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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-05-13 | Texas San Antonio Roadrunners v. Marshall OVER 64.5 | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 30 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Total of Week* The Marshall Thundering Herd have a real weapon in quarterback Rakeem Cato. Cato has all the tools to be a good NFL quarterback in the future. He can absolutely pick apart lesser defenses like UTSA. UTSA has been stout against the run of late, but they don't have a good secondary. Marshall is the perfect team to expose UTSA's weakness in the secondary. UTSA's offense has looked very good this year. Marshall's defense is almost as bad as their offense is good. Both teams like to play fast and this one has high scoring game written all over it.
The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 October games. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 games following a loss. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big! |
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10-05-13 | Texas Tech v. Kansas +17.5 | 54-16 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Homecoming Dog* The Kansas Jayhawks aren't a good team, but they have definitely gotten better since last season. Kansas only lost to Texas Tech by 7 on the road last year. Texas Tech is better this year too, but they haven't had to prove it on the road. Kansas will have Homecoming festivities on Saturday afternoon, and that generally leads to a nice crowd and a solid performance by the home team. I'll be the first to admit that I'm not terribly high on Kansas, but this is a play on a price alone. Texas Tech shouldn't be laying this number right now. Kansas keeps this one closer than expected. Take the Jayhawks.
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10-05-13 | Ball State +6 v. Virginia | 48-27 | Win | 100 | 64 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Virginia Cavaliers are the big-name team in this matchup, but I don't think they are the better team. Keith Wenning will be the best player on the field, and he's the starting quarterback for the Ball State Cardinals. Ball State is coming off a very nice win against Toledo last week. The Cardinals offense is very good at both running and throwing the ball. Virginia's defense has been pretty good this year, but I don't think the Cavs have enough weapons to keep up with Ball State here. The Cardinals are the underdog because of the lack of name recognition here. Grab the points on the road underdog. Take Ball State.
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10-05-13 | Michigan State v. Iowa -109 | 26-14 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* If you like hard hitting action, then this is the game for you. With a posted total sitting at a ridiculously 38 points, the oddsmakers (and I) are expecting some great defense here. Michigan State's offense has been brutally bad all year long. The Spartans have no one who can throw the ball well, and they are lacking at wide receiver as well. Iowa has found a good option in Jake Rudock at quarterback. Rudock is efficient and he has done his best work on third down. Mark Weisman is healthy this year, and the Iowa Hawkeyes have a dominating offensive line. Michigan State's defense is amazing, but their offense has no identity. I'll take the team that knows what they want to do here. Iowa is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. They are 4-1 ATS following a straight up win. Take Iowa here.
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10-03-13 | UCLA v. Utah OVER 57.5 | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 34 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total TAKEDOWN* The UCLA Bruins and Utah Utes meet on Thursday night in a game televised by Fox Sports 1. UCLA had a bye week last week, so they'll be very fresh. The Bruins have one of the nation's best dual-threat quarterbacks in Brett Hundley. Hundley is a rising star in college football, and he is putting up some huge numbers this year. The Bruins offense is second in the nation in total offense at 614 yards per game. They are averaging 52 points per game. Utah changed their strategy in the offseason. The Utes now play an uptempo style employed by Dennis Erickson. Travis Wilson is a 6'7 quarterback who is getting this offense moving up and down the field consistently this season. The Utes have scored 148 points in their three home games this year. Both of these defenses lost their top players from last year, and I see the makings of a real shootout in this one. I made this one 68 points.
The over is 6-0 in UCLA's last 6 Pac-12 games. The over is 5-0 in UCLA's last 5 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a win. I recommend a 5 star play up to 61 points. I would play it for 4 stars up to 63 and 3 stars up to 64 points. Take the over big! |
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09-30-13 | Miami Dolphins v. New Orleans Saints -6.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Dolphins/Saints ATS* The Miami Dolphins are 3-0, but they have been outgained in all three games. They aren't going to be able to continually get outgained and still win football games. The New Orleans Saints are much improved on the defensive side of the ball, and they are extremely tough to beat at home. Miami's defense is normally pretty good, but they are short-handed for this one. Cameron Wake may miss the game as well, and he is the Dolphins best defender. Ryan Tannehill isn't a bad QB, but he hasn't proven himself in a tough environment on the road yet. The Saints have far too many weapons for the Dolphins. The Dolphins are improved, but they aren't in the same class as the Saints. New Orleans is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games at home when Sean Payton is on the sideline. The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday Night Football games. The Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games at home during primetime. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the Saints.
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09-29-13 | New England Patriots v. Atlanta Falcons +1 | 30-23 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Sunday Night Football ATS* The New England Patriots are 3-0 so far this year, but they have probably been the least impressive 3-0 team in the league. Atlanta is 1-2 on the year, but their two losses came in the last minute at Miami and at New Orleans. The Falcons haven't looked bad at all this year, and they are always extremely difficult to beat at home. The Falcons backs are against the wall here, and I expect them to come out ready to play. Matt Ryan has far more weapons to work with than Tom Brady does. The Patriots can't squeak out every tough game, and this is the best team they have played so far this year. The Falcons are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 following an ATS loss. Take Atlanta. *The line has moved throughout the week since I selected this one last Sunday night- I would play this up to Atlanta -3. Thank you.*
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09-29-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Denver Broncos OVER 57.5 | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 46 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Philadelphia Eagles and Denver Broncos square off in a matchup of high-octane offenses. Neither of these teams will huddle up, and there will be a ton of plays run in this one. Peyton Manning has had a ton of great seasons in the NFL, but he is off to the fastest start of his career. Manning has 12 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions this year. This Eagles defense is giving up 323 yards per game through the air and Manning should shred them up here. On the other side, the Broncos have allowed at least 21 points in each game this year. The Eagles fast-paced offense can put up points as well. Denver is number one in total offense and Philly is number two in the NFL.
The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 90 yards or less on the ground in the previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Broncos last 6 following a win. The over is 7-0-1 in the Broncos last 8 following a win by 14 points or more. The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 following a game where they scored 30 points or more. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 after gaining at least 150 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 after gaining at least 350 yards in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. In all, a 43-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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09-29-13 | Dallas Cowboys -123 v. San Diego Chargers | 21-30 | Loss | -123 | 39 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle CASH* The Dallas Cowboys looked a lot better last weekend. While I'm not completely sold on the Cowboys, I do rate them as a much better team than the San Diego Chargers. Phillip Rivers just makes too many mistakes, and the Cowboys defense has proven very good at forcing turnovers. Dallas is a much more dangerous team when Murray is running the ball well, and he looked great last week. Tony Romo has far more weapons to work with than Phillip Rivers. The Cowboys defense has a lot more talent than the Chargers. Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after accumulating 350 yards or more in the previous game. The Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take Dallas.
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09-29-13 | Cincinnati Bengals -3 v. Cleveland Browns | 6-17 | Loss | -120 | 43 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Oddsmaker Error* The Cleveland Browns picked up a nice win on the road in Minnesota last week, but I think people are a little too anxious to believe that Cleveland is much improved. The Browns still have a major question mark at quarterback and no real running back after Richardson was traded away. The Bengals lost a tough game in Chicago and then won against Pittsburgh and Green Bay. Cincinnati has a much more balanced team than Cleveland, and the Bengals appear to be much better this year than they have been in the past couple seasons. I think this is a case of two teams headed in different directions. This line is too short. Take advantage of it. Take Cincinnati.
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09-29-13 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions OVER 47.5 | 32-40 | Win | 100 | 35 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Chicago Bears have played three games that have went well over the posted total this year. Chicago's offense is improved, and their defense is forcing turnovers in a big way so far this season. Detroit's offense is one of the most dynamic in the league, and Reggie Bush will be back for this one. With Bush and Calvin Johnson around him, Matt Stafford should have a great season. Johnson should take advantage of a banged up Bears secondary. The Bears are averaging 31.7 points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5. The over is 7-1 in the Bears last 8 road games. The over is 6-1 in the Bears last 7 during week 4. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | UNLV v. New Mexico OVER 54 | 56-42 | Win | 100 | 127 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The UNLV Rebels have actually won two straight games for the first time in a very long time. UNLV still isn't a good team at all. They beat up on a short-handed Central Michigan team and FCS Western Illinois. The Rebels run defense is atrocious. New Mexico can't throw the ball, but Bob Davie's team can definitely run with the best of them. The Lobos are averaging 267 yards per game on the ground. Earlier this year, UNLV allowed 397 yards on the ground in a single game against Arizona. New Mexico's defense is one of the worst in the country, and they won't be able to stop anyone all season long. Both of these teams are giving up about 35 points per game. I like the value here. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Air Force v. Nevada OVER 58.5 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 41 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Air Force Falcons can run the football extremely well, but they can't stop anyone this year. Their defense is about as bad as you'll find anywhere. Air Force is undersized along the defensive front and their secondary isn't even as good as normal. Air Force will have a new quarterback here, but as long as he is decent in the triple option, this team will get some points against Nevada's horrible rushing defense. Air Force is allowing 41 points per game this year. Nevada is giving up 34 points per game this year. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games in September. The over is 4-0 in Air Force's last 4 conference games. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Kent State +3 v. Western Michigan | 32-14 | Win | 100 | 114 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Kent State Golden Flashes are expected to get Dri Archer back for this game. Archer is by far the team's best player. Without him the offense was lost, but they should be able to move the ball extremely well with him in the lineup. Western Michigan is a team that is way down from a couple years ago. The Broncos have been a turnover machine this year, and the defense is poor. Opponents are running for 248 yards per game against Western Michigan so far this year. Kent State has the manpower to take advantage of that. The Golden Flashes have played a tough schedule, and that has skewed their stats a bit. I like Kent State in this one, and I would play the Golden Flashes all the way up to -2.5. Take Kent State.
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09-28-13 | Arizona v. Washington OVER 63.5 | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Arizona Wildcats are much improved this season. Rich Rodriguez has one of the best running attacks in the country, and they should be able to move the football against everyone on their schedule. Steve Sarkisian has his most talented offense since he has been in Washington. Sarkisian decided to push the tempo on offense this year, and it has been paying off. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey are a terrific tandem in the backfield. Washington is averaging 629 yards per game this year. Arizona's defense hasn't faced a decent offense yet, and they will get chewed up here. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings at Washington between these teams. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Florida -12.5 v. Kentucky | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 98 h 25 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle ATS Play* The Florida Gators lost quarterback Jeff Driskel to an injury last week. Driskel is an athletic guy, but second stringer Tyler Murphy might actually fit into the offense better. I like what he did stepping in last week, and I think Murphy can thrive against a horrible team like Kentucky. Kentucky has looked good once this year and that was against a very bad Miami (OH) team. The Wildcats have a ton to prove. Florida's defense could easily completely shut out the Wildcats here. Florida has a big advantage in the trenches in this game, and that should pay off bigtime in the second half of the game. Florida has won 26 straight meetings with Kentucky.
Florida is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record. The Gators are 6-0 in their last 6 games against Kentucky. The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. A 16-0 angle backs this play. Take Florida here. |
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09-28-13 | Army v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 52 | 35-16 | Win | 100 | 123 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are a completely team different team this year. Louisiana Tech had a high flying offense last year, but this season their offense is terrible. Louisiana Tech's strength is their defensive line, which will help them in this game against an Army team that runs the ball on nearly every play. Louisiana Tech hasn't been able to score on questionable defenses such as Tulane and Kansas in recent weeks, and I don't expect them to put up all that many here either. The clock should be rolling through much of this game. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 neutral site games. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a game where they allowed 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in LA Tech's last 4 games overall. Take the under.
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09-28-13 | Houston -2 v. Texas San Antonio Roadrunners | 59-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Road Warrior* The Houston Cougars are one of the most improved teams in the nation this year. Houston brings an uptempo offense into this game, and the Cougars are coming off an impressive win over rival Rice last week. Texas San-Antonio has been covering the number every week of late, but I think the oddsmakers are finally giving them a little too much credit. This is still a team that is short on play makers on the offensive end. I don't expect them to be able to keep up with a Houston team that is fully capable of scoring 40 points in this game. Take Houston in this one.
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09-28-13 | Connecticut v. Buffalo +1 | 12-41 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Oddsmaker Error ATS* The Connecticut Huskies were dominated on their home field in the season opener earlier this year against FCS school Towson. They were then beaten handily by Maryland at home. The Huskies gave a good effort last weekend against Michigan, but I don't think that carries over here. Buffalo was without star running back Branden Oliver last weekend, but he should be back at almost 100 percent here. He'll be up against a UConn defense that has struggled to stop the run this year. Buffalo has actually outgained UConn the last two seasons, and the Bulls are much improved this year while UConn is down a notch. The oddsmakers are giving the Huskies far too much credit for one good game last weekend. UConn is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after throwing for 170 yards or more in their last game. They are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 following an ATS win. Take Buffalo.
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09-28-13 | UTEP v. Colorado State OVER 52 | 42-59 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The UTEP Miners have a solid quarterback in Texas A&M transfer Jamiell Showers. Showers nearly beat out Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M before last season, but ended up transferring to UTEP. He has faced some good defenses this year, but I expect him to be able to put up big numbers against a Colorado State secondary that was torched by Colorado in game one. On the other side, UTEP's front seven is their weakness and the Rams should be able to exploit that. Colorado State has been much better offensively at home over the past few years. This total is set too low for two defenses that are below average. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Oklahoma v. Notre Dame UNDER 51 | 35-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Oklahoma/Notre Dame Total* The Oklahoma Sooners and Notre Dame Fighting Irish will do battle in South Bend on Saturday. Oklahoma lost 30-13 to Notre Dame in Norman last year, and you better believe they'll want revenge here. The Sooners defense has been very good this year, and Notre Dame's offense has been very underwhelming. Notre Dame can't run the ball much at all, and the Sooners pass rush should get to Tommy Rees often. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the nation, and I don't expect this Oklahoma team to be able to run consistently on them. There should be a lot of field goals here as both defenses buckle down in the red zone. The under is 22-7 in Notre Dame's last 29 home games. Take the under.
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09-28-13 | Navy v. Western Kentucky OVER 58 | Top | 7-19 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 47 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Month* The Navy Midshipmen can run the football against just about anyone. It doesn't matter if their opponent knows the run is coming, because they can't stop it. Western Kentucky's weakness on defense is stopping the run. The Hilltoppers have been giving up running yards by the bunches. Opponents are running for 195 yards per game against them. Western Kentucky's offense is top-notch, and they have one of the most underrated runners in the country in Antonio Andrews. Andrews has already run for 6 TD's this year. Navy's defense isn't good, and I expect both teams to get huge chunks of yardage in this one. The over is 7-1 in the Hilltoppers last 8 home games. I expect a game that gets into the mid 60's at a minimum. Take the over in a big way here!
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09-26-13 | Iowa State v. Tulsa -2.5 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night ATS Cash* The Iowa State Cyclones are the worst team in the Big 12 this year (right down there with Kansas). Iowa State lost 28 letterwinners from last year, and it is showing early on this year. Iowa State is 0-2 this year, and they have lost both of those games at home. They make a trip to Tulsa this week to take on a Tulsa team that they split with last year. Iowa State beat Tulsa at home last season, but Tulsa got revenge in a rare bowl game rematch from the regular season. Tulsa has two very good running backs and I expect them to be able to move the ball on the ground all game long here. Iowa State is giving up 223 yards per game on the ground. Tulsa is coming off a bye week. Tulsa is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week. Iowa State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Look for Tulsa to cover this small number at home. Take Tulsa.
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09-22-13 | Detroit Lions v. Washington Redskins OVER 49 | 27-20 | Loss | -109 | 120 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Detroit Lions and Washington Redskins are both going to be airing it out on Sunday afternoon. The Redskins secondary might be the worst in the league, and you better believe Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson are going to exploit that. On the other side, Robert Griffin III has slowly improved in the first two weeks and I expect him to play his best game of the year so far in this one. Reggie Bush is questionable here, but I think the Lions score plenty whether he plays or not. Washington's offense is quite a bit more sharp at home.
The over is 6-0 in the Redskins last 6 September games. The over is 6-0 in Detroit's last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. A nice 12-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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09-22-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Cincinnati Bengals OVER 48.5 | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 42 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Green Bay Packers have the top ranked offense in the NFL right now. Don't be surprised if the Packers stay at or very close to the top of the NFL in total offense throughout the season. The Bengals have an elite front seven, but Cincinnati has some problems in the secondary. Look for Aaron Rodgers to expose Cincinnati's problems in the secondary in this game. The Bengals have more play makers on offense than they have had in a very long time. Gio Bernard is a great addition to this team, and A.J. Green is an elite receiver. The Packers defense has been giving up a lot of yards, and I think that continues here. Take the over.
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09-22-13 | Cleveland Browns v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 41 | 31-27 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns offense was horrendous in the first two weeks. Now, they'll be without their starting quarterback and running back from the beginning of the season. The trade of Trent Richardson was a confusing one, and it is going to really hurt this offense. Cleveland is averaging 8 points per game so far this year, and now they are permanently without Richardson, who was their best player. Minnesota's offense is all about running the football, and the Browns are 5th in the NFL at stopping the run. Minnesota is likely to win, but I don't think they'll put up many points. Look for an ugly game here. Take the under in this one.
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09-21-13 | Texas State v. Texas Tech OVER 57.5 | 7-33 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Texas State and Texas Tech will get together this weekend. Texas State is going to be outmanned in a big way here. The Bobcats gave up 58 points to Texas Tech last year, and I could certainly see Tech topping 50 points once again in this one. Texas State's offense is slowly improving, and the Red Raiders defense doesn't normally shut too many opponents down. This total is several points lower than my numbers had it (62). Expect the Red Raiders high powered offense to do whatever they want in this one. The pace alone should allow for plenty of scoring opportunities. Take the over.
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09-21-13 | Louisiana-Lafayette v. Akron UNDER 64.5 | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns will be at Akron this week. Akron nearly upset the Wolverines in Ann Arbor last weekend in what would have been the biggest upset of the year. The Zips have to be a little down after their near upset from last week, and I think Lafayette shuts them down nicely here. Akron's defense is much improved from a year ago, but their offense doesn't have many play makers. Lafayette is a team that can put up big points, but the total is set too high here. I made this one 60 points, so I see plenty of value. The under is 9-1 in Akron's last 10. The under is 6-0 in Akron's last 6 after accumulating 280 yards or more through the air in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. A 19-1 angle in all. Take the under.
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09-21-13 | Arkansas State -3.5 v. Memphis | 7-31 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar ATS* The Arkansas State Red Wolves have been one of the Sun Belt's best teams over the last few years. They lost their star quarterback after last season, and that was certainly a big blow. Still, this is one of the best overall teams in the Sun Belt. They have a terrific running game and strength in the trenches. Memphis closed the season with a little momentum last year, but their offense is terrible. The Tigers are 117th in the nation in total offense, averaging just 293.5 yards per game so far this year. Memphis is throwing for just 159 yards per game. Arkansas State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a losing record. Take Arkansas State.
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09-21-13 | Utah State +7.5 v. USC | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 138 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Oddsmaker Error* The Utah State Aggies are a very good football team. This team used to be in the bottom of the WAC, and now they are a very solid Mountain West team. Chuckie Keeton is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country. His versatility makes him almost unstoppable. USC bounced back with a 35-7 win over Boston College last week, but that didn't prove anything. The Trojans offense is a mess, and they'll be up against a Utah State defense that is terrific in the front seven. It sounds strange to say, but Utah State definitely has a real chance of winning this game. If it weren't for USC having the bigger name, this line would be more like USC -2 or -3. Utah State is the more balanced team here.
The Aggies are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 September games. USC is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. USC is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. Utah State is 10-1 ATS following a win. A 25-1 angle backs this play. Take Utah State. |
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09-21-13 | Michigan State v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 38 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Michigan State/Notre Dame Total Domination* The Michigan State Spartans offense is awful, but their defense is one of the top five in the nation. Michigan State's defense doesn't have a weakness. They have a lot of strength on the defensive line and speed and athleticism at the back of the defense. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the country. The Fighting Irish defense didn't look good at Michigan, but they should look very good here against a weak Michigan State offense. Last year's game between these two finished at 20-3, and I think both offenses are worse this season.
The under is 5-0 in MSU's last 5 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 6-1-1 in Michigan State's last 8 non-conference games. An 18-1 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-21-13 | Purdue v. Wisconsin -22 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Wisconsin Badgers were absolutely robbed last week. Wisconsin had a very good chance of getting out of Tempe with a win over a good Arizona State team, but the officials didn't allow them a chance to kick their last second field goal. The mess in the last 15 seconds was embarrassing for college football. Think the team is ready to get back on the field and get that game in the rear view mirror? You better believe it! Purdue is the worst team in the Big Ten this year. The Boilermakers put up a nice effort last week at home against Notre Dame, but I don't expect them to hold their own against the physical Badgers offensive front. Purdue's leading tackler is out for this game. Wisconsin beat Purdue 38-14 last year on the road while racking up 645 yards of offense. Wisconsin won 62-17 two years ago at home. The Boilers are even worse now than they were then.
The Boilermakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a game where they allowed more than 450 total yards. The favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Purdue is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games at Wisconsin. A 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the Badgers big! |
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09-21-13 | Tulane +17 v. Syracuse | 17-52 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM ATS* The Tulane Green Wave are a team I've had my eye on during the offseason as well as early this year. Tulane has been a cellar-dweller the last few years, but they won't be this season. Nick Montana is a big upgrade at quarterback and Orleans Darkwa is a quality runner. The Green Wave defense is much improved as well. Syracuse has far too many question marks to be favored by this many points against any decent team. Tulane plays in a dome for their home games, so the Orange won't get any advantage out of that. Syracuse should win this game, but I expect it to be pretty close. Take Tulane and the points.
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09-21-13 | Middle Tenn State v. Florida Atlantic +4 | 42-35 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Florida Atlantic Owls definitely play hard for Coach Carl Pelini. Florida Atlantic made Miami work harder than expected for much of their season opener against the Hurricanes. They then handled South Florida last week in a surprising win. The Owls defense has gotten much better the last couple years. Middle Tennessee State has struggled so far this year. The Blue Raiders only beat Memphis 17-15 and were crushed 40-20 at UNC. Logan Kilgore has really had trouble getting in sync throwing the football. Florida Atlantic is a live home dog in this one. Grab the points. Take Florida Atlantic.
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09-21-13 | San Jose State +4.5 v. Minnesota | 24-43 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The San Jose State Spartans have been a covering machine over the last two years. The oddsmakers simply haven't been able to catch up to this team. San Jose State is playing an early game game, which is concerning for a west coast team, but they've had two weeks to prepare which is a huge plus. San Jose State has an elite quarterback in David Fales. Fales isn't known by most fans, but he has a deadly accurate arm, and he can move this team against any defense. The Spartans also have a solid defense. Minnesota will be without their top quarterback on Saturday. Minnesota struggled to get past Western Illinois last week, and San Jose State is a big step up from Western Illinois. I think San Jose State is the better team. The Spartans are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following a straight up loss. Take San Jose State.
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09-19-13 | Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 56 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Chiefs/Eagles ATS CASH* The Philadelphia Eagles got a lot of praise after their week one victory over the Washington Redskins. After week two, the Eagles were getting bashed by a lot of people once again. Chip Kelly has brought a much improved offensive scheme to Philadelphia, but if anything the Eagles defense is even worse than last year. This game has some extra story lines as Andy Reid comes back to face his old team. Reporters are trying to make that the big story here, but Andy Reid is too much of a professional to let that story line change the way his team prepares. I like what I've seen out of the Chiefs this year. Kansas City has 5 pro bowlers on their defense, and this should be a top 10 defense in the league this year. Alex Smith is a great game manager, and Jamaal Charles is an elite running back. Philadelphia just lost at home to a San Diego team that I rate much lower than the Chiefs. I'll take the better defense and grab the points here. The Eagles are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. They are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing more than 350 yards in their last game. Take the Chiefs.
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09-16-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 41 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals are bitter rivals, and you better believe both teams want this game badly. Not only is this game a huge rivalry, but both teams really want to avoid going 0-2. The Steelers were embarrassed at home last week, while the Bengals blew a game in Chicago. The strength of both of these teams is their defense, and I expect both defenses to rise up and play great Monday night. The Steelers defense is still one of the best in the NFL, and they'll show pride in this game. The Bengals defensive front is very good, and I expect them to get after Big Ben here.
The under is 8-0 in the Steelers last 8 week 2 games. The under is 6-0 in the Bengals last 6 against the AFC. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games after gaining at least 250 yards passing in the previous game. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-15-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -2.5 | 3-29 | Win | 100 | 150 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 49ers/Seahawks ATS CASH* The San Francisco 49ers are most people's top ranked team in the NFL right now. I can't necessarily argue against the 49ers as a great team, but I will argue that Seattle has the single best home field advantage in football. That effect will be multiplied here as this is a night game in Seattle. You better believe this building will be absolutely rocking Sunday night. Colin Kaepernick picked apart the Packers defense, but this Seattle defense is one of the best in the NFL. Don't overlook Russell Wilson, who is a very good young quarterback. He knows how to win football games. The 49ers defense isn't quite as good as it was a couple years ago, and I think that shows up here. The Seahawks spanked the 49ers last time at home. It won't be as big of a margin here, but I think Seattle gets it done. Seattle is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. The 49ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the NFC West. Take Seattle.
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09-15-13 | New Orleans Saints -3 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 16-14 | Loss | -115 | 158 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS CRUSHER* The Tampa Bay Bucs are coming off a disappointing last second loss to the New York Jets. While a lot of people are saying this is a great chance for them to catch the Saints napping, I don't see it that way. New Orleans should be highly motivated this year under Sean Payton. Payton missed all of last season, and the Saints basically wrote off the season. In 2013, expect a lot more out of the Saints. New Orleans has all kinds of offensive play makers, and I don't think the Bucs can keep up. Josh Freeman has to prove he is a capable NFL starter after a lot of bad mistakes the past year and a half. New Orleans should move to 2-0 with an easier than expected win. Take the Saints.
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09-15-13 | Miami Dolphins +3 v. Indianapolis Colts | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 57 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Miami Dolphins had an impressive week one showing against Cleveland on the road. The Browns aren't an elite team, but they aren't as bad as many think. Miami's defense looked very tough in that game, and I think we'll see as the season moves along that this Dolphins defense is much improved this year. Ryan Tannehill isn't tremendous, but he is a solid quarterback for this system. The Colts were lucky to get out with a win against a bad Oakland team in week one. Indianapolis is one of the teams that I believe is overrated going into this year. Miami has the better defense and I think this line should be at least pick'em. Miami is 26-9 ATS in their last 35 road games against a team with a winning record. Grab the points here. Take Miami.
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09-14-13 | Wisconsin v. Arizona State -5 | 30-32 | Loss | -102 | 31 h 60 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Late NIGHT BAILOUT* No one in the nation has played an easier schedule through two games than the Wisconsin Badgers. They haven't allowed a point this year, but they have played UMass and Tennessee Tech. The Badgers are in for a big surprise when they go to Arizona and battle both the sweltering heat and a very good Sun Devils team on Saturday night. Arizona State is in its second year under Todd Graham, and I expect big things from them this year. The Sun Devils have a great quarterback in Taylor Kelly, and Wisconsin's weakness is their secondary. The Badgers running game is very good again this year, but the Sun Devils are very strong on the defensive front. Arizona State is going to have a good year, and this is a great spot for them. Arizona State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. They are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against the Big Ten. Wisconsin is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a game where they scored 40 points or more. Take Arizona State here.
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09-14-13 | Oregon State v. Utah OVER 57.5 | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Utah Utes are a completely different team than they were a year ago. Wilson has matured a great deal as a quarterback, and Utah's offense is playing uptempo thanks to help from Dennis Erickson. Utah put up 30 points against a very good Utah State defense before putting up 70 point in a glorified scrimmage last week. Oregon State's defense isn't as good as last year, as evidenced by their allowing 49 points and more than 600 yards against FCS school Eastern Washington. Utah's defense isn't as good this year either. This number should be in the 60's.
The over is 6-0 in Oregon State's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a game where they gained at least 200 yards on the ground. The over is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 home games. A 20-1 angle backs this. Take the over. |
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09-14-13 | Ole Miss v. Texas -2.5 | 44-23 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ole Miss/Texas ATS* The Texas Longhorns were absolutely demolished last week at BYU. The Cougars ran for 550 yards against a front seven that really should be one of the top five run defenses in the country. How do they respond to that kind of embarrassment? I think this team has enough heart to bounce back with a win. The line here would have likely been 8 or 9 points before last week's loss. You have to try not to overreact to one game. Mississippi is improved, but they did lose 66-31 at home to this same Texas team last year. Texas should run the ball very well here. Take Texas.
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09-14-13 | Western Kentucky -9.5 v. South Alabama | 24-31 | Loss | -106 | 144 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Sun Belt ATS* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are one of the teams I had on my most underrated list heading into the season. Bobby Petrino may not have good morals, but he does know how to coach a football team. Petrino has the best running back in the Sun Belt in Antonio Andrews, and you better believe he is going to use him a lot in this game against a South Alabama team that isn't very good against the run. Western Kentucky had the best defense in the conference last year, and they should be near the top again this year. South Alabama isn't a bad team, but they aren't in the same class as Western Kentucky. Take the Hilltoppers.
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09-14-13 | Maryland -7 v. Connecticut | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 137 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Value Play* The Maryland Terrapins are one of the most improved teams in the country. Maryland was one of the most injury riddled teams in the country last year, and they are much healthier in 2013. Randy Edsall brings Maryland back to the spot he used to coach at. No doubt UConn is going to want this game, but I'm not sure that will be enough in this one. UConn was dominated by FCS level school Towson in week one. The Terrapins have a huge speed advantage all over the field, and Maryland has a big edge when it comes to coaching as well. The Terrapins have a great chance to make a statement. Take Maryland.
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09-14-13 | Kansas v. Rice -6 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Play* The Kansas Jayhawks lost at home last year to the Rice Owls, and that was before Rice got on a roll and started playing with confidence. Rice is one the teams on my most underrated list, and they showed very well for themselves in week one against Texas AM&. Despite losing by 21, they outgained the Aggies at Kyle Field. Kansas has tons of question marks, and they have a head coach who I rate as one of the worst in college football. Rice has weapons all over the field on offense, and their defense is one of the most improved in the country. Rice also has a big special teams advantage.
Rice is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. They are 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss of 20 points or more. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 overall. Kansas is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 following a bye week. They are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. A 28-0 angle backs this play. Take Rice. |
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09-14-13 | Vanderbilt v. South Carolina UNDER 49.5 | 25-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores are a team that gets very little respect heading into the season every single year, but the Commodores have proven they are a reputable team now. Vanderbilt still remembers their 17-13 questionable loss against South Carolina to start the season out last year. Vanderbilt coach James Franklin has proven to be a great motivator, and I expect this team to be ready for this game. On the other side, South Carolina's defense will just be too much for Vandy's offense. It's hard to imagine Vanderbilt getting any kind of a running game going here. Look for a lot of field goals and defense in this game. Take the under.
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09-14-13 | Iowa v. Iowa State UNDER 49 | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Iowa and Iowa State meet in the battle for bragging right in the state of Iowa on Saturday. Neither of these teams are very good this year, but that won't change how hard these teams fight to win this game. Both defenses are far ahead of the offenses here. The under is on a huge roll in this series. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The one game that went over only went over because the game went into triple overtime. Don't expect big plays or lots of scoring here. Look for hard nosed defenses that fight for every inch of the field. It won't be pretty, but we don't need it to be pretty to cash in the under. The under is 8-1 in Iowa State's last 9 against the Big Ten. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 on grass. The under is 3-0-1 in Iowa's last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. In all, 22-2 angle backs this. Take the under.
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09-14-13 | Ball State v. North Texas OVER 57.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals are a team that I believe a lot of people will know more about by the end of the year. This has been a team on the rise the last couple years, and they should be one of the top teams in the MAC this year. Wenning is a very versatile quarterback who makes this offense tick. The Cardinals offense has done whatever it pleases in the first two games of this year. Their fast paced style forces some very high scoring games. This number was knocked down during the week to the point where I felt it is too good of a value to pass up. I made this total 62 points. North Texas should be able to run the ball well and score plenty against a suspect Ball State defensive front. Take the over.
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09-14-13 | Georgia Tech -8 v. Duke | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 140 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Play of Week* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets can always run the football with Johnson's triple option attack. Duke's defense seems to have trouble stopping the run every single year. This year should be no different. Georgia Tech implemented a new defensive scheme in the offseason, and all the reports are that this defense looks much better. Duke lost their starting quarterback last week, and the Blue Devils offense is down several notches from last year without Renfree under center. Georgia Tech has had Duke's number in this series to start with, and I think that will be very evident on Saturday afternoon. Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Duke is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Duke is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. Take Georgia Tech as my play of the week.
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09-14-13 | Bowling Green v. Indiana OVER 62 | 10-42 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Bowling Green Falcons have found a new starting quarterback that has kick started their offense in a big way. Matt Schilz was replaced by Matt Johnson, and the offense has benefited right away. The Falcons defense has been very good against the run, but I don't think they'll be able to stop an Indiana passing attack that is very potent. Kevin Wilson has this Indiana offense playing as fast as just about anyone in the country right now. Indiana's defense is terrible, and the Hoosiers have been giving up yards by the bunches for several years in a row. The over is 4-0 in Indiana's last 4 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games after throwing for at least 280 yards in the previous game. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is backed by a 14-1 winning angle. Take the over.
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09-12-13 | Tulane v. Louisiana Tech OVER 57 | 24-15 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night Total Domination* The Tulane Green Wave upgraded their offense in a big way by getting Nick Montana as their quarterback. Orleans Darkwa is an underrated running back for the team, and I expect a nice season from him. Louisiana Tech has a solid quarterback in Scotty Young. Skip Holtz won't move the team quite as quickly as last year, but the Bulldogs are still going to be an uptempo team. Tulane allowed 41 points to a bad South Alabama team last weekend. Louisiana Tech gave up 40 to NC State in their opener. It won't surprise me a bit if both teams get well into the 30's in this one. The over is 11-3 in Louisiana Tech's last 14 games overall. The over is 21-8 in their last 29 home games. I made this total 62 points, so I see plenty of value on this one. Take the over.
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09-09-13 | Houston Texans -3.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 31-28 | Loss | -107 | 93 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star Monday Night Texans/Chargers ATS SMASHER* There are sometimes when you need to not overanalyze a game. This is one of those times. Houston has an extremely well-balanced team. The Texans used to have a major weakness in the secondary, but they have since turned that weakness into a strength. Houston runs the ball as well as anyone in the league. Matt Schaub has even more weapons on the outside this year, and DeAndre Hopkins could be huge for this team. The Chargers are a team that has been subpar the last few years, and I actually think they are headed south at this point. Phillip Rivers is a turnover machine, and the Chargers don't have all that many talented players around him. The defense is no longer elite. Houston is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 September games. The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Take Houston.
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09-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 50.5 | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 97 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Eagles/Redskins Total Domination* The Philadelphia Eagles are going to be a completely different team this year. Chip Kelly's offenses were the best in the country at Oregon. Some think it will take a long time for the Eagles offense to look good, but I think they'll rack up the points right away against a bad Washington Redskins defense. At the same time, the Eagles defense wasn't very good last year, and I think they are a bit weaker heading into this season. RG3 isn't 100%, but he should be plenty good enough to pick apart this defense. Fast pace and lots of big plays should equal a very high scoring game. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 September games. Take the over.
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09-08-13 | Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | 28-2 | Win | 100 | 83 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Kansas City Chiefs went 2-14 last year, but this team is going to be much much better this year. Jamaal Charles is fresh and ready to go go this year, and he has a better quarterback in Alex Smith alongside. Kansas City has a very good defense built around some solid youngsters who are becoming all-pros. Jacksonville is a team that doesn't really have much of anything going for them. Blaine Gabbert isn't all that good, and he isn't even 100%. If he can't finish the game, Hanie will be in, and he hasn't proven anything. KC's defense should be licking its chops in this one. Kansas City is a team on the rise quickly, while Jacksonville is definitely one of the worst teams in the league. It is a perfect chance for Andy Reid to get off to a quick start with his new team. Take Kansas City.
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09-08-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 v. NY Jets | 17-18 | Loss | -125 | 34 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Oddsmaker Error* The Tampa Bay Bucs should be a better team than they were last year. Revis instantly makes this defense better, and the fact that he isn't on the Jets defense instantly makes them worse. The Jets offense is a complete mess, and I expect Geno Smith to have some major problems in his first start in the NFL. Don't be surprised if Tampa Bay scores a couple times on defense or at least sets up quick scores with their defense. The Jets no longer have the players to win with the ground game, and they certainly don't have a good passing game. Nothing about this Jets team is good right now. It's going to be a long season for the Jets, and it starts here. Tampa Bay is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. Take Tampa Bay.
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09-08-13 | Atlanta Falcons v. New Orleans Saints -3 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Falcons/Saints ATS CRUSHER* The Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet in a high profile week one matchup in the Superdome on Sunday. The Saints are coming off essentially a "lost season" when Bountygate basically ended their season before it got started. Sean Payton will be back on the sideline here, and the Saints will be very fired up for this contest. Atlanta is a quality team, but I'm still not convinced they are any better than the Saints. The teams split in two very evenly played games last year. The Saints won at home by 4, and two years in the Superdome the Saints won by a score of 45-16. This is a great chance for the Saints to start the season by making a statement at home. New Orleans is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against Atlanta. Take the Saints here.
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09-07-13 | San Jose State +25.5 v. Stanford | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Jose State Spartans lost 17-14 at Stanford last year. Clearly, Stanford is going to be more ready for this game after that close call last season, but 25.5 points is still a ton to be laying against a quality opponent. The Spartans haven't lost a game by more than 25 points in two years. Stanford is a very good team with a terrific defense, but they did lose some key skill position players on offense. There will be a feeling out process for the Cardinal offense, and I think this is way too many points. In a game that should be a defensive battle, grab these points. San Jose State is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games played on grass. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 September games. They are 5-0 ATS following a straight up win. Take the underdog here.
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09-07-13 | Notre Dame v. Michigan UNDER 51 | 30-41 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Notre Dame/Michigan Total Domination* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have the best defensive line in the nation. Michigan is struggling on the offensive front right now. The Wolverines will likely have a hard time protecting Devin Gardner. On the other side, Notre Dame's offense is far from a finished product right now. They will miss Eifert at tight end, and they have no clear cut leader at the running back spot. Michigan's defense has been very good ever since Brady Hoke came to campus. Last year's game finished in a 13-6 final. While I don't expect that low of a total here, I do think the value is with the under. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 against the Big Ten. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after gaining 280 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Michigan's last 4 games after scoring 40 points or more in the previous game. A 20-0 angle backs the under. Take the under.
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09-07-13 | North Texas v. Ohio -4.5 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 90 h 29 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Ohio Bobcats were absolutely smashed 49-7 by Louisville in week one. One of the most important things for bettors to do early in the year is not overreact to one week of action. Ohio isn't nearly as bad of a team as they looked last weekend. The Bobcats are still one of the best teams in the MAC, and North Texas plays in a league that is much weaker than the MAC. Ohio has a great QB, RB, and WR and they should move the ball at will against North Texas. The Bobcats will be extremely fired up here because it is a home opener and they have a lot to prove after last week. The books are overreacting in a big way to last week, and we can take advantage. North Texas is 4-18 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. Ohio is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after giving up 40 points or more. The Bobcats are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning record. Take Ohio big!
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09-07-13 | Navy v. Indiana OVER 66 | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 112 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Takedown* The Indiana Hoosiers offense is a well-oiled machine this year. Indiana is going to score a bunch of points on Big Ten defenses this year, and they are definitely going to score a ton of points on weaker teams in their non-conference schedule. Last week, Indiana poured on 73 points against Indiana State. Navy's defense isn't quite that bad, but they certainly aren't good. Navy allowed 50 points at Notre Dame last year and 41 at Troy. I could see Indiana putting up 45 or 50 here. Indiana's defense is still a major problem, and the Midshipmen should run the ball well here. Take the over.
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09-07-13 | Duke v. Memphis OVER 49.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Bookie SMASHER* The Duke Blue Devils defense may have looked good last week, but we all know that isn't going to stick around for long. Duke's offense is much improved over the last few years, but they still have a bad defense. The Blue Devils face a much improved Memphis team who I believe should be able to put up quite a few points in this game. Memphis does have some problems in the secondary on defense, and Duke has the right personnel to exploit those issues. I expected a line in the upper 50's here. Quite a bit of value on this one. Take the over.
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09-07-13 | South Alabama v. Tulane -5.5 | 41-39 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 7 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle ATS Play* Tulane is a team that is definitely on the rise. The Green Wave have had a bad team for quite a while, but that is about to change under head coach Curtis Johnson. Nick Montana should be a big upgrade at quarterback, and the team already has a very good tailback in Orleans Darkwa. South Alabama is weak in the front seven, and Tulane should be able to run the football effectively here. South Alabama's offense is a major question mark this year. South Alabama is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a straight up loss. Tulane is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 on turf. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Tulane is underrated at this point. A 24-0 angle backs this play. Take Tulane.
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09-07-13 | Utah State v. Air Force UNDER 59 | 52-20 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Air Force Falcons are notorious for running the football constantly and completely abandoning the throw. Utah State's front seven on defense is extremely good, probably as good as anyone in the Mountain West Conference. Air Force won't stop trying to run the ball, but I don't think they'll be getting big chunks of yardage either. Utah State's offense is good, but they haven't been as good away from home the past couple years. Air Force has the best defense they have had in several years, and their secondary is extremely good. Both teams should be running the ball a lot here. This number is too high. Take the under.
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09-07-13 | Army v. Ball State -7.5 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM ATS Play* The Ball State Cardinals football program has gotten much much better over the past few years. Pete Lembo will likely get a job at a bigger school very soon, because he is a rising star at the head coach spot. Keith Wenning is an elite quarterback who can do it all thanks to his amazing arm strength and running ability. This Cardinals offense is going to score a ton of points this year. Army is a one-dimensional team, and Ball State beat them by 8 on the road last year. Ball State beat Army 48-21 at home two years ago. It seems like the Cardinals have the answers for the triple option offense. Ball State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against Independent teams. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after gaining less than 100 yards rushing the previous game. Army is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games overall. A 19-0 angle backs this play. Take Ball State.
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09-07-13 | Western Kentucky v. Tennessee OVER 55 | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 106 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are a brand new team this year with Bobby Petrino as their new head coach this season. Petrino is an offensive mastermind, and he has a lot of talent to work with here. Antonio Andrews is one of the top runners in the nation, and he should have a good game against a Tennessee defense that is less than stellar. Doughty is the new quarterback for the Hilltoppers, and he is a big upgrade from last year. Tennessee has a great running game, and Western Kentucky is inexperienced on the defensive line. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over here.
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09-07-13 | Oklahoma State -26 v. Texas San Antonio | 56-35 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Road Warrior* The Oklahoma State Cowboys beat Mississippi State 21-3 on a neutral field last week and a lot of people still seemed to be disappointed in their effort. Sure, they didn't roll up 50 points like they did in a lot of games, but they cover and win handily against an SEC opponent. The Cowboys defense showed us a lot in that game as well. Larry Coker does a nice job with UTSA, but they are completely outclassed here. Oklahoma State starting JW Walsh is a good move, and the Cowboys definitely have a good chance of putting up one of those 50 point outings here. Look for a complete blowout here. Take Oklahoma State.
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09-07-13 | Houston -3 v. Temple | 22-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Houston Cougars have been on my radar during the offseason. I believe Houston will be one of the most improved teams in the country. Houston has a great offensive system that should allow David Piland to put up huge numbers against a lot of bad defenses in the AAC. The Houston defense has always been a problem, but they'll be up against arguably the worst offense in the conference in Temple. The Owls have been a running team the last couple years, but their star running backs are all gone and they are left without much talent at all. The Owls no longer have an elite defense to keep them in the game either. Houston is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards in their previous game. Temple is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take Houston.
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09-07-13 | Florida v. Miami (Florida) UNDER 48 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Florida/Miami Total Domination* The Florida Gators have one of the top five defensive lines in college football, and they may have the single best secondary in the nation. The Gators offense still needs a lot of work, but I don't see them getting beaten up by many people this year thanks to their terrific defense. Florida will run the ball a lot, and Miami is sure to try to run it early and often with Duke Johnson as well. Miami is much better when they establish Johnson first and then try to have Morris throw the ball around a little. The clock should keep ticking during this one. Expect a close game all the way to the end. The under is 43-19-1 in Miami's last 63 home games. Take the under.
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09-07-13 | Miami (OH) v. Kentucky -17 | 7-41 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Conference Mismatch* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are going to be one of the bottom three teams in the MAC. Kentucky is going to be one of the bottom three teams in the SEC. Kentucky isn't a team I'll be backing very often this year. In fact, I might not back them in another game all year, but this is a great spot for them. The Wildcats are coming off a disappointing loss to a good Western Kentucky team. Mark Stoops is looking for a a big win to get the momentum going at Kentucky, and facing Miami in the home opener is a great opportunity for Kentucky. Miami has a horrible defense and their athleticism doesn't even come close to matching Kentucky's. Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a MAC opponent. Take Kentucky.
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09-05-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos OVER 48.5 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Opening Night Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens beat the Denver Broncos 38-35 en route to a Super Bowl win last year. The Broncos and Ravens both got a lot worse on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason, and we get a total that is set at just 48.5. Von Miller is a huge loss for the Broncos, and the Ravens absolutely have the offensive weapons to put up big numbers against Denver. Peyton Manning and this Broncos offense can score against anyone, and Baltimore is going to miss Ray Lewis and Ed Reed this season. Denver's no huddle offense gets them extra plays throughout the course of the game. Look for this total to climb as the game draws near, so bet the over as early as possible. I think this one gets into the mid 50's. The over is 7-1 in the Ravens last 8 games in September. The over is 3-0-1 in the Broncos last 4 against the AFC. Take the over.
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09-01-13 | Colorado v. Colorado State -2.5 | 41-27 | Loss | -116 | 185 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Battle of Colorado ATS SMASHER* The Colorado Buffaloes get a new coach and a much better system to play in this year. I do think the Buffaloes will be improved, but they have a long road ahead of them. Remember, Colorado lost 69-14 at Fresno State last year, and the Buffaloes lost 51-17 at home against Arizona State. Basically, they are coming from a very low place, and it is going to take time. Colorado State was much closer to being competitive last year. The Rams were 4-8 last year, but they were very close to being a bowl team. They return 17 starters this year, and this team should be one of the most improved in the country. The Rams have a very good running game, and I expect them to be able to run it easily in this contest. They also have a lot more talent and depth on the defensive side of the ball. The Rams won 22-17 last year in this matchup, and I think they will be more improved than the Buffaloes at this stage in the season. Colorado is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Take Colorado State.
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09-01-13 | Ohio +21 v. Louisville | 7-49 | Loss | -110 | 289 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Ohio/Louisville ATS CASH* The Louisville Cardinals won the Sugar Bowl in an impressive victory over the Florida Gators to finish off last season. That win is in the minds of bettors here. One thing we do need to keep in mind though, is that the Ohio Bobcats are a solid team. Ohio dealt with a ton of injuries last year, but when the Bobcats were healthy they were extremely good. They beat Penn State on the road and coasted to a massive bowl win. Ohio returns seven starters on offense, including a very good quarterback, running back, and wide receiver. Louisville lost at home to UConn last year, and the Cardinals come into this game feeling very good about themselves. This is one of those cases where public perception skews the line a bit too much in the favor of the favorite. Ohio is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Louisville is 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games. Take the underdog here. Take Ohio.
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08-31-13 | Northwestern v. California OVER 57 | Top | 44-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 47 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Golden Bears are in for a long season. I like Sonny Dykes, and I think he was a great hire, but he inherited a team with very little talent that needs built from the ground up. Cal is going to push the tempo and try to run Dykes' patented offense this year, which should create a lot of extra possessions for both teams in this one. Northwestern's defense is improved, but they aren't a shut down defense. Venric Mark and the Wildcats defense are very good, and the Cal defense simply doesn't have the firepower to stop them. Look for Northwestern to score quickly here, and Cal is going to keep running plays without using up the clock. These are huge benefits to the over. I had this number pegged at 65 points, so I see a lot of value on the over. The over is 20-8-1 in the Bears last 29 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Big 10. Take the over big!
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08-31-13 | Nevada v. UCLA Bruins OVER 65.5 | 20-58 | Win | 100 | 66 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB West Coast Total* The Nevada Wolfpack return a terrific quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo had a brilliant season a year ago, and he has a lot on his shoulders this year as Chris Ault is gone as head coach at Nevada. Look for Nevada to open it up and throw a lot here. Jim Mora Jr. did a good job with the UCLA Bruins last year, but this defense lost a lot of talent from last season. The Bruins secondary is the weakness of their defense and I expect that to be exploited on Saturday night. Nevada had a bad defense last year, and they should be even worse this year. Brett Hundley is going to have a sensational season for the Bruins, and I expect him to light up this Wolfpack defense on Saturday. The over is 5-1 in Nevada's last 6 against the Pac 12. The over is 6-1 in the Bruins last 7 games. Take the over.
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08-31-13 | LSU v. TCU UNDER 50 | 37-27 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB LSU/TCU Total CRUSHER* The TCU Tigers went 7-6 overall last year and just 4-5 in the Big 12. That made some think the team can't compete with top teams, but that isn't the case at all. TCU still finished with the top defense in the Big 12, and that was with some significant injuries. The Horned Frogs should be much better this year with a much healthier team. At the same time, LSU isn't getting enough respect ahead of the 2013 season. Les Miles' team is stacked on defense yet again, and the Tigers could easily be a top ten team once again. Expect both of these defenses to flex their muscles in a big way here. I see a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. This number is a few points too high. Take the under.
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08-31-13 | Miami (OH) v. Marshall OVER 67.5 | 14-52 | Loss | -110 | 268 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the most prolific offenses in the nation. They also have one of the worst defenses in the country. How bad was the Marshall defense last year? They allowed at least 51 points in five different games. Miami (Ohio) doesn't necessarily have a terrific offense, but a terrific offense isn't needed to score points against Marshall. On the other side, Rakeem Cato is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the nation and he put up video game stats last year. I expect more of the same from him this season. Cato is athletic and has a big arm. Marshall has a ton of weapons around him, and the Redhawks from Miami have seen their defense go downhill quickly the past few years. The scoreboard should be lighting up in this one. Expect lots of quick strike scores from both teams. The over is 8-1 in Marshall's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
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08-31-13 | UAB v. Troy OVER 63 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Troy Trojans offense is all about moving quickly and not letting the defense get set. UAB runs the same type of hurry up offense. When these two teams get together, there are going to be a ton of plays ran. Combine that with the fact that both of these defenses are very weak, and we have a recipe for a very high scoring game here. Last year's contest between these two finished at 68 points, and I think this total should have been right around that number. Instead, we got a solid amount of line value with the over. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 home games. The over is 5-1 in UAB's last 6 against the Sun Belt. The over is 6-1 in Troy's last 7 games overall. Take the over in this one.
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08-31-13 | Arkansas Pine Blf v. Arkansas State -25.5 | 11-62 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM ATS* The Arkansas State Red Wolves are one of the better teams in the Sun Belt Conference. Arkansas State did lose a great quarterback in Ryan Aplin, but they have a top running back in senior David Oku. The line here could have easily been Arkansas State -38. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is an FCS school from the SWAC, which doesn't even play in the FCS playoffs. Basically, the SWAC is the worst of FCS level football. Arkansas State has played two SWAC teams in the last four years and won 56-0 and 61-0. Pine Bluff will be so outmanned here that Arkansas State can simply name their score. This one is going to get really ugly. Take Arkansas State.
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08-31-13 | Toledo +24 v. Florida | 6-24 | Win | 100 | 57 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Toledo Rockets are a team that I believe is underrated going into the season. Toledo has a very strong offensive line and some terrific wide receivers. They also have depth at the quarterback and running back spots. The Rockets defense isn't great, but it is much better than it was a couple years ago. Florida is a good team, but I don't understand how they can be laying 24 points in this game. They aren't playing an FCS school here. The Gators weren't the type of team to beat solid mid-major schools by a lot last year. They nearly lost to both Bowling Green Louisiana Lafayette at home last season. Toledo could give them a scare here as well. The Gators defense is very good, but their offense has a lot of room for improvement. Expect a game that stays much closer than most believe. Toledo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games as an underdog. Florida is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Take Toledo.
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08-29-13 | Tulsa +3.5 v. Bowling Green | 7-34 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Opening Night ATS CRUSHER* The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have a very good football team. They will have one of the top ten rushing attacks in the country this year. Trey Watts and Ja'Terian Douglas form an amazing running back combo in the backfield. Tulsa's one real weakness this year is their defensive line, but I don't think Bowling Green can take advantage of that weakness. The Falcons lost their leading rusher from last season as Anthon Samuel transferred in the offseason. Tulsa's back seven is very good. The Bowling Green Falcons lost arguably their best defensive player ever in Chris Jones (Defensive Tackle). Without Jones, Bowling Green should struggle against top running games, and this might be the best running game they'll face all year. Tulsa is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall. Take Tulsa plus the points here.
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02-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 47 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 263 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Super Bowl Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens used to be known for their superb defense. The defense is still pretty good, but it is far from what it used to be. You could make a good argument that Baltimore is better on the offensive side of the ball now. Joe Flacco is playing like an elite quarterback, and that makes all the difference in the world for this offense. Ray Rice is one of the best players in the NFL, and he is a guy the defense has to account for on every single play. San Francisco's defense carried it through most of last year and early on this year, but with the change to Colin Kaepernick, the 49ers are far more dangerous offensively. Kaepernick can beat a team with his feet or his arm. Frank Gore and LaMichael James are both very good in the backfield for San Francisco. The 49ers defense has given up quite a few yards in both playoff games. Green Bay scored 31 points and Atlanta put up 24. Look for both teams to be able to move the ball in this one. The over is 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games on field turf. The over is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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01-20-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots UNDER 52.5 | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star AFC Championship Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots have definitely seen a lot of each other over the past few seasons. These teams know what the strengths of weaknesses of their opponent is very well. The Ravens defense hasn't been as good this year, but they still have play makers who will make it tough on Tom Brady. The Patriots defense is quite a bit better than it was last season. A big X factor to watch in this one is the weather. The wind is expected to be gusting up to 35 mph during this one, and that is no good for passing games. With a total this high and the weather looking that way, I like the under. The under is 5-2 in the Ravens last 7 playoff games. Take the under.
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01-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 48 | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 137 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFC Title Total Domination* The San Francisco 49ers offense is a completely different animal with Colin Kaepernick at the helm. Kaepernick is explosive on the ground, which makes teams pay a lot of attention to him and leaves more running room for Frank Gore. The Falcons defense has relied on turnovers all year, and at some point it has to come back to bite them that they allow so many yards. Matt Ryan and the Falcons receivers are tremendous, and they should be able to throw it against the 49ers as long as Ryan gets some time to throw the ball. The over is 5-0 in San Francisco's last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4 home playoff games. Take the over.
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01-13-13 | Houston Texans v. New England Patriots OVER 48 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Texans/Patriots Total Domination* The Houston Texans and New England Patriots just met a few weeks ago and the Patriots won 42-14. I don't expect the same spread in this one, but I do think the Pats offense will put up a big number again. New England is playing excellent on offense right now, and other than J.J. Watt the Texans defense has regressed a bit. Arian Foster and the Texans running attack should be able to get going against a mediocre Pats defense. New England's games rarely stay under this number, and the weather looks pretty decent for Sunday. The over is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 January games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
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01-12-13 | Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 44.5 | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star Packers/49ers Total Domination* The Packers and Niners met in week one in Green Bay. In that game, we saw 52 points put up on the board. I believe both offenses are in better shape now than they were for that game. Aaron Rodgers has some of his receivers back and healthy. Rodgers is playing as well as ever right now. San Francisco's offense has more firepower with Kaepernick at quarterback. The running game is still terrific, and I'm not sure Green Bay can stop it. The 49ers defense isn't quite as good with a dinged up Justin Smith. Rodgers doesn't need much time to pick apart defenses. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Niners last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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01-07-13 | Alabama v. Notre Dame +10.5 | 42-14 | Loss | -110 | 787 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star BCS Championship Game ATS CASH* The Alabama Crimson Tide have looked like the best team all season, but I'm not sure they are worthy of being such a huge favorite. They were fortunate to beat LSU on the road, and they looked like they were out of the national title picture after losing to Texas A&M. Notre Dame went unbeaten during the regular season, and they did it largely due to their terrific defense. Notre Dame's defensive line is probably the best in all of the country. Alabama does have a terrific running attack, but Notre Dame should be able to slow them down some. The Fighting Irish defense allowed just 10.3 points per game this year, which was clearly the best of any defense in the nation. I like a defense like this to at the very least keep the game close. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Take Notre Dame.
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01-06-13 | Arkansas State -3.5 v. Kent State | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star GoDaddy ATS Cash* This certainly is no BCS title game matchup, but it will have to do for a warmup. Kent State lost coach Darrell Hazell to Purdue a few weeks ago, and Arkansas State lost Gus Malzahn to Auburn a few weeks ago. The difference here is that Arkansas State kept almost all of their assistants in place, so a lot of people familiar with the team are still hanging around. Arkansas State has been red hot of late. They finished the season with six straight wins, including blowout wins over LA-Monroe and LA-Lafayette. Arkansas State has a much more balanced offense and defense, and I think that leads them to a win here. Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Take Arkansas State.
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01-06-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 47 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Colts/Ravens Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens defense gets a big boost from Ray Lewis being back in the lineup for this one. Baltimore's defense hasn't been nearly as good this season, but I think they'll pick up their game in the postseason. They still have guys like Lewis, Suggs, and Reed to lead the team. The Colts are too one-dimensional, and the Ravens should be able to get after Andrew Luck with their pass rush. The Ravens offense has been disappointing for much of the year. They have a lot of talent, but they haven't put it all together. The under is 5-0 in the Colts last 5 playoff road games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 playoff home games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 after allowing 90 yards of rushing or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. I like the under here.
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01-05-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 45 | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Vikings/Packers Total Domination* Minnesota and Green Bay meet in the first round of the playoffs tonight at Lambeau. There is a public perception out there that points are extremely tough to come by at Lambeau in the playoffs because of the cold weather, but the numbers don't show that to be true. The over is actually 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home playoff games. Minnesota's pass defense has been a problem this year, and Aaron Rodgers is playing tremendous football right now. Nobody has been able to stop Adrian Peterson of late, including the Green Bay Packers. This total is set a little lower than it should be. The over is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. The over is 17-6 in the Packers last 23 home games. Take the over.
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01-04-13 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma OVER 72 | 41-13 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Cotton Bowl Total Domination* Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies have been one of the hottest teams in the nation down the stretch, but it won't be easy for them in this game. Oklahoma's offense has really heated up as the season moved along. Landry Jones is looking much more comfortable again and the Aggies pass defense hasn't been good this year (remember they gave up 57 points to Louisiana Tech). Whoever wins this game is going to have to score a lot of points. Texas A&M went for 527 total yards of offense last year against Oklahoma, and they are much better offensively this season. The Sooners defense is only mediocre. Look for a shootout. The over is 11-2 in Oklahoma's last 13 on turf. Take the over.
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01-02-13 | Louisville v. Florida UNDER 45.5 | 33-23 | Loss | -105 | 667 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sugar Bowl Super Total* The Louisville Cardinals are in the Sugar Bowl as a representative of the Big East. No one in the Big East was very good, and that includes the Cardinals. Louisville is a little fortunate that they drew the Florida Gators in this game. Florida is a very good team, but they have struggled with lesser opponents this year. They should have lost to Louisiana-Lafayette, and the Gators weak offense gives lesser opponents a chance to hang around. Florida's defense is giving up just 12.9 points per game, and they played plenty of teams with a much better offense than Louisville. Louisville's defense is the strength of their team. This one should be a defensive battle. The under is 6-1 in Florida's last 7 games non-conference games. The under is 9-4 in Florida's last 13 games overall.
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01-01-13 | Nebraska v. Georgia OVER 59.5 | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 256 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Capital One Bowl Totals Cash* The Nebraska Cornhuskers are one of the most overrated teams in the nation in my opinion. They have ten wins, but those wins came against the extremely weak Big 10. Nebraska was crushed by Ohio State, Wisconsin, and UCLA in their three losses. The Cornhuskers have up more than 50 points in all three of those games. Nebraska's defense is no longer a strength, but now it's a major weakness. Georgia's pass defense is solid, but their front seven has struggled against the run. Look for both running attacks to have a lot of success here. Todd Gurley should have a huge game against the Huskers, and Taylor Martinez should lead the Huskers offense to quite a few points too. The over is 3-0-1 in Nebraska's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 non-conference games. Take the over.
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01-01-13 | Michigan v. South Carolina UNDER 48 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star Outback Bowl Total Domination* The South Carolina Gamecocks have some serious injury problems. Without Marcus Lattimore, this offense isn't nearly as dangerous. A couple of Lattimore's backups have been dinged up lately as well. Connor Shaw has matured this year, but he'll be up against a tremendous Michigan secondary. The Wolverines rank second in the nation in pass defense. Look for Michigan to stack the box and dare South Carolina to beat them with the pass. Michigan's offense has been less dynamic this year than it was a year ago. Denard Robinson still isn't completely healthy, and that hurts this team's big play ability. South Carolina's defense is one of the best in the nation, and they can rush the passer extremely well. The under is 4-0 in South Carolina's last 4 bowl games. The under is 12-5 in Michigan's last 17 against teams with a winning record. Take the under.
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01-01-13 | Northwestern +110 v. Mississippi State | 34-20 | Win | 110 | 111 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Gator Bowl Moneyline SMASHER* The Northwestern Wildcats managed to stay under the radar this year. I played successfully on Northwestern several times this year. The Wildcats finished the season 11-1 ATS, so the books never did catch up with Northwestern's success. Pat Fitzgerald gets a ton out of his players, and he is starting to get a little bit more talent to compete with the best teams. Venric Mark is a great example of that new talent. Mark is averaging 6.2 yards per carry, and he is one of the best kick returners in the country. Kain Colter is also one of the best running quarterbacks in the country. Mississippi State has had a bit of a disappointing year, and they have backed into this bowl game. Northwestern's defense is also giving up just 22.8 points per game this year. Northwestern is 11-1 ATS in their 12 games this year, and I think this is one final good chance to back the Wildcats. Take Northwestern here.
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12-31-12 | Clemson v. LSU OVER 58.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Chick-Fil-A Bowl Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers gave up 70 points in a BCS bowl last year. Clemson's defense may be a little better this year, but this unit still isn't good at all. LSU's offense has gotten quite a bit better late in the year as Mettenberger has become more confident in his ability as a passer. LSU should control the line of scrimmage here as well. Clemson does have a high-powered offense, and even though LSU's defense is good, it's hard to imagine Clemson not putting up a decent amount of points. The over is 6-1 in LSU's last 7 games on turf. Take the over.
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12-30-12 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54 | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The New Orleans Saints have shown that they are going to play all the way to the end this year. The Saints offense is clicking much better as the season moves along. Drew Brees and his receivers are starting to look like they have the last couple years. Carolina's defense has been good of late, but they haven't been able to even slow down the Saints the past couple years, and I don't think they'll slow them down here either. Carolina's offense should be able to move the ball against a Saints defense that is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Cam Newton is playing with a ton of confidence right now. The over is 13-3 in the Saints last 16 against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 against the NFC South. Take the over.
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12-29-12 | TCU v. Michigan State +3 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 91 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star Buffalo Wild Wings ATS Cash* This will likely be one of the lowest scoring games of the bowl season. In games like this, getting points is even more important. The Michigan State Spartans didn't have the year that they expected, but it wasn't the fault of their defense. In fact, the Spartans ranked in the top ten in the country in almost every defensive category. TCU has a pretty good defense as well, but Michigan State's stop unit is better. Le'Veon Bell is a very talented running back, and I think he could have a big game here for Michigan State on the offensive side of the ball. TCU's true freshman quarterback makes too many mistakes, and that is likely to come back to bite them in a defensive low scoring game. TCU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Take Michigan State here.
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12-29-12 | West Virginia v. Syracuse OVER 73 | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 159 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* The West Virginia Mountaineers certainly have one of the best offenses in the nation. Geno Smith is perfect for Holsgorsen's offense, and Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin are terrific wideouts. Syracuse hasn't been very good against the pass this year, so what should make us think they'll do well against such a terrific passing attack? On the other side, West Virginia may have the worst secondary in college football. They allow 323 passing yards per game. Syracuse's Ryan Nassib is an underrated quarterback, and I think he'll pick the Mountaineers apart. The over is 6-2 in West Virginia's last 8 bowl games. The over is 8-1 in Syracuse's last 9 non-conference games. The over is 5-0-1 in Syracuse's last 6 games overall. Take the over.
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12-29-12 | Air Force v. Rice OVER 61 | 14-33 | Loss | -105 | 562 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Rice Owls have improved quite a bit this year, but they still have a very weak defense. Air Force is a very difficult team to prepare for because of their option attack running game. The Falcons run the football well even when the other team knows the run is coming. Rice has struggled badly against the run this year. In their loss to UCLA, the Bruins riddled them on the ground. Air Force may be very good at running the ball, but they aren't good at all at stopping the run. The Falcons allow almost 200 yards per game on the ground. The over is an impressive 67-33 in the Rice Owls last 100 games. The oddsmakers just can't catch up to Rice. Expect both teams to have a big game offensively. Take the over.
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