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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-01-14 | Wisconsin v. South Carolina UNDER 51 | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Capital One CASH* The Wisconsin Badgers and South Carolina Gamecocks will do battle in what should be a terrific Capital One Bowl Clash. Wisconsin's defense ranks in the top ten in the nation in every major category. South Carolina's defense has struggled against great passing attacks, but Wisconsin is a running team. Lots of strength in the trenches on both sides here. I expect to see lots of running the football, which makes the clock will keep on ticking. The under is 5-1 in Wisconsin's last 6 January games. The under is 5-1 in S. Carolina's last 6 overall. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in S. Carolina's last 4 following an ATS win. An 18-3 angle. Take the under.
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01-01-14 | UNLV v. North Texas -6.5 | Top | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 257 h 40 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Early Bird TOP Play* The UNLV Rebels had an impressive comeback season this year. Bobby Hauck was on the hot seat before the year, but now he signed an extension to stay at UNLV for the long-term. UNLV is a much improved team, but I don't like this spot for them. North Texas gets to play a virtual home game at the Cotton Bowl here. Dan McCarney is North Texas' head coach and with him getting a ton of time to prepare I expect the Mean Green to be ready to go in this one. UNLV's run defense still has some real problems, while North Texas has a strong and balanced defense. UNLV has no one with experience in this kind of game. North Texas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Take North Texas big!
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12-31-13 | Mississippi State v. Rice UNDER 51 | 44-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Liberty Bowl CASH* The Mississippi State Bulldogs played one of the toughest schedules in the nation this year. The Bulldogs only went 6-6, but playing in the SEC and playing a solid non-conference slate, this team saw tons of very good opponents. Mississippi State's defense was very good, especially late in the year. The Bulldogs held Alabama to 20 points, and they held Ole Miss to 10 points in the season finale. Rice is a much improved team, and they can thank their defensive improvement for that. The Owls pass defense is top notch. I don't see either team putting up very many points in this game. The under is 5-0 in the Rice's last 5 at a neutral site. The under is 4-0 in the Bulldogs last 4 at a neutral site. The under is 6-1 in the Bulldogs last 7 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the under.
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12-30-13 | Texas Tech v. Arizona State OVER 71 | 37-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star Holiday Bowl Total DOMINATION* Sometimes you just can't overthink a game. The posted total of 71 is definitely high, but this total is extremely high for good reason. When Texas Tech and Arizona State get together, there are going to be a bunch of plays run and both teams will air it out a bunch here. Texas Tech can throw it against anyone, and Arizona State's offense is well-balanced and should score at least 45 points here.
The over is 6-0 in the Red Raiders last 6 bowl games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in the Sun Devils last 5 games at a neutral site. The over is 10-1 in Texas Tech's last 11 at a neutral site. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. A 30-1 angle here. Take the over. |
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12-30-13 | Ole Miss -3 v. Georgia Tech | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Music City MONEY* The Ole Miss Rebels have a distinct advantage in this one because they have played a much tougher schedule all year long. Playing against SEC opponents all season long makes a team like the Rebels ready for the postseason. The Rebels have a high upside, but they are a bit up and down. Hugh Freeze and his team have had a month to prepare for the triple option of Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are too one-dimensional on offense for my liking against an SEC front seven. Ole Miss is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. The Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record. A 13-0 angle here. Take Ole Miss.
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12-30-13 | Middle Tenn State v. Navy OVER 56.5 | 6-24 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Bowl Special* The MTSU Blue Raiders and Navy Midshipmen will kick off the bowl slate on December 30 with a game starting before noon EST. MTSU averages 31 points per game. The Blue Raiders have a balanced offense with veterans and they should be able to get their points against a Navy defense that isn't very good against the pass. Navy's option attack should be very successful against MTSU's poor front seven. Reynolds makes good decisions as the MTSU quarterback, and he should find plenty of running room in this matchup. The over is 7-0 in MTSU's last 7 after gaining 280 yards passing last game. The over is 6-2 in Navy's lats 8 bowl games. Take the over.
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12-29-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 42 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Cardinals have the number one ranked rushing defense in the NFL. The San Francisco 49ers really can't throw the ball. All the 49ers do is run it, and I suspect they'll have trouble moving it against this stout front seven of Arizona. The Cardinals have quietly been very good this year, especially at home. The 49ers defense has been among the best in the NFL over the last few weeks. This looks like a game where both defenses will force the opposition into a lot of field goal attempts. The under is 4-0 in the Caridnals last 4 against the NFC. The under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 after allowing less than 250 total yards last game. The under is 4-1 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. A 13-2 angle. Take the under.
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12-29-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Cleveland Browns were tied at the top of the AFC North after four weeks, but they are right back at the bottom of the division after another ugly slide through the main part of the season. Cleveland's offense can't run the ball, and their passing attack isn't very good either. Gordon is their only real offensive weapon, and the Steelers should be able to slow him down. Pittsburgh has been playing better of late, and they don't want to finish below .500. The Steelers still have an outside shot at the playoffs. Pittsburgh is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. the AFC North. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 12-0 angle. Take Pittsburgh.
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12-29-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 17-34 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals often get into defensive battles against each other. The Ravens won a 20-17 battle in Baltimore earlier this year. That game went into overtime after finishing regulation at 17-17. Cincinnati and Baltimore both have plenty to play for in this game, and that makes the under look even better. Neither of these offenses have been consistent this year. The under is 17-3-1 in the Bengals last 21 games following a win. The under is 4-1 in the Ravens last 5 in week 17. Take the under.
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12-28-13 | Miami (Florida) +4.5 v. Louisville | 9-36 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Bowl Play of Day* The Miami Hurricanes had an up and down season, but this program is in good hands with Al Golden as its head coach. Golden is a good motivator and given a bunch of time to get his guys ready I suspect the Hurricanes will be very fired up for this game. Louisville wanted to be on a bigger stage and Teddy Bridgewater is ready to be in the NFL. I think Miami has more motivation to want to win this game. The Hurricanes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 following an ATS win. The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a win. 14-2 angle here on Miami. Getting more than a field goal, I like Miami. Take the Hurricanes.
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12-27-13 | Syracuse v. Minnesota UNDER 47.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 143 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Texas Bowl Total TAKEDOWN* The Syracuse Orange and Minnesota Golden Gophers are very similar teams. Both of them struggle offensively, but their defense has gotten much better in the past couple years. The strong defenses are the reason these two teams are in this spot. Phillip Nelson is questionable for Minnesota in this one. The Golden Gophers really have no passing attack. Hunt has been disappointing at quarterback for Syracuse. The Orange and Golden Gophers have both been in a bunch of very low scoring games this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit if both teams fail to make it out of teens in this one. A lot of value on the under in this contest. Take the under.
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12-26-13 | Utah State +2 v. Northern Illinois | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 122 h 25 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Ponsettia Bowl Pointspread Winner* The Utah State Aggies were capable of huge things with star quarterback Chuckie Keeton in the lineup. After he went down with an injury, I figured this team was destined to struggle the rest of the year. Instead, the Aggies defense led this team to a very good season. Utah State's veteran-laden defense should be the difference in this matchup. They are 7th in the nation in points allowed per game at just 17.3 per contest despite playing in a league with lots of good offenses. Northern Illinois is bummed about missing out on a BCS bowl game, while Utah State is thrilled to be here. Jordan Lynch is a star for Northern Illinois, but the Huskies defense is a major problem. The MAC is a weak conference, and I think the Aggies should be the favorite here. Utah State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 on grass. They are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Take Utah State.
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12-24-13 | Oregon State v. Boise State OVER 63.5 | 38-23 | Loss | -115 | 123 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hawaii Bowl Christmas Eve CASH* The Oregon State Beavers and Boise State Broncos both like to play quickly on offense. There should be a lot of snaps in this game. Oregon State and Boise State have both struggled against the pass this year. Both of these offenses have been great passing the ball. Sean Mannion and Brandin Cooks is one of the best QB to WR combination's in the country for Oregon State. The Beavers defense allowed 105 points in their last two games. Two bad secondaries and two teams who will air it out all game long equals a lot of points here.
The over is 4-0 in Boise's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 games on a neutral field. The over is 4-1 in Oregon State's last 5 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in Boise's last 5 neutral site games. A 16-2 angle. Take the over. |
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12-22-13 | Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 | 11-54 | Win | 100 | 72 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Chicago Bears beat the lowly Cleveland Browns on a fourth quarter comeback last week in Cleveland. The Eagles played poorly last week, but their recent body of work tells me they are a pretty decent team right now. The Bears haven't been good on the road against quality teams this year. The Bears run defense ranks last in the NFL. The Eagles are first in the NFL in rushing yards. There is heavy rain in the forecast for Sunday during gametime. If there is rain and wind here, it should help the Eagles. Philadelphia is comfortable running it all game long. They have a big edge on the ground in this game. Take the Eagles.
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12-22-13 | New England Patriots v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 45 | 41-7 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Baltimore Ravens picked up a huge win on the road at Detroit last Monday. Kicker Justin Tucker was the hero. The Ravens defense came up big as well, and they have been playing great at home all year. Six of the Ravens last seven home games have stayed under this total. The one that went over the total was their game against Minnesota when there were five TD's in the final two minutes. New England's offense isn't even close to the same without Gronk on the field. Heavy rain is in the forecast for this game, and heavy rain often leads to both teams running the ball more often. I think both teams struggle to get in the end zone here.
The under is 12-3-1 in the Ravens last 16 games in week 15. The under is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 games after allowing 250 yards or more through the air in their last game. Take the under. |
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12-22-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers -3 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 65 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS Play* The Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints are tied atop the NFC South. The Saints dominated the Panthers in the Superdome a couple weeks ago and I was on the Saints -3 in that game. This time around the game is in Carolina and I'll be on the Panthers -3. The Saints aren't even close to the same team on the road. They have already lost road games this year to the Jets and Rams. They also were beaten 34-7 in Seattle. The Panthers defense should be ready for this one, and Carolina's rushing attack should be able to have success against a poor Saints rushing defense.
The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after gaining more than 250 yards through the air last game. The Panthers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. A 17-0 angle here. Take Carolina. |
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12-21-13 | UL-Lafayette v. Tulane UNDER 49.5 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star New Orleans Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Tulane Green Wave had a remarkable turnaround this year, and the main reason they were able to be so much better this year was their defense. Tulane's defense ranks 26th in the nation in total defense and they are giving up only 21.2 points per game. The strength of their defense is the front seven. La. Lafayette isn't a defensive juggernaut, but Tulane's offense has been bad all year. Tulane won games with defense. The Green Wave rank 118th in the nation in total offense. Terrance Broadway will either miss this game or be ineffective due to an injury. Look for a low scoring game all the way in this one. The under is 5-0-1 in Tulane's last 6 following a loss. The under is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7 after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in their last game. Take the under.
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12-21-13 | UL-Lafayette v. Tulane -1.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -103 | 51 h 18 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB Saturday Bowl TOP Play CRUSHER* La. Lafayette and Tulane meet in a battle of two Louisiana teams. Tulane gets to play a home game here in the Superdome. They've played their games here for a long time, so they are very comfortable. Lafayette is in the New Orleans bowl for the third straight year, and you have to wonder how motivated they'll be. Terrance Broadway is Lafayette's star quarterback, and he suffered a major wrist injury in November. He's unlikely to play much if at all here. Without him, Lafayette isn't even close to the same team. Tulane has the much stronger defense, and Tulane has played tougher competition throughout the season. Tulane was 2-10 a year ago, and they get a chance to win a bowl game at home. I love this spot for them.
Tulane is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a loss. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after gaining less than 275 total yards last game. Lafayette is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS loss. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 overall. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following a loss of 20 points or more. A huge 31-0 angle here. Take Tulane big! |
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12-21-13 | Colorado State v. Washington State -4 | 48-45 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 60 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Bowl Kickoff CASH* The Colorado State Rams and Washington State Cougars meet in the first bowl game this year. Washington State is a bad matchup for Colorado State. The Rams big weakness is their secondary and all Washington State does is throw the ball. Don't be surprised if the Cougars throw it 60 or 70 times in this one. The Rams haven't had answers for good passing attacks all year. Washington State plays in a much better conference and Mike Leach's team has played well away from home all season long. Colorado State has a good back in Kapri Bibbs, but Washington State rushing defense has been decent in the last few games. Washington State is just too strong for the Rams.
Washington State was 6-0 ATS away from home this year. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring less than 20 points in their last game. Colorado State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 40 points or more in their last game. An 18-1 angle. Take Washington State. |
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12-15-13 | NY Jets v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 41 | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The New York Jets picked up a nice win last week, but I'm still not buying that this team is any good. The Jets offense is a disaster against decent defenses and the Panthers have had the top defense in the NFL this year. Carolina's offense is still one-dimensional and based around the run. The Jets are second in the NFL when it comes to stopping the run. The Jets defense hasn't been their problem this year, and I think they'll hold their own against Carolina.
The under is 6-0 in Carolina's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 during week 15. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 350 yards in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing last game. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. A 32-1 angle. Take the under. |
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12-15-13 | Seattle Seahawks -6.5 v. NY Giants | 23-0 | Win | 100 | 66 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Seattle Seahawks were beaten in the last minute by the San Francisco 49ers in a key divisional rivalry game last week. New York lost badly at San Diego and their faint playoff hopes are completely gone now. The Giants have nothing to play for, and that should show up in their lack of effort this week. Seattle has a secondary that forces quarterbacks to make mistakes. Eli Manning has made more mistakes than any other quarterback this year. Expect Seattle to pick off at least a pass or two. Russell Wilson is playing great right now. Seattle is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as 3.5-9.5 point favorite. The Seahawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 December games. Take Seattle.
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12-15-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 41.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs are two teams built to win with defense. Tampa Bay completely shut down Buffalo last week, and now that the Bucs have a relatively healthy defense, i think they are one of the top 10 defenses in the NFL. They are 9th in the NFL against the run, and that's really all the 49ers can do on offense. The 49ers defense has been elite over the past few weeks, and Tampa Bay's offense has struggled all year. It's hard to see either offense putting up any more than 21 points here.
The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The under is 6-0 in the Bucs last 6 December games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 week 15 games. A 24-0 angle here. Take the under. |
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12-14-13 | Army v. Navy UNDER 55 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 134 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Army/Navy Cold Hard CASH* The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet this Saturday in another installment of their epic rivalry. These might not be two of the best teams in college football, but watch this game and you'll see how much this game means to both teams. It's a really special rivalry game. Both of these teams run the triple option and they run on almost every single play from scrimmage. The single best angle to handicapping the total in this game is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every day in practice. The biggest advantage to running the option typically is that defenses aren't prepared, but in this game the defenses are very well prepared. I've cashed in on the under in the Army/Navy game in their last three meetings, and I'm going back to the well.
The under is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games in December. The under is 10-0 in Navy's last 10 games following a bye week under coach Ken Niumatalolo. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Navy's last 7 after throwing for 75 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games between each other with Navy as the home team. A 36-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-12-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos OVER 54 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Broncos Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Chargers offense has really heated up recently. San Diego has scored 37 and 41 points in two of their last three games. Their one poor offensive performance was against a very good Cincinnati defense. Denver's offense has been amazing all year. Denver is averaging 40 points per game through 13 games, which is truly amazing. San Diego slowed down the Broncos pretty well in the first meeting between these two, but history tells us Peyton Manning generally shreds up the defense in his second time seeing them (look at the KC example from a couple weeks ago).
The over is 15-1 in Denver's last 16 games following a game where they had 400 yards or more of total offense. The over is 6-0-1 in the Broncos last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Denver. A 27-2 angle. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this early in the week- I would play this one up to 57.5, but not higher. Thank you* |
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12-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears OVER 49 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total DOMINATION* The Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears played to a 34-18 final last year. Tony Romo threw five picks in that game. Romo will look for redemption against a Bears defense that has been really bad of late. Chicago is allowing 27.7 points per game this year, and they have allowed at least 20 points in every single game this year. Dallas' defense is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Chicago is averaging 28 points per game, and the Cowboys are averaging 27. Look for both offenses to have plenty of trips into the red zone here. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 following a loss. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. The over is 10-4 in the Bears last 14 games. The number is relatively low here, and I expect plenty of points. Take the over.
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12-08-13 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints -3 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CRUSHER* The Carolina Panthers have really been on a roll of late. I like what the Panthers are doing, but I think everyone is overreacting to what they saw last week from the Saints. the Saints were blasted at Seattle on Monday night. Yes, that was an ugly game for New Orleans. Still, they are now back in the Superdome where they are next to unbeatable. The Saints have been money in the bank at home under Sean Payton. Carolina's offense is too one-dimensional to keep up with this Saints offense in the dome.
The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a loss. They are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after gaining less than 250 total yards of offense. They are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 as a home favorite of 7 points or less. A 20-2 angle. Take the Saints. |
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12-08-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers -2.5 | 17-19 | Loss | -109 | 42 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Seahawks/49ers ATS CASH* The Seattle Seahawks have the best record in the NFL. I respect Seattle a bunch, and I have backed them successfully multiple times in the last couple seasons. This time I'm going to go against the Seahawks. Seattle isn't even close to the same team on the road. They should have lost on the road to St. Louis and Houston earlier this year. The Seahawks defense is really banged up right now, and I think that allows the 49ers receivers to find open spots in the defense. Jim Harbaugh's team will be extremely motivated after getting blown out in Seattle earlier this year. Great spot for the 49ers here and a very short price to pay to back them.
The 49ers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. They are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning percentage of at least 75%. A 22-2 angle. Take the 49ers. |
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12-08-13 | Tennessee Titans v. Denver Broncos OVER 49 | 28-51 | Win | 100 | 121 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tennessee Titans have a pretty good defense, but they'll be up against the best offense in the NFL this weekend in Denver. A lot has been made about the fact that it will be extremely cold in this one, but I'm not convinced the cold will really change the way this game is played. There isn't any wind expected during the game, and wind is a quarterbacks worst enemy. The Titans offense has put up at least 23 points in four of their last five games. If they put up 23 points here, this one should sail over the total. Denver is averaging 38.7 points per game this season.
The over is 5-0-1 in the Titans last 6 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following a loss. It is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 15 points or less in their last game. The over is 5-0-1 in Denver's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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12-08-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Baltimore Ravens -6.5 | 26-29 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens have life in the AFC playoff picture. They enter this one at 6-6 on the season. This is probably their easiest game on the rest of the schedule, so they absolutely need to take care of business here. While Baltimore hasn't looked good on the road, the Ravens are still a very good team at home. Christian Ponder had been playing decent, but he'll miss this game so it will be Matt Cassel starting for Minnesota. The weather is expected to be nasty here with freezing rain and snow in the forecast. I think that helps the team with the better defense, and that's clearly the Ravens. The Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 at Baltimore. Baltimore is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against NFC North opponents. A 14-0 angle here. Take Baltimore.
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12-08-13 | Kansas City Chiefs -3 v. Washington Redskins | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Value Play* The Kansas City Chiefs weren't as good as they looked in the first nine weeks. They also aren't as bad as most people think they are now that they have lost three straight games. Two of those games were against Denver, who is one of the top two or three teams in the NFL. The Chiefs defense is still without Justin Houston, but they are healthier this week than they have been the last couple weeks. Washington's offense has been horrendous for the last three games. The Redskins defense is one of the worst in the NFL. Washington has seemingly packed it in for the year. A nice value on the much better team. Take Kansas City.
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12-08-13 | Buffalo Bills v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 42 | 6-27 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Bucs were really having trouble scoring points earlier this year. While their offense isn't great now, they are far better than they were earlier this season. Mike Glennon has settled into the role over the last few weeks, and he goes against a poor Bills defense in this one. Buffalo can run the football well, and Tampa Bay's rush defense has been very shaky of late. A total set this low is usually reserved for games between two top-notch defenses, but neither of these defenses are very good.
The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 6-1 in the Bills last 7 games after allowing 350 yards or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle. Take the over. |
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12-08-13 | Oakland Raiders v. NY Jets UNDER 40 | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 56 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders and New York Jets meet in what should be a really ugly game on Sunday afternoon. The Jets have scored 3 points in each of their last two games. They have scored 14 points or less in four of their last five games. Geno Smith is a complete disaster right now. He has thrown 8 INT's since his last touchdown pass. The Raiders defense isn't elite, but they are decent, which should be plenty. The Raiders can't throw it, but they are a good running team. New York's defense is number one in the NFL at stopping the run. This has all the makings of a game where both offenses struggle to get going. The under is 8-0 in the Raiders last 8 away games following four consecutive overs. The under is 6-1 in the Jets last 7 December games. A 14-1 angle. Take the under big!
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12-07-13 | South Florida v. Rutgers UNDER 47 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 48 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The USF Bulls are a very good under team for a couple reasons. Number one is they have arguably the worst offense in the nation. How bad are they? They are averaging just 14.5 points per game. Their defense is solid though. The Bulls have allowed 23 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Rutgers has a poor pass defense, but the USF offense hasn't been able to pass on anyone all year. Rutgers' rushing defense ranks 7th in the nation against the run. All signs point to a very low scoring game.
The under is 6-0 in USF's last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground. The under is 6-0 in Rutgers' last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under big! |
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12-07-13 | Texas v. Baylor OVER 71.5 | 10-30 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Longhorns defense has been one of the most disappointing units in all of college football this year. This Longhorns defense gave up 40 points at West Virginia, 44 points at home to Ole Miss, and 40 points at BYU. This Baylor offense will be the best offense they have faced this year. It's typically not a challenge for Baylor to put up 45-50 points at home at a minimum, and I think they'll do that here. The Baylor defense has been exposed of late, and Texas has the potential to put up plenty of points here. I think this game gets to the upper 70's at a minimum. Baylor is first in the nation in points per game at 55.4 per contest. The over is 22-5-1 in Baylor's last 28 home games. Take the over in this one.
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12-07-13 | Marshall v. Rice +6 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 107 h 21 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Conference USA CASH* The Marshall Thundering Herd are 6-0 ATS at home this year. Unfortunately for them, they'll have to win the Conference USA title game on the road. I haven't been impressed with their play away from home so far this year. Marshall lost 51-49 at MTSU (only a mediocre team). They lost on the road to a mediocre Ohio team as well. They also won but failed to cover the number against Florida Atlantic and Tulsa. Rice's pass defense is 12th in the nation, and the Owls can run the football really well. Rain could be an issue in this game, and that would help the Owls since Marshall is all about the pass. Rice is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games. Take the Owls.
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12-06-13 | Bowling Green +5 v. Northern Illinois | 47-27 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Championship CASH* The Bowling Green Falcons are the clear underdog going into this MAC title game, but I think that gives them a nice edge. All the pressure is on Northern Illinois. The Huskies have a BCS bowl berth on the line here. NIU has struggled in the title game the last three years. They have won the last two years, but both were very close games against inferior opponents. Bowling Green has an elite defense and I expect them to make Lynch throw it just enough to slow down NIU. The Huskies defense isn't any good, and the Falcons have a nice balanced offense. Bowling Green has a great chance at winning the game, but I'll grab the points on a live underdog. Bowling Green is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games. Take Bowling Green.
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12-05-13 | Louisville v. Cincinnati +3.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night ATS THUNDER* The Louisville Cardinals haven't been the same team since they lost to UCF at home earlier in the year. Louisville has won games, but by lesser margins than expected and against poor competition. Cincinnati is a team that is peaking at the right time. The Bearcats looked shaky early in the year, but they are rolling right now. Cincinnati's defense is great. Louisville's defense has been unable to come up with key stops at crucial times in the past. Last year, Cincinnati led most of the game and ended up losing by 3 in OT at Louisville. Getting more than a field goal at home, the Bearcats are a nice value play here.
Louisville is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on turf. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after giving up less than 20 points. Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 December games. A 24-0 angle. Take Cincinnati. |
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12-01-13 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 39 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Broncos/Chiefs Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time in three weeks this Sunday. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took a really rough loss last week in New England after blowing a huge halftime lead. Denver will be anxious to get back on track here, and the Broncos offense should have more success against KC's defense the second time around. The Chiefs will be without Justin Houston, who is their best pass rusher. Denver's defense isn't elite, and the Chiefs will have scoring chances.
The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 30 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 150 passing yards last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games during week 13. The over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 after scoring 30 points or more last game. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 33-4 angle. Take the over. |
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12-01-13 | Atlanta Falcons v. Buffalo Bills -3 | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 37 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* Why should we expect a strong effort out of Atlanta this week? The Falcons put forth their best effort in quite a while last week in a home loss against New Orleans. In their last couple road games, the Falcons have been blown out of the water. Buffalo will have a nice crowd here in this Toronto home game, and the Bills have been pretty good at home this year. The Bills defense is better than the Falcons, and this Falcons offense is so one-dimensional that it allows opposing defenses to tee off on Matt Ryan.
The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last home games against a team with a losing road record. The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Atlanta is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after gaining 350 yards or more in the last game. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. A 22-1 angle. Take Buffalo. |
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12-01-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 40 | 32-28 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns are forced to turn back to Brandon Weeden at quarterback after Jason Campbell suffered a concussion last weekend. Campbell was clearly making this offense better, and Weeden has struggled all year. The Jaguars defense isn't very good, but they have been playing quite a bit better of late. Cleveland's offense isn't any good, but the Browns arguably have one of the top 6 or 8 defenses in the NFL. This should be a sloppy game all the way around, and I think it stays in the 30's. You probably won't want to watch this one, but I like the value on the under. Take the under.
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12-01-13 | Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 40.5 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins both have some serious issues on the offensive side of the football. Miami's offensive line is a total mess right now, and the Jets defensive front should be able to take advantage of that. The Jets offense is decent at running the ball, but stopping the run is the strength of the Dolphins defense. Geno Smith has been a disaster in recent weeks at quarterback for the Jets, and you better believe this will be a conservative game plan offensively for the Jets. Lots of running the football here and the clock should keep ticking. This game should stay in the 30's. Take the under.
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12-01-13 | Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 49 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet up on Sunday in a game between two teams with very disappointing defense. The Bears were known for their strong defenses in the past, but no longer. This Bears defense has allowed 42 points or more in three of their last eight games. They also allowed 30 to the Vikings in their first meeting. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game at 31.5 per contest. The Vikings offense has been much better of late as well with Peterson healthy and Christian Ponder playing better. The Bears offense has done pretty well with McCown under center. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game.
The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 350 yards in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC North. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over big! |
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11-30-13 | UCLA v. USC -3.5 | 35-14 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star UCLA/USC Showdown ATS Play* The UCLA Bruins and USC Trojans fight hard to gain bragging rights in southern California. This is arguably the best rivalry in the Pac-12. UCLA put it on USC last year, and the Trojans remember that game well. The Trojans are a much better team now that Lane Kiffin is gone. USC is getting healthy, and Marqise Lee and Silas Redd are both expected to play in this one. UCLA hasn't had much success on the road in the Pac-12. USC's Cody Kessler is playing really well right now, and he has way more weapons around him than Brett Hundley does at UCLA. The Trojans are a very proud team, and I expect a big performance from them here. Take USC.
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11-30-13 | Texas A&M v. Missouri OVER 69.5 | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Tex A&M/Missouri Total* The Texas A&M Aggies offense was slowed down last week by LSU in a way that we haven't seen in a long time. Johnny Manziel didn't look good, but I have a feeling that will be different this week. Manziel is still the most electrifying player in the nation, and Missouri's pass defense is a glaring weakness. The entire Texas A&M defense is a complete mess. The Aggies have been unable to stop anyone all year long. Look for both teams to pile up the points in this one. Take the over. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars if you can get the over at 66.5 or lower. 3 Stars up to 71. Thank you.*
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11-30-13 | Louisiana Monroe v. UL-Lafayette OVER 57.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 104 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 NCAA FB Instate Rivalry Total* LA Monroe and LA Lafayette don't like each other one bit. This is a rivalry that doesn't get attention on a national scale, but locally this game is a really big deal. Kolton Browning and the Warhawks offense haven't been good the last two weeks, but I expect a much better effort from them in this one. Lafayette's running offense is the best in the conference and LA Monroe is very unlikely to be able to do anything about slowing them down at all. I had this one projected at 61 points. Take the over in this matchup.
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11-30-13 | Baylor v. TCU +14 | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Dog of Day* The Baylor Bears weren't an elite team all year. The problem was, we weren't able to see that because they weren't playing anyone good. The Big 12 is a horrible conference this year. The Bears were exposed in a big way last week in Stillwater. TCU hasn't been good this year, but they are much healthier and they are in a great spot here. TCU is coming off a bye week, and they are going to be ready to play. Gary Patterson is a great coach, and the Horned Frogs are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week. TCU will fight to the end in this one. Grab the points here. Take TCU.
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11-30-13 | Boston College v. Syracuse UNDER 51 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 19 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles and Syracuse Orange meet up in what should be a very competitive game in Syracuse on Saturday. The defense is the strength of both of these teams. Syracuse's offense is a mess, and the Orange rarely can put together long scoring drives. Boston College has an elite runner, but the Syracuse defense excels at stopping the run. This is one of those games where both defenses should be able to rise up and force a lot of field goal attempts if the offenses do get into the red zone. I had this one lined at 44.5, so I see a ton of value here. Take the under big!
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11-30-13 | Idaho v. New Mexico State OVER 68.5 | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -100 | 100 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA TOP Play of Week* The Idaho Vandals gave up 80 points in a drubbing at the hands of Florida State last week. Idaho's defense has been giving up huge totals all year. The Vandals defense is allowing an FBS worst 48.8 points per game this year. What about New Mexico State's defense? Not much better. They are allowing 47.2 points per game, which is second worst in the FBS. These are the two worst defenses in the nation up against each other. Expect lots of points from two offenses that are improving quite a bit. I lined this one at 80 points, so I'm very surprised the line dropped the way it has.
The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 40 points or more. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on grass. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss of 20 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 6 November games. In all, a 37-0 angle. Take the over big! |
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11-30-13 | BYU v. Nevada OVER 58.5 | 28-23 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 49 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The BYU Cougars are a completely different team than they were last year. This BYU team is looking to snap the ball as quick as possible and get off as many offensive plays as they can. That should work really well against a Nevada defense that is among the worst in the nation. Nevada's offense has plenty of fight, and Cody Fajardo is capable of leading this team to several scores here. Don't be surprised if BYU puts up a big number here. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up in a big way since the opener when I took this. I would play this up to 61 for 4 stars and up to 66 for 3 stars, but above 66 I would pass. Thank you.*
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11-30-13 | South Alabama v. Georgia State +9 | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar ATS* The Georgia State Panthers haven't won a game this year, but they deserve a ton of credit for how much they have improved. This is a team everyone expected to be getting drilled against Sun Belt foes. Instead, they have been close on a weekly basis to getting their first win. They are 8-2-1 ATS on the year. Georgia State nearly knocked off Arkansas State on the road last week. Expect a very spirited effort from Georgia State in this one. Don't be shocked if they win this game either.
Georgia State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 on turf. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. They are 8-1 ATS in their last 9. Take Georgia State. |
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11-30-13 | Duke +5.5 v. North Carolina | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 141 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Duke Blue Devils just keep winning despite the odds being against them. If Duke wins this game, they will be in the ACC title game against Florida State. David Cutcliffe is doing as good of a coaching job as anyone when it comes to turning around a program. This Duke team understands they have work to complete, and they have played well against North Carolina in the past few seasons. North Carolina is not a bad team, but Duke still isn't getting enough respect from the oddsmakers.
Duke is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 following a win. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 on grass. A 21-0 angle. Take Duke. |
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11-30-13 | Duke v. North Carolina OVER 58 | 27-25 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ACC Rivalry Total* The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest surprises in college football this year. North Carolina has been putting the pieces together on offense of late after Bryn Renner went down with an injury. Most thought the UNC offense wouldn't be any good the rest of the year, but Marquise Williams has been very good at QB for them. In the last 3 weeks, UNC has scored 45, 34, and 80 points. The Tar Heels defense isn't consistent though, and Duke's offense has improved a ton since the beginning of the year. I had this total set at 64 points. Take the over.
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11-30-13 | Rutgers v. Connecticut UNDER 50.5 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 97 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and UConn Huskies are both ready for this season to be over. Rutgers was expected to be pretty good this year, but they've been a big disappointment. UConn won last week, but that was their first win of the season. The Huskies have been abysmal on offense all year long. UConn has absolutely no running game, and their passing attack isn't good either. The Huskies defense has shown some fight at home, and I expect more of that in this one. I had this number projected at 46 points. This should be an ugly game. Take the under.
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11-29-13 | Miami (Florida) v. Pittsburgh UNDER 55 | 41-31 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 2 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes and Pitt Panthers both have offenses that have struggled to get going of late. The Hurricanes aren't the same team without Duke Johnson. Stephen Morris has been very disappointing of late at QB as well. Pitt lacks weapons on the offensive end. The Panthers have been playing some very low scoring games, and I've been backing the under with them for quite a while now. I'm not going to jump off the train just yet. Look for this one to stay close all game, and there should be a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the under.
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11-29-13 | Miami (Florida) v. Pittsburgh +3 | 41-31 | Loss | -115 | 62 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Pitt Panthers are a team I was low on to start the season, but there's no doubt this team has improved quite a bit over the course of the year. Pittsburgh has arguably the best defensive lineman in the nation in Aaron Donald. Miami's offensive front has struggled of late, and they'll be overmatched here. The Hurricanes were overrated early in the year, and the oddsmakers still think too much of this team. Miami's defense has gotten worse as the season has moved along. The Canes are also without star RB Duke Johnson.
Miami is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following an ATS loss. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 November games. Pitt is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. A 34-1 angle here. Take Pittsburgh. |
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11-29-13 | Washington State +14.5 v. Washington | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 62 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Apple Cup ATS* The Washington State Cougars are an interesting team this year. They have played much better on the road than they have at home. Washington State has pulled off outright upsets at USC, at Arizona, and they came very close to beating Auburn on the road (who is now ranked #4). Washington may be without Keith Price here, and the Huskies have been up and down this year. This rivalry has been decided by a small amount almost every time of late. The underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Grab the points here and take the underdog. Take Washington State.
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11-29-13 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 51 | Top | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 74 h 22 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls meet in a key MAC matchup Friday. Ralph Wilson Stadium will be the site for this one. Bowling Green has the number one pass defense in the nation and they have a top 10 defense in every category. Buffalo's defense has been great against MAC opponents. Neither of these teams has an elite offense. Last year when they got together the final score was just 21-7. This one might be a little higher, but I think the line should have been around 45 points. Look for a tight defensive battle all the way. Take the under big!
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11-29-13 | East Carolina v. Marshall OVER 67.5 | Top | 28-59 | Win | 100 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Feast TOP PLAY* The East Carolina Pirates and Marshall Thundering Herd meet in a very important game for both teams Friday. The winner of this game will play in the Conference USA title game next week. East Carolina and Marshall both have a high octane passing attack, and I think that means a very high scoring game here. Both teams like to move quickly, so there will be lots of plays. I projected this one at 73 points.
The over is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 28-0 angle. Take the over big! |
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11-28-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 47 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Day Top Total* The Oakland Raiders offense will get a big boost from the return of Darren McFadden in this game. McFadden is one of the best runners in the league when healthy, and this Cowboys defense has been bad against the run. Dallas is dead last in the NFL in total defense and they are without Sean Lee, their best linebacker. The Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop the pass this year, and Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense have been clicking through the air of late. Romo's numbers are pretty impressive this year, and this is a good chance for him and the offense against a poor secondary. The over is 3-0-1 in the Raiders last 4 games. I think this has a good chance to top 50 points. Take the over.
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11-24-13 | Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots OVER 56 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 138 h 39 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Denver Broncos have the best offense in the NFL. The New England Patriots offense wasn't very good earlier this year, but that is definitely changing as they get healthy. Neither of these defenses are very good. Both of them are decent against the run, but these offenses are going to be airing it out in this game. The Broncos are averaging 40 points per game. The Patriots have scored an average of 33.25 points per game in their last 4 games. The weather here is a little iffy, but both of these teams are used to inclement weather. *Note- The line has moved down since I have picked this game, so I feel even stronger about the over if you can get it below 56*
The over is 22-5 in the Broncos last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 games after playing on Monday night. The over is 5-1 in Denver's last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. A 31-6 angle. Take the over big! |
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11-24-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 42 | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 133 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs defense is one of the best in the NFL. The Chiefs offense is one of the worst in the NFL when it comes to putting up yardage. They are especially bad through the air. San Diego's defense has been gradually improving over the last few games. The Chargers are very reliant on throwing the football offensively. They really don't have much of a running game. Expect the Chiefs to put a ton of heat on Phillip Rivers and make life miserable for him. KC has the best pass rush in the NFL.
The under is 5-0 in the Chiefs last 5 November games. The under is 6-0 in the Chargers last 6 against the AFC. The under is 6-1 in the Chiefs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. A 17-1 angle here. Take the under. |
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11-24-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Detroit Lions OVER 48.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 108 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tampa Bay Bucs still aren't a good football team, but their offense has been much better over the last few weeks. Glennon is starting to get into a bit of a rhythm and it is turning into much better productivity for this group. Tampa Bay got an amazing performance out of Bobby Rainey last week at RB, so they might have found a really nice new weapon. Detroit's offense can score on anyone, and this Tampa Bay defense has been a big disappointment this season. Both of these offenses have a big advantage here.
The over is 6-0 in Tampa's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the Lions last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more passing in the last game. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in TB's last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Tampa's last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more. A 32-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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11-24-13 | Chicago Bears v. St. Louis Rams -109 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 84 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Moneyline CASH* The Chicago Bears are in a tough spot here. They are still without Jay Cutler. While McCown has done a pretty good job for the team, they are clearly much better off with Cutler in the lineup. The Bears picked up a hard win at home last week in OT over the Ravens. Chicago's defense isn't looking good at all of late. The Ravens ran the ball at will against them, and Baltimore hadn't been able to run against anyone before that. The Rams are running it well with Stacy right now, and Clemons is doing a solid job at QB. Jeff Fisher is doing a nice job with this Rams team. Look for the Rams to be motivated at home and pick up a nice win. Take St. Louis ML.
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11-24-13 | NY Jets v. Baltimore Ravens -3.5 | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 35 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The New York Jets aren't as good as they looked earlier this year. I give Rex Ryan and the coaching staff credit for making this team look decent early on, but they aren't very talented. Geno Smith makes too many mistakes with the football, and there aren't playmakers around him. Baltimore isn't even close to the team they were last year, but the Ravens still have pride, and they play very well at home. The Ravens have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Lay the points here. *Note- If you can get -3 on the Ravens I would bump this up to a 4 star rated play.*
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11-23-13 | Missouri v. Ole Miss OVER 56 | 24-10 | Loss | -113 | 104 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet in what should be a great SEC clash. Missouri is still in the national title race if they win out and Mississippi has proven capable of beating big name teams at home this year. The strength of both of these teams is their offense. Missouri's glaring weakness is their secondary and I expect Bo Wallace and Mississippi to exploit that. Missouri's offense hasn't been stopped by anyone this year when James Franklin is healthy and he'll be back for this one.
The over is 6-0 in Missouri's last 6 road games. The over is 5-0 in Ole Miss' last 5 November games. The over is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 road games against a team with a winning record. The over is 12-2 in Ole Miss' last 14 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing last game. A 28-2 angle backs this. Take the over. |
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11-23-13 | Connecticut v. Temple -7 | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* The UConn Huskies are 0-9 this year. UConn hasn't shown a pulse on the road all season. Their closest road losing margin is 17 points. Temple may only be 1-9 on the year, but the Owls are a much improved team of late. They have been leading in the 4th quarter in three straight games against good opponents. Temple is due for a big win, and this is a great spot for the team to get that win. P.J. Walker gives this team a play maker at quarterback, and the Owls should break out in this one.
Temple is 6-0 ATS in their last 6. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following a loss. They are 5-0 ATS after gaining at least 450 yards in the previous game. UConn is 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 23-0 angle. Take Temple. |
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11-23-13 | Louisiana Monroe v. South Alabama OVER 56 | Top | 14-36 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks offense looked bad most of the year, but that was without star quarterback Kolton Browning. Browning is Mr. Everything for this offense, and he is back and healthy now. They put up 49 points two games ago against Troy. The oddsmakers haven't yet caught up to Monroe's much better offense with Browning on the field. South Alabama's offense should be able to move it against a Monroe defense that isn't very good against either the run or the pass. The South Alabama defense played pretty well earlier this year, but they have a lot of injuries and are struggling of late. I had this line projected at 63 points, so this one has a ton of value. Take the over in a big way here!
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11-23-13 | UTEP +17.5 v. Tulane | 3-45 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Dog of Day* The UTEP Miners picked up a much-needed 33-10 win last week against lowly FIU. UTEP still has a lot of room for improvement, but they are clearly starting to improve. Tulane is a much better team this year, but the Green Wave aren't a team that is set up to cover big point spreads. Tulane's offense has been awful all year, and it has largely been their defense and timely turnovers that has led to them being a big surprise. UTEP will almost certainly lose this game, but this is too many points. Grab all the points in this one. Take UTEP.
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11-23-13 | Indiana v. Ohio State OVER 79.5 | 14-42 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Ohio State Buckeyes won 60-35 last week in Illinois, but the Buckeyes weren't very impressive in that win. At this point in the season, Ohio State not only needs to win games, but they need to be very impressive when winning them. Urban Meyer knows the Buckeyes need style points. Indiana has the worst defense in the Big 10. The Hoosiers are allowing an eye-popping 535 yards per game. Opponents have scored at least 42 points against Indiana in 4 of their last 5 games. Ohio State will be the best offense they have faced yet. The Buckeyes could easily score 60 points by themselves. Indiana's offense put up 49 points on Ohio State last year, and they should score several here. This number is very high for a reason. Look for a very high scoring game. Take the over.
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11-23-13 | Texas San Antonio v. North Texas -7 | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 87 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle ATS Play* Larry Coker has done a really good job with the UTSA football program, but they are still short on numbers and they have struggled on the road against top CUSA opponents. North Texas is in line to play in the CUSA title game if they keep winning. Dan McCarney's team has an identity of taking care of the football and playing hard nosed football. The Mean Green are very tough to beat at home.
North Texas is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 yards or less on the ground. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 following a win. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 on turf. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after allowing less than 275 total yards of offense. A 34-0 angle here. Take North Texas. |
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11-23-13 | BYU v. Notre Dame UNDER 54 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB BYU/Notre Dame Total* The BYU Cougars and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both tough defenses to run the football on when they know the run is coming. Last year these teams played to a 17-14 final score. A huge factor in this game will be the weather. There is snow expected during this game as well as 25 mph winds. Both of these passing games will have serious problems getting going. A ton of runs means a predictable offense for both teams as well as a clock that keeps running the entire game. Look for another low scoring contest here. Take the under.
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11-23-13 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse UNDER 49.5 | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 96 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Pitt Panthers and Syracuse Orange are two teams that I have bet on the under with successfully several times already this year. Pitt has an offense that isn't very good at either throwing or running it, and Syracuse's offense has been a complete disaster of late. On the other side of the ball, both of these defenses have improved a great deal through the year. Syracuse has lots of team speed on defense, and Pittsburgh has a dominating defensive line. Look for field goals instead of touchdowns here. Take the under in this one.
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11-23-13 | East Carolina -6 v. North Carolina State | 42-28 | Win | 100 | 59 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Intrastate Battle ATS* The battle for North Carolina takes place this Saturday in Raleigh. East Carolina has long been the team that everyone in the state overlooks, but they have been on a mission this year. East Carolina crushed the UNC Tar Heels 55-31 earlier this year, and the Pirates will be motivated to try to knock off another big name program in the state. NC State looks ready to pack it in for the season. The Wolfpack haven't been good in any aspect of the game, and they are finding different ways to lose every single week. East Carolina is the much better team, and they'll prove it on the field here. Take the Pirates.
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11-23-13 | Cincinnati v. Houston -3 | 24-17 | Loss | -115 | 109 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Houston Cougars keep covering the number and Las Vegas oddsmakers just don't respect them one bit. I'm perfectly fine with that. Why? I've been backing Houston and cashing in all year, so I'm going to stick with the Cougars. They have an improving defense and a great young QB leading the way. Cincinnati hasn't beaten anyone good all year, and the Bearcats haven't proven anything to me despite their 8-2 record.
The Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 November games. They are 4-0 ATS following a loss. They are 4-0 ATS on turf. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against teams with a winning record. Cincinnati is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards last game. A 25-0 angle here. Take Houston. |
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11-23-13 | Michigan v. Iowa -5.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 ATS SMASHER* The Iowa Hawkeyes had a week off before this big showdown. Michigan had a brutal triple overtime physical game against Northwestern. In the last 3 weeks, Michigan has played Michigan State, Nebraska, and Northwestern. The Wolverines have to be a bit worn out. They also face Ohio State in the "Super Bowl" game next weekend. Iowa will be fresh and focused on this game, and I think the Hawkeyes have been the better team this year. Michigan will struggle to move the football here. Look for the Hawkeyes to wear down the Wolverines. Take Iowa.
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11-18-13 | New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 47.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total* The New England Patriots and Carolina Panthers meet in what should be a great game Monday night. New England's defense is much improved from a couple years ago. Carolina's offense still isn't elite, but the Panthers defense is amazing. Carolina is first in total defense in the NFL. If you haven't bought into this defense being elite, then you should do it now. New England's offense definitely isn't what it was the past few years, and Carolina's defense should be well-prepared for this one. The Panthers haven't given up more than 15 points in their last 5 games. Take the under.
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11-17-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 47.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 49ers/Saints Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers and New Orleans Saints meet in a key matchup in New Orleans this weekend. The 49ers were humbled last week by Carolina at home. Colin Kaepernick is starting to get criticized by the experts. The 49ers need to establish the run here, and I think they can against a Saints front seven that isn't very good. New Orleans has been able to move the ball well against everyone they have faced. The Saints are really tough to stop in the Superdome. I think this total is several points too low.
The over is 6-0 in the Niners last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 on turf. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. |
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11-17-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 45.5 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Miami Dolphins have been in the news for all the wrong reasons of late. Miami's offense is a complete mess right now. The offensive line was already terrible, and without Incognito and Martin they are even worse. San Diego's defensive line should control the line of scrimmage in this one. The Dolphins still have a pretty solid defense, and the Chargers have had trouble converting in the red zone this season.
The under is 5-0 in the Chargers last 5 vs. the AFC. The under is 5-0-1 in the Dolphins last 6 during week 11. The under is 9-0 in the Dolphins last 9 games against teams allowing 350 yards or more per game. The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. |
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11-17-13 | Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 52.5 | 16-24 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles have a lot in common. Both of these teams have offenses that can score a lot of points quickly. They both also have defenses that can give up a lot of points in a short amount of time. The last few times these teams have gotten together it has been very high scoring. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Nick Foles is playing great for the Eagles and the Redskins secondary is terrible. RG3 is starting to look like himself once again, and he has had a ton of success against the Eagles in the past. Take the over here.
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11-16-13 | San Diego State v. Hawaii OVER 57.5 | Top | 28-21 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 47 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The San Diego State Aztecs have been good to me on overs so far this year. The Aztecs are good at stopping the run, but their secondary is weak. Hawaii can't run the ball, but they can definitely air it out. Hawaii should put up a lot more points here than most expect. On the other side, Hawaii's defense is dreadful. They are giving up 37.3 points per game for the year. The Hawaii offense has steadily improved as the season has progressed.
The over is 6-0 in Hawaii's last 6 games overall. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards last game. A 22-0 angle. Take the over big! |
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11-16-13 | Oregon State v. Arizona State OVER 63.5 | 17-30 | Loss | -111 | 44 h 15 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Oregon State Beavers and Arizona State Sun Devils both like to air it out early and often. Don't expect many rushing attempts in this game. The weakness of both of these defenses is their secondary. Arizona State has been piling up the points at home all year. The Sun Devils have scored 62, 54, and 53 points in their last three home games. Oregon State has mismatches against AZ State's secondary and they'll get their points too.
The over is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5 games on grass. The over is 6-0 in AZ State's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 275 total yards. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 21-1 angle. Take the over. |
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11-16-13 | Florida International v. UTEP UNDER 51.5 | 10-33 | Win | 100 | 104 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* When FIU and UTEP meet, I expect an absolutely horrible football game. Don't even try to watch, listen, or follow this game. There will be nothing exciting about this game. That being said, the game doesn't have to be exciting for me to see an opportunity to make money. FIU is dead last in the nation in points per game, and UTEP's offense is short-handed right now. These defenses aren't very good, but they'll probably look good on Saturday night. This number has moved throughout the week. I would make this a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play as low as 47 points. Take the under.
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11-16-13 | Texas State v. Arkansas State UNDER 51.5 | 21-38 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total* The Texas State Bobcats had two weeks to prepare for this one, and I think that means their defense will be very well-prepared. Texas State's defense has been able to slow down some very good teams this year. Arkansas State's defense is also one of the best in the Sun Belt. Both of these offenses have really struggled with consistency so far this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see a tight game here where both teams struggle to get into the end zone. I made this line 45, so I like the value on this one. Take the under here.
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11-16-13 | Houston +15.5 v. Louisville | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 47 h 44 m | Show | |
*4 Star ATS Play of Week* The Houston Cougars have been under the radar all year long. You would think the oddsmakers would have figured out this team by now, but they still haven't. Houston nearly knocked off an excellent UCF team on the road last week. Louisville is definitely a good team, but this number is just too high. Houston's offense has moved it well against everyone they have played this year, and I expect the same here.
Louisville is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a win. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after allowing less than 275 yards last game. They are 0-5 ATS after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Houston is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games. The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. A 30-1 angle. Take Houston. |
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11-16-13 | Colorado State -6.5 v. New Mexico | 66-42 | Win | 100 | 46 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under the Radar ATS* The Colorado State Rams are a team I've had my eye on this year. Kapri Bibbs has emerged as a superstar in the backfield for the Rams. Bibbs has 19 touchdowns in just 10 games this season. He wasn't even the team's primary ball carrier early in the year. The Rams defense is bad in the secondary, but New Mexico can't throw the ball. New Mexico is all about the run, and the Rams are good at stopping the run. New Mexico's defense hasn't been able to stop anything all year long, and I don't expect that to change here. Take Colorado State.
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11-16-13 | Michigan v. Northwestern -2.5 | 27-19 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Michigan/Northwestern ATS Cash* The Michigan Wolverines have been awful on the road this year. They were lucky to beat a UConn team that is 0-9 this year. They lost in OT to a Penn State team that isn't very good. Michigan absolutely took it on the chin at Michigan State. Northwestern is 0-5 in the Big Ten, but they are much much better than their record would indicate. The team is healthier now and they've had two weeks to prepare for this one. Pat Fitzgerald's team should come out hungry and ready to prove a point. I like the Wildcats chances here. Take Northwestern.
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11-16-13 | Michigan State v. Nebraska UNDER 42.5 | 41-28 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Michigan State Spartans have the best defense in the nation. They are allowing just 43 rushing yards per game. Michigan State's defense flies to the football. I don't see this defense giving up a big number against anyone. Without Taylor Martinez, Nebraska's offense isn't as dynamic. The Huskers are going to struggle to score in this one. Michigan State's stacked on defense, but their offense isn't very good. The Huskers defense stepped up in a big way last weekend at Michigan. Look for both D's to be very good here. Take the under. I would play this game as low as 41 points, but not lower.
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11-16-13 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia State OVER 59.5 | 35-21 | Loss | -106 | 37 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns have won 7 straight games. Their offense has put up 35 points or more in 6 of those 7 wins. They have scored 41 or more in 4 of the 7 games. Georgia State's defense is so bad that Lafayette may get to 50 in this one. Georgia State's offense is slowly improving and you have to think that Lafayette will let them score some late in the game here. The over is 7-0 in Lafayette's last 7 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 3-0-1 in Lafayette's last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in GA State's last 4 following a double digit home loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games at home. A 23-0 angle. Take the over.
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11-10-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -6 | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 50 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Cowboys/Saints CASH* The Dallas Cowboys beat the Minnesota Vikings last week, but they weren't a bit impressive in that win. New Orleans is a beast at home under Sean Payton. Drew Brees and the entire Saints offense is red hot again this year, and now they have a much improved defense with Rob Ryan at the controls. I think he'll be able to slow down Romo and the Cowboys offense better because of his familiarity with the system. Dallas isn't an elite team, and New Orleans is. This is a statement game for the Saints.
How good have the Saints been at home under Sean Payton? New Orleans is 13-0 ATS in the Superdome with Sean Payton on the sidelines since 2011. The Saints are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing more than 150 rushing yards in their last game. An 18-0 angle here. Take New Orleans. |
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11-10-13 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers +7 | 28-20 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle ATS Play* The Denver Broncos are a very good football team, but they have shown some vulnerability on the road. They squeaked out a win, but no cover against Dallas on the road. They were then beaten by Indianapolis on the road. San Diego has been great at home this year. The Chargers have dominated Dallas and Indianapolis both at home. San Diego is getting much better quarterback play from Rivers this year, and Danny Woodhead has fit into their offensive system really well. While the Broncos offense is great, their pass defense has been bad all season long. San Diego will fight hard in this one, and I think this game goes down to the wire.
The Chargers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after a loss. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS loss. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take the Chargers. |
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11-10-13 | Carolina Panthers v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 42.5 | 10-9 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers meet for what should be a very good game on Sunday afternoon. The 49ers started a little slowly, but this offense is on fire right now. San Francisco has scored 31 points or more in five straight games. San Francisco also had a bye to prepare for this game, and I think that gives Jim Harbaugh and this offense an edge when it comes to facing a solid Panthers defense. On the other side, Carolina's offense is clicking in a big way right now. The Panthers have scored at least 30 points in four straight games. The 49ers run defense isn't all that good, and the Panthers should find room to run.
The over is 15-2 in the 49ers last 17 following a bye week. The over is 9-0 in Carolina's last 9 games against a team averaging at least 27 points per game. The over is 7-0 in the 49ers last 7 against teams averaging at least 24 points per game in the last half of the season. A 31-2 angle backs this one. Take the over. |
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11-10-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Green Bay Packers OVER 52 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers meet Sunday. This is a game I selected on Monday before Aaron Rodgers went down with an injury. At this number (52), I would not have selected the over in this game with Rodgers out, but at a current level of 46.5 I do believe the 'over' is worth a look. Seneca Wallace will be better with a week of practice, and this Eagles defense is pathetic. Philly's offense should find plenty of holes in a weak Green Bay secondary. There's a good chance this game gets into the low 50's. I recommend a play on the over at 48 or less.
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11-10-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens +2 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Bookie CRUSHER* The Baltimore Ravens are just 3-5 on the year. The defending Super Bowl champs clearly aren't going to repeat, but it's hard to imagine them bowing out of the playoff race this early. This is a great spot to expect a huge effort out of the Ravens. Baltimore hasn't lost ATS at home this year, and Joe Flacco has played much better at home than on the road. While the Bengals do have a very good defense, they aren't even close to full strength. Cincinnati comes into this one with key injuries all over the defensive unit. Baltimore's pass rush will get after Andy Dalton, and he's prone to turning it over. Expect a max effort from Baltimore. Take the Ravens.
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11-10-13 | Seattle Seahawks -3.5 v. Atlanta Falcons | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Seattle Seahawks haven't played well the last two weeks, but Pete Carroll should have no trouble getting his team motivated for this game. Seattle lost a heart breaker to Atlanta in the playoffs last year, and you better believe this team remembers that very well. Seattle is on the way up, while Atlanta is a shell of its former self. Matt Ryan is looking bad without top options to throw it to, and the Falcons defense isn't very good. Seattle has a great secondary, and the Falcons simply cannot run the football. Look for Seattle to come out and make a statement here. Seattle wins this one much bigger than the linesmakers are suggesting.
Seattle is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a game where they gained 6 yards or more per play. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6. A 19-2 angle here. Take Seattle. |
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11-09-13 | San Diego State v. San Jose State OVER 56 | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 105 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month* The San Diego State Aztecs and San Jose Spartans have a nice little rivalry going on. San Jose State has an NFL-caliber quarterback in David Fales. San Diego State has a balanced offense with two good runners and a quickly improving quarterback. My numbers had this game at 64 points, so this line is more than a touchdown away, which rarely happens. The Spartans are 24th in the nation in total offense, and Fales should pick apart a suspect San Diego State secondary. At the same time, San Jose State is 93rd in the nation in total defense, and San Diego State will get plenty of opportunities to score as well.
The over is 6-1-1 in the Spartans last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in SD State's last 4 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their last game. The over is 8-2 in San Diego State's last 10 after an ATS loss. An 18-3 angle backs this play. Take the over big here! |
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11-09-13 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh UNDER 51 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 103 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star Notre Dame/Pitt Total Domination* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense hasn't been as good as expected so far this year, but it is still the strength of the team. Pittsburgh's offense has struggled the majority of the year, and I think they'll struggle up front against Notre Dame's front four. The Panthers defense is much improved and their defensive front is becoming a major strength for the team. Notre Dame doesn't have a consistent passing game, so I don't think they can beat this Pitt defense consistently. Look for both defenses to play well in this matchup.
The under is 5-0 in Pitt's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in Pitt's last 7 November games. A 19-1 angle. Take the under. |
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11-09-13 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Miami (Florida) | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 66 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Virginia Tech/Miami ATS Cash* The Virginia Tech Hokies are 6-3 this year, and the Hokies have been disappointing so far this year. It would be easy to dismiss this team, but Virginia Tech still has one of the very best defenses in the nation. Virginia Tech is the number one pass defense in the nation. Miami is without star running back Duke Johnson, and the Hurricanes will have to throw it more here. Virginia Tech's defense is going to make life miserable for Stephen Morris and the Hurricanes offense. Virginia Tech is still a quality team, and they are going to show up ready to go here. Virginia Tech is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against Miami. Take the Hokies here.
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11-09-13 | Texas -6 v. West Virginia | 47-40 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Texas/West Virginia ATS Cash* The Texas Longhorns were left for dead after their consecutive losses to BYU and Ole Miss early in the year. Mack Brown's team has come storming back in recent weeks. They dominated a good Oklahoma team, and then this Texas team has been taking care of business in a big way the last few weeks. West Virginia is capable of pulling upsets at home, which is why we get such a short line. The key here is Texas is just too strong in the trenches, and that will be the difference. Look for the Longhorns to beat up West Virginia on the ground. They should stop the run well too. Texas takes this one comfortably. Take Texas.
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11-09-13 | Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 55 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 99 h 60 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB ACC TOP Total* The Syracuse Orange won 13-0 over Wake Forest in a game that I played the 'under' in last week. That was a great play from start to finish. Syracuse has lots of offensive issues right now. Their quarterback play has been shaky at best, and Maryland has a talented defense. The Terrapins are once again having problems with the injury bug this season. Syracuse has a quality defense that does a good job keeping their opponents from getting those big plays. I had this game lined at 48 points. Expect both teams defenses to bring their A game here. This one stays low scoring all the way. Take the under big!
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11-09-13 | Nevada v. Colorado State OVER 63 | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 60 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Hidden GEM Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have a very good quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo is a dual-threat quarterback who is a weapon in every aspect of the game. He'll be up against a Colorado State defense that has been susceptible against mobile quarterbacks the past couple years. Nevada's defense is among the worst in the nation. The Wolfpack are allowing an astonishing 513 yards per game so far this season. Colorado State's offense has come to life of late, and I expect a big number from Colorado State here. Back and forth with both offenses lighting it up in this one.
The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 after allowing 200 rushing yards or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in CSU's last 5 games. The over is 3-0-1 in CSU's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in Colorado State's last 5 after gaining 450 yards in their last contest. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. A 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big! |
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