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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-26-15 | Bowling Green -2.5 v. Purdue | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 58 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Early Play* The Bowling Green Falcons aren't likely to be intimidated by the Purdue Boilermakers. Bowling Green already beat a Big Ten team on the road. Bowling Green took down Maryland comfortably two weeks ago, and Maryland has more overall talent than Purdue. Purdue isn't a particularly difficult place to play either. The Falcons have an elite quarterback in Matt Johnson and he has a ridiculous amount of talent at the wide receiver spot. Bowling Green is averaging 455 passing yards per game. That's the most in the nation. Second most is Texas Tech with 399 per game. Purdue will score plenty here too, but I don't think they can match scores all the way with Bowling Green. Take Bowling Green. |
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09-26-15 | LSU -24 v. Syracuse | 34-24 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Road Warrior* The Syracuse Orange will be starting their third string quarterback in this game. Syracuse managed a whopping 41 yards of total offense in the second half of last week's win over Central Michigan. The third stringer who is starting here is a walk-on, and he has to face a ferocious LSU defense. LSU will get after him, and their secondary is among the best in the nation. Leonard Fournette is an absolute beast. While this could be considered by some to be a letdown spot for LSU, they play Eastern Michigan next week, so there is no big game to look forward to. LSU's second and third string players are better than the Orange starters. Syracuse will be one of if not the worst team in the ACC. LSU runs all over them. Take LSU. |
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09-20-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. Green Bay Packers -3 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Seattle Seahawks defense was surprisingly bad last week. Chancellor was a key loss, but I didn't think the Rams offense would do as much as they did last week. The Green Bay Packers have obviously had this game circled for a long time. That playoff loss in Seattle was absolutely brutal. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers haven't forgotten that game, and this should be as motivated as you will ever see an NFL team in a regular season game. Seattle losing last week initially kept me hesitant to play this game, but at only a field goal I can't pass on this one. The Seahawks secondary isn't nearly as good as they were last year. Seattle also has offensive line issues far worse than they had at any time last season. The Packers are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 home games. Green Bay gets some revenge in the spotlight on Sunday night. Take Green Bay. |
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09-20-15 | Miami Dolphins v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 41.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Miami Dolphins offense did very little last week in Washington. In fact, it was a punt return TD that was the key play for the Dolphins in that win. Jacksonville's offense was awful last week against the Panthers. The Jaguars offensive front gave up five sacks in that game, and the Dolphins defensive line is going to have pressure on Blake Bortles all day in this one. Suh is a huge addition to this defensive line and Cameron Wake is still an elite pass rusher for Miami. Jacksonville's defense is better than a year ago. Miami lacks big playmakers on offense. The Dolphins aren't a big play team, rather they will generally have slow and methodical drives that eat up a bunch of time. I think both defenses play well in a game where I think both teams have to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns. The under is 37-17 in Miami's last 54 road games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Miami. Take the under. |
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09-20-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. Pittsburgh Steelers -5 | 18-43 | Win | 100 | 116 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Pittsburgh Steelers are in a tremendous spot here and the San Francisco 49ers couldn't be in a worse spot. San Francisco surprised a lot of people, myself included, with an impressive win late Monday night at home over Minnesota. The 49ers were done no favors by the schedule makers here. They must play a game at 10 am their time on Sunday after playing late on Monday night. On the other hand, Pittsburgh has 10 days between games. The Steelers offense looked great at New England, they just couldn't finish their drives. I think this is the perfect opportunity for them to get on track. This is a classic overreaction from the oddsmakers and the betting public to one good game from San Francisco. The Niners are still down from last year, and the Steelers have the type of team that could win the AFC North. Lay the points with the Steelers here. Take Pittsburgh. |
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09-19-15 | Pittsburgh v. Iowa UNDER 51.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 123 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Totals Cash* The Pitt Panthers offense isn't nearly as good without Conner running it in the backfield. Tyler Boyd is the main playmaker now, but Iowa has some good shutdown corners. Pitt's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi running the show. Both of these teams take a very long time in between snaps. That means we won't see many possessions in this one, and with defenses that are strong against the run, I don't see many points here. Take the under. *Note- the line has moved since I selected this one early in the week. I would play this for a 4 star rated play down to 48 and a 3 star play down to 46. Thank you* |
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09-19-15 | San Jose State v. Oregon State UNDER 52.5 | 21-35 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Oregon State Beavers offense has 12 yards in the final three quarters against Michigan last weekend. Gary Andersen has very little to work with on offense. San Jose State's defense isn't great by any stretch, but they should look decent against Oregon State's offense. The Oregon State defense is bigger in the trenches than San Jose State is accustomed to playing against. San Jose State needs to be able to run the football to have any consistent success on offense. I don't see them being able to run the ball on Oregon State here. The under is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 19-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-19-15 | South Alabama v. San Diego State UNDER 46 | 34-27 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has been awful this year. Maxwell Smith hasn't worked out as quarterback, and opponents are just stacking the box to stop Donnell Pumphrey and the running game. South Alabama lost nearly their entire team from last year, and they are going to have a long season. They will still play hard though, and this SD State offense only put up 7 points against a subpar Cal defense last week. San Diego State plays at a very slow pace, which certainly helps, and as much as they run the ball, the clock will be ticking. Both of these teams have been far better on defense than offense thus far. The under is 6-0 in San Diego State's last 6 September games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-19-15 | Utah State v. Washington UNDER 47 | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Washington Huskies are much less talented this year, but Chris Petersen's team is still solid on the defensive end. Petersen's teams always play hard for the full game, and Utah State's offense hasn't shown anything this year. They didn't even score an offensive touchdown against Southern Utah in their season opener. Last week the Utah Utes defense shut them down. On the other hand, Washington's offense is ugly and the Utah State defense is extremely good. Utah State has terrific linebackers who serve as the leaders to this unit. This one should be close and low scoring all the way. Take the under. *The line has moved since I selected this one Monday. I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars down to 43. Thank you.* |
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09-19-15 | Western Kentucky v. Indiana OVER 66 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 119 h 56 m | Show |
*6 Star Rated TOP Total of the YEAR* The Indiana Hoosiers and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are very similar teams. They both like to get off as many snaps as possible, and they both love to air it out early and often. Additionally, both of these teams play next to zero defense. These teams are both going to rank in the top 15 or 20 in the country in terms of pace, and they'll definitely both rank near the bottom of the country in defense. Brandon Doughty is the one of the best under the radar quarterbacks in football, and Indiana can't get any pressure on opposing quarterbacks. He'll have time to pick apart this secondary. Western Kentucky scored 44.4 points per game last week. Western Kentucky allowed 40 points per game last week. Indiana has allowed 33 points per game or more in each of the last five seasons. The Hoosiers had no quarterback last year so their offensive numbers weren't good, but with Nate Sudfeld back under center this team is much better on offense. Huge play for me on this one.. I won't have a totals release stronger than this all year. Take the over big! 6* TOP Total of the Year *Please note- My line on this total is 85 points. I like this for a 6 star rated play all the way up to 75 points. Thank you* |
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09-19-15 | Texas-San Antonio v. Oklahoma State -23 | 14-69 | Win | 100 | 132 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA ATS Mismatch* UTSA played well in week one, but the wheels fell off in week two. After starting with Arizona and Kansas State, I think this team has little left in the tank for a game at Stillwater against a much improved Oklahoma State team. The Cowboys now have a star at quarterback in Mason Rudolph. Rudolph will find a bunch of holes in this UTSA secondary all day long. UTSA has way too much youth and they don't have enough depth to play a third straight superior opponent and not be worn down. Take Oklahoma State. |
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09-19-15 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame UNDER 59 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 118 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star Ga Tech/Notre Dame Total* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the football on nearly every down. Notre Dame will likely be running the football more often than normal with a new quarterback under center. The clock should be ticking almost the entire game here. Georgia Tech always takes their time between snaps, and Notre Dame won't play fast with a new quarterback either. This Notre Dame defense should be very good against the run this year with an elite defensive line. Look for long drives that eat up the clock. Take the under. *Note- The line has moved since early in the week when I selected this play. I would play this for 4 stars down to 55.5. I would play this for 3 stars down to 54. Thank you* |
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09-19-15 | Cincinnati -18.5 v. Miami (OH) | 37-33 | Loss | -106 | 96 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Cincinnati Bearcats had 34 first downs last week compared to just 13 for Temple. They lost the game thanks to 5 turnovers. Cincinnati is arguably the best team in the AAC. Miami (Ohio) is awful this year. They lost their quarterback from last year, and he was essentially the whole offense. Miami will be lucky to win more than one more game the rest of the year. Cincinnati is one of the best teams Miami will play this year. The Bearcats will air it out early and often and I don't see any way Miami keeps up. This one is a mismatch, and he line would have been bigger if it weren't for Cincinnati losing last week. Take Cincinnati. |
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09-19-15 | East Carolina v. Navy -4.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB ATS Play of Week* The Navy Midshipmen are playing their first ever conference game. Navy has badly wanted to part of a conference for a while now, and I think we get max effort out of the Midshipmen in this game. East Carolina is without their quarterback (Benkert) and the Pirates are definitely down several notches from last year. East Carolina was beaten 56-28 by Navy in 2012. I'm not suggesting they'll win by that much this time, but I do think they win by a touchdown or more. Navy's Keenan Reynolds is terrific at running the option and East Carolina almost never faces an option offense. Navy's secondary is improving, and East Carolina is coming off a tough game at Florida. Navy is the better prepared team and they are ultra-motivated. Take Navy. |
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09-19-15 | Ball State v. Eastern Michigan OVER 62.5 | 28-17 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles are giving up an eye popping 6.66 yards per carry so far this year. The Ball State Cardinals have the single best offensive line in the Mid American Conference. Ball State is going to run for a bunch of yards in this game. Ball State's defense was torched by VMI in their season opener for more than 500 yards, so they have lots of defensive issues as well. In the past five years, these teams have played to the following final scores against each other: 41-38, 33-31, 37-26, 51-20, and last year 45-30. Eastern Michigan's backup quarterback looked better than their starter in last week's huge win at Wyoming. Don't be surprised if Ball State runs for 300 yards or more here. A lot of scoring. Take the over. |
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09-19-15 | Memphis v. Bowling Green OVER 69.5 | Top | 44-41 | Win | 100 | 118 h 49 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Over* The Bowling Green Falcons and Memphis Tigers play football the same way. They both play uptempo and look to keep the defenses off guard. I expect both defenses to be winded and struggling late in the game here. Memphis was a good defense in recent years, but they returned only 3 starters on defense from last year. Bowling Green's defense has been awful since Dino Babers arrived at the school. Matt Johnson and Paxton Lynch are underrated quarterbacks who will have big days here. Take the over. *Note- the line has moved significantly since I played this on Monday.My number in this one is 84 points. I would play for 5 stars to 77 points and for 4 stars to 79.* |
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09-19-15 | Connecticut +21.5 v. Missouri | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The UConn Huskies are definitely improving under Coach Bob Diaco. Diaco was the defensive coordinator at Notre Dame a few years ago, and he has this Huskies defense quickly improving. Missouri has a good defense, and I don't see UConn scoring many points here, but Missouri's offense has struggled. Hansbrough is their primary running back, and he's out with an injury. Maty Mauk lost his top four pass catchers from last year, and he has been under pressure in the early going this year because the offensive line has been subpar. Missouri struggled at home laying big numbers last year (lost outright to Indiana and won by only 10 as a 23 point favorite against Vanderbilt). Missouri will win this game, but in a game with a posted total of 41.5, grabbing more than three touchdowns is a good value play. Take UConn. |
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09-14-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 54.5 | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Eagles/Falcons Total DOMINATION* The Philadelphia Eagles fast pace offense is well documented. Atlanta's defense will improve in their new scheme, but it is going to take time. Philadelphia's offense is going to be a really tough test in week one. Bradford looked great in the Chip Kelly system in the preseason, and should do well against a questionable Atlanta secondary. The Eagles defense wasn't very good last year, and I don't think they'll be very good this year either. Matt Ryan has been amazing in the dome in his career, and I think he has a big game here. He has some new weapons, and I think Tevin Coleman will prove to be a very good player in this system. The over is 6-1 in the Falcons last 7 September games. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 Monday night games. Take the over. |
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09-13-15 | Miami Dolphins -3 v. Washington Redskins | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Washington Redskins have a history of starting slowly, and I don't see any reason to expect anything less than another slow start from them this year. There's all sorts of team chemistry problems here. Kirk Cousins still has to prove he can be good in the regular season. The Miami Dolphins defense got a lot better in the offseason, and with Ryan Tannehill's progression throughout the course of last year, I think this Miami offense could be pretty good this year. Miller is an underrated back who does a lot of things well. The better defense, the better offense, and the team with more confidence. Lay the points. Take Miami. |
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09-13-15 | Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 v. Houston Texans | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Oddsmaker ERROR* The Kansas City Chiefs have had a lot of regular season success the last couple years, and I believe they made their team better in the offseason. Kansas City has a great runner in Jamaal Charles. Charles is one of the best game breakers in the NFL. The Chiefs defense got better in the offseason, and they were already very good. Marcus Peters will be very good at the corner spot, and Eric Berry is back to provide more depth in the secondary. Kansas City has an elite pass rush, and the Houston offensive line is susceptible. Houston's defense is very good, but the Chiefs defense doesn't get the credit it deserves. Alex Smith might not be fabulous, but he is certainly better than Hoyer. Kansas City has been great on the road in the past couple years as well. Houston is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take Kansas City. |
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09-13-15 | Cleveland Browns v. NY Jets UNDER 40 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Sunday Best Bet* The Cleveland Browns offense is laughable, but their defense is very solid. You could say the same thing about the New York Jets. New York's defense got a lot better in the offseason. The Jets front seven was tremendous last year, but the secondary was a problem. What did the Jets do in the offseason? They grabbed Revis and Cromartie to give themselves a good secondary again. The Jets defensive front is still one of the best in the league. How is Cleveland going to do anything on offense here? The weather looks to be less than ideal for this game as well. On the other side, the Jets have more questions than ever on the offensive side of the ball. Look for both teams to struggle to punch the ball into the end zone here. Low scoring all the way. Take the under. |
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09-12-15 | Central Florida v. Stanford UNDER 45.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 15 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* I took the under in the FIU vs. UCF game last Thursday night and watched the entire game. The under cashed and UCF's offense looked absolutely awful. The Knights are now up against a much better Stanford defense. Stanford also comes into this game ticked off after being upset by Northwestern. The Cardinal are a team that slows the game down and runs the football a lot. UCF is the same way. Both of these teams have a bunch of question marks on offense, but they are very good defensively. The under is 5-0 in UCF's last 5 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 during September. The under is 17-5 in Stanford's last 22 overall. The under is 27-8-1 in UCF's last 36 September games. A 53-13 trend. Take the under. |
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09-12-15 | Boise State v. BYU +3 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star Boise State/BYU Late Night MONEY* The Boise State Broncos were unimpressive in their season opening win at home against Washington. The Huskies have very little to work with this year, and yet they almost came back to tie the game late. Boise State's quarterback Ryan Finley looked uneasy in the pocket last week. BYU is a really tough place to play your first road game of your career if you are a youngster like Finley. Boise State isn't the same dominant team they were a couple years ago, and yet it seems as if the oddsmakers are lining them that way. Tanner Mangum should exceed expectations as BYU's quarterback. He was great in high school and was recruited by a bunch of people. Take BYU and the points. |
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09-12-15 | Oregon v. Michigan State -3 | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 145 h 7 m | Show | |
*4 Star Oregon/Michigan State ATS MONEY* The Oregon Ducks have a lot of question marks this year. Of course they still have a ton of talent and a high upside, but they also have a defense that will struggle against the pass and a new quarterback. Oregon's defense was terrible against Eastern Washington last week, and now they face a terrific quarterback in Connor Cook. Michigan State has had this one circled for a long time after losing in Eugene last year. Michigan State should dominate in the trenches on both sides of the ball. I think Michigan State makes a statement here and wins comfortably. Michigan State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 following an ATS loss. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after gaining at least 450 yards last game. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. A 27-5 angle. Take Michigan State. |
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09-12-15 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 55 | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total Takedown* The Temple Owls had one game vs. an FBS foe go over this posted total last year. The Owls defense totally dominated Penn State last weekend. Cincinnati will have more success, but they shouldn't score a bunch like they will against most teams this year. Temple's offense still has a lot of question marks and they should run the ball often and use up the clock. The line move up made this one go into the play range for me. A game with a posted total of 55 where Temple is involved is almost always going to be an under bet for me. Take the under. |
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09-12-15 | North Texas v. SMU -2 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 144 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Bounce Back Special* The SMU Mustangs played extremely well in their season opener against Baylor. SMU was down 28-21 late in that game before running out of gas. SMU has a good quarterback in Matt Davis, and this team is much improved under the leadership of Chad Morris. North Texas has very little talent to work with, and I expect them to have a long season. The Mustangs play a difficult schedule, and this is one of their better chances to get a win. Expect SMU to come out ready to play in this one. Take SMU. *Note- The line has moved here since I selected this one earlier in the week. I would play this game up to -6.5 but no further. Thank you* |
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09-12-15 | Memphis v. Kansas OVER 55.5 | Top | 55-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The Memphis Tigers are a different team than they have been in the past. Justin Fuente's team has been all about defense in the past, but they return only three starters on defense this year. Memphis does have a veteran offense though, and with superb quarterback play from Paxton Lynch, I expect Memphis' offense to be very good. The Tigers are pushing the pace a lot more this year. Kansas is a terrible team overall, but David Beaty is working on getting this team to play much faster. The Jayhawks are going to give up a bunch of points against everyone this year. They allowed 41 in a loss to South Dakota State last week. Both teams are playing fast and both teams have question marks on the defensive side. I've had this game circled since before the season started. Take the over big! CFB TOP Play of the Week. *Note- This one has moved a lot since I first posted it, but I did make this total 68, so I still like it as a 5 star play up to 63* |
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09-12-15 | Toledo v. Arkansas -20.5 | 16-12 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 21 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Arkansas Razorbacks have a tremendous offensive line and a very good defensive line. That's a big problem for Toledo, who lost almost their entire offensive front from last year. Kareem Hunt is the best player in the MAC, and he is out for this game with an injury. Who will Toledo turn to in this one? Arkansas is too good of an offense for Toledo to shut them down for long. The Razorbacks can run the ball against anyone. I don't think Toledo has the players to answer very often, especially with Hunt on the sideline. Good value on the home team. Arkansas is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 September games. They are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. a non-conference foe. Take Arkansas. |
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09-12-15 | Eastern Michigan v. Wyoming UNDER 53 | 48-29 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Wyoming Cowboys lost 24-13 at home against North Dakota in week one. It will be a long year for the Cowboys. Eastern Michigan was beaten in week one by Old Dominion. Neither of these teams are going to be good this year, and both have tons of question marks on offense. Eastern Michigan's best player is their quarterback, and he is injured and questionable to play here. Even if he plays, I like this one, but I like it even better if he doesn't. Both teams play very slowly and run the football a bunch. This should be an ugly game that stays under the total. Take the under. |
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09-12-15 | Washington State v. Rutgers OVER 62.5 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB Hidden GEM TOP Total* The Washington State offense is known for their ability to throw it against anyone. Rutgers is now without five of their top six players in the secondary after suspensions and injuries. Falk is expected to start here at quarterback for Washington State and I expect him to have a field day against this Rutgers secondary. The Cougars will push the tempo as they always do. Rutgers should have no trouble moving the football here either. Washington State's defense is one of the very worst in the nation. Rutgers put up 41 points against them last year (a 41-38 final in Pullman, Washington). I think this one has a very good chance to top the 70 point mark, which is why I like this total so much. Take the over big! |
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09-12-15 | Appalachian State v. Clemson OVER 58 | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Clemson Tigers had a dominant defense last year. They returned only three starters this year on defense, and this unit is way down from last season. On the offensive side, Clemson should be better this year with a healthy Deshaun Watson under center. Watson has a ton of talent and the Tigers will run a fast paced offense all year. Appalachian State has some playmakers on offense and I think they can move the football in this one. Clemson will let up late as they have a big game coming up on Thursday night and they'll want to rest. That should allow Appalachian State to score more late. I think this one gets into the 60's. Take the over. |
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09-12-15 | Bowling Green +7.5 v. Maryland | 48-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Bookie Smasher* The Bowling Green Falcons lost at Tennessee 59-30 in week one, but if you look at the statistics in that game, the final score doesn't indicate how close the game was. Bowling Green moved the ball at will against Tennessee, and Maryland's defense isn't as good as the Volunteers. Maryland lost a bunch of talent on offense and I think their passing game will struggle this year after losing two really good receivers from last year's team. Bowling Green has the MAC's best quarterback in Matt Johnson and tons of offensive weapons. The Falcons have a shot at winning this game, and I'll grab the points. Take Bowling Green. |
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09-10-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots OVER 51.5 | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Opening Night KNOCKOUT* It's Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. These are definitely two of the best quarterbacks in the game, and both of these guys should be ready to go. The Patriots have had all kinds of controversies around them in the offseason. If it were another team, I might be concerned about where there mind would be, but New England has been here before and they have shown they are great at focusing on the task at hand. In my estimation, both of these defenses got a little weaker in the offseason. New England lost Wilfork and Revis, so they certainly are weaker. Pittsburgh lost a really good defensive coordinator in Lebeau. Both quarterbacks should have plenty of open receivers. The over is 32-13 in the Patriots last 45 home games. Look for plenty of offensive fireworks in the NFL season opener. Take the over. |
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09-05-15 | Wisconsin v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 245 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Week One TOP Rated Play* The Wisconsin Badgers and Alabama Crimson Tide meet in Arlington for a week one huge clash. Wisconsin was thumped at the end of last year by Ohio State and then turned things around to upset Auburn in their bowl game. Alabama came up just a bit short against Ohio State in the playoffs. These are two teams who have a great tradition, and this game should be a good one. When I look at these two teams, I see two teams who likely won't be able to throw the football much at all. Wisconsin won't even try to throw it much with a poor QB in Joel Stave and very few good receiving options. Alabama's QB situation isn't good at the start of the year either. Both teams have a strong offensive line though and good running backs. While Melvin Gordon Jr. is gone, Corey Clement will be good for the Badgers. Henry and Drake are two good runners for Alabama. Paul Chryst is the new top man at Wisconsin, and he will want to run it even more often than Gary Andersen did. Alabama has ranked in the bottom few teams in terms of pace of play for the last few years, and I think Wisconsin will this year as well. What does all this mean? It means that the clock will be running a lot thanks to constant running of the football. Neither team will be looking to snap it quickly at all. Both teams also have good defensive coordinators who know the opposition will be looking to run it all the time. I think we see a lot of long drives eating up a bunch of clock. This total is several points too high. I expect it to drop, which is why I'm taking this one early. Take the under big!  *Note- This line has moved since I took this play more than a week ago. I would play for 5 stars down to 49 points and for 4 stars down to 48 points. Thank you* |
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09-05-15 | Akron v. Oklahoma OVER 55.5 | 3-41 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Oklahoma Sooners have changed their system in the offseason. No more traditional looks on offense for them. Oklahoma is now going to run the Air Raid offense and hurry to the line. Baker Mayfield should be a great fit since he has experience in the Air Raid from Texas Tech. Akron's defense will do well against MAC opponents, but they'll be overmatched by Oklahoma's skill here. The Sooners should be able to put up a big score. Akron's offense should be much improved this year, and with the amount of chances I expect them to get and the fact that this score should be pretty lopsided, I think Akron puts up plenty to get us past this total. Take the over. |
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09-05-15 | Bowling Green +22 v. Tennessee | 30-59 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of Week* The Tennessee Volunteers are definitely a much improved team. Tennessee returns a bunch of talent from last year, and they are going to do well this season. Still, Bowling Green is no pushover. The Falcons return 10 starters on offense and star quarterback Matt Johnson is back for his senior season after being injured last year. Bowling Green plays fast and they can score in bunches. Tennessee has a chance at getting revenge against Oklahoma next week, so this is definitely a look ahead spot for the Volunteers. Bowling Green's offensive abilities mean that the backdoor cover could certainly be achieved even if this game isn't particularly close. This game isn't in Knoxville either, so not as big of a home field advantage for Tennessee. Too many points. Take Bowling Green. |
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09-05-15 | Louisville v. Auburn UNDER 59 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 140 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Auburn/Louisville Totals CRUSHER* The Auburn Tigers defense is going to be much better under the leadership of Will Muschamp this year. Muschamp might not have worked out well as a head coach, but he's proven he is a great defensive mind. Louisville's defense will be much stronger than it was a year ago. Devante Fields is now a Cardinal and he immediately becomes the team's best player (he was the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year at TCU). Louisville likely slows this game down a bit too, because I doubt they want a shootout with Auburn. The Tigers offense will be good in the long run, but it should take some time to get things squared away with new guys at the skill positions. Take the under. |
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09-05-15 | Old Dominion v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 63.5 | 38-34 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Old Dominion Monarchs lost their star quarterback, and they are undergoing some big changes this year. Old Dominion's coach has gone on the record to say they will be slowing the pace down bigtime this year. In the past, ODU has been an uptempo offenses that gets as many possessions as possible. Eastern Michigan's defense isn't good, but ODU is working in a new starter at QB, and they'll look to eat up the play clock every time. ODU's defense was terrible last year, but I expect them to be much better this year and Eastern Michigan's offense is really bad. The slower tempo and new skill position players on offense should keep this one lower scoring than expected. Take the under. |
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09-03-15 | Florida International v. Central Florida UNDER 47 | 15-14 | Win | 100 | 75 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Opening Night KNOCKOUT* The FIU Golden Panthers improved a lot last year. Sure, they were only 4-8, but they went 1-11 in the previous year. Ron Turner is known as a good defensive mind, and FIU was much better defensively last year. They allowed 24.8 points per game vs. allowing 37 points per game the previous year. FIU's offense isn't very good, and they rely very heavily on being able to run the ball. While UCF has all sorts of question marks on the offensive side of the ball, their defense will be very good again this year. With UCF and FIU both running the ball a lot, the clock should tick away quickly. Take the under in this one. |
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02-01-15 | Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 65 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star Super Bowl RED HOT CASH* The current New England Patriots may be seeing their window close, and I think they know it. Tom Brady isn't getting any younger, and as good as the Patriots have been for a very long time, they haven't won a Super Bowl since 2004. They come into this one with a ton of motivation. I respect Pete Carroll, but I believe the Patriots do have a coaching advantage here with Belichick on the sideline. His innovative schemes are very tough to slow down. While Seattle's defense has been nothing short of amazing this year, they are playing against an excellent New England offense here. Rob Gronkowski is arguably the toughest guy in the NFL to defend, and Seattle's defense has had some problems stopping good tight ends this year. Brandon LaFell is an underrated weapon on the outside as well, and I see him having a big role in this game. New England's defense is underrated by most. The Patriots are particularly good at stopping the run, and Seattle isn't the type of team that can kill you consistently through the air. I think this game will be close, and I think it will be the Patriots that make the key plays in the fourth quarter and win. Take New England. *Bonus 1 star prop bet- Brandon LaFell over 50.5 receiving yards- With Rob Gronkowski getting so much attention, LaFell will find more open spots on the field. Tom Brady targeted LaFell 119 times this year, and LaFell is a tall and talented wideout who could easily have a breakout game here. Over 50.5 receiving yards.* |
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01-18-15 | Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 47 | 22-28 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFC Championship Totals CASH* The Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers meet with the winner heading to the Super Bowl in a couple weeks. Seattle's defense has been playing amazing down the stretch, but they actually weren't as good last week. I think that motivates them even more and has them ready to go last week. Remember, before last week this group had allowed 7 points or less to five of their last six opponents. That's a ridiculous run, and with the home crowd behind them this defense is scary good. There's no doubt that Aaron Rodgers is far less than 100% here. Rodgers hobbled all through the Packers win against Dallas, and the Packers offense wasn't the same. Expect more runs for Lacey here, but the Seahawks run defense is very good. Seattle's offense is good, but they aren't spectacular. The Seahawks haven't been driving the ball down the field consistently, rather it has been about big plays for them. The weather will be a major factor in this game. Heavy rain is expected as well as winds of 20 to 30 miles per hour. While most pay attention to the rain, the wind is the bigger factor to watch. Both passing games will struggle to cope with that kind of wind, and that should mean a lot more running of the football and it gives the defense an edge. With Rodgers hobbling and the nasty weather in Seattle, the under is the way I'll go here. Take the under. |
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01-12-15 | Ohio State +7 v. Oregon | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 125 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star Oregon/Ohio State Title Game MONEY* The Oregon Ducks and Ohio State have both had a terrific season. These are two teams who can both score points in bunches, and there should be plenty of excitement in this title game in Dallas. Both of these teams have rebounded from adversity really well. Oregon has won and covered the number in every single game since they lost to Arizona at home in October. The Buckeyes have gone through two Heisman Trophy candidates at quarterback and responded from an early season loss at home to Virginia Tech. Both of these teams have elite offenses. Both of them like to start with the running game and then open up the passing game later. The single weakest unit in this game is the Oregon defense. Ohio State's offensive line has gotten much better over the course of the year, and the Buckeyes have showed me a lot in the last two games by running the football so well against both Wisconsin and Alabama. Those are two excellent defenses. Oregon gave up 4.6 yards per carry against Florida State, and the Buckeyes certainly have a better running game than the Seminoles. Look for Ezekiel Elliot and Cardale Jones to both have a lot of success on the ground here. Ohio State's defensive line is really good led by both Joey Bosa and Michael Bennett. Bennett doesn't get as much fanfare as he deserves, but he will be a very good defensive tackle in the NFL. While the Buckeyes aren't likely to stop the Oregon running game, I think they can at least slow it down. There's no doubt that Marcus Mariota is a better quarterback than Cardale Jones, but I think Jones has the better players around him. Ohio State's wide receivers are play makers and they are also great at blocking in the run game. Oregon throws a lot of short passes, and I see Ohio State sitting on those short routes here. I think there's definitely a coaching advantage here for the Buckeyes. Urban Meyer is 8-2 ATS in his 10 bowl games. Meyer is also 18-5 ATS in his last 23 games as an underdog. Maybe even most impressive, Meyer is 34-9 ATS in his last 43 games with more than a week to prepare. The Buckeyes should be well prepared here. Ohio State comes into this game with a chip on their shoulder. The Buckeyes haven't gotten much credit all year, and now the public still wants to talk primarily about Oregon. Interestingly, despite the fact that more than 60% of the public money is backing Oregon, the line is shifting toward Ohio State. There is a lot of sharp money backing the Buckeyes. I believe Ohio State has about a 50/50 chance of winning this game outright. Grabbing the points is the way to go here. Take Ohio State. |
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01-10-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 40 | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Seattle Seahawks defense is the best in the league, and it's not even close. Seattle doesn't have a weakness on defense. This Seahawks defense is tremendous against both the run and the pass. They are playing their best football down the stretch. Seattle has held five of their last six opponents to seven points or less! Carolina's offense hasn't been consistent this year, and I don't trust Cam Newton to play well in Seattle against a defense this talented. The Panthers defense was ranked number one in the NFL in total defense most of last year. They started this year struggling badly, but Carolina's defense has really picked up their play of late. In their last 4 games they are allowing only 10.75 points per game. Seattle's offense is good, but they aren't excellent. They have been held down by several good defenses this year. Both teams love to run the football, so the clock should keep ticking away in this one. This total is set low, but it's certainly not ridiculously low. I think there's a good chance both offenses struggle to find the end zone much at all in this game. Take the under. |
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01-04-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 49 | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Indianapolis Colts and Cincinnati Bengals meet in the WildCard round of the NFL playoffs. Andy Dalton hasn't won a playoff game yet, and he probably won't win one here either. I don't trust Dalton a bit to start with based on his history in big games, and now that A.J. Green has been declared out for this one, the Bengals offense will have to rely on the ground game. Jeremy Hill has been very good, and Cincinnati will likely get some yards on the ground here, but it's tough to be one-dimensional in the NFL. The Colts shutout the Bengals earlier this year, and you have to think they'll be prepared for a heavy dose of the ground game here. Andrew Luck is a clutch quarterback, but his supporting cast isn't very good. The Bengals defense has been better late in the year, and they should hold their own. The under is 6-0 in the Bengals last 6 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in the Colts last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AFC. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Indianapolis between these two teams. A 22-0 angle. Take the under. |
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01-02-15 | Iowa +3.5 v. Tennessee | 28-45 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Taxslayer.com Bookie BASHER* The Big Ten Conference has shown itself to be far better than expected in bowl season. Several key wins from the Big Ten have come at the expense of the SEC. The SEC West was clearly a very good division, but the SEC East wasn't good this year. I'm a big believer in paying attention to how coaches do in bowl games, because this time of the year the coach is extremely important with all the preparation time before the bowl game. Kirk Ferentz has been one of the best bowl game coaches in the business. He's 8-3 ATS in his last 11 bowl games. Tennessee is very dinged up and the Volunteers didn't finish the season off very well. Iowa has a very good offensive line that will play a big role in the outcome here. Iowa has a good chance straight up, but we'll grab the 3.5 points here. Take Iowa. |
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01-01-15 | Florida State v. Oregon OVER 71 | 20-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Florida State/Oregon Total DOMINATION* The Oregon Ducks and Florida State Seminoles meet in the first college football playoff game at 5 pm ET at the Rose Bowl. Oregon is going to continue their normal uptempo style of play, and Florida State's defensive flaws should continue to show as they have all year long. Marcus Mariota won the Heisman Trophy this year, and he absolutely deserved it. I love his decision making and he has the talent around him to put up a lot of points here. Florida State's defense has given up big plays all year long. Oregon's defense ranks 83rd in the nation in total defense. The only way they have gotten by is by forcing so many turnovers and holding opponents to field goals. Florida State has been able to pile up the points when needed this year, and they should need a bunch here. Look for a spirited effort from Winston and the Seminoles offense who believe they aren't getting enough respect. They should light up the scoreboard in Pasadena. Take the over. |
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01-01-15 | Minnesota +5 v. Missouri | 17-33 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Citrus Bowl CASH* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have been underrated by a lot of people for a very long time. What's the biggest reason for this team's success? Their coaching staff is amazing at getting the most out of every player. Jerry Kill is an excellent motivator and his entire coaching staff is underrated. Gary Pinkel isn't on the same level when it comes to motivating his team, and motivation really is everything in bowl season. The SEC was great this year, but the SEC East was much weaker than the SEC West. Those who don't differentiate between the two are making a big mistake. Missouri has shown their vulnerability many times this year. One of those times was when they lost at home to an Indiana team that ended up winning only one game in the Big Ten conference this year. Minnesota is peaking at the right time this year. They are a live dog here. I think the Golden Gophers have a great chance at winning outright. Grab the points. Take Minnesota. |
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01-01-15 | Michigan State +3 v. Baylor | Top | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 418 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star New Year's Day TOP Play CRUSHER* The Baylor Bears narrowly missed out on taking part in the first college football playoffs. The Big 12 has had an ugly start to the bowl season outside of TCU's very impressive performance. Can Baylor do the same type of thing TCU did? I doubt it. Michigan State is a much tougher opponent than Ole Miss, and the Spartans have an elite coaching staff that has proven they can have their team ready for big games. Baylor isn't exactly accustomed to being in this spot yet, and last year they really didn't show up against UCF. I took UCF in that game, and I'm going against Baylor again on New Year's Day. Michigan State's defense has had a ton of time to prepare for Baylor, and that should help them be ready for a lot of the Bears offensive looks. The Spartans have been a time that has to win with defense in the past, but this year's Spartans team can score in bunches as well. Connor Cook and Jeremy Langford are both underrated. Baylor played a very weak schedule this year. The Bears defense was very bad against quality offenses. Michigan State should come up with key stops to win this game. Take Michigan State big! |
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12-31-14 | Boise State v. Arizona OVER 67.5 | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Fiesta Bowl MONEY* The Arizona Wildcats and Boise State Broncos are actually relatively similar teams this year. Arizona likes to get off as many snaps as possible and win with an uptempo offense. Boise State is absolutely the same way. In the past, Boise State has had a very good defense, but that isn't the case this season. The Broncos defense has been exposed by all of the top offenses they have faced this year. The Pac-12 has looked great in bowl season thus far, and I think Arizona will put up a big number here. Boise State can score too though with Ajayi and Hedrick leading the way. This one should be a shootout. Take the over. |
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12-30-14 | Louisville +7.5 v. Georgia | 14-37 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Georgia Bulldogs definitely had higher aspirations for their season than the Belk Bowl. The Bulldogs players have said as much in their interviews leading up to this game. For a team to be willing to admit that with media around tells me quite a bit. Georgia was the best team in the SEC East this year, but they didn't make the SEC title game because of their inconsistency on the field. The Bulldogs were great at times and terrible at others. I think Georgia comes with far less than their best effort in this game. Louisville is the significant underdog, but this Cardinals team has played well in that role in the past. Bobby Petrino is going to be playing up the us vs. the world angle here. Louisville is a different offense with Parker back at wide receiver. Georgia's defensive inconsistency has been maddening this year, while Louisville's defense has been solid all year long. Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. Too many points here. Take Louisville. |
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12-29-14 | Texas v. Arkansas UNDER 45.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 355 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star Texas Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Texas Longhorns and Arkansas Razorbacks meet in an intriguing Texas Bowl matchup on Monday night. The strength of both of these teams is their defense. The weakness of both teams is quarterback play. These teams are both going to try to establish the running game, but that also plays right into the strength of their opponent. Arkansas has improved so much this year largely because of their turnaround on the defensive side of the ball. The Razorbacks run defense has been amazing down the stretch. Texas has underperformed on the defensive line the last few years, but Charlie Strong is finally getting this group to realize their potential. The under is 4-0 in Arkansas' last 4 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 bowl games. The under is 5-0 in Texas' last 5 following a double digit loss at home. A 15-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-29-14 | Clemson v. Oklahoma UNDER 52.5 | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 76 h 37 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oklahoma Sooners defense has been pretty consistent this year. Clemson's defense has arguably been the best defense in the nation this year. One of the biggest keys to this game is the fact that Deshaun Watson will not be playing here. Backup Cole Stoudt gets the start for Clemson. To say that Stoudt is a large drop off from Watson is a massive understatement. I have made a lot of money taking the under or fading Clemson when Stoudt is at quarterback this year. Clemson's offensive game plan will be very vanilla with Stoudt under center. The Sooners offense is at its best when running the football, but Clemson has the best defensive line in the nation. I don't expect Oklahoma to be able to establish the run game here. The under is 6-0 in Clemson's last 6 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a Big 12 opponent. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 19-0 angle. Take the under big! |
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12-28-14 | Carolina Panthers +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Oddsmaker ERROR* The Atlanta Falcons haven't impressed me this year. Atlanta is a team that is poorly coached, and the Falcons haven't improved even close to as much as this Carolina Panthers team has. Atlanta took advantage of a pathetic New Orleans team last week and the Falcons get a home game here. Carolina's running game has quietly been getting healthy (Stewart was back last week) and they are performing at a high level right now. The Panthers definitely have the better defense in this game. Atlanta's defense has given up yards in big amounts against just about everyone this year. Cam Newton is showing some impressive toughness late in the year. The Panthers defense should be the difference. I think the Panthers win outright. Take Carolina. |
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12-28-14 | St. Louis Rams v. Seattle Seahawks -11.5 | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Home Field CASH* The Seattle Seahawks badly want home field advantage all through the playoffs. Why wouldn't they? Seattle has the best home field advantage in the NFL, and it is going to be extremely tough for anyone to go to Seattle and win. St. Louis was disappointing in a home loss to New York last week, and the Rams don't have anything to play for in this game. Also keep in mind that St. Louis upset the Seahawks earlier this year in a game that was a bit of a fluke. Seattle dominated the game but came up just short on the scoreboard. Seattle gets their revenge at home here. The Seahawks are playing some terrific football right now. Take Seattle. |
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12-28-14 | Detroit Lions v. Green Bay Packers -7 | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Green Bay Packers were beaten badly at Detroit earlier this year. This is their chance for revenge. There is a lot on the line in this game. These two teams are tied for the top spot in the NFC North. The winner of this game is likely to get the number two spot in the NFC playoff standings and get a bye week in the playoffs. Green Bay is 5-1-1 ATS at home this year, and their one non-cover was against Atlanta when the Packers simply let off the gas too early. I don't think that will be a problem here. Green Bay isn't going to want to leave anything to doubt. The Lions are a dome team, and I think most will be surprised with how well the Packers defense does against them in this contest. Detroit is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 15 points or less. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 30-0 angle. Take Green Bay. |
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12-27-14 | Nebraska v. USC -7 | 42-45 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Holiday Bowl CASH* The Nebraska Cornhuskers have an interim coach who won't be in Lincoln next year, and I don't like those kinds of situations. USC has a talented defense that underperformed in some big games this year, but this is a big stage opportunity for the Trojans to do well against a one-dimensional Nebraska offense. Armstrong just isn't good enough throwing the football to hurt this USC defense consistently. Cody Kessler has been one of the most underrated quarterbacks in college football this year. Nebraska's defense looks good on paper, but they played a very weak schedule this year, and they gave up a lot of points against the quality offenses they faced. For USC this is a springboard game into next year where they will be very good. For Nebraska, there is little motivation in this contest. Nebraska is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Pac-12. USC is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. USC is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games. A 13-1 angle. Take USC. |
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12-27-14 | Penn State v. Boston College UNDER 40 | 31-30 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles and Penn State Nittany Lions both have had several very low scoring games this year. When these two teams collide on Saturday, I see a very low scoring game. Boston College's offense is all about the running game and Tyler Murphy is the key. Penn State has zero running game, and their offensive line isn't any good. Christian Hackenberg is a decent quarterback, but he won't have time to throw here, and he doesn't have many weapons at the skill positions. Both teams like to play at a slow tempo and use up a bunch of the play clock. The under has been the way to go in recent bowl seasons, and even though this number is very low, it's low for a reason. The under is 5-0 in Boston College's last 5 vs. the Big Ten. The under is 22-7 in Boston College's last 29 non-conference games. Take the under. |
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12-27-14 | Duke +7.5 v. Arizona State | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Line Mover MONEY* The Duke Blue Devils have all kinds of reasons to want to win this game. Duke hasn't won a bowl game since 1960. This team has been to a bowl game the last two years and played very well in both games, but they haven't been able to finish the job in either game. David Cutcliffe is a tremendous coach, and he is 5-2 ATS in his career in bowl games. Todd Graham's team laid an egg in their bowl game last year after being disappointed at where they were sent to play. They have to be disappointed again this year. This team was in the top six in the nation a few weeks ago. Duke is highly motivated and Arizona State likely isn't. The public is taking Arizona State here, but the line has dropped. I like seeing the sharp money on the Blue Devils. Take Duke. |
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12-26-14 | North Carolina State v. Central Florida -2 | 34-27 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Bitcoin Bowl CASH* The UCF Knights have a coach and a team who is accustomed to the bowl preparation, while NC State's coaching staff and team is new to it. That makes a big difference. I'm also very low on the ACC overall, and I think NC State's season ending win over North Carolina has them overvalued by the oddsmakers. The UCF Knights win with defense, and I like teams like that in bowl season. This is a really strong front seven that should have a distinct advantage against NC State's offensive line. Jacoby Brissett and the Wolfpack offense have been up and down all year long. I see no reason to trust them to be ready for this game. UCF is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. They are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 bowl games. Take UCF. |
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12-24-14 | Central Michigan v. Western Kentucky -3.5 | 48-49 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Bahamas Bowl MONEY* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers finished the season out well. The Hilltoppers won their last four games, including their season ending win over Marshall 67-66 on the road. Central Michigan finished the season playing some mediocre football. They lost at home to rival Western Michigan. They also struggled to beat Miami (Ohio) in the second to last week of the season. Thomas Rawls is the team's best running back, but he won't play here because of academic problems. Most important to me is the fact that Central Michigan has some real problems in the secondary. They didn't face many teams this year that could throw it well, but when they did they had severe problems. Western Kentucky can air it out with the best of them. The Hilltoppers averaged 44 points per game this year and 365 yards through the air. Western Kentucky puts up a big number and covers. Take Western Kentucky. |
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12-23-14 | Navy v. San Diego State -2.5 | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -115 | 190 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP ATS Bowl Play of Year* The San Diego State Aztecs get to play a bowl game very close to home. Navy has the shortest turnaround of any team in a bowl game this year. Their matchup with Army was a hard fought game, and several players came away from that one dinged up. The biggest reason I like this game though is Rocky Long (San Diego State's head coach) has an amazing history of stopping the triple option. Long's background has allowed him to really get used to the multiple options that teams like Navy have and prepare his team very well. The Aztecs play a 3-3-5 style of defense, and I think that comes in very helpful against the triple option. How good have Long's teams been against the option? His teams are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team that runs the option. San Diego State has a star running back in Pumphrey, and Navy's front seven hasn't been very good against the run this year. The Aztecs have a major advantage in the trenches in this game. Expect them to wear down Navy over the course of this game. San Diego State dominated Air Force, and the Falcons were a very good team this year. This line is far too short. Take San Diego State big! |
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12-21-14 | NY Giants v. St. Louis Rams UNDER 43.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Top Total of Week* The St. Louis Rams defense has impressed me all year long. The front seven does a great job pressuring the quarterback. Eli Manning has had trouble with holding onto the ball too long, and that won't work Sunday against this St. Louis defense. The Rams secondary is athletic and the Giants wideouts won't have as many mismatches as they normally do when they go deep. New York's defense has shown a lot of pride in recent weeks. St. Louis still has a lot of issues on the offensive side of the football. The Rams aren't very good there, and it's tough for them to sustain drives. The line movement has been toward the under here, and I think that line move is definitely justified. Look for a low scoring battle here. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 December games. The under is 5-0 in the Rams last 5 after gaining 90 yards rushing or less last game. The under is 22-5-1 in the Rams last 28 December games. A 32-5 angle. Take the under. |
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12-21-14 | Minnesota Vikings +7 v. Miami Dolphins | 35-37 | Win | 100 | 45 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Miami Dolphins are struggling down the stretch. Miami has had a very difficult schedule through the middle to late portion of the season, and it seems that has worn the team down. Their last two outings have been really ugly. Minnesota is battling to the end with Coach Mike Zimmer firing up his team. The Vikings had a real shot to beat the Lions outright last week. Minnesota's defense is much improved this year thanks to Zimmer showing up, and I think Miami is going to have trouble moving the football on this group. Teddy Bridgewater has been getting better in recent weeks, and he goes home to put on a show in this game. Miami knows they won't make the playoffs, and I think they are far more likely to give up than the Vikings. The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Miami is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 in December. A 13-0 angle. Take Minnesota. |
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12-21-14 | Baltimore Ravens -4.5 v. Houston Texans | 13-25 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Baltimore Ravens badly need to win this game. They are in the thick of the playoff race in the stacked AFC North. Baltimore has a home game against a struggling Browns team next week, so if they can win this game, their chances of making the playoffs are extremely good. This is a proud franchise that has a lot of talent and balance on both sides of the football. Houston obviously has a good defense and a star in J.J. Watt, but the Texans offense is on their fourth quarterback now. The Ravens should get plenty of heat on Keenum and make it a long day for him. Baltimore has more to play for, and I expect a strong effort from the road team here. Take Baltimore. |
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12-20-14 | South Alabama -2.5 v. Bowling Green | 28-33 | Loss | -107 | 66 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star Camellia Bowl CASH* The South Alabama Jaguars are looking for their first bowl win in program history. They also get to play a virtual home game in Montgomery, Alabama. There are plenty of reasons to believe that South Alabama will be very highly motivated for this game. How excited can Bowling Green get for this one? They have been trashed in their last two games, and the Falcons aren't where they wanted to be before the season got underway. The MAC is 11-24 ATS in their last 35 bowl games, and this year's MAC is worse than it has been in several years. Bowling Green's defense gave up yards and points to almost everyone. This South Alabama defense has shown a lot of fight. Joey Jones has done a tremendous job with this Jaguars team, and I like their chances of picking up a key win for the program Saturday night. Take South Alabama. |
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12-20-14 | Utah -2.5 v. Colorado State | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 43 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Las Vegas Bowl LOOT* The Colorado State Rams have a lot working against them in this game. Colorado State lost their head coach, Jim McElwain, right after the regular season ended. McElwain is the guy who built up this program, and the players really liked him a lot. The adjustment could be difficult. Also, Colorado State is missing two offensive linemen in this game, and the strength of the Utah Utes is their defensive line. Utah leads the nation in sacks with 52. Grayson has done a really good job at quarterback for Colorado State, but I don't see him having enough time to survey the field in this one. Also important to note is the fact that Kyle Whittingham is 6-1 straight up and 5-2 ATS in bowl games as a head coach. He's one of the most underrated coaches in college football. Utah played the much tougher schedule, and at this short price I'll take the Utes. Take Utah. |
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12-20-14 | UTEP v. Utah State UNDER 49 | 6-21 | Win | 100 | 110 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB New Mexico Bowl Total* The Utah State Aggies have been great at stopping the run in recent years. The Aggies front seven has proven that they are the type of team that can stop the run even when the other team has a strong offensive line. The strength of the UTEP team is their offensive front. UTEP really can't throw the football, so they'll try to run here. I don't think they'll have all that much success. At the same time, Utah State is starting their third string quarterback here, and the Aggies offense hasn't had much success in recent weeks. UTEP will be highly motivated in this game, and both teams are going to do a lot of running. Take the under. *Note- This line continues to move down. I would play this for 3 stars at 46 or lower. Thank you* |
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12-14-14 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 51 | 22-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Chargers defense is solid. They showed what they are made of in their loss to the Patriots last week. San Diego's defense wasn't the reason they lost that game. Rather, it was Phillip Rivers and the offense that couldn't get going. The San Diego offense has been really inconsistent of late, and Denver's defense is much improved from last year. I expect the Broncos pass rush to do a good job getting after Rivers in this one. Denver is dinged up offensively right now, and the Chargers have done a relatively good job against this Broncos offense in the past couple years. I expect a competitive game where touchdowns are tough to come by. This line is a few points too high. Take the under. |
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12-14-14 | Green Bay Packers v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 50.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Green Bay Packers come into this one on a really nice run. I think the Packers are a very good team, but I also believe this is a difficult spot for them. Buffalo's defense is far better than most realize. The Bills defense showed how good they are last week with their performance against Peyton Manning and the Broncos. Buffalo has a great defensive front that can create pressure without sending the blitz all that often. The secondary is also very good. Green Bay's defense has struggled this year, but Buffalo's offense has become one-dimensional and that should make things easier on them. It is expected to be a bit breezy for this one with a bit of drizzle through the game. Weather can be a major factor in games played at Buffalo. I like the defenses to control this one. The under is 4-0 in the Bills last 4 home games. The under is 5-0 in the Bills last 5 overall. The under is 6-0 in the Bills last 6 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 350 yards or more. A 24-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-14-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 54.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 58 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play of the Month* The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has been amazing this year. Before the season there were a lot of questions about this unit, but they have answered them emphatically thus far. Pittsburgh is averaging 427 yards per game so far this year, which easily outpaces the 391.1 per game that is the team record set back in 1979. The Steelers have scored 30 points or more in seven games this year. They are averaging 6.2 yards per play which is second best in the NFL. The Atlanta Falcons offense is always tough to stop in the dome. Matt Ryan has elite receivers in Jones and White. Jones is listed as questionable this weekend, but even if he doesn't go, the Falcons have a very good third option in Harry Douglas. Pittsburgh's defense has only 24 sacks this year. They are putting a lot of pressure on the secondary, and their secondary just isn't very good. Matt Ryan should be able to pick apart this group. At the same time, the Falcons defense isn't good at all against the run or the pass. Pittsburgh should move the ball at will. I think there will be a lot of offense in this one. Take the over big! |
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12-13-14 | Army v. Navy UNDER 59.5 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 138 h 25 m | Show |
*5 Star Army/Navy TOP Play CRUSHER* The Army and Navy game is always a lot of fun to watch. No matter the records of these two teams, you get everything in the tank from everyone on the field here. The emotions surrounding this game are amazing. The key to this play for me is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every single day in practice. That makes it a lot easier to be well-prepared to stop it this weekend. The primary reason the triple option is so tough to defend for most teams is the fact that they aren't used to seeing it. These teams don't need any special preparation for this week's game. They have gotten it all year long. While neither of these defenses have looked good overall this year, the past history between these two tells me the defenses should put up a spirited effort in this one. In the past eight years, the highest scoring game between these two finished at 48 points. The under is a perfect 8-0 in the last 8 games between these two teams. The under is 9-0 in Army's last 9 games during the month of December. The under is 6-0 in Army's last 6 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 23-0 angle. Take the under big! *Note- The line here has moved down a few points since I picked this game early in the week. My number for this game was 51 points.  I would still make this a 5 Star TOP Play all the way down to 56 points. Thank you* |
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12-07-14 | New England Patriots v. San Diego Chargers OVER 52 | 23-14 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CASH* The San Diego Chargers and New England Patriots meet in what should be a terrific game Sunday night. New England is coming off a loss, and the Patriots are really tough to beat following a loss. On the other hand, San Diego has played well in recent years as an underdog and they are coming off a momentum-building win at Baltimore. Tom Brady and the Patriots offense was just a bit off last week. Before last week, the Patriots had scored 34 points or more in four straight games. San Diego has been having some issues in the secondary in recent weeks, and that should be a problem here. The Chargers have some great pass catchers and Antonio Gates is a tough matchup for the Patriots. Look for San Diego to move the ball well through the air in this game. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 during week 14. The over is 5-0 in the Patriots last 5 after gaining less than 90 yards rushing last game. The over is 4-1 in the Patriots last 5 December games. A 13-1 angle. Take the over. |
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12-07-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals OVER 47.5 | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers have made a name for themselves in the past few years as strong defensive teams. That was the case for many years, but it isn't the case this year. Both of these defenses are way down this season. Pittsburgh's defense has gotten too old, and Brett Keisel is now out for the season, so they lose a guy who has been one of the most productive players on their roster. Cincinnati's defense has taken a big step back this year too. I think the primary reason for that is Mike Zimmer leaving and taking the head coaching job at Minnesota. Zimmer is a defensive mastermind, and the Bengals miss him badly. The number here is set too low because of the past history of these teams. Both offenses have big play ability. The over is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 December games. The over is 6-0 in the Steelers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 8-1 in the Steelers last 9 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. An 18-1 angle. Take the over. |
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12-07-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Detroit Lions UNDER 42 | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Lions defense is still being underrated by many. This defense has proven week after week they are one of the very best in the NFL. Tampa Bay's defense has also proven on a consistent basis that they aren't any good. Tampa Bay put up only 13 points in each of their last two games, and that was against two subpar defenses. It gets much tougher here. I have been impressed with the fight in the Tampa Bay defense. This unit has gotten significantly better over the course of the season. I see a comfortable win for the Lions as their defense dominates. The under is 6-0 in Tampa Bay's last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NFC. The under is 5-0 in Tampa Bay's last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after running for less than 90 yards last game. The under is 6-0 in the Lions last 6 after throwing for 250 yards or more last game. The under is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing last game. A 29-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-06-14 | Iowa State v. TCU -34.5 | 3-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The TCU Horned Frogs have tons of reasons to want to blow away Iowa State in this one. If they stay motivated for all four quarters like I expect, I give them a good chance of covering this number. Iowa State has only played one team all year that's even close to as good as TCU and that was Oklahoma. Iowa State lost 59-14 at home against Oklahoma. We've seen that TCU is fully capable and willing to run up the score (82 points against Texas Tech) and in this one style points are going to matter. Though they sit at number three in the playoff rankings right now, Iowa State is such a bad team that they need to win this one big to impress the committee. Florida State, Ohio State, and Baylor sit just behind TCU and those teams all play against quality opponents this Saturday. Iowa State doesn't have any reasons to be motivated for this one. I think the Cyclones are probably ready for the offseason. TCU keeps the pedal to the medal here. TCU is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. They are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. The Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following a game where they allowed 20 points or less. Iowa State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a loss. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. They are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing more than 280 passing yards last game. A 35-0 angle. Take TCU. |
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12-04-14 | Central Florida +7 v. East Carolina | 32-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night CASH* The East Carolina Pirates played really well in the non-conference portion of their schedule, but it seems like they peaked too early. East Carolina has had a lot of turnover problems late in the year. Their defense has gotten progressively worse through the season as well. UCF has one of the best defenses in the nation, and the Knights are playing well at the end of the season. This is secondary that has several ball hawks, and I see them giving Carden and this passing game a difficult time. UCF ranks fourth in the nation in total defense. Justin Holman has progressed through the year as a quarterback. UCF's offense isn't great, but they are good enough to put up a solid point total against East Carolina. UCF is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. That is important because the Thursday games are typically featured on television nationally and most of UCF's games aren't. East Carolina is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. East Carolina is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 overall. A 16-1 angle. Take UCF. |
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11-30-14 | New England Patriots v. Green Bay Packers OVER 57.5 | 21-26 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Patriots/Packers Total DOMINATION* The New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers get together in what should be a tremendous game late Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field. Tom Brady vs. Aaron Rodgers will be all the storylines, and you can't blame the media for headlining the game with those two. They are two of the very best at their position, and they are guys who usually rise to the occasion in games like this one. The New England offense has really impressed me in recent weeks. New England can do it through the air or on the ground. The offensive line is much improved too. Green Bay's defense is still a major question mark for me. The Packers offense was a little disappointing early this year, but they are firing on all cylinders now. Both of these teams play much at a much faster tempo than the league average, and that will lead to more possessions in this game. I see this as a back and forth type of game where both offenses have a bunch of big plays. The over is 5-0 in the Packers last 5 home games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 on grass. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in the Packers last 5 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. The over is 7-1 in the Packers last 8 overall. A 29-1 angle. Take the over. |
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11-30-14 | Arizona Cardinals -1.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | 18-29 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Arizona Cardinals are still being doubted by a lot of people. Arizona is 9-2, but they are only favored here by 1.5 points against a Falcons team that is playing some bad football right now. Mike Smith cost this team a win last week, and I have to wonder how that sat in the locker room after last week's game. Atlanta hasn't won a game against anyone outside of the NFC South all year. The Falcons defense is one of the worst in the league. Arizona's defense stops the run really well, and this front seven is great at getting after the quarterback. Matt Ryan is good when he he has time to throw, but he isn't very elusive. I don't think he'll have time to sit back and survey the field very much in this one. Arizona's defense is very good. I like the Cardinals to take care of business after last week's loss. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a loss. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 250 yards or less in their previous game. They are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. a team with a defense ranking in the bottom five in the league in total defense. Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 on turf. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after gaining more than 250 passing yards last game. A 35-0 angle. Take Arizona. |
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11-30-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 42.5 | 13-31 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The weather should be a major factor in this game. The forecast calls for an early high temperature of 15 degrees dropping to nine degrees by the end of the game. Carolina certainly isn't used to that kind of temperature, and I think that hurts their offense more than the defense. The wind is also going to play a major role here. The wind is expected to be about 20 miles per hour throughout this one, which should make both offenses hesitant to throw it. With a lot of running, we'll see the clock consistently moving. The defenses should be able to key in on the run after a while here too. Minnesota's defense is one of the most improved in the league under the guidance of Mike Zimmer. Look for a low scoring affair. Take the under. |
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11-29-14 | Auburn v. Alabama -8.5 | 44-55 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Auburn/Alabama Iron Bowl MONEY* The Auburn Tigers are skidding to the finish this year. While some may believe they can just flip a switch and get things back going, I don't see that happening here. Auburn has played one of the toughest schedules in the country, and they have worn down. Auburn is without two of their best defensive linemen in this game, and Alabama's offense should have a field day against this Tigers defense. Blake Sims has done a great job at the signal caller spot, and that makes Lane Kiffin's offense really dangerous. The Crimson Tide defense is arguably the best in the country. They stop the run extremely well, and Auburn has to run it to win. I love the motivational spot here for Alabama too. The Crimson Tide had their season ruined at Jordan Hare last year by Auburn. Alabama gets a chance to get them back here, and I think they'll do it convincingly. Take Alabama. |
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11-29-14 | North Carolina State v. North Carolina OVER 69 | 35-7 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The North Carolina Tar Heels offense has been great all year. The only reason the Tar Heels have been considered a disappointment this year has been their brutal defense. Just about everyone has done whatever they want against this defense. North Carolina State has a play maker at quarterback in Jacoby Brissett. The Wolfpack defense is going to struggle to get off the field here, but the offense should be able to pile up the points. This has been a highly competitive and high scoring series in the past few years. I think both of those trends continue this weekend. I made this total 75 points. Take the over. |
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11-29-14 | Syracuse v. Boston College UNDER 42 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Boston College Eagles have surprised a lot of people this year. Steve Addazio deserves a ton of credit for that. Boston College has really bought into Addazio's system, and the Eagles have fought hard all season long. The defense is pretty good against both the run and the pass. Syracuse's offense is downright awful right now. They have virtually no running game, and the passing game is even worse. The Orange do have a solid defense that keeps them in most games. Boston College and Syracuse will both be doing a lot of running in this one, so we'll see the clock keep on ticking away. The under is 5-0 in Syracuse's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the ACC. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. The under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the under. |
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11-29-14 | Purdue v. Indiana OVER 57.5 | 16-23 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Indiana Hoosiers and Purdue Boilermakers have a history of high scoring affairs against each other. Indiana's defense is one of the worst in the nation. Purdue is improved from last year, but the main place they have improved is on the offensive end. The Boilermakers defense gives up big plays very frequently, and I expect Tevin Coleman to have a big day here. Both of these teams like to snap the ball quickly, so we should see both teams get a lot of possessions in this one. The weather shouldn't be bad on Saturday in Indiana, and that helps the over as well. Close game here with both offenses seeing lots of success. Take the over. |
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11-29-14 | North Texas v. Texas-San Antonio UNDER 43.5 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 18 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play 100% CRUSHER* The UTSA Roadrunners and North Texas Mean Green have both been teams I have played the under on successfully all season. I've had this game circled for a while. These are two offensively challenged teams. When they get together, I expect a very low scoring game. In fact, I think there is a good chance the winner of this game won't top 20 points. UTSA has gotten awful quarterback play all year. It's likely that no team has had worse play from the quarterback position over the course of the season. North Texas' defense isn't particularly good, but they'll likely look good when going against this Roadrunners offense. North Texas can only run the ball, if they are forced to throw they are in real trouble. The UTSA defense is actually quite good, and they should do a good job stopping the run. The under is 7-0 in UTSA's last 7 home games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 November games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 27-0 angle. Take the under big! *Note- This line has moved down since I originally played it early in the week. I would play this for 5 stars down to 41 points and for 4 stars down to 39 points. Thank you.** |
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11-28-14 | Stanford v. UCLA -5.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -109 | 39 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Stanford Cardinal and UCLA Bruins meet Friday afternoon. Stanford has been one of the bigger disappointments in the country. I would have labeled UCLA a disappointment as of a few weeks ago as well, but the Bruins are finally starting to play their best football of late. Their win over rival USC last weekend was a very impressive showing. We're getting some extra line value in this game because Stanford has covered four of the last five times these teams have met. Stanford isn't the same team they were in those years. The Cardinal have had excellent running backs the last few years, and this year they don't have that. Without the running game, it's left to Kevin Hogan to make plays and he isn't a game changing type quarterback. UCLA does have a game changing quarterback in Brett Hundley, and after a slow start he's playing great lately. The Bruins defense has turned the corner of late as well. The Bruins can win the Pac 12 South with a win here. UCLA finishes strong and takes care of business. Stanford is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 following an ATS win. They are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 following a win of 20 points or more. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a win. UCLA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in November. A 28-0 angle. Take UCLA. |
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11-28-14 | Arkansas v. Missouri UNDER 45.5 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 38 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Friday FEAST* The Missouri Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks get together in an underrated showdown on Friday. This is a game I'm really looking forward to, and there is a lot on the line here. Missouri will represent the SEC East in the SEC title game with a win here. Arkansas has pitched two consecutive shutouts against LSU and Ole Miss at home. The Razorbacks defense is arguably the most improved in the nation this year. Maty Mauk and the Missouri offense have been a big disappointment. The Tigers are in this position because of a very good defense and a lot of timely turnovers. Arkansas runs the ball on nearly every down, and Missouri is running it most of the time as well. A lot of running clock in this game. I see a close game all the way and the defenses having the upper hand. Take the under here. |
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11-28-14 | Western Kentucky v. Marshall OVER 74.5 | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Friday Early Bird Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd were passed by the Boise State Broncos in the most recent Playoff rankings. Marshall is fighting to become the top ranked team outside the power five conferences. What does that mean Marshall needs to do? They need to pick up some major style points. Marshall absolutely needs to run up the score at any chance they can. Marshall gets a chance to do that this weekend against one of the worst defenses in the nation. Western Kentucky has allowed 42 points or more on six occasions already this year! The Hilltoppers are going to get gashed by this Marshall offense on the ground and Rakeem Cato will have a monster day through the air. The Hilltoppers do have a very good passing attack with Brandon Doughty at the helm. Doughty and the Hilltoppers have scored on nearly everyone, and I think they'll put up their fair share here too. The over is 4-0-1 in Western Kentucky's last 5 after gaining 280 yards or more through the air last game. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 8-1 in Marshall's last 9 after throwing for 280 yards or more last game. A 15-1 angle. Take the over. |
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11-27-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers -120 | 19-3 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star Seahawks/49ers Thanksgiving CASH* The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a great win at home over Arizona. I've never doubted Seattle at home, but on the road they aren't the same team. They couldn't find a way to win at Kansas City last month, and this time they'll be in San Francisco against their hated rivals from the Bay Area. Both of these teams come in with a 7-4 record, and they have both been really inconsistent this year. One thing I fully expect in this one though is the 49ers best effort. San Francisco really hates this Seattle team, and the 49ers feel like they deserved to win that NFC title game last year. Instead, it was the Seahawks who won and went on to win the Super Bowl. You better believe the 49ers have been waiting for a measure of revenge. Seattle's defense isn't as dominant as it used to be, while this 49ers defense is excellent all the way around. Seattle's offensive line has some major issues right now, and the 49ers should expose those problems. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. San Francisco is in a great spot here, and I think they win. Since it should be a close and low scoring game, I'm taking them on the moneyline at an affordable price. Take San Francisco. |
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11-23-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Chicago Bears UNDER 46 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Tampa Bay Bucs and Chicago Bears meet at Soldier Field on Sunday afternoon. The conditions are going to be ugly for this one. There is a 100 percent chance of rain according to current forecasts, and the wind is expected to be 20 mph blowing off of Lake Michigan. Anyone who has been to Chicago knows that the winds can be very tough to deal with here. Both of these teams have been relying more on their passing attacks lately, but I don't expect those to work well in this weather. The field will be a total mess as well with heavy rain throughout. Neither of these offenses has proven to be all that good to start with, and with an ugly field and a heavy wind it will make it much tougher to score. The under is 4-0 in the Bucs last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 150 rushing yards or more last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games played on grass. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 in November. A 16-0 angle. Look for a sloppy low scoring game. Take the under. |
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11-22-14 | Fresno State v. Nevada OVER 60 | 40-20 | Push | 0 | 102 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Nevada Wolfpack offense has gradually gotten better throughout the course of the year. Cody Fajardo is a real star for Nevada, and he's playing in the final home game of his career here. Fresno State's defense hasn't slowed down anyone all year, and it's hard to see them slowing down Nevada's balanced attack here. While Nevada's defense appeared improved earlier this year, the Wolf Pack defense has been awful in recent weeks. Fresno State still has a lot of talent on the offensive end. The Bulldogs should be able to make some big plays on offense here. Look for a shootout in this rivalry game. Take the over. |
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11-22-14 | Boise State v. Wyoming OVER 54.5 | 63-14 | Win | 100 | 102 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boise State Broncos offense has been tremendous this year, but their defense is way down from the level they have been at in recent years. Boise State's defense has given up at least 27 points in six straight games. Wyoming isn't particularly good on offense, but the Cowboys offense has been much better on their home field. Boise State has scored 50 points or more on offense in three of their last five games. They might not get there in this one, but if they get into the 40's we have a very good shot of cashing this play. The over is 5-0 in Boise State's last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a straight up win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground. The over is 4-0 in Wyoming's last 4 following a loss. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. |
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11-22-14 | USC v. UCLA OVER 60.5 | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 40 m | Show |
*5 Star USC/UCLA Top Play Total* The UCLA Bruins and USC Trojans are bitter rivals. Both of these teams have had this game circled for a very long time. USC has gotten some tremendous quarterback play from Cody Kessler this year. Kessler has thrown 29 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and he has completed 70.2% of his passes. Brett Hundley has been running the ball more often of late, and his dual threat ability makes this Bruins offense much better. Two very good quarterbacks should put on a show in this one. The UCLA defense has been a big disappointment this year, and I expect USC to put up a nice number against them. On the other hand, USC's secondary has had significant problems this year and Hundley is capable of making big plays with his arm as well. High scoring back and forth game here. Take the over big! *Note- The line has moved up here since I picked this on Tuesday evening- I would play this for 5 stars up to 63 points. 4 stars up to 65 points. Thank you* |
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11-22-14 | Ole Miss v. Arkansas UNDER 45.5 | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Arkansas Razorbacks defense is one of the most improved in the nation. Arkansas just shutout a pretty decent LSU team last weekend. Bret Bielema's group only allowed 14 points against the top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. Ole Miss has been one of the top defenses in the nation all year long. The Rebels offense has let them down in some big games, and that is why they have lost twice. Arkansas loves to run the football, but I think they'll have a hard time running it against a Ole Miss defense that knows the run is coming. I don't trust Bo Wallace to make big plays for the Rebels, and I see this being a very close low scoring affair. Take the under. |
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11-22-14 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh UNDER 50 | 7-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star ACC Total Takedown* The Pittsburgh Panthers have almost no passing game. The Syracuse Orange have virtually no passing game. Pittsburgh plays at one of the slowest paces of any team in the nation. The Panthers run the play clock all the way down and hand it off nearly every time. That definitely helps an under since it reduces the number of times each offense will get the ball. Syracuse's offense has been bad all year, but the Orange have a good defense. They should be able to at least slow down the Panthers running attack. Syracuse's play calling has been very conservative lately with young quarterbacks under center. This looks like a game where both teams keep it simple and it turns into an ugly low scoring game with a bunch of field goals. Take the under. |
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11-22-14 | Florida International v. North Texas UNDER 49.5 | Top | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 10 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Under the Radar Total* The North Texas Mean Green have some major problems on offense. They have essentially zero success throwing the football, so if the running game isn't working they are done. FIU has a really bad offense, but they are much improved on defense. This is an FIU defense that definitely has shown they can stop the run, and I see them forcing North Texas to try to beat them through the air. North Texas is still decent on the defensive end, and this FIU team has gotten really bad quarterback play all year. This is going to be an extremely ugly game. I can't imagine anyone wanting to watch this one, but I do like both defenses to hold up their end and keep this game low scoring. Take the under big! *Note- This line has moved since I selected it on Tuesday- I would play it for 5 stars down to 48 and for 4 stars down to 46. Thank you.* |
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11-22-14 | New Mexico v. Colorado State OVER 64.5 | Top | 20-58 | Win | 100 | 93 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Colorado State Rams have quietly put together a really nice year. Jim McElwain is doing a great job with this team. He is a terrific offensive mind, and Colorado State has a nice balanced attack. I think this is one of the most underrated offenses in the nation. New Mexico has one of the very worst defenses in the country. The Lobos have given up 499 yards per game this year. New Mexico has allowed 277 yards per game on the ground alone. New Mexico is giving up 34.3 points per game. New Mexico allowed 60 points when they played Boise State this year. While New Mexico is just brutal on defense, they have been able to run the football on nearly everyone. They are averaging 319 yards per game on the ground. Colorado State's defense is only mediocre. Last year when these two teams got together, the final was 66-42. Both teams had more than 500 yards of total offense in that one. Take the over big here! *Note- This line has moved since I first selected it on Tuesday evening. I would play this for 5 stars all the way up to 68.5 and for 4 stars up to 70 points. Thank you* |
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11-22-14 | Louisiana Tech v. Old Dominion OVER 67.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Old Dominion Monarchs have a tremendous offense with Taylor Heinecke at quarterback. This Monarchs offense has been able to move the football against every single team they have played against this year. Why haven't they won more games? Old Dominion has an absolutely awful defense. The Monarchs defense is so bad that the head coach has started going for it on most fourth downs on offense because he knows they aren't going to stop the opponent enough times to win. The only way ODU has a chance is to outscore the opposition. Louisiana Tech has a good offense led by Sokol at quarterback and Dixon at running back. They should slice up the ODU defense. The over is 4-0 in ODU's last 4 games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground. The over is 3-0-1 in LA Tech's last 4 following an ATS win. A 23-0 angle. Take the over. |
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11-22-14 | Texas-San Antonio v. Western Kentucky -9 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of Week* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have one of the best offenses in the nation. Brandon Doughty is doing a great job running the show at the quarterback spot. This offense has benefited from new coach Jeff Brohm's uptempo system. UTSA had a good year last season, but the Roadrunners have been terrible this year. Why? Because their offense is downright dreadful. No team in all of college football has gotten worse quarterback play than UTSA. While their defense isn't bad, I don't see them stopping Western Kentucky all that often. I certainly don't think UTSA has the offense to keep up. Western Kentucky wins big at home. Take Western Kentucky. |
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11-16-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers OVER 54.5 | 20-53 | Win | 100 | 60 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles will meet late Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field. The temperature will slide below 20 degrees as this game moves along. The tendency for the public is to think that cold weather means the game will finish under the posted total, but that hasn't proven true in the past ten years. Since 2004, 65 percent of games played at a temperature of 20 degrees or lower have finished over the posted total. Philadelphia plays with a very quick tempo and they'll get off a bunch of snaps. Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense are now in full stride, and the Eagles secondary is still very vulnerable. Mark Sanchez is a nice fit in the Chip Kelly system and McCoy should have a good game here. I love both of these offenses and neither defense impresses me. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games following a Monday nighter. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 following a win. The over is 7-0 in the Packers last 7 following a win by 14 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NFC. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. A 33-0 angle. Take the over. |
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11-16-14 | Minnesota Vikings +3.5 v. Chicago Bears | 13-21 | Loss | -120 | 56 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Chicago Bears in a lot of trouble right now. Everyone keeps waiting on them to turn things around, and it just doesn't happen. Minnesota comes into this one well rested and healthy after having a bye week last weekend. Chicago was beat up by Green Bay at Lambeau on Sunday night. The Bears have chemistry problems and they still have a horrific defense. Teddy Bridgewater has impressed me thus far, and he should be able to make enough plays for the Vikings offense here. Minnesota did a great job hiring Mike Zimmer, and Zimmer is a terrific defensive mind. This Vikings defense will have plenty of wrinkles ready for Jay Cutler and the Bears offense. Look for them to force some turnovers. The Vikings have a good chance to win outright, so I'll grab the points. Take Minnesota. |
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