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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-30-15 | Memphis +3.5 v. Auburn | 10-31 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
*4 Star Birmingham Bowl BLASTER* Motivation is the name of the game in bowl season. The Memphis Tigers have a lot more reasons to be motivated for this one than does Auburn. Auburn was thought of as a team that could be in the race for the title this year, and instead they fell way short. Auburn has been a huge disappointment on the offensive end, and the defense hasn't been any better. Will Muschamp is gone and that could hurt the Auburn defense even more. Paxton Lynch is the quarterback for Memphis, and he's now listed as most people's top quarterback on the draft board. Lynch has all the tools, and he should have a big day against this Auburn defense. That gives Memphis a big advantage vs. an Auburn team that hasn't even announced a starting quarterback for this game. Both quarterbacks have been bad all year for Auburn. Auburn has more talent, but I don't think they care about being here. Memphis is fired up for a chance to beat a second SEC opponent this year. Getting more than a field goal, I'm taking Memphis. Auburn is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Memphis is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after gaining 450 yards or more last game. A 12-0 angle. Take Memphis. |
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12-29-15 | Air Force +7 v. California | 36-55 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Air Force Falcons are a live dog in this one. Air Force runs the option extremely efficiently, and their quarterback has shown a much better ability to throw the ball late in the season, which helps keep the defense honest. Karson Roberts is a better runner than thrower, as you want in an option system, but he has thrown for 270 yards or more in 2 of the team's last 4 games. Air Force averages 322 yards per game on the ground, which is second in the nation behind only Navy. The Falcons shouldn't have any trouble moving the ball against a Cal defense that is giving up 203.5 yards per game on the ground. Cal has a great quarterback in Jared Goff, but the rest of the team isn't great. The Golden Bears will certainly pile up plenty of yards here, but they may bog down in the red zone as they have often late in the season. I like to look for underdogs who are the better running team, especially when getting a full touchdown or more. Air Force is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. The Falcons aren't getting any respect here. Cal is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. Air Force is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Take Air Force. |
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12-27-15 | Packers v. Cardinals OVER 50.5 | 8-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Packers/Cardinals Total DOMINATION* The Green Bay Packers offense has looked a bit better in the last couple weeks. McCarthy is now calling the plays and he has given the team better balance. The offensive line is still a problem, but they have been better than they were early in the season. Arizona's secondary took a huge hit when Mathieu went down with a season ending knee injury. The Packers passing attack should be good enough to exploit the Cardinals weakness there. Patrick Peterson will probably play here, but he is dinged up as well. The Green Bay defense is no better than average at this point, and Arizona's offense is tremendous. The Cardinals rank first in the NFL in total offense. Arizona has been picking apart just about every defense they have played. The over is 5-2 in Arizona's last 7 home games. Take the over. |
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12-27-15 | Patriots v. Jets +3.5 | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The New York Jets need this game very badly. New York is being pushed hard in the AFC playoff race, and they simply can't afford to lose. New England would like to win here, but they don't need to win nearly as bad as the Jets do. New England's injuries have to catch up to them at some point. This Patriots team is severely banged up. Remember, the first time these two played the Jets were leading for much of the game at New England before falling apart in the fourth quarter, but they did still get the cover. New York's defense has been one of the best at slowing down Tom Brady and the Patriots offense. New England is catching most of the public money here, but the line is edging toward the Jets. That's a strong sign of sharp money being on the home underdog in this one. The Patriots are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4. The Patriots are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Jets. A 14-0 angle. Take New York. |
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12-27-15 | Browns v. Chiefs UNDER 43 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Game of the MONTH* The Kansas City Chiefs are playing at the single slowest tempo of any team in the league. They are taking 33.5 seconds between plays, which is the longest mark in the league. Kansas City's offense isn't very good. They have been putting up some big point totals of late because the defense has been scoring points in large amounts. That has made this Chiefs team look better than they are, at least offensively if you are looking at things like points per game. Cleveland's defense has been a little better in recent weeks. The Browns run defense still isn't good, but they have been slightly better of late. The Browns secondary is solid. Kansas City is likely to keep the ball on the ground a lot in this game and run the clock a lot. Cleveland has been running it a lot as well. The weather is one of the big reasons I'm making this play as well. The forecast here is calling for rain throughout the game, and even more importantly, heavy winds of 20 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 mph. That kind of weather is very good for under bettors. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 with less than 150 yards passing last game. The under is 4-0 in Kansas City's last 4 in Week 16. A 16-0 angle. Take the under. Top rated play. *NFL Game of the MONTH* |
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12-26-15 | Nebraska v. UCLA OVER 61 | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 66 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Saturday Night MONEY* The UCLA Bruins have a good young quarterback in Josh Rosen, and they go up against a Nebraska secondary that has struggled all year long. Nebraska ranks 122nd in the nation out of 128 teams against the pass. Look for Rosen to beat this secondary consistently with the pass. At the same time, Nebraska's offense has been very good down the stretch. The Cornhuskers have averaged 34 points per game in their last four contests. Armstrong and his receivers are getting more accustomed to Mike Riley's new offense. The Cornhuskers prefer to play quickly, and they like to use the no huddle package quite a bit. UCLA ranks as the 8th fastest paced team in the country as well. UCLA's defense has been hit hard by the injury bug this year. Their two best players will miss this game. I see both offenses having a lot of scoring chances throughout. Take the over.  |
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12-26-15 | Indiana v. Duke OVER 71.5 | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 39 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Pinstripe Bowl Power Play* The Duke Blue Devils offense was up and down this year, but Duke plays at the ninth fastest tempo of anyone in the country. Indiana plays at the single fastest tempo of anyone in the country. There will be a bunch of snaps in this one, and the more snaps there are the more scoring opportunities come up. The Indiana defense is dreadful. How bad are they? Indiana's pass defense ranks dead last in the country. Opponents are throwing for more than 326 yards per game against them. Duke's passing game should look a lot better than usual against this Indiana defense. The Duke defense will be without star safety Jeremy Cash. Cash is the team's best defensive player, and he's a big loss. Indiana's offense is one of the most balanced in the country, and star running back Jordan Howard returning from an injury, Indiana is going to be even more dangerous. The over is 38-15-1 in Indiana's last 54 games. Take the over. |
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12-26-15 | Southern Miss v. Washington -8.5 | 31-44 | Win | 100 | 59 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Heart of Dallas CASH* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles schedule was ridiculously easy this year. The Golden Eagles are certainly a good story, but they aren't the same caliber of team as Washington. Southern Miss played a schedule that is ranked below number 100 by every measure, while Washington's schedule was one of the 35 most difficult schedules. While the Pac 12 didn't have one standout team, they did have a lot of depth and it was a good conference. Chris Petersen has proven himself to be a tremendous coach. You give him this much time to get ready for a game, and I'm going to assume his team will be ready. Washington should dominate in the trenches here. The Huskies pass rush will be among the best Southern Miss has seen this year. Washington wins by double digits. Take the Huskies. |
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12-26-15 | Miami (Fla) v. Washington State OVER 61.5 | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Sun Bowl SMASHER* This is a matchup of two very good quarterbacks. I'm high on both Brad Kaaya and Luke Falk. They play in different systems, but both guys have done a really nice job progressing over the course of their careers. Miami's offense has been pretty good since their blowout loss to Clemson. The Hurricanes finished the season strong, and they have a speed advantage on the outside here. Washington State's secondary should have trouble staying with these wideouts. Washington State's offense has all sorts of playmakers at the wide receiver spots. Luke Falk is the perfect quarterback for Mike Leach's system. Falk spreads the ball around and doesn't lock in on any one guy. The Cougars always like to play quickly in the Leach offense, and that won't change here. Washington State's defense has certainly improved this year, but I'm still not convinced they are good. Miami's defense will be without two starters who were suspended for this game. Both offenses have a lot of big play ability. Take the over. |
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12-26-15 | Connecticut v. Marshall UNDER 45 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 80 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Marshall Thundering Herd were a high powered offense in the past, but they aren't that anymore. Marshall took a huge step backward when Rakeem Cato graduated. Marshall ranks 64th in the nation in total offense. I think the perception is still out there that Marshall is a good offense because of what they did in the past, and that gives us value on the under. UConn's defense has gotten so much better under Bob Diaco. The Huskies are giving up only 19.8 points per game. This is a unit that has been consistently very good all season long. Marshall's defense is only allowing 18.4 points per game. I think both offenses will have a difficult time getting things going in this one. The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 31-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-24-15 | Cincinnati v. San Diego State -1 | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 71 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Christmas Eve CASH* The Cincinnati Bearcats definitely aren't used to going to Hawaii to play football games. San Diego State is accustomed to this, because they take a trip to play Hawaii who is in the same conference as them. In bowl season, it's very important to handicap which team will be more motivated. In fact, I think it's the single most important factor that should determine where you place your money. In this game, I like San Diego State's motivation level a lot more than Cincinnati's. The Bearcats are dealing with a bunch of distractions. Gunner Kiel isn't playing in this game for undisclosed reasons. There have been a lot of rumors around the coaching staff. Cincinnati had much higher goals for the season,  but they fell apart down the stretch. San Diego State is playing their best football of the season. The Aztecs started slowly, but their strong defense and tremendous running game have them on a 9 game winning streak. Pumphrey is a really good back for Cincinnati, and this Bearcats defense is weak. Cincinnati is likely excited to be spending time on the beaches in Hawaii, while San Diego State should treat this more like a business trip. Take San Diego State. *Note I would play this for the same rating up to -3.* |
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12-21-15 | Western Kentucky v. South Florida +133 | 45-35 | Loss | -100 | 108 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Miami Beach Bowl BLASTER* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are a good team, but I'm not convinced they have beaten a team all year that is playing as well as South Florida is right now. The Bulls have been terrific down the stretch. USF has an amazing running tandem with quarterback Quinten Flowers and running back Marlon Mack. Western Kentucky hasn't faced many great rushing attacks and when they have (Indiana and LSU), they haven't slowed them down much at all. Brandon Doughty will put up plenty of yards and Western Kentucky will score quite a few here. Still, I think USF's defense will force them to kick field goals several times, and I don't see USF having much trouble at all running the ball down Western Kentucky's throat. Take Western Kentucky.  Note- If you can get +3 at your book without buying it up, I would suggest taking that, but since +3 is not widely available anymore I'm taking moneyline here. My numbers make USF a favorite of a field goal here. At this plus money price, I like USF. |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals v. Eagles OVER 51 | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CASH* The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed at least 20 points in each of their last 7 games. They have allowed 45 points in two of their last four games. Philadelphia's offense has been a little bit better of late, and the Eagles still play at the fastest pace of any team in the league by a wide margin. Arizona's offense has been amazing this year. Carson Palmer has been a star in this offense. Arizona ranks first in the NFL in total offense, and they are averaging 31.2 points per game. I think they'll be able to get a lot of big plays against this Eagles defense. The Cardinals defense has been a bit disappointing of late. Arizona allowed 32 and 31 points in back to back weeks against Seattle and Cincinnati recently. They are a good defense, but they aren't elite like some thought they would be. Philadelphia will get a lot of snaps and opportunities here. Take the over.  |
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12-20-15 | Titans v. Patriots UNDER 47 | 16-33 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New England Patriots offense is very banged up right now. This is one of those games where I think it would make sense for the Patriots to simply get out healthy rather than worry about scoring everytime and winning big. Since I don't trust the Titans to be able to score on New England, I'm taking the under instead of the underdog. The New England defense has been a lot better than people realize this year. New England ranks sixth in the NFL in total defense. They rank in the top ten in the NFL in both pass defense and run defense. This is a good balanced defense. The Titans have scored 14 points or less in 8 of their 13 games so far this year. I don't see them being able to score much here. The weather could be a bit of a problem too. Winds of up to 20 mph could keep both teams running the ball more often than normal. The under is 7-1 in the Titans last 8 December games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Titans last 5 after gaining 250 yards or more through the air last game. A 16-1 angle. Take the under. |
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12-20-15 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 43 | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears are both better on defense than they are on offense. Though Jay Cutler played better for a while this year, he is still Jay Cutler, which means he can't be relied on in big games. Minnesota's defense played very well last week against Arizona, and they have a great defensive head coach in Zimmer. Minnesota's passing game is bad, which will allow Chicago to stack the box and make life difficult on Adrian Peterson. None of the last four meetings have gone above 43 points. In the last two meetings, no team has gained more than 330 yards of total offense. I think the defensive theme continues here. The under is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 after a loss. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between the Bears and Vikings overall. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-19-15 | Arkansas State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 67 | 28-47 | Win | 100 | 118 h 0 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet on Saturday night in New Orleans. Louisiana Tech has a really good offense with Jeff Driskel (Florida transfer) and Kenneth Dixon at quarterback and running back. Driskel was a disappointment at Florida, but he's been great at Louisiana Tech. Arkansas State's Fredi Knighten and Michael Gordon are a really nice quarterback and running back combination too. Both of these teams have big play ability on offense. When you look at the schedules these two teams played, they didn't play very many dynamic offenses, and when they did, they gave up a bunch of points. Louisiana Tech just gave up 58 points against Southern Miss in their last game. Arkansas State allowed 31 points or more five times this year, and this will be the second most talented offense they have faced this year. Both offenses in this game prefer to play at a quick tempo. The over is 5-0 in Arkansas State's last 5 games after gaining more than 450 yards last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 40 points or more last game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. |
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12-19-15 | Jets -3 v. Cowboys | 19-16 | Push | 0 | 28 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star Jets/Cowboys CASH* I'm not big on playing road favorites in the NFL, but this is a good price on the New York Jets. Yes, the Dallas Cowboys are technically still mathematically in the NFC East race, but they know they aren't going to win it. The Jets have a whole lot more to play for than do the Cowboys. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been very good this year, and the Dallas secondary is inconsistent. The Jets offensive line is one of the best in the league. The Dallas defense was torched by Green Bay's running game last week. The Jets running game should get going in this one. If the Jets can have much success on offense at all, it's hard to see the Cowboys covering here. How will Dallas score? The Jets allow the fewest amount of rushing yards per game of any team in the NFL. We all know Cassel isn't the answer at quarterback for Dallas, and the Jets secondary is good. Dallas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take the Jets. |
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12-19-15 | BYU v. Utah UNDER 52 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star BYU/Utah Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars and the Utah Utes absolutely hate each other. This is one of the meanest rivalries in college football today. Both teams should be plenty motivated here. We are going to see some very hard hitting action. Utah's offense is really banged up right now. The Utes are expected to be without star running back Devontae Booker here. Booker carries a massive load for this offense. He's averaged nearly 5 yards per carry in his career, and he is a workhorse. Britain Covey, Utah's best receiver and best kick returner is also doubtful for this one. That means there will be a lot more pressure on Travis Wilson. Wilson isn't a guy I trust very much, especially when he doesn't have enough weapons at the skill positions around him. BYU's offense hasn't been able to run this year, and Utah presents a major challenge for the Cougars offense. Utah has a tremendous pass rush and the Utes also have a very good secondary. I see both offenses struggling in a close game throughout. Take the under. |
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12-19-15 | Arizona v. New Mexico OVER 64.5 | 45-37 | Win | 100 | 39 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Bowl Season Kickoff CASH* The New Mexico Lobos have the home field advantage in this one, but they are at a significant talent disadvantage. Rather than get involved on the side in this game, I'm going with the over. New Mexico and Arizona are two rushing attacks that both make a bunch of explosive plays. I think we'll see a lot of long runs in this game. Arizona ranks 4th in the nation in pace of play. The Wildcats are going to look to get off as many plays as they can quickly, and that's obviously very helpful for an over. New Mexico's defense has improved quite a bit this year, but they haven't faced many offenses with the type of talent Arizona has. Arizona's defense is giving up 4.42 yards per carry this year. The Wildcats haven't allowed less than 30 points in a single game in their last six contests. They allowed 45 points or more five times this year. The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. A 15-1 angle. Take the over. Â |
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12-13-15 | Cowboys v. Packers UNDER 43 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 48 h 25 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Green Bay Packers are coming off a last second win over Detroit last week. Green Bay was certainly fortunate to get that win, and the Packers offense has shown in recent weeks that they have some major problems. Aaron Rodgers is still great, but the talent around him isn't good enough right now. Dallas' Sean Lee has been playing some great football, and he has helped this Dallas defense be much better since he has been healthy again. Dallas' offense is terrible with Cassel at quarterback. The Cowboys are going to have to run it early and often here, and Green Bay should be ready for the running game. Dallas plays at the slowest pace of play of any team in the NFL too, which is obviously helpful for the under. The weather should be an issue here. There is a 90 percent chance of rain and 20-25 mph winds are expected too. Wind and rain is very difficult for the offenses. The under is 5-0 in the Cowboys last 5 on grass. The under is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 games following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a straight up win. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-13-15 | Raiders v. Broncos UNDER 43.5 | 15-12 | Win | 100 | 44 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star Raiders/Broncos Total* The Denver Broncos have the best defense in the NFL. The secondary is amazing and the pass rush is the best in the league by a wide margin. Oakland's offensive line has been having some issues of late, and Derek Carr has looked shaky under pressure. The Denver offense isn't very good regardless of who is at quarterback. The running game has been a bit better of late, but Oakland's defense has improved quite a bit in the past month. The first meeting between these two teams saw a 16-10 Denver win, but the Broncos scored the game winning touchdown on an interception return. Neither offense could get going in that one. Look for a low scoring game again. Take the under. |
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12-13-15 | Lions v. Rams UNDER 41 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 45 h 53 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Detroit Lions lost last week's game in awful fashion. Aaron Rodgers' hail mary completion to end the game will be remembered for years. Detroit did play well for the majority of that game, and their defense has been much improved in recent weeks. Detroit allowed 16 in their win at Green Bay. They allowed 13 at home against Oakland. They then allowed 14 against the Eagles. Last week they gave up 27, but it would have been a decent 21 before that last play. St. Louis' offense has been a joke of late. The Rams offensive line is banged up in a big way. St. Louis hasn't been able to pave the way for Todd Gurley to get going at all of late. Nick Foles was so bad last week that the Rams are going back to Case Keenum for this one. Keenum isn't a good option either. The Rams defensive line should get pressure on Matt Stafford, and the Lions can't run the football at all. Both teams play much slower than the league average in terms of pace of play. The public is betting the over at almost 70% and yet the line has dropped a half point. That's very telling. The under is 7-1 in the Rams last 8. The under is 12-3 in the Lions last 15 road games. Take the under. |
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12-13-15 | Bills v. Eagles OVER 46.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Buffalo Bills defense has been a big disappointment so far this year. Buffalo just isn't getting the job done on that side of the ball. Philadelphia's offense has obviously been disappointing too, but the Eagles play at the fastest tempo in the NFL and they should break some big plays on this Buffalo defense. On the other side, Buffalo's offense has been far better than expected. Tyrod Taylor has been excellent. LeSean McCoy has all kinds of reasons to be very motivated for his chance to go against his former team here as well. The Eagles defense has been really bad against the run in recent weeks. Watkins has been a great playmaker for this offense. This total is too low for these two teams. Good weather is expected for this one as well. Take the over. |
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12-13-15 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 45 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 41 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs defense is locked in right now. On the other hand, the San Diego Chargers offense is a mess. These teams met in late November, and the Chiefs won that one 33-3. Kansas City's pass rush was all over Phillip Rivers in that game, and there's no reason to expect anything different in this game. In two of the Chargers last three games, they have put up only three points. San Diego is the single most banged up offense in the NFL. The Chargers offensive line is a patched together group that isn't good at all. Rivers has next to one to throw the ball to with all sorts of wide receiver injuries. Kansas City should shut them down here. Kansas City's offense is nothing spectacular. The 34 points they scored last week was leading since the defense directly led to most of those points. The Chiefs should grab a lead here and then milk the clock. Kansas City ranks 30th out of 32 teams in the NFL in pace of play. The under is 6-0 in San Diego's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in KC's last 7 after gaining 250 yards or less last game. A 13-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-12-15 | Army v. Navy UNDER 53.5 | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 134 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star Army/Navy TOP Play SMASHER* The Army Cadets and the Navy Midshipmen renew their tremendous rivalry this Saturday. This one will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Navy Midshipmen had a great season in their first year in the American Athletic Conference. Army has struggled once again to a 2-9 record. Navy and Army have a long history of playing low scoring games against each other. It really makes a lot of sense. The single biggest advantage of running a triple option offense is that opposing defenses typically aren't accustomed to seeing it. That obviously isn't the case when these two teams play each other. The defenses work against triple option attacks every single day in practice. Earlier this year, both of these teams played Air Force and both teams saw their games go under against Air Force. Army's game with Air Force was particularly telling. It was a 20-3 game that never got even close to the posted total. While Army's defense was bad overall this year, they did well against Air Force. In the past nine years, there hasn't been a single game between these two finish with a higher total than 48 points. The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. The under is 10-1 in Army's last 11 games in December. The under is 10-1 in Navy's last 11 games in December. The under is 5-0 in Navy's last 5 neutral site games. The under is 6-1 in Navy's last 7 on grass. A 40-3 angle. Take the under big.  This line is dropping through the week. I would play this for a top rated play down to 49 points. *TOP Rated Play* |
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12-07-15 | Cowboys v. Redskins UNDER 42.5 | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star Monday Night Football MONEY* The Washington Redskins have a real chance to be the outright leader in the awful NFC East. Washington would be my lean here as far as the side goes, but the public is pounding the Redskins and the line is dropping, which is a reason for me to stay away in this case. Instead, I'm playing the under. The Redskins and Cowboys rank 31st and 32nd out of 32 teams in the NFL in terms of pace of play. That means we'll see a lot of the play clock ticking very low before the snap in this one. Dallas knows they can't throw it very much with Cassel at quarterback, and I look to see a heavy diet of runs from the Cowboys. Washington's defense will be loading up the box. The Redskins offense has been pretty good at home, but Dallas' defense has solid numbers for the year overall. These two teams are bitter rivals and they have played a lot of low scoring games against one another in recent years. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in Dallas' last 4 on grass. The under is 7-1 in the Cowboys last 8 following an ATS loss. Take the under. |
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12-06-15 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 43.5 | 39-42 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tennessee Titans are lacking playmakers on offense. Marcus Mariota is a good quarterback, but I don't think he has enough help right now. Tennessee generally likes to run the ball, but Jacksonville actually ranks first in the NFL in least yards per carry allowed this year 3.34 per attempt. Jacksonville's offense isn't great to start with either, and without Hurns at wide receiver this week, Bortles is going to have a difficult test. The Titans defense is an underrated unit that has been very good this year. A couple weeks ago these teams played and their game stayed under the total. I think this one does too. The under is 6-0 in the Titans last 6 December games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 after gaining 90 yards or less rushing last game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 21-1 angle. Take the under. |
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12-06-15 | Seahawks v. Vikings UNDER 42.5 | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Vikings can't throw the football with any kind of consistency, and that has been the way to beat the Seahawks this year. The Seattle front seven has still been doing a really nice job against the run. Minnesota's rushing attack is first in the NFL, but I think Adrian Peterson will find things a little tougher going than normal here. Seattle runs the ball early and often, and their passing game lost a key weapon when Jimmy Graham went down with a knee injury last week. Look for the Seahawks to use the running game a bunch in this one, and Mike Zimmer's Vikings defense is a pretty good one. Minnesota is especially good on defense on their home turf. The under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NFC. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following a straight up win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 150 yards or more on the ground last game. A 27-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-06-15 | Texans v. Bills UNDER 41.5 | 21-30 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Top Total of Week* The Houston Texans defense may not have started the season playing up to their potential, but they have started doing it in the last few weeks. The Texans defense has been amazing of late. Houston's pass rush is obviously very good with J.J. Watt leading the way, and the Bills offensive line is banged up. That's a bad combination for Tyrod Taylor and this offense. The Houston secondary is elite. The Buffalo defense has been up and down this year, but I think they can slow a mediocre Houston offense. The Texans have primarily been so good lately because of their defense. There are a lot of good defensive minded coaches in this game, and neither team has a star quarterback. While the public is betting the over, the line has dropped by a point during the week. Take the under. |
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12-06-15 | 49ers v. Bears -6.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Chicago Bears picked up a really nice win at Green Bay on Thanksgiving night. Chicago has had extra rest and preparation for this game. The San Francisco 49ers have been miserable away from home this year. They are giving up 35 points per game on the road. Jay Cutler has a lot of weapons at his disposal with this offense, and he is playing pretty well. With Matt Forte healthy again, the offense should be able to improve even further. While Blaine Gabbert has been fairly good in his first few starts with the Niners, I don't trust him a bit. The Bears defense has been solid this year, and I think their coaching staff is doing a great job helping them improve week by week. At a touchdown or less, I have to back the Bears here. The 49ers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 December games. Chicago is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after giving up 350 yards or more last game. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 overall. A 16-0 angle. Take Chicago. |
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12-06-15 | Jets v. Giants +2.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Jets/Giants Value* The New York Jets will really miss Revis in this one. Eli Manning played very poorly last week, but he's had a nice season overall. I see Manning bouncing back in this game. The Giants have proven to be good at bouncing back from a loss in Tom Coughlin's era as head coach. The Jets running game hasn't been nearly as good in recent weeks. New York's run defense is pretty good. Ryan Fitzpatrick isn't even close to as good as he looked last week. The Giants have dominated this series of late. Take the New York Giants. |
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12-05-15 | USC v. Stanford OVER 58 | 22-41 | Win | 100 | 66 h 49 m | Show | |
*4 Star Pac 12 Title MONEY Total* The Stanford Cardinal and USC Trojans meet in the Pac 12 title game this Saturday night. USC's defense has been a big disappointment this year. USC ranks number 70 in the nation in total defense this year. They are giving up 400 yards per game. USC gave up more than 40 points three times this year, including their first meeting this year with Stanford. Stanford's defense isn't very good either. They are 50th in the nation in total defense. Stanford has allowed more than 30 points four times this year. USC has an improved running game since their first meeting with Stanford, and I think their improved balance as an offense will help them find success against Stanford's mediocre defense. Christian McCaffrey is one of the best game breakers in the nation, and USC gives up a bunch of big plays. Kevin Hogan is a winner who makes big plays when needed. USC has plenty of offensive playmakers. The over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings between these two teams. Take the over. |
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12-05-15 | Air Force v. San Diego State -6.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego State Aztecs are always one of the best teams in the country at stopping the triple option. San Diego State's Rocky Long runs a 3-3-5 defense which is tremendous at slowing down the triple option when it is executed properly. Rocky Long's teams have made it a habit of shutting down the option, and I expect them to do well again here. On the other side, Air Force hasn't been very good at stopping the run. The Falcons are allowing 4.15 yards per carry. San Diego State is barely allowing more than 2 yards per carry in Mountain West action. Though Air Force has thrown it a little better this year, the Falcons are up against a San Diego State team that has a quality secondary here. Chapman will likely be at quarterback for San Diego State. He's a guy with a high upside, and he should do a good job. Still, I don't think he'll need to throw it much. Pumphrey is a great runner for the Aztecs and I think he'll have a big game here. San Diego State is 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 yards rushing or less. They are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground. San Diego State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Air Force. A 27-0 angle. Take San Diego State. |
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12-05-15 | Temple v. Houston -6.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 118 h 53 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Temple Owls have had a tremendous season. Matt Rhule is a good coach who deserves a ton of credit for getting the Owls to this point. Still, I think this is a bad matchup for the Owls. The Owls have shown one clear weakness as a defense this yea. That weakness is giving up a lot of yards against opposing quarterbacks who are good runners. Take a look back at the middle of the season when they struggled on defense. They faced three straight good running quarterbacks. DeShone Kizer ran for 143 yards on just 17 attempts (8.4 per carry) against Temple. Matt Davis of the lowly SMU Mustangs ran for 102 yards on 17 carries (6 yards per carry). Quinton Flowers of USF ran for 90 yards on 18 carries (5 yards per carry). USF running back Marlon Mack went for 230 yards (11 yards per carry) in that game. Houston's quarterback Greg Ward Jr. is a tremendous runner and the Cougars have another good runner in the backfield in Farrow. The Temple defense should give up some big running plays here. Temple's offense isn't dynamic at all, and I think Houston's defense is better than most believe. I think Houston has too much firepower. Take Houston. |
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12-04-15 | Northern Illinois v. Bowling Green UNDER 70 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB MAC MONEYMAKER* The Bowling Green offense is as dynamic as they come, so this isn't an easy bet to make, but there are several reasons I like this one. Bowling Green's rushing defense has improved over the course of the season, and Northern Illinois has a very inexperienced quarterback under center. While I think Northern Illinois will still get plenty of yards on the ground, I think their inability to move it through the air will bog things down a bit in the red zone. Look for Bowling Green's defense to force Northern Illinois into some field goals. In addition, Northern Illinois has a good coach and I'm going to assume that they know they need to slow the tempo of the game down. The Huskies aren't likely to be able to win a shootout here. They will likely look to run the ball a bunch and use up a lot of clock. One final key factor, the public is betting the over here in a big way (75-80%) and yet the total has edged down throughout the week. Take the under. |
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11-29-15 | Raiders v. Titans UNDER 44.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Tennessee Titans have a good young quarterback in Marcus Mariota. The problem for them is he doesn't have enough weapons around him right now. Mariota has no playmakers on the outside to take advantage of the Raiders weakness, which is their secondary. Tennessee is primarily a running team now, but Oakland's rushing defense has been solid of late. On the other side, Tennessee has the sixth ranked defense in the NFL. The Titans defense has been underrated all year. The way Oakland moves it most frequently is through the air with rookie Amari Cooper on the outside and budding star Derek Carr under center. The Titans secondary is excellent though, and they rank third in the NFL in pass defense. The under is 6-2 in the Titans last 8 home games. Look for a lower scoring game than expected. Take the under. |
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11-29-15 | Saints v. Texans OVER 48 | 6-24 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Houston Texans and the New Orleans Saints both like to get a lot of plays off quickly. That should mean both offenses get a lot of possessions in this one. Houston's defense has been inconsistent this year. Drew Brees and the Saints offense has gotten much better over the course of the season. The Saints should be able to come up with some big plays in this one. The New Orleans defense has been the worst defense in the league by a mile so far this year. Yes, I know Rob Ryan was fired, but I don't think there is going to be a quick fix here. Houston's offense has playmakers, and I expect DeAndre Hopkins to have a big day on the outside against Brandon Browner. The over is 4-1 in the Saints last 5 road games. The over is 5-2 in Houston's last 7 home games. Take the over. |
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11-29-15 | Vikings v. Falcons UNDER 46 | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 131 h 3 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Atlanta Falcons offense has been a disappointment all year. Matt Ryan hasn't played well. The offensive line in front of him hasn't protected him well. The Minnesota Vikings have allowed the 7th least amount of passing yards in the NFL. It's no secret that Atlanta needs to be able to throw it effectively to score very many here. On the other side, Minnesota is the number one rushing offense in the NFL. They are dead last in the NFL in passing offense. If the Vikings can't run it, they are in serious trouble. Atlanta ranks first in the NFL against the run. They are giving up only 87.4 yards per game on the ground. Adrian Peterson will likely have a tougher time than usual against this strong defensive front. Coach Quinn has done a really nice job with this Falcons defense. Both defenses present a real challenge for the offenses in this game. The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 after a loss. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 November games. The under is 5-0 in the Vikings last 5 after an ATS loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0-1 in the Falcons last 7 after an ATS loss. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 250 yards passing or more. A 31-0 angle. Take the under. |
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11-28-15 | Florida State -1.5 v. Florida | 27-2 | Win | 100 | 139 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB FSU/Florida Rivalry CASH* The Florida Gators have had all sorts of issues down the stretch. I realize last week was a look ahead spot for Florida, but they haven't played well in a very long time. It's clear at this point that they aren't the same offense without Will Grier under center. Treon Harris just isn't consistent enough in the passing game. The Florida State running game is excellent. Florida State's Dalvin Cook is one of the best runners in college football. Sean McGuire has been throwing it well lately for Florida State as well. He has been an upgrade from Golson. Florida State would love to spoil Florida's run at a potential College Football Playoff berth. I think they do it here. Take Florida State. |
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11-28-15 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State +1 | 38-27 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Oddsmaker ERROR* The wrong team is favored in this game. I know Mississippi State is only a one point dog, but at home against a team with a lot of flaws, I think they should be favored by a field goal or a little more. Dak Prescott and this Bulldogs team showed their resolve with their comeback win last week in Arkansas. The Bulldogs were blasted at home by Alabama two weeks ago, but they turned right back around and won at Arkansas last week in thrilling fashion. Mississippi is one of the most inconsistent teams in the country. The Rebels had that win at Alabama in September, and then they have played bad football on the road ever since. They lost in ugly fashion at both Florida and Memphis. They also played poorly at Auburn. Mississippi State has a really good home field advantaged and I expect Dak Prescott to be sent off a winner. The Bulldogs are the play here. Mississippi is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following a win. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 20 points or less last game. They are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. A 19-1 angle. Take Mississippi State. |
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11-28-15 | Connecticut v. Temple UNDER 42.5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 97 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Temple Owls defense held a very good Memphis offense to only four field goals last weekend. Temple has struggle with offenses that have a good runner at quarterback, but UConn doesn't have that. In fact, UConn's starting QB is listed as questionable here. Even with him, the team is averaging less than 20 points per game against a relatively weak schedule. UConn has been much more competitive this year thanks to their ability to shut down the running game. Temple's offense isn't dynamic, and UConn should be able to slow them down. Both defenses have a clear advantage. Take the under. *Note- This has moved down since I picked it earlier this week- I would play this for 3 stars at anything below 42. Thank you.* |
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11-28-15 | Texas State v. Idaho -2 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Bookie Smasher* The Idaho Vandals have been increasingly competitive as the season has gone along. They actually outgained Auburn on the road last week. Idaho's defense is bad, but their offense has a solid passing attack and that should be enough against Texas State. Texas State won last week in their final home game, and I think that was the game where you got the big effort from a bad team. The big effort from Idaho comes in this one, which is their final home game. It's a fair price to lay. Take Idaho. |
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11-28-15 | Arkansas State v. New Mexico State OVER 70.5 | 52-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Arkansas State Red Wolves rushed for nearly 500 yards against New Mexico State last year! That's video game type numbers, and I won't be surprised if they come close to reaching it again. New Mexico State ranks third worst in the country in run defense and they are allowing more than six yards per carry. The Red Wolves offense likes to play fast and they have a good runner at QB in Knighten and two good RB's. New Mexico State's offense has been much better in recent weeks, and Arkansas State isn't very good defensively. Expect a shootout. Take the over. |
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11-28-15 | Vanderbilt v. Tennessee UNDER 42 | Top | 28-53 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The Vanderbilt Commodores have been a great team for under bettors this year. Vanderbilt hasn't been able to get an offense going all year, but the defense is much better than it was a year ago. Coach Mason has a strong defensive background and the team has taken to that identity this year. Tennessee has played well in recent weeks. I had the under in their game last week against Missouri and the Volunteers did all they needed to do to win against a bad offense. I expect the same from them in this one. The Volunteers clearly have the much more talented team, and I expect them to win. Having said that, these rivalry games can be closer than expected, and Vanderbilt's defensive numbers are impressive. The Volunteers may well be needing to kick field goals and win in an ugly contest. Vanderbilt isn't going to be able to get much of anything going offensively. The under is 7-0 in Vanderbilt's last 7 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 November games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 275 yards or less last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after throwing for 170 yards or less last game. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Volunteers last 4 November games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 3-0 in the last 3 between these teams. Take the under big! CFB Top Play of the Week |
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11-28-15 | Alabama -13.5 v. Auburn | 29-13 | Win | 100 | 94 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star Alabama/Auburn MONEY* The Alabama Crimson Tide have been the best team in the country in the past month, and I don't think it has been close. Alabama is dominating on the defensive line in a way that we don't often see in college football. This defensive front has been exceptional. Auburn's passing attack isn't good at all, and if the Tigers can't run in this one, they won't have a chance. Alabama has a great running game, and Auburn's rushing defense has actually gotten a little worse this year under Will Muschamp. The Crimson Tide should be able to run it down their throat in this one. Nick Saban's team has tripped up before against Auburn, but that was a much different Auburn team. The Tigers have no leader at quarterback now. Take Alabama. Alabama is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 November games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 20 points or less. Auburn is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games. A 27-1 angle. Take Alabama. *This line has been moving up in the past two days. I would play this for 4 stars to -14 and 3 stars to -16.5. Thank you.* |
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11-28-15 | Northwestern v. Illinois UNDER 42 | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Illinois Fighting Illini and Northwestern Wildcats are pretty similar teams in that they both struggle on offense and are much improved on defense. Northwestern obviously has the much better record, but the line here indicates Las Vegas expects a close game throughout. The forecast calls for 20-25 mph winds through the game, which will likely mean even more running than there would have been. A running clock with a bunch of running plays is great news for under bettors. Both defensive lines are strong. Take the under. |
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11-28-15 | Boston College v. Syracuse UNDER 41 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Syracuse Orange offense has been a mess all year. The Boston College offense is an absolute disaster. While Syracuse's defense isn't nearly as good as they have been in recent years, they don't really need to be to hold down Boston College. Boston College hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game vs. an FBS opponent all year. There's no reason to expect it here either. At the same time, Syracuse is so bad that Boston College is the favorite in this game. There are plenty of reasons to expect a really sloppy game where neither team can get going. The under is 4-0 in Boston College's last 4 November games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The under is 10-1 in Boston College's last 11 following a loss. A 20-1 angle. Take the under. |
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11-28-15 | Indiana -6.5 v. Purdue | 54-36 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 ATS Value* The Indiana Hoosiers are a better team than their record would indicate. Indiana has been able to score on everyone they've played this year. Purdue is going to be starting Appelby at quarterback instead of Blough, and that is a downgrade. While Indiana will give up points here, the Hoosiers should have very little trouble moving the football against this weak Purdue defensive unit. Can Purdue keep up? I don't think so. Indiana has played pretty well on the road this year, and Purdue only picked up that win at home against Nebraska because the Cornhuskers turned it over constantly. Indiana wins the Old Oaken Bucket and covers. Take Indiana. |
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11-28-15 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech UNDER 48 | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Georgia Bulldogs defense has been very good this year. They have given up 6 points or less on three occasions. They've allowed 14 points or less in six games this year. Georgia Tech's offense has been really struggling to score touchdowns this year. The Yellow Jackets confidence is extremely low right now, and Georgia's defense is likely to make it tough for them here. On the other side, Georgia has no passing game. The Bulldogs have a good running game, but when you are completely one-dimensional it makes you much easier to defend. In rivalry games like this one, we typically see lower scoring games. The under is 5-0 in Georgia's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 20 points or less. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 after giving up 170 yards or less through the air last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 November games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 rushing yards. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. |
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11-26-15 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 46.5 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 51 m | Show | |
*4 Star Packers/Bears Thanksgiving Night CASH* The Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears meet in Green Bay on Thursday night. The weather in this one should play a major role. There is supposed to be rain changing to sleet with winds of 25 mph or more during this game. That's a really bad weather forecast for points. Jay Cutler and the Bears offense weren't likely to have much of an edge anyways, and the weather should hurt them a lot. Green Bay will likely be more conservative with their play calling on offense. The under is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 on grass. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in the Packers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 following a win. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. *Note- This line has been moving down with the weather forecast being nasty. I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars at any price below that. Thank you* |
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11-24-15 | Bowling Green v. Ball State +22.5 | 48-10 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB MACtion CASH* The Bowling Green Falcons are a much better team than the Ball State Cardinals. Why am I backing Ball State here? Because Bowling Green has absolutely nothing to play for in this game. Bowling Green is locked into the MAC title game as the MAC East winner. The Falcons should be ensuring their team stays healthy for that game and their bowl game. There really is nothing for them to gain by winning this game. Last year, Bowling Green was in the exact same situation when they played Ball State. Bowling Green had locked up a MAC East title and hosted Ball State. The Falcons were a 10 point favorite in that game and they lost outright 41-24. Dino Babers' team showed absolutely no interest in playing that game. There's no way to be sure if they do that this year, but it's the perfect spot for it to happen. Because Ball State's passing defense is so weak I'm limiting this to a 4 star play, but situationally this is a strong play. With the moneyline currently sitting around +1,150.. a few dollars on the moneyline makes sense to me as well. Take Ball State. |
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11-22-15 | Bengals v. Cardinals OVER 48.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CASH* The Arizona Cardinals offense has been dynamic this year. Carson Palmer gets to play against his old team here, and I expect Arizona to move the ball well. The Bengals defense hasn't played against too many elite offenses yet, and they will on Sunday. While the Bengals defense is solid, I don't think they are as good as the numbers make them look so far this season. On the other end, Arizona's defense has been giving up quite a few big plays. Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense definitely looked bad last weekend, but the Bengals offense has been very good overall this year. Tyler Eifert had 3 critical drops last week, but Eifert has been a huge difference maker for the offense this season. I expect him to have a big game in a good matchup for him. Expect a close game where both offenses move the ball throughout the game. Take the over. |
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11-22-15 | Packers v. Vikings | 30-13 | Loss | -115 | 48 h 5 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Vikings have been disrespected by the betting market all year long. I was really impressed with Minnesota's win last week at Oakland. The Vikings were in the classic look ahead spot. They had their divisional rival on deck and they still went out and thumped a pretty decent Oakland team. Minnesota has the number one rushing offense in the NFL, and I'm not convinced the Green Bay defensive front can hold up against them. The Packers have been a big disappointment in recent weeks. Aaron Rodgers is still a great quarterback, but he isn't getting any help right now. They dont' have the playmakers they have had in the past, and Green Bay's offensive line has been awful. Minnesota's defense is a good unit, and they should make life tough on the Green Bay offense that comes in struggling. Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Minnesota is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 5-0 ATS after allowing 90 yards rushing or less last game. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards last game. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 November games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NFC. A 40-0 angle. Take Minnesota. |
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11-22-15 | Raiders v. Lions OVER 49.5 | 13-18 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Oakland Raiders passing attack has been really fantastic this year. Oakland struggled against one of the best defenses in the NFL last week, but look at how they have done against other defenses this year. Oakland scored 35 points on Pittsburgh. They scored 34 against a good Jets defense. They scored 37 against Baltimore and 37 against San Diego. Detroit's defense is giving up 29 points per game. The Detroit Lions can't run the ball, but they can throw it. Detroit has one of the best receivers in the game in Calvin Johnson, and no one in this Oakland secondary can slow him down. The Raiders secondary has given up the second most yards per game through the air in the NFL. Matt Stafford should throw for a ton of yards here. With both teams airing it out and moving it right down the field, I'll suggest a play on the over in this one. Take the over. |
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11-21-15 | Colorado v. Washington State OVER 62.5 | 3-27 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 3 m | Show | |
*4 Star Pac 12 Total* The Washington State Cougars offense is a well-oiled machine with Luke Falk at quarterback. He's the perfect fit for a Mike Leach offense. Washington State doesn't run the ball because they don't need to. Colorado's secondary has been picked apart all year, and it should happen again here. Falk has a bunch of great wide receivers, and Colorado doesn't have the secondary to keep them in check. Washington State's defense has been giving up a ton of yards, and Colorado's backup quarterback is a guy the team is very high on. He'll start here and I think he has a good opportunity to do well for the Buffaloes against a mediocre at best defense. Take the over. |
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11-21-15 | San Diego State -16 v. UNLV | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 68 h 6 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego State Aztecs have consistently been a team that plays their best football at the end of the season. That's a sign of a good coach. Rocky Long has done a good job helping this team improve. The biggest improvement has been in the running game. Early in the year they couldn't get anything going. Lately, Donnell Pumphrey has had big holes to run through, and Pumphrey is an electric runner in space. San Diego State's defense is tremendous against the run as well. This 3-3-5 defense is giving up only 3.01 yards per carry on the year. They have been shutting down great running games in the last few weeks. UNLV isn't going to be able to run the ball here. Making the Rebels one dimensional will benefit San Diego State in a big way. This game is a mismatch all around. San Diego State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 November games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 20 points or less. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 275 yards or less. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after throwing for 170 yards or less. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 yards or less on the ground. UNLV is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after giving up 450 yards or more last game. A 45-0 angle. Take San Diego State. |
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11-21-15 | Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt +7 | 25-0 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Dog of the Day* The Vanderbilt Commodores are a touchdown underdog at home here and they have the much better defense. More times than not, the home underdog with the better defense will be the value side. Texas A&M has a lot of weapons on offense on the outside, but they haven't been able to use them this year. The Aggies have gotten poor quarterback play from both Kyle Allen and Kyler Murray. Texas A&M's defense has gotten weaker as the year has gone on. Vanderbilt must win out to be bowl eligible and this is Senior Day for Vanderbilt. This game should be very close to the wire. Grab the points and the dog here. Take Vanderbilt. |
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11-21-15 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State | 45-35 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Baylor/Oklahoma State CASH* The Baylor Bears had their hearts broken last weekend when they lost at home against Oklahoma. Baylor's Jarrett Stidham is questionable for this one with an injury. He'll likely play, but he isn't going to be 100 percent. He's their original backup, and if he can't go, it's serious trouble for Baylor. Outside of the injury issue, this is a bad spot for Baylor. Of course they would like to win the Big 12, but they had bigger aspirations than that. Those are now dashed. It's a letdown spot. Oklahoma State is still playing for a chance to get into the College Football Playoff. Mike Gundy has proven to be one of the better in-game coaches in the country, and he should put his team in a spot to win. Baylor is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Oklahoma State is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. Baylor is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games at Oklahoma State. A 16-0 angle. Take Oklahoma State. |
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11-21-15 | Notre Dame v. Boston College UNDER 42.5 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 44 h 45 m | Show |
*5 Star College Football TOP Play of Week* The Boston College Eagles have the number one ranked defense in the nation. Why do they have such a bad record? Because their offense is awful. Boston College is giving up only 2.12 yards per carry this year, which is truly an amazing number. The Eagles defense has allowed 14 points or less in 6 of their 10 games this season. Steve Addazio's team works extremely hard on the defensive end. Boston College has one of the worst offenses in the country. How bad are they? Well they have scored 10 points or less in 5 of their 8 games this year against FBS opponents. They haven't scored more than 17 points against an FBS opponent this year! Notre Dame's defense isn't great, but they should look great against Boston College's offense. The Fighting Irish and the Eagles both play at a slow tempo. We should see the game clock moving most of the time with a lot of running the football here. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The under is 9-1 in Boston College's last 10 following a loss. A 15-1 angle. Take the under big! NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week |
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11-21-15 | Tennessee v. Missouri UNDER 42.5 | 19-8 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Missouri Tigers defense has been great all year and their offense has been awful all year. For some reason, Missouri's offensive coaches have decided to continue to try to throw the ball with Drew Lock at quarterback despite him having next to no success all year. The running game doesn't get enough carries. Tennessee's defense is pretty good against the run, and Missouri will struggle to score. Tennessee's offense has been very inconsistent this year. The Volunteers are likely to face a very spirited Missouri defense though in what is Gary Pinkel's last home game coaching the Missouri Tigers. This defense has been nasty at home. The weather here looks like it could be helpful too. The wind will gust to 25 miles per hour, which definitely hurts the offense. The under is 3-0-1 in the Volunteers last 4 November games. The under is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 SEC games. A 17-1 angle. Take the under. |
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11-21-15 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | 51-50 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Value Play* The Arkansas Razorbacks are building momentum as the season winds down, and that's something we're getting accustomed to seeing from them. Arkansas is 20-7 ATS in their last 27 November games. Mississippi State was flattened by Alabama at home last week. The Bulldogs put everything into that game, and I think it will be tough for them to recover immediately. We've seen other teams not perform well after a game against Alabama (look at LSU last week) and I think the Bulldogs will be at less than their best in this one. Take Arkansas. |
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11-21-15 | Washington v. Oregon State UNDER 49 | 52-7 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Oregon State Beavers starting quarterback is out. Their second string quarterback has struggled and he is dinged up. He will either play hurt or they'll be on their third string quarterback. Washington's defense has impressed me all year. The Huskies stop unit is unlikely to give up much of anything against this Oregon State offense. I'll be very surprised if Oregon tops 14 points. Washington's offense has been really inconsistent this year, and traditionally Oregon State's defense plays much better at home. The Beavers have spoken about their poor performances against Washington of late and they want to make amends for those showings. The defense should show improvement in this game. The under is 7-0 in the Huskies last 7 road games. The under is 7-0 in Washington's last 7 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 2-0 in Oregon State's last 2 home games. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. |
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11-21-15 | Old Dominion v. Southern Miss OVER 61 | 31-56 | Win | 100 | 118 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Old Dominion Monarchs have steadily improved their offensive production for the year. Old Dominion's defense has been awful all year. They are allowing 34 points per game. Southern Miss' offense averages 38.6 per contest, and the Golden Eagles are one of the most improved teams in the nation this year. They average 5.22 yards per carry, and Mullens is a very good quarterback in this system. Look for a lot of big plays from both offenses. Take the over in this one. |
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11-21-15 | UCLA v. Utah OVER 58.5 | 17-9 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Utah Utes defense has been elite against the run, but they have given up a lot of big plays in the passing game. Josh Rosen and the UCLA wideouts should be able to take advantage of that. Utah's offense has big play ability, and I think this UCLA defense has been one of the most overrated units in the country this season. They are now without their best two players in the front seven, and Utah should move the ball a lot in this one. Weather won't be an issue here and I'll take the over. |
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11-21-15 | Michigan v. Penn State +4 | 28-16 | Loss | -108 | 58 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Value Play* The Penn State Nittany Lions host the Michigan Wolverines Saturday afternoon. Penn State has a really strong defense. They lead the nation in sacks this year, and they should make things very difficult on Jake Rudock. Michigan's defense was awesome earlier this year, but in their last three games they have had trouble against Minnesota, Rutgers, and Indiana. In a game that should be very low scoring, grabbing the points with the home underdog is the value play. Take Penn State. |
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11-21-15 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech UNDER 61.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The North Carolina Tar Heels are playing some tremendous football of late. I don't think they have gotten the credit they deserve. North Carolina has always had a great offense, but this year their defense has stepped up in a big way. The Tar Heels secondary has turned into one of the best in the country. Gene Chizik is doing great work with this unit. Virginia Tech's defense has had a lot of injuries this year, but they are still a solid unit, especially against the pass. Bud Foster will dial up some unique blitz packages to confuse the Tar Heels offense here. Virginia Tech is playing their final home game, which means this is Frank Beamer's last game in Blacksburg. Expect a spirited effort from the Hokies defense. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at Virginia Tech. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings overall. A 12-1 angle. Take the under. |
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11-15-15 | Patriots v. Giants OVER 54 | 27-26 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 39 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Patriots/Giants MONEY* The New England Patriots offense has been a well-oiled machine all year. There's no reason to believe that New York can do anything to slow them down here. The Giants secondary is one of the worst in the NFL and Tom Brady obviously has all the ability and all the weapons necessary to expose that weakness. Much has been made of the Patriots willingness to score as much as possible here because of their losses to the Giants in the past. I think that's something that helps the over even more than the side here. The Patriots secondary hasn't been tested by very many good passing games, and the Giants passing attack has been very good this year. Eli Manning is really throwing the ball well. I expect a lot of scoring from both sides in this game. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last on turf. The over is 4-0 in the Pats last 4 during week 10 of the season. A 12-0 angle. Take the over. |
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11-15-15 | Vikings v. Raiders OVER 43.5 | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Oakland Raiders offense is far better this year than they have been in the past. The running game has been far better than anyone thought it would be, and Derek Carr has been amazing. Amari Cooper really helps this team a lot because of his playmaking abilities on the outside. Minnesota's ground game is likely to get going against an Oakland defense that has been bad this year. Pittsburgh ran the ball at will against Oakland last week. Bridgewater has been cleared to play, and I think he can have some big plays in play action passing here thanks to the running game and its success. Rain is expected here, but I still expect enough big plays to get this one over the total. Take the over. |
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11-15-15 | Bears v. Rams UNDER 42.5 | 37-13 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The St. Louis Rams and the Chicago Bears have both struggled on offense this year. The Rams have a very limited playbook, and Nick Foles hasn't been good at all in this offense. While Jay Cutler has been improved this year, he faces a great defensive line that will put a bunch of pressure on him in this game. Cutler isn't likely to pass this test well. This Rams defense is a whole different animal than taking on San Diego. The Rams rushing attack is clearly very good, but their drives use up a lot of time. St. Louis doesn't look to snap it quickly at all, and the Rams will face a lot of people in the box in this game. I don't see many big plays on either side. The under is 4-0 in the Rams last 10 overall. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after gaining 150 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 7-1 in the Bears last 8 after gaining 250 yards or more through the air last game. A 17-1 angle. Take the under. |
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11-14-15 | Washington State +10.5 v. UCLA | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 71 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Washington State Cougars are a live dog in this one. Washington State has been terrific on the road so far this year. The Cougars won at Rutgers as a 5 point underdog. They then won at Oregon as a 15.5 point underdog. They also won at Arizona as a 6.5 point underdog. In their lone road loss this year, they lost 34-28 at Cal as huge 16.5 point underdogs. Washington State's Luke Falk is putting up video game numbers this year. Falk has 33 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He has a ridiculous 70.2% completion percentage. UCLA hasn't done a good job at all on defense this year, and the Bruins defense is badly banged up. Washington State should be able score right with the Bruins in this one. Past history shows that Washington State matches up well against UCLA. The Cougars have covered 10 of the last 12 games between these teams. Washington State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following an ATS cover. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after gaining 280 yards or more through the air. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more of total offense. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games. UCLA is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a win by 20 points or more. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS win. Washington State is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with UCLA. A 46-0 angle. Take Washington State. |
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11-14-15 | Washington State v. UCLA OVER 66.5 | Top | 31-27 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star College Football TOP Play of the MONTH* The UCLA Bruins defense is missing their top three players, and it has shown on multiple occasions this year. Stanford put up 56 points in three quarters against them. Colorado lit them up for 31 points and a whopping 554 yards. Colorado had 312 passing yards in that game. In their home loss to Arizona State, UCLA allowed 465 yards of total offense. Washington State's offense is great with Luke Falk at the quarterback spot. Falk is the perfect quarterback for Mike Leach's system. Falk is a tall quarterback who sees over the defense. He gets rid of the ball quickly, and he spreads the ball around to all of Washington State's talented receivers. The Cougars wide receivers have a definite advantage over UCLA's banged up secondary. UCLA's offense should move the ball with ease as well. As usual, Washington State doesn't have much at all in the way of defense. The Cougars defense is giving up 30.1 points per game. They have allowed at least 30 points in 5 of their last 6 games. Josh Rosen looks great at quarterback, and Paul Perkins is underrated as running back at UCLA. Both teams move the ball well here. This line is far too low. Take the over big! College Football TOP Play of the Month. |
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11-14-15 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati OVER 76 | 38-49 | Win | 100 | 123 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Cincinnati Bearcats have an excellent quarterback in Gunner Kiel. Kiel threw for more than 500 yards last week at Houston. He could put up those kinds of numbers once again here. Tulsa has a very weak secondary that should be exploited by the combination of Kiel and Cincinnati's very good wide receivers. Tulsa plays at the single fastest pace of any team in the country. The Golden Hurricane will be working against a Cincinnati defense that has struggled both last year and this year. With weather conditions looking good for Saturday's game, I see a shootout in this one. Take the over. |
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11-14-15 | Memphis v. Houston -6 | 34-35 | Loss | -106 | 124 h 47 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB ATS Bookie SMASHER* The Memphis Tigers had their hearts broken last week by the Navy Midshipmen. With Memphis' big win over Ole Miss, if they won out they might have had a chance to be in the College Football Playoffs. After last weekend's big loss to Navy, they have no shot at that, and I wonder how motivated they can be for this one. Houston is still unbeaten, and the Cougars should be focused and ready for this one after a close call last week against Cincinnati. I like Houston's ability to move the ball both on the ground and through the air. Memphis is primarily only a passing offense. Houston is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. Memphis is 0-4 ATS in the last 4 between these teams. A 15-1 angle. Take Houston. |
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11-14-15 | Memphis v. Houston OVER 71 | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Houston Cougars and Memphis Tigers can both put up points in a hurry. Houston is a really well balanced offense that hasn't been stopped very effectively by anyone this year. Memphis has Paxton Lynch, an excellent quarterback, and the Tigers should be able to move the ball through the air effectively. Houston's defense allowed more than 500 yards passing last week against Cincinnati. The Memphis defense was just torched by Navy last weekend. Memphis' defense is likely to be hurting a little extra, because the blocking schemes that Navy runs are noted as being tough to bounce back from right away. Both teams push the tempo and I'll take the over here. |
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11-14-15 | Georgia State v. Texas State OVER 65 | 41-19 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* This Texas State defense is among the worst in the nation, and Georgia State's is barely any better. In fact, they both rank in the bottom 15 out of 128 teams in the nation in terms of total defense. Both offense play at a quick pace, so we should see a lot of snaps in this one. With these two defenses on the field a lot, I think there will be a lot of big plays from both teams. I think this game gets into the 70's in a close game where both offenses put up points easily. Take the over. |
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11-14-15 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt UNDER 40.5 | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 63 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores defense has put together some really impressive performances this year. Vanderbilt gave up only 14 points to an amazing Western Kentucky offense earlier this year. They allowed only 9 points last week at Florida. They have allowed 14 points or less in six of their nine games so far this year. Kentucky's offense has been a mess this year. Vanderbilt's offense is a disaster right now. For as good as the defense is, the offense is that bad. They were shutout by Houston and then scored only 7 at Florida. Western Kentucky's awful defense allowed only 12 points against Vanderbilt. This total is low for a reason. The under is 5-0 in Vandy's last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 yards rushing or less. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 170 yards passing or less. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 on turf. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 3-0 in the last 3 games between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. |
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11-14-15 | Alabama v. Mississippi State UNDER 52 | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 64 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star Alabama/Mississippi State MONEY* The Alabama Crimson Tide defense is outstanding. The show that defensive front put on against LSU and Leonard Fournette. Holding him to 31 yards rushing is an amazing accomplishment. Mississippi State isn't nearly the dynamic offense they were last year. The Bulldogs have an exceptional quarterback in Dak Prescott, but he has little help around him. Prescott is accustomed to running the football a lot, but I can't imagine Alabama's defensive front letting him get much running room here. Mississippi State's defense has been excellent this year as well. Alabama has a good ground game, but the passing attack is questionable at best. The Bulldogs defense has been great at home in recent years, and they have stopped Alabama well in the past. The under is 8-1 in the Bulldogs last 9 SEC games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Starkville. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. |
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11-14-15 | Miami (Fla) v. North Carolina -12 | 21-59 | Win | 100 | 63 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB ACC Value* The Miami Hurricanes have been a little more successful in recent weeks, but they walk into a difficult situation here. North Carolina is looking like one of the most improved teams in the country. Larry Fedora's team has been able to score a ton of points for several years, but this team is different because they have been solid on defense. If you are going to beat this North Carolina defense, it is going to be on the ground. Miami has very little ground game. North Carolina's secondary has been tremendous this season. Marquise Williams has been playing exceptionally well and I think that continues here. Take North Carolina. |
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11-14-15 | Clemson v. Syracuse +28.5 | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 39 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Syracuse* This is nothing more than a price play. I wasn't anxious to fade Clemson and I wasn't excited about backing Syracuse. Still, Syracuse has played well at home in the Carrier Dome this year. Syracuse lost by only 10 against LSU and lost by just 3 against Pittsburgh at home. Clemson is coming off their biggest game of the season, a game they won vs. Florida State. Clemson can't possibly be as motivated for a game like this. Syracuse doesn't have any chance of winning this game, but I think they catch Clemson in a sleepy spot. Take Syracuse and the points. |
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11-14-15 | Tulane v. Army UNDER 47.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 49 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Tulane Green Wave did a really nice job defending the triple option when they played Navy a few weeks ago. Navy won that game, but it wasn't nearly as easy as expected for the Midshipmen. Tulane's defense should be able to defend the Army triple option well again here. Navy runs the triple option more effectively than Army does. Army moves at the slowest pace of any team in the country. That means we'll see a lot of running clock and the play clock rolling down to a couple seconds before snapping it. The Tulane offense has been woeful all year. Army's defense isn't very good, but they should be able to contain Tulane's offense enough. Take the under here. *Note- This line has moved a few points- I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars down to 42.5.* |
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11-08-15 | Broncos v. Colts UNDER 45.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Broncos/Colts Totals CASH* The Indianapolis Colts offense has struggled to get going all year. Andrew Luck has been in a funk since coming back. He looked good late in the game at Carolina, but I think that was more about Carolina's defense getting into the prevent too early than anything else. This Denver defense is scary good. They have the best pass rush in the NFL by a wide margin. They are solid against the run (Indianapolis has a poor running game). Denver also has a tremendous secondary. They are clearly the best defensive unit in the league. Denver's offense looked better last week, but I'm still not convinced on this unit. The Broncos offensive numbers for the year are really bad. Indianapolis needs this game and they should bring a lot of intensity. Take the under in this one. |
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11-08-15 | Giants v. Bucs OVER 49 | 32-18 | Win | 100 | 66 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Bucs offense has improved a lot in recent weeks. Jameis Winston started out poorly in the NFL, but he has looked solid of late. The New York Giants pass defense is currently ranked dead last in the league. They made Drew Brees look like the best quarterback of all time last weekend. Brees is very good, but he isn't that good, especially with questionable weapons around him. Tampa Bay's defense has given up a bunch of yards in their last couple games vs. Washington and Atlanta. New York's passing game has been good, and Eli Manning has been sharp overall this year. I see both teams putting up quite a few here. Take the over. |
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11-08-15 | Falcons v. 49ers UNDER 44 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Francisco 49ers defense has been really good at home this year. Their splits home vs. away are remarkable. The Atlanta Falcons offense has been weaker in recent weeks. San Francisco's defense did a really nice job against Green Bay when they came to the Bay Area a few weeks ago. Colin Kaepernick has been benched and Blaine Gabbert is now the starter for the Niners. Kaepernick deserved to be benched with the way he had been playing, but does anyone really think Gabbert is the answer? Gabbert has been even worse than Kaepernick in his career, and Gabbert isn't likely to look good against an improving Falcons defense. Atlanta brought in a new head coach that would focus on defense, and it is working out for them. The under is 3-0-1 in the Falcons last 4. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in the Niners last 4 November games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. A 19-0 angle. Take the under. |
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11-08-15 | Raiders v. Steelers -4.5 | 35-38 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Oakland Raiders have been flying high in recent weeks. They are coming off two impressive wins. One was over the Chargers on the road and another over the Jets. Derek Carr is definitely playing extremely well right now, but this Oakland defense is extremely weak in the secondary. I won't be surprised if Oakland ends the year with the worst pass defense in the league by the numbers. Right now they are second worst. Big Ben was a little rusty in week one back, but that was against a good Bengals secondary. Things should be a lot easier this week for Pittsburgh. While I think Oakland is much better this year, I don't believe they are as good as most think they are right now. Pittsburgh needs a bounce back win, and they should get it here. Oakland is 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 following a win. Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Pittsburgh. |
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11-08-15 | Raiders v. Steelers OVER 47.5 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 63 h 20 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Month* The Oakland Raiders offense has been amazing. Derek Carr is playing exceptionally well. It's amazing what he has been able to do with some extra weapons around him. Everyone knows that Amari Cooper has been very good in his rookie year, but the Oakland running game has also been better than most people realize. Murray has been a good back for Oakland. Pittsburgh is coming off a tough loss where they lost at home to Cincinnati. Ben Roethlisberger struggled in his first game back from an injury. Big Ben is one of the best quarterbacks in this league though, and I see a great bounce back opportunity for him here. Oakland's secondary has been abused on a regular basis. Only the Giants secondary has worse numbers than Oakland. With Big Ben and his impressive pass catchers, Oakland is going to have a rough time again in pass defense. Both teams should have plenty of scoring chances throughout this game. The over is 5-0 in the Raiders last 5 in Week 9. The over is 9-1 in the Raiders last 10 vs. the AFC. Take the over big! |
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11-07-15 | California v. Oregon OVER 76 | 28-44 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal Golden Bears have come undone in recent weeks after starting the season red hot. Cal's passing attack hasn't been as good lately. They should look a lot better in this one against an Oregon secondary that has been blasted by every decent quarterback they have gone up against. Goff has a bounce back game here. Vernon Adams makes this Oregon Ducks offense so much better. He was injured earlier this year, and the team just couldn't get going like normal. He's now healthy, and he's the playmaker the team was missing. Adams makes something out of nothing on a consistent basis. It's expected to be rainy for this one, but importantly wind isn't expected to be a factor. Rain itself doesn't necessarily hurt scoring because there can actually be more turnovers that lead to easy points or special teams touchdowns. Wind is a negative for the over, but wind isn't going to hurt here. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over. |
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11-07-15 | Utah v. Washington UNDER 51.5 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 23 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Under* The Washington Huskies defense has been tremendous this year. Washington wasn't expected to do much of anything this year, and the fact that they have tells me Chris Petersen is doing a great job here. The Huskies offense still needs a lot of work, but their defense has been amazing in their last few contests. Utah's defensive line is the best in the Pac 12. Look for them to make life very difficult on Browning and the Huskies offensive front. Devontae Booker is the Utes main weapon on offense and they have to give him the ball a bunch here. Washington has been great against the run though. The weather is important here as well with rain and winds of 15 to 20 mph possible during the game. That weather is favorable for the under. Take the under big. *Note- This line has moved significantly since I played it early in the week- I would currently play the under for 3 stars. Thank you* |
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11-07-15 | Navy v. Memphis UNDER 66 | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 123 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Navy Midshipmen know they don't want a high scoring affair against a Memphis team that can put up the points in a hurry. What will they do? They'll look to play keep away with Keenan Reynolds and their tremendous triple option attack. Look for Navy to slowly drive the ball down the field and hold a big time of possession advantage in this game. I think both teams will score on a lot of drives here, but I don't think there will be enough possessions for them to get past this very high total. It's very rare to see this high of a total in a Navy game because of their methodical style of play. I see it as a good chance to take the value on the under. Look for this one to stay in the 50's. Take the under. |
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11-07-15 | Hawaii v. UNLV -9.5 | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 138 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB ATS Play of Week* The Hawaii Warriors are a total disaster right now. Hawaii has 13 straight games this year without a bye week. They have had to take trips from Hawaii to Columbus to play Ohio State, Madison to play Wisconsin, and Boise State to play Idaho. This team has to be exhausted. Who made this schedule anyways?! Now they are forced to travel to UNLV after being blown out 58-0 at home last weekend by Air Force. While UNLV isn't a good team, they are much better than they were last year. The Rebels defense is improved under Tony Sanchez's guidance and Blake Decker and the offense have been able to move the ball of late. Hawaii's offense is just terrible and I don't see them picking up the pieces after last weekend's big loss. Hawaii comes in worn out and gets blown out. Hawaii is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on turf. UNLV is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after giving up 40 points or more last game. A 10-0 angle. Take UNLV. |
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11-07-15 | UCLA v. Oregon State +18 | 41-0 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Home Underdog Special* The UCLA Bruins were fortunate to beat Colorado at home last week. UCLA's defense has been really bad in recent weeks. While I don't think highly of Oregon State as a team, I have to fade UCLA in this spot. UCLA is without their best three players on defense. Oregon State has been having some luck running the ball in recent weeks and UCLA has been awful against the run. Importantly, heavy rain is forecast for this game. What's that mean? Well it means Josh Rosen and the UCLA passing attack will likely have a tougher time making big plays. In a game with heavy rain and some wind, I like to grab the points. Additionally, Gary Andersen has proven himself to be a good head coach and Jim Mora Jr's teams have had letdowns very frequently the last two years. Take Oregon State and the points at home. |
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11-07-15 | Connecticut v. Tulane UNDER 47.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 39 h 29 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* These two teams are a lot like each other. Both of them have a defense that plays hard and rallies to the ball. They both also have a terrible offense that has struggled to put together consistent drives against anyone. Last year when these teams met the final score was 12-3! I'm not necessarily saying this one will be that low, but I do think it will be another game with a lot of field goals. This one has sloppy game written all over it. Both of these teams run the ball a lot, and both defenses are solid against the run. Tulane's defense really impressed me a couple weeks ago when they played Navy. UConn's defense has gotten better quickly under Bob Diaco. Neither team is designed in a way where they will make big plays very often. We'll look for a lot of running clock and strong defense from both teams throughout. The under is 9-0 in Tulane's last 9 games after gaining 170 yards or less through the air last game. The under is 6-0 in UConn's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in the Huskies last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing last game. A 19-0 angle. Take the under big! |
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11-07-15 | Army v. Air Force UNDER 52.5 | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 119 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Rivalry Total* The Air Force Falcons and Army Cadets both run the triple option all the time. I've had a lot of success playing unders in these situations before. Air Force and Army both defend the triple option on a daily basis, and that gives their defense a huge advantage over other teams who aren't accustomed to playing against this defense. Since both teams will be running the ball almost every single down, the clock will be ticking a lot in this one. That's really important when you bet an under. Additionally, Army's tempo is the slowest in the country so far this year, so they really milk the clock. The familiarity with the triple option should lead to a lower than expected game. Take the under here. |
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11-07-15 | Arizona State v. Washington State OVER 68 | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 0 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* Here's a game between two defenses that are regressing and two offenses that are improving on a weekly basis. Washington State's offense has the perfect signal caller in Luke Falk. Falk spreads the ball around to the many talented wide receivers for the Cougars. There hasn't been a defense that has been able to stop them yet this year. Arizona State is good against the run, but Washington State doesn't even attempt to run the football. The Cougars are going to be airing it out. Washington State's defense has been unable to stop anyone this year. Arizona State has been a lot better in recent weeks on offense. This number is a few points too low. Take the over. |
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11-07-15 | Rutgers v. Michigan UNDER 51.5 | 16-49 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Michigan Wolverines defense didn't look quite as good last week in their close win over Rutgers. They should look a whole lot better here against a Rutgers offense that is a disaster right now. Rutgers scored 7 points on Ohio State two weeks ago and that was a touchdown with 30 seconds left against the Buckeyes second and third team defensive players. Last week, Rutgers scored only 3 points on offense against Wisconsin. It wouldn't surprise me to see them shutout or very close to it in this one. Michigan's offense is a run first attack and they move very slowly. They aren't going to pile up a bunch of points on many people. The wind is expected to be 20 to 25 mph during this game, which means both passing attacks should struggle. The under is 6-0 in the Wolverines last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. I think they make it 7 straight unders. Take the under. |
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11-07-15 | Syracuse +14.5 v. Louisville | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Louisville Cardinals seem to have a penchant for playing close games. They had a huge turnover advantage last week against lowly Wake Forest and still could only win by a single point. Louisville's offense hasn't shown enough balance to be able to cover big points spreads. Syracuse has gotten quality quarterback play this year, and they have a couple young running backs who are starting to come into their own. The Orange aren't yet a good team, but they are improving. They were able to put up 21 points last week against a good Florida State. Syracuse is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a game where they allowed 40 points or more. Louisville is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 14-2 angle. Take Syracuse. |
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11-07-15 | Florida Atlantic v. Western Kentucky OVER 63 | 19-35 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers had a big lead last year when they played at Florida Atlantic. They blew that lead and suffered a stunning loss. They'll be out for revenge here. Western Kentucky's offense is dynamic with Brandon Doughty spreading the ball around to a bunch of wide receivers. Now Anthony Wales has turned into a game breaker at the running back spot as well. This offense is scary good, and Florida Atlantic's defense hasn't been good against even subpar offenses. Western Kentucky is going to put up a big number here. The Hilltoppers still have a weak defense as evidenced by Old Dominion scoring a bunch on them last week. Florida Atlantic should be able to get in the end zone several times as well. *Note- This line has moved up since I picked earlier in the week. I would play this for 4 stars up to 66 and for 3 stars up to 70 points. Thank you* |
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11-05-15 | Mississippi State v. Missouri UNDER 43.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Missouri Tigers haven't seen a single game this year go over the posted total. Missouri has the perfect combination of a terrible offense and a great defense. Missouri has virtually no passing game, and the running game is slowed down by quality defenses because they stack the box. Mississippi State has been great against the run this year, and I can't imagine the Bulldogs are going to let Missouri bet them on the ground here. Dak Prescott is a really good quarterback for Mississippi State, but he clearly has less weapons around him than he did last year. Prescott is likely to have a difficult time against this Missouri defense. The Tigers defensive line is great at getting into the backfield and sacking the quarterback or stuffing a run behind the line. This line has surprisingly climbed so far this week. I'm glad to take the under in this spot because my number for this one was 39 points. The under is 8-0 in the Bulldogs last 8 SEC games. The under is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 after giving up 20 points or less last game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 170 yards or less through the air. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 SEC games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 games overall. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. |
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11-01-15 | Seahawks v. Cowboys UNDER 41.5 | 13-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star Seahawks/Cowboys Total DOMINATION* The Seattle Seahawks defense is better than they have shown so far this year. This is a crucial game for the Seahawks as they look to enter their bye week at 4-4 on the season. The Dallas offense isn't very good with Cassel at quarterback. Dez Bryant's back here, but the Seattle secondary is one of the better units in the NFL and they should be fine against him. Seattle's offensive line has had major problems this year. Dallas has a great pass rush and I think that will give Seattle a bunch of issues here. Russell Wilson has been sacked more than any other quarterback so far this year. Look for him to be on the run trying to get away from this elite Cowboys defensive line. Take the under. |
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11-01-15 | Jets -3 v. Raiders | 20-34 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The New York Jets are a good team this year. New York has outgained every opponent they have played thus far. Oakland is certainly a much improved team, but the Raiders haven't yet shown they can consistently be at the top of their game. No one has been able to run the ball with much success against the Jets. Oakland's running game is subpar. Derek Carr has been good this year, but I see the Jets corners giving him problems in this game. This is an opportunistic group that should be able to grab a pick or two. Offensively, the Jets running game is tremendous. The Raiders front seven is no better than mediocre. The Jets passing game is much better this year than it has been the past couple seasons. Oakland is coming off a huge win at San Diego, and they are feeling pretty good about themselves. That's typically the time to fade a young team like this one. The Jets played well in a loss to New England last week, and I think they come in here with the right mindset. Oakland is better than they have been, but the Jets are the much more complete team. The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing last game. The Jets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AFC. A 14-0 angle. Take the Jets. |
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11-01-15 | Vikings v. Bears +1.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Chicago Bears had a bye week to prepare for this game, and that helped the team in a huge way. Chicago has been banged up in a major way this year. The Bears are finally getting healthy. The defense ranks in the top ten in the NFL right now. The offense is slowly improving in their new system. Most importantly for me is the fact that Minnesota has yet to prove they can win on the road. They won at Detroit last week after the Lions imploded after a fast start in that game. Minnesota has lost their lost six straight games at Soldier Field. The Bears may not be a good team right now, but I don't think they are bad either. Minnesota still has a lot to prove. The Vikings rank dead least in the NFL in total offense. Grab the home underdog in this one. Take Chicago. |
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