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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-18-11 | Detroit Lions v. Oakland Raiders OVER 47.5 | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 87 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Oakland Raiders defense has completely fallen apart of late. Oakland has allowed 33.3 points per game in their last three games. Carson Palmer has helped the offense move the ball well, but he is throwing far too many interceptions. Palmer has a tendency to throw a lot of pick six passes. The Lions secondary will be very aggressive this weekend. Matt Stafford and the Lions passing attack is working well right now. The trends point strongly to the over. The over is 7-1-1 in the Lions last 9 road games. The over is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 games. Take the over.
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12-18-11 | Washington Redskins v. NY Giants OVER 45.5 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* Rex Grossman does give the Redskins offense a bit of a boost when it comes to moving the ball, but he still makes those bad decisions with the ball. The Giants are liable to pick him off at least a couple times here, and there could easily be a defensive score in this game. Eli Manning and the Giants passing game has been great of late. Look for the Giants to build on last week's momentum building win in Dallas. The over is 12-5-1 in the Giants last 18 games. The over is 4-0 in Washington's last 4. Take the over.
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12-18-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Kansas City Chiefs +14.5 | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Green Bay Packers are the best team in the NFL right now by a large margin. It may seem like a strange thing to do to wager against them at this point, but I see value here. The Packers have clinched home field advantage. I do believe Green Bay will try to stay unbeaten this year, but the Chiefs should be highly motivated here. Kansas City is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Chiefs beat the Bears a couple weeks ago, and their home loss against Pittsburgh was an impressive effort. The Packers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites of 10.5 points or more. Green Bay hasn't won a game by more than two touchdowns on the road all season. Take Kansas City here.
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12-17-11 | Temple v. Wyoming OVER 47 | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 264 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Temple does not have a passing game, but they can definitely run the football. Bernard Pierce is one of the best runners in the nation, and Matt Brown is a great backup. Temple has proven that they can run it even when a team knows it is coming. Wyoming ranks 115th out of 120 teams in the nation at stopping the run. I expect them to have trouble all day long. Brett Smith and the Cowboys offense have surprised people all year long, and I think they'll put up more points than most expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in Temple's last 4. Take the over here.
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12-11-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 39 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* The 49ers defense continues to amaze as the season moves along. San Francisco tops the NFL in run defense, and the pass defense has improved over the last few weeks. Arizona has scored 9, 6, 7, and 7 points in the team's last four meetings with San Francisco. The Cardinals defense has been playing better lately as well. The under is 4-1 in Arizona's last 5. The under is 6-1 in San Francisco's last 7. I think this is a game where both offenses settle for field goals most of the time. Take the under.
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12-11-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* Carolina has shown they have the ability to move the football against just about everyone this year. The Atlanta defense isn't very good against the pass, and Cam Newton should have some success against them. On the other side, the Panthers defense is allowing 27 points per game. The Panthers lost two defensive tackles last week, and that will certainly hurt the run defense. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense chewed up this unit in the first meeting this year, and I expect them to do the same this time. Look for both offenses to move it with ease here. Take the over.
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12-11-11 | New England Patriots v. Washington Redskins OVER 48 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense had a brief period where they struggled a few weeks ago, but they are back in a big way of late. The Patriots have scored at least 31 points in four straight games. The Redskins defense gave up 34 points against the Jets last week, and I suspect they'll struggle against Brady and the Pats. Rex Grossman has Santana Moss back, and the Patriots secondary ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. Washington should be able to move the ball and score. Also, Grossman always has the potential to throw a pick-six at any time. The over is 23-8 in New England's last 31. Take the over.
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12-10-11 | Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 97 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star Army/Navy Total DOMINATION* It's the final game of the regular season. These two might not be the best football teams in the land, but they are bitter rivals on the field, and it is always a great game to watch. Army and Navy are full of young guys who fight to the bitter end. The posted total here is set quite high because both defenses have struggled against the run this year, but I think this gives us a nice opportunity to bet on the under. Both of these teams practice every day against the triple option, which gives them an advantage to stopping the opponent in this game. In addition, both of these offenses have struggled mightily in the red zone this year. Don't be surprised if both teams move it between the 20's and then stall out. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
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12-04-11 | Oakland Raiders v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 43 | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders have been playing pretty good football of late. The Raiders are right in the thick of the AFC West race, and this is a game they really need to win. Miami may have started 0-7, but they have won 3 of their last 4. The Dolphins defense is giving up less than 19 points per game this year. Without Darren McFadden, the Raiders offense is certainly less explosive. Jacoby Ford is also expected to miss this game. Matt Moore is a solid quarterback, but the Raiders should key in on the run in this one. Look for the defenses to have the upper hand in this one. The under is 15-5-1 in Miami's last 21 games. Take the under.
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12-03-11 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 54.5 | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 43 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big Ten Title Total* Michigan State and Wisconsin played that fantastic game in late October, and now we get to see a rematch of that one for the conference title. Wisconsin moved the ball on the ground nicely in East Lansing, and I expect more of the same in this one. Wisconsin's offense may be the most balanced attack in the country. Russell Wilson has put up Heisman Trophy type numbers for the Badgers, and Montee Ball has an amazing 29 touchdowns in 2011. Wisconsin has scored at least 48 points in each of their last four games. Michigan State's offense has improved as the season has moved along. Look for Martin and Cunningham to make plays on the outside. Both defenses are good, but the offenses are even better. The over is 19-6-1 in Wisconsin's last 27 Big Ten conference games. Take the over.
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12-03-11 | Middle Tenn State v. North Texas -5.5 | 7-59 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of the Week* MTSU has had a very disappointing season. A disappointing team like this playing on the road in the last game usually means a very poor motivational spot. North Texas coach Dan McCarney has the Mean Green playing much better over the last few weeks. Lance Dunbar is a solid running back, and I think he could pile up the yards against a terrible MTSU front seven. North Texas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. MTSU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Look for North Texas to end their season with a win and a cover. Take North Texas.
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12-03-11 | Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 61.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* Utah State's offense has been a pleasant surprise this year. Utah State has two very nice quarterbacks who are capable of leading the team down the field consistently. New Mexico State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. New Mexico State gives up 38 points per contest. New Mexico State's offense is much better at home. The team averages 29.4 points per game at home, and the over is 4-1 in their 5 home games this year. Utah State gives up 35 points per game on the road. The over is 7-1 in New Mexico State's last 8 home games. The over is 5-2-1 in Utah State's last 8 road games. I expect a lot of points to be scored here. Take the over big.
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12-02-11 | Northern Illinois -3 v. Ohio | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Championship ATS CRUSHER* Northern Illinois played all year to get back to Detroit. The Huskies were 18.5 point favorites last year against Miami (OH), and they fell in the last couple minutes of the game. The Huskies have a great senior class that has done a lot in their time at the school, and they will be extremely motivated to win this one. Ohio is a solid team, but they don't have the same experience that Northern Illinois does. In addition, some of Ohio's top players are dinged up right now. Northern Illinois has an amazing dual-threat quarterback in Chandler Harnish, and I think he'll have a huge game. Take Northern Illinois here.
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11-27-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Atlanta Falcons -9 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* Minnesota has been terrible even with the best running back in the league this season. Now they have to go without Adrian Peterson in the backfield, and I think it could be ugly for them. Christian Ponder and Percy Harvin are expected to play, but they are dinged up a bit. The Falcons defense is great against the run, and I don't think the Vikings have the weapons to successfully air it out constantly on the Falcons. Matt Ryan and the Falcons are a slightly disappointing 6-4 this year, and I think this is a great chance for them to break back out once again. The Vikings are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against a team with a losing record. Take Atlanta.
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11-26-11 | UAB -6 v. Florida Atlantic | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star Fade for Cash* Florida Atlantic has been worthy of a fade every week this year. It's stunning enough for a team to be 0-10 at this point in the year, but to be 0-10 ATS is quite remarkable. The Owls get crushed on the line of scrimmage on a weekly basis. UAB is far from a good team, but they play in a stronger conference, and they have played much better of late. Florida Atlantic is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record. Look for UAB to cover in this one. Fade Florida Atlantic.
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11-26-11 | Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arizona OVER 61.5 | 37-45 | Win | 100 | 38 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Both of these teams have very good passing offenses. Both of these teams also have terrible pass defenses. It's a recipe for a shootout on Saturday in Arizona. The Wildcats have a clear athleticism advantage here, but the Arizona secondary ranks second to last in the nation in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in Lafayette's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8 games. Look for a lot of completed passes and several big plays here. Take the over in this matchup.
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11-26-11 | Oregon State v. Oregon OVER 63.5 | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 112 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 12 Total Takedown* Oregon was stunned at home by the USC Trojans last week. The Ducks offense took a little longer than normal to get started, and the defense showed its major flaws in the secondary. Oregon State's defense simply doesn't have the team speed to keep up with the Ducks in this one. Oregon State does move the ball well through the air, and I expect them to have some success there. The over is 20-6-1 in Oregon's last 27 home games. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-26-11 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 46 | 38-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rivalry Totals Play* Virginia Tech and Virginia are bitter rivals. The team's are more similar than most would think this season. The Cavaliers have put together a shocking season behind the play of a solid defense and a decent ground game. The Hokies are built around their defense and run game as well. Look for both teams to try to establish the run, and the clock should be ticking early and often in this game. The under is 12-5-1 in Va. Tech's last 18 games. The under is 6-0 in Virginia's last 6 home games. Take the under.
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11-26-11 | Iowa State +28.5 v. Oklahoma | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Oklahoma lost its chance at winning a national title this year when it fell 45-38 to Baylor last week. Iowa State ended Oklahoma State's unebaten season as a 28 point homeunderdog. The Cyclones have put together a couple big wins of late (also at Texas Tech). Oklahoma is certainly the better team, but they won't be as motivated now that they aren't playing for the BCS title. Iowa State has more confidence than ever. Take Iowa State and expect Oklahoma to play a more sloppy game than normal.
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11-25-11 | California v. Arizona State OVER 54 | 47-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Cal's defense is great at home, but they seem to struggle quite a bit on the road. Cal gives up 34 points per game away from home. Arizona State is averaging 40 points per game on offense at home. The Sun Devils defense is terrible against the pass, and Cal should be able to move the ball in this one. Both offense have quite a few talented players at the skill positions. The total here is set quite low, and I was expected a number closer to 60. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8. Take the over.
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11-25-11 | Pittsburgh v. West Virginia OVER 57 | 20-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Rivalry Total* Pitt and West Virginia have been rivals for years, but since Pitt is getting ready to leave the Big East, they won't be meeting each other annually. The Panthers offense has been inconsistent this year, but West Virginia's defense has given up a ton of big plays this year. On the other side of the ball, Dana Holgorsen has turned West Virginia into a very impressive offensive team. Geno Smith and the offense should carve up a mediocre Pittsburgh defense. The over is 8-1 in the Mountaineers last 9 games. Take the over.
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11-25-11 | Houston v. Tulsa +3.5 | 48-16 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star ATS Bookie SMASHER* Houston comes into this game undefeated, but Tulsa has had this one circled for a very long time on the calendar. It is Senior Day for a very successful class at Tulsa, and you know they want to end their college careers with a big win against an unbeaten Houston team. G.J. Kinne is a great dual-threat quarterback who will give the Cougars defense a lot of trouble. Keenum and the Cougars offense will rack up plenty of points, but I expect this one to come down to the wire. Tulsa is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games, so the books have underrated them for a while. Take Tulsa here.
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11-24-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 40 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Total Domination* San Francisco is a ball control type of team. Alex Smith has been great for the 49ers, but he isn't going to throw for a ton of yards against many teams. The Niners will be looking to establish Frank Gore. Baltimore's front seven is terrific. The 49ers defense is first in the NFL in points allowed, and the Ravens offense has been very inconsistent this year. This looks like a game where both teams try to pound the ball and play a field position battle. Take the under here.
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11-20-11 | Arizona Cardinals v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 41 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Day* Arizona's offense may have had enough to beat the Eagles last week, but with Skelton at quarterback I don't expect them to move the ball much at all against the 49ers. The 49ers lead the league in rushing defense, so they should shut down the Cardinals rushing attack. Skelton and Smith are two quarterbacks that really can't air it out that often. Look for both teams to be running a lot here. Jim Harbaugh's team should grind out another win here. I don't expect this to be a pretty game, and it should stay under the posted total. Take the under.
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11-20-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Green Bay Packers OVER 48 | 26-35 | Win | 100 | 39 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bucs/Packers Total Domination* Tampa Bay's secondary is a mess right now, and the last team they would want to be playing is the Green Bay Packers. Aaron Rodgers is carving up every defense he faces, and he should do the same to this weakened Bucs secondary. The Packers have scored 45 points in each of their last two games, and I think they could easily top 40 again in this one. At the same time, Green Bay's secondary has struggled this year and I think Josh Freeman and the Bucs will be able to move the ball at times. The over is 8-2 in Green Bay's last 10 home games. Take the over.
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11-20-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins UNDER 42 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total TKO* Washington's offense has been abysmal of late. The Redskins made the change to John Beck and it hasn't helped the offense one bit. Tim Hightower is out and the running game is struggling as well. Washington just doesn't have many play makers at all on offense right now. Dallas has been playing well defensively this year. Rob Ryan should have a scheme to shut down this Redskins offense. The Redskins usually get up to play the Cowboys, and that generally leads to a low scoring affair. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 13-3 in the Redskins last 16 games. Take the under.
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11-19-11 | USC v. Oregon OVER 67 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 116 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Oregon showed the college football world how good they are last weekend when they took it to Stanford on the road. The Ducks high powered offense got rolling in the second half, and when it is rolling it is a thing of beauty. LaMichael James is back in the lineup and he is a gamebreaker. USC has one of the best passing attacks in the nation, and Oregon ranks 80th in the country in pass defense. The Ducks will have trouble with Matt Barkley and company, but I expect Oregon to put up a big number here as well. Last year's game finished 53-32. Don't be surprised if this game ends up in the upper 70's or so low 80's. Take the over.
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11-19-11 | Vanderbilt v. Tennessee OVER 44 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* The word around Tennessee is that Tyler Bray will likely be back for the Volunteers in this one. Bray is probably the best quarterback in the SEC, and he will instantly make this Tennessee offense much better again. Vanderbilt has improved as an offense of late. The Commodores should be able to run the ball some against a mediocre front seven for Tennessee. Jordan Rodgers has helped this Vanderbilt offense build some momentum of late. Look for this game to have more scoring than most expect. Take the over.
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11-19-11 | Utah v. Washington State +3.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 64 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB ATS Value Play* Washington State is a much better football team this year. The Cougars have improved on both sides of the ball. The defense is still fairly weak, but Utah's offense is far from powerful at this point. The Utes are without their starting quarterback, and they have been struggling to get much of anything going offensively of late. Washington State ranks ninth in the nation in passing offense, and Utah is 75th in the nation in pass defense. The Utes have a ton of defensive injuries that will hurt this weekend as well. I think Washington State has a good chance of winning, but I'll grab the points.
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11-19-11 | Navy -4 v. San Jose State | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB ATS Play of the Week* Navy knows how to run the football. San Jose State struggles mightily against the run. Navy will definitely be the best running attack the Spartans have faced this year, but they are giving up 203 rushing yards per contest. Navy's defense struggles against powerful offenses, but San Jose State averages just 24 points per game. Look for Navy to pound the football down San Jose State's throat all day long. Navy is a very good road team. Navyi s 37-16 ATS in their last 53 road games. Take Navy here.
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11-19-11 | Tulsa -13.5 v. UTEP | 57-28 | Win | 100 | 37 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under the Radar ATS Play* Tulsa is quietly putting together a very nice season. The Golden Hurricane have improved defensively, and they are still a great balanced offense. G.J. Kinne is one of the best quarterbacks that most people have never heard of. Kinne has 21 TD's and just 9 picks. He can also run the ball well. Tulsa averages 34 points per game. UTEP is expected to be without starting quarterback Nick Lamaison in this one. The Miners have been mediocre all year, and without their starting quarterback they will likely be too one dimensional on offense. Take Tulsa.
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11-19-11 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 41 | 22-28 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Eastern Michigan is a much improved football team this year. Ron English and the Eastern Michigan Eagles have done it by running the football well and controlling the ball. The defense is also much better than it was last year. Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in the country in total offense. The Golden Flashes do have a very good defense, especially against the run. Neither of these offenses can throw the ball much at all, and the defenses should hold up well here. Expect an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
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11-19-11 | Kansas v. Texas A&M -30.5 | 7-61 | Win | 100 | 131 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB High Noon Beatdown* Texas A&M has had a lot of very frustrating finishes this year. The Aggies have blown first half leads in every loss this year. Kansas has been dominated on the road several times. Ga. Tech beat them 66-24. Ok. State beat them 70-28. Kansas State beat them 59-17 at home. The Aggies have a powerful offense that should score at will against a terrible Kansas defense. Last year, Texas A&M beat Kansas by 35, and that was in Lawrence. This one should be a total mismatch. Look for the Aggies to take out some frustration on the Jayhawks.
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11-13-11 | NY Giants +3.5 v. San Francisco 49ers | 20-27 | Loss | -101 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The San Francisco 49ers are 7-1, but I'm still not convinced they are a great team. They are certainly good, but the Giants are playing very well right now too. The Giants lead the league in sacks, and I think they could put a lot of pressure on Alex Smith and give the 49ers some issues. The 49ers are weak in the secondary, and Eli Manning and the Giants passing game has been very good this year. Frank Gore is still banged up and that will hurt the 49ers. The Giants have a long history of beating the number on the road. The Giants are 30-13 ATS in their last 43 road games. The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the 49ers. Take New York.
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11-13-11 | St. Louis Rams v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 37 | 13-12 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The St. Louis Rams and the Cleveland Browns both have been very poor offensively this year. Neither team has very many weapons offensively. Sam Bradford has been dinged up this year, and he doesn't have much help at all at wide receiver. Colt McCoy hasn't been bad, but without a running game at all this Browns offense has been bad. Peyton Hillis is expected to miss this one, and that hurts the Browns a lot. I fully expect this to be a very ugly that not many people will want to watch. The under is set low, but it is low for a reason. The under is 6-0-1 in the Rams last 7 road games. Take the under.
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11-13-11 | Washington Redskins v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 38 | Top | 9-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Top Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins decided to go to John Beck at quarterback, and it hasn't helped the offense. This offense is struggling to get anything done lately. Beck has only thrown two touchdowns all year. The Redskins are lacking offensively without key weapons such as Cooley, Moss, and Hightower. Miami's defense is better than most people realize, and that is why the Dolphins have been in so many games of late. The Dolphins offense can only run the ball, and the Redskins defense isn't that bad. Washington is giving up only 19.8 points per game. Two bad offenses and two decent defenses should mean a lot of running and not much scoring. The under is 6-1 in the Redskins last 7. The under is 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7. Take the under.
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11-12-11 | Oregon v. Stanford OVER 65.5 | 53-30 | Win | 100 | 101 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oregon/Stanford Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks were in the BCS Championship game last year. Stanford is hoping to make it to the title game this year, but Oregon is standing in the way. The Ducks still have a chance at the title game, but they must win here. Oregon's offense is extremely dangerous, and I think they give Stanford's defense some serious matchup problems. Oregon's offense is built on pure speed, while Stanford is a physical defense that isn't as quick. Oregon's offense is just as good as last year, but their defense isn't as strong. Stanford should be able to move the ball consistently against the Ducks. The over is 15-6 in Oregon's last 21 conference games. The over is 11-3 in Stanford's last 14 home games. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Fresno State v. New Mexico State OVER 64 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 32 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* Fresno State has one of the worst defenses in college football. The Bulldogs are giving up 36.2 points per game this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year. The Aggies have topped the 30 point mark in four of their last five games. New Mexico State's defense also gives up 36 points per game. The Aggies are 112th out of 120 teams in the nation in total defense. Fresno State should be able to move it up and down the field consistently here. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 road games. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 10 games. Take the over in this one!
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11-12-11 | Oregon State v. California -8.5 | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 12 ATS Value Play* Oregon State has struggled mightily this year. Cal has struggled at times, but the Golden Bears are a team different at home versus on the road. Oregon State has a ton of players on both sides of the ball on the injury list right now. California is relatively healthy for this late in the season. The Golden Bears are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games. Oregon State's last four losses have all been by double digits. Cal's secondary is strong, and Oregon State has almost no running game. Look for Cal to show up and play well here. Take California.
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11-12-11 | Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan OVER 48 | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* Buffalo's offense is slowly improving as the season moves along. Buffalo's strength is the passing game, and Eastern Michigan's secondary struggles. On the other side, Eastern Michigan is a team that runs almost all the time. Buffalo's front seven has been terrible against the run this year. Both offenses should be able to move the ball here. The over is 7-1 in Eastern Michigan's last 8 games against teams with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Pittsburgh v. Louisville -3 | 21-14 | Loss | -105 | 130 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Louisville is a team that has improved a lot in the last few weeks. The Cardinals defense has been solid all year, and the offense is slowly starting to catch on as well. Last week's win at West Virginia really gave this team some momentum to build off of. Pittsburgh has lost both of their road games this year, and I don't think they are ready for a breakthrough. Louisville allows just 18 points per game. Pittsburgh is missing its top running back (Ray Graham) and Tino Sunseri hasn't been consistent at quarterback. Louisville is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Take Louisville and expect their defense to be the difference.
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11-12-11 | West Virginia v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* West Virginia's Dan Holsgorsen has changed the way the Mountaineers play. West Virginia's offense is much much better than they have been in recent years, but their defense is also much worse. The Mountaineers last three games have had a total final score of 72, 72, and 73 points. Cincinnati's weakness on defense is their pass defense. On the other hand, Cincinnati averages 39 points per game on offense. Zach Collaros leads an offense that can put points on the board in a hurry either by running or throwing it. The over is 8-0 in West Virginia's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 43 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Nebraska/Penn State Totals CASH* The Penn State defense is the best in the Big Ten, but the Nittany Lions offense simply isn't very good. The Cornhuskers defense has underachieved this year, but they have been a bit better the last few weeks. Both teams will be looking to run the ball consistently in this one. There will be extra emotions from Penn State in this one, and I think that will show up on the defensive side of the ball. Look for Nebraska's option offense to be slowed down. Taylor Martinez isn't a very adept passer, which means the Nittany Lions should hold down the Huskers offense. Seven of Penn State's last eight games have stayed under this posted total. I like the under here.
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11-10-11 | Oakland Raiders v. San Diego Chargers OVER 47.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thurdsay Night Total Domination* Carson Palmer is still learning the Oakland Raiders offense. Palmer started to show some flashes of brilliance last weekend, but he once again threw three interceptions. The Chargers secondary takes chances, and I suspect they'll probably pick off a couple passes in this one. Don't be surprised if there is a defensive score here. The Raiders defense has been shredded of late. Denver put up 38 points on them last week, and Kansas City scored 28 the week before. The Chargers passing game got going last week against the Packers, but Rivers is still throwing lots of interceptions as well. Expect both teams to move the ball a lot here. I think there is a good amount of value on the 'over' in this one. Take the over.
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11-08-11 | Northern Illinois v. Bowling Green OVER 65 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Day* The Northern Illinois Huskies are a terrific running team. They rank ninth in the nation in rushing yards. Bowling Green's rushing defense ranks 93rd in the nation. Northern Illinois averages 41 points per game. The Huskies have also been horrific on the defensive side of the ball, especially on the road. In their five road games they have allowed 45, 49. 48, 30, and 60 points. That is hardly a strong defense, and Bowling Green's offense is pretty good. Expect Matt Schilz and the Falcons to move the ball through the air nicely in this one. The over is 10-4 in Northern Illinois' last 14 games. The over is 6-2 in Bowling Green's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-08-11 | Western Michigan v. Toledo OVER 68 | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Western Michigan and Toledo both have powerful offenses. The Broncos have Alex Carder, one of the MAC's best quarterbacks. Jordan White is one of the best receivers in the nation, and he and Carder have built up trust in each other. Toledo's secondary is the team's biggest weakness, and that should be exposed in a big way by Western Michigan. On the other side, Western Michigan has given up more than 30 points in three of their last five games. The over is 6-1 in Toledo's last 7 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-06-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 | 23-20 | Loss | -120 | 163 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ravens/Steelers ATS CASH* The Baltimore Ravens absolutely embarrassed the Pittsburgh Steelers in week one of the NFL season. Pittsburgh is a proud team, and they are a very good team. If there was ever a great revenge spot, this is it. The Steelers are typically the more consistent of these two teams, and I think they'll be ready in this matchup. Baltimore has been very shaky the last couple weeks, while the Steelers are playing great football. Roethlisberger is having a big year, and he has plenty of play makers on the outside. The two defenses are both terrific, but the Steelers have the clear edge at quarterback in this matchup. The Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Steelers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 against the Ravens. Take Pittsburgh.
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11-06-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 42.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Knockout* The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers are both very tough teams. When these two get together you can always expect nothing short of a hard nosed football game where plenty of guys get dinged up. James Harrison is expected to be back in the Steelers lineup for this one, and that should be a big boost for the defense. The total for this game is set quite a bit higher than we are used to seeing for a Ravens/Steelers game. Earlier this year when the teams met the total was 36. The game did go 'over' but it finished at 42 points (and that was with 7 Steelers turnovers). Just two of the last eight games between these two went over this posted total. I expect both defenses to play well Sunday night. Take the under.
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11-06-11 | Green Bay Packers v. San Diego Chargers OVER 50.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 54 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Packers/Chargers Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers offense has been virtually unstoppable this year. Aaron Rodgers is showing that he is the best quarterback in the NFL right now. Rodgers has 20 touchdowns and just three interceptions this year. The Packers are averaging 33 points per game. San Diego's offense has struggled with turnovers this year. Phillip Rivers has been extremely disappointing, but this is still a Chargers team that can move the ball through the air. Green Bay is giving up 289 yards through the air each game. San Diego has the offensive weapons to rack up a lot of yards through the air. Look for both quarterbacks to have a lot of success here. This should be a shootout. Take the over.
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11-06-11 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 42 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 53 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bengals have the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. The Titans are dead last in the NFL in rushing so far this year. Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense have been solid, but they aren't a high scoring offense. This is the type of game that I expect to be won on the ground. Look for the Bengals to get Cedric Benson the ball quite a bit. At the same time, the Titans will be eager to try to get Chris Johnson going. Both defenses should have the upper hand on the offenses in this one. Take the under here.
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11-06-11 | NY Jets +113 v. Buffalo Bills | 27-11 | Win | 113 | 50 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Moneyline Play of the Day* The New York Jets lost three in a row, but they have now won their last two games. This is still a very solid team that is a team to watch out for as the season moves along. The Jets secondary is still probably the best in all of football, and that should give Ryan Fitzpatrick trouble on Sunday. In the last six meetings between these two teams, Buffalo has never topped 306 total yards of offense. The Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at Buffalo. The Jets have the better defense here, and I think they can slow down the Bills. This is a big game for both teams, and I think the more experienced team comes up with a mild upset. Take the Jets.
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11-05-11 | Oregon v. Washington OVER 70.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon Ducks expect to have LaMichael James for this game, and that is huge for this offense. Washington's defense is allowing almost 300 yards per game through the air, and the Huskies allow 33 points per game. Oregon put up 53 points on Washington last year. The Huskies lost Jake Locker, but their offense is actually better this year. Keith Price has been fantastic at the quarterback position, and Chris Polk is one of the best runners in the country. This Oregon offense is just as good as last year, but the Oregon defense is definitely weaker than last season. I expect both teams to move the ball at will in this one. The total is set very high, but I think this has a good chance of topping 80 points. The over is 19-9 in Oregon's last 28. The over is 5-2-1 in the Huskies last 8. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -20.5 | 45-52 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star Kansas St/Oklahoma St ATS CRUSHER* The Kansas State Wildcats were run off their own field last week by Oklahoma. Kansas State is a team that I believe is overrated at this point. They don't have much of a passing game at all, and the defense isn't good. Expect Kansas State's glaring weaknesses to show several times between now and the end of the season. On the other side, Oklahoma State's offense may be the best in the nation at this point. Brandon Weeden and his receivers are all on the same page. Justin Blackmon is a beast on the outside. Randle and Smith are very underrated in the Cowboys backfield. Oklahoma State is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 as a home favorite. Take Oklahoma State.
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11-05-11 | Utah v. Arizona -3.5 | 34-21 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* The Utah Utes are playing without their star quarterback Jordan Wynn. The offense has definitely suffered without him of late. Arizona's secondary isn't good at all, but I don't think Jon Hays can exploit that weakness too well. Utah beat Oregon State badly last weekend, but that was only because Oregon State committed 4 turnovers. Arizona's pass offense is very good. Nick Foles has already thrown 20 touchdowns this season. The Utah secondary has been picked apart at times this year, and I think Foles could do it this Saturday. Arizona has much more firepower than Utah at this point. Take Arizona.
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11-05-11 | Arkansas State -16.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 39-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar ATS CRUSHER* Florida Atlantic may well be the worst team in all of football this year. The Owls have been embarrassed on a weekly basis this season. Florida Atlantic lost 20-0 at home against Western Kentucky, and then last game they were beaten 38-14 at home by a poor Middle Tennessee State team. Arkansas State is at the top of the Sun Belt standings right now. Arkansas State's biggest strength is their strong defensive line. This defensive line should dominate the FAU offensive line. This one is a total mismatch. Florida Atlantic is 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games. Take Arkansas State.
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11-05-11 | UTEP v. Rice OVER 58.5 | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 134 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rice Owls gave up 73 points to Houston last week. UTEP certainly doesn't have the same offense Houston does, but this Rice defense has a way of making the opposing offense look good. The Owls are giving up 495 yards and 38 points per contest. On the other side, UTEP is giving up 427 yards and 27 points per contest as well. The Rice offense has been improving in the last few weeks, and they should be able to run the ball against the Miners front seven. The books have had a lot of trouble trying to catch up to the Owls in the last few years. The over is 60-24 in the Owls last 84 games overall. Take the over here.
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11-05-11 | Purdue v. Wisconsin -25 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 64 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star ATS Bookie BEATDOWN* The Wisconsin Badgers have had their hearts broken twice in a row. First it was Michigan State, then Ohio State with a late score to beat the Badgers. Wisconsin is still a top ten team (maybe top five) and they should bounce back in a big way this weekend. The Badgers are nearly unbeatable at home, and I think they'll be highly motivated in this one. Purdue isn't particularly strong on either side of the ball, and they have already been blasted by Michigan and Notre Dame this year. Wisconsin is better than both of those teams. Purdue is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against Wisconsin. The Badgers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take Wisconsin and expect a blowout.
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11-05-11 | Troy v. Navy OVER 58.5 | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* Navy has one of the best running games in the country, and they also have a very poor defense. I have played successfully on the 'over' in Navy games several times this year. I think this is another good spot. Troy can move the football quite well through the air. I expect Corey Robinson to have a big game against the Navy secondary. On the other side, Troy's defense simply isn't any good. I don't expect them to be able to slow down the option much at all. Navy averages 36 points per game at home, and Troy gives up 34 per game on the road. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | North Carolina v. North Carolina State OVER 55 | 0-13 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The NC State defense has struggled mightily all year. The Wolfpack are giving up almost 400 yards of offense each game, and that has been to mostly mediocre offenses. Bryn Renner and this North Carolina offense is pretty good. Renner can make all the tough throws, and Giovani Bernard already has 965 yards rushing this year. The Tar Heels should roll up quite a few points here. NC State gets most of their yards through the air, and that just happens to be the Tar Heels defense weakness. North Carolina is 98th in the nation against the pass. The over is 13-4 in NC State's last 17 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | Louisville v. West Virginia OVER 49 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 131 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers are a different team now that Dana Holgorsen is at the helm instead of Bill Stewart. The Mountaineers are much better offensively, and they are much weaker on defense. In their last seven games, the lowest total is 59 points. Louisville is certainly a team that has a pretty good defense, but they haven't faced offenses as good as West Virginia's. The Mountaineers defense has allowed 49 and 31 points to mediocre offenses in their last two games. The under is 7-0-1 in the Cardinals last 8. The over is 7-0 in West Virginia's last 7. I think the Mountaineers will dictate the style of play here. Take the over.
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11-03-11 | Tulsa v. Central Florida -1.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -108 | 90 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Thurdsay Night Throwdown* Tulsa is a solid team, but I think this is a very good spot for UCF. The Knights are 2-2 inside Conference USA. They aren't out of the race by any means, but they cannot afford another loss. UCF is 4-0 at home this year, and they have the best defense in the conference. Tulsa allows 28 points per game, and I suspect the UCF ground game will get going in this one. UCF has three very good runners. G.J. Kinne will be pressured by the Knights front seven often in this one. UCF is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 conference games. I like the Knights to rise up and play very well in this Thursay night matchup. Take UCF.
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11-01-11 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo OVER 67 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 42 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total Domination* The Northern Illinois Huskies hung 65 points on the Toledo Rockets last year. Don't think for a minute that Toledo has forgotten that game. Toledo may have the most talented team in the MAC this year, but they are still weak defensively. They have yet to face a team that can run the ball the way Northern Illinois can, and I think the Huskies will roll up a lot of yards again this year. On the other side, Toledo's offense is full of play makers, and they average 36.5 points per contest. Northern Illinois is much worse defensively this year. The Huskies allowed Kansas to score 45 points and Central Michigan to score 48 points. Those two offenses aren't good at all, and Toledo should be able to move the ball at will agaisnt Northern Illinois. The over is 9-4 in Northern Illinois' last 13 games. The over is 5-1 in Toledo's last 6 home games. Take the over.
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10-30-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 51 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 91 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Knockout* The Dallas Cowboys defense has really gotten a nice boost from Rob Ryan taking over as their coordinator. Ryan has this team showing their opponents a lot of new formations. Dallas even held New England to just 20 points. Philadelphia's offense is not firing on all cylinders right now. Mike Vick is making too many mistakes with the football. On the other side, the Eagles secondary seems to be coming together over the last couple games. The Eagles are a stunning 13-3 to the under coming off a bye week. Look for this to be a lower scoring game than most expect. Take the under.
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10-30-11 | New England Patriots -2.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 17-25 | Loss | -101 | 39 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Patriots/Steelers Bookie CRUSHER* Tom Brady is 6-1 in his career against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh's defense is very good, but they don't mix up their defenses too often. Dick LeBeau's defense is all about blitzing, and Tom Brady is great at recognizing when the blitz is coming. Pittsburgh will get their yards through the air against New England, but the Patriots are pretty opportunistic on defense as well. Don't be surprised if Roethlisberger is picked once or twice here. The Patriots are an impressive 46-22-3 ATS in their last 71 road games. The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Steelers. Take New England here.
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10-30-11 | Washington Redskins v. Buffalo Bills -4.5 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 39 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins started out at the top of the NFC East this year, but that didn't last very long. John Beck is now the quarterback here, but I really don't think he is the answer either. No Santana Moss or Chris Cooley means this offense must rely heavily on the running game. Tim Hightower is now out for the year due to an injury, so it will be up to Torain and Helu to carry the load. Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing great for the Bills, and I think he can have success against an average Redskins secondary. Fred Jackson is quietly having as good of a year as any running back. Jackson is averaging 5.7 yards per catch, and he also has 24 receptions out of the backfield. The Bills have a ton of offensive weapons right now. It should be too much for Washington. The Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Buffalo.
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10-30-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -107 | 107 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Minnesota Vikings got a much needed offensive boost last week when Christian Ponder took over the starting quarterback job. Ponder completed some deep balls to stretch the defense and give Adrian Peterson more room to run. Carolina's defense is terrible against the run, and Peterson may well be the best running back in the NFL. On the other side, Carolina's offense is fifth in the NFL in total offense. Cam Newton and this offense have been good against everyone they have played this year. Minnesota is allowing 25.4 points per game this year. Expect both teams to move the ball quite a bit in this one. I like the value on the over.
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10-30-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Houston Texans -9.5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 84 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 ATS Bookie BEATDOWN* The Jacksonville Jaguars really showed up to play this past Monday in their win over the Ravens. A short week to prepare here won't help them any, and I think this team won't be nearly as mentally prepared for this matchup. Houston realizes this is the type of game that cannot afford to lose if they wish to finally get into the playoffs after many close misses. Even without Andre Johnson the Texans have a ton of offensive weapons. Ben Tate and Arian Foster are both during a great job in the backfield this year, and Matt Schaub is an underrated quarterback. Jacksonville will rely heavily on the run, but the Texans have a strong front seven. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a home favorite. Take Houston.
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10-29-11 | Arizona v. Washington Huskies OVER 69.5 | 31-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Arizona's Nick Foles is one of the better quarterbacks in the nation. Foles is completing 71% of his passes and he has 18 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions this year. Keith Price has come in and lit it up as Washington's new quarterback. Price has an amazing 22 touchdowns and just 5 picks. Washington is averaging 35 points per game. Arizona is averaging 30 points per game. Arizona's defense is 114th out of 120 teams in pass defense. Washington is 110th out of 120 in pass defense. This game has shootout written all over it. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Nevada v. New Mexico State OVER 59 | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 68 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Nevada runs the Pistol offense, and they generally do it very well. The team had some trouble getting going early this year, but Chris Ault has this offense rolling at this point. They have scored 37. 49, and 45 in the last three games. New Mexico State is giving up 30.3 points per game, and Nevada will be one of the best offenses they have faced this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year, and I expect them to be able to score several times as well. The over is 4-0 in New Mexico State's last 4 games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games between these teams. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | South Carolina v. Tennessee UNDER 44 | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 67 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Total Takedown* South Carolina is a much different team without Marcus Lattimore. Tennessee isn't even close to the same team without Tyler Bray. Both of these teams are missing their most important offensive player. South Carolina's defense has given up 3, 16, 3, and 12 points in their last four games. Tennessee's defense is good against the pass, and South Carolina will likely struggle to run without Lattimore. I expect both offenses to look lost without their key players in this one. This one will likely be an ugly contest. Expect a low scoring affair. Take the under.
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10-29-11 | North Texas +17.5 v. Arkansas State | 14-37 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big Dog Play* North Texas has a solid coach in Dan McCarney. McCarney is all about establishing a running game and keeping his team in the game. The last few weeks this North Texas team seems to be getting his message. Lance Dunbar is a very talented runner for the Mean Green, and I think he could do some damage against Arkansas State. Arkansas State is in a spot where I believe they could easily have a letdown after a national tv win over FIU (the favorite in the Sun Belt). North Texas is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as a road underdog. Expect this one to be closer than most believe. Take North Texas.
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10-29-11 | Oregon State +5 v. Utah | 8-27 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error* The Utah Utes have been a tough team to figure out this year. The team beat BYU 54-10 on the road, but they were blasted at home by both Washington and Arizona State. Starting quarterback Jordan Wynn is out for the season, and the offense is struggling mightily right now. Oregon State started the year with a bad loss against FCS level Sacramento State. Since then, Oregon State has played much better. They crushed Washington State on the road last week. Oregon State is throwing the ball very well, and Utah's secondary has been terrible this year. Oregon State struggles in the secondary as well, but I don't Utah has the personnel to take advantage of that right now. Utah doesn't deserve to be favored here. Oregon State is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games. Take Oregon State.
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10-29-11 | Hawaii v. Idaho OVER 57 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The Idaho Vandals secondary is horrible, and Hawaii is the perfect team to expose that weakness. Moniz and the Warriors offense should carve up the Idaho secondary all day long. It wouldn't surprise me to see Hawaii put up 40 points in this one. Idaho's offense has been improving a bit of late, and I expect them to be able to move it through the air against a mediocre Hawaii defense. Expect both teams to air it out early and often, which should help give both teams chances to put points up in bunches. I expected this total to be set in the low 60's, so I like the value here. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Hawaii -7 v. Idaho | 16-14 | Loss | -115 | 113 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star ATS Bookie SMASHER* Idaho has serious issues in the secondary, and that is a major problem against Hawaii. Bryant Moniz is one of the most accurate passers in the country. Moniz already has 19 touchdowns and just 4 picks this year. Hawaii averages 328 yards per game through the air. Hawaii averages 37 points per game. I think Hawaii has far too much firepower for an Idaho team that has been beaten soundly at home by teams like Fresno State and Louisiana Tech. Idaho is 10-29 ATS in their last 39 conference games. Hawaii is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against Idaho. Take Hawaii.
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10-29-11 | Buffalo v. Miami (OH) OVER 48 | 13-41 | Win | 100 | 86 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Buffalo Bulls offense has improved as the season has moved along. Anderson gives the Bulls a solid quarterback that can throw it around. In fact, last week he threw for more than 400 yards against Northern Illinois. Miami (OH) and Buffalo both have poor defenses that give up the big play quite often. A total set this low is generally indicative of two good defenses, but that just isn't the case here. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams at Miami (OH). I expect both teams to get into the mid 20's here. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Wake Forest +8 v. North Carolina | Top | 24-49 | Loss | -110 | 134 h 36 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* North Carolina is a team with quite a bit of talent, but they are very young. Bryn Renner has thrown nine interceptions this year. North Carolina only beat Louisville at home by 7, and they lost at home against Miami. Wake Forest is a team that is quite a bit better than most people realize. Tanner Price does a great job taking care of the football. The Demon Deacons should have a lot of success against a Tar Heels secondary that ranks 100th out of 120 teams in the nation in pass defense. North Carolina is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Wake Forest has a real shot at winning the game, so getting more than a touchdown seems like a great value here. Take Wake Forest.
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10-27-11 | Rice v. Houston OVER 70.5 | 34-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Rice Owls defense has been among the worst in the nation in each of the last three years. Rice is allowing 33 points per game this year. Houston has the number one offense in all of college football. The Cougars are first in yards per game and points per game. Houston averages 49 points per game. This is the type of game where I truly expect Houston to score at least 50 points. Case Keenum and his receivers should carve up this Rice secondary. At the same time, Rice has some play makers on offense and the Houston defense simply isn't very good. The over is 38-14 in Rice's last 52 road games. The over is 19-7 in Houston's last 26 games. This combined 57-21 angle strongly supports an over play. Take the over.
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10-24-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 40 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Bookie SMASHER* The Baltimore Ravens defense is built to stop the run. Haloti Ngata and Terrance Cody are terrific at clogging up the running lanes. Jacksonville is a team that can't do much passing at all right now. The Ravens should load up the box and stuff Jones-Drew and the Jags running attack tonight. On the other side, I expect the Jaguars defense to play some inspired football under the Monday Night Football lights. The under is 5-0 in the Jaguars last 5 Monday night games. Expect both defenses to play well. Take the under in this one.
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10-23-11 | Green Bay Packers -8 v. Minnesota Vikings | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Green Bay Packers are 6-0. The Packers look much better right now than they did last year during their Super Bowl season. Aaron Rodgers is the best quarterback in the NFL at this point in my opinion. The Packers don't have nearly as many injuries as they had last year. On the other side, the Vikings are a complete mess. Adrian Peterson is a force in the backfied, but the team has virtually no passing game. Christian Ponder will get his first career start in this one. Starting against this Packers defense will not be an easy task for Ponder. The Vikings defense is strong against the run, but the secondary struggles. I expect Aaron Rodgers to pick apart this secondary all day long. The Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record. The Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with Minnesota. Take Green Bay.
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10-23-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Detroit Lions OVER 47 | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 116 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Atlanta Falcons have started running the football better of late, and that should help them a lot in this game. Atlanta's balance on offense should keep the Lions defense on their heels. At the same time, Matt Stafford and this Lions passing attack should fare well against a secondary that is struggling right now. I don't see anyone on the Falcons roster that can slow down Calvin Johnson. This one should stay close throughout, and both offenses should move the chains consistently. The over is 13-5-1 in the Lions last 19 games. The over is 6-1-1 in the Falcons last 8 road games. Take the over.
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10-23-11 | San Diego Chargers v. NY Jets UNDER 44.5 | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New York Jets defense played well Monday, albeit against a poor Miami Dolphins offense. The Jets secondary is the best in the NFL though, and I think they'll make life tough on Phillip Rivers and the Chargers passing attack here. The Chargers really don't have a dominating running game to pound down the throats of the Jets. San Diego's defense is pretty good, and at this point I consider the Jets offense below average. I expect the defenses to get the best of the offenses in this one. I think the value is on the under in this one.
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10-22-11 | Tulsa v. Rice OVER 59 | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Rice Owls have had a bad defense for several straight years now. Tulsa actually scored 64 points on Rice last season. The Rice Owls defense is 115th out of 120 teams in college football in total defense. Tulsa has a solid balanced offense led by quarterback G.J. Kinne. On the other side of the ball, Tulsa's defense is giving up 32 points per game, and they are awful against the pass. Taylor McHargue is improving as the season moves along, and Rice does have some play makers on the offensive side of the ball. The over is 59-23 in Rice's last 82 games overall. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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10-22-11 | Miami (OH) +17.5 v. Toledo | 28-49 | Loss | -109 | 101 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* I like the Toledo Rockets and I think they might be the best team in the MAC. Having said that, I think they are being overvalued in this game. Miami (Ohio) won the MAC Championship last year, and this team is fairly similar to last year's. Dysert and the passing attack for Miami should be able to move the ball on Toledo. Miami's defense is very good against the pass, which should slow the Rockets offense down enough to keep them within the number. Toledo is missing running back Adonis Thomas. Miami lost only 17-6 at Missouri earlier this year, and the Redhawks should keep this one fairly close. Take Miami here.
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10-22-11 | Army v. Vanderbilt UNDER 45 | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total Knockout* Army runs the ball more than any other team in the nation. They are dead last in passing offense in the nation, and that will hurt them against this Vanderbilt defense. The Commodores have a strong front seven with a great group of linebackers that should do well against the triple option. Army won't abandon the run, but I don't think they'll be as successful as usual with the run either. Vanderbilt's offense averages just 21.7 points per game, and they really don't have much firepower. The Commodores will try to run the ball as much as possible in this one as well. The clock should be ticking a lot in this one, and both defenses will stack the box and dare the other team to throw. Two years ago these teams played to 16-13 overtime game. The under is 21-9-1 in Vanderbilt's last 31 home games. Take the under.
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10-22-11 | Fresno State v. Nevada -9.5 | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of the Day* The Fresno State Bulldogs aren't nearly as good as they have been in recent years. Pat Hill's team has a below average offense and a terrible defense. Fresno State's clear weakness is stopping the run. Nevada's strength is their running game. Nevada ranks 10th in the nation in rushing yards per contest, and Chris Ault's team definitely knows how to exploit a poor run defense. On the other side of the ball, Nevada ranks sixth nationally in pass defense. Fresno State often relies too heavily on the passing game, and I expect that to be a problem in this game. Nevada is 24-9 ATS in their last 33 as a home favorite. Take Nevada.
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10-22-11 | East Carolina v. Navy OVER 64.5 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 118 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play of the Month* East Carolina's run defense is absolutely terrible. They were dead last in the nation in rushing defense last year, and I expect them to finish near the bottom again this year. Navy ran for 521 yards against East Carolina last year on their way to a 76-35 win. Navy's triple option is tough for everyone to stop, and I simply don't think the Pirates have the personnel to stop it at all. On the other side, Navy doesn't typically play teams with a strong passing attack. East Carolina's Dominique Davis is a good passer who should put up big numbers against the Navy secondary. Last year he threw for 5 touchdowns and 413 yards against Navy. I don't see many punts at all in this game. The over is 9-3 in East Carolina's last 12 road games. The over is 6-1 in Navy's last 7 home games. Expect the points to pile up quickly in this one. 5 Star Play Of the Month on the over!
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10-22-11 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 56 | 10-14 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Western Michigan has the MAC's best quarterback in Alex Carder. Carder shredded up this Eastern Michigan defense last year by passing for 349 yards and 4 touchdowns while throwing no interceptions. Eastern Michigan has yet to face a team with a good passing game this year, and I expect their secondary to be picked apart once again. On the other side of the ball, Western Michigan is allowing 217 rushing yards per game. Eastern Michigan runs the ball well (10th in the nation in rushing yards) and I expect them to exploit this weakness in the Broncos defense. The over is 4-0 in Eastern Michigan's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-1 in Western Michigan's last 5 games. Take the over.
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10-22-11 | Wake Forest v. Duke OVER 59 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Early Bird Special* Wake Forest is a team that has surprised quite a few people this year. The Deamon Deacons have done it largely because of the impressive play of quarterback Tanner Price. Price has thrown 12 touchdowns and just three picks this season. Three of his receivers already have at least 25 catches. Duke's defense allows 272 yards per game through the air, and I expect Price to find plenty of open receivers. Duke's Sean Renfree is a solid quarterback as well. Duke can move the ball in the air against weak secondaries, and I think Wake Forest fits in that category. Last year when these teams met the final was 54-48. Two years ago the final was 45-34. The last four meetings have all gone safely over the posted total. I expect both teams to air it out early and often in this one. Expect a high scoring affair. 5 Star Top Play on the over in this one.
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10-16-11 | Houston Texans v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 45 | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 124 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Houston Texans have a pretty good offense, but without Andre Johnson stretching the defense, the offense is not nearly as dynamic. The Baltimore defense is first in the NFL in points allowed per game this year at just 14.2 ppg. Houston is one of the most improved defenses in the NFL this year thanks to a much better secondary. The Texans linebackers are all over the field. Baltimore has a great front seven as well with Cody, Ngata, Lewis, Suggs, etc. I think this line is inflated a bit because of Houston's results from last year. This is a much better Houston defense this year. Expect a grind it out type of game here. Take the under.
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10-16-11 | Buffalo Bills v. NY Giants OVER 50 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 44 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Knockout* The Buffalo Bills have been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this year. The Bills offense is successful because they are so balanced. Jackson is dangerous at the running back spot, and Fitzpatrick can throw it around quite well. The Giants defense has some key injuries right now, and I think Buffalo should score quite a few here. At the same time, the Buffalo defense isn't very good. Shawne Merriman will miss this game, and New York should have a good chance at establishing a running game. Eli Manning has some weapons at wide receiver, and I expect them to get open against a poor secondary. The over is 6-0 in Buffalo's last 6 games. The over is 5-1-1 in the Giants last 7 home games. Take the over.
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10-16-11 | Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 v. Washington Redskins | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Philadelphia Eagles have outgained every opponent they have played this year, but they have found a way to be 1-4 after 5 contests. Turnovers have held this team back in a big way. The high expectations surrounding this team have caused the media to be all over Philadelphia through this poor start. Mike Vick has still been electric in his play making, but he needs to take better care of the football. The Eagles offense put on a clinic last year against Washington, and I think it is a good matchup for them again this year. Rex Grossman is a quarterback that I simply don't trust, and the Eagles have far more play makers than the Redskins. The Eagles definitely have their backs against the wall here, and I'm guessing they come up with their best performance of the season. Take Philadelphia.
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10-15-11 | Northwestern +7 v. Iowa | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big Ten ATS Value Play* Northwestern is a completely different team with Dan Persa as their starting quarterback. Persa is one of the best quarterbacks in the country, even though most people aren't aware of his skills. Persa has had a couple games to get back into the swing of things and I suspect he'll continue to improve as he gets more healthy. Iowa hasn't been very impressive this year. They were dominated by Penn State last week. Iowa's offense isn't particularly dynamic right now, and the Iowa defense has had a surprising amount of difficulty against the pass. Northwestern could certainly win this game, so I'm grabbing the points here.
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10-15-11 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 41.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -112 | 65 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Total Value* The Georgia Bulldogs have really turned it on since their 0-2 start. Georgia has been doing it with some superb defense. The Bulldogs are allowing just 8.75 points per game in their last four contests. Vanderbilt has a terrible offense that just can't seem to find its way. The Commodores put up 3 points against South Carolina and they were blanked by Alabama. On the other side, Vanderbilt actually has a very good defense. The Commodores are ranked in the top 30 in the nation in every major defensive category. Expect both defenses to flex their muscles here. Take the under.
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10-15-11 | East Carolina v. Memphis OVER 56 | 35-17 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* East Carolina's offense was one of the most dynamic in all of college football last year. This year they are averaging just 20 points per game. Dominique Davis and this East Carolina offense might not be quite as good this year, but they are due for a breakout game. What better team to breakout against than a terrible Memphis Tigers team? The Memphis defense is allowing 495 yards and 37 points per game. East Carolina's defense is terrible as well, and even a weak Memphis offense should put up several points on them. The Pirates are allowing 37 points per game as well. I expect this one to get safely over the posted total.
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10-15-11 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest OVER 49 | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Wake Forest has really put themselves on the map with their win over Florida State last week. This is a Wake Forest team that can really move the football through the air. Virginia Tech has a great run defense, but the secondary is a bit vulnerable. On the other side, Wake Forest's defense isn't ready for the bigtime yet. Logan Thomas is coming off an unreal 23/25 performance against a good Miami defense. Both offenses should have success in this one. The over is 10-3 in Wake Forest's last 13 home games. Take the over in this matchup.
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10-15-11 | Oklahoma State -7 v. Texas | 38-26 | Win | 100 | 122 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of the Week* Texas was looking quite a bit better before last weekend, but that was against inferior competition. Oklahoma absolutely took it to them all game last week. The Longhorns secondary was exposed as being a major problem area. Now the Longhorns will face Brandon Weeden and a terrific Oklahoma State offense. Look for the Cowboys passing game, which is ranked second nationally at this point, to carve up the Texas secondary. Justin Blackmon is one of the most physically gifted receivers in the land, and he should have a tremendous game here. Oklahoma State is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. Texas is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games. Take Oklahoma State.
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10-15-11 | Georgia Tech -7 v. Virginia | 21-24 | Loss | -116 | 116 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar ATS Winner* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have one of the very best running games in the nation. Paul Johnson's team runs the option beautifully, and Tevin Washington has added another dimension this year with his passing ability. Virginia's defense has some fairly good numbers, but the Cavs have yet to play an offense even close to as good as Georgia Tech's. Virginia turns the football over frequently, and the Yellow Jackets should make them pay for that. The Cavs don't have an established starter at quarterback right now, and this is an offense that is still looking for an identity. Georgia Tech is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 as a road favorite. Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 as a home underdog. Take Georgia Tech.
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10-15-11 | South Florida -7 v. Connecticut | 10-16 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* South Florida has had more than two weeks to prepare for this game. The Bulls have a very good coach in Skip Holtz, and I expect them to be ready for this one. UConn doesn't have much of an offense now that Jordan Todman is gone. B.J. Daniels has been much better this year and I believe he should have a good game against a mediocre UConn defense. UConn was beaten at home by Iowa State and Western Michigan already this year. South Florida is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. UConn is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Take South Florida here.
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10-15-11 | UTEP v. Tulane OVER 57 | 44-7 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The UTEP Miners picked up a very good quarterback in Nick Lamaison. The Miners passing game has gotten better each game this year. Tulane's secondary simply isn't very good and I expect UTEP to take advantage of that. At the same time, UTEP's defense is very poor. Tulane's Ryan Griffin has improved quite a bit this year, and I expect the Green Wave to put up quite a few points this weekend. UTEP allows 33 points per contest. Tulane's defense allows 34 points per contest. I expect the defenses to make the offenses look good in this one. The over is 5-1 in Tulane's last 6 home games. Take the over.
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10-15-11 | Miami (OH) -3.5 v. Kent State | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 40 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Side SMASHER* The Kent State Golden Flashes have one of the worst offenses in all of college football. Kent State hasn't topped the 12 point mark this year against an FBS opponent. They are dead last in total offense in the country (171 yards per game). Miami (Ohio) got back on the winning track last week with a win over Army. The Redhawks were the winners of the MAC last year, and I think they are better than they have shown so far this year. Miami has a good quarterback and a pretty good defense. Kent State is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 as an underdog. Take Miami here.
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