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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-04-14 | Kent State v. Northern Illinois -24 | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 86 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Blowout Special* The Kent State Golden Flashes have a terrible team this year. Ohio State beat them 66-0 and that was with Ohio State easing off the gas in the 4th quarter. Kent State is worn down after playing Ohio State and then Virginia. They now must take on the best team in the MAC in Northern Illinois. The Huskies will run it down their throat with Cameron Stingily. Northern Illinois is anxious to prove they are the top team to beat in the MAC, and this is a total mismatch on paper. As long as Northern Illinois shows up ready to play this one will get ugly. I expect precisely that to happen. Take Northern Illinois. |
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10-04-14 | Baylor -13 v. Texas | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 139 h 31 m | Show | |
*4 Star Battle of Texas Play* The Baylor Bears were considered little brother for a very long time in Texas. In fact, the Texas Longhorns still have some players who look down on Baylor. Two different Longhorns players made some ridiculous comments during the week this week that will be bulletin board material for Art Briles' Baylor squad. The Bears are a well-oiled machine on offense. Texas' defense can stop Kansas just fine, but they can't handle Baylor. The Bears defensive line is the strength of the stop unit, and Texas' offensive line is very weak. Look for Baylor to put a ton of pressure on the young Longhorns quarterback here. Baylor rolls in Austin. Take Baylor. |
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10-04-14 | Buffalo v. Bowling Green -4 | 35-36 | Loss | -106 | 122 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB MAC ATS Value* The Bowling Green Falcons already beat Indiana at home earlier this year. That game was James Knapke's first at the helm of the Bowling Green offense, but Knapke has shown he has plenty of skills since then. He threw for 443 yards last weekend in a win over UMass. Buffalo's defense is way worse than they were a year ago, and Bowling Green has the players to expose the Bulls weaknesses. The line here surprised me quite a bit, as I was prepared to take Bowling Green all the way up to -6.5. The home team shows lots of value in this contest. Take Bowling Green. |
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10-04-14 | Stanford v. Notre Dame UNDER 45.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Stanford/Notre Dame Total* The Stanford Cardinal have the number one ranked defense in the nation. They are first in the nation at defending the pass. Notre Dame's offense is totally reliant on throwing the football right now. The Fighting Irish have no running game and they won't be able to run it against Stanford. The Stanford offense has taken a definite step backward without any elite running back in their stable this year. Notre Dame's defense has been very solid this year. This game will be played in windy conditions that make it tougher to throw which helps the under a lot here. Take the under in this one. |
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10-04-14 | Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 51 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 93 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star Alabama/Ole Miss TOP Total* The Alabama Crimson Tide defense is still elite. Alabama has totally dominated against the Ole Miss offense in recent years, and I think they'll fare very well against them again in this one. Bo Wallace is far too turnover prone, and he makes way too many bad decisions against a swarming defense like Alabama. The Rebels have scored a grand total of 21 points in their last three games against Alabama. Last year, Alabama pitched a shutout against Ole Miss. The Rebels defense is tremendous this year as well. While Blake Sims has been very good so far this year, this will be his toughest test thus far. The Rebels secondary hits hard and flies around the field. I see a low scoring game all the way here as both defenses flex their muscles. Take the under big! |
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10-04-14 | Navy v. Air Force UNDER 56 | Top | 21-30 | Win | 100 | 59 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month* The Air Force Falcons and Navy Midshipmen both run the triple option. What does that mean? It means that both of these teams practice against the triple option on defense every single day. That's a huge advantage for the defenses in this game. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these teams, and the familiarity with the offense is absolutely the reason why. The main advantage of running a triple option offense is that most defenses aren't well prepared to defend it. That is not the case this weekend. Both teams will run it almost every down, which keeps the clock ticking away. I made the total on this game 48 points, so more than a touchdown lower than this line. The under is 6-0 in Navy's last 6 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. The under is 6-0 in Navy's last 6 after throwing for 170 yards or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 2-0 in the last 2 games between these teams. A 23-0 angle. Take the under big! |
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10-04-14 | UMass v. Miami (OH) OVER 55 | 41-42 | Win | 100 | 92 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are a much better team than they were a year ago. Miami has the nation's longest losing streak at 21 games, but they have a real shot to snap that losing streak on Saturday. UMass' secondary is atrocious, and Miami's Andrew Hendrix is a quality quarterback. Chuck Martin is the new coach at Miami and he brings a much better offensive philosophy. UMass' defense is still terrible, but their passing game has been good this year as well. They have put up 38 points or more twice this year. I think this one gets into the 60's. The over is 4-0 in UMass' last 4. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after running for 100 yards or less last game. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-04-14 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron UNDER 49.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 92 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star MAC Total Value* The Akron Zips and Eastern Michigan Eagles meet Saturday in Akron. The weather will be a factor here as showers and strong winds are expected in Akron on Saturday afternoon. Eastern Michigan's offense is dreadfully terrible. The Eagles "passing attack" is averaging just barely more than 3 yards per passing attempt this year, which is downright awful. Akron's defense has shown some major improvement this year, and the Eagles should struggle to score. Terry Bowden has never been one to run it up a great deal, so I think Akron is happy with a comfortable win here. I had this number at 45 points. Take the under. |
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09-28-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 53 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Dallas Cowboys defense has looked slightly better than expected so far this year, but I believe that might be largely because of the teams they have played against. The 49ers offense has struggled this year, and the Titans and Rams offenses aren't very good. New Orleans' offense is definitely one of the best in the league, and the Saints are going to test the Cowboys in a big way. I don't think the Dallas defense will be able to hold their own against this group. New Orleans puts up a big number. The Cowboys have some great balance on offense right now, and the Saints defense has looked shaky. I see a back and forth affair with both offenses lighting up the scoreboard. Take the over. |
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09-28-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 47 | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* Teddy Bridgewater is the new starting quarterback for the Minnesota Vikings after the injury to Matt Cassel. Bridgewater should end up being a good quarterback, but I think the Vikings need to keep the playbook pretty vanilla for him early in his career. The Vikings aren't nearly as good of a team without their main star in Adrian Peterson and now opposing teams can really get after the quarterback without the big running threat in Minnesota. Minnesota's defense is improving fast with Mike Zimmer in as the team's new coach. Zimmer is a mastermind on the defensive side of the ball, and I love the way he has this team playing. They did very well last week against a Saints offense that is fantastic. This game will be played outdoors, which limits Matt Ryan's effectiveness. The under is 7-1 in the Falcons last 8 games after scoring 30 points or more last game. The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. |
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09-28-14 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. San Diego Chargers OVER 44.5 | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 47 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been awful this year. San Diego's offense is likely to have a field day here. Phillip Rivers is really playing well right now, and the Chargers have a plethora of weapons for Rivers to get the ball to on the outside. Blake Bortles came in and helped the Jaguars offense get moving last week. San Diego's defense isn't bad, but they aren't an elite unit. I expect Bortles to help the Jaguars offense quite a bit right away. Both teams should have plenty of opportunities to put the ball in the end zone here. A very reasonable number here. Take the over. |
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09-28-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Houston Texans UNDER 41 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 58 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills are both teams that are led by their strong defenses. Buffalo used to have a weak defense, but they have corrected that problem. It starts with a tremendous defensive line led by Mario Williams and Marcell Dareus. All three of the Bills games so far this year have stayed under the total, and that includes their season opener with Chicago that went into overtime. The Texans defense is strong as well. Houston is without Clowney, but they still have Watt, Cushing, and a secondary full of very good players. Both offenses have question marks at the quarterback spot and they struggle to put together long drives. I like the defenses to have the upper hand in this one. The under is 4-0 in the Bills last 4 September games. The under is 4-0 in the Texans last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in the Texans last 4 following an ATS defeat. A 12-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-28-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Baltimore Ravens -3 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 58 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Baltimore Ravens are a really tough team to beat on their home field. Baltimore started the season with a tough loss at home against Cincinnati, but the Bengals look as good as anyone in the NFL so far this year. They bounced back with wins over the Steelers and Browns the last two weeks. Joe Flacco is gaining confidence in the team's new offensive system, and I like the look of this offensive line. Steve Smith was a huge pickup for the Ravens as he gives the team a go to guy on the outside. Carolina is a team I'm low on this year. The Panthers defense isn't quite as good as last year, and Cam Newton doesn't have enough play makers surrounding him. The Ravens defense is very good, and they'll pressure Newton a lot in this one. The Ravens take care of business at home. Take Baltimore. |
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09-27-14 | Nevada -4.5 v. San Jose State | 21-10 | Win | 100 | 68 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB West Coast Cash* The San Jose State Spartans and Nevada Wolfpack meet in a rivalry game on Saturday night. Nevada crushed San Jose State last year despite the Spartans looking like the better team going into that game. Now the Spartans are without last year's star quarterback David Fales, and their offense is a total mess. Nevada's secondary is solid, and I think San Jose State will really struggle to throw it on them. Nevada's quarterback is Cody Fajardo and he's a talented guy. Now that he is healthy again, we're starting to see impressive things from him. Nevada is the better team and sharp money has been backing them all week. Take Nevada. |
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09-27-14 | Oregon State v. USC -8.5 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon State Beavers have looked good so far this year, but they haven't played anyone. That will change Saturday night as they go take on a ticked off USC team. There really is no excuse for the way USC played at Boston College two weeks ago, but they have had two weeks to think about it and get better. Steve Sarkisian's team should come out ready to go from the kickoff in this one. Last time Steve Sarkisian coached against Oregon State he took his Washington Huskies into Corvallis last year and won 69-27. I think he has plenty of tricks up his sleeve for the Oregon State defense this week. USC's defense was embarrassed two weeks ago, and this elite unit should bounce back in a big way here. Public perception has driven this line down too far. Take USC. |
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09-27-14 | Duke v. Miami (Fla) OVER 60.5 | 10-22 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star Duke/Miami Total* The Miami Hurricanes and Duke Blue Devils have had tons of offensive fireworks the last two times they have played each other, and I see no reason to expect anything different this time. Duke's offense isn't missing a beat this year with Boone and Sirk at quarterback. They are improved in the backfield as well. Miami's defense has some serious problems and that certainly showed up last week when they allowed 41 points against a one-dimensional Nebraska offense. Miami has a freshman quarterback, but he's able to have some pretty solid success thanks to the parts around him. The Hurricanes have a star in Duke Johnson at running back, and the play makers at wide receiver are among the best in the nation. I set this total at 68 points. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Missouri v. South Carolina OVER 62 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Missouri/South Carolina Total DOMINATION* The South Carolina Gamecocks secondary has some major problems this year. We saw that not only against Texas A&M, but also against East Carolina and even Vanderbilt at times. Maty Mauk is a far better player than most believe, and he should be able to lead this Tigers offense up and down the field. South Carolina's offensive line will have a big advantage here, and the Gamecocks should run right up and down the field against a Missouri defense that was torched by Indiana last week and struggled against Toledo earlier this year. I also expect this to be a very close game, and there is always a chance we get helped by overtime. The over is 7-0 in Missouri's last 7 games following a game where they had zero turnovers. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass. An 11-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Texas-San Antonio v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 48.5 | 37-41 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Under Radar Total* The UTSA Roadrunners play tremendous defense under the leadership of Larry Coker. Coker is one of the most underrated coaches in the nation. This team totally shut down a very good Houston offense in week one. They were overmatched last game against Oklahoma State, but they'll matchup just fine against Florida Atlantic. The Owls defense is the strength of their team as well. Both of these teams like to play slowly and limit possessions, which is a big help when betting the under. I see very few big plays in this one. Look for long drives and field goals throughout this contest. Take the under. |
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09-27-14 | South Alabama v. Idaho OVER 56.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Idaho Vandals are quietly becoming a pretty good offensive team. Paul Petrino is a good offensive mind, and he has a solid freshman quarterback in Linehan. Idaho should be able to score points on everyone on their schedule this year, but their issues are on the defensive side of the football. The Vandals defense is shredded to pieces on a weekly basis. South Alabama's offense has had a hard time in their last couple games, but a matchup with the Idaho defense should help fix their problems in a hurry. Idaho hasn't allowed less than 36 points in a game yet this year. Plenty of points to go around in this one. The over is 4-0 in Idaho's last 4 home games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 on turf. The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 conference games. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Stanford v. Washington +8 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Washington Huskies haven't played particularly well so far this year, but I see plenty of potential in this team. Washington is going to end up being a good team, and I really like the way this program is going with Chris Petersen as their head coach. Cyler Miles is an athletic quarterback who can make plays. Washington's run defense is solid this year. Stanford no longer has an elite running game, and I don't think Kevin Hogan is a play maker by himself. The Cardinal no longer have an elite defensive front either, and that will hurt them against strong Pac 12 teams. Many people overlook the Washington home field advantage, but you shouldn't. This is a great home field advantage (worth at least 5 points in my opinion). Washington played poorly last week, but they'll be up for this one. Stanford has two shutout wins, but shutting out Army and UC Davis means very little to me. Washington plus the points is a strong value play. In his career, a Chris Petersen coached team has never lost by more than 6 points at home in 54 games, so that's a strong 54-0 ATS trend by itself. Stanford is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win by 20 points or more. A 63-0 angle here. Take Washington. |
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09-27-14 | Louisiana Tech v. Auburn OVER 61 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 38 h 60 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Mismatch Total* The Auburn Tigers like to play fast, and everyone knows that. Auburn will relish the opportunity to fix some of their offensive problems from their last game against Kansas State. Coach Malzahn is an offensive guru, and I know he had to be frustrated by the Tigers lack of efficiency on offense that game. Louisiana Tech's defense will be totally outclassed, and Auburn isn't going to let off the gas early in this one. Auburn could certainly put up 50 points by themselves in this one and it wouldn't be a surprise to me. Louisiana Tech's offense is much improved with Sokol at QB and lots of depth at running back. I expect them to be able to score some on an average Tigers defense. I lined this one at 68 points. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Miami (OH) v. Buffalo OVER 56 | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 62 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals Takedown* The Buffalo Bulls lost Khalil Mack after last year. He might have been the single most dominant defensive player in the nation last year. Not surprisingly, the Bulls defense has taken a major step backward this year. Miami (OH) didn't win a game last year, and they haven't won this year so far. Still, the Redhawks are clearly a much better team this year. The reason they have gotten much better is their offensive improvements. Hendrix is their quarterback and he used to be at Notre Dame. Chuck Martin is the new head coach and he worked with Hendrix in the past. Miami has been moving the ball much better so far this year. I made this line 62 points. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Bowling Green v. UMass OVER 64.5 | 47-42 | Win | 100 | 94 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star MAC Total* The Bowling Green Falcons are a team I've done well with for 'over' plays this season. Dino Babers has implemented a new system for Bowling Green. The Falcons are playing extremely fast and scoring tons of points. The problem for them is they are also giving up loads of points. I never expected the Bowling Green defense to be this bad after being a strong unit in the past couple years, but for the purpose of playing overs that is an added benefit. UMass is a bad team in general, and they have given up tons of points to poor offenses already this year (Colorado, Vanderbilt, etc). Bowling Green likely puts up a really big number here. UMass is better on offense this year, and everyone has moved the ball easily on BG's defense. Take the over. **Please note this line has moved in a big way since I selected this game on Tuesday- I would play the over for 4 stars up to 66 points and for 3 stars up to 71 points. Thank you.** |
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09-27-14 | Maryland v. Indiana OVER 69 | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star Big 10 Totals TKO* The Indiana Hoosiers picked up a stunning road win at Missouri last week. That win certainly shocked me, and I think the Hoosiers played Missouri at the right time since they caught the Tigers looking ahead to South Carolina. Indiana's defense is among the worst in the nation. They were ripped for 39 first downs in a loss to Bowling Green. The Falcons had a backup quarterback playing in that game. Maryland's defense has been really disappointing this year as well, and injuries are costing them in a big way. Look for Diggs and the rest of the Terrapins wide receivers to have a field day against Indiana's pass defense. Indiana has play makers at RB and WR and they'll have a big day too. I think this game gets to the mid 70's. Take the over. |
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09-27-14 | Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -14 | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB SEC ATS Play* The Kentucky Wildcats are a team I'm high on compared to most people. I think others are starting to raise expectations a bit for Kentucky after they nearly beat Florida in Gainesville earlier this year though. The Wildcats had two weeks to prepare for this game, and Stoops' team should be ready to go. It's been a very long time since Kentucky won an SEC game, and you better believe this is their best chance to do that. I think they win it and win it big. Vanderbilt has tons of issues and their new coach seems over his head at this point. Kentucky's defense should be dominant in this one, and the Wildcats will roll. Take Kentucky. **Note- The line movement here has been significant- I would play this for 4 stars up to -17 and 3 stars up to -20. Thank you.** |
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09-27-14 | Tulane v. Rutgers UNDER 54 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 91 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Rutgers/Tulane Total* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have their top two running backs injured right now. Gary Nova isn't a very good quarterback, and without James or Huggins in the backfield at tailback this offense isn't any good. Rutgers does have a strong front seven on defense though, and I think they'll make it really tough for Tulane to move the football. Tulane's defense is better than most believe, and the Green Wave have played in a lot of low scoring games in the past two seasons. My numbers made this total 49 points, so I see solid value on this game. Look for a sloppy performance from the two offenses. Take the under. |
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09-25-14 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -13.5 | 35-45 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oklahoma State Cowboys impressed me in a huge way in their season opener against Florida State. The Cowboys showed a bunch of team speed and depth at a lot of positions. While JW Walsh is now out for the season at the quarterback spot, I think backup Daax Garman might be the better player anyways. Garman looks very comfortable in this offense, and I don't see Texas Tech's poor defense doing anything to make him uncomfortable. The Cowboys can run the ball better than they have in the past, and they'll run it right down Texas Tech's throat in this one. The Red Raiders run defense is among the worst in the nation. Oklahoma State knows Texas Tech will throw it constantly here, and I expect the Cowboys opportunistic defense to force some turnovers here. Oklahoma State is the much more complete team. Texas Tech is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Big 12 games. They are 0-5 in their last 5 on turf. The Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings overall vs. Texas Tech. A 23-0 angle. Take Oklahoma State. |
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09-21-14 | Denver Broncos v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 142 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Super Bowl Rematch 100% CASH* The Seattle Seahawks dominated the Denver Broncos in last year's Super Bowl. It made that game one of the most boring Super Bowls I've ever seen. The Seahawks defense was totally dominant and Peyton Manning never got going. Seattle's defense is very similar this year, and the Broncos now have to contend with the 12th man in Seattle. I've never seen a better home field advantage in the NFL. The Seahawks now have a healthy Percy Harvin on offense too, and that's worth a lot. Denver's defense is good at rushing the passer, but outside of that I'm not impressed with their defense. The revenge factor has a lot of people taking the Broncos, but Seattle's home field is probably worth at least 5 points. Do you really think the Broncos should be favored on a neutral field after what you saw last year? I don't. Seattle is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 during week 3. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of a touchdown or less. The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on turf. A 20-0 angle. Take Seattle. |
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09-21-14 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 43 | 34-15 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total PERFECTION* The Kansas City Chiefs offense can't seem to get on track. They haven't faced an elite defense this year, but they still have had trouble moving the ball. Jamaal Charles may play here, but he is certainly less than 100 percent with a high ankle sprain. The Dolphins defense has been great this year. Even last week when the team allowed quite a few points against Buffalo, those points were largely scored because of offensive turnovers or special teams plays. The defense was very good. I see the Chiefs defense as a solid unit, especially in the front seven. I'm not sure the Dolphins have the type of team to air it out all game long. I see lots of running in this one, which means a clock that keeps on ticking. The under is 6-0 in the Chiefs last 6 September games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Dolphins last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 after gaining 90 yards or less on the ground. A 14-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-21-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 42 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Cardinals will start Drew Stanton in this game. That should mean a more vanilla offense for the Cardinals this weekend. More running the football and safe short passes are in store. The 49ers haven't played well so far this year, but it hasn't been the defense that has been disappointing. In fact, the defense has played very well in both games. Colin Kaepernick is struggling badly, and I don't see him turning it around against a very good Cardinals defense. This Arizona front seven is tremendous, and they have ball hawks like Patrick Peterson and Tyronn Mathieu in the secondary. I think the defenses dominate throughout this game. The under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Cards last 4 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards. The under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last 5 September games. A 13-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-21-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. New Orleans Saints -9.5 | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 59 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints are 0-2, but don't let that fool you. The Saints are a very good football team. I still think this is a Saints team that has a real shot to be a Super Bowl contender. Obviously being 0-2 makes things a lot more difficult, but the Saints still have 8 games left at home, and everyone knows how good this team is at home. The Minnesota Vikings are a team that I think will move in the right direction in the long run with Zimmer as head coach. In the present though, Minnesota has some major issues without Peterson in the backfield. The Vikings defense is improving, but they aren't good enough to slow down the Saints in the Superdome. I don't see Minnesota's one-dimensional offense being able to keep up. The Saints bounce back in a big way here. Take New Orleans. |
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09-21-14 | Tennessee Titans v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 | 7-33 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Oddsmaker ERROR* Why can't the oddsmakers see how good the Cincinnati Bengals are? Cincinnati is taking care of business at home on a consistent basis, and they even came up with a big road win at Baltimore in the season opener this year. Andy Dalton seems to be much more comfortable in Hue Jackson's offense, and that's a huge deal since Dalton has been the guy holding this offense back. There are tons of weapons around him and A.J. Green is a total beast at wide receiver. The Titans looked good in week one, but that was against a Chiefs team that is way down this year. They laid an egg last week at home against Dallas. Jake Locker will have to face a much better defense than he has faced all year in this one, and I don't think it will go well for him. The Bengals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 September games. The Bengals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. A 17-1 angle. Take Cincinnati. |
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09-21-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions OVER 52 | 7-19 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Lions/Packers Totals CASH* The Detroit Lions have some real issues in the secondary. You better believe Aaron Rodgers is going to spot those weaknesses and take advantage of them on a consistent basis in this one. The Green Bay defense has plenty of problems of their own, and Matt Stafford looks very comfortable in the Lions new offense. Detroit is a really dangerous offense on their home turf. It's hard to imagine either team falling short of the upper 20's in this game. It will be a long day for these defenses. Take the over in this NFC clash. |
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09-21-14 | Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 50 | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Value* The Philadelphia Eagles are going to get their points. Chip Kelly's offense is ultra dynamic with McCoy in the backfield and Foles airing it out. The Redskins defense may be a bit better this year, but they haven't faced a good offense yet. They will in this one, and they'll give up a lot of points. Washington's offense has been running great with Kirk Cousins at quarterback, and at least for now he seems like the better option at QB. The Redskins have a good running game and lots of weapons on the outside. This Eagles defense showed their weaknesses in a big way last Monday night in Indianapolis. Take the over. |
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09-20-14 | UL-Lafayette v. Boise State -17 | 9-34 | Win | 100 | 45 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Boise State Broncos haven't been particularly impressive this year, but I expect that to change in this game. Louisiana-Lafayette is in the middle of a brutal part of their schedule. While the Ragin' Cajuns are the class of the Sun Belt, they simply aren't equipped to take on Louisiana Tech (much improved), then go to Ole Miss and finally go to Boise State in this one. I think you see a very worn out Lafayette team here, and a Boise State offense that gets it going once again on the smurf turf. There will be a major mismatch in the trenches in this game. Boise State beats up on a Ragin' Cajuns team that limps into this game. Take Boise State. |
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09-20-14 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State OVER 64 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 99 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* New Mexico vs. New Mexico State is a solid intrastate rivalry game. These two teams have one thing in common: neither of them are good at all defensively. Both teams give up huge chunks of yardage on a consistent basis. New Mexico rolled up 66 points and 608 yards of offense last year. New Mexico State didn't cash in nearly as often with 17 points, but they did have 451 yards. The Aggies offense looks significantly better so far this year. It's hard to imagine either defense getting many stops in this game. Look for the scoreboard to light up in a big way here. The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 September games. The over is 9-1 in their last 10 after allowing 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The over is 5-0 in New Mexico State's last 5 after allowing 170 passing yards or less last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after rushing for 100 yards or less. A 27-1 angle. Take the over. |
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09-20-14 | Texas State v. Illinois OVER 61.5 | 35-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Illinois Fighting Illini defense allowed 35.4 points per game last year, and they aren't any better this year. Texas State has an underrated quarterback in Tyler Jones. The Bobcats will be able to move the football consistently in this game. On the other side, Illinois' offense has improved with Wes Lunt under center. The Texas State defense is much weaker this year, and I think Illinois' strong offensive front will dominate in the trenches. The Fighting Illini offense has been good this year, and I see them putting up a big number in this game. The Fighting Illini will play fast and put pressure on Texas State right from the start. Take the over in this one. |
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09-20-14 | Indiana v. Missouri -14 | 31-27 | Loss | -105 | 118 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Indiana Hoosiers defense is bad every single year. It continues to amaze me that Indiana can never find anyone to help this defense improve. They were absolutely torched last week by a MAC school (Bowling Green) who was playing with their backup quarterback who had no experience at all. Bowling Green rolled up 39 first down and 571 yards of total offense in that game. Missouri's offense is great with Maty Mauk under center. Mauk is far better than most give him credit for. To be honest, I still don't understand why the oddsmakers won't give Missouri as a whole any credit either. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games. The Tigers are a very good team, and they aren't lined like it. Indiana's offense is good, but not great. Missouri dominated Indiana on the road last year. I think this game gets ugly. Missouri is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 after a win of 20 points or more. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 20 points or less last game. Indiana is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 40 points or more. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 280 yards or more passing last game. A 24-0 angle. Take Missouri. |
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09-20-14 | Army -2 v. Wake Forest | 21-24 | Loss | -114 | 117 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB ATS Value Play* The Army Black Knights can run the football effectively against most teams they play, and Wake Forest's defensive front isn't very good. Wake Forest's offense has been hapless against FBS opponents this year. Army has the best team they have had in many years. Don't let last week's big loss at Stanford change your thoughts on this game. Wake Forest is nothing like Stanford to say the least. The Demon Deacons are among the worst major conference teams we have seen in many years. Army runs the ball well and gets the win and cover. Take Army. |
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09-20-14 | Virginia v. BYU UNDER 50 | 33-41 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars and Virginia Cavs both have terrific defenses. In their matchup last year, neither team was able to get out of the teens. A similar game wouldn't surprise me at all on Saturday afternoon. This Virginia defense has shown how good they are against both UCLA and Louisville this season. BYU's defense is very talented, and the Cougars are always very tough to score against on their home field. The defense is the strength of both teams. Look for Virginia's defense to slow down Taysom Hill, and Virginia's offense is too one-dimensional to be able to have much success against a high quality offense. Take the under. |
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09-20-14 | Florida v. Alabama UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star Florida/Alabama TOP Play Total* The Florida Gators offense should be better under Kurt Roper this year, but I'm not convinced they'll be far better right away against elite defenses. Alabama's defense didn't look great in their season opener against West Virginia, but they were missing leader Trey DePriest at the linebacker spot. In addition, Alabama didn't seem to be terribly interested in that season opener. It was as if they overlooked West Virginia. They aren't going to overlook Florida. This Alabama defense is one of the top five defenses in the country, and I don't see Florida having much success. Florida's defense was solid all of last year despite their horrible record. The Gators defense is very good again this year. Alabama has plenty of question marks at the quarterback spot, and the Gators are going to load up the box in this one. Nick Saban's teams always use up the clock and play slowly. The defenses should have the advantage all the way here. Take the under big! |
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09-20-14 | Hawaii v. Colorado -6.5 | 12-21 | Win | 100 | 60 h 51 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB ATS Home Value* The Colorado Buffaloes showed quite a bit in last week's loss against Arizona State. The Buffaloes outplayed Arizona State in that one and would have probably won the game if they hadn't made some key turnovers and been stopped cold in the red zone a couple times. The competition gets easier this week against Hawaii. While Hawaii is improved, they are now without their star running back and that makes them far more one-dimensional. This is Hawaii's first road game of the year, and playing in altitude in Boulder is a huge difference than playing at home in Hawaii. This is a very good spot for the Buffaloes. I'll fade Hawaii in their first road game here. Take Colorado. |
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09-20-14 | Old Dominion v. Rice -6.5 | 45-42 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Rice Owls went up against Notre Dame and Texas A&M on the road in their first two games. They were humbled in both of those games, but that shouldn't have surprised anyone. This Rice Owls team will still do just fine inside Conference USA. The Owls have a very good running game, and Old Dominion's defense hasn't been able to stop anyone the last couple years. This is the Monarchs first year playing a full FBS schedule. Taylor Heinecke is a very good quarterback, but he is dinged up too. Rice has much more depth and they'll be glad to come home and face a lesser opponent. Cheap price on the Owls here at less than a touchdown. Take Rice. |
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09-18-14 | Auburn v. Kansas State UNDER 66 | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star Auburn/Kansas State Totals CASH* Bill Snyder is a very smart man. Snyder is one of the best coaches in the country, and he absolutely knows that it wouldn't be wise for his Kansas State team to get into an up and down affair with Auburn. The Tigers have far more playmakers and are much more likely to win if it is a high scoring game. Just like they did last year against Baylor, I look for Kansas State to try to milk the clock as much as they can and keep the ball away from Nick Marshall and company. The Auburn defense is a little better than they were a year ago, and Kansas State's offense hasn't impressed me thus far. This is a total that is set too high. I think this one should be set in the high 50's, so plenty of value on this line for me. Take the under. |
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09-14-14 | Houston Texans v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 40 | 30-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Houston Texans offense is going to need some work. Houston's offensive line isn't all that good right now, and the passing game will likely struggle for a while with Fitzpatrick at quarterback. On the other hand, the Texans have a dominating defense that should be shutting down most opponents this year. Oakland's offense is a mess right now, and Derek Carr is in for a rough game here against a very good pass rush and a very good secondary. Oakland's defense is better than most believe, and the Raiders should do a good job keeping everything in front of them here. I believe this will be a field goal kicking contest. Take the under here. |
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09-14-14 | NY Jets v. Green Bay Packers -7.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Green Bay Packers have had ten days to think about their disappointing loss in week one against Seattle. Even though the Packers were dominated in that game, we do need to keep in mind that Seattle is going to dominate a bunch of people on their home field. Green Bay should be just fine. Aaron Rodgers has more weapons than he has had in the past. Eddie Lacy will play in this one, and his emergence really changes things for the Packers offense. Green Bay is in a great spot for a bounce back here. New York's defense isn't as good as it was a couple years ago, and the Jets offense doesn't have enough firepower to keep up with Rodgers and company. The extra time to prepare and the need to get that first win propel a large victory here for Green Bay. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games Aaron Rodgers starts after the team lost last game. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 following a loss where their opponent is also coming off a win. A 13-0 angle. Take Green Bay. |
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09-14-14 | Atlanta Falcons v. Cincinnati Bengals -5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals have been a great home team in the last couple years. Andy Dalton still has to prove himself as a quarterback, but he definitely has the weapons around him to succeed. A.J. Green is a beast and the Bengals offensive line is underrated. Cincinnati's defense is probably top five in the NFL. Atlanta is coming off a nice come from behind victory at home over New Orleans, but the Bengals picked up a road win in Baltimore. The Falcons haven't been nearly as good on the road in the past, and Atlanta doesn't have the kind of defense that Cincinnati has. I like the well-balanced Bengals in their home opener to take care of business here. The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Bengals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 during week two. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. A 17-1 angle. Take Cincinnati. |
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09-13-14 | Nevada v. Arizona OVER 63 | 28-35 | Push | 0 | 50 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Arizona Wildcats and Nevada Wolfpack both like to get a lot of snaps off. There will be plenty of plays for each offense in this one, and Arizona's backfield combination of Solomon and Wilson. Nevada has a solid secondary, but their front seven isn't any good against the run game. Arizona is going to run it early and often here, and I think they'll have a lot of success. Cody Fajardo is an underrated quarterback and I expect him to find openings in the Arizona secondary that is very inexperienced. Look for both offenses to have little trouble moving the football in this contest. Take the over. |
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09-13-14 | Arizona State v. Colorado OVER 68 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Colorado Buffaloes have some major defensive problems. They allowed 38 points against a dreadful UMass offense last week. Last year they allowed 54 points against Arizona State. To put that into context though, you need to understand that Arizona State had 47 points at halftime and 54 points midway through the 3rd quarter before completely calling off the dogs. The Sun Devils defense was elite last year. This year Arizona State has some major problems on defense, so Colorado should put more on the board. Arizona State will probably still get their 45-50 points on Colorado too. A high scoring affair in Boulder on Saturday night. The over is 5-0 in Arizona State's last 5 September games. The over is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8 after allowing 170 passing yards or less last game. A 17-1 angle. Take the over. |
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09-13-14 | UCLA -7 v. Texas | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB UCLA/Texas ATS Play* The UCLA Bruins and Texas Longhorns have both been disappointing so far this year. UCLA has found ways to win both of their games, but it hasn't been pretty. Texas lost their last game 41-7 in Austin against BYU. UCLA has a much higher upside than Texas, and I believe their issues are fixable. Brett Hundley is one of the best playmakers in the country, and he gives UCLA a huge advantage at the QB spot. Texas' offense is in real trouble with a terrible offensive front as well as an inexperienced quarterback. It's a really bad combination to have. The Longhorns make far too many mistakes, and I think UCLA will use the big stage to show they are for real. Take UCLA. |
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09-13-14 | USC v. Boston College UNDER 55.5 | 31-37 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Television Total* The Boston College Eagles host USC Saturday night. While Boston College isn't a talented team, they do play very hard for Coach Steve Addazio. The Eagles defense is likely to slow down USC a little more than most expect. Remember that USC is in a very bad spot here, because USC just won at Stanford and is in a letdown situation. Boston College's offense is terrible, and I would be surprised to see them put up anything more than 14 points in this game. Last year's game between these two was 35-7, and a total in the 40's sounds about right to me again this year. Too much value on the under for me to pass this one up. Take the under. |
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09-13-14 | Tennessee v. Oklahoma -20.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Tennessee/Oklahoma ATS CASH* The Tennessee Volunteers are 2-0, but they haven't faced a tough test yet. That will change in a big way on Saturday night in Norman. Oklahoma has looked like a well-oiled machine thus far this year. Oklahoma's defense is much better than many realize, and the Sooners defensive line should totally dominate against Tennessee's poor offensive front. The Volunteers are going to get manhandled in the trenches in this game. Bob Stoops has made it clear that he hates the SEC, and that should mean he has a little extra motivation to pour it on in this one. Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. A 12-1 angle. Take Oklahoma. |
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09-13-14 | Western Michigan v. Idaho OVER 59.5 | 45-33 | Win | 100 | 45 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Idaho Vandals are quietly getting a much better offense. Idaho's quarterback is Mike Linehan (son of Scott Linehan from the NFL) and he is really impressing in this offense. Paul Petrino is getting this Idaho offense moving with a quick tempo offense and a lot of short passes that give their playmakers at wide receiver a chance to work in the open field. Western Michigan's defense was torched by Purdue, and Purdue's offense isn't any good. The Broncos offense is improving though, and Idaho regularly allows 40 points or more in a game. It's hard to imagine either team coming up with many stops in this one. This number is set too low. The over is 5-0 in Idaho's last 5 on turf. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. The over is 5-1 in W. Michigan's last 6 road games. A 24-3 angle. Take the over. |
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09-13-14 | Illinois v. Washington OVER 65 | Top | 19-44 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 20 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Total of the MONTH* The Washington Huskies defense has taken a major step backward this year, especially in the secondary. Washington was torched for 52 points and 573 yards of total offense by Eastern Washington last week. The most amazing statistic is that Eastern Washington threw for 475 yards in that game. Wes Lunt gives Illinois a quality quarterback who can move their offense. The Fighting Illini have had defensive problems for many years, and they aren't fixed this year. They allowed 34 points last week against Western Kentucky. Washington's top cornerback is out for this game, which should make things even tougher for the Huskies defense. Both offenses like to play very quickly, so they'll get lots of chances here. I had this total at 75 points, so this is a very big play for me. TOP Total of the Month on Washington/Illinois Over. |
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09-13-14 | Iowa State v. Iowa UNDER 49 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Battle for Iowa Total* Iowa and Iowa State have played some highly physical games against each other the past few years. These games are generally relatively close, and the defenses usually have the edge. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Iowa couldn't get any offense going last weekend against Ball State, and the Hawkeyes are without star OL Scherff. The Cyclones defense appears better this year, and they have fared well against Iowa in recent seasons. Iowa's defense is tough in the trenches, and they should manhandle an Iowa State OL that is very weak. Very little offense from either side in this one. Take the under. |
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09-13-14 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 49 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 57 h 51 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Louisville Cardinals are transitioning to a totally different offense, and it always takes a while to get things right during that period. Virginia's offense simply can't throw the football, so they rely on the run almost exclusively. Louisville's front seven is good against the run, and I see Virginia struggling to score here. At the same time, Virginia's defense showed me a lot in their loss to UCLA earlier this year. Virginia didn't let UCLA do much of anything in that game, and that is a very good Bruins offense. Louisville's offense is going to have a rough time getting going here. Look for a lot of three and outs in this game, and if teams do get in the red zone I expect plenty of settling for field goals. The under is 4-0 in Louisville's last 4 games on grass. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a win by 20 points or more. An 11-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-13-14 | West Virginia v. Maryland -3 | 40-37 | Loss | -112 | 134 h 0 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Rivalry Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers and Maryland Terrapins don't like each other one bit. Maryland beat West Virginia 37-0 last year, and now the Mountaineers are looking for revenge. The revenge angle has made this line far cheaper than it should be. Just because West Virginia wants to win this game doesn't mean they are going to be able to do it! Maryland had an extremely sloppy game last week at USF, but they still found a way to win late. They host this game, and the Terrapins have the more talented team on both sides of the ball. West Virginia's offense doesn't have the answer at QB with Trickett. Take Maryland here. |
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09-13-14 | UMass v. Vanderbilt OVER 45 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 90 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Vanderbilt Commodores and the UMass Minutemen are two absolutely horrible teams. These aren't teams I would ever want to back as an ATS selection, but I'll take the value play on the over here thanks to their terrible defenses. Vandy's defense has been strong in the past couple years, but they aren't this year. UMass has such a horrible defense that they allowed 41 points to an awful Colorado offense last week. It won't be pretty in this one, but I expect the offenses to get enough on the board. Also, defensive or special teams TD's are very likely in a sloppy game like this one. Take the over. |
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09-13-14 | Ohio v. Marshall -20.5 | 14-44 | Win | 101 | 66 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Revenge Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd have lost three straight in their series against the Ohio Bobcats. You better believe that Marshall remembers that, and I expect them to do something about it this weekend. Ohio is a much weaker team than they have been in many years. Marshall is a much stronger team than they been in many years. All this sets up a perfect spot for a massive revenge chance for the Thundering Herd. Marshall is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Ohio only put up 3 points last week against Kentucky, and Rakeem Cato is going to put up massive numbers against a mediocre Ohio secondary. Expect a rout in this one. Take Marshall. |
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09-13-14 | Syracuse v. Central Michigan +6 | 40-3 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Home Dog Upset Special* The Central Michigan Chippewas upset Purdue on the road last week. Central Michigan dominated that game, and that had to give them a lot of confidence. Purdue isn't a good team, but beating a Big Ten team handily on the road is a major confidence boost for a MAC team. Titus Davis, the Chippewas best player, didn't even play in that game. Davis will probably play here since he has been practicing this week. Syracuse needed OT to beat Villanova at home, and I don't think this Syracuse offense is very good at all. Hunt isn't the answer at quarterback. Central Michigan keeps their momentum going here. I think the Chippewas have a real shot at winning outright. Take Central Michigan. |
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09-12-14 | Baylor v. Buffalo OVER 68.5 | 63-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPN CFB 100% Angle Total* The Baylor Bears and Buffalo Bulls meet in non-conference game in Buffalo Friday night on ESPN. Baylor's Bryce Petty is expected to start in this one. Petty was dinged up in the opener, but he will be ready to go here and his Heisman campaign will be on display on national television. Art Briles and this team have made it clear by their comments that they want to give Petty a boost in the Heisman race. In my opinion, that means keeping the foot on the gas and piling up the points. There's little doubt that Baylor can hang a huge number on a Buffalo defense that isn't even close to as good as they were a year ago. Remember, they scored 70 points on Buffalo last year and now they are facing a weakened defense. The Bulls should be able to put up some points on a weakened Baylor defense too. Buffalo has a good passing game, and that should help them keep the chains moving. The over is 8-0 in Baylor's last 8 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games. The over is 7-0 in Buffalo's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 200 yards or more rushing. A 42-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-12-14 | Toledo v. Cincinnati UNDER 59.5 | 34-58 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Toledo Rockets will have a new quarterback for this game. Phillip Ely won the starting job, but he is injured and out for the year now. Without Ely, I look for the Rockets offense to take some time to get used to Woodside as the new starter. Cincinnati's offense is good, but I don't see the Bearcats being able to dominate on the front line against a high quality Toledo defensive line. Toledo was beaten badly by Missouri last week, and I fully expect a much better defensive effort from the Rockets in this one. Cincinnati hasn't played a game all year thus far, which is a very strange scheduling situation. As it is though, the Bearcats offense will likely need a little time to work out the kinks. I see this being a close game between two underrated defenses. Take the under. |
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09-11-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thursday Night THUNDER ATS Play* The Baltimore Ravens have been in the news for all the wrong reasons of late. That makes some people want to play against them. In fact, more than 60 percent of the betting public is backing the Steelers here. I think that's the wrong way to look at this game. Pittsburgh had a home game against a weak Browns team in week one. The Steelers survived thanks to a field goal as time expired. Baltimore lost at home in a tough battle against Cincinnati, but the Bengals are a very good team. Cincinnati has a lot more talent than does Pittsburgh. The Ravens are now up against a wall. Baltimore is either going to bounce back and go 1-1 or fall to 0-2 and see their season going downhill in a big way before it even gets going. This is a team that won the Super Bowl the year before last. They have a bunch of talent and a bunch of pride. Look for them to show up ready to go here. The Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 September games. Take Baltimore. |
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09-07-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -118 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Line Mover MONEY* The line here has been steamed toward the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for good reason. Lovie Smith is a huge coaching upgrade over anyone Tampa Bay has had since Jon Gruden. Carolina had an amazing year last year, but there are lots of signs that point to a move backward for the Panthers in the season ahead. Steve Smith was a big loss for Cam Newton. Newton still has to prove he is an efficient passer in the NFL, and without his top target it will be much more difficult. Newton is considered a gametime decision for this one due to his rib injury. Newton will likely play here, but he won't be 100%, and he won't run as much as normal. That allows Tampa Bay's defense to get much more aggressive against this Panthers offense. Tampa Bay's move to Josh McCown in the offseason was a wise one, and I think the Bucs offense will be better than most believe. The sharp money is on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Take Tampa Bay here. |
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09-07-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Chicago Bears OVER 47 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Buffalo Bills offense looked bad in the preseason, and that's the only reason this number is set so low. Remember, the Bears defense was absolutely awful last year, and they didn't do much to change that in the offseason. The Bears are going to give up a lot of points this year and make mediocre offenses look good. I think that will happen in this game. On the other hand, Chicago's offense looks set for a big season. Jay Cutler has weapons all over the place at his disposal, and Marc Trestman's system worked well last year. The offense should be that much better in a second year in the same system. Buffalo's cornerbacks are going to have a hard time shutting down Marshall and Jeffery. Expect plenty of points in this contest. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games played on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games played in September. A 13-0 angle. Take the over. |
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09-07-14 | Minnesota Vikings v. St. Louis Rams -3 | 34-6 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The St. Louis Rams were favored by about six points before Sam Bradford went down. The line movement here is an overreaction. While I hate that Bradford went down because I was rooting for him to have a better season this year, it has to be said that Bradford hasn't done anything special for the Rams. Shaun Hill isn't a large downgrade from Bradford at all. Jeff Fisher is one of the best coaches in the NFL at getting the most out of his talent. The Rams have a scrappy defense that is usually very good against the run. Minnesota's passing game is highly suspect, and the Rams should do a decent job of slowing down Peterson. Minnesota will likely move in the right direction in the long run under new coach Mike Zimmer, but in game one I can't expect a lot. This is still a Vikings team that has a poor defense and a poor passing game. The Rams are the better team overall, and at home only laying a field goal we are getting a good value on them. Take St. Louis. |
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09-06-14 | Texas Tech v. UTEP OVER 63 | Top | 30-26 | Loss | -112 | 69 h 60 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The UTEP Miners and Texas Tech Raiders meet Saturday night in a game where I expect the scoreboard to be lighting up. Texas Tech is top five in the nation in terms of pace. The Red Raiders are going to put up a bunch of points against a UTEP defense that was among the worst in the nation last year. UTEP's secondary is particularly weak, and Davis Webb and company will chew them up. Texas Tech's defense struggled last week against Central Arkansas, and I expect UTEP's offense to be better this year behind quarterback Jamiell Showers. UTEP might initially want to slow this game down, but once they get behind they'll be unable to do that. I made this total 71 points, so I see a ton of value on the over. The over is 4-0 in Texas Tech's last 4 following a win. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 40 points or more last game. An 11-1 angle. Take the over big! |
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09-06-14 | Memphis v. UCLA -24 | 35-42 | Loss | -110 | 150 h 49 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB West Coast Cash* The UCLA Bruins didn't play well in week one. UCLA's offense struggled a lot against Virginia. Remember though, UCLA was playing in the eastern time zone against a team with very low expectations. There was no reason for the Bruins to be up for that game. Their poor showing last week has gotten the attention of the coaching staff and the players. In the Bruins home opener, I expect a much better showing. Memphis has a good defense and a terrible offense. UCLA should shut down this Memphis offense, and the Tigers defense doesn't see the quality of athletes that UCLA has on a consistent basis. Take UCLA. |
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09-06-14 | Michigan +5 v. Notre Dame | 0-31 | Loss | -110 | 147 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star Notre Dame/Michigan MONEY* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are getting too much credit for their impressive showing in week one against Rice. Rice was a quality team last year, but the Owls aren't going to be very good at all this year. Notre Dame should have beaten them badly, and they did. The Fighting Irish still have a lot of problems to work out though. Notre Dame's defensive front isn't very good, and I question whether Everett Golson can throw the football against a strong secondary like Michigan's. The Wolverines should be a much better team this year led by linebacker Jake Ryan on defense. Offensively, Derrick Green is the type of running back this team has needed the last few years. Brady Hoke is coaching for his job this year, and it seems like the players are buying into his system more this year. Michigan has the higher upside and I like them as the underdog here. Take Michigan. |
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09-06-14 | Michigan State v. Oregon OVER 55.5 | 27-46 | Win | 100 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Oregon/Michigan State Totals CASH* The Oregon Ducks and Michigan State Spartans meet in what is the biggest game of the year so far in college football. Oregon's fast-paced and high flying offense against Michigan State's strong defense in a matchup that has college football fans salivating. I highly respect Pat Narduzzi (DC at Michigan State), but I'm afraid this Spartans defense has has to replace too many stars. With this being only the second game of the year, there's no way this unit will be as good right now as the Spartans defense was late last year. I think the oddsmakers have lined this total as if it were a game played at the end of last year. Oregon's fast pace should bother Michigan State. Indiana runs a similar fast paced offense with far less talent, and the Hoosiers scored 28 points on Michigan State last year. Connor Cook is playing great at quarterback, and I think he'll find holes in the Oregon secondary to led the Spartans to plenty of points as well. This total is set too low. Take the over here. |
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09-06-14 | Old Dominion v. NC State OVER 65 | 34-46 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* NC State's offense should be much better this year with Jacoby Brissett under center. Brissett was a very highly touted prospect in high school, and I think he has the potential to put up big numbers against the ACC this year. Old Dominion's defense has been awful in recent years. They gave up 80 points to North Carolina last year. Hampton's offense had no trouble moving the ball against them last week. NC State's defense is nothing special at all, and Old Dominion's offense is very good with star quarterback Taylor Heinicke running the show. Both of these teams ranked in the top 37 in the nation in terms of pace last year, so I expect plenty of snaps in this one. Take the over. |
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09-06-14 | Maryland -13.5 v. South Florida | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB ATS Talent Mismatch* Maryland will play against much tougher competition in the Big Ten this year, but first they get to play a poor USF team. Maryland's wide receivers are just about as good as any in the nation. Look for Diggs, King, and Long to chew up a USF secondary that gave up more than 400 passing yards against Western Carolina last week. Western Carolina is an FCS team that lost 7 games last year, so the Bulls secondary is a major weak spot. Maryland has had injury troubles in recent years. Now that they are healthy, they are a very talented team. A talent mismatch here. Take Maryland and lay the points. |
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09-06-14 | Ohio v. Kentucky -9.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 143 h 30 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER TOP Play* The Kentucky Wildcats are a team I think could sneak up on some people this year. Mark Stoops is doing a great job recruiting at Kentucky, and this team isn't even close to as bad as they were the last two years when they went 2-10. I think Kentucky gets to 4 or 5 wins this year. Freshman Matt Elam is a starting defensive tackle for the team and at 6'7 and 375 pounds he can dominate in the trenches. Kentucky is much better in the secondary this season as well. The Ohio Bobcats lost a bunch of key players from last year's team, and I see Frank Solich's bunch taking a step back this year. Ohio was less than impressive in their win over Kent State last week. Kent State essentially handed the game over to them. Kentucky will open some eyes here. Kentucky is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC teams. The Bobcats are 0-4 in their last 4 after a straight up win. A 10-0 angle. Take Kentucky big! |
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09-06-14 | Fresno State v. Utah -10.5 | Top | 27-59 | Win | 100 | 143 h 0 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play ATS Hidden GEM* The Utah Utes are a team I expect some significant improvement from this year. Dave Christensen was hired as the team's new offensive coordinator in the offseason, and I love that hire. Christensen will make this offense much more dynamic right away. Travis Wilson should be improved, and Kendall Thompson is going to get some playing time and he'll be a play maker as well. Fresno State lost a bunch of talent from last year's team. They aren't going to be able to just pick up where they left off. We saw that in their drubbing at the hands of USC last week. It's also important to remember that Utah has one of the best home field advantages in the nation. Many people overlook this, but the altitude in Utah is really rough on visiting teams. Utah makes a statement here. The Utes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Fresno State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 14-1 angle. Take Utah big! |
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09-06-14 | New Mexico State -1 v. Georgia State | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Ugly Football ATS Play* I'll be the first to say that no one should waste any of their time on Saturday watching this game. New Mexico State and Georgia State are two of the worst teams in FBS football, but I think New Mexico State is trending in the right direction much quicker than Georgia State. Georgia State played in the first game of the season last Wednesday and needed a couple of miraculous plays and a late field goal to beat Abilene Christian by a single point at home. New Mexico State was a touchdown dog against a good Cal Poly team, but new Mexico State dominated that game and won 28-10. Doug Martin has this program moving in the right direction. The sharp money is coming in on New Mexico State, and I agree. Take New Mexico State here. |
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09-06-14 | Akron +15.5 v. Penn State | 3-21 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Road Dog Special* The Akron Zips are a much improved team. Akron has a good coach in Terry Bowden, and he has done a nice job recruiting for a MAC team. While it was Howard, Akron beat them 41-0 in last week's game. The Zips look like a team that is going to get to a bowl game this year. Couple that with the fact that Penn State is coming off a game in Dublin, Ireland last week. The Nittany Lions took off a couple days this week just to get used to the time zone change. It's a really tough spot for a college team to be put in. I'm not very high on Penn State overall, and with the spot I like them even less. Penn State's sanctions have hurt them and I expect it to show more this season. Take Akron. |
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09-06-14 | SMU v. North Texas -2.5 | 6-43 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Home Cash Cow* The North Texas Mean Green are definitely down a lot from last year. North Texas was a really good team last year, but they lost a bunch of key players. The important thing here though is North Texas has a great home field advantage at Apogee Stadium in Denton, Texas. Dan McCarney is a very good coach, and I trust him to have his guys ready to play here. North Texas is 7-2 as a home favorite since McCarney took the head coaching job at the school. SMU failed to score a point against a bad Baylor defense last week. The Mustangs are trying to break in a new quarterback and it isn't working well. North Texas covers at home. Take North Texas. |
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09-05-14 | Pittsburgh -4.5 v. Boston College | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star Friday Night Lights Cash* The Boston College Eagles are getting far too much credit for their win at UMass last week. I have a feeling that has moved the line here by a couple points, and that shouldn't have happened. After all, UMass is probably the worst team in the FBS division and Boston College should dominate them. The Eagles will go up against a real team in this one, and I don't like their chances. Boston College lost almost their entire offense from last year. It's hard to see them competing without Rettig and Andre Williams. The defense isn't any good either. Pittsburgh has some nice skill position talent on offense, and the defense is decent. There is much more talent on the Pitt Panthers team, and I like that we are getting some line value. Take Pittsburgh. |
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08-30-14 | UTEP v. New Mexico OVER 63.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The New Mexico Lobos and the UTEP Miners have two of the worst defenses in the nation. New Mexico allowed 6.2 yards per carry and 42.8 points per game last year. UTEP allowd 6.2 yards per carry and 39.3 points per game. These teams met last year and the final score was 42-35. Jamiell Showers and the UTEP offense should be much better this year with Showers getting a lot more reps in this system. UTEP has a couple good RB's as well. New Mexico's option attack (pistol) has been really successful and Bob Davie's team should score a lot of points on teams that can't stop the run this year. UTEP definitely fits right into that mold. I expect a very high scoring game. Take the over. |
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08-30-14 | Marshall -23.5 v. Miami (OH) | 42-27 | Loss | -110 | 229 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB MISMATCH Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd are going to roll through Conference USA with very little problems this year. Miami didn't win a game a year ago. While I certainly believe Miami will be better than last year, they aren't even close to the caliber of team that Marshall is. The Thundering Herd have Rakeem Cato who will put up video game numbers this year, and the rest of the offense surrounding him is excellent. Marshall used to be a team that had to outscore you to win, but that's no longer the case. While I think they could roll up 50 points or more here, if they don't the defense could certainly hold Miami to a very low number as well. The Thundering Herd allowed just 22.9 points per game last year, and I think that number goes down this season. Miami is totally outclassed here. My numbers make Marshall a 32 point favorite in this game. Take Marshall. |
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08-30-14 | Indiana State v. Indiana -27.5 | 10-28 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under the Radar ATS Play* The Indiana State Sycamores went 1-11 last year. They lost 73-35 to Indiana game one. The Hoosiers played a very sloppy game in that one and still put up 73 points. That's how bad Indiana State is. The Sycamores aren't expected to be any better this year. Indiana's offense can score on anyone, and they could certainly put up 60 plus points again in this one. The Hoosiers haven't been one to take their foot off the gas early under coach Kevin Wilson. Wilson is an uptempo guy and Indiana is going to score early and often here. I think this line should have been more than 30 points. This one's off the radar, but I like it. Take Indiana here. |
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08-29-14 | UNLV v. Arizona -23.5 | 13-58 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Friday Night LATE NIGHT CASH* The Arizona Wildcats beat UNLV 58-13 at UNLV last year. Last year's UNLV team was much better than this year's team will be. Look for UNLV to miss Herring and Cornett in the backfield. These guys accounted for a bunch of their offense last year, and there isn't anyone ready to step into the same kind of role this year. The problem for UNLV is they have to score a bunch of points to win games, because their defense is terrible. The Rebels lost four of their top five defensive players from last season, so I don't expect things to get any better anytime soon for UNLV on defense. Arizona has some new guys on offense too, but they have much more depth and Rich Rodriguez has  done a nice job recruiting here. Arizona should move the ball at will here. The Wildcats are in a different class than UNLV. Take Arizona. |
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08-29-14 | Bowling Green v. Western Kentucky OVER 56 | Top | 31-59 | Win | 100 | 316 h 40 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total* Bowling Green has a bunch of returning starters on offense, and they are the key guys that will make this offense thrive in 2014. Matt Johnson is the best quarterback in the Mid American Conference. Travis Greene is the best running back in the MAC. Even more importantly though, Bowling Green has a new head coach in Dino Babers. Who is Dino Babers? Babers used to work under Art Briles at Baylor and he helped install Baylor's current fast-paced high octane offense. Babers used that at Eastern Illinois the past two years, and Eastern Illinois scored more than 40 points per game last year. It's all about playing fast and getting off tons of snaps. Western Kentucky lost most of their defense from last year, and I expect Bowling Green to move the ball at will here. It won't surprise me to see massive yardage totals from the Falcons. Western Kentucky has a veteran quarterback and some solid offensive weapons. The Hilltoppers should be able to put some on the board as well. Tons of possessions in this game and a total of only 56. I love the value here. Take the over big! **This line has quickly risen. My numbers had this game at 70 points, so I still suggest a play on this one, but I would rate it 4 stars instead of 5 at the current level. Thank you** |
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08-28-14 | Tulane v. Tulsa UNDER 47 | 31-38 | Loss | -106 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Opening Night Total DOMINATION* The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had a very disappointing season last year. They got horrible quarterback play and had an inexperienced defense. Tulsa is used to winning and I do expect them to be better this year. Still, Tulsa has major concerns at quarterback and running back this year, and they shouldn't be too dynamic. On the other hand, Tulane isn't used to winning and they had a great season and got to a bowl game a year ago. The Green Wave are due to regress a bit this year, but I think they'll still be competitive. The Tulsa defense returns 10 starters (as many as any team in the nation) and I expect them to be much better defensively than they were last season. Tulane's defense is what led the way last season. The matchup between these two last year finished at 14-7 Tulane. This one will be higher scoring than that, but I don't see it reaching this total. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under. |
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02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos +1 | 43-8 | Loss | -110 | 332 h 5 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Super Bowl 48 ATS CASH* The Seattle Seahawks have had a very impressive ride to the Super Bowl. I've backed the Seahawks successfully several times, including last game against the 49ers. Seattle is nearly unbeatable on their home field. While they have improved on the road, this Seahawks team still isn't even close to the same when they leave Seattle. Denver was the most dominant team in the NFL for the majority of the season. The Seahawks defense is very good, but it's hard to imagine them stopping Peyton Manning and this high-powered offense completely. Russell Wilson's inconsistent play of late worries me for the Seahawks. Manning is on a mission this year, and I love the way he is playing. Too much has been made about the cold weather conditions here. Denver plays in cold conditions all the team at Mile High Stadium. I think Denver is the better team, and at -3 or better I like the Broncos. Take Denver.
**Bonus One Unit Prop Play- My favorite prop play on the board for Sunday is Knowshon Moreno over 27.5 pass receiving yards. Peyton Manning will have to check down more than normal against this elite Seattle defense, and Moreno is a great pass catcher out of the backfield. Take Over 27.5 receiving yards for Moreno. Thank you.** |
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01-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -3 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 43 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFC Championship ATS SMASHER* The San Francisco 49ers have had a difficult road to the NFC Championship, and it doesn't get any easier here. Seattle is the single toughest place to play in the NFL. The 49ers won at Green Bay in the 4th quarter, and won at Carolina thanks to their defensive stands on the goal line. While the 49ers have won their last 8 games, I don't think they have been dominant in those wins. What has happened the last two times they've gone to Seattle? The Seahawks have won by a combined 71-16 score. I don't trust Colin Kaepernick against this elite Seattle secondary. The Seahawks will have a 12th man behind them in this ridiculous crowd. It's the perfect setup for the Seahawks, and I expect them to take care of business.
Seattle is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Seattle is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Seattle is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 following an ATS loss. A 16-2 angle. Take Seattle. |
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01-19-14 | New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos -4 | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star AFC Conference Championship CASH* The New England Patriots deserve a ton of credit for getting to this point in the playoffs despite all of their injuries this year. This team doesn't have even close to the same amount of talent they have had in past runs through the playoffs. Denver is arguably the most talented team in the NFL, and in this one I think talent wins out. Peyton Manning is a man on a mission, and he can shred this Patriots secondary. The Broncos defense has improved in recent weeks, and I think they'll hold their own here. While a lot of the public money has been coming in on the Patriots, I'll take the Broncos here.
The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference title games. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 13-0 angle. Take the Broncos. |
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01-12-14 | San Diego Chargers +10 v. Denver Broncos | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 50 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Broncos ATS CASH* The San Diego Chargers have been rolling along very nicely over the last few weeks. The first sign of the team being a real contender was their win on a Thursday night in Denver. The Broncos didn't lose any other games at home all year. Remember, the Chargers gave Denver a tough game at home as well earlier this year, and it seems like San Diego matches up well with Denver. The Chargers offense should get their points here, because Rivers is playing extremely well. While I'm not sure the Chargers can win this time around, I do think this is too many points on the underdog.
The road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these teams. San Diego is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 6-1-4 ATS in their last 11 games at Denver. A 17-1 angle. Take San Diego. |
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01-12-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 23-10 | Win | 100 | 120 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Playoff Total of the Year* The San Francisco 49ers and Carolina Panthers met a few weeks ago in San Francisco. Carolina won that game 10-9. Neither offense showed any signs of being able to consistently move the ball against the opposing defense. The 49ers had only 151 total yards of offense. The Panthers had only 278. These are two of the top five defenses in the NFL up against each other. Both teams run the football a bunch, so the clock will keep rolling much of the game. I don't see either of these defenses giving up 20 points here. The winner of this game will be beat up badly on Monday morning. Look for a hard fought game where the defenses are in control.
The under is 8-0 in the Panthers last 8 following a win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the NFC. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. An 18-0 angle. Take the under big! |
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01-06-14 | Auburn v. Florida State OVER 65.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -106 | 671 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star BCS Title Game Total DOMINATION* The Auburn Tigers and Florida State Seminoles will meet for the BCS Championship on Monday January 6 at the Rose Bowl. We won't need to worry about bad weather with the game being played in southern California. Auburn's offense is a well-oiled machine at this point. The Tigers is so hard to stop because they can do so many different things from the same offensive set. Florida State's defense is very good, but they haven't had to play against an offense even close to the caliber of Auburn. Look for Auburn's rushing attack to have more success than most people expect. On the other side, Auburn's defense has been gashed by quite a few opponents this season. The Tigers defense looked terrible against Missouri in the SEC title game, and they'll face a much better offense in Florida State here. Look for Heisman winner Jameis Winston to run more often in this one, and he can do a lot with his feet. Auburn's defense will be overmatched. This is a defense that allowed 424 yards per game this season. These offenses should pile up the points.
The over is 6-0 in Auburn's last 6 games on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a straight up win. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over for the BCS title game. |
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01-05-14 | Arkansas State v. Ball State OVER 64.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB GoDaddy Total DOMINATION* The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Ball State Cardinals both like to keep the game moving quickly. Lots of quick snaps in this one should lead to a bunch of possessions for both teams. Arkansas State has the 25th best rushing attack in the nation, and Ball State's weakness on defense is their rushing defense. Ball State's offense is prolific, and Keith Wenning is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Ball State has scored at least 44 points in 4 of their last 6 games. The Cardinals average 40.1 points per game for the season. Both offenses should have lots of success in this one.
The over is 4-0 in Arkansas State's last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in Ball State's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. A 14-0 angle. Take the over. |
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01-05-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Green Bay Packers OVER 48.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 161 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Cold Hard CASH* The San Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers will meet late Sunday at Lambeau Field. The big story here will be the temperature, which will be well below zero. San Francisco certainly isn't used to that kind of cold. While I expect both teams to struggle some with the cold, I'm not sure that hurts the offenses. Aaron Rodgers will have plenty of chances to pick through the 49ers defense. Colin Kaepernick is a riddle that the Packers defense hasn't been able to solve.
The over is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards last game. The over is 5-1 in the Packers last 6 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the over. |
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01-05-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 47 | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 66 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Bengals Total DOMINATION* The Chargers and Bengals play early Sunday afternoon. The weather forecast for Cincinnati on Sunday looks very ugly. The current weather forecast for gametime calls for windy conditions with rain mixed with snow and freezing rain. This should make it tough for the aerial attacks to get going. Look for both teams to keep it on the ground more than normal. Both run defenses are pretty strong, and the clock should keep ticking away here. These teams played to a 17-10 final in San Diego a few weeks ago. Look for this one to stay under the posted total. Take the under.
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01-04-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 54.5 | Top | 26-24 | Loss | -105 | 140 h 2 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Saints/Eagles TOP Play Total* The New Orleans Saints and Philadelphia Eagles will do battle Saturday night in Philadelphia. While it will be chilly, the weather report looks good for this one. New Orleans has a high flying passing attack, and the Eagles secondary allowed more yards through the air than any other team in the league. The Eagles have the number one rushing attack in the NFL, and the weakness of this Saints defense is stopping the run. Both offenses should move the ball relatively easily in this one. I think there is a good chance this game tops the 60 point mark. The over is 8-1-1 in the Saints last 10 playoff games. The over is 10-2 in the Eagles last 12 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. A 23-4 angle. Take the over big!
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01-04-14 | Houston +3 v. Vanderbilt | 24-41 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star Compass Bowl CASH* The Houston Cougars have been great to me this year, and I'm not going to get off the Houston train now. Vanderbilt has tons of distractions going into this game. James Franklin is rumored to be going to a new job every week, and there is no way that has been good for the team's preparation for this bowl game. Vanderbilt also was disappointed to be in this game, and unmotivated players usually equals losses in bowl games. Houston has a shot to beat an SEC team, and I expect the Cougars to be ready to go. Houston is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. They are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 overall. An 18-2 angle. Take Houston.
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01-03-14 | Clemson v. Ohio State -3 | 40-35 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Orange Bowl ATS CRUSHER* The Ohio State Buckeyes lost only one game this season, and that was to Michigan State in the Big 10 championship. That loss to Michigan State looks a little less bad since Michigan State outplayed Stanford and won the Rose Bowl. Urban Meyer is 4-0 in BCS games as a head coach. Expect the Buckeyes to be well prepared in this one. Ohio State's rushing attack is dominating, and I don't think Clemson has the interior strength to slow them down. Clemson will certainly put up plenty of points, but the Buckeyes have a coaching edge and a huge edge when it comes to their running game. Look for Ohio State to bounce back and put forth a good showing here. Take the Buckeyes.
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01-03-14 | Oklahoma State v. Missouri +110 | 31-41 | Win | 110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Cotton Bowl CASH* The Missouri Tigers only lost two games this year and those were to South Carolina in OT and Auburn. Oklahoma State lost to Oklahoma and and West Virginia. The Missouri Tigers have a much more balanced offense with James Franklin and Henry Josey leading the way. Oklahoma State doesn't have much of a running game, and their quarterback play has been very inconsistent this year. Missouri's pass rush is elite, and I expect them to be good in this one. Missouri played in a much tougher conference, and the Tigers aren't getting much respect from the oddsmakers. Missouri is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 40 points or more last game. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. A 19-0 angle. Take Missouri.
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01-01-14 | Central Florida +17 v. Baylor | Top | 52-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play New Year's KNOCKOUT* The Baylor Bears have been very good this year, but they looked very vulnerable late in the year. Baylor lost badly at Oklahoma State and was very fortunate to win at TCU (who isn't very good this year). The Bears are a good team, but I'm not sure they are elite. UCF nearly beat South Carolina early this year and then did beat Louisville on the road to hand the Cardinals their only loss of the year. UCF stepped up and played their best against top opponents and I expect more of the same from them in this one. Blake Bortles is an NFL ready quarterback and the Knights have a very good run defense. UCF is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Take UCF big!
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01-01-14 | Michigan State v. Stanford UNDER 43 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Rose Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Michigan State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal will battle for the Rose Bowl in Pasadena on New Year's Day. These two teams do it the same way. Both of them like to win the battle in the trenches and win with defense. A posted total of 43 is certainly very low, but I had this one projected at 40 points. Neither team will be hurrying things up here. Both teams will run the football very frequently to keep the clock moving. Neither quarterback has proven capable of airing it out successfully all that often.
The under is 6-0 in Stanford's last 6 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Michigan State's last 5 after gaining at least 280 passing yards last game. A 22-0 angle here. Take the under. |
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01-01-14 | Iowa v. LSU UNDER 49 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Outback Total Takedown* The LSU Tigers offense has been very good this year, but they'll be without star quarterback Zach Mettenberger here. Iowa's strength is their defense. Without the threat of airing it out deep with Mettenberger, I expect Iowa to be able to key in on the LSU running game here. Iowa's offense isn't very good, and they try to bully the opposition. LSU has a strong defensive front, and I don't expect them to get pushed around by a Big Ten team. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 following a SU win of 20 points or more. The under is 6-1 in Iowa's last 7 at a neutral site. A 14-2 angle. Take the under.
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