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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-14-19 | Sky +1.5 v. Wings | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Chicago recorded a 78-66 home win over Dallas last Sunday to snap a five-game losing streak and once again have the edge according to my projections that make them a -1 point favorite instead of a dog. Note: Dallas is expected to be short-handed along the frontcourt for this match, with Azura Stevens sidelined with a foot injury and center Isabelle Harrison's status uncertain as she is in concussion protocol and unlikely to play. Sky are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Sky are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. Wings are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.Wings are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.Wings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.Wings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Sunday games. Play on the Chicago Sky to cover |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings UNDER 153.5 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Chicago had a huge offensive output last game out for a win but today I expect a more muted effort that will see them regress offensively. However, I also like the way their defence matches up against Dallas, as was evident when they held them to 66 points in last week 78-66 home win vs the Wings. With that said, Im expecting this combined score to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 5-1 in Sky last 6 games following a straight up win.Under is 4-0 in Sky last 4 games following a ATS win. Under is 6-0 in Wings last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 8-1 in Wings last 9 games following a straight up loss.Under is 7-1 in Wings last 8 home games.Under is 6-1 in Wings last 7 Sunday games.Under is 17-5 in Wings last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 10-3 in Wings last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 19-7 in Wings last 26 overall. Play UNDER |
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07-14-19 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 10 | 8-3 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
SF Giants starter Beede is coming off the best start of his nascent career after firing seven innings of one-run ball against the Padres on July 2 and Im betting he holds down the Brewers to limited production this afternoon. CHACIN the Brewers starter is 31-19 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. MILWAUKEE is 24-12 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored during that 50 game sample size. Under is 7-0 in Chacins last 7 starts vs. National League West.Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. MLB Road teams where the total is 10 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team are 79-32 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
 Calgary is a defence first team and has gone below the total in each of its last four road games, including last week’s 37-10 beatdown of the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Against this explosive run and shoot Hamilton offence Im expecting they drag out their offensive plays, and slow the game down, and on defence show their formidable presence by limiting the Ti Cats production in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: HAMILTON is 12-2 L/14 UNDER in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 6.0 or less yards/play with a combined average of 46.4 ppg going on the board. CALGARY is 13-4 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 28-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Mets v. Marlins +125 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
N. Syndergaard posted a 5.94 ERA with eight walks in 16 2/3 innings over his last three starts before the break and enters this game in struggling form and is fade material here tonight in Miami against a Marlins side that is 21-8 against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NY METS are 17-35 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. National League East.Mets are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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07-13-19 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 51 | 36-19 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams have a recent history of playing low scoring games with 5 of the L/6 staying on the low side of the number, and 3 straight here in Montreal. None of the L/6 meetings have seen more than 46 points scored and the average combined score of those tilts has clicked in at 38.8 ppg and Im expecting another low scoring tilt this week. The Alouettes hav gone under in 10 of their previous 13 games away from Montreal, and are 41-17-1 to the under in their past 59 games against divisional rivals. Meanwhile, the the RedBlacks are 4-13 to the UNDER in their previous 17 outings against the East. OTTAWA is 10-2 UNDER versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.8 ppg. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER in July games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.2 ppg going on board. Play UNDER |
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07-13-19 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs starting hurler Lyles surrendered season highs of seven runs, 10 hits and three homers against the Cubs in his final start before the break on July 4 in Pittsburgh. That ballooned his ERA from 3.71 to 4.36 and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs the Cubs.LYLES is 18-7 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored in those 25 games. Meanwhile, Lester lasted only two innings vs. the Pirates on April 8 due to injury and in my power rankings also suggest the Pirates matchup well against him.LESTER is 17-7 OVER when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.LESTER is 24-11 OVER (+12.0 Units) in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored in those 35 games. Over is 7-1-1 in Pirates last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 21-5 in Pirates last 26 games following a loss. Over is 18-7-1 in Pirates last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 overall.Over is 42-18-3 in Pirates last 63 on grass.Over is 9-4-2 in Pirates last 15 during game 2 of a series. Over is 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Over is 12-3-1 in Lesters last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts on grass.Over is 18-6-2 in Lesters last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 6-2-1 in Lesters last 9 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Lesters last 5 home starts.Over is 20-7 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 2 of a series. Play OVER |
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07-12-19 | Reds v. Rockies -120 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Jon Gray (9-6, 3.92 ERA, 115 SO)Coors Field does not seem to bother this viable Rokis hurler as Gray maintained a 4-1 record and 3.35 ERA at home in eight games (seven starts). One key is his 44:17 strikeout-to-walk ratio at home. Jon Gray is 4-0 with a 4.37 ERA in four career outings against the Reds and gets the nod again in this spot at home. Note: The Rockies are 10-0 L/10 on the ML when Jon Gray starts as a home favorite when they lost his last start, winning by an average of 6.5 rpg. Reds starter the other GRAY is 1-8 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) CINCINNATI is 4-19 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 16-4 against the money line at home when the total is 12 to 12.5 over the last 2 season. Colorado is averaging 6.9 rpg at home this season while Cincinnati is averaging 4 rpg as visitors via a lowly .224 BA. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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07-12-19 | Toronto v. Winnipeg UNDER 51.5 | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
Getting up for the 0-3 Argos will be difficult for the 3-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, and Im betting they're offence start slow as motivation becomes a key factor. This will effect the the total combined score to the under. WINNIPEG is 16-3 UNDER L/19 in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread with the average combined score clicking in at 44.1 ppg. TORONTO is 22-8 UNDER L/30 versus excellent rushing defenses -allowing 4.25 or less rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 43 ppg scored. Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 home games.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall. Play UNDER |
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07-12-19 | Tigers v. Royals -134 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Left-hander Danny Duffy goes for Kansas City vs the Tigers. Duffy (3-5, 4.28 ERA) has not been credited with a victory since May 19, though he's delivered four quality outings in his last five starts. He held Cleveland to two runs on five hits in 6 2/3 innings in his last start on July 3 and gets my support here tonight at home. Royals are 12-3 in Duffys last 15 starts with 8 or more days of rest. Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Tigers are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Tigers are 0-7 in Turnbulls last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Tigers are 0-4 in Turnbulls last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Tigers are 0-5 in Turnbulls last 5 starts. KANSAS CITY is 14-4 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .400 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 16-6 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - below average hitting team (AVG .265) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 9-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the KC Royals to win on the ML |
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07-12-19 | Mercury v. Sun UNDER 153.5 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
After starting their season on fire and failing to pace themselves the Connecticut Sun now look to be exhausted as is evident by a 5 game losing streak that has seen them score an average of just 70.6 ppg. Meanwhile, Phoenix is off an explosive two way performance last time out beating Washington by a 91-68 count. Im betting on an offensive regression here today by the Mercury even if super star Diana Taurasi plays , and for a D that has held 5 of their L/7 opponents to 70 point or less to continue their top tier stopping modus operandi. This combination of expected projections makes for a score that will be lower than the linesmakers and public expect. Both teams have gone under in 3 of their last 4 trips to the court. Under is 6-1-1 in Mercury last 8 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 5-2 in Mercury last 7 road games. Under is 11-3 in Sun last 14 games following a ATS loss.Under is 9-3 in Sun last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-2 in Sun last 7 vs. Western ConferenceUnder is 7-1 in Sun last 8 games following a straight up loss.Play UNDER |
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07-12-19 | Sparks v. Fever +3 | 90-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
L.A. has shown flashes of brilliance of late at least when at home, but is a different stroy on the road where they are  3-5 SU and been outscored by an average of 14.7 points while losing three in a row and are expected to be without Candace Parker tonight ( Candace Parker is downgraded to OUT Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Foot ).  Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream despite of having problems getting into the win column consistently are a under rated side, and on most nights a very competitive team that just cant get over the hump. With that said, getting points with the host Fever according to my projections is a viable wager. LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS versus teams who attempt 16 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Indiana Fever to cover |
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07-12-19 | Pirates +147 v. Cubs | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Yu Darvish (2-4, 5.01 ERA, 111 SO) will open the Cubs' second half against the Pirates, whom he faced on July 3. In that no-decision, the righty gave up four runs with six strikeouts and no walks in 6 2/3 innings and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup all that well vs the Pirates. . Darvish is 0-6 with a 5.91 ERA in 13 career starts at Wrigley Field and is fade material according to my projections this afternoon. DARVISH is 3-9 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) DARVISH is 5-16 against the money line in July games in his career. (Team's Record) Pirates are 4-0 in their starters Archers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Pirates are 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts.Cubs are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Cubs have lost 16 of their L/26 overall. PITTSBURGH is 28-13 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 51-17 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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07-11-19 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 11.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn ,11-4, 3.91 ERA, 123 SOLynn is 9-2 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in his last 13 starts. He is averaging 4.73 strikeouts per walk, which ranks eighth best in the American League. He lost his only start against the Astros this season, but he is 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA in seven career starts against them and Im betting will limit the Astros offensive output here tonight. LYNN is 26-6 UNDER in July games in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in Lynns last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Lynns last 5 starts vs. American League West.Under is 7-2 in Lynns last 9 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts on grass.Under is 5-2 in Lynns last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Meanwhile, Framber Valdez goes to the hill for the Astros. He has been less than effecient this season, but Texas has had issues with LHP as is evident by their .226 BA vs southpaws, and could easily find the sledding tough , which Im also betting limits their output vs projection estimates. HOUSTON is 9-0 UNDER in road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 10 or higher (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start are 65-30 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER  |
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07-10-19 | Lynx v. Sky +1 | 73-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
The Chicago Sky have shown a lot  improvement since opening 2019 with a lopsided loss to the Minnesota Lynx and now in revenge mode are viable bets here on an almost pickem line. Minnesota is off a hard fought win vs Connecticut last time out by a 74-71 score , and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot here vs a hungry team. Note:MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Chicago sky to cover |
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07-10-19 | Mercury +9.5 v. Mystics | 91-68 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
According to my projections this line is slightly bloated giving us value with the under rated Phoenix Mercury who now have Diana Taurasi travelling with the team and is expected to back in the lineup after a lengthy lay off. Meanwhile , Washingtons, star Delle Donne broke here nose last time out, and is less than 100% entering this game giving the Mercury and edge here on this line. The Mercury have won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here to Washington DC. Thibault is 19-30 ATS in home games in non-conference games as the coach of WASHINGTON.
WNBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, on Wednesday nights are 8-23 su L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Phoenix to cover |
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07-09-19 | National League v. American League UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
The public is all over the over here , which is not a surprise, considering last years all star game saw 14 runs go on the board. However, my projections estimate a much lower score than many might anticipate as these top tier hurlers from both the AL/NL matchup up very well vs each other star batting orders. The so called juiced ball myth goes down in flames here this Tuesday night.(At least for now) Nine of the last 11 MLB all star games have gone under 8.5 runs. The L/11 all star games have seen an average of 6.8 rpg scored. Pitchers: AL: Astros' Justin Verlander (10-3, 2.86 ERA) and Gerrit Cole (AL No.1- 161 strikeouts), Chicago's Lucas Giolito (11-2, 2.72 ERA) Rangers' Mike Minor (8-4, 2.40 ERA). NL:major-league ERA leader Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-2, 1.83), . Clayton Kershaw (eighth All-Star appearance), Walker Buehler (8-1, 104 strikeouts) and 2018 Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom most probably coming out of the bullpen. Play on the UNDER |
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07-07-19 | Mystics -3 v. Sparks | 81-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Washington has won the L/4 meetings in this series, and are showing that they are contenders for a WNBA championship if they can stay healthy. They have won 5 straight games, and are showing no signs of slowing down, making them viable road favs here vs the inconsistent LA Sparks. WNBA Road favorites (WASHINGTON) - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in July games are 33-11 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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07-07-19 | Rockies -126 v. Diamondbacks | 3-5 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Colorado starter German Marquez (8-3, 4.38 ERA, 120 SO) Away from Coors Field, Marquez is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA in nine starts. Home or away hes a reliable hurler (4-1, 5.73 at the launching pad known as Coors Field). Even with the elevated ERA, the contact against him has not been solid and he gives us a solid opportunity to cash a ticket today with the visitors. Rockies are 5-0 in Marquezs last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.ARIZONA is 17-29 against the money line against division opponents this season. LOVULLO is 10-18 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 61-15 L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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07-07-19 | Brewers -103 v. Pirates | 5-6 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
In the series finale, Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (4-2, 4.31 ERA) is scheduled to face righty Joe Musgrove (6-7, 4.13). It's a rematch of a game May 30, also at PNC Park, when Anderson got the better of Musgrove in an 11-5 Brewers win. Im betting on Anderson getting the edge here today again. I know Milwaukee has been slumping offensively of late but it must be noted that MILWAUKEE is 7-0 against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee was blasted 12-2 yesterday by the underdog Pirates but the Brewers have proven resilient in this spot in the past as is evident by the following trend. Note: MILWAUKEE is 21-4 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.Brewers are 8-2 in Andersons last 10 starts vs. Pirates.Brewers are 4-1 in Andersons last 5 road starts vs. Pirates. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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07-07-19 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Nola the Phillies starter has been on a roll as of late. He has allowed just one earned run in 23 innings in his last three starts, striking out 28 and walking five and Im betting on the more of the same here today vs the NY Mets. Meanwhile, Wheeler the Mets starter has been his  team’s most significant hurler of late as he owns a 1.86 ERA his last three starts. Im betting on both these throwers going long and strong and for this tilt to stay on the low side of the total. (Wheeler owns a 2.95 ERA in 13 career starts against the Phillies. Nola has garnered a 3.48 ERA in 11 starts against the Mets.) Under is 4-0-1 in Wheelers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. NOLA is 21-9 UNDER vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. )NOLA is 16-5 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored.NOLA is 13-3 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. NY METS are 31-14 UNDER in home games after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in umpire Gucciones last 4 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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07-06-19 | Padres v. Dodgers -150 | 3-1 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Maeda the Dodgers starter showed his abilities when he opened his last start with four scoreless innings at Coors Field, which is never easy and deserves respect here at home as favorite. He is 6-3 in his career against San Diego and gets the nod in this spot play. Maeda's 94 strikeouts against the Padres are his most against any team. Maeda had a 4.21 ERA over five June starts, but he gave up two earned runs or less in four of those outings and on the season has garnered a very stingy 2.04 ERA at home.  LA DODGERS are 27-5 against the money line in home games against right-handed starters like the Padres Paddock this season. Last night the Padres found a way to be the dodgers ace Kershaw by a 3-2 count but tonight Im betting on the Dodgers bouncing back. In the past the Dodgers have proven extremely resilient under these circumstances as the following trend would indicate. Note: The Dodgers are 14-0 on the ML as a favorite off a loss as a favorite in which they never led. LA has won each of their last seven games under these perimeters by multiple run counts.  LA DODGERS are 19-3 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. LA DODGERS are 25-6 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - very good offensive team - scoring 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 34-12 L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML |
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07-06-19 | Calgary +5.5 v. Saskatchewan | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup champion Calgary Stampeders are being made underdogs here, and Im betting we have value taking the points here this Saturday night in Saskatchewan. Last week Quarterback Nick Arbuckle helped his team to a unlikely come from victory after coming off the bench in the final 3 minutes, completing a 21 point comeback against the B.C. Lions. Now with the momentum of that win on their sides, Im expecting another big game from the Stamps. Considering 55% of games have been decided in the final 3 minutes and wont be hard for me to imagine this game going down to the wire here and for the points to eventually be golden. Dickenson is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game as the coach of CALGARY. CFL team (SASKATCHEWAN) - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 10 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 11-43 ATS L/22 seasons for go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover |
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07-06-19 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51 | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
My projections based on both these teams style of play estimates a total of closer to 48.5 to 49 thus giving us an edge on a under wager here this evening. Under is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 games overall.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. West. CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (SASKATCHEWAN) - after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 70 or more total yards 2 consecutive games are 28-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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07-06-19 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Atlanta is 9-1 on the ML against the Marlins this season, including three shutout victories. Miami has scored more than two runs in only three of the 10 games against the Braves and are fade material on the runline here this afternoon. Note:Â Atlanta Braves left-hander Max Fried will be making his first start Saturday since the death of his close friend, Los Angeles Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs. The Braves have had their way with lower tier teams:ATLANTA is 13-1Â against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less) this season with the average run differential clicking in a +3 per game. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the RL -1.5 |
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07-06-19 | Orioles +145 v. Blue Jays | 8-1 | Win | 145 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
If Orioles Cashner veteran righty hander is in top form. He's enjoying a bounceback season at age 32, going 8-3 with a 4.03 ERA in 16 starts. Cashner pitched to a 1.44 ERA in June and gets my support here this afternoon in Toronto. Cashner pitched six scoreless innings in earning the win against Toronto on April 2. He is 2-2 with a 2.68 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Blue Jays. TORONTO is 1-12 against the money line with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings this season. MONTOYO is 8-30 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more as the manager of TORONTO. Orioles are 5-0 in Cashners last 5 Saturday starts.Orioles are 6-1 in Cashners last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.Orioles are 5-1 in Cashners last 6 starts.Orioles are 4-1 in Cashners last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 7-2 in Cashners last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. MLB team (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season are 35-17 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rare for bettors. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the ML |
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07-05-19 | Liberty +8 v. Mercury | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The NY Liberty are playing top tier basketball entering this game, as they look for their fourth straight victory. Even though Diania Taurasi is expected to return to the court tonight for the Mercury after a long absence, I still believe we have value with the road underdog Liberty. I know the Liberty are on short rest but that have proven well conditioned and under estimated in this spot recently as they have cashed 6 of their L/7 with 1 days rest. Liberty are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Phoenix. Play on the NY Liberty to cover |
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07-05-19 | Dream v. Storm UNDER 147 | 77-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My line for this game was set around 144, so we have value to the under here at this number. The Seattle Storm are averaging 74.2 points on 41.4 percent shooting and allowing 72.7 points on 42.6 percent shooting and are deliberate team with a conservative defensive mindset. Meanwhile,  The Atlanta Dream  are averaging 69.9 points on 37.4 percent shooting and once again depend on a slower pace to try to stay close here, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair that fails toe eclipse this total. Under is 4-0 in Dream last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Dream last 6 vs. Western Conference. Under is 8-1 in Storm last 9 Friday games.Under is 12-3-1 in Storm last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Play UNDER |
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07-05-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-8 | Win | 107 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
 The DBacks are on a 3 game losing streak but with their stopper Greinke on the hill Im betting they end their mini slump today. It must be noted that  the Diamondbacks are 8-0 on at least a three-game losing streak, beating their opponents by 2.6 runs per game when Greinke goes to the hill.  ARIZONA is 25-11 SU revenging 2 straight home losses vs opponent over the last 3 seasons winning by an average of 2,2 rpg. GREINKE is 45-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a run diff of 2.1 rpg. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - very good offensive team (5.0 runs/game or more) against an average starter (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors are 102-25 SU L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa UNDER 53.5 | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Im betting the Redblacks offence rusty and off a bye week will have a tough challenge, as Winnipeg has allowed just one offensive touchdown in two games this season. Im also expecting Ottawa to be punting alot today, but are in good hands in that department, behind Richie Leone who is averaging 53.6 yards to lead the CFL in punting average, putting him on a record pace thus far. With that said, field position should help the Red Black out defensively as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER after a playing a game where 63 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons which was the case in a 44-41win vs Sask last time out. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 26-5 L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-05-19 | Yankees v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The NY Yankees explosive offence is averaging 6.3 rpg on the road this season, with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored in those 40 games and Im betting on them unloading here vs a rookie hurler in McKay. Meanwhile, Yankees hurler Tanaka lasted just two-thirds of an inning in his start in London, allowing six runs and has not been consistent this season, and Im betting he looks vulnerable entering game and susceptible to being lit up. Note: The Yankees are 9-0 L/9 OVER when Masahiro Tanaka starts as a road favorite when they scored first in his last start in a Yankees victory, going over by an average of 6.05 runs per game. NY YANKEES are 22-5 OVER in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season with a combined average of 11.5 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 13-2 OVER in road games against division opponents this season with a combined average of 13.4 rpg scored.NY YANKEES are 11-3 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 10.7 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 9-1 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. All 3 games in TB have gone over this season, and thats what Im betting on here tonight. Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 vs. American League East.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 vs. a team with a winning recordOver is 3-0-2 in Rays last 5 home games.Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.Over is 8-1-2 in Rays last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 5-1-1 in umpire Lentzs last 7 games behind home plate. Play on the OVER |
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07-04-19 | Angels +110 v. Rangers | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Canning the Halos starter is making his 12th career start after beating Oakland in his most recent outing last Thursday. He threw six innings and allowed two earned runs, while striking out six and is a viable underdog in this spot play vs a Texas side slumping in on a 4 game losing streak. Note: Rangers are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Angels are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.TEXAS is 6-18 (against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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07-04-19 | Yankees v. Rays +105 | 8-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
In 11 starts this season, the Rays starter today Chirinos is 4-4 with a 2.79 ERA. The right-hander has made three appearances against the Yankees this season, going 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA and is a viable pitcher to back here tonight on a value home dog line. Meanwhile, JA Happ Happ the Yanks starter  looks vulnerable in his current form as was evident when he allowed eight runs in four innings against the Astros last time out. TAMPA BAY is 10-4 against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 62% or better) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 24-14 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Rays are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. MLB team (NY YANKEES) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 13-43 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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07-04-19 | Cubs -117 v. Pirates | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Quintana threw more secondary pitches (51) than fastballs (50) on Saturday in Cincinnati and as result threw six shutout innings. He had struggled . a bit prior to that , but his veteran composure is now guiding him making him a viable pitcher to back against a Pittsburgh team that struggles against southpaw pitching averaging 4.2 rpg on a batting average barely above the Mendoza line of .250. Cubs are 4-1 in Quintanas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.Pirates are 0-4 in their starters Lyles' last 4 starts vs. National League Central and are 0-4 in Lyles' last 4 starts. LYLES is 0-14 against the money line in July games in his career. (Team's Record) MLB team (PITTSBURGH) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, red hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 20 games are 18-38 L/22 seasons for go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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07-04-19 | Brewers -124 v. Reds | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Castillo the Reds Starter has not fared well against the Brewers in 2019. The last time against them, on June 22, he threw 96 pitches in only 3 2/3 innings and gave up six runs (four earned) while walking five. Over three starts vs. MIL, he is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA. Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series. Meanwhile Brewers fireballer Brandon Woodruff (10-2, 3.79 ERA, 120 SO) will be facing the Reds for the second time in three starts. At Miller Park on June 23, he set a career high with 12 strikeouts while allowing three runs in seven innings and gets mu support here again today.  WOODRUFF is 16-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)  Brewers are 8-0 in Woodruffs last 8 starts vs. National League Central. Reds are 1-4 in Castillos last 5 starts vs. National League Central.Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 during game 4 of a series. Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%. are 43-18 L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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07-04-19 | Tigers v. White Sox -107 | 11-5 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Tigers have been a bad road team for a while as their record 28-60 in their last 88 road games suggests . They also have not faired well against right handed pitchers like Lopez recording a 19-48 mark in their last 67 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Add to that the Tigers are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. American League Central and 8-21 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record puts them in my fade material power rankings column. Considering the Tigers starter Boyd has seen his team lose his L/7 starts vs the Pale Hose it will not be a hard decision to go against this Motown crew this afternoon. Note:Lopez is 2-2 with a 2.86 ERA in nine career starts against Detroit. He has pitched effectively against the Tigers in two starts this season, going 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA while striking out 22 batters in 12 innings. is a viable hurler to back in this spot play. MLB Road teams (DETROIT) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 12-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML |
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07-03-19 | Giants +120 v. Padres | 7-5 | Win | 120 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
SHAUN ANDERSON (R) vs. CAL QUANTRILL (R) SF has suddenly gone form zeros to heros of late , as their usually light hitting offense has exploded for 33 runs in their L/3 games and in their current form value based underdogs tonight in San Diego against the Fathers. With up trending starter Anderson, on the hill  the Giants' are a must play team. He has been the most consistent starter in the their rotation, and delivered another strong performance Friday, holding the D-backs to two runs over 5 2/3 innings. He faced the Padres on June 12 and gave up two runs over six innings and gets the nod again here tonight. Note:SAN DIEGO is 0-7 against the money line revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more this season. Play on the SF Giants |
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07-03-19 | Twins v. A's OVER 9.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Kyle Gibson RHP8-4, 4.21 ERA, 88 SOGibson was scheduled to start Sunday's series finale against the White Sox but was pushed back because he was needed for an inning of relief in Thursday's 18-inning game against the Rays. He allowed four runs in seven frames in his last start and does not matchup well vs this AS batting order according to my advanced data power ranking listings. Oakland has scored 7 or more runs in 3 of their L/4 and look to be heating up offensively and could do some series damage today. Meanwhile, Minnesota remains a dangerous offensive team averaging 6.3 rpg and no matter who goes to the hill today will be able to rspond in game with some fireworks of their own .With that said Im recommending we take the over. GIBSON is 40-19 OVER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 21-10 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 10-1 OVER after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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07-03-19 | Indians v. Royals OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) Clevinger the Tribes starter knows he has to play catch-up after missing two months of the season with an upper back strain. In his last start (his first since being reactivated off the IL from a left ankle sprain), he allowed a career-high seven runs in 1 2/3 innings and im betting he is still not 100% and susceptible to being lit up.Over is 6-0 in Clevingers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Meanwhile, Danny Duffy gave up three runs over 6 2/3 innings in a loss to the Blue Jays on Friday. He allowed a game-tying two-run shot to Lourdes Gurriel in the sixth before Eric Sogard slugged a go-ahead solo blast in the seventh. It was obviously a disappointing way to end it. Duffy fanned eight and walked just one in taking the loss. He remains winless since way back on May 19 and does matchup well vs the Tribe according to my pitcher vs batting order power rnakings. Over is 11-3 in Duffys last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2-1 in Duffys last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-2 in Duffys last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 11-4 in Duffys last 15 Wednesday starts.Over is 10-4-1 in Duffys last 15 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 7-3-1 in Duffys last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-4 in Duffys last 13 home starts. . CLEVELAND is 25-12 OVER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 21-11 OVER with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. Play OVER |
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07-03-19 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 10 | 0-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.60 ERA) vs. Reds RH Sonny Gray (4-5, 3.94) Gray the Reds starter continued to uptrend by improving to 4-1 in his last seven starts after yielding two runs on four hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-3 win versus the Chicago Cubs last time out. The Cinncy tighty owns a 1-0 record along with a very stable 2.76 ERA in three career starts against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Chacin the Brewer starter is also pitching better, and getting more out of his slider, and poses a matchup issue for the Reds batting oder. CHACIN is 16-6 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.6 rpg going on the board. CINCINNATI is 12-2 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season with a combined average of 6.4 rpg scored.CINCINNATI is 33-13 UNDER)vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 errors/game or less this season with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Wednesday games.Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League Central. Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 22-8-1 in Brewers last 31 during game 3 of a series.Under is 21-9-1 in Brewers last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-1 in Chacins last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.Under is 13-3 in Chacins last 16 road starts.Under is 8-2 in Chacins last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Under is 6-2 in Chacins last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.Under is 5-2 in Chacins last 7 Wednesday starts.Under is 20-8 in Chacins last 28 starts on grass.Under is 20-8 in Chacins last 28 starts overall. Under is 12-3-1 in Reds last 16 Wednesday games.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 games following a win.Under is 10-3 in Reds last 13 home games.Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 14-5 in Reds last 19 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-5-1 in Reds last 18 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 42-19-3 in Reds last 64 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 66-31-3 in Reds last 100 overall.Under is 66-31-3 in Reds last 100 on grass.Under is 5-1 in Grays last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-2-1 in Grays last 8 starts vs. National League Central. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cincinnati. Under is 6-0-1 in Estabrooks last 7 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.Under is 7-1 in Estabrooks last 8 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.Under is 43-21-4 in Estabrooks last 68 games behind home plate. Play UNDER |
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07-02-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The Giants had their biggest offensive output in 9 games yesterday putting 10 runs on the board, but today I expect the light hitting Giants revert back to their usual ways, and come closer to their 3.4 rpg game out vs LHP which the Fathers starter Strahm just so happens to be. Meanwhile, the Padres despite of playing decently this season are still only averaging 3.9 rpg at home , with their saving grace being that they also only allow 4 runs per game which makes for a 7.9 rpg average here at Petco. Im betting on more of the same low scoring action today. Four of the 5 meetings in this series here in Petco have all stayed under the total. MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or more ) -NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 36-12 UNDER  L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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07-02-19 | Astros +118 v. Rockies | 9-8 | Win | 118 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Colorados starter Marquez has a positive home W/L record at Coors but has a 5.70 ERA in nine home starts , and is vulnerable vs a Houston team that can be explosive and that matches up well against him according to my projections and power ranking conversion charts. HOUSTON is 13-2 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 70-20 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 14-1 against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. HINCH is 17-6 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season as the manager of HOUSTON. Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.Astros are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.  MLB team (COLORADO) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 61-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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07-02-19 | Dream +7 v. Lynx | 68-85 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
The Dream enter this game as still be very under rated and have been money in the bank of late when playing on the road cashing 10 of their L/14 opportunities and are once again a value line call here vs a Minnesota team that my power rankings suggest they matchup well against. WNBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 5-25 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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07-02-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 10-6 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
For the second straight start, Price will be on six days of rest. It worked for Price last time, as he held the White Sox to two earned runs in six innings in a win. Lifetime against the Blue Jays, Price has dazzled, going 22-3 with a 2.37 ERA. I know the Blue Jays have been hammering these juice balls around of late, but today Im betting their offensive output will be curtailed against a top tier hurler who has a recent record of success against them. Meanwhile,Thornton the Jay starter will open Toronto’s three-game series against the Red Sox after holding Boston to two runs over 6 1/3 innings when he last faced the reigning World Series champions on June 21 and should also help limit the Red sox in what I project is a favorable lineup for him to face. With that said Im betting on a total score that fails to eclipse this slightly bloated total that is based on recency bias. TORONTO is 30-13 UNDER in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 rpg scored. PRICE is 12-3 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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07-02-19 | Sky v. Aces UNDER 160 | 82-90 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
 The recency of Chicago allowing 94 points last time out, and the Aces taking part in a back and forth high scoring affair in their last game, have put this total in the beatable category to the under. Tonight Im betting on the Sky playing more conservatively and paying strict attention to D, while the Aces regression on tired legs after that last scoring fest they took part in is to be expected. Play UNDER |
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07-01-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 13-2 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Giants RH Jeff Samardzija (4-7, 4.52 ERA) vs. Padres LH Logan Allen (2-0, 1.38) Samardzija has struggled of late but owns  a 2.44 ERA in nine career games (eight starts) at Petco Park . Meanwhile, Padres starter Allen threw seven scoreless innings while allowing just three hits in his debut in the majors June 18 against Milwaukee and followed that up with six innings of two-run ball in a win at Baltimore on Tuesday vs the Orioles and is a strong conadidate again to limit the light hitting Giants here tonight.  SAN FRANCISCO is 21-9 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. SAN DIEGO is 11-3 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER |
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07-01-19 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
In 23 opener starts this season, Stanek is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA. The Rays are 15-8 in games started by the right-hander this season. Ryan Yarbrough is likely to get the bulk of the innings on Monday. This combination of pitchers Im betting trumps the Orioles pitching options. BALTIMORE is 3-22 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season with the average run per game diff clicking in at -2.2 rpg. BALTIMORE is 1-18 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with the average run diff clicking in at -3.6 rpg. HYDE is 3-23 SU vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) as the manager of BALTIMORE with a average rpg diff of -3.0 rpg. TAMPA BAY is 20-4 SU when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons with a average run per game differential of +2.7 rpg. Orioles are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.Orioles are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings in Tampa Bay. MLB Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TAMPA BAY) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (.320) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP 1.550 or better ), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games are 42-16 L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors and a perfect 4-0 100% this season. Play on TB on the -1.5 runline |
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07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan UNDER 52.5 | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 34 h 38 m | Show | |
The Argos allowed 64 points in week one , and now Im betting they will be very focused on slowing Saskatchewan down, and playing a much better defensive game which wont be hard. Meanwhile, the Argos offence has absolutely no flow, and I expect nothing will change here on Canada Day vs the Saskatchewan Roughriders who are looking to bounce back after giving up 44 points in a 44-41 loss to the Ottawa Redblacks on June 20. In 2018, the Riders’ defence gave up 40 points only once — a Week 2, 40-17 loss to Ottawa. It looks like the linesmakers are not being swayed by the recency of these teams total points outputs and are sticking to a lower total, and now Im betting their number is not low enough. TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival with a combined average of 44 ppg scored.TORONTO is 28-6 UNDER when playing with 8 days rest with a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (TORONTO) - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 107-64 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Braves -103 v. Mets | 5-8 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
The Mets expect their starter Syndergaard, who has been on the injured list since June 16, to return Sunday night at Citi Field. Syndergaard most recently pitched on a rehab assignment Tuesday for Class A Brooklyn allowing 3 runs in a rusty effort as he rehabbed a strained right hamstring. I know the Mets righty is healthy but rust Im betting hampers him here tonight as will his beleaguered and imploding bull pen support. Fried (9-3, 3.96 ERA) his pitching opponent from the Braves is 1-1 with a 1.77 ERA in seven career games (three starts) against the Mets. Syndergaard is 0-2 with a 3.49 ERA in seven starts against the Braves.  .Note: New York has blown a lead in the sixth inning or later five times during its losing streak. Braves are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 road starts and are 6-0 in Frieds last 6 starts during game 3 of a series are also 5-0 in Frieds last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 7-0 in Frieds last 7 starts with 4 days of rest and are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 starts..Braves are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 Sunday starts.Braves are 5-0 in Frieds last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. ATLANTA is 20-7 against the money line in June games this season. Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. National League East.Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a loss.Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 0-7 in their last 7 overall. Braves are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.Braves are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in New York. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - team with a good SLG (.430 or better) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are 56-26 L/22 seasons for a for 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML |
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06-30-19 | Mercury v. Storm UNDER 153 | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
 The reigning WNBA champs have shown alot of grit despite being without stars Breanna Stewart (Achilles), Sue Bird (knee), coach and Dan Hughes. Hardcore D has been their signature style of play and has resulted in 10 of 12 games staying under the total. Nothing changes tonight against a visiting Mercury team that has averaged just 69.4 ppg on the road this season. DEFENSE, DEFENSE, DEFENSE and more DEFENCE. Under is 4-1-1 in Mercury last 6 games following a ATS win.Under is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games. Under is 5-0 in Storm last 5 Sunday games.Under is 9-1-2 in Storm last 12 games following a straight up win.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1 in Storm last 6 overall.Under is 9-2 in Storm last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Storm last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Sky v. Sparks UNDER 157 | 69-94 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Chicagos D continues to improve and LA has been a defence first team at home for quite a while now and tonight Im betting on combined score that fails to eclipse this total. The last three times these teams have played in LA the scores have all stayed below the total, and nothing changes here today. LA ranks 8th out of 12 teams in offence this season. Under is 3-1-1 in Sky last 5 vs. Western Conference Under is 36-15 in Sparks last 51 home games. Play on the UNDER |
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06-30-19 | Cardinals v. Padres -110 | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
We have a situation here today to bet into that shows us two teams that are operating at the polar opposite end of the performance spectrum. The Padres have hit 16 homers during their four-game winning streak. The Cardinals have scored a total of 10 runs during their five-game losing streak. With the Cards starter Mikolas mimicking his teams performance levels, the Cards are fade material here today. Note: The cards former all start pitcher has worked 89 1/3 innings in 16 starts, giving up 44 runs (43 earned). The under rated Padres are 12-0 L/12 on the ML as a favorite coming off a game as a favorite in which they scored 6+ runs which was the case yesterday. ST LOUIS is 3-13 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. SAN DIEGO is 16-4 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Play on the San Diego Padres to win on the ML |
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06-30-19 | Lynx v. Wings +4 | 86-89 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
 The Wings have not beaten the Minnesota Lynx since relocating from Tulsa after the 2015 season, losing all 10 meetings . They have lost 12 straight to the Lynx since an 86-78 victory June 21, 2015, but the last four defeats have all been by single digits and Im betting we have another close one today with the points eventually proving to be golden. Lynx are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.Lynx are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Lynx are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.Wings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Play on the Dallas Wings |
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06-30-19 | Cubs -117 v. Reds | 6-8 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Lester the Cubs starter garnered a victory on Monday after holding the Braves to two unearned runs in six innings (seven strikeouts, no walks). The veteran lefty has gone 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in seven career starts (45 K, nine BB, 45 1/3 IP) in Cincinnati and gets my support here today . Meanwhile, after  opening June with three one-run starts, DeSclafani struggled against the Brewers, getting smacked around for six runs in 4 1/3 innings on Sunday. On May 24 at Wrigley Field, DeSclafani allowed four runs to the Cubs in 3 2/3 innings and is fade material here. LESTER is 21-6 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LESTER is 11-1 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)LESTER is 9-1 against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Cubs are 18-0 on the ML as chalk with Jon Lester when he has less than seven days rest and did not walk a batter in his last start. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-2 against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons CINCINNATI is 11-24 against the money line in day games this season. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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06-30-19 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Chavez the Rangers starter is in top form and has allowed one earned run over 14 1/3 innings in his past three appearances. During that stretch, he's struck out 14 batters without a walk.He's 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA in nine career appearances (one start) against the Rays and is more than capable of slowing the Rays struggling offence here today. Meanwhile, Snell the Rays starter despite of being a quality hurler, has slumped of late, but going against the Rangers may help Snell regain his form. He's 2-0 with a 0.79 ERA in two career starts versus Texas, both coming last year. With that said, Im betting on this combined score staying on the low side of the total.  SNELL is 17-3 UNDER vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 15-3 UNDER in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 rpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 7-0 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base this season.CASH is 26-13 UNDER after batting .200 or worse over a 5 game span as the manager of TAMPA BAY. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 76-37 UNDER L/22 seasons for 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | Fever +11 v. Aces | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
The Fever (5-8) are trying to salvage a split of this two-game swing out west after losing 91-69 at Phoenix on Friday night, their worst defeat of the season and Im betting they now bounce back and are much more competitive after that sleepy effort. According to my power rankings this Fever team is very under rated and I wont be swayed by the recency of that last result. Note:Turnovers continue to be a problem for Las Vegas, which ranks 11th in the 12-team league in turnovers at 16.8 per game after committing 19 on Thursday night. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July game are 9-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road underdogs (INDIANA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in May, June, or July games are 44-18 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Indiana Fever to cover |
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06-29-19 | Fever v. Aces UNDER 158.5 | 97-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
My projections estimate a score that combines to stay on the low side of this total. LAS VEGAS is 12-3 UNDER  off an upset loss as a road favorite which was the case last time out at LA vs the Sparks. Under is 6-1-1 in Aces last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 games following a straight up loss.Under is 5-1-1 in Aces last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Las Vegas. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | Diamondbacks -138 v. Giants | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.08 ERA) vs. Giants LH Drew Pomeranz (2-8, 6.79) Greinke, the Dbacks starter will be facing the Giants for the first time this season. Right now the veteran righty is in top form as is evident by a career-best 6.2 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The right-hander has allowed nine runs over his last two starts (13 innings), and 5-0 with a 1.37 ERA in five career Oracle Park starts. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Pomeranz is 0-4 with an 8.53 ERA in 10 career appearances (seven starts) versus Arizona , including 0-1 with an 8.59 mark in two starts this season and is fade material in this spot. GREINKE is 16-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Diamondbacks are 7-0 on the ML when Zack Greinke starts as a road favorite in June when they won in his last start. The Diamondbacks are 11-0 on the ML as a road favorite when 500 on the season. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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06-29-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies +140 | 3-5 | Win | 140 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (7-1, 3.07 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Jon Gray (8-5, 3.92) There is a very high total attached to this game here in launching pad known as Coors Field. But its interesting to note that Kershaw’s starts with an over/under of 10 or higher have been in away games , and in those tilts the Dodgers are just 1-4 , losing by 2.6 runs per game. His last two such event back in 2008 and 2009 here at Coors Field saw him get beaten around losing 10-1 and 10-4 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here, as Kershaw enters this game a little wobbly after getting roughed up in Chase Field last time out . Meanwhile, the Rockies starting ace Jon Gray has steadily has been performing more and more like the staff ace they believe he can be. He's already two-thirds of the way (8) toward matching his personal standard for victories, which he established last year by winning 12 games and gets my support here today on a value home MLine. Dodgers are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts vs. National League West.Rockies are 8-0 in Grays last 8 starts with 4 days of rest. Rockies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Rockies are 13-4 in their last 17 home games. Colorado snapped a 7 game losing streak vs the Dodgers last night with a 13-9 win and now have confidence and momentum on they're sides. COLORADO is 9-0 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season. Colorado is 23-7 money line after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the ML |
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06-29-19 | BC v. Calgary UNDER 53.5 | 32-36 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these teams are going to have viable defences this season, according to my early assessments. In the past both these teams have taken part in lower scoring defensive affairs as is evident by the under cashing 5 straight times with the average combined score clicking in at 41 points per game with no score going past the 47 point plateau. Im betting for a conservative rinse and repeat type game here. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 22-8 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored.CALGARY is 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 48.5 ppg. CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after playing a game at home, when playing on a Saturday are 41-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 10.5 | 0-13 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The market has moved enough on this total to make it a value under situation. The Orioles believe their starter today Cashner is over the blister problems he dealt with during the middle weeks of June, after the right-hander completed six innings last time out without issue. Meanwhile, Tribe starter Plesac will look to win his third consecutive start on Saturday in Baltimore and has momentum on his side . Th right-hander got off to a slow start Sunday vs. the Tigers, but settled in to toss seven solid frames, allowing one run (a solo HR) on just five hits. Today Im expecting and betting  both these hurlers to go long and strong and to help keep this score on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1-1 in Indians last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 21-8-1 in Indians last 30 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in Cashners last 6 starts with 6 days of rest.Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.Under is 9-2-1 in Orioles last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1-1 in Orioles last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. CLEVELAND in 39 games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season have seen a combined average score of 8.2 rpg go on the board.CLEVELAND is 21-10 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season of 7.6 rpg scored. BALTIMORE in their L/187 games when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score 9.4 rpg scored. Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in Baltimore. Play UNDER |
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06-29-19 | Sun +7.5 v. Mystics | 59-102 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Connecticut (9-3) still has the best record in the WNBA but is coming off a 74-73 defeat to the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night for their 2nd straight loss. Because of the recency of the Sun loss and the Mystics current 5 game win streak we now get a value line to bet into , making getting points here a prime opportunity according to my power rankings. Connecticut has won 3 straight meetings in this series and 3 of their L/4 visits to DC and get the nod here. Play on the Connecticut Sun to cover |
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06-28-19 | Sky +3 v. Storm | 76-79 | Push | 0 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
These teams are currently playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum with the Chicago Sky looking for their third straight win on the road and in this series while the Seattle Storm trying to avoid their 3rd straight loss overall in head to head meetings with the Sky. This is a momentum play that favors the Sky to cover , especially with key Seattle  guard Jewell Loyd expected to miss with an injury. WNBA Road teams (CHICAGO) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-74 L/5 seasons for a solid 60% conversion rate. Play on the Chicago sky to cover |
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06-28-19 | Fever v. Mercury UNDER 155 | 69-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
According to my projections and the lack of efficiency we have in the WNBA market Im betting we have a value you total to bet into here in Phoenix tonight favoring and under wager on what is a bloated line in my estimations. Note: Key offensive Threat for the Mercury future HOF Diana Taurasi is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs Indiana Fever ( Back ). Under is 7-3 in Fever last 10 games playing on 2 days restUnder is 4-0-1 in Mercury last 5 games following a ATS winUnder is 9-4 in Mercury last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix. Play UNDER |
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06-28-19 | Pirates +145 v. Brewers | 3-2 | Win | 145 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Pirates will send right-hander Chris Archer (3-6, 5.56 ERA) to the mound Friday to take on Brewers right-hander Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.88). The two pitchers faced off May 31 in Pittsburgh, a game the Pirates won 9-4. Brewers starter Chacin hasn't cleared the fifth inning in either of his starts since a stint on the injured list for back tightness, continuing what has been a excruciatingly disappointing season and is fade material here vs what is currently a hot hitting Pirates team off a 10-0 win vs the Houston Astros last time out and winners of 7 of their L/8 overall. Note: The Brewers are 1-5 in Chacins last 6 starts vs. Pirates. PITTSBURGH is 7-1 against the money line after a game they hit 4 or more home runs over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - average hitting team (AVG .255 to .269) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) -NL, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 125-62 L/22 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the ML |
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06-28-19 | Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 58.5 | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Im betting we have a slightly bloated total here because of the recency bias attached to the Ti Cats 64 point offensive explosion vs the hapless defence of the Toronto Argos. This week I expect the Ti Cats to have a natural regression in their output, while Montreal with a back up QB at the helm (Adams Jr) will struggle to score. With that said Im expecting this total score to fail to eclipse this number. HAMILTON is 10-1 UNDER after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game since 1996.HAMILTON is 16-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 since 1996 with the average combined score clicking in at 50.7 ppg. MONTREAL is 19-4 UNDER in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 44.6 ppg scored. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER in road games off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.9 ppg scored.MONTREAL is 12-3 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996wth a combined average of 42.9 ppg scored. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 25-5 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-28-19 | Nationals v. Tigers +139 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
I know the Detroit Tigers have been tanking and their in a horrendous slump, so forgive me for my never ending and insidious search for value lines with bad teams. Norris the Tigers hurler has been pitching well of late, 25ks in his L/29 innings of work and offers up very good contrarian value here as a AL home team in interleague action. Note: Detroit is 7-1 L/8 vs the Nationals in Comerica Park. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (WASHINGTON) - after 3 straight games where they committed no errors, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games are 25-42 L/22 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML |
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06-28-19 | Phillies v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Elieser Hernandez of the Marlins is making his fourth start since joining the rotation,  He's pitched better than the results show, striking out 19 and walking four with a 1.18 WHIP in 18 2/3 innings this season. Meanwhile,Vince Velasquez the Phillies starter allowed one run and one hit in five innings Saturday against the Marlins, and his performance secured another shot to remain in the rotation. Velasquez is 4-2 with 2.90 ERA in 12 career starts against the Marlins. This year he is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts against Miami. Current Marlins are just 19-for-125 (.164) with three homers and 34 strikeouts against Velasquez. VELASQUEZ is 11-2 UNDER vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) .Im betting on both these starting pitchers going long and strong tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Under is 12-2 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 Under is 12-2 in Phillies last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-0-1 in Hernandezs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 starts vs. National League East. Play UNDER |
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06-28-19 | Royals v. Blue Jays -119 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. SEAN REID-FOLEY (R) This young Jays offence has really been generating alot of offence of late (6.3 rpg on a .298 BA in 7 games) and have looked good overall as is evident by winning two of three from the Boston Red Sox before dropping three close games in New York, including an 8-7 loss Wednesday. Im betting the Jays have an edge here today vs a KC team that iss ending Danny Duffy to the hill.Duffy is 2-3 with a 4.86 ERA in seven career appearances against the Blue Jays.  TORONTO is also 10-5 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. Blue KANSAS CITY is 11-24 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after 2 straight one run losses are 71-39 L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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06-27-19 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -109 | 5-1 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
The Giants are 5-1 in Beedes L/5 starts and they have won each of his last three outings and he gets my support here again. Meanwhile, the Dbacks starter Young was the D-backs’ second-round pick in the 2015 MLB Draft, and he will be making his Major League debut. The lefty went 2-3 with a 5.79 ERA in his eight starts for Triple-A Reno. Im betting hes not quite ready for the bigs, but the DBacks management figured the light hitting Giants would be a good opportunity to show his stuff at the MLB level. With that said, I still expect SFs batting order to do some damage here and get the win. Diamondbacks are 4-12 in their last 16 vs. National League West.Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.RIZONA is 14-25 against the money line against division opponents this season. LOVULLO is 11-23 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start as the manager of ARIZONA. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or better) (NL), with a slugging percentage of .350 or worse over their last 5 games are 12-40 L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF Giants to win on the ML |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg UNDER 58.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
The Eskimos offence has been rolling, but their defence has been very efficient as well, as was evident when the unit got to BC Lions quarterback Mike Reilly seven times last week. On the other side of the ball,  Winnipeg is well rested and off a bye, and will be ready to have their revamped D, do some work in the trenches this week and cool off the Eskimos attack. My projections make this total a little bloated and with that said, Im recommending we take and under stance here. EDMONTON is 9-1 L/10 UNDER in road games in June games with the combined average of 45.9 ppg scored. EDMONTON is 27-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a combined average of 49 ppg going on the board. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (WINNIPEG) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 48-22 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-27-19 | Rangers v. Tigers +109 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rangers RH Ariel Jurado (4-3, 4.44 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Spencer Turnbull (3-7, 3.29) Jurado the Rangers hurler today owns a a 7.29 ERA in 4 June starts and in 21 innings during that span opponents are hitting .280 on the season. In his career he owns a 5.61 ERA in 15 starts. Even though the Tigers are struggling I like their chances here today vs a hurler that is downtrending. MLB Road teams (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (AL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season are 33-72 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win on the ML |
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06-26-19 | Rays -103 v. Twins | 4-6 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
The Rays won 10 of Morton's first 14 starts, during which he went 8-0 with a 2.10 ERA. But Tampa Bay has lost each of his last two starts, butIm betting on a bounce bak effort from a very under rated hurler.Morton, the American League ERA leader at 2.31, is throwing his curve more than any other pitch and holding opponents to a .118 batting average with it. Minnesota is an explosive team that can hit top tier fire ballers, but they have shown some struggles against hurlers like Morton. I know the Rays have struggled of late, and that they will go against a tough pitcher in Odoirizzi but according to my power rankings matchup well here from a value perspective on this line. Rays are 5-0 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. American League Central.Rays are 7-2 in Mortons last 9 road starts. MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games are 164-222 L/5 seasons for a go against 58% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the TB Rays to win on the ML |
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06-26-19 | Sun v. Wings UNDER 149 | 73-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Connecticut (9-2) had its seven-game winning streak suddenly snapped Sunday in a 93-75 loss at Chicago, as they looked exhausted. This team has had problems in the recent past controlling their run and gun ways, and exhaustion has caught with them. The Sun now playing their 2nd straight road game and 3rd game over in the L/5 days Im betting their tired legs wont allow them to run with wreck-less abandon against a Dallas team that is both offensively challenged and defensively aware of making sure they don't get involved in a shoot out. This combination Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers estimations might indicate. I know Dallas looked defensively hapless and helpless last time out allowing 86 points in a 86-68 loss. However it must be noted that Agler is 21-6 UNDER in home games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game in all games he has coached since 1997 with a . combined average score of 144.5 ppg.Agler is 24-8 UNDER in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997 with a combined average of 136 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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06-26-19 | Nationals v. Marlins +137 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Nationals LH Patrick Corbin (6-5, 3.90 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Zac Gallen (0-0, 1.80) Gallen allowed one run over five innings with six strikeouts in his Major League debut Thursday in St. Louis. The 23-year-old settled for a no-decision, and will now have the momentum and confidence to get his first win here vs the Washington Nationals. Note" Gallen at Triple-A New Orleans, garnered a powerful 9-1 record and 1.77 ERA in 14 starts before he was promoted .Meanwhile, Corbin had a strong effort last time out, but previous to that has  been beaten up on in his previous three trips to hilll, giving up 20 runs and 22 hits over 12 2/3 innings of sub par work, and could easily return to those negative output vs a up trending Miami team that is very under valued on this this line.Nationals are 0-4 in Corbins last 4 road starts. CORBIN is 2-11 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)  CORBIN is 6-14 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Home team is 13-3 in Dreckmans last 16 games behind home plate. WASHINGTON is 11-22 against the money line in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons and is 7-18 against the money line after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season.  MLB Home teams (MIAMI) - very bad NL offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season are 83-41 for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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06-26-19 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
 Blue Jays RH Trent Thornton (2-5, 4.25 ERA) vs. Yankees LH James Paxton (5-3, 3.75) James Paxton the Yankees stater has won back-to-back starts, combining to permit three runs and 13 hits over 11 innings (2.45 ERA). He has walked four against 14 strikeouts in those outings. His current form and the fact they he is backed by one of baseballs most explosive offences averaging 5.7 rpg vs righties like the Jays starter Thornton makes this a viable runline option this afternoon favoring the Yankees. Note: The Jays offence has struggled in day games this season averaging just 3.1 rpg, while the Yankees offence has averaged 6.5 rpg in day tilts. MLB Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line +110 to +155) (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season are 13-35 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees on the RL -1.5 |
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06-26-19 | Mystics v. Sky UNDER 164.5 | 81-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
I think there are alot of numbers here that might scream over to the public but as usual the public over reacts to recency trends which is gives us value on what my own projections estimate to be a slightly bloated total giving us value with an under wager. WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 157.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 8-1 UNDER in road games after playing a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg scored. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (WASHINGTON) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 games are 71-33 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (WASHINGTON) - after one or more consecutive overs, a very good team (+7 PPG or more differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) are 42-17 . UNDER 22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-25-19 | Storm v. Aces -6 | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The Aces have not been consistent early on this season, but they are very under rated and have proven how explosive they can be while, my power ranking suggest the Seattle Storm are over achieving. This WNBA market is highly inefficient and my number suggests it should be closer to -8 favoring the Aces.. thus we have value laying the lumber . SEATTLE is 18-37 ATS L/55 in road games after a win by 6 points or less.Hughes is 24-41 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 40% or less in all games. Play on the Aces to cover |
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06-25-19 | Rays v. Twins -103 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rays LH Blake Snell (4-6, 4.40 ERA) vs. Twins RH Kyle Gibson (7-4, 4.18) Snell the Rays starter tonight vs Minnesota is coming off the shortest start of his career. He lasted one-third of an inning Wednesday against the Yankees and allowed six runs. He has allowed at least six runs in three of his last 10 starts and is fade material here in this spot vs a Minnesota team that owns the most prolific offence in MLB at 5.7 runs per tilt which includes a major league leading 147 home runs. Note: Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.Rays are 2-5 in Snells last 7 road starts.Rays are 0-4 in Snells last 4 starts vs. American League Central. Rays are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings. Tampa Bay is winless in four straight series (0-2-2) and are not playing consistent baseball at the moment despite of a fast start and overall are 4-9 L/13 overall. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the ML |
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06-24-19 | Rockies v. Giants +107 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
 Pomeranz the giants starter despite of some recent down efforts is still a viable hurler and is 2-0 along  with a 1.89 ERA in five career games (three starts) vs. the Rockies and according to my power rankings still matches up well vs the Rockies batting order. POMERANZ is 9-3 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Gray the Rockies starter ,  started six games in his career in San Francisco, going 0-3 with a 4.55 ERA and is 0-3 with a 5.18 ERA in seven lifetime starts against the Giants. GRAY is 5-19 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record) Giants are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing recordRockies are 2-5 in Grays last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Rockies are 2-5 in Grays last 7 starts vs. Giants.Rockies are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in San Francisco.Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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06-24-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +131 | 5-8 | Win | 131 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (7-1, 2.85 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (8-3, 2.91)  Greinke the DBacks starter has revenge on board for being smacked around for seven runs - four homers - over 3 2/3 innings versus the Dodgers in his season debut and now today here in the rematch we see him at his best. Meanwhile, Kershaw the Dodgers ace remains in good form, but has had some difficulties as a visitor here , as is evident by garnering a sub par  6-8 record along with a 3.70 ERA in 15 starts at Chase Field. There is substantial value here with the home underdog in a game that is closer to a coin flip than the moneyline might suggest. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Greinkes last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams (ARIZONA) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games are 35-10 L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona DBacks to win on the ML |
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06-24-19 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Matz struggled against the Braves in his last outing, allowing five or more runs for the third time this season. He failed to reach the sixth inning for the first time in his last six outings and my projections today suggest the the Phillies will score 6+ runs which makes this total vulnerable based on the Phillies output alone. Matz is 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA in seven starts against the Phillies. Meanwhile, Eflin the Phillies starter is 2-4 with a 5.40 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets, and I look for the Mets to enough damage to help us breach this number to the upside . Mets are 10-2-1 OVER L/13. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-2 in Mets last 8 games following a loss.Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.Over is 5-1-2 in Mets last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 overall.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-2-1 in Mets last 9 road games.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 on grass.Over is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 8-3-1 in Mets last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 18-7-4 in Mets last 29 during game 1 of a series. Play OVER |
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06-23-19 | Sparks +1 v. Mercury | 72-82 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
With the Sparks Candice Parker now making here third start since returning of injury should now have gotten rid of her rustiness and Im betting we see her at the top of her game. Road underdogs (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games and are 46-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. WNBA team vs the money line (PHOENIX) - after scoring 55 points or less are 26-2 L/5 seasons for a 93% SU conversion rate. Play on the LA Sparks to cover |
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06-23-19 | Astros -118 v. Yankees | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Astros RH Justin Verlander (9-3, 2.59 ERA) vs. Yankees LH J.A. Happ (7-3, 4.59) Verlander the Astros starter is a stopper and is 4-0 with a 1.25 ERA in his last six starts against New York. Im betting on him putting the current Astros losing streak to and end here today in NY. Astros are 21-5 in Verlanders last 26 road starts.Astros are 8-1 in Verlanders last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.HOUSTON is 34-11 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons ( Happ the Yanks starter is a southpaw) MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or less over his last 3 starts are 65-34 L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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06-23-19 | Braves -135 v. Nationals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Mike Soroka...RHP.....(8-1, 2.12 ERA, 62 SO) |
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06-23-19 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 9 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a low scoring 2-0 affair yesterday, but Im betting on a much higher scoring game here this afternoon with Plesac and Norris on the hill for the Tribe and Tigers respectively. Both of these hurlers according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well , which Im betting results in a higher scoring affair. Over is 8-2 in Norris' last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 3-1-2 in Tigers last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 3-1-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.Over is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 11-3-1 in Norris' last 15 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 20-9-4 in Indians last 33 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.Over is 4-0 in Norris' last 4 starts with Johnson behind home plate. Over is 13-3 in Johnsons last 16 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland. The Tigers are 8-0 OVER in franchise history as a road dog with Daniel Norris when he went six-plus innings in his last start, going over by an average of 5.45 runs per game. Play on the OVER |
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06-23-19 | Mystics v. Dream +9.5 | 89-73 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
The Dream according to my power rankings are one of the most under rated teams in the WNBA, and according to numbers we have value on the this home dog line.This is Washington's first game in Atlanta since winning Game 5 of the WNBA semifinals 86-81 last September. ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. WNBA Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, on Sunday games are 49-21 ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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06-23-19 | Mystics v. Dream UNDER 157.5 | 89-73 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Afternoon games have a tendency of being a little slower paced and Im betting that will be the case here this afternoon. WASHINGTON is 7-0 UNDER in road games off an road win where they scored 85 or more points over the last 3 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-3 UNDER in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons. Play UNDER |
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06-22-19 | Wings +13 v. Aces | 68-86 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
 After starting their season at 0-5 the Wings have won two straight and have momentum entering this game against Bill Lambeers Las Vegas Aces. Dallas has a recent history of success in this series having won 6 straight meetings overall and the L/3 here in Vegas and have enough talent to keep this game closer than the spread the linesmakers have placed on it might indicate. WNBA Road teams (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, in June games are 101-65 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (LAS VEGAS) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-31 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Wings to cover |
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06-22-19 | Astros +150 v. Yankees | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Miley the Astros start has allowed three or fewer runs in 14 of his 15 starts this year and must not be underestimated in his ability to give the Astros a quality start here vs the Yankees tonight. I know Tanaka the Yankees starter is off a brilliant effort, but in the past this has not been a recipe for success as his team is just is 1-6 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing this season. (Team's Record) Tanaka is also just 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in six career starts against Houston. I know both these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, with the Astros on a 6 game losing streak and the Yanks on 7 game win streak. However, it must be noted that despite of recent woes the Astros are still hitting well, just not getting runners home that are in scoring position, something that wont last. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts are just 78-96 L/5 seasons. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the ML |
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06-22-19 | Reds v. Brewers -115 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Chacin came off the injured list Monday and allowed two runs in 4 2/3 innings in a loss at San Diego. He was a bit wild early and threw 102 pitches, but he found the feel of his out pitch and recorded seven strikeouts on sliders and now looks to have momentum and strength to go deeper here and produce a quality start for the Brewers. Meanwhile, Red Starter Castillo's worst start of the season happened at Miller Park on May 22 and the lasting impression on that could be still riding in the back of his mind entering this tilt. In that game he only 2 2/3 innings during an 11-9 Reds loss where he earned a no-decison, the ace gave up four runs on five hits (including two homers) with three walks.Castillo is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA in two starts this season against the division rivals and 2-2 with a 3.50 ERA in six career starts against them overall. I know these teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum at the moment with the Reds on a 6 game winning streak and the Brewers on a 5 game losing streak, but all good and bad runs must eventually come to end, and now today Im betting on those recent biases being busted in this spot play.  COUNSELL is 16-0 against the money line revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite as the manager of MILWAUKEE.  MILWAUKEE is 15-1 against the money line after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 19-3 against the money line off a loss to a division rival as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts are 40-17 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the ML |
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06-21-19 | BC +4 v. Edmonton | 23-39 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 42 m | Show | |
Mike Reilly BCs newly acquired star QB Im betting will be key here to them covering vs his former team the Edmonton Eskimos a side that is not disciplined and takes to many penalties. Reilly in three straight seasons produced 5,500-plus passing yards and gets my support here in what could be coin flip game , which makes getting points a value investment option.Â
CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - good passing defense from last season - allowed 245 or less passing yards/game are 25-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the BC Lions to cover |
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06-21-19 | BC v. Edmonton UNDER 56 | 23-39 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
CJ Gable had a big game in debut in Week 1 for the Edmonton Eskimos, putting up the second highest total rushing yards in his time in Edmonton. He amassed 20 carries and Im betting after that success the Eskimos will look to the ground game consistently in effort to set up their aerial attack. However, Im estimating BCs top tier secondary will clamp down here and hold the Eskies offence to limited production. Also from my perspective I believe the Eskimos secondary will be ready for their former QB Reilly and will formulate some strong defensive schemes that will slow him down. Overall I expect a hard fought battle between long time rivals and a score that stays on the low side of the total. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-14 UNDER in road games after allowing 200 or less passing yards in their last game with a combined average score in those 46 games clicking in at 46.6 ppg. CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (EDMONTON) - after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse and are 39-14 UNDER L/22 seasons fora 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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06-21-19 | Angels -108 v. Cardinals | 1-5 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Angels RH Griffin Canning (2-3, 3.93 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (4-3, 6.00) I not always a big proponent of backing rookie hurlers like Canning, but there are occasions where I see enough value on the line to get down on an inexperienced hurler. Note: Canning has owned left-handed hitters and held them to a .163 average and did well in his only career interleague start, holding the Los Angeles Dodgers to three runs over six innings in a no-decision on June 10. Cards pitcher Wacha has made two starts since returning from a bullpen , and the results were quite contrasting. After throwing six shutout innings against Miami, Wacha was knocked for six runs (five earned) in a four-inning start versus the Mets last week and against a hard hitting Halos team very much looks like fade material. After all Wacha went to the bullpen for a reason that is not positive in the first place, and just does not seem right at the moment. The right hander has garnered a 8.23 ERA in 4 home starts. WACHA is 2-8 against the money line in home games in an inter-league game in his career. (Team's Record) Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starterCardinals are 2-5 in Wachas last 7 interleague starts. Play on the LA Angels to win on the ML |
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06-21-19 | Fever v. Sky UNDER 164 | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
When these two teams played last week, the total was set at 166 and the under cashed with only 134 total points going on the board. Im betting the same kind of pace, and shooting is once again going to play out in a total score that once again fails to eclipse the number. I know the The Sky's three-guard combo of Courtney Vandersloot, Allie Quigley, and Diamond DeShields looked explosive and combined for 50 points in their 91-83 win at New York on Wednesday night, but the Fever, know this will be primed to play a tough brand of D, and Im also betting on a regression shooting out put by the Sky here in a game that will be much lower scoring than the linesmakers expect. INDIANA is 14-5 UNDER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 76% or more of their attempts over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 156 ppg. INDIANA is 10-2 UNDER after a game attempting 80 or more shots with a combined average of 153.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 26-13 UNDER off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals with a combined average of 149.9 ppg scored. WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (CHICAGO) - off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 51-24 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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06-21-19 | Dream +12.5 v. Sun | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
 According to my power rankings the Atlanta Dream are much better than their record might indicate and they offer us value on the line here this evening vs the Sun.  The Dream did beat the Fever last time out, and have momentum entering this game, and Im betting they wont be easy outs even though they continue to adjust without star Angel McCoughtry out of the lineup. Atlanta has won and covered 2 of their L/3 visits here against the Sun. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - averaging 45 or more rebounds/game on the season, in May, June, or July games are 8-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. WNBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (CONNECTICUT) - dominant rebounding team - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game, in May, June, or July games are 9-29 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Atlanta Dream to cover |
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06-21-19 | Mets v. Cubs OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
The NYM send left-handed Vargas (3-3, 3.74 ERA) to the hill against the right-handed Cubs pitcher Darvish (2-3, 4.65 ERA) in the second game of a four-game series. Both these pitchers have been inconsistent, but what makes this total vulnerable, is the Mets bullpen and the Cubs sometimes explosive offence. Note: Entering Thursday the Mets owned the 11th-worst ERA in the majors (4.67) and the third-worst bullpen ERA (5.38). Over is 7-2-1 in Vargas' last 10 road starts.Over is 6-2-3 in Vargas' last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. 6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons here in Chicago. Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a loss.Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 during game 2 of a series.Over is 8-1-1 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.Over is 5-1-1 in Mets last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 8-2 in Mets last 10 overall.Over is 8-2 in Mets last 10 on grass.Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 Friday games.Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. National League Central.Over is 7-2 in Mets last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. Play OVER |
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06-20-19 | Rays v. A's -109 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Montas the As starter tonight vs TB continues to strengthen his case for a spot on the AL All-Star team with each start. The A's are 10-4 in games he's taken the mound, and he has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 13 of his 14 starts and gets my support here tonight. MONTAS is 12-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Charlie Morton despite of a good record, is fade material here vs a batting order my power rankings suggest he does matchup well against. OAKLAND is 7-0 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. TAMPA BAY is 4-10 against the money line vs. excellent power teams - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game this season. TAMPA BAY is 6-14 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings this season. Home teams (OAKLAND) - excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 0.800 or better over his last 3 starts are 43-19 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oakland to win on the ML |
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06-20-19 | Mystics +4 v. Aces | 95-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Washington looked explosive and dominating when they opened a stretch of four consecutive road contests with a conclusive 81-52 victory at Los Angeles on Tuesday. I know their hosts the Aces have won 2 straight, but my power ranking suggest they will have their hands full of a confident team playing with immediate momentum. WNBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after a combined score of 155 points or more in 3 straight games are 32-10 ATS L/22 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Mystics to cover |
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06-20-19 | Mets v. Cubs -124 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
Mets RH Walker Lockett (2018: 0-3, 9.60 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Tyler Chatwood (3-1, 3.60) With Kyle Hendricks (right shoulder) out, Chatwood will get the call against the Mets. Chatwood made a spot start on April 21 and delivered six shutout innings against the D-backs. He has a 2.87 ERA in his past 15 games.NY METS are 1-11 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. Meanwhile, the Mets starter, Lockett will be called up to make his Mets debut Thursday against the Cubs and is fade material. He was beaten around in San Diego last season for 16 runs and 22 hits in just 15 innings. Cubs are 5-0 in Chatwoods last 5 home starts.Cubs are 6-1 in Chatwoods last 7 starts.Mets are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings.Mets are 5-16 in their last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 4-13 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Mets are 6-20 in their last 26 road games.Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHICAGO CUBS) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 43-9 L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML |
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