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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-19-10 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 48 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 113 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* It should be no secret by now that the Indianapolis run defense is not any good. Jacksonville knows how to exploit this defense, as they have shown in recent meetings with the Colts. The Jaguars are averaging 179 yards per game on the ground in their last eight games against the Colts. At the same time, Peyton Manning has thrown for more than 300 yards in three of the last four meetings with Jacksonville's defense. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The over is 10-3 in the Colts 13 games this year and 8-4-1 in the Jags games this season. There is a good chance some of the starters will be back for the Colts in this matchup and Manning will have some extra weapons. Both quarterbacks have thrown a lot of picks this year, so don't be surprised if the defense scores in this one as well. I like the over in this game.
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12-19-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. NY Giants OVER 46 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 92 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Eagles have had the best offense in the NFL over the last five weeks. Mike Vick is throwing the ball as well as ever and McCoy is proving to be the real deal in the backfield. The Eagles are averaging 35.2 points per game in their last five games. The Giants defense is solid, but at this point I believe the Eagles can move and score quite a few on everyone in the league. Philadelphia's defense is allowing 26 points per game on the road this year. The Giants running game has gotten going of late and I expect them to be productive again on Sunday. This may well be the biggest game of the week as both of these teams enter at 9-4. The over is 8-1 in the Eagles last 9 and 8-3 in the Giants last 11 games at home. I expect the offenses to have the upper hand all throughout this game. Take the over here.
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12-19-10 | New Orleans Saints v. Baltimore Ravens OVER 43.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 91 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Knockout* The single biggest takeaway from the Ravens game with the Texans last Monday night for me was that this Ravens defense isn't even close to the level they used to be. The secondary is fairly weak, and the front seven wear down by the fourth quarter as well. The New Orleans Saints offense may have started a bit slowly this year, but they are absolutely on fire of late. The Saints have scored at least 30 points in each of their last five games. The passing attack ranks third in the NFL, and I think they'll exploit the Ravens secondary in this game. Baltimore has been a little better offensively at home this year, and I think their trio of great wide receivers will be a mismatch against the Saints as well. Ray Rice is bound to have a breakout game soon, and I think it could be here. I think the line is set too low here, and I'm taking the over.
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12-13-10 | Baltimore Ravens -3 v. Houston Texans | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Bookie CRUSHER* The Houston Texans are a talented team, especially on offense, but they have underachieved this year. Andre Johnson has been dinged up this year, and that has hurt the team quite a bit. The biggest problem they have is that their pass defense is absolutely terrible. They are on pace to set a record for most passing yards allowed in a season. Opponents are racking up 287 passing yards per game. Joe Flacco has been inconsistent this year, but I think this secondary will bring the best out in him. Boldin, Mason, and Houshmandzadeh are a good trio of wide receivers and I expect them to be open all night long. Arian Foster is a good runner, but I don't expect this terrific Ravens defense to allow the Texans run game to get going very much. This Ravens defensive front is terrific. The Ravens need this game and they are the much more balanced team. I like Baltimore in this one.
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12-12-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 50.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Bookie BASHER* The Eagles and Cowboys probably have the two hottest offenses in the NFL right now. If you look back a few weeks it is hard to imagine saying the Cowboys offense is good, but they have averaged 33.25 points per game in their last four games. Jason Garrett is now the head coach and this team seems to have changed their game plan a bit since then. The Eagles continue to roll on the offensive end behind some terrific quarterback play from Mike Vick. The Eagles have scored 26 points or more in seven of their last eight games overall. The Cowboys defense is allowing 28 points per game. The over is 7-1 in the Eagles last eight games. The over is 8-0 in the Cowboys last 8 games. This is a pretty high number, but I think we'll see a game that hits at least the mid 50's. Take the over here.
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12-12-10 | Cleveland Browns v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 39.5 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 46 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Cleveland Browns and Buffalo Bills are no strangers to ugly low-scoring games. Last year the Browns beat the Bills 6-3 in what may have been the worst game of the year to watch. This year there is a major weather system that will impact this game. Buffalo is expected to be getting snow and 15-20 mph winds during this game. Since it is right by the lake, the conditions can deteriorate rapidly here. I fully expect this to be a game where both teams rely on their running game, because the conditions won't allow much passing. The under is 5-1 in the Bills last 6 home games in December, largely because of the poor weather that occurs here. This weekend we have two teams with suspect offenses and bad weather conditions. I'll take the under.
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12-12-10 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 40 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Pittsburgh Steelers have the best run defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh is under a winter storm watch for Sunday because they are expected to receive several inches of snow and high winds. The Bengals rushing game is not impressive at all, and I think Cincinnati will struggle to score in this game. Inclement conditions will likely make the Steelers willing to just run the ball and methodically score on the Bengals, eating up a lot of time in the process. With winds of 15-20 mph and heavy snow at times, I fully expect this to be a low scoring game. The Steelers defense will flex their muscles against a weak Bengals running game and this one will likely be a snoozer. Take the under and expect the weather to impact this game in a major way.
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12-11-10 | Navy v. Army UNDER 53.5 | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Army/Navy Bookie CRUSHER* The great rivalry between Army and Navy will be played on Saturday and I expect a hard hitting battle. These two teams have the utmost respect for each other, but they love nothing more than to defeat the other squad. Both teams run the football extremely well, and neither of them throw it much at all. That fact alone helps the under since the clock will be rolling almost all game long. Additionally, Army is much better this year than in the past, and their run defense is in the top 35 nationwide, so I expect a closer game than in past years. The fact that both teams understand the triple option very well helps them defend it better than the average team. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games and I believe the under is the best play for Saturday as well.
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12-09-10 | Indianapolis Colts -3 v. Tennessee Titans | 30-28 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Thursday Bookie BEATDOWN* The Indianapolis Colts are in unfamiliar territory right now. The Colts are just 6-6 and they are on the outside looking in currently when it comes to the playoff picture. Peyton Manning has been throwing interceptions constantly of late, and this is an offense that is badly depleted because of injuries. Tennessee appears to have given up on their season, and they have looked listless in their last four games. The Titans offense is averaging 9.75 points per game in their last four games. The Colts run defense is terrible, so I expect Johnson to get his yards in this one, but I don't think Kerry Collins will be very effective at all through the air. Expect the Colts to pressure Collins frequently and make him very uncomfortable. The Colts know they still have a chance to make the playoffs, but if they are going to make it they must win this game. The Colts are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. I like Manning and the Colts in this must win situation.
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12-05-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 47.5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 50 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Dallas Cowboys have definitely played better football since Jason Garrett took over as Head Coach. The Cowboys offense seems to have found their rhythm once again. Dallas has scored 33,35, and 27 points in their last three games. Indianapolis is now just 6-5, and they need this game badly. The Colts have the #1 passing attack in the NFL, which should be good for them in this matchup. Dallas is 23rd in the NFL against the pass. The Cowboys defense has been terrible this year. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 Cowboys games, mainly because they are giving up 32 points per game over their last six games. Peyton Manning will be ready for this game, and I think the Colts will move the ball quite easily against this Dallas defense. At the same time, the Colts defense is not great, and I think this improved Cowboys offense will find some success against Indianapolis. I like the over in this one.
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12-05-10 | New Orleans Saints -6.5 v. Cincinnati Bengals | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Cincinnati Bengals may be the worst team in the NFL right now. They were blown out two weeks ago at home by Buffalo after having a 31-14 lead. They then proceeded to get drubbed by the Jets on Thanksgiving. The Bengals are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Bengals have been bad in every area of the game. Carson Palmer is throwing too many interceptions, and the running game can't get going. The defense was good last year, but they are allowing 26 points per game this year. The New Orleans Saints started off a little slowly this year, but the team appears to be rounding into form. The Saints have scored at least 30 points in three straight games. The defense has been great against the pass, and I would expect them to intercept Palmer at least once this week. The Saints have plenty to play for, and at this point the Bengals are just terrible. This is primarily a fade of the Bengals, but I like the Saints laying less than a touchdown in this game.
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12-05-10 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48.5 | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos have been giving up points by the bunches in the last few games. In fact, they are allowing an amazing 36.6 points per game over their last five contests. Kansas City has found their offense of late, and they have scored 29, 31, and 42 points in their last three games. The Chiefs have the top ranked rushing attack in the NFL, and Denver is 30th in the NFL at stopping the run. Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe have heated up of late too, so this KC offense is becoming balanced. Denver's pass offense is fourth in the NFL, and the Chiefs are 24th in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. In the last three meetings, the finals have been 44-13, 44-24, and 49-29. I think there is a good amount of value on the over in this one. Take the over here!
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12-04-10 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma UNDER 53 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Nebraska/Oklahoma Play* This will be the Nebraska Cornhuskers final game in the Big 12 Conference. Nebraska will definitely be looking to complete some unfinished business after their last second loss to Texas in this game last year. Oklahoma is a team that looks much better in their last few games. There are some key injuries in this game. Taylor Martinez and DeMarco Murray are both questionable in this one. My guess is that both will play at least some, but they are both hurt pretty badly and I think that will make them less effective than normal. Oklahoma is very reliant on their passing attack, and Nebraska has the second best pass defense in all of college football. I expect Nebraska to pressure Landry Jones and make things difficult for him. On the other side, Nebraska relies on their running game. I think Oklahoma will do their best to stack the box and make Nebraska throw it in this one. A hobbled Martinez will make it more difficult for Nebraska to be effective running the ball. These two teams played to a 10-3 final last year. A game of this magnitude often stays lower scoring as well, as the Texas/Nebraska game last year did. I like the under in this one.
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12-04-10 | Washington Huskies v. Washington State Cougars UNDER 54.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Bookie BEATDOWN* The Washington Huskies and the Washington State Cougars will battle for the Apple Cup in Pullman on Saturday night. It has been cold and snowy all week in Pullman, and it is expected to be very cold again Saturday night. This is a pretty good rivalry game that most people don't follow very closely. The Huskies offense has struggled of late, scoring just 14 points per game in their last five overall. Washington State relies on the passing game, and Washington's secondary is solid. The Huskies are allowing only 193 passing yards per game this year. In the last two years the total has finished at 30 and 29 points when these two have met. I expect this to be a close hard-fought game, and I think the value is on the under.
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12-04-10 | Oregon v. Oregon State OVER 64 | 37-20 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Total DOMINATION* The Oregon Ducks have the highest powered offense in college football. Oregon State's defense has been terrible this year, especially of late. Oregon will definitely want to keep putting up the points in this rivalry game, and I think they could easily get to 45 or 50 points in this one. Oregon State will playing in front of the home crowd, and I expect Quizz Rodgers and the rest of the offense to put some points up against Oregon. The history between these two is for this game to be an absolute shootout. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Oregon State's poor rushing defense should get exposed by the Oregon Ducks amazing running game. I think this is the type of game where there will be a ton of huge plays. I like the over here.
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11-28-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Baltimore Ravens -7 | 10-17 | Push | 0 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have exceeded expectations in a big way this season. They are 7-0 ATS on the road in their last 7, which makes them seem like the obvious pick here, but I think this one goes deeper than recent trends. The public is pounding Tampa Bay here because of their great season thus far, but let's take a look at the Ravens. Ed Reed is now back and this is one of the best defenses in the NFL. How will the Bucs consistently move the football on the Ravens? Joe Flacco has been much better over the last few games, and I think he'll find some open receivers against Tampa Bay. Ray Rice has also looked better in the last few games, and this is a Tampa Bay defense that ranks 29th in the NFL in rushing defense. I think Baltimore is a much better team than Tampa Bay. The Ravens are 44-19-1 ATS in their last 64 games as a home favorite. I think the Ravens cover this weekend as well.
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11-28-10 | Pittsburgh Steelers -6 v. Buffalo Bills | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Pittsburgh Steelers are one of the most complete teams in the NFL right now. The Steelers are averaging 29.33 points per game in their last three, and the passing attack has come to life under Ben Roethlisberger. The running game has been much better again this year, which gives this team a ton of balance. The Pittsburgh defense is ranked first in the NFL against the run. They have allowed some yards through the air, but they also force quite a few turnovers. I simply don't see how the Bills could find enough weapons to keep up with this Steelers team. The Bills have won two straight, but that has been against two terrible football teams. There is no home field advantage in this one for Buffalo. The Bills are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 home games. The Steelers have dominated this series. They are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. I expect the Steelers to win this one easily.
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11-28-10 | Tennessee Titans v. Houston Texans OVER 46.5 | 0-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* It's tough to put into words just how bad this Houston secondary is, but I'll give it a try. Houston is allowing 308 yards through the air each game. That is 17 yards per game more than the Atlanta Falcons allowed in 1995. Those Falcons are currently in the record books as having allowed more passing yards than anyone in NFL history. The Texans look like they will shatter that mark. Rusty Smith is making his first start here, but he is a better passer than Vince Young. I think Randy Moss will make his presence felt in this game, against a terrible secondary. On the other side, the Texans have a very good offense, and they should be able to move the ball consistently against a mediocre Titans defense. Houston has allowed at least 27 points in every single game this year, which is quite amazing. I think we're getting a good value on the over in this one.
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11-27-10 | Wake Forest v. Vanderbilt UNDER 50 | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 119 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Football Total DOMINATION* The Vanderbilt Commodores have done a nice job competing this season. Their head coach quit just days before the season and the team has very little offense, but the defense fights hard. Wake Forest and Vanderbilt both are lacking quite badly at the skill positions on offense, as evidenced by their recent offensive outputs. In their last three games, Vanderbilt is averaging 14.7 points per game. Wake Forest is averaging just 8.7 points per game in that time span. I don't expect either team to establish much of a consistent offense in this one, but there will probably be some points scored because of turnovers. I think the oddsmakers set this one too high. A game with two teams that are dreadful offensively looks like a nice opportunity on the under to me.
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11-27-10 | South Carolina v. Clemson UNDER 45 | 29-7 | Win | 100 | 118 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Early Bird Special* The Clemson Tigers have had an interesting season. The defense has risen up and played extremely well. The offense has been disappointing. This combination has led to seven straight Clemson games going under the posted total. In fact, the highest total score of those seven games was 40 points. South Carolina has struggled badly against good passing offenses, but Clemson doesn't have the weapons to air it out consistently against the Gamecocks. I look for both teams to try to establish the running game in this one, which will keep the clock rolling. South Carolina has already wrapped up the SEC East, and Clemson will be fired up for this one, so I expect a close game that goes down to the wire. The books still haven't adjusted enough for Clemson's recent trends toward the under. Take the under here.
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11-27-10 | UAB v. Rice OVER 67 | 23-28 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Hidden GEM* The Rice Owls are the best 'over' team in all of college football over the last few years. The over is 57-18 in their last 75 games overall. It's hard to believe a trend could continue that long for one team, but it just keeps on going. The over is 31-8 in their last 39 conference games. Taylor McHargue has taken over as the Owls starting quarterback, and he looked great in his first start last week. McHargue was a highly touted recruit, and much is expected of him. Rice racked up more than 600 yards of offense last week and scored 62 points. The UAB offense is all about the passing game, which is a good thing against Rice. Rice has the single worst pass defense in college football this year. The Owls are allowing 309 yards per game through the air. The Rice defense has allowed at least 38 points in each of their last four games. UAB will be able to put up a lot of points here, and Rice's new quarterback should help them make this game an all out track meet. Take the over.
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11-27-10 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -23 | 23-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bookie BEATDOWN* The Wisconsin Badgers are playing some terrific football right now. This team beat up on Michigan in the Big House last week, and beat Indiana 83-20 two weeks ago. Northwestern upset the Badgers last year, and this Wisconsin team doesn't forget that game. This year, Wisconsin has much more on the line. If they win this game convincingly, they'll likely head to the Rose Bowl. Brett Bielema will definitely be letting his team know that they must be sharp on Saturday. Northwestern was a dangerous team earlier this year, but the loss of Dan Persa hurt them badly. They now have a freshman quarterback who is struggling with their offensive system. The Wildcats allowed Mikel LeShoure to run for 330 yards last week, and Wisconsin has a much better running attack than Illinois does. Wisconsin should dominate the line of scrimmage from the start in this one. I think this one will be a beatdown.
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11-27-10 | Western Kentucky +13 v. Troy State | 14-28 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star Surprise Side Play* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers weren't a team I would have expected making a play on before the year started, but they have impressed me of late. The team is just 2-9, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. They aren't being dominated of late, but rather they are right in the game all the way to the finish. Bobby Rainey is their star running back, and he will be the best runner on the field on Saturday. Rainey ran for 248 yards last week, and he has now ran for 100 yards or more in four straight contests. Why is this important? The Troy defense is terrible at stopping the run. They allow 179 yards per game on the ground. Over the last three weeks this Troy defense has allowed 35, 52, and 69 points. Western Kentucky's defense is poor against the run, but they are 28th best in the nation against the pass, which is what Troy likes to do. I don't know that the Hilltoppers will be able to win this one, but the stats and trends point strongly toward them covering. In four of their last five losses in the Sun Belt, they have lost by a touchdown or less. I think they'll keep this one close. Take the points here.
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11-27-10 | Kentucky v. Tennessee OVER 58 | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Bookie CRUSHER* The Kentucky Wildcats have been impressive on offense this year. Kentucky is averaging 35 points per game. Mike Hartline has done a nice job at the starting quarterback position, and Randell Cobb and Derrick Locke give the offense two great play makers. Tennessee has improved a lot on the offensive side as the season has gone along. They have put up more than 38 points per game in the last three contests. Neither team has a defense that has proved it can stop many teams for an entire game. I expect a lot of big plays in this game. The over is 9-2 in Kentucky's 11 games this year. The over is 9-2 in Tennessee's 11 games this year. The over is also 6-0 in Tennessee's last 6 games at home. Take the over in this one.
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11-27-10 | Michigan State v. Penn State +105 | 28-22 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Dog of the Day* The Michigan State Spartans are very fortunate to be 10-1 right now. They could very easily have lost at Northwestern and they probably should have lost last week at home against a lowly Purdue team. The Penn State Nittany Lions are just 7-4, but Joe Paterno's team is definitely playing better football now than they were earlier in the season. Matt McGloin has come in and given them some balance on offense because of their improved ability to throw the football. The offensive line is also playing better than they were earlier in the year. Happy Valley is not an easy place to play at all. Most people in the Big Ten will tell you this is the toughest venue in the conference. Michigan State was beaten badly at Iowa, and then squeaked out with a win at Northwestern. Penn State isn't as good as Iowa, but they are certainly better than Northwestern. The Nittany Lions are a good home underdog. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 as home underdogs. Penn State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Happy Valley against Michigan State. I think Penn State wins this game.
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11-26-10 | UCLA Bruins v. Arizona State Sun Devils UNDER 48.5 | 34-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star Turkey Trimmings Totals Winner* The UCLA Bruins have had a long season, and that is largely due to their one dimensional offense. Johnathan Franklin is a very good running back, but it is tough to find room to run when you virtually never get anything going through the air. UCLA ranks 117th in the nation in pass offense, averaging just 117 yards per game. Arizona State's defense is stout against the run, which should mean the Bruins will struggle to score in this one. The Sun Devils are allowing only 122 yards per game on the ground this year. UCLA's defense is weak against the run, but solid against the pass. Arizona State is pass first type of offense, so once again I see the defense holding up fairly well here. The trends are very strong for this one as well. The under is 21-6-1 in UCLA's last 28 PAC 10 games. The under is 32-15 in Arizona State's last 47 games overall. The under is also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with each other. Take the under here.
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11-26-10 | SMU v. East Carolina OVER 69.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 72 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star Friday Totals Feast* The East Carolina defense is as bad as any defense in all of college football. In fact, East Carolina is dead last in Division I in points allowed at 43 per game. Rice put up 62 points on them last week, and Rice had been struggling offensively. Navy put up 76 points on them earlier this year as well. SMU hasa very solid offense and I fully expect them to score a bunch. On the other side, East Carolina has a terrific offense. Dominique Davis leads a high powered passing attack for the Pirates. They average 319 yards per game through the air, and the offense as a whole puts up 38 points per game. The weakness of the SMU defense is their secondary, which should mean ECU will pile up the yards and points in this one as well. This one could be a very high scoring game. I like the over in this one.
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11-26-10 | Ohio -3.5 v. Kent State | 6-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB ATS Play of the Day* The Ohio Bobcats need to win this game to play in the MAC Championship game against Northern Illinois. Kent State had high expectations going into the season, but they have had a disappointing year. The Golden Flashes have turned the ball over constantly, and their defense has let them down of late. Ohio was absolutely crushed by Ohio State early in the year, but since then they have gone on a tear. The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Last week they upset Temple on the road. The Bobcats seem to be a second half team over the last few years, and I expect that to continue in this game. In their last six MAC games the Bobcats have covered the spread, and won by at least 8 points. This is an opportunistic team and they know they have a great chance to get into the MAC title game, so I don't expect a letdown. Take Ohio -3.5 here.
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11-25-10 | New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions OVER 50.5 | 45-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star Turkey Day Tasty Total* The New England Patriots have their offense firing on all cylinders right now. In the last two games they have played Pittsburgh and Indianapolis and have put up 39 and 31 points respectively. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Detroit Lions are without Matt Stafford, but they still have some nice pieces on offense. Calvin Johnson is having a big year, and I think he'll give this Patriots secondary some problems. New England is second to last in the league in pass defense, so they are capable of giving up yards through the air. The over is 6-1 in Detroit's last 7 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the Lions last 6 home games. The over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 road games. I think there will be several big plays in this game, which should lead to this one going over the posted total.
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11-22-10 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers OVER 50 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Bookie CRUSHER* The Denver Broncos defense has been absolutely terrible of late. How bad have they been? The Broncos are allowing 37 points per game over their last three game. Champ Bailey is still here, but he isn't what he used to be. Brian Dawkins is aging as well, and he simply hasn't produced very well this year. San Diego has been putting up the points in bunches at home this year. The Chargers are averaging 33 points per game at home so far this season. Phillip Rivers has gone without his main receiving targets much of the year, but he's still had a fabulous season. The Chargers are first in passing offense in the NFL, and Ryan Matthews helps keep them balanced. Denver should be able to put up some points as well, as this Chargers team struggles badly on special teams. The over is 12-2 in Denver's last 14 games. The over is 6-2 in San Diego's last 8 games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Take the over in this MNF matchup!
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11-21-10 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 48 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 36 m | Show |
*5 Star Sunday Night Top Play GUARANTEED Cash* The Giants and the Eagles have been accustomed to playing high scoring games, and both offenses are humming along right now. Everyone knows about Mike Vick and the Eagles terrific performance from last week, but New York has been putting up points in bunches as well. Over the last five games they have averaged 32.8 points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Giants last five games. The over is also 5-0 in the Eagles last five games. Look for Vick to continue to create for the Eagles offense, and Manning and his wideouts to beat a questionable Eagles secondary. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. This game has over written all over it. I'm making this one a five star top play on the over.
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11-21-10 | Atlanta Falcons -3 v. St Louis Rams | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 49 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The St. Louis Rams have been a surprising team this season. They have actually won four of their five home games this year. A closer look reveals that their wins have been against less than stellar teams. Even their loss at home was to a lowly Arizona Cardinals team. I definitely agree that the Rams are a much improved team, especially defensively, but I think Atlanta is much more complete team right now. The Falcons have proven they can win on the road this year. They beat the Saints on the road earlier this year, and they are now 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Falcons defense is solid against the run, and I believe they'll slow down Jackson and the Rams running game in this one. Sam Bradford is a good young quarterback, but I don't think he has the weapons to put up huge numbers through the air right now. The Rams are missing a ton of talent on offense. Atlanta's balanced offense should carry them to a victory and a cover in this game.
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11-21-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 44 | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Minnesota Vikings have had a terribly disappointing season. The offense has been bad. The fact that they have underperformed so much allows us to get a nice number on the over in this game. In Brett Favre's three games against Green Bay in the last couple years, the Vikings have scored 24, 38, and 30 points. The total has gone over in the last five meetings between these two teams. Green Bay's defense is depleted in a big way because of injuries. Minnesota's defense is pretty good, but they haven't played up to expectations. I think Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense will be able to move the ball consistently against Minnesota in this one. The over is 5-1 in Minnesota's last 6 games overall. The over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. The value is on the over in this game.
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11-20-10 | Houston v. Southern Miss -3.5 | 41-59 | Win | 100 | 43 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB ATS Play of the Week* Southern Mississippi is a team I've had my eye on all year long. They are currently being underrated a bit by the books. D'Andre Brown is finally back in the lineup for the Golden Eagles, and that is crucical to their success on offense. The Houston Cougars are still racking up the yards on offense this year, but without Case Keenum they aren't the same team. David Piland is only completing 59.5% of his passes and he has thrown 10 interceptions already this year. Even with Keenum and at home last year, Houston needed a last minute touchdown to beat Southern Miss. Now we are getting Southern Miss for far less than a touchdown at home, and Houston simply isn't the same team they were a year ago. Southern Miss is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 November games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups between these teams.
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11-20-10 | Arkansas State v. Navy OVER 64 | 19-35 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Navy Midshipmen have gotten their ground game working once again this year. They started off a little slowly, but they have been racking up the yards in the last few games. They average 303 yards per game on the ground. Arkansas State's defense is absolutely terrible. The Red Wolves are allowing 206 yards per game on the ground this year, which is 110th in the nation. On the other side, Arkansas State has a pretty good passing game. They are 22nd in the nation in passing yards. Navy has struggled against solid passing teams this year. Navy is allowing 234 yards per game on the ground. The last three games for Navy have finished with totals of 65, 101, and 75. The last four games for Arkansas State have finished with totals of 70, 53, 75, and 71. The over is 4-0 in both teams last 4 games. I like the over a lot in this one.
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11-20-10 | Ole Miss v. LSU UNDER 51 | 36-43 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Showdown Total* Ole Miss has been a big disappointment this year. Their defense was supposed to be solid this year, but they have been pretty bad. LSU's defense is one of the very best in the country. LSU ranks sixth in the nation in points allowed at just 14.6 points per game. The LSU offense has struggled all year, especially when it comes to throwing the football. Mississippi has been decent against the run, but LSU should be able to get plenty of yards on the ground. I am counting on LSU's defense to rise up at home like they have consistently for the last few years. The under is 12-2 in their last 14 home games. 10 of their last 11 games at home have finished at 51 points or less. I think it will be difficult for the Rebels to consistently move the ball against this defense. I like the under in this one.
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11-20-10 | East Carolina v. Rice OVER 72 | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 41 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals Terrorizer* At first glance you might think it is crazy to be playing an over on a total set at 72 points. Look at the numbers though, and you'll see this is a very good value. East Carolina's offense is extremely productive, and they run an uptempo offense. The Pirates have scored at least 35 points in each of their last four games. They have the #5 passing attack in the nation. Rice's secondary is horrible, in fact they are the second worst in the country against the pass. East Carolina could very well put up more than 50 points in this one. At the same time, Rice should be able to put up plenty of points as well against an East Carolina defense that is allowing 41 points per game for the year. This one should be one heck of a shootout. Take the over here.
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11-20-10 | Troy State v. South Carolina OVER 57.5 | 24-69 | Win | 100 | 114 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Troy State Trojans have a great offense, but their defense is horrible. South Carolina's offense has been very good this year, but they have struggled defensively against teams with a solid passing attack. South Carolina is ranked 107th in the nation in pass defense, and Troy is ranked 13th in the nation in passing. Troy should be able to score several points in this game. On the other side, Troy has allowed 35 and 52 points against North Texas and FIU respectively in their last two games. The Gamecocks have a better offense than both of those teams, and even if they are a bit flat after last week's big win they should be able to score more than 40 in this one. How about a couple great 100% angles for this game? The over is 8-0 in Troy's last 8 games against an SEC opponent. The over is also 4-0 in South Carolina's last four home games. Take the over here.
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11-19-10 | Fresno State v. Boise State OVER 64.5 | 0-51 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF Style Bookie Basher* The Boise State Broncos are on a mission to prove to the public that they are worthy of a BCS National Title berth. The team knows they not only need to win, but they must win big from here on out. This is one of their best chances to do it on a national stage against a Fresno State program that has a quality reputation in college football. Fresno allowed 55 points against Ole Miss earlier this year, and 34 against Louisiana Tech. Boise State has a better offense than both of these teams. Fresno State's offense has scored at least 33 points in each of their last four games, and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 overall. I think Boise State puts up at least 45-50 points by themselves, and Fresno should be able to put up the rest. I like the over in this game.
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11-14-10 | St Louis Rams v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 38 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total of the Week* The San Francisco 49ers will start Troy Smith again in this game. Smith played well in his start against Denver. Expect the Niners to keep the offense pretty vanilla and run the football quite often. The Rams are one of the biggest surprises in the NFL at 4-4 right now. The defense is much better than almost everyone thought they would be. They are 8th in the NFL in rushing defense, and I think they'll do a solid job of stopping Frank Gore in this game. Sam Bradford is very good, but his wide receivers have been decimated by injury and I think that will be a problem this week. The trends point strongly toward the under in this game. The under is 9-2 in the Rams last 11 games overall. The under is 6-2 in San Francisco's last 8 home games. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two. I like the under in this game.
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11-14-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Denver Broncos OVER 43 | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 62 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The Kansas City Chiefs are a much improved football team, but they still have plenty of weaknesses. The Chiefs pass defense is weak, and Denver should be able to exploit that. Kansas City's offense has been improving greatly over the last few weeks, and they are now the #1 rushing team in the NFL. The Broncos have struggled mightily to try to stop the running game. Take a look at the recent history between these two teams. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games. Last year's two meetings finished at 57 and 68 points. Turnovers are likely to happen here as both defenses are opportunistic, and the Broncos especially are prone to turning it over. I expect the Broncos offense to have a good game plan as they come off the bye week. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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11-14-10 | Tennessee Titans -1.5 v. Miami Dolphins | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Tennessee Titans have had a lot of success on the road so far this season. The Titans are 3-1 on the road. The Dolphins have yet to win a game at home this year, where they are 0-3. The Dolphins switched to Chad Pennington at quarterback, which could upset the offense a little at first. This game will really boil down to who will be able to run the football better. Chris Johnson is as healthy as he has been this year, and I think the Titans line will give him some nice blocking in this game. Randy Moss is expected to play for the Titans and he should give Vince Young a nice downfield threat, which will also open up the running game for Johnson. Vince Young has quietly had a solid nine touchdown and two interception year so far. The Titans should have the upper hand in this game.
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11-13-10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys v. Texas UNDER 56 | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star ABC Showdown Moneymaker* The Texas Longhorns are having a terrible season. Mack Brown's team is now 4-5 overall and 2-7 ATS this year. Oklahoma State is 8-1 overall and 7-2 ATS. There is one thing that stands out to be about the line that the oddsmakers have set on this game. The posted total is 56 points. Texas has yet to have a game this year finish with a total score of more than 53 points. Sure Oklahoma State has a great offense, but this Texas defense is very good. Oklahoma State has a weak defense, but Texas' offense has been awful this year. Oklahoma State is the third ranked passing attack in the nation, but Texas ranks second in the nation in pass defense. Oklahoma State is particularly weak in the secondary, but I don't think Texas has the weapons to beat them deep. The under is 16-5 in Oklahoma State's last 21 road games. The under is 6-2 in Texas' last 8 home games. Take the under here.
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11-13-10 | Stanford v. Arizona State Sun Devils OVER 58.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total Domination Play* The Stanford Cardinal are playing very solid football. Andrew Luck is a great quarterback and the Cardinal have a solid running game as well. Arizona State has been a bit of a surprise in the Pac 10, and their offense is much better this year with Steven Threet under center. The thing about Threet is he is a high risk/high reward type of quarterback. He has 17 touchdown, but he also has 15 interceptions. Don't be surprised if Stanford picks him a couple times and gets a quick score or two that way. The Arizona State secondary has has serious trouble against good quarterbacks this year, and this is the best quarterback they have played yet. I like Arizona State to be able to score on their home field and keep this one close, but the offenses should have the upper hand the entire way in this one. Take the over.
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11-13-10 | Texas A&M Aggies v. Baylor OVER 64 | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 119 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total Domination Play* The Baylor Bears were throttled last weekend at Oklahoma State. They'll go home this week to a more friendly environment, where they are 4-0 this year. I expect Baylor's offense to play better, as they average 42.5 points per game at home. On the other hand, the defense has been allowing 40 points per game in their last three outings. Ryan Tannehill has taken over the quarterback duties at Texas A&M, and he has done a great job thus far. Tannehill is completing 68.6% of his passes and he has nine touchdown passes in just three games. In those three games the Aggies are averaging 41 points per game. Texas A&M has a solid rushing defense, but they can't stop the pass. Baylor averages 300 yards per game through the air. Baylor's defense can't stop the pass, and the Aggies have the ninth ranked pass offense in the nation. What about the trends? The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last six. The over is 28-10-1 in the Aggies last 39 road games. Both teams will it air it out early and often in this one. Expect a bunch of points and a good game. I like the over in this one.
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11-13-10 | Georgia v. Auburn OVER 65.5 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 116 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Georgia/Auburn Guaranteed Play* The Auburn Tigers are in the driver's seat for a national title berth, but the road is far from easy the rest of the way. Georgia is a team that is definitely getting its act together over the last few games. Auburn's defense has proven susceptible this year, and I think Georgia will be able to exploit some of those weaknesses. At the same time, Georgia's defense is weak, and Auburn should roll up a ton of yards in this one. Cam Newton is the Heisman front runner right now, and this Auburn offense is firing on all cylinders. The Tigers are averaging 48.5 points per game in their last six games. Georgia's defense gave up 31 points to Kentucky and 34 to Florida, and Auburn is a much better offense than those two teams. How will Georgia do it on offense? Aaron Murray and the passing game will go after Auburn's weak secondary. The over is 5-1 in Georgia's last 6. The over is 4-1 in Auburn's last 5. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the over in this huge matchup!
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11-13-10 | Army v. Kent State Golden Flashes -110 | 45-28 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star Special Side of the Week* The Kent State Golden Flashes don't have a special offense at all. You may be surprised to learn that they do have the number one rated defense in the country when it comes to stopping the run. Kent State is only allowing their opponents 69 yards per game on the ground. This Army team is great at running the football, but they have absolutely no passing game at all. Army averages just 74 yards per game through the air, easily last in all of Division One college football. Kent State's defensive line has shown they are strong this year, and if they can slow this Army option offense down fairly well, they should win this game. I expect Kent State to make just enough plays on offense to win this one. Take the Golden Flashes because of their run defense.
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11-12-10 | Boise State Broncos v. Idaho OVER 62.5 | Top | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 68 h 5 m | Show |
*5 Star TGIF Top Play DOMINATOR* The Boise State Broncos are obviously going to be looking to keep their foot on the gas to impress the voters the rest of the way. This team isn't likely to lose, but they might not get into the BCS Title game unless things fall their way. Idaho is the perfect team for Boise State to run up the score on. The teams don't like each other at all, and Idaho has one of the worst defenses in all of football. Take a look at the stats from last week: Idaho allowed 844 yards to Nevada. Yes that's right 844 yards in one game. If a defense allows 844 yards in two games they are pretty bad, but allowing that in one game is ridiculous. Last week Boise State rolled up 737 yards against Hawaii, who actually has a much better defense than Idaho. Kellen Moore will have a field day in this game, and the Broncos running game will go nuts as well. Idaho's passing game will probably get them a couple touchdowns in this one, which should be plenty to push this one over the posted total. In the last six meetings between these two, the total has finished at 68 points or higher five times. Take the over in a big way in this game.
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11-07-10 | San Diego Chargers v. Houston Texans OVER 49 | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The San Diego Chargers are the number one ranked passing offense in the NFL. The Houston Texans are easily the worst defense in the NFL against the pass, allowing a staggering 299.4 yards per game. The Chargers have struggled horribly on the road this year, but they still put up points. The Texans are averaging 24 points per game as well, and they have a balanced offense that should give the Chargers beaten up defense some trouble. Expect San Diego to throw the ball early and often in this one, and they should have quite a bit of success. This is the type of game where a special teams touchdown or a defensive touchdown is fairly likely, which is a nice boost to the chances of the over. The over is 5-2 in San Diego's last 7 games overall. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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11-07-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 45.5 | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie Crusher* Raheem Morris says his Tampa Bay Bucs team is the best in the NFC. They'll get a chance to prove a point in Atlanta on Sunday. The Falcons are 5-2 and they are one of the most balanced teams in football. Tampa Bay is also 5-2, but I sincerely doubt they will finish with one of the best records in the NFC. Tampa Bay's offense is simply not very good. Josh Freeman has had a better year, but he still isn't a prolific passer. Cadillac Williams has struggled a lot this year, which has led to Blount getting more carries. I fully expect Atlanta to gear up for the run and make Freeman and the Bucs passing game beat them. Tampa Bay's defense has been opportunistic, including three INT returns for a touchdown, which has inflated their scores a little so far this season. I think Matt Ryan takes good care of the ball Sunday and this one stays fairly low scoring. The trends are also behind this one. The under is 11-3 in Tampa Bay's last 14 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams. Take the under here.
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11-07-10 | NY Jets -4.5 v. Detroit Lions | 23-20 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 NFL ATS Play of the Week* The New York Jets were humbled at home last weekend by the Green Bay Packers. The Lions are coming off a nice win at home against the Redskins. I expect the Jets to be ready for a big bounceback game here. The Jets have the third best rushing attack in the NFL, while the Lions defense is 27th in run defense. The Lions have almost no running game, which will allow the Jets to get after Matt Stafford in this one. The Jets are a great road team, as evidenced by their 3-0 record straight up so far this year. They are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Jets are the better team here, and I think they'll be highly motivated and ready to go. Expect the Jets to win this one by at least a touchdown. Take the Jets here.
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11-06-10 | Texas Longhorns -3.5 v. Kansas State Wildcats | 14-39 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB ATS Play of the Week* The Texas Longhorns are a very interesting team this year. They have played substantially better on the road than they have at home. Don't forget that Texas has beaten Texas Tech and Nebraska on the road already this season. Kansas State was waxed 48-13 at home by Nebraska. They also lost 24-14 at home last week against Oklahoma State. Texas has the defense to shut down the Kansas State running game, which will put pressure on Coffman to beat them with his arm. I don't think he can. Kansas State is ranked dead last in college football in stopping the run, and Texas will pound the football constantly in this game. Texas has lost two straight and they should come out with a chip on their shoulder and beat a team with lesser talent. I like Texas in this one.
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11-06-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks v. South Carolina Gamecocks OVER 57.5 | 41-20 | Win | 100 | 120 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPN Saturday Night Bookie Crusher* Ryan Mallett and Arkansas will bring the top ranked passing attack in the SEC into South Carolina this Saturday night. The Gamecocks are ranked dead last in the SEC in pass defense and they have been giving up the yards in bunches over the last few games. The South Carolina offense is balanced and they have averaged 31 points per game this season. Arkansas' defense is better than last year, but they have a lot of room for improvement. I expect Lattimore and the running game of South Carolina to really hurt Arkansas in this one. The over is 5-1 in South Carolina's last six games overall. The over is 6-2 in Arkansas' eight games this year. Both of these offenses will be ready to go, and I look for plenty of points in this one. Take the over here.
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11-06-10 | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns v. Mississippi Rebels OVER 63 | Top | 21-43 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star Hidden Gem Total Play* Louisiana Lafayette has had some ridiculously high totals in their games this year. The team plays at a very quick tempo and they have absolutely no defense at all. Four of their last five games have gone over the posted total, and the least amount of points they have given up in that span is 31. This team even allowed 54 points against a Western Kentucky team that went winless last year. Mississippi has been putting points up in bunches of late as Jeremiah Masoli seems to be getting accustomed to the offense. In their last three home games they have averaged 43 points per game. The Rebels pass defense is allowing 244 yards per game through the air, and UL Lafayette has a good passing attack. The over is 6-1 in Mississippi's last 7 home games. The over is 4-1 in Lafayette's last 5 games overall. Get ready for a shootout in this one. Take the over in a big way!
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11-06-10 | Fresno State v. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs OVER 56.5 | Top | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Oddsmaker Line Error* It's a matchup of the Bulldogs from the south and the bulldogs from the west coast in this one. I believe the oddsmakers have made a significant error when setting this total. Fresno State is averaging 34 points per game on the year. Fresno State is averaging 41 points per game in their last four road games. Louisiana Tech's defense is allowing 298 yards per game through the air, and Ryan Colburn from Fresno has the skills to take advantage of that. On the other side, Fresno State's defense is weak against the run. They rank 62nd in the nation in run defense, while Louisiana Tech has been running the ball very well of late. Lousiana Tech even moved the ball pretty well last week against Boise State. This one is all about matchups, and both offenses have the firepower to exploit the weakness of the defenses. The trends also point to the over. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 road games. The over is 6-1-1 in La. Tech's last 8 conference games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. This number is set too low. Take the over here!
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11-06-10 | Navy Midshipmen v. East Carolina Pirates OVER 61.5 | Top | 76-35 | Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
*5 Star HUGE CFB Play of the Week* The Navy Midshipmen have the 10th best rushing attack in the country. East Carolina has the 92nd ranked rushing defense in the nation. East Carolina's offense is averaging 37 points per game, and Navy is coming off a game where they gave up 34 points to the Duke Blue Devils. This is your classic game of mismatches on both sides, and the offense will have the leg up constantly. Ruffin McNeill has turned the Pirates into an uptempo team like Texas Tech has been for many years. The over is 5-3 in East Carolina's eight games this year. Three of Navy's last four games have gone over the posted total as their defense seems to be breaking down and the offense continues to run the option efficiently. This is a game where I expect both teams to be able to score early and often. I am making the over in this game my five star play of the week.
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11-05-10 | Central Florida Golden Knights v. Houston Cougars OVER 61.5 | 40-33 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF NCAA Football Blowout* The UCF Knights are at the top of the Conference USA East Division, while Houston is at the top of the West Division. Houston has had all kinds of injury problems, but they have started playing good football again the last couple weeks. Houston is averaging 44 points per game in their last three meetings. UCF has the best defense in the conference, but they did allow 37 points against Houston at home last year. On the flip side, Houston's run defense is terrible. There is only one thing UCF can do, and that is run the football. Expect the Knights to break some huge runs in this matchup. Also, both of these teams commit quite a few turnovers, so I expect the offenses to get a short field fairly often. This Friday night game on ESPN looks like a high scoring affair to me. Take the over.
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11-02-10 | Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -1 v. Arkansas State Red Wolves | 24-51 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tuesday Night Takedown* The Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee State will invade Jonesboro on Tuesday night. This is Arkansas State's first ever chance to host a national tv game, so they will be hyped up. I see them keeping it close early, but MTSU is the better team. Look at the thorough beatdown MTSU gave Arkansas State last year. MTSU outgained them 427 to 220 and won 38-14. This Arkansas State defense is ranked 116th out of 120 teams in college football. Dwight Dasher is back for MTSU, and while he has been rusty, there is a reason why he was the Sun Belt's preseason player of the year. I expect Dasher and this Blue Raiders offense to fire on all cylinders against this Arkansas State defense that is weak all around. MTSU still has high hopes in the Sun Belt, and this is a must win game for them. I expect them to get the job done. How about this stat? MTSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Arkansas State. The favorite is 7-0 ATS in this matchup. Take Middle Tennessee State in this one.
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10-31-10 | Tennessee Titans v. San Diego Chargers -3.5 | 25-33 | Win | 100 | 48 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The San Diego Chargers have the top ranked offense in the league and the top ranked defense in the league and they are 2-5! This is one of the most confusing stats you will ever see, but it is largely because of turnovers and horrible special teams play that the Chargers have been so disappointing. The Titans are 5-2 and they are unbeaten on the road, but I think there are some factors working against them this week. Both Vince Young and Chris Johnson are expected to play, but they are dinged up a bit right now. The Chargers are a desparate team right now, which makes them very dangerous. The Titans have struggled to stop strong passing games all year, and the Chargers have the top ranked passing game in the NFL. I expect Rivers to have a big game and the Chargers to step up at home. The Titans are 0-6 ATS in their last six meetings with San Diego. Take the Chargers here.
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10-31-10 | Buffalo Bills v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 46 | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Don't look now, but the Kansas City Chiefs have been very good on offense of late, especially at home. The Chiefs are averaging 31 points per game at home this year. The Bills defense is BY FAR the worst in the league statistically. The Bills are giving up an astonishing 33 points per game for the season. The Chiefs have the #1 ranked rushing game in the NFL right now, and the Bills are dead last in run defense. The Bills offense has actually been very good of late. Buffalo has scored 26 points per game over their last four games. The Chiefs defense is improved from last year, but they are still not a shutdown unit. This is the type of game that before the season I would have thought would be low scoring, but given the trends for this season and the pathetic defense from Buffalo, I like the over in this one.
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10-31-10 | Carolina Panthers v. St. Louis Rams UNDER 37.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 45 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie Crusher* The Saint Louis Rams defense has been surprisingly decent this year. They are starting to build a nice young nucleus on the defensive side. Carolina's offense is terrible. The Panthers are back to starting Matt Moore at quarterback, but they'll likely be without their leading rusher in this one. DeAngelo Williams has a sprained foot and will likely miss this game. On the other side, Carolina's defense has been pretty good overall, as they rank 7th in the NFL in total defense. The under is 5-1 in the Rams last 6 home games. The under is 4-1 in Carolina's last 5 games overall. This won't be a pretty game, and I expect both offenses to struggle in the red zone. Take the under here.
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10-30-10 | Idaho Vandals v. Hawaii Warriors OVER 64 | 10-45 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hawaiian Style Bookie Beatdown* Idaho will visit Hawaii Saturday night in what should be a very entertaining WAC Conference matchup. The Idaho Vandals have improved a ton over the last couple years, and they have a great quarterback in Nathan Enderle. Enderle already has 2,053 yards through the air this year, and I fully expect Idaho to be able to throw the ball on Hawaii. The Hawaii pass offense can throw the football on anyone, and Idaho's defense isn't very good at all. Hawaii is averaging 401 yards per game through the air, and I think they'll top that number in this game. This game should be an all out aerial assault from both teams. The over is 12-5 in Idaho's last 17 games overall, as the books have yet to catch up with the Vandals improvement on offense. The over is 3-1-1 in Hawaii's last 5 home games. The winner in this one will probably need to score at least 40 points. Take the over here.
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10-30-10 | Utah Utes -7 v. Air Force Falcons | 28-23 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star ATS Bookie Crusher* The Utah Utes are somehow flying under the radar so far this year, but I'm not sure that is going to continue for much longer. Utah is an extremely strong team on both sides of the ball and they look destined for huge things. Jordan Wynn is a talented quarterback who knows the system well and takes care of the football. Eddie Wide and Matt Asiata form a great tailback tandem, and I fully expect them to dominate this week. Air Force simply cannot stop the run. Air Force is allowing 206 yards per game on the ground, and they have allowed 6.6 and 7.4 yards per carry in their last two games. Utah might have the best offensive line they have faced yet, so expect a ton of yards on the ground for Utah. Air Force is first in the nation in rushing, but Utah's defense is great against the run. Utah will be the best front seven that the Falcons have seen yet. Air Force doesn't match up well in this one. I like Utah to win this one handily.
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10-30-10 | San Jose State Spartans v. New Mexico State Aggies UNDER 47 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The San Jose State Spartans and the New Mexico State Aggies are both absolutely terrible football teams. Both of them come into this game with just one win. San Jose State averages 10 points per game on offense and New Mexico State averages 12.4 points per game. These two are 117th and 119th in the nation in total offense. Remember, there are only 120 teams in Division One NCAA Football. Basically, you couldn't find a matchup of two worse offenses than this one. Last year these teams played to a horribly ugly 13-10 final score. I think something similar is quite likely again this year. The under is 41-19-2 in San Jose State's last 61 games. The under is 4-0 in New Mexico State's last four. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under here.
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10-30-10 | California Golden Bears v. Oregon State Beavers -2.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 116 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star ATS Bookie Smasher* The Cal Golden Bears may be good at home, but they aren't good on the road. The Golden Bears are 0-3 on the road this year, and they were blasted at USC and Nevada. Oregon State is 4-1-1 ATS so far this year, and they have a nice home-field advantage in Corvallis. The Beavers are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. California is just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games. Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings wtih California. I think the oddsmakers are giving California too much credit, especially since this team has been crushed by teams that are less than terrific on the road this season. I think the Oregon State Beavers -2.5 is a great value in this one.
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10-30-10 | Texas Tech Red Raiders v. Texas A&M OVER 58 | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 111 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error Totals Winner* If you look at Texas A&M's offensive statistics you'll see that they rack up the yards, but often fail to punch it in the end zone. The Texas Tech defense is likely just what the doctor ordered for this team. Texas Tech has allowed 24, 34, 38, and 52 points in their last four games. The Red Raiders offense is pass happy as always, with Taylor Potts leading the show. They average 311 yards through the air and Texas A&M is ranked 85th in the nation in pass defense. Both of these teams love to air it out, and both defenses struggle to stop the passing attack, so I think 65 or 70 points is quite likely here. In 2008 these two put up 68 points and last year they totaled 82 points in their meeting in Lubbock. Expect this one to be full of fireworks. Take the over.
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10-30-10 | Arizona Wildcats v. UCLA Bruins UNDER 50 | 29-21 | Push | 0 | 111 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star PAC 10 Totals Winner* The UCLA Bruins have a solid running game and a pathetic passing game. Arizona's defense is ranked 7th in the nation against the run, so don't expect the Wildcats to allow Franklin to run all over them. They know the Bruins can't throw it, so they will stack up the box. On the other side, Arizona has a decent backup quarterback in Matt Scott, but they definitely miss Nick Foles in a big way. Foles is the main leader for their offense and is extremely comfortable running this system, but he is out with a knee injury. UCLA's defense has been inconsistent this year, but I think they will fare well against a Wildcats offense that struggles to protect the passer and has a backup quarterback under center. The under is 22-8 in UCLA's last 30 home games. Take the under in this one.
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10-30-10 | Alabama-Birmingham Blazers v. Southern Mississippi OVER 53 | 50-49 | Win | 100 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Early Bird Special* The UAB Blazers nearly upset Mississippi State on the road last weekend. Bryan Ellis has moved into the starting quarterback spot and this team has moved the ball well through the air of late. Ellis is averaging 278 passing yards per game in the last five contests. Southern Miss has a great run defense, but they are susceptible to giving up yards through the air. The Golden Eagles allowed 305 passing yards against East Carolina and 237 against lowly Memphis last weekend. Southern Miss will probably be without their star wideout, DeAndre Brown, but they have been efficient without him as well. UAB's defense gives up the big play often, and Southern Miss is averaging 42 points per game in their last three games. The over is 5-1 in Southern Miss' last six home games. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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10-25-10 | NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 44 | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Totals Terrorizer* By now you certainly know the Cowboys are 1-4 and badly need a win in this game. The Giants always play them tough, and the Giants are playing solid football right now. Even though they have won just one of their last three, the Cowboys offense has looked good in those games. The Cowboys are averaging just over 25 points per game in their last three. The Giants have put up 34 and 28 points in their last couple games. These two teams have a history of scoring quite a few points against each other. The over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these teams. Expect the Giants balanced offense to be able to move the ball pretty well in this one. The Cowboys should be able to put up quite a few as well, since they know they must win this game. Take the over here.
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10-24-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 43.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 74 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Showdown Special* Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers have both struggled more than expected so far this season, but I think this competition will bring out the best in both of them. Favre clearly gets amped up to play his old team, and Rodgers and the Packers know they need to start beating the Vikings. The Green Bay defense is having all sorts of trouble with injuries, and the Vikings passing game is starting to slowly come together. On the other side, the Packers have a great array of weapons for Rodgers, and I expect them to be able to move the ball with their short passing game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two, including a 30-23 adn 38-26 game last year. Both of these offenses should start producing this Sunday night in this key battle. I like the over.
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10-24-10 | Arizona Cardinals v. Seattle Seahawks -5.5 | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 71 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a big win in Chicago. Arizona is coming off a bye week, but they did beat New Orleans in their last game. Seattle is a great home team and Arizona is a horrible road team. Arizona has been beaten 41-10 and 41-7 in their last two road games. The Seahawks have won straight up as home underdogs in both of their home games this year. Max Hall will be in a very hostile environment in Seattle. Qwest Field is as loud as it gets and rookie quarterbacks have always struggled at this venue. The Seahawks have the second best rushing defense in the NFL, so Arizona will have to throw it to be effective, but Hall will likely struggle in his first road start. Marshawn Lynch could be a big piece to the puzzle on offense for Seattle as well. I think Seattle takes it to the Cardinals in this one. Take the Seahawks here.
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10-24-10 | San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 35.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie Crusher* The Carolina Panthers have decided to go back to Matt Moore at the quarterback spot. They really don't have a good option at the position right now, and the Panthers offense is the worst in the NFL right now. San Francisco finally got their first win last week against Oakland. The 49ers are definitely better than your average 1-5 football team. This has all the makings of a game that will be very low scoring. You know the coaching staff doesn't trust Moore too much, so the Panthers will keep it on the ground most of the game. The 49ers have struggled to put the ball in the end zone all year. The under is 8-3-1 in San Francisco's last 12 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 games overall. This is the type of game that should stay below 30 points. Take the under.
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10-23-10 | Georgia Bulldogs v. Kentucky Wildcats OVER 58 | 44-31 | Win | 100 | 121 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Curious Odds Totals Winner* The Kentucky Wildcats have certainly improved in a big way under Joker Phillips the last few weeks. Last weekend they stunned South Carolina, and the weekend before they nearly beat Auburn. This weekend Georgia comes to town to take on the Wildcats. Georgia started the year 1-4, but they have won two straight. The Bulldogs have found a nice young quarterback in Aaron Murray. Georgia will definitely be able to put up points against this Kentucky defense that allows 30 points per game. At the same time, the Wildcats have an impressive offensive system now that utilizes Randall Cobb's talents. While you may not know about them, Kentucky has a ton of athletes on the offensive side of the ball. The over is 6-0 in Kentucky's last 6 games and the last two meetings between these two have been shootouts. I like the over here.
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10-23-10 | Alabama Crimson Tide -16.5 v. Tennessee Volunteers | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 73 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPN Saturday Night Showdown* The Alabama Crimson Tide beat Ole Miss last weekend, but they weren't impressive in doing so. I am confident that Nick Saban has been letting his players know that they are not out of it and if they play fundamantal football they can still meet their goals for this season. Tennessee is an undermanned football team this year. They simply don't have the kind of talent needed to beat the best teams in the SEC. The Volunteers defense struggles against both the run and the pass. The offense doesn't have a go to player at all. This is a spot where I could see something happening similar to the Oregon game. The Volunteers played inspired and led in the first half, but were pounded in the second half, losing 48-13. Alabama is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in Knoxville. Look for Alabama to make a statement in this win. Take Alabama -16.5.
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10-23-10 | Colorado State Rams v. Utah Utes OVER 57.5 | 6-59 | Win | 100 | 74 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The Utah Utes have an extremely dynamic offense this year, as evidenced by their 46 points per game. The Colorado State defense allows 411 yards per game and 32 points. Jordan Wynn and this Utah offense should be able to get into the 40's against this defense quite easily. Earlier this year the Rams had no offense whatsoever, but they have been improving quite a bit. Leonard Mason has rushed by over 100 yards in their last two games and they have scored 27 and 43 points in those two games. Utah's defense is good, but I fully expect them to be winning this game by a bunch and put in the backups late in the game. The Rams should definitely be able to put up a couple scores on Utah here, and I think this total gets well above this number. The over is 5-2 in Utah's last 7 and 8-3-1 in Colorado State's last 12 road games. Take the over.
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10-23-10 | Hawaii Warriors v. Utah State Aggies OVER 57.5 | 45-7 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Totals Terrorizer* The Utah State Aggies are a different offense when they are at home. On the road they are averaging just 12.33 points per game, but at home they are putting up 31 points per game. Diondre Borel is a solid quarterback and this Aggies squad has been running the football pretty well of late. Hawaii is coming off their huge win over Nevada last weekend. The Warriors have the top ranked passing attack in the nation, and Utah State's defense is ranked 85th in the nation in pass defense. I fully expect Bryant Moniz to have a huge game in this one. At the same time, Hawaii's defense struggles badly on the road. They are allowing 30 points per game on the road this year. In the last five meetings between these two the over is 4-1. Expect this to be a track meet where both teams move the ball effectively early and often. Take the over in this one!
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10-23-10 | Kent State -2 v. Bowling Green St Falcons | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 73 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Attack ATS Play* The Kent State Golden Flashes lost to Bowling Green by a point last year, but those were two very different teams. Freddie Barnes caught 22 passes for Bowling Green last year, and he is now gone. Kent State's defense has improved, and they are allowing just 303 yards per game. Bowling Green is a one dimensional offense, because they don't have much of a rushing game at all. The Falcons of Bowling Green are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games at home, so there isn't much of a home field advantage here. Kent State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Bowling Green, and the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings as well. I think the team with the better defense wins here. Take Kent State in this one.
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10-23-10 | Connecticut Huskies v. Louisville Cardinals -1 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 69 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error* UConn's starting quarterback Cody Endres has been suspended for the rest of the year. This leaves the UConn offense in a state of flux and without a proven starter at quarterback. The Huskies have already been a big disappointment this year. They are 0-3 on the road, and have lost to both Temple and Rutgers in recent weeks. Louisville is coming off a close loss to Cincinnati last week, but this team is definitely better than most people expected them to be. The Cardinals can run the football extremely well, and UConn has struggled to stop the run this year. Bilal Powell should have plenty of room to run in this one. UConn has a solid running game, but I don't expect them to be balanced without Endres at the quarterback spot. I think Louisville will take care of business against a disappointing Huskies team.
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10-23-10 | Wyoming Cowboys v. BYU Cougars UNDER 44 | 20-25 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total Domination Play* The Wyoming Cowboys and the BYU Cougars have two of the worst offenses in all of college football this year. BYU is averaging 14.7 points per game and Wyoming is averaging 11.6. The under is 5-2 in Wyoming's 7 games this year. The under is 7-0 in BYU's 7 games this season. This is a game where I expect both teams to come out and try to establish the running game. Neither offense will be in any hurry, and both will struggle to punch it in the end zone. The biggest concern is probably touchdowns given up by way of a turnover because of how inept these two offenses are. The books adjusted this total down a bit, but I don't think they moved it nearly low enough. Don't be surprised if this game ends with a score of 13-6 or something ridiculously low. I really like the under here.
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10-17-10 | NY Jets -3 v. Denver Broncos | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 89 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* The New York Jets can run the football better than anyone in the NFL right now. The Denver Broncos defense ranks 25th in run defense. Brian Dawkins is a key leader on Denver's defense and he is expected to miss this game. The Jets offensive line should be able to control the line of scrimmage throughout the game. The Denver offense is great throwing the ball, but they are last in rushing offense. This Jets defense is too good to be just airing it out every play. Denver isn't balanced enough on offense to hurt this Jets defense continuously. What about the trends? The Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Jets 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Broncos are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. I think the Jets are just the better football team here. Take the Jets -3.
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10-17-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Houston Texans UNDER 45 | 31-35 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The Houston Texans defense has been terrible this year, but if you take a look at the stats, it doesn't appear the Chiefs have the personnel to take advantage of that. The Texans allow 330 yards per game through the air, but the Chiefs only get 158 through the air each game. The Texans are actually the fifth best defense against the run, and that is all KC does most of the time. Houston is a run first team with Arian Foster, and I think the clock will be ticking quite a bit in this one. Expect both teams to run often, and expect to see a lot of drives end in field goals instead of touchdowns. The Chiefs simply don't have much offensive firepower, and the Texans offense has produced only 23 points in their last two home games combined. Take the under here.
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10-17-10 | San Diego Chargers v. St. Louis Rams OVER 45 | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Smash the Books Total* Betting on the over in San Diego's games has been the way to go of late. The Chargers put up tons of points, but find a way to give away games on the road by allowing special teams touchdowns or turning the ball over. The Rams were thrashed last weekend by Detroit and I expect them to come out with much more intensity in this one. The Chargers have the top ranked pass offense in the league, and St. Louis has a ton of trouble stopping the pass. Look for the Chargers to allow the Rams to get some points on silly mistakes, but look for San Diego to run up a huge amount of yards in this one. At the end of the day I'm lookin for this one to sail over the posted total.
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10-16-10 | Air Force Falcons -3.5 v. San Diego State Aztecs | 25-27 | Loss | -110 | 138 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error* The Air Force Falcons are an extremely fundamentally sound football team. Air Force is first in the nation in rushing offense. They have beaten the Aztecs of San Diego State handily in their last three meetings, and I think they'll do it again here. San Diego State is a pass first football team. Air Force has a terrific group of cornerbacks and safeties that form about as good of a secondary as you'll find in the country. Expect Air Force to pound the football on the ground against a mediocre run defense, then look for the Aztecs to struggle playing from behind against such a strong secondary. I like the Falcons to win this one by at least a touchdown.
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10-16-10 | Baylor Bears -110 v. Colorado Buffaloes | 31-25 | Win | 100 | 49 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Moneyline Play of the Week* The Colorado Buffaloes have been a serial disappointer the last few years and Dan Hawkins will probably be without a job after this season. Baylor is a team that had a rough year last season because they were without their star. This year Robert Griffin III is back and the Baylor Bears are a dangerous football team. Griffin has nine touchdownd and just one pick this year. Baylor is averaging 313 yards through the air each game. Colorado ranks just 88th in the nation in pass defense. The Colorado offense is in a state of flux, and they struggle mightily to put together a complete 60 minute solid effort. I think the oddsmakers are undervaluing Baylor at this point because of their losses on the road earlier this year. Colorado isn't as good as TCU or Texas Tech, and I think Baylor will win this game.
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10-16-10 | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns v. Troy St Trojans OVER 59.5 | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem of the Week* The Troy Trojans are the class of the Sun Belt Conference, but their defense isn't up to par this year. Both Troy and La. Lafayette like to hurry to the line and air it out early and often. This game may take a while, and I fully expect a lot of points to be scored. Troy allows 272 passing yards per game and opponents are averaging 29 points per game on their defense as well. Louisiana Lafayette allows 276 passing yards per game and a ridiculous 39 points per game. Both offenses have a strong passing game and both defenses are weak against the pass, so this appears to be a great matchup for a ton of points to be scored. The over is 5-1 in Lafayette's last 6 and 7-2 in Troy's last 9 games overall. Take the over here.
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10-16-10 | Utah Utes -19.5 v. Wyoming Cowboys | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 136 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar ATS Winner* The Utah Utes have put up 56 points or more in three straight games! Last weekend they beat Iowa State in Ames, 68-27! This Utah team is really flying under the radar right now, but they are a great looking football team. Wyoming is offensively challenged to say the least. The Cowboys are dead last in all of college football in total offense! Wyoming averages just 241 yards of total offense per game. I sincerely doubt that they can keep up with this high powered Utah team. The oddsmakers are underrating Utah consistently, and the Utes are now 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. I like Utah to win this one big! Take Utah and expect a blowout.
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10-16-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks v. Auburn Tigers OVER 60 | 43-65 | Win | 100 | 110 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Showdown Total Shocker Alert* The Arkansas Razorbacks can air it out as well as anyone in the country. Auburn struggles mightily against the pass. Auburn can run the football as well as anyone in college football. Arkansas struggles to defend the run. Cam Newton and Ryan Mallett are both stars at the quarterback position and I fully expect them to shine on Saturday. Both of these teams have plenty to play for in the SEC West, so this should be a heck of a battle. Last year's game finished with a total of 67, and these offenses are probably a little better this year! The winner of this game is going to have to put up quite a few points! I like the value on the over in this one!
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10-16-10 | Iowa Hawkeyes -3 v. Michigan Wolverines | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 71 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 ATS Play of the Week* The Iowa Hawkeyes fell apart for the first 15 minutes in Arizona earlier this year, but other than those 15 minutes they have been terrific all year. This is a defense that is dominating and an offense that is very efficient. Adrian Clayborn and Karl Klug form the top defensive line duo in the conference, and possibly the country. Tyler Sash is a great ball hawking safety. Denard Robinson and the Michigan offense are much better this year, but they will be up against an Iowa defense that is second in the nation in rushing defense and first in points allowed per game. On the other side, Michigan's defense is poor. Iowa should be able to hit some deep passes and run the ball well on this Michigan team. The battle in the trenches should go to Iowa, and I think the Hawkeyes will win this one handily.
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10-16-10 | Pittsburgh Panthers v. Syracuse Orangemen UNDER 44.5 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big East Total* The Pitt Panthers have been a major disappointment so far this year and the Syracuse Orange have been a big surprise. Syracuse has a stout defense and Pitt also has a pretty solid defense. The Panthers are allowing just 95 yards per game on the ground, and Syracuse is a team that likes to run the ball first. On the other side, Syracuse is allowing just 14.8 points per game, and they have held their opponents in single digits in four of their five games this season. The under is 5-1 in Syracuse's last 6 home games. The under is 4-1 in Pittsburgh's last 5 road games. Expect both offenses to struggle to get into the end zone in this one. The value is on the under here.
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10-14-10 | South Florida Bulls v. West Virginia Mountaineers -10 | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
*Thursday Night CFB Bookie Crusher* The South Florida Bulls have played virtually nobody this year. Last weekend they were beaten at home by Syracuse. Earlier this year they were thrashed by a less than stellar Florida Gators team. There wins have come against Stony Brook, Florida Atlantic, and Western Kentucky. West Virginia lost a close game at LSU, but they have started the season pretty well. Geno Smith is doing a nice job running the offense. Noel Devine has struggled a bit this year, but South Florida is poor against the run, so I expect him to get going this week. The Mountaineers defense is extremely tough, and the South Florida offense has struggled to move the ball against everyone this year. West Virginia is 7th in the nation in both points per game allowed and total yards per game allowed. West Virginia is also playing with a chip on their shoulder since the Bulls beat them last year. Expect West Virginia to win this one easily.
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10-11-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. New York Jets OVER 38 | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Guaranteed Winner* The Minnesota Vikings acquired Randy Moss last week and I believe that will help their offense in a HUGE way. Favre has been needing someone to throw the deep pass to and Moss is the perfect guy for that. A lot of people are looking at this game as a very low scoring defensive battle, but I think many will be surprised. The Jets have been impressive on offense the last couple weeks, and I think they are fully capable of putting up plenty of points. With a guy like Moss on the outside, it will be much tougher to bring safeties and help out against the run. Adrian Peterson will benefit greatly. I think this will be an intriguing game, and I also think the offenses will fare better than most believe. Take the over here.
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10-10-10 | New York Giants v. Houston Texans -2.5 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL ATS Play of the Week* I wasn't impressed with the Giants last Sunday night. In that game it seemed like the Bears rolled over and gave them the game. New York was beaten up badly at home by a Titans team that isn't that good. The Giants pass defense has been good, but they struggle against the run. Expect Arian Foster and the number one ranked rushing attack in the NFL to take advantage of the Giants weakness against the run. A couple of the Texans best players have been out of late, but both are expected back in this one. Brian Cushing is the key to their defense and Andre Johnson is probably the best wide receiver in the game right now. This Texans team will be looking to prove they are for real after losing at home to Dallas a couple weeks ago. I think this is a great spot to play Houston.
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10-10-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 45 | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Play of the Day* The Indianapolis Colts can obviously air it out better than anyone in the NFL. The Kansas City Chiefs have the 25th ranked pass defense in the NFL. The Colts defense struggles mightily to stop the run. The Chiefs have the third best rushing attack in the NFL. In this game the strengths of the offenses will work to their advantage nicely and it should help plenty of points be scored. The Chiefs defense has looked very good so far this year, but this is easily their toughest test yet. I think the Colts will put up a pretty big number on them. The over is 8-3 in the Colts last 11 games overall. Expect a big game out of Manning and KC to stay in it for a while with some nice production on the ground. Take the over.
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10-10-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Smash the Books Spread Play* The Tampa Bay Bucs are 2-1, but I think they'll come back down to earth. The Bengals are 2-2, but their offense actually clicked much better last weekend. Tampa Bay has a young secondary and that could help Carson Palmer connect with Ocho Cinco and Owens often in this one. Also, the Bucs are weak against the run, which means Cedric Benson will probably get going in this one. The Bengals defense plays much better at home, as evidenced by their performance at home against Baltimore earlier this year. Josh Freeman still isn't ready to be a top of the line starter in the NFL. Tampa Bay may get some yardage on the ground against this Bengals defense, but I don't see them doing much through the air. I think Tampa Bay is a little overvalued at this point, so I am taking the Bengals to cover here.
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10-09-10 | Rice Owls v. UTEP Miners OVER 57.5 | 24-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Break the Bookies Total* The Rice Owls have been an over machine for the last few years. The over is a stunning 52-17 in their last 69 games. This year the Rice offense is a little worse than some years, but UTEP has a horrific defense and they'll allow the Owls to score plenty. At the same time, Rice has what may be the worst defense in the country. UTEP has a good running back in Buckram and Trevor Vittatoe is plenty capable of picking apart this Rice secondary. The over is 7-3 in UTEP's last 10 overall. The over is 21-5 in Rice's last 26 road games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Two bad defenses and teams that can score points in bunches means the over is a great play here!
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10-09-10 | New Mexico Lobos v. New Mexico State Aggies UNDER 51.5 | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 121 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ugly Football Moneymaker* It doesn't have to be pretty to make cash. I'll be the first to tell you that there is no way I would go see these two teams play football against each other. These two are both horrific on offense and I just don't see them being able to put up this many points. The biggest concern I have here is that the offenses and special teams are so bad that they may give up a punt block or an interception return for a touchdown. Even if they do, I think at this level we have enough of a cushion for a nice play on the under. Last year they played to a 20-17 final and I think a similar score this year is quite likely. Expect a sloppy game with penalties and two terrible rushing attacks trying to get going. I like the under here.
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10-09-10 | Pittsburgh U v. Notre Dame -6 | 17-23 | Push | 0 | 140 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star ATS Cash* The Pittsburgh Panthers just haven't impressed me this season. Notre Dame has lost some tough close games against Michigan and Michigan State, but they bounced back nicely last week at Boston College. Notre Dame has the type of passing game that should be able to hurt the Panthers defense. The Panthers have a great running back in Dion Lewis, but without much of a passing threat teams are sitting on the run. Dayne Crist is a much more consistent quarterback than Tino Sunseri at this point. The Fighting Irish have stayed quite healthy so far this year, while Pittsburgh has a multitude of injuries along both their offensive and defensive lines. Notre Dame is the better team and laying less than a touchdown at home is a good value.
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10-09-10 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas -7.5 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bounceback Game of the Week* The Arkansas Razorbacks were heartbroken after their last second loss to Alabama a couple weeks ago. They have had a couple weeks to put it behind them and get ready for this one. Texas A&M outplayed Oklahoma State, but lost because of turnover problems. Both quarterbacks are very good, but Mallett has far more weapons and he also takes care of the football better. I think Arkansas comes up absolutely fired up for this one. Alabama's dominance of everyone else makes me think that Arkansas must be for real since they had the Crimson Tide on the ropes. The Razorbacks dominated the Aggies last year and I think they'll win by a comfortable margin this year as well. Take Arkansas in this one.
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10-09-10 | UCLA v. California OVER 48 | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 10 Total Play* The UCLA Bruins are not nearly as good on defense as they were a year ago. They are allowing 24 points per game and 366 total yards per game. While UCLA has almost no passing game, the Bruins do have a very good running back in Johnathan Franklin. Cal's defense is decent, but stopping the run is a problem for them at times. Kevin Riley has been much better at home and this Cal offense as a whole does have some pretty good play makers. Shane Vereen should have a big day. In the last six meetings between these two, the total has hit at least 51 points every single time. I think this is the type of game where some points could be scored on special teams or by the defense, which is a nice perk. The total is set quite low at just 48 points, so I'm taking the over as a great value bet here.
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10-09-10 | Bowling Green v. Ohio -7.5 | 25-49 | Win | 100 | 139 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Attack ATS Play* The Bowling Green Falcons a TON of their offense from lost year, and they aren't even close to the same team this year. Ohio started the season a little slowly, but this is a team that should be one of the best in the MAC this year. Ohio continues to be underrated by the oddsmakers, as they are now 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Bowling Green quarterback Matt Schilz is nursing a shoulder injury and may miss this game. Bowling Green has absolutely no running game, and without Schilz their passing attack is very weak as well. This is a game where I believe the oddsmakers are weighing last year too much into the line. A lot can change in a year's time, and in the case of the Falcons from Bowling Green, it has. I like Ohio in this one.
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