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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-31-15 | Tennessee v. Kentucky OVER 53 | 52-21 | Win | 100 | 121 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB SEC Total* The Kentucky Wildcats defense has really shown signs of wearing down the last couple weeks. Auburn's very weak offense was able to move the ball consistently against them, and then last week Dak Prescott and Mississippi State did whatever they wanted against this Kentucky defense. Tennessee had a rough time offensively against Alabama, but this Volunteers offense has been very good against lesser defenses, and that's what Kentucky is this year. Tennessee's defense has been mediocre at best. These are two teams that play at a pretty quick tempo. Take the over. *The line has moved since I selected this earlier this week. I would play this one up to 58 points. Thank you* |
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10-31-15 | Oregon State v. Utah -24 | 12-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Utah Utes are going to be hungry to get back on track after getting beaten up in Los Angeles last week by USC. That game was primarily about Utah's turnover problems. The rest of the stats were pretty even. Utah is still a very good team, and they have the perfect opponent here to get back on track against. While Gary Andersen is a good coach, the cupboard was bare when he showed up in Corvallis for his new job. Oregon State's offense isn't good enough to keep up, and the defense will be worn down by Utah's offensive front. Oregon State was beaten by a bad Colorado team last week, and they were pushed around badly by Arizona recently as well. Utah beats down Oregon State here. Oregon State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing less than 170 yards passing last game. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground. They are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 conference games. A 30-1 angle. Take Utah. |
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10-31-15 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State OVER 59.5 | 34-48 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Georgia State Panthers have a similar strategy on offense when it comes to getting off a bunch of plays. Both teams look to hustle to the line and get the snap off quickly. That's a big benefit for over bettors because it creates more plays and more chances to score. Arkansas State's defense has regressed this year, and they have been giving up a lot of big plays. Georgia State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Panthers should get absolutely torched by Arkansas State's elite ground game. Both Knighten and Gordon have game breaking ability in the backfield. This total dropped throughout the week, which gives us a nice value play. The over is 6-0 in Georgia State's last 6 following an ATS cover. The over is 7-0 in Arkansas State's last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 October games. An 18-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-31-15 | Georgia v. Florida UNDER 48 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 117 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Florida Gators defense is still one of the best in the country. Florida's offense will likely have a difficult time making big plays without Will Grier. At the same time, I see Georgia having a ton of trouble on offense in this game. Georgia's Greyson Lambert hasn't played a good game against a top defense yet, and I don't think this will be one either. Florida is going to dare Georgia to beat them through the air here. Look for Florida to stack the box and do a nice job slowing down the Bulldogs running game. This should be a hard fought game where both defenses have the upper hand. Take the under. |
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10-31-15 | Clemson v. NC State +10.5 | 56-41 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Situational Spot SMASHER* The NC State Wolfpack are in a tremendous spot here against a very good Clemson Tigers team. Clemson is coming off a 58-0 win at Miami. The Tigers have to be feeling very good about themselves now. Additionally, Clemson plays Florida State in their biggest game of the year next weekend. This is the ultimate sandwich spot as well as a look ahead spot for Clemson. I like this Clemson team, and I think there's a good chance they win this game, but getting this many points on a quality team in this spot is very generous. Jacoby Brissett had a terrible game last year vs. Clemson, and while Clemson's defense is good, they aren't as good as they were last season. Brissett is playing the best football of his career, and the Wolfpack have a defense that has numbers almost as good as Clemson's so far this year. NC State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, so they have shown they can rise to the occasion in big games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 between these two teams. Take NC State. |
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10-31-15 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech OVER 78.5 | 70-53 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been a scoring machine this year. Mahomes has proven to be an upgrade at the quarterback spot and that has made this Red Raiders offense much more dangerous than they were last year. Mahomes does a good job getting rid of the ball quickly, and he spreads it around to all their talented receivers. Oklahoma State's offense has feasted on the Texas Tech defense for years now, and I don't see why it would be any different this year. Oklahoma State's quarterback play has been better recently, and Texas Tech's secondary has been making everyone look good this year. Both of these teams love to play an uptempo style and we will see a ton of big plays throughout this game. The combination of a quick pace and explosive plays is great for the over. This number is high, but it's high for good reason. The over is 7-0 in Texas Tech's last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 40 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record on the road. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-31-15 | Georgia v. Florida -1.5 | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Florida Gators have had a really nice season under first year coach Jim McElwain. McElwain has always been seen as a great offensive mind, and he's done a great job with this Gators offense. Treon Harris looked good last game against a good LSU defense. Harris has had two weeks to prepare for this game, and Georgia's defense hasn't been good against elite teams this year. Georgia is a totally one-dimensional team. Without Nick Chubb, their running game isn't as good as it once was. Florida will key in on the running attack and force Greyson Lambert to beat them. I don't have any confidence that he can do that. Florida's defense is once again one of the top ten in the country this year. Mark Richt's Georgia teams tend to underachieve in big games each year, and that has happened so far this year again. Georgia is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following a bye week (they were off last week). They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing less than 275 yards last game. Florida is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 100 yards or less on the ground last game. A 17-0 angle. Take Florida. |
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10-31-15 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College UNDER 38 | 26-10 | Win | 100 | 114 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star ACC Total* The Boston College Eagles offense is just horrendous. How bad were they last week? Boston College had 4 first downs and 79 total yards of offense against a Louisville defense that is decent, but not amazing. Wow. Boston College is routinely scoring less than 10 points in games. Virginia Tech's offense is once again underperforming this year, but the defense is solid with a great coordinator in Bud Foster. Look for both teams to struggle to get anything going offensively in this game. While this total is posted extremely low, it's low for a reason. I made this total 34 points, and with the way both of these offenses have looked lately, I'm taking the under. |
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10-31-15 | Western Kentucky -23 v. Old Dominion | 55-30 | Win | 100 | 114 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Old Dominion Monarchs are finding life without Taylor Heinicke to be very difficult. He was a star quarterback that is a once in a lifetime type talent for a school like Old Dominion. Without him, the team looks lost this year. The defense is still very weak as it was last year. The problem is now the offense is no longer equipped to win shootouts. Western Kentucky played well for the majority of the game last week in Baton Rouge against LSU. Western Kentucky won at Vanderbilt earlier this year also. The Hilltoppers are a much improved team of late, and this offense is tremendous with Brandon Doughty leading the way at quarterback. He has weapons all over the field, and he spreads the ball around as well as anyone in college football. There's no way Old Dominion is going to slow down this Western Kentucky offense. I think Western Kentucky puts up a big number here. Old Dominion is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 October games. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. They are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 following a loss. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more last game. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 20 points or less last game. A 28-0 angle. Take Western Kentucky. |
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10-31-15 | Rutgers v. Wisconsin UNDER 47.5 | 10-48 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers have been a very good under team this year. It makes sense because Wisconsin has one of the top five defenses in the country. In the past, the Badgers have had one of the best ground games in the country, but they don't this year. Wisconsin's offensive line has struggled throughout the year, and the running back situation hasn't been nearly as good thanks to injury issues. Rutgers has been pretty good at slowing down the running attack this year, so I think they can hold their own for the most part. Rutgers' Leonte Caroo is questionable with an injury this weekend and he's a huge deal to this offense. The Scarlet Knights offense has virtually no passing game without him. Last week, Ohio State held Rutgers scoreless until Rutgers scored with a few seconds left in the game on a garbage touchdown. Take the under. |
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10-29-15 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh UNDER 55 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Pittsburgh Panthers are playing at the second slowest tempo of any team in the country. Pittsburgh is a team that is going to run the ball early and often, and they are going to use the clock. In their final drive against Syracuse last week, they ran off nearly 10 minutes of clock and kicked a field goal. Those are the kind of things that under bettors have to love. It doesn't hurt that the Panthers have a strong defense either. North Carolina is known for their offense, but Gene Chizik has done a really nice job with this team's defense this year. This defense was a laughing stock a year ago, and now they have been pretty good this season. Another important factor here is the weather. There are expected to be wind gusts of 30 mph at times throughout this game. What does that mean? Well it means their should be a lot more running, and running the football means a running clock. It also usually means less explosive plays. The under is 6-0 in North Carolina's last 6 Thursday games. Take the under in this one. *Surprisingly- this line has moved up. I would take the under for a 4 star play at 59 points or higher. Thank you. |
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10-25-15 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 45.5 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CASH* The Carolina Panthers and the Philadelphia Eagles meet in primetime. Carolina is unbeaten and Philadelphia is playing better of late. What's making them turn things around? It's not the offense. It's been the Eagles defense, which is still being severely underrated in my opinion. The Eagles have been shutting down some good offenses of late, and I'm not convinced this Carolina offense is good. Cam Newton doesn't have enough weapons on the outside for this offense to beat a good defense consistently. Carolina is up against one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL. Sam Bradford still looks terrible in this Philly offense and the Panthers run defense should make Philadelphia work very hard for every yard they get on the ground. I see both teams settling for field goals throughout. Take the under. |
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10-25-15 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 v. Washington Redskins | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming off a bye week and this team has to come into this game with a lot of confidence. Washington has found ways to lose games this year with Kirk Cousins seemingly turning it over at the worst times all the time. Jameis Winston has looked solid in most games since a bad opener. Tampa Bay's defense is much improved from a year ago. Washington's Jay Gruden isn't a very good coach, and I wonder if he won't be fired soon. In a game that should be close all the way, these points are the way to go. Tampa Bay is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog in the first game of a back to back road scheduling spot following a straight up win. The Redskins are 0-6 ATS at home off back to back road games. Even more telling, Washington is 5-24-2 ATS in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 36-5 angle. Take Tampa Bay. |
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10-25-15 | NY Jets +8 v. New England Patriots | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New England Patriots are playing like the best team in the NFL right now, but I still don't believe they should be eight point favorites here against a high quality Jets team. It seems like the oddsmakers aren't trusting this Jets team yet. Todd Bowles has done a tremendous job with this team. He's an upgrade from Rex Ryan, and the Jets offense is far better than it has been in recent years. Ryan Fitzpatrick is an upgrade from Geno Smith, and the Jets offensive line is dominating right now. The Jets have the best corners in the NFL. If anyone in the league is going to slow down the Patriots, it should be the Jets. New England is off an emotional win at Indianapolis in a game that they clearly wanted badly, so I believe New York is in the better spot here. The Jets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the AFC. The Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 during week 7. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 ATS last 4 vs. the AFC East. They are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after giving up 250 yards or less last game. The Jets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. A 35-0 angle. Take the Jets. |
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10-25-15 | Minnesota Vikings v. Detroit Lions +108 | 28-19 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Home Underdog Play* The Minnesota Vikings running game is their only real offense right now. There's no doubt that Adrian Peterson is amazing and he'll get his yards here, but Detroit's play of late suggests they are better than their record. I've also been keeping a close eye on the line movement here. The shift toward the Lions with the public backing the Vikings suggests Detroit is a sharp money play. This is the type of play that can be hard to make, but in the long run you'll be ahead if you make these plays every time. Minnesota is a different team on the road and Detroit gets revenge from their early season meeting. Take Detroit. |
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10-25-15 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 43 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total PERFECTION* The Pittsburgh Steelers will likely go with Landry Jones here. They moved Tyler Murphy to active at QB which suggests that Big Ben will probably not play here. With Jones as the expected signal caller, I think the Steelers do a lot of running the football. Kansas City always tries to run the football a lot because their passing game is so poor. Jeremy Maclin is dinged up which hurts the passing game even more. Pittsburgh's defense has given up a lot of yards through the air, but they are very good against the run. Without Jamaal Charles, the Chiefs just don't have offensive weapons. Both teams rank in the bottom 5 in the NFL in terms of pace of play. The under is 4-0 in the Steelers last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after giving up more than 350 total yards of offense. The under is 6-0-1 in the Steelers last 7 following a win. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 vs. the AFC. A 22-0 angle. Take the under. |
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10-24-15 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State UNDER 57 | 16-42 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The Mississippi State Bulldogs offense is far worse than it was a year ago. Dak Prescott is still a great playmaker at quarterback, but he has very little help around him. The Bulldogs have been able to put up points in bunches against non-conference opponents, but they haven't been very good against SEC foes. Kentucky's defensive improvement is the main reason this team has been far more competitive in the last couple seasons. I made this total 51.5, so I see enough value to make a play. The under is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 conference games. The under is 3-0-1 in Kentucky's last 4 conference games. The under is 5-0-1 in Kentucky's last 6 after throwing for 280 yards or more last game. A 15-0 angle. Take the under. |
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10-24-15 | Utah v. USC UNDER 60 | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star Utah/USC Total DOMINATION* The USC Trojans put forth a good effort last weekend in Notre Dame, but they came home with a loss. USC's offensive line has had issues this year, and the Trojans are playing against the best defensive front in the conference in Utah. The Utes will be pressuring Cody Kessler all night on Saturday. The USC offense has been very inconsistent this year, and in recent years they have had trouble moving the ball against Utah. While Utah's defense and special teams are tremendous, the Utes are too one dimensional on offense. Booker is a great runner, but they have no other playmakers on offense. A total of 60 is too high with these two teams. Take the under. |
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10-24-15 | Florida Atlantic v. UTEP UNDER 58.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Total of the Week* The UTEP Miners offense is totally lost without their starting quarterback and starting running back. Aaron Jones was the team's leading rusher last year, and they were counting on him to be the star again this year, but he is injured and likely out for the season. Without him at running back, this team is a mess. UTEP's pace of play is one of the 5 slowest in the country. Florida Atlantic's defense is better than their offense. The defense isn't special, but they shouldn't need to be to slow down this UTEP offense. This one should be ugly all the way, but ugly is usually a good thing for under bettors. The line has shifted down a bit since I bet this one early in the week, but it's still a 5 star play for me. My number for this game was only 45 points. The under is 5-1 in FAU's last 6 on turf. The under is 4-0 in UTEP's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 13-1 angle. Take the under big! |
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10-24-15 | UL-Monroe v. Idaho OVER 57.5 | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Over* The Idaho Vandals defense is one of the five worst in the country. Anytime I see an Idaho posted total this low, the over is worth a look. Louisiana Monroe had a solid defense in the past, but this year they have been much weaker. Both of these teams play quickly and there should be a lot of possessions for both offenses. The total was hit down in the market which made this one get into the play range for me. Look for a back and forth game that goes over the total. Last year, the final was 38-31 when these two played. This one gets to the 60's too. Take the over. |
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10-24-15 | Washington State v. Arizona OVER 72 | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 52 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats rank second in the nation in terms of pace per play. They love to play uptempo. Mike Leach has always been an uptempo guy, and he has a great quarterback in Luke Falk. Falk threw 6 touchdowns in the first half last weekend! Arizona's defense has been torched on a consistent basis this year, and I think Washington State will do the same to them here. Arizona's defense wasn't great to start with, and now they are banged up. Washington State's defense is bad once again this year, and Rich Rod's team has lots of speed and weapons on offense. The over is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more passing. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after running for 200 yards or more last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. A 29-1 angle. Take the over. |
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10-24-15 | SMU v. South Florida UNDER 66 | Top | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 119 h 19 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Under* The South Florida Bulls and the SMU Mustangs both rank in the bottom 25 in terms of pace in the nation. With a high total and two teams that take a lot of time in between plays, there is value on the under. South Florida's defense is the best unit on the field here, and SMU should have trouble scoring. While USF might be capable of winning this one big, I don't see them running up the score in a spot where they would likely be better to rest their players and be happy with a comfortable win. Take the under. *Note- This line has moved since I selected it on Monday. I would play this one down to 58.5 points which is available at most books now late in the week. Thank you* |
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10-24-15 | Penn State -6 v. Maryland | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play on Penn State* The Maryland Terrapins interim coach is Mike Locksley. I'm not sure why Maryland has him as the interim coach. What did Locksley do in his head coaching career? Locksley went 2-27 in his time as a head coach at New Mexico. Bob Davie has done a nice job reviving that program, but Locksley really hurt it. Penn State is looking to bounce back after losing to a motivated Ohio State team last week. Penn State's defense is tremendous, and I don't see Maryland's running game getting going against this strong defensive front. Maryland has no passing game, and the Terrapins special teams have been awful. Short number here. Take Penn State. |
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10-24-15 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 45.5 | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Wisconsin Badgers have become a really good under team. The Badgers defense is as strong as ever. They are good against both the run and the pass. The Wisconsin offense though is much weaker than they have been in recent years. Corey Clement is hurt and the backups aren't getting the job done in the running game. The offensive line is far less dominating than they have been in recent years. Joel Stave isn't a good quarterback either. Illinois has slowed down their tempo and they have played some low scoring games this year. The weather is important here too. Winds of 20 mph with showers are expected during the game. That's good news for under bettors. The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 275 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in Illinois' last 4 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 200 yards or more on the ground last game. A 30-0 angle. Take the under. |
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10-24-15 | Ohio v. Buffalo UNDER 53.5 | 17-41 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star Mac Total* The Ohio Bobcats defense is one of the best in the MAC. They didn't show it last week. Frank Solich is a great coach, and I expect he will have this Ohio defense ready to go this week. The Bobcats are a team that runs the ball a lot on offense and uses up the clock and so is Buffalo. Buffalo's star running back is Anthone Taylor. He is listed as questionable here, and even if he does play he won't be 100 percent. This should be a close game all the way, but I think it will be low scoring. Take the under. |
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10-24-15 | Miami (OH) v. Western Michigan -23.5 | 13-35 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Western Michigan* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are playing on the road for the fourth time in five games here. Western Michigan challenged themselves by playing Michigan State and Ohio State in the non-conference slate. They have benefited in a big way in the conference schedule from those tests. The Broncos made a huge statement by beating down Ohio on the road last weekend. Miami is the worst team in the conference by a large margin, and Western Michigan should be able to name their score here. I think they roll and win by 30 points or more. *Note- this line has shifted some since I picked it early this week. I would play for 4 stars all the way up to -27.5. Thank you* |
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10-24-15 | Tulane v. Navy -23.5 | 14-31 | Loss | -108 | 35 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Tulane Green Wave couldn't even come close to slowing down the option attack of Georgia Tech earlier this year. What is there to make us think that this bad defense would be able to stop a Navy triple option attack that is probably even better than Georgia Tech's? Navy is coming off a loss to Notre Dame and then a bye week to get healthy. Their star is quarterback Keenan Reynolds. Reynolds was dinged up, but he is in good shape now after the bye week. Navy's defense is better than it was a year ago, and this Tulane offense has been dreadful all season. Major mismatch all the way around in this game. Navy is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after giving up 40 points or more last game. Tulane is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss by 20 points or more. A 17-1 angle. Take Navy. |
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10-24-15 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse UNDER 52 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 115 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Under* The Pittsburgh Panthers defense has been amazing this year led by new head coach Pat Narduzzi. Narduzzi was awesome as Michigan State's defensive coordinator, and now the Panthers defense has immediately gotten better in a big way. Pitt only allowed 100 total yards of offense a couple weeks ago at Virginia Tech. The Panthers defensive line will have a huge advantage over Syracuse's offensive front. The Orange are starting a quarterback who simply isn't very good. He started the year as the fifth quarterback option for the team. Pittsburgh will run the ball and use up clock. Look for Pitt to win a low scoring game. Take the under. *This line has moved since I first selected it- I recommend playing this for 4 stars down to 49 and it would be a 3 star play down to 46. Thank you* |
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10-24-15 | Pittsburgh -6.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 18 m | Show |
*5 Star ATS TOP Play of Week* The Syracuse Orange have had a bad offense the past few years. It is bad once again this year. The difference is this year they don't have a strong defense to keep them in the game. Syracuse is starting a quarterback who was fifth in line to be their quarterback at the start of the season. Pittsburgh is now ranked in the Top 25, and they have a great new coach in Pat Narduzzi. Narduzzi did an amazing job at Michigan State, and now he has this Pittsburgh defense playing some great football. I don't see Syracuse having much success at all on offense in this game. Pittsburgh has a nice balanced offense and they should win and cover comfortably here. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Syracuse. A 10-0 angle. Take Pittsburgh big! |
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10-24-15 | Southern Miss v. Charlotte OVER 58.5 | 44-10 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 44 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Charlotte 49ers are a team that doesn't make much sense to me. There's no question they are at a big talent disadvantage against just about everyone on their schedule (Southern Miss included), but they continue to play as fast as possible. Charlotte ranks 10th in the nation in pace. It is crushing their defense. The 49ers defense is giving up 32.3 points per game (that figure will likely continue to rise) and they have been torched by anyone that has a decent passing game. Southern Miss' offense is much improved this year. Southern Miss puts up a big number and Charlotte does enough. Take the over. *This line has moved significantly since I picked it late on Monday. I would play this for 4 stars up to 62 and for 3 stars up to 65.5. Thank you* |
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10-24-15 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -7 | 30-28 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 ATS Play* The Northwestern Wildcats have been known to start fast and then fold like a deck of cards. They'll have to prove to me that it isn't happening this year. Nebraska lost several close games earlier this year. There is no doubt that Nebraska is better than their record would indicate. Northwestern's defensive line has been exposed in the last couple weeks. Northwestern's offense has no playmakers outside of Jackson in the backfield, and Nebraska's defense should shut them down. Look for a double digit win. Take Nebraska. |
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10-22-15 | California v. UCLA OVER 64 | 24-40 | Push | 0 | 76 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star UCLA/Cal Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears offense is excellent with Jared Goff at the helm. Goff can shred up most secondaries, and UCLA's defense is much weaker now that they have lost Moreau (best CB) Jack (best LB) and Vanderdoes (best DL). The Bruins defense has been really bad in recent weeks, and I think they give up a bunch of points here too. At the same time, Cal's defense isn't impressive. While they are a little better than they have been in the past couple years, they are still weak. Josh Rosen is a very good freshman, and the UCLA ground game is impressive with Paul Perkins leading the way. I think this game gets into the 70's. Take the over. *Note- This line has gone up  since I selected this Monday. I would make this play all the way up to 71 points. Thank you* |
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10-22-15 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State UNDER 62.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* The Georgia Southern Eagles take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers in what should be a really interesting game. Georgia Southern's triple option attack is really good, but they meet an Appalachian State team that has the best defense in the Sun Belt. Appalachian State hosts here, and this is a huge game for both teams. Appalachian State essentially never gets to host a television game, but that's what they have here. Expect a really good home field advantage for them. Appalachian State's offense and Georgia Southern's offense have something in common: they both move very slowly and run it almost every down. With almost no passing going on, it will be tough to reach this high of a posted total. The clock will keep running throughout this game. The last two meetings between these two have stayed well under the posted total. The under is 5-1 in App State's last 6 games overall. I think Appalachian State's defense defends the triple option well and this game stays under the total. Take the under. |
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10-20-15 | UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas State OVER 62 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Tuesday Night Total DOMINATION* The Arkansas State Red Wolves have a high powered offense led by Fredi Knighten. Knighten is the team's star quarterback. He missed a few games earlier this year, and the team suffered, but he came back last week and the offense looked great in a 49-27 win. Arkansas State lost 55-40 despite gaining 595 yards last year when these two teams met. Louisiana Lafayette isn't the team they were last year, but they should get scoring chances against an Arkansas State defense that isn't very good. This is a conference where high scoring games is the norm, and I think we'll see another one of them on Tuesday night. The over is 6-0 in Arkansas State's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games in October. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 14-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-18-15 | New England Patriots v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 54 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star Patriots/Colts Sunday Night CASH* The New England Patriots offense has been unstoppable this year. Do you really think the Patriots are going to want to let off the gas against the Indianapolis Colts? Remember, this is the team that started the whole Deflategate issues after their loss in the playoffs. New England should be out for blood here. Tom Brady and this Patriots offense are clearly capable of putting up a huge number here. At the same time, Andrew Luck is expected back for the Colts, and the New England defense has looked shaky against good offenses this year. The Patriots secondary is a question mark for me. I think the Colts can put up plenty of points in this one as well. I think there's a good chance this game gets into the 60's. With the line this low, I see a lot of value on the over. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. An 11-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-18-15 | Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 42 | 27-23 | Loss | -105 | 160 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Seattle Seahawks offense just hasn't been able to get going this year. Even in last week's game in Cincinnati, Seattle only put up 17 points on offense. They got 7 of their points from a defensive touchdown. Here, they'll take on a Carolina Panthers defense that is elite. Luke Kuechly is back for Carolina, and that is huge for this team. Carolina is very good at stopping the run to start with, and with Kuechly they'll be even better. Seattle has no rhythm in the passing game. The Seahawks have to run it to be successful, but Marshawn Lynch is still banged up. Lynch will likely play here, but he is less than 100 percent, and he's up against a great defense. Cam Newton has been very good so far this year, but Carolina hasn't played a defense even close to as good as the Seahawks. I think Seattle shuts down the Panthers running game here and forces them to beat them through the air, which I don't think they can do. Take the under. |
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10-18-15 | Denver Broncos v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 42.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Denver Broncos are a team I've looked to play the under with as much as possible, and I'm going to keep doing it here. Denver's defense is arguably the best in the NFL. They have been solid against the run and spectacularly against the pass. Cleveland's offensive line should have a lot of trouble with this Denver defensive front. Peyton Manning hasn't been sharp at all this year, and the Browns secondary is pretty good even without Joe Haden in the lineup. Another very important factor for this game is the weather. The temperature is expected to be in the low 40's with a chance of some sprinkles during the game and a 10 to 15 mph wind. That isn't good weather for the offenses at all. Look for a close game where field goals are more common than touchdowns. Take the under. |
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10-18-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Minnesota Vikings -3.5 | 10-16 | Win | 107 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Minnesota Vikings didn't look good at all in week one against San Francisco, and I think the perception of this team is still too low because of that poor showing. Minnesota has played well since that game, and the Vikings had a bye week to get ready for this game. Kansas City has been a big disappointment this year, and I have to wonder how things will get better for the Chiefs now that they are without Jamaal Charles for the year. Kansas City is a team that lacks playmakers on offense to start with, and Charles is really their only consistent playmaker. Now, they have to rely much more heavily on a very shaky Alex Smith and the passing game. I think Coach Zimmer will have Minnesota ready to play, and I think the Vikings win by a touchdown or more. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. The Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 14-1 angle. Take Minnesota. |
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10-18-15 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 43 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Vikings and Kansas City Chiefs both have strong defenses. Alex Smith and Teddy Bridgewater are both what I consider to be game managers. Adrian Peterson is obviously a game breaker for the Vikings, but the Chiefs are without their game breaker in Jamaal Charles. Both of these teams run the football a lot, so we'll see a lot of running clock in this game. The defenses are likely to dare the quarterbacks to beat them, and I don't think it will happen very often. Without Charles, the Chiefs defense becomes one of the worst in the NFL. The under is 5-0 in the Vikings last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 in October. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. A 13-0 angle. Take the under. |
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10-17-15 | Arizona v. Colorado OVER 66.5 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Pac 12 Total* The Arizona Wildcats are playing at the second fastest tempo of any team in the country. Who's the fastest? The Baylor Bears. Anu Solomon is back and healthy, and with he and Wilson in the backfield Arizona is going to be able to score a lot against Colorado. The Buffaloes defense isn't good, and they have been worn down in the second half in several contests. The Colorado offense should get a lot more scoring opportunities than they normally do. Arizona's defense is badly banged up, and their linebackers aren't good at all without Wright and Ippolito. Colorado also plays at a fast tempo, and other than last week, Arizona's defense has been getting shredded by everyone. I think this gets into the 70's. Take the over. |
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10-17-15 | Florida v. LSU UNDER 47 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 31 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Total DOMINATION* The Florida Gators season took a big hit when Will Grier was suspended for a year after testing positive for PED's. While the Florida offense will likely look more vanilla this weekend, it is important to remember that Florida's defense is elite. LSU has absolutely no passing game right now. In a recent game, LSU completed 4 out of 14 passes against lowly Eastern Michigan. LSU is going to have to run it nearly every down here. While Leonard Fournette is a beast, this Florida defense is good and they'll be stacking the box up every time. On the other side, LSU's defense hasn't been quite as good so far this year as expected, but they should bring their best effort in this one. Florida's Treon Harris isn't a particularly good passer, and LSU has a great secondary. Florida is likely to be one-dimensional as well. With a running clock throughout the game and two offenses that have very little passing game, I expected a lower total than this. I like this value. Take the under. |
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10-17-15 | Oklahoma v. Kansas State OVER 57.5 | 55-0 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star Big 12 Total* The Kansas State Wildcats offense has been a lot better than expected so far this year. They have a passing game that has seen quite a bit of success in recent weeks. Kansas State is a top ten ranked offense by advanced metrics. Oklahoma's air raid attack has been very successful this year except for their last game, a loss against Texas. Kansas State's defense is banged up, and they aren't as talented as they have been in recent years. Even in the past couple years when Oklahoma wasn't playing an uptempo offensive style, the game between these two teams has finished at 72 and 61 points. This one should be a close one all the way, and the chance of overtime is another benefit to the over. Take the over here. |
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10-17-15 | Michigan State v. Michigan UNDER 40.5 | 27-23 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Michigan State/Michigan MONEY* The Michigan Wolverines defense hasn't allowed a single point in their last three games. They have allowed a grand total of 14 points in their last five games! This defense is playing better than anyone else in the nation, and it isn't even close. Michigan State's defense is still solid, and their defensive line has a huge advantage over Michigan's offensive line. Look for the Spartans to get in the Wolverines backfield a lot in this game. As good as Michigan's defense is, I believe their offense still has a lot to prove. Jake Rudock is nothing more than a game manager. Michigan State is going to try to make him beat them through the air. Connor Cook doesn't have enough weapons around him on offense this year. Both of these teams play very slowly. In fact, they are both in the bottom 20 in the nation in pace of play. A lot of running clock and solid defense throughout this one. Take the under. |
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10-17-15 | Kent State v. UMass OVER 55 | 15-10 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star MAC Totals TKO* The UMass Minutemen rank in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace of play. UMass is going to get snaps off quickly and look to put up a big number. Blake Frohnapfel is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country. He has a nice group of receivers led by Tajae Sharpe. UMass has an offense that should be able to score quite a few on almost every defense in the MAC. The UMass defense is one of the worst in the country. Kent State has struggled on offense this year, but they should look better in this one against a bad defense. Kent State is moving quicker on offense than last year as well. Take the over in this contest. |
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10-17-15 | Nebraska v. Minnesota UNDER 50 | 48-25 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total VALUE* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a hard nosed team that battles on every down. They aren't the most talented team, but they'll work as hard as anyone. Nebraska has had several really tough losses so far this year. The Cornhuskers don't seem a like team that comes in with much confidence. Minnesota's offense hasn't been able to do much at all against quality opponents this year, and Nebraska should slow them down. On the other hand though, I see Minnesota's defense doing a good job slowing down Nebraska's mediocre offense as well. This line has been bet up during the week, which gave us enough value to play this one. Take the under. |
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10-17-15 | Alabama v. Texas A&M OVER 53 | 41-23 | Win | 100 | 37 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star Alabama/Texas A&M Totals CASH* The Texas A&M defense has been a lot better this year, but they still aren't an elite unit. Texas A&M's defense is extremely aggressive with blitz packages, and I have to think that Alabama is going to be ready with some screen passes and quick slants to beat that blitz. Coker has been playing better of late, and Alabama's running game is good. On the other side, Texas A&M has a tremendous amount of skill position talent. The Aggies receivers hold a big advantage over Alabama's defensive backs. I see Texas A&M putting up a real fight in this one, and I think they can create a bunch of big plays on this Crimson Tide secondary. A back and forth game. Take the over. |
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10-17-15 | Idaho +13.5 v. Troy | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM ATS Play* The Idaho Vandals are coming off a bye week, so they've had extra time to get ready for this one and heal up. Matt Linehan was originally listed as questionable for this one, but he has since been upgraded to probable and that's a big deal for Idaho. Linehan is a really good quarterback for this Vandals team. Idaho can throw it around and move the ball on any team in this conference with Linehan under center. Troy's starting quarterback Brandon Silvers is questionable with a head injury. Troy's offense hasn't been good at all this year. The Trojans do have a better defense than Idaho, but I don't see how this line is at 13.5 points. Idaho has been a covering machine inside the conference, and with the way they can score, they are a real threat to Troy in this one. Grab the points. Take Idaho. |
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10-17-15 | Charlotte v. Old Dominion -7 | 34-37 | Loss | -106 | 88 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under the Radar Play* The Charlotte 49ers are in their first season as an FBS program. They allowed 73 points against MTSU earlier this year. Charlotte is just overmatched right now. Old Dominion has been disappointing so far this year. In fact, they haven't covered a spread so far this season. I think this is their chance to end that streak. Old Dominion has gotten poor quarterback play this year, but I think they'll be able to run the football against a weak Charlotte defensive front in this one. Old Dominion is a hungry team, and they finally come up against a team that they are much more talented than. Take Old Dominion. |
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10-17-15 | Virginia Tech +6 v. Miami (Fla) | 20-30 | Loss | -109 | 64 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Situational Spot Play* The Miami Hurricanes are coming off a really difficult rivalry loss against Florida State. Miami put everything they had into that game, and they came very close to winning it. It's hard for a team that has disappointed so many years in a row to put up a big effort two weeks in a row. Al Golden is on the verge of losing this team, and they face a sneaky tough opponent here in Virginia Tech. The Hokies have had a bunch of injury problems in the past year or so, but they are slowly getting healthier and I think they have a high upside. Virginia Tech may well have Michael Brewer back at quarterback for this one. Even if they don't, I think there's value here. The Hokies have a real shot at winning in Miami against a Hurricanes team that I expect to be at less than 100 percent effort in this one. Take Virginia Tech. |
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10-17-15 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -28 | 20-63 | Win | 100 | 83 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Major MISMATCH* The Eastern Michigan Eagles rank dead last in the nation in rushing defense. The Toledo Rockets have three very good running backs, and they have an elite offensive line that is going to be shoving Eastern Michigan off the ball every snap. Kareem Hunt has been injured earlier in the year, but Hunt is getting healthier now and playing again for the Rockets. Hunt is arguably the best player in the Mid American Conference.  Terry Swanson is averaging 6.7 yards per carry for Toledo at running back, and even with Hunt back in the lineup, Swanson is still going to get the ball plenty. Eastern Michigan is allowing a ridiculous 6.65 yards per carry this year, which is easily worst in the nation.  How good is the Toledo offensive line? Toledo hasn't allowed a single sack all year! Toledo has won the last two years against Eastern Michigan by scores of 55-16 and 52-16. It should be ugly again. Take Toledo. |
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10-17-15 | Louisville +7 v. Florida State | 21-41 | Loss | -105 | 59 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Louisville Cardinals picked up a nice win over NC State in their last game. They then had a bye week, so they've had two weeks to prepare for this game. Florida State was busy taking on rival Miami last Saturday night. Florida State narrowly won that game, and the Seminoles haven't been impressive so far this year. The Seminoles needed a late stop to win against lowly Wake Forest as well. Louisville has a playmaker in Jackson, and the Cardinals defense is very good. Florida State's defense hasn't been tested by many good offenses so far this year. Florida State is 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games. They are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Louisville is 26-8 ATS in their last 34 road games. They are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. This is too many points in a game that should go down to the wire. Take Louisville. |
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10-17-15 | South Florida v. Connecticut -2.5 | 28-20 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA ATS Value Play* The South Florida Bulls are coming off a nice win over Syracuse, but Syracuse may well be the worst team in the ACC this year. Syracuse has no defense and they lost their starting quarterback earlier this year. UConn is definitely improving under Coach Bob Diaco. Diaco's defense will be the best unit on the field on Saturday. I don't see USF having much success at all on offense. While UConn's offense isn't very good either, they should be able to break a few big plays. At this price, the value is on the home team. Take UConn. |
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10-17-15 | Iowa v. Northwestern UNDER 41 | 40-10 | Loss | -106 | 46 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 Total Takedown* The Northwestern Wildcats have been a terrific under team for a long time now. Northwestern was absolutely crushed by Michigan last week, but the Wildcats should bounce back with a much better effort in this one. Pat Fitzgerald's defense is very good, and Iowa's offense isn't going to be able to run it down their throat all game long like they have with other opponents recently. These two teams are both stronger on the defensive end than they are on offense. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The under is 23-6 in Northwestern's last 29 home games. Take the under. |
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10-17-15 | South Florida v. Connecticut UNDER 45.5 | Top | 28-20 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 29 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The South Florida Bulls and the UConn Huskies have a lot in common. Both teams have an offense that has struggled the majority of the year. USF's offense looked good last week against Syracuse and UConn's offense looked good last week against UCF. I think those performances last week got us some extra value on the under in this one. Both UCF and Syracuse are bad defensively right now, so these two offenses were able to take advantage. They'll face a much better defense here. In addition, both of these teams play very slowly. They run the ball a lot and use up the play clock in between snaps. This can really shorten a game, and I look for this when looking to play an under. In the past 5 years, these teams have played five times and none of the games have finished with a total higher than 35 points. My number for this game was 38, which is much lower than this posted total. The under is 3-0-1 in USF's last 4 after an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 rushing yards or less. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. A 24-0 angle. Take the under big! TOP Play of the Week. |
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10-15-15 | UCLA v. Stanford -6.5 | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 45 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Thursday Night THUNDER* The UCLA Bruins have lost three of their best defensive players already this year. UCLA's defense showed some weaknesses early in the year, but now that they have lost some of their best guys, they are going to look even worse. I've been really impressed by Stanford's resurgence on offense after an ugly start to the season in their loss at Northwestern. Stanford's offensive line is opening up holes and the running game is working again. Because of this, Kevin Hogan has been able to have a lot of success with play action passing. The Cardinal defense is solid, and they shut down UCLA's offense last year in a big way. Stanford has won six straight meetings with UCLA. The Bruins have a very talented freshman in Josh Rosen, but Rosen has experienced some growing pains against good defenses. This is probably the best defense he has played yet. UCLA is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Stanford. Stanford is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 20 points or less last game. A 20-1 angle. Take Stanford. |
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10-11-15 | San Francisco 49ers v. NY Giants UNDER 43 | 27-30 | Loss | -101 | 89 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CASH* The San Francisco 49ers defense looked really bad at Pittsburgh in week two. Still, remember that was an awful spot for the 49ers after a late Monday night game and then playing in the Eastern time zone with an early start time on Sunday. Other than that game, the 49ers defense has been a little better than league average. The Niners defense should be able to at least slow down the Giants in this one. Colin Kaepernick has been awful this year, and San Francisco really needs to be able to run the ball to be able to be successful on offense. Who is the number one rushing defense in the NFL? The New York Giants. The Giants are allowing less than 70 yards per game on the ground. Look for the Giants defense to do a good job slowing down the Niners rushing attack. That means Kaepernick has to beat them with his arm. I don't think that will happen. The under is 21-8-2 in the 49ers last 31 games on turf. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. |
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10-11-15 | Arizona Cardinals -2.5 v. Detroit Lions | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 63 h 3 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Oddsmaker ERROR* The Arizona Cardinals started 3-0 before dropping their last game. Arizona outplayed St. Louis last week, but they couldn't convert in the red zone, and turnovers cost them as well. The Detroit Lions were less than a yard away from likely winning in Seattle last weekend. The way they lost was particularly tough to take with the fumble and the missed call by the officials on the batted ball. Detroit isn't going to get to the playoffs, and I have to think it will be hard for them to get up for this game. The Lions have a short week of prep for this one. They were on the West Coast late Monday night and now play a good Arizona team on Sunday here. The Lions aren't as good as the Cardinals to start with, and with the scheduling spot and the emotions of losing the way they did last week, I'm taking Arizona. Arizona is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing 15 points or less. A 14-1 angle. Take Arizona. |
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10-11-15 | Chicago Bears v. Kansas City Chiefs -9 | 18-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Chicago Bears picked up a win at home over the Oakland Raiders last week. Does that make me any higher on the Bears? No. The Bears should win a game like that. Oakland was coming off a very rare road win and fell apart late in the game. The Raiders are improved, but they still aren't a good team. Kansas City comes into this game at 1-3, and the Chiefs absolutely have to have this game. Kansas City is a good team, and they have played a brutal schedule thus far. Here's their chance to break out of a slump in a big way. Jay Cutler has never been very good with pressure on him, and Kansas City will bring the heat in this one. Cutler's Bears are 4-14-1 ATS after winning a game while their opponent is coming off a double digit loss. Another nice statistic here, since 1980 1-3 NFL home favorites coming off 3 straight losses facing an opponent off a win are an impressive 10-1-1 ATS. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take Kansas City. |
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10-10-15 | California v. Utah -7 | 24-30 | Loss | -112 | 67 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Late Night BAILOUT* The Utah Utes have really impressed me this year, and Kyle Whittingham is one of the better coaches in the country. One reason Utah is so good that many people overlook- tremendous special teams play. Utah has been crushing the opposition in special teams play, and they should do the same to Cal. Utah's defensive line is the best in the Pac 12, and Cal's offensive line is questionable. Jared Goff is a good quarterback, but he isn't going to have as much time to throw here. Additionally, Devontae Booker is likely to have a big game against a Cal defense that isn't very good against the run. While Cal is a much improved team, I don't believe they are ready for this spot. College GameDay is in Utah for this one. The crowd will be going nuts. Remember, Utah plays at a high elevation and I think that hurts Cal's fast paced tempo. Utah wears them down late and wins by 10 or more. Take Utah. |
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10-10-15 | San Jose State -2.5 v. UNLV | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 44 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Mountain West Money* The UNLV Rebels are coming off a huge emotional win over Nevada on the road. Nevada is a big rival, and UNLV put everything into that game. Blake Decker, the team's quarterback, is hurt right now. UNLV will start a second stringer that isn't as good as Decker. San Jose State outplayed Auburn on the road last week for the most part, but turnovers cost them the game. Tyler Ervin is second in the nation in rushing yards so far this year. UNLV isn't likely to be able to stop Ervin, and the UNLV offense isn't potent without Decker. Good spot for San Jose State with UNLV in a letdown spot. Take San Jose State. |
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10-10-15 | East Carolina v. BYU OVER 57 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 51 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The BYU Cougars and East Carolina Pirates both play very quickly. That means we will see a lot of snaps in this one. While East Carolina's defense isn't as bad as it was a few years ago, it still isn't very good. BYU used to have a dominating defense, but they are only average on defense now. Tanner Mangum has been great in the BYU offense. East Carolina has a balanced attack and they have gotten good quarterback play this year as well. I think this game gets into the 60's. The over is 4-0 in ECU's last 4. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. an independent team. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more of total offense. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-10-15 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -6.5 | 33-26 | Loss | -115 | 123 h 7 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB ATS Bookie CRUSHER* West Virginia is coming off a loss at Oklahoma. A quick look at the final score, and you would assume that the Mountaineers were overmatched in that game, but that wasn't the case. West Virginia had 26 first downs to 16 for Oklahoma. The Mountaineers had 5 turnovers that were killer in that contest. Oklahoma State is coming off two unimpressive wins. They beat a bad Texas team because the Longhorns handed them the game. They then had to make a late comeback to beat Kansas State, and Kansas State didn't have their quarterback much of that game. In the last two meetings, West Virginia has totally dominated Oklahoma State. This line is too short. Take West Virginia. |
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10-10-15 | Louisiana Tech v. Texas-San Antonio UNDER 62 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play Under* This is a game where I believe Louisiana Tech's physical defense can slow down UTSA's offense. Neither team plays very fast, so this is a pretty high total in these circumstances. This line has moved down throughout the week and I had this number at 56, so at the current price I would have passed on this one. Take the under if this line is 58 points or higher. Thank you. |
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10-10-15 | Oregon State v. Arizona OVER 62 | 7-44 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Arizona Wildcats get Anu Solomon back this weekend, and that will make a huge difference for the offense. Solomon is a great young quarterback and paired with Arizona's strong running game, he makes this offense tremendous. Oregon State has no answer for the Arizona offense. Scooby Wright is one of the nation's best defensive players, but he's out of the lineup for Arizona. The team's second best linebacker is also out of the lineup. Seth Collins is quickly improving in the Oregon State offense. Arizona's defense has looked really bad in recent weeks. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. |
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10-10-15 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska UNDER 49 | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 60 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total DOMINATION* The Wisconsin Badgers offense is a mess right now. Wisconsin doesn't quite have the offensive line they have had in recent years. They had one star at running back in Corey Clement, but he is out with an injury. The Badgers depth in the backfield is far weaker than it has been in the past. Nebraska's defense is good enough to load the box and force Joel Stave to beat them. Stave isn't good, and Alex Erickson is currently listed as doubtful. Erickson is the team's only playmaker at wide receiver. The Wisconsin defense is tremendous and I don't see Nebraska scoring too many here. Take the under. |
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10-10-15 | Wake Forest v. Boston College UNDER 37 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 39 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Play CFB Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles have a tremendous defense this year. They are ranked in the top five in the nation in every major defensive category. Boston College had a bad offense to start with, and now they are playing without their starting quarterback as well as their starting running back. Wake Forest is developing into a very nice defense under the leadership of Dave Clawson. Wake Forest still has a bunch of problems on offense. Here is two teams that are light years better on defense than offense. This is certainly a low number, but I think this is a very sloppy game that stays under. The under is 5-0 in Boston College's last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. The under is 11-1 in Wake Forest's last 12 October games. A 25-1 angle. Take the under. |
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10-10-15 | UMass v. Bowling Green OVER 74.5 | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 116 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* Light up the scoreboard in a big way for this one. Two of the top ten fastest paced teams in the country meet here, and both of these quarterbacks should have a huge game. Matt Johnson and Blake Frohnpafel both have a lot of playmakers to work with, and both of these defenses are just awful. In last year's meeting Bowling Green won 47-42. The Falcons had 668 yards of offense and UMass had 638! That's truly amazing, Â and I think we'll see something similar in this game. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected it. I would currently play it for a 3 star play. Thank you.*Â |
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10-10-15 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh -9.5 | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Pittsburgh Panthers are a much improved team with Pat Narduzzi as their head coach. Paul Chryst didn't do a very good job maximizing this team's talent, but Narduzzi is an excellent coach. Pittsburgh's defense has immediately gotten much better this year. The Panthers only allowed 100 total yards of offense at Virginia Tech in a really impressive performance. Virginia was awful in their home loss to Boise State last game. The Cavaliers offense is a mess, and they'll have no chance of running the ball in this one. Their quarterback is very shaky against pressure and he'll have a bunch of it Saturday. Virginia is 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 October games. The favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. A 10-0 angle. Take Pittsburgh. |
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10-10-15 | Middle Tennessee State v. Western Kentucky OVER 65 | 28-58 | Win | 100 | 115 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense racked up more than 700 yards in a loss to Middle Tennessee State last week. Western Kentucky's offense is led by senior quarterback Brandon Doughty. Doughty is the type of guy who spreads the ball around and gets rid of it quickly. They play an uptempo style and they'll keep the game moving here. MTSU has gotten great quarterback play from Stockstill as well, and this Western Kentucky defense still isn't good. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected this one earlier in the week. I would currently play this for 3 stars instead of 4. Thank you.* |
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10-10-15 | Tulane v. Temple -16 | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 58 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Tulane Green Wave picked up a win over UCF last week. It would be easy to think of that as a nice win based on what UCF has done in the past, but UCF is a bad team this year. Tulane scored 28 points off of turnovers last week. Tanner Lee and this Tulane offense haven't been any good against decent defenses this year. Temple is a good defense, and the Owls have had an extra day to prep for this game. It's Homecoming at Temple and the Owls struggled at Homecoming last year. Coach Matt Rhule has been prepping his team hard all week, and I don't think we'll see a letdown here. Tulane is mistake prone and this Temple defense should take advantage. I see a 20 plus point win. Take Temple. |
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10-10-15 | UTEP v. Florida International UNDER 50 | Top | 12-52 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 56 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Under* The UTEP Miners are an under team in my book right now. Aaron Jones was a great running back for the team, but he's out with an injury. They are also without their starting quaterback. FIU doesn't have much of an offense, but they do have a solid defense. I don't expect to see UTEP scoring much here. Also important in this one is the fact that both teams like to use a lot of play clock between snaps. A conservative game plan as well as some solid defense and bad offense makes this a big play on the under. *Note- this line has moved down since I selected it early in the week. At anything less than 45.5 would play for 4 stars, and 44.5 or lower I would play for 3 stars. Thank you. |
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10-04-15 | Minnesota Vikings v. Denver Broncos UNDER 43 | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 111 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Sunday's Best Bet* The Denver Broncos are not the same team they have been in the past. Denver is a defensive juggernaut this year. This team is stacked with talent on the defensive side of the ball. They can get after the quarterback as well as anyone in the league, and they have a good amount of run stuffers as well. Minnesota's defense is a unit I believe will continue to improve. Mike Zimmer is a great defensive mind, and I don't see his teams having too much trouble on defense. Peyton Manning is clearly regressing at this point in his career and Teddy Bridgewater has struggled in the past when pressured. I think both quarterbacks will be under pressure in this one. Denver is no longer the fast paced offense they used to be, and Minnesota is going to run the football a lot here. The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more last game. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 13-1 angle. Take the under. |
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10-04-15 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 47.5 | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* I'll admit that Andrew Luck now being listed as questionable is certainly a concern here. He was listed as probable when I initially made this selection. I still do believe it's more likely that he will play. The positive for the Colts is they do have a solid backup compared to some other teams in the league. Additionally, this Jacksonville defense isn't good, and they'll give up a lot of points often this year. On the other hand, I believe the Jacksonville offense is much better than it has been in previous years. Yeldon gives them a playmaker at running back and Blake Bortles is progressing well at the quarterback spot. Both of these teams can play with tempo as well. Take the over. |
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10-04-15 | NY Giants +5.5 v. Buffalo Bills | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 35 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bills are coming off a great win at Miami last week. Buffalo has looked really good in two games so far this year and really bad in the other. The thing about Buffalo in recent years is they haven't been good at building on their momentum. Buffalo is 9-20-1 ATS in their last 30 games following an ATS win. Even worse, they are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 following a straight up win. The New York Giants made some key errors that have them only 1-2 now, but this team has actually played well for the majority of the season. Eli Manning has been sharp and the Giants defense has looked great. Buffalo will be without LaSean McCoy and Sammy Watkins in this one. That's big because those are two big playmakers who take pressure off Tyrod Taylor. The Bills defense is very good, but I'm not convinced about this offense yet. The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards last game. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 on turf. The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 17-2 winning trend. Take the Giants. |
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10-03-15 | Notre Dame v. Clemson +1 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 92 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Notre Dame/Clemson CASH* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have played really well this year. They were a team I was really high on coming into the season. The problem for Notre Dame is they have some serious injury issues. They have six key players out for the season with injuries. Clemson has stayed relatively healthy so far this year. The Fighting Irish have been able to get by with backups for a while now, but this is easily their toughest test of the season. Clemson hosts College Gameday on Saturday and the environment will be great. This is a very tough place to play. Deshaun Watson and the Clemson offense are very good. Clemson's defense appears to be strong again under DC Brent Venables. This line is an odd one, and I think Clemson is getting disrespected here. The Tigers have had 2 weeks and 2 days to prep for this game. I like Clemson up to -2.5 for 4 stars. Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Clemson is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. A 12-1 angle. Take Clemson. |
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10-03-15 | Texas-San Antonio v. UTEP UNDER 60.5 | 25-6 | Win | 100 | 124 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Under the Radar Total* The UTEP Miners lost both their starting quarterback and running. UTSA returned 3 starters from last year's offense. These are two offenses in a lot of trouble right now. UTEP had a nice blueprint for winning games last year, and Sean Kugler has done a great job with this team. The problem is the blueprint was run the ball early and often with Aaron Jones, their running back, and now he is out for the year. No one else on the team is even close to as talented as him. UTEP will still try to run the ball, but they aren't likely to be nearly as successful. Both of these teams take a lot of time between plays which is important in a game with a relatively high total. Take the under. *Note this line has moved down a bit during the week. I would play this down to 56 points for 3 stars. Thank you* |
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10-03-15 | Washington State v. California OVER 66.5 | Top | 28-34 | Loss | -106 | 121 h 3 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Bears offense is excellent with Jared Goff under center. Sonny Dykes' system is perfect for a guy like Goff who can get rid of the ball quickly and spread the ball around to a bunch of different receivers. Cal ranks in the top five in the nation in terms of pace. Washington State isn't the type of team that will slow a game down. Mike Leach's offense is all about airing it out and playing with pace. Washington State's defense is among the worst in the nation among Power 5 conference teams (it may be the worst). When these two met last year I had the over and the game finished 60-59. While it's hard to expect that high of a game, I do think this sails over. I have this line at 79 points and I think that is being conservative. Big play for me here. Take the over big! *Note- This line has moved since I played it early in the week. I would play this for 5 stars up to 73 points and 4 stars up to 76. Thank you.* |
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10-03-15 | Wyoming v. Appalachian State -19.5 | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 141 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on App State* The Appalachian State Mountaineers host a really bad Wyoming Cowboys team this week. Appalachian State has always had a very nice home field advantage, and they have a lot more talent this year than they have had the past couple seasons. They are the team to beat in the Sun Belt. Wyoming is a real mess right now. The Cowboys can't stop anyone on defense, and Appalachian State should run all over them. I grabbed this number early in the week. I would play this for 4 stars to -23 and for 3 stars to -26. Take Appalachian State. |
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10-03-15 | Western Kentucky v. Rice OVER 69.5 | 49-10 | Loss | -106 | 121 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense is tremendous. Brandon Doughty is definitely one of the best quarterbacks in the country. It helps him that he has a tremendous deep group of receivers as well. The Rice defense has been exposed all season long. Last week they gave up 70 points to Baylor. Now, I'm not going to pretend that Western Kentucky has an offense like Baylor's, but it is very good. Rice will move the ball and score a lot too though. The Owls have a good veteran quarterback and they are up against a Western Kentucky defense that has been horrible in each of the past two seasons. The over is 4-0 in W Kentucky's last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games after giving up 450 yards or more. The over is 8-1 in W Kentucky's last 9 after giving up 280 yards or more through the air. A 20-1 angle. Take the over. |
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10-03-15 | Florida State v. Wake Forest UNDER 45 | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total Value* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have improved this year. Dave Clawson is a good coach, he just doesn't have much talent to work with in Winston Salem. Wake Forest will play hard though. The under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games. This is a team that can be very tough to score on, but Wake Forest has a very bad offense. Florida State's defense was disappointing last year, but they have been very good this season. The hurricane will be felt here with winds and heavy rain throughout the day. That should make for a very conservative game plan for both teams. Look for a lot of running the ball which keeps the clock ticking. Take the under. |
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10-03-15 | Miami (OH) v. Kent State UNDER 49 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 60 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB MAC Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes have a terrible offense and a decent defense. Miami is just a bad team overall. Miami is playing three different quarterbacks, and none of them have been any good. The weather is going to be a problem in this game with 20 mph winds and rain expected at gametime. That means more running from two teams who aren't good at running the ball. Miami won't score many points on anyone on the road this year, and Kent State's offense isn't good enough to expect a big win from them. Low scoring games have been the norm in this series. Take the under. *The line has dropped here due to the weather, but at 45 points or higher I'd still take this for 4 stars. Below that, I make it a 3 star play. Thank you.* |
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10-03-15 | Ohio -2.5 v. Akron | 14-12 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB ATS Play of Week* The Ohio Bobcats were my single biggest season win total over play of the year, and I still like the team a lot now. Ohio probably should have beaten Minnesota on the road last week, and the Golden Gophers have been a pretty good team in the past few years. Akron played very poorly earlier this year before putting together a nice game last week in Louisiana against the Ragin' Cajuns. Akron's problem is they have very little offense. The weather will be bad here, and Akron's running game has been terrible all year. Ohio's defense is arguably the best in the MAC. Ohio doesn't have a great offense, but it's better than Akron's. In a game where I don't see Akron scoring much at all, I think Ohio has enough of an edge in the trenches to win by more than a field goal. Ohio is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Akron is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 October games. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more. Ohio is 2-0 ATS in the last 2 meetings. A 20-0 angle. Take Ohio. |
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10-03-15 | Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 46.5 | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 117 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* Here we have a battle between two teams who play very similar styles of football. They both like to run the football and win with time of possession and defense. Wisconsin's defense has been great since they were a little shaky in week one against Alabama. Iowa's defense has been very solid as well. Without Corey Clement, the Wisconsin running game certainly isn't as strong as it has been in the past. Joel Stave isn't a good quarterback, and Iowa will try to make him beat them with his arm. Iowa is unlikely to have much offensive success here against a Wisconsin defense that always play very well at home. Both teams play slowly, so we'll slow a lot of long and slow drives. Take the under. |
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10-03-15 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech UNDER 52 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 117 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Virginia Tech Hokies defense should be very solid this year. Kendall Fuller going down with an injury definitely hurt them, but the Hokies still have a good secondary. Pittsburgh is unlikely to be able to consistently move it through the air here. Pittsburgh's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi as their head coach. Another big reason to like this play is the weather. With a hurricane not far away, wind and heavy rain is expected on Saturday afternoon in this game. Two teams that are quite conservative to start with will likely be running the football even more here. An ugly low scoring game is what I see for this contest. Take the under. *This line has dropped big in the last couple days due to bad weather in the area. I would play this for 3 stars at the current level. Thank you.* |
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10-03-15 | South Carolina v. Missouri UNDER 43 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 116 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Total* The Missouri Tigers offense has been a total disaster this year. On the other hand, Missouri still has a good defense. The Tigers will be playing with a new quarterback in this one as Mauk is suspended for the game. South Carolina has a freshman quarterback who has proven nothing playing on the road in a difficult environment here. Missouri's pass rush should make him very uncomfortable. There's no doubt that both offenses are worse than they have been in the past few years. Even in the last three years though, the total at the end of regulation was 41, 34, and 41 points. I don't think either team finds the end zone much here. Take the under. |
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10-03-15 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma OVER 59 | 24-44 | Win | 100 | 35 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star West Virginia/Oklahoma Totals CASH* The Oklahoma Sooners chose to switch up their offense entirely in the offseason, and it has worked beautifully. The Air Raid system with Lincoln Riley as the offensive coordinator and Baker Mayfield at quarterback has been tremendous right away. Oklahoma is averaging 41.3 points per game. West Virginia is unbeaten as well coming into this one. I do like this West Virginia team, but I think their defensive numbers are being artificially propped up because of their extremely weak early season schedule. Maryland is the worst team in the Big Ten right now. Georgia Southern is a Sun Belt team. Liberty isn't even an FBS opponent. Oklahoma should score quite a few here. The Sooners put up 45 on West Virginia in Morgantown last year, and that was before their improved offense under the Air Raid. West Virginia has a good balanced offense that should score on just about everyone they play this year. Oklahoma has a good defense, but they gave up 38 points against Tulsa, so they are definitely capable of getting beaten by the opposing offense. With both of these teams playing as fast as they do, a total of only 59 points is low. Take the over. |
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09-27-15 | Denver Broncos v. Detroit Lions UNDER 45 | 24-12 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night CASH* The Denver Broncos are a totally different team than they have been in recent years. Gone is the fast paced offense where they are going to air it out constantly. Denver is slowing the game down and winning with their defense. The Broncos have assembled a tremendous defense. I believe Denver has one of the five best defenses in the NFL. Peyton Manning isn't a bad quarterback now, but he's clearly not what he used to be. Detroit's offense has more question marks now, and Matt Stafford will play through pain in this one. Look for Denver's pass rush to really bother him in this one. The under is 16-6 in the Lions last 22 games. The public taking the over (as normal, especially for a primetime game) has given us a nice value play. Take the under. |
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09-27-15 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | 28-24 | Loss | -115 | 94 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Baltimore Ravens are in a must win situation here. They have started 0-2 after two very tough losses on the road. They return home, a place where they have had a bunch of success in the past. Cincinnati is 2-0 and the Bengals are feeling good about themselves. Andy Dalton has looked better so far this year, but a bad showing from Dalton is going to happen soon. The guy just isn't reliable at quarterback. How has he done against Baltimore in his career? The Ravens have intercepted him 12 times, which is more than any other team in the NFL. The Bengals defense isn't what they were a couple years ago with Mike Zimmer as defensive coordinator. Baltimore's offense should be able to get going here. John Harbaugh is a very good coach, and Baltimore knows how important this game is. This number is surprisingly low, and I believe it is an overreaction to how these teams have played in week one and two. Take Baltimore. |
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09-27-15 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. New England Patriots OVER 48 | 17-51 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars meet on Sunday afternoon. Jacksonville isn't a good team this year, but I do believe they are a much improved team. Blake Bortles and this passing game are improving quickly. Why is that important? Because as tremendous as the Patriots offense is, New England has a lot of holes in the secondary, and I do think the Jaguars can put up some points here. New England's offense has looked like a well-oiled machine this year and the Patriots are unlikely to be slowed down by the Jags defense here. The over is 35-16 in the Patriots last 51 games. Jacksonville has been picking up the tempo and playing quickly, especially when behind. They should be behind throughout in this one, and I think both teams get plenty of scoring chances here. Take the over. |
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09-26-15 | Texas State v. Houston -16.5 | 14-59 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Houston Cougars had a big win at Louisville two weeks ago. They had a nice bye week to take care of themselves and work out their issues last weekend. Texas State is coming off a game where they allowed 56 points and 613 yards to Southern Miss. They lost 56-50 in that game. Southern Miss' offense isn't spectacular by any means. Houston has a very good offense and they should score at will here. The Cougars defense is opportunistic and they should force some turnovers and get some stops as well. In 2012, Texas State beat Houston 30-13 as a 36 point underdog. Houston players have brought that up a couple times during the week this week. They'll get their revenge and win comfortably here. Houston is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 280 passing yards or more last game. They are also 9-0 ATS in their last 9 coming off a bye week when they are playing an opponent who lost last week. An 18-0 angle. Take Houston. |
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09-26-15 | Arkansas State v. Toledo OVER 60.5 | 7-37 | Loss | -106 | 76 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves met at the end of last season in a bowl game. Toledo won that game 63-44. It's odd to see a total this much lower after a game like that. Toledo's defense is definitely better than it was last year, but Arkansas State has been able to move the ball against everyone they play this year. Blake Anderson's Arkansas State always pushes the tempo and Toledo is playing at a faster pace so far this year. There should be a bunch of snaps in this one, and both teams have a lot of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Take the over here. |
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09-26-15 | Oklahoma State -3.5 v. Texas | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 135 h 13 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Big 12 ATS Play* The Texas Longhorns played a little better last week, at least offensively, against Cal. A lot of people are rushing to call the bottom for Texas, but I like this Oklahoma State team. Mason Rudolph is a far better quarterback than anyone Texas has. Heard is an upgrade from Swoopes for Texas, but the Oklahoma State defense is a bigger test than Cal's was. The road team has done well in this series, and I still think Texas has some chemistry problems. Look for Oklahoma State to win by a touchdown or more. Take Oklahoma State. |
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09-26-15 | Miami (OH) v. Western Kentucky OVER 66 | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 117 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Selection* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a way of making games very high scoring. I won my college football game of the year last weekend with the Western Kentucky over against Indiana. Brandon Doughty and this offense can throw at will against mediocre defenses, and Miami's defense is far worse than mediocre. Western Kentucky should be able to name their score here. At the same time, Miami found something on offense last week against Cincinnati, and this Western Kentucky has a way of making just about everyone's offense look good. Take the over. |
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09-26-15 | Tennessee v. Florida UNDER 53.5 | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 25 m | Show | |
*4 Star Tennessee/Florida Total* The Florida Gators still have an elite defense. Florida is also still offensively challenged. They scored 14 points in a titanic struggle of a game against Kentucky last weekend. Of course, Florida only allowed 9 points in that one and they won the game. Tennessee played Western Carolina last week. The Volunteers need to prove they can bounce back from their disappointing home loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago. The Volunteers are improving defensively. I don't see either offense having consistent success throughout this game. Take the under. *Note- this line has moved since I selected it early in the week. I would recommend this as a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play down to 46 points. Thank you.* |
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09-26-15 | Ohio v. Minnesota UNDER 46.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Golden Gophers could only muster 10 points against a terrible Kent State defense last week. Ohio is a much better team than Kent State. The Bobcats could give Minnesota a really tough time on Saturday. Minnesota's defense is scrappy, and I don't think Ohio will score many points here either. This is the type of game where viewers will likely be disappointed because of the sloppiness of the game, but under bettors should cash in. Look for a field goal battle and a game that finishes well below the posted total. The under is 5-0 in Ohio's last 5 after gaining 280 yards through the air. The under is 8-1 in Ohio's last 9 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 8-1 in Minnesota's last 9 after allowing 170 or less yards through the air. A 21-2 angle. Take the under. |
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09-26-15 | UMass +28.5 v. Notre Dame | 27-62 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Situational Spot Play* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are off a big win over Georgia Tech last week. They also play at Clemson next weekend. Sandwiched in between is their game this weekend against UMass. This is a solid sandwich spot play to start with, but it's even better because of Notre Dame's massive injury issues this year. Why wouldn't Notre Dame go to the third stringers late in this game to protect everyone else? It's the perfect opportunity to do so. I think UMass has no shot to win, but a good shot at covering. We're getting more than four touchdowns here and Blake Frohnapfel and the UMass passing attack is more than capable of scoring some late touchdowns. Take UMass. |
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09-26-15 | New Mexico v. Wyoming OVER 56 | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 117 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Wyoming Cowboys and the New Mexico Lobos have something in common: they both have an awful defense. Wyoming hasn't been able to stop anyone all year, and New Mexico's unique pistol/option offense will be a big challenge for them. Wyoming has a decent running game, and New Mexico is terrible at stopping the run. The last two years these teams have played to a 38-31 and 36-30 final.  Usually a lot of running is good for the under, but in this case I don't think it is since both run defenses are terrible. I expect this one to get into the 60's as well. Take the over. |
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09-26-15 | Rice v. Baylor OVER 74 | 17-70 | Win | 100 | 38 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Art Briles hasn't been happy with the Baylor Bears play so far this year. Baylor hasn't had the same type of killer instinct they had in the last couple years. After a week off last week, I think there's a good chance they come out ready to play here. Rice has a bad defense that is especially weak in the secondary. Baylor has all the weapons to expose that problem. Baylor scored 59 points or more seven times in 2013 and four times last year. I think they have a good chance to do it here. Baylor's defense hasn't looked good so far this year, and Rice should be score to get on the board a few times in this one. Take the over. |
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09-26-15 | Northern Illinois v. Boston College UNDER 47.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 115 h 47 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Boston College Eagles offense wasn't good at all to start the season. Now, they have to play the rest of the year without their starting quarterback. Starter Darius Wade was lost for the season. Steve Addazio has said he hasn't decided who will start on Saturday. That usually isn't a good sign. Boston College has very little talent to work with on offense overall. At the same time, Addazio's teams always play some very good defense. Northern Illinois showed how good they can be on defense last week in Columbus against Ohio State. It's hard to imagine either team getting past 20 points or so here. The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in BC's last 4 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the MAC. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. |
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09-26-15 | Central Florida v. South Carolina UNDER 47 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 114 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The South Carolina Gamecocks aren't even close to the same team they were a couple years ago. The exact same thing can be said of the UCF Knights. Both of these teams have been terrible so far this year. The primary problem for both of these teams is their offense. I expect that to continue this weekend. Both of these teams have good coaches and I think they'll work hard this weekend. The problem for these two is they have a major lack of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Look for a lot of long drawn out drives that fall short of the end zone. The under is 7-0 in the Knights last 7 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the SEC. The under is 6-0 in S Carolina's last 6 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 170 yards or less through the air. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. |
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