For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-09-19 | Notre Dame v. Duke +8 | 38-7 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Duke* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish don't have much to play for anymore. Notre Dame wanted to be in the playoffs this year. They won't be after losing to both Georgia and Michigan. The Michigan game showed that the weakness of this Notre Dame defense is certainly their run defense. Duke will do their best to expose that Notre Dame run defense weakness. This is a massive game for the Duke football program and I expect a good atmosphere for this game. David Cutcliffe is a tremendous coach (I give him the advantage over Kelly). Cutcliffe is 24-13 ATS in his last 37 games as an underdog. I would expect his team to be well prepared. Duke is coming off a bye week so they had extra time to get ready. Notre Dame is coming two tough games. The spot is a good one for the home team. Take Duke. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Baylor v. TCU UNDER 52 | 29-23 | Push | 0 | 117 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Baylor Bears defense has really impressed me this year. Baylor ranks 20th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Baylor already has 26 sacks this year. They have been very good at getting into the opponents backfield. This is an aggressive Bears defense that is likely to cause the TCU questionable offensive line trouble. TCU has a solid defense too. The Horned Frogs rank 40th in yards per play allowed, but they have played some very good offenses. Gary Patterson is a defensive minded coach who should have this defense ready for this matchup. Baylor put up some big numbers early in the season against some weak teams. Their offense is decent, but it is a bit overvalued. TCU's offense hasn't been good all season. Take the under. |
|||||||
11-09-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota UNDER 48.5 | 26-31 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Penn State Nittany Lions rank first in the country in yards per carry allowed (1.99 ypc allowed). Minnesota runs the ball on nearly 70% of their offensive plays. P.J. Fleck's team will try their best to use up a bunch of clock. They run the ball that often and then play at a bottom five pace. Minnesota will try to keep Penn State's offense off the field here. Penn State's offense has a star in Hamler, but the rest of the unit is good and not great. Clifford is up against a very good secondary here. Minnesota is a well-coached team and I would expect Penn State to have trouble picking up big plays. Minnesota is 5th in the nation in least 20 plus yard plays allowed. Look for some Big Ten smash mouth football played in Minnesota in what is a huge game for both teams. Both teams enter unbeaten and this is a big test for them. Take the under. |
|||||||
11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants OVER 47.5 | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Dallas Cowboys are first in the NFL in yards per play. Dallas had a bye week to get ready for this game. The Cowboys put it on Philadelphia in their last game. They should be up for this game though. They lost at New York against the lowly Jets earlier this year, and the Giants and Cowboys don't like each other. The Giants offense has shown the ability to move the ball pretty well this year when they are healthy. They have their skill position stars back in Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram. They should be able to make enough big plays to score a decent amount. The Giants secondary is a bottom five group in the NFL, and I expect Dak Prescott and his healthy group of receivers to beat them once again here. Ezekiel Elliot is a top two or three back in the NFL and he'll get his as well. I think this total is set too low. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Packers v. Chargers OVER 48.5 | 11-26 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Green Bay Packers offense has been on fire of late. Green Bay is averaging 32.3 points per game in their last six games. Aaron Rodgers and the passing attack have gotten it going. Now, Davante Adams is slated to come back from his injury in this one barring a setback in pregame warmups. Green Bay should be able to take advantage of a Chargers secondary that is weak at the safety spot. Injuries have really hurt that unit. The Chargers have a new offensive coordinator, and I think this offense will be more aggressive and move a little quicker under their new offensive coordinator. Phillip Rivers still has some pretty good playmakers around him. Green Bay has allowed 11 plays of 40 yards or more (worst in the NFL), so the Packers can be beaten deep. We are under the key number of 49 here, and I'll back the over in this spot. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Lions v. Raiders OVER 50 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 74 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Detroit Lions offense is more pass heavy without Johnson at running back. Detroit is 5th in the NFL in yards per pass attempt, so the Lions have been able to get quite a few big gainers in the passing game. The Raiders pass defense ranks 28th in yards per pass allowed. Matt Stafford and this Lions passing attack should have a lot of success here. Oakland has been good both on the ground and through the air this year. The Raiders rank 6th in the NFL in yards per play. Detroit ranks 24th in the NFL in yards per play allowed. Darius Slay is banged up and is questionable. Mike Daniels is also questionable for the Lions defense. They aren't that good to begin with, and now they are short handed. Both of these teams have given up far more big plays than the average team in the NFL. Expect a lot of explosive plays in this one. The weather looks good in this one, and the number has dropped a little. I think the over is a nice value here. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Bucs +5.5 v. Seahawks | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Tampa Bay* The Tampa Bay Bucs are 2-5 this year, but the Bucs are +0.22 ypp margin which is 12th in the NFL so far this year. That's impressive when you consider the schedule Tampa Bay has played thus far. Tampa Bay has played the 5th toughest schedule in the NFL. The Bucs have road wins at Carolina and against the LA Rams. They absolutely should have won last week at Tennessee as well. Tampa Bay is far better than their record would indicate. Seattle is always far worse than their record would indicate. The Seahawks are 6-2, but they have played the 25th toughest schedule in the NFL so far this year. Seattle has a -0.26 ypp margin on the year (23rd) even against that very weak schedule. The Seahawks are getting too much respect at home right now. They beat the Bengals by a point at home. They were fortunate to beat the Rams by a point at home. They also were beaten handily by the Ravens at home. The Tampa Bay run defense ranks 1st in the NFL. Seattle runs at the 4th highest percentage of any team in the NFL. Seattle's defense isn't good anymore, and I think the Bucs star receivers have big advantages against this Seattle secondary. Grab the points. Take Tampa Bay. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Texans v. Jaguars +1 | 26-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Morning CASH* The Houston Texans have cluster injuries in the secondary. Houston is now also without their star pass rusher J.J. Watt after he went down with an injury last week. Gardner Minshew has been really good for the Jaguars at quarterback. He doesn't have a cannon for an arm, but he is an accurate passer and he can keep plays alive with his feet. The Jaguars running game is much improved this year (4.8 yards per carry), and the Jaguars should have a balanced attack that is tough for Houston to slow down. The Texans offense is all about keeping Watson upright. The offensive line is better than past years, but they are still the biggest weakness for the team. The Jaguars rank third in the NFL in sacks. Minshew and the Jaguars lost 13-12 to Houston on the road earlier this year. The Jaguars outgained the Texans in that game. Houston's injuries are far worse now than they were in that first game. Also, Jacksonville goes to London every single year. The Jaguars are 3-1 in their last 4 games in London. Many coaches have said it is very hard to play this game for teams who aren't accustomed to the long flight and different setup. Houston is playing this London game for the first time here. This is a clear advantage for Jacksonville. Take Jacksonville. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | BYU +3.5 v. Utah State | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The BYU Cougars are getting healthy. They pulled the upset over Boise State in their last game. BYU has a good quarterback option now in Baylor Romney. He has made good decisions with the football in his action thus far. BYU's offensive line is improving as well. The BYU defense is a strong one. BYU has allowed only 18 plays of 20 yards or more all year. That is 4th best in the country. BYU has played an extremely tough schedule. The Cougars have the 7th ranked strength of schedule according to Sagarin. Utah State ranks 57th in strength of schedule. Utah State's passing game that was once strong with Jordan Love is now not good. The Aggies wide receivers are a clear weakness. The running game is way down from a year ago. Love is a good quarterback, but the team around him isn't good enough. BYU has lost to Utah State two times in a row. This is a chance for revenge. Take BYU. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Oregon v. USC OVER 58 | 56-24 | Win | 100 | 124 h 14 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Oregon secondary hadn't really been tested until the last two games. They failed their test. Washington threw the ball easily on this Oregon secondary. Washington State put up a big number against them as well. USC has many problems, but they still have some of the best receivers in the country. They also have a good quarterback to get them the ball. I think USC can pick up big plays in the air against Oregon here. The USC defense is allowing 5.81 yards per play. The Trojans have allowed a whopping 127 plays of 10 yards or more on the season (112th in the country). Oregon's offense is good on the ground and through the air. They should move the ball with ease as well. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Northwestern v. Indiana UNDER 47 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 123 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Northwestern Wildcats offense has been historically bad this year. Northwestern has played 7 games so far this year. They have scored 10 points or less in five of those games. Indiana's defense isn't great, but it has been much better than I expected. The Hoosiers rank 34th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Northwestern only has 10 plays of 20 yards or more in 7 games. That is easily worst in the nation. The Wildcats have absolutely no passing game, and the running game isn't very good. Indiana's offense has slowed their pace drastically this year. The Hoosiers will go up against a very solid Northwestern defense here. The Wildcats rank 44th in yards per play allowed despite playing a very tough schedule. Take the under. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Oregon State v. Arizona OVER 69 | 56-38 | Win | 100 | 121 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* Oregon State is much better on offense than many realize. Jake Luton has done a nice job under center, and they have a pretty good ground game as well. This offense was quieted down by Cal and Utah recently, but now they go against a very weak defense in Arizona. Arizona is playing at the fastest tempo of any team in the Pac 12. The Wildcats rank 18th in the nation in yards per play, so offense hasn't been the problem for much of the season. Arizona just fired defensive coordinator Marcel Yates, but I don't think there is a quick fix for their defensive woes. The Wildcats are giving up 6.2 yards per play. Oregon State's defense isn't much better. They are allowing 5.89 yards per play. Oregon State and Arizona both play quickly, and the offenses have clear advantages in this one. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Utah v. Washington UNDER 48 | 33-28 | Loss | -109 | 120 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Utah Utes play at the 129th pace in the country out of 130 teams. The Utes also run the ball on 65% of their offensive plays. Utah is a grind it out team. They will use their offensive line to try to wear you down a little bit at a time over the course of the game. Washington isn't likely to get much at all on the ground in this one. Utah is second in the country in yards per carry allowed. The Huskies offense has been inconsistent this season. I wouldn't expect them to be able to consistently put together good drives against this elite Utah defense. Washington also plays slowly. The Huskies rank 92nd in the country in pace of play. The Huskies defense has been much better in recent seasons at home, and I think they'll stay in this game. Utah is the better team though and I think they dictate the flow of this game. Take the under. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas OVER 56 | 54-24 | Win | 100 | 120 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Arkansas Razorbacks continue to push the tempo. Arkansas has played a lot of good defenses so far this year. The Razorbacks have faced Auburn and Alabama in the last two weeks. Those defenses will shut a lot of offenses down. Arkansas isn't good offensively, but Mississippi State is really bad on defense. The Bulldogs were great on defense last year, but they had to replace nearly everyone- and it hasn't gone well. Mississippi State ranks 111th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Mississippi State has already played three games that finished with a total of 66 or higher. Two of their last four games finished at 79 points total. These are the 12th and 13th ranked defenses in the SEC. Expect the two offenses to have quite a bit of success. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | UNLV v. Colorado State OVER 61 | 17-37 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 39 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* Colorado State's offense has been far better than most people realize this year. Patrick O'Brien is quietly dominating at quarterback for the Rams. He has completed 61% of his passes and has 1,716 yards despite starting the season on the bench. The Rams have 10 plays of 60 yards or more this season, which is best in the nation. What is UNLV's defensive weakness? They can't keep the opposition in front of them. UNLV has been beaten deep many times this year. The Rebels have allowed 27 plays of 30 yards or more already this season (127th in the country). UNLV has played several teams who consistently have low scoring games this year, and that has skewed their overall point totals down. They have already played Northwestern, Wyoming (they had a high scoring game here), Vanderbilt, and San Diego State. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Middle Tennessee State v. Charlotte OVER 60.5 | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* Charlotte's offense has been excellent this year. The new coaching staff deserves all kinds of credit. Charlotte was a bottom ten offense in the country for many years in a row. This year, Charlotte ranks 23rd in the country in yards per play. The 49ers have an impressive 48 plays of 20 yards or more already this year. MTSU has found a pretty good quarterback in Asher O'Hara. The Blue Raiders running game has gotten going in a big way the last couple games. MTSU is averaging 5.47 yards per carry (12th in the nation). The Blue Raiders can do enough through the air to keep teams honest. Both of these defenses are really weak. MTSU ranks 103rd in the nation in yards per play allowed. Charlotte ranks 116th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Look for a lot of big plays both ways here. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Kansas State v. Kansas OVER 54 | 38-10 | Loss | -112 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Kansas Jayhawks have turned up the tempo in a big way. In the middle of the year, they decided to change the way this offense was run. Their last four games have all finished with at least 65 points total. Kansas' offense is much improved compared to a year ago. I'm really impressed with the job Les Miles has done thus far. Kansas State is coming off that stunning win over Oklahoma. The Wildcats are thought of as a defensive team, but this defense hasn't been very good. Kansas State ranks 110th in the country in yards per play allowed. They have been very fortunate to not give up more points. This defense is a regression candidate. I think this total has been bet down because recent games between these two have been so low. These are different teams. Take the over. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 46 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The under is a whopping 33-9-1 in service academy matchups since 2005. It makes a lot of sense. These teams generally benefit on offense from the fact that the opposing defense isn't accustomed to seeing the triple option. That benefit isn't there when you are playing against another service academy. Additionally, these teams badly want to win matchups against each other. In games with this kind of high level of motivation, it tends to lead to lower scoring games. Both teams play at such a slow pace that even if they move the ball down the field it should take a very long time. Even long drives with field goals are big positives for the under. Air Force has been throwing the ball a little more this year, but they are expected to have the lead and with a lead they are good at running the ball and using up the clock. Take the under. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Liberty v. UMass OVER 67 | Top | 63-21 | Win | 100 | 116 h 20 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Over* UMass is the worst defense in the country, and it isn't close. The Minutemen are allowing a whopping 7.71 yards per play this year. UMass has allowed 55 plays of 20 yards or more. They are equally bad against the run and the pass. Liberty's offense is due for some positive regression. They rank 28th in the nation in yards per play, but they are 60th in the nation in points per game. The Flames get a great chance to put up a big number here. The Liberty defense is allowing 6.12 yards per play. Liberty has had some red zone luck on defense or their opponents would have scored more. UMass surprisingly pushes the pace. The Minutemen rank 7th in the nation in tempo. Hugh Freeze wants his Liberty team to play fast as well. This number is several points too low. Take the over.  |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Raiders v. Texans OVER 51.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Oakland Raiders offenses has had some really nice schemes planned this year. Jon Gruden is doing a good job putting Derek Carr in good spots. The Oakland running game is better than expected this year as well. Oakland's defense is terrible. The Raiders are especially weak in the secondary. They just traded away Gareon Conley to the Texans. Conley was the most talented player the Raiders had in the secondary. Oakland was already getting torched by opposing quarterbacks, and it won't get better now. Oakland allowed Aaron Rodgers and a bunch of backup WR's to light them up last week. Houston's last three games have finished with 85, 55, and 53 points. The Texans defense is giving up a lot of big plays. Houston's offense is hitting a lot more big gainers through the air too. Oakland and Houston have both improved on the offensive line compared to last year. Look for both teams to move the ball with ease in the dome at Houston on Sunday. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers UNDER 42.5 | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* This San Francisco 49ers defense is the real deal. Their defensive front is arguably the best in the NFL. San Francisco is doing a great job keeping everything in front of them. The 49ers have only allowed 12 plays of 20 yards or more all year long. That is the best in the NFL. Carolina's defense ranks 8th in the NFL in yards per play allowed. The Panthers don't have any clear weaknesses on this side of the football. With a solid group of linebackers, the Panthers should be good all year on defense. The weather forecast for this game calls for 20-25 mph sustained winds with gusts of 35-40 mph during this game. That is enough wind to change the game a lot. That kind of weather tends to make teams far more conservative. That should mean more running clock and that clearly helps the under. Take the under here. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Chargers v. Bears UNDER 41 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Chicago Bears defense is absolutely loaded. The Bears defense ranks 4th in the NFL in yards per play allowed. The Bears have faced the 10th toughest slate of offenses so far this year as well. The Bears have dominated on defense at times this year, and I think they will be very good here after losing a couple straight contests. They need this game. The Chargers offense is 12th in yards per play this year. They have faced the 28th toughest slate of defenses. This is easily the best defense they have had to go up against this year. The Bears offense is still a mess. Chicago has only 14 plays of 20 yards or more all season. They have only 1 play of 40 yards or more. The Chargers defense isn't great, but they have had poor fumble luck and they are good at preventing big plays. I don't see either team consistently driving up and down the field here. There is expected to be a 10-12 mph sustained wind at Soldier Field with gusts up to 20 mph during this one. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Utah State v. Air Force OVER 58 | 7-31 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Utah State Aggies are playing at the single fastest pace of any team in the country so far this year. Jordan Love and the Aggies offense haven't been quite as efficient as one would have expected, but I expect Love and the passing game to improve the rest of the year. Air Force has multiple quarterbacks who know the system well and who can run the triple option and have success. The Falcons have scored 38 and 32 points on Utah State the last two years. They have allowed 38 and 42 points in those games. This is a series where there have been a bunch of points. The Air Force offense is much better this year than they have been in recent seasons. Air Force's defense has been weak against the pass this year. Love should have success against them. With the pace that this game will be played at this isn't a high total. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Notre Dame v. Michigan UNDER 51.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The weather forecast here calls for sustained winds of 15-18 mph with gusts of 25 mph. There is heavy rain expected as well. Michigan's defense is a top ten defense in the country. Notre Dame really hasn't faced many really good defenses this year. Ian Book is a question mark to me when he goes against good defenses. Notre Dame's defense showed me a lot in their close loss to Georgia. This is a Fighting Irish defense that has allowed only 16 plays of 20 yards or more all year (5th best in the nation). The weather here is significant enough that we should expect the two defenses to have the upper hand in this big game. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Missouri v. Kentucky UNDER 45 | 7-29 | Win | 100 | 53 h 31 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* Kentucky has played five games in the SEC. Only one of those games has gone over this total, and that game should have stayed under this number as well. It was their 29-21 loss to Florida. The Gators ran for a 76 yard touchdown with 30 seconds while they were leading 22-21. Kentucky's games since then have finished at 41, 31, 44, and 24 points. The Wildcats are averaging only 13 points per game in SEC play. They are without their starting quarterback, and it has definitely limited them on offense. Kentucky is playing the second best defense they have faced thus far in this game. Missouri ranks 6th in the nation in yards per play allowed. The Tigers excel at not giving up big plays, and I don't think Kentucky will be able to consistently move down the field on Missouri. The Tigers offense has been extremely inconsistent. They lack big playmakers on the outside, and the Tigers will be tested by a Kentucky defense that is improving as the season moves along. The weather forecast calls for heavy rain and winds of 15 mph in this one. That will make both offenses more conservative than normal. That is clearly a positive for the under. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Florida International v. Middle Tennessee State OVER 56.5 | 17-50 | Win | 100 | 120 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* MTSU is 50th in the nation in yards per play offensively. They are 106th in the nation in points per game. MTSU is playing at the fastest pace of any team in Conference USA in its conference games so far this year. The Blue Raiders should be more efficient over time. They have only 10 touchdowns in the red zone in 19 trips into the red zone this year. That should regress toward the mean. MTSU has been able to move the ball this year. FIU started the season off slowly on offense, but they are averaging 6.38 yards per play in CUSA thus far. They have played at the 4th fastest pace of any team in league play this year. FIU's defense ranks 68th in yards per play allowed. MTSU ranks 118th in the nation in yards per play allowed. These two defenses have shown plenty of vulnerability. This is a low total with two teams playing quickly and two offenses capable of scoring in bunches. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | North Texas v. Charlotte OVER 64 | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 120 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* North Texas likes to throw the football a lot, and I can't blame them since they have a star quarterback in Mason Fine. Charlotte's defense has been mediocre against the run, but they are terrible against the pass. The 49ers defense is 124th in QBR allowed, so they have been getting torched through the air. North Texas ranks 35th in the nation (2nd fastest in CUSA) in tempo as well. Charlotte doesn't play fast, but they have hit a bunch of big gainers this year, especially in their running game. The 49ers already have 21 plays of 30 yards or more on the season. What's the weakness of the North Texas defense? Stopping the run. The Mean Green are allowing 4.77 yards per carry on the season. I see a back and forth type of game as both teams put up a lot of points here. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Central Michigan +3 v. Buffalo | 20-43 | Loss | -105 | 41 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Central Michigan* The Central Michigan Chippewas are one of the biggest surprises in the nation this year. Jim McElwain is doing a great job with this team. Last year, Central Michigan had absolutely no offense, but they rank first in MAC conference games in yards per play on offense this season. They are a balanced team, and that is what makes them stand apart from Buffalo in this game. Matt Myers is injured and out for the season. Kyle Vantrease is both the starting quarterback and the punter for Buffalo now. It's neat that he can do both, but Vantrease hasn't been very good at either QB or punter. Buffalo averages the least yards per punt out of all 130 teams in the country. Vantrease was 14/23 passing for only 65 yards against Akron last week. Akron is the worst team in the MAC, and this Buffalo offense is all about the run now. Central Michigan ranks second best in the MAC in run defense. I don't think Buffalo will be able to score much here. The Chippewas are a live dog. I'll take the points, but I'll also throw some on the moneyline. Take Central Michigan. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Virginia v. Louisville UNDER 52 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Louisville Cardinals have a good offense this year, but they haven't faced many good defenses. They were shut down by a really good defense (Clemson) last week. Louisville has piled up huge offensive numbers against teams like Eastern Kentucky, Boston College, and Wake Forest. Virginia ranks 8th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Virginia's offense ranks 122nd in tempo. The Cavs look to slow down the game. Virginia averages only 3.33 yards per carry, so they rely on the passing game quite a bit. The weather forecast here calls for upper 60's and 20 mph sustained winds with 1-2 inches of rain in the afternoon. This is enough to push me onto the under in this game. Look for a lot of running the ball and moving clock. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Penn State v. Michigan State UNDER 43.5 | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Michigan State defense is better than their overall statistics look so far this year. Michigan State has played a really tough slate of offenses so far this year. The Spartans took on Ohio State and Wisconsin in their last two games. Both of those offenses skewed the Michigan State defensive numbers. Michigan State's defense ranks 8th best in the nation when adjusted for strength of schedule faced. Penn State ranks first in the nation in yards per carry allowed. The Nittany Lions front seven should be in the Michigan State backfield early and often here. Michigan State ranks 97th in the country in yards per play on offense. The Spartans have yet to show they can do much of anything on offense against quality defenses. Penn State's defense is very good. The weather here is another plus for the under. A low 50's temperature with 15-20 mph winds and rain that picks up as the game goes on is in the forecast. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Nevada v. Wyoming UNDER 48 | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 118 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Wyoming Cowboys play at the 110th fastest pace in the country (130 teams). Wyoming runs the ball consistently. The Cowboys have run the football on 76.6% of their offensive plays in conference games. They have very little passing attack, so the successful drives their offense has often take a very long time with a moving clock and small gains little by little. Nevada plays at a slightly slower than average tempo. The Wolf Pack offense ranks 112th in the nation in yards per play. They haven't been able to find much to get them going offensively. The early weather forecast calls for heavy winds in Laramie the whole week. Heavy wind played a big role in last week's game against New Mexico, and with winds things are likely to get even more conservative than normal for both teams. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Southern Miss v. Rice OVER 50.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have a new offensive coordinator this year, and this team is much improved on the offensive end. Southern Miss is 15th in the nation in yards per play. The Golden Eagles put up 30 points against a quality LA Tech defense last week. They scored 47 points on Troy earlier this year. Their offensive numbers are pulled down a bit by being held in check by Alabama and Mississippi State, which is to be expected. This is a good Southern Miss offense. Rice can stop the run pretty well, but the Owls aren't any good in the secondary. They rank 122nd in yards allowed per pass attempt. Southern Miss should be able to take advantage. Southern Miss had a great defense last year, but this year they have a subpar defense. Southern Miss is 122nd in the nation in yards per play allowed, and they are 129th in the nation in yards allowed per pass attempt. Take the over here. |
|||||||
10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | 33-0 | Win | 100 | 176 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Patriots are an under team to me until proven otherwise. Even in their game last week the under was the right side, but there were 3 special teams/defensive touchdowns to send the game just barely above the total. New England has slowed their pace down dramatically this year and they are leaning on the running game more often. Tom Brady isn't surrounded by as many playmakers as he was in the past. The Patriots defense this year is amazing. New England is a top two or three defense in the NFL (they might be the best). The Jets hit some big plays against the Cowboys, but I don't think as many of those big gainers will be available against this Pats defense. The Jets play at a very slow pace and rely on the ground game a lot. We should see a lot of moving clock in this one. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 49 | 10-37 | Loss | -109 | 49 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Eagles and Cowboys is always a heated contest. Philadelphia and Dallas both have quality quarterbacks and good skill position players around them. Carson Wentz has been a bit up and down in his time in the league, but he has a high upside and I think he is trending in the right direction. The Eagles have been able to get more big gainers of late, and I think they have some matchups they can exploit against a Dallas secondary that is badly banged up right now. The Cowboys rank first in the NFL in yards per play. Dallas hasn't cashed in touchdowns often enough, but I would expect that to improve. The Eagles secondary has been a problem all year long. Jerome Boger's crew is calling this game. They are well known for defensive penalties and high scoring games. The over is 97-69 in Boger's crews contests all time. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | 49ers v. Redskins UNDER 43 | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 161 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Washington Redskins have a new coach in Callahan, and he has made it clear he wants to run the football early and often. They will have a slow tempo and be far more conservative. The Redskins had 33 rushing plays on Sunday against the Dolphins. I expect to see them try to run it and keep the ball away from the 49ers offense. San Francisco's defense has been amazing so far this year. Their performance against the Browns opened a lot of eyes, and then they backed it up with an even more impressive performance defensively against the Rams on Sunday. The 49ers defensive line is excellent and the secondary is one of the best in the NFL. San Francisco has the highest percentage of running plays of any team in the NFL so far this year. They'll run the ball and eat up a lot of clock as well here. With a moving clock and a Redskins offense that is unlikely to be able to do much here, I see a low scoring contest. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Michigan v. Penn State UNDER 47 | 21-28 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Michigan Wolverines are playing faster this year, but they aren't playing efficiently at all on offense. Michigan is 81st in the nation in yards per play. They are up against a Penn State defense that has been tremendous this season. The Nittany Lions rank 3rd in the nation in yards per play allowed. I think Michigan will have a hard time putting together sustained drives against this Penn State defense. The Nittany Lions have a big advantage with their defensive front against the Michigan offensive line. Penn State's offense hasn't been consistent this year. The Nittany Lions have hit quite a few big plays, but they haven't shown the ability to put together long drives against good defenses. Michigan typically does a good job not giving up big plays, and this will present a challenge for Penn State. Both teams run the ball a little more than the average team, so we'll see a lot of moving clock. I think this is a game where points will be at a premium. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 58.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 124 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* Western Michigan is second in the nation in explosive plays of 20 yards or more. The Broncos have struggled in the red zone though, and this is a team that is due for some positive regression when it comes to points per game. Western Michigan's offense is elite, and they aren't playing against even decent defenses in the MAC. Eastern Michigan has been even worse in the red zone than the Broncos. The Eagles also should have some positive regression on the way. The Eagles are throwing the ball around a lot more this year and Western Michigan's defense has allowed a whopping 108 plays of 10 yards or more already this year. Both teams should have a lot of offensive success here. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Colorado v. Washington State OVER 69 | 10-41 | Loss | -115 | 124 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Washington State Cougars defense has been awful this year. Washington State is allowing 6.65 ypp on the year. Colorado's defense has been even worse. The Buffaloes are giving up 6.87 ypp. These two have been even worse on defense in Pac 12 play. Washington State is allowing more than 8 yards per play in the conference. Both teams like to throw the ball a lot and there should be a lot of possessions in this contest. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Arizona State v. Utah UNDER 45.5 | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Utah Utes have the slowest tempo of any team in the nation. Utah ranks 130th out of 130 in pace of play. Utah also likes to run the football early and often. Almost 65% of Utah's offensive plays are running plays. Arizona State's defense has been beaten badly in the passing game this year, but they have been good against the run. They haven't played a running attack as good as Utah, so they will give up some yards here. Still, Utah will be taking a lot of time off the clock and if they get held to some field goals it is a big boost for the under. Arizona State ranks 102nd in yards per carry this year, and Utah's defense ranks the best against the run of any defense they have faced. Michigan State also excels at stopping the run, and they shut down Arizona State's offense. Neither passing game is very good to begin with, and the weather is a key factor here too. Rain is likely later in this game, and it is expected to be windy throughout the entire game. With both teams playing slowly and running a lot, I think this one stays low scoring. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Kentucky v. Georgia UNDER 47 | 0-21 | Win | 100 | 50 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Kentucky Wildcats have had a really hard time moving the ball against quality defenses this year. Kentucky is up against a great defense here in Athens. Georgia's offense is very good, but they do play at a slow pace and run the football a lot. That means that while they usually move the football a lot, they take a lot of time off the clock as well. Kentucky plays at the 95th ranked tempo out of 130 teams in the nation. Georgia ranks 113th in tempo. Both of these teams prefer to run the ball when they can. A tropical storm is expected to bring heavy rain to Athens earlier in the day on Saturday. The rain might stop before the game or it may be light rain here, but there will still be winds of 15 or 16 mph during this game. Additionally, this is a grass field and with rains of over an inch expected during the day on Saturday- the field might not be in very good shape. The weather is a plus for the under. Take the under here. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -2.5 | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Oklahoma State* The Oklahoma State Cowboys have been a really good team to back in past years. Mike Gundy has been a moneymaker for bettors, especially early in the season. In the first 9 games of the season, Oklahoma State is 75-50 ATS in their last 125 games (60% ATS). At home, Oklahoma State is 45-27 (62.5% ATS) in their first 9 games of the season since 2005. Baylor just lost star linebacker Johnston for the season. He was averaging about 10 tackles per game this year and he was the leader of the defense. Baylor is coming off a double overtime game where coach Matt Rhule said the team in general left the game very banged up. Charlie Brewer isn't very healthy either, and he is a key to this offense for the Bears. Oklahoma State had a bye week last week. The last game Oklahoma State played they had a -5 turnover margin and lost. This is a good bounce back spot for a team with a lot of talent and a good home field advantage. Take Oklahoma State. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Missouri v. Vanderbilt UNDER 56.5 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Vanderbilt Commodores are just an awful team this year. Their star running back (Vaughn) is dinged up and is listed as questionable for this game. Vanderbilt has a quarterback controversy. Neither of the quarterbacks are good. Missouri is a quality team this year. The Tigers are led by a defense that is 6th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Missouri is excellent in pass coverage, and they are above average against the run. The Tigers offense is a run heavy offense. Missouri is very likely to be in control of this game. We have some interesting references of spots where Missouri has a large lead. The Tigers have taken their foot off the gas and had low scoring second halves multiple times. -Missouri led Troy 42-7 at halftime and the final score was 42-10. -Missouri led West Virginia 31-0 at halftime and the final score was 38-7 -Missouri led SE Missouri State 37-0 at halftime and the final score was 50-0 Consistently they have had very low scoring 3rd and 4th quarters in games where they lead. Take the under here. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech | 41-43 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on North Carolina* The Virginia Tech Hokies have played the 107th toughest schedule in the country according to Sagarin. North Carolina has played the 7th toughest schedule. Virginia Tech has one good win this year and that was their win over Miami. Why did they win that game? Miami had 5 turnovers and they had none. Still, they nearly blew that game. Miami outgained them by more than 200 yards in that game. North Carolina had a bye week to prepare for this game. The Tar Heels have proven in multiple games this year (South Carolina and Clemson games especially) that they have a high upside. Virginia Tech hasn't proven that. I like the Tar Heels here. Take North Carolina. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | New Mexico +19.5 v. Wyoming | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on New Mexico* The Wyoming Cowboys have been extremely fortunate this year. Wyoming can't throw the ball at all. The Cowboys do have a solid running game, but the strength of the New Mexico defense is the front seven. They rank 38th in the nation in yards per carry allowed this year. Wyoming plays at a slow tempo that often leads to low scoring games and very close games. The Cowboys have seen only one of their games this season decided by more than 9 points. That includes a Wyoming very unimpressive 5 point win over Idaho. New Mexico isn't a good team, but we are getting 19.5 points in a game with a total of 48.5. Additionally, the forecast calls for 25 mph winds with gusts above 30 mph during this game. That kind of extreme weather is a bit of an equalizer. Both teams are likely to run the ball a lot and stay even more conservative than normal. Big underdogs in high wind games have done well in the past. I'll grab the points. Take New Mexico. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Purdue v. Iowa UNDER 51 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 117 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Purdue Boilermakers put up 40 points last week with backup quarterback Jack Plummer at the helm and Rondale Moore out of the lineup. That was against a weak Maryland defense though. Purdue couldn't do anything against Penn State's defense, and I'll be surprised if they have much success here against a good Iowa defense. Moore is one of the most electrifying players in the country, and him being out is a huge loss for Purdue. The Boilermakers rank 129th out of 130 in the country in yards per carry, so they don't have a running game to lean on. Iowa is 16th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Iowa's offense has some potential, but they play a pretty conservative brand of football. The Hawkeyes play at a slow pace and there shouldn't be too many possessions in this game as they grind things down when they are in the lead. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-18-19 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse UNDER 53.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 100 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Syracuse offense is a mess this year. Tommy DeVito hasn't been nearly as good as expected in this offense, and now he is trying to play through an injury. DeVito plays behind one of the worst offensive lines in the nation as well. Not a great combination when you are trying to play through an injury and avoid getting hit. Syracuse has allowed 26 sacks in only six games. The Pitt Panthers defense ranks second in the nation with 27 sacks so far this year. They are going to bring a ton of pressure on DeVito in this one, and I think the Syracuse offense will likely struggle with the Pitt defensive line. The Pitt Panthers offense ranks 108th in yards per play this year. Kenny Pickett just hasn't looked like he is in a rhythm in the passing game. Pitt has been throwing it more this year, but the strength of this Syracuse defense is their secondary. Take the under in this one. *Note- I would play for this for 4 stars down to 51.5 and for a 3 star rating down to 50* |
|||||||
10-17-19 | UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas State OVER 65 | 37-20 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Arkansas State Red Wolves love to play fast. Arkansas State ranks 19th fastest out of 130 teams in the country in pace of play. Arkansas State has also averaged a whopping 7.77 yards per play in their two Sun Belt contests thus far. Arkansas State's defense is awful though, and they are going to give up a lot here. The Red Wolves allowed a ridiculous 722 total yards against Georgia State. They also gave up 28 points and more than 500 yards against FCS level SIU. This is a really weak defense. Louisiana's offense didn't look good against Appalachian State, but they have arguably the best defense in the Sun Belt. The Ragin' Cajuns scored a 47-43 win over Arkansas State last season. Louisiana ranks 8th in the nation in yards per play on the season as a whole. These two offenses should have a lot of success. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Cowboys v. Jets UNDER 45 | 22-24 | Loss | -117 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Dallas Cowboys rank first in the NFL in yards per play. Dallas has an above average offense, but they aren't the best offense in the NFL. They have played the weakest schedule of defenses of anyone in the NFL so far this year. Dallas has taken advantage of the Dolphins, Giants, and Redskins in 3 of their first 5 games. The New York Jets rank dead last in the NFL in yards per play. The Jets get Darnold back this weekend, but he isn't likely to fix this offense right away. Dallas' defense should come into this game upset after struggling last week against Green Bay. The Jets have the slowest pace of play in the NFL, and I expect them to try to run the ball a lot and keep the Dallas offense off the field. The under is 26-10 in the Cowboys last 36 road games. With the move up during the week, I see value on the under. Take the under here. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Falcons v. Cardinals OVER 47 | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 166 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Arizona Cardinals offense had a lot of success against Cincinnati last weekend. I don't think the Cardinals offense will be all that good against quality defenses this year, but I do think they'll have a lot of success against the bottom of the barrel defenses. The Atlanta Falcons secondary is an absolute nightmare. Dan Quinn's defense is blowing assignments and giving up way too many big plays. Kyler Murray had a confidence building game last weekend, and I expect him to have a good game here. Arizona's secondary is a big problem as well. Matt Ryan and the Falcons still have a lot of weapons on the outside. Look for Ryan to find a lot of open receivers on Sunday afternoon in Arizona. A lot of tempo in this one and this number is too low. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | 49ers v. Rams -3 | 20-7 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Rams* The San Francisco 49ers have had a really good year thus far. San Francisco is about to get their biggest test of the season though. The 49ers played the game on Monday night against Cleveland. The Rams had a bunch of extra time off since they played last Thursday against Seattle (in a game they should have won). The Rams aren't going to look past the 49ers in any way here. Sean McVay teams are 6-1 ATS when they have the rest advantage. They have the rest advantage here. Jared Goff has put up good numbers at home, and he still has good weapons around him. The 49ers have a couple very key injuries in FB Kyle Juszcyk and OL Mike McGLinchey who are out. The Rams pass rush should bother the 49ers a lot here. This is a chance to buy low on the Rams and sell high on the 49ers. The 49ers are good and much improved, but the Rams are still better and are in the much better situational spot. Take the Rams. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Bengals +11 v. Ravens | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on the Bengals* The Baltimore Ravens have played a really weak schedule so far this year. Baltimore has played the 3rd easiest schedule in the NFL so far this year. Baltimore has played both Miami and Arizona already this year. They took on a Steelers team with severe injury troubles as well. Perception of Baltimore in the marketplace got too high after their blowout over the Dolphins in week one. The Ravens struggled to beat Arizona at home. They were fortunate to win against Pittsburgh last week. Baltimore ranks second to last in the NFL in yards per play allowed. It's hard to win by a margin when your defense is as bad as the Ravens. They have a lot of injury issues on defense and it is showing up in a big way. Cincinnati isn't a good team. The Bengals have played two very close games on the road though already this year. Those games were at Seattle and at Buffalo. The Bengals have played the 8th toughest schedule in the NFL this year. Cincinnati should be better offensively since the Ravens don't have a very good pass rush. Baltimore should win here, but the Bengals are catching too many points in an AFC North battle. Take Cincinnati. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Wyoming v. San Diego State UNDER 41 | Top | 22-26 | Loss | -114 | 127 h 23 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Under* The Wyoming offense isn't any good at all. They were able to run all over the UNLV defense a couple weeks ago, but I'm not going to let that make me think their offensive woes are fixed. Wyoming can't throw the ball, and San Diego State will just key in on the run here and force Chambers to beat them through the air. I don't think he can do it. Ryan Agnew has been really bad at quarterback for San Diego State this year. San Diego State is 126th in offensive yards per play this year. They scored a whopping 6 points against Weber State and only 24 points against an awful Colorado State defense. San Diego State's games this year have finished with final totals of: 6 points, 37 points, 41 points, 40 points, and 44 points. Two of Wyoming's games have finished at 37 points. Take the under. TOP Rated play. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Penn State v. Iowa +3.5 | 17-12 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Iowa* The Penn State Nittany Lions haven't played a tough schedule. Penn State nearly lost at home to their toughest opponent so far this year (Pittsburgh). They haven't played a single team in the top 42 of my power ratings. Penn State is highly dependent on big plays as an offense. The Nittany Lions are unlikely to get as many big plays as normal here. Iowa has allowed only 11 plays of 20 yards or more all season. The Hawkeyes have a fundamentally sound defense. While Nate Stanley looked really bad last week against Michigan, Stanley is normally a pretty reliable signal caller for the Hawkeyes. The Hawkeyes have double revenge here where Penn State has won two years in a row in very tight games against Iowa. Iowa doesn't get too many night games, but when they do the fans show up and keep Kinnick Stadium rocking. This is a very good home field advantage at night. Penn State is a good team, but they are overvalued in the betting markets right now. Iowa is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 as a home underdog. I like Iowa to cover here, and I will be putting a little bit of my bet on the moneyline too. Take Iowa. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | USC v. Notre Dame UNDER 59 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* Notre Dame's offensive statistics are skewed so far this year. Notre Dame has piled up big offensive numbers against a couple terrible defenses. Against the decent or better defenses they have faced, Ian Book and company just haven't been that good. USC isn't a great defense, but they are a lot better than some of the other units Notre Dame has played against. USC is reliant on the passing game, and the Notre Dame secondary is excellent. Slovis is expected back for USC here, but I expect USC's passing attack to be less effective than normal because of the defense they are facing and the weather. The weather here calls for 15 mph sustained winds with gusts of 25 mph through the game. This is a clear positive for the under. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Charlotte v. Florida International OVER 62 | 23-48 | Win | 100 | 124 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* Charlotte's offense has really impressed this year. Their coaching staff is doing a tremendous job turning this team that was previously hapless on offense into a very good offensive squad. The 49ers are averaging 6.54 yards per play (26th in the country). Charlotte has been breaking big runs consistently. That's important here because the FIU front seven has been really weak against the run. Look for Charlotte's ground game to do damage here. FIU's offense is finally starting to come around. They were an underachiever early in the year, but this offense has a lot of talent. Charlotte is way too reliant on their aggressive pass rush. FIU's offensive line grades out as above average, and I think FIU can burn Charlotte for being too aggressive on defense in this matchup. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | North Texas v. Southern Miss OVER 58 | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are a completely different team than they were a year ago. Southern Miss is now weak on defense, and they are much improved on offense in their new scheme. North Texas has an elite quarterback in Mason Fine, and he is up against a weak Southern Miss secondary. Look at the numbers Troy's passing game put up against Southern Miss. This looks like a great spot for North Texas to pick up their production on offense. I had this game projected at 63 points, so I'm glad to grab this one at 58. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Middle Tennessee State v. Florida Atlantic OVER 62 | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* MTSU's defense has been shredded all season long. Marshall may have only scored 13 points last week, but the Thundering Herd put up 578 yards of offense. MTSU's defense hasn't shown me anything that would make me confident at all about their ability to slow down Florida Atlantic here. MTSU is 120th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Florida Atlantic's offense started the year struggling against good competition, but the Owls offense has been great in their last three games. Lane Kiffin's team should put up a lot of big plays here. MTSU has been good on offense. The Blue Raiders passing attack should have a big edge on the FAU secondary which has been a clear weakness. Both of these defenses have been fortunate in the red zone. They have been getting away with forcing teams to kick field goals or turning them over in the red zone. I expect defensive regression in points per game allowed for both teams. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Florida State v. Clemson OVER 59.5 | 14-45 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* For the last couple weeks, Clemson has heard a lot about how they aren't as good as they were expected to be. Dabo Swinney mentioned that he is getting tired of hearing it. The Clemson offense has been a bit of a disappointment. Here is a great chance for them to get back on track. Florida State plays at the 4th fastest tempo in the country, and Clemson has played quickly this year as well. The Seminoles defense has allowed a lot of big plays in the passing game, and I think Trevor Lawrence and company are in for a big day. I see Clemson putting up a big number here and Florida State doing enough. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin UNDER 42 | Top | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 120 h 26 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Under* The Michigan State Spartans defense looked dominant in the first quarter last weekend against Ohio State. Ohio State ended up looking great offensively in the second quarter before struggling again in the second half. That was a weird game, but Michigan State did show they have a lot of talent on the front seven defensively. Wisconsin is a really good team, but they don't have the offensive balance Ohio State has. Wisconsin is going to run the ball over and over. Wisconsin's Jack Coan doesn't impress me in the passing game. The Badgers will lean heavily on the running game and use up a bunch of clock. Michigan State will give up some yards here to a great Wisconsin running game, but I do think they'll hold their own. The Michigan State offense is really weak. Wisconsin is first in the nation in yards per play allowed so far this year. The Spartans don't have an explosive offense at all, and I don't think they'll be able to consistently put together long drives against Wisconsin. The weather forecast here calls for sustained winds of 20 mph with gusts of 30 to 35 mph during the game. This is a clear positive for the under. Take the under. TOP Rated Play. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee OVER 51.5 | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 0 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Mississippi State Bulldogs aren't even close to what they were a year ago on defense. I think the market has been slow to adjust to their defensive weaknesses. Mississippi State was a top five defense in the country last year. They rank 104th in the nation in yards per play this year. The Bulldogs have allowed 31 plays of 20 yards or more. Tennessee isn't a good offense, but I think Maurer gives them a better chance at quarterback than Guarantano. The Volunteers have turned it over too much this year, and if they can hold onto the ball a little better, I think they can score against teams like Mississippi State. Mississippi State's offense should improve the rest of the way. The Bulldogs have enough weapons to be putting up better numbers than they have thus far. Both teams should put up a decent number of points in this one. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 66 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* This is a rivalry game in northwest Ohio. The weather calls for sustained winds of 16 mph and gusts to 28 mph during this game. That is plenty to change the game. Neither of these offenses are as explosive as they have been in the past. The Bowling Green offense ranks 125th in the nation in yards per play. Toledo is much better offensively, but they have shown that they are willing to slow down the game a lot once they have a lead. They should have a lead here throughout. This is a very high total for a high wind game. These windy unders have treated me well in the past, and I'll back the under again here. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-10-19 | Giants v. Patriots UNDER 45 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The New England Patriots have been a great under team this year. The Patriots defense is a top two or three unit in the NFL. The Patriots haven't allowed more than 14 points in a game all year. The game they allowed 14 points in was when the Jets scored twice on defense. In all, the Patriots defense has only allowed 20 points in five games. With the Giants likely playing without Saquon Barkley again, it's hard to see Daniel Jones and the Giants having much success here. They struggled badly to get going against the Vikings in their last game. The Patriots offense has slowed the pace down a lot from last year. They are also playing more conservatively. The Giants defense isn't good, but they have at least improved in recent weeks. The weather forecast here calls for possible showers and gusty winds. That should make both teams more conservative, and it is definitely a positive for the under. Take the under here. |
|||||||
10-09-19 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 70.5 | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 53 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Applachian State Mountaineers take on the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns in one of the best midweek games we have had in a small conference in quite some time. This game means everything to both teams. These are two of the top three teams in the Sun Belt. There's no doubt both teams have been scoring machines so far this year, so you can understand a high total here. Still, this is an extremely high total for a game between two teams who run the ball often and don't play at a fast pace. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-07-19 | Browns v. 49ers OVER 46.5 | 3-31 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star Over* We finally get a good Monday Night Football game, and I expect there to be quite a few points scored on both sides in this one. While the 49ers defensive numbers look great so far this year, they have faced an extremely weak slate of offenses thus far. They faced Tampa Bay in their first game in a new offense. They faced a terrible Bengals team. They also faced the Steelers in Mason Rudolph's first game as a starter on the road. The 49ers defense isn't bad, but they aren't nearly as good as their statistics look so far this season. Cleveland's defense has faced a slightly below average slate of offenses as well. The Browns were able to take advantage of the Jets without Darnold. They were torched by the Titans earlier this year. They gave up quite a bit to the Ravens last week as well. The Browns offense is better than they have shown so far this year. Baker Mayfield should improve with his accuracy at least to some degree, and I would expect bigger games from OBJ. San Francisco hasn't been slowed down consistently by anyone so far this year, and I really like this 49ers offense. They are a well-coached unit and they have enough talent at the skill positions to do some damage. Jerome Boger's crew is doing this game, and that is great news for over bettors. The over is 97-67 in this crew's games. This is the best over crew in the NFL. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Patriots v. Redskins UNDER 45.5 | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 155 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The New England Patriots have a top three defense in the NFL. The Patriots have allowed a grand total of 13 points on the defensive side of the ball. They haven't played a really good offense yet, but they won't play a good offense in this one either. Washington is banged up on the offensive line. The Redskins went to Dwayne Haskins Jr. on Sunday and it didn't go well at all. Haskins may or may not start here, but regardless of who starts in this game I don't see Washington scoring more than 10 points or so. This Patriots defenses is good at avoiding giving up the big play, and I don't see Washington putting together long drives on them. The Patriots offense ranks near the bottom of the NFL in yards per play. By the end of the year, they should be better, but right now they aren't better than mediocre on offense. They are calling a lot more safe play calls, and Sony Michel is getting the ball a lot. The Redskins will give up points here because their defense isn't very good. Still, the Patriots have shown they are willing to slow down the tempo this year and run the ball which helps the under a lot here. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Vikings -5 v. Giants | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The New York Giants defense is really bad. The Giants secondary is arguably the worst in the NFL. The linebackers weren't all that bad at the start of the season, but due to injuries they are very weak now. Alec Ogletree, Tae Davis, and Ryan Connelly are all out. Minnesota has a strong offensive line and a great running game. They should be able to take advantage of the Giants weakness at linebacker. Kirk Cousins has a history of playing poorly against good teams and playing well against weak defenses. He gets his chance against a really weak Giants defense here. Daniel Jones is an upgrade from Eli Manning, but without Saquon Barkley and without all that many weapons around him, he is likely to find it difficult going against a top five or six defense in the NFL in the Vikings. Minnesota has been great at bouncing back from a loss. The Vikings are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 following a loss. Take Minnesota. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bears -5 v. Raiders | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Bears* I don't think there is a downgrade from Trubisky to Daniel. Chicago's defense might be the best in the NFL. Khalil Mack should be highly motivated to play against his old team here. The Raiders aren't a good team. I'm not sold on the Raiders offense at all. The Colts team they beat last weekend was badly banged up. Beating a shorthanded Colts team is far different than winning against this solid Bears team. Oakland hasn't been able to show any level of consistency in the last couple years, and I certainly don't trust them to put up another good performance here. Oakland's defense is one of the bottom three defenses in the NFL. The Bears aren't great on offense by any means, but they should be able to do enough against this weak Raiders defense to create separation. Take Chicago here. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | California v. Oregon UNDER 46.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Oregon Ducks defense ranks 4th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Oregon is far better defensively than most people realize. Cal wasn't good on offense with Garbers at quarterback, and they are even worse on offense with Modster under center. I would expect Cal to have very little success on offense in this matchup. The Cal defense is a strong one. They rank 36th in the nation in yards per play allowed, and that is despite the fact that they have played some good offenses this year. Cal's defense is a top 25 or top 30 unit in the country. Oregon plays on Friday this coming week, and the Ducks may be happy to slow things down with a big lead in the second half here. I see Cal having a hard time getting past 10 points or so here. A hard fought game between two good defenses. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Vanderbilt v. Ole Miss OVER 58 | 6-31 | Loss | -114 | 124 h 29 m | Show | |
 *4 Star Play* Ole Miss' offense has been impressive in recent weeks. The Rebels already have a whopping 33 plays of 20 yards or more so this has been a really explosive offense. They also rank 10th in the nation in tempo. Ole Miss will continue to push the tempo here, and I don't see this weak Vanderbilt defense doing a good slowing them down. Vanderbilt has allowed 34 plays of 20 yards or more this season. Vanderbilt's offensive numbers don't look very good so far this year, but they have played some excellent defenses. The Commodores offense should be good enough to put up a decent number against a weak Ole Miss defense here. I had this number in the mid 60's. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Rice v. UAB UNDER 44 | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Rice Owls have done a good job staying in games by running the football consistently and using up the play clock. Rice is much better defensively than they were a year ago as well. The coaching staff knows they don't have much of a chance at all in high scoring games, and they are doing a nice job dictating the tempo. UAB's offense is way down from the last couple years. The offensive line went from a strength to a weakness. The Blazers still have a very strong defense, and Bill Clark is a defensive minded coach as well. Expect a lot of running plays and a slow tempo. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Ohio -2.5 v. Buffalo | 21-20 | Loss | -109 | 121 h 7 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Ohio* The Buffalo Bulls have a lot of question marks right now. We don't even know who will be under center for Buffalo in this game. The Bulls are running on 70% of their plays this year, and the fact that they are highly predictable makes them easier to prepare for this year. Ohio has a star quarterback in Nathan Rourke. The Bobcats were the clear favorites in the MAC East for a good reason. I think some people are too low on them at this point based on their slow start, but they have lost to three good teams. While Buffalo went to Miami (Ohio) last week, Ohio had the week off after a tough loss to Louisiana. The Bobcats should be very well prepared for this one. Ohio has the higher upside and we get a chance to buy low on them based on a slow start. Ohio is top 25 in the nation in special teams, and Buffalo ranks in the bottom 10 teams in the nation in special teams. Take Ohio. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Air Force v. Navy UNDER 46 | 25-34 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* When these two teams get together, I like to look for the under. Both of these offenses usually have the upper hand against a normal opponent because that opponent isn't accustomed to facing the triple option. That isn't the case when they play each other though. Both of these defenses see almost exactly the same offense they will face in this game every day in practice. That gives the defense a strong advantage. Also, both of these teams run the ball at such a high rate and play at a slow tempo. We should see some drives that take a ton of time off the game clock. Take the under. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Marshall v. Middle Tennessee State OVER 53 | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The MTSU Blue Raiders offense has really impressed me so far this year. MTSU ranks 45th in the nation in yards per play despite facing Michigan, Iowa, and Duke in three of their four games thus far. They are airing it out eraly and often, and Marshall's secondary has been really weak so far this year. Marshall has been doing damage on the ground this season. Marshall ranks 17th in the nation in yards per carry. MTSU ranks 122nd in yards per carry allowed. The Thundering Herd have multiple running options in the backfield at all times, and I would expect some big plays from them here. Both teams prefer to play at a pretty brisk pace normally, and I think there will be enough possessions here. The hot temperature (90 degrees) is helpful too- overs have done well in hot weather games in the past. Take the over. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | TCU v. Iowa State UNDER 48 | 24-49 | Loss | -111 | 119 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* I view both of these teams as having clearly better defenses than offenses. Iowa State has had some unfortunate bounces and they have had poor luck on red zone defense. The Cyclones are 23rd in the nation in yards per play allowed though, and they have played some solid offenses. TCU ranks 9th in the nation in yards per play allowed. Gary Patterson's team is almost always well prepared defensively. There is bad weather in the forecast here, which is clearly another positive. With wind and rain that should make both of these offenses even more conservative and predictable. Look for a close low scoring battle here. Take the under. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Jaguars v. Broncos -3 | 26-24 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Broncos* Gardner Minshew is a nice story and I do like him, but I think the hype about Minshew has gotten a little out of control. He came in against a poor Chiefs defense and put up numbers. He then played relatively well against a Titans team that looked flat. Minshew must now go to play at elevation against a Broncos defense that is better than they have shown in the early going this year. The Broncos defense actually did play better in Green Bay last week, and I think their pass rush will finally show up here. Denver is a desperate team, and Jacksonville hasn't been a team to follow up success with another good game in the past. The Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. Denver is more accustomed to the conditions here, and heavy winds during this game should help the Broncos here. Denver is more committed to the ground game than Jacksonville, and I think the wind could throw off Minshew quite a bit here. Jacksonville is still a team with a lot of question marks. Minshew hasn't proven himself as a good NFL quarterback yet, and the Jalen Ramsey saga isn't helpful (he won't play here). Take Denver. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 42.5 | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 58 h 31 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The New England Patriots defense has allowed 3 points so far this year. New England has certainly played some weak offenses so far this year, but the Patriots have a top two or three defense in the NFL. I love their defensive schemes, and I think they will give Buffalo a lot of trouble here. Buffalo scored only 17 points on the Jets and 21 on a subpar Bengals defense. The Bills offense still has a ton of question marks for me. I think Josh Allen is a gamer and I like the fight he puts up, but this Patriots defense is likely to give him and the Bills offense significant trouble. The Bills defense is a top six or seven defense in the NFL. New England is dealing with a lot of injuries on the offensive side of the ball. The offensive line is a particular area of concern right now for New England. Edelman is banged up on the outside as well. A divisional game like this with two excellent defenses- I like this one to be low scoring. Take the under. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Redskins +3 v. Giants | 3-24 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Redskins* The New York Giants have some massive injuries. Barkley is one of the best running backs in the country. He does everything for this offense. Daniel Jones had a good first game against Tampa Bay, but it will be difficult for him to succeed in the long run without Golden Tate on the outside and without Barkley in the backfield. The New York Giants secondary is graded as the worst in the NFL in the past decade by Pro Football Focus. They have been absolutely dreadful so far this year. Washington is going to air it out early and often. Case Keenum does have some good receivers and the Giants don't have much of a pass rush. I would expect the Redskins to be able to move the ball a lot here. The Giants are getting too much love because of the Danny Dimes talk all week. This is still a very weak Giants team. Alec Ogletree is out on the defense and he is their best defender. The defense was terrible even with him. They are even worse now. Washington has played a very tough schedule thus far. This is easily the worst team they have played this year. I'll take the points with Washington, and I think they have a good chance to win outright. Take Washington. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Raiders v. Colts OVER 45 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 33 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* Low totals in domes have been good plays on the over in the NFL in the last decade. That is especially true in non-division games like this one. The Oakland Raiders defense is a bottom three or four defense in the NFL. I really like the Colts offensive play callers and I think Jacoby Brissett is better than most people realize. Look for the Colts to have a good game plan ready to take advantage of this Raiders defense. The Colts play a soft zone and the Raiders should be able to use their short passing game to move it down the field here. Indianapolis has a bunch of key injuries on defense. The secondary was their weakness to begin with, and Malik Hooker is a big loss for them. The sharp money likes the over here, and I have to agree. This is a low total for a game in a dome and between two teams with clear defensive problems. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | UNLV v. Wyoming UNDER 47.5 | 17-53 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The forecast in Laramie calls for 20-25 mph sustained winds with gusts to 40 mph during this game. That kind of wind is enough to make a huge difference in a game. Wyoming and UNLV are already fairly predictable offensively. These are two bottom five passing offenses in the nation. The passing game will be even less of an option with this weather. Expect both teams to load up the box and dare their opposition to try to throw it over them. UNLV plays at a moderate pace, and Wyoming plays very slowly. UNLV does have a lot of potential in the running game normally, but Wyoming is 13th in the nation in ypc allowed. Wyoming's running attack will move the ball here, but it should take a lot of time off the clock. Field goals will definitely be difficult in this weather as well. Take the under. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Arkansas State v. Troy OVER 56.5 | 50-43 | Win | 100 | 123 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The pace between these two should be especially quick. Arkansas State has a backup quarterback here or this would have been a bigger play for me. I still think the Red Wolves can have enough offensive success here though. Troy has been excellent on offense thus far this year, and I think they can take advantage of a weak Arkansas State secondary. Troy has big play ability and they have a veteran signal caller. Both defenses have given up a bunch of explosive this year. Look for a quick pace with plenty of big plays to get us to a relatively low total. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | New Mexico v. Liberty -7 | 10-17 | Push | 0 | 24 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Liberty* The New Mexico Lobos are in a brutal scheduling spot here. New Mexico traveled to Notre Dame two weeks ago. They then returned all the way back to home to face their rivals from New Mexico State. That was a hard fought game all the way. Now, they make the long trip to Virginia to take on Liberty. Liberty has been at home the last couple weeks, and the Flames have played better football of late. Liberty's passing attack is much improved recently, and New Mexico's single biggest weakness is in their secondary. New Mexico will score plenty of points here too, and this will be a high scoring game, but I think it is likely Liberty will have more in the tank when it comes to energy here. I'll take the home team in the much better situational spot. Take Liberty. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | USC v. Washington UNDER 61.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Washington Huskies are typically a pretty conservative team under Chris Petersen. Petersen is a great coach, and he should have his team ready for this game. Clay Helton isn't a good coach. USC has a lot of talent, but it's hard to say how prepared they will be here. USC starts quarterback Matt Fink here. Fink had good numbers last week against Utah, but he threw a lot of jump balls that ended up working out. Washington's secondary is definitely better than the Utah secondary though, and I'm not confident Fink will look as good here. Washington should have the lead here, and they play at a slow tempo. They will run it more often late in the game if they are in the lead. Also important to note is the weather. The forecast calls for a 50% chance of showers during this game in the pacific northwest. There will be 11 mph winds and gusts to 22 mph. That is definitely a positive for the under. Take the under. |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis -10.5 | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* I really like this Memphis Tigers football team. Mike Norvell is an excellent coach, and his team is looking for revenge from a 22-21 loss to Navy in the driving rain in Annapolis last year. Last year's loss to Navy was a misleading final score as well. Memphis turned the ball over 4 times in that one compared to only one turnover from Navy. The Tigers averaged 7.71 yards per play. Navy averaged only 4.00 yards per play. Memphis' defense is much improved this year, and Navy doesn't have enough of a passing attack to keep them honest here. The Tigers front four is much stronger this season. I like Adam Fuller a lot as the new Memphis defensive coordinator. Memphis has had extra time to prepare for the triple option here since they didn't play this past Saturday. The Tigers definitely had this game circled since Navy has beaten them 3 of their last 4 meetings. Navy has played only two teams and they are both very weak opponents. Memphis gets revenge and shows their strength here. Take Memphis. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Texans v. Chargers OVER 48.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The LA Chargers have been ruining all kinds of chances to score with turnovers and stalled out drives deep in opponents territory. The Chargers have played two pretty good defenses so far this year, and LA still ranks 4th in the NFL in yards per play. Rivers is still a good quarterback and he is surrounded by quite a few weapons. The Houston Texans offense has a lot of potential. As long as they open it up enough here and throw the ball early and often, I see this as a matchup where they can score plenty of points. Deshaun Watson is a really good quarterback, and he has tremendous wide receivers. The Chargers secondary is badly banged up, and Houston has a big edge at wide receiver. The Texans biggest weakness now is also in the secondary. Their defensive line isn't quite as strong as it was a year ago either. Look for Rivers to do some damage on this Texans secondary. I see both passing games having a clear edge here. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 43.5 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 121 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Green Bay Packers I view as an under team at least early in the season. This Green Bay defense is much better than they were a year ago. I like their athleticism and speed at all positions. Denver's offense is very weak. Joe Flacco simply isn't the answer, and Denver is going to struggle all year on offense. They simply aren't explosive enough. I see the Broncos as a team who tries to play fairly conservative offensively, and they don't have enough weapons either. Green Bay's offensive tempo has been very slow so far this year. The Packers new offense hasn't worked well thus far. Green Bay is 2-0 because of their defense. The Packers offense is 30th in the NFL in yards per play so far this year, behind the Chicago Bears and just ahead of the New York Jets. The weather could be helpful here. The long-term forecast calls for 15 mph winds during this game and a chance of rain. Wind certainly helps the under. Take the under here. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Raiders v. Vikings -8 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 105 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Minnesota Vikings* The Minnesota Vikings are in a nice bounce back spot here. Minnesota is still an excellent defense, and Kirk Cousins has shown the ability to look good against bad defenses in the past. The Oakland Raiders defense looked good in week one against Denver, but I think the Broncos offense is going to make a lot of defenses look good this year. Jon Gruden's team is missing a lot of key players due to injury already this year. On the other side, the Vikings are pretty healthy at this point in the season. The Raiders have been able to sneak up on some teams at home, but they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Minnesota is 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 home games. The Vikings are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 coming off a straight up loss. I see this as a one-sided contest. Take Minnesota. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Ball State v. NC State OVER 58 | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Ball State Cardinals offense looks different this year with Drew Plitt at quarterback. Ball State is airing it out far more often than they did in recent seasons. Plitt has thrown 11 touchdowns and only 3 interceptions so far this year. He is completing a whopping 70.6% of his passes. Ball State ranks 10th in the nation in tempo. They will try to play as quickly as possible here. They are also likely to be behind, which should make them play even quicker and be even more pass heavy. The Cardinals offense has been much better than most expected this season. NC State has gotten decent production from their offense this year, and Ball State's defense is very weak. Ball State has very little pass rush, and I think they'll give up quite a few big plays here. While NC State's defense is good, they are much better against the run than the pass. This secondary isn't great and I think Ball State can score enough to get over this reasonable total. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Georgia State v. Texas State OVER 60 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 124 h 36 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Over* Texas State ranks 19th in tempo so far this year. Georgia State ranks 24th in the nation in tempo. Two top 25 teams in pace of play should mean a lot of possessions here. Georgia State ranks 129th out of 130 teams in the country in yards per play allowed. Texas State ranks 119th in yards per play allowed. These two defenses have been terrible. Texas State is allowing nearly 6 yards per play, and Georgia State is going to run it early and often here. They should be able to expose the weakness of the Texas State run defense here. Texas State's new OC Bob Stitt wants them to air it out early and often. How much are they throwing it? Texas State has thrown the football on a whopping 68% of their offensive plays so far this year. If it weren't for some terrible turnovers in plus territory, Texas State's offense would have scored a lot more points so far this year. Plenty of tempo from both teams and two very weak offenses. Take the over. 5 Star TOP Play. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | South Alabama v. UAB UNDER 51 | 3-35 | Win | 100 | 120 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* UAB has typically been a good rushing offense, but the Blazers are averaging only 3.24 ypc yards per carry so far this year. That's bad to start with, but when you consider they have played Alabama State and Akron that is especially bad. UAB does still have a very solid defense. Though they have played two bad teams, they have allowed only 20 plays of 10 yards or more and 7 plays of 20 yards or more. South Alabama has improved defensively from a year ago. This is a team that is being coached to try to avoid giving up the big play this year. UAB moves slowly so even when they score it is likely to take quite a bit of time. Take the under. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Wyoming v. Tulsa -3 | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 84 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Tulsa* The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are the side for me here. Wyoming is a straight fade. Wyoming was extremely fortunate to win in week one at home against Missouri. That was a very misleading final score. They then were outplayed by Texas State, but Texas State's turnovers let them narrowly cover and win that contest. Last weekend, Wyoming nearly lost at home to lowly Idaho. Wyoming was 4/12 passing in that game against a terrible defense. Wyoming is net negative yards per play on the year even though they have played two really weak teams in their last two games. The Cowboys are +5 in turnover margin on the season thus far. They are one of the worst 3-0 teams you will ever see. Tulsa's defense has been very solid this year. They did a nice job against Michigan State, and actually held down a prolific Oklahoma State offense for quite a while. I expect them to load up the box and try to force Wyoming to beat them through the air. I don't think Wyoming can do it. This is a cheap price on the home team as we fade an overrated Wyoming team. Take Tulsa. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Temple v. Buffalo +15.5 | 22-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Buffalo* The Buffalo Bulls are a well-coached team. Lance Leipold wasn't happy with his team after last week's loss at Liberty. Buffalo comes back home and gets to take on a big name opponent who just knocked off Maryland last week. The Bulls will be up for this one. Temple is coached by Rod Carey, and I think he is a much weaker coach than Leipold. Temple is coming off a big win over Maryland last weekend. The Temple defense was great in that game. Temple goes to play Georgia Tech, where they'll face off against Geoff Collins, their old coach. This is a tough spot for the Owls. Buffalo will look to run the ball as much as they can and slow the pace. With a low total, this is a lot of points for Temple to be laying against a decent opponent. I don't think we know yet that Temple is a really good team, and I'll take the points in this one. Take Buffalo. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse OVER 63 | 33-52 | Win | 100 | 117 h 44 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Western Michigan Broncos have a really strong offense. Western Michigan has very nice balance. They rank 9th in the nation in yards per play. The Broncos have 22 plays of 20 yards or more already this season. The Syracuse defense has been a disappointment. The Orange have allowed a whopping 48 plays of 10 yards or more already this season. Syracuse's offense hasn't looked good so far this year. They have played a pretty tough schedule though, and Western Michigan's defense is very weak. Remember, Western Michigan's defense made Michigan State's very weak offense look great just a couple weeks ago. Syracuse will push the pace, and their offense should look a lot better here. Western Michigan's offense should be able to move the ball a lot as well. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -3.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 78 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Tulane* I like this matchup for Tulane. The Green Wave are excellent at stopping the run, and Houston's offense hasn't been able to throw the ball this year. While King is a good athlete and solid quarterback, he seems to have regressed in Dana Holgorsen's offense. Tulane's defensive front is really good, and I expect them to be in the backfield pretty often here. Tulane has an improved offense under new coordinator Will Hall. Justin McMillan is capable of throwing it better than Tulane's quarterbacks have in the past. The spread option running game from Tulane is still very strong. Houston ranks 117th in the nation in ypc allowed, and that is going to be a problem against Tulane. Houston put a lot into last week's contest against Washington State, where they came up short. Tulane had an easy win over Missouri State. The spot favors Tulane, and the matchups favor the home team also. Take Tulane. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Chiefs v. Raiders OVER 53.5 | 28-10 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Kansas City Chiefs have consistently been better on offense on the road than at home. That isn't common at all, but under Andy Reid they are averaging almost 3 points per game more on the road than at home. In fact, the over is 16-5 in the Chiefs last 21 road games. The defense has been even worse on the road, and the offense has stepped up away from home. Oakland's defense looked pretty good against Denver this past Monday night, but I don't have to tell you there is a huge difference in looking good against the Denver Broncos offense led by Joe Flacco and this KC offense led by Patrick Mahomes. Even without Hill, there are more than enough weapons here to take advantage of a weak Oakland secondary that is now without a starting safety as well. Oakland's offense didn't have to do much in the second half against Denver, but they'll need to keep pushing to score here. Derek Carr has better players around him this year, and he knows the system better now as well. The Chiefs defense is a clear weakness, and I expect Oakland to connect on some big plays here. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Vikings v. Packers UNDER 45 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 140 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* The Green Bay Packers defense looked excellent in week one. I know the Bears aren't a great offense by any means, but I liked what I saw from the Packers in terms of speed and athleticism on defense. Minnesota has a top five defense in the NFL. The Vikings won't make it easy on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in their new offense. Green Bay looked very shaky offensively in week one. This is a divisional rivalry, and these games have stayed under the total far more often than they have gone over. The long range weather shows 15 mph winds for this game which is just an added bonus. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Seahawks v. Steelers -3.5 | 28-26 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on the Steelers* The Pittsburgh Steelers are in a buy low spot here. They were absolutely thumped by the Patriots this past weekend. The Patriots are the best team in the NFL though, and Pittsburgh should bounce back from that loss. The Seattle Seahawks were extremely fortunate to beat the lowly Cincinnati Bengals at home last weekend. They were outgained by nearly 200 yards in that one. If it weren't for the Bengals turnover problems, the Seahawks would have lost to a team most have power rated as one of the four or five worst in the NFL. Seattle's secondary is a weakness now. It seems strange to even think that after they had the dominant secondary for so many years recently, but those guys are gone and many teams will pick on this secondary. Russell Wilson is very good, but the offensive line for the Seahawks isn't good in pass protection. The Steelers run defense should be good with Bush as a strong addition at linebacker this year. I think they'll do a good job stopping Seattle's limited offense. Seattle isn't a very good team. I think the Steelers are a solid team, and this is a great chance to buy them low in a great bounce back spot at home. Take Pittsburgh. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Texas State v. SMU OVER 58 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 122 h 28 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Over* Texas State’s new offensive scheme is a good one. They couldn’t get anything going against Texas A&M, but they moved the ball easily against Wyoming. Texas State’s turnovers and missed FG’s make it look like their offense wasn’t that good. The score doesn’t reflect how well their offense played. They also played much faster than they did in week one. Bob Stitt’s system is being implemented. SMU looks much better offensively with a good quarterback to run Sonny Dykes’ system. They have put up 37 and 49 points in their first two contests. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Ohio v. Marshall UNDER 52.5 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -112 | 122 h 58 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Under* Both of these teams always circle this game. It’s an important rivalry game for these two schools. These rivalry games make me lean to the under to start with, and in the recent games against each other the under has had value. Ohio has decided to slow the tempo down drastically. They rank as the 9th slowest team in the nation pace wise. Marshall is also slightly slower than an average team in tempo. This is too high of a number. Take the under. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Southern Miss v. Troy OVER 50 | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 121 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Troy Trojans offense will likely throw the ball a lot this year with a veteran quarterback and a good group of wide receivers. Southern Miss had an elite defense last year, but they lost a ton of players from that unit. The Golden Eagles aren't bad defensively, but they aren't close to last year's level. Southern Miss is playing quicker and they are going to take more shots downfield in their new offensive scheme. Look for them to be able to get some big gainers on a Troy secondary that is questionable. This total is a few points too low. The over is 40-17 in Troy's last 57 non-conference games. Take the over. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | UMass v. Charlotte OVER 66 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The UMass Minutemen defense is atrocious. They allowed 48 points against a terrible Rutgers offense in week one. They then gave up 45 points to Southern Illinois (a subpar FCS team) in week two. I’ve been really impressed with the Charlotte offense under their new head coach. They rolled up more than 500 yards of offense against Appalachian State last week. UMass has allowed a ridiculous 33 plays of 10 yards or more in just two games. Charlotte has been explosive on offense already this year. They have 34 plays of 10 yards or more offensively in two games. Both of these teams rank in the bottom 25 of the country in total defense. UMass should score enough here, and Charlotte is likely to put up a big number. Take the over. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.