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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-26-20 | Troy +14 v. BYU | 7-48 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 6 m | Show | |
BYU started fast this season against a Navy team that was not prepared to play. The final 55-3 score was indicative of a side with more practice vs one that did not even take part in full contact drills. So Im not going to take alot from the Mormons game 1 win and crown them a top tier side just yet. Now after more than two weeks rest, BYU may also exhibit some rust, vs a well coached Troy team. Note: BYU is just 2-9 ATS L/11 with rest. It must be noted that Troys HC was the offensive coordinator at Auburn and a former quarterback coach at Troy and knows how to push a offense into warp speed. BYU is 23-41 ATS after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. The Trojans, are 10-0 ATS when coming off a non-conference win which was the case in the DD victory vs Midd Tenn State last time out. Play on Troy to cover |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5 | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
There is blood in the water and the Lakers are the proverbial sharks . The Lakers very much respect this hard nosed never say die Denver team, and they know they need to step up here and finish them off. Im betting we see the core of this LAL side at their very best and for exhaustion to finally hamper the Nuggets as this will be their 19th play off game this season. Note: Reports on Anthony Davis ankle seem to be positive at this point and he is expected to be good to go. DENVER is 4-13 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (LA LAKERS) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or better on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or better of their shots are 39-3 with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.8 ppg which qualifies under a spread situation as well. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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09-26-20 | Stars v. Lightning -155 | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
The Stars gave it everything they had in game 4 of this series and still lost in OT. Its been obvious since game 2 of this series who the far superior side is , and now Im betting the Bolts put this series to sleep and claim the Stanley Cup they deserve here tongiht.Lightning are 41-11 in their last 52 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Play on TB Lightning to win |
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09-26-20 | Tennessee -3 v. South Carolina | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 10 m | Show | |
Gamecocks are just 2-9 ATS in the last eleven series meetings at home, and Im betting against them here today, as Tennessee according to my numbers should be closer to -6 favs. Yes even here on the road. Note: The Vols won their final 6 games of last season, and 17 starters back look like a viable bet vs a downtrending S.Carolina side that is 3-12 SU L/15 as a home dog. TENNESSEE is 18-6 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. CFB team (S CAROLINA) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more straight wins are 10-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.\ Play on Tennessee to cover |
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09-26-20 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | 5-9 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Cubs starter Jon Lester(LHP)---3-2, 4.40 ERA, 39 SO-- spun six shutout innings in a win over the Pirates on Monday. The veteran lefty struck out one and walked one. He has turned in a 1.06 ERA in 17 innings in his last three turns for Chicago. Meanwhile, Pale Hose Dane Dunning(RHP)---2-0, 3.19 ERA, 33 SO goes for the White Sox who are 5-1 in games started by Dunning this season, although the right-hander finished with a no-decision in a loss at Cleveland on Monday. He has struck out 33 and walked 10 over 31 innings and is in top form. Today Im betting on these two starters to go long and strong and to get enough bullpen support to keep this combined score on the low side of the total here on the Southside today. Under is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Under is 16-5-1 in Cubs last 22 overall. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-1-1 in White Sox last 9 games as a favorite.Under is 10-4-1 in White Sox last 15 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in White Sox last 13 interleague home games. Play on the UNDER |
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09-26-20 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Mets will be aggressive here offensively as they need a win to not be be eliminated from post season play. Nats starter Sánchez allowed five runs and exited after 2 2/3 innings against the Mets on Aug. 12 and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs here vs the Mets batting order. The Mets are 8-0 OVER L/8 when Jacob deGrom starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start. Play OVER |
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09-26-20 | Duke v. Virginia -5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
Duke brought in Trevor Lawrences backup from Clemson (Chase Brice) in the offseason, and the offense has sputtered accumulating just 19 points and two ugly losses. The duke D, ha also been horrendous allowing 825 yards in the two defeats, and Im betting things wont get much better today vs Virginia. The Cavaliers have owned this series of late winning 5 straight SU/ATS and considering Dukes 1-7 SU record in their L/8 ACC battles, it wont be a hard decision to bet against them here this Saturday. Play on Virginia to cover |
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09-26-20 | Army +13 v. Cincinnati | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The undefeated No. 14 Bearcats host the 22nd-ranked Black Knights on Saturday. Cincinnati has lost 15 of its last 16 games against ranked teams and today Im betting if they get a win, it wont come so easily. ARMY is 5-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992. CFB road team vs. the money line (ARMY) - allowing 200 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games against opponent after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game are 20-7 L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Army to cover |
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09-26-20 | Florida International +7.5 v. Liberty | 34-36 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
Liberty has just 9 returning starters and lost their leading rusher from last season , as well as their quarterback and top receiver in addition to its 3 top tacklers on D. I know Florida International also lost some experience from last season, but their defense now bolstered by the return of of twin Dames brothers make them a tough group to move the ball against. In my opinion we have value with the underdog to cover. CFB road team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, game between two teams with 5 or less offensive starters returning, in the first month of the season are 32-8 ATS L/28 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Florida Int to cover |
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09-26-20 | Louisville +3 v. Pittsburgh | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 40 h 14 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 2-0 so far with wins vs Austin Peay and Syracuse. Meanwhile, Louisville was beaten by Miami Fl,last time out but proved that they can score and are more than capable of hanging with the Panthers here today. Note: Pittsburgh as home favs , are less than a consistent bet as they sport a lowly 8-15-1 ATS L/24 record. Also Cardinal HC Scott Satterfield is 17-4 SU when coming off a loss, including 8-0 ATS when off a double-digit ATS loss. Play on the Louisville Cards to cover |
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09-26-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse +8 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech as road favs did not sit well with me knowing the school is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine away trips when favored. GTech is up-trending but laying wood with them on the road is not a recipe for success this early in their development. I know Syracuse is a side that no one loves these days, but now in desperation mode Dino Babers Orange Im betting come out here and leave everything on the field and get us the cover. Syracuse has covered 3 of their L/4 at home as 7 or more point dogs. CFB team (GEORGIA TECH) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 10+ PPG, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored are 4-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Syracuse to cover |
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09-26-20 | Kentucky +7.5 v. Auburn | 13-29 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 32 m | Show | |
Auburn has owned this overall series but have not played each other since 2015 . Dating back to 2009 these teams have played 3 times. Kentucky's last victory in this series in 2009 ended a 15-game winning streak in the series for the Tigers. Both games played since that game were decided by a field goal and Im betting on another close affair here. I know Auburn is a top tier SEC team, but Bob Stoops group is ascending quickly and after looking at their recruiting class could be on the verge of something big. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Play on Kentucky to cover |
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09-25-20 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 213 | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Miami has not been held to less than 106 points in any of these games vs Boston, and my projections estimate a similar out put here tonight and for Boston in desperation mode to also keep up offensively in more aggressive fashion and let it all hang out as elimination is a real possibility down 3 games to 1. It must be noted that MIAMI is 44-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with the average combined score clicking in at 233.4 ppg.is 33-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. Note: The Celtics are averaging 114.6 points per 100 possessions this series, despite of their tentativeness at times. Miami has averaged 114.0 points per 100 possessions. MIAMI is 15-4 OVER when playing 5 or less games in 14 days this season with a combined average of 228 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 8-0 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average of 237.8 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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09-25-20 | Lightning -160 v. Stars | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 37 h 40 m | Show | |
The Lightning are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and hold a 2-1 lead in this series vs Dallas and are far an above the superior side. With the Stanley Cup just two wins away and the smell of redemption on the horizon after last years disappointing effort, look for a huge efforts from Tampa Bay here in game 4. Note: In the last eight best-of-7 NHL series in which the Tampa Bay Lightning have led 2-games-1 after three games, Tampa's Game 4 outcome presaged their series outcome (one loss, seven wins). Play on TB Lightning to win |
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09-25-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. UTSA -6.5 | 35-37 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Midd Tenn State looked bad in its first two games of the season, while 2-0 UTSA has looked very good converting on 11 of 11 red zone opportunities. With these sides operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum its an easy decision for me to take the hungrier uptrending side playing at home. Key will be a Road runners ground game thats cranking out 5.6 ypc. CFB home team vs. the money line (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 26-4 L/5 seasons with the average margin ppg diff clicking in at 17. CFB home team (UTSA) - after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season is 30-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Play on UTSA to cover |
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09-25-20 | Marlins v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
J.A. Happ---(LHP)2-2, 3.25 ERA, 39 SO----Happ has been one of the Majors’ best pitchers over his last six starts, working to a 1.93 ERA with 36 strikeouts against five walks over 37 1/3 innings. Happ fired eight scoreless innings against the Red Sox in his last start, scattering four hits.Meanwhile,Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara-(RHP)3-2, 3.12 ERA, 30 SO---Alcantara has stepped up in September with a 2-1 record with a 2.25 ERA. He will make his seventh start of the season, and it will have big playoff implications. On the road this year, he is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA.Both thse pitchers Im betting will go long today in. tilt that favors an under wager. ALCANTARA is 8-0 UNDER in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5 rpg scored. HAPP is 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.6 rpg scored.HAPP is 41-19 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 8.3 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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09-24-20 | Lakers -6 v. Nuggets | 114-108 | Push | 0 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
The Lakers played like crap in game 3, emotionless, and with very little heart. Im betting now they have learned their lesson unlike the 'jazz and Clippers and will come out here with a huge effort and get us the cover vs the Nuggets here tonight. . LA has covered a six-point spread in nine of its 10 playoff wins and gets the nod again. LA LAKERS are 20-7 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.DENVER is 4-13 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
Miami has started their season at 0-2 despite of a big game vs Buffalo last week where they almost pulled off the upset. Note: QB Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his last eight games as a underdog when coming off consecutive losses. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have played like their hair is on fire in their first two games, behind franchise QB Minshew and could easily be energetically drained making them susceptible to being upset as favs. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MIAMI) - poor defense from last season - allowed 5.4 or more yards/play, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 22-4 ATS L/37 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NFL Home favorites (JACKSONVILLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 3-24 ATS L/37 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate. Play on the Miami Dolphins to cover |
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09-24-20 | White Sox v. Indians -115 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
. In seven starts this season, Cleveland starter Plesac has pitched to a 1.85 ERA with 50 strikeouts and a 0.781 WHIP in 48 2/3 frames and get the nod in this spot play. White Sox are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. White Sox are 22-45 in the last 67 meetings in Cleveland. Play on Cleveland to win |
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09-23-20 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | 109-112 | Loss | -107 | 48 h 36 m | Show | |
The Celtics are now trending upward and after game 2 it became evident that they are the better side in this series vs the Miami Heat. With Hayward back in the lineup, this game to me looks like a slam dunk.Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Celtics are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 playoff games as a favorite. Play on the Celtics to cover |
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09-23-20 | Lightning -152 v. Stars | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
The Lightning looked tired in game 1 of this series after dealing with the hard hitting defensive minded Islanders. Dallas plays a similar style of hockey but the talented Bolts can adjust to any system, and can usually play it better than their opponents. With that said, now acclimated to their new opponent, a win is probable and worth the out lay on this line. Lightning are 89-26 in their last 115 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game and are 43-15 in their last 58 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Lightning are 26-10 in their last 36 vs. a team with a winning record. Lightning are 41-16 in their last 57 overall. Lightning are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite. Play on the TB Lightning to win |
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09-23-20 | Phillies -133 v. Nationals | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Erick Fedde (RHP)(2-3, 4.36 ERA, 23 SO)---Fedde is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA in two starts (11 innings) against the Phillies this season. He has allowed three home runs and struck out five in the matchups. Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series. WASHINGTON is 3-13 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. WASHINGTON is 9-20 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 against WASHINGTON this season. Play on Philadelphia on the ML |
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09-23-20 | Angels +170 v. Padres | 5-2 | Win | 170 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Jaime Barria(RHP)--(1-0, 3.26 ERA, 27 SO)Barria has been solid, and he gave up two runs over 6 1/3 innings with eight strikeouts against the Rangers on Friday. He's yet to allow more than three runs in any of his six appearances and gets my support in this spot play on a value Mline. Padres are 9-19 in their last 28 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series. Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Play on the Angels to win |
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09-22-20 | A's v. Dodgers -162 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Frankie Montas-(RHP)(3-4, 5.86 ERA, 44 SO)Montas will be making his first start in nine days after going on paternity leave. He hasn’t pitched longer than 5 1/3 innings in his last five starts and has a 10.80 ERA in that time. The tired father in his current form is fade material.Athletics are 18-38 in their last 56 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite.Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. American League West.Dodgers are 53-17 in their last 70 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-22-20 | Angels +152 v. Padres | 4-2 | Win | 152 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
Griffin Canning---(RHP)(1-3, 4.29 ERA, 46 SO)Canning is coming off a solid start against the D-backs, allowing two runs (one earned) over five innings in a win. He's posted a 3.57 ERA over his past four starts with 23 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings and is a viable hurler that matches up well vs the Padres. Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Angels are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Angels to win
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09-22-20 | Angels v. Padres OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Right-hander Zach Davies (7-3, 2.69 ERA) will get the start for the Padres on Tuesday, while the Angels will counter with right-hander Griffin Canning (1-3, 4.29). When comparing both lineups in my hitter vs pitching power rankings a projection of 10 + runs is the call making the over a key wager. Over is 14-4-3 in Angels last 21 interleague games. Over is 7-2-1 in Angels last 10 interleague games as an underdog. Over is 20-6-1 in Angels last 27 games as an underdog. The Padres are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average of 14.3 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-22-20 | Lakers -6.5 v. Nuggets | 106-114 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
The Lakers have now experienced the effects of a never say die Nuggets side, that gave them a scare last time out. You can bet the Lakers won't let their guard down in game 3, and make sure that they play a start to finish game. You have to remember, that the Nuggets despite of being young have played alot of catchup hoops during these play offs and coming from behind 3-1 in two straight series, while making many come from behind runs. While fans might be loving the exploits of this underdog group, they maybe underestimating what it does to a teams energy levels, and will that their exploits will eventually come back and bite them, and thats what I expect to see today. Partial exhaustion, and also in letdown mode after losing with no time left on the clock last time out (105-103), will have the Nuggets come out flatter here than expected. Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games.Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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09-22-20 | Cardinals v. Royals +105 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Brady Singer-(RHP0(3-4, 4.14 ERA, 52 SO)- Singer is coming off two outstanding outings. Two starts ago, he threw eight shutout innings of one-hit ball at Cleveland. Last time out at Detroit, he threw six shutout innings of two-hit ball. Value on the line with this hurler today vs a inconsistent Cardinals side. Cardinals are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. .( Cards starter -Austin Gomber LHP) LHP) Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games. |
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09-22-20 | White Sox +156 v. Indians | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Reynaldo Lopez-(RHP)(1-2, 5.40 ERA, 18 SO)-After struggling earlier this season, López has hit a stride with three strong starts this month, allowing four earned runs across 12 September innings. He yielded three runs over 5 1/3 innings in his previous outing, vs. the Twins on Sept. 17. He gets my support in this spot play on a value line .White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. White Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Indians are 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Indians are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the White Sox to win |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +5.5 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 85 h 44 m | Show | |
The Las Vegas Raiders debut at Allegiant Stadium this Monday night will come against the explosive New Orleans Saints who took out Tom Brady and company last week. .The Saints now in a letdown spot are 0-5 ATS on the Monday Night road tilts when coming off a victory. Im betting a very motivated Raiders side to play lights-out here and get us a cover as home dogs. Play on the LV Raiders to cover |
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09-21-20 | Stars v. Lightning -149 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 22 m | Show | |
The Lightning Im betting will solve red hit goalie Khudobin and the Stars when the series resumes for Game 2 on Monday. Stars Khudobin stopped 35 shots, including 22 in a third period dominated by the Lightning.Coming off their Eastern Conference finals clinching win over the New York Islanders on Thursday, the Lightning had far less jump in the first two periods compared to a Dallas team that had four full days between games. that advantage is now over, and tonight Im betting we see the Bolts at full speed and in redemption mode.Lightning are 44-8 in their last 52 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Lightning are 23-9 in their last 32 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning to win |
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09-21-20 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 7.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Luis Castillo -RHP(3-5, 3.03 ERA, 76 SO)-As Castillo pitches in a pennant race for the first time in his career, he has gotten hot at the right time. Castillo is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA and one complete game over his last three starts. Meanwhile, the Brewers will turn to Brandon Woodruff (2-4, 3.45 ERA), who is 0-2 over his last four starts but has not pitched badly and is more than capable of slowing down the Reds very inconsistent batting order. Under is 8-3-1 in Reds last 12 vs. National League Central. Under is 9-4-1 in Reds last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter Under is 18-7-4 in Brewers last 29 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.Under is 32-15-5 in Brewers last 52 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in Cincinnati. Play on the UNDER |
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09-20-20 | Patriots +4 v. Seahawks | 30-35 | Loss | -109 | 61 h 42 m | Show | |
Seattle looked amazing last week and really exploded in their win vs Atlanta. But it must be noted that HC Carrol is is just 0-4 ATS in his NFL career as a home favorite against AFC East foes when they are off a victory. Meanwhile, Belichick is 22-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of NEW ENGLAND and must not be disrespected here this week. SEATTLE is 8-19 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1992. Seattle is 1-4 ATS L/5 at home in this series as favs. NFL Home favorites (SEATTLE) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 2-24 ATS L/37 seasons for a 92% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the New England Patriots to cover |
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09-20-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 213.5 | 103-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
The Nuggets came back from being down 3-1 twice in a row and looked wobbly in game 1 , and Im not sure they will be 100% energized here in this spot, but a better more aggressive effort is my bet. With top tier offensive talent and a never say die attitude scoring will be up for Denver after going just 9 for 26 behind the arc in game 1. Meanwhile, The Lakers in game 1 of this series, looked hungry and focused behind Antonio Davis and his 37 point output, and now I will expect his Future HOF cohort James to pick up the pace in game two after only scoring 15 points and for the Lakers to push the pace. This Im betting leads to a fairly high scoring play off game that eclipses this total. Over is 6-2-1 in Nuggets last 9 games following a ATS loss.Over is 9-3-1 in Nuggets last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Over is 11-4-1 in Nuggets last 16 games following a straight up loss. Over is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 Conference Finals games. Over is 21-7-2 in the last 30 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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09-20-20 | Padres v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Justin DunnRHP3-1, 4.11 ERA, 30 SOThe rookie right-hander has looked good but there are red flags as he lasted just two innings and walked five in his last outing vs. the D-backs and has 25 walks in 35 innings on the year. I expect the Padres offence to key on this kids inadequacies and a melt down may not be out of th question, as. well as big output that will help this tilt go over the total. Over is 8-2 in Mariners last 10 interleague games as an underdog.Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 vs. National League West.Over is 8-3-1 in Mariners last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 9-4-1 in Mariners last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 14-4-3 in Padres last 21 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 19-7-1 in Padres last 27 interleague games as a favorite. Over is 8-3-1 in Padres last 12 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Over is 18-7-1 in Padres last 26 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings. The Padres are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings with a combined average of 15+ per runs games scored. Play OVER |
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09-20-20 | Yankees -180 v. Red Sox | 2-10 | Loss | -180 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Deivi Garcia (RHP2-1, 3.28 ERA, 24 SO)--García has won his past two starts, each with seven innings and six strikeouts against the Blue Jays. The 21-year-old idolizes Boston icon Pedro Martinez, which should make it a special experience to touch the mound at Fenway Park. Great night to back this kid vs a Boston side that plays most nights with little or no motivation. Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.( BoSox Starter Houck is a righty) Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Red Sox are 18-43 in their last 61 vs. American League East. The Red Sox are 0-11 L/11 past the first game of a series as a dog after they were shutout. Play on NY Yankees to win |
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09-20-20 | Vikings +3 v. Colts | 11-28 | Loss | -106 | 69 h 38 m | Show | |
The Vikings lost last week and now they are in a bounce back mode. It must be noted that the Minnesota Vikings are 19-3-1 ATS in games off a loss under HC Mike Zimmer when facing non-division opposition. This is two good of a team to lay down again this week and get my support getting points vs a good but slightly over rated Colts team. Zimmer is 30-19 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of MINNESOTA. NFL Road underdogs or pick (MINNESOTA) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 24-3 ATS L/37 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Minnesota to cover |
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09-20-20 | Falcons +4.5 v. Cowboys | 39-40 | Win | 100 | 50 h 55 m | Show | |
QB Matt Ryan played a great game last despite of his team losing to Seattle,. He connected on 37-of 54 for 450 yards and two TDs and according to my O-line/QB vs D-line/secondary power rankings matches ups well in this matchup vs Dallas. Dallas’ 0-7 ATS as non-division home chalk of 7 or less. points . NFL Road underdogs or pick (ATLANTA) - excellent passing team from last season - averaged 275 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game are 21-3 ATS L/37 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover |
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09-19-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 206 | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
Two second half collapses by the Celtics have put them in a precarious place in this series down 2-0. The Celtics now have to leave everything on the floor today, and push forward in a more aggressive fashion, which Im betting opens this game up a little more, which in turn will help lift this combined score over the number. The first two totals came in at 208 and 209.5, and I feel that thats where they should be today, this giving us value on an over wager. Note:These teams are averaging 231.25 combined points per 100 possessions with a drum banging pace of 91.72, with top tier efficiency. BOSTON is 7-0 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season with a combined average score of 239.6 ppg. MIAMI is 12-3 OVER after a win by 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 229.5 ppg. Play OVER |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest +2.5 v. NC State | 42-45 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 53 m | Show | |
Wake Forest got blasted last week 37-13 vs Clemson , and despite of the result played decently and now have a game under their belts. . This will the opener for North Carolina State after having to cancel their Virginia Tech tilt on Sept. 5 due to Covid problems. Wake Forest in game time experience will have an edge here today vs a Wolfpack side that they have beaten 3 straight times SU. Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson i in conference games in his career, 5-0 ATS as a underdog of 3 or less points. CFB Road underdogs (WAKE FOREST) - in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 2 games, returning an inexperienced QB and 5 or less offensive starters are 39-12 L/28 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Wake Forest to cover |
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09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville -2.5 | 47-34 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 1 m | Show | |
Forgive me if I dont buy into the Miami hype. Ya the Canes took game 1 of their season against UAB , but make no mistake the uptrending Cardinal are a much more potent opponent than they faced last week and in their own diggs in front of 18000 fans Im betting Louisville take control of this game and get the cover. Note The Cardinal also have the added motivation of revenge for a 52-27 loss to Miami last season. UM is 2-8 SU and 2-7-1 ATS L/10 as a dog in road openers. Louisville is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. NCAAF home team vs. the money line (LOUISVILLE) - after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game, returning 8+ offensive starters against opponent returning 5 or less defensive starters are 32-7 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate with the average margin clicking in at +19.8 ppg. Play on the Louisville Cardinal to cover |
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09-19-20 | Texas State v. UL-Monroe +6 | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 55 m | Show | |
UL-Monroe had their butts handed to them in a 37-7 loss at Army last week. While Texas State lost in OT by a 51-48 count to UTSA. I know the Warhawks did not look good, but Army looks explosive and must not be disrespected . With that said, despite of Texas State looking much improved this season, that OT game last week will have them in a letdown spot . Note: The Warhawks have won 4 straight tilts vs UTSA Bobcats who have dropped 6 straight road games, 8 of their last 9 vs. FBS schools, and 5 straight overall. Texas State is just 2-11 overall vs. FBS teams under HC Jake Spivital and are fade material this week and 1-13 L/14 as visitors. Play on UL Monroe to cover |
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09-19-20 | Diamondbacks +152 v. Astros | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
DBacks starter Weaver lost to the Mariners his last time out despite allowing two runs on four hits in five innings and after a very slow start to his season is now in top form and gets my support here vs a down trending Houston side. |
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09-19-20 | Giants v. A's -155 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
09-19-20 | Boston College +6 v. Duke | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show | |
Duke lost by 14-points last week at Notre Dame and looked very average the entire time vs a Irish squad that looked like they had alot of rust. Today against new HC Jeff Hafley's BC Im betting things wont come much easier. The Golden Eagles return 9 starters on a defense that is up trending in my rankings . I know the BC offense no longer has RB A.J. Dillon and QB Anthony Brown in the lineup, but they look good with QB Phil Jurkovec in from Notre Dame. He will operate behind a big strong O-line that must be respected. Duke is 0-13 ATS as conference home favs of 17 points or less. Eagles are 11-1 ATS as road dogs of 10 or less points. The visitor in this series has cashed 4 straight times. CFB Home favorites (DUKE) - after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first month of the season are 11-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate. Play on Boston College to cover
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09-19-20 | Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -23 | 7-16 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show | |
No.\11 ranked OSU is an explosive side behind RB Chubba Hubbard , WR Tylan Wallace , QB Spencer Sanders and enter this season with a huge amount of experience as 18 returning starters come back for what should be a peak year for the school. Meanwhile Tulsa, owns a D. that returns just 4 starters. That inexperienced D Im betting will get completely ripped apart today. Note: Oklahoma State HC Mike Gundy in non- conference action is 12-0 ATS L/12 overall. OKLAHOMA ST is 18-6 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992. Golden Hurricane have lost and failed to cover the last 4 meetings in this series and have been horrendous in Big 12 meetings losing 23 of 24 tilts straight up while covering just 6 times . Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -7 | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have had an exhausting play offs and are off a hard fought 7 game series vs the Clippers where they made several comebacks , which in themselves were exhausting . Now here against a well rested Lakers side and most probably in a letdown spot after their huge win in game 7 Im going to fade Denver out of the gate in game 1 and go against recency bias. You can also bet the star veterans of this Lakers side are also wide awake and ready to compete after watching the Nuggets beat up on a Clippers side that was expected to battle them here in the Conference finals. DENVER is 4-13 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on LA Lakers to cover |
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09-18-20 | Braves -154 v. Mets | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Braves will begin their final road series of the regular season by visiting the Mets in the opener of a three-game set between the National League East rivals. Fried (6-0, 1.98 ERA) is scheduled to come off the injured list and oppose Matz (0-4, 8.63), who hasn't appeared in a game since Aug. 29, in a battle of left-handers. This in my humble opinion is a pitching mismatch and worth the extra price of admission on the ML. FRIED is 15-4 against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games are 55-21 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Braves to win |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns UNDER 43.5 | 30-35 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
The Browns averaged just 4.5 yards per play in offence and scored just 6 points in Week 1 while the Bengals produced data that came in at 4.4 yards per play and just 13 points . Im betting both sides offensive woes will continue here this Thursday night and this total will stay on the low side of the number. Week one and two non divisional games have been ATMs for totals bettors hotting the under as is evident by a 44-23-1 record dating back to the 2005 season for a 66% conversion rate. Under is 8-1-1 in Bengals last 10 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 Thursday games. Under is 15-5-1 in Browns last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 20-7 in Browns last 27 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Play UNDER |
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09-17-20 | Lightning -157 v. Islanders | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
The Islanders played their hearts out in game 5 and barely escaped with a victory in OT by a 2-1 count. Truth is the Isles are still a few pieces away from winning a Stanley Cup in my opinion, and the Bolts on most nights play a better form of Barry Trotz hockey than the Isles can at this juncture in their development. Lightning are 43-8 in their last 51 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Islanders are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog. Islanders are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win. Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning to win |
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09-17-20 | Rangers v. Astros -230 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Houston was upended (embarrassed) by Texas last night 1-0, wasting a fine pitching performance and will now be desperate to bounce back making them a viable side to back. Yes, even at these high of a line. TEXAS is 0-11 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. TEXAS is 3-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Rangers are 0-17 SU since Aug 26, 2018 as a 140+ dog after they were shut out in the first 6 innings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 3-32 L/5 seasons for go against for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209 | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Miami really was lights-out efficient in game 1 of this series offensively and now Im betting on a regression and for both these teams to settle into a much slower paced game here in game 2 after the game 1 OT affair. Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams with a total of 200 to 209.5 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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09-17-20 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Phillies starter Nola is is 10-2 OVER with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. I know Nola has pitched well lately but he is 14-5 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Lugo the Mets starting pitcher is also doing decently, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against hime. PHILADELPHIA in 8 games with with a money line at home of -100 to -150 this season has seen an average of 10.2 rpg scored. NY METS in 14 games against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Note: The Phillies are 10-0 L/10 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored. Play OVER |
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09-16-20 | Twins +134 v. White Sox | 5-1 | Win | 134 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Minnesota starter Giolito is 4-6 with a 5.21 ERA this season, including 0-1 with a 9.35 ERA in two starts this season and is fade material on this bloated ML. GIOLITO is 3-10 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series. Twins are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. American League Central.Twins are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.Twins are 21-10 in the last 31 meetings. Twins are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MINNESOTA) - good team, winning 54-62% or more of their games on the season, in September games. are 51-31 L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate . Play on Minnesota to win |
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09-16-20 | Rangers v. Astros -205 | 1-0 | Loss | -205 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
Right-hander Kyle Gibson (1-5, 6.14 ERA) will make his 10th start Wednesday for Texas. He is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA over his previous five starts and in his current form is fade material. The Rangers are 0-22 L/22 on the ML as a 170+ dog off a road game when playing a team that has a better record. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 32-6 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win |
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09-16-20 | Dodgers -121 v. Padres | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
The Dodgers and Padres own the two best records in the National League. If the season were to end today, they would, respectively, be the first and fourth seeds in the National League playoffs. But today the Dodgers get my support after ending the Padres 8 game winning streak yesterday. Momentum and the value therefore is on the Dodgers side. The Padres are 1-15 L/16 on the ML in rubber match games against the Dodgers. Play on the Dodgers to win |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers -7.5 | 104-89 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
The Clippers had a huge DD lead in the 3rd quarter of game 6 of this series, when the Nuggets went on a 17-0 run and than finally over took the Clippers. Shock and awe was the story behind the comeback, and now here we are with the Clippers being favored again. It must be noted that the Nuggets have played a post season tilt every two days for four straight weeks and five of those were elimination games. Man this Nuggets team has to be tired and with that said Im taking the better team here the Clippers who maybe actually finally understanding their opponents are not quitters. Kawhi Leonard is the nuclear option here today, and Im betting he takes advantage of Nuggets exhaustion. NBA Favorites (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite of 7or more against opponent off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog are 49-21 L/24 seasons for a 70% conversion rate . Play on the LA Clippers to cover |
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09-15-20 | Pirates v. Reds -130 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
The Reds (23-26) have won three straight after sweeping a doubleheader Monday against the visiting Pirates 3-1 and 9-4 and Im betting we ride their momentum here in this spot play vs the Pirates. Reds starter Lorenzen is 5-2 with a 2.17 ERA in 35 appearances, three of them starts, against Pittsburgh. Slumping PITTSBURGH is 2-18 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 6-23 against the money line in night games this season. The Pirates are 0-21 L/21 on the ML as a road dog off a game as a dog in which they allowed 5+ walks. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win |
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09-15-20 | Heat +1.5 v. Celtics | 117-114 | Win | 102 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Coming off a 7 game series will see the Celtics in a letdown spot, and most probably exhausted as well. The rested Heat are no pushovers and must be respected here getting points. Miami won the most recent meeting on Aug. 4 in the bubble and gets my support in game 1. Note:Teams like Boston that take Game 7 are 32-45 (41%) straight up in Game 1 of the following series. MIAMI is 8-1 ATS in all playoff games this season. Play on Miami to cover |
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09-14-20 | Titans v. Broncos +3 | 16-14 | Win | 103 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
The Titans reached the AFC championship game last season thanks to a second-half surge that followed a shutout loss in Denver in which coach Mike Vrabel benched Marcus Mariota for Ryan Tannehill. For whatever reason it seems that this Titans franchise has not faired well vs the Broncos and have now lost the last 4 road meetings in this series straight up dating back to 1992. Note: the key to the Titans offence is Derrick Henry who was the NFL's rushing leader last season with 1,540 yards, but he has struggled in two games against Denver. Henry ran 12 times for 42 yards backing up DeMarco Murray as a rookie in a Titans' win on Dec. 11, 2016, and he was held to 28 yards on 15 rushes in a 16-0 loss in Denver last October. That easily was Henry's worst game last season. I know the Titans now want payback, but it will not come easily vs a side that maybe vastly under rated by the linesmakers here tonight with QB Drew Lock under center. Remember when this line opened the Broncos were 3 point favs and now its turned all the way around to Tennessee being favored. Just to much of swing in my humble opinion and now Im taking the Broncos plus the points. Denver to cover |
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09-14-20 | Twins -130 v. White Sox | 1-3 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Twins starter Jose Berrios (RHP4-3, 4.40 ERA, 55 SO) has left his shaky start to the season behind. He has held opponents to a .183/.272/.280 slash line across his last four starts, during which he has 31 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings and is a viable starter to back in this spot play. Meanwhile, Pale Hose Dylan Cease RHP (5-2, 3.33 ERA, 30 SO) Cease makes his first start against the Twins in 2020 and third of his career, with an 0-2 record and 16.71 in previous appearances. Cease has allowed five earned runs in 10 innings in September and is in his worst performance zone of the season and fade material in his current form. Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central. Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. White Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog. BALDELLI is 17-6 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season as the manager of MINNESOTA. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win |
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09-14-20 | Steelers v. Giants UNDER 46 | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show | |
New York has revamped one of the NFL's worst defenses under new coordinator Pat Graham. Defence will now be their priority behind what is expected to be a slower paced offence that will key on using RB Barkley to move the chains consistently. Meanwhile ,the Steelers Im betting will have flow problems behind the wobbled Roethlisberger who returns after another season of injuries. It must also be noted The Steelers led the NFL with 54 sacks, 18 fumble recoveries and 38 takeaways last season, finishing ranked fifth overall on defense and that will Im betting remain consistent in a tilt I have projected to stay under the the total. PITTSBURGH is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons. Play UNDER |
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09-13-20 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Rams | 17-20 | Loss | -120 | 58 h 32 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are a popular pick to be an immediate Super Bowl contender under McCarthy, with quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott leading an offense that was one of the NFL's best last season and now tonight in this big Sunday nighter Im betting they get the road win. Rams are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. Play on Dallas to cover |
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09-13-20 | Cardinals +7 v. 49ers | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
SF is a fine team, but could easily be in hangover mode here after last seasons Super Bowl loss. It must be noted the defending Super Bowl loser in Game One of the season as a dog or favorite of 8 or less points if they are facing a division opponent are 0-10 ATS L/32 seasons. Also Arizona has played the 49ers tough of late covering the last 3 meetings and are much improved side. Once again its important to note that Game One division underdogs who won eight or fewer games last season are 39-10-1 ATS. |
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09-13-20 | Bucs +3.5 v. Saints | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 17 m | Show | |
In each of HC Arians his past 11 seasons , his teams have ranked in the Top Ten passing attacks in football , and now with Future Hall of Famer Tom Brady under center that will happen again . Today against a New Orleans side that has a tendency of starting slow as is evident by a 0-6 ATS first game record the L/6 years I look for Brady and the Bucs offence to be fluent enough to cover vs another future Hall of Fame QB Drew Brees . Note: Brady is 36-16-1 ATS NFL career mark as an underdog and gets my support getting points in this key spot play. Tampa Bay to cover |
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09-13-20 | Mets v. Blue Jays -140 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Toronto starter RYU is 23-4 against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. RYU is 24-4 ( against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) RYU is 4-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 0.911. Mets starter David Peterson has been struggling. After the Mets bounced Peterson from the rotation to the bullpen back to the rotation, he responded with his worst start of the season against the Phillies. The lefty has a 7.20 ERA over his last three outings.TORONTO is 8-1 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start this season.( Home teams (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) are 32-9 L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win |
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09-13-20 | A's v. Rangers +135 | 3-6 | Win | 135 | 3 h 17 m | Show | |
Rangers ace Lance Lynn owns a (5-2, 2.52 ERA) record and is 3-1 with a 4.36 ERA in six lifetime starts against Oakland. The As are the better overall side, but todays top tier starter for the Rangers is a big equalizer offering us value on the line. TEXAS is 22-9 against the money line in home games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) over the last 2 seasons. MLB Home teams (TEXAS) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or less) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 31-5 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. Play on Texas to win |
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09-13-20 | Clippers -8.5 v. Nuggets | 98-111 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
In game 5 as has been the case a few times in this series the Clippers have showed their superiority vs the Nuggets, before falling asleep at the proverbial wheel and allowing the Nuggets to mount a comeback. Now knowing the Nuggets will not easily be beaten down, Im expecting Kawhi Leonard and company to come out here with a huge effort and cancel any hopes the Nuggets have of taking this to a game 7. Note: The Nuggets are averaging just 96.3 PPG in their three losses which shows me that when the Clippers are focused the Nuggets are in trouble. Im betting the Clippers will be very focused in this one. You have to remember that the Clippers have won 18 of 20 quarters in this series and a compete start to finish 4 quarter win effort is not out of the question. LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less this season with a the average combined margin of victory coming by 23.4 ppg. DENVER is 4-15 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Clippers to cover |
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09-13-20 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +6 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
09-13-20 | Jets +7 v. Bills | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
“It’s very challenging to prepare for a Gregg Williams defense because of just all the things that he has,” Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll said. “Not just the different calls but the different packages that he has with his players.” This statement is key to how Im looking at this game, which makes getting points according to my projections an important factor. Jets’ own a money making 16-5-2 ATS record in road openers, including 5-0 ATS when seeking revenge in a division tilt. Jets QB Josh Allen is 3-5 ATS in his career as a home favorite in the NFL action, and is getting far to much respect here on this line. NY Jets to cover |
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09-12-20 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | 7-5 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
The Astros have lost 7 of their L/8 and enter this game as fade material vs a LA Dodgers team that is 10-2 in interleague action this season. HOUSTON is 6-15 against the money line in road games this season. BAKER is 4-15 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game as the manager of HOUSTON. MLB team (LA DODGERS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base are 27-5 L/23 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win |
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09-12-20 | Western Kentucky +12.5 v. Louisville | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
Both these teams up-trended last season behind new coaches. This is a rematch from last year’s 38-21 U of L victory vs WKU in Nashville. It must be noted that the Hilltoppers owns a 5-0-1 ATS Game One record and have cashed 9 of their L/12 ATS as dogs of 12 or more points, and are a profitable 8-3 ATS with non-conference revenge. Meanwhile, the Cardinal are 0-4 ATS as hosts vs a side with non-conference revenge, and a lowly 2-7 ATS as chalk of 11 or more points. . Louisville is just 1-9 ATS as DD home fav against opposition that won 5 or more games last season. The Hilltoppers' defense features defensive end DeAngelo Malone, the 2019 Conference USA Defensive Player of the Year. Malone helped the Hilltoppers limit opponents to 337.8 yards per game last season, ranking No. 30 nationally. Im betting on this veteran group to key on D, and for them to factor hugely into us getting the cover. Western Kentucky to cover |
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09-12-20 | Rockets v. Lakers OVER 215 | 96-119 | Push | 0 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is do or die for Houston and Im expecting them to leave everything on the floor today in aggressive fashion. Im betting the Rockets force the Lakers to open up and for this combined score to eclipse this total. LA LAKERS are 10-2 OVER after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season with a combined average of 233 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA LAKERS/HOUSTON ) - in the second round of the playoffs are 144-68 OVER L/24 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-12-20 | Georgia Tech +13.5 v. Florida State | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 33 h 44 m | Show | |
The Ramblin’ Wreck, go into this game against Florida State having now covered six straight in this series, and have a recent history of road dog success in ACC tilts recording a 5-1-2 ATS mark in their last eight tilts. Georgia Tech returns 19 starters from last years sub par season, but after changing up their system from pound the ball on the ground football to run and gun football, Im betting their now more experienced and ready to uptrend vs a Florida State side, that still does not instill confidence after a 6-7 season last year. FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. Play on Georgia tech to cover |
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09-12-20 | UTSA v. Texas State OVER 56.5 | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
The Texas State offense might have struggled late in their 31-24 loss to SMU, but it pounded out five yards per carry. Calvin Hill ran for 100 yards and Im betting on more of that today behind a offense that will have the rust off. Meanwhile, the D gave up 544 yards of offense and UTSA also has the guns to do some offensive damage here in this spot totals play that projects a score in the high 50s. TEXAS ST is 22-9 OVER after playing a non-conference game since 1992 with a combined average of 62.8 ppg scored. |
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09-12-20 | Arkansas State +10.5 v. Kansas State | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 66 h 47 m | Show | |
Kansas State is in a rebuilding zone with their offense , as their entire offensive line from last year is gone with only three returning Offensive starters in the lineup . Meanwhile, Arkansas State has almost their entire lineup back on offense. Arkansas state showed their fortitude in a loss to Memphis to start their season, by a 37-24 count and will now not have to deal with rust like KState. Anderson is 15-6 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 as the coach of ARKANSAS ST. Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. S-Belt. Play on Arkansas State to cover |
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09-11-20 | Nuggets +8 v. Clippers | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
The Clippers have looked very good in this series and sometimes peculiarly disinterested. They are the superior team, but Denver are no pushovers, and now feeling like they having nothing left to lose and on the verge of elimination, Im betting that they hang here today and make life difficult for the Clippers. I still cant get the 31-14 lead the Clippers had early in the second quarter of Game 4 when Denver exploded and came back to tie the game. This Nuggets team are not quitters. Take the points. Malone is 47-27 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses as the coach of DENVER. Play on Denver to cover |
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09-10-20 | Giants +167 v. Padres | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Cahill the Giant starter owns a 5-2 record at Petco Park with a 1.74 ERA in 10 appearances (nine starts) and gets my support here today. Fathers starter Paddock is 1-4 over his last six starts, having given up 20 earned runs on 35 hits (including eight homers) and eight walks over 30 1/3 innings for a 5.93 ERA and 1.40 WHIP and is fade material in his current form. MLB team (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games, in September games are 51-20 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
With some game time PTSD , permeating the sidelines of the Chiefs as they remember going down 21-0 to this same Texas team in last years play offs before mounting a huge comeback win . Now with that in mind Im betting the Chiefs to be primed for a fast start and build a substantial lead. At that point QB Mahomes would be directed by Reids side line coaching crew to take the foot off the proverbial pedal and for the Chiefs defense to go hog wild on Deshaun Watson as he is forced to open up and go down field. Reid is 9-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average score of 40.1 ppg scored and is 15-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of KANSAS CITY with a combined average of 38.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-10-20 | UAB +14 v. Miami-FL | 14-31 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
UAB has already played one game, putting up 45 points in a victory vs C.Arkansas and that is big factor here tonight against a higher tier team that has some rust , and that looked flat at the end of late season losing 3 straight. With only 13000 ppl expected home field advantage wont be a factor here. Canes Diaz is just 2-7 ATS as a favorite, including 0-5 ATS when laying 8 or more points. HC Clark is 18-7 ATS in the first half of the season as the coach of UAB. Play on UAB to cover |
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09-10-20 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This series is getting slower as it progresses as is evident by pace (number of possessions) as game one registered in at 97.7 game 2 at 95.3 and game 3 at 89.5. Houston is small ball team, with top tier talent , but a limited bench and that effects their offensive efficiency in flow when facing the Lakers big men who are really putting a physical beating on their opponents. Im betting nothing changes tonight. LA LAKERS are 13-2 UNDER vs struggling rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 5+/game over the last 2 seasons with the combined average score clicking in at 216.5 ppg. HC D'Antoni is 36-17 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) as the coach of HOUSTON with the combined average score registering at 218.2 ppg. Play UNDER |
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09-10-20 | Royals v. Indians -192 | 11-1 | Loss | -192 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
09-10-20 | Braves -155 v. Nationals | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
In his career against the Braves, Voth is 0-2 with a 5.33 ERA in six career appearances, five starts and is fade material in his current form. ATLANTA is 22-6 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. WASHINGTON is 0-8 against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive home games this season MLB Road teams (ATLANTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games 53-20 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Atlanta to win |
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09-09-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 220.5 | 96-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
The Nuggets have hounded Kawhi Leonard non stop so far in this series and that has effected the Clippers offensive flow and Im expecting more of the same here today in a game I have projected to stay under the total. LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 UNDER in non home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season with a combined average of 217.1 ppg. LA CLIPPERS are 13-3 UNDER in non home games after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 season with the combined average score clicking in at 218 ppg. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA CLIPPERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 59-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-09-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
NYY starter Deivi Garcia ( 0-1, 3.38 ERA, 12 SO)García is making third big league start. The 21-year-old took the loss in his Friday start, permitting four runs to the Orioles over 4 2/3 innings, though he departed with a lead. My power rankings suggest the Blue Jays explosive offence matches up well against this young hurler giving us an edge on this value runline. Meanwhile, Blue Jays starter ROARK is 15-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)NY YANKEES are 3-12 against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.
MLB Road teams against a run line of (+1.5, -210) to (-1.5, -255) (NY YANKEES) - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games against opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games are 2-35 L/23 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-09-20 | Raptors +3.5 v. Celtics | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The defending NBA champion Raptors have already shown that they wont go down here without a fight and after being down 2-0 to the Celtics after two games came storming back to tie the series before an ugly effort in game 5. HC Nick Nurse knows how to make adjustments and after that last humiliation, you bet he will have his team ready to compete. Raptors are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.Raptors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 point. |
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09-08-20 | Rockies +207 v. Padres | 5-14 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
González the Rockies starter has made two solid relief appearances since returning from a shoulder injury, and now replaces Jon Gray (right soulder inflammation) in the rotation. González has shown a knack for getting the double play this season and is a vialbe starter to back here against a team that my power rankings suggest he matches up well against. The Padres pulled off a win yesterday vs the Rockies, with a 1-0 bottom of the ninth heart breaker, but it must be noted that the The Fathers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game. |
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09-08-20 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 223 | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
This series has been fairly slow paced , with 97 and 95 possessions in Games 1 and 2 . Alot of turnovers have created alot of fast breaks points but that Im betting will regress , and what will remain is a more conservative type of affair here in game 3. HOUSTON is 17-6 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. LA LAKERS are 14-6 UNDER against Southwest division opponents this season with a combined average of 221 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (LA LAKERS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 51-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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09-08-20 | White Sox -125 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays (23-18) are two games ahead of the Yankees (21-20) in the division, with the Tampa Bay Rays in first by 4 1/2 games and its now imperative that the Yankees bring their A game tonight.
J.A. HappLHP( 1-1, 4.68 ERA, 15 SO) Happ said that he pitched better than the box score indicated after permitting four runs and eight hits to the Mets over five innings on Thursday. In his previous start on Aug. 29, he held the same club to three hits in 7 1/3 scoreless frames.The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when JA Happ starts after they lost in his last start. Play on the NY Yankees |
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09-08-20 | Yankees +104 v. Blue Jays | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays (23-18) are two games ahead of the Yankees (21-20) in the division, with the Tampa Bay Rays in first by 4 1/2 games and its now imperative that the Yankees bring their A game tonight.
J.A. HappLHP( 1-1, 4.68 ERA, 15 SO) Happ said that he pitched better than the box score indicated after permitting four runs and eight hits to the Mets over five innings on Thursday. In his previous start on Aug. 29, he held the same club to three hits in 7 1/3 scoreless frames.The Yankees are 12-0 L/12 on the ML when JA Happ starts after they lost in his last start. Play on the NY Yankees |
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09-08-20 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 216.5 | 103-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
My projections estimate that both these teams will score +108 points here today based on pace and shooting algorithms. . It must be noted that MILWAUKEE is 35-8 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 240 ppg going on the board, while MIAMI is 41-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 234 ppg scored. MIAMI in 37 games with the total of 210 to 219.5 this season have seen a combined average of 219.2 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - in the second round of the playoffs are 112-64 OVER L/24 seasons for a long term 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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09-07-20 | Rockies +177 v. Padres | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
Padres starter LAMET is 0-8 against the money line in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) LAMET is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.400. Colorado is running hot and are off two straight upset wins vs the LA Dodgers and now Im going to ride their positive flow here this evening vs the Fathers. MLB team (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 37-13 L.23 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog are 30-10 L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. Play on the Rockies to win |
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09-07-20 | Rockies v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
This series opens Monday night with right-hander Dinelson Lamet (2-1, 2.62 ERA) starting for the Padres against left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-1, 4.09 ERA) of the Rockies.Both pitchers are capable of long and strong efforts. FREELAND is 7-0 UNDER vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 10-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) When Rockies starter Kyle Freeland starts as an away dog of more than 140 the UNDER is 1-16-1 . Play on the UNDER |
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09-07-20 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -116 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Zac Gallen the DBacks hurler today has been their best pitcher this season, but with his team scoring just 3.5 rpg on the road this season, behind a lowly .218 BA Im betting against him getting the win here today vs a SF offense that is averaging 5.6 rpg at home this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 against ARIZONA this season MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - very good offensive team (5.0 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 39-12 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on SF to win |
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09-07-20 | Celtics -1.5 v. Raptors | 111-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Celtics had the leagues 4th most efficient offense this season, but last time out they were in a horrendous down slope with their shooting going 7/35 from downtown, for a ugly 20% conversion rate. I will give Torontos HC Nick Nurse alot of respect for his teams turnaround in this series, but Im still betting the Celtics will bounce back here after that down effort last time out. BOSTON is 12-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) this season. BOSTON is 11-2 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (BOSTON) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games are 172-63 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play on Boston Celtics to cover |
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09-07-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -125 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Jays starter RYU is 23-4 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Montgomery is returning from the shortest start of his big league career, recording only two outs in a loss to the Rays on Wednesday and is fade material according to my projections. NY YANKEES are 6-11 against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.NY YANKEES are 6-23 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - below avg. hitting team (AVG .265 or better) against a below average starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 to 6.20) -AL, in September games are 30-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
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09-07-20 | Cardinals v. Cubs -172 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show | |
Hendricks the Cubs starter faced the Cardinals earlier this season, losing 3-1 in a seven-inning doubleheader game. He allowed three runs on three hits in 6 1/3 innings. He is 8-3 with a 3.00 ERA in 19 career starts against the Cards. Hendricks has been particularly successful against Paul DeJong (3 for 29) and Matt Carpenter (10 for 48, 14 strikeouts). The Cubs are 12-0 on the ML when Kyle Hendricks starts as a favorite after a quality start in a win last start. The Cardinals are 0-15 on the ML past the first game of a series as a road dog of more than +135 when playing a team that has a better record. Play on the Cubs to win |
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09-07-20 | Phillies -117 v. Mets | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Zack Wheeler(RHP)(4-0, 2.20 ERA, 29 SO)Wheeler was brilliant in his last start, shutting out the Nationals over 6 2/3 innings while allowing just three hits. This marks Wheeler's first start back at Citi Field and second overall against the Mets, after he beat his former club with seven innings of two-run ball in Philly on Aug. 16 and gets my backing here again this Monday. PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 12-2 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. NY METS are 1-7 ( against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. MLB team (NY METS) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. MLB team (NY METS) - good NL hitting team (AVG .275 or less) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more ), with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 5 games are 10-25 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Philadelphia to win |
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09-06-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -165 | 1-0 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Conference Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Edmonton, AB Vegas beat Dallas 5-3 in the Round Robin amd matchup well vs the Stars and get my support here again today. VEGAS is 71-36 ATS against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% or better of shots against over the last 3 seasons. VEGAS is 11-1 ATS after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons. NHL underdog against the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a road loss versus opponent, off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival are 16-67 L/.5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Vegas Golden Knight's |
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09-06-20 | Rangers v. Mariners -123 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Justin Dunn (RHP)(2-1, 4.33 ERA, 21 SO) Dunn has been outstanding in his last two starts, throwing 12 scoreless innings with just two hits allowed against the Rangers and Angels. The 24-year-old's two wins have come against Texas (2-0, 1.50 ERA and eight hits in 12 innings). Dunn in his current form gets my support. TEXAS is 0-9 against the money line vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game this season. SEATTLE is 13-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TEXAS) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games are 2-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Mariners to win |
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