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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-13-12 | Texas A&M v. Louisiana Tech OVER 79 | 59-57 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Texas A&M Aggies offense is starting to get rolling. Kevin Sumlin's fast-paced offense struggled early in the year, but Johnny Manziel is getting it going of late. Louisiana Tech's defense has been torched through the air this year. The Bulldogs allowed an eye-popping 580 yards through the air in a win at Houston earlier this year. On the other side, the Bulldogs offense is tremendous. Louisiana Tech is averaging 53.2 points per game this year, which is fourth best in the nation. The weakness of the Aggies defense is their secondary, and that will be a big problem this week. The over is 5-0 in LA Tech's last 5 games. Look for a shootout. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech OVER 78 | 14-49 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Offensive Explosion* The West Virginia Mountaineers now rival the Oregon Ducks as having the team with the most high-octane offense in the nation. Geno Smith has thrown 24 touchdowns and ZERO interceptions. He is clearly the Heisman front runner for great reason. Texas Tech's pass defense has been ranked at the top of the charts all year, but that will end quickly after this one. The Red Raiders shut down a ton of weak offenses and they'll be torched by West Virginia in this one. On the other side, Texas Tech has a nice quarterback in Seth Doege. West Virginia's defense is nothing special. I think both teams get to 40 points here. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | Fresno State +7.5 v. Boise State | 10-20 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar ATS* The Boise State Broncos aren't the same team they were the past couple years. Boise State lost a ton after last year, and it is finally showing up on the field. Kellen Moore was a star, and Joe Southwick is only a mediocre quarterback. Chris Petersen is a great coach, but he is missing play makers on offense this year. Fresno State is the team that has play makers right now. Derek Carr is a very solid quarterback, and Robbie Rouse is a terrific running back who catches it well out of the backfield. Fresno State is 6-0 ATS so far this year. The Broncos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take Fresno State.
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10-13-12 | Maryland v. Virginia UNDER 45.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Maryland Terrapins have been making progress this year. Randy Edsall's team is making progress because they can play defense. Edsall has instilled his defensive toughness on this team, and it is showing on the field. West Virginia even struggled at times against the Terrapins defense. For the season, Maryland is allowing only 257 yards per game (7th in the nation). Virginia's offense is inconsistent, and I don't expect them to break out of their slump this week. As good as Maryland has been on defense, their offense has been terrible. The Terrapins rank 121st out of 124 teams in the nation in total offense. The under is 8-1 in the Cavs last 9 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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10-13-12 | Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 66.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Ball State Cardinals have had high scoring games every week this year. Ball State has transitioned to a new fast-pace offense in the past year, and it is paying dividends in a big way now. The Cardinals only scored two touchdowns in 7 trips inside the red zone last weekend, but they'll face a poor defense this week. Western Michigan gave up 35 points against Ball State last year. On the other side, Western Michigan's passing attack is solid and the Cardinals secondary isn't good. Expect both teams to move the ball well through the air in this one. The over is 11-2-1 in Ball State's last 14 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at Ball State. I think this one gets into the low-mid 70's. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | North Carolina v. Miami (Florida) OVER 68.5 | 18-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The North Carolina Tar Heels are getting accustomed to Larry Fedora's uptempo offense, and it is starting to work well. The Tar Heels like to wear defenses down, and that has been exactly what they are doing over the last few weeks. Bryn Renner is a budding star at the quarterback spot. Renner already has 1,600 passing yards this year. Giovanni Bernard piled up a record 262 rushing yards last week against Virginia Tech. The Hokies defense was supposed to be strong, but North Carolina put up 48 points. Miami's defense is very weak. The Hurricanes have allowed 32 points or more against every FBS team they have played this year. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | Kent State +1.5 v. Army | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 131 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Kent State Golden Flashes were a big play of mine last weekend, and they came through in a big way. Kent State beat down the Eastern Michigan Eagles 41-14 on the road. I really like what Coach Darrell Hazzell is doing at Kent State right now. The Golden Flashes have a solid defense, especially in the front seven. Kent State allows only 125 rushing yards per game. The secondary is a bit weak, but Army simply doesn't have the type of offense to expose any weakness in the secondary. On the other side, Kent State's running game has become a weapon, and their offensive front should have a big advantage against an undersized Army defensive front. Kent State is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 on field turf. Army is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against teams with a winning record. Take Kent State.
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10-13-12 | Northwestern -3 v. Minnesota | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 ATS Value* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a very good football coach, but this is not a good team at all. After a 4-0 start, they were exposed in last week's 31-13 loss at Iowa. Minnesota's offense is without play maker MarQueis Gray (he may be back for limited action this week) and this team simply doesn't have consistency on the offensive end. Northwestern laid an egg in the fourth quarter last week at Penn State, but I still believe the Wildcats are a pretty good team. Pat Fitzgerald is one of the best in the nation at getting the most out of his talent. This Wildcats fights all the way through the game. Northwestern's secondary is weak, but the Golden Gophers can't throw it much at all. The Wildcats have the much better running game. Look for Northwestern to bounce back from a tough loss last week. Take the Wildcats.
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10-13-12 | UAB v. Houston OVER 67 | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Houston Cougars offense took some time to get going this year, but they are rolling once again. It is the passing attack behind David Piland that is really clicking right now. Houston averages 344 passing yards per game. UAB's defense is allowing 33.8 points per game this year. On the other side, Houston's defense is bad once again this season. The Cougars are giving up almost 500 yards of total offense per game. Houston allows 32 points per game. UAB's passing attack has been very good of late. UAB put up 42 points in a loss to Tulsa last week. I don't see many stops in this one. Take the over.
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10-07-12 | Green Bay Packers -6.5 v. Indianapolis Colts | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie SMASHER* The Green Bay Packers may only be 2-2, but they are definitely still one of the elite teams in the league. Indianapolis should get better with Andrew Luck at the helm, but they still have tons of holes in their roster right now. Vontae Davis is the Colts best corner, and he'll miss this game. That's not a good recipe for success against Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers passing attack. Dwight Freeney is questionable, and the Colts don't have the pass rush they used to have. The Packers defense should get after Andrew Luck in a big way in this game. The Packers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. Take Green Bay.
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10-07-12 | Baltimore Ravens -6 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 9-6 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens are one of the best teams in the NFL right now because of their balance. Baltimore has one of the best play makers in the league in Ray Rice. Rice can do it all. Joe Flacco is no longer a weakness, but now he is a strength at quarterback. The Ravens defense is still very good with play makers like Ngata, Lewis, and Reed leading the way. Kansas City has been blown out twice at home already this year. The Chiefs are one-dimensional on offense and I think the Ravens will make Matt Cassel beat them with his arm. On defense, the Chiefs were one of the worst in the NFL last year, and they still are fairly weak this year. Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a double digit home loss. Take Baltimore.
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10-07-12 | Miami Dolphins v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the week* The Cincinnati Bengals have gone on the road and beaten the Washington Redskins and the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Bengals offense has been very good this year, while the defense has been dinged up. The Bengals defense should have Dre Kirkpatrick and Nate Clements both in the secondary this week, and that will help a ton. Miami's Ryan Tannehill is a rookie who hasn't been consistent at all this year, and I don't see him lighting up this Bengals defense. On the other side, the weakness of the Miami defense is their secondary. A.J. Green is quickly becoming a star in this league. No one in this Miami secondary will be able to slow him down. The Bengals are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Cincinnati is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 following a straight up win. Take the Bengals.
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10-06-12 | Washington v. Oregon OVER 64.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 124 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* The Washington Huskies defense was horrible last season. The Huskies defense has been surprisingly decent this year, but they haven't played anyone with even close to the level of offensive talent that Oregon has. The Ducks probably have the most dynamic offense in the nation. Oregon is averaging 52.4 points per game, and I'll be surprised if they don't get close to that level again this week. They just have too many weapons and too much speed for the Huskies defense. Washington has a very good quarterback in Keith Price, and I expect the Huskies to be able to do some scoring of their own in this one too. The over is 20-7 in Oregon's last 27 conference games. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Michigan v. Purdue +3 | 44-13 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 ATS Play* The Michigan Wolverines have been disappointing so far this year. Denard Robinson seems to have regressed as a passer. Robinson has thrown two more interceptions than touchdowns so far this season. Overall, the Michigan offense is ranked 76th in the nation so far this year. They simply aren't performing up to the level they were last year. On defense, the front four is much weaker without Mike Martin. Opponents are rushing for 182 yards per game against the Wolverines. Purdue is a good balanced offense that should be able to put up points here. The Boilermakers front seven on defense is very good, and I think they'll force Robinson to beat them with his arm. Purdue is a much better team than many people realize. I like Purdue in this one.
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10-06-12 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson OVER 73 | 31-47 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the triple option as well as anyone, and I don't think Clemson has the personnel to stop the Yellow Jackets running game. At the same time, Georgia Tech's defense simply isn't very good. Clemson has one of the most dynamic offenses in the nation. The Tigers put up 37 points against a great Florida State defense. Clemson has the type of offense that could score 45-50 points in a game like this. Tajh Boyd has his best play maker back this weekend as Sammy Watkins has been cleared to play. Boyd is one of the best quarterbacks in the land, and he should have a great game here. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Tulsa v. Marshall OVER 67.5 | Top | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 117 h 38 m | Show |
*6 Star College Football Play of the Year!* This one sets up to a be huge play for me. Tulsa's offense averages 42 points per game. The Golden Hurricane average 245 rushing yards per game, which is 12th in the nation. Marshall's weakness as a defense is the front seven, and opponents are averaging 225 rushing yards per game. Overall, the Thundering Herd are allowing a ridiculous 44.4 points per game. On the other side, Marshall ranks third in the nation in passing offense. The Thundering Herd average 395 yards per game through the air thanks to super sophomore Rakeem Cato. Cato leads the nation in passing yards. Tulsa's secondary is definitely the weakness of the defense. UAB threw for 337 yards on Tulsa last weekend. Marshall is putting up 41 points per game this year. Marshall scored 34 points against West Virginia and 41 against a pretty good Purdue defense. Both of these teams are teams I look to play the over with, and I was prepared to play a much higher number than this on the over. My numbers have this game projected at 82 points. Look for a major shootout in this one. Take the over in a very big way!
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10-06-12 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State OVER 67 | Top | 35-23 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total Domination* Ball State has quickly becoming a scoring machine over the past couple years. If you look at Ball State's games this year, the combined score at the end of their games has been: 79, 80, 58, and 88 points. Northern Illinois and Ball State played to a 41-38 final last year. Two years ago the final was 59-21. Northern Illinois has a great play maker at quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Northern Illinois put up 55 points on Central Michigan last weekend. This is one of those games where I think both teams are very capable of putting up 40 points. This is a total I would have played up to 74 points. The over is 6-0-1 in Ball State's last 7 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Ball State's last 4 when allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Ball State. Take the over big!
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10-06-12 | Kent State -3 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 18 h 39 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Early Bird Special* The Eastern Michigan Eagles made some pretty significant process last year, but they have taken some steps backward with the program this year. Inexperience at the quarterback spot definitely has quite a bit to do with it. Eastern Michigan's offense ranks 121st out of 124 teams in the nation in total yards per game. They are averaging just 15.8 points per game. On the other side of the ball, Eastern Michigan's defense is dead last in the nation in rushing defense right now. They are allowing a ridiculous 301.5 yards per game on the ground. Kent State has two very good running backs who should exploit that weakness. I like what coach Darrell Hazell is doing at Kent State. The Golden Flashes have a good front seven, and since Eastern Michigan really can't throw the ball much at all, that should give Kent State the edge on defense as well. I think Kent State should be favored by a touchdown here. Kent State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Take Kent State big here.
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10-06-12 | Boston College v. Army OVER 56 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* Boston College is a completely different team than they were a year ago. Chase Rettig leads an impressive passing attack for the Eagles. Boston College is putting up more than 300 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College's defense took a big hit when Kuechly graduated after last season. Army is second in the nation in rushing yards, and I think they'll be able to run the ball well against a fairly weak Boston College front seven. Army's defense has given up more than 40 points in three of their five games this year. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over.
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09-30-12 | Washington Redskins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 47.5 | 24-22 | Loss | -103 | 110 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense has been unstoppable so far this year. Robert Griffin III has been amazing through his first three weeks in the NFL. Washington has scored 40, 28, and 31 points in the first three weeks of the season. Tampa Bay's defense was good against Carolina and Dallas, but they allowed Eli Manning to throw for more than 500 yards in a 41-34 loss to the Giants. Don't forget that Tampa Bay was dead last in the NFL in total defense a year ago. Washington should score quite a few here again. Tampa Bay's offense is improved this year as well. Dating back to last season, Washington's defense has allowed 31 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. Tampa Bay should pile up the yards and points against a poor Redskins secondary. The over is 4-0-1 in the Redskins last 5. The over is 21-7-1 in the Bucs last 29 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
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09-30-12 | Cincinnati Bengals -1 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 142 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Cincinnati Bengals went on the road and defeated the Washington Redskins last week. Cincinnati's offense is firing on all cylinders right now. The Bengals have a great tandem in quarterback Andy Dalton and A.J. Green. Jermaine Gresham is also a solid tight end, and the offensive line is strong for the Bengals. Cincinnati's defense has struggled this year, but their struggles are in the secondary. Jacksonville isn't a team that is good at just airing it out. Blaine Gabbert hasn't proven he can consistently sling it around. I think the Bengals offense will be a little too much for Jacksonville to keep up with here. The Jaguars are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a losing record. Take Cincinnati.
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09-30-12 | New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills OVER 50.5 | 52-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New England Patriots are off to a slow 1-2 start. The Patriots are unlikely to drop to 1-3, but the Bills do pose some problems for their defense. New England has scored at least 34 points in each of their last 4 meetings against Buffalo. Look for Tom Brady and his receivers to get on track in a big way in this one. At the same time, the Bills are starting to get healthier and the Patriots defense isn't very good. There is no reason to expect New England to shut down Buffalo here. The two meetings last year ended at 34-31 and 49-21. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo's last 4 week 4 games. The over is 4-0-1 in Buffalo's last 5 vs. the AFC East. The over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 road games. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -29.5 | 14-33 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Bookie BEATDOWN* The Alabama Crimson Tide seem to be in a league of their own right now. Alabama has dominated every team they have played this year. Nick Saban's team has speed and strength all over the field on both sides of the ball. Ole Miss is way down from where they were a couple years ago. They allowed 66 points a couple weeks ago against Texas at home. Alabama beat Ole Miss 52-7 last year in Mississippi. Mississippi is very turnover prone right now, and Alabama is absolutely a team that will take advantage of that. Look for this game to get very ugly. Take Alabama.
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09-29-12 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 50 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers dominated the Nebraska Cornuskers 48-17 last year in the Cornhuskers first game in the Big 10. Nebraska will definitely be looking for revenge in this night game in Lincoln. The Nebraska offense has been much better this year as Taylor Martinez has developed his passing game in a big way. Wisconsin's defense is down a bit, and Nebraska should be able to take advantage. At the same time, I expect Wisconsin to be able to run the ball well against Nebraska's relatively weak front seven. This total is too low for me to pass up. The over is 10-4 in Wisconsin's last 14. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Western Kentucky v. Arkansas State +120 | 26-13 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Moneyline CASH* Western Kentucky is a much improved team, but I think they are starting to get a little too much love from the oddsmakers. Western Kentucky edged out Kentucky and then beat Southern Miss last week. Neither of those teams are any good, and Western Kentucky still has some question marks on the offensive side. Arkansas State has a great quarterback in Ryan Aplin. The Red Wolves can pile up the points in bunches, and I'm not sure Western Kentucky can keep up. Arkansas State beat Western Kentucky on the road last year, and now we get them at plus money at home. Remember, Arkansas State has only lost to Oregon and Nebraska this year. That high level of competition should help here. Take Arkansas State.
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09-29-12 | Boise State v. New Mexico +26 | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 42 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* Boise State is still a good team, but they are definitely several notches lower than they were the last few years. The Broncos haven't scored an offensive touchdown in two of their games so far this year (BYU, and Michigan St). Bob Davie has a major project ahead of him in turning around this New Mexico team, but there are already signs that he is doing a nice job. New Mexico beat rival New Mexico State on the road as a big underdog last week. The Lobos are committed to running the ball a ton each game and keeping the clock running. That strategy should help this game stay closer than many expect. Take New Mexico.
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09-29-12 | Arizona State v. California OVER 57.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total* Arizona State's offense is high-octane now with Todd Graham as the head coach. The Sun Devils are all about trying to pick up the tempo of the game and put points on the board in a hurry. I think Cal's games are being lined too low this year because the team had a good defense last year. The Cal defense is nothing like it was a year ago. Arizona State should pick them apart through the air. On the other side, Cal certainly has the ability to put up quite a few points on Arizona State as well. The over is 10-2 in Arizona State's last 12 conference games. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Clemson v. Boston College OVER 58 | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 117 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Total SMASHER* The Clemson Tigers offense is one of the best in the nation. Clemson piled up 37 points against a great Florida State defense last week. Boston College's defense is down quite a bit from a year ago, and Clemson scored 36 on them last season. Boston College does have a much improved passing game this year. The Eagles are putting up 317 passing yards per contest so far this year. Chase Rettig has really stepped up at the quarterback spot. Clemson's defense isn't very good right now, and Boston College should be able to score plenty as well. I think this one gets into the mid 60's or higher. Take the over big.
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09-29-12 | Marshall +17 v. Purdue | 41-51 | Win | 100 | 39 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Dog of the Day* Who is the nation's leader in passing yards so far this year? You probably didn't guess Marshall's Rakeem Cato, but Cato is at the top of the charts. The sophomore quarterback has been great for the Thundering Herd offense. Marshall is averaging 561 yards of offense per game through 4 games this year. They are putting up 41 points per game. Purdue has a good defense, but I don't think they can completely shut down Cato and the Marshall offense. Purdue is 2-6 ATS following a bye week. Look for the Boilers to win, but Marshall should keep it closer than most think. Take Marshall.
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09-29-12 | Nevada v. Texas State OVER 62.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* Nevada's offense is extremely tough to stop every single year, and this year is no different. Chris Ault's Pistol offense is unique and very difficult to scheme against. Stefphon Jefferson leads the nation in rushing right now. Jefferson rushed for 6 touchdowns in last week's game alone! Cody Fajardo is a very underrated quarterback for Nevada, and he should have a field day against a terrible Texas State secondary. On the other side, Nevada's defense is horrible. The Wolfpack are 108th in the nation in total defense, and they are allowing 475 yards per game. Texas State should be able to get on the board plenty of times here too. Don't be surprised if this one goes well over the total. Take the over big!
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09-29-12 | Buffalo v. Connecticut UNDER 44 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bulls are expected to be without star running back Branden Oliver in this one. Oliver is basically one-man show for the Bulls on a weekly basis, so if he does indeed miss this game the offense (which is already bad), will really be hurting. Buffalo is 112th in the nation in passing. UConn's defense has been spectacular this year. The Huskies are fifth in the nation in total defense. They are third in rushing defense (allowing only 57.5 yards per game). UConn's offense isn't very strong, and they don't really have the type of team to light up the scoreboard against many teams. The under is 9-0 in Buffalo's last 9 games after allowing 200 rushing yards in the previous game. I like the under here.
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09-23-12 | Houston Texans -1 v. Denver Broncos | 31-25 | Win | 100 | 93 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Houston Texans are one of the most complete teams in the NFL this year. No team in the league has a better running game than the Texans. The offensive line is very good, and Matt Schaub is a quality quarterback. Andre Johnson is one of the best receivers in the business. It is the defensive end where this team has improved most. The Texans secondary used to be a liability, but now it is a strength. The front seven is great pressuring the quarterback. Peyton Manning showed plenty of rust this past Monday. The Broncos running game isn't very good, and I expect the Texans to get heat on Manning. Denver's defense isn't bad, but they aren't up to par with the Texans defense. Houston is better in all phases of the game. I think the Texans are definitely undervalued here. Denver is 0-6-1 ATS when playing on Sunday following a Monday night football appearance. The Texans are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a game where they allowed 15 points or less. Take Houston.
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09-23-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Washington Redskins OVER 48.5 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 89 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals offense woke up nicely last week against Cleveland. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green are a great pass and catch tandem. The Bengals offensive front is strong, which should allow them to run the ball some as well. RG3 has been spectacular through the first two weeks, and the Bengals defense has been very disappointing. Cincinnati's secondary has been beaten deep far too many times through just two weeks. The Bengals are dinged up at the linebacker spot as well, and that will hurt when trying to keep Griffin inside the pocket. Look for Griffin to run around on the Bengals and make plays outside the pocket. Both teams should put up quite a few points. The over is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in the Redskins last 4 games overall. Take the over.
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09-23-12 | San Francisco 49ers -6.5 v. Minnesota Vikings | 13-24 | Loss | -104 | 61 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The San Francisco 49ers look like they might have the best team in football right now. They are absolutely taking on the mentality of their coach. This is a very tough team that will run through walls if they have to. Alex Smith showed a ton of heart last weekend, and Michael Crabtree is finally coming into his own. The 49ers defense is awesome against the run, and I don't think the Vikings can beat them through the air. Harbaugh's team doesn't have very many letdown type games, and I don't expect them to play down to their competition in this one. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take San Francisco.
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09-22-12 | Arizona v. Oregon OVER 75 | Top | 0-49 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* I had this game circled before the lines came out this week. This is a game I was willing to play the 'over' on at 80 points, so I like the value here. Arizona's fast-paced offense under Rich Rodriguez should be able to score points. The Wildcats have scored 56 and 59 points in the last two weeks. The Arizona defense is very bad, and Oregon is more than capable of scoring on every possession here. The Ducks have what I believe is the most impressive offense in the nation at this point. Marcus Mariota is the real deal at quarterback, and there isn't a better play maker in the country than D'Anthony Thomas. Oregon has scored at least 42 points in every game this year, and that is with taking the starters out by halftime. The Ducks starters should get more time in this Pac 12 contest. Don't be surprised if Oregon gets 55-60 points here. The tempo of this game should be about as fast as you'll see in college football all year. The over is 23-6-1 in Oregon's last 30 home games. The over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 games following a straight up win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over big!
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09-22-12 | Air Force v. UNLV OVER 54.5 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Air Force is a unique team because they don't move at a quick pace, but they ran the ball extremely well and they have a bad defense. Air Force is first in the nation in rushing yards per game at 390 yards per contest. UNLV's defense is pathetic against the run. The Falcons ran for 394 yards against UNLV last year, and I expect more of the same this season. The difference in this year's UNLV team is that the offense is a bit better. Cornett is a decent running back, and Nick Sherry gives the team a solid upgrade at the quarterback spot. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
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09-22-12 | Fresno State v. Tulsa -5.5 | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Oddsmaker Error* Fresno State absolutely blitzed Colorado 69-14 at home last week. It seems the books took that heavily into account when lining this game. Colorado is a horrible team, and it seems they have given up at this point. I really don't think too much should be read into Fresno State's huge win over the Buffaloes. Tulsa has been a great home team over the past few years, and they have quite a few more athletes than most people realize. Douglas and Watts are a terrific tailback tandem for Tulsa, and Green is a solid quarterback. Fresno State hasn't been good against the run in recent years, and this Tulsa team can run the ball very well. Tulsa is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning road record. Take Tulsa.
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09-22-12 | San Jose State +3.5 v. San Diego State | 38-34 | Win | 100 | 68 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of Week* The San Jose State Spartans were underrated by everyone (myself included) at the beginning of the year. This is a team that is really on its way up right now. The Spartans outplayed Stanford for much of the game in their season opener and only lost by three points to the Cardinal. That loss looks even more impressive now that Stanford took care of USC last weekend. The Spartans then blasted Colorado State by 20 last weekend. San Diego State struggled to beat North Dakota 49-41 last week. The Aztecs offense has struggled against decent defenses this year. I really think San Jose State should be favored in this game. San Jose State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. San Diego State is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after picking up 200 yards of rushing in the previous game. Take San Jose State here.
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09-22-12 | Temple v. Penn State -7 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 64 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value* Last week I played successfully on the Penn State Nittany Lions. I believed that people had gotten too low on this team, and I think that is still the case in this matchup. Penn State certainly has plenty of question marks this year, but they still have a great front seven. Temple cannot throw the ball consistently, and the Owls defense isn't nearly as good as they were a year ago. Temple was beaten by nine at home by a poor Maryland team. Penn State is playing hard for Bill O'Brien, and I think they cover in this one. Take the Nittany Lions.
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09-22-12 | Kansas v. Northern Illinois OVER 51 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Northern Illinois lost 45-42 in a real shootout last year at Kansas. Both teams offenses have appeared a bit worse so far this year, but this number is far too low. James Sims should be back from a suspension for Kansas, and that will give them a good tailback. Northern Illinois has a great running quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Neither defense has been any good the last couple years (Kansas allowed 37 points per game last year), and I don't think they'll be very good this year either. Look for both offenses to move the ball well in this one. Take the over.
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09-22-12 | Marshall v. Rice +3 | 54-51 | Push | 0 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM ATS* Marshall and Rice squared off last year at Marshall, and the Thundering Herd won in the closing minutes of that game by a score of 24-20. Rice is a team that has plenty of defensive flaws, but I do believe the Owls are moving in the right direction. They beat a solid Purdue team at home last year, and they went on the road and beat Kansas earlier this year. Marshall hasn't proven they can win on the road, and Marshall is a one-dimensional offense. Rice's defensive weakness is against the run, but Marshall has no real running threat in the backfield. The Owls should win this game at home, but I'll gladly take the points.
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09-22-12 | Connecticut v. Western Michigan +105 | 24-30 | Win | 105 | 46 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Moneyline Smasher* UConn is a better team than they were last year, but I still don't think they are that good. The Huskies beat a poor Maryland team on the road last week, and I think they are getting too much credit for that win. UConn's offense is terrible, and they are relying on their defense to do it all. Western Michigan can score points at home with dual-threat quarterback Alex Carder leading the way. The Broncos should be able to throw it on the the Huskies secondary. Western Michigan is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. UConn is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. Take the Broncos.
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09-22-12 | Maryland v. West Virginia OVER 62 | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers have a true Heisman Trophy contender at quarterback in Geno Smith. Smith has as many touchdown passes (9) as he does incompletions so far this year! Dana Holgorsen's offense is perfect for Smith and the Mountaineers two star receivers: Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey. Maryland's defense has been solid against horrible offenses this year, but this is their first true test. It won't surprise me at all if the Mountaineers put up 50 points or more here. Maryland's running game should bust a couple long plays as well. The over is 4-0 in the Mountaineers last 4 September games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is 7-1 in Maryland's last 8 non-conference games. Take the over.
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09-16-12 | Dallas Cowboys v. Seattle Seahawks +3.5 | 7-27 | Win | 100 | 44 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Dallas Cowboys were impressive in week one in New York. Still, I don't think we should overreact to one week of results. The Seahawks are a very tough team to beat at home, and the Cowboys still have a ton of question marks. The Seattle front seven is terrific, and Murray will likely struggle in this one. Russell Wilson was decent in his first NFL start, and I expect him to be better in his home debut. Few stadiums are as difficult to play in as Seattle, and the Cowboys have had trouble here before. Dallas is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Take the Seahawks and the points.
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09-16-12 | Minnesota Vikings v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 44.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Andrew Luck threw for more than 300 yards in his NFL debut, but he threw three interceptions. The Bears secondary is very good, so that was a tough matchup for Luck. The Vikings secondary will likely start three rookies in this one, and I think Luck will have a much easier time in this one. On the other side, the Colts will be without Dwight Freeney so the pass rush won't get to Ponder as much. In addition, the Colts are terrible against the run. Adrian Peterson should be able to gash the Colts for quite a few yards in this one. Both offenses should have the edge in this game. Take the over.
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09-16-12 | Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 v. Buffalo Bills | 17-35 | Loss | -116 | 44 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Kansas City Chiefs were crushed 41-7 in the season opener last year by the Buffalo Bills. The Bills fell apart late in the year, and the Chiefs came on late in the year. Kansas City has the better defense here, and they are stacked at running back. Charles is healthy again and he is great, and Peyton Hillis is a terrific backup. Fred Jackson is out for this one, which hurts the Bills a ton. David Nelson is also out, and Ryan Fitzpatrick has been shaky of late. I think the Chiefs are the better team, so I love getting the points here. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take Kansas City.
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09-16-12 | Cleveland Browns v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Battle of Ohio ATS* The Cleveland Browns only lost by a point to the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend, but they were dominated in the stat book. The Eagles outgained them by almost 250 yards. Philadelphia turned the ball over 5 times to keep Cleveland in the game. Cincinnati was thrashed 44-13 by the Ravens in week one. The Bengals were only down 17-13 late in the third quarter before it all fell apart. I saw some positives for the Bengals in that loss. Cincinnati's offensive line was getting a good push against a great Ravens defensive front. The Bengals seem to have more balance on offense now. The Browns are without star corner Joe Haden. The Bengals should win comfortably in this one. Take the Bengals.
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09-16-12 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers OVER 50.5 | Top | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 155 h 43 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL Play of the Week* The New Orleans Saints defense was absolutely chewed up by RG3 and the Redskins last week. Griffin was great, but I can't help but think part of the reason for his amazing day was a poor Saints defense. New Orleans still put up 32 points, and they should be able to score points in bunches against a less than mediocre Carolina defense. Cam Newton and the Panthers put up 27 points in a 30-27 loss to the Saints at home last year. I think Carolina can get a lot from the tape of last week's Redskins game and use that against New Orleans in this one. The two meetings between these two last year finished at 57 and 62 points. Both offenses have a significant edge on the defenses here. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 games. 5 Star Play of the Week on the over in this game!
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09-15-12 | BYU v. Utah UNDER 46.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* BYU/Utah is known as "The Holy War" rivalry game. It might not be well known all across the country, but this is a very strong rivalry game. BYU was beaten 54-10 by Utah at home last season, and you know that didn't sit well. BYU is a much better team than last year. Utah just lost their starting quarterback. Hays will start for Utah here, and he has never thrown for more than 200 yards in a game. Utah's defensive front is terrific led by Star Lotulelei. BYU ranks in the top 10 in the nation in total defense. The under is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 home games. The under is 8-1 in BYU's last 9 September games. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State UNDER 44 | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Notre Dame/MSU Total* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish appear to be a much better team this year under Brian Kelly. Kelly has had some time to get his type of players into the system, and it is working out very well for the defense. Notre Dame allowed just 10 points against Navy and 17 against a solid Purdue offense. Michigan State is one-dimensional on offense right now with Maxwell struggling at quarterback. On the other side, Michigan State's defense is excellent. I think the Spartans have one of the top five defenses in the nation. The Spartans don't have any real weakness on defense. Boise State couldn't get anything going against the Spartans. Opponents are averaging only 225.5 total yards per game against Michigan State. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Western Kentucky v. Kentucky UNDER 49 | 32-31 | Loss | -109 | 39 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers program has come a very long ways in the past few years. The primary reason this team is so much better is because of the strength of their defense. Even the best teams in the nation don't put up ridiculous numbers on Western Kentucky. Alabama scored 35 points on them last week, but the Crimson Tide had only 328 total yards of offense. Western Kentucky's offense is poor this year without Rainey at tailback. Kentucky's offense isn't very good either, but they do have an athletic defense. It would surprise me to see either team get above 24 points here. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Rice v. Louisiana Tech OVER 64 | Top | 37-56 | Win | 100 | 121 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* The Lousiana Tech Bulldogs beat Houston 56-49 last week. Houston moved the ball at will against the Bulldogs defense, which was a bit of a surprise to me. Louisiana Tech's offense is clicking from the get go this year, but their defense is a mess. Rice's defense has given up at least 35 points per game for the last three seasons, and this will be one of the best offenses they face this year. Rice has a well-balanced offense that should move the ball very well here. Both teams like to play at a fast pace, and I expect both defenses to be worn out by the end of this one. I think this total should have been set at about 70 points. The over is 62-28 in Rice's last 90 games overall. Take the over big here!
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09-15-12 | Florida v. Tennessee -2.5 | 37-20 | Loss | -109 | 137 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star Florida/Tennessee CASH* The Florida Gators came back and beat Texas A&M last week at Kyle Field. It was a very impressive showing by the Gators defense in the second half. No doubt this Florida team still has a good defense. The offense only put up 20 points on a questionable Texas A&M defense. Tennessee should have one of the best offenses in the SEC this year, and I expect Tyler Bray to lead the Volunteers to quite a few points against Florida here. Since the Gators offense isn't very explosive, I doubt they'll be able to keep up with Tennessee in Neyland Stadium at night. Take Tennessee.
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09-15-12 | South Alabama Jaguars +32.5 v. NC State | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 137 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Dog of the Day* South Alabama is transitioning to an FBS level team this year. While I'm certainly not fond of playing them against a big-name school, this was too many points to pass up. NC State has been a team that hasn't killed many people at all in the past. The Wolfpack usually play to the level of the team they are playing against. South Alabama has a surprisingly good defense, and I think this game will be tighter than most think. While I certainly don't expect a South Alabama win, I don't see why the line would be NC State by more than 4 touchdowns. Take the underdog here.
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09-15-12 | Boston College v. Northwestern -3 | 13-22 | Win | 100 | 117 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* In their season opener, Boston College fell 41-32 to a very mediocre Miami team. Northwestern went on the road and beat Syracuse by a point and then beat Vanderbilt last weekend at home. The Wildcats have quite a few flaws, but I love the way they fight for Pat Fitzgerald. Northwestern is a team that never gives up and that fighting spirit makes them particularly tough to beat at home. Boston College has a weak defense now that Kuechly is gone, and the Eagles are one-dimensional on offense. Northwestern beat Boston College 24-17 last year on the road, and I think they should be favored by more than this. Take Northwestern.
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09-15-12 | Navy v. Penn State -5.5 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 61 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Bounceback Spot* Penn State completely outplayed Virginia last week, but they lost due to some silly mistakes and four missed field goals. While I realize this Penn State team isn't terrific, I do think the oddsmakers are a little too low on them right now. Navy was blasted 50-10 by Notre Dame, and the Midshipmen defense certainly isn't as strong as what Penn State has seen the last couple weeks. The Nittany Lions defense is great against the run thanks to a very good front seven, and that is all Navy can do on offense. I think this is a good bounce back spot for Penn State. Take the Nittany Lions.
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09-15-12 | Northern Illinois v. Army OVER 50 | 41-40 | Win | 100 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Football Under Radar Total* The Northern Illinois Huskies smacked around Army 49-26 last year. Army struggled last week at San Diego State, but I expect Army to be able to run it against the Huskies here. Northern Illinois doesn't have as good of a defensive front as they did a year ago. In addition, Army's defense hasn't shown the ability over the past couple years to stop the run. Northern Illinois has another very good running quarterback this year in Jordan Lynch. Both teams should be able to move the ball well here. The over is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games against the MAC. Take the over.
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09-15-12 | Western Michigan +3 v. Minnesota | 23-28 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Western Michigan Broncos are one of the best teams in the MAC this year. Minnnesota is one of the worst teams in the Big 10. The Big 10 is down a lot this year, and Minnesota will still struggle to keep up with the rest of the conference. Minnesota needed overtime to beat UNLV in the season opener. UNLV is a very bad football team. Western Michigan lost 24-7 at Illinois earlier this year. The Broncos actually outgained Illinois, but lost because of turnovers. Minnesota isn't nearly as good as Illinois and I think Western Michigan actually has the better overall team. Alex Carder is a dual-threat quarterback, while Marqueis Gray is just a runner at this point. The Broncos should win this game, but we'll take the points. Take Western Michigan.
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09-15-12 | Arkansas State v. Nebraska OVER 66.5 | 13-42 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Arkansas State is a mid-major team that can put up points in bunches. They scored 34 points in a season-opening loss to Oregon. Ryan Aplin is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Gus Malzahn is the team's new coach, so you know this is an uptempo attack. Nebraska's new offense is all built around going uptempo as well. The Cornhuskers offense has been much improved so far this year, but the defense has been terrible. Both offenses should have their way in this one. I think this line could have easily been above 70. Take the over.
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09-13-12 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 51.5 | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bears/Packers Total Domination* The Chicago Bears clearly have a much better offense than they did a year ago. The Green Bay Packers obviously have one of the best offenses in the NFL. Why do I like the under in this one? It is all about value. Getting a number like 51.5 isn't something I expected here. The public has pushed the number up enough to where this fits in as a solid play. The Bears secondary is one of the best in the NFL, and Green Bay simply can't run the football. Green Bay's defense is good at pressuring the quarterback. The highest total set for meetings between these teams in the past four years is 45.5. I think both teams have to settle for field goals enough here. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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09-10-12 | San Diego Chargers v. Oakland Raiders OVER 46.5 | 22-14 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MNF Totals SMASHER* The San Diego Chargers defense took a big step backward last year. This team doesn't have a good secondary, and Carson Palmer will air it out against them in this one. The Raiders have lost key pieces in their secondary for two straight seasons, and they now have a real weakness at the cornerback spot. Phillip Rivers is healthier now, and I expect him to lead the Chargers offense to quite a few yards against this mediocre Raiders defense. Neither team has a strong pass rush and both secondaries are susceptible. I think the offenses will have the upper hand here. The over is 5-0 in the Raiders last 5 season openers. The over is 4-0 in the Raiders last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland between these teams. Take the over.
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09-09-12 | Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +3 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 71 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Arizona Cardinals finished the season on a 6-2 run. Skelton was at the helm during that period, and he got the starting nod over Kevin Kolb for this year's season opener. One thing many people overlook about the Cardinals is that they now have a very solid defense. Arizona can get after the quarterback very well, and Patrick Peterson is a major play maker in the secondary. He'll be the best special teams player on the field in this one as well. I like Russell Wilson, but I don't understand his team being favored by three on the road in the first start of his career. Seattle was nothing special last year. They may have made some upgrades, but I don't value them any higher than the Cardinals. Arizona is a much better team at home, and both meetings between these two teams were settled by a field goal last year. Arizona is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against the NFC. They are also 5-1 in their last 6 home meetings with the Seahawks. Take the home underdog and the points here with Arizona.
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09-09-12 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 46.5 | 10-16 | Loss | -113 | 50 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* These two teams met twice last year and the final scores were 38-19 and 48-16. Carolina has a very balanced offense with Cam Newton under center. The Panthers have two very good running backs in Stewart and Williams and Newton can run as well as any QB in the NFL. On the other side though, Carolina's defense just isn't very good at all. Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball with ease through the air. Josh Freeman should have a solid season and Doug Martin is a good addition to the offense. Tampa Bay's defense gave up at least 31 points in their final four games last year. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings at Tampa Bay between these teams. Take the over.
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09-09-12 | Washington Redskins v. New Orleans Saints OVER 50 | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 47 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints have heard about Bountygate all through the offseason, and I'm guessing they are ready to take out their frustration on the Redskins. Washington's defense allowed 33 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games last year. New Orleans is quite likely to get into the 30's here. Drew Brees has weapons all over the field. Jimmy Graham and Marques Colston are great pass catchers, and the backfield is stacked with talent. New Orleans does give up points. The Redskins should have an improved offense with RG3 at the helm this season. Washington will have more balance and that should help them put up several points here. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5. Take the over.
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09-08-12 | Louisiana Tech -3 v. Houston | Top | 56-49 | Win | 100 | 42 h 53 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play CRUSHER* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are a team on my radar as an underrated team going into the 2012 season. Houston was on my radar as a possible overrated team. Houston was a 36.5 point favorite last week against Texas State and they lost outright 30-13! It's amazing to see such a huge upset, and the game wasn't even close. Houston shouldn't have beaten La. Tech last year, and the Bulldogs remember that 35-34 loss very well. With Houston playing on a much lower level, this is the perfect spot for Louisiana Tech to pounce. Louisiana Tech has a good quarterback with lots of weapons around him. Also, the Bulldogs have a very good secondary, which is extremely important against Houston's passing attack. Louisiana Tech is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Take Louisiana Tech big.
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09-08-12 | Memphis v. Arkansas State -21.5 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of Week* The Memphis Tigers are an extremely bad football team. They lost a home game to Tennessee-Martin last week. Arkansas State beat Memphis 47-3 last year. The Red Wolves were thrashed by Oregon last week, but you had to like the fact that the team didn't quit at all. They were down 50-10 at halftime and came back to lose 57-34. Oregon's third-team is certainly better than Memphis' first team. Ryan Aplin is one of the better quarterbacks in the country and he is perfect for Gus Malzahn's fast-paced offense. Expect Arkansas State to put up huge numbers on offense this year. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Arkansas State wins this game by 35 or 40 points. Arkansas State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 September games. Take Arkansas State.
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09-08-12 | Wisconsin -6.5 v. Oregon State | 7-10 | Loss | -114 | 65 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Wisconsin Badgers only beat Northern Iowa 26-21 last weekend in their opener. Oregon State didn't play last weekend. Last year Wisconsin throttled Oregon State 35-0 in Madison. Wisconsin isn't quite as good as last year, but to see them laying a touchdown or less is just amazing. Montee Ball and James White are probably the best tailback tandem in the nation. Oregon State's defense has been chewed up consistently over the past couple years, and I think it will happen again in this one. The Beavers offense is too one-dimensional without a real rushing attack. Too much of a value to pass up. Take Wisconsin.
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09-08-12 | Toledo v. Wyoming -2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* The Toledo Rockets are coming off a rough loss to Arizona last weekend. Toledo really shouldn't have been nearly as close to winning that game as they were. The Rockets were outgained 624-358. Toledo's offense looked strangely out of sync. Wyoming played Texas much tougher than many expected. The Cowboys have a team that returns a ton of talent from last year. Wyoming has one of the best quarterbacks you've probably never heard of in Brett Smith. The offense returned 9 of 11 starters from last year. Wyoming should be able to move the ball at will against Toledo. The altitude in Wyoming is tough for visiting teams to get used to, and I think that will help Wyoming here. Take the Cowboys.
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09-08-12 | Florida v. Texas A&M | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Showdown* The Florida Gators were a major disappointment last year, and they looked bad in last week's opener. They struggled to beat Bowling Green at home. Texas A&M got a major upgrade at the head coaching position in the offseason, and that should springboard the team into the 2012 season. They do have several question marks, including quarterback, but the offensive line and running game should be solid. One important factor here is that Kyle Field is an extremely difficult place to play. Coach Sumlin should have his Aggies fired up for this one, and I think they'll take down the Gators in the SEC opener.
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09-08-12 | Rice v. Kansas OVER 61.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Rice Owls and Kansas Jayhawks will battle in a game where defense will likely be optional. Kansas allowed a ridiculous 43.8 points per game in 2011. Rice allowed just over 33 points per game. The Owls defense has been atrocious the last few years, and they show no signs of getting better. Kansas should be better offensively with Crist and Charlie Weis running the show. Still, Kansas is a bad team and Rice should be able to run up the points as well. Rice has more offensive weapons than you might think, and it won't surprise me a bit if they get into the 30's in this one. The over is 21-5 in Rice's last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 4-0 in the Jayhawks last 4 September games. Take the over.
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09-08-12 | Penn State v. Virginia UNDER 44 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 91 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Penn State Nittany Lions showed their offensive issues last week against Ohio. Still, I do believe the Penn State front seven on defense is pretty good. Virginia is a team that likes to run the ball a lot, and I'm not sure they'll be able to just line up and run on the Nittany Lions. On the other side, Virginia's defense is much improved. Penn State really misses Silas Redd and the passing game is way too inconsistent to be trusted at this point. The under is 7-0 in Virginia's last 7 home games. The under is 12-3-1 in the Nittany Lions last 16. Take the under.
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09-01-12 | Toledo v. Arizona OVER 62 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star New Era Total* Both of these teams have new coaches this season. Tim Beckman left for Illinois and Mike Stoops was fired. The new big name coach at Arizona is Rich Rodriguez. Even though he didn't succeed at Michigan, I still think he can do a solid job at Arizona, especially on offense. He has a great quarterback for his offense in Scott. Arizona should pile up the points against a Toledo defense that gave up more than 60 points twice last year. Arizona's defense was awful in the secondary as well, and the Rockets can score points in bunches. This one should be a track meet. Take the over.
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09-01-12 | San Diego State v. Washington OVER 56.5 | 12-21 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The San Diego State Aztecs have an experienced quarterback in Ryan Katz. Katz has had trouble in the past with interceptions, and it wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't get picked a couple times here (which could easily lead to Washington scores). Washington's defense is atrocious, and the Aztecs should find the end zone several times. Washignton's offense is led by Keith Price, who is one of the best quarterbacks in the nation. The Huskies will score a ton of points on nearly everyone this year. I think this total is set quite a bit too low. Take the over.
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09-01-12 | Florida International +4 v. Duke | 26-46 | Loss | -105 | 269 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Revenge Game* Duke beat FIU 31-27 on the road last year. Duke really had no business winning that game. FIU outgained them by almost 200 yards. If FIU takes care of the ball in this one, I think they have a great shot at getting the Blue Devils back. FIU may be the smaller named school here, but I really think they are the better and deeper team. Mario Cristobal is doing a great job with this school. FIU's defense is certainly stronger than the Duke defense. FIU has more overall team speed as well. Getting any points in this one is a nice bonus, because I think FIU wins here. Take FIU.
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09-01-12 | Clemson v. Auburn UNDER 56.5 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 137 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Clemson/Auburn Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers were last seen giving up 70 points to West Virginia in the Orange Bowl. That is one of the main reasons we get such a good value on the total here. Auburn's offense is horrendous right now. It will likely be worse than last year after losing Michael Dyer and suspending their star center. Clemson's offense is good, but Auburn should slow them down enough to hold them to field goals a few times. This kind of number simply isn't justified when Auburn is so much stronger defensively than on offense. Take the under.
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09-01-12 | Nevada v. California OVER 55.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Nevada Wolfpack have a unique Pistol offense that is very tough to stop. Chris Ault has a very good talent base to work with on offense this year. Fajardo will be one of the most improved quarterbacks in the nation. In addition, Nevada has a couple great weapons on the outside. Cal had a good defense last year, but they lost most of their leaders. Nevada scored 52 points last time they met with Cal. On the other side, Nevada's defense is terrible. Cal should be able to move the ball however they want to in this one. This absolutely seems like a game where both teams should get into the 30's. The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 against the PAC 10. The over is 5-1-1 in Cal's last 7 against the MWC. Take the over.
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09-01-12 | Miami (OH) v. Ohio State -22.5 | 10-56 | Win | 100 | 261 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Urban Meyer era kicks off at Ohio State on Saturday. You better believe the Horseshoe will be rocking in Columbus. The Buckeye are ready to prove that last year was an aberration. Miami has no running game, and this Buckeyes defense is far too good to be one-dimensional against. Braxton Miller should come into his own quite a bit this year in Meyer's offensive system. The motivation level here for the Buckeyes leads me to believe they won't be taking the foot off the gas anytime early at all. Look for the Buckeyes to roll big here.
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09-01-12 | Northwestern -1 v. Syracuse | 42-41 | Push | 0 | 130 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Football Early Bird Special* The Syracuse Orange were a very inconsistent team last season. Syracuse smashed West Virginia, but the Orange finished just 4-8 on the season. The Syracuse defense just doesn't have the players necessary to consistently stop good offenses. On the offensive side, Syracuse is one-dimensional without a solid running back at this point. Northwestern is a team that usually plays better than oddsmakers expect. Pat Fitzgerald gets a ton out of his teams. Kain Colter is an excellent runner, and I think he'll give this Syracuse defense tons of problems. Northwestern is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Syracuse is 0-5 ATS in their last 5. Take Northwestern.
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08-31-12 | Boise State v. Michigan State -6.5 | 13-17 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Boise State/Michigan State ATS CASH* I very much respect the Boise State Broncos program. Boise State has done all kinds of amazing things in the past few years, and they have one of the best coaches in the nation in Chris Petersen. That being said, I can't help but think this team struggles a bit at the start of this year. Kellen Moore was amazing and he's gone, and Boise State lost 10 of 11 starters on defense! Michigan State has a new quarterback as well, but I think Maxwell can do well in this situation. The Spartans offensive line is very good, and their running game should be dominate. On the other side of the ball, I think Michigan State has one of the top five best defenses in the nation. The Spartans are very balanced and I think they prove a point on national tv in week one. This Spartans team is extremely good. The Spartans were 5-0 ATS in their last 5 in 2011. Look for them to keep it rolling. Take Michigan State.
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08-30-12 | South Carolina -6 v. Vanderbilt | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star Opening Night ESPN CASH* The South Carolina Gamecocks are a team I like a lot this year. It's tough to find a weakness on this team. Steve Spurrier has done a great job recruiting, and South Carolina has depth all over the place on their roster. Marcus Lattimore is the best running back in the nation. South Carolina's defense doesn't get enough credit, and I expect them to be one of the very best stop units in the nation this year. Clowney, Taylor, and Quarles form an amazing defensive front. Vanderbilt can't throw the football much at all, and I just don't see them running it successfully against this S. Carolina defensive front. Connor Shaw is 8-1 as a starter for Carolina, so he has been good. Vanderbilt is a scrappy team, but they don't have the talent that the Gamecocks have this year. The Commodors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 as an underdog of 3.5-10 points. S. Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a road favorite. Take South Carolina here.
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02-05-12 | NY Giants +3 v. New England Patriots | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Super Bowl XLVI ATS CASH* By now you've definitely heard that this is a rematch of Super Bowl 42. The Giants ruined the Patriots perfect season in that one. Some are playing the revenge angle in this one, but I don't buy it. Of course the Patriots want to win this game badly, but it is the Super Bowl and the Giants want it badly too! I think both teams come out highly motivated in a game like this. The Giants pass rush should force the Patriots into throwing more quick passes, but that also makes the offense more predictable. New England has been able to outscore teams this year, but their defense simply isn't good at all. The secondary should get chewed apart by a very underrated group of wide receivers form New York. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks are ready for a big game on the big stage here. The Giants secondary isn't good, but I do think they are better than the Patriots secondary. They'll also get more help from the pass rush. Eli Manning has been stepping up in a big way in big games. I think the value here is on the Giants. The Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 as a playoff underdog. Take the Giants.
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01-22-12 | NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 43.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFC Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers have done it all year with their defense. The 49ers stop the run better than anyone in the NFL, and last week they proved they can get after the quarterback as well. The 49ers should have a conservative game plan here. Look for Frank Gore to get quite a few carries in this one. The Giants will open up the passing game quite a bit, but San Francisco has an above average secondary. The under is 4-1 in the Giants last 5 games, and this Giants defense is really improving right now. Conference Championship games tend to run a little lower scoring than average, and I think both of these defenses will be ready for this one. Take the under.
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01-22-12 | Baltimore Ravens +9 v. New England Patriots | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 110 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL AFC ATS Bookie BEATDOWN* The New England Patriots played well last week in their win over the Denver Broncos, but beating Denver and playing against Baltimore are very different things. The Ravens have plenty of playoff experience, and they came to Foxboro and beat the Patriots two years ago. The last four times these two teams have played, the Ravens have either won or lost by less than a touchdown. I don't understand why we are getting such a big number here. Sure the Patriots have a big advantage at quarterback, but Baltimore is much better defensively. Terrell Suggs, Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, and the rest of the Ravens defense will be hungry this weekend. Expect Ray Rice to find plenty of running room as well. Getting more than a touchdown, I really like the Ravens.
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01-15-12 | NY Giants v. Green Bay Packers OVER 52.5 | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Giants/Packers Total DOMINATION* The New York Giants and Green Bay Packers met in early December. The Giants gained 447 yards and scored 35 points in that one. The Packers gained 449 yards and scored 38 points in that one. I don't see any reason to believe that the defenses will be able to change much in this one. The Packers offense is the most prolific in the NFL. The Giants passing offense has been great all year, and the Packers secondary is last in the NFL in pass defense. The Giants have a great pass rush, but the Packers are great at quick drops to neutralize that advantage. The over is 8-2 in the Packers last 10. Look for another high scoring game. Take the over.
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01-14-12 | New Orleans Saints v. San Francisco 49ers +4 | 32-36 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Saints/Niners ATS CRUSHER* I really like what the Saints have done this year, but I think this line is skewed too heavily toward the road team. San Francisco put together an extremely impressive season under Jim Harbaugh, and I love the fact that the Niners are so tough defesnsively. The Saints have been an indoor team the last couple years, and the Niners should have a nice home field advantage here. These teams met last year when San Francisco wasn't very good, and the Niners only lost by three. New Orleans will get their yards here, but I think the 49ers will force them to kick field goals. Frank Gore and the Niners rushing game should have success in this one. San Francisco is 12-3-1 ATS this year. I'll take the home team getting more than a field goal.
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01-09-12 | Alabama v. LSU UNDER 40.5 | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star BCS Championship Total DOMINATION* It will be a rematch of Alabama vs. LSU in the BCS Championship Game Monday night. I have little doubt that the offenses will have more success than they did last game when it was a 9-6 field goal battle. At the same time, a total of 40.5 with the two best defenses in the country is certainly appealing. Both teams will be looking to establish the run in this one. This should be a game where the clock keeps on ticking the majority of the time. There should be a lot of lining up and trying to pound the running game down the opposition's throat. Alabama allowed 8.8 points per game this year and LSU gave up 10.5 per contest. Neither team has a great quarterback, and both defenses will be stacking the box to guard against the running game. Look for a very hard hitting title game. Take the under.
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01-08-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants OVER 47 | 2-24 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Falcons/Giants Total Domination* The Atlanta Falcons offense really found its own in the last four weeks. Atlanta scored at least 31 points in three of their last four games. The Giants have a good pass rush, but the secondary takes too many chances and gives up big plays too often. On the other side, Eli Manning has some real weapons on the outside. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks have turned into young superstars for the Giants. Atlanta's secondary is below average, and they aren't that great at pressuring the quarterback without bringing a blitz. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4. Take the over in this one.
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01-07-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans UNDER 39 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wild Card Total Domination* Houston's offense has done fairly well under the leadership of rookie T.J. Yates, but there is no doubt this unit isn't as strong as it was at the start of the season. The Bengals will likely gear up to stop the run, something they have done well this year. On the other side, Houston quietly has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Cedric Benson and the Bengals running game hasn't been very good of late. The Bengals offense hasn't scored more than 24 in a game in their last nine games, and the playoff jitters should hurt this young offense. Look for both defenses to play well here. Take the under.
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01-04-12 | West Virginia v. Clemson OVER 58.5 | 70-33 | Win | 100 | 728 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Orange Bowl Total Domination* Clemson and West Virginia are two teams who can really put up the points. Both teams have become much more impressive on the offensive side of the football this season. Dana Holgorsen's Mountaineers are a brand new team this year. Geno Smith is picking apart defenses on a consistent basis. On the other side, Tajh Boyd was sensational in his freshman season for the Tigers. Clemson averages 34 points per game, and the Tigers have one of the nation's best play makers in Sammy Watkins. Tavon Austin and the Mountaineers receivers are also capable of making big plays. This game definitely has the potential to be very high scoring. I really like the over in this one.
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01-03-12 | Michigan -2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sugar BOWL ATS CASH* Virginia Tech really didn't deserve a BCS berth. The Hokies have only two wins that could legitimately be considered quality wins. A close win over Georgia Tech and possibly an unimpressive win over North Carolina late in the year. The Hokies were blasted twice by Clemson, and they struggled with Duke late in the year. Michigan's season was extremely successful thanks to a huge improvement on the defensive side. Brady Hoke did a masterful job in his first year with the team. I expect Michigan to be ready to prove a point in this one. Many people will be watching to see if the Wolverines are really back. Denard Robinson will be the best athlete in this game. Look for Michigan to make more big plays than Virginia Tech. Take Michigan.
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon OVER 71.5 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rose Bowl Total Domination* There should be plenty of offensive fireworks in this terrific Rose Bowl matchup. Wisconsin's defense has been vulnerable against the run this year and Oregon has the running backs to take advantage. The Ducks have a quick strike offense that should be better than any offense Wisconsin has seen this year. The Badgers have a great offense as well. Montee Ball racked up the touchdowns this year and he should find plenty of running room against a weak Oregon defense. Russell Wilson was spectacular this year. Look for both teams to move the ball with ease. The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games. Take the over!
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01-02-12 | Florida v. Ohio State +120 | 24-17 | Loss | -100 | 71 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star Gator Bowl Guaranteed Cash* It will be the matchup of Urban Meyer's old team against his new team in Jacksonville Monday. Neither team has the talent or chemistry that their fan base is used to seeing. It's tough to find a quality win on Florida's schedule this year. The Buckeyes did pick up a big win over Wisconsin in the middle of the season. Braxton Miller is progressing each game and I expect him to shine in this one. The Buckeyes should be highly motivated here. I expected Ohio State to be favored so I'll take the money line.
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01-01-12 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Both Carolina and New Orleans can pile up the points. Cam Newton has shown that he can perform well against just about any defense in the NFL. Drew Brees and the Saints starters are expected to play in this game. The final game of the season generally lends itself to a higher scoring game. The over is 6-2 in the Saints last 8 January games. The over/under here is posted extremely high, but I think these two teams have a good shot at getting to 60 in this situation. Both pass defenses are very poor, and I think that will be on full display in this one. Take the over.
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12-31-11 | Virginia +135 v. Auburn | 24-43 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star Chick-fil-A Bowl CASH* Auburn won the national title last year, but this year's team isn't a bit like last year's squad. The offense is one-dimensional because they have virtually no passing game. Michael Dyer is the team's best running back, but he is suspended for this game. The last three weeks of the season Auburn looked miserable. The Tigers struggled against Samford and were blown out by Alabama and Georgia. Is this really that big of a game to Auburn? Virginia hasn't been in this situation for a long time, and I fully expect Mike London to have his team very fired up for this game. Virginia won at Miami and at Florida State, so they have proven they can win on the big stage. I think Virginia will be the more motivated team here. Take Virginia on the moneyline.
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12-30-11 | Rutgers v. Iowa State OVER 44.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* Rutgers has improved its passing game dramatically throughout the year. Iowa State's secondary has been pretty suspect this year. Rutgers has had some trouble stopping the run this year, and the running game is Iowa State's strength. I tend to think that a game like this is a good case of the long layoff helping the offense more than the defense. The over is 4-1 in Rutgers last 5 bowl games. This total is set a little too low. Take the over here.
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12-27-11 | Western Michigan +3 v. Purdue | 32-37 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star Little Ceasers Bowl ATS Cash* Purdue was a middle of the road Big Ten team this year. I think they are getting a little more respect here than they deserve. Purdue did beat Ohio State and Illinois this year, but both of them finished 6-6. The Boilermakers really don't have a very good win on the schedule this season. Western Michigan's defense allowed points in bunches this year, but the offense was tremendous. The Broncos are led by Alex Carder, who is a very accurate quarterback. Jordan White is one of the best receivers in the nation, and he should make a big impact in his final college game. Western Michigan averages 36 points per contest. Purdue relies on their running game, but Ralph Bolden isn't expected to play in this one. Bolden is the team's leading rusher. The team's second leading rusher, Akeem Shavers is listed as probable with a concussion. Purdue is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games. I think Western Michigan has a good shot to win this one, so I'm taking the points. Take Western Michigan.
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12-24-11 | Philadelphia Eagles +113 v. Dallas Cowboys | 20-7 | Win | 113 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star Eagles/Cowboys GUARANTEED Cash* The Philadelphia Eagles dominated the Dallas Cowboys 34-7 earlier this year. The Eagles are actually playing their best football of the year right now. Mike Vick is healthy and the Eagles defense is starting to perform like most expected they would at the beginning of the year. Believe it or not, this game actually means something for the Eagles. If Philadelphia wins this and the Giants lose this weekend, the Eagles are right back in the race in the NFC East. Dallas hasn't proven to be a clutch team of late, and there is a lot more pressure on the Cowboys than the Eagles right now. Dallas is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 as a home favorite. Take Philadelphia.
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12-24-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 | 16-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* Tampa Bay's defense has been awful of late. The Bucs have given up at least 31 points in five of their last six games. Carolina's offense has been very good under the leadership of Cam Newton this year. Stewart and Williams are a great tailback tandem, and Steve Smith is a great weapon on the outside. Carolina's defense is giving up 26.3 points per game this year. The Panthers haven't been good against the run or the pass. Josh Freeman and the Bucs offense should be able to put up several scores in this one as well. The over is 19-7-1 in the Bucs last 27 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
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12-24-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5 | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Vikings have given up 34, 35, and 42 points in their last three games. In fact, Minnesota hasn't given up less than 24 points in a game since October 2. This Minnesota secondary has been getting riddled on a weekly basis. Rex Grossman may throw quite a few interceptions, but he does help the Redskins move the ball pretty consistently through the air. On the other side, Washignton is mediocre against the run, and Adrian Peterson is a beast on the ground. Christian Ponder and the Vikings offense has scored 32, 28, and 20 points in their last three games. I expect both teams to score quite a few here. Take the over here.
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12-22-11 | Arizona State v. Boise State OVER 67 | 24-56 | Win | 100 | 390 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Arizona St/Boise St Total Domination* Arizona State is giving up 38 points per game in their last three games. Boise State averages 43 points per game this year, and I expect Kellen Moore and the veteran laden Broncos offense to be very well-prepared in this one. Boise State's defense hasn't been quite as dominant this year as they have been in the past few seasons. Arizona State's Brock Osweiler is a good quarterback who should be able to spread out the Broncos defense and help the Sun Devils put up quite a few points. The over is 16-5 in Arizona State's last 21. Look for this one to finish over the posted total.
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