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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-13-23 | Reds v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Marlins stater ALCANTARA is 10-2 UNDER vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored.ALCANTARA is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored. MIAMI is 14-4 UNDER  vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons like the Reds Lodolo. with a combined average of 5.9 rpg scored. CINCINNATI is 11-1 UNDER in road games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons of 4.5 rpg scored. both theses offenses have been very inconsistent this season, while their pitching has been viable. My projections estimate a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse this number. MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 33-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-13-23 | Rays v. Yankees +122 | 8-9 | Win | 122 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
McClanahan (7-0, 1.76 ERA) can become the first eight-game winner in the majors and hes performing an exaggerated level just like the rest of the team. Regression is obviously coming and Im betting it starts today against the Yankees. Note:McClanahan is 1-3 with a 3.26 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile, Yanks starter Cortes was 2-2 with a 3.28 ERA in four starts against Tampa Bay last season, including a victory on May 26 at St. Petersburg, Fla., when he hurled eight innings of one-run ball. My pitcher vs power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Rays and at these implies odds is under rated. Rays are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 71-33 in their last 104 home games and are 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter like McClanahan. TAMPA BAY is 24-35 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 33-9 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 49-24 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. NYY to win |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -2.5 | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The Warriors shot 51.1 percent from the field last time out in a win and outrebounded the Lakers 48-38. Im betting on immediate regression here against what will be a more motivated Lakers group here tonight. The Lakers Davis played his least amount of min in the play offs in that last game, but should be more rested for this key tilt. What was troubling was the Warriors   14 turnovers and tonight Im betting under pressure that those ugly numbers will contribute the Warriors downfall.  GOLDEN STATE is 3-12 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.GOLDEN STATE is 14-32 ATS in road games this season.LA LAKERS are 12-4 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. NBA Underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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05-12-23 | Giants v. Diamondbacks +103 | 5-7 | Win | 103 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter like Nelson. SAN FRANCISCO is sub .500 61-70 against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons and according to my projections being over rated here today vs the Snakes. Value resides with a hungry home side on a 3 game slid. Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West .Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.ARIZONA is 20-17 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 4-13 against the money line vs. a team with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. Play on Dbacks to win |
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05-12-23 | Cubs v. Twins UNDER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Cubs send right-hander Sonny Gray (4-0, 1.35 ERA) to the hill to face the Cubs.Gray currently owns the best ERA in the American League and has allowed more than one run in only one of his seven trips to the hill this season. Meanwhile,Left-hander Drew Smyly (3-1, 3.05) will takes to the mound for the Cubs. In 16 career appearances (six starts) against the Twins, Smyly is 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA. My projections estimate, a pitchers duel here and when need be for the bullpens to finish the job. SMYLY is 19-8 UNDER  in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 road games.Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 40-18-6 in Cubs last 64 during game 1 of a series. MINNESOTA is 11-2 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. Under is 6-0 in Twins last 6 overall. CHICAGO CUBS are 24-12 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.9 rpg scored. Under is 40-18-6 in Cubs last 64 during game 1 of a series. Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Play under |
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05-12-23 | Royals +205 v. Brewers | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Burnes, who won the Cy Young Award in 2021, has not been as sharp thus far as he was the last two seasons and is being over rated here. With that said, there is to much value to pass up with a Royals side that has won four of their last five games and that has homered in 10 consecutive games. Also the Brewers have lost 8 of their L/10 and are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Royals Taylor. Brewers are also 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Royals are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Play on the KC Royals to win |
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05-12-23 | Knicks v. Heat -5.5 | 92-96 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
Having enough talent on the floor is obviously very important, but in the play offs if you don't have an experienced coach, you are most probably doomed.With Spoelestra on the sidelines for Miami in a clutch post season action Im betting the Heat have the edge especially playing here at home where they have defeated the Knicks in 5 of their L/7 meetings. I know the Knicks played a great game last time out in desperation mode, but even after leaving everything on the floor, there was a feeling of inadequacy surrounding the Knicks and an emotional let down situation could easily hamper their flow this evening. MIAMI is 29-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is 46-25 ATS in the second round of the playoffs since 1996. Spoelstra is 30-14 ATS in the second round of the playoffs as the coach of MIAMI. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Heat are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Play on the Miami Heat to cover |
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05-12-23 | Angels v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Clevelands lack of offense and top tier pitching have produced consistent unders of late. The Guardians have gone under in 9 of thier L/10 games with no tilt over that span seeing more than 8 combined runs scored. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight vs the visiting Angels. Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter like the Guardians starter Allen. Under is 7-2-1 in Angels last 10 during game 1 of a series.Under is 20-7 in Angels last 27 games following an off day. CLEVELAND is 10-1 UNDER in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.1 rpg scored. CLEVELAND is 21-7 UNDER  vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season with a combined average of 6.7 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CLEVELAND) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-12-23 | Cardinals +105 v. Red Sox | 8-6 | Win | 105 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Paxton off a long lay off after getting injured back in April is being over rated here based on what Ill describe as rust. The Cards despite of some very inconsistent baseball early this season, are team that has generally hit lefties like Paxton hard, and once again look like they will do damage. Note: Cardinals are 23-10 in their last 33 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games. Play on St.Louis to win |
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05-12-23 | Mets v. Nationals +110 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
NY METS are 3-8 against the money line in May games this season. Mets are in a funk and fade material in their current form. NY METS are 4-16 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 road games.Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like the Nationals Gore.  Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors, with a rested bullpen - threw 2 or less innings in each of the last 2 games are 78-25 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Advantage value with the Washington Nats to win |
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05-12-23 | Reds +129 v. Marlins | 7-4 | Win | 129 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Cincinnati will have the pleasure of going against a fresh rookie just coming from Double A. Hes a talented kid but he goes against much tougher competition here and him stepping up wont come easily vs a Reds team, off winning two of three from the Mets. Meanwhile, the Marlins face a hurler in  Graham Ashcraft (2-1, 3.82) who matches up well against them according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. In two career starts against Miami, he has garnered a 1-0 record along with a stingy1.80 ERA. Marlins are 17-36 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Ashcraft .Marlins are 34-73 in their last 107 during game 1 of a series.Marlins are 15-36 in their last 51 games following an off day. Reds are 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. Play on Cincinnati Reds to win |
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05-12-23 | Mariners v. Tigers +105 | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Boyd matches up well here vs the Seattle Mariners. Boyd is 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against the Mariners. It must also be noted that Motown has momentum entering this tilt against Seattle as is evident by having won seven of their past nine games.  Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter like Seattles Gonzales. DETROIT is 12-4 against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - poor offensive team - scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less are 86-47 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Detroit Tigers to win |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This has been a homer series so far with the host team winning all five tilts. However, the discrepancy in scores has been more tilted to towards the Nuggets in their home wins while the Suns home victories have been much closer and hard fought. My won feelings and analysis suggest the Nuggets are the superior side overall , and deserve respects as underdogs in this key spot play. DENVER is 20-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA team (PHOENIX) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 18-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the Nuggets to cover |
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05-11-23 | Giants v. Diamondbacks +123 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
Giants starter Cobb has pitched well so far this season. However, he is   2-2 with a 6.10 ERA in six career starts against Arizona, including 0-1 with an 8.36 mark in three outings at Chase Field.  COBB is 13-21 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know Henry the Snakes starter does not have great numbers this season, but he is undervalued here according to my own pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. National League West. Play on the DBacks to win |
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05-11-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
With the backs up against the proverbial wall, Im betting on a huge bounce back effort from the Celtics in classic zig zag theory mode. They played lousy D, and inconsistent offense and will easily uptrend in their return to the court. Don't count the never say die Celtics out is my moto for tonight. Remember last season when the Celtics won Game 6 on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks and then captured the series in seven games. Quote: "If you're not willing to pretty much get dirty, if you're not willing to bleed, if you're not willing to break something, willing to tear something going hard, then you shouldn't be on that court, because that's what it is," Marcus Smart said. "That's what the playoffs are about. Hopefully you stay safe, but that's the mentality. You gotta go, you gotta be willing to risk it all for these games. end Quote BOSTON is 20-7 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more. BOSTON is 15-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off a home loss are 51-15 ATS L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
The Devils imploded on themselves vs the Hurricanes in game 4 of this series as the Canes recorded a 6-1 win in Game 4 on Tuesday to secure a 3-1 lead in the best-of-seven series and with the proverbial death blow at hand Im betting on the more experienced Canes to bring home the cash . New Jersey coach Lindy Ruff said. "We had guys who just went rogue. You can call that lack of experience, even the power play turned into one man trying to do something and then the next man trying to do something." The Devils lack of play off experience is the difference maker here as is home ice advantage for the Canes. Hurricanes are 41-15 in their last 56 home games.Hurricanes are 24-9 in their last 33 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Hurricanes are 36-15 in their last 51 vs. Eastern Conference.Hurricanes are 38-16 in their last 54 games following a win.Hurricanes are 21-9 in their last 30 Conference Semifinals games. NEW JERSEY is 0-11 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS in home games as a # 1 seed in the playoffs over the last 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 20-8 ATS against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or more of shots against this season.CAROLINA is 23-7 ATS in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons. Play on Carolina to win |
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05-11-23 | Rays v. Yankees +110 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
 Im betting the Rays will soon regress offensively, after a very fast open to their season. Yankees starter German while viable is not as viable a pitcher as Rasmussen, but Germans bullpen is better and Im betting the Yankees will hang tough in this tilt and at this offering are viable underdog selections. Note: Yankees are 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Rasmussen. NYY starter GERMAN is 18-4 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in his career. (Team's Record) GERMAN is 10-2  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record) MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - very good offensive team (5.4 or more runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season are 35-11 L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts 44-17 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Rays are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in New York. Play on NYY to win |
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05-11-23 | Mets v. Reds OVER 10 | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Reds will send right-handed reliever Derek Law (2-4, 3.00)to the hill in his fifth career start as an opener among his 210 major league appearances. Right-hander Ben Lively is will make his first big-league appearance since 2019 with Kansas City. This will be a nice weather afternoon tilt with temps in the high 70s and light wind blowing out to center. With two average major league baseball starters on the hill Im betting on a boatload of runs going on the board this afternoon.  Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1-1 in Mets last 6 road games. Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 vs. National League East.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 9-3 in Reds last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 8-3 in Reds last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. Play over |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -6.5 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 56 m | Show | |
The senior laden Lakers are probably pretty tired right now, after playing all out hoops in 4 straight games, and will have a hard time here against Golden State that plays their best hoops at home as is evident by their 36-10 home record this season. GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS ( in home games off a loss against a division rival this season Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.LA LAKERS are 8-20 ATS  off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons.MLB team (GOLDEN STATE) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite are 55-22 for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 113-173 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Golden State Warriors |
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05-10-23 | Cardinals v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
Its going to be a fairly cool night in Chicago with temps near 60 and the wind blowing in from Center/right field, and Im betting on a lower scoring game that benefits the pitchers and not the hitters. It must also be noted the Cubs have seen more than 8 runs combined scored in just one of their L/8 games and only twice in their L/13 trips to the diamonds. Play under |
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05-10-23 | White Sox v. Royals +123 | 1-9 | Win | 123 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
The White Sox won yesterday but thats not always a good omen for this underperforming side as is evident by going  2-11 in their last 13 games following a win.Note: White Sox starter LYNN is 10-16 against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. The White Sox are also 3-13 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series and are are 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter like the Royals expected starter Keller. White Sox are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City and Im betting they go down in proverbial flames tonight. (MLB Team's RecordMLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season are 9-28 L/26 seasons for a go against for a 76% conversion rate. Play on the Royals to win |
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05-10-23 | Heat v. Knicks -3.5 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
The Knicks have their backs up against the proverbial wall , as Miami will try to close out this series tonight. Im betting that will be delayed by a desperate side. The Knicks pulled down an average of 46.6 rebounds per game during the regular season, tied for second-most in the NBA, and out-rebounded foes by 4.5 per game and tonight Im betting we see them at their best and very physical as they leave everything on the court. MIAMI is 0-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games this season. NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season. NBA Road teams (MIAMI) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days are 20-46 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on the Knicks to cover |
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05-10-23 | Mets v. Reds +146 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
The Mets are vulnerable at moment and in a bit of a funk and even with Verlander on the hill their favorite status is bloated. NY METS are 2-7 against the money line in May games this season.NY METS are 3-15 against the money line in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. NY METS are 3-9 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season MLB team (CINCINNATI) - after a win by 2 runs or less against opponent after scoring and allowing 6 runs or more 2 straight games are 46-17 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cincinnati to win |
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05-10-23 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Mets bullpen is tired and Im betting on some late runs here today after the starters leave this tilt. Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League Central.Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League East.Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. NY METS are 24-6 OVER after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.4 rpg scored. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (NY METS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 124-61 OVER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play over |
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05-10-23 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This afternoon game is a pivotal division matchup and both sides will primed to compete, on a sunny afternoon in southern California , with near perfect weather and the wind blowing out to left center field. Both teams have alot of offensive talent, and despite of two decent pitchers on the mound, the environment favors a run fest.Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 vs. American League West. Over is 5-2 in Angels last 7 vs. American League West.Over is 5-2 in Angels last 7 home games.Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play over |
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05-10-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.86 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays on Wednesday. My power rankings suggest he matches up well vs this explosive Phillies offense and when and if he does falter his bullpen should supply enough backing to keep the home side from an exaggerated output. Jays starter GAUSMAN is 34-16 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. Meanwhile, Philadelphia will hand the ball to Zack Wheeler (3-2, 4.26 ERA) on Wednesday. My own notes on Wheeler suggests upward momentum, and better pitch command which will hold the mighty Jays at bay. Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. TORONTO is 13-4 UNDER vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season. Under is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 during game 2 of a series.Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Play under |
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05-10-23 | Marlins +131 v. Diamondbacks | 5-4 | Win | 131 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Right-hander Merrill Kelly (3-3, 2.75 ERA) will start for Arizona on Wednesday and power rankings suggest he is a sub par opponent for the Marlins batting order.Kelly is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his three appearances against the Marlins and faced them one last season, Meanwhile, the Marlins with reply with starter, Edward Cabrera (2-3, 4.78 ERA), He may. not catch many pundits eyes with a regular data search , but he owns a strikeout rate of almost 30%, along with a 53.2% ground-ball rate and is a viable starter to back in this situation on a value line. MLB team (MIAMI) - terrible offensive team (3.5 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), in May games are 24-13 L/5 season for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Miami to win |
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05-10-23 | Rockies +135 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 135 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rockies right-hander Antonio Senzatela (0-1, 1.80 ERA), faces opposite Pittsburgh left-hander Rich Hill (3-3, 4.54).Senzatela has the edge here vs a side that has lost eight of its past nine games and has garnered  just 12 runs during that span and are  are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, the Rockies have won 7 of thier L/9 overall and are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are also 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. like Hill. Advantage Rockies on a value line |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
The Suns, thanks to the red hot shooting of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant, tied the series with a 129-124 win in Game 4 on Sunday . The Suns really had to have everything going for them to get that win, but now here in the Mile High city Im betting on immediate regression from the Suns vs a side that is fired up after their star forward Nikola Jokic was called on a technical and fined for nudging Suns owner court-side. This will ignite the Nuggets . Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. PHOENIX is 7-16 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. DENVER is 33-18 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 17-8 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.DENVER is 21-11 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. Malone is 66-45 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Play on Denver to cover |
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05-09-23 | Stars -131 v. Seattle Kraken | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Seattle took the last game of this series, at home, but now Im betting on what my power rankings suggest is s superior side to bounce back just like they did game 2 after losing game 1. DALLAS is 6-0 ATS  in road games revenging a road loss versus opponent this season . Dallas 4.5 vs opponent 1.7. Stars are 8-1 in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.Stars are 11-4 in their last 15 overall.Stars are 12-5 in their last 17 road games.Stars are 9-4 in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. Play on Dallas to win |
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05-09-23 | Nationals v. Giants OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to a 9. With the wind blowing out tp center Field at 13 miles an hour, I wont be surprised with an above average over the fence action tonight. Over is 5-2 in Nationals last 7 vs. National League West.Washingtons starter CORBIN is 35-18 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in his career (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. SAN FRANCISCO is 26-12 OVER  as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored. Play over |
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05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7.5 | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
After losing in OT in the road last time out, Im betting the Boston Celtics will regain control of their Eastern Conference semifinal playoff series vs the Philadelphia 76ers in a pivotal Game 5 on Tuesday night. When the going gets tough my money rides with the Celtics. BOSTON is 17-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.BOSTON is 17-5 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. PHILADELPHIA is 15-30 ATS) versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. 76ers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings.Play on Boston to cover |
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05-09-23 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Mets will send right-hander Max Scherzer (2-2, 5.56 ERA). The veteran right hander looked tired at the end of last season, and just has not looked like the pitcher he was earlier in his career.Scherzer was bashed for six earned runs on eight hits over just 3 1/3 innings against Detroit last time out, and once again is being over rated. Meanwhile,In his last start, May 1 in San Diego, Weaver the Reds starter was charged with four runs on nine hits over 4 1/3 innings in an 8-3 loss to the Padres and looks like cannon fodder. Weaver has been cranked for 14 runs on 21 hits in just 16 innings of lackluster work . Im betting both pitcher give up enough runs for this tilt to be eclipsed early. Over is 8-3-2 in Mets last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League Central. NY METS are 23-6 OVER after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 ppg scored. Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 1 of a series.Over is 7-1 in Reds last 8 vs. National League East. MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season, after a game they hit 4 or more home runs are 37-13 OVER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play over |
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05-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies -124 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Alek Manoah (1-2, 4.71 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays.In Manoah's last start against the Boston Red Sox, he gave up eight hits and five runs, two earned, in five innings.He has not looked as impressive as he did last season, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well against this current version of the Phillies. Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Philadelphia ended their 6 game losing streak last time out, and Im now betting with some momentum back on their sides they come out of this tilt with a victory. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.possibly out for the Jays with left wrist soreness, the Phillies very much look like the right side. PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons.  MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more are 12-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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05-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Phillies stater NOLA is 24-9 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average 9.9 rpg scored.NOLA is 18-6 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with combined average of 11.4 rpg going on the board.Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Alek Manoah (1-2, 4.71 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Blue Jays.In Manoah's last start against the Boston Red Sox, he gave up eight hits and five runs, two earned, in five innings.He has not looked as impressive as he did last season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well here vs a sometimes explosive Phillies batting order. Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.Over is 5-2-1 in Phillies last 8 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Fast furious runs expected here . Play on the over |
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05-09-23 | Rays v. Orioles +114 | 2-4 | Win | 114 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
I know the Orioles have lost 3 straight and finally lost the opening game of a series this season by a 3-0 count after 11 straight victories . However, Im betting. a bounce back effort today on a value line based on my projections that estimate the Orioles have a better than 53% chance of taking this tilt. Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Orioles are 20-7 in their last 27 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Orioles are 12-4 in their last 16 games following a loss. BALTIMORE is 21-17 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 15-2 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. MLB team (TAMPA BAY) - good AL offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season are 41-52 L/5 seasons. Play on the Orioles to win |
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05-08-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3 | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
The long and winding road has not been kind to the Warriors this season as they have just 13 wins in 46 road games . I im betting the this talented by aging Lakers group understands the importance of a win now situation, as this is this groups last chance at a championship ie (James and Davis in particularly). Look for the old fellas to leave everything on the floor tonight and for the Lakers to bring home the cash. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. GOLDEN STATE is 3-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Conference Semifinals games.Warriors are 17-39-1 ATS in their last 57 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATSin home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. LA LAKERS are 7-0 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days this season. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games. NBA Underdogs (GOLDEN STATE) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-36 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-08-23 | Nationals +190 v. Giants | 5-1 | Win | 190 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Anthony DeSclafani has pitched well to start off his season, but Im betting he is over achieving after watching him put up horrendous numbers last season, as is evident by a 6.63 ERA . Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Meanwhile, Irvin is an average pitcher who is in call up mode from the minors, but is supported with a up-trending Nationals bullpen. Irvin (0-0, 2.08 ERA) helped the Nationals' with 4 1/3 innings of two-hit, one-run ball in his major league debut on Wednesday at home against the Chicago Cubs and must not disrespected here. MARTINEZ is 25-17 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.40 or better as the manager of WASHINGTON. Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 during game 1 of a series. Play on the Nationals to win |
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05-08-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers -102 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Peralta (3-2, 3.63 ERA) will be opposed by right-hander Tony Gonsolin (0-0, 3.38), who is making his third start since coming off the injured list. Peralta is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers, including a 4-0 loss last season at American Family Field and gets the nod here vs a still 100% Gonsolin. I know Milwaukee has lost 6 games in a row all on the road , but all good and bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting on this current down trend to come to end for the Brewers today vs the visiting Dodgers who traveled on a red eye from the West Coast last night. MILWAUKEE is 21-6 against the money line after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. LA DODGERS are 11-21against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. ROBERTS is 21-39 ) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 as the manager of LA DODGERS. MILWAUKEE is 15-3 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), playing on Monday are 33-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | 124-129 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
Devin Booker and Kevin Durant combined for 86 points in Game 3 as the Phoenix Suns got back into the Western Conference semifinals, but now Im betting on some immediate regression against a resilient group of Nuggets. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Nuggets coach Michael Malone was not pleased with his defenders and said his defense better be prepared to improve on Sunday. The primary focus will be on defending Booker, who is averaging 36.9 points per game this postseason. Malone has is his team fired up and ready to play. Malone is 46-25 ATS in road games off a road loss as the coach of DENVER. Malone is 33-16 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half as the coach of DENVER. DENVER is 15-5 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season. DENVER is 14-6 ATS against Pacific division opponents this season. NBA team (PHOENIX) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 16-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Play on the Nuggets to cover |
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05-07-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | 5-2 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Staring ptichers: Urias the Dodgers starter a hurler who contended for Cy Young ward last season and is not performing very well at the moment, as he has garnered a 6.75 ERA in his L/3 starts and a 7.20 ERA on road starts this season. Meanwhile, Padres starter Musgrove has allowed 10 earned runs in just a little over 8 innings of work this season, and once again looks like cannon fodder. The Dodgers have clobbered right-handed pitching averaging 6.1 rpg in production while the Fathers have been consistent against left-handed pitching averaging 4.2 rpg. Both defenses have been average this season and the bullpens inconsistent which has me leaning on this game going over the offered total. Padres starter MUSGROVE is 36-18 OVER  vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in his career (Team's Record) with the average rpg clicking in at 11.1 .MUSGROVE is 26-12 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 9.9 rpg scored. MUSGROVE is 12-3 OVER (+8.9 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.8 rpg scored. Over is 9-4 in Padres last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record. LA DODGERS are 11-1 OVER after 2 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 11.9 rpg scored. Play over |
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05-07-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers | 115-116 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is a top tier side, but the Celtics are an elite team with just to many weapons to contain. Yes, the Celtics have off nights, but their consistency and hunger for victory is something that makes them viable betting options, on a value line. The Celtics have also proven they matchup well vs the Sixers which Im sure is frustrating for the 76ers . That frustration manifests into mistakes, and that is when the Celtics are at their best. With Joel Embiid at less than 100% or not able to play today the Sixers are in trouble. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.  BOSTON is 17-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. BOSTON is 26-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games BOSTON is 15-5 ATSwhen the line is +3 to -3 this season. BOSTON is 17-5 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Rivers is 5-16 ATS  versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA. 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 11-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-07-23 | Blue Jays -125 v. Pirates | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays, who entered the series with a five-game losing streak, have won the first two games of this series, with a 4-0 shutout Friday and an 8-2 beatdown yesterday and with momentum on their sides look very much like viable bets here today against the struggling Pirates who have lost 6 straight . Jays starter KIKUCHI is 15-7 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)TORONTO is 23-9 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 3 seasons. Kikuchi enters this game in top form, garnering a 2-0 record along with a 3.37 ERA in his last 3 starts including having  struck out 30 batters in 31 1/3 innings of work. Contreras the Pirates starter  advanced metrics - 4.32 xERA and a 5.16 xFIP. suggest he is being over rated against a explosive Blue Jays offense. Blue Jays are 40-19 in their last 59 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. TORONTO is 21-8 against the money line in road games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. SCHNEIDER is 24-11 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game as the manager of TORONTO. Play on the Jays to win |
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05-07-23 | Orioles +148 v. Braves | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
The finale of this series now tied 1-1 features Atlanta's Bryce Elder (3-0, 1.75 ERA) against Baltimore's Tyler Wells (2-1, 3.34). WELLS is 12-4 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series and have an edge here according to my projections from a mathematical standpoint based on a value underdog line that is bloated. Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Orioles are 9-3 in their last 12 road games. BALTIMORE is 22-11 against the money line in all games this season.BALTIMORE is 13-3) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. ATLANTA is 9-16 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or better over his last 3 starts, after a game where their bullpen blew a save 30-16 L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Orioles are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Play on Baltimore to win |
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05-06-23 | Astros -116 v. Mariners | 5-7 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
The Astros starting hurler France has been a strong minor league pitcher averaging  2.33 ERA in 19 1/3 innings this year in Triple-A ball , while averaging 12.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The 28 year old can make you miss, and against a Seattle team that is struggling to hit and score hes a prime candidate to help his team to a victory. Meanwhile, the Astros bats get to face a sub par hurler in Marco Gonzales who has garnered a bloated 4.74 ERA. MARCO GONZALES vs. HOUSTON -GONZALES is 2-9 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.459.Â
Astros are 37-18 in the last 55 meetings in Seattle.Astros are 52-19 in the last 71 meetings. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games are 27-9 L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Astros to win |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers -3 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Its well documented how the Warriors have struggled on the road this season, garnering an ugly 13-32 record . they have recently come up big in a couple of road opportunities but, tonight their lack of mojo on the road Im betting will be evident vs a veteran laden side that knows how to win when the chips are down . Its crunch games like this that the aging King James shows us glimpses of what made him a super star in this league. Note: Los Angeles won the series opener on the road vs Memphis like they did against Golden State , lost Game 2 just like they did against the Grizzlies and then came home to take a commanding 3-1 series lead with a pair of victories. Rinse and repeat in play today. Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.Warriors are 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. LA LAKERS are 25-9 ATS when tied in a playoff series since 1996. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS as a road underdog this season. GOLDEN STATE is 6-15 ATS  in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season. GOLDEN STATE is 5-13 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 104-64 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 227.5 | 97-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that Golden State will allow 115+ points here tonight. GOLDEN STATE is 25-6 OVER  when they allow 115 to 120 points in a game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 232.6 ppg. Meanwhile, the LA LAKERS are 13-4 OVER  when they score 115 to 120 points in a game this season with a combined average of 237 ppg going on the board. Advantage over. Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a straight up win.Over is 38-15 in Warriors last 53 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 37-17-2 in Warriors last 56 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 OVER in road games after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season with a combined average of 241 ppg scored..GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 OVER )on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 240.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 17-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. Ham is 41-26 OVER sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more as the coach of LA LAKERS with a combined average of 236.5 ppg scored. Over is 11-2 in Lakers last 13 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play over |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -135 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
Vegas has scored 4 goals or more in 5 straight games, while Edmonton has scored 4 goals or more in 5 of their L/6 . My projections estimate 7 plus combined goals will be scored in this matchup tonight with each teams scoring 3+ goals.Â
EDMONTON is 6-0 OVER off a road loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined 7.7 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 11-2 OVER  revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.5 ggp scored.EDMONTON is 6-0 OVER in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 9 gpg scored. EDMONTON is 8-1 OVER (when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. The L/5 meetings in this series have eclipsed this Totals offering. Play over |
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05-06-23 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Minnesota's starter Gray has not allowed more than one run in any of his starts this season and has garnered 41 strikeouts in 31 innings of top tier pitching .Meanwhile, the Guardians Allen has made two starts during this campaign, and looked good both times . The southpaw has not allowed more than three runs and struck out 16 batters in 11 innings of quality work. I expect both starters to long and strong and for both od these decent bullpens to hold the proverbial fort. Note:The Twins pen ranks 13th while garnering a 3.73 ERA, while the Guardians rank eighth in MLB with a 3.35 ERA. Im betting on the pitching staffs having the upper hand on the offenses today. CLEVELAND is 7-0 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 4.6 rpg scored.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games. Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 21-6 in Guardians last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning recor Under is 8-2-1 in Twins last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 3-1-2 in Twins last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. MINNESOTA is 37-11 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland. Play on the under |
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05-06-23 | Knicks v. Heat -3.5 | 86-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
All season long the pundits wondered what was wrong with the Heat, as they flailed away playing inconsistent basketball more often than not. It seems the Heat saved their best hoops for the play offs and are now in top form, as was evident when the defeated the defending Milwaukee Bucks in the opening round of the play offs.. With that said, Im now betting after a hard fought loss in game 2 of this series, that they bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode, and deliver a win vs a Knicks at their own home court. I know Jimmy butler is listed as questionable, but this is to important of a game for him to miss with a lower grade ankle issue. Even if butler cannot take to the court I believe this Heat team is deep enough to compete and grab the victory. MIAMI is 18-8 ATS  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons .MIAMI is 18-8 ATS  after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Spoelstra is 28-13 ATS in the second round of the playoffs as the coach of MIAMI. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. MIAMI is 28-16 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. Heat has covered 5 straight games. Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games. Play on Miami to cover |
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05-06-23 | Tigers v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Detroits starter Turnbull has been battered this season as he returns from Tommy John surgery. The righty hurler has garnered a bloated 6.83 ERA . Meanwhile, veteran righty Wainwright makes his season debut for the struggling Cards . his velocity was off late last season, and he is throwing alot of soft stuff, curveballs in particular, that a decent hitting and up-trending Tigers offense Im betting can tee off on. Note: St.Louis has allowed 33 runs in thier L/5 games and with Wainwright on the hill more runs should be on the agenda. As far as the Cards offense goes, they should get a boost facing a pitcher that is in fade material mode at this time. DETROIT is 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 11.6 rpg scored . Advantage to the over |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -4 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show | |
Down two games to zero the Suns have their backs up against the proverbial wall and will come out firing bullets tonight . DENVER is 4-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Malone is 4-16 ATS  in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of DENVER. Advantage Phoenix.  PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season. NBA Road underdogs (DENVER) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 16-39 ATS L/27 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Phoenix to cover ( Late Steam) |
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05-05-23 | Dodgers -113 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
The Dodgers are rocking and rolling right now with 6 straight wins and a recent  offensive explosion of 42 runs in their L/4 trips to the diamonds. In their current form they are worth trailing on a value line in a advantageous situation according to my power rankings. KERSHAW is 24-9 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 0.964.The three-time Cy Young Award winner has a 0.763 WHIP and a .175 opponents' batting average and looks like he is back in his prime.Kershaw is 11-4 with a 1.87 ERA in 20 career starts at Petco Park. Dodgers are 58-21 in their last 79 during game 1 of a series.  Dodgers are 70-27 in their last 97 games vs. a right-handed starter and have the advantage here vs the Fathers today like Fathers starter Darvish. Darvish is 3-5 lifetime against the Dodgers with a 2.47 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 17 walks in 62 innings over 10 starts. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - after allowing 1 run or less against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more 3 straight games are 9-33 L/26 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate. Dodgers are 66-30 in the last 96 meetings. Play on Los Angeles Dodgers to win |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -110 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Less than 48 hours after clinching their series against the New York Rangers in seven games, the visiting Devils were outshot 11-1 and outscored 2-0 in the first period of Game 1 against the rested Hurricanes, eventually losing by a 5-1 count. Even though I expect the Devils to play better in game 2 in this series, I still dont expect them to win this game against a more physical side that plays their best hockey at home. With G Andersen expected to start Game 2 for the Canes after stopping 50 of 52 shots over Carolina’s past two tilts, the Canes have the edge according to my projections. CAROLINA is 28-4 ATS in home games after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Hurricanes are 23-8 in their last 31 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Hurricanes are 40-15 in their last 55 home games.Hurricanes are 37-15 in their last 52 games following a win.Hurricanes are 19-8 in their last 27 Conference Semifinals games. Hurricanes are 35-17 in their last 52 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. CAROLINA is 22-7 ATS in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp over the last 3 seasons. Devils are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Carolina.Home team is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings.Favorite is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Play on Carolina to win |
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05-05-23 | A's v. Royals -155 | 12-8 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Athletics will send lefty Kyle Muller (0-2, 6.28 ERA) to the mound against Royals righty Brad Keller (2-2, 3.56). Muller has allowed 56 baserunners in 28 2/3 innings. My power rankings suggest this is a pitching mismatch favoring the Royals.One of the few bright spots among Royals starters, Keller has allowed hitters to a .226 BA , in 30 1/3 innings.
OAKLAND is 1-17 against the money line after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. MLB Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games, in May games are 15-57 L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Royals to win |
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05-05-23 | Celtics -1.5 v. 76ers | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
With 76ers star  Embiid still dealing with a knee injury and less than 100% or not playing at all the home side is at a disadvantage vs a Celtics side that now looks wide awake after a DD win last time out vs the Sixers. Advantage Celtics . BOSTON is 16-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season.BOSTON is 14-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. NBA Home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 30 points or more against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival are 8-31 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
The Warriors succumbed to the Lakers in game 1 of this series, but in classic zig zag theory Im betting the Warriors rebound in a big way here this evening.Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Warriors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Warriors are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 home games. LA LAKERS are 9-21 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 36-16 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. Kerr is 22-3 ATS revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.( Lakers won the last reg season meeting at home and than took out the Warriors in Game 1 of this series) NBA Favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a home loss are 99-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBAHome favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) - in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 30-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Warriors to cover |
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05-04-23 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
George Kirby, 2-2, 2.93 ERA, will get the start for the Mariners. The Athletics will counter with Drew Rucinski, 0-1, 4.76 ERA. Seattle’s pitching staff has been consistent, as is evident by giving up an average 4.14 runs per game. Opposition batting orders have garnered a lowly .230 batting average against the Mariners, which ranks seventh in the league. Their 3.52 ERA is also seventh, as is their 1.21 WHIP are also ranked 7th. Meanwhile, I know the As pitching is one of the most inconsistent in all of MLB , but this matchup and pitcher vs batting order projections looks favorable for them when it comes to limiting the Mariners offensive production with D. Rucinski on the hill . (Yes Hill has not impressed of late but does matchup well here according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 road games.Under is 7-3 in Mariners last 10 during game 3 of a series. Under is 9-4 in Athletics last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Seattles starter Kirby.OAKLAND is 17-6 UNDER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons MLB Road teams (SEATTLE) - after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs against opponent after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs are 32-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for. a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play under |
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05-04-23 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | 6-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Colorados starter Seabold (0-0, 5.27 ERA) will match up against Brewers lefty Wade Miley (3-1, 1.86). My projections estimate that Seahold matches up well vs a 4.4 rpg on a .240 BA. Meanwhile, Miley also matches up well here vs a Colorado side averaging 3.9 rpg. I know Coors Filed is a proverbial launching pad, but this series has been fairly low scoring so far and nothing will change today according to my projections. Under is 12-3-1 in Brewers last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Seabold.Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher. MLB Road teams where the total is 11 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 37-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for. a 82 % conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-03-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
All 4 games between these teams this season eclipsed this Totals offering from the books, and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Edmonton usually plays a one way style of offensive hockey behind an explosive lineup and the Vegas Knights will have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or proverbially be  blown off the ice. EDMONTON is 5-0 OVER in road games after 3 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 20-9 OVER ( against poor defensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored.EDMONTON is 23-10 OVER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. My  projections estimate both teams will score 3 goals plus each.EDMONTON is 40-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 7.7 gpg scored.VEGAS is 26-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals this season with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. Play on the OVER |
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05-03-23 | Brewers v. Rockies +104 | 1-7 | Win | 104 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Freeland (2-3, 4.32 ERA) will square off against Milwaukee's Eric Lauer (3-2, 5.19) in a battle of left-handers. Milwaukee has struggled against southpaw pitching averaging just 3.2 rpg via .202 BA. FREELAND is 33-18 against the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in his career. (Team's Record) Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or worse) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 39-84 L/26 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.Brewers are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Colorado. Colorado Rockies to win |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
I am betting the Celtics will bounce back here with a top tier brand of defense, something that alluded them in game 1 of this series as they lost 119-115 to the 76ers. Boston ranks 5th in ppg allowed in the NBA and own the top SRS mark with a 6.38.  SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average BOSTON is 19-7 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of 6 or more points. BOSTON is 15-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 5-30 ATS L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 42-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover |
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05-03-23 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Torontos starter MANOAH is 10-1 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)MANOAH is 15-4 UNDER in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)Manoah has been outstanding in six career starts against the Red Sox, going 4-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 37 innings and Im betting another top notch effort tonight. Meanwhile,Nick Pivetta (1-2, 5.11 ERA) goers to the hill for Boston . The right-hander has pitched at least five innings and recorded at least five strikeouts in four of his first five starts and is edging into top form. Note: Under is 9-2-1 in Blue Jays last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-3-2 in Blue Jays last 13 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Play under |
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05-03-23 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 9 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Reds starter Cessa may not inspire bettors when looking at an under bet but it must be noted that SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last 2 seasons like the Reds expected starter Cessa. On the flips side , Lugo who makes his 15th career appearance (second start) against the Reds owns a a 1.04 ERA, a 1.154 WHIP and a .234 opponents' batting average vs Cinncy. He has pitched well this season, and deserves respect in his ability to limit the inconsistent Red offense here today and help us get paid via an under wager. Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 7-3 in Reds last 10 vs. a team with a winning recordS. MLB Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (CINCINNATI) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 39-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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05-02-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 1-13 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Philadelphia will send left-hander Matt Strahm (2-2, 2.31 ERA) to the mound.The Dodgers will counter with lefty Julio Urias (3-3, 4.41 ERA), who won the National League ERA title last season with a 2.16 mark. Urias, who is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA lifetime against the Phillies in six appearances (four starts) is capable of holding the Phillies bats down. Also according to my pitcher vs power rankings numbers matches up well here. Factoring in the bull pens as well has me projecting a totals line closer to 7 which gives us a full run of value to the under. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. Dodgers starter URIAS is 19-8 UNDER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games. PHILADELPHIA is 28-13 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (LA DODGERS) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games are 40-11 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.50 the last 15 games against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games are 50-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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05-02-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers +140 | 4-6 | Win | 140 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Texas has averaged 6.4 rpg vs right handed starter like the Dbacks starter Gallen and 6.7 rpg at home this season, and are a value home dog here according to my projections. Diamondbacks are 4-10 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series.Diamondbacks are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. American League West. Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TEXAS) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season, after a combined score of 17 runs or more are 25-9 L/5 seasons for. a 74% conversion rate for bettors. (Texas smashed the Yankees 15-2 L/time out). Play on the Texas Rangers to win |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
With Miamis top player Butler unable to finish Game 1 because an ankle issue, and New York's star forward Julius Randle unable to start game 1 it due to a sprained left ankle both sides maybe without their top players. Looking at the depth of the rosters has me now leaning on the Knicks to bounce back in classic zig zag theory mode. It must also be noted that the Heat are 9-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. (Miami upset the Heat in Game 1 of this series)
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 20-11 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. NEW YORK is 17-3 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 29-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights are 26-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate. Play on NY Knicks to cover NBA Favorites (NEW YORK) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 79-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBAUnderdogs (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 16-48 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NYK to cover |
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05-02-23 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Minnesotas starter RYAN is 10-1 OVER  in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11 rpg scored. CHI WHITE SOX are 18-4 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher like Ryan whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 13.3 rpg scored. Over is 9-2-1 in White Sox last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Ryan.Meanwhile, White Sox Tuesday starter Michael Kopech owns a (0-3, 7.01 ERA) and a bloated 9.31 ERA at home. My pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest the Twins matchup well against him and should do some early damage. which will help us eclipse this total. Over is 11-3-1 in White Sox last 15 home games.Over is 19-6-3 in White Sox last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.BALDELLI is 27-11 OVER in road games in May games as the manager of MINNESOTA with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored.ÂMLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) (AL), after scoring 10 runs or more are 39-11 OVER L/26 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 10.1 rpg. MLB Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 62-27 OVER L/26 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 9.9 rpg going on the scoreboard. Over is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Chicago. Play over |
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05-02-23 | Twins -160 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
White Sox are 7-20 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 like the Twins starter Ryan.  White Sox garnered a victory last time out, but that has not been a recipe for success in the follow up as the White Sox are 0-8 in their last 8 games following a win. Rinse and repeat is the bet here. Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, after 2 straight games where the bullpen was hit hard for 4+ earned runs are 4-33 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins to win |
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05-01-23 | Reds +1.5 v. Padres | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Padres starter SNELL is 0-11 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) I know he has pitched well recently but it must be noted thatSNELL is 5-13  against the money line after giving up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall and get the nod here on. a value run line. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Play on Cincinnati Reds +1.5 runline |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -10 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Sixers super star Embiid sustained a sprained LCL in his right knee during Game 3 of Philadelphia's first-round series against the Brooklyn Nets and did not play when the 76ers clinched the series with a win in Game 4. If he plays here tonight he will be less than 100% which will directly effect the flow of this the Sixers. Embiid scored 52 points in Philadelphia's lone victory over Boston, a 103-101 outcome in April and without his presence or lack their off involvement in this tilt are at an extreme disadvantage. So asking DDs is not as extreme as many may expect.PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.BOSTON is 15-3 ATS  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. Play on Boston to cover |
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05-01-23 | Blue Jays -137 v. Red Sox | 5-6 | Loss | -137 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
Jays had a 7 game win streak end yesterday in a loss to Seattle, and will now be n a bounce back mode here today. Jays starter Berrios owns a stingy 1.42 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and is in top form. His team has won his L/3 starts vs the Red Sox and my power rankings suggest he matches up well here against the BoSox starter Kluber who has recorded a 6.89 ERA in his L/3 starts including a 0-3 record and 8.78 ERA at home in Fenway this season. Advantage Blue Jays. BOSTON is 34-54 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like the Jays starter Berrios. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better), starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 61-14 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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05-01-23 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Chicago left-hander Drew Smyly (2-1, 3.21 ERA) opposes left-hander MacKenzie Gore (3-1, 3.00) in the series opener. Smyly is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA over his past four starts. CHICAGO CUBS are 14-4 UNDER in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons like Gore. Everything points to this being a pitchers duel. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg scored. SMYLY is 12-2 UNDER (+10.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. Under is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.Under is 37-18-6 in Cubs last 61 during game 1 of a series. Under is 13-3-3 in Nationals last 19 during game 1 of a seriesUnder is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 overall.Under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the under |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros -136 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Im betting that the Phillies will not get the series sweep as the Astros have the edge here, especially with Left-hander Bailey Falter (0-4, 4.50) starting for Philadelphia. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Phillies are 20-41 in their last 61 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. HOUSTON is 31-8 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 20-4 against the money line after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.HOUSTON is 18-3 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. BAKER is 25-5 ( against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders as the manager of HOUSTON. Home teams (HOUSTON) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 36-16 L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to win |
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04-30-23 | Pirates v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh put 16 runs on the board yesterday while allowing 1 run in a win vs the Nationals . Im expecting immediate regression offensively here today for the Pirates which will help us a cash a under ticket. Under is 10-3-1 in Pirates last 14 during game 3 of a series. PITTSBURGH is 22-11 UNDER  on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored.Â
WASHINGTON is 42-26 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at 7.9 rpg. Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Nationals last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter like Oviiedo. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Washington. Play under |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Golden States starting five have matched up well against the Kings in this this series as is evident by a +19.4 rating and are +6.2 with Curry on the floor. As we get into the gritty tough part of this series I expect coach Kerr to have his top men on the court for a good portion of this game and for the Warriors to have an edge in a bounce back situation after a down effort at home last time out. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 pointsKings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-30-23 | Orioles -149 v. Tigers | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
The Orioles and Tigers split Saturday's doubleheader, with Baltimore pushing through with a 6-4 victory in the nightcap. That marked the Orioles 10th win in its last 12 games and like them to bring home the cash again this Sunday. Note: The Orioles Im betting will get out to an early lead vs Detroit's starter Spencer Turnbull (1-3, 7.25), who has had more strikeouts than walks in only one of his five trips to the hill this season.Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Turnbull. Tigers are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter like Bradish. Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Os starter Bradish. Orioles are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the Orioles to win |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4.5 | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
The Heat just shocked the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks and took a series hardly any of the pundits predicted. They finished of ftheir series with a explosive 128-126 victory and will now be in a emotional letdown situation in game 1 of this series vs the MY Knicks. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following a ATS win.MIAMI is 8-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. Meanwhile, the Knicks thanks to a top tier brand of defensive ball took out the Cleveland Cavaliers 4 games to 1 and now enter this tilt with momentum on their own home court. Advantage Knicks.Â
NBA Favorites vs. the money line (NEW YORK) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 48-4 L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.5 which easily qualifiers on this ATS offering. NBA Home teams (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 49-14 ATS L/5 seasons for. a72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks OVER 207.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
This matchup according to my projections estimate a combined score that eclipses this totals offering and should be closer to 211. Thanks to the Knicks top tier defensive play against another defensive minded team the Cleveland Cavs in their last series this total is now a little tainted in my opinion and offers value for over bettors even if key offensive cog- Randle misses this game for the Knicks. Â
NEW YORK is 17-7 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 238.3 ppg scored. MIAMI is 10-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 232.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after allowing 100 points or less 3 straight games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. with a combined average of 215.6 ppg scored. Play on the over |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings +150 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
The Kings trail 3-2 in the best-of-seven set with Game 6 in Los Angeles on Saturday night and will leave everything on the ice tonight against the Oilers. The Kings have been very competitive and despite of losing 6-3 last time out, still did not look outclassed .Los Angeles is getting as close to 100 percent healthy as it has been all series and deserve respect here in my betting opinion to take this series to a game 7. Oilers are 32-71 in their last 103 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Kings are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Kings are 13-5 in their last 18 home game.Â
NHL Road teams against the money line (EDMONTON) - hot team - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a team with a winning record are 17-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Kings to win |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -2.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
The Suns are favored to win the series and reach the NBA Finals, but projections don't quite see it that way as my power rankings suggest the Nuggets matchup well vs the Suns especially here at home in the Mile High city. Quote: "We like our chances," Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon said. "I feel like we've continued to take care of ourselves on and off the floor to give ourselves an opportunity to be healthy and get a chance to get our legs back against Phoenix." End quote. Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record DENVER is 17-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 13-4 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season.DENVER is 31-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.DENVER is 26-10 ATS  after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
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04-29-23 | Rays -135 v. White Sox | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay outscored Chicago 16-11 to secure a three-game sweep last weekend in Florida and has continued the momentum by winning the first two games of this weekend series. Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. TAMPA BAY is 5-0 against CHI WHITE SOX this season and Im betting they make it 6 in a row in the south side tonight. TAMPA BAY is 25-2 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 15-1 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. TAMPA BAY is 13-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-17 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.CHI WHITE SOX are 6-19 (against the money line in April games this season. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or worse) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33)or less, with a very bad bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or worse on the season are 34-123 L/26 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Rays to win |
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -105 | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs won their last two games here in TB , but the Bolts wont be easily beaten here as they have only lost 3 games at home once this season and have the 2nd best home record in the NHL this season with a 28-8-5 reg season record. Tampa Bay had the better chances vs Toronto 36-32 last time out and once again look to be the side to back. It must also be noted that the Maple Leafs were on the wrong end of 52-31 mark in scoring chances in Game 3 and 48-28 in Game 4. Advantage Tampa Bay based on momentum. key trend the Buds are just 0-11 L/11  when it comes to scoring more than 3 goals in an elimination game so, unless they play lights out D, the Bolts have an edge! With TBs star Goalie Vasilevsky in top form right now things dont look good for the Leafs. Play on Tampa Bay to win |
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04-29-23 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Right-hander Cristian Javier (2-0, 3.21) has the starting assignment for the Astros on Saturday and according to my projections has a high percentage chance of having a quality start. Meanwhile, Right-hander Zack Wheeler (2-1, 4.73 ERA) is the scheduled starter for the Phillies which I also project to have a quality start. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 5-2 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 53-26-6 in Phillies last 85 vs. American League West. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 6-2-1 in Astros last 9 vs. National League East. THOMSON is 22-9 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with s combined average of 6.3 rpg scored.THOMSON is 26-9 UNDER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better as the manager of PHILADELPHIA with a combined average of 6.3 rpg scored. Under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Play under |
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04-29-23 | Royals v. Twins -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
The Royals have lost by 2 runs or more in 8 of their L/11 overall losses and this tilt projects out to be a runline win for the Twins. The Twins last 5 wins overall have come by 2 runs or more. Rinse and repeat in a projected mismatch. Note: KCs starter Brad Keller . Over the past 14 games, a Royals starter has been has garnered a win just one time , with all Royals starters combining to allow 57 runs (56 earned) in 67 2/3 innings during that span -- an ERA of 7.45. MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (MINNESOTA) - where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who walked 5 or more hitters last outing are 58-9 L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the average rpg diff clicking in at +2.5 which qualifies on this run line offering from the books. MLB team against a 1.5 run line (KANSAS CITY) - after 2 straight games where they committed no errors, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 11-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Twins -1.5 runline |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Memphis has been a sub par road team all season long, and are fade material here against a senior laden Lakers team that knows how to win in clutch situations especially when they have home court advantage on this sides. I know the Grizzlies grabbed the win last time out, but thats not a good omen considering they are  0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season. MEMPHIS is 1-15 ATS  as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. LA LAKERS are 9-1 ATS in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
The Warriors have won the last two games in this series vs the Kings and now come home, where they play their best basketball as is evident by a 35-8 SU record at home that has seen them cover 29 of those games. I'll follow the Warriors momentum for a cover. Warriors are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 home games. GOLDEN STATE is 25-9 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 ATS in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons.GOLDEN STATE is 14-6 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season.GOLDEN STATE is 23-8 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
We are getting into clutch time in this series, and Im now betting we begin to see a more physical type of basketball that leans on the conservative side. My own projections make this game closer to a 231 which gives us almost two full possessions value on this line offering from the books to the under. Under is 20-8-1 in Kings last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 9-4-1 in Warriors last 14 home games.SACRAMENTO is 14-4 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combine average of 230.5 ppg scored.SACRAMENTO is 13-4 UNDER  in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 227.9 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 UNDER in home games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 22-9 UNDER  in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SACRAMENTO) - terrible defensive team - allowing 118+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 115 points or more 2 straight games are 41-19 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 71-28 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play under |
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04-28-23 | Mariners v. Blue Jays -105 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
The last time the Mariners visited Toronto, they overcame an 8-1 deficit Oct. 8 to complete a two-game sweep of the best-of-three American League wild-card series. You can bet the Jays have some redemption in mind. Seattles starter CASTILLO is 10-21 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after a win by 4 runs or more.12-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TORONTO) - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-14 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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04-27-23 | Celtics -6.5 v. Hawks | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The Hawks thanks to the great work of Trae Young have now gotten the full attention of the Celtics and response Im betting we now see the Boston play a complete game . When they take a lead this time which Im betting they do , they wont let up. Full steam ahead. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. BOSTON is 16-3 ATS versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or worse - 2nd half of the season this season. ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.( Atlanta shocked the Celtics with a late comeback win last time out by a 119-117 score) NBA Favorites (BOSTON) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 41-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. NBA Underdogs (ATLANTA) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 12-34 ATS L/5 seasons for. ago against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to cover |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
These two teams have gone over in their L/4 meetings and Im betting nothing changes in this tilt. The Lightning’s 4.00 home goals per game lead the NHL during the regular season and Im betting we see them let it all hang out here in Toronto tonight with their season on the line. The Leafs Im betting will be forced into reciprocating with some run and gun action themselves which will lead to a combined score that eclipses this total. TAMPA BAY is 25-9 OVER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 8-2 OVER in April games this season with a combined average of 7.9 gpg scored. Over is 7-0 in Lightning last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 road games. TORONTO is 33-18 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. TORONTO is 9-2 OVER in the first round of the playoffs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.5 gpg scored. Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.  Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - off 3 consecutive losses against division rivals against opponent off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play Over |
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04-27-23 | Orioles -144 v. Tigers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Orioles swept the Detroit Tigers in a three-game home series last weekend and matchup well against them according to my early season power rankings. Orioles starter GIBSON is 22-12 against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Gibson (4-0, 3.60 ERA) worked out of a bases-loaded jam in the first inning on Saturday and went on to limit Detroit to two hits and one run in 6 1/3 innings. The Orioles batting order matches up very well left-hander Joey Wentz (0-3, 7.56 ERA), who allowed five runs and six hits in four innings on Saturday. Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. Orioles are 35-17 in their last 52 during game 1 of a series. BALTIMORE is 11-1 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. Tigers are 6-20 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Orioles are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. Play on Baltimore to win |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The As look abysmal at this point in the season, and today Im betting they have huge problems with Angels super star starter Ohtani. Ohtani (3-0, 0.64 ERA) has made five starts this season and is yet to give up more than three hits in a game. OAKLAND is 1-15  against the money line after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with the average rpg diff clicking at -5.5. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (OAKLAND) - with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 6.50 the last 5 games are 1-36 L/26 seasons. Play on the LAA to win -1.5 runline |
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04-27-23 | Padres -126 v. Cubs | 2-5 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
After being held to five hits getting shut out for the fifth time in a 6-0 series-opening loss on Tuesday, San Diego recorded nine hits during a 5-3 win on Wednesday and have momentum entering this tilt and deserve my betting respect on this line offering.Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.Padres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. CHICAGO CUBS are 17-31 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. CHICAGO CUBS are 5-18 against the money line in home games against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (SAN DIEGO) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 137-53 L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Diego Padres to win |
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04-26-23 | Warriors -1.5 v. Kings | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
Kings emerging super star Fox,  is listed as doubtful, tonight . He has averaged 31.5 points, 7.0 assists and 6.0 rebounds in the series and has been a major catalyst for the Warriors. Golden State now has an edge. SACRAMENTO is 8-17 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) - off a close road loss of 3 points or less, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 14-37 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Golden State to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks -11 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending champion Bucks have Giannis Antetokounmpo ready to go tonight and will primed to really get back their mojo against a Miami side that has been highly inconsistent all season long. Im not going to be lured into their current run of good luck in. a key game like this . Heat are 8-28-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS win.Heat are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games. MIAMI is 1-10 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games this season. MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite this season. MIAMI is 1-8 ATS in road games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons here at home. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, in April games are 6-23 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, off a upset loss as a favorite are 51-18 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 23-8 ATS L/27 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to cover |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
I know these sides have eclipsed the total in 7 straight meetings and there are a ton of over trends. However, Im betting that the Heat will be in bubble mode tonight and will be conservative in transition knowing that the Bucks will come at them with everything they have. That in itself bodes well for a score that does not eclipse this total. The Heat are 2nd in ppg allowed and 29th in pace in the league and 30th in ppg production and we will see why these stats had been established this season, MIAMI is 14-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season with a combined average 212.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI/MILWAUKEE ) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors with the average score of those 34 tilts clicking in at 202.4 ppg. Play under |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Smyly (2-1, 3.13 ERA) took a perfect game into the eighth inning Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers and now Im betting with upward momentum on his side and continues his top tier work.He is 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA in four games (two starts) vs. San Diego. Padres hace average 2.8 rpg scored. SMYLY is 10-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.  Scheduled San Diego starter Michael Wacha (2-1, 7.08 ERA) has struggled in his last two tilts but is a viable hurler who Im betting matches up well here vs the Cubs batting order in windy Wrigley. MLB Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season-NL, excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season are 65-26 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. Play on the under |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies have played their best hoops at home this season garnering a powerful 37-6 SU record, and tonight Im betting with their backs up against the wall we see them at their best. MEMPHIS is 29-13 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. MEMPHIS is 30-16 ATS against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons NBA team (LA LAKERS) - as a # 7 seed in the playoffs, in a playoff game are 109-170 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home favorites (MEMPHIS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 41-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis. Play on Memphis to cover |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Down 3 games to 1 to the Knicks it's do or die tonight for the Cavaliers. Im betting they come out here with their proverbial hair on fire and get the job done in desperation mode. Cavaliers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season.CLEVELAND is 25-16 ATSas a home favorite this season CLEVELAND is 11-3 ATS in home games versus sub par pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game this season. NBA Home favorites (CLEVELAND) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games are 31-8 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
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