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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-19-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +101 | 2-7 | Win | 101 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - LAD Leads 3-2 Im expecting the Brewers starter Miley won't be pulled after one batter this time around, and now extremely rested and energized I expect his top tier work to continue tonight at home in game 6 of this series. The southpaw in postseason action this season has pitched shutout baseball into the sixth against Ryu and the Dodgers in Game 2 last weekend in 10.1 innings of work this October, has limited the Rockies and Dodgers to just five hits overall. Im betting he at home tonight he gives his team an edge.Dodgers starters have had their struggles in the series, combining for a 4.10 ERA through the first five games and I expect the Brewers to get up in the early innings than hold off the Dodgers for a Game 7.MILWAUKEE is 8-1 against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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10-19-18 | Kings v. Pelicans UNDER 231 | 129-149 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Looking at last years matchups in this series , The Kings beat the Pelicans, 116-109 in overtime and 114-101, in New Orleans while the Pelicans prevailed in both games in Sacramento, 114-106 and 114-101. Im expecting a similar type combed score here tonight. I know both teams put up a boatload full of points in wide open tilts last time out, but a more muted effort after exerting that much energy and converting at such a high level is a above average probability occurrence in this spot. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, team that had a winning record last season are 27-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking at 204 ppg. Also From an extensive data base of more than 2000 games played in the invoicing the Pelicans and other NBA teams the average of tonights score in similar multiple trends situations is in range between 217 and 224 ppg. So despite of their being no obvious guarantees their still is evidence of this number being slightly bloated thus giving us value. Play UNDER |
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10-19-18 | Knicks +3.5 v. Nets | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Two rebuilding teams continue their rivalry tonight as the New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets do battle in the big apple. Both look evenly matched and I consider this type of game a neutral court event, thus getting points with the Knicks looks like a viable wagering opportunity despite of them playing without key player Kristaps Porzingis. With Tim Hardaway Jr., getting more touches because of Porzingis absence Im betting the Knicks will be a handful for the Nets and have an edge. Add to that the Nets are pretty banged up with and maybe without Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (left adductor), DeMarre Carroll (right ankle surgery), Allen Crabbe (left ankle sprain) and Shabazz Napier (strained right hamstring) who all missed the first game.The Knicks swept the season series by an average of 14.8 points, getting all four wins before Porzingis was lost, but believe they still offer up a lot of bad matchups even with him gone. NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the New York Knicks to cover |
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10-19-18 | Hornets -2 v. Magic | 120-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
The Magic opened up with a 104-101 victory over the Miami Heat, getting the W despite not making a field goal for the final 4 1/2 minutes and after trailing by 14 in the first quarter , telling us yes small miracles sometimes happen. Im betting in their followup tilt they will not be so fortunate vs a decent looking Hornets squad that despite of a loss in their first game , almost came back from 20 point deficit thanks to some fast paced small ball. According to my team vs team power rankings and matchups the Magic do matchup well vs this type of opposition. Charlotte has won 14 of the last 18 meetings and 4 straight and 10 of its last 12 trips to Orlando and get the nod again in this spot to cover the number. ORLANDO is 9-22 ATS after a division game over the last 3 seasons. A long term NBA trend shows Home underdogs (ORLANDO) - off a close home win by 3 points or less are a bad bet as these teams are just 123-191 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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10-18-18 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks -140 | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
Coyotes are getting more competitive but despite of that are fade material here tonight according to my current power rankings vs a Chicago team that Im betting is better than advertised. The Blackhawks showed their speed and fortitude in a 7-6 loss to the explosive Leafs and have won 3 of their first 5 games and have the edge here on home ice again vs a Coyotes side that has lost 4 of their first 5 games and scored just 4 goals in total. Blackhawks are 66-22 in their last 88 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Blackhawks are 73-32 in their last 105 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Coyotes are 43-106 in their last 149 vs. a team with a winning record.Coyotes are 43-106 in their last 149 vs. a team with a winning record. ARIZONA is 0-9 ATS against terrible power play teams - scoring on 13% or less of their chances over the last 3 seasons.ARIZONA is 2-17 ATS in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the first half of the season since 1996. NHL Home teams against the money line (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs, average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) vs a poor team (-0.4 goal/game diff. or less ) are 32-3 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win on the moneyline |
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10-18-18 | Heat v. Wizards -5 | 113-112 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat enter this tilt vs the their hosts the Washington Wizards on tired legs after playing last night and garnering a hard fought 104-101 loss vs long time instate rivals the Orlando Magic. Im betting things won't get much better , as the Heat are banged up and were shorthanded last night without James Johnson (sports hernia), Dion Waiters (left ankle), Wayne Ellington (left ankle), and Justise Winslow (right hamstring), and they are expected to miss Thursday's game as well. Look for Washington to be primed to get things rolling in the right direction on opening night behind four key returning starters John Wall, Bradley Beal, Otto Porter Jr. and Markieff Morris and possibly newly acquired with the hobbled Dwight Howard, who averaged 16.6 points and 12.5 rebounds last season with Charlotte. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games are 3-25 ATS in their follow up game since 1996 for a longterm go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs (MIAMI) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 2-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover |
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10-18-18 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 7.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The Red Sox in this NLCS game will go left-hander David Price (0-1, 9.95 ERA over two starts this postseason) . Price r has looked nasty in the post season and in 11 career play off starts is (0-9, 6.16 ERA) and in Game 2 allowed four runs on five hits and four walks over 4 2/3 innings. Im betting the Astros get after him today and unleash some damage on him and his incoming bullpen. His opponent from the Astrosi n Game 1, Verlander limited the Red Sox to two runs on two hits. But he issued four walks and is is susceptible to being reached by a Bosox team that spanked right handers for a.271 BA this season and 5.5 rpg on average. Five of the L/6meetings here in Houston have gone over and Im betting on this number being eclipsed this evening. Play on the OVER |
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10-17-18 | Mavs v. Suns -1.5 | 100-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
I don't have a lot of perceived early season expectations for both of these teams and both are on my wait and see list, with a dozen other sides. One thing Im sure of though is that. Suns first round pick 7'1 center Deandre Ayton will be a key contributor to the Suns successes or failures going forward. However, from a head to head matchup comparison, I like the Suns chances of victory as shot home chalk, as Dallas will be without their injured star big man Nowitzki and also small forward Harrison Barnes. Overall the Mavs don't inspire me considering their current lineup and expect Euro star acquisition Doncic to take time to acclimated the physical NBA style of play. From a matchup perspective based on my my early season power rankings charts, and the fact that key Suns guard previously injured Devon Booker is expected to play tonight the Suns look like viable choices here at home. Add to that recent meetings that have proven my head to head synopsis correct show the Suns winning all 3 meetings last season SU, including the L/5 meetings overall.DALLAS is 2-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Phoenix Suns to cover |
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10-17-18 | Islanders v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
The Islanders under new HC Barry Trotz now play a defence style style of hockey and I expect thats what we will see from them tonight here in their first game of a West Coast road trip. The Isles have averaged 2.8 gpg this season in offence, and have allowed 2.4 gpg on D, and have already recorded 1 shutout behind tonights expected starting goalie Lehner. The Ducks a team with a boatload full of injures are averaging just 2.7 goals per game but allowing just 2.2 gpg. With leading scorer Jakob Silfverberg experiencing a nagging injury, and less than 100% the Ducks Im betting will continue their defensive mind set behind a top tier goalie Gibson who owns a a 2.07 GAA and .944 save percentage this season. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Anaheim. Play UNDER |
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10-17-18 | Grizzlies v. Pacers -6.5 | 83-111 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
Indiana towards the end of late season, really started to jell as a team, and went into the play offs with a full head of steam, giving the Cleveland Cavaliers all they could handle before folding. Im betting that post season experience will help this team ascend to even higher heights this season. Add to that last seasons entire starting lineup returns intact including the explosive Oladipo and a deep bench with the likes of Sabonis , Joseph , McDermott and Quinn as well as first round picks Leaf and Aaron Holiday and you have a dangerous deep team to back. Memphis also looks to be much better this season with Conely healthy again after playing only 12 games last season. But unfortunately for the Grizzlies they are going up against what my early season lean suggests is the superior side on this home chalk line. INDIANA is 19-8 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Indiana 110.1 Opposition 101.4 NBA Favorites vs. the money line (INDIANA) - in non-conference games, first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers are 37-5 SU L/5 seasons for 88% conversion rate with the average margin of victory coming by 10.5 ppg. Play on Indiana to cover |
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10-17-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Miley the starter tonight for the Brewers was in top form in Game 2 of the series Saturday in Milwaukee, recording 6 +scoreless innings and Im betting on more top tier work here today vs a Dodgers batting order that he feels comfortable facing. Miley has now had two scoreless appearances in this season play offs. Meanwhile, former Cy Young award winner Clayton Kershaw the Dodgers starter, after a down effort last time out, will be primed to bounce back here today. This is the kind of guy that does his best work when he feels he has something to prove, and after negative media reports about his demise, he definitely has a chip on his shoulder entering this fray. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 6-2-1 in Kershaws last 9 starts vs. Brewers. Adding to the drama is that Game 5 will be played less than 15 hours after the ending to Game 4, which lasted 5 hours, 15 minutes and was the second-longest NLCS game by time after Game 5 in 1999 between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves went 5:46. both sides will exhibit tiredness which will buoy what the lines makers are expecting, and that is a low scoring game. Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games.Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 on grass.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 overall.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games following a loss.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 playoff games.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. National League West.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 playoff road games. Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 League Championship road games.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 41-19 in Brewers last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Mileys last 7 road starts. Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 playoff home games.Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 League Championship home games. Under is 21-5-1 in Dodgers last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 20-5-1 in Dodgers last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League Central.Under is 7-2-1 in Dodgers last 10 League Championship games.Under is 7-2-1 in Dodgers last 10 playoff games.Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 on grass.Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.Under is 23-9-3 in Dodgers last 35 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 Wednesday games. |
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10-16-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 4 - MIL Leads 2-1 The Dodgers had their chances Monday, despite of losing 4-0 ,as they went just 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position. Thats the kind stink that usually stays on a team for while, and Im betting that funk continues tonight against the Brewers pitching that held the Dodgers to just 3 hits in the first 8 innings and team that has recorded 6 shutout in this years play offs so far. Meanwhile, the Dodgers pitching remains strong and I expect Hill to throw darts here today and keep the Brewers batting order under control I ga em that Im betting fails to eclipse the total. Note Hill allowed two earned runs in 12 innings in two starts vs the Brew Crew this season. . Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 playoff home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 home games.Over is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 20-5-1 in Dodgers last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 19-6-1 in Dodgers last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 playoff games.Under is 13-5-1 in Dodgers last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Over is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 22-9-3 in Dodgers last 34 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 18-8-2 in Dodgers last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games.Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 on grass.Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 overall.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games following a win.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 playoff games.Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. National League West.Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 playoff road games. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. Play UNDER |
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10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 209 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
The public with a little bit of irrational exuberance has hit this game hard to go over on the opening Total. However, I myself am expecting a more constrained defensive effort from both teams as the game progresses despite of this being the opening game of the season on prime time tv. Both teams were ranked top 5 in overall efficiency and overall defensive stats last season, and both were proficient in limiting FG to under 50%. Looking at the Boston Celtics they are now introducing two new cogs into their lineup and it may slow them to an extent as Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward come back from injuries. Im betting both despite of being big time scorers take time to acclimated to the speed of the game after being off for extended periods of time and it will take time before they become more cohesive and jell with their team-mates. Add to that the Sixers usually play at a much faster pace, so the Celtics who had a 102.9 defensive rating at home last season, will primed to slow these guys down as much as possible, in order to throw them out of rhythm and control the pace to their liking. Last years play off experience Im betting pays off here this evening. BOSTON L/62 games when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 201.3 ppg go on the board. These teams went under in 3 of 4 meetings last season. The one that did go over was on neutral court in London England. Play UNDER |
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10-16-18 | Coyotes v. Wild -140 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
I know the Minnesota Wild have not played top tier hockey out of the gate this season, but they are a talented enough group to take out the Arizona Coyotes that lacks true snipers here at home tonight behind star goalie Devan Dubnyk. who has posted a top tier .934 save percentage, along with a 2.64 goals-against average. Yes he is only 1-1-2 on the season, but that is because of his teams inconsistencies on the attack. That's something Im betting they correct tonight in Minnesota. Note: MINNESOTA is 15-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Wild are 40-13 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two terrible teams (30% or less) in the first half of the season are 28-3 L/21 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Minnesota Wild to win on the moneyline |
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10-16-18 | Hurricanes v. Lightning -145 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
When your as talented as the TB Lightning it sometimes takes a little bit of motivation to reach your optimal performance levels. Thats what we have tonight , as the Bolts off a 8-2 pounding of Columbus host a Carolina team playing above average out of the gate this season, from a W/L perspective (4-1-0-1). However their are some obvious discrepancies between their record and some key stats, as their special teams, rank 25th on the power play and 28th on the penalty kill and their at a disadvantage vs a side that has yet to allow a power play goal this season and went 4 for 7 on the PP in their last game. Also Carolina is now playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, which is never a good thing, and even worse when it comes to taking on this type of opponent. Note: Hurricanes are 2-12 in their last 14 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.Hurricanes are 7-20 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. With thats said, I expect the home side to come out here on fire and show their up trending opponents what its like to play against an established contender. Tampa Bay has won 7 straight at home in this series and notching another victory Im betting is a high probability occurrence again. Tonights starting goalie for TB Andrei Vasilevskiy was 2-0-0 with a 2.50 goals-against average and .922 save percentage in his two starts vs the Canes last season. Play on the TB Lightning to win on the moneyline |
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10-16-18 | Avalanche -135 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
The Rangers are in a complete rebuilding mode, and no longer a steady threat to opposing teams, even here at home in MSG as their 1-4 record would already indicate . They still have veteran star goalie Lindquist in the lineup , but he no longer regularly snatches victory from the jaws of defeat. Meanwhile, the Avalanche 3-1-1 are a team on the rise, and must be respected here as short road chalk. Last season, the Avalanche were 2-0-0 against the Rangers, outscoring them 7-3 and another victory Im betting is on tonights agenda in the Big Apple. Avs Starting Goalie Seymon Varmalov is 3-0-0-1 with a 1.75 GAA and .946 save percentage this season and last season turned in a 37-save performance in a 4-2 victory here in Madison Square Garden. Avalanche are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in New York.Avalanche are 18-8 in the last 26 meetings.Road team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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10-15-18 | 49ers v. Packers UNDER 46.5 | 30-33 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
The Packers are a injury riddled group right now and Aaron Rodgers looks less than 100% healthy ,but their defence is holding up well and have held their last two opponents to season low outputs.I expect they will continue to stand tall vs a Niners team with a uncertain QB situation thanks to Jimmy G being out with an injury and top RB (Jerick McKinnon) out, and it must also be noted that eight offensive players were on the sideline during Thursday's practice due to injuries. Also an interesting trends run here indicates GB could be in a letdown situation as they have gone under 8 straight times after playing long time rivals Detroit who they faced last week. Meanwhile, SF despite of losing to Arizona thanks to 5 turnovers last week held the Arizona Cards to 220 yards of Total offence. The 49ers D, has not always looked cohesive this season, but considering how banged up the Packers are they have a viable opportunity to make them selves look like respectable stoppers this Monday night. Look for two banged up offences to play fairly conservatively here this evening, and for this combined total to stay on the low side of the number. NFL team against the total (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 4 straight games are 26-3 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. The average posted total was 46 and the average combined score clicked in at 38.4 ppg. Play UNDER |
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10-15-18 | Wild v. Predators UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Two top tier goalies go head to head Monday night in Nashville, as Pekka Rinne and the Predators host Devan Dubnyk and the Minnesota Wild in a Central Division battle. The Wild Goalie Dubnyk owns. a 2.64 GAA and .934 save percentage this season. He recorded a a 1.96 GAA and .934 save percentage against the Predators last season. The Preds starting goalie Rinne has registered a stingy 1.67 GAA and .946 save percentage this season and recorded 2.98 GAA and .903 save percentage against Minnesota last season. Considering the goalie matchup and we all ready have a strong case for a lower scoring game, but current circumstances suggest that Minnesota will play a conservative transistional style of hockey tonight against a explosive opponent playing on their own home ice, thus making the under a viable betting opportunity. Under is 4-0 in Wild last 4 road games.Under is 6-1 in Wild last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Wild last 5 vs. Western Conference Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Nashville. Play on the UNDER |
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10-15-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -166 | 4-0 | Loss | -166 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers 12 game win streak came to abrupt end last time out after a game 2 loss that saw them blow an early lead. Now with the Dodgers back in the friendly confines of Chez Ravine they look like a strong candidate to hand the Brewers their second loss in a row behind the arm of Beuhler who has won his L/3 home starts and owned a 1.93 ERA and 84 strikeouts across 74 2/3 innings at Dodger Stadium this season. Buehler allowed only one run in seven innings when L.A. hosted Milwaukee on July 31 and according to my power rankings matches up well against them. With the Brewers most consistent hitter now in a slump ( Yelich) batting just.188 in the play offs I can feel the momentum beginning to shift towards the Dodgers. Meanwhile, the Dodgers matchup well against the Brewers pitcher Jhoulys Chacin (15-8, 3.50 ERA) who they faced quite a bit when he was the Padres, which was evident last time he visited here when got blasted for 8 runs in just 4.1 innings of shoddy work. If Chacin falters his usually reliable bullpen is starting to look wobbly as is eviident by allowing 8 runs in the first two game of this series, and Im betting won't provide true relief here . Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 League Championship games.Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots OVER 59 | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 83 h 24 m | Show | |
The KC Chiefs and their young gunslinger QB Patrick Mahomes goes head to head with future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady this Sunday night in a prime time affair with a justifiably high total attached to it. Both teams can put points up in bunches and both have shown a reluctance or inability to play consistent defence. Last year KC came into New England and won a 42-27 battle, and if the Pats get up here you know they won't take the pedal of the metal , knowing how explosive the Chiefs can be, and also wanting to inflict some pain on their opponent in revenge mode. KC will respond in kind . Let the fireworks begin. OVER. New England has averaged 34,3 ppg at home this season. KC's offence has averaged 35.7 ppg on the road and the D has give up 29.3 ppg. NFL games with an exceptionally high Totals line of 58 or more points have gone 7-0-1 O/U since since the 2000 campaign . The highest total ever registered was 60 points back in 2004 where KC and Oakland put 61 points on the board eclipsing the 60 point totals line. Play on the OVER |
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10-14-18 | Hurricanes v. Jets -170 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Jets are off a hard fought 3-0 loss vs the Nashville Preds last time out. It was like a Hanson Brothers Hockey movie with the Jets taking 8 minor penalties and fighting galore. Old school hockey at its best. Now coming home Im betting they will be motivated to take out their frustrations in front of their home town fans here this evening vs a Carolina team playing some very good hockey at the moment as is evident by their 4-0-0-1 record. Their 3 most recent victories have ben wide open affairs, but getting room to play free wheeling hockey will be difficult for the Canes against a very physical Jets team that takes pride in their top tier ability to play a tough defensive system. With this also being a back back situation for the Canes Im betting their at a disadvantage vs a Winnipeg team on two days rest. Hurricanes are 4-9 in their last 13 games playing on with no rest. Jets are 6-0 in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. WINNIPEG is 12-0 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons and s 11-1 ATS in home games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons and also is 18-3 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last couple of seasons. Jets are 14-3 in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.Jets are 44-13 in their last 57 home games. NHL favorite against the money line (WINNIPEG) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 28-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the moneyline |
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10-14-18 | Ravens v. Titans OVER 41 | 21-0 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 9 m | Show | |
The Titans style of play is a old school approach to the game and methodical in nature. They like to smash and crash their way to the promised land , while the Ravens like to run and gun and utilize their array of offensive weapons. Here today, Im betting the Titans will have no choice to open up against a team that can pile points upon a hurry. Both teams took part in low scoring affairs last week and will be itching to see their offences flow this week. Baltimore lost to Cleveland 12-9 and are 8-1 OVER after they score 10 points or less.TENNESSEE is 21-6 OVER after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points since 1992 which happened against Buffalo in a 13-12 loss last week and 7-1 OVER L/8 after the scored 13 or less points The L/3 games in this series have gone over with a combined average of 45 points per game going on the board. NFL team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (TENNESSEE) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half, after allowing 14 points or less last game are 26-4 OVER L/10 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Road teams against the total (BALTIMORE) - off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 30-9 OVER L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-14-18 | Panthers v. Redskins OVER 44.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -107 | 68 h 21 m | Show | |
The Redskins enter this game on short rest after their defence was exposed on Monday night vs the New Orleans Saints as they lost 43-19. Meanwhile, the Panthers D, did not look much better in a 33-31 win vs the NY Giants last week and more importantly were out gained 432 to 350 yards. It must be noted that Washington is 12-0 OVER on a natural surface vs a non-divisional opponent that allowed more points and more than 345 yards of offense in their last game. The Panthers are 19-0 OVER since 1998 as a dog when the total is over 34 coming off a game that went over the total by at least 14 points. The Panthers feature the league's top-ranked ground game, averaging 154.0 yards per game which is a good omen for us cashing a OVER ticket as the Redskins are 15-0 OVER vs a team that is averaging at least 28.5 rushes per game. CAROLINA is 17-3 OVER L/20 in road games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored with a combined average of 51.5 ppg scored.CAROLINA is 7-0 OVER vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 61.5 ppg. WASHINGTON is 7-0 OVER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 56 ppg. WASHINGTON is 6-0 OVER vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 57.2 ppg scored. WASHINGTON is 13-4 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 49 ppg scored. NFL games are 18-0 OVER since the start of last season in non-divisional games that are lined within three of pickem between teams with the same winning percentage, as long as the host team is not on a five-plus game winning or losing streak. NFLRoad teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (CAROLINA) - with a turnover margin of +1 /game or better on the season, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 51-19 OVER L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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10-14-18 | Colts +2.5 v. Jets | 34-42 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 2 m | Show | |
The Jets despite of notching a win last week, vs a sleepy looking Denver team were not particularly efficient and still had two turnovers, which is not a good omen for them this week vs top tier QB Andrew Luck and Colts. It must be noted that NFL teams that had fewer than six wins the previous season are 0-18 ATS at home when they are off a home win in which they committed two-plus turnovers and have lost 15 of the 18 games SU. Meanwhile, the Colts are off having their butts kicked in a Thursday night clash last week in prime time, and have shown a propensity to bounce back well with Luck at the helm of the offence, as is evident by Indys record when coming off a SUATS loss, recording a 22-4 SU mark along with a bankroll expanding 21-5 ATS record in his NFL career – including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS against below .500 opposition and a perfect 7-0 ATS when coming off a non-division double- digit loss as was the case vs the Indianapolis and is also 12-1 ATS vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a loss by more than a TD in which their opponent had more third down conversions than punts. With that said, expect Luck and company to cash this week vs a Jets side that is 0-4 ATS L/4 off a SU/ATS win. NFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents), after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 19-47 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. |
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10-14-18 | Cardinals v. Vikings UNDER 43 | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 30 m | Show | |
Arizona has not played aggressively this season, and have actually been quite methodical in their approach and now tonight against a superior side in an away game I expect for the Cards to very conservative again . I know some might think that Arizona will be suddenly aggressive aftertaste weeks win, but they had only 220 total yards in the game and picked up just 10 first downs in the victory, and will once again be in that frame of mind here. The Cardinals are 0-8 UNDER on the road coming off a win where they gained no more than 18 first downs Minnesota after big revenge win vs the defending Super Bowl Champion Eagles last week 23-21 and will be a in letdown scenario this week and could be just going through the motions vs a side that Im sure their not the inspired to play against. Minnesota is 1-9 UNDER as a home favourite of 8 points or more and have gone UNDER 9 straight times as a home favorite of more than a TD coming off a tilt where they covered. MINNESOTA is 6-0 UNDER L/ 6 in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 33.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-14-18 | Bucs +3 v. Falcons | 29-34 | Loss | -100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this game banged up and displaying a atrocious D that is allowing just under 400 yards a game. Should they really be a FG favorite even here at home in their current state, Im saying maybe based on perceptions and respect from the recent past successes. However, based on tangible evidence and their current form, I definitely say their fade material vs a Tampa Bay team that must not be underestimated in their ability to upset them. I know TB is coming off two straight losses, including an embarrassing 48-10 loss at Chicago Sept. 30. But pros don't like to be embarrassed and with a week of rest will be hell bent on getting redemption. TB has also shown a propensity to bounce back, on the road after a bye and are 5-1 ATS with rest. ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS L/28 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. NFL Home teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games are 10-27 SU for a go against SU conversion rate of 73% for bettors. NFL team (TAMPA BAY) - after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 34-9 ATS L/10 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tampa Bay to cover |
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10-14-18 | Seahawks -2.5 v. Raiders | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 65 h 26 m | Show | |
Wembley Stadium - London, England The Seahawks are showing some signs of life after many began to write them off earlier this season as they have won 2 of their L/3 games and played a top tier LA Rams team tough last week losing a 33-31 battle but covering as 7 point dogs. Meanwhile, Oakland is showing very little life and have lost 4 of their first 5 games thanks mostly to a defense that is allowing 29.8 ppg and an offense that has scored more than 20 points once this season. Look for Seattle a team that averages 23.2 ppg to do some damage this week and to get us a cover. OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons. NFL Favorites vs. the money line (SEATTLE) - team with a turnover diff. of +0.75/game or better against a team with a diff of -0.75/game or worse, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better are 38-3 L/10 seasons for a SU 93% conversion rate for bettors. with the average victory coming by 9.6 ppg. Play on Seattle to cover |
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10-13-18 | Wyoming +18 v. Fresno State | 3-27 | Loss | -106 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
Im sure Wyoming does not inspire a lot of betting backers, because of their sub par record and crappy offence. But one thing this team can do is eat up clock and slow their games down to a crawl via a slow progressive run game, and a defence that is highly under rated. Note: WYOMING is 13-4 ATS L/17 as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points . I know Fresno State looked powerful this season with their only loss coming against Minnesota, but it must be noted that Wyoming owns a 8-0 ATS record as road underdogs of 23 or less points vs opp coming off consecutive victories and are viable investment options in this spot. With that said, Im betting Fresno State is getting to much respect here for beating a struggling UCLA side and a defensively deficient Toledo team travelling from east to west , and that Wyoming actually maybe more of headache for them then what the home side might expect. CFB team (WYOMING) - after 5 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 35-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (FRESNO ST) - after allowing 6 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 14-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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10-13-18 | Astros v. Red Sox -110 | 7-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The Red Sox own the better offence and the Astros the better pitching. Sale the Red Sox starter today is however the best individual pitcher in this series, and the Red Sox know how important it is to grab a win with him on the hill in this series. One mistake and the Red Sox are toast, as Houston is just two deep and has very few if any holes in their lineup. Look for the Red Sox to leave everything on the filed today behind Sales and find a way to win here in the Friendly confines of Fenway Park.Im not putting down Justin Verlander the Astros starter as he's a fine pitcher but Boston has done their best work vs right handed starters this as is evident by a 88-39 run against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Astros are 2-8 in their last 10 League Championship road gamesAstros are 1-4 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. American League East. Red Sox are 11-1 in Sales last 12 starts on a natural surfaceRed Sox are 6-1 in Sales last 7 home starts. Play on the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 |
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10-13-18 | Ole Miss v. Arkansas +7 | 37-33 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show | |
Ole Miss are weak 7 point favs here according to my calculations. Overall this Ole Miss football program have been poor road favs failing to cover 24 of their L/30 in that role. I know they put 70 points up on UL Monroe last week, but their will be a reversion backwards in their output here, and with their defence as atrocious as it is, I expect a Arkansas offence that put 31 point on the board vs Alabama last week do a lot of damage here today in what could easily be a straight up win. t Arkansas is 10-4 SU and 11-3 ATS in this series with Ol Miss of late , and are 6-1 ATS l at home and 6-1 ATS under dogs. the two most recent meetings in this series were decided by 4 and 1 point respectively. ARKANSAS is 21-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992. ARKANSAS is 25-12 ATS off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival since 1992 OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more over the last 2 seasonsOLE MISS is 0-6 ATS after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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10-13-18 | Middle Tennessee State +2.5 v. Florida International | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Middle Tennessee State have just won 2 straight as underdogs vs Marshall and Florida Atlantic and being under rated again, and a good bet to cover and even win outright here today vs a Florida International side they matchup well against.Meanwhile, Florida International is being over rated because of big offensive explosions against nasty D, Ark Pine Bluff and Umass and despite of looking offensively cohesive do not matchup well vs a physical Middle Tenn State side that has shown dominance in this series winning 5 of the L/6 meetings. CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIDDLE TENN ST) - off a double digit road win, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record are 26-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Middle Tennessee State to cover |
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10-13-18 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals -115 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
The Leafs have an explosive team with John Tavares Auston Mathews and an array of other top tier offensive talent on their team, but their Achilles heel is their defence which looks below average at 4.00 GAA per game with top goalie Andersen with a sub par ..892 SV% . At this point in the season the Leafs just try to overpower their opponents with an all out take no prisoners attack, but that won't come easily tonight as they are on tired legs and playing their 4th straight road vs the defending Stanley Cup Champion Washington Capitals. Capitals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Maple Leafs are 18-45 in their last 63 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Leafs are just 1-5 L/6 meetings. NHL favorite against the money line (WASHINGTON) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 27-3L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline |
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10-13-18 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -161 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Tampa Lightning looked lackadaisical last time out in a 4-1 loss to the Vancouver Canucks. I personally believe that they lulled themselves to sleep in a defensive mode that carried over from their opening 2-1 win vs instate rivals the Florida Panthers in game 1. I don't think the Bolts respected their opponents enough and were not as motivated as their opponent and they paid the price, and Im now sure their more awake and ready for what they perceive to be a much stronger team the Columbus Blue Jackets who are 3-1 on the season. It is also way to early to worry about the best offense in the NHL from last season/ QUOTE: TB Steven Stamkos was quoted. as saying; "We led the league in goals last year, so it's just a matter of time," he said. "That's the least of our worries is scoring. That is going to come. It's not cheating because it's not coming; it's playing the right way and continuing to improve. END QUOTE: COLUMBUS is 9-35 ATS in road games after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more since 1996.(Columbus beat Florida 5-4 last time out) NHL favorite against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 27-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Tampa Bay to win on the moneyline |
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10-13-18 | West Virginia v. Iowa State +7 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 59 h 57 m | Show | |
A so called third string QB Purdy, marched into Stillwater to face a pretty good Okahoma State football program last week and helped his team pull off a SU win as DD underdogs. This is just not any 3rd string QB, but one that threw for 7700 yards in his last couple of campaigns playing Texas High school ball and who was pursed by a lot of big name teams. After that big win I doubt very much Iowa State will be a in a letdown situation vs what is now one of favorites to win the Big 12 championship, especially here at home. This place will be rocking this week and so will Iowa States offence. It must also be noted that HC Matt Campbell playing as an underdog against opp like the Mountaineers coming off a SUATS victory is 11-1 ATS in conference games including a perfect 5-0 ATS at home. IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. IOWA ST is 8-0 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.Campbell is 11-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse as the coach of IOWA ST. W VIRGINIA is 0-7 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Iowa State to cover |
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10-13-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +117 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers are on a 12 game win streak after taking game 1 of this series against the Los Angeles Dodgers and are my choice again here in game 2 with Wade Miley on the hill .Miley had to take a no-decision in an NLDS start against the Colorado Rockies when he allowed three hits over 4 2/3 shutout innings and shut the Dodgers out the last time he faced them in LA back on July 31. Brewers are 8-0 in Mileys last 8 starts. The Dodgers currently look unstable, and inconsistent both offensively and defensively. They did show some spark last night after being down 6-1 and came back with 4 runs, before losing, 6-5, but the 4 errors they committed sealed their fate. Its all about consistency and right now the Brewers are in a groove with everything working for them, while LAs moving parts are not in rhythm and whether Im right or wrong in my assessments Im not going to go against the Brewers in their current form. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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10-13-18 | Washington v. Oregon +3 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 56 h 36 m | Show | |
Washington (no7) is highly ranked, but Im not a true believer in them because of their lack offence as was evident last week in. lazy 7 point win vs a bad UCLA side. This week here on the road against the Ducks I won't be surprised if they are exposed by a under rated Oregon team that is well rested and off a bye and will be primed to pull off a upset. Note: Oregon is 6-0 ATS L/6 with rest) The Ducks are 113-23 SU L/21 seasons at home. OREGON is 29-9 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992. CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OREGON) - in a game involving two dominant teams (outgain opponents by 1.2+ YPP), after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Oregon to cover |
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10-13-18 | Ohio +4 v. Northern Illinois | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 42 m | Show | |
This game features an explosive offensive team Ohio against a staunch physical defensive team with Northern Illinois. HC Solich is 9-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 or less yards/play as the coach of OHIO U. Both these teams are undefeated in MAC play so expect this to be hard fought and closely contested with getting points Im betting being golden. Ohio has covered their L/4 trips to N.Illinois and won 3 of those game SU. CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 47-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ohio to cover |
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10-13-18 | Army -15 v. San Jose State | 52-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
This version of Army is for real and a dangerous opponent as top tier teams like Buffalo U and Oklahoma and Navy have already learned this season. A lot of old negative numbers showing Army as bad bets as road favs are now out dated as compared to the group HC Monk has assembled here at West Point this season. I know San Jose State has played decently of late, at least from a competitive stand point, but Im betting their not built to handle Armys triple option attack and that they will get literally run over here today in a big way. San Jose State has given up a whopping 165 ypg on the ground this season. Im not a a long term proponent of constantly laying DD on the road, but some situations warrant such a wager and this is one of them. CFB Road favorites (ARMY) - after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game are 23-2 ATS L/10 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined point differential coming by 28 ppg. CFBA home team vs. the money line (SAN JOSE ST) - after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games are 3-28 SU L/10 seasons with the average point differential coming in at just under 3 TDS/PA a game (20.9). Play on Army to cover |
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10-13-18 | Golden Knights v. Flyers -115 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Vegas is finally starting to play like an expansion team, and are also experiencing a Stanley Cup finals hangover. Philadelphia handled the Knights in their first meetings this season back in Nevada by a 5-2 count as road dogs and matchup well against this group, and deserve their home favorite status here this evening. The Golden Knights have now lost three straight and are on tired legs and now playing the finale of a exhausting 5 game road trip are . With that said the visitors are at a disadvantage and fade material in this spot vs a Flyers (2-2-0) team coming of a 7-4 road win against the Ottawa Senators NHL Home teams against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period, after playing 2 straight games where 8 or more total goals were scored are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Philadelphia Flyers to win on the moneyline |
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10-13-18 | Akron +12 v. Buffalo | 6-24 | Loss | -106 | 53 h 48 m | Show | |
Zips HC Terry Bowden has already seen his under rated team upset Northwestern this season and then played Iowa State tough in as visitors losing 26-13 but covering as 19.5 point dogs and despite of some down efforts almost always seem on the edge of being better then advertised. I know they lost last week to Miami O in ugly fashion, but in the past they have shown an ability to bounce back going 6-1 ATS as dogs when coming off a SUATS loss.Bowden is 15-6 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of AKRON. Meanwhile, Buffalo at 5-1 behind future NFL draft pick 6’7” QB Tyree Jackson (ranked 8th in the nation in TD passes) have looked strong this season in MAC play, but has some alarming numbers attached to their stats tags when it comes to Red Zone Offense efficiency rankings – Bulls are ranked second to last which is interesting considering their offensive output. Meanwhile, the Zips are the leaders in red zone efficiency. With that said, from a matchup perspective, the Zips are viable underdogs in this matchup on this DD line. AKRON is 6-0 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.Bowden is 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games as the coach of AKRON. Play on Akron to cover |
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10-13-18 | Iowa -5 v. Indiana | 42-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 33 m | Show | |
Iowa enters this game as being fairly highly rated in my power rankings within the Big 10 and gets the nod here as short road favorites vs a very inconsistent Indiana side that is just 2-10 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, IOWA is 19-6 ATS L/25 opportunities as a road favorite of 7 points or less . Iowa has owned this series of late with a record of 6-1 SU, and add to that are also 7-0 ATS as conference road favorites of 15 or less points. Everything points to Iowa coming out of this with a win and cover. Iowa is 13-0-1 ATS L/14 as a road favorite when they rushed for at least 50 yards covering by more than 2 TDs a game on average. CFB Home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (INDIANA) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games are just 5-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Iowa to cover |
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10-13-18 | Iowa v. Indiana OVER 52.5 | 42-16 | Win | 100 | 49 h 14 m | Show | |
My projections estimate 55 or more points will go on the board this week, thus giving us value on this Totals number. This may not seem a lot of room for the average bettor but it is important to understand that from a long term perspective advantage betting is your best way to consistently beat the books over the long haul. INDIANA is 16-5 OVER in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better since 1992 with a combined average 56.2 ppg going on the score board.INDIANA in its L/11 tilts against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 54.2 ppg get scored. Indiana is 11-0-1 OU off a game as a road dog that went over the total by more than seven points with a combined average of 73.5 ppg scored which was the case vs Ohio State last week. Iowa in their L/25 road games as favorite of 7 points or less have seen a combined average of 54.8 ppg scored.INDIANA is 41-17 OVER L/57 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 point with a combined average of 58.2 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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10-12-18 | Arizona +13.5 v. Utah | 10-42 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 32 m | Show | |
The Utes played a heck game vs Stanford last week and pulled off the upset as underdogs, but will now be in a huge letdown situation vs a Arizona team with a clutch QB at the helm Khalil Tate. With USC on board for Utah they may not have their heads completely into this game giving us room for a under appreciated Arizona team that has won 3 of their L/4 to get the cover vs a side that has failed to cover 7 of their L/10 as 7 point chalk or more. CFB Road underdogs (ARIZONA) - good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) against an average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) are 119-64 ATS L/10 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Arizona to cover |
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10-12-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -118 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 1 Milwaukee pitching is as hot as tamale sauce and that was on full display in their last series with the Rockies, with Colorado scoring in only one inning over the course of the three games. Overall dating back 5 games opponents have scored a total 3 runs on the Brewers and they have 3 shutouts. The Dodgers will now face a group of hurlers that could slow them down a lot. As a matter of fact there are a number of Dodgers already in hitting slumps , as Max Muncy, Manny Machado, and Yasmani Grandal are batting under .200 . Truth is the Dodgers got by the Braves in their last series thanks to some top tier pitching and clutch long balls, but other than that they looked muted in the batting box. It must also be noted that LA is hitting a collective .059 vs key Brewers reliever Hader. Yes, there are some strong hitters in the Milwaukee lineup but dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw should be able to deal with a majority of these guys and even if Yelich keeps rolling, Im not betting on extensive damage , which has me looking at this game going under the set total. Under is 5-0-1 in Kershaws last 6 road starts vs. Brewers.Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Play UNDER |
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10-12-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +148 | 5-6 | Win | 148 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Brewers enter this game on a 11 game win streak, and even the great Clayton Kershaw will have problems stopping this freight train behind the super hot Christian Yalich who hit .433 (13-30) against Dodgers hurlers during the regular season. Meanwhile, the Brewers start Gonzalez goes against a Dodgers batting order that despite of finding ways to win has some key players in major funks, as Max Muncy, Manny Machado, and Yasmani Grandal are batting under .200. Chacin when if he falters is backed by a strong bullpen with LA Hitting a Collective .059 against key reliever Josh Hader. With that said, Im backing Milwaukee to keep rolling with a home win in Game 1 of this series. LAD are 3-11 in their last 14 League Championship road games. Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 playoff home games. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs, in October games are 43-21 L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Milwaukee to win on the moneyline |
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10-11-18 | Eagles -3 v. Giants | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 81 h 56 m | Show | |
The Eagles are experiencing a Super Bowl hangover and are just 2-3 on the season, despite of being competitive in all 5 games. They have also failed to cover 4 straight for their backers, but must be respected here tonight as they will be very primed to perform at an optimal level after 2 straight losses. Meanwhile, the GMen have played well above their heads, so far , but are still just 1-4 SU and after their heartbreaking 33-31 loss last week in Carolina thanks to a nearly impossible 62 yard walk off FG. Im now betting the Giants will now be in an enormous letdown situation on short rest, which favours a hungry superior side. NFL Road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 35-11 ATS L/35 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. NFL team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a terrible team (25% or less ) are 31-4 SU for a 89% conversion rate over the 10 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by 12.3 ppg. Play on Philadelphia to cover |
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10-11-18 | Blackhawks v. Wild -155 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Chicago's offense can light up a scoreboard but its their its defense has struggled. Goalie Cam Ward, playing in place of Corey Crawford owns a hefty a 4.62 goals-against average and .843 save percentage. Meanwhile, Minnesota has started a little slowly but they can light it up and have the advantage in goal with Devan Dubnyk. who has stopped 77 of 80 shots (.963 save percentage) and 1.45 GAA. Home ice advantage the better D, and goalie get the nod here. NHL favorite against the money line (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 26-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Minnesota Wild to cover |
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10-11-18 | Canucks v. Lightning OVER 6 | 4-1 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Canucks head coach Travis Green has been moving the lines around to try to find the right mix of offense -- which has not been a problem in the early going as the Canucks are showing a lot of explosiveness-- however the D is a problem allowing 14 goals in the opening three games. Meanwhile, TB is off a 2-1 defensive style win, and on 3 days rest will be ready to let loose here with a super fast and cohesive offensive lineup, and put a bunch of goals on the board vs a side that will have issues dealing with their attack. Over is 6-0 in Canucks last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 6-1 in Canucks last 7 overall.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 vs. Atlantic.Over is 8-1-2 in Lightning last 11 Thursday games.Under is 4-1-2 in Lightning last 7 home games. Over is 15-6 in Lightning last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 17-5-3 in the last 25 meetings.Over is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings in Tampa Bay. Play OVER |
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10-11-18 | Georgia Southern v. Texas State OVER 49 | 15-13 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 50 m | Show | |
Georgia Southern new HC Chad Lunsford, has successfully returned this football program to a power run game that generates a lot of yards and points behind a ground game averaging 275 RYPG (No. 6 in the nation) averaging more than 30 points per game. They had one low output of 7 points against Clemson on the road, which can be excused. Last time out they scored 48 points as they are looking more cohesive with their attack as the season progresses. Meanwhile, Texas State has allowed 2 of their L/3 opponents to to light them up for 40+ points, and showed extreme weakness stopping their opponents ground attack allowing 327 rush yards last week vs UL Lafayette. Im betting Georgia Southern attacks this perceived weakness with what they do best and for Texas State to have more problems vs this visiting colossal ground game, and I project the Eagles scoring in the mid to high 30s at least, with Texas State slightly improved offence projected to score 14-19 point range which coincides with the ats line. If my projected calculations are correct , which I'm betting they are, we have a viable opportunity here to cash an OVER ticket. GA SOUTHERN in their L/29 games when they score 28 or more points since 1992 have seen a combined average score of 67 ppg go on the scoreboard .Texas st L/30 off a loss against a conference rival have seen a combined average of 53.4 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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10-11-18 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | 5-3 | Win | 109 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
The Leafs are an explosive offensive team and have put 7 goals on the board in their L/2 games, with their only issue remaining on defence as is evident by having allowed 5,6,4 goals in their L/3 tilts. Meanwhile, the Wings are a young team in a rebuilding mode, and will have difficulties hanging with the Buds. It won't matter who starts for the Leafs as Garret Sparks is 1-0-0 with a 6.00 GAA and .806 save percentage and Anderson owns just .892 SV %. and could easily allow the Motown crew a few goals. The way Toronto plays the Wings will have no choice to open up which will result in a higher scoring game than the line indicates. Considering these above mentioned situations and facts and over bet here looks like a viable option. Over is 3-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-0 in Maple Leafs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Over is 13-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 17 road games. Over is 21-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 overall.Over is 18-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 27 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 17-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 26 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 7-3-2 in Maple Leafs last 12 vs. Atlantic.Over is 15-7-1 in Maple Leafs last 23 games following a win. Over is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 7-1-1 in Red Wings last 9 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 5-1 in Red Wings last 6 vs. Atlantic.Over is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 7-2 in Red Wings last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Play OVER |
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10-10-18 | Coyotes v. Ducks -155 | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: ARIZONA - ANTTI RAANTA, ANAHEIM - JOHN GIBSON The Ducks enter this game banged up with a boatload full of injuries something that is not uncommon for this team over the last few seasons. Meanwhile, visiting Arizona can't find the back of the net and have been shutout in their first two games of the season. The difference maker comes via the Ducks ability to find ways to win as is evident by their 3-0 record , while Arizona at 0-2 despite of their upgrades still have a culture of losing hanging over the team, and until they can stop the bleeding with some consistency ,especially on offence, Ill go with the side that has a track record of winning even when they look incapable of doing so because of their injury list. Note: Arizona was the second lowest scoring team in the NHL last season at 2.51 goals per game. ARIZONA is 42-115 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996. ARIZONA is 1-13 ATS in road games after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons. Arizona 1.8 Opponent 3.3. Ducks are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.Ducks are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win. Ducks are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Ducks are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. These clubs played Saturday in Phoenix and the Ducks won by a 1-0 count as John Gibson stopped 41 shots. Im expecting a better effort from the Ducks here on home ice in the rematch and for Anaheim to make is 6 wins in a row here on their home ice vs the Coyotes. Play on Anaheim to win on the moneyline |
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10-09-18 | Maple Leafs v. Stars OVER 6 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
The Toronto Maple Leafs are loaded with offensive talent but their defence still looks wobbly. There is not doubt that this team has the potential to lead the lead in scoring this year. To beat the Leafs you have to score in bunches. So the Dallas Stars whether they want to or not will have to open up or be blown off the ice. With that said, Im betting on a fairly high scoring affair that eclipses the total. Over is 8-0-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 10-1 in Maple Leafs last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 5-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Over is 12-3-1 in Maple Leafs last 16 road games. Over is 16-5-1 in Maple Leafs last 22 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 16-5-1 in Maple Leafs last 22 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 20-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 30 overall. Over is 3-1-1 in Stars last 5 overall.Over is 9-3-2 in Stars last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Over is 19-7-2 in Stars last 28 games following a win.Over is 32-15-4 in Stars last 51 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Play OVER |
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10-09-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -116 | 4-3 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Oh boy did the Yankees ever get clobbered yesterday by the Bosox by a 16-1 count. Now with the Yankees in desperation mode and completely feeling embarrassed , redemption and revenge are at hand . Look for the Yankees to bounce back vs Rick Porcello who is 0-3 with a bloated 5.33 ERA in 12 out season appearances and is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in four postseason outings with the Red Soc. The right hander in seven career starts in Yankee Stadium, is just 1-4 with a hefty 5.56 ERA. Meanwhile,Sabathia the Yankees starter has pitched particularly well in the ALDS. In 11 appearances (10 starts) he is 6-0 with a 3.32 ERA.Since joining the Yankees in 2009 as a free agent, Sabathia is 8-3 with a 3.26 ERA in 18 postseason appearances (17 starts).Boston hitters garnered just one run in seven innings when they last faced him on June 29 in the Bronx. I know what happened yesterday, but The Yankees’ own a top tier bullpen that has shown their metal in this series, allowing just one run in 10 innings in the first two games of this series and Im also betting they bounce back tonight. MLB teams (BOSTON) - average hitting team (AVG .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less ) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games are 12-37 L/5 seasons fo a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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10-09-18 | Appalachian State -8.5 v. Arkansas State | 35-9 | Win | 100 | 32 h 2 m | Show | |
Appalachian States offence is rolling with their lowest output (35 pts) coming against Penn State . Right now the Mountaineers look to be the class of the Sunbelt and have proven they can hang with teams like the Nittany Lions, and laying less than DDs with them looks like a steal . It's never easy laying lumber with a road team in any sport and you have to do your due diligence which I have. This group of Mountaineers looks special indeed and as long as they stay motivated Im betting Arkansas State does not have the needed fire power to cover this number vs a behemoth opponent. Appalachian State is also well rested which is a good omen here for us cashing a ticket, as they are 6-0 ATS after a bye week over the last 3 seasons. App State 39.5 Opponent 12.7 From a College Football wagering perspective we also have value according to current trends as listed below. CFB home team (ARKANSAS ST) - after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 3-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. CFB Road favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games are 30-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Appalachian State to cover |
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10-09-18 | Sharks -108 v. Flyers | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Sharks were shutout yesterday by the NY Islanders by a 4-0 count, as the bumped into a hot goalie and are now hungry for redemption here tonight vs a Philadelphia side, that will be in a difficult situation without star off season free agent acquisition Van Riemsdyk expected to miss this game with an injury. It is still early in the season, so Im betting the Sharks will not feel any fatigue despite of this being a back to back situation. Meanwhile, the Flyers are well rested entering this tilt with 2 days off, but in the recent past this has not been a recipe for success, as the Flyers are 3-11 ATS when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons including 5 straight losses on the moneyline . The Sharks have won 9 of their L/10 meetings here in the City of Brotherly Love and Im betting on another win tonight. Sharks are 11-4 in their last 15 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sharks are 10-4 in their last 14 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Play on the San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline |
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10-08-18 | Dodgers -138 v. Braves | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Im betting last nights Braves celebration , that saw them somehow find a way to win 6-5 on just 4 hits abruptly comes to an end this afternoon vs the LA Dodgers. Im betting on a well rested Dodger hurler Hill, who hasn't worked since pitching seven scoreless innings at San Francisco last Sunday to be well rested and fresh. The southpaw has won his last five regular-season starts to finish 11-5 on the season and is 5-0 with stingy 1.74 ERA in nine games against the Braves. Braves starter FOLTYNEWICZ is 1-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.725. Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 Divisional Playoff games.Dodgers are 9-2 in their last 11 after a loss.Braves are 7-16 in their last 23 playoff home games. Braves are 8-20 in their last 28 playoff games.Braves are 5-14 in their last 19 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 3-11 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 overall.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Braves are 2-5 in Foltynewiczs last 7 Monday starts.Braves are 2-6 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance.Braves are 1-4 in Foltynewiczs last 5 home starts.Braves are 1-4 in Foltynewiczs last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 1-5 in Foltynewiczs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-5 in Foltynewiczs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-6 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Braves are 1-6 in Foltynewiczs last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 1-7 in Foltynewiczs last 8 starts vs. National League West MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 game are 44-17 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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10-08-18 | Golden Knights -130 v. Sabres | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Everyone keeps on waiting on the Vegas Knights to start acting like a expansion team and go through some growing pains. After losing their opener , that thought crossed my mind, but after bouncing back form their 5-2 opening loss to Philadelphia and than going into Minnesota and taking a 2-1 OT win , they still look hungry and capable of making another run at play off appearance this season, behind some newly acquired seasoned veterans like Max Pacioretty and Paul Statsny. The Golden Knights won both meetings in this series last season, and Im betting they will keep their winning ways alive here this afternoon in Buffalo. BUFFALO is 3-19 ATS after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out.VEGAS is 10-3 ATS after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 21-8 ATS after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Sabres are 16-36 in their last 52 home games.Sabres are 27-63 in their last 90 overall.Sabres are 3-7 in their last 10 Monday games.Sabres are 15-36 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sabres are 11-27 in their last 38 vs. Western Conference.Sabres are 17-44 in their last 61 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sabres are 14-38 in their last 52 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Sabres are 7-19 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Sabres are 13-38 in their last 51 games following a win.Sabres are 4-13 in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest.Sabres are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. Pacific. Play on Vegas to win on the moneyline |
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10-08-18 | Astros +117 v. Indians | 11-3 | Win | 117 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Astros have played their best baseball on the road this season, and once again look like strong candidates here today vs the Cleveland Indians and their inconsistent hurler Clevinger, who has previously garnered a bloated 6.43 ERA in seven innings of post season ball. In two starts against the Astros this year Clevinger was 0-2 with a 6.17 ERA. Meanwhile, Houston’s Dallas Keuchel (12-11, 3.74 ERA) in 41.2 innings of play off work owns a solid 3.24 ERA. Keuchel like his team has been his best on the road this season, and his team has won 10 of his L/13 daytime appearances.In eight career appearances against Cleveland Keuchel is 4-1 with a 2.79 ERA. CLEVELAND is 11-20 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.HOUSTON is 16-3 against the money line in road games after a win by 2 runs or less this season. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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10-08-18 | Senators v. Bruins -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
The Senators after a tumultuous off season that saw their super star defence man traded, Erik Karlsson , have surprisingly started their season on a winning note. But Im betting this surge will come to an abrupt end today as Im backing the Bruins inconsistent goal keeper Rask to come up big here, after a slow start to his season that saw him allow 5 goals before being pulled in a 7-0 opening night loss to the Washington Capitals . Look for redemption minded Rask to be at his best this afternoon in the Bruins home opener. He has owned the Sens of late going 3-0-0-0 against last season and owns a 2.17 GAA and .925 save percentage lifetime against them. The Bruins won all 4 games vs Ottawa last season with the two home wins coming by 5-2 and 5-1 counts and another similar outcome is not out of the question, and viable wagering option on a -1.5 puckline. |
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10-07-18 | Dodgers -169 v. Braves | 5-6 | Loss | -169 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Atlanta's offence is slumping at the worst possible time, and Im betting things will not get much better vs Buehler, who had a 2.03 ERA after the All-Star break. He is off a top tier performance recording 6 2/3 scoreless innings Monday in the NL West tiebreaker against Colorado that gave the Dodgers their sixth straight division title. Buehler beat the Braves in his only regular-season start against them allowing a run and two hits over 5 1/3 innings at Los Angeles on June 8. With that said, the Dodgers get the nod to take game 3. ATLANTA is 0-8 against the money line in home games in a playoff game, facing elimination since 1997. ATLANTA is 4-15 against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. (Braves were shutout in back to back games to start tis series) MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are just 14-78 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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10-07-18 | Brewers +147 v. Rockies | 6-0 | Win | 147 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Public money keeps rolling in on Colorado, but Milwaukee is in a groove right now, and feeling the momentum of being up 2-0, and on a current 10 game win streak and with the reliable Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) on the hill are capable of taking the Rockies out here in their own back yard.Brewers are 7-0 in Mileys last 7 starts and 6-1 in his L/7 road outings. Meanwhile, Marquez suffered through one of his worst outings at home against Milwaukee on May 10, when he permitted five runs on 12 hits and three walks in just 4 2/3 innings. The way the Brewers are hitting right now , the righty could once again find himself in trouble. MILEY is 12-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 23-6 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season, which was the case last time out. Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 playoff games.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff home games.Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado MLB team (COLORADO) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 4 straight games are 49-94 L/21seasons for a go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win on the moneyline |
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10-07-18 | Vikings +3 v. Eagles | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 80 h 5 m | Show | |
The Vikings visit the City of Brotherly Love primed and pumped up to avenge a embarrassing playoff loss by a ugly 38-7 deficit in last years play offs.Minnesota is FG pup in this tilt after looking like a viable opponent after a hard fought 38-31 loss on the road in LA last Thursday night. In the past the Vikings have been good bets in this situation, as they are 12-0 ATS L/12 as a dog of less than a TD coming off a road loss. Also. HC Zimmer in non-division games when coming off a loss, is 13-1-1 ATS in his last 15 chances and has cashed in 4 of his l/5 coming off a Thursday nighter. Meanwhile the Eagles are just 0-6 ATS L/6 as a favorite of more than two points and did not look all that good in a loss last week to Tennessee in OT by a 26-23 count. REVENGE . REVENGE. Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover |
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10-07-18 | Cardinals +4.5 v. 49ers | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 80 h 48 m | Show | |
San Francisco has been made more than a 3 point favorite here because of their perceived superiority vs a 0-4 Arizona team that is currently on the shit list for public bettors. However, laying points with SF is not a good bet when they are at home as is evident by a 0-11-2 ATS as a home favorite since the 2012 season. Neither team inspires bettors, but getting points with a Arizona team that is getting better with former UCLA gunslinger Josh Rosen at the helm is a viable wagering opportunity. Plus watching SF blow a 14 point last week, vs the Chargers and eventually losing 29-27 is disheartening , and a bd omen for their chances today to cover, as the 49'ers are 0-10 ATS playing on a natural surface after a loss in which they scored at least the first fourteen points of the game. It must also be noted that Arizona has lost 2 straight at home but the good news here is that the franchise is 7-1 ATS L/8 as a dog of 3 or more points when coming off consecutive home losses. Meanwhile, the Niners are just 2-13 ATS at home following consecutive away losses. Im going against. the weak favorite this week and taking the ugly dog to cover. Arizona to cover |
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10-07-18 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 50.5 | 33-31 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 6 m | Show | |
The Seahawks are being made big home dogs, here to an explosive Rams football team. With that said, I expect the Seahawks to take a conservative approach to this game, and try to eat up as much clock as possible via a slow methodical approach to their dangerous opponents which should result in a lower scoring tilt than the lines makers expect. It must be noted that over the last 5 years: All NFL road favorites of 7 or more points when the Total is 43 points or more are 4-30-2 UNDER.I know the Rams own a big time offence, that has been putting points up in bunches this season but, NFL same-DIVISION chalk of 15 or less points who scored 33 or more points in each of their last four games have gone under 12 straight times. Also TD-plus home pups like Seattle with normal rest are 0-29 UNDER when they are off a road game in where they scored fewer than 23 points and had at least 21:20 of possession time, as long as their opponent is averaging less than 480 yards of offense per game like the Rams are. SEATTLE is 12-3 UNDER against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.1 ppg scored. NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (LA RAMS) - versus division opponents, off a home win are 78-35 UNDER 35 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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10-07-18 | Raiders v. Chargers UNDER 53.5 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 78 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm betting this game has inflated Total attached to it. I know there was a lot of scoring last weeks games, but this is definitely an over reaction by the lines makers according to my head to head stats . The Chargers are 0-12-1 OU since 2012 at home coming off a game where Philip Rivers threw at least three touchdown passes. Which happened in a 29-27 win vs the 49ers last week. The Raiders have gone UNDER 9 straight L9 division road games with a combined average of (34.67) scored. OAKLAND is 7-0 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.4 ppg scored.LA CHARGERS is 8-1 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 37.3 ppg scored. Divisional underdogs up to +7 points like the raiders on normal rest when they are coming off an OT victory in a tilt where they were favored. are 4-19-1 UNDER. NFL team against the total (OAKLAND) - after going over the total by more than 35 points in their previous game, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 27-2 UNDER L/35 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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10-07-18 | Giants +7 v. Panthers | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 76 h 59 m | Show | |
The Giants are one of these teams that continue to surprise many when they look down and out. This is not a good Giants team, but QB Eli Manning is 32-17-3 ATS career mark in games during October – including 16-6-2 ATS away and seems to play his best football at this time of the season. I know expected future star RB Barkley only had 44 yards pastime out, but the NY GIANTS are long term good bet off a bad rushing performance cashing 26 of their L/38 ATS in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards.The Giants' offense has plenty of playmakers to challenge the Panthers' defense. Veteran quarterback Eli Manning has passed for 1,055 yards and four touchdowns with one interception, wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. has 31 catches for 331 yards already, and rookie running back Saquon Barkley has rushed for 260 yards on 56 carries and three touchdowns. Barkley has accumulated the most yards from scrimmage by a rookie so far this season with 453. The No. 2 pick in the 2018 draft is the fifth player in NFL history with 100 or more yards from scrimmage in his first four career games. NFL home favorites like Carolina are 0-22 ATS on natural surface off a victory as a home favorite of 13 points or less when they are going against a team that has averaged less than five rushing first downs per game and more than 3.5 yards per rush season-to-date. Play on the NY Giants to cover |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets OVER 42 | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 75 h 5 m | Show | |
I like this game to go over the total despite of the perceived ineptness of both these offences. This over call in based on some key projections I have made . One of my projections estimates that Denver will average 100-125 yards rushing, which is a good omen , as the Broncos in their L/6 when they get to these numbers have seen a combined average of 45.3 ppg scored. Raiders are 11-3 OVER vs AFC East. These teams have gone over in the 5 of the L/6 meetings here in with a combined average of (46.2) ppg going on the board. HC Joseph L/7 after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse as the coach of DENVER has seen a combined score of 50.3 ppg scored NFL Road teams against the total (DENVER) - off a loss against a division rival, in the first half of the season are 37-14 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-07-18 | Titans v. Bills +5.5 | 12-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 5 m | Show | |
Last week Buffalo looked horrendous in a 22-0 shutout loss to the Packers. But it must be noted that the Bills are 6-1 SU in games after having being shutout. From a league wide data base NFL teams coming off being blanked who were in the playoffs the previous season are good bets as home dogs in their followup going 8-1-1 ATS since 1990 when taking 3 points or more. Truth is Buffalo is not that bad, and Tennessee is not that good despite of what the pundits might think after upsetting the Super Bowl Champs last week 26-23. Note:Away teams are just 13-41 SU and 15-39 ATS since 1992 after upsetting the defending Super bowl Champion. Im betting on an emotional letdown situation effecting the Titans this weak, and for redemption and embarrassment to be the catalyst for a Buffalo cover. TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS in road games after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Play on Buffalo to cover |
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10-07-18 | Wyoming +3.5 v. Hawaii | 13-17 | Loss | -115 | 84 h 5 m | Show | |
Wyoming is not as bad as their record would indicate and have the type of D, that can slow down the potent offensive attack of the Warriors. The Cowboys have held two opponents to season low offensive outputs and are under rated here on this trip to Hawaii to play a team that defensively challenged and is looking tired after putting up some serious flyer reward points this season. HAWAII is 0-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons which was the case vs San Jose State last week. HAWAII is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Wyoming is 7-1 L/8 trips to paradise island. WYOMING is 6-0 ATS in October games over the last 3 seasons. The Hawaii Rainbow Warrriors football program have been lousy favs in the past as is evident by their 3-18 ATS in their last 21 games as chalk, including 0-11 ATS the last eleven overall. CFBome teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HAWAII) - after going over the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season are 21-49 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wyoming to cover |
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10-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech +7 | 45-23 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
Notre Dame is not a true 7 point favorite here on the road vs a well coached VTech team. Hey I respect how good the Irish have looked so far this season, but you have to respect the Hokies as dogs here on their own home field. Yes, Tech lost to Old Dominion a couple of weeks ago in perplexing fashion but they did bounce back last week against a good Duke team in a 31-14 victory as underdogs. Backup QB Ryan Willis, who was inserted after starting QB Jackson went down, was 17-for-26 for 332 yards with 3 TDs and 0 interceptions and must also be respected to keep his team moving forward this week. Hokies are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 as a home dog. Virginia Tech is 48-3 SU in its last 51 home tilts against non-conference opposition with only one defeat coming by more than a touchdown. Lane Stadium will be rocking, so if I were Notre Dame I wouldn't come a knocking. VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog since 1992. CFB Road favorites (NOTRE DAME) - good offensive team (5.6 to 6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 14-44 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Virginia Tech to cover |
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10-06-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The weather is supposed to pretty nice here tonight in Boston with a light breeze at Fenway. This sets up for a perfect environment for these two powerful offences to tee off and put some big digits on the board. David Price the BoSox hurler today is 0-8 in nine career postseason starts along with a bloated 5.54 ERA and has garnered a ugly 0 -3 record with a nasty looking 10.34 ERA in four starts against the Yankees this season. Meanwhile, Tanaka the Yankees starter has struggled over his final two regular-season starts, giving up eight earned runs in eight innings (9.00 ERA). In four starts against the Red Sox during the regular season, he had a 7.58 ERA..Over is 8-2-1 in Tanakas last 11 starts vs. American League East. I like the OVER odds the books are offering and suggest we take it. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston.Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.Over is 3-0-1 in Prices last 4 starts vs. Yankees.Over is 3-0-1 in Tanakas last 4 starts vs. Red Sox. Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 overall.Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games.Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 vs. American League East.Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 2 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 4-0-2 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0-2 in Red Sox last 7 home games.Over is 7-0-1 in Red Sox last 8 vs. American League East.Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 during game 2 of a series.Over is 9-1-1 in Red Sox last 11 overall.Over is 9-1-1 in Red Sox last 11 on grass.Over is 8-1-2 in Red Sox last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play OVER |
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10-06-18 | UL-Lafayette -4 v. Texas State | Top | 42-27 | Win | 100 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
After playing Alabama lat week this game for UL Lafayette vs a struggling Texas State team will seem like a walk in the park. Another loss they suffered was to Miss State and a underrated Coastal Carolina and they must not be underestimated in their ability vs a much less talented group at like the Bobcats that are suppose to start a freshman QB this week behind a inconsistent offensive line. The home team has not played anywhere near the competition UL Lafayette has played and Im betting that will become evident here this Saturday. UL Lafayette is 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 meetings in this series, with the last two showing 24-7 and 27-3 wins home and away. CFB Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA LAFAYETTE) - excellent rushing team (4.8 or more YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR), in conference game are 43-16 ATS L/10 season for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on UL Lafayette to cover |
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10-06-18 | Predators -150 v. Islanders | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
The Isles wont be as bad as the pundits think now that pyjama boy John Tavares left town for the Leafs of Toronto. But running on adrenalin and a need to prove the experts wrong Im betting won't be enough to get them past the explosive Nashville Predators tonight. I know the Isles won their first game of the season vs the Canes but they still allowed 40 plus shots and if it were not for their goalie Griese would have lost . Note: HC Barry Trotz is tinkering with the Isles offencive line combinations, and until they get sorted will have trouble scoring against teams like this. Predators are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan.Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Predators are 12-4 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Predators are 19-7 in their last 26 road games. Islanders are 3-8 in their last 11 home games.Islanders are 7-19 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Islanders are 4-11 in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.Islanders are 3-9 in their last 12 games following a win.Islanders are 1-4 in their last 5 Saturday games.Islanders are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. Central.Islanders are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Play on the Nashville Preds to win on the moneyline |
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10-06-18 | Jets +100 v. Stars | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
The Jets won their first game of the season against the St.Louis Blues in convincing fashion 5-1, and are a team loaded and ready to make a run to the Stanley Cup Finals this season. Dallas continues to rebuild but still is not in the same league as Winnipeg and have had horrid luck vs the Jets in the recent past losing 8 straight meetings. Jets grab the cheese again. Stars are 3-12 in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.Stars are 1-8 in their last 9 games following a win.Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.Jets are 11-3 in their last 14 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Jets are 12-4 in their last 16 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.Jets are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.Jets are 13-5 in their last 18 vs. Central. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the moneyline |
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10-06-18 | Panthers v. Lightning -165 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Play on TB Lightning to win on the moneyline |
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10-06-18 | Kentucky +6 v. Texas A&M | 14-20 | Push | 0 | 56 h 29 m | Show | |
A lot of pundits keep on betting on Kentucky not being the real deal. But after watching them a lot closer of late Im betting they are and won't go out here today without a fight vs Jimbo Fisher and company. The key to their ability to cover here will hinge on a defense that is ranked 11th in the nation, allowing just 13 points and 288 yards per game. Thats not good news for Texas A&M QB Mond who struggled in a 24-17 win over Arkansas last week, going 17 of 26 for 201 yards. He threw two interceptions for the second straight game and is downgraded on my QB power rankings list. KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Play on the Kentucky Wildcats to cover |
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10-06-18 | Indians +144 v. Astros | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Carrasco the Tribes starter loves pitching here in Houston , where he has a 1.17 ERA with 28 strikeouts vs. three walks in 23 innings in his career. In Game 3 of the ALDS against the Yankees last year, Carrasco logged 5 2/3 shutout innings and thrives in this environment. Carrasco pitches his best away from home, as opposition hitters are averaging .220 against him. If he tires, he is backed with a bullpen that has gotten much better down the stretch and must be respected in their abilities to support him. Meanwhile, Garret Cole the Astros starter despite of his good numbers this season, has struggled bit of late at home where he has allowed 4 runs or more against 2 of his L/3 above .500 opponents . Coles top pitch the fastball is a favorite of Tribes key hitters and I won't be surprised if they tee off on him today in a big way. You have to remember Houston has not played well at home this season, and have lost 8 of their L/12 at home vs an above .500 team like the Indians. We have a lot of value here taking the Tribe to come out of this tilt with a victory. Note: Indians are 20-9 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Cleveland Indians |
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10-06-18 | LSU v. Florida +3 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 77 h 59 m | Show | |
HC Mullen’s took out the Miss State Bulldogs last week and are now an impressive improved 3-0 SUATS and have won the stats battle in those 3 games since losing to a strong undefeated Kentucky football program in Week Two. I know that LSU is perfect on the season, and playing really good football, but Mullens is a coach that knows how to deal with teams like the Tigers as he was 4-0 ATS vs LSU when he coached Miss State. Last season these teams took part in a 17-16 sleepers the SWAMP and Im betting on another close game today. Oregon has not done well in his career vs.750 SEC opposition like the Gators , garnering a ugly 2-13 SU in that role. |
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10-06-18 | Clemson v. Wake Forest +20.5 | 63-3 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 28 m | Show | |
Wow what a crazy situation Clemson finds itself in. QB Kelly Bryant announced he was leaving the team after HC Dabo Swinney decided to start Trevor Lawrence against Syracuse. However, Lawrence I'm sure much to the delight of Bryant and family. was forced out of the Orange game with an injury and backup Chase Brice, took over. Thats never good for team morale, but their overall talent got them through that game vs Syracuse , but just barely barely 27-23. That game was at home, but here on the road where the Tigers are 0-9 ATS L/10 as 18 point or more favs Clemson is in trouble. Wake is seeking some payback vs Clemson losing 28-14 last season. Wake is a money making 9-0 ATS L/9with ACC revenge and are 6-0 ATS skein as double-digit home dogs. CLEMSON is 13-26 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992. Clemson is 0-12 ATS as a road favorite coming off a game where they failed to cover by at least seven points. CFB Road favorites (CLEMSON) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 2.75 or less rushing yds/carry, after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 13-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 75% for bettors on the blind. Play on the Wake Forest to cover |
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10-06-18 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State OVER 54 | 48-42 | Win | 100 | 47 h 15 m | Show | |
Iowa State has not done a lot of scoring this season, but against this kind of team they will have to open, up as Im expecting the Cowboys to really do some damage today against a decent defence. Oklahoma State has already proven they can score against the best of defences, putting 44 points up against Boise State. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State's D, is not of the grade 1 variety, and I look for Iowa State to do enough damage to get this game into over territory in a score similar to the 37-27 (64 pts) loss they suffered to Oklahoma back on Sept 15. OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 81.8 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 OVER in home games after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 76.9 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA ST is 33-8 OVER in home games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992 2ith a combined average of 72.6 ppg scored. Oklahoma State is 13-0-1 OVER at home coming off a game where they gained at least 24 first downs. Play OVER |
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10-06-18 | LSU v. Florida UNDER 43.5 | 19-27 | Loss | -108 | 47 h 47 m | Show | |
These teams took part in a 17-16 snoozefest last season with the Tigers winning , and Im expecting another low scoring sleeper this time round in the swamp. The year before that the Florida won 16-10. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE. |
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10-06-18 | Oklahoma v. Texas +8 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 72 h 57 m | Show | |
Texas is the only Big 12 Conference team that holds an all-time series lead against the Sooners (61-46-5). The last four meetings in this series have been decided by a touchdown or less, with the Horns taking the advantage via a a 5-0 ATS series make in the last five meetings. Im betting on more of the same tough close action here again and for the home team to get us the cover behind a solid D, and capable offense. TEXAS is 7-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons.TEXAS is 6-0 ATS versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons.TEXAS is 10-2 ATS vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Texas head coach Tom Herman is 11-1 ATS as an underdog, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS with a above .500 record. Play on Texas to cover |
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10-06-18 | Alabama v. Arkansas +36 | 65-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 32 m | Show | |
Alabama has accumulated much of its big numbers vs patsies this season, with the one decent team they played being Texas A&M and that game was alot closer than the lines makers expected. I know Arkansas in their current form may not inspire bettors but this is still a proud program that despite of going through growing pains is capable of covering here at home in front of their own alumni. The promise their showing comes via a Defence, that has allowed their last 3 opponents seasons low offensive outputs including last weeks 24-17 loss vs TexasA&M covering as 19 point dogs. It must also be noted that only 3 times since 1977 spanning 274 games have the Hogs lost by more than 36 points. Don't get me wrong the Tide are a behemoth opponent and more than capable of blasting a team like Arkansas, but Im betting the Razorbacks come out here and play this game like a national championship. ARKANSAS is 15-4 ATS L/19 in home games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game.ARKANSAS is 20-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992. CFB Underdogs of 31.5 or more points (ARKANSAS) - with 17 or more total starters returning are 52-22 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arkansas to cover |
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10-06-18 | Eastern Michigan +4.5 v. Western Michigan | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 67 h 32 m | Show | |
Eastern Michigans football program is one of the most under rated college football programs in the nation. They can't seem to get over the hump when its comes to notching big wins, and are off a triple OT loss last time out vsN.Illinois, but what they have consistently done is be very competitive opponents thanks to a gruelling hardcore brand of physical football. Today against Western Michigan Im betting on a very closely contested battle that favours the visitors to cover or pull off the SU upset. E MICHIGAN is 9-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons and are 11-1 ATS L/12 as road underdogs in tis series vs Western Michigan. Play on Eastern Michigan to cover |
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10-05-18 | Sharks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
These teams have a history of playing very hard fought physical gruelling low scoring defensive play off style affairs, even during the regular season. Yes, these teams have plenty of offensive firepower but Im still expecting a lower scoring tilt. San Jose started their season allowing 5 goals in just 14 shots and in a loss to Anaheim, and Im betting their goaltending and D, will be even more diligent here, as they look for redemption. This will also be the Kings first game of their year so getting into cohesive high gear might take some time even with former 50 goal scorer Illya Kovolchuk in the lineup. These teams have only gone over 1 time in their L/13 meetings and another low scoring tilt is on tonights agenda. SJ goalies Jones was 3-1-0 with a 1.69 GAA and .950 SVP including a shutout. Jones in 14 career games vs LA owns a 2.06 GAA and .931 save percentage. The Kings' Jonathan Quick was 1-2-0 with a 1.70 GAA and .944 save percentage against the Sharks last season. In 31 career games vs the Sharks he has garnered a 2.52 GAA and .910 save percentage. Play on the UNDER |
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10-05-18 | Braves v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Clayton Kershaw was little upset he did not get the start in game 1 of this series, and suggested to those listening he does not need to prove himself to anyone. Now a little cranky and with a lot to prove, after a couple of down performances to finish his season, Kershaw should be ready to make believers of his detractors. Right now I believe in Kershaw and the rest of the Dodgers as believe they are the superior side. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL are 13-91 L/21 seasons with the average margin of victory defeat coming by 2.4 rpg, which qualifies via a runline wager at -1.5 on the Dodgers. MLB Road teams against a 1.5 run line (ATLANTA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are 19-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers on the runline -1.5 |
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10-05-18 | Yankees +166 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Happ has been dominant since the Yankees got him -- he's 7-0 with a 2.69 ERA . That includes a six-inning, four-run win over the Red Sox at Fenway on Sept. 28 and six innings of one-run ball against them in New York on Sept. 18. He was brought over by the Yankees partly because of his ability to deal with the BoSox batting order well, and Im betting he does just that here today in Fenway. It must be noted that Chris Sale the Red Sox pitcher has also pitched well against the Yanks this season, but that was before he went on the DL. Since than his velocity has diminished and he just does not look as dominant and could easily get in trouble with a power hitting Yankees lineup that leads MLB in Home Runs. If Sale falters, he is backed by a bullpen that is slumping heading into the post season, as BoSox relievers owna cumulative 4.84 ERA in their last 126 1/3 innings.The Boston bullpen had a 6.75 ERA in 19 games against New York this season. Play on the Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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10-05-18 | Middle Tennessee State v. Marshall OVER 49.5 | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
I waited on this Total to make a move downward and it did, and now Im suggesting we take an over stance, as both teams boast to strong QBs who can air it out in a big way. I know these two teams find themselves in the bottom 15 of the FBS in first downs gained on offense but this trend Im betting irons itself out in a hurry, most probably starting tonight. Both sides have had problems running the ball, and I expect both to look downfield quite a bit tonight and a game I have pegged to go over the total . Both are off big wins , with Middle Tennessee State taking out Flordia Atlantic25-24 and Marshall defeating Western Kentucky 20-17 . Both will now be primed to keep their engines revving and a lot of energy should be on tonights agenda. Note: Middle Tennesses offensive road numbers and overall offensive averages have been tainted by playing super power Georgia and a decent SEC side Vanderbilt. In their game against lower tier Tenn Martin they put 61 points on the board. Holliday is 6-0 OVER after a win by 3 or less points as the coach of MARSHALL with a combined average of 84 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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10-05-18 | Indians v. Astros UNDER 6.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
Houston’s Justin Verlander (16-9, 2.52 ERA) has allowed one run or fewer in four of his past five outings.In his postseason starts his ERA was 2.21 last season. Verlander also loves to pitch during the day where his career ERA is 3.15 as compared to 3.53 at night time ERA. Cleveland batters are slugging only .357 against him and Im betting they have a heck of a time getting across the plate today. Meanwhile. Cleveland starter Kluber owns a stellar (20-7, 2.89 ERA) and has him in the hunt for a third career AL Cy Young Award, Kluber will take the ball for the Tribe in the opener against Houston. The ace is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA in eight career playoff starts but that ERA rose because of having a bad post season last year, the season before that he garnered one run or less in 4 of his 6 starts. Only three Astros batters are batting above .250 against hime. Houston is slumping at the worst possible time and have manufactured just 12 runs in its last five games. Because of a lack of hitting and quality pitching the Astros have seen 7 straight games stay under and Im betting on another miserly output here in a tilt Im betting stays under the total. CLEVELAND is 16-4 UNDER in October games over the last 3 seasons. with combined average of 6 rpg.HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER in home games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 rpg scored. Play UNDER |
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10-04-18 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 0-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L) Both these pitchers have been decent this season, but Foltynewicz has struggled a bit of late and garnered a fairly hefty 4.76 ERA in his L/3 starts. When the Braves hurler pitched here back in late July 9 totals runs were scored in a Braves victory. Actually all 3 games in that series eclipsed the number, and Im betting on more of same here today. The home plate umpire , Adrian Johnson, has seen a lot of over bets cash, as he went 20-8-2 OVER this season. Braves starter FOLTYNEWICZ I in his L/6 starts in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 15-2 OVER in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 16-4 OVER in road games in the division series since 1997 with a combined average of 9.6 rpg scored. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 or less (LA DODGERS) - with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 57-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (ATLANTA) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 39-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play OVER |
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10-04-18 | Colts v. Patriots -10 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 35 h 18 m | Show | |
Talk about a revenge scenario. Well thats what we have tonight as the New England Pats host the Indianapolis Pats. The Colts were the team that essentially were the ones who reported Pats super star QB Tom Brady to the league for deflated balls, which supposedly gave him an advantage. Known as Deflategate it has been a sore spot for the Pats and their fans for a while, and Im betting some pay back will be at hand tonight no matter what Brady and Belichick say to the media. The Pats started slowly this season, but after watching them destroy of the undefeated Dolphins last week 38-7 Im betting on them to continue to explode, even if the often injured TE Gronkowski does not play because of a pulled hamstring. Yes, the Pats might have seemed susceptible early on this season, thanks to a ugly rush stopping acumen, but a Colts teams ranked 29th in rushing won be a team that can take advantage of any perceived weaknesses. The Colts' best receiver, T.Y. Hilton, is unlikely to play which also puts the Colts at a disadvantage. Indianapolis has very few other offensive weapons and their defense is shoddy to say the least and Im betting Brady can look at and go up and down the field all day long and make them pay big time with properly inflated balls. Brady is 5-0 against Luck. Patriots have won 9 of their L/12 on Thursday night and are a profitable 20-8-2 ATS L30 as Home favorites and get the nod again tonight. NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the last 2 seasons. NEW ENGLAND is 13-2 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 or more yards/game over the last 3 seasons. NEW ENGLAND is 10-0 ATS L/10 off 2 or more consecutive unders. NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. NFL Road teams (INDIANAPOLIS) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game), after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 17-45 L/35 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. for bettors on the blind. Play on New England to cover |
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10-04-18 | Jets +100 v. Blues | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
The Blues are going with a youth movement as prospects Robert Thomas, Jordan Kyrou and Sammy Blais all made the roster. Blais is the old man of the group at age 22. Thomas, regarded as one of the Blues' top prospects, is 19 and Kyrou is 20 and their will be growing pains for this team , especially against sides like Winnipeg that are built to win now. .Blues are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Blues are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. Central.Blues are 1-5 in their last 6 overall dating back to last season.Jets are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. Central. Play on the Winnipeg Jets to win on the moneyline |
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10-04-18 | Predators -151 v. Rangers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The Preds are a behemoth team ready to make a run for the Stanley Cup. The Rangers in a rebuilding mode are in trouble here tonight, at MSG. I know Nashville has lost 4 straight here, but that is just an anomaly and the get the nod in this spot.
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10-04-18 | Georgia State v. Troy -14.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 31 h 60 m | Show | |
Georgia State pulled off the upset last week vs UL Monroe as 8 point home dogs, but nothing before that game suggested that this side has the cannolis to hang with an explosive Troy State team this week, as is indicated by having gone 0-3 SUATS while their defence was gutted for 34, 59 and 41 points respectively. With that said, I now expect a reversion to the norm for Georgia State against a behemoth opponent that will be wide awake coming into this tilt. TROY is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons winning by more than 19.7 ppg. Play on Troy to cover |
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10-04-18 | Bruins -128 v. Sabres | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Boston got clobbered last night by the defending Stanley Cup Champs by a 7-0 count and will now primed to bounce back off that embarrassing loss. Look for Patrice Bergeron and the Bruins roll behind what is arguably the best two-way first line group in the NHL with Brad Marchand and David Pastrnak on the wings. Buffalo might be improved but tonight they will be on the wrong side of this score. |
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10-04-18 | Rockies v. Brewers -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Both teams come into the series in good form . Milwaukee won seven straight games to finish the regular season tied atop the NL Central with the Cubs, then made it eight straight by knocking off the Cubs for the division title Monday at Wrigley Field. But Im betting the Brewers are much fresher after a couple days of rest as they waited for Colorado ,. The Rockies after two exhausting emotional games that have them in this play off series their now at a disadvantage . Also Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) despite of pitching well of late has gotten tired quickly as is evident In his last five starts, where he’s averaging less than six innings per outing. With the Brewers bullpen fresher than the Rockies bullpen they have the advantage as this game progresses. Note:Look for Christian Yelich, who is slugging an insane 1.294 in the last week. Milwaukee also matches up well vs the Rockies and have won 5 of 7 meetings this season. Play on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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10-03-18 | Ducks v. Sharks -165 | 5-2 | Loss | -165 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
The San Jose Sharks start their season vs a Ducks team they matchup very well against. Anaheim and San Jose played went head to head in the 2018 playoffs, with the Sharks dominating from start to finish and a 4-0 sweep. I know the Ducks want revenge, but that won't come easily vs a supped up lineup featuring all star defensemen Erik Karlasson. The Ducks are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings and just 4-12 in its past 16 visits to San Jose. SJ Goalie Martin Jones was 2-0-1 with a 1.55 goals-against average and .940 save percentage vs the Ducks.Three Anaheim goalies, went 0-1-1 with a 3.59 GAA and .885 SV. vs the Sharks last season and Gibson who saw the most time during the regular season and was then 0-4 in the playoffs with a 3.60 GAA and .889 SV. Ducks are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Pacific.Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.Ducks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Western ConferenceSharks are 22-7 in their last 29 vs. Pacific.Play on San Jose Sharks to win on the moneyline |
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10-03-18 | A's v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 105 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Oakland manager Bob Melvin has a top tier bullpen and may use it from the outset of this Wild card tilt. But no matter what the Yanks offence enters this Wild card game on fire having won 9 of their L/13 games behind an attack that has exploded for 33 runs in their L/4 games overall. In three games vs the As the Yanks also scored 18 runs and must not be underestimated here. Add to that the Yankees are slugging .526 against L.Hendriks the As starter and you have a good situation for Yankees run production. Giancarlo Stanton is slugging 1.000 and Andujar, is slugging .654 this past week with Aaron Judge looking forward to facing a Athletics side that has seen him slugging .846 .The Yankees are the first MLB team ever with 20+ home runs from every spot in the order. Their dangerous and able to produce here which will help the over cause. Meanwhile, NYY starter . Severino according to my numbers does not matchup well vs the As current lineup and in last years wild-card game he was smashed by the Twins and gave up three runs in 0.1 innings of nervous looking work. The As are one of the ALs most explosive offensive teams, and not matter what Im betting they do enough damage here to get us over the total and into the promised land of profits. SEVERINO is 10-2 OVER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals this season with a. combined average of 13 rpg scored. OAKLAND is 7-1 against the money line in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season with a combined average f 13.8 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (OAKLAND) - after a loss by 2 runs or less against opponent after a combined score of 12 runs or more 4 straight games are 32-9 OVER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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10-02-18 | Rockies v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Lester (18-6, 3.32) the Cubbies starter is a solid experienced pitcher who is a reliable hurler in this kind of sudden death situation. In 22 playoff starts he owns a brilliant 2.55 ERA over 148 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile, the Rockies go with Kyle Freeland (17-7 2.85) a pitcher with a live arm who deserves our respect here vs a Chicago team that has been highly inconsistent offensively this season. Im betting on a Low scoring tilt that fails to eclipse the total. Under is 11-3 in Cubs last 14 home games.Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 playoff games.Under is 11-4 in Cubs last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 23-9 in Cubs last 32 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 playoff home games.Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a loss.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 10-4 in Rockies last 14 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Freelands last 4 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 5-0 in Freelands last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Freelands last 16 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 21-7-2 in Freelands last 30 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 21-7-1 in Freelands last 29 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 42-16-3 in Freelands last 61 starts on grass.Under is 42-16-3 in Freelands last 61 starts overall. Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.Under is 13-4 in Rockies last 17 games following a loss.Under is 9-3 in Rockies last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 home starts vs. Rockies.Under is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts vs. Rockies.Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago.Play on the UNDER |
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10-01-18 | Chiefs v. Broncos +5 | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 97 h 32 m | Show | |
Former Texas Tech gun slinger Mohomes has KC playing all out Wild West run and shoot football. But what is a little concerning is KCs defence, which is allowing an average of 30.7 ppg.on 474 mpg for the leagues worst D. Im betting on Denvers 10th ranked offence doing some damage here today, and possibly puling off the upset. Denver QB Case Keenum is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in his NFL career against opposition coming off three straight wins like KC. Night Football teams who are 3-0 as favorites of -7 points or less are 1-5 ATS L/6 overall. NFL- Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (KANSAS CITY) - after a game where they forced no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers are 19-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Denver Broncos to cover |
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