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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-13 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 58 | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 60 h 47 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles may have the worst defense in the nation. These guys just haven't been able to stop anyone this year. How bad are they? Eastern Michigan has given up 45.6 points per game so far in 2013. They have allowed at least 50 points in each of their last 4 games. Western Michigan's offense got going in their last game against UMass, and the Broncos should have plenty of success offensively here. At the same time, Western Michigan is giving up 37 points per game as well. Two horrible teams that can't play any defense. The over is the play.
The over is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 after allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 conference games. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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11-09-13 | UAB v. Marshall OVER 65.5 | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 96 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the best quarterbacks in the country. Rakeem Cato can air it out with the best of them and it's hard to imagine UAB's pathetic defense slowing down Marshall at all here. UAB's defense is allowing 38.4 points per game so far this year, and Marshall will be one of the best offenses they have faced all year. Marshall's defense is fully capable of giving up a lot of points, and UAB's offense is improving over the last few weeks. I had this one lined at 71 points. Look for a high scoring affair all the way. Take the over.
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11-09-13 | Iowa -14.5 v. Purdue | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 MISMATCH* The Iowa Hawkeyes may not be an elite team, but you don't have to be elite to beat up on Purdue this year. The Boilermakers are the worst team in the Big 10 by a mile. Purdue was beaten 56-0 at home last week by Ohio State, and the Buckeyes coasted in the last two quarters. Purdue also lost 44-7 at home to a Nebraska team that isn't any better than Iowa. The Hawkeyes will dominate the line of scrimmage here. Iowa's defense is very solid, and I can't imagine Purdue scoring many at all. Purdue has scored 10 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games. Iowa will run the ball well in this one and win big. Take Iowa.
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11-09-13 | Western Kentucky v. Army OVER 57 | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a high quality offense under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is one of the best running backs in the nation. Andrews has almost 1300 yards on the ground already this year. Army runs the football extremely well. In fact, Army has more rushing yards than any other team in the country. Western Kentucky's rushing defense has struggled all year, and the Hilltoppers are dinged up on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams are going to have lots of room to run in this one. I think this game comfortably tops 60 points. Take the over.
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11-09-13 | SMU v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5 | 25-28 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bearcats wins over FBS opponents this year have come against teams with a combined record of 3-36. While Cincinnati's defensive numbers look great, I don't think this defense is very good. SMU has been on fire offensively of late as Garrett Gilbert has come into his own of late. Look for the Mustangs to burn Cincinnati through the air early and often. SMU's defense is giving up 42 points per game, and Cincinnati should be able to move the ball at will.
The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 after giving up more than 40 points in their last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. A 21-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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11-08-13 | Air Force v. New Mexico OVER 59 | 37-45 | Win | 100 | 52 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Friday Night MONEYMAKER* The Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos are both teams that run the ball on nearly every play. The assumption then is that a game between these two teams would finish under the total, but a closer look tells us the value is clearly on the over in this game. Air Force is 113th in the nation and allows 221 rushing yards per game. New Mexico is 122nd in the nation and allows 252.6 yards per game on the ground. These two ground games are both very good. The Falcons are gaining 279 rushing yards per game. The Lobos are averaging 314 yards per game on the ground. Both teams are going to be running wild in this one.
The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground in the previous game. A 19-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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11-07-13 | Washington Redskins v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 48 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 96 h 59 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Thursday TOP Play Total* The Washington Redskins are one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with because of their horrible defense and very well-balanced offense. RG3 wasn't himself at the beginning of the season, but he is playing well right now. How about Minnesota's defense? The Vikings have allowed at least 23 points in every game this year, and they have allowed 27 or more in every game but one. This Minnesota defense is a shell of its former self. Washington is giving up 31.6 points per game, so even though the Vikings offense isn't special they should be able to score plenty here. In the last two weeks, Minnesota put up 31 on Green Bay and 23 against Dallas. Christian Ponder is playing pretty well, and Adrian Peterson is running the ball as well as ever.
The over is 5-0 in the Vikings last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. The over is 6-1 in the Vikings last 7 games against a team with a losing record overall. A 19-1 angle backs this play. Take the over big! *Note- I would rate this a 5 star play up to 50 and a 4 star play to 51.* |
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11-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens -120 v. Cleveland Browns | 18-24 | Loss | -120 | 42 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Baltimore Ravens clearly aren't the same team they were last year when they won the Super Bowl, but I believe this team still has a run in them. Baltimore is better than their 3-4 record would indicate. The Ravens had a week off before this game, which was huge to help them get healthy. John Harbaugh knows the Ravens need this game badly if they are going to get back into the playoffs. The Ravens have won 11 straight games against the Browns. Baltimore has also won five straight games following their bye week. This 16-0 angle isn't one that should be overlooked. The Browns are a bit better this year than they have been in the past, but the Ravens have a huge talent advantage. Cleveland doesn't have the offensive weapons that the Ravens have. Take Baltimore in this one.
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11-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 41.5 | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns have a long history of playing hard fought low scoring battles against each other. Earlier this year, the Ravens won 14-6 over Cleveland in Baltimore. Cleveland is really lacking play makers on the offensive side, but the Browns defense is very good. Joe Haden and the secondary have given Joe Flacco a hard time the last couple years. Baltimore's pass rush will disrupt Cleveland's offense in this one as well. I was very surprised to see 41.5 here. I lined this one at 37 points.
The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 8-0 in the Browns last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 after gaining 250 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Cleveland. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams overall. A 26-0 angle backs this one. Take the under. |
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11-03-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Oakland Raiders -1 | 49-20 | Loss | -123 | 100 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Eagles/Raiders ATS Cash* The Philadelphia Eagles have been an absolute trainwreck the last couple weeks. The offense was great through the first few weeks, but they have been awful the last two games. Philadelphia's defense is still a major weakness. Oakland is better than most people (myself included) expected this year. The Raiders appear to have found a quarterback for the future in Terrelle Pryor. Pryor is an excellent runner who makes plays with his feet. The passing game is slowly coming around. Oakland's defense is in the top half of the NFL in the major categories as well. Oakland is the more consistent team. I'll back them at home. Take Oakland.
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11-03-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Seattle Seahawks -14.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS CRUSHER* The Seattle Seahawks were very fortunate to beat the St. Louis Rams last Monday night. Seattle didn't come ready to play in that one, and you better believe they heard about it after the game. Pete Carroll's team is much much better at home with the amazing home field advantage in Seattle. Tampa Bay comes in with an inexperienced quarterback in Glennon, and this is a disastrous setup for them. Seattle feasts on inexperienced quarterbacks at home. Tampa Bay is 0-7 and the Bucs aren't showing any real signs of improvement.
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following a loss. They are 0-4 ATS following an ATS loss. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the NFC. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bucs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after losing by 14 points or more. Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 30 points or more. Seattle is 4-0 ATS after less than 150 yards through the air in their last game. They are 5-0 ATS after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. A 36-0 angle backs this play. Take Seattle. |
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11-03-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 47 | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 155 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Vikings offense isn't great, but the Dallas Cowboys defense is dead last in the NFL in yards allowed per game so far this year. Adrian Peterson should be able to do some damage here. On the other side, the Vikings defense is miserable. Minnesota has allowed 32.1 points per game so far this year. Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense are out to prove something this week after coming up just short against Detroit. Dez Bryant had an outburst last week, and I'm thinking he'll have a big game here.
The over is 10-1 in the Vikings last 11 games during week 9. The over is 7-0 in Dallas' last 7 home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. The over is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more through the air the previous day. A 21-1 angle. Take the over. |
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11-02-13 | New Mexico +14.5 v. San Diego State | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 42 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Oddsmaker ERROR* The San Diego State Aztecs are coming off a brutally tough loss at the hands of Fresno State last weekend. San Diego State deserved to win the game, but they ended up losing in overtime. The Aztecs clearly had that game circled, and it's hard to imagine them putting up such a great effort on back to back weeks. New Mexico is a team that fights to the finish and the Lobos are always capable of a backdoor cover (as we saw against Wyoming a couple weeks ago). The Lobos are coming off a bye week, so they'll be well rested. Look for New Mexico's excellent ground game to keep this one close.
The Lobos are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 meetings with SD State. The Lobos are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 in San Diego. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. A 25-4 angle. Take New Mexico. |
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11-02-13 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -9.5 | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 136 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB ATS CASH* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the football extremely well. Pittsburgh is a team that has struggled against the run of late. The Panthers offense certainly isn't capable of winning this game in a shootout, so they'll need to keep it low scoring in order to hang around. Georgia Tech's defense is much improved this year. The Yellow Jackets are 3-1 at home this year, and they beat Syracuse 56-0 in their last home game. Pittsburgh couldn't stop Navy's triple option last week, and Georgia Tech is 4th in the nation in rushing yards.
Pittsburgh is 0-9 ATS in their lats 9 games against a team averaging 200 yards or more per game on the ground. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Pittsburgh is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games allowing less than 170 yards through the air in their last game. Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. A 23-1 angle backs this play. Take Georgia Tech. |
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11-02-13 | San Jose State v. UNLV OVER 66 | 34-24 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The San Jose State Spartans have one of the most underrated quarterback in the country in David Fales. Fales is adept at picking apart subpar secondaries, and that is exactly what he'll be up against this week at UNLV. The Rebels secondary struggled badly against Hawaii and Fresno State's aerial attack. San Jose State should put up big points here. At the same time, UNLV's offense is light years better than it was last year. Caleb Herring and the Rebels offense should have a lot of success against a Spartans defense that ranks 100th in the nation in total defense. The scoreboard will light up in Las Vegas on Saturday afternoon. Take the over.
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11-02-13 | Kent State v. Akron OVER 53 | 7-16 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Kent State Golden Flashes are a long ways removed from their Cinderella season last year. The Golden Flashes are a mess defensively right now. With Reardon healthy at quarterback and Dri Archer back healthy in the backfield, the Golden Flashes offense is much better than it was a few weeks ago. Akron isn't the punching bag they were a year ago. The Zips have a quality quarterback who should move it through the air against a poor Kent State secondary. This game should be very close, which puts overtime into play as well. I think this has a good chance of reaching the upper 50's or even 60 points. Take the over.
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11-02-13 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse UNDER 51.5 | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have shown a ton of fight the last few weeks. Jim Grobe's team is much better defensively now than they were early in the year. Syracuse has tons of issues on offense, and Wake Forest's offense is one-dimensional. Wake Forest is averaging only 96 yards per game on the ground. Wake's defense is giving up just 20.8 points per game. I expected to see a total in the mid 40's in this one. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in the last game. The under is 9-1 in Wake Forest's last 10 conference games. A 19-1 angle here. Take the under.
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11-02-13 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina -11.5 | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC ATS Mismatch* The South Carolina Gamecocks have been very disappointing this year. South Carolina hasn't even come close to playing to their full potential. The Gamecocks got a masterful performance from Connor Show who came into the game late last week and led the team back to an overtime win at Missouri. I think last week's comeback win will be a spark for South Carolina. The Gamecocks are clearly better than they have shown so far, and Mississippi State is one of the worst teams in the conference. Look for the Gamecocks defense to totally dominate Mississippi State in the trenches. South Carolina puts it together here. Take the Gamecocks.
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11-02-13 | Temple v. Rutgers OVER 53 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Temple Owls have found a bit of a spark in young quarterback P.J. Walker. Walker threw 4 touchdowns and no picks in the team's 59-49 loss last weekend. Rutgers was overrated from day one this year, and the Scarlet Knights defense isn't even close to what it used to be. Oddsmakers are putting out totals that are too low for this group right now. Rutgers offense isn't any good, but they don't have to be to score a lot on a pathetic Temple defense. The Owls are giving up 516 yards per game this season. This total is set quite a bit too low. Take advantage and bet the over.
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11-02-13 | Southern Mississippi v. Marshall OVER 56.5 | 13-61 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Marshall Thundering Herd lost a heart breaker last week at MTSU. Marshall is one of the most talented teams in Conference USA, and they get a perfect chance to bounce back in a big way this week. Southern Miss has lost 19 games in a row! The Golden Eagles are giving up more than 40 points per game this year. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Marshall gets to the posted total by themselves in this one. Rakeem Cato and the Thundering Herd offense will look great in this one. I had this number at 64 points. Look for this one to sail over the total. Take the over.
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11-02-13 | Illinois v. Penn State -9.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 9 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The Penn State Nittany Lions were beaten down 63-14 at Ohio State last week. That game was a big winner for me on the over as Ohio State chewed up Penn State's defense. Penn State was ticked off at the end of this game, and they go home to get healthy and beat up on a bottom-feeder in the Big Ten this week. Illinois was beaten 42-3 last week by Michigan State. In their only road game this year they lost by 20 to an overrated Nebraska team. Penn State beat Michigan at home, and the Nittany Lions do have a very talented quarterback in Hackenberg. Illinois' defense is terrible, and the Nittany Lions should score at will here. Big bounce back spot for Penn State.
Penn State is 6-0 ATS following a SU loss. The Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS following an ATS loss. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 November games. Illinois is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 170 yards or less in their last game. A 31-0 angle backs this play. Take Penn State big! |
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10-31-13 | Louisiana Monroe +3.5 v. Troy | 49-37 | Win | 100 | 88 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night CASH* The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks got a massive boost when star quarterback Kolton Browning came back early from an injury last week. The Warhawks offense immediately looked much better with their star back, and they put up 38 points last week. Lousiana-Monroe was considered a favorite to win or finish in the top two of the Sun Belt preseason with Browning under center. They struggled without him, but with him back in the lineup, the Warhawks should be a very tough team down the stretch. Troy is having a bit of a bounce back season so far this year, but the Trojans haven't beaten top competition.
The Warhawks beat Troy 28-14 as 17 point underdogs in 2010. They then beat Troy on the road 38-10 as a seven point underdog in 2011. Both of those games were total mismatches. Troy's defense is weak, while Monroe has a pretty solid defense. I believe Louisiana-Monroe is the better team with Browning back at quarterback. Troy is just 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Take Louisiana-Monroe. |
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10-28-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. St Louis Rams UNDER 42.5 | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 187 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is going to look a whole lot different without Sam Bradford under center. Bradford went down with a season-ending injury last week, and I believe the Rams are going to struggle in a big way to score points without him. Kellen Clemens will start here for the Rams. Clemens hasn't been good in his NFL career, and the Rams have virtually no running game. How do the Rams score points here? The Rams defense does play much better at home, and I expect them to fight to keep this game competitive, at least for a while. The posted total here hasn't been adjusted down enough for Bradford's injury. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
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10-27-13 | Washington Redskins v. Denver Broncos OVER 53.5 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 159 h 9 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins defense has been one of the worst in the NFL for the past two years. The Redskins are giving up 30.7 points per game, and now they'll go up against the highest scoring team in the league. Denver is ticked off after losing last week in Indy, and the Broncos should light up the scoreboard here. RG3 wasn't completely ready at the beginning of the season, but he has looked much better in the past couple games. This Denver defense isn't very good. They are actually dead last in the NFL in pass yards allowed per game. The Redskins have one of the most balanced offenses in the league, and they should score plenty too.
The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 against a team with a losing record. The over is 13-3 in the Broncos last 16 October games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this game on Sunday, but my numbers had this one at 66 points. I would play this up to 61 points.* Take the over big here! |
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10-27-13 | NY Giants +6.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 130 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS Play* The New York Giants only have one win, but if they win this Sunday they will legitimately still have a chance in the crazy mess that is the NFC East. The Giants have played much better football the last two weeks. They narrowly lost at Soldier Field and then dominated Minnesota. The Giants are a better team than they showed early in the year, and I think they can take advantage of a weak Eagles secondary here. Philadelphia is dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Eli Manning has the pass catchers to tear apart this secondary. Mike Vick is still dinged up and the Eagles have been terrible at home over the last couple years.
The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a double digit home loss. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after gaining less than 90 rushing yards in the previous game. Philadelphia is 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing more than 350 yards of offense in their last game. A 22-0 angle here. Take the Giants. |
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10-27-13 | Buffalo Bills v. New Orleans Saints -11 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 106 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints are very tough to beat at home. They are even tougher to beat off a bye week. Sean Payton has established himself as one of the brightest minds in the league, and you better believe he will have his team ready to play after an extra week of preparation. The Buffalo Bills have been playing better than expected, but the Bills aren't even on the same level as the Saints. Thad Lewis has been pretty good as their quarterback, but this is a tough environment. In addition, C.J. Spiller is now listed as questionable for this game, and that is huge. Fred Jackson will play, but he isn't 100 percent. The Saints should roll here.
The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. New Orleans is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games when playing against a defense that allows 350 or more yards per game. Buffalo is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an upset win. A 27-1 angle backs this. Take the Saints. |
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10-27-13 | Miami Dolphins v. New England Patriots -6.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 106 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Miami Dolphins have been proven as a fraud over the last few weeks. They started off the season red hot, but the Dolphins have completely fallen apart of late. Miami has an extremely inconsistent offense, and that offense puts too much pressure on the Dolphins defense. New England is 5-2 but the Patriots haven't played very well in 2013. Tom Brady got a key weapon back last week in tight end Rob Gronkowski. Look for that to make a huge difference moving forward for this Patriots offense. I don't think the Dolphins have the schemes to slow down Brady and the improved Patriots offense. Miami's offense won't be able to keep up. Take New England.
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10-27-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 39.5 | 17-23 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense isn't any good. Jason Campbell comes in here and it's hard to expect him to be much better than Brandon Weeden. Campbell doesn't have much help around him. After the Browns got rid of Trent Richardson, the offense became helpless. Defensively, Cleveland is a very solid unit. The Browns are 7th in the NFL in total defense. Kansas City is 1st in the NFL in points per game allowed. The Chiefs are giving up just 11.8 points per game. No opponent has scored more than 17 points on the Chiefs. KC's offense isn't high-powered and they are content to win low scoring games.
The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 during week 8. The under is 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 after throwing for less than 150 yards in the previous game. The under is 21-5 in the Chiefs last 26 home games. The under is 7-1 in KC's last 8 following a win. The under is 12-2 in Cleveland's last 14 after scoring 14 or less in the previous game. A 51-9 angle backs this. Take the under. |
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10-26-13 | Colorado State v. Hawaii OVER 56.5 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 108 h 32 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The Hawaii Warriors offense really struggled early in the year, but they have been getting it together of late. Hawaii has no running game, but their passing game has gotten much better. Sean Schroeder has been a nice spark for the passing attack. Hawaii has scored 37, 27, and 37 points in their last three games. Colorado State is their opponent this week, and the Rams are 119th in the nation in pass defense. Hawaii is 122nd in the nation in pass defense. The Rams are coming off a momentum-building 52-22 shellacking of rival Wyoming. Both aerial attacks should get going here against two bad secondaries. The over is 5-0 in the Warriors last 5 October games. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in Colorado State's last 4 after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Rams last 4 after putting up 450 yards or more of offense. A 20-2 angle backs this. Take the over big!
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10-26-13 | Stanford v. Oregon State OVER 55 | 20-12 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 60 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Stanford/Oregon State Total DOMINATION* The Stanford Cardinal and Oregon State Beavers meet in a key Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Corvallis. I really like what I've seen out of this Oregon State offense this year. The Beavers are first in the nation in passing yards per game. What's the weakness of the Stanford defense? Their secondary. Brandin Cooks and Sean Mannion should carve up this secondary. Stanford will be able to score too. Oregon State is giving up 28.4 points per game so far this year.
The over is 9-0 in Oregon State's last 9 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 20 points in a game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after putting up 450 yards or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. A 34-0 angle in all backs the over. Take the over. |
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10-26-13 | Fresno State v. San Diego State OVER 61.5 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 105 h 46 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Total CRUSHER* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in the country. Derek Carr is a great drop back passer, and I don't see SDSU being able to get pressure on him with their weak front seven and poor pass rush. Carr has lots of weapons and this Bulldogs offense is top ten in the nation in passing. Fresno State has allowed 37 points or more on three occasions already this year, so their defense isn't nearly as good as the offense. San Diego State's offense has been much better on their home field this year, and the Aztecs should get plenty of scoring chances here. Look for big plays from star running back Donnel Pumphrey. I made this total 70 points.
The over is 8-2 in Fresno State's last 10 games after gaining 450 yards or more in their last game. The over is 7-1 in San Diego State's last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the over big in this one! |
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10-26-13 | Penn State v. Ohio State OVER 56.5 | Top | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 102 h 17 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Big 10 Total of the Year* The Ohio State Buckeyes are rolling right along on offense this year. Braxton Miller is clearly much better than he was a year ago, and the Buckeyes are playing at a faster pace. On the other side, the Buckeyes defense is significantly weaker than we are used to seeing. Their biggest weakness is the secondary. Penn State's Christian Hackenburg should find plenty of open receivers against this Buckeyes secondary. At the same time, the Nittany Lions aren't the same defensive team they used to be either. Ohio State's offense should have its way here. I had this one lined at 65 points, so I love the value on the over.
The over is 5-0 in Penn State's last 5 October games. The over is 8-0 in Penn State's last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 8-0 in the Nittany Lions last 8 against a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big! |
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10-26-13 | North Texas -10 v. Southern Miss | 55-14 | Win | 100 | 122 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Road Warrior* I played North Texas as a road favorite last week at Louisiana Tech and they took care of business. I'll go back to the well again this week with the Mean Green. Southern Miss hasn't won in their last 18 games. That's pretty amazing for a team that went 12-2 in 2011. Southern Miss is a complete mess right now, and this is a team that just can't wait for this season to be finished. North Texas is improving quickly under coach Dan McCarney. The Mean Green have a pretty good defense, and they are balanced offensively. North Texas should coast to victory in this one. Take North Texas.
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10-26-13 | South Alabama v. Texas State UNDER 51.5 | 31-33 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* Texas State is great at forcing a low scoring game. The Bobcats have a strong rushing defense, and their offense is very poor. Texas State often struggles to put together scoring drives. South Alabama is one of the most improved teams in the country. The Jaguars usually score a decent amount, but I see them struggling on the road here. My numbers had this total at 45 points. The Bobcats aren't an easy team to beat at home, and this one should end up being a hard fought battle in the trenches. Texas State slows this game down and controls the clock. I like the value here. Take the under.
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10-26-13 | UCLA v. Oregon -23 | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB UCLA/Oregon ATS CASH* The UCLA Bruins have had a nice season thus far, but I don't like this matchup for them at all. Brett Hundley is a star, but he doesn't have enough help. Jordon James is questionable for this one, and if he does play he'll be less than 100 percent. UCLA will start three freshman offensive lineman here. That's not the formula for success in Eugene against the Ducks. D'Anthony Thomas has been out for a while, and he's back here for the Ducks. Thomas is the team's best play maker, and he makes this offense impossible to slow down. Marcus Mariota has 19 TD's and 0 picks this year. UCLA is outclassed in a big way here. Oregon is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Ducks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against the PAC 12. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their last game. A 27-5 angle backs this one. Take Oregon.
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10-26-13 | Georgia State v. Louisiana Monroe UNDER 49 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 102 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Under Radar Total* The Georgia State Panthers have actually improved quite a bit this year. This is a team that has been shocking people by covering the spread. Their defense isn't good, but they are serviceable. Louisiana-Monroe's offense is really lacking play makers right now. The Warhawks last three games have finished at 45, 41, and 35 points total. Monroe's defense is one of the best in the Sun Belt. Georgia State averages just 16.6 points per game on offense. The under is 4-0 in Georgia State's last 4 road games. The under is 6-1 in Monroe's last 7 following a bye week. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Take the under big here.
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10-26-13 | Troy v. Western Kentucky OVER 59.5 | 32-26 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Troy Trojans have a way of making games very high scoring. Troy throws the ball early and often and they have a terrible defense. Western Kentucky likes to push the tempo and run a bunch of plays under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is the best back in the Sun Belt, and he should have a big game for the Hilltoppers here. Western Kentucky's defense was top notch last year, but they are inexperienced and shaky this season. With both teams running a lot of plays, I like the over. I had this number set at 66 myself. Look for both teams to find the end zone several times in this contest. Take the over.
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10-26-13 | Buffalo -2 v. Kent State | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 96 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Buffalo Bulls are a team I've had my eye on all year long. The Bulls have a great running back in Branden Oliver. Oliver has been dinged up through much of his career, but he is healthy now and running very well. Khalil Mack is arguably the MAC's best defensive player, and he is the leader for a solid Bulls defense. Kent State quarterback Colin Reardon is questionable here and they are without their starting kicker as well. The Golden Flashes haven't stopped the run all year. Buffalo is the much better team overall, and the Bulls should be favored by a touchdown or more here.
Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 October games. They are 4-0 in their last 4 overall. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following 170 passing yards or less in the previous game. Kent State is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Golden Flashes are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing more than 450 yards in their previous game. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. A 31-0 angle backs Buffalo. Take the Bulls. |
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10-26-13 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 65.5 | 20-59 | Win | 100 | 48 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have one of the worst rushing defenses in the nation. With a horrible rushing defense, heading to Northern Illinois to face Jordan Lynch and the Huskies is the last place you want to be going. Eastern Michigan is giving up 42.3 points per game, and Northern Illinois will be the best rushing attack they have faced this year. While Northern Illinois has an elite offense, their defense isn't good at all. The Huskies are 100th in the nation in total defense, and Eastern Michigan should get scoring opportunities here. This one gets ugly in a hurry, but both offenses should score plenty. Take the over.
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10-26-13 | Western Michigan v. UMass UNDER 47 | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* These are two of the worst teams in the nation. I certainly wouldn't want to wager on who is going to win this mess of a game, but I don't mind taking advantage of the fact that it should be an ugly low scoring game all the way. UMass hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game all year. Western Michigan's top offensive output is 20 points. This one has a 17-14 ugly game written all over it. Both defenses have looked better in recent weeks, but the offenses are a disaster.
The under is 7-0 in UMass' last 7 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 170 passing yards in their last game. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a loss of 20 points or more. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games on turf. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring less than 20 points. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in Western Michigan's last 4 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more in the previous game. In all, a 51-0 angle backs this play! Take the under. |
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10-26-13 | Toledo v. Bowling Green -3.5 | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA MAC Value Play* The Bowling Green Falcons have the best defense in the MAC. Bowling Green is coming off a one point loss at Mississippi State. The fact that Bowling Green could play well on the road against an SEC team speaks very highly of their ability. The Falcons are 25th in the nation in total defense. Bowling Green is giving up just 17.1 points per game. Toledo is very dinged up coming into this game. The Rockets may be without star running back David Fluellen in this one. If so, that changes things in a big way for the offense. Toledo's passing attack is nearly non-existent, and the Rockets defense is 78th in the nation in total defense. I like Bowling Green at home here. Take Bowling Green.
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10-26-13 | Pittsburgh v. Navy OVER 49.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Pittsburgh Panthers have performed a little better offensively than most people expected (myself included). Navy's defense isn't any good, and the Panthers should be able to overpower the small Navy defensive front. Navy's offense is really hard to prepare for, and the Panthers defense has been disappointing this year. Pitt lacks play makers at linebacker, and that really is the key to stopping the Navy triple option attack. The posted total here opened more than 10 points off my projected total here (60 points). This line has slowly been moving up this week, but I'd play this one up to 55 points. Take the over big.
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10-26-13 | Houston +7 v. Rutgers | 49-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Houston Cougars have covered the spread in every single game so far this year. This is a team the oddsmakers just can't seem to catch up to. Houston quarterback John O'Korn will be playing in front of his old high school fans here, and O'Korn has been great so far this year. Rutgers is terrible against the pass, and Houston should exploit that early and often. The Scarlet Knights haven't proven themselves this year. Their best win is against a subpar Arkansas team. Houston getting 7 points here is far too generous to pass up.
Houston is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 450 yards or more. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after throwing for 280 or more in the previous game. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. A 21-0 angle here. Take Houston. |
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10-20-13 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 64 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Baltimore Ravens are the defending Super Bowl champs, but they still aren't getting the kind of respect they deserve. I've won backing the Ravens two of the last three weeks, and I'll go back to the well again here. Pittsburgh did play better last week, but they definitely didn't prove they have fixed all their problems. Remember, this Steelers win was against a Jets team that simply isn't that talented. The Ravens have a great pass rush to exploit Pittsburgh's biggest weakness which is their offensive line play. Ray Rice is starting to get going, and he is dangerous weapon for the Ravens offense. The Steelers offense relies solely on Roethlisberger and the passing game, and the Ravens pass rush should tee off on them here. Baltimore is the better team, and getting points I have to take the Ravens.
The Ravens are 4-0 ATS following an ATS loss. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. Pittsburgh is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Take Baltimore. |
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10-20-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 46.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 63 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense is a real mess right now. Only Brian Hoyer has had any real success moving this team, and he is injured. Brandon Weeden has been bad all year, and the Packers defense has looked much better the last couple weeks. Green Bay's offense is missing several play makers right now, and I'm not sure they'll score as easily as most think here. The Browns defense is pretty good, especially in the secondary where they have Joe Haden and T.J. Ward. The Packers last two games finished at 31 and 36 points. The Browns know they can't win a shootout with the Packers and I expect them to try to slow this game down and control the ball. The under is 6-1 in the Browns last 7 during week 7. The under is 5-1-1 in the Browns last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take the under.
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10-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers -3 v. Tennessee Titans | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Oddsmaker ERROR* The San Francisco 49ers weren't on top of their game earlier this year, but this team has looked much better the last couple weeks. San Francisco is an elite team that is capable of beating just about anyone in the NFL by a big margin when they are playing well. The Titans are a bit overrated now in my opinion. They only lost to the Seahawks by 7 last week, but the Titans were badly outplayed in that game. The Titans haven't played a difficult schedule at all this season. Tennessee's offense will get back Jake Locker for this one, but he is less than 100 percent. The 49ers defense should handle them. Offensively, the Niners running game is looking strong of late. The Titans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. The 49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 October games. Take San Francisco.
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10-20-13 | New England Patriots -3 v. NY Jets | 27-30 | Loss | -125 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New England Patriots got a bit fortunate to sneak past the Saints last week. This week they are matched up an inferior Jets team. The Jets outplayed New England on the road earlier this year, but the Patriots still won because they forced so many turnovers from Geno Smith. I expect the Patriots to be better prepared for this one. Rob Gronkowksi is expected back on the field here, and he instantly becomes Tom Brady's best pass catcher. He will be a huge boost to this offense. The Jets offense looked terrible last week against Pittsburgh and I expect the same against the Pats defensive schemes. New England is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games played on the road against the Jets. The Patriots are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games during week 7. Take New England.
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10-20-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* Cincinnati isn't a bad team, but they haven't proven they are elite this year. Andy Dalton has been very underwhelming so far this season. Dalton has been a turnover machine, and this Lions defense thrives on turnovers. The Lions have forced 13 turnovers already this year. The Bengals have turned it over 12 times. Dalton is going to have a lot of heat on him in this one against a Lions defense that has a very strong front four. On the other side, the Lions offense is much better with a healthy Reggie Bush. Bush keeps the opponents off guard and the Bengals defense isn't going to know what's coming here. Matt Stafford is a better QB than Andy Dalton, and there is a good chance he'll have Calvin Johnson back for this game. Detroit is only laying 2.5 at home against a Bengals team with plenty to prove. I'll take the home team. Take Detroit.
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10-19-13 | Oregon State v. California OVER 71 | 49-17 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon State Beavers and Cal Bears are two teams who don't even attempt to run the football. Both teams are terrible at running, but they can both air it out. Expect this to be a game where both quarterbacks get 50 pass attempts or more. A ton of passing attempts for good offenses against terrible defenses means a lot of points. Brandin Cooks has 63 receptions and 11 touchdowns already this year for Oregon State, and Cal doesn't have anyone who can even come close to slowing him down. Jared Goff and the Bears put up 34 points at home against an Ohio State defense that is much better than Oregon State's. The line is high here for a reason. This should be a real shootout.
The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 road games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 following a SU win. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 conference games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more in their previous game. The over is 4-0-1 in Cal's last 5 home games. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bears last 6 after scoring 20 points or less in their previous game. A 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-19-13 | UNLV v. Fresno State OVER 71.5 | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The UNLV Rebels have picked up the tempo in a big way on offense. UNLV ran 113 offensive plays last week. That set a new school record and a new Mountain West Conference record. It was only two plays away from the NCAA record set by Houston last year. Fresno State is regularly running more than 100 plays per game this year. This is going to be a fast-paced game and both offenses are very good. Fresno State has scored at least 40 points in their last 10 regular season games. UNLV's offense is firing on all cylinders with Herring now at quarterback. On the other side, both of these defenses will be completely overmatched. Fresno is giving up 33.4 per game on defense, and they have allowed 40 or more twice at home this year. UNLV has given up more than 50 twice this season already.
The over is 6-0 in Fresno's last 6 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0-1 in UNLV's last 5 after giving up more than 280 passing yards. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 overall. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 following an ATS loss. Take the over. A 26-2 angle here. Take the over. |
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10-19-13 | Utah State v. New Mexico +10.5 | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Dog of Day* The Utah State Aggies season was derailed in a big way when Chuckie Keeton got injured. Keeton was absolutely everything for this Aggies offense. Without Keeton, the Aggies have looked lost on offense. New Mexico is a team that is getting much better thanks to a very good job by head coach Bob Davie. Davie has this team running the football extremely well. The Lobos are running the Pistol and Kasey Carrier is an amazing running back for that team. Utah State's defense is pretty solid, but I don't see any reason for the Aggies to be laying more than a touchdown on the road without their star. Grab the points and Take New Mexico.
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10-19-13 | Florida State v. Clemson OVER 62 | Top | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 123 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star FSU/Clemson TOP Total* The Florida State Seminoles offense has been firing on all cylinders with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Winston is completing 73% of his passes this year. Florida State is 4th in the nation in total offense, and they are averaging 53.6 points per game. Clemson has a terrific offense led by quarterback Tajh Boyd. Boyd is now a senior and he knows this offense extremely well. Sammy Watkins is one of the best receivers in the country, and he is capable of taking it the distance any time he touches it. These defenses have impressive stats, but they haven't faced an offense even close to as good as their opponent this week. Last year's game was 49-37 and there was a total of 1,096 yards in that game.
The over is 5-0 in the Seminoles last 5 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the Seminoles last 6 games following a win by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these teams. Take the over big! |
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10-19-13 | Nevada v. Boise State OVER 67 | 17-34 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have an awful defense, but they can definitely score points. Cody Fajardo is the same type of quarterback as Colin Kaepernick, and he'll be able to move this offense against a less than stellar Boise State defense. Boise State has picked up the pace in a big way of late on offense. Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in the nation in terms of plays per game. Lots of plays should equal lots of chances to score points here. Boise State could put up 45 or 50 here, and Nevada should get more than 20.
The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 October games. The over is 5-0 in Boise State's last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-19-13 | USC v. Notre Dame OVER 47 | 10-14 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The USC Trojans offense has looked much better in the past couple games. It's big for them to have Silas Redd back in the lineup. Marqise Lee is expected to play this weekend as well. In their last two games, USC has scored 41 and 38 points. Notre Dame's defense hasn't been nearly as good as expected this year. It looks like they miss Teo even more than expected. USC's defense has been susceptible against the pass this year, and Tommy Rees is getting more comfortable at QB for the Fighting Irish. This was primarily a numbers play for me since I made this total 55. Look for this one to get over the posted total. Take the over.
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10-19-13 | Washington v. Arizona State OVER 66 | 24-53 | Win | 100 | 121 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Washington Huskies had to play at Stanford and home against Oregon the last two weeks. The schedule makers must not be fans of Washington. I like the Huskies team a lot, but this is a really tough spot for them. I think that shows up most on the defensive side of the football this week. Washington's defense will be gassed in the hot Arizona weather after two long weeks before this one. Todd Graham's offense is very fast-paced and Taylor Kelly is making great decisions for the Sun Devils. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey lead a very good Washington offense who should score plenty in this one as well. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.
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10-19-13 | North Texas -6.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 146 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Road Warrior* The North Texas Mean Green have a very good coach in Dan McCarney. McCarney has this team playing its best football in a long time right now. North Texas destroyed a decent MTSU team 34-7 last weekend. I backed North Texas in that game, and I'm backing them again here. Louisiana Tech is overrated based on what they did last year. The Bulldogs aren't even close to the same team this year. Louisiana Tech was handled on a neutral field by Army, and they were beaten soundly by Tulane on their home field. North Texas is better on both sides of the football. Look for the road team to win comfortably. Take North Texas.
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10-19-13 | UMass v. Buffalo -19 | 3-32 | Win | 100 | 146 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar ATS* The Buffalo Bulls have been flying under the radar all year. Buffalo has impressed me in every game this year except for their blowout loss at Baylor. Then again, who doesn't get blown out at Baylor? The Bulls were competitive against Ohio State, and they have taken care of business in a big way the last couple weeks against UConn and Western Michigan. UMass is a complete mess right now. UMass beat Miami (OH) last week, but that isn't saying much of anything. The Bulls running game is really getting going with Branden Oliver. Buffalo's defense has the best player on the field in linebacker Khalil Mack. Buffalo should roll in this one. Take the Bulls.
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10-19-13 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -6.5 | Top | 52-22 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB ATS Top Play of Week* The Colorado State Rams pass defense ranks 119th in the nation. The Rams haven't been able to slow down any passing attacks this year. Brett Smith and this Wyoming offense can do it all, and Wyoming is averaging 310 yards per game so far this year. The weakness of the Wyoming defense is their inability to stop the run, but Colorado State hasn't been able to run the ball all year. Wyoming was up 42-17 late in last year's game between these two teams. The Cowboys coasted to a 45-31 win. Wyoming has improved more than Colorado State since last year. The Cowboys also have a very good home field advantage. Wyoming has the best player on the field here, and the Cowboys offense should do whatever they want. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Colorado State is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games. Take Wyoming big.
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10-19-13 | Army +3 v. Temple | 14-33 | Loss | -115 | 62 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Army Black Knights are a significantly better football team this year compared to last season. Army is first in the nation in rushing yards. Angel Santiago has come in and done a terrific job running the triple option. Terry Baggett ran for a record 304 rushing yards last week. Temple is 122nd in the nation (out of 124 teams) in total defense. Army should be able to run all over the Owls. Temple is starting an inexperienced quarterback, and the Army defense is significantly better than last season. Temple throttled Army last year, and I'm sure the Black Knights remember that game well. Army gets some revenge this year. Grab the points and look for Army to win this one.
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10-19-13 | Akron v. Miami (OH) UNDER 45 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are one of the very worst teams in college football this year. Akron hasn't won a road game in their last 30 tries. This game has ugly written all over it. Miami hasn't scored more than 14 points in a game all year, and I don't see any reason to believe they'll do it in this game either. Akron nearly took down Michigan and Northern Illinois this year, so the Zips are much better than they have been. The defenses will be ahead of the offenses in this one. This looks like one of those 20-14 ugly games that are terrible to watch, but I don't mind cashing in a bet on ugly football.
The under is 8-0 in Akron's last 8 road games. The under is 7-0 in Akron's last 7 October games. The under is 5-0 in Miami's last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this one. Take the under. |
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10-19-13 | Florida -3 v. Missouri | 17-36 | Loss | -115 | 142 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Showdown ATS* The Florida Gators are ranked third in the nation in total defense. Florida's defense is in the top 5 in every single major category. Missouri has a quality team, but Mauk will make the start here with Franklin out. Mauk is a talented youngster, but making your first start against this Gators defense is very tough. Running back Henry Josey is also dinged up for Missouri, though he may gut it out and play. Tyler Murphy isn't great at quarterback for the Gators, but he should be able to move this team against a Missouri defense that is no better than mediocre. Florida has the massive edge on defense, and without Franklin I have to back the Gators here. Take Florida.
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10-17-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7 | 34-22 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thursday Night CASH* The Seattle Seahawks dispatched the Arizona Cardinals 58-0 in Seattle in the last meeting between these two late last year. Arizona was very short-handed in that game, and the Cardinals are a much better team than they were at that point. It's also important to keep in mind that Arizona actually beat Seattle by a field goal at home last year. Bettors see that Seattle won big late last year and don't worry about laying the number here, but I think the value is on Arizona. Seattle isn't even close to the same team on the road. Arizona's front seven has been great at stopping the run, and the Seahawks are all about the running game on offense. Arizona has a bit of running game now, and Palmer can throw it deep to Fitzgerald. The Cardinals are a much more dangerous team than they were last year.
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following an ATS loss. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take Arizona and the points. *Note- This line has been moving since I played it. I would suggest getting at least 6 points with the Cardinals here. Thank you.* |
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10-14-13 | Indianapolis Colts -113 v. San Diego Chargers | 9-19 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Colts/Chargers Moneyline CASH* The Indianapolis Colts were thought to be a team that might decline a bit from last year before the season. The Colts played pretty well early on, and then they made a huge move to get an elite running back in Trent Richardson. Andrew Luck is a terrific QB, and this offense is now balanced. The Colts defense has struggled against the run, but they are top notch against the pass. The Chargers can't run the ball well at all, so they are all about the pass. I trust Andrew Luck far more than Phillip Rivers to take care of the football. The Colts clearly have the better defense here as well. Remember, the Colts dominated the 49ers on the road a few weeks ago.
The Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. San Diego is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 October games. Indianapolis is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 against a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a losing home record. A 24-0 angle backs the Colts here. I'll take the moneyline here since I believe its the best value. Take the Colts. |
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10-13-13 | Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 52 | 16-31 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football Total* The Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys meet in an interesting Sunday Night game this week. These two teams have a rivalry that goes back a long ways. Robert Griffin III hasn't been very sharp early on this year, but I expect him to get much better as the season progresses. The Cowboys defense isn't very impressive, and Griffin has had plenty of success in Dallas before. Tony Romo had a terrific game last week, and I think he can back it up with another great performance against a really bad Washington defense in this one. The over is 16-2 in the Cowboys last 18 games against teams averaging at least 260 yards per game through the air. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
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10-13-13 | Arizona Cardinals v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41.5 | 20-32 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Arizona Cardinals defense is one of the best in the NFL right now. Arizona is third in the NFL against the run, and they have one of the best corners in the NFL in Patrick Peterson. San Francisco is all about the running game, and I expect the Cardinals to slow them down pretty well throughout this game. Arizona's offense hasn't been very good this year. Carson Palmer is far too inconsistent, and the Cardinals have virtually no running game. San Francisco's secondary is very good against the pass, and I don't see Arizona putting together long drives against the 49ers.
The under is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 October games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC. The under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 October games. The under is 7-0 in the Cardinals last 7 games following a win. A 24-0 angle backs this one. Take the under. |
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10-13-13 | Tennessee Titans v. Seattle Seahawks -12.5 | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS CRUSHER* The Seattle Seahawks are in a great spot here. Seattle is coming off their first loss of the season. The Seahawks were beaten in Indianapolis by a good Colts team. Now, Seattle returns home to play against what I believe is an overrated Tennessee team. The Titans haven't played in a really hostile environment this year, and they'll be without starting quarterback Jake Locker in this one. Seattle's home field advantage is far bigger than anyone else's in the NFL, and the Seahawks still have a bad taste in their mouth from last week. Seattle is better than Tennessee on both sides of the ball. The Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following an ATS loss. Seattle is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 after gaining at least 6 yards per play in their previous game. Take Seattle here.
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10-13-13 | Carolina Panthers +2.5 v. Minnesota Vikings | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 46 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Carolina Panthers have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Carolina has been solid both against the run and the pass. Adrian Peterson is the Vikings entire offense at this point, and I feel like the Panthers have the personnel to slow him down. I don't trust Matt Cassel as the team's new starter at all. Cam Newton and the Panthers offense has been up and down, but this Vikings defense has been terrible all season. Minnesota is 30th in the NFL in total defense. Minnesota has allowed at least 27 points in every single game so far this year. Carolina has the better defense and the better quarterback. Take the points here. Take Carolina.
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10-13-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Baltimore Ravens +3 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 14 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Packers/Ravens ATS* The Green Bay Packers have a top quarterback in Aaron Rodgers, but their offensive line doesn't always do a good job protecting him. Baltimore can get after the quarterback, and I fully expect the Ravens to make Rodgers uncomfortable in this one. Baltimore's offense is much better when Ray Rice is a big part of the game plan, and he should be once again this week. Rice had a great game last weekend in the team's win at Miami. The Packers are without Clay Matthews, who is clearly the team's best defensive player. This Green Bay secondary has a lot of holes, and Joe Flacco should have a good game here. I like getting the points on the home underdog here.
Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 on turf. The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 17-0 angle here. Take Baltimore. |
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10-13-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 41 | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 45 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs have stunned everyone with their red hot start. Many people expected this team to be better, but no one saw this team sitting at unbeaten heading into week 6. Oakland was considered by many to be at or near the bottom of the NFL power rankings this year. The Raiders aren't a good team, but they are definitely more competitive than expected. Oakland's defense has been pretty solid against both the run and the pass. Kansas City's offense is about ball control and letting their defense win the game. Oakland will struggle to score here, but I don't see the Chiefs putting up all that many points either.
The under is 14-2 in the Raiders last 16 during week 6. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing more than 250 passing yards in the previous game. The under is 11-1 in the Chiefs last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at KC. A 37-3 angle backs this one. Take the under. |
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10-13-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. NY Jets UNDER 41 | 19-6 | Win | 100 | 45 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Steelers had a bye week to think about how awful they were through the first four contests of the season. Pittsburgh still has a very good defense, and I expect them to show up ready to play in this one. The Jets offense is still one of the worst in the league. Defensively, the Jets have been even better than expected. This sets up perfectly as a game where both teams will have to fight hard for all their yardage. Expect the scoring to consist of a lot of field goals. If you like defense, this should be your type of game. I think this stays in the low to mid 30's. Take the under.
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10-12-13 | Colorado v. Arizona State OVER 64 | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Colorado Buffaloes are a more competitive team this year under Coach Mike MacIntyre, but the Buffs still have an awful defense. Colorado is giving up 38 points per game so far this year. Arizona State's offense is high-octane and they can really score in bunches on their home field. Taylor Kelly should be able to pick apart this Colorado secondary. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see Arizona State score more than 50 points in this game. Colorado's passing attack is much improved this year, and due to the pace of the game, the Buffs should get plenty of chances to score here.
The over is 4-0 in Colorado's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 home games. The over is 6-0 in Arizona State's last 6 after gaining at least 280 yards through the air in their previous game. The over is 7-1 in the Sun Devils last 8 October games. A 21-1 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-12-13 | Hawaii v. UNLV OVER 54.5 | 37-39 | Win | 100 | 67 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Hawaii coach Norm Chow is slowly helping this Hawaii offense progress as season moves along. The Warriors are picking up the tempo a bit and airing it out often. UNLV's pass defense hasn't been tested all season, but that will change here. UNLV has won three games in a row, and the Rebels offense is much improved. Caleb Herring hasn't turned the ball over since taking over as the team's starting quarterback. Both of these defenses are way below average, and the offenses have been clicking well in the last couple weeks. I had this total projected at 60 points. Take the over in this one.
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10-12-13 | Idaho v. Arkansas State -24 | 24-48 | Push | 0 | 138 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Under the Radar BLASTER* The Idaho Vandals are among the worst teams in college football. Idaho lost to Fresno State at home last week 61-14. They were outgained by 458 yards in that game. Arkansas State isn't quite the team they were a couple years ago, but they have a lot of talent on their roster. David Oku should run all over this Idaho front seven. Arkansas State is a different team at home, and Idaho is even more hapless away from home. Arkansas State is fully capable of winning this game by 30 or 40 points.
Idaho is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 October games. Idaho is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Arkansas State is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. A 25-3 angle backs this play. Take Arkansas State. |
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10-12-13 | Middle Tenn State v. North Texas -5.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 126 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The North Texas Mean Green were beaten by Tulane last week despite controlling the game. North Texas made too many mistakes, and those turnovers haunted them in the end. The Mean Green are a much better team at home, and MTSU has yet to prove anything on the road this year. The Blue Raiders defense isn't good, and North Texas has a balanced offensive attack. North Texas should be able to control the clock and get ahead early on here. MTSU has problems throwing the ball, so if they get behind early this game could get out of hand in a hurry. I like North Texas to cruise in this one. Take North Texas.
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10-12-13 | Georgia Tech v. BYU -6.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 65 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Bookie CRUSHER* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are really struggling right now. Vad Lee isn't making good decisions with the football, and this team relies on him in a big way. The Jackets defense was exposed last week against Miami. Last year, BYU torched Georgia Tech 41-17 in Atlanta. This season, BYU will have a great home crowd advantage and the altitude will work in their favor. Taysom Hill is a great running quarterback, and I think that is the type of offense that Georgia Tech's D struggles against. BYU is adept at stopping the option. The Cougars should take control of this game early on and win comfortably. Take BYU.
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10-12-13 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Texas State Bobcats -6 | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM ATS Play* The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks were a good team last year, and they were a difficult team to beat earlier this year until they lost their star. Kolton Browning, the team's Mr. Everything at quarterback, is out for the season with an injury. Without Browning, this team isn't even close to the same. They now have a young quarterback under center who is turning the ball over far too often. Texas State is an improving program who plays much better at home. This is a good spot for them to take advantage of a Monroe program that is quickly on the decline right now.
LA Monroe is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. They are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 following a loss of 20 points or more. Texas State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. A 20-1 angle backs this play. Take Texas State. |
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10-12-13 | Michigan -1.5 v. Penn State | 40-43 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Michigan/Penn State ATS CASH* The Penn State Nittany Lions are often known for their defensive prowess. This Penn State defense just isn't what we've come to expect. Indiana put up 44 points on them last week and UCF scored 34 in Happy Valley earlier this year. Michigan has a strong offensive front and the Wolverines have plenty of talent at the skill positions. Penn State's offense is pretty one-dimensional this season. Christian Hackenburg is a very good young QB, but this Michigan defense will be the best defense he has seen this year. Michigan has too much talent. Take the Wolverines.
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10-12-13 | Rice +1.5 v. Texas San Antonio | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 38 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Small School Special* The Rice Owls are a team I've had my eye on all year. Rice improved a ton at the end of last year, and the Owls are looking solid again this season. The strength of the Rice team is their overall team depth. Texas San Antonio plays very hard, but the team doesn't have much depth at all. Larry Coker's team is starting to wear down over the past couple weeks. Rice beat UTSA soundly last season, and the Owls will have plenty of fans backing them in the dome this weekend in San Antonio. Rice should be favored here, so we'll take them as a small dog. Take the Owls.
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10-12-13 | New Mexico v. Wyoming OVER 66 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 121 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Who do you think is the number one rushing team in the country? Most fans would probably guess Navy, Army, Air Force, Georgia Tech, or maybe Oregon. All of those guesses are wrong. New Mexico comes into this game with the top ranked rushing attack in the nation. Bob Davie has really done a good job getting this team to buy into his system. The Lobos have a great runner in Kasey Carrier, and he should rack up the yards here against an undersized defensive front for Wyoming. Brett Smith is a superb quarterback for Wyoming. New Mexico's defense is still a mess. The Lobos are giving up 36 points per game. Wyoming is averaging 38 points per game. This one has shootout written all over it. Take the over.
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10-12-13 | Kent State v. Ball State OVER 60 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 120 h 50 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Kent State Golden Flashes are a totally different team with Dri Archer in the backfield. Archer came back last week, and the team put up 24 points and moved the ball well all game against a good Northern Illinois team. Ball State is led by the best quarterback in the MAC, Keith Wenning, and he can do it all. Wenning had a great game and led the Cardinals to a big win at Virginia last week (48 points on the road at an ACC school). Ball State is 12th in the nation in passing. Kent State's is ranked 113th in the nation in total defense this year. At the same time, the Cardinals defense is 106th in the nation at stopping the run. Archer and the Golden Flashes running game should rack up the yards here. In last year's game, the final score was 45-43. Expect another high scoring contest here. The over is 17-8 in Ball State's last 25 conference games. Take the over big!
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10-12-13 | Navy v. Duke OVER 58.5 | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Navy Midshipmen are all about the running game on the offensive side of the ball. Past history between these two teams tells me that Duke isn't good at all at stopping the triple option. Duke couldn't stop Georgia Tech's triple option last month, and I don't think they'll stop Navy here. Duke has improved over the last few weeks offensively, and the Blue Devils should be able to move the ball consistently against an undersized Navy defense that isn't very good against the run or the pass. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I had this number at 63 points. Take the over.
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10-12-13 | Missouri v. Georgia OVER 63.5 | 41-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Missouri Tigers are one of the most improved teams in college football. James Franklin and Henry Josey were both banged up last year, and now that they are healthy this is a completely different offense. The Tigers have been piling up the yards. Missouri ranks in the top ten nationally in total offense. Missouri's one weakness as a team right now is the secondary. The Tigers secondary ranks 114th in the nation in pass defense. Georgia has a ton of injured players, and their defense isn't any good right now, but the Bulldogs can still air it out with quarterback Aaron Murray at the helm. Both teams should put up a lot of points here.
The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Missouri's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 games overall. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Georgia's last 4 against the SEC. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-12-13 | Indiana v. Michigan State -8.5 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 34 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle ATS Play* The Indiana Hoosiers are coming off an impressive win over Penn State at home. That was the first time Indiana has beaten Penn State. The Hoosiers will be feeling good about themselves, but this is their first road game and it won't be easy at all. Michigan State has the top ranked defense in the nation, and the Spartans offense is slowly getting better. Connor Cook had the best game of his college career last week, and the Spartans offense dominated a good Iowa defense. Indiana has one of the worst defenses in the Big 10. Letdown spot for Indiana here.
Indiana is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after giving up less than 100 yards in the previous game. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on grass. The Spartans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. Indiana is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games at Michigan State. A 16-0 angle backs Michigan State. Take the Spartans. |
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10-10-13 | San Diego State v. Air Force OVER 51 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has come alive in the past three weeks. The Aztecs have scored 30, 26, and 51 points in their last three games. They should have plenty of success here against an Air Force defense that is among the worst in the country. Air Force is allowing 39.8 points per game this year. The Falcons are undersized on the defensive front, and San Diego State should be able to run all over Air Force. At the same time, Air Force's triple option is tough to defend, and San Diego State had a short week to prepare. Last year's game was low scoring between these two, but that was the exception rather than the rule. These teams have played a lot of high scoring games. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 conference games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Air Force. Take the over. *Note- This line has moved since I locked it in early in the week. I would play this one up to, but not above 56 points. Thank you.*
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10-06-13 | Denver Broncos v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 55.5 | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 44 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Denver Broncos are an offensive juggernaut. The Dallas Cowboys defense isn't terrible, but they didn't look very good last week against Phillip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers offense. Peyton Manning is going to pick apart this Cowboys secondary. The Broncos are averaging a ridiculous 44.8 points per game. I give them a very reasonable chance of hitting 40 again in this one. Dallas' offense will have plenty of opportunities too. The Denver defense isn't very good against the pass, and I see Dallas airing it out often after getting behind early on. Denver is giving up 316 passing yards per game.
The over is 8-0-1 in the Broncos last 9 games following a win by 10 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Denver's last 4 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Cowboys last 5 during week 5 of the season. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-06-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Chicago Bears OVER 47.5 | 26-18 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The New Orleans Saints offense is firing on all cylinders once again. The Saints have Sean Payton back on the sideline, and Drew Brees is at his best once again. Brees has all kinds of weapons to work with, and this Saints offense is going to be hard for anyone to slow down. The Bears defense isn't what it used to be. Offensively, the Bears are much better than they were the last couple years. Chicago is averaging 31.8 points per game. The Bears defense is forcing turnovers that lead to a lot of points as well. Rob Ryan is improving this Saints defense, but they are going to get exposed sooner or later. This number is too low.
The over is 6-0 in the Bears last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 on grass. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 against an NFC oppponent. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 week five games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. In all, a 23-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-06-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. St. Louis Rams UNDER 42 | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Jacksonville Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL by a mile right now. Their offense is just brutal. Jacksonville is averaging just 7.8 points per game this season. The Jaguars will likely have trouble scoring in St. Louis against a Rams defense that plays much better at home. The Jaguars defense isn't good, but they should be able to keep the Rams off the board enough to keep this one under the total. St. Louis has no real running game, and Sam Bradford has been struggling with inconsistency this year. The under is 5-0 in the Jaguars last 5 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in the Jags last 5 after allowing more than 30 points. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing more than 250 yards through the air in the previous game. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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10-06-13 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Miami Dolphins | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 40 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Best Bet* The Miami Dolphins were exposed last week in New Orleans. Miami was 3-0, but they aren't one of the top teams in the league. Cameron Wake is the team's best defensive player, but he is still dinged up. He might not play in this one, and if he does he won't be as effective as normal. Baltimore is 2-2, and the Ravens have played well off a loss in their last couple years. The Ravens should use Ray Rice early and often here, and that is always a good thing. Rice is one of the most versatile backs in the NFL. Baltimore is better than some believe, because the Ravens still have stars on both sides of the ball. The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against teams with a winning record. The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. Miami is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 30 points or more in their previous game. Take Baltimore.
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10-06-13 | Detroit Lions v. Green Bay Packers OVER 53 | 9-22 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Detroit Lions offense is so much better with Reggie Bush in the backfield. Bush can do it all, and that gives Matt Stafford and this offense the missing piece to the puzzle. Green Bay's offense is tremendous, but their defense is giving up points in bunches. The Packers first three games have finished with a total of 62, 58, and 64 points. Detroit is fully capable of getting into a shootout with the Packers, and that is what I expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 games overall. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in Detroit's last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record. The over is 7-1 in the Packers last 8 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing the previous game. Take the over.
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10-05-13 | West Virginia v. Baylor OVER 64 | 42-73 | Win | 100 | 104 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears will get together Saturday night. Last year, these teams played to a 70-63 final. West Virginia's offense isn't as good as last year, but their defense is just as bad. Baylor's offense is even better than last season. The Bears are averaging a ridiculous 751 yards of offense and 69.7 points per game so far this year. It wouldn't shock me if Baylor put up 60 points in this game by themselves. The posted total here looks far too low. West Virginia likes to play at a fast pace, and Baylor will be glad to run a ton of plays. I made the total in this one 79 points, so I love the value on the over.
The over is 12-0 in Baylor's last 12 games following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 7-0 in Baylor's last 7 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in Baylor's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. The over is 3-0-1 in the Bears last 4 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. A 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. *Note- This line has been all over the place this week. I would play this one up to 69 points for 4 stars and for 3 stars up to 74 points. Thank you.* |
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10-05-13 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar ATS* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs may have dropped off quicker than any team from last season to this season. Sonny Dykes left after last year, and the team returned a grand total of just seven starters. It is showing on the field. Louisiana Tech was dominated last week by a very mediocre Army team. They also were beaten at home by Tulane earlier this year. UTEP has a promising quarterback in Jameill Showers. He had a breakout game with 5 touchdowns and 0 interceptions last week. UTEP has far more offensive firepower than does Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs have been a mess this year, and I'll side with the home team with much more potential. Take UTEP.
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10-05-13 | Missouri +1.5 v. Vanderbilt | 51-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Revenge Spot* The Missouri Tigers were banged up all season last year. Their team suffered in a big way because quarterback James Franklin could never get completely healthy. Henry Josey is the team's top runner, and he was out last year as well. Both Franklin and Josey are completely healthy this year, and they are wreaking havoc on opponents defenses. Missouri is 7th in the nation in total offense. They are averaging 45.5 points per game. Vanderbilt beat Missouri in the Tigers SEC home opener last year. You better believe Missouri remembers that game, and they are out to get Vanderbilt back. The Commodores aren't consistent on offense, and I like Missouri to outscore them here. Missouri is 4-0 ATS after gaining 450 yards or more in their previous game. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4. Vanderbilt is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Missouri.
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10-05-13 | Kentucky v. South Carolina -21 | 28-35 | Loss | -103 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Mismatch* The Kentucky Wildcats are clearly the worst team in the SEC. Kentucky might struggle to win more than a couple games all season. The Wildcats already lost by 9 against Western Kentucky on a neutral field. South Carolina has been winning close games, but those were against teams much better than Kentucky. Here is a great chance for the Gamecocks to run away with a huge win. South Carolina beat Kentucky 54-3 two years at home. It's hard to predict a score like that, but it wouldn't shock me to see the Gamecocks win by 30 plus points here. They will dominate the line of scrimmage all game long. Look for a bigtime win here from the Gamecocks. Take South Carolina.
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10-05-13 | New Mexico State v. New Mexico OVER 59 | 17-66 | Win | 100 | 49 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The New Mexico Lobos are great at running the football. They are awful at everything on the defensive end. New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in all of football, and they are particularly weak when it comes to stopping the run. New Mexico State is allowing 301 yards per game on the ground which is by far and away dead last in the nation. The Lobos should find running room all day long. New Mexico State allows 45.4 points per game defensively. New Mexico allows 40.2 points per game. Both these teams are bad, but they should both score a ton of points here.
The over is 4-0 in the Aggies last 4 road games. The over is 8-1 in the Aggies last 9 games overall. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 following a loss. In all, a 26-3 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-05-13 | Fresno State v. Idaho OVER 65 | 61-14 | Win | 100 | 69 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in college football. Derek Carr is a terrific quarterback who can make all the throws necessary. Idaho's defense won't have a chance to slow down this Bulldogs high-powered offense. At the same time, Fresno State's defense has been terrible this year. Fresno State is giving up 38.2 points per game. Idaho has scored 71 points in two home games this year. The Vandals should be able to put plenty on the board here. Fresno should comfortably put up at least 45-50 points here. The over is 8-2 in Idaho's last 10 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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10-05-13 | North Carolina State v. Wake Forest +8.5 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 67 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB ATS Oddsmaker Error* The North Carolina State Wolfpack are a pretty good team at home. They have played at home in their first four contest. Here is there first road trip of the year. NC State put up a good effort against Clemson at home,so now most people believe they are a good team. I expect them to look bad this Saturday. Pete Thomas has thrown just one touchdown pass all year, and Wake Forest coach Jim Grobe is fighting for his job. By all accounts, the Demon Deacons like Grobe and they want him to stick around. Expect a big effort from Wake Forest here. NC State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. They are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 during their first road game of the season following at least three straight home games to start the year. NC State is also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games at Wake Forest. NC State is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. In all, a 26-1 angle backs this. This line is way too big. Grab all the points and Wake Forest.
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10-05-13 | East Carolina v. Middle Tenn State OVER 61 | 24-17 | Loss | -111 | 51 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The East Carolina Pirates got their offense going in a big way last week against North Carolina. The Pirates racked up 55 points against an ACC defense. East Carolina has a rising star in quarterback Shane Carden. Middle Tennessee State hasn't shown the ability to stop anyone with a decent offense all year. The Blue Raiders offense is much more dangerous at home. East Carolina is going to score a lot of points here, so if MTSU is going to stay in this one they'll have to be ready offensively. The over is 14-2 in the Pirates last 16 games following a win by more than 20 points. The over is 5-0 in MTSU's last 5 after scoring less than 20 points in the previous game. Take the over.
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10-05-13 | North Texas v. Tulane +3 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 45 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Underdog Special* The Tulane Green Wave have been a tough team to get a read on this year. Clearly, Tulane is much better than they have been in recent years, but how much better are they? The fact that they dominated a pretty decent LA Monroe team on the road last week tells us this team has a high upside. North Texas is favored on the road here for just the second time since 2007. This is Homecoming for Tulane, and you have to think that adds a little extra fuel to the fire. The Green Wave have a balanced offense and a strong defensive line. North Texas is 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Tulane is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 October games. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf. I like the home underdog here. Take Tulane.
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10-05-13 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State OVER 62.5 | 38-24 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Northern Illinois Huskies are once again the team to beat in the MAC. Northern Illinois is piling up the points on a weekly basis. NIU is averaging 43.2 points per game. Kent State's defense is inexperienced this year, and the Golden Flashes will have trouble slowing down Jordan Lynch and company. Kent State's offense is much better now that Dri Archer is back in the lineup. Archer is the most electrifying player in the MAC. Northern Illinois has given up a bunch of points to everyone this year. Even Eastern Illinois racked up almost 600 yards and 39 points on NIU. The over is 4-0 in NIU's first 4 games this year. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. The over is 4-1 in Kent State's last 5 following a win. Take the over here.
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10-05-13 | Georgia Tech v. Miami (Florida) -5.5 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 45 h 48 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP ATS Play of Week* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets rely heavily on their triple option attack working well. If Georgia Tech can't run the ball, they aren't going to win football games. Vad Lee was 7 for 24 passing last week in the team's 17-10 loss to Virginia Tech. Miami has a good history of shutting down the Georgia Tech running game at home. The Hurricanes have held Georgia Tech to 95 and 134 yards on the ground in their last two game in Miami. Georgia Tech averages 291 yards per game on the ground, but I don't expect them to get near that average in this game. The Georgia Tech defense has great stats so far this year, but they haven't really been tested. They'll get tested here against Stephen Morris, Duke Johnson, and the Hurricanes talented offense. Miami is a team to watch this year, and they have had Georgia Tech's number. I think it continues.
Miami is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 yards in the previous game. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 following a win of 20 points or more. Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Georgia Tech. A 28-0 angle backs this play. Take Miami big! |
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