For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL | CFB | MLB | NBA | CBB | NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-15-17 | Blue Jays v. Tigers -136 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Detroit Tigers (6:10 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Francisco Liriano (5-4, 5.56 ERA) who gave up three runs off nine hits and a walk while striking out four over six innings in a victory over Houston on Thursday. Liriano though has been more “miss” than “hit” this season and is a deplorable 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA on the road. The home side counters with Michael Fulmer (9-6, 3.19) who comes in off a third-straight victory after giving up two earned runs over six innings in a 5-3 win over Cleveland on Sunday. Fulmer now owns a solid 1.19 WHIP over 17 first half starts and he has to be feeling pretty confident in this position as he’s 5-3 with a 2.78 ERA in all “night” games this year (I’ll point out as well that Toronto is just 22-32 (-16.6 units) in all “night” games this season). For all the reasons listed above, play on the Tigers. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-14-17 | Giants -134 v. Padres | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Francisco Giants (10:10 EST). Neither pitcher instills much confidence, but I like Johnny Cueto to get the better of his veteran counterpart today. Cueto (6-7, 4.51 ERA) comes in off an outing to forget against Miami on Sunday, allowing six runs over six innings in the loss. Cueto has the potential to be traded to a contendor if he can start to turn things around and he has to be feeling pretty confident in this spot as note that San Fran is 2-1 (+1 unit) in its last three as a road fav of -125 to -175. The home side counters with the volatile Clayton Richard (5-8, 4.66) who gave up one run and one walk while striking out two over six innings in a no-decision against Philadelphia on Friday. It was likely his best start of the year, but he still got a no-decision for his effort. Note though that Richard is a poor 4-4 with a 5.40 ERA at home already this season. Also note that San Diego is a deplorable 14-23 (-4.8 units) this year against the division. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Giants. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-14-17 | Rockies v. Mets -152 | 2-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the New York Mets (7:10 EST). Jon Gray has looked decent in his two starts back from injury, but I still think that Mets’ ace Jacob DeGrom has a big advantage on the mound tonight. Gray (2-0, 3.75 ERA) most recently gave up three runs off eight hits over five innings in a win over the Reds on Wednesday. Gray has been decent at home (2.45 ERA) and pretty poor on the road (4.85) thus far. DeGrom (9-3, 3.65) comes in off a pedestrian outing against the Cardinals on Friday, but still earned the win after giving up four runs with five strikeouts over seven innings of work. DeGrom is 5-1 on the road (with just a 4.63 ERA), compared to 4-2 at home with a highly respectable 2.56 ERA. I like DeGrom to outduel his inconsistent counterpart and for the Mets to kick off the second half with a solid victory. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-14-17 | Yankees v. Red Sox -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Boston Red Sox (7:10 EST). In my opinion, this line should in fact be a lot larger. The visitors hand the ball to Michael Pineda (8-4, 4.39 ERA) who went three innings against Toronto on Wednesday, earning a no-decision after allowing five runs off three hits and striking out just one. Pineda has now been shelled for five or more runs in four of his last seven starts. And note, he’s been particularly incompetent on the road this season by going just 2-2 with a ballooned 5.73 ERA. The home side counters with the surging Drew Pomeranz (9-4, 3.60) who gave up two runs off six hits and five walks over six innings while striking out six in an 8-3 win over Tampa Bay on Friday. Pomeranz is on fire, he’s won three straight and has earned a quality start in four of his last five outings while also posting a 1.82 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 25/11 K/W ratio in the process. Pomeranz continues his progression, while I believe Pineda’s road woes carry over. All things considered, this is the very definition of “great line value,” play on the Red Sox. UPDATE: There has been an early morning pitching change with Pineda being swapped out for Jordan Montgomery (6-4, 3.65 ERA). This play is STILL valid! Montomery is being recalled to make this difficult road start, note that he owns a pedestrian 4.01 ERA in all “night games this season. The late change benefits Pomernaz. Play still active! Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-09-17 | Tigers v. Indians OVER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the over Tigers/Indians (8:05 EST). These two starting pitchers have been solid this year and each comes in off a decent outing, but for a number of different reasons (mainly O/U ATS stat based), I believe this one will soar above the posted total once it’s all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Michael Fulmer (8-6, 3.20 ERA) who went eight innings against San Francisco on Tuesday, striking out five while allowing three runs off five hits. After giving up just four home runs over his first 15 starts, Fulmer would allow two dingers against the Giants so he’s a little lucky that he came away with the victory in my opinion (as both were of the “solo” variety). The home side counters with Corey Kluber (7-3, 2.85), who was named the AL Pitcher of the Month for June after going 4-0 with 64 K’s over 43 innings of work. It’s hard to say anything negative about Kluber, so I won’t bother. I’ll just point out that Detroit has seen the total go over the number in ten of 16 on the road this year when the total in the contest is set between 8 and 8.5, while Cleveland has seen the total eclipse the posted number in two of its last three after shutting out its opponent. For all the reasons listed above, play the over. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-09-17 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -156 | 2-1 | Loss | -156 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Homer Bailey (1-2, 12.66 ERA) who after getting absolutely annihilated over his first two starts of 2017, bounced back with his best effort so far by giving up one run over six innings in the eventual 8-1 victory over Colorado. The home side counters with Patrick Corbin (6-8, 4.81) who gave up three runs off seven hits and two walks over 4.2 innings in a 4-3 loss to LA on Tuesday. He’d strike out eight. Corbin has been hit or miss this year but has consistently been at his most consistent in front of the home town crowd by going 5-2 with a 3.17 ERA. I’ll point out as well that Cincinnati is just 4-14 (-9 units) against southpaws this season, while Arizona is 43-24 (+17.3 units) against right-handed starters. I think Bailey regresses again in this tough venue, play on the Diamondbacks. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-09-17 | Royals v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Royals/Dodgers (4:10 EST). A couple of “studs” face off on the mound in this one and suffice it to say, runs would appear to be an extreme premium this afternoon. The visitors hand the ball to ace Danny Duffy (5-4, 3.51 ERA) who went 5.2 innings in a victory over the Mariners in his first start back from the DL, allowing two runs and striking out four. Duffy looks to build off the impressive performance and improve upon his solid 3-2, 3.91 road record/ERA. The Dodgers counter with ace Clayton Kershaw (13-2, 2.19) who has a 146/22 K/W over 123.1 frames of work this year and who is 7-1 with a 2.51 ERA at home. I’ll point out that Kansas City has seen the total go under the number in 26 of 42 this year against clubs with winning records, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in 29 of 46 against teams with winning records. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-09-17 | White Sox v. Rockies -130 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Colorado Rockies (3:10 EST). The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Carlos Rodon (1-1, 1.59 ERA) who after looking pedestrian in his season debut, bounced back with a win in his second start against the A’s on Monday, allowing two runs off four this with three walks over six innings. I think the book is still out on Rodon though obviously as the sample size is simply too small (note that he was just 4-5 with a 4.01 ERA on the road last year). The home side counters with Kyle Freeland (8-7, 4.09) who comes in off an outing to forget against Cincinnati on Tuesday, allowing five runs off eight hits and two walks while striking out one over 5.1 innings of work. Freeland has looked shaky of late, but has to be feeling confident that he can bounce back here, as note that he’s 4-4 with a 3.80 ERA at home (which actually is quite amazing considering it’s at hitter friendly Coors Field.) He’s also 6-2 with a 3.33 ERA in all “day” games. I’ll also point out that Chicago is just 14-23 (-3.5 units) this year against clubs with winning records, while Colorado is 25-20 (+2.1 units) against teams with losing records. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Rockies. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-08-17 | White Sox v. Rockies -130 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Colorado Rockies (9:10 EST). I think Colorado will build off its impressive 12-4 win over the hapless White Sox yesterday. The visitors hand the ball to Jose Quintana (4-8, 4.45 ERA) who gave up five runs off six hits and two walks over 4.1 innings against Texas on Sunday. Quintana has for the most part been a big disappointment this season and he hasn’t been terribly great on the road either, going just 3-4 with a 4.01 ERA. The home side counters with Jeff Hoffman (5-1, 4.01) who gave up three runs off four hits and three walks with four strikeouts over seven innings in a win over Cincinnati on Monday. Hoffman has now given up three runs in just one start in eight tries and he has to be feeling pretty confident in this matchup, as note that the Rockies are 29-21 (+9.2 units) this year following a victory and 16-11 (+8.7 units) against southpaws. Conversely, this is a spot in which the White Sox have struggled in, going just 19-27 (-2.3 units) following a loss and only 24-38 (-4.5 units) against right-handed starters. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Rockies. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-08-17 | Angels v. Rangers -150 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Texas Rangers (9:05 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a bigger mismatch on the mound than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Jesse Chavez (5-8, 4.74 ERA) who held the Mariners to two runs off four hits over five innings. Chavez has a 6.12 ERA and 4.3 BB/9 over his last six starts. Note that he’s been particularly horrible on the road as well by going 2-5 with a 6.17 ERA. Tyson Ross (1-1, 6.41) gets the call for the home side, he most recently allowed four runs off four hits over five innings in a no-decision against the White Sox on Sunday. Ross looks to continue his climb back to the top of the mountain and while he’s struggled in his limited time at home this year, it’s still significant to note that he finished with a solid 3.70 ERA in all home contests in 2016. I’ll point out as well that LA is just 21-27 (-7.2 units) this year against clubs with losing records, while Texas is 22-19 (+1.1 unit) against teams with losing records. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Rangers. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-08-17 | Padres v. Phillies -143 | 2-1 | Loss | -143 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
My 8* Daytime Dominator is on the Philadelphia Phillies (4:05 EST). Jhoulys Chacin is perhaps the biggest “Jekyll and Hyde” hurler in the game. Chacin (7-7, 4.52 ERA) is a stellar 5-2 with a 1.68 ERA at home, but only 2-5 with an atrocious 9.08 ERA away from friendly confines. Aaron Nola (6-5, 3.73 ERA) gets the call for the home side and he most recently went seven scoreless while notching eight strikeouts in a win over the Pirates on Monday, scattering four hits and allowing a single walk. In his two starts previous to that, Nola gave up three runs and posted 17 K’s spanning 14.1 innings. Nola looks to continue his climb back to the top of the mountain and must be feeling confident as he’s a solid 3-2 with a respectable 3.90 ERA at home this year. I believe Chacin will get torched again on the road and I look for the surging Nola to once again come out on top. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-07-17 | A's v. Mariners -152 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Seattle Mariners (10:10 EST). I like Seattle to bounce back off yesterday’s 7-4 defeat. The visitors hand the ball to Sean Manaea (7-4, 3.75 ERA) who gave up two runs off six hits and two walks while striking out six over 7.1 innings in a loss to the Braves on Sunday. Manaea has been very sharp this year and it’s hard to say too many negative things about him, so I won’t bother. I simply feel this is a bad spot for the A’s overall. The home side counters with James Paxton (6-3, 3.27) who gave up one run off two hits and two walks while striking out three over 6.1 innings in a win over the Angels on Sunday. Paxton has also been incredibly consistent this year, especially at home where he’s 4-2 with a 2.68 ERA. I’ll point out as well that Oakland is just 1-3 (-1.8 units) in its last four as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range, while Seattle is 12-7 (+2.5 units) this year as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Mariners. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-07-17 | Red Sox -121 v. Rays | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 7 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Boston Red Sox (7:10 EST). I like Boston to bounce back here after yesterday’s 4-1 defeat. The visitors hand the ball to the surging Drew Pomeranz (8-4, 3.64 ERA) who gave up one run over six innings in a victory over Toronto on Sunday. Pomeranz has now gone at least five innings with two earned runs or fewer allowed in seven of his last eight trips to the hill. Pomeranz has to be feeling pretty confident he can keep the good times rolling tonight, as he’s a solid 3-2 with a 3.07 ERA away from friendly confines. The home side counters with Jake Odorizzi (5-3, 4.08) who gave up three runs off five hits and two walks over five innings in a victory over Baltimore on Saturday. Odorrizi has been solid of late, but note that he’s just 2-2 with a poor 4.78 ERA in all “night” games this year. I’ll also point out that Boston is 40-28 (+3.9 units) this season against right-handed starters, while Tampa Bay is just 10-16 (-6.4 units) against southpaws. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Red Sox. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-07-17 | Astros v. Blue Jays +110 | 12-2 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Toronto Blue Jays (7:05 EST). I like Toronto to build off yesterday’s victory. The visitors hand the ball to Charlie Morton (5-3, 4.06 ERA) who threw a re-hab start in Double-A on Sunday. Prior to his injury Morton had posted a pedestrian 4.06 ERA. Morton though had been terrible on the road, just 1-2 with a 6.89 ERA. The home side counters with Aaron Sanchez (0-1, 3.33) who has finally been reactivated after a finger injury kept him out for most of the year. His latest start in Triple-A was mediocre, but he still threw a mid-90’s fastball. Houston has been one of the best teams in the AL over the first half, while Toronto has been one of the worst. That said, for the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching and in this case, I believe that Sanchez has a major advantage over his volatile counterpart. Great value, play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-07-17 | Pirates v. Cubs -150 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* Daytime Dominator is on the Chicago Cubs (2:20 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Trevor Williams (3-3, 4.67 ERA) who gave up two runs off three hits and a walk while striking out three over six innings against San Francisco on Sunday. Willams has looked a lot better of late, but regression seems imminent considering he owns a poor 4.85 ERA on the road and a 5.44 ERA in all “night” games. The home side counters with Eddie Butler (4-3, 4.18) who gave up four runs off five hits and three walks over 3.2 innings in a loss to the Reds on Saturady. Butler has been a bit unpredictable this year, but he’s consistently been at his best in front of the home town crowd with a 2-1, 3.18 record/ERA. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh is just 12-17 (-3.9 units) against the division this year, while Chicago is 21-14 (+1.4 units) against divisional foes. I like Chicago to bounce back after yesterday’s humbling 11-2 defeat to the Brewers. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-06-17 | Astros -153 v. Blue Jays | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -153 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Houston Astros (7:10 EST). I feel Lance McCullers and the hard-hitting visiting side should in fact be much largers favs in this spot. McCullers (7-1, 2.69 ERA) gave up three runs off six hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings in a no-decision against the Yanks on Friday. McCullers has to be feeling pretty confident that he’ll return to the winners circle tonight as he’s already 3-1 with a very respectable 3.02 ERA on the road thus far. The home side counters with the volatile Francisco Liriano (4-4, 5.66) who was shelled for five earned runs off seven hits and three walks over six innings in a loss to Boston on Saturday. Note that so far Liriano owns a pedestrian 4.62 ERA at home and a 6.30 ERA in all “night” games. I’ll also point out that Houston is 40-21 (+10.8 units) in all “night” games, while Toronto is just 21-31 (-16.9 units) in all night contests. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Astros. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-06-17 | Pirates v. Phillies +120 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 EST). Here’s a great spot to pull the trigger on the slight home dog, as I like the Phillies to bounce back after yesterday’s 5-2 defeat. The visitors hand the ball to Chad Kuhl (2-6, 5.26 ERA) who gave up one run off two hits and one walk while striking out three over six innings in a no-decision to the Giants on Saturday. Kuhl has looked better of late, but note that he’s still a poor 2-6 with a ballooned 6.98 ERA in all “night” games this season. The home side counters with Jeremy Hellickson (5-5, 4.48) who gave up four runs off seven hits and two walks over seven innings while striking out four in a no-decision against the Mets on Saturday. Hellickson owns a 4.60 ERA at home and will look to take advantage of the fact that the Phillies are 3-1 (+2 units) in their last four when the money line in the game is set between +125 and -125. And note, this is a spot in which Pittsburgh has struggled in, going just 16-23 (-8 units) againg clubs with losing records. For all the reasons listed above, play on Philadelphia. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-05-17 | Royals +112 v. Mariners | Top | 9-6 | Win | 112 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Supestar Triple Play is on the Kansas City Royals (10:10 EST). Jason Vargas is getting little respect from the oddsmaker’s in this matchup. Vargas (12-3, 2.22 ERA) continued his dominant season on Friday by giving up one run off two hits and four walks over seven innings while striking out four in an 8-1 win over Minnesota on Friday. The southpaw threw 60 of his 100 pitches for strikes and has now posted a quality outing in 12 of 16 trips to the hill this season. Note that Vargas has been particularly effective in this spot all year as well by going 5-2 with a 2.74 ERA on the road and 8-3 with a 2.33 ERA in all “night” contests. The home side counters with Ariel Miranda (7-4, 3.82) who gave up zero runs over seven scoreless innings in Friday’s 10-0 win over LA. Miranda dominated the month of June with a 2.21 ERA and 0.76 WHIP, but I’ll point out that Seattle is just 28-29 (-2.7 units) this year in all “night” games. Conversely, the Royals are 28-25 (+7 units) in all night contests. Between these very evenly matched pitchers, I think this will prove to be the difference. Great value, play on the Royals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-05-17 | Red Sox v. Rangers -108 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Texas Rangers (8:05 EST). Neither of these starters instills much confidence, but I think that Andrew Cashner will take advantage of familiar surroundings and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Doug Fister (0-1, 4.91 ERA) gave up three runs off four hits and three walks over five innings in a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Friday. In two starts for his new team Fister has posted a poor 4.91 ERA (has an even worse 5.40 ERA on the road as well.) Cashner (3-7, 3.87) has been on the DL after suffering an arm injury, but has thrown a recent bullpen session and has been given the green light on Wednesday night. Cashner has been far from perfect this year, but he’s consistently been at his best in front of the home town crowd with a solid 3.10 ERA. I like Cashner to outduel the inconsistent Fister and all things considered, I do indeed feel that this is fantastic line value. Play on Texas. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-05-17 | Orioles v. Brewers -144 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Milwaukee Brewers (7:10 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Jayson Aquino (1-1, 9.00 ERA) who has been recalled from Triple-A Norfolk to make this start. So far Aquino has struggled in his limited time in the big leagues, which isn’t completely surprising considering his mediocre numbers in the minors (4.46 ERA and 55/24 K/W through 66.2 innings of work). The home side counters with Matt Garza (3-4, 4.36) who gave up two runs off six hits while striking out three over five innings in a no-decision against the Marlins on Friday. Note that the Brewers’ veteran has excelled in this spot over any other this season, going 2-1 with a respectable 3.52 ERA in all “night” games this year. I’ll point out as well that Baltimore is just 9-12 (-2.9 units) on the road this season when the money line in the contest is set between +125 to -125, while Milwaukee is 7-1 (+5.4 units) this year as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Brewers. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-05-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -133 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -133 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the New York Yankees (1:05 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Marco Estrada (4-6, 4.86 ERA) who has regressed as the season has progressed, going 0-4 with an atrocious 9.11 ERA and .353 BAA over 27.2 innings in June. Note that Estrada has been particularly poor on the road as well, going 2-4 with a 4.83 ERA. The home side counters with Michael Pineda (8-4, 4.05) who gave up three runs over six innings in a 13-4 win over Houston on Friday. Pineda has been far from perfect this year, but he’s consistently been at his most consistent in front of the home town crowd by going 6-2 with a 2.91 ERA thus far. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of “great line value.” Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-04-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is on the under Diamondbacks/Dodgers (9:10 EST). Patrick Corbin has been pretty poor this year for the Diamondbacks, but Clayton Kershaw continues to put up league leading numbers for the Dodgers. Corbin (6-7, 4.76 ERA) though has looked a lot better of late and I think the southpaw carries that momentum over here. Most recenlty he’d allow two runs off five hits while stirking out six over six frames in an unfortunate loss to the Cardinals on Thursday. Corbin has now given up just eight earned runs over his last 24.1 innings of work spanning four starts. Kershaw (12-2, 2.32) comes in off a gem against the Angels on Thursday, allowing one run off thre hits and two walks while striking out 12 over seven innings. Over his last 40.1 innings of work he’s posted an elite 57/10 K/W and he has to be feeling pretty confident here as he’s 6-1 with a 2.80 ERA at home so far this season and 9-2 with a 2.37 ERA in all “night” contests. I’ll point out as well that Arizona has seen the total go under the number in 23 of 37 on the road already this year, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in 18 of 27 this season following a loss. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-04-17 | Red Sox +110 v. Rangers | 11-4 | Win | 110 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Boston Red Sox (8:05 EST). I think David Price can match Yu Darvish inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I think the value swings to the hard-hitting visiting side. Price (3-2, 4.61 ERA) comes in off his best start of the season, giving up three runs while striking out seven over seven frames in a victory over the Twins on Thursday. Price has now given up three runs or fewer in five of six starts and owns a respectable 1.27 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. Darvish (6-6, 3.11) gave up three runs off seven hits and a walk over six innings in a 5-3 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday. It’s hard to say anything negative about Darvish, as he’s been solid this year. I simply feel this is a bad spot. As note that Texas is just 25-34 (-8.6 units) this season in all “night” games, while Boston is 32-25 (+2.1 units) in all night contests. I think Price continues his progression and outduels Darvish on the road. Play on the Red Sox. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-04-17 | Astros -144 v. Braves | Top | 16-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Houston Astros (7:35 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Brad Peacock (5-1, 2.72 ERA) who gave up one run off two hits while striking out seven over five innings in a win over the A’s on Thursday. Peacock laboured through parts of that outing, but still managed to find a way to win. To go along with his solid 2.72 ERA, Peacock also owns a respectable 1.23 WHIP and 13.2 K/9. Note that Peacock has been especially sharp on the road as well this season, 3-0 with a 2.82 ERA. The home side counters with Sean Newcomb (1-2, 1.48) who went six scoreless against the Friars on Tuesday. Newcomb has looked good over his first four big league starts, but we think his numbers are unsustainable and are poised for regression in facing the league’s No. 2 offense. And I’ll point out that Houston is 37-19 (+11.8 units) this year following a victory, while ATL is already just 4-7 (-3.2 units) after three or more consecutive wins. I think Newcomb comes back down to Earth tonight and I look for Peacock and the hard-hitting Astros to take advantage. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-04-17 | Orioles v. Brewers -141 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
My 8* Daytime Dominator is on the Milwaukee Brewers (4:10 EST). Ubaldo Jimenez is coming off a strong outing, but for the most part has been a complete train-wreck for the Orioles. Jimmy Nelson hasn’t been perfect for Milwaukee this season, but he’s been pretty damn good and he enters this one off a gem. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a rout from start to finish. Jimenez (3-3, 6.48 ERA) went eight scoreless against the Jays on Thursday, walking one and striking out eight. Previous to that though he’d allow nine runs over 2.1 innings to Tampa Bay. Jimenez owns an unimpressive 1.48 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 and is just 2-3 with a 6.02 ERA on the road. Nelson (6-4, 3.43) struck out 11 over seven frames in an 11-3 win over Cincinnati on Thursday. Nelson owns a 2.64 ERA at home and is 2-1 with a 1.29 ERA in all “day” games. I’ll point out as well that Baltimore is just 10-14 (-4.9 units) in all “day” games this season, while Milwaukee is 22-21 (+4.3 units) following a victory. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Brewers. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-03-17 | Marlins v. Cardinals -145 | 6-14 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the St. Louis Cardinals (7:15 EST). Jeff Locke has been a train-wreck for Miami this year and while Adam Wainwright’s best days are clearly behind him, the veteran has looked great over his last two outings. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a blowout from start to finish in this one. Locke (0-4, 5.52 ERA) comes in off a sub-par outing against the Mets on Wednesday, allowing three runs off four hits and two walks over five innings in the 8-0 setback. So far Locke has failed to complete six innings in any of his starts and he’s also given up at least three runs in five straight trips to the mound (is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA on the road.) Wainwright (8-5, 5.17) gave up two runs off eight hits and one walk over six innings in a 4-3 win over Arizona on Wednesday. Wainwright has posted back-to-back solid performances and has the pedigree and track record to suggest that he’ll be able to close the first half of the season strong. I’ll point out as well that Miami is just 17-22 (-6.6 units) this year against clubs with losing records, while St. Louis is 21-15 (+2.4 units) against teams with losing records. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Cardinals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-03-17 | Pirates v. Phillies -110 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Philadelphia Phillies (7:05 EST). Ivan Nova has been solid this year for Pittsburgh, but I don’t think that home field advantage can be overlooked as a major factor in this one. Nova (8-5, 3.08 ERA) gave up two runs off seven hits and two walks over five frames in a 6-2 victory over Tampa Bay on Wednesday (striking out just one.) Note that he’s 2-3 with a 3.49 ERA on the road this season. Aaron Nola (5-5, 4.13) comes in on top form with back-to-back gems, most recently giving up two runs off five hits and four walks while striking out nine over seven innings in a victory over the Mariners on Tuesday. Nola finished June with a 35/11 K/W ratio over 33.1 frames of work. Note that he’s completed at least six innings in four of his last five starts as well. As solid as Nova has been this year, I think Nola continues his incredibly hot recent surge and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on Philadelphia. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -128 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the New York Yankees (7:05 EST). Marcus Stroman has been the bonafide “ace” for the Blue Jays this season, but I still think that the correct call in this one is on Masahiro Tanaka and the hard-hitting home side. Stroman (8-4, 3.41) posted a 3.69 ERA and had 28 strikeouts over 31.2 innings of work in June. Stroman is in the top ten in almost every positive statistical category there is for AL pitchers as we head into the break. Tanaka (6-7, 5.56) put together a career year in 2016, but struggled over the first 2.5 months this season. Tanaka though has started to resemble his former self of late, most recently he gave up two runs off six hits with two walks and five strikeouts over six innings in a 12-3 win over the White Sox on Wednesday. Tanaka has now posted three quality starts in his last four trips to the mound and has a sharp 32/7 K/W and 2.92 ERA over 24.2 innings in that stretch. I’ll point out as well that Toronto is just 13-23 (-14 units) against the division this year, while New York is 20-13 (+6.5 units) against divisional foes. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Yankees. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-03-17 | Orioles v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Daytime Dominator is the over Orioles/Brewers (2:10 EST). A couple of confirmed “gas cans” go head-to-head on Monday afternoon and all signs point to a classic “slug-fest” in my opinion. The visitors hand the ball to Wade Miley (3-6, 4.54 ERA) who gave up four runs off six hits and four walks over five innings in a 4-0 loss to Toronto on Wednesday. Miley has now been shelled for at least four runs in six of his last seven starts and note that he’s been particularly feeble on the road this year, just 1-3 with a 5.44 ERA. The home side counters with the equally as volatile Brent Suter (0-1, 4.20) who has a deplorable 7.07 ERA in three big league starts. Suter has posted a 1.59 career ERA as a reliever, but has struggled in the starters role. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching. With Miley struggling and with more questions than answers surrounding Suter, all signs do indeed point to the over as the correct call in this one. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-02-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals +114 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 42 m | Show | |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the St. Louis Cardinals (8:05 EST). Max Scherzer has been dominating this year, but so too has his counterpart. I think Carlos Martinez can at the very least match Scherzer inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I think the value swings to the home side. Scherzer (9-5, 2.06 ERA) comes in off a win against the Cubs on Tuesday, giving up one run off two hits over six innings. Scherzer is dominating in every facet of the game right now, but I simply feel this is a bad spot for the hard-throwing right-hander. Martinez (6-6, 2.88) gave up two runs off four hits and three walks while striking out ten over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision against Arizona on Tuesday. Martinez has now posted a quality outing in 11 of his past 12 trips to the hill and has also struck out ten or more batters in four of his 16 starts this season (is 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA at home as well.) For all the reasons listed above, play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-02-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -130 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10 EST). Ultimately I feel that this is a bigger mismatch than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to German Marquez (5-4, 4.38 ERA) who was rocked for five runs off seven hits and two walks while striking out two over just four innings in a loss to the Giants on Monday. Marquez has looked brilliant at times and very poor in others, note that he’s 0-3 with a ballooned 5.09 ERA in all “day” games this season. Taijuan Walker (6-3, 3.50) gave up five runs (three earned) off six hits and five walks over 6.1 innings in a fortunate no-decision against St. Louis on Tuesday. Walker has struggled a bit of late and despite just a 1-2 record in all “day” contests this year, he does sport a highly respectable 2.30 ERA in such instances. Walker has been far from perfect, but I’m still giving him the big nod in this particular matchup. And that’s enough for me to pull the trigger on the home side. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-02-17 | Red Sox -104 v. Blue Jays | Top | 15-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Boston Red Sox (1:05 EST). Joe Biagini has been the victim of some poor run support this year, but despite that fact, I still believe that this one favors Drew Pomeranz and the hard-hitting visiting side. Pomeranz (7-4, 3.81) gave up one run off four hits while striking out seven over five innings in a 9-2 win over the Twins on Tuesday. Pomeranz is now finally starting to hit his stride in the Junior Circuit, enjoying his best stretch since coming over to the Red Sox by going 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA over his last seven trips to the hill (note that he owns a very respectable 3.32 ERA on the road so far this year as well.) Biagini (2-7, 4.05) struggled mightily in June, going 1-4 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over 26 innings. And I’ll point out that Boston is 38-27 (+3 units) against right-handed starters this year, while Toronto is just 6-13 (-10.7 units) against southpaws. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Red Sox. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-01-17 | Mariners v. Angels -113 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Angels (10:05 EST). Neither pitcher instills much confidence, but I think Ricky Nolasco is going to carry the momentum over from his best start of 2017. The visitors hand the ball to Sam Gaviglio (3-2, 3.38 ERA) who gave up two runs off six hits over six innings in a loss to Houston on Saturday, walking three and striking out three. Gaviglio has been decent in his role as starter, but still owns just a 5.40 ERA in all night contests this year. Nolasco (3-9, 4.86) left his last start early after taking a line drive off the leg, but looked dominant before that in throwing six scoreless. I’ll point out that Seattle is just 27-27 (-1.2 units) this year in all “night” games, while LA is 34-29 (+8.9 units) in the same position. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Angels. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-01-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -146 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Arizona Diamondbacks (10:10 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Tyler Chatwood (6-8, 4.32 ERA) who gave up four runs over three innings in a loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. Chatwood now owns a miserable 77/50 K/W ratio and is just 3-7 with a 5.31 ERA in all “night” games. The home side counters with Zack Greinke (9-4, 3.08) who comes in off a gem against Philadelphia on Monday, giving up one run over five innings to go along with five strikeouts. To go along with his solid 3.08 ERA, Greinke also owns a stellar 114/22 K/W ratio (he’s also 7-0 with a 2.68 ERA at home this season.) In my opinion, Greinke and the home side are well worth the price of admission in this spot. Play on the Diamondbacks. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-01-17 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +1 | Top | 43-40 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Winnipeg didn’t play last week. Last year the Blue Bombers finished 11-7 and lost in the West semifinals. Matt Nichols saw limited time at QB for Winnipeg last season, but he’s been named the starting man this year (still finsihed with 18 TD’s). Nichols has many weapons to utilize, including WR Weston Dressler and Clarence Denmark, who combined for 1,700 receiving yards and ten TD’s last year. Defensively Winnipeg is led by Kevin Fogg, who had 80 tackles, while Maurice Leggett has seven INT’s. While the Bluebombers had Week 1 off, the Roughriders will be eager to return home after falling to Montreal last weekend. QB Kevin Glenn looked good though as the veteran finished with 298 yards, one TD and one INT. WR’s Nic Demski and Bakari Grant combined for 155 receiving yards. RB Cameron Marshall had 84 yards on 11 carries. Saskatchewan looked great defensively despite the loss, giving up 17 points on 332 yards. I’ll point out as well that the Blue Bombers are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite, while the Roughriders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as an underdog. I like the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Saskatchewan. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-01-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals +101 | 1-2 | Win | 101 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the St. Louis Cardinals (7:15 EST). I like Michael Wacha to get the better of Gio Gonzalez this evening. Gonzalez (7-2, 2.87 ERA) gave up one run off two hits over six innings in a loss to the Cubs on Monday. The southpaw labored through the performance, needing 113 pitches to get through the six frames. While he’s 6-1 on the road this year, he owns a poor 4.06 ERA away from friendly confines. Wacha (4-3, 4.50) gave up one run off five hits and one walk over six innings in a win over Cincinnati on Monday, also going on to strike out five. After a shaky stretch, Wacha looked a lot better in this one and he’ll now be looking to improve upon his very respectable 4-1, 3.26 record/ERA in St. Louis. I’ll point out as well that Washington is interestingly just 5-6 (-4 units) this year when playing on a Saturday, while St. Louis is 6-5 (+1.3 units) in the same position. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Cardinals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
07-01-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* Daytime Dominator is on the over Red Sox/Jays (1:00 EST). It’s hard to say anything negative about Red Sox’ ace Chris Sale (9-3, 2.85 ERA and 0.91 WHIP), so I won’t bother. I don’t think Sale is worth the price on the money-line here though, but I do think that Boston is going to be able to take advantage of volatile Jays’ starter Francisco Liriano. Sale most recently gave up one run off four hits and two walks while stirking out nine over six innings in a victory over Minnesota on Monday. Sale owns a 3.21 ERA on the road thus far. Liriano (4-3, 5.46) gave up two runs off six hits over six innings in victory over KC on Sunday. Liriano has received plenty of run support this year, as evidenced by his 3-1 home record which is backed by a pedestrian 4.06 ERA. I think this number is just a little low. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-30-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals -117 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the St. Louis Cardinals (8:15 EST). Neither of these starters instills a ton of confidence, but I don’t think that home field advantage can be overlooked in this particular matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Tanner Roark (6-5, 5.15 ERA) who gave up six runs off nine hits over six innings against Cincinnati on Sunday. Roark has now been blasted for 19 earned runs over his last 13.2 innings of work and owns a pedestrian 4.95 ERA on the road this year. Mike Leake (5-6, 3.12) comes in off a no-decision to Pittsburgh on Sunday, giving up three runs off six hits while striking out two over six innings. Despite his 1-4 record at home, Leake does own a respectable 3.44 ERA in St. Louis (and a 2.98 ERA in all “night” games). I think Leake and the Cardinals could easily be much larger favs in this spot. Roark is steadily regressing and all signs point to another meltdown here. Play on St. Louis. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-30-17 | Twins v. Royals -111 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Kansas City Royals (8:15 EST). These veteran starters are enjoying resurgent campaigns, but ultimately I think that home field advantage will prove to be a major factor in the final outcome. Ervin Santana (10-4, 2.80 ERA) went six scoreless against the Tribe on Sunday. Previous to that though Santana had allowed 11 runs over two starts. It’s hard to say too many negative things about Santana, so I won’t bother. I simply feel that Jason Vargas has the advantage at home today. Vargas (11-3, 2.29) gave up two runs off eight hits while striking out two over seven innings in a win over Toronto on Saturday. Vargas has won six straight decisions and is 6-1 with a 1.92 ERA at home this year. I’ll point out as well that Minnesota is just 1-3 (-2.2 units) in its last four against southpaws, while KC is 3-1 (+2.3 units) in its last four against right-handed starters. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Royals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-30-17 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -142 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -142 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Toronto Blue Jays (7:05 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Doug Fister (0-1, 4.50 ERA) who made his debut for the Red Sox on Sunday, giving up three runs off seven hits and three walks over six innings against LA on Sunday. It was a decent first outing for Fister. Note that he was 9-6 with a pedestrian 4.61 ERA on the road last year. The visitors counter with Marco Estrada (4-6, 4.89) who gave up three runs off five hits and four walks while striking out six over seven innings in a loss to KC on Saturday. Estrada had looked shaky before this latest decent effort, but he has the pedigree and track record to continue to progress as the season reaches the half-way point. Estrada has struggled at times this season and looked brilliant in others and while he’s been far from perfect, I still believe he should be a much bigger fav in this particular matchup. I think Fister takes a step back in his second startl lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-29-17 | Mets v. Marlins -132 | 6-3 | Loss | -132 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Miami Marlins (7:10 EST). A couple of volatile hurlers go head-to-head in this one, but I don’t think that “home field advantage” can be overlooked in this spot. The visitors hand the ball to Seth Lugo (2-1, 3.72 ERA) who earned a win against San Francisco is in his last start Friday despite giving up four runs off seven hits and three walks over 5.2 innings of work. Lugo is in the starting rotation out of necessity, but owns a poor 6.35 ERA in all “night” games this year. Jose Urena (6-3, 3.33) actually comes in off a great outing against Chicago on Friday, giving up zero runs off five hits and three walks over six innings in a victory. Urena has now given up just three runs over his last 18 innings spanning three starts and note that he’s been particularly sharp at home by going 3-2 with a 2.98 ERA. New York will continue to struggle until it can get some of its starting rotation back. Urena and the Marlins take advantage here and all things considered, I do indeed feel this is a very fair price. Play on Miami. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-29-17 | Brewers -103 v. Reds | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Milwaukee Brewers (7:10 EST). Ultimately I feel that this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound that what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Jimmy Nelson (5-4, 3.50 ERA) who gave up four runs off six hits and three walks over five innings in a 5-4 loss to the Braves on Friday. Nelson now has a 68/14 K/W ratio over 58.1 innings over his last nine outings to go along with a 2.78 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The home side counters with Homer Bailey (0-1, 43.20) who was annihilated in his first start back to the rotation, allowing eight runs off six hits and three walks while striking out two over just 1.2 innings in a loss to Washington Saturday. I don’t think there is any need to overthink this one. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching and while Nelson has hardly been perfect this year, he’s still putting together one of the strongest campaigns of his career. All things considered, I think Nelson and the Brewers offer great value in this matchup. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-29-17 | Rays v. Pirates -106 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 28 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 EST). I played the Pirates on Wednesday and I think this is a matchup which favors the home side as well on Thursday. The visitors hand the ball to Chris Archer (5-4, 3.75 ERA) who earned a win Friday against Baltimore despite giving up five runs off eight hits over six innings. Archer has now failed to post a quality start in two of his last three outings and note that he owns a pedestrian 4.17 ERA on the road thus far. The home side counters with Jameson Taillon (3-2, 3.33) who gave up two runs off four hits and two walks while striking out seven over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision against St. Louis on Friday. To go along with his highly respectable 3.33 ERA, Taillon also sports a sharp 46/18 K/W over 51.1 innings of work. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching and often the best indicator we have when trying to properly assess a starter is “recent performance.” All things considered, I think we’re getting great value on Taillon and the home side in this one. Play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-29-17 | Rangers v. Indians UNDER 9 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Daytime Dominator is on the under Rangers/Indians (12:10 EST). I expect these wily veterans to battle each other deep and as a result, I look for this one to sneak under the number once it’s all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Andrew Cashner (3-6, 3.50 ERA), who returns the rotation for the first time since June 14th. Cashner hasn’t been perfect this year, but he’s been solid and owns a very respectable 3.79 ERA on the road (is also 1-0 with a tiny 1.38 ERA in all “day” games.) The home side counters with the surging Corey Kluber (6-2, 3.58) who gave up two unearned runs off three hits and two walks while striking out 13 over seven innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision against Minnesota on Saturday. Kluber has now given up just five earned runs over his last five starts to lower his ERA from 5.06 to 3.24 (note that he’s 4-0 with a 3.20 ERA at home and 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA in all day contests.) For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-28-17 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -138 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. Adam Wainwright (7-5, 5.75 ERA) is clearly not the same pitcher he was three years ago. Wainwright comes in off a decent outing, giving up two runs off two hits and two walks over seven innings on Friday in what turned out to be a no-decision in a 4-3 loss to Pittsburgh. Wainwright has been hit or miss all year, but he’s been at his absolute worst on the raod, going 2-4 with an atrocious 9.48 ERA. Zack Godley (3-1, 2.53) gave up three runs off four hits and a walk while striking out eight over seven innings in a win over the Rockies on Thursday. Considering the game was at Coors, clearly his performance was an absolute gem. To go along with his very respectable 2.53 ERA, Godley also sports a tiny 1.00 WHIP and 8.2 K/9 through nine starts and is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA in front of the home town crowd. I’ll point out that the Cardinals are just 27-31 (-9.9 units) against right-handed starters this year, while Arizona is 39-20 (+18.4 units) against right-handed starters. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Diamondbacks. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-28-17 | Rays v. Pirates -121 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout WInner is on the Pittsburgh Pirates (7:05 EST). Blake Snell got destroyed in the majors over the first two months and was sent to the minors. Snell did well in Triple-A and is now back in the bigs for his first start since. Ivan Nova on the other hand has been very solid from the get-go and I think his long-term consistency and true dominance in front of the home town crowd will ultimately prove to be the difference today. Snell (0-4, 4.71 ERA) posted a 2.66 ERA in five wins in Triple-A, but there’s no denying his struggles at the major league level, where he owns a poor 1.62 WHIP so far. Nova (7-5, 3.05) hasn’t been perfect this year, but “duds” have been few and far between. That said, he’ll definitely be looking to get back on track after allowing four runs while striking out five in a loss to the Brewers on Thursday. Nova has to be feeling pretty confident here though, to go along with his 1.08 WHIP, he’s also 5-2 with a 2.53 ERA in Pittsburgh. I’ll point out that Tampa Bay is just 6-13 (-7.4 units) in all road games this year when the money line is between +125 and -125, while Pittsburgh is 9-4 (+3.4 units) as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Pirates. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-28-17 | Phillies v. Mariners UNDER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Daytime Dominator is on the under Mariners/Phillies (3:40 EST). For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching and when trying to properly judge a pitcher, “recent performance” is probably the best indicator we have. Both of these starters come in off strong outings and I’m expecting them to carry that momentum over here. The visitors hand the ball to Mark Leiter (1-0, 3.60) who will make another start in place of the injured Jered Eickhoff. Leiter impressed in his first spot start, giving up three hits and a walk while striking out five over six scoreless against the hard-hitting Diamondbacks. The home side counters with veteran Felix Hernandez (2-2, 4.73) who picked up a win against Houston in his first start back from the DL, giving up three runs off eight hits and a walk to go along with six strikeouts over six innings last Friday. Herandez has struggled on the road this year, but he’s been excellent at home by going 3-0 with a very respectable 3.66 ERA. I like these hungry hurlers to battle each other into the latter frames, which I predict will result in a lower-scoring under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-27-17 | Braves v. Padres -102 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Diego Padres (10:10 EST). While neither of these starters instills much confidence, I don’t think that “home field advantage” can be overlooked in this particular matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Sean Newcomb (0-2, 1.96 ERA) who gave up one run off three hits over six innings in a no-decision against San Francisco on Wednesday. Newcomb has looked decent in his three starts this year, but his ERA is unsustainable given his pedestrian 13/7 K/W ratio spanning 18.1 innings of work. The home side counters with Jhoulys Chacin (6-6, 4.95), who comes in off a gem against the Cubs on Tuesday, allowing two runs over six innings while also striking out six. Chacin has now posted three straight quality starts and note that he’s a sparkling 4-1 with a minuscule 1.72 ERA at home so far this year. I think these road/home performance trends carry over here, play on the Padres. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-27-17 | Yankees -145 v. White Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -145 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the New York Yankees (8:10 EST). New York almost blew a 6-1 lead in the bottom of the night last night, but held on for the 6-5 win. I think “The Evil Empire” also has an advantage on the mound tonight and I look for it to find a way to deliver the goods once it’s all said and done. Luis Severino (5-3, 3.30 ERA) most recently gave up five earned runs over six innings while striking out five in a loss to the Angels on Thursday. Severino has looked a little shaky over his last two starts, but note that he’s a sparkling 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA on the road this season. The home side counters with Jose Quintana (4-8, 4.69) who went 6.2 scoreless innings while stirking out nine in a win over the Twins on Thursday. Quintana has looked better of late, but note that he’s still just 1-4 with a ballooned 5.94 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. I’ll also point out that the Yankees are already 23-16 (+3.2 units) this season following a victory, while Chicago is only 16-25 (-3.9 units) following a loss. For all the reasons listed above, play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-27-17 | Mets v. Marlins -150 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* NL SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Miami Marlins (7:10 EST). Robert Gsellman is only in the Mets starting rotation because of massive injury to the unit. Gsellman (5-5, 6.04 ERA) would give up eight runs (seven of them earned), off nine hits and three walks over 4.1 innings to the Dodgers on Tuesday. The struggling right-hander would allow four home runs in that one as well. Unfortunatley for Gsellman, a date on the road is not what the doctor ordered to get back on track, as he’s a horrible 2-2 with a ballooned 7.71 ERA away from friendly confines this season. Dan Straily (5-4, 3.43) hasn’t been perfect this year, but he’s been solid and he comes in off a gem against Washignton on Wednesday, allowing one run off three hits and one walk while striking out six over six innings. Straily has now given up three free passes over his last five starts and note that he owns a solid 2.17 ERA in front of the home town crowd this year. I’ll point out as well that New York is just 11-13 (-2 units) in June, while Miami is 13-10 (+4.8 units) overall this month. These starters and teams are moving in opposite directions. Play on the Marlins. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-27-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -160 | 3-1 | Loss | -160 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Toronto Blue Jays (7:05 EST). Neither pitcher instills much confidence, but Kevin Gausman has been horrible on the road, while Joe Biagini has been pretty good in front of the home town crowd this season. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting these road/home performance trends to carry over here. Gausman (3-7, 6.47 ERA) comes in off perhaps his best start of the 2017 campaign, allowing three runs off six hits and two walks while striking out nine in a loss to the Indians on Wednesday. To go along with his unsightly 6.47 ERA, Gausman also owns a poor 1.88 WHIP. And note that he’s posted a deplorable 1-4, 9.00 ERA on the road so far. Biagini (2-6, 4.45) comes in off a 7-5 win over Texas on Wednesday, allowing four runs off seven hits while walking five over six innings of work. The performance snapped a four-game losing streak. Note that Biagini owns a highly repsectable 2.93 ERA in Toronto this year. Both starters and each of these teams have struggled this year. However, Gausman’s complete ineptitude on the road is the difference maker in this one. Lay the price with confidence, play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-26-17 | Rockies v. Giants -118 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the San Francisco Giants (10:05 EST). The Giants will be desperate here, they’ve lost five in a row and nine of their last ten. The visitors hand the ball to German Marquez (5-3, 3.92 ERA) who gave up one run off four hits and two walks over six frames in a 4-3 win over Arizona on Tuesday. It was the first time that Marquez has made it through six innings though since May 23rd and note that if he’s had one clear weakness this year, it’s been his play in all “night” contests, going a poor 2-3 with a 6.19 ERA. The home side counters with Jeff Samrdzija (2-9, 4.74) who gave up three runs off six hits over seven innings while striking out eight in a no-decision to Atlanta on Wednesday. It was his third quality start in his last four trips to the hill. Samardzija is quietly flying under the radar right now as he owns a ridiculous 82/4 K/W raito over his last 74.1 innings of work. I’ll point out that Colorado is just 2-6 (-4.8 units) this year after allowing ten runs or more, while San Francisco is interestingly, 6-3 (+5.2 units) when playing on a Monday. I think the hungry home side finally gives Samardzija some support. Play on the Giants. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-26-17 | Cubs v. Nationals -146 | 5-4 | Loss | -146 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
8* Weekly Wipeout Winner on Washington Nationals (7:05 EST). I think Gio Gonzalez and the hard-hitting home side have a clear advantage tonight. The Cubs hand the ball to Eddie Butler (3-2, 4.19 ERA) who gave up one run off five hits and three walks while striking out four over four innings in a no-decision to San Diego on Wednesday. Butler took advantage of a favorable matchup in that one, but has been pretty pedestrian overall in a starters role with a 4.19 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over 38.2 innings. Butler is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA at home, but only 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA on the road. Gonzalez (7-1, 2.96) gave up three runs off six hits and two walks while striking out eight over seven innings in a 12-3 win over Miami on Tuesday. The southpaw threw 71 of his 101 pitches for strikes and won his fourth straight decision and posted his fifth straight quality start. Gonzalez is 6-1 with a 4.06 ERA on the road and is 1-0 with a 1.66 ERA at home. I’ll point out as well that Chicago is just 13-17 (-8.4 units) this season against clubs with winning records, while Washington is 9-5 (+3.4 units) against teams with winning records. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Nationals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-26-17 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* Daytime Dominators is on the Arizona Diamondbacks (3:40 EST). Ultimately I don’t think either of there pitchers is getting enough respect from the oddsmakers as far as this Over/Under line is concerned. The visitors hand the ball to Nick Pivetta (1-3, 4.46) who comes in off the best start of his young career, giving up three runs off four hits while striking out ten over six innings in a no-decision against St. Louis Wednesday. Pivetta was in line for the win when he left the game, but the bullpen would predictably fall apart. The ten strikeouts ere a career high and he now owns a very respectable 9.8 K/9 over his first eight starts. The home side counters with Zack Greinke (8-4, 3.14) who gave up four runs while stirking out seven without issuing a walk in a loss to Colorado on Tuesday. The veteran has to be feeling pretty confident in this spot though as he’s 6-0 with a 2.77 ERA at home this year. I’ll point out as well that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number 16 of 28 “day” games, while Arizona has seen the total dip below the posted number in 14 of 23 day contests. For all the reasons listed above, play on the under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-25-17 | Pirates v. Cardinals -142 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the St. Louis Cardinals (8:05 EST). Ultimately I think this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Chad Kuhl (2-6, 5.46 ERA) who has for the most part been a disater this year. While he does come in off a win against Milwaukeeon Tuesday, he’s still just 2-6 with a ballooned 6.95 ERA in all “night” games. The home side counters with Mike Leake (5-6, 3.03), who has been far from perfect this season, but who has been much more consistent that Kuhl. Leake also comes in off a gem, giving up one run off three hits and two walks over six innings. Leake owns a 3.30 ERA at home and 2.82 ERA in all “night” contests. I’ll point out that Pittsburgh is just 14-18 (-4.6 units) this year against clubs with losing records, while St. Louis is 19-14 (+1.6 units) against teams with losing records. After yesterday’s 7-3 defeat, I ilke St. Louis to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-25-17 | Tigers v. Padres -105 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Diego Padres (4:40 EST). Neither pitcher instills much confidence, but I think home field advantage can’t be overlooked in this particular matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Jordan Zimmermann (5-5, 5.25 ERA) who gave up three runs over 6.2 innings in a 5-4 loss to Seattle on Tuesday. Zimmermann has looked better of late, posting four straight quality starts, but note that he’s been at his absolute worst on the road this year, so far 0-3 with a ballooned 5.98 ERA. The home side counters with Clayton Richard (5-7, 4.20) who come in off a strong outing against the Cubs on Monday, holding the defending champs to two runs off five hits and three walks while striking out three over six innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision. Richard is a respectable 4-3 with a 4.01 ERA at home this year. I’ll also point out that Detroit has really struggled in this spot for bettors all season by going a poor 14-21 (-8.4 units) when playing against a team with a losing record, while conversely, this is a spot in which San Diego has done quite well in, going 15-14 (+3.7 units) against teams with losing records. I like Richard to outduel his volatile counterpart. Play on the Padres. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-25-17 | Astros v. Mariners +111 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Seattle Mariners (4:10 EST). I think the Mariners will bounce back here after yesterday’s 5-2 defeat. The visitors hand the ball to Francis Martes (2-0, 5.02 ERA) who makes a spot start in place of Brad Peacock. This is Martes’ third career major league start, having gone 5.2 innings of three run ball against Oakland on Tuesday. The home side counters with Ariel Miranda (6-3, 4.04) who gave up two runs off four hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a no-decision against Detroit on Tuesday. Miranda has struggled at times this year, but he’s consistently been at his best at home with a 3-1, 2.20 record/ERA. If Houston has had one weak spot this year, it’s been its play against southpaws, currently -2.8 units for the season. The M’s on the other hand have struggled in almost every statistical category there is this year, but note they’re +1.8 units against right-handed starters. I think Miranda is the correct call in this one, play on Seattle. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-25-17 | Mets v. Giants -136 | 8-2 | Loss | -136 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Francisco Giants (4:05 EST). I absolutely feel that Matt Moore and the Giants should be much largers favs in this particular matchup. Great value on the home side. The Mets hand the ball to Rafael Montero (0-4, 6.49 ERA) who in two starts this season has posted a horrible 10.80 ERA over a total of 6.2 innings. Moore (3-7, 5.82) comes in off a great outing against the Braves on Tuesday, giving up three runs off seven hits over seven innings. Moore is just 2-3 in San Francisco this year, but does own a very respectable 3.07 ERA. Recent form suggests that Moore is the correct call in this one. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-25-17 | Hamilton -3.5 v. Toronto | Top | 15-32 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Hamilton Tigercats (4:00 EST). So far the underdog is 3-0 in CFL action in 2017, but I think that streak finally comes to an end on Sunday. Neither team can be happy with their 2016 resutls. Hamilton finished 7-11 last year, while the Argos were 5-13. Both teams have gone through significant turnover on both sides of the ball in the offseason, but for me this pick comes down to the starting QB’s. To put it bluntly, I simply feel that Zach Collaros will be able to easily outduel 37 year old Ricky Ray. Collaros threw for 2,900 yards and 18 TD’s last year. WR Luke Tasker had 76 passes for 852 yards, while Terrance Toliver finished with 65 catches for 1,036 yards and nine TD’s. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on RB CJ Gable, who finally comes into a season at 100% health. Ray threw for only 2,400 yards last year. Toronto has ex-NFL veteran receivers DeVier Posey and Armanti Edwards in the line-up, but the two lack CFL experience. While they may go on to have a big season, I think it’s going to take some time for them to develop chemistry. Hamilton is 10-8 ATS in its last 18 on the road, while Toronto is just 3-13 ATS in its last 16 at home. I think the Argos get distracted on Opening night in their new building and I look for the hungry Tiger Cats to take advantage. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-24-17 | Astros -159 v. Mariners | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Houston Astros (10:10 EST). Ultimately I think this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Lance McCullers (6-1, 2.58 ERA) who has been on the DL since June 12th. McCullers recently threw a couple of bullpen sessions this week though and he’s been cleared to go. When McCullers faced the Mariners on April 4th, he was dominant in allowing one earned run off five hits and two walks to go along with seven strikeouts over six innings of work. Note that he’s a solid 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA on the road thus far. The home side counters with Sam Gaviglio (3-1, 3.43) who will get another start in the rotation before some of the starters return from injury. Gaviglio’s peripheral’s (5.89 FIP) suggest he’s been pretty lucky to this point though, which doesn’t bode well in facing this dangerous Astros line-up. I’ll point out as well that Houston is 26-10 (+11.7 units) against the division already this year, while Seattle is just 13-16 (-2.7 units) against divisional foes. I’m expecting a rout from start to finish. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-24-17 | Tigers v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Tigers/Padres (10:10 EST). I think these starters will battle deep and I look for this total to sneak under the number once it’s all said and done. The visitors hand the ball to Anibal Sanchez (0-0, 7.96 ERA) who returned to the majors on Monday to face the Mariners, giving up two runs off five hits with five strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision. The home side counters with Dinelson Lamet (2-2, 7.50) who has been hit-or-miss in his rookie season, but who has shown plenty of promise with 37 strikeouts over his 24 innings of work. Both have struggled this year, but each is hungry. This is a perfect park and opponent to get untracked against though. And note, Detroit has seen the total go under the number in four of its last five “night” games, while San Diego has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four night contests. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-24-17 | Edmonton v. BC -3.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the BC Lions (10:00 EST). I’ve played the favorite in the CFL over the first two nights to open the 2017 season and have come up short each time unfortunately. However, I think the fav is going to roll tonight, as I expect the explosive Lions to easily pull away down the stretch for the comfortable cover. Edmonton finished 10-8 last year. QB Mike Reilly threw for over 5,500 yards and 28 TD’s. WR Adarius Bowman caught 120 passes for 1,761 yards and nine TD’s. They’re complimented by RB John White, considered one of the top dual threats in the league. BC was 12-6 and QB Jon Jennings was a big reason why. Jennings threw for 5,200 yards last year and has a big new weapon in WR Chris Williams, who came over from the Grey Cup winning Ottawa Redblacks in the offseason. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on RB Jeremiah Johnson (formerly of the Denver Broncos). These teams are pretty even on both sides of the ball, but Edmonton is notorious in getting out to slow starts, as evidenced by its 4-11 ATS record over its last 15 games in Week 1. I like Jennings to put on a show for the home town crowd tonight. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-24-17 | Pirates v. Cardinals -120 | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the St. Louis Cardinals (7:15 EST). Both starters have been hit-or-miss this year, but Lance Lynn has been dominant in home games and I think he’ll continue his strong play in St. Louis against the volatile Gerrit Cole. Cole (5-6, 4.28 ERA) comes in off a decent outing against the Brewers on Monday, giving up one run off three hits and two walks while striking out five over seven innings. Cole has looked fantastic at times this year and really shaky in others, especially on the road where he’s just 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA. Lynn (5-4, 3.33) threw five scoreless against the Brewers before then giving up seven runs off nine hits while striking out five over 4.2 innings in a loss to Baltimore on Sunday. As mentioned off the top though, Lynn has consistently been at his most consistent in front of the home town crowd this season with a very respectable 3-1, 1.53 record/ERA. I’ll point out as well that Pittsburgh is just 13-18 (-5.8 units) this year agianst clubs with losing records, while St. Louis is 19-13 (+2.8 units) aginst teams with losing records. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Cardinals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-24-17 | Reds v. Nationals -136 | Top | 3-18 | Win | 100 | 23 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Daytime Dominators is on the Washington Nationals (4:05 EST). Joe Ross has been hit or miss this year for the Nationals, but I think he’ll do more than enough to get the better of his counterpart Homer Bailey today. Bailey (0-0, 0.00) makes his season debut tonight against the league’s No. 1 offense. Bailey didn’t decently during his re-hab, but has been out since undergoing arm surgery in February. Note that he was 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA on the road last year. Ross (3-3, 5.98) gave up four runs off nine hits and one walk across six innings in a loss to the Mets on Sunday. Note though that only two of the runs given up were earned. Ross now has two quality starts in his last three tries. I think Ross will easily match whatever Bailey does today and in a scenario like that, I’ll take the hard-hitting home side. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-23-17 | Astros -101 v. Mariners | 3-13 | Loss | -101 | 29 h 49 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Houston Astros (10:10 EST). I think the Astros and Joe Musgrove offer a lot value in this spot. Musgrove (4-6, 5.09 ERA) is coming off an outing to forget against Boston on Sunday, giving up five runs off six hits and two walks to go along with seven strikeouts over 5.2 innings. Musgrove looks to return to form in the Pacific Northwest tonight, note that he’s been at his best so far on the road this year by going 2-0 with a 4.24 ERA. The home side counters with Felix Hernandez (2-2, 4.73) who is being activated from the ten-day DL to make this start. Hernadez just threw six shutout innings in Triple-A Tacoma and has been given a clean bill of health. Hernandez has been better at home than on the road this season, but note that Seattle has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 13-16 (-2.7 units) against the division. Conversely, the Astros have been at their best against divisional foes, so far 26-10 (+11.7 units). I think Musgrove can match Hernandez inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I do definitely feel that the value swings to the hard-hitting Astros. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-23-17 | Rangers +109 v. Yankees | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Texas Rangers (7:05 EST). I think Yu Darvish and the hard-hitting Rangers are the correct call in this matchup. Darvish (6-5, 3.35 ERA) comes in off his worst start of the year, giving up five runs off eight hits over five innings while striking out six in a loss to the Mariners on Sunday. No need to overreact to one poor outing though, as the five runs allowed was the most he’s given up this season. Also note that he’s been at his best away from friendly confines this year by posting a 3-2, 2.65 record/ERA. The home side counters with the struggling Masahiro Tanaka (5-7, 6.34) who comes in off another poor outing, giving up five runs off eight hits and a walk while striking out ten over four innings in a loss to Oakland on Saturday. To go along with his atrocious 6.34 ERA, he also owns a horrible 1.49 WHIP. Tanaka’s peripherals suggest rockier times are ahead as well (5.65 FIP). Also note that he’s been poor at home, only 3-3 with a 5.88 ERA. I’ll point out as well that Texas is 10-8 (+4.2 units) in the month of June, while New York is just 9-11 (-6.4 units) in June. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Rangers. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-23-17 | Blue Jays -117 v. Royals | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Toronto Blue Jays (8:15 EST). JA Happ has looked a lot better for the Jays of late and I’m banking on the veteran carrying that momentum over here. Happ (2-4, 4.26 ERA) owns a 1.21 WHIP to this point and most recently gave up three runs off eight hits with no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in a win over the White Sox on Sunday. Happ has two quality starts in a row while posting a 17/1 K/W ratio over his last 12.2 innings of work. The home side counters with Jake Junis (2-1, 5.56) who owns a 1.72 WHIP to this point after giving up five runs off eight hits while striking out six over five innings in a loss to the Angels on Saturday. Note that Junis has been particularly horrible at home as well with a ballooned 7.71 ERA. I’ll point out that Toronto is 30-25 (+1.2 units) this year against right-handed starters this season, while KC is 8-11 (-1.8 units) against southpaws. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Blue Jays. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-23-17 | Calgary -5 v. Ottawa | Top | 31-31 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Calgary Stampeders (7:30 EST). These teams met in the Grey Cup last year and Ottawa pullled off the massive upset. The Redblacks were just 8-9-1 in the regular season, while the Stampeders were 15-2-1. The Stamps are favored to win the Grey Cup this year as well and for good reason. The core of the offense and defense returns, including QB Bo Levi Mitchell, who threw for over 5,300 yards and 32 major scores. Calgary also returns the bulk of its defense, including No. 1 sack man Charleston Hughes. Trevor Harris threw for 3,300 yards and 16 TD’s last year and has been named the No. 1 starter this season for Ottawa. Last year Harris split time with Henry Burris under center. The core of the Redblacks offense remains in place, but the team did have some turnover in the secondary. I don’t think ATS stats are really relevant for this opening game, but I think the very clear “revenge” factor can’t be overlooked. The Stamps will be in a foul mood and Mitchell will be looking to put on a show tonight. It’s a PERFECT STORM of situational factors. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-22-17 | Tigers v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Tigers/Mariners (10:10 EST). After yestreday’s high-scoring 7-5 victory for Seattle, I’m expecting a much lower-scoring affair on Thusday. The visitors hand the ball to Daniel Norris (4-4, 4.42 ERA) who comes in off a gem against Tampa on Friday, giving up three runs off eight hits and a walk while striking out eight over six innings. Norris has definitely turned the corner of late, having allowed just 12 runs over his last 28.1 innings of work spanning five starts. The home side counters with rookie Andrew Moore (0-0, 0.00) who has posted a 2.72 ERA and 77/17 K/W ratio over 82.2 innings with Double and Triple-A ball this year. Moore will be throwing for a spot in the rotation tonight. I think these starters will battle deep. Also note that Detroit has in fact seen the total go under the number in three of its last four when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5, while Seattle has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four against southpaws. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-22-17 | Giants v. Braves -151 | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 27 h 6 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Atlanta Braves (7:35 EST). Jamie Garcia has looked brilliant at times this year and pretty pedestrian in others. He’s been sharp at home all year though. Matt Cain for the most part has been a disaster for the Giants and he’s been particularly inept on the road. All signs point to a blowout for the home side in my opinion, as I expect to see it build off its extra-innings victory last night. Cain (3-6, 4.99 ERA) has a poor 1.69 WHIP and is 0-4 with a massive 7.46 ERA away from friendly confines this season. Garcia (2-5, 3.69) was blasted for six runs in his last start, but previous to that had given up just six earned runs over a dominant six-game stretch (note that he owns a respectable 3.63 ERA in Atlanta thus far as well). Additionally, note that San Francisco is just 6-16 (-10.6 units) this season on the road when the money line in the contest is set between +125 to -125, while ATL is 4-2 (+1.4 units) as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Braves. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-22-17 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal -6.5 | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Montreal Alouettes (7:30 EST). Darian Durant was the QB for the Roughriders last year and he threw for 3,800 yards. Durant is one of the elite QB’s in the league and I think he’s going to be able to pick apart his former team tonight. The Alouettes have plenty of weapons surrounding Durant, including Sam Giguere, Brandon Rutley and Nik Lewis. Montreal’s defense remains pretty much the same from last year and this consistency from season to season will benefit the team early. Saskatchewan has pleny of offensive talent as well, with the likes of bruising RB Greg Morris and 1,000-yard receiver Naaman Roosevelt. However the Roughriders begin the year not knowing who their No. 1 QB will be. The team has three capable choices in Kevin Glenn, Brandon Bridge and Marquise Williams, but the uncertainty is a big detractor to open the season in my opinion. And for me it’s as simple as that. The uncertainty over Saskatchewan’s No. 1 starter will prove to be the difference here, as I look for the veteran Durant to step up and deliver in front of the home town crowd. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-22-17 | Cubs -138 v. Marlins | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Chicago Cubs (7:10 EST). I like the defending champs to bounce back after yesterdays loss at home and take advantage of what I think to be a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The Cubs hand the ball to Jake Arrieta (6-5, 4.64 ERA) who gave up three runs (just two earned) off four hits while striking out seven over five innings in a loss to the Pirates on Saturday. Arrieta is clearly not the same pitcher as he was in 2014, but all of his peripherals this year point to better times ahead, as his 3.82 xFIP and 79/23 K/W in 73 frames are both excellent. The home side counters with Jeff Locke (0-2, 4.58 ERA) who also comes in off an outing to forget, giving up three runs off five hits and one walk across four innings on Saturday against the Marlins. Locke has now failed to reach the sixth inning in any of his starts this year and it won’t get any easier facing Chicago as the Cubs are ranked second against southpaws with a .343 wOBA vs. lefties. No need to overthink this one in my opinion. I like Arrieta to get back on track and get the better of his volatile counterpart. Play on Chicago. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-22-17 | Pirates v. Brewers -115 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* Daytime Dominator is on the Milwaukee Brewers (2:10 EST). I think these starting pitchers are a “wash,” but give the big nod to the Brewers at the plate in this one. The visitors hand the ball to Ivan Nova (7-4, 2.91 ERA) who gave up three runs off six hits and two walks while striking out six over seven innings in a victory over the Cubs on Saturday. While his 1.02 WHIP and 2.91 ERA are fantastic, it may come as a surprise to learn that Nova’s 13.7 percent strikeout rate ranks 79th out of 84 qualified MLB starters. The home side counters with Chase Anderson (5-2, 2.92) who gave up three runs off five hits while striking out six over seven innings in an unfortunate no-decision against San Diego on Saturday. Anderson has now allowed just four runs over his last five starts combined (34.2 innings). To go along with his respectable 2.92 ERA, Anderson also sports a tiny 1.15 WHIP and 8.3 K/9 ratio. As noted off the top, these pitchers are very evenly matched. I’ll point out though that Pittsburgh is a poor 25-27 (-1.1 units) this year against right-handed starters, while Milwaukee is 30-26 (+9.3 units) in the same position. I like Anderson to match Nova and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the hard-hitting home side. Play on Milwaukee. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-21-17 | Tigers v. Mariners -125 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
y 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Seattle Mariners (10:10 EST). I like the Mariners to build off last night’s win and to take advantage of the volatie Justin Verlander. Verlander (4-4, 4.50 ERA) comes in off a decent outing against Tampa Bay on Thursday, giving up two runs off six hits with five walks while striking out six over seven innings. Verlander has been “lights out” at home this year, holding the opposition to just nine earned runs over 37 frames of work. But he’s been a disaster on the road, so far posting a ballooned 7.22 ERA. The home side counters with flame-thrower James Paxton (5-2, 3.23) who comes in off his worst start of the season, giving up seven runs off seven hits and three walks while striking out four over 3.2 innings. Paxton’s early season numbers were clearly unsustainable, but I don’t think there’s any need to hit the panic button. Note that he’s still an elite 4-1 with a tiny 2.08 ERA at home this year. I’ll point out as well that Detroit is a poor 9-14 (-5.1 units) this season when on the road when the money line in the contest is set between +125 to -125, while Seattle is 10-4 (+4.4 units) this year as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Mariners. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-21-17 | Astros v. A's +105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Oakland A’s (10:05 EST). I think Sean Manaea and the home side offer great value in this spot. The Astros hand the ball to Mike Fiers (4-2, 4.00 ERA) who has looked brilliant at times this year and pretty poor in others. He comes in off a gem against the Red Sox on Friday, giving up one run off five hits over seven innings in an unfortunate no-decision. Fiers has been the beneficiary of ample support this year as his 3-0, 5.40 ERA road record would indicate. Manaea (6-3, 4.01) also comes in off a no-decision in his last outing, giving up five runs off eight hits while striking out seven in what turned out to be an eventual 7-6 win over the Yankees on Friday. Despite the five runs given up, Manaea was sharp overall, posting 17 swinging strikes among his 107 pitches, also inducing 11 groundballs. Manaea had won five starts in a row previous to that. Note that he’s 3-0 with a 3.97 ERA at home this year. I’ll point out as well that Houston is a money-burning 9-9 (-3.8 units) this year against southpaws, while Oakland is 22-14 (+8.7 units) this season in front of the home town crowd. I like Manaea to outduel his volatile counterpart. Play on the A’s. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-21-17 | Nationals -148 v. Marlins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -148 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* Daytime Dominator is on the Washignton Nationals (12:10 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismtach than what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to ace Max Scherzer (8-4, 2.26 ERA) who comes into this one off a gem against the Mets on Friday, allowing one run off four hits and two walks in a 7-2 victory. Scherzer has now posted double-digit strikeouts in five straight starts and has 12 quality starts out of his 14 outings overall. Note that Scherzer has been at his absolute best on the road as well, 6-1 with a 1.84 ERA so far. The home side counters with Dan Straily (5-4, 3.58) who comes in off a strong outing against Atlanta on Friday, going six innings and stirking out eight while giving up no runs. Previous to that though he was coming off his worst start of the year. For the most part Straily has been solid this season, but his periperhals suggest rockier times are ahead. Meanwhile Scherzer continues to improve as the season wares on. I’m banking on Scherzer to continue his strong play on the road, lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-20-17 | Tigers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 32 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Seattle Mariners (10:10 EST). I think this is a bigger mismatch on the mound that what the oddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Jordan Zimmermann (5-5, 5.35 ERA) who gave up two runs off six hits while striking out six over eight innings in a 2-1 loss to Arizona on Wednesday. Zimmermann has been better of late, but note that he’s consistently been at his most inconsistent on the road this year by going 0-3 with a balllooned 6.35 ERA. The home side counters with Ariel Miranda (6-3, 4.17) who comes in off an outing to forget against the Twins on Thursday, giving up six runs off ten hits over four innings in the eventual setback. Previous to that though the southpaw had allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last six outings, so I’m not reading too much into one crummy peformance. And that Miranda has been at his absolute best in front of the home town crowd this year, so far 3-1 with a very respectable 2.14 ERA. I’ll point out as well that Detroit is just 9-14 (-5.1 units) this season in road games with a money line in the +150 to -150 range, while Seattle is 10-4 (+4.4 units) as a home fav in the -125 to -175 range. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Mariners. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-20-17 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Colorado Rockies (8:40 EST). I think the hard-hitting home side offers great value in this spot. Coors field is the “great equalizer” of ballparks and I look for German Marquez to take advantage. The visitors hand the ball to Zack Greinke (8-3, 3.00 ERA) who gave up five unearned runs off five hits and two walks over 5.2 innings against Detroit on Tuesday. Greinke has now posted just one quality start in his last four trips to the hill. Marquez (5-3, 4.19) comes in off a gem against Pittsburgh on Wednesday, allowing one run off four hits over five innings in the 5-1 victory. Marquez has struggled with consistency at times this year, but he continues to put together a strong campaign. I think Greinke has another letdown in this tough venue and as mentioned off the top, I look for Marquez to take advantage. Play on the Rockies. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-20-17 | White Sox v. Twins -156 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Minnesota Twins (8:10 EST). I think this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. The visitors turn to Derek Holland (5-6, 3.79 ERA) who comes in off a decent start against Baltimore on Tuesday, giving up one run off eight hits over six innings in the victory. It was a battle for Holland, who allowed double-digit baserunners for a fourth consecutive start. Note that Holland is a pedestrian 3-3 with a 4.63 ERA on the road this year. The home side counters with ace Ervin Santana (8-4, 2.56) who comes in off an outing to forget against the Mariners on Wednesday, giving up five runs off nine hits over five innings. Santana’s peripherals suggest that rockier times are coming, but he’s been consistent at home this year with a 3.23 ERA. And I’ll point out as well that this is a spot in which the Twins have done well in this year for bettors, going 9-7 (+2.6 units) against southpaws, while Chicago has struggled in this position by going a poor 19-29 (-1.5 units) against right-handed starters. I like Santana to outduel his inconsistent counterpart. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-20-17 | Giants +114 v. Braves | 6-3 | Win | 114 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Francisco Giants (7:35 EST). I like the Giants to bounce back after yesterday’s loss and take advantage of a struggling Julio Teheran. The visitors hand the ball to Matt Moore (2-7, 6.00 ERA) who will clearly be eager to get back into the winners circle tonight. Most recently he was shelled for eight runs off 11 hits while striking out seven over just three innings in a loss at Colorado on Thursday. Moore has been horrible on the road (0-4, 9.24) and respectable at home (2-3, 3.07). Suffice it to say, I think this large home-road discrepancy begins to stabilize though. Teheran (6-4, 4.86) gave up two runs off six hits while striking out three over seven innings in a 13-2 win over Washington on Wednesday. Teheran for the most part has been solid this year, but note that he’s consistently been at his most inconsistent in front of the home town crowd, just 1-4 with a ballooned 7.25 ERA. I like Moore to match Teheran inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I think the value swings to the visitors. Play on the Giants. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-20-17 | Indians -125 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Cleveland Indians (7:05 EST). I like the Indians to build off last night’s lop-sided win as they look to take advantage of a struggling Chris Tillman. The visitors hand the ball to Josh Tomlin (4-8, 5.83 ERA) who gave up four runs off seven hits and two walks while striking out seven over five innings in a victory over the Dodgers on Thursday. Tomlin’s low strand rate and high opponents’ BABIP both suggest that so far he’s been the victim of some bad luck this year. Tilllman (1-5, 8.07) though has been terrrible in every facet of the game this season, most recently getting shelled for five runs off 11 hits and one walk over 5.1 innings in a loss to the White Sox on Thursday. The right-hander has now allowed 14 earned runs over his last two starts spanning just 6.2 innings of work. I’ll point out as well that Cleveland is 11-6 (+2.7 units) this season as a road fav in the -125 to -175 range, while Baltimore is just 14-20 (-7.3 units) following a loss. I think Tomlin and the Tribe offer great value in this spot. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-20-17 | Cardinals -139 v. Phillies | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the St. Louis Cardinals (7:05 EST). Ultimately I feel this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the odddsmaker’s are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Mike Leake (5-6, 3.14 ERA) who comes in off an outing to forget against the Brewers on Wednesday, allowing six runs off nine hits and two walks to go along with three strikeouts. Leake posted a 1.91 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over his first nine starts and has since given up 18 runs over his last 24.2 innings of work. Note though that the right-hander has been at his best on the road this season, so far 4-2 with a 2.95 ERA. The home side counters with the volatile Jeremy Hellickson (5-6, 4.91), who after putting together a decent April, has been an absolute disappoinment ever since, going just 1-5 with a 6.89 ERA and a poor 23/20 K/W ratio spanning his last 47 innings of work. Note that Hellickson has consistently been at his most inconsistent at home as well, just 2-2 with a 5.21 ERA. I’ll also point out that St. Louis has done well in this spot for bettors by going 17-12 (+2.2 units) against clubs with losing records, while Philadelphia has struggled in this position by going just 12-34 (-17.8 units) following a loss. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Cardinals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-19-17 | Giants -134 v. Braves | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -134 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the San Francisco Giants (7:30 EST). Ultimately I think this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Johnny Cueto (5-6, 4.57 ERA) who comes in off a loss to Kansas City on Wednesday, giving up five runs off ten hits and three walks with five strikeouts over six innings of work. Cueto was done in by the long-ball (giving up three of them). I’ll point out though that Cueto was 10-2 with a 2.78 ERA on the road last year and while he’s struggled away from friendly confines this season, his track record suggests that he’ll be able to get things under control. A matchup against the inconsistent Braves’ line-up is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked in my opinion. The home side counters with RA DIckey (4-5, 5.12) who gave up eight runs off eight hits across five innings in a loss to Washington on Tuesday. Dickey for the most part has struggled this season in every facet of the game. Both teams have also struggled with consistency at the plate this year, so I’m calling that area a “wash.” However, I’m giving Cueto the nod on the bump in this matchup and in my opinion, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in favor of the visitors. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-19-17 | Reds +128 v. Rays | 7-3 | Win | 128 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Cincinnati Reds (7:10 EST). I think Scott Feldman and the Reds offer great value in this spot against the inconsistent Jake Odorizzi. Feldman (5-5, 4.29 ERA) comes in off a 6-2 loss to San Diego, giving up four runs while striking out six over five innings of work. Prevoius to the sub-par effort though he’d thrown a gem, giving up zero runs over seven innings to St. Louis. Feldman had a blow up in the first inning against the Padres and then settled down completely after that. I think he carries over that momentum here. Odorizzi (4-3, 3.77) was blasted for five runs off five hits and three walks over four innings in a fortunate no-decision to Toronto on Wednesday. He struggled with control, thowing only 55 of his 99 pitches for strikes while also issuing at least three free passes for the fourth time in his last five starts. Odorizzi’s poor 5.22 FIP suggests that even more unstable times are on the horizon as well. I like Feldman to outduel his inconsistent counterpart and I look for the Reds to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-19-17 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is on the over Nationals/Marlins (7:10 EST). A couple of confirmed “gas cans” collide on Monday night and in my professional opinion, all signs do indeed point to a classic “slugfest!” The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Tanner Roark (6-4, 4.39 ERA), who has regressed as the season has progressed, most recently getting blasted for seven runs off nine hits and two walks over five frames in a 13-2 loss to Atlanta on Wednesday. Roark has now been shelled for 16 runs off 25 hits over his last 18.2 innings of work spanning three starts. The home side counters with Justin Nicolino (0-1, 4.15) who was also blown up in his last start before landing on the ten day DL, giving up five runs off seven hits over four innings in a 7-2 loss to the Dodgers. Nicolino threw a successful re-hab session after a finger contusion and has been cleared to go tonight. Note that he owns a career 4.57 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and disastrous 9.8 percent strikeout rate in 163.1 career innings in the majors. I’ll point out that Washington has seen the total go over the number in 24 of 37 “night” contests this season, while Miami has seen the toal eclipse the posted number in 27 of 40 in the same position. If you like fireworks, then get ready for an explosion this evening. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-18-17 | Red Sox v. Astros +105 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Houston Astros (8:05 EST). I’ve been back and forth on this series, which isn’t something I normally do. However, I feel that Joe Musgrove is definitely the correct call here, as I expect David Price to continue his slow progression after his major elbow surgery. Price (1-1, 5.09 ERA) gave up thre runs off four hits and four walks while striking out six over six innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Tuesday. It was the second straight outing in which Price has walked four batters. Note that he owns an uninspiring 5.29 ERA on the road so far this year. Musgrove (4-5, 4.81) returned from the DL to give up two runs off five hits and one walk over five innings in an eventual loss to Texas on Monday. He has been improving as the season has progressed and has posted a quality start in four of his last five trips to the hill. Musgrove has a significant advantage in throwing at home today and I believe he’ll do more than enough to get the better of his inconsistent counterpart. Play on the Astros. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-18-17 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* O/U Situational Stunner is on the under Red Sox/Astros (8:05 EST). These are two pitchers hungry for a victory. Suffice it to say, I think all signs point to a classic “duel!” The visitors turn to David Price (1-1, 5.09 ERA) who gave up three runs off four hits and four walks while striking out six over six innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Tuesday. Price is still working his way back from his elbow surgery, but the start against Philadelphia was clearly a big step in the right direction. The home side counters with Joe Musgrove (4-5, 4.81), who returned from the DL to give up two runs off five hits and one walk over five innings in an eventual loss to Texas on Monday. Musgrove has been improving as the season has progressed and has posted a quality start in four of his last five trips to the hill. I’ll point out that Boston has seen the total go under the number in seven of 11 road games already this year when the total is set at 9 or 9.5, while Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of nine at home when the total is set at 9 or 9.5. I think Price and Musgrove battle deep into this one. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-18-17 | Royals +100 v. Angels | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Kansas City Royals (3:35 EST). Jason Vargas is dominating this year and he isn’t getting nearly enough respect in this matchup. Vargas (9-3, 2.10 ERA) gave up one run off five hits and a walk over seven innings in an 8-1 win over San Francisco on Tuesday, also striking out six. Note that he’s been particularly effective on the road, 4-2 with a 2.45 ERA thus far (also an amazing 2-0 with a minuscule 0.96 ERA in all “day” games). The home side counters wth JC Ramirez (6-4, 4.19) who comes in off a strong outing as well, going 6.2 innings against the Yanks on Tuesday and allowing two runs off five hits with three walks while striking out seven in what turned out to be a no-decision. Note though that previous to that Ramirez had been struggling, giving up 11 runs off 18 hits over 9.1 innings spanning two starts. Also note that he’s an uninspiring 2-5 with a 5.05 ERA at home as well. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching and that’s what I’m primarily basing this selection on. Great value on the red hot Vargas, play on Kansas City. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-18-17 | Giants v. Rockies -150 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Colorado Rockies (3:10 EST). I had a play on the Rockies yesterday and I think they also offer great value in this spot as well. The visitors turn to Ty Blach (4-4, 4.24 ERA) who gave up seven runs off ten hits and a walk over 5.2 innings in an 8-1 loss to Kansas City on Tuesday. Blach has been serviceable this year, but he’s struggled on the road in going just 2-2 with a ballooned 6.04 ERA. The home side counters with Tyler Chatwood (6-7, 4.16) who comes in off a gem against the Pirates on Tuesday, giving up one run off six hits with one walk while striking out five over six innings in what turned out to be an unfortunate no-decision. Chatwood threw 65 percent of his 79 pitches for strikes and he’s currently riding an awesome streak which has seen him allow just three earned runs across 20 innings spanning three starts. Chatwood has struggled at home, but it’s an even playing field for everyone that comes to Coors. And certainly it’s not going to be easy on Blach, who struggles on the road no matter where he is, let alone in the thin air of Colorado. I’ll point out as well that San Francisco is just 8-16 (-10.7 units) this year in all “day” games, while the Rockies are 20-8 (+13.2 units) in the same position. For all the reasons listed above, play on Colorado. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-17-17 | Red Sox +105 v. Astros | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Red Sox (8:15 EST). While he’s predictably struggled this year off a career best campaign in 2016, I think Red Sox starter Rick Porcello offers great value in this spot. Porcello (3-8, 4.67 ERA) comes in off a dud against the Phillies on Monday, giving up five runs off ten hits while striking out four across six innings in an eventual no-decision. Porcello was rocked for four runs in the first inning and then settled down after that. While he’s just 1-3 on the road, it should be noted though that Porcello owns a respectable 3.76 ERA away from friendly confines. The home side counters with David Paulino (0-0, 6.59) who was shelled for five runs off six hits and two walks while striking out four in a 12-6 loss to the Angels on Sunday. Paulino is filling in for Dallas Keuchel, but not doing a very good job of it obviously. Over his last 13.2 innings of work Paulino has allowed ten runs off 19 hits. The correct call here is Porcello, as the reigning AL Cy Young award winner gets untracked in this favorable matchup. Play on Boston. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-17-17 | Diamondbacks -122 v. Phillies | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Arizona Diamondbacks (4:05 EST). I simply feel that this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. The visitors hand the ball to Zack Godley (2-1, 2.44 ERA) who gave up two runs off two hits and a walk over 6.2 innings while striking out four in an eventual 3-2 victory over Milwaukee on Saturday. Since taking over Shelby Miller’s spot in the rotation, Godley has posted a 2.44 ERA and tiny 0.99 WHIP (he’s 2.84 ERA on the road thus far). The home side counters with the volatile Jerad Eickhoff (0-7, 5.09) who comes in off a no-decision against Boston on Monday, allowing four runs off seven hits across six frames of work. Note that Eickhoff has been at his absolute worst this year when throwing in front of the home town crowd as well, so far 0-2 with a 5.46 ERA. I’ll point out as well that Arizona is 31-18 (+12.6 units) this season against right-handed starters, while Philadelphia is just 14-33 (-17 units) in the same position. In my professional opinion, this is the very defenition of “great line value.” Play on the Diamondbacks. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-17-17 | Giants v. Rockies -156 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* Daytime Dominator is on the Colorado Rockies (3:10 EST). The Rockies look for a third straight win in this four game series. Colorado took Game 1, 10-9 and then followed it up with a 10-8 victory last night. The San Francisco pitchers have struggled at Coors Field so far and I don’t think anything will change this afternoon with Matt Cain up next. Cain (3-5, 5.22 ERA) was most recently shelled for five runs off seven hits over just four innings in a fortunate no-decision against Minnesota on Sunday. Over his last eight starts Cain has posted a 7.13 ERA and 1.0 K/W ratio. Cain has been sharp at home (3-2, 2.77), but horrible on the road (0-3, 8.40). The home side counters with Kyle Freeland (7-4, 3.57) who comes in off a dud against the Pirates on Monday, allowing five runs off nine hits over 5.2 innings. Despite the sub-par effort, the rookie continues to look solid across the board, also sporting a 1.39 WHIP (and note that he’s been better at Coors Field as well this year with a 3.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP). Freeland is also 5-1 with a 3.21 ERA in all “day” games. I’ll also point out that San Francisco is just 8-16 (-10.7 units) in all “day” games this season, while Colorado is 20-8 (+13.2 units) in the same position. The bottom line is that the Giants have horrible starting pitching, their Rockies counterparts have clearly been better in this series and I think that trend carries over here. Coors Field is a nightmare and Cain has been at his absolute worst on the road. This line could/should easily be much higher. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-16-17 | Yankees -139 v. A's | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -139 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the New York Yankees (9:35 EST). I think the hard-hitting Yankees strike back on Friday night after falling 8-7 in Oakland on Thursday. The visitors hand the ball to Luis Severino (5-2, 2.75 ERA) who comes in off a gem against Baltimore on Saturday, giving up one run off two hits with two walks to go along with eight K’s over seven innings for the victory. He was extremely effecient, needing just 89 pitches. Severino has now gone five straight starts with at least seven punchouts and allowing two or fewer runs. Note that he’s been particularly effective on the road this season as well by going 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA. The home side counters with Sean Manaea (6-3, 3.67) who gave up two runs off six hits over seven innings in a 7-2 victory over Tampa Bay on Saturday. Manaea has been getting better as the season has progressed. However I’ll point out that this is a spot in which the A’s have struggled in mightily all year, going just 16-23 (-4.6 units) in all “night” games and only 19-30 (-10 units) against right-handed starters, while conversely the Yanks have excelled in this position by going 25-18 (+3.3 units) in all “night” games and 9-7 (+1.1 units) against southpaws. I’m giving Severino the slight nod on the mound and the Yanks a big nod at the plate and with those two factors working in our favor, I’m going to lay the price with confidence tonight. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-16-17 | Red Sox v. Astros -124 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -124 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Houston Astros (8:10 EST). Drew Pomeranz has been “hit-or-miss” all year for Boston and comes in off a dud. Since being re-inserted back into the starting rotation, Houston’s Mike Fiers has been “on fire” and suffice it to say, I think he’s not getting nearly enough respect in this matchup. Pomeranz (6-4, 4.48 ERA) was most recently shelled for six runs off eight hits and two walks to go along with two K’s over 4.1 innings in an 8-3 loss to Detroit on Sunday. Pomeranz was coming off a decent three-game stretch, but his inconsistencies once again came back to haunt him in this one. Fiers (4-2, 4.29) most recently gave up one unearned run off two hits and two walks over 7.1 innings against the Angels on Saturday, also striking out eight. Since his return to the rotation he’s given up four total runs over his last three starts combined (all victories), while posting a very respectable 20/6 K/W ratio over that span. I’ll point out as well that Boston is just 8-14 (-7.1 units) this season on the road when the money line is set between +125 to -125, while Houston is 3-1 (+1.2 units) in its last four as a home fav between -125 to -175. Fiers is the correct call here. Great price on the home side. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-16-17 | Nationals -150 v. Mets | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Washington Nationals (7:10 EST). I had a play on the Mets last night and they’d fall to the visiting Nationals. I don’t normally “flip flop” on a team from game-to-game, but MLB is different than other sports, as the starting pitchers have to be looked at seperately each night. And that’s the case with this one, as I think Steven Matz will struggle in his second start back from injury, while I look for Max Scherzer to continue his strong play as we head towards the break. Scherzer (7-4, 2.36 ERA) comes in off a 5-1 loss to Texas on Sunday despite giving up just two earned runs off three hits with ten K’s over 7.1 solid innings of work. Over his last four trips to the mound Scherzer has now given up a grand total of four runs while striking out 48. Note that he’s been particularly effective on the road this season as well with a 5-1, 1.95 record/ERA. Matz (1-0, 1.29) gave up one run off five hits and one walk while striking out two over seven innings in a victory over the Braves on Saturday. Matz looked pretty good in his season debut, but clearly that Nationals present a much stiffer test tonight. And I’ll point out that New York is just 24-28 (-11.8 units) against right-handed starters this season, while Washington is 6-4 (+1.2 units) against left-handed starters. For all the reason listed above, play on the Nationals. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-16-17 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -110 | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Philadelphia Phillies (7:05 EST). The Phillies come in off a big 1-0 win over the Red Sox last night and I think that they’ll carry that momentum over into what sets up as a nice mismatch on the mound for them in the opener of this three game weekend series. The visitors hand the ball to Patrick Corbin (5-6, 5.38 ERA) who comes in off a decent outing against the Padres on Thurdsay, giving up three runs off eight hits with three walks over 5.2 innings for a victory. To go along with his ballooned 5.38 ERA, Corbin also sports an unimpressive 1.61 WHIP. And note that Corbin has been particularly useless on the road this season, going 0-5 with an atrocious 9.00 ERA. The home side counters with Aaron Nola (3-4, 4.40), who like his counterpart today gave up three runs in his last start, but he’d unfortuantely suffer a loss against the Cards on Sunday, striking out six and walking two over five innings of work. Nola has been “hit-or-miss” this season, but note that the Phillies are 4-1 (+3 units) in their last five after shutting out an opponent in their previous game. I’ll also point out that the Diamondbacks are only 15-17 (-1.2 units) on the road this season. I think Nola outduels his volatile counterpart and I look for the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-15-17 | Giants v. Rockies -143 | Top | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Colorado Rockies (8:40 EST). Ultimately I think this is a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. San Francisco starter Matt Moore (2-7, 5.28 ERA) has looked a lot better of late after a disastrous start to the 2017 campaign, but he’s still a horrible 0-4 with a 7.94 ERA on the road this year. Jeff Hoffman (4-0, 2.33) has taken advantage of his time this season, giving up seven runs through 27 frames of work, posting a tiny 0.74 WHIP and 34 strikeouts with just three walks. Note that Hoffman is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA in all “night” games this year. I’ll also point out that San Francisco is just 16-27 (-14.1 units) against right-handed starters this year, while Colorado is 12-8 (+7.5 units) against left-handed starters. For all the reasons listed above, play on Colorado. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-15-17 | Rays v. Tigers -143 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Detroit Tigers (7:10 EST). Both of these starting pitchers have looked great at times this year and very poor in others. While neither instills much confidence right now, I think this one favors Justin Verlander and the home side. The visitors hand the ball to Alex Cobb (5-5, 4.29 ERA) is coming off a win over the A’s on Friday, holding them to one run over six innings. While he does own a winning 3-2 record in all “night” games this year, note that Cobb has a poor 5.01 ERA in such instances. The home side counters with Verlander (4-4, 4.68) who gave up three runs off five hits over five innings in a no-decision against the Red Sox on Saturday. Verlander has been one of the league’s biggest “Jekyll and Hyde” hurlers this year though, going a poor 2-4 with a 6.40 ERA on the road, while going a stellar 2-0 with a tiny 2.10 ERA in front of the home town crowd. I’ll point out as well that Tampa is just 1-3 (-2.1 units) in its last four against clubs with losing records, while Detroit is 3-1 (+2 units) in its last four following a loss. I look for Verlander to continue his success in Detroit and to easily outduel his volatile counterpart. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-15-17 | Nationals v. Mets +101 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the New York Mets (7:10 EST). Washignton comes in off a deflating 13-2 loss at home to the Braves last night, while New York is off a confidene building 9-4 victory over the Cubs, taking two of three from the defending champs most recently. Gio Gonzalez has been very good for Washington this year, but so to has Robert Gsellman for the Mets. Ultimately I think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for Washington and I look for Gsellman to take advantage. Gonzalez (5-1, 2.91 ERA) gave up a single run over six innings while striking out nine in an unfortunate loss to the Rangers on Saturday. Gonzalez has been good, but not perfect this year. Note that he sports a pedestrian 4.38 ERA on the road and a 4.25 ERA in all “night” games. Gsellman (5-3, 4.95) comes in off a gem himself, going 6.2 scoreless innings against the Braves on Saturday, allowing just three hits and two walks while striking out four in the victory. Gsellman has been far from perfect this season either, but note that the Mets have performed well in this spot for bettors recently, going 3-1 (+2 units) in their last four against southpaws, while Washignton has been scuffling of late by going just 6-7 (-5.8 units) in the month of June. I think Gsellman can match Gonzalez inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I think the advantage goes to the suddenly surging home side. Play on the Mets. Good luck…Larry |
|||||||
06-15-17 | Mariners v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* GETAWAY DAY TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the under Mariners/Twins (1:10 EST). These teams have played to some higher-scoring affairs of late, but I think that all signs point to a classic “duel” on the mound this afternoon. The visitors hand the ball to Ariel Miranda (6-2, 3.67 ERA) who didn’t factor into the decision on Saturday against Toronto, unfortunate as he’d go on to give up just two earned runs off two hits and five walks over 6.1 innings of work. Previous to that he’d thrown a complete-game against Tampa last Monday. Despite some control issues, Miranda continues to progress as his whip remains a solid 1.17. Also note that he’s 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA in all “day” games this season. The home side counters with Jose Berrios (5-1, 2.84) who gave up two earned runs over 5.1 innings with eight K’s and three walks in a win over the Giants on Saturday. Berrios has now allowed just four runs over his last 11.1 innings of work spanning two starts to go along with 12 strikeouts. Note that Berrios has been paritcularly sharp at home this year as well, coming into this one sporting a 2.84 ERA in Minnesota. I’m expecting these competent starters to battle deep and for this one to sneak under this sky-high total once it’s all said and done. Good luck…Larry |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.