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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-03-18 | Miami-FL +4 v. Virginia Tech | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Miami Florida (2:00 EST). Miami comes in with momentum, coming into this one having won three of its last four, most recently a 69-57 victory over Pitt on Wednesday. Virginia Tech has won three in a row, most recently a tough 85-80 OT effort over Boston College on the road on Wednesday. Note that this is a revenge game for the Hurricanes, who fell 66-61 to the Hokies last February. Miami comes in averaging 74.9 points, while conceding 65.2. Lonnie Walker IV had 16 points and five boards in the victory over the Panthers. Dewan Huell leads the nightly charge though this season with an average of 13.4 points and 6.9 boards per game. Virginia Tech averages 85.1 PPG and it concedes 73.2. Kerry Blackshear Jr. had 20 points and eight boards in the Hokies’ most recent victory. The Hurricanes have the defense to keep them in this one late. Miami also plays with revenge. With these two factors working in their favor, I like the Hurricanes to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab as many points as you can, play on Miami Florida. Good luck…Larry |
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02-03-18 | Duke -11.5 v. St. John's | 77-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Duke (12:00 EST). The 19-3 Duke Blue Devils are at Madison Square Garden to take on the St. John’s Red Storm on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Blue Devils rebounded from a tight loss to Virginia to take down Notre Dame 88-66 on Monday, while the Red Storm come in off a 73-68 loss to Xavier in their most recent action. Duke would shoot 50 percent form the floor and was 12 of 20 from range, while also holding the Irish to just 36 percent shooting in its most recent victory. Gary Trent Jr. led the way with 22 points and ten boards. Note that the Blue Devils have now allowed 70 or fewer points in four straight games. Duke averages 90.2 PPG and it concedes 72 thus far. St. John’s averages 72.3 PPG and it concedes 70.9. In the loss to Xavier the Red Storm would go on to shoot a poor 43.9 percent form the floor, while allowing Xavier to hit 46 percent. Shamorie Ponds was a bright spot in the losing cause, posting 31 points. The Red Storm are a decent defensive team, but this is the toughest offense they’ll see all year. With a tough game at UNC up next, the Blue Devils won’t leave anything to chance. Lay the points with confidence, play on Duke. Good luck…Larry |
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02-02-18 | Warriors -12.5 v. Kings | Top | 119-104 | Win | 100 | 34 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Golden State Warriors (10:35 EST). Golden State looks to get back on track after getting crushed 129-99 in Utah on Tuesday. Klay Thompson was a bright spot with 27 points, while KD had an “off” night with 17. So while the Warriors will be eager to atone for their latest listless effort, Sacramento looks poised for a bit of a letdown here in my opinion after closing its six game road trip with a 114-103 win over New Orleans on Tuesday, led by 26 points and 12 boards from Zach Rudolph. I’ll point out though that the Kings are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 following a SU win of more than ten points. The Warriors on the other hand have excelled in this position by already going 4-1 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more. Golden State is also 5-3 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, and it does indeed play with revenge after falling 110-106 to Sacramento on December 27th. The Warriors have a “tougher” game in Denver tomorrow night and won’t want to leave anything to chance this evening. The Kings on the other hand find themselves in a classic “letdown/look-ahead” spot, having gone 3-1 in their last four on a road trip, only to now return home for their first game in two weeks in Sacramento, followed by a much more “winnable” contest against the visiting Mavericks tomorrow night. When you add it all up, it makes this larger spread completely manageable for the rested, determined and revenge-minded defending champs to cover. Lay the points, play on Golden State. Good luck…Larry |
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02-02-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Oakland -8.5 | Top | 79-73 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Oakland (9:00 EST). The 12-11 UIC Flames are in Oakland to take on the 14-9 Golden Grizzlies on Friday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I think UIC has a letdown here after winning four straight, while I believe Oakland comes in razor focused after a 64-51 setback to Wright State in its latest action. The Flames most recently beat Milwaukee 74-56 on Monday, led by Tarkus Ferguson with 19 points. So far UIC averages 72.3 PPG and it concedes 70.3. The Grizzlies just couldn’t get going against the Raiders in their latest setback, eventually succumbing 64-51 in the end. Kendrick Nunn was a stand out with 18 points, while Jalen Hayes has 13 points and eight boards. Oakland comes into this one averaging 80.4 PPG, while allowing 78.5. Note that Nunn leads the nightly charge with an average of 26.4 points, 4.7 boards and four assists per outing. Additionally I’ll point out that UIC is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine against teams with a winning SU record, while Oakland is 41-20-1 ATS in its last 62 in the same position. When these teams met on January 15th, Oakland won 78-68 and Nunn tallied 32 points and nine boards. UIC hasn’t lost since that game, but the Flames just don’t have the firepower to match pace with this determined home side. All signs point to a rout, lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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02-02-18 | Capitals v. Penguins -146 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:00 EST). Both teams come in off victories, with the Capitals beating the Flyers 5-3, while the Pens got the better of the Sharks 5-2 in their latest action. Washington averages 3.04 GPG and it concedes 2.80. Braden Holtby is 26-11 with a 2.67 GAA on the year. For his career Holtby is 8-10 with a 2.69 GAA against Pittsburgh. The Capitals have struggled on the road this season though, going 11-12 away from friendly confines, to go along with averaging 2.91 GPG and conceding 3.39 in those contests. Pittsburgh averages 2.96 GPG and it concedes 2.96 as well. The Pens though are 18-8 at home, averaging 3.38 GPG and conceding just 2.69. Goaltender Matt Murray saved 40 of 42 shots he faced to move to 16-13- with a 2.90 GAA in the victory over San Jose. Note that Murray is a strong 10-5 with a 2.61 GAA at home this season. Additionally I’ll point out that the Capitals are just 2-5 in their last seven road games agains a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, while the Penguins are 41-13 in their last 54 home games against a team with a losing road record. Washington is just 2-7 in its last nine trips to Pittsburgh and it faces an uphill battle here as well. I like the Pens to continue their hot play at home and I expect the Capitals’ “road woes” to continue. Lay the price, play on the Penguins. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-18 | Oregon State +3.5 v. Stanford | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 2 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Oregon State (11:00 EST). The 11-9 Oregon State Beavers are in Stanford to take on the 11-11 Cardinal and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Oregon State comes to town hungry after a listless 66-57 loss to Oregon in its latest action, while Stanford also enters off a setback, falling 89-73 at UCLA. Note that this sets up as a double revenge spot for the Beavers after the Cardinal took both meetings a year ago. We don’t have to question the Beavers’ motivation levels tonight as they’ve actually dropped four of their last five. So far Oregon State averages 72.5 PPG and it concedes 68.6. Stephen Thompson Jr. led the way in a losing cause to Oregon on Sunday with 16 points. The Cardinal average 75 PPG and they concede 75.4. Stanford won five conference games in a row, but it’s since lost three straight. Daejon Davis was a bright spot in the loss to the Bruins with 23 points and ten assists. I’ll point out though that Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss, while Stanford is just 4-6 ATS when playing the role of favorite this season. The Cardinal have now scored 73 points or fewer in four of their last five, which doesn’t bode well against this above average Beavers’ defense. Oregon State is conceding just 68 points so far in its eight conference games and all signs point to another big performance here against this inconsistent Stanford offense. Grab the points, play on the Beavers. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets +1 | Top | 124-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* WEST-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Denver Nuggets (10:35 EST). The Thunder come in off a 102-96 road loss at Washington on Tuesday, snapping an eight-game win streak. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here as well. Conversely, it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for the home side after it dropped its second straight, most recently a hard-fought 106-104 road setback at San Antonio on Tuesday. Note that these teams have already split a pair of games this year, with each side winning on its home floor. OKC averages 106.1 PPG and it concedes 102. Russell Westbrook averages 25.5 points, 9.4 boards and 10.1 assists per game, while Paul George adds 21.3 points, 5.5 boards and 2.17 steals per night. In the loss to the Wizards the Thunder averaged just 37.5 percent from the floor and went just 9 of 32 from range. George was a bright spot with 28 points in the losing cause. Denver averages 106.2 PPG and it concedes 105.6. Nikola Jokic averages 16.2 points, 10.4 boards and 5.3 assist per game. In the setback to the Spurs the Nuggets would shoot 46.5 percent from the floor and go 10 of 23 from 3-point land. I’ll point out as well that the Thunder have struggled mightily in this spot for bettors all year, going just 2-10 ATS against the division and only 6-13 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while the Nuggets have done decently in this position by going 6-4 ATS against the division and 4-1 ATS in their last five against clubs with winning records. OKC is dealing with injuries and fatigue right now, which doesn’t bode well in Denver’s thin air. I’m banking on the home side defending its court. Play on the Nuggets. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-18 | UC-Davis -8 v. CS-Northridge | 63-56 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 2 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on UC Davis (10:00 EST). The CSU Northridge Matadors are just 5-16 SU and 7-10 ATS in lined games (including only 2-4 ATS at home). The Matadors come in having lost two straight, including at UC Davis 63-56 just last week. CS Northridge has brought home the cash for bettors in four straight, but I think that string ends here. The Aggies have won seven of ten, including two straight, most recently a convincing 80-56 destruction of Cal Poly Slo as 9.5 point favorites. These are two teams moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to carry over here. I’ll also point out that UC Davis is already 5-1 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less in its previous outing (also 6-1 ATS against schools with losing records), while CS Northridge is a poor 7-13 ATS in its last 20 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, play on UC Davis. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-18 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -3.5 | 60-52 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 32 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Wisconsin (8:30 EST). The 13-10 Northwestern Wildcats get ready to battle the 10-13 Wisconsin Badgers on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Northwestern’s two-game win streak was snapped in a 58-47 loss at Michigan on Monday and I think it’s set up for another letdown here. Conversely, the Badgers come in razor focused, taking nothing for granted after losing three straight and six of seven. The good news for the Wildcats in their latest loss is that they’d hold Michigan to just 58 points. The bad news of course was that Northwestern only managed 47 of its own, including getting held scoreless over the final seven minutes. Scottie Lindsey was a bright spot with 15 points, but the rest of the starters combined for just 26 on 11 of 29 shooting. The Wildcats average 71.8 PPG and they concede 66.7. Wisconsin averages 67.8 PPG and it concedes 66.6. Ethan Happ had 25 points, 11 boards and six assists in the Badgers latest loss to Nebraska on Monday. Additionally I’ll point out that Northwestern is already just 1-5 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less, while Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS in its last four after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses. The Wildcats are just 2-6 on the road. If ever the Badgers were going to make a stand this season, then this is it. I look for the home side to step up and answer the call, so lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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02-01-18 | Ducks v. Senators +145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 145 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Ottawa Senators (7:05 EST). Anaheim comes in off a very satisfying 3-1 road in over Boston in its first game back from the All Star game, while the Sens fell 2-1 to the Canes in their first outing of the second half. The Ducks average just 2.76 GPG, while they concede 2.79. John Gibson is questionable for this game and if he does play, he brings his pedestrian 18-19, 2.63 GAA record to the table. If Ryan Miller gets the nod, note that he’s 3-3 with a 2.44 GAA on the road this season. Overall Anaheim is just 11-14 on the road, averaging 2.67 GPG and conceding 2.64 away from friendly confines. The Senators average 2.50 GPG and concede 3.40. Goaltender Craig Anderson gave up two goals on 39 shots in the loss to Carolina, dropping him to 12-22 with a 3.17 GAA. The Ducks have three more tough road match ups ahead of them, including at Montreal on Saturday night, followed by an outing in Toronto on Monday. There’s no question that in some small way this sets up as a let down/look ahead spot for the surging Ducks. But the Senators don’t have the same luxury, as the come in desperate here after losing five of their last six. Ottawa is desperate and this has essentially become a “must win” for it. Now throw in the fact that the Sens also play with revenge after falling 3-0 in Anaheim in early December and all signs do indeed point to a win for the hungry home side. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Bulls +7.5 v. Blazers | Top | 108-124 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is in the Chicago Bulls (10:05 EST). The 18-32 Chicago Bulls are in Portland to take on the 27-22 Blazers on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Portland comes in off a highly satisfying 104-96 win at the Clippers just last night, while we won’t have to question the overall intensity levels of the Bulls this evening as they enter off four straight losses, most recently to the Bucks. Lauri Markkanen, the Bulls leading scorer, won’t be in the line-up tonight. Note that the Bulls are 3-0 without Markkanen in the lineup though this season. Damian Lillard and the Blazers have looked a lot better of late, but with one night off before a three-game Eastern swing, I do indeed believe this one sets up not only as a “letdown” spot (after last night’s victory), but that it’s also a “look ahead” position. Additionally I’ll point out that Chicago is 15-9 ATS on the road this year, while Portland is just 9-12 ATS at home. The Bulls are dealing with some injury issues, but the situation and the numbers both support the visitors tonight. While I’m stopping short in calling for the outright upset, everything does point to a very tight battle. Grab the points, play on Chicago. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +1 | 85-80 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on Boston College (9:00 EST). I’d like to point out, that this particular selection just narrowly missed a top 10* rating. VT looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after back-to-back wins has it back to .500 in ACC play. BC on the other hand has fallen back below .500 after back-to-back losses. Also note that this is definitely a “revenge” game for the Eagles, as the Hokies have taken three straight in the series. Virginia Tech pulled off the outright 80-75 upset at Notre Dame in its most recent action. Justin Bibbs led the way in that one and he now has 18 or more points in three of his last five games. The Hokies have scored 80 or more points in six straight games, but VT is still just 3-3 ATS in the span because of shoddy defensive play. The Eagles will be hungry to get back to form here, as they’ve been held to 69 points or less over their last two games, most recently falling 81-63 to the Orange. Ky Bowman was a bright spot though with 20 points, finishing 5 of 11 range. Ultimately though for me this one comes down to which team is “hungrier.” BC enters off two straight losses and clearly won’t be taking anything for granted. VT has to be feeling much better about itself and I think it suffers a predictable letdown against this determined Eagles side. Play on Boston College. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Sharks v. Red Wings -107 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Detroit Red Wings (8:05 EST). I base my picks on many different things, and “scheduling” is one of them. San Jose played and lost 5-2 in Pittsburgh just last night. Surely the Sharks would love to get back into the win column right away, but they come in flat and tired against a Red Wings team looking to make some noise as it looks to get off on “the right foot” to open the second half. Detroit’s latest action saw it fall 5-1 at home to Chicago just before the All Star Game. San Jose is now 12-13 on the road, averaging 2.79 GPG away from friendly confines and conceding 2.83. Martin Jones is expected between the pipes for the visitors tonight and he’s 5-9 with a 2.65 GAA on the road this season. Detroit has gone a poor 10-17 at home this year, averaging 2.63 GPG and conceding 3.07. Jimmy Howard is in net tonight for the home side and he’s 10-14 with a 2.85 GAA in Detroit this year. But San Jose is dealing with injury issues and it come in “dog tired” after falling at the defending champs last night. It’s a great spot for the Wings to take advantage of and all things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on the Sharks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +4 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmaker’s Error is on Wake Forest (8:00 EST). The 16-5 Florida State Seminoles are in Wake Forest to take on the 8-13 Demon Deacons and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I think FSU has a small mental lapse here after winning three straight, most recently over VT, GT and Miami. Conversely it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Demon Deacons as they come in having lost seven straight. There’s no doubt that this sets up as a “letdown” spot for the visitors, who enter off an emotional 103-94 OT win over rival Miami Florida in their latest action. In fact FSU is above .500 for the first time in conference play this year after that victory. Terrance Mann has been a standout over the last two games with 44 points. Wake Forest enters off the 96-77 loss to Louisville on Sunday. Guard Bryant Crawford has now hit double digits in nine straight games and had 19 in a losing cause against the Cardinals. For me though, this comes one down to which of these two teams is the “hungrier.” While FSU has been playing very well of late, this unfortunately sets up as a natural letdown spot for the team after its big win over its rival in its most recent action. The Demon Deacons on the other hand will be risking life and limb tonight as they try to rebound from their recent stretch of futility. While I’d obviously not be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Wake Forest. Good luck…Larry |
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01-31-18 | Louisville +12 v. Virginia | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Louisville (7:00 EST). The 16-5 Louisville Cardinals are at No. 2 Virginia to take on the 20-1 Cavaliers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Louisville comes in on top form having won five of its last six. The Cardinals are 6-2 in league play, most recently putting together a 96-77 win over Wake Forest on Saturday. Virginia has won 12 straight, but I think it’ll have its hands full with this determined visiting side. Louisville comes in averaging 78.5 PPG, while it concedes 68.9. In the win over Wake the Cards would go on to force 20 turnovers, while also shooting 50.7 percent from the floor and finishing 10 of 25 from range. Deng Adei averages 15.6 PPG to lead the team. Virginia averages just 69 PPG, but it concedes only 52.1. Kyle Guy had 17 points in the win over Duke in the team’s most recent action on the road. Guy leads the nightly charge with 15.2 PPG. The Cavs are a great team. But Louisville won’t be rolling over today. The Cardinals are playing their best basketball of the season and they’ve already had some extremely close calls on the road this year, including losing in OT at Clemson in early January. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a comfortable cover for the hungry visitors as they catch the home side complacent after its epic victory last time out. Play on Louisville. Good luck…Larry |
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01-30-18 | Avalanche -105 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Colorado Avalanche (10:00 EST). The 27-18-3 Colorado Avalanche are in Vancouver to take on the 19-24-6 Canucks and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the visitors. The Avs fell 3-1 to St. Louis in their latest action. Vancouver also lost in its final game before the break, a listless 4-0 setback to lowly Buffalo. Colorado has in fact now lost two straight (after winning ten straight.) Jonathan Bernier made 31 saves in the latest losing effort. On the year the Avs average 3.3 GPG, while conceding 2.9. Vancouver averages 2.6 GPG and it concedes 3.2. Goaltender Jacob Markstrom is 13-16-15 with a 2.74 GAA this year. I think it’s important to note though that this is a spot in which the Avs have done quite well in of late, going 6-2 in their last eight when playing with three or more days rest, while Vancouver is just 2-5 in its last seven in the same position. The Canucks have won just eight of their last 36 in front of the home town crowd and lack the scoring depth to keep pace with the rested Avs in my opinion. All things considered, I feel this is the very definition of “great line value.” Play on Colorado. Good luck…Larry |
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01-30-18 | Magic v. Rockets OVER 221 | Top | 107-114 | Push | 0 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the over Magic/Rockets (8:00 EST). The 14-34 Orlando Magic are in Houston to take on the 35-13 Rockets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “shootout” written all over it. Orlando comes in off a hard-fought 114-112 setback in Indiana in its latest action, allowing the Pacers to hit 54 percent from the floor, including 27 percent from range. Aaron Gordon led the way for the Magic in the setback with 22 points, 11 boards and four assists, while Evan Fournier added 21 points. In all five players would reach double figures for Orlando as the team collectively shot 54 percent from the floor, including 32 percent from range. Houston has won five of its last six, most recently downing the Suns 113-102 in its latest outing. The Rockets would go on to shoot 44 percent from the floor, including 30 percent from three point land. James Harden led Houston with 27 points, ten boards, eight assists and two steals, while Chris Paul added 17 points and five assists, as six players in total would finish in double figures. I’ll point out that Orlando has already seen the total go over the number in six of nine this year when the total is greater than or equal to 220, while Houston has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 13 of its last 16 as a home fav of 12.5 points or more. These are two teams which love to get out and push the pace and that’s exactly what I expect to see happen. This number is just a little low, play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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01-30-18 | Rhode Island v. Massachusetts +9.5 | Top | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Massachusetts (6:30 EST). The 17-3 Rhode Island Rams are at UMass to take on the 10-12 Minutemen and while I’m not going to be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do think that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Rhode Island snuck by Duquesne 61-58 on Saturday, while UMass enters off an 82-69 loss to Fordham on Saturday (I had the Rams in that one.) Note that this is a revenge game for the Minutemen after they fell 73-51 at Rhode Island earlier this month. The Rams average 76.6 PPG and they concede 65.8. EC Matthews had 20 points in the win over the Dukes. The Minutemen average 69.7 PPG and they concede 71.6. We don’t have to question Massachusetts motivation levels today though, as it comes in having lost four straight. In its latest loss, Luwane Pipkens led the way with 18 points. I’ll point out though that Rhode Island is just 11-3 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest, while Massachusetts is already 6-4 ATS as an underdog this season. I think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for Rhode Island, while I expect the home side to risk life and limb as it tries to score the upset. In a much tighter than expected battle, let’s grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-29-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 111-110 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 32 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Denver Nuggets (9:00 EST). Boston came up just short in a 109-105 setback at Golden State on Saturday, while Denver comes in on top form having won three straight, most recently a 91-89 victory at home over Dallas. Note that this is a revenge game for the Nuggets after they fell 124-118 in Boston back on December 13th. Boston averages 102.9 PPG and it concedes 98.5. Kyrie Irving leads the way with 24.8 points and five assists per game, while Al Horford averages 13.4 points, 7.9 boards and 5.2 assists per outing. Denver averages 106.1 PPG and it concedes 105.5. Nikola Jokic averages 16.1points, 10.5 boards and 5.3 assists per game, while Garry Harris leads the nightly charge with 17.3 points. Harris had 24 points, while Jokic had a triple-double with 11 points, 16 boards and 11 assists in the teams most recent win over the Mavs. I think the Celtics come in flat here on the tail end of their five game Western swing and I look for the surging Nuggets to take full advantage and to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. A great situational play on Denver. Good luck…Larry |
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01-29-18 | Heat v. Mavs +1.5 | 95-88 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 3 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Dallas Mavericks (8:30 EST). The Heat had dropped four of six before getting the better of the Hornets 95-91 at home on Saturday. The Mavs come in desperate as they’ve lost three straight and six of their last seven, most recently dropping a tight 91-89 decision in Denver on Saturday. Note that this is a revenge game for Dallas after it fell 113-101 in Miami back on December 22nd. The Heat average 100.6 PPG and they concede 101.3. Josh Richardson led Miami with 19 points and five assists in the win over Washington. Dallas averages 102 PPG and it concedes 103.9. Harrison Barnes leads the nightly charge with 18.4 points and 6.8 boards per game, while rookie Dennis Smith Jr. adds 14.7 points and 4.7 assists per game. I’ll point out though that Miami is just 8-13 ATS as the favorite this season, while Dallas is 21-15 ATS as the dog. Miami comes in off the win, while the Mavs lay everything on the line, desperate to break their slide. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Good luck…Larry |
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01-29-18 | Wolves -5.5 v. Hawks | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (7:30 EST). The Wolves broke a two-game slide with a 111-97 home win over the Nets on Saturday, while the Hawks come into this one having lost three straight, most recently a listless 129-104 setback at home to Washington on Saturday. The Wolves averages 109.1 PPG and they concede 105.9. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.1 points and 12.2 PPG, while Andrew Wiggins adds 18.2 points and 4.2 boards per night. Jimmy Butler and Wiggins each had 21 points in the team’s win over Brooklyn. The Hawks average 103.5 PPG and they concede 108.2. Dennis Schroeder leads the nightly charge with 19.6 points and 6.4 assists per game, while Marco Belinelli adds 11.2 points and 2.1 assists. In the latest loss to Washington ATL allowed the Wizards to shoot 57.6 percent from the floor, including 18 of 32 from range. With a tough game North of the border tomorrow night, the Wolves can leave nothing to chance this evening. And that’s the difference maker for me in this one. I look for a focused and much deeper Minnesota side to comfortably pull away down the stretch as it looks to secure the victory tonight, before the tough matchup tomorrow. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-29-18 | Notre Dame +15 v. Duke | Top | 66-88 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Notre Dame (7:00 EST). The 13-8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish are at Duke to take on the 18-3 Blue Devils and while I’m not calling for the outright upset, I do definitely believe this one will be a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe once it’s all said and done. Notre Dame looks to get back on track here after falling 80-75 to Virginia Tech on Saturday, while the Blue Devils also come in off a loss (this one of the heart-wrenching variety), falling 65-63 at home to Virginia. Note that this is a revenge game for the Irish after the Blue Devils took both meetings last year, including a tight 75-69 battle in the conference tourney. Notre Dame averages 76.6 PPG and it concedes 65.9. It shot just 39 percent from the floor in the loss to VT last time out though. TJ Gibbs was a bright spot in the setback with 27 points. Duke averages 90.3 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Duke shot 48 percent from the floor, but it still wasn’t enough in the loss to the Cavs. Marvin Bagley III had 30 points in the losing cause. The Irish are getting a lot of points here because they’re injured, but they won’t be going down without a fight after five straight setbacks. Duke is still caught up on its last loss and comes in complacent, leaving the back door open just wide enough for the visitors to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on the Fighting Irish. Good luck…Larry |
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01-28-18 | Lakers v. Raptors -9.5 | Top | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Toronto Raptors (6:05 EST). LA comes in complacent here in my opinion after winning its fourth straight with a 108-103 road victory over the Bulls on Friday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Raptors, who have lost four of seven, including a listless 97-93 setback to Utah at home on Friday. The revenge factor does come into play for the Lakers after they fell to Toronto 101-92 at home back on October 27th, but because of the Raptors’ overall current form, it’s one of those instances in which it’s negated. LA averages 106.6 PPG and it concedes 109.7. Brandon Ingram averages 15.7 points, while Jordan Clarkson added 14.5 points. Ingram had 25 points, nine boards and five assists in the win over Chicago. Toronto averages 110.9 PPG and it concedes 103.7. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 24.6 points and 6.1 assists per game, while Kyle Lowry adds 16.5 points, 5.9 boards and 6.7 assists per game. I’ll point out as well that the Lakers are just 2-4 ATS in their last six trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Toronto is 13-9 ATS against losing clubs this year and 13-9 ATS as well against poor defensive teams which allow 106-plus points per contest. As mentioned off the top, I think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Lakers, while I expect the Raptors to risk life and limb as they try and secure a convincing victory after their sub-par play of late. Lay the points, play on Toronto. Good luck…Larry |
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01-28-18 | Oakland +1 v. Wright State | Top | 51-64 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR is on Oakland (2:00 EST). The 14-8 Oakland Golden Grizzlies are at Wright State to take on the 16-6 Raiders and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the surging visiting side. Oakland has won five straight. Wright State also enters on top form, having gone 9-1 in its last ten. The Golden Grizzlies’ Kendrick Nunn was named the Horizon League Player of the Week by averaging 35 points, 7.5 board and 2.6 assists last week. Oakland enters off the 83-70 road win over Northern Kentucky on Friday, a game which Nunn poured in 33 points. Jalen Hayes added 21 and seven boards. Grant Benzinger had 17 points in Wright State’s 87-55 win over Detroit in the Raiders’ most recent action. Evertt Winchester came off the bench to add 15. I’ll point out though that Oakland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Wright State is just 18-24 ATS in its last 42 against teams with winning records and just 4-5 ATS this year in front of the home town crowd. I believe Nunn continues his incredible play and helps his team avenge the earlier home loss. Play on Oakland. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Colorado +10.5 v. Arizona State | 66-80 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
My 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT is on Colorado (8:00 EST). I base my selections on many different things, but I’m keeping it rather for simple for this particular one. Colorado comes in off back-to-back losses, most recently falling 80-71 at Arizona (easily covering with the 13 point spread.) The Buffs are 12-9 overall, but just 1-6 on the road. But I think Colorado comes in “under the radar” here against 15-5 Arizona State (9-2 at home.) Not surprisingly either, Colorado plays with revenge after falling to ASU 90-81 in OT at home back on January 4th. The Sun Devils have looked pretty bad since conference play has started, going just 4-6 in their last ten, including a crushing 80-77 OT loss at Utah in their most recent. With that setback fresh on their minds, I think the Sun Devils leave the back door open just wide enough for the revenge minded Buffs to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, play on Colorado. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Wizards -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 129-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Washington Wizards (7:30 EST). Washington is just 1-3 on its current road trip, most recently falling 121-112 at OKC on Thursday. The Hawks come in off a hard-fought battle in Charlotte just last night and suffice it to say, I expect a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. So far these teams have split a pair of games. Washington averages 106.6 PPG and it concedes 105.6. John Wall leads the nightly charge with 19.4 points and 9.3 assists per game, while Bradley Beal averages 24 points. Beal was a standout in the latest loss to the Thunder with 41 points, 12 boards and seven assists. Atlanta averages 103.3 PPG and it concedes 107.5. Dennis Schroeder leads with 20 points and 6.5 assists per game. I’ll point out though that Washington is already 6-4 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Atlanta is just 1-2 ATS in its last three in the second game of a back-to-back. I think the “hungrier” and fresher team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the Wizards. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Magic +7.5 v. Pacers | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on the Orlando Magic (7:00 EST). Orlando had won two of three, but it came up flat in a 105-99 loss at home to Sacramento on Tuesday. The Magic have a golden opportunity to get back on track here though against a Pacers team which laid everything it had on the line in its game in Cleveland last night. And to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement too, as Indiana has taken six straight in the series, including a 121-109 victory in the first meeting this year on November 27th. Orlando averages 105.1 PPG and it concedes 110.3. Evan Fournier is currently leading the nightly charge with 18.1 points along with Aaron Gordon with 18.3 points and 8.3 boards per game. The Pacers average 106.4 PPG and concede 105.2. Victor Oladipo leads the way with 24.1 points, 5.2 boards and 1.98 steals per game. I’ll point out though that Orlando is 3-0 ATS in its last three against teams with winning records, while Indiana is just 1-2 ATS in its last three when playing on back-to-back nights. The Magic have had three whole nights to prepare for this revenge game and while I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on Orlando. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Utah v. Arizona -10.5 | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Arizona (5:30 EST). Utah looks poised for a letdown here after its 80-77 OT win over Arizona State on the road in its latest action (I had the Utes in that one), while Arizona will look to build off its 80-71 home win over Colorado (failing to cover the spread though in that one.) If recent history is any precedence then the Wildcats have to be liking their chances tonight, because when these teams met earlier in the year, it was Arizona that pulled away for the comfortable 94-82 victory. Utah averages 75.3 PPG and it concedes 70.8. Previous to their upset win last time out the Utes had lost four straight. Sedrick Barefield averages 10.9 PPG and he led the attack against the Sun Devils with 18 points. Arizona averages 82.1 PPG and it concedes 71.4. Allonzo Trier had 23 points in the win over the Buffs, while DeAndre Ayton added 22. I’ll point out that Utah has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Arizona has excelled by going 4-2 ATS in its last six after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. Utah looked great on the road in its last game, but I have a hard time seeing this inconsistent team matching that performance in another tough atmosphere. Look for Arizona to step up and take advantage. Lay the points, play on the Wildcats. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Massachusetts v. Fordham +2 | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
My 9* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Fordham (2:00 EST). The 10-11 Massachusetts Minutemen are at Fordham to take on the 6-14 Rams and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. We don’t need to question Fordham’s motivation levels today after losing six straight. UMass can empathize as the Minutemen come in having lost three straight, most recently an 82-72 defeat at La Salle. The Rams enter off a 78-58 loss at home to No. 24 Rhode Island. UMass averages 69.8 PPG and it concedes 71.1. In the loss to the Explorers the Minutemen would allow them to shoot 55 percent from the floor, while also getting out rebounded by ten and turning the bowl over 14 times. Fordham averages just 61.4 PPG, but it concedes 69. Will Tavares was a bright spot in the loss to Rhode Island with 17 points, while Prekop Slanina added 13 points and five rebounds. I’ll point out though that UMass is just just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Fordham is 2-1 ATS in its last three after failing to score 60 points in its previous outing. The Rams’ defense keeps them one in this and helps secure the upset in front of the home town crowd. Play on Fordham. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | NC State v. North Carolina -13 | Top | 95-91 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on North Carolina (12:00 EST). The 14-7 NC State Wolfpack are in North Carolina to take on the 16-5 Tar Heels and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. NC State got by Pittsburgh 72-68 on Wednesday, while UNC will be eager to get back on track after falling 80-69 to Virginia Tech on Monday. But if recent history is any precedence, then the Tar Heels have to be loving their chances today because they’d take both meetings last year in blowout fashion, winning 107-56 in the first and 97-73 in the second. The Wolfpack come into this one averaging 80.4 PPG, while conceding 72.5. NC State got the win over the Panthers, but it was pretty as they’d shoot just 33.8 percent from the floor. Omer Yurtseven was a standout with 16 points. The Tar Heels average 82 PPG and they concede 71.7. UNC shot just 42 percent from the floor in the loss to the Hokies, led by Luke Maye with 23 points in the setback. I’ll point out though that NC State is just 4-17 ATS in its last 21 road games and only 2-10 ATS in its last 12 following a SU win, while UNC is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven following a straight up loss. ACC opponents have already shot over 50 percent against the Wolfpack five times this year, which doesn’t bode well facing this re-focused Tar Heels side out redeem itself for their latest sub-par effort. NC State has scored just 72 points or less in three out of its last four, which also doesn’t bode well facing a North Carolina team holding opponents to 41.6 percent shooting on the year. All signs point to a rout, play on the Tar Heels. Good luck…Larry |
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01-27-18 | Duquesne +18 v. Rhode Island | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Duquesne (12:00 EST). The 14-7 Duquesne Dukes are in Rhode Island to take on the 16-3 Rams and while I’m not going to be so bold as to call for an outright upset, all signs do indeed point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Dukes are coming off a 77-73 OT loss to Richmond on Wednesday, while Rhode Island got the better of Fordham 78-58 in its latest action. Note that this is a revenge game for Duquesne after it fell 90-69 in the only meeting last year. Duquesne averages 73.9 PPG and it concedes 66.6. The Dukes struggled last time out shooting just 38 percent, but did get a strong game from Eric Williams Jr, who had 25 points in the losing cause. Rhode Island averages 77.5 PPG and it concedes 66.3. The Rams are now 8-0 in A-10 action and I think the come in a tiny bit complacent here finally and leave the back door open just wide enough for their lowly opponent to sneak in through this afternoon. I’ll point out as well that Duquesne is 4-2 ATS in its last six after scoring 70 or more points in its previous game in which it also lost in an OT situation, while Rhode Island is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after holding its previous opponent to 60 points or less. This has one has “trap” written all over it for the Rams, but as mentioned off the top I won’t be calling for the outright upset. Grab as many points as you can, play on Duquesne. Good luck…Larry |
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01-26-18 | Oakland v. Northern Kentucky -7 | Top | 83-70 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Northern Kentucky (9:00 EST). Both teams come in hot, but I don’t think that home floor advantage can be overlooked in this particular matchup. Northern Kentucky is 7-1 in conference play and owns a share of the lead through eight game, while Oakland comes in having won four straight. But if recent history is any precedence, then the Norse have to be loving their chances to keep the momentum rolling, because when these teams met at Oakland back on January 5th, it was Northern Kentucky that pulled away for the 87-83 victory. The Grizzlies enter off a 92-86 win over Detroit, led by 38 points from Kendrick Nunn. Nunn is averaging 26.5 points, 4.8 boards and 4.2 assists this year. Oakland has been playing well in conference action, but I think the team finally has a letdown here in this tough environment. Northern Kentucky most recently pulled away for a 77-65 win over Green Bay on Saturday, going 10 of 23 from range and forcing 19 turnovers. The Norse rank among the conference best on both ends of the court (note that opponents have an offensive rebounding percentage of just 23.1, which ranks the team firs tin the Horizon.) I’ll point as well that Oakland is just 1-3 ATS already this year off a win against a conference rival and only 4-7 ATS against a team with a winning record, while Northern Kentucky is 9-4 ATS as a favorite and 4-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival. Nunn has been great, but the Norse are just too deep. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here as I expect surging Northern Kentucky to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-26-18 | 76ers v. Spurs -5 | Top | 97-78 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Antonio Spurs (8:30 EST). The 23-21 Philadelphia 76ers are in San Antonio to take on the 32-18 Spurs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Both teams come in on top form, with the Spurs off wins over the Cavs and Grizzlies, while the 76ers have won four of their last five, most recently a victory over the Bulls on Wednesday. This is a revenge game for the Spurs though, who fell in Philadelphia 112-106 on January 3rd. 76ers big man Joel Embiid and rookie Ben Simmons combined for 47 points, 16 boards and eight assists in that victory. Pau Gasol had 14 points, 15 board and nine assists in his team’s 108-85 destruction of Memphis on Wednesday. In all, eight players would score in double figures against the Grizzlies, including 15 by Patty Mills off the bench. I’ll point out that Philadelphia is just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 against good defensive teams which allow 98 points or less per contest, while San Antonio is 3-1 ATS in its last four against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest. The revenge factor can’t be overlooked here. I think Philadelphia stumbles to open its Western swing and San Antonio takes advantage. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-26-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies +2.5 | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Memphis Grizzlies (8:00 EST). The 23-24 LA Clippers are in Memphis to take on the 17-30 Grizzlies and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. LA comes in off a 113-102 loss to Boston on Wednesday, while Memphis enters off a 108-85 setback to San Antonio in its latest action. The Clippers have now lost three straight. LA is on the outside of the playoff picture looking in and it’s only 9-13 on the road this season. So far the Clippers average 107.7 PPG, while conceding 107.6. Blake Griffin had 23 points and five boards in the latest defeat. Marc Gasol had 18 points and seven boards in the Grizzlies blowout loss to San Antonio. Memphis is 5-5 over its last ten games and it’s just 12-14 on its home floor. So far the Grizzlies average 99.3 PPG and concede 102.2. I’ll point out though that LA is already just 2-5 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Memphis is 14-11 ATS this season against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per outing. This is a revenge game for Memphis after it fell 113-105 to LA earlier this month. The Grizzlies are dealing with injuries, but so too are the Clippers. Home floor and the revenge factor prove to be too much for LA to overcome tonight. Play on Memphis. Good luck…Larry |
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01-26-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -4.5 | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (7:30 EST). The Cavaliers are desperate for a victory and I believe that focus and determination will ultimately prove to be the difference maker tonight. Cleveland started off the season horribly as well, but it made some adjustments and then went on a huge run. With Isaiah Thomas coming into the mix, the chemistry has once again been disrupted and the team is struggling while trying to adjust “on the fly.” The recent struggles prompted coach Tyron Lue to make another adjustment to the starting line-up, benching Jae Crowder and electing to start Tristan Thompson, while then moving Kevin Love over to the PF position. I think the “shake-up” is going to work here. The Pacers average 106.4 PPG and they concede 105.2. Indiana is led by Victor Oladipo, who averages 24.1 points, 5.2 boards and 1.98 steals per game. The Cavaliers average 109.5 PPG an concede 109.6. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 26.8 points, 7.9 boards and 8.6 assists per game, while Love adds 18.4 points and 9.4 boards per outing. More than anything though this is a big time revenge play for Cleveland, which has dropped all three in the season series with Indiana already this year. For all the reasons listed above, play on the Cavaliers. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Utah +8 v. Arizona State | Top | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Utah (9:30 EST). Utah comes in with considerable momentum and I expect it to get carried over here. Utah has won back-to-back games against the state of Washington. Arizona State had been scuffling as well, but it’s recovered as well to win three of its last five. Utah’s offense has averaged 72 points over its last five games. Most recently the Utes hammered Washington State 82-69 on Sunday, hitting 47.6 percent from the floor overall, including going 13 of 31 from range. Arizona State allows 74.8 PPG, but the Sun Devils come in off a solid 81-73 win at Cal, hitting 47.5 percent from the floor and going 10 of 21 from range. Mickey Mitchell came off the bench to post 12 points and grab 11 boards. I’ll point out though that Utah is 19-9 ATS in its last 28 off a win against a conference rival, while Arizona State is 0-2 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season. I think Utah’s much improved offense gives it much more than just a “punchers chance” against this inconsistent Sun Devils unit. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to a competitive battle. Grab the points, play on the Utes. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Knicks v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 118-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Denver Nuggets. New York comes in off a 123-112 loss on the road in Golden State on Tuesday, while Denver had dropped six of eight before edging Portland 104-101 at home on Monday. Note that this is a revenge game for the Nuggets after they fell 116-110 in The Big Apple back on October 30th The Knicks average 104.7 PPG and concede 106.1. Kristaps Porzingis averages 23.3 points, 6.7 boards and 2.34 blocks per game, while Enes Kanter contributes 13.6 points and ten boards per night. Denver averages 106 PPG and it concedes 105.6. Big man Nikola Jokic averages 16.2 points, 10.4 boards and five assists per game, while Garry Harris leads the way with 17 points per night. Jamal Murray exploded for a career-high 38 points in the win over the Blazers. I’ll point out that New York is just 10-14 ATS on the road this year and only 1-3 ATS after playing three consecutive road games, while Denver is 5-3 ATS in its last eight when playing with two days rest and 12-10 ATS in front of the home town crowd thus far. Porzingis could be sidelined for this one and if he does play, he’s likely not going to be at 100% capacity. Denver is 17-6 at the Pepsi Center and in my opinion, all the pieces are in place for a blowout. Play on the Nuggets. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Blue Jackets -120 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* WEEKLY WIPEOUT WINNER is on the Columbus Blue Jackets (9:05 EST). Columbus looks to rebound here after falling 6-3 in Vegas on Tuesday. The Blue Jackets average just 2.6 GPG this year, but they make up for it on the defensive end of the ice, anchored by spectacular goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 21-15-3 overall to go along with a 2.50 GAA. After a couple of shaky outings, Bobrovsky will be eager to return to form against the Coyotes, who look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after their 3-2 OT win over the Isles on Monday (their second straight victory.) Antti Raanta stopped 32 of 34 shots in that one and he’s now 8-12-5 with a 2.58 GAA on the season. I’ll point out though that Columbus is already 11-4 (+5.4 units) this season after a loss by two goals or more in its previous contest, while Arizona is a horrible 1-8 (-6.9 units) this year when playing with two days rest. I give the Blue Jackets the big nod in net in this one and in my opinion, that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor tonight. Great price here, play on Columbus. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -15 | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
My 9* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on Arizona (8:30 EST). Colorado has been all over the map as far as its game-to-game consistency. The Buffs enter off a 72-62 loss to Washington at home on Saturday, getting 14 points from Tyler Bey, who led five players in double-figures in the setback. The Buffs average just 98.7 points per 100 possessions during conference play (which ranks tenth in the Pac 12), but they’ve done well on the defensive end, limiting opponents to 48.6 percent shooting through eight conference games (ranked fourth.) Arizona comes in off a 73-71 road win over Stanford, it’s fourth straight conference victory. Allonzo Trier led the way in the one with 21 points, while Dusan Rustic added 18 points and nine boards. The Wildcats have won 13 of their last 14 and are scoring 111.6 points per 100 possessions during conference play, which ranks third in the Pac 12. Additionally I’ll point out that Colorado is 8-17-1 ATS in its last 26 against teams with a winning percentage of above .600, while Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games against a team with a losing road record. Note that this is a revenge game as well for Arizona, which fell on the road in Colorado on January 6th. All the pieces are in place for a home side blowout. Lay the points with confidence, play on the Wildcats. Good luck…Larry |
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01-25-18 | Michigan v. Purdue -12 | 88-92 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 7 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Purdue (7:00 EST). The 17-5 Michigan Wolverines are at Purdue to take on the 19-2 Boilermakers are on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side. Michigan hammered Rutgers 62-47 at home on Sunday, while Purdue comes in having won 16 straight, most recently crushing Iowa 87-64 on Saturday. Purdue won’t be taking anything for granted here obviously, as the Boilermakers edged the Wolverines 70-69 in Michigan back on January 9th. The Wolverines average 73.2 PPG and they concede 62.4. Mortiz Wagner led the way for Michigan in the win over Rutgers with 16 points and six boards. The Boilermakers average 84.8 PPG and they concede just 62.2. Carsen Edwards had 22 points and eight assists, while Vince Edwards added 19 points and two blocks in the victory over the Hawkeyes. Additionally I’ll point out that Michigan is just 1-4 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival and 0-2 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Purdue is 8-4 ATS this season after scoring 80 points or more and 4-1 ATS against good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. The Wolverines poised a threat at home to Purdue, but I think they’ll have a hard time keeping up to the Boilermakers on their own floor. And the stats support that as well. This number could quite easily be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on Purdue. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Stanford +9.5 v. USC | Top | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH is on Stanford (9:00 EST). USC has a 6-2 record in Pac 12 play, while the Cardinal are 5-2 in league action. Stanford will be eager to get back on track here after a tight 73-71 home loss to Arizona on Saturday, blowing a double-digit half time lead. Reid Travis was a stand out in that one with 20 points, while Dorian Pickens added 15. The Cardinal rank among the conference’s best on both ends of the court. The Trojans come in off back-to-back road wins in the state of Oregon and I think they’re primed for a bit of a mental letdown here in their first game back in front of the home town crowd. USC ranks among the nation’s top offensive teams, but it’s in the bottom third defensively. I’ll point out that Stanford is already 2-1 ATS in true road games this year and 9-5 ATS against clubs with winning records, while USC is already 0-2 ATS this season as a home fav in the 9.5 to 12 points range. The last time these teams played it was the Cardinal that held on for the one point outright victory. The revenge factor is working in favor of USC, but I still believe that Stanford isn’t getting nearly enough respect. The Cardinal offense gives the visitors much more than just a “punchers chance” in this matchup. Grab the points, play on Stanford. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Indiana +1 v. Illinois | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Indiana (9:00 EST). The 12-8 Indiana Hoosiers are in Illinois to take on the 10-11 Fighting Illini on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Illinois continued its slide with a loss to Michigan State on Monday, while Indiana enters having won four of its last five, most recently over Maryland. Juwan Morgan leads the Hoosiers this year with 14.8 points and 7.2 boards per game (also has 26 blocks.) Indiana’s road play has been its “Achilles heel” this season, but here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Fighting Illini have scored over 75 points in just two of their conference games so far this year and both were OT losses. A continued bright spot for Illinois has been the play of guard Trent Frazier, who has posted double figures in ten of his last 11 games. Sophomore forward Kipper Nichols posted a career-best 27 points off the bench in his team’s latest loss to the Spartans. I’ll point out that Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last six against teams with losing records, while Illinois is just 1-4 ATS in its last five in front of the home town crowd. Despite their poor road record this year, the Hoosiers have been better than advertised this season. Justin Smith has posted 10.2 points and shot 60 percent from the floor over his last five games for Indiana and the Hoosiers lead the conference in turnover margin (plus-4.0.) I can’t see the Illini keeping pace down the stretch, play on Indiana. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Rockets v. Mavs +6 | 104-97 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on the Dallas Mavericks (8:05 EST). I think the Rockets have a bit of a mental lapse here after winning six of their last seven. Conversely, the Mavericks won’t be taking anything for granted this evening after they broke a three-game slide with a win over the Wizards in their last outing. And to say this is a “revenge” game for the Mavs would be a bit of an understatement I think, as the Rockets have taken five straight in the series. Houston most recently got the better of Miami 99-90 on Monday, going 15 of 37 from range. James Harden led the way in the victory with 28 points. Note though that Harden had five assists to six turnovers. Dallas is not in the playoff picture currently, but it’s still fighting, most recently thrashing the Wizards 98-75. The Mavs would go on to shoot 44.2 percent collectively, while also holding a 52-45 edge on the glass. Harrison Barnes leads the team in scoring and he had 20 points and ten boards in the latest victory. I’ll point out as well that Houston is already just 7-10 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 90 points or less in its previous outing, while Dallas is already 20-13 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-2 ATS against the division and 19-9 ATS against clubs with winning records. Harden is back from a recent injury, but still not firing on all cylinders. Dallas has looked a lot better on both ends of the court and I think that momentum gets carried over here. Clearly an outright upset is not out of the question, but in the end I’m going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Dallas. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the New Orleans Pelicans (7:05 EST). New Orleans comes to Charlotte off a 132-128 double OT win over Chicago, while the Hornets enter off a 112-107 victory at home over Sacramento on Monday. The Pelicans average 111.2 PPG and they concede 110.9. Anthony Davis leads the team with 26.7 points, 10.5 boards and 2.05 blocks per game, while fellow big DeMarcus Cousins averages 25.6 points, 12.9 boards and 5.2 assists per game. The Hornets average 105.8 PPG and concede 105.8 as well. Kemba Walker leads the team with 21.8 points and 5.9 assists per game, while Dwight Howard adds 15.5 points and 12.6 boards per outing. I’ll point out though that New Orleans has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 14-10 ATS already on the road this year, 11-8 ATS in non-conference games and interestingly 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 130 points or more in its previous outing, while Charlotte has struggled in this position by going just 11-14 ATS at home this season and only 9-11 ATS in non-conference contests. The Hornets are sitting in 11th in the East, so despite playing better of late, I still think New Orleans has the advantage here. The Pelicans have won five of seven and are two games ahead of the Clippers in the West standings. The added off-court drama of Walker likely being moved before the trade dead line won’t help the home side tonight either. Play on New Orleans. Good luck…Larry |
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01-24-18 | Richmond +3.5 v. Duquesne | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Richmond (7:00 EST). The 6-13 Richmond Spiders are at Duquesne to take on the 14-6 Dukes and in my opinion, this one is a lot more even than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Spiders enter off an 81-74 home win over LaSalle, while the Dukes come in off a 95-89 OT victory over George Mason on Saturday. Richmond averages 68.1 PPG and it concedes 73.8. Despite their poor overall record, the Spiders are now 4-3 in A-10 action after hitting 50 percent against the Explorers, including 8 of 16 from range. Grant Golden led the way in that one with 18 points and eight boards. The Dukes come in off the win over George Mason, getting 34 points from Eric Williams Jr. Mike Lewis II added 20. Duquesne barely got by La Salle a couple of weeks ago, needing triple OT to eventually pull away for the 101-94 victory. Duquesne averages 74 PPG and it concedes 66. I’ll point out as well that Richmond is already 2-1 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Duquesne is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 in the same position. Don’t let the overall numbers for these teams fool you, as Richmond had a tough non-conference schedule. The Spiders’ stats have normalized in league play and I think they matchup extremely well here. While I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by the outright upset, I will in the end recommend that you grab as many points as you can. Play on Richmond. Good luck…Larry |
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01-23-18 | Celtics -4 v. Lakers | Top | 107-108 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Celtics (10:35 EST). Boston comes in off a third straight loss, falling 103-95 at home to Orlando on Sunday. Clearly the C’s are going to be looking to start their Western road swing off on the “right foot.” And with a game at Golden State on the weekend, the visitors can’t take anything for granted tonight either or risk enduring their worst slide of the season. But if recent history is any precedence, then Boston has to be liking its chances today, because when these teams met back on November 8th, it was the Celtics which pulled away for the comfortable 107-96 victory. Boston comes in averaging 102.6 PPG and it concedes 98. Kyrie Irving leads the nightly charge with 24.5 points, five assists and 1.18 steals per game. The Lakers average 106.6 PPG and concede 109.9. Lonzo Ball averages 10.2 points, 7.1 boards and 7.1 assists per game, while Brandon Ingram adds 15.7 points. I’ll point out though that Boston is already 6-3 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite and 14-6 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per game, while LA is just 21-23 ATS in its last 44 off an upset win as an underdog. Boston can’t be happy and it’s looking for a breakout performance. The Lakers have been playing better lately, but definitely look poised for a letdown here. Everything points to a rout, lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-23-18 | Duke v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 84-70 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on Wake Forest (9:00 EST). Duke looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning four straight, most recently an 81-54 beatdown at home of Pittsburgh on Saturday. Conversely it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for Wake Forest as it comes in having lost five straight, most recently a 59-49 setback at home to No. 2 Virginia this past Saturday (failing to cover the 8.5 point spread by a single bucket.) The Blue Devils average 92.1 PPG and concede 72.8. Marvin Bagley III leads the nightly charge with 21.9 points and 11.5 boards per game. The Demon Deacons average 74.5 PPG and concede 73.2. Wake actually had a two point lead on the Cavaliers in their latest loss at half time, but the Deacons would eventually succumb to Virginia’s smothering defense. Bryand Crawford was a standout in the setback with 11 points and four assists. Wake is desperate to break the slide, while Duke comes in a tiny bit complacent. When you add it all up, this spread is just a little high in my opinion. Grab the points, play on Wake Forest. Good luck…Larry |
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01-23-18 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Pittsburgh Penguins (7:00 EST). Carolina enters off a 5-1 home loss to Las Vegas and I think it’s primed for another letdown here. Pittsburgh also enters off a loss, a tough 2-1 road setback in San Jose. The Hurricanes are just 11-15 on the road now, averaging 2.73 GPG away from friendly confines, while conceding 3.08. Overall Carolina averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 3.04. Goaltender Cam Ward is 12-7 with a 2.75 GAA overall this season. Pittsburgh is 15-8 at home this year, averaging 3.22 GPG in front of the one town crowd, while conceding 2.78. Goaltender Casey DeSmith gave up two goals on 36 shots in his team’s latest setback. I’ll point out though that Carolina is interestingly just 5-14 in its last 19 following a loss of three goals or more, while Pittsburgh is 39-13 in its last 52 home games against clubs with losing road records. Note that this is a revenge game for the Pens after they fell 4-0 to Carolina just two weeks ago. In my professional opinion, this number could easily be a lot larger. Play on Pittsburgh. Good luck…Larry |
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01-22-18 | West Virginia v. TCU +1 | Top | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on TCU (9:00 EST). WVU comes in off an 86-51 home win over Texas to move to 5-2 in Big 12 play, while TCU will be eager to get back on track after a tight 73-68 road loss in K-State to move to 2-5 in league action. The Mountaineers average 81.5 PPG and they concede 64.9. In the win over Texas, Jevon Carter led the way with 22 points, while James Bolen added 19. The Horned Frogs average 87.5 PPG and they concede 77.6. In the loss to the Wildcats, Vladimir Brodziansky posted 15 points, while Alex Robinson contributed 13. I’ll point out though that WVU is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest, while TCU is 3-1 ATS this year already off a loss against a conference rival. I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night and as mentioned off the top, all signs do indeed point to a letdown finally here from the Mountaineers. Play on TCU. Good luck…Larry |
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01-22-18 | Islanders -116 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -116 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the New York Islanders (9:00 EST). The 24-20-4 New York Islanders are in Arizona to take on the 11-28-9 Coyotes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the high-scoring visiting side. The Coyotes look poised for a letdown here after a rare road win over St. Louis. a victory which snapped a five-game slide. The Isles come in with a ton of momentum though after they smashed the Hawks 7-3 in Chicago on Saturday. Anthony Beauvillier had two power-play goals in that one and he now has seven goals in his last nine games. The Coyotes got two goals from Christian Dvorak to beat the Blues 5-2 this weekend. Arizona though is tied with Buffalo for last in the league with only 31 points overall. Additionally I’ll point out that Arizona is just 6-20 in its last 26 following a victory, while New York is 5-2 in its last seven against the Pacific Division. I think this is a great price as I believe the Coyotes return to mediocrity here against this high-powered Isles’ offense. Play on New York. Good luck…Larry |
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01-22-18 | Heat v. Rockets UNDER 216 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Heat/Rockets (8:05 EST). Miami closes a five-game road trip tonight. There’s no way the Heat can turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to “hang” with the high-flying Rockets though. The Heat enter off a 106-105 road win over Charlotte on Saturday, while Houston comes in off a second straight win, this time pulling away for a 116-108 home victory over Golden State on Saturday. Miami averages 101.2 PPG and it concedes 101.9. Hassan Whiteside averages 14.5 points, 11.8 boards per game. Already without Dion Waiters, Miami guard Goran Dragic is also a question mark for this one (and if he does play, clearly he won’t be at 100% capacity.) Houston averages 114.7 PPG and it concedes 106.9. James Harden leads the nightly charge with 31.5 points, 4.8 boards and nine assists per game. I’ll point out though that the Rockets have seen the total go under the number in four of six already this year after playing to three or more consecutive “unders,” while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 15 this season against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest. I think the home side has a bit of a mental letdown here after besting the defending champs last time out. And as mentioned off the top, Miami is wounded and tired and will be looking to slow the pace of this one down whenever possible. When you add it all up, this number is indeed just a little high. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Sharks v. Ducks -146 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -146 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Anaheim Ducks (9:05 EST). San Jose held on for a very satisfying 2-1 win at home over Pittsburgh just last night and suffice it to say, I believe all signs point to a classic letdown for the Sharks here. Anaheim comes in with momentum after its most recent 2-1 win over the Kings. San Jose averages 2.80 GPG and it concedes 2.66. Goaltender Martin Jones will not be starting tonight, instead it’s backup Aaron Dell, who is 10-5 with a 2.26 GAA. Anaheim averages 2.70 GPG and it concedes 2.64. Goaltender John Gibson is 16-18 with a 2.59 GAA and would go on to make 23 of 24 saves against LA. Note that he’s 2-2 with a tiny 1.61 GAA lifetime against San jose. I’ll point out as well that San Jose is just 6-9 (-5.2 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Anaheim is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in its last four against teams with winning records. Anaheim has been playing a lot better of late, anchored by some great play in net by Gibson. I believe Gibson will easily out duel his counterpart tonight and in my opinion, that’ll be more than enough to secure the victory for the home side. Lay the price with confidence, play on the Ducks. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Washington State v. Utah -12 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 27 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Utah (8:00 EST). The 9-9 Washington State Cougars are in Utah to take on the 11-7 Utes and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Cougars come into this one in a “tail spin,” having lost five of their last six, most recently falling at Colorado on Thursday. The Utes can empathize, they had lost four straight, but have to be feeling much more confident tonight after beating Washington earlier in the week. Since opening the season 6-0, Washington State has gone 3-9 since, most recently falling 82-73 at Colorado. Carter Skaggs and Viont’e Daniels combined for 35 points in the setback. The Utes looked good defensively in their latest victory (70-62 over the Huskies): “We have a defensive plan, and we’re able to guard people,” Utah senior forward David Collette assessed Friday. “It’s just a matter of effort…but we’ve been missing that. Everyone just has to find it in themselves to give that effort.” Justin Bibbins led the way in the latest win with 20 points. I’ll point out that Washington State is just 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year and only 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more, while Utah is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this season and 4-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd. Utah is 7-2 SU at home this year, while Washington State is 0-5 in true road games thus far. The Utes won’t be taking anything for granted here after their latest victory, as they entered on a four-game losing streak. The Cougars are hungry as well, but they face a very stiff test against this energized Utah defense. I expect the home side to comfortably pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 38 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 153 h 19 m | Show | |
My 9* O/U Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the over Vikes/Eagles (6:40 EST). The 14-3 Minnesota Vikings are in Philadelphia to take on the 14-3 Eagles in the NFC Conference Championship on Sunday and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it. These are a couple of the league’s best defensive clubs, but I think this one will comfortably sneak over this lower-number once it’s all said and done. Minnesota comes in off a 29-24 home win over New Orleans on a last second TD, while Philadelphia got the better of Atlanta 15-10 last Saturday. The Vikes managed the big win last week, but their vaunted defense looked pretty horrible in allowing 24 second half points. In the end Minnesota allowed 358 yards. Minnesota QB Case Keenum had 318 yards, one TD and one INT last week, while Stefon Diggs would go on to catch the 61 yard TD reception as time ran off the clock. The Vikings come into the Conference Championship game averaging 23.9 PPG, while conceding 15.8. Nick Foles is under center for the home side after starter Carson Wentz was lost to injury late in the regular season. Foles was an efficient 23 of 30 for 246 yards, no TD’s and no INT’s last week. Note though that Foles has 596 passing yards and a 3/1 TD/INT in two career games against Minnesota. The Eagles average 28.6 PPG, while conceding 18.4. Jay Ajayi had 54 yards on 15 carries last Saturday. Philadelphia looked sharp defensively, but I think it’ll have its hands full with Minnesota’s balanced attack. I’ll point out that Minnesota has already seen the total go over the number in six of nine this year after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Philadelphia has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of five as an underdog this season. A couple of great defenses here, no doubt about it. But I expect each to push the pace from start to finish in this “winner takes all” Conference battle. Play the over. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Vikings -3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-38 | Loss | -100 | 153 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* 34-CLUB PLAY is on the Minnesota Vikings (6:40 EST). The 14-3 Minnesota Vikings are in Philadelphia to take on the 14-3 Eagles in the NFC Conference Championship on Sunday and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it. These are a couple of the league’s best defensive clubs, but I think this one will comfortably sneak over this lower-number once it’s all said and done. Minnesota comes in off a 29-24 home win over New Orleans on a last second TD, while Philadelphia got the better of Atlanta 15-10 last Saturday. The Vikes managed the big win last week, but their vaunted defense looked pretty horrible in allowing 24 second half points. In the end Minnesota allowed 358 yards. Minnesota QB Case Keenum had 318 yards, one TD and one INT last week, while Stefon Diggs would go on to catch the 61 yard TD reception as time ran off the clock. The Vikings come into the Conference Championship game averaging 23.9 PPG, while conceding 15.8. Nick Foles is under center for the home side after starter Carson Wentz was lost to injury late in the regular season. Foles was an efficient 23 of 30 for 246 yards, no TD’s and no INT’s last week. The Eagles average 28.6 PPG, while conceding 18.4. Jay Ajayi had 54 yards on 15 carries last Saturday. Philadelphia looked sharp defensively, but I think it’ll have its hands full with Minnesota’s balanced attack. I’ll point out as well that the Vikings have excelled in this spot for bettors, going 3-1 ATS in their last four after scoring 29 or more points in their previous outing, while conversely this has been one area in which the Eagles have struggled in, going just 1-2 ATS in their last three after holding their previous opponent to ten points or less. I look for the Vikes to take this one back home and to be the first team in history to host a Super Bowl. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Knicks v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 107-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the LA Lakers (3:35 EST). New York looks primed for a letdown here in my opinion after its big 117-115 road win over Utah on Friday. Conversely, I expect the hungry Lakers to build off their recent 99-86 home win over Indiana, a victory which snapped a two-game slide. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as New York has taken six of the last seven in the series, including a 113-109 OT effort at home back on December 12th. The Knicks come into this one averaging 104.5 PPG and conceding 105.3. Kristaps Porzingis leads the nightly charge with 23.5 points, 6.8 boards and 2.38 blocks per night, while Enes Kanter adds 13.5 points and 9.9 boards per outing. LA averages 106.1 PPG and it concedes 110. Brook Lopez averages 11.6 points and 3.9 boards per game. Lonzo Ball adds 10.2 points, 7.1 boards and 7.1 assists per game. I’ll point out though that New York is just 5-7 ATS already this year off an upset win as an underdog and 0-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games, while LA is 6-1 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and 2-0 ATS after allowing 90 points or less. I like this hungry home side to avenge the OT setback in The Big Apple and I expect New York to once again return to mediocrity after its latest road victory. Play on the Lakers. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -9 | 20-24 | Loss | -105 | 150 h 51 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on the New England Patriots (3:05 EST). The 11-6 Jacksonville Jaguars are in New England to take on the 14-3 Patriots and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Jacksonville comes into this one completely “gassed” in my opinion after its epic 45-42 road win in Pittsburgh on Sunday. New England will look to take advantage after it annihilated Tennessee 35-14 last Saturday. The Jaguars average 26.1 PPG and they concede just 16.8. Jacksonville is No. 1 against the pass, but clearly the unit faces its stiffest test of the year in frigid New England and up against the NFL’s greatest passer of all time (arguably anyways.) Leonard Fournette had a big day last week, posting 109 rushing yards, while Blake Bortles had 214 passing yards and one TD. The Pats average 26.8 PPG and they concede just 18.5. Tom Brady had 337 yards, three TD’s and no INT’s last week. Brady owns a 66/31 TD/INT in 36 career playoff games. I’ll point out that Jacksonville is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 30 or more points in its previous game, while New England is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 following a straight-up victory over more than 14 points. The Jags come in off a horrific defensive performance against a veteran QB, which clearly doesn’t bode well having to face Brady on his own field. As mentioned off the top, I think the Jaguars come in “flat footed” after last week’s “marathon,” while I expect it to just be “just another day at the office” for Brady and company. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 150 h 45 m | Show | |
My 8* O/U Oddsmakers Error is on the under Jags/Pats (3:05 EST). The 11-6 Jacksonville Jaguars are in New England to take on the 14-3 Patriots and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. Jacksonville comes into this one completely “gassed” in my opinion after its epic 45-42 road win in Pittsburgh on Sunday. New England will look to take advantage after it annihilated Tennessee 35-14 last Saturday. The Jaguars average 26.1 PPG and they concede just 16.8. Jacksonville is No. 1 against the pass, but clearly the unit faces its stiffest test of the year in frigid New England and up against the NFL’s greatest passer of all time (arguably anyways.) Leonard Fournette had a big day last week, posting 109 rushing yards, while Blake Bortles had 214 passing yards and one TD. The Pats average 26.8 PPG and they concede just 18.5. Tom Brady had 337 yards, three TD’s and no INT’s last week. Brady owns a 66/31 TD/INT in 36 career playoff games. I’ll point out that Jacksonville has seen the total go under the number in five of nine on the road this year and in two of three as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range, while New England has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of eight against teams with winning records this season and in six of ten after two or more consecutive SU victories. New England looked great on the defensive side of the ball last week, holding Marcus Mariota to just 14 points, with 7 of those points coming in the final seconds of the game. And the last thing the Jags can do is turn this one into another “track meet” and expect to hang with Brady and company. When taking into account all of the above info, I do definitely think this number is a little high. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Lightning v. Wild +111 | 2-5 | Win | 111 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Minnesota Wild (9:05 EST). The 31-11-3 Tampa Bay Lightning are in Minnesota to take on the 24-17 Wild and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Tampa Bay comes in off a humbling 4-1 loss at home to Vegas on Thursday, while Minnesota enters off a 3-2 OT setback to Vancouver in its most recent action. Note that this is definitely a revenge scenario for the home side after it fell 3-0 in Tampa earlier in the year. The Lightning average 3.6 GPG, while conceding 2.5. Netminder Andrei Vasilevskly owns a 27-8-2, 2.23 GAA record overall. The Lightning have indeed been struggling of late though, losing four of their last six. Minnesota averages 2.8 GPG and it concedes 2.61. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk is 17-9-3 with a 2.61 GAA. I’ll point out though that TB is just 2-4 (-1.7 units) in its last six after scoring one goal or less in its previous outing, while Minnesota is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was shutout in. I think these goaltenders are a “wash,” but I’m giving the big nod to the Wild, both for the home ice advantage and the revenge factor. Play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Bucks +6.5 v. 76ers | 94-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 51 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Milwaukee Bucks (7:35 EST). I base my selections on many things. For this particular one, I simply feel that it sets up extremely well for the Bucks. Milwaukee has been scuffling of late, loser of seven of its last ten, including a 106-101 setback at home to Miami as a 4.5 point favorite in its most recent action. This is an important stretch for the Bucks, who currently sit in third in the Central, one game behind Indiana for second and only four back of the Cavaliers for the lead. With upcoming home contests against Phoenix and Brooklyn, a nice little three-game win skein would go a long way in turning the tables in the division standings. And for Philadelphia, there’s no doubt that this sets up as a natural letdown spot after back-to-back wins over Toronto and at Boston respectively. And with a game at Memphis on Sunday, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way getting caught looking ahead. Additionally I’ll point out that Milwaukee is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 105 points or more in its previous outing, while Philadelphia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after two or more SU/ATS victories. For all the reasons listed above, play on Milwaukee. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Thunder v. Cavs -3.5 | Top | 148-124 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (3:35 EST). The Thunder look poised for a letdown in my opinion after winning three straight, most recently a 114-90 victory over the Lakers at home on Wednesday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck still for the Cavs who finally broke a four-game slide with a tight 104–103 win over Orlando at home on Thursday. These teams split a pair of games last year, with each winning on its own floor. OKC averages 104.3 PPG and it concedes 100.8. Russell Westbrook averages 24.8 points 9.7 boards, 9.9 assists and 2.02 steals per game, while Paul George averages 20.4 points, 5.5 boards and 2.21 steals per game. The Cavs average 109.4 points and concede 108.6 per outing. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 27 points, eight boards and 8.7 assists, while Kevin Love adds 19 points and 9.6 boards per game. Cleveland is loaded with talent that’s still trying to find a way to work together. LeBron is going to be especially motivated here facing off against George and Carmelo Anthony though. And with two nights off before a home game against the lowly Nets, it’s also not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way also getting caught looking ahead to that much more “winnable” contest. I’m banking on a Cleveland coming out and playing a full four quarters tonight. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Creighton v. Providence +3 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* LEGEND is on Providence (3:00 EST). Creighton comes to town off a victory over Seton Hall, while the Friars enter having won three straight, most recently getting the better of Butler. The Blue Jays got revenge on the Pirates 80-63, after falling to them to open up league play earlier in the year. Creighton would go on to hold Seton Hall to just 38.1 percent shooting. Ronnie Hall Jr. led the way with 18.5 points, five boards and four assists (note that he normally averages just 8.1 PPG). The Friars continue to get little respect in my opinion. Providence has now won three straight and it’s been an underdog in all three. In the latest win over the Bulldogs it allowed just 34.9 percent shooting. Note that four different players average double figures for the Friars, led by Kyron Cartwright with 11.1 points and 6.5 PPG. I’ll point out as well that Creighton is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 or more points in its previous contest, while Providence is 5-2 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS victories. Creighton is just 3-4 in true road games this year and in my opinion, all signs point to to the Blue Jays looking past their opponent this afternoon. Play on Providence. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | St. Louis v. Massachusetts -3.5 | 66-47 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
My 9* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on Massachusetts (2:00 EST). The 9-10 St. Louis Billikens are at UMass to take on the Minutemen on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Saint Louis has split its last four games, most recently coming off a win at home over Duquesne. UMass will be hungry here, it’s coming off a humbling 73-51 loss to Rhode Island, one of the top teams in the A-10. Previous to that though the Minutemen had won three straight. Saint Louis averages 66.2 PPG and it concedes 66.7. Jordan Goodwin posted a triple-double with 13 points, 10 assists and 15 boards. UMass averages 70.8 PPG and it concedes 70.5. The Minutemen just didn’t have it in their loss to the Rams, shooting only 32.2 percent. Luwane Pipkins led the way with 13 points and four assists. Pipkins leads the team with 19.8 points and 4.1 assists per game. I’ll point out that Saint Louis is just 1-2 ATS in its last three following a SU win, while UMass is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a loss in which it scored 55 points or less. I think the Billikens continue their inconsistent play and have a letdown here after their latest victory, while I look for the Minutemen to regroup with a big effort in front of the home town crowd after their most recent listless setback. Play on Massachusetts. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Fordham +12 v. St. Joe's | 46-68 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on Fordham (1:00 EST). The 6-12 Fordham Rams will be eager to get back into the win column here as the come to St. Joe’s sitting at just 1-5 in A-10 action. Fordham enters off a 75-67 road loss at La Salle on Wednesday, led by Will Tavares with 18 points. Four other players would go on to post double figures, but it still wasn’t enough for the Rams. So far Fordham averages 90.8 PPG per 100 possessions, while allowing 113.4 per 100 possessions. St. Joe’s is only 8-9 overall and just 3-3 in conference play. The Hawks look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after defeating Dayton 81-65 on Wednesday, led by 19 points from James Demery. I’ll point out as well that Fordham is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 68 points or less in its previous contest, while St. Joseph’s is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 80 or more points in its previous outing. We don’t have to question the Rams’ motivation levels today, while St. Joe’s gets caught looking past its lowly opponent this afternoon. Grab the points, play on Fordham. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | St. John's v. Georgetown -2.5 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on Georgetown (12:00 EST) The 10-9 St. John’s Red Storm are in the nation’s capitals to take on the 12-6 Georgetown Hoyas on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. St. John’s comes in with zero momentum with seven straight losses, including a close-but-no-cigar 88-82 setback at Xavier on Wednesday. The Hoyas have been playing better than the Red Storm, but they’ll be looking to bounce back after a humbling 88-56 setback to Xavier on Wednesday. The Red Storm average 73.5 PPG and concede 69.8. St. John’s is thin, but is led by Shamorie Ponds with 20 points and 4.8 assist per game. The Hoyas average 77.5 PPG and concede 70.9. If recent history is any precedence, then Georgetown has to be loving it chances today, because when these teams met in New York ten days ago it was the Hoyas that escaped with the 69-66 victory. Jessie Govan leads the Hoyas with 17.3 points and 11.1 boards per game. I’ll point out as well that St. John’s is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Georgetown is 3-1 ATS in its last four after back-to-back SU/ATS setbacks. I like Georgetown to come out with a concerted effort after back-to-back poor performances. Lay the points, play on the Hoyas. Good luck…Larry |
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01-20-18 | Ohio State -9 v. Minnesota | 67-49 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on Ohio State (12:00 EST). Ohio State has so far exceeded expectations at 16-4 overall and having won all seven of its conference games thus far. The Buckeyes enter off a 71-65 win over Northwestern on the road earlier in the week and they’re now tied atop the conference with Purdue. Minnesota is 14-6 overall and 3-4 in league play. It’s had to deal with the loss of Reggie Lynch and the status of Amir Coffey (averaging 14.1 PPG) is still up in the air. The Golden Gophers are coming off a 95-84 OT win over Penn State in their most recent action, led by 24 points from Dupree McBrayer. The undermanned Gophers are going to have their hands full today trying to slow down Ohio State’s Keita Bates-Diop, who leads the Big Ten in scoring at 19.8 per game on 51.7 percent shooting. I’ll point out as well that this is a spot that Ohio State has done extremely well in for bettors of late, going 3-1 ATS in its last four after holding its previous opponent to 65 points or less, while this is a position in which the Gophers have struggled in by going just 2-4 ATS in their last six after scoring 90 points or more in their previous outing. I think Bates-Diop leads his team to solid ATS cover for us tonight. Play on Ohio State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-19-18 | Wizards -1 v. Pistons | Top | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Wizards (8:05 EST). The 25-20 Washington Wizards are in Detroit to take on the 22-21 Pistons and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. Washington most recently fell 133-109 at Charlotte on Wednesday, while Detroit enters having lost three of its last four, most recently a 96-91 setback at Toronto on Wednesday. But if recent history is any precedence, then the Wizards have to be liking their chances for a bounce back performance tonight, because they’ve already dominated this series so far this season, winning 115-111 on October 20th and 109-91 on December 1st. Wizards’ starters Brad Beal and John Wall played limited minutes in the blowout loss to the Hornets. Washington has been struggling defensively of late, but overall it’s been adequate in that department, allowing 105.3 PPG, which ranks 13th. The Pistons opened the 2017/18 campaign by going 14-6, but since then they’ve gone just 8-15. Reggie Jackson has missed the last ten games and Detroit has gone just 3-7 in that stretch. Backup Ish Smith was 1 of 12 from the field and had 3 points in the loss to the Raptors. Detroit averages 102.1 PPG and it concedes 101.7. Andre Drummond was a standout in the loss to Toronto, finishing with 25 points and 17 boards. I’ll point out though that the Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last four following a straight-up loss of more than ten points, while Detroit is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 92 points or less in its previous outing. The Pistons have talent, but they’re banged up right now. Washington’s consistency levels have been all over the map of late, but this is a series that it’s dominated in and I expect that trend to continue here. Play on the Wizards. Good luck….Larry |
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01-19-18 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the under Knights/Panthers (7:35 EST). I use many different strategies when doing my handicapping. I have found that using “common sense” is often the best approach. No need to overthink this one in my opinion. Las Vegas comes in off a highly satisfying 4-1 win in Tampa Bay just last night and I think it’s primed for a bit of a mental lapse here. The Knights continue to defy the odds, but with a much more “winnable” game at Carolina on Sunday to end its road trip, it’s not too hard to imagine the over-achieving visiting side in some small way, also “looking ahead” to that one. Florida will look to take advantage. The Panthers have lost four of five, most recently a 4-2 setback at home to Calgary. Clearly Florida won’t be taking anything for granted as it looks to atone for its recent shoddy play. I’ll point out that Las Vegas has seen the total go under the number in five of six so far in 2018, while Florida has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 17 following a non-conference game. This one has low-scoring “goaltenders battle” written all over it. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-19-18 | Indiana +15 v. Michigan State | Top | 57-85 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on Indiana (7:00 EST). Indiana comes in on top form as it’s won three straight, most recently destroying Northwestern 66-46. Michigan State on the other hand has been scuffling of late, dropping two of three, just narrowly getting by Rutgers in OT at home, before then getting crushed 82-70 by rival Michigan in its latest action. The Hoosiers have been playing tremendous defense of late and I think this will once again prove to be a deciding factor in tonight’s outcome as well. Note that Indiana is forcing turnovers on 22 percent of possessions. Indiana averages 74.2 PPG and it concedes 70.7. Juwan Morgan leads the nightly charge with 15.6 points and 7.4 boards per game. Michigan State still ranks in the top 10 in the country in offensive and defensive efficiency, but there’s no question that the Spartans have struggled since the start of Big Ten play (fifth in defensive efficiency and third in offensive efficiency.) MSU averages 85 PPG and it concedes 64 and it’s led by Miles Bridges with 16.7 PPG. I’ll point out though that Indiana is already 2-1 ATS this year after allowing 60 points or less and 2-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival, while Michigan State is just 2-4 ATS against the conference this season and 0-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do believe the conditions are right for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on the Hoosiers. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Minnesota v. Maryland -7.5 | Top | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Maryland (8:30 EST). The 14-6 Minnesota Golden Gophers are at Maryland to take on the 14-6 Terrapins and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Maryland comes in off a loss to Michigan, while Minnesota beat Penn State 95-84 in OT on Monday. The Gophers got a career-high 24 points from Dupree McBrayer in the win over the Nittany Lions. Nate Mason led Minnesota with 25 points. Minnesota needed these players to step up big, as the team has already lost Amir Coffey and Reggie Lynch, both key pieces of the offense. The Golden Gophers come into this one averaging 80.4 PPG, while conceding 72.4. Maryland also has injury issues (Ivan Bender and Justin Jackson.) In its latest loss it also had players dealing with the flu. Despite all that the Terps still almost pulled off the upset against the Wolverines, but were done in by foul shots with just a few ticks left on the clock. Anthony Cowan led the way in the setback with 24 points and four assists. The Terrapins enter this one conceding just 66.6 PPG. Additionally I’ll point out that Minnesota is already just 1-5 ATS this year following a conference game and just 2-4 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while Maryland is 7-3 ATS as a favorite this season and 2-1 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. I don’t think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a big factor working in favor of the Terps here as well. This line could easily be a lot larger in my opinion, play on Maryland. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +8 | 64-48 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on Georgia Tech (8:00 EST). The 16-1 Virginia Cavaliers are in Georgia Tech to take on the 10-7 Yellow Jackets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. I believe the Cavs have a bit of a mental letdown here after winning eight straight, most recently a victory over NC State on Sunday. Not to be outdone though, the Yellow Jackets also come in on top form having won four straight, most recently taking down Miami, Yale, Notre Dame and Pittsburgh. The Cavs get the job done with their stifling defensive play, conceding just 52.9 PPG. Devon Hall posted a career-high 25 points. Georgia Tech though comes in firing on all cylinders, scoring 21 of the game’s first 22 points in last weekend’s convincing 69-54 win at Pittsburgh. Since Christmas the Yellow Jackets have won five of their last six games, holding the opposition to just 58.5 PPG. Josh Okogie averages 18.8 PPG for GT so far this year. I’ll point out that Virginia is still just 2-3 ATS in its last five as a road fav in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while GT is already 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season and 4-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less. The home side will be out to prove itself here and while I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs do indeed point to a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Grab the points, play on Georgia Tech. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Wake Forest v. NC State -5 | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on North Carolina State (8:00 EST). The 8-9 Wake Forest Demon Deacons are at NC State to take on the 12-6 Wolfpack and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Wake has lost five of six and three straight, most recently to Boston College, Virginia Tech and Duke. NC State had won two in a row, before falling to Virginia in its most recent action this past weekend. Wake fell 89-71 to Duke last Saturday and it’s now last in the ACC in scoring defense, conceding 74.1 PPG. Junior guard Bryant Crawford leads the team with 16.1 PPG. Note though that this is also a revenge game for the home side, as the Demon Deacons took both meetings against the Wolfpack last year. NC State knocked off Clemson and Duke, but then fell 68-51 to a red hot Cavaliers team: “We know that every game is a battle,” Wolfpack forward Torin Dorn (13.3 points per game, team-high 7.1 rebounds per game) assessed afterwards. “If we can clean up some of the things we messed up on (Sunday) and keep on moving the ball and keep playing with intensity, we’ll be fine.” I’ll point out that Wake Forest is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight on the road and only 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 against teams with winning records, while NC State is 5-2 TS in its last seven at home and 3-1-1 ATS in its last five against teams with losing records. I have a hard time seeing Wake Forest just pressing a button and solving all of its issues. NC State is primed for a rebound here. I’m not going to read too much into its latest loss against smoking hot Virginia, as previous to that the Wolfpack had been rolling. This line should be a lot larger in my opinion. Great value, play on NC State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Blues v. Senators +105 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Ottawa Senators (7:30 EST). St. Louis enters off a 2-1 OT win over Toronto, while Ottawa is off a 4-3 road victory over the Leafs as well. The Blues average 2.83 GPG and concede 2.62. Goaltender Jake Allen is 18-16 with a 2.75 GAA, including going just 8-9 with a 2.90 GAA on the road. The Senators average 2.76 GPG and concede 3.43. Netminder Craig Anderson stopped 45 of 48 shots against Toronto in his teams latest victory to move him to 12-18 with a 3.22 GAA. I’ll point out though that St. Louis is just 1-2 in its last three after an OT victory in which it held its opponent to 1 or less goals, while Ottawa is 2-1 in its last three after scoring four goals or more in tis previous outing. The Sens went into their break having won three of their previous four with their offense leading the way with 18 goals over its last four games. Also note that Ottawa has averaged 3.14 GPG at home this year. St. Louis has been struggling a bit on the defensive side of the ice lately (despite the OT win last time out), allowing a total of 18 goals over its last four games. With two whole nights off before a “cream puff” at home against Arizona, I think the Blues come out flat footed as they caught looking ahead. It’s a PERFECT STORM of factors working in favor of the hungry home side. Play on the Senators. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Drexel v. Towson -12.5 | 68-90 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My 8* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on Towson (7:00 EST). The 7-12 Drexel Dragons are at Towson to take on the 13-6 Tigers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Dragons enter off a 91-86 loss to Hofstra on Saturday. Drexel has zero momentum, having now lost three straight and six of seven. The Tigers suffered a crushing last-second loss to Hofstra last week, but they’d quickly recover to smash William and Mary 99-73 on Saturday. Drexel averages 72.2 PPG and it concedes 78.1. The Dragons allowed the Pride to shoot 61.1 percent in their latest loss and were led by Justin Wright-Foreman with 20 points. Towson averages 48 percent shooting from the floor overall, including hitting 38.8 percent from range, while the Tigers concede just 66.8 PPG. In their latest victory the Tigers would go on to shoot a whopping 64.4 percent from the floor, while also going 13 of 22 from range. I’ll point out that Drexel is just 2-4 ATS this year after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest, while Towson is 2-1 ATS at home already this season and 3-1 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing. In my professional opinion, all signs point to a home side blowout. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | Delaware +8.5 v. Hofstra | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
My 8* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on Delaware (7:00 EST). The 11-8 Delaware Blue Hens are at Hofstra to take on the 11-7 Pride and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visiting side. Delaware comes in on top form as it’s now won three straight, most recently getting by James Madison 61-60 on Saturday. Hofstra enters off a 91-86 win over Drexel on the road last weekend. These teams played three times last year and the Pride went 2-1, but the Blue Hens had the final word with an 81-76 victory in the CAA Tournament to end Hofstra’s season. Delaware averages 73.4 PPG and it concedes 73.2. Ryan Daly had 19 points in the win over James Madison. Hofstra averages 78.9 PPG and it concedes 78.8. Justin Wright-Forman had 20 points and four turnovers in the win over Drexel. I’ll point out though that Delaware is 4-2 ATS in its last six after holding its previous opponent to 60 points or less, while Hofstra is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following an ATS victory. I think these teams are much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on Delaware. Good luck…Larry |
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01-18-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 211.5 | Top | 89-80 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the under 76ers/Celtics (7:05 EST). Philadelphia comes in on top form as it most recently beat Toronto 117-111 at home on Monday, its fifth win in its last six games. Boston will look to return to form after it fell 116-113 in OT at home to New Orleans to snap its seven game win skein. These teams have played three times this year and Boston has so far taken all of them, including a 114-103 victory in the most recent in London last week. Philadelphia averages 108.6 PPG and it concedes 108.2. Ben Simmons averages 16.8 points, eight boards, 7.3 assists and 1.92 steals per game. Big man Joel Embiid averages 23.8 points, 10.8 boards and 1.94 blocks per outing. Boston averages 103.2 PPG and it concedes just 98.1. Kyrie Irving leads the nightly charge with 24.1 points, five assists and 1.21 steals per game, while Al Horford adds 13.4 points, 7.9 boards and 5.3 assists per game. I’ll point out though that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in four of seven already this year following a divisional contest, while Boston has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of nine already this year against division opponents and in five of eight off an upset loss as a favorite. I expect these divisional foes to battle tough and for this one to finally fall below the posted number once it’s all said and done. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Arizona State -4 v. Stanford | Top | 77-86 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 48 m | Show |
The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Arizona State (11:00 EST). The 14-3 Arizona Wildcats are at Stanford to take on the 10-8 Cardinal and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. We don’t have to question the Wildcats’ motivation levels right now, as they come in having lost three of their last five. Arizona State will look to build off its 77-75 home victory over Oregon State though against a Stanford team which looks poised for a letdown in my opinion after winning four straight. And if recent history is any precedence, then ASU has to be liking it chances for a bounce back performance here as it would take all three against Stanford last season, including a 98-88 OT win in the Pac-12 Tournament. The Sun Devils come in averaging 87.6 PPG, while conceding 74.2. Shannon Evans II had 22 points in the second half to lead ASU to its latest win. The Cardinal average 75.4 PPG and concede 75. Reid Travis had 16 points in Stanford’s latest victory. I’ll point out though that Arizona State is 7-4 ATS this year when playing the roll of favorite, while Stanford is just 3-4 ATS as the underdog. I like Arizona State to bounce back big here and make an example of this over-achieving Stanford side. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Fresno State +8 v. San Diego State | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on Fresno State (11:00 EST). Fresno State is 13-6 overall and 3-3 in conference action. The Bulldogs come to town with a ton of momentum after beating New Mexico 89-80 in their most recent action. Deshon Taylor had 22 points in the victory and he leads the team with an average of 18.9 PPG. The Aztecs are 11-5 overall and 3-2 in Mountain West play. SDSU looks poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after a tough 83-80 loss to Boise State. Note that the Aztecs are 5-6 ATS in their last 11 after a loss to conference rival. Fresno State has done exceptionally well for bettors in this position though, going 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range. I think these teams are more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, play on Fresno State. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Long Beach State v. UC-Davis -8 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on UC Davis (10:00 EST). The 9-11 Long Beach State 49ers are at UC Davis to take on the 11-6 Aggies and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The 49ers are poised for a letdown here after winning four of their last five. LBSU most recently got the better of UC-Riverside 75-68, led by 18 points and eight boards from Gabe Levin. Levin leads the nightly charge with 16.3 points and 7.2 boards per game. The Aggies on the other hand are going to be eager to return to form here after after having their three-game win streak snapped in a humbling 85-70 loss to Cal State Fullerton in their most recent action. Chima Moneke led the way in that one with 28 points, 12 boards and three blocks. From a trend based stand point, this one definitely favors the Aggies, as I’ll point out that LBSU is just 2-6 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while UC Davis is a perfect 4-0 ATS against teams with losing records (also 2-0 ATS this season after allowing 80 points or more in its previous contest.) The conditions point to a home side blowout. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Warriors v. Bulls +9.5 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Chicago Bulls (8:05 EST). Golden State looks poised for a bit of a mental letdown here in my opinion after winning three straight, including at Boston and most recently a 118-108 victory at Cleveland on Monday. The Bulls will look to take advantage as they come in “flying under the radar,” having won three straight, most recently an impressive 119-111 victory over Miami on Monday. Not surprisingly, this is a “revenge” game for Chicago after it was trounced 143-94 in Golden State in late November. Golden State averages 115.9 PPG and it concedes 106.8. Stephen Curry leads the team with 27.6 points, plus 5.6 assists per game, while Kevin Durant adds 26.4 points, 6.9 boards and 5.3 assists per night. Justin Holiday had 25 points in Chicago’s latest victory. The Bulls average 102.8 PPG and concede 108.3. Lauri Markkanen leads the nightly charge with 15.5 points and 7.6 boards per game. I’ll point out as well that Golden State is just 8-9 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins and only 9-11 ATS against clubs with losing records, while Chicago is a perfect 6-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and 14-7 ATS against teams with winning records. With a game at Houston on Friday night, it’s not too hard to imagine the Warriors also in some small way getting caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent this evening. While I’m stopping short in calling for the outright upset, the conditions are definitely right for a competitive battle. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-17-18 | Pistons +9 v. Raptors | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the Detroit Pistons (7:35 EST). Detroit comes in hungry after losing its second straight, most recently a 118-107 setback at home to Charlotte on Monday. The Raptors come in off their third loss in their last four games, falling 117-111 in Philadelphia in their most recent action. Detroit averages 102.4 PPG and it concedes 101.9. Reggie Bullock and Tobias Harris each had 20 points in the loss to Charlotte. Harris leads the team with 18.2 points plus 5.2 boards per game. Toronto averages 112.3 PPG and it concedes 104.6. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 25.4 points and five assists per game. DeRozan had 24 points in the setback to the Warriors. I’ll point out though that Detroit has excelled in this spot for bettors all year by going 6-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Toronto has struggled in this position by going just 3-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. Both teams are hungry and clearly the Raptors are the deeper and more talented overall squad. The Pistons won’t be going down without a fight today though. I’m going to stop short in calling for the outright upset victory, but the conditions and the stats point to a highly competitive affair. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-16-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -140 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Nashville Predators (8:05 EST). No need to overthink this one in my opinion. The Las Vegas Golden Knights are 29-10-1 this year, including 11-8 on the road. But Nashville comes out of its bye week off back-to-back victories rested and focused and looking to avenge a 3-0 loss to Vegas in early January. Vegas enter this one in a natural letdown spot; after losing 3-2 in OT at home to Edmonton, it’s had two nights off. And with a tough game on Friday night in Tampa Bay, its not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to that one (conversely, the Predators have nothing to look past here with lowly Arizona coming to town on Thursday.) It’s hard to find any negative stats for the Knights yet, they’ve completely exceeded everyone’s expectations to this point. I will point out though that Nashville is 3-1 (+2 units) already this year when playing with three or more days rest and 3-1 (+2 units) in is last four trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. This line could easily be a lot higher in my opinion. Play on the Predators. Good luck…Larry |
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01-16-18 | Wolves v. Magic +7 | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 30 h 52 m | Show | |
My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Orlando Magic (7:05 EST). I think the Wolves have a letdown here. Minnesota comes in having won five straight, most recently a 120-103 victory over Portland on Sunday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the home side as the Magic enter having lost seven straight, most recently a 125-119 setback to Washington on Friday. This is definitely a “revenge” game as well, as the Wolves have taken three straight in the series, including a 124-118 win at home in the first meeting this year back on November 22nd. Minnesota comes in averaging 108.8 PPG, while conceding 104.7. Big man Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.2 points, plus 12 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 17.7 and 4.1 respectively. The Magic average 105.2 PPG, while conceding 111.1. Evan Fournier is on the trading block now and he comes in averaging 17.6 per night, while Aaron Gordon adds a team-leading 18.8 points and eight boards. With a game at Houston on Wednesday night, it’s also not too hard to imagine the Wolves in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that conference matchup. While I’m stopping short in calling for the outright upset, I do think that the conditions are right for an extremely competitive affair and as such, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in the end. Good luck…Larry |
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01-16-18 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -1.5 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on Notre Dame (7:00 EST). The 13-4 Louisville Cardinals are in Notre Dame to take on the 13-5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Louisville looks primed for a letdown here after winning three straight in my opinion, most recently over Virginia Tech. The Cardinals were led by 27 points, 11 points and three assists from Deng Adel in the victory. However Louisville didn’t look overly impressive on the defensive side, allowing VT to shoot 49 percent from the floor and 36 percent from range. It’s going to be all hands on deck for the Irish though as they come into this one having lost two straight. Most recently ND suffered a close defeat to North Carolina, shooting 34 percent from the floor, including 41 percent from range. TJ Gibbs led the way with 19 points, five boards and six assists in the setback, while Martinas Geben added 14 points and nine boards. I’ll point out though that Louisville is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after a three-game or more unbeaten streak, while Notre Dame is 5-2 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss. I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the Fighting Irish. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | Top | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the under Warriors/Cavs (8:05 EST). The 35-9 Golden State Warriors are in Cleveland to take on the 25-16 Cavaliers and for a number of different reasons, I think this has defensive battle written all over it. Golden State comes in off a thrilling 127-125 win at Toronto, while Cleveland enters having lost seven of ten, including three straight after coughing up a 22-point lead in a 97-95 road setback at Indiana on Friday. If recent history is any precedence, then we should absolutely expect a very defensive battle this evening, because when these teams met on X-Mas Day, it was the Warriors that held on for the lower-scoring 99-92 victory at home. Golden State averages 115.8 PPG and it concedes 109.2. Stephen Curry leads the team with 27.8 points and 6.5 assists per game, while Kevin Durant adds 26.2 points and 7.0 boards per contest. Cleveland averages 110.2 PPG and it concedes 108.5. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 27.1 points, 8.8 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.1 blocks per game. Isaiah Thomas wasn’t brought into defend anybody for Cleveland, as he’s known for his offensive prowess. However, it will still take some time for Thomas to return to his MVP like form. Revenge is a powerful motivating factor for teams. The Cavs got knocked out of the Finals in five games by the Warriors last year and they’ve already suffered the X-Mas day setback as well to Golden State. The Warriors have been playing at a very high level, but their near second half collapse against the Raptors in their latest action (after having such a big lead at half time) is evidence of fatigue. I’ll point out as well that Golden State has seen the total go under the number in ten of 18 non-conference games already this year, while Cleveland has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 18 this season against clubs with winning records. All signs point to another battle from start to finish between these heated foes. Play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-18 | Oakland -2 v. Illinois-Chicago | 78-68 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show | |
My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on Oakland (8:00 EST). The Oakland Grizzlies beat Cleveland State 81-68 on Friday to move to 3-3 in conference action this year. Jalen Hayes led the charge in that one with 30 points, while Kendrick Nunn chipped in 20. Oakland comes in averaging 110.7 points per 100 possessions. The Illinois Chicago Flames enter off an 88-73 win over Milwaukee, as Dikembe Dixon finished with 22 points. The UIC Flames are allowing just 100.8 points per 100 possessions this year. However the Flames have been poor with turnovers this season with a 23.2 percent turnover rate, while also shooting just 29.4 percent from range. Additionally I’ll point out that Oakland has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 16-5 ATS in its last 21 road games following three or more consecutive home contests, while Illinois Chicago is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight against a team with a winning straight-up record. The Flames have looked pretty good defensively, but I think they’ll have issues slowing down Nunn this evening. All signs point to a rout, lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-18 | Butler v. Providence | Top | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Providence (4:30 EST). The 13-6 Butler Bulldogs are at Providence to take on the 12-6 Friars on Monday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Butler comes in off a 94-83 home win over Marquette on Friday, while Providence beat DePaul 71-64 in its latest action. Note that these teams split a pair of games last year. Butler snapped a three game losing streak with the win over the Golden Eagles. So far the Bulldogs average 80.8 PPG, while conceding 72.8. In the victory over Marquette, Kelan Martin had 37 points. Providence averages 76.8 PPG and it concedes 72.2. In the victory over DePaul on Thursday, Jalen Lindsey had 18 points, while Rodney Bullock added 12 points and eight boards. I’ll point out though that Butler is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road, while Providence is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 against the Big East. In six Big East games so far Butler has allowed an average of 87.7 points. That doesn’t bode well against this hungry home side in my opinion. Play on the Friars. Good luck…Larry |
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01-15-18 | Sharks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Sharks/Kings (4:05 EST). San Jose comes into this one off a tough 6-5 OT home win over Arizona, while LA enters off a 4-2 home setback to Anaheim. A couple of competent goaltenders in Jonathan Quick and Martin Jones go head-to-head in this one and in my opinion, all signs point to classic “battle.” The Sharks come into this one averaging 2.78 GPG, while conceding just 2.66 (ranked sixth.) Jones is 13-14 with a 2.65 GAA this year, but he’s almost always been at his best whenever facing the Kings, going s sharp 8-5 with a 2.14 GAA lifetime against them. LA averages 2.93 GPG and it concedes only 2.40 (ranked first overall.) Quick is 19-16 with a 2.33 GAA (owns a lifetime 2.52 GAA against San Jose.) I’ll point out as well that San Jose has seen the total go under the number in four of its last six after posting an OT victory in its previous outing in which it scored five goals or more in, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its three after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. For all the reasons listed above, play the under. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-18 | Blazers +5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 103-120 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 42 m | Show |
My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the Portland Trailblazers (9:05 EST). Portland will be hungry here as it enters off its second straight loss, a 119-113 setback at suddenly surging New Orleans on Friday. Conversely, this sets up as a letdown spot in my opinion for the Wolves, who come in contented after four straight victories, most recently a 118-108 win over the Knicks on Friday. Note that this is a revenge game for the Blazers as well after they fell 108-107 in the first meeting in mid December. Portland averages 103.7 PPG and it concedes 102.8. Damian Lillard leads the nightly charge with 24.9 points and 6.4 assists per game, while CJ McCollum adds 21.6 points. Minnesota averages 108.5 PPG and it concedes 104.7. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.2 points and 12 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 17.7 points and 4.1 boards per contest. I’ll point out though that Portland is 4-2 ATS against the division already this season, also 13-8 ATS on the road and 7-6 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Minnesota is just 5-6 ATS this year after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest. For all the reasons listed above, grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-18 | Saints v. Vikings -3.5 | Top | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 153 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* NFL GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Minnesota Vikings (4:40 EST). New Orleans comes in off a thrilling 31-26 home win over Carolina in the Wildcard round, while Minnesota earned a first round bye after posting a 13-3 regular season record. Note that when these teams played in Week 1, it was the Vikes that easily took care of business 29-19. Saints’ QB Drew Brees had 291 yards and one TD in that one. Brees had 376 passing yards, two TD’s and zero INT’s last week. WR Michael Thomas had 131 yards, but was held to just five catches for 45 yards in the Week 1 loss to Minnesota. New Orleans looked very one-dimensional as well last week, posting just 41 yards rushing, including just 23 from rookie Alvin Kamara. The Saints comes into this one averaging 28 PPG and conceding 20.4. Minnesota averages 23.9 PPG and concedes a NFL best 15.8. In fact over their final three regular season games the Vikes allowed just 17 combined points. QB Case Keenum sports an elite 22/7 TD/INT and posted ten TD’s over his final six games. The Vikes run game played a key part in the team’s success as well as it finished seventh in the NFL on the ground. Keep your eyes on the duo of Latavius Murry and Jerick McKinnon. I’ll point out as well that New Orleans is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU victory, while Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six home playoff games. The Vikes got the job done all year with their smothering defensive plays (ranked second both against the pass and run) and I ultimately believe they’ll ride the unit to another solid victory in front of the home town crowd and with the extra week off to prepare. The Saints have had a great year, but the story ends tonight in this tough atmosphere. Lay the points, play on Minnesota. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-18 | Davidson v. Fordham +7.5 | 75-45 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on Fordham (3:00 EST). The 8-7 Davidson Wildcats are at Fordham to take on the 6-10 Rams and while I’m not calling for the outright upset, I do believe the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Rams looked poised for a letdown here after three straight wins, most recently over George Washington, while conversely, it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for the Rams today as they’ve dropped four of their last five, most recently a set back to Saint Bonaventure on Wednesday. Th Wildcats routed George Washington 72-45, as Peyton Aldridge had 15 points, six boards and four assists. The Rams are led by senior guard Will Tavares, who averages 15.5 points. Note that he’s scored in double-figures in 14 of the 15 games that he’s played in this year. The Rams lead the A-10 in steals with 10.7 per game and they’re fourth in scoring defense in the conference by conceding just 67.8 PPG. Additionally I’ll point out that Davidson is just 1-3 ATS In its last four after allowing 50 points or less in its previous outing, while Fordham is 1-2 ATS in its last three following an ATS loss. I think the hungrier Rams come to play this afternoon and keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-18 | Monmouth +4 v. Canisius | 79-94 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
My 8* Situational Stunner is on Monmouth (2:00 EST). The 5-11 Monmouth Hawks are at Canisius to take on the 10-8 Golden Griffins and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. The Hawks will be hungry here, they’re now 1-3 in MAAC action after a tight 78-77 loss to Niagara in their latest outing, clawing back from an 11-point deficit, only to then come up short in the end. Monmouth shot a sharp 46.2 percent from range though and was led by Diago Quinn with 10 points and 14 boards. Monmouth averages 73.9 PPG and it concedes 76.8. Canisius averages 72.1 PPG and it concedes 69.3. Jermaine Crumpton averages 15.6 points, 4.7 boards and 1.5 assists per game. I’ll point out though that Monmouth is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 when playing on one or less days rest, while Canisius is just 9-15 ATS in its last 24 in the same position. We don’t have to question the motivation levels of the desperate Hawks and while I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, in a contest which I envision being decided by whichever one of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in the end. Good luck…Larry |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 149 h 3 m | Show | |
My 8* PERFECT STORM is on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1:05 EST). Jacksonville looks to parlay its 10-3 home win over the Bills into another victory on the road in Pittsburgh in the divisional round. Pittsburgh enters off a bye after finishing with a 13-3 record. Note that when these teams met in Week 5 it was Jacksonville which posted the 30-9 road win, as RB Leonard Fournette had 86 yards, while Steelers’ QB Ben Roethlisberger threw for 312 yards and five INT’s. Jacksonville comes into this one averaging 26.1 PPG, while conceding 15.9 (23 INT’s on the year.) Blake Bortles finished with a 22/13 TD/INT, while Fournette had 1,096 rushing yards. The defense looked particularly tough last week, holding the Bills to just 263 total yards, including just 133 passing. Pittsburgh enters averaging 25.4 PPG, while conceding 19.2. Roethlisberger survived the five INT game and went on to post a 28/14 TD/INT ratio. RB Le’Veon Bell posted 1,291 rushing yards once it was all said and done. I’ll point out though that Jacksonville is interestingly 12-5 ATS in its last 17 in this series, while Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. The Jags allow just 169.9 passing yards per game and I look for them to contain Roethlisberger in this one. Note as well that Bell had just 47 yards on 15 carries against Jacksonville in Week 5. While I’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to a comfortable cover. Grab the points. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots OVER 47 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 132 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over Titans/Patriots (8:15 EST). The Titans come in with a ton of momentum after downing the Chiefs 22-21 in Kansas City last week, while the Patriots enter off a first round bye after winning the AFC East with a 13-3 record. Tennessee averages 20.9 PPG and it concedes 22.2. Derrick Henry was unstoppable on the ground last week, posting 156 rushing yards, while Delanie Walker made six catches for 74 yards. QB Marcus Mariota finished with 205 yards, two TD’s and and one INT. The Titans are stout against the run, but struggle against the pass, which obviously doesn’t bode well facing this rested and focused Patriots side. The Pats average 28.6 PPG and concede 18.5. Tom Brady posted a stellar 32/8 TD/INT. TE Rob Gronkowski had 1,084 receiving yards this year, while RB Dion Lewis posted 222 yards combined over his final two games of the regular season. I’ll point out that Tennessee has seen the total go over the number in three of five as an underdog already this season and in four of five after two or more consecutive SU victories, while New England has seen the total soar above the posted number in three of four as a favorite of ten points or more this season and in four of five home games when the total in the contest was set between 45.5 and 49 points. With the Pats pushing the pace and the Titans forced to match pace, I’m banking on this one eclipsing the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Warriors v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 127-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Toronto Raptors (7:35 EST). Golden State and Cleveland have both looked susceptible of late. The Warriors enter off a tough game in Milwaukee just last night, so clearly fatigue is going to be a factor for the defending champs. But this play is based primarily on the surging Toronto Raptors, who play with revenge today after falling 117-112 in Golden State in late October. Toronto also played with revenge most recently when it annihilated the Cavaliers 133-99 at home on Thursday. The Warriors average 115.7 PPG and concede 106.6. Kevin Durant averages 26.3 points, seven boards and 5.3 assists per game. The Raptors average 112.1 PPG and concede 103.7. DeMar DeRozan has been unstoppable of late, he comes in averaging 25 points and 5.1 assist per game. Fred VanVleet came off the bench to lead Toronto with 22 points in the victory over Cleveland. Golden State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three in the second game of a back-to-back, while Toronto is an awesome 7-0 ATS in its last seven when playing on one days rest. Toronto is playing with a chip on its shoulder and its depth and confidence will simply be too much for the undermanned and exhausted Warriors to handle down the stretch. Play on the Raptors. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Bruins -133 v. Canadiens | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Bruins (7:05 EST). The 23-10-5-2 Boston Bruins are in Montreal to take on the 18-20-3-1 Canadiens and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the visitors. Boston averages 3.23 GPG and it concedes 2.50. Goaltender Tuukka Rask is 14-8-5 with a 2.23 GAA overall this year. The Bruins come out of their bye week off a 6-5 OT defeat to the Pens, but they still have not suffered a regulation loss in 11 straight outings. Note that the Bruins have won eight of their last 11 away from friendly confines. The Habs comes in off back-to-back wins, a 2-1 shoot-out victory over Tampa Bay to snap a five-game slide, before a 5-2 victory over Vancouver. Montreal averages just 2.52 GPG and it concedes 3.05. Netminder Carey Price is 13-14-2 with a 2.89 GAA. I’ll point out that the Bruins are 4-0 in their last four when playing on three or more days rest, while the Canadiens are just 1-4 in their last five against the Eastern Conference. I give the Bruins the nod in net and that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor this evening. Lay the price. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | College of Charleston v. Elon +2 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
My 8* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on Elon (7:00 EST). The 12-5 COC Cougars are at Elon to take on the 11-7 Phoenix and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. The Cougars enter off an 82-66 win over Northeastern on Thursday to move to 3-2 in the CAA, while Elon will be eager to get back into the winners circle after its 80-78 OT loss to UNC Wilmington to drop it to 3-2 in league action. Charleston averages 72.1 PPG and it concedes 66. Joe Chealey leads the nightly charge with 17.8 points and 4.2 assist per game, while Jarrell Brantley adds 17.6 points per contest. The Phoenix average 74.7 PPG and concede 73.2. Tyler Seibring had 21 points and 12 boards in his team’s latest loss. I’ll point out though that COC has struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 80 points or more in its previous outing, while Elon has done decently by going 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 80 points or more in its previous game. I don’t think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked here either. I think COC is poised for a letdown tonight, and I look for the “hungrier” team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Elon. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 128 h 6 m | Show | |
My 9* Oddsmakers Error is on the Philadelphia Eagles (4:35 EST). The Falcons come in off a big 26-13 road victory against the Rams and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here. Philadelphia was 13-3 in the regular season, which was good enough to earn a first round bye. Note that these teams didn’t play this year, but they did last season and the Eagles pulled away for the comfortable 24-15 victory. Atlanta comes in averaging 22.3 PPG, led by the eighth ranked passing attack. The Falcons have been decent defensively this year as well, allowing only 19.3 PPG (ranked eighth overall.) QB Matt Ryan was an unspectacular 218 yards, one TD and no turnovers last week, while WR Julio Jones was an offensive bright spot with 94 receiving yards. Philadelphia averages 28.6 PPG and it concedes 18.4. Carson Wentz went down with injury late in the season and backup QB Nick Foles has filled in admirably to this point by posting 537 passing yards and a 5/2 TD/INT. Foles has played in the playoffs as well, back in 2013 for Philadelphia and he threw two TD’s and zero picks. Two other offensive players to keep your eyes on today are RB’s LeGarrette Blount and Jay Ajayi. I’ll point out as well that Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off a loss against a division rival, while Atlanta is just 2-3 ATS this season after two or more consecutive victories. Winning and covering on the road is hard enough in the regular season and it’s even more difficult for a team when asked to do it on back-to-back weeks. Now throw in the fact that it’s the playoffs and I think that all the pressure is indeed on the visitors today. While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Eagles. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Hofstra v. Drexel +3 | Top | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH is on Drexel (4:00 EST). The 10-7 Hofstra Pride are at Drexel to take on the 7-11 Dragons on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. Hofstra looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after its thrilling 76-73 buzzer beating road win over Towson on Thursday, to move to 3-2 in league play. Conversely, it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for the Dragons tonight, as they’re now 1-4 in the CAA after a loss at Delaware in their latest action. Note that these teams split a pair of games last year, each winning at home, the combined score differential between the two games was just 3 points. The Pride average 76.4 PPG and allow 78.8. Justin Wright-Foreman had 35 points in their latest victory. Drexel averages 71.4 PPG and it concedes 77.4. Tramaine Isabell had 14 points and 15 boards in the 72-66 setback to the Blue Hens. Four players would go on to score in double figures in that one. I’ll point out that Hofstra is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten following an ATS victory, while Drexel is 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 68 points or less in its previous outing. I think this one comes down to which side is “hungrier.” Look for the Dragons to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Good luck…Larry |
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01-13-18 | Michigan v. Michigan State -10.5 | 82-72 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
My 8* WEEKEND WIPEOUT WINNER is on Michigan State (12:00 EST). The 14-4 Michigan Wolverines are at 16-2 Michigan State on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the home side. MSU has struggled a bit in its last two, losing 80-64 to Ohio State, before then almost having another lapse in a much closer than expected 76-72 OT win over Rutgers at home on Wednesday. The Wolverines come in off a deflating 70-69 home loss to No. 5 Purdue on Tuesday and suffice it to say, I think the stage is set for another letdown here. Note that this is a revenge game for the Spartans after they fell 86-57 to the Wolverines at Ann Arbor last February. Michigan averages 76.4 PPG and it concedes 62.1. In the crushing loss to the Boilermakers, Zavier Stephenson had 15 points, six boards and five assists. Michigan State could very well have been caught looking past Rutgers after its upset loss to Ohio State, to this revenge scenario against the Wolverines. Nick Ward had 17 points and 10 boards, while Jaren Jackson Jr. added 16 points and five boards in the latest victory. MSU enters averaging 85.9 PPG, while conceding just 63. I’ll point out that Michigan State is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 70 points or more, while Michigan is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four after scoring 70 points or less in its previous outing. I think the revenge angle can’t be over-stated as a very real factor working heavily in favor of the Spartans this afternoon. Lay the points. Good luck…Larry |
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