to be done. Look for a slower more methodical approach from the Pistons and for their Cavs flow to be interrupted just enough for this contest to stay on the low side of the number. Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 Cleveland - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games have gone under in 31 of the L/36 times. HC Van Gundy of Motown is 10-1 UNDER L/11 in road games after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. HC Lue of Cleveland is 10-1 UNDER L/11 after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread. Both totals from these games were well below todays number. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Northern Iowa +5.5 v. Oklahoma | 73-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
N.Iowa is a very under rated team, according to my own power ranking and very well coached. OKLAHOMA is 0-7 ATS L/7 in road games on Friday nights.N IOWA is 13-4 ATS in all neutral court lined games. N.Iowa HC Jacobson is 9-1 ATS L/10 against Big 12 conference opponents as the coach. Play on Northern Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Rangers -130 v. Blue Jackets | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
The Columbus Blue Jackets try for a club-record seventh straight victory playing as hosts when they play the first-place New York Rangers on Friday in a Metropolitan Division clash at Nationwide Arena. I am betting , the Jackets winning streak will abruptly come to an end . The Rangers (13-4-0), and are highest-scoring team in the NHL at 4.2 goals per game. The team is buoyed by goaltender Henrik Lundqvist (9-4-0), who owns a 2.24 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage.NY RANGERS are 7-1 ATS L/8 when playing against a team with a winning record this season and are 13-2 ATS L/15 in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons . NY RANGERS are 16-2 ATS L/18 off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 3 seasons. NY Rangers to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Canisius +6 v. Duquesne | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Canisius played Kentucky to open up their season, and did not completely look out of place. That matchup will have them more than ready to compete here vs Duquesne. CANISIUS is 46-23 ATS 69 versus good 3 point shooting making 37% or more of their attempts.CANISIUS is 13-3 ATS L/16 in a road game where the total is 150 to 159.5. Duquesne is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the MAAC and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Canisius to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-18-16 | Villanova v. Wake Forest +12.5 | 96-77 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Third-ranked Villanova (3-0) battles Wake Forest (3-0) in the semifinals of the Gildan Charleston (S.C.) Classic Friday afternoon. The Wildcats improved to 3-0 following a hard-fought 76-65 victory over Western Michigan in Thursday's quarterfinals.The Demon Deacons (3-0) advanced via crushing 103-81 victory over UTEP.Villanova's defense struggled at times against the Broncos in their last win and will be their demise here today vs a under rated opponent. College Hoops team like Villanova - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 5 or more straight wins, team that had a winning record last season are just 13-38 ATS L/51 for a go against 75% conversion rate on the line. Play on Wake Forest to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | Arkansas State +8.5 v. Troy | 35-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 41 m | Show | |
  The Troy Trojans are coming off a come from behind victory over power house Appalachian State last week, and will now be in a letdown situation this week. Meanwhile, Arkansas State is a team that has been improving as the season has continued something I projected to happen. Look for and bet on the Red Wolves making life difficult for Troy and getting us the cover. ARKANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better and is 11-2 ATS L/13 against conference opponents |
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11-17-16 | Valparaiso v. Oregon -12.5 | 54-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Oregon earned its highest ranking ever in the Associated Press poll on Monday but then started to drop on Tuesday when the fourth-ranked Ducks fell to 1-1 with a 66-49 loss at Baylor. Now also related to that event, we now get a decent line to bet into , because of how the lines-makers like to play to public perceptions. Valparaiso is 3-0 SU after notching victories vs lower tier hoops programs Southern Utah, Trinity Christian and Coppin State, but Oregon will present a bigger challenge. Oregon has a veteran team, with four returning starters even though injured F Dillion Brooks wont return til next week.With that said, we are getting value with them as favorites in a spot where they will unleash a sustanied attack to get back some respect. Oregon to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | Saints v. Panthers -3 | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 26 h 28 m | Show | |
The Carolina Panthers are frustrated, after losing 20-17 against KC this past Sunday, despite of a DD lead entering the last quarter of play. Now with revenge on board for a 41-38 loss to the New Orleans Saints earlier this season, and a need for redemption for last weeks ugly loss hanging over their heads, you can bet we will see Carolina at their best. NFL Favorites like the Panthers - revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite are a bankroll expanding 27-6 ATS for a 82% conversion rate on the line. CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 or more yards/game in the second half of the season and 18-4 ATS L/22 in home games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game, CAROLINA is 35-11 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points and HC Riveria has covered 12 of his L/15 vs the same peremiters . Play on Carolina to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | Blazers +4 v. Rockets | 109-126 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
In their last game the Houston Rockets struggled to contain one of the highest scoring guards in the NBA, (Westbrook) and now the Rockets find themselves going against Trail Blazers point guard Damian Lillard Thursday night at the Toyota Center on Thursday night . What is the most troubling about the Rockets is their conditioning. Because of their lack of conditioning Houston has struggled with pace, scoring and shooting percentage in the fourth quarter this season and this Im betting works against them tonight. |
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11-17-16 | Louisville v. Houston +14 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 34 h 1 m | Show | |
 Louisville came out asleep at the proverbial wheel in their last game against Wake Forest , and needed a late surge in the fourth quarter to get by the Demon Deacons. Now this week, they go against a Houston team that is perfect , 13-0 SU at home under HC Tom Herman,. I know Houston started their year out with alot of hope, and despite of a lack of enthusiasm at certain times this season, are a fine team that must be respected on their own home field. This is by far Houstons biggest game of the season, and Im betting they come out here on fire. In their L/49 home games the Cougars when above .500 on the season have never lost by more than 13 points. HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS L/7 as an underdog. Take the points with Houston 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | Eastern Illinois +5.5 v. St. Louis | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
The Eastern Illinois Panthers return four of their top five scorers room last season and must not be disrespected. Panthers lost a close battle last time out in in a 70-67 defeat at Troy covering as a seven point dog. Meanwhile, St.Louis is a side, that are not getting alot of positive press, but I won;t give up on them yet , and keep my eye on their progress. Right now , however, I like E.Illinois, because of their experience and tenacious mindset and chemistry. Lets grab the points in a game that should be close. E ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less.SAINT LOUIS is 3-15 ATS L/18 after a non-conference game.SAINT LOUIS is 4-13 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5.SAINT LOUIS is 0-8 ATS L/8 after 2 consecutive non-conference games.SAINT LOUIS is 3-14 ATS L/17 in non-conference games Eastern Illinois to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | Troy State +12.5 v. UAB | 51-74 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
Troy to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | St Bonaventure v. Florida -13 | 66-73 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Florida to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | Providence +6.5 v. Ohio State | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Providence to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-17-16 | Northern Iowa +4 v. Arizona State | 82-63 | Win | 100 | 1 h 53 m | Show | |
Northern Iowa to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-16 | Spurs v. Kings +6 | 110-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Sacramento may not inspire alot of bettors, but from a power ranking perspective, the Kings are better than many might believe. Sacramento has lost its last two games but has been off since Friday so it will be well-rested for the Spurs. They already have a signature win on the road, against Toronto so are capable of recording an upset. When the Kings played the Spurs at home earlier this season at home they lost by a 102-94 count and once again should keep this close as Cousins and his huge ego come out to play against the big boys. Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Kings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Kings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Play on Sacramento to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-16 | Grizzlies +12 v. Clippers | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
The red hot Clippers have won 8 straight, but its not always easy to play at such a high level consistently, and fatigue and a lack of urgency also may impact their play. Meanwhile, Memphis started slowly and are beginning to play a tough two way game, as was evident when they beat a feisty Utah group by a 102-96 as road pups. Tonight, I expect the Grizzlies to be much more competitive than the linesmakers expect . Rivers is 1-13 ATS L/14 after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents.LA CLIPPERS are 0-9 ATS L/9 after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents . Favorites like the Clippers - a top tier team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are just 15-39 ATS L/54. Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-16 | Coyotes +130 v. Flames | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
The Calgary Flames snapped a 4 game losing streak with a 1-0 win last time out vs Minnesota, but overall I do not like the flow of the Flames in transition, and feel they are weak home favorites tonight vs a Arizona side, that are well rested , having not played since Saturday night. With Arizona getting back previously injured center Martin Hanzal and No. 1 goalie Mike Smith , they are a dangerous side in this situation.CALGARY is 4-11 ATS L/15 in home games vs. division opponents. Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-16 | San Francisco +9 v. UC-Santa Barbara | 75-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
According to my own early season power ranking charts, UC Santa Barbara is over rated by 4.5 points, giving us value on a 9+ point line with SF. It must be noted HC Smith is 11-2 ATS L/13 as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points ! SF to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-16 | Suns +4.5 v. Nuggets | 104-120 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have lost 4 straight games, and allowing a ugly 112.8 ppg during their negative run and once again look like fade material vs a up down Suns side that is showing signs of progression. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.DENVER is 0-9 ATS L/9 in home games after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists.DENVER is 7-21 ATS L/28 in home games off a road loss. PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a division and 15-3 ATS vs the league under the same perimeters. Suns are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-16-16 | Morehead State +4 v. Marshall | 77-85 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
 Morehead State and Marshall battle for the Ellis Johnson Trophy, honoring the man who coached at both schools — and tutored HC D’Antoni in the late ‘60s. Morehead has won the last three -and Im betting on a repeat performance tonight. MOREHEAD ST is 15-6 ATS L/21 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record and 17-7 ATS L/24 as a road underdog or pick. Play on Morehead State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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11-15-16 | Rangers v. Canucks +155 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Vancouver Canucks handed the Rangers their only loss in their last 8 games, as road dogs at MSG back at Nov. 8 by a 5-3 score. Since than the Canucks have looked to be in better form and dating back to last season have done their best work at home winning 7 of their L/10 as hosts. Play on the Vancouver Canucks to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection |
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11-15-16 | Weber State +2 v. Pepperdine | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
You can play this as low as +2 to +1.5. My own power ranking and early season matchup projections. HC of Weber State Rahe is 43-23 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 . Projected score: Weber State 77 Pepperdine 74Â |
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