For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-19-17 | Jaguars v. Browns +8 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville. The Browns may be 0-9 on the season, but they've actually been much more competitive against the pointspread of late. Last week, they reached the 4-yard line with a great opportunity to cover the spread in the game's final minute, but turned the ball over. Still, they only failed to cover the spread by 3.5 points. The previous week, they also failed to cover -- by 6 points -- so they were within one score. And three games ago, they did cover the spread by 2.5 points. This week, they're getting a sizable amount of points at home, and we'll grab all we can with Cleveland, as winless home dogs of +7.5 or more points have gone 37-16 ATS if their record was 0-7 (or worse). Take the Browns. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Avalanche v. Predators -194 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Colorado Avalanche. The Avs had a huge victory at home on Thursday over the Washington Capitals, 6-2. But goalie Philipp Grubauer was in net for the Caps that night and DC has not won a game yet this season with Braden Holtby's back-up playing (0-5-1). They will likely have a much tougher time tonight in Nashville against the defending Western Conference Champions, especially when you consider how the Preds have dominated this series lately. The Predators also beat the Caps - on Tuesday - which turned out to be their fifth win in a row, but they lost against the Wild two nights later. That was a tough loss for a Nashville club that had been playing very well of late, especially here at Bridgestone Arena where the Predators have averaged four goals per game this season. That number pales in comparison to what the Avs have done at home (4.63 GPG) but on the road that number sinks to 2.44. The Avs are 0-7 in the last seven meetings. Take Nashville. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Warriors -8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Philadelphia. Both teams are playing really well: Philly is 8-6, and off back to back SU/ATS road wins over the Clippers and Lakers, while Golden State is 11-4, but did get upset by Boston on Thursday. We'll take Steve Kerr's men to rebound off that defeat, as the Warriors are 20-1 ATS off an upset loss, if they're playing an opponent off a win, and the Warriors are favored by at least 6 points. Take Golden State. NBA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Arizona University v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 40 h 46 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona. Oregon QB Justin Herbert has been upgraded to 'probable,' which is surely a welcome sight for the team. After all, without their 1st string QB under center last week, the Ducks struggled to score, and lost 38-3 at Washington. They'll host the Arizona Wildcats at Autzen Stadium on Saturday. And Arizona comes into this contest off a 21-point win (49-28) over Oregon State. Unfortunately for the Wildcats, they fall into a negative 15-45 ATS system of mine which goes against teams off 21+ point wins vs. foes off 21+ point losses. Moreover, the 'Cats are a poor 6-15 ATS their last 21 as an underdog, and 10-26 ATS on the road after scoring 37+ points in their previous game. Finally, Oregon is 44-22 ATS in 'win situation' games with a pointspread of 3 or less. Lay it. Pac 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Army v. North Texas -2.5 | Top | 49-52 | Win | 100 | 80 h 53 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army. These two teams last faced off against each other in the Heart of Dallas Bowl game, on December 27, at the Cotton Bowl. Army triumphed, 38-31, in that game. But I look for the Mean Green to avenge that Bowl game defeat. Indeed, home teams have cashed 75% over the past 17 years when playing with revenge from a post-season defeat, so long as they're not laying 5.5 or more points. Take North Texas. Non-Conf. Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Maryland v. Michigan State -15.5 | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 7 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Maryland. The Spartans will be playing their final home game of the season. And they've dominated over the past 30 years in their final home games, with a 22-8 SU and 23-7 ATS record! The Spartans also play with revenge from an upset loss sustained last season in College Park. MSU was favored by 2.5, but lost to the Terrapins, 28-17. However, Michigan State's a solid 6-1 ATS its last seven when playing with revenge from an upset loss, while Maryland's an awful 2-11-1 ATS its last 13 (and 0-5 ATS on the road) if it upset its opponent the previous season! Take Michigan State. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Panthers v. Kings -143 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over Florida. Los Angeles has dropped four straight games, and they scored 2 goals or less in each of those defeats. But LA is 10-0 its last 10 at home after four straight games where it scored 2 goals or less. Take Los Angeles. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | UAB v. Florida -10.5 | Top | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 77 h 56 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over UAB. The Gators have had the proverbial "season from hell." It started off well enough, as the Gators won their first three conference games vs. Tennessee, Kentucky and Vanderbilt. But an onslaught of injuries and a resignation by their head coach, have made Gator fans want to put this season it the rear view mirror. Florida's now lost its last five games, and has failed to cover its last four. Still, I love Florida to get an easy win on Saturday vs. a UAB squad coming into Gainesville off an upset win over Texas San Antonio. Over the last 30 years, home favorites of more than nine points, off four or more losses, have covered 73.6% vs. foes off a win. And UAB is a wallet-busting 0-14 ATS on the road vs. .600 (or worse) opponents if UAB defeated a conference foe in its previous game. Take Florida. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Navy v. Notre Dame -17.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Navy. Notre Dame's 5-game win streak in this series was snapped last year when the Midshipmen upset the Irish, 28-27, as a 7.5-point underdog. But I love Brian Kelly's men to avenge that defeat, and especially since they're coming off a 41-8 loss to Miami-Florida last week. This also will be Notre Dame's final home game of the season, and NCAA favorites of more than 15 points have cashed 78% since 1980 in their final home game, if they were off a 20-point (or worse) defeat! Lay it. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern +5 | Top | 0-52 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over South Alabama. We played against Georgia Southern last week, and got the cash with Appalachian State, which defeated the Eagles, 27-6, as a 17.5-point favorite. That loss lowered Georgia Southern's season record to 0-9 straight-up and 2-6 ATS. But I love the Eagles in this home underdog role, on Saturday. They catch South Alabama coming off a big upset win at home over Arkansas State, as a 13-point underdog. And, unfortunately for the Jaguars, teams off home upsets as a 13-point (or greater) underdog have had huge letdowns in their next game as road favorites. Since 1980, they've covered just 32.1% of their games. Take the Eagles + the points. Sun Belt Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Coyotes v. Senators -185 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Senators over the Arizona Coyotes. The Coyotes won for just the third time in a league-leading 21 games on Thursday. They beat the Canadiens on the road by a 5-4 margin, and as impressive as that might sound, a lot of clubs have been beating up on the Habs in their home arena this season so it could be a bit misleading. The other big problem for them today is that the Coyotes have yet to win back-to-back games and in fact are 0-5 in their last five when coming off a win. The Senators are finally healthy for the most part and playing some pretty good hockey although they lost their last game. But getting beaten by the defending cup champions (Pittsburgh) by a 3-1 margin is nothing to hang your head about and they have an excellent shot at rebounding back at home this afternoon. The Coyotes are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Ottawa while the 'Nats are are 29-14 in their last 43 vs. teams from the Pacific Division. Take the Senators. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Rice v. Old Dominion -8 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 57 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Rice. The Owls are 1-9 on the season, with eight straight losses, and are clearly playing out the string. Old Dominion, on the other hand, is not playing out the string. It's 4-6, but it's won each of its past two games, including last week's 37-30 upset win at Florida International, as a 10-point underdog. I look for Old Dominion to keep its momentum going, at home, on Saturday, as teams (like Rice) that haven't won more than 1 game on the season, have cashed just 32% (at Game 11 forward) vs. conference foes off an upset win. Take the Monarchs. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 73 h 6 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Rutgers. Both of these teams are 4-6 on the season, but going in opposite directions in Las Vegas. The Scarlet Knights have covered each of the last five games, while the Hoosiers are on an 0-7 ATS skein. But before you open up your wallet for the "hot" Scarlet Knights, consider that teams off five straight ATS losses have covered 73% vs. foes off five straight ATS wins over the past 22 years! That doesn't bode well for Rutgers on Saturday. And neither does the fact that Rutgers has covered just 5 of 20 games vs. Conference foes playing their final home game of the season. After this home game, the Hoosiers will play Purdue on the road. And Indiana needs to win both to qualify for a Bowl game. Take Indiana minus the points. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-18-17 | Virginia +19 v. Miami-FL | Top | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 3 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Miami. In its last game, Miami upset the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and the Hurricanes are now ranked #2 in the Country. Unfortunately, they likely will have a letdown on Saturday vs. the Cavaliers. Indeed, undefeated teams, with an 8-0 (or better) record have gone 1-10 ATS off an upset win, if priced between -6 and -21 points. The Cavaliers are also 5-1 ATS their last six games at Miami, while college football teams are a horrid 12-27-2 ATS as a favorite (or PK) after upsetting the Fighting Irish in their previous game. Grab the points. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-17-17 | Fresno State v. Arkansas -12.5 | Top | 75-83 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Fresno State, as Arkansas falls into 119-70, 99-46 and 139-65 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine based on its two previous games -- wins by 28 and 39 points. Also, the Razorbacks are 67% ATS over the last 28 years at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss, and have covered their last 6 at home (and 19 of their last 31). Meanwhile, Fresno's 19-35 ATS off a straight-up win, if they're playing a non-conference foe off back to back wins. This will be a rout. Lay the points. |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Warriors -7 v. Celtics | Top | 88-92 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Boston. This is a match-up of the NBA's two best teams. The Celtics have been the league's best team, record-wise. Boston is 13-2 straight-up, and 12-2-1 ATS on the year. It also owns the league's #1 adjusted defensive efficiency rating (99.13), and the #2 adjusted net rating (7.68). But the #1 net rating (13.07) is held by the league's defending Champs, Golden State. The Warriors also have the best adjusted offensive rating (117.99) and the 2nd best W/L record. So, clearly, this game will be a measuring stick for both teams. It's true that Boston has won 13 straight. Unfortunately, teams on an 11-game (or better) win streak are a soft 45-67 ATS if they're not favored by more than four points. Also, the Warriors will be well-rested, as they had Tuesday and Wednesday off. And Golden State's 62-40 ATS with at least two days' of rest. Lay the points. NBA GAME OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Buffalo v. Ball State +20 | Top | 40-24 | Win | 100 | 38 h 52 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Buffalo. The Cardinals have lost their last seven games, straight-up, and failed to cover the pointspread in their last eight. And such a losing streak will keep most of the bettors off of them, here, in this game. But I love them as a home underdog vs. Buffalo, as Mid-American Conference home underdogs, off a SU/ATS loss (and an ATS loss two games back), have cashed 64% over the past 20 years vs. conference foes off a win! And the Cardinals also fall into a super 68.3% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks. Take Ball State + the points. MAC Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-16-17 | Illinois State v. South Carolina -10 | Top | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
|
|||||||
11-14-17 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -180 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Vegas Golden Knights. Edmonton suffered a tough loss on Sunday in DC to the Capitals. The Oilers out-shot the Caps by a whopping 30-19, but they got a big dose of Braden Holtby in net as Holtby stopped Edmonton's star -- and the player considered by some to be the best in the world -- Connor McDavid, including a huge save in the shootout. The Oilers likely won't have to worry about a Holtby-like performance tonight as the Knights are down to their fourth-string goaltender. The losses of Marc-Andre Fleury, Malcolm Subban, and Oscar Dansk leaves the Knights with the choice of rookies Maxime Legace and Dylan Ferguson, the latter of which is a 19-year-old who has yet to play a single minute in the NHL. Vegas loves its new home in the desert (7-1), but has struggled on the road in its inaugural season, going 3-5 in games away from T-Mobile Arena. That could be just what the doctor ordered for the 6-11 Oilers as they are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-14-17 | NC-Wilmington v. Davidson -11 | Top | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over NC Wilmington. The Seahawks won the Colonial Athletic Association the past two years, but this will be a "down" season for them, as they only returned one starter to go along with returnee, Devontae Cacok, who was the CAA Defensive Player of the Year. And they also have a new head coach, as CB McGrath moved over from his assistant's job at North Carolina to take the reins from Kevin Keatts, who left for the greener pastures of North Carolina State. McGrath's goal is to push the pace, but I believe that will play into the hands of this perimeter-oriented Davidson team. Meanwhile, Davidson returned four starters from last year's squad. And it opened up this campaign with a 110-62 win over Charleston Southern. Davidson falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 138-65 ATS since 1990. And the Wildcats are also 36-19 ATS after scoring 80+ points in their previous game. Lay it. NCAA Hoops High Roller. |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Wolves -3.5 v. Jazz | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Utah Jazz. The Timberwolves are off back to back losses at Golden State and Phoenix. So, they'll look to salvage their 3-game road trip with a win tonight in Salt Lake City. Certainly, Minnesota is certainly not a good defensive team. It ranks 28th in adjusted defensive efficiency. But the good news for the T-Wolves is that Utah's hardly a good offensive team (it ranks 27th in adjusted offensive efficiency), so I don't believe it will take advantage of Minny's shortcomings tonight. Now, Utah is a very good defensive team, but it won't have its very best defensive player -- Rudy Gobert -- on the court tonight, as he is out with a tibia injury. The Timberwolves had won five straight, and gone 4-0-1 ATS immediately prior to its current 2-game SU/ATS losing streak. And they fall into a 126-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off upset losses. I look for the T-Wolves to get back on track tonight. Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-13-17 | Stars v. Hurricanes -125 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Dallas Stars. The Stars are off to a decent start with a winning record at 9-7. But they've struggled on the road so far (3-5). This pretty much mirrors what happened to them last season when they missed the playoffs for the seventh time in the last nine seasons, thanks in large part to one of the worst road records in the league (12-29). The biggest problem for them away from Dallas has been their defense. At home, the Stars feature the #1 defense in the league based on a 1.75 GAA. But on the road, that number is almost two goals higher at 3.63 and that's something that the Hurricanes will try to take advantage of tonight at home. New goalie Scott Darling has improved the 'Canes' performance between the pipes this fall, but the offense has struggled at times. They've made some adjustments and have been better lately putting up three goals in each of their last three. Dallas tallied five goals in its last game, but that's not necessarily a good thing for tonight as the Stars are 2-10 in their last 12 after scoring five goals or more in the previous game. Take the 'Canes. NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Sharks v. Kings -145 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the San Jose Sharks. The Kings missed the playoffs last season for the second time in three years and despite the struggles, the roster for 2017-2018 remains largely unchanged.  The biggest alterations came in the coaching ranks and in the front office as L.A. fired general manager Dean Lombardi and skipper Darryl Sutter, the architects of their Stanley Cup victories in 2012 and 2014. Longtime franchise figure Rob Blake is the new GM, and veteran assistant coach John Stevens assumes the top job behind the bench. Despite the status quo on the ice, the Kings are looking like they'll be a threat for another Cup run as they are 11-3-2 (24 points) and in first place in the Pacific Division, although it's obviously still early. The Sharks on the other hand are treading water a bit so far (8-6 and eight points back). The Sharks are 0-4 in their last four games playing on zero days rest and the Kings are 3-1 in the last four meetings of these two. Take Los Angeles. NHL Game of the Week! As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Raptors -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston. The Celts have won 11 straight, but they'll be missing their top three players today (Al Horford, Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward). Thus, they're not even favored at home vs. Toronto. The Celtics fall into a negative 44-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams that have won more than 10 games in a row. And Boston's also a poor 5-18 ATS off back to back home wins. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-12-17 | Chargers v. Jaguars OVER 40.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 23 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Los Angeles Chargers/Jacksonville Jaguars game. The Jaguars have the league's best defense, and have held five of their eight opponents this season to less than 10 points (including Indy and Cincy in their last two games).  And, yes, it's true that neither of the Jaguars' last two games totaled more than 30 points. But NFL teams have gone 'over' the total more often than not after playing two straight games that didn't total more than 30 points. Interestingly, this will be the fourth meeting in the last four seasons between these two teams. And each of the previous three meetings sailed 'over' the total, with an average of 51.67 ppg. Moreover, the Chargers haven't scored less than 10 points in any of their last 27 games. And they've averaged 23.33 ppg over this 27-game span. So, I believe Philip Rivers & Co. will be able to put up some points on the Jags' #1-rated defense. The OVER also falls into 82-53 and 99-68 systems of mine. This will be a relatively high-scoring game. Take the 'over.' NFL Total of the Month! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Arizona State v. UCLA -2.5 | Top | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 47 h 52 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into Pasadena off a 41-30 win vs. Colorado last Saturday, and are now 5-4 this season. Meanwhile, Jim Mora's Bruins are 4-5 on the season after getting blown out by Washington (44-23) and Utah (48-17) in their last two games. But UCLA's five losses have all come away from home, where the Bruins are 0-6 ATS their last six, and 2-11 ATS their last 13. UCLA is back home on Saturday night, which bodes well for it, as UCLA has won all four of its home games this season! UCLA is also a solid 44-27, 62% ATS at home when not laying more than 7 points. Finally, revenge-minded favorites off back to back 21-point losses have cashed 79% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win. Take UCLA. NCAA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Nets v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Brooklyn. The Nets pulled a big upset last night in Portland, and that was their third straight ATS win. Unfortunately for the Nets, they're 8-22 ATS on the road after three straight covers. And they'll also be facing a rested Jazz team tonight which is looking to rebound off 4 straight losses! Utah's 120-81 ATS at home after failing to cover its two previous games. And the Jazz also fall into a super 84-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested home teams vs. unrested foes. Take Utah. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Grizzlies v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Memphis Grizzlies. Houston's lost just three times this season. And it's been Memphis which has been Houston's thorn in its side, as the Grizzlies handed the Rockets two of those three defeats. But I love Houston to deliver a measure of PAYBACK on Saturday night, as the Grizzlies are 17-40 ATS vs. teams playing with double-revenge, provided that opponent isn't off back to back losses. Lay the points with the Rockets. And Houston also falls into a 129-62 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +14 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 43 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Alabama. Certainly, Alabama deserves its #1 ranking, as it's 9-0, with a 31.11 ppg margin of victory. On the other hand, the Crimson Tide are below .500 against the spread, which indicates they're a tad overvalued in Vegas. In contrast, Mississippi State has rewarded its bettors with a 6-3 ATS record to go along with its 7-2 SU record. And that doesn't bode well for Nick Saban's troops on Saturday, as undefeated teams (at Game 8 forward) have covered just 1 of 15 games as double-digit road favorites vs. opponents with a winning SU and a winning ATS record! Even better: Miss State has cashed 83% at home over the past 38 years if they were off a win the previous week, and are now getting double-digits. Finally, Miss State also falls into 32-1, 47-7, 84-32 and 21-0 ATS systems of mine. Take the Bulldogs + the points. SEC Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -133 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Toronto Maple Leafs. These two teams played north-of-the-border last night, and the Leafs stunned the Bruins by scoring the tying goal in the game's final minute before winning in overtime, 3-2. But I love Boston to get some revenge tonight, as #1 goalie Tuukka Rask will be in goal tonight vs. the Leafs' #2 goalie, Curtis McElhinney. Also, Toronto's #1 center, Auston Matthews remains sidelined, and won't make the trip to Boston. It's true that Toronto's won its last three games, but it's a poor 3-11 off three straight home wins, and 15-35 on the road off back to back home wins. Take Boston. PAYBACK PAYDAY! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Florida State +16 v. Clemson | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 21 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Clemson. Last week, we played against Clemson, and got the $$$ with NC State, as a +7.5-point underdog. And we'll go against the Tigers once again this week, as they fall into a negative 27-65 ATS system of mine. Florida State is obviously having a "down" year, with a 3-5 record on the season (and 0-6-2 ATS), though it did get into the win column last week with a 27-24 triumph vs. Syracuse. The Seminoles also received some welcome news this week when they learned that running back Jacques Patrick will be able to get back onto the field on this Saturday (after missing extended time with a knee injury). We'll grab the points with Florida State, as winless ATS teams, with an 0-4 (or worse) ATS record, are 15-0 ATS since 2001 off a straight-up win if playing a winning opponent. Take the Seminoles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Virginia v. Louisville -11.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Virginia. We played against Louisville in its last game, a blowout loss in Winston-Salem against Wake Forest. The Cardinals had last week off to recover from that defeat, and that rest should serve them well against an unrested Cavaliers squad which is coming off a huge upset win vs. Georgia Tech. Unfortunately for Virginia, it's covered just 33% of the time away from home the past 38 years off an upset win, if matched up against an opponent off an upset defeat. Take Louisville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -16 | Top | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan St. Ohio State suffered an embarrassing beatdown at the hands of the iowa Hawkeyes last week, as it lost by 31 points, as 21-point favorite. And that 52-point differential between the final margin of victory and the pointspread was tied for the 20th worst pointspread differential in the past 38 years. However, I expect Urban Meyer's men to bounce back off that defeat, as Ohio State's 28-9-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference games off a loss. Take the Buckeyes. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Texas Tech -7.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Baylor. The Bears opened this season with eight straight losses before finally getting a win -- against woeful Kansas. But they'll be hard-pressed to make it two in a row, as they will face a Texas Tech squad which looks to make amends from an upset loss last week at home vs. Kansas State. And the Red Raiders generally bounce back from losses, as they're 70-43 ATS vs. Conference foes. Take Texas Tech. |
|||||||
11-11-17 | Rutgers v. Penn State -31 | Top | 6-35 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 39 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Rutgers. Penn State lost at Ohio State, 39-38, two weeks ago, and 27-24 at Michigan State last week. But off those two road defeats, I look for Penn State to bounce back on Saturday. Indeed, since 1980, teams that were undefeated through their first 7+ games, and then lost two games in a row, have bounced back strong (86.7% ATS) off those 2 losses, if they were playing a losing team! Moreover, Rutgers is an awful 16-36-1 ATS when priced from +20 to +33.5 points. Take Penn State. High Noon Hanging! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Hornets +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Boston Celtics. No team is hotter than Brad Stevens' Celtics, who have won their last 10 games. Tonight, they're matched up against the Charlotte Hornets, who are on a 3-game losing streak. Unfortunately for Boston, no less than three starters (Gordon Hayward, Al Horford and Jayson Tatusm) will be out of action for tonight's game. And a fourth -- Marcus Morris -- is questionable. We'll grab the points with the Hornets, as they fall into a 55% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a win, as well as a 65.7% ATS angle which plays on certain road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss. Take Charlotte. NBA ROAD WARRIOR! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Hawks +9 v. Pistons | Top | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Detroit Pistons. The Hawks have gotten off to a 2-9 start this season, so it's likely that their 10-year run (2nd in the NBA to the Spurs' 20-year run) of making the Playoffs will end this season. But if Mike Budenholzer's men can upset the 8-3 Pistons tonight, in Motown, he should send a 'thank you note' to the league office. After all, Atlanta has a big scheduling advantage tonight, in that it has had the last three days off, while Detroit will play with just having had Thursday off. And NBA road teams, off a loss, that had at least the three previous days off, have gone 60.8% ATS the last 24 seasons vs. foes that had just the previous day off. Additionally, Detroit's a poor 4-16 ATS off back to back wins (and 0-5 ATS its last five off three or more wins). Take Atlanta. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets -146 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -146 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Carolina Hurricanes. It became painfully obvious that despite having one of the best defenses in the league last season, the Hurricanes were going nowhere fast with the goalie tandem of Cam Ward and Eddie Lack. So the 'Canes traded a third-round draft pick to the Blackhawks for Scott Darling -- better known as the back-up for Corey Crawford -- and then they locked him up with a four-year contract worth almost $17M. About a month into this season the results are mixed as Darling has seen most of the action in net, and although his GAA is solidly where it was last season at 2.35, his saves percentage has gone down from .924 to .910. And the other problem is that while the team's goals-against-per-game number of 2.77 is decent, it's still higher than their goal-scoring rate, which is 26th in the league at 2.62. Now they have to head into Columbus, where the Jackets are averaging just 2.13 goals-allowed -- fourth-best in the NHL. The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings and Carolina is 18-38 in its last 56 road games. Take Columbus. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-10-17 | Temple v. Cincinnati +3 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Temple. The Owls stunned Navy last week, 34-26, as a 6-point home underdog! Now, the Owls travel to the Queen City to play Cincinnati, and the Owls have been installed as a road favorite. Obviously, it's not a common occurrence for College Football teams to be a home underdog one game, and a road favorite the next. And, not surprisingly, NCAA teams that won outright as a home dog have had big letdowns their next game if installed as a road favorite. Since 1980, they've cashed just 43% of the time. Even worse for Temple: it's defeated the Bearcats each of the past two seasons. But Cincy's 24-13 ATS when playing with revenge, if it also lost to its opponent two meetings back. And it's also 44-30 ATS at home when not favored by more than 5 points, including 4-1 ATS vs. foes off upset wins. Take the Bearcats. AAC Conference Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-09-17 | 76ers v. Kings +7 | Top | 108-109 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Philly comes into this game off ATS wins in its last seven contests, and a 6-1 SU record in those seven games. But they're now in unfamiliar territory, as they haven't been this big of a road favorite since April 23, 2012 -- a span of 436 games!  The Kings come into this game off a huge upset win over Oklahoma City, as a 10.5-point home underdog. And the Kings are also 8-2 ATS their last 10 as home dogs of more than 6 points vs. .600 (or better) foes. I look for Sacramento to get the cash again tonight vs. this overpriced Sixers team. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-09-17 | Red Wings v. Flames -158 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Detroit Red Wings. The Wings were hoping to reload with some valuable free agents in the off-season after missing the playoffs for the first time in 25 years. And in the past, big name players looking for big contracts would jump at the chance to go to Detroit. But those days appear to be over -- despite the fact that Detroit has a new arena in a rejuvenated downtown. So the Wings -- who are also severely challenged with the salary cap -- were left with just a single signing of note, a defenseman named Trevor Daley who has already won two Stanley Cups and is probably past his prime now at age 33. So despite the new home ice, it could be a very challenging season for the 11-time Stanley Cup Champions. This game caps a very tough stretch in which Detroit has had to play seven of eight games on the road. The Wings are 1-4 in the last five meetings and the Flames are 12-4 in their last 16 vs. Eastern Conference teams. Take Calgary. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-09-17 | Cavs +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over the Houston Rockets. The Rockets come into this game off three straight double-digit wins and three straight covers, including a 137-110 blowout of the Utah Jazz their last time out. Unfortunately for Houston coach Mike D'Antoni, his teams have gone 26-46 ATS off back to back double digit wins. And the Rockets are also a poor 2-12 ATS off three straight covers. Take Cleveland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-09-17 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -17.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers minus the points over Georgia Southern. Appy State was upset last week at Louisiana Monroe, when the Warhawks won, 52-45, as an 8-point underdog. But NCAA Favorites of more than 15 points have covered 61.05% since 1980 off a road upset loss as an 8-point (or greater) favorite. Take the Mountaineers to blow out Georgia Southern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-08-17 | Knicks v. Magic -5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over New York. The Knicks won their 3rd straight game (and sixth of their last seven) with a 118-113 triumph at home last night vs. Charlotte. But this will be a tough task for them tonight to take down Orlando, as the Magic are well-rested, having not played for the past two nights following their loss to Boston on Sunday. Even worse for New York, NBA teams off three straight wins (both SU and ATS) that scored 117+ points in their previous game are 11-31 ATS in the regular season vs. foes off a loss. Take Orlando. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +4 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats + the points over Toledo. Ohio comes into this game off three straight wins and covers. And Ohio scored 48, 48 and 45 points in those three victories. Faithful followers know I love to play on College Football home dogs that can score, as since 1983, home dogs off two wins, in which they scored 90+ points combined, are 66.9% ATS in the regular season. Additionally, the Bobcats are 9-0 ATS their last nine when both they, and their opponent entered off a win. Take Ohio. MAC Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-07-17 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -7.5 | Top | 28-38 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green. Buffalo certainly wants to give the Falcons some "payback" tonight, as Buffalo has lost the last six meetings to Bowling Green. And I think it will get its revenge, as Buffalo is 24-9-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe. And Buffalo also falls into 62-31 and 53-21 ATS revenge systems of mine. Lay the points with the Bulls. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-07-17 | Predators v. Blue Jackets -120 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Nashville Predators. If the Predators are going to win their second-straight Western Conference Title, they're going to have to do better than a .500 record. Right now, the Preds are just 7-5-2 after 14 games, including just 4-5 on the road. The team that almost met them in the Stanley Cup Finals will try to take it one step further this season as the Blue Jackets attempt to improve on their franchise-best 108 points of 2016-2017. They're off to a good start with 19 points and a tie for first place in the Metropolitan Division. In what could be an Eastern Conference Finals preview, the Jackets lost a tough one to the Lightning on Saturday, 5-4 in overtime. After being on the road for their last three games, the Blue Jackets get to enjoy some home cooking for seven of their next 11 starting with this game. That could be very important tonight as the home team is 3-1 in the last four meetings of these two. It's also important for this game because the Jackets are 35-16 in their last 51 at the Nationwide Arena. Take Columbus. NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-06-17 | Nets +1 v. Suns | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, on NBA TV, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Phoenix Suns. The Nets are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS on the season, while Phoenix is 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS. The Nets have a scheduling advantage tonight, as Brooklyn was off on Saturday and Sunday, while Phoenix had to play the Spurs in the Alamo City last night. Even worse for the Suns: this will be their fifth game in seven days. Phoenix has been installed, on the opening number, as a small favorite. But the Suns are a dreadful 9-23 ATS their last 32 as a favorite (or PK), including 0-12 ATS if they owned a .500 (or better) record against the spread on the season. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-06-17 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs -226 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Vegas Golden Knights. It's hard enough being an expansion team in a major professional sport. But try being an expansion team in the NHL when your first three options at goalie are out with injuries. That's the situation that the Golden Knights find themselves in as Marc-Andre Fleury (concussion), Malcolm Subban (lower body), and more recently, third-string Oscar Dansk (also lower body) are sidelined for an extended period. That leaves 25-year-old rookie Maxime Legace and the just-called-up Dylan Ferguson to share the load in net for the Knights while the other three are mending. The talented Maple Leafs on the other hand are almost 100% healthy as they make a legitimate run for their first division title since the turn of the century. They should be glad to get home for their next three games from a tough west coast road trip in which they went 1-3.  The Leafs' 6-4 loss in St. Louis on Saturday, and 5-3 loss at the LA Kings on Thursday, should bode well for them tonight as they are 83% the past 3 seasons after giving up 5+ goals in each of their two previous games. Take Toronto. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Raiders -3 v. Dolphins | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders minus the points over the Miami Dolphins. Both of these teams come into this game off blowout losses: Oakland fell, 34-14, at Buffalo, while Miami was annihilated by Baltimore, 40-0. The Raiders now sit at 3-5 on the season, yet have been installed as a road favorite at 4-3 Miami. We'll lay the points with Oakland as road favorites of -3+ points that have a worse record than their opponent, have covered 68.1% in the regular season (at Game 8 forward) over the past 17 years. Additionally, Miami's an awful 31-64 ATS at home when not getting 4.5 or more points, including 12-40 ATS if the Dolphins' W/L percentage wasn't worse than their opponent's. Take Oakland. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Avalanche v. Islanders -191 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Colorado Avalanche. The Islanders moved to Brooklyn before the 2015-2016 season and their new home through the first two seasons has been lukewarm for them, to say the least. But so far this fall, there’s been no place like home for the Isles as, despite being 7-5-1 overall, they are 4-0-1 at Barclays Center. Meanwhile, the Avs have almost an identical record to the Islanders (7-5, including 5-1 at home). However they are on the road tonight where they are just 2-4 so far. When healthy, the Avs have a decent lineup but health is an issue right now as five front line regulars (Jost, Compher, Grimaldi, Wilson, Borque) are sidelined with injuries or illness and not playing. Wilson was one of the Avs' few off-season acquisitions but he’s been sidelined since October 19 and has amassed just two assists in eight games. And although he’s playing, disgruntled #1 Center Matt Duchene thought he would be traded in the off-season and is now more of a distraction than anything else. Colorado is 1-8 in the last nine road meetings between these clubs, while New York is 24-8 its last 32 vs. the Western Conference. Take the Isles. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Celtics v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 104-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Boston Celtics. Boston's won and covered its last seven games, while Orlando's in off a 22-points upset home loss to Chicago. But I look for the Magic to snap Boston's win streak on Sunday. Indeed, the Magic are a perfect 3-0 this season vs. the three best teams that they've played (Spurs, Cavaliers, Grizzlies) and defeated San Antonio and Cleveland by 27 and 21 points, respectively. Moreover, winning home teams off a SU/ATS loss are 110-81 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins, provided our home team isn't favored by more than 5 points. Take Orlando. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Wizards +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Toronto, as Washington falls into a 285-203 ATS system of mine, based on its season statistics to date. It's true that the Wizards' John Wall won't suit up tonight after hurting his shoulder in Washington's last game, but I'm still comfortable backing the Wizards this evening with the added points to compensate for his absence. And, in that last game, the Wizards were upset, at home, 130-122, by the Cleveland Cavaliers. But NBA teams generally bounce back from upset losses at home, if they scored a lot of points in that upset loss. Indeed, teams off a home upset loss have cashed 67% since 1990 if they scored 120+ points, and are now matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win. Take the Wizards. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Heat +5.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Clippers. We played on Miami on Friday, and got the cash when they lost, but covered against Denver. And that pointspread win extended Miami's record to 27-13 its last 40 as road underdogs! The Clippers were upset here at home yesterday by Memphis. And, unfortunately for Los Angeles, unrested home teams, with a winning record, off an upset home loss, have cashed just 29.4% since 1990 vs. losing teams. And the Heat are a fantastic 25-13 ATS on the road when rested, and playing against an unrested foe. Take Miami + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Colts v. Texans UNDER 52 | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 43 h 42 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Indianapolis Colts/Houston Texans game, as it falls into an 89-54 Totals system of mine. The Texans started the year with QB Tom Savage under center, and lost on Opening Day, 29-7, to the Jaguars. Savage lasted just 30 minutes before being replaced by Deshaun Watson, and the Texans were shut out in his 30 minutes of football. With Watson as quarterback, the Texans' offense had hummed, as it scored 33, 57, 34, 33 and 38 points in Houston's last five games. Unfortunately, he's out of the season, after sustaining an ACL injury in practice on Thursday. So, the Texans will once again turn to Savage to lead the offense. I look for a low-scoring game, as Indianapolis is offensively-challenged this season with its QB, Andrew Luck, sidelined, as it ranks just 25th in points scored (142). Take the 'under.' Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over New Orleans. These two teams are going in opposite directions, as Tampa Bay is 2-5, and is on an 0-5-1 ATS losing streak, while New Orleans is 5-2, and has covered its last five games. Of course, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Saints, and against the "cold" Bucs. But (as faithful followers might guess), that generally would be the wrong move. Indeed, since 1980, NFL favorites off 5+ ATS wins have covered just 16% ATS vs. foes off 5+ ATS losses! Also, New Orleans is a dreadful 39-78 ATS at home when not getting 6+ points, if they're playing an opponent off a SU loss (including 11-34 ATS vs. division rivals). Take the Buccaneers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Broncos +8 v. Eagles | Top | 23-51 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Philly. It's true that the Eagles are red-hot, with six straight wins and five straight covers, including 34-24 and 33-10 blowout wins in their last two games. And it's also true that Denver's offense has faltered lately, with three straight losses by scores of 23-10, 21-0, and 29-19. But such streaks often create value in going against the hot team. And Philly falls into a negative 40% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on 6-game win streaks (and 3-game ATS wins streaks). And NFL teams off back to back losses where they scored 23 or less points combined in their previous two games, are a solid 65-42 ATS as underdogs vs. foes off 2 wins that scored 58+ points combined in those two victories. Take Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Bengals +6.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Jacksonville. These two teams each played the Colts in their last game. Jacksonville defeated Indy two weeks ago, 27-0 (and then had a Bye week), while Cincy barely got by Indy last Sunday, 24-23. The fact that Cincy struggled vs. Indy, while Jacksonville blew Indy out has motivated a lot of bettors to plunk down money on the Jaguars this week. But we'll go the other way, and take the points with the Bengals. Indeed, the Jaguars have only been favored by more than three points once this season. It was at the NY Jets, and we took the points with the Jets that game, and cashed when the Jets covered. Moreover, the last time the Jaguars have been favored by this many points was December 26, 2010 -- almost 7 years ago -- and they lost outright to the Redskins! And Jacksonville is 0-7 ATS its last seven when favored by 6+ points. Take Cincy. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Colts +7 v. Texans | Top | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Houston. Deshaun Watson sustained a season-ending ACL injury in practice, on Thursday, so ex-Pitt Panther QB Tom Savage will get the start for Houston. Savage actually started on Opening Day vs. Jacksonville, and was sacked six times in the first half, before giving way to Watson in the 2nd half. His stats in that half of football were 7-for-13, for 62 yards passing, and two fumbles! Houston was scoreless in that first half (and ended up losing, 29-7). That doesn't bode well for the Texans on Sunday. And the Colts also fall into a 236-147 ATS sytem of mine. Take Indianapolis. |
|||||||
11-05-17 | Rams v. Giants +5 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the NY Giants + the points over the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams weren't expected to be this good, while the Giants weren't expected to be this bad. But the NFL is often a topsy-turvy league, so here we are, in Week 9, and the Rams are favored on the road vs. New York. But the last time the Rams were favored by this many points on the road was over 12 years ago -- September 11, 2005 -- when the laid 7 points to San Francisco. And they lost outright, 28-25. Indeed, the Rams have lost outright each of the last three times they were installed as a road favorite of -4+ points (including once as a 12-point favorite). And they're 3-12 ATS when priced as a favorite (whether at home or on the road) of -3 to -6 points. Finally, rested home dogs (like New York) with a .333 (or worse) W/L percentage, are a super 47-27 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes. Take the Giants. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Colorado v. Arizona State -3.5 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Colorado. We played against Todd Graham's men last week, and got the $$$ when USC blew out the Sun Devils, 48-17. But we'll switch gears, and take ASU on this Saturday, as it falls into 90-42 and 78-31 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses. Additionally, the Sun Devils are a fantastic 26-12-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes when not favored by 5+ points, if they're off a loss. And they're also a perfect 4-0 SU/ATS vs. the Buffaloes here in Tempe. Meanwhile, Colorado is a money-burning 10-23 ATS as a road underdog priced from +2.5 to +17.5 points. Take Arizona State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Sabres v. Stars -190 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Buffalo Sabres. Few teams made bigger moves this off-season than the Stars, who badly missed the playoffs this spring after winning the Division in 2016. They fired coach Lindy Ruff and hired Ken Hitchcock, a defensive guru. Then they turned attention to their goalie needs by trading for the rights to Ben Bishop and signed him to a six-year contract. They also dealt for D Marc Methot and added depth down the middle by signing big two-way C Martin Hanzal to a three-year contract. And, as if that wasn't enough, a few days after free agency started, the Stars won the sweepstakes for winger Alexander Radulov. So Dallas went from pretenders to contenders while the Sabres -- although they made almost as many moves -- don't appear to be much (if any) better than last season (though it's still early). Even worse for the Sabres: they're already banged up, with no fewer than six regulars on the sideline, including three of their D-men (Bogosian, Beaulieu, and Gorges). The Sabres are 1-4 in the last five meetings while the home team is 6-1 in the last seven. Take the Stars. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Central Florida v. SMU +14.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Central Florida. The Knights are 7-0 after thrashing Austin Peay last week, 73-33, and are now alone in first place in the American Athletic Conference's East Division (after South Florida was defeated by Houston). Central Florida is also just one of five remaining undefeated teams. But this will be a tougher-than-expected test against a 6-2 SMU squad. The Mustangs have also gone 5-3 ATS this year. And home dogs of more than 6 points, with a winning record (both straight-up and ATS), are 32-7 ATS since 1992 vs. undefeated teams with a 7-0 (or better) record. Additionally, the home team has covered five straight games in this series. Take SMU. American Athletic Conf. Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Kings +8.5 v. Pistons | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Detroit. The Kings have a big scheduling advantage tonight, as they've been off the past two nights, while Detroit is playing without rest after its 9-point win vs. Milwaukee yesterday. We'll grab the points with Sacramento, as underdogs of +7 or more points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, that had (at least) the two previous nights off, are 94-55 ATS since 1980 vs. foes that didn't have the previous two nights off. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Colorado State -4 v. Wyoming | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Wyoming. Last week, Colorado State was favored by 10 points vs. Air Force, but was upset 45-28, so it failed to cover the spread by 27 points. Meanwhile, Wyoming blew out New Mexico, 42-3, as a 2.5-point favorite. So, it covered by 36.5 points. Overall, Wyoming has gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS its last five, while Colo St is on a 3-game ATS losing streak. It may look tempting to take the points with the home dog Cowboys, but be careful, as home dogs that covered their previous game by more than 26 points are a poor 28% over the past 30 years vs. foes off a pointspread loss of more than 26 points. Even better for the Rams: they're 19-7 ATS their last 26 road games, including 9-1 vs. .625 (or better) foes, and 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 7 or less points. Take Colorado State in a blowout. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | South Carolina +24 v. Georgia | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Georgia. The Bulldogs are off a 42-7 blowout of Florida, and ranked #1 in the country, but I expect a very tough game in Athens, on Saturday. South Carolina has won three straight, and has held their last three foes (Arkansas, Tennessee, Vandy) to no more than 120 rushing yards. It's also giving up less than 20 ppg on the season. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs fall into one of their worst pointspread roles, as they have covered just 28 of 85 home games off an SEC Conference win, including 1-9 ATS when priced from -18.5 to -24 points. Even better for South Carolina: undefeated teams, with an 8-0 (or better) record, that covered the spread by 20+ points in their previous game, are an awful 1-15 ATS when priced from -7.5 to -28 points vs. conference foes. Take the Gamecocks. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Clemson v. NC State +7.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Clemson. NC State lost, 35-14, to an excellent Notre Dame squad last week, but I love it to rebound here, at home, vs. ACC rival Clemson, on Saturday, as NC State falls into a revenge system of mine which is 73-32 ATS since 1980. Moreover, the Wolfpack are 82.3% ATS the last 38 years as a home dog vs. conference foes, if NC State lost its previous game on the road SU/ATS. Take the Wolfpack. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Army +6 v. Air Force | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over Air Force. Army will look to snap its four-game losing streak to its rival on Saturday. And Army will have a big advantage in that it had last week off to rest and prepare. The Knights won their fourth straight game their last time out, a 31-28 victory vs. Temple. And Army's now won nine of their last 11 games -- a hot streak not seen in Army football in over 20 years (since it won 11 straight games across the 1995 and 1996 seasons). Air Force is also coming into this game on a win streak, as it's won its last three, including an upset win as a double-digit dog at Colorado State last Saturday. Unfortunately for the Falcons, unrested favorites of 7 or less points, off upset wins as a dog of +7.5 (or more) points, are an awful 14% ATS since 1980 vs. rested foes off a win. And Air Force is 1-8 ATS its last nine as a favorite of 7 or less points off an upset win. Take Army. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Iowa State v. West Virginia -3 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Iowa State. We played on the Cyclones last week in their upset win over then-undefeated TCU, as a 7.5-point underdog. Iowa State is now 6-2, and ranked #15 in the country. Unfortunately, .666 (or better) underdogs, off wins over undefeated teams with a 5-0 (or better) record, have cashed a paltry 33% the past 38 years vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. With the Mountaineers, indeed, off a SU/ATS loss to Okie State, we'll take West Virginia as the small home favorite on Saturday. Lay it. |
|||||||
11-04-17 | Syracuse v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 31 m | Show |
At 12:20 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoies minus the points over Syracuse. The Seminoles are mired in a horrible year, as they were upset, 35-3, on the road vs. Boston College last Friday. And FSU is also now 0-6-1 ATS! The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the Seminoles, especially since Syracuse is 5-0-1 ATS its last six games. But consider that .500 (or better) NCAA teams (like Syracuse) on a 5-game (or better) ATS win streak have covered just 15.3% of the time since 1980 vs. a foe with a worse W/L percentage, which was also on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. That doesn't bode well for Syracuse on Saturday. And neither does the fact that ATS winless teams (like FSU) are a perfect 10-0 ATS (at Game 8 forward) as a home favorite, priced from -3.5 to -13.5 in conference games. Additionally, FSU falls into 84-32, 88-29 and 52-15 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off losses. Take Florida State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-03-17 | Devils v. Oilers -160 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the New Jersey Devils. Despite the talent on their team, the Oilers are struggling lately, having lost four of their last five. But take a look at who they've been matched-up against and you will see that two of those losses were against the defending Cup Champion Penguins and a third was against the Capitals. And stuck in between the two pairs of defeats is a very nice win over a very good Dallas Stars club. The Devils on the other hand come into tonight on a three-game win streak, but their quality of opposition has been somewhat the opposite of Edmonton's as New Jersey's victories have come at the expense of three pretty mediocre teams (the Canucks, Senators, and Coyotes). Like his team, Connor McDavid, the consensus #1 player in the world, is off to a bit of a slow start -- at least by his lofty standards. But McDavid will surely turn things around as the season gets going. The Devils are 1-4 in the last five meetings and 4-12 in their last 16 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. They're also an awful 30-44 (minus 28 games on the moneyline) on the road off a shutout win. Take the Oilers. NHL Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-03-17 | Heat +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Denver Nuggets. Miami won, but failed to cover the pointspread, in its previous game -- a 6-point victory over Chicago. And it was upset by the New York Knicks in its game before that. But the Heat are a super 106-79 ATS on the road under coach Erik Spoelstra if they lost against the spread in their previous game. And they're also 10-0 ATS on the road in their last 10 off back to back ATS defeats, and 26-13 their last 39 as road underdogs! Finally, the Heat fall into a 284-203 ATS system of mine. Take the points with Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-03-17 | Marshall +7.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 25-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
At 6:00 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over Florida Atlantic. The Herd stumbled last Saturday when they lost, 41-30, at home, as a 15-point favorite to Florida International. But Marshall had won its five previous games before that, and has covered five of seven on the season. This week, Marshall will travel to play the Owls, and it's a critical game, as the two teams are separated by just one game atop the Conference USA East Division standings. We'll grab the points with Marshall, as it falls into 51-15, 61-8 and 83-34 ATS "bounce-back" systems of mine that play on certain teams off upset losses. Moreover, the Owls are 3-12-1 ATS their last 16 home games, including 0-4 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss. And they're 5-19-1 ATS their last 25 as a favorite of less than 14 points (including 1-9 ATS vs. foes off a loss). Take Marshall. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-02-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +7 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Golden State Warriors. The Spurs have played this season without Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker. After winning their first four games, they've dropped their last three (all on the road). They now return home to the Alamo City, where they have gone 70-13 straight-up and 46-35-2 ATS at home in the regular season off a loss. Last year, these two teams met in the Playoffs, and the Spurs were swept 4 games to none by the Warriors. But one of the things I love to do is play on certain teams with revenge from a Playoff series defeat the previous year. And the Spurs fall into my very best Playoff revenge angle, which is 30-1 ATS since 1991. Moreover, San Antonio lost its last game by 14 points to Boston. But it's 37-18 ATS in the regular season at home off a loss by 14+ points, including 17-3 ATS when not favored by more than 5 points. Take San Antone. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-02-17 | Red Wings v. Senators -151 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Senators over the Detroit Red Wings. The Sens play with revenge from a 2-1 defeat here at Canadian Tire Centre on Opening Night, and also look to bounce back from their last two games, where they lost 5-4 at New Jersey, and 8-3 here at home. The good news, though, for Ottawa is that #1 Center Kyle Turris will be back on the ice tonight after missing the three previous games with a viral infection. The Sens are a super 11-1 at home when playing with revenge from a 1-goal loss, and they're also 8-1 after allowing more than three goals in each of their three previous games (and 6-0 after giving up more than 5 goals in their previous game). Take Ottawa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-02-17 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo -8 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Northern Illinois. Both of these teams come into tonight's game with identical 4-0 Mid-American Conference records, so this game will go a long way toward determining the West Division's representative in the MAC Championship game next month. Toledo blew out Ball State last week, 58-17, and is 11-1 ATS its last 12 off a win by 17+ points, including 8-0 ATS as a favorite. And it's 29-7 ATS as a favorite of less than 21 points after cover the spread in its previous game by 8+ points. Finally, home teams off a SU/ATS win, that average more than 38.63 ppg on offense (thru the season's first 7 games), are 173-106 ATS in the regular season in the past 25 years. Take Toledo. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Devils v. Canucks -114 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vancouver Canucks over the New Jersey Devils. The Devils are about to embark on a three-game road trip after taking two of their last three -- all at home. But the two victories were against the Senators and Coyotes -- not exactly the cream of the NHL crop -- and they won both of those by a single goal. Playing games across conference lines hasn't been kind to New Jersey recently as the Devils are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. teams from the Western Conference and 1-5 in their last six vs. teams from the Pacific Division. They've also gotten banged up quite a bit lately as three of their top center ice men are out with injuries (Travis Zajac, Brian Boyle, and Michael McLeod) as well as their top RW (Kyle Palmieri) and one of the top D-men (Andy Greene). The Canucks certainly don't seem to have a problem playing inter-conference games lately as they are 4-1 in their last five vs. teams from the East. Take Vancouver. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Maple Leafs -121 v. Ducks | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over Anaheim. The Leafs were my preseason pick (at 14-1 odds) to win the Stanley Cup, so I will be on them a lot this season. And this situation tonight is a great one, as we get Toronto off 3 straight losses, and at a short price. The Leafs lost those three games by scores of 6-3, 4-2 and 3-2, but they're 19-15 (+11 games on the moneyline) after allowing 3+ goals over each of their 3 previous games. Also, Anaheim's #1 center, Ryan Getzlaf will miss tonight's game after getting hit by a puck in his face on Sunday. Take Toronto. NHL HIGH ROLLER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Astros v. Dodgers -142 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -142 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Houston Astros. The Dodgers won a thrilling game six last night to force this final game of the 2017 season. Of course the big news from last night was that the Dodger bullpen didn't implode and give up the lead once they had it. Manager Dave Roberts didn't learn his lesson and he once again brought his closer, Kenley Jansen, into the game with six outs to go last night. But unlike in the previous games, this time Jansen was perfect, setting up this winner-take-all situation tonight. Tonight's starting pitching match-up switches from being "advantage: Houston" to "advantage: Dodgers," with RHP Yu Darvish taking the hill for the home team vs. RHP Lance McCullers. Even worse for Houston: in the last nine situations where a team came home down 3-2 in a World Series and won the sixth game, that home team went on to win Game 7 in eight of those nine. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Kings +13 v. Celtics | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Boston. After covering their first two games to kick off the season, the Kings have lost their last five games -- both SU and ATS. But the Kings now fall into a 284-200 ATS system of mine. Meanwhile, the Celts are on a 5-game win streak, but are a poor 3-18 ATS when they've won their previous four games. Take Sacramento. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -10 | Top | 124-107 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana. The Cavaliers have dropped three straight games, and now own a losing record, at 3-4 on the season. I love them to bounce back tonight, as LeBron James' teams have cashed 72% in his career as home favorites off back to back losses when matched up against foes off back to back wins. Take Cleveland. |
|||||||
11-01-17 | Hawks +8 v. 76ers | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Philadelphia. The 76ers have not been favored by this many points since March 30, 2013 (a span of 344 games), so it's virgin territory for the Sixers under coach Brett Brown. Philly is a poor 178-228 ATS when favored at home vs. foes not off SU/ATS wins. Take Atlanta. |
|||||||
10-31-17 | Pistons v. Lakers +4 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the LA Lakers + the points over the Detroit Pistons. We're two weeks into the NBA season, and the league's two best records belong to the Memphis Grizzlies (5-2) and Detroit Pistons (5-2). Detroit also owns the best pointspread mark, as it is 6-1 ATS, including back-to-back upset wins on the weekend over the Clippers and Warriors. And Detroit was installed as an underdog of +8.5 and +14.5 in those two games! Tonight, the Pistons will finish their West Coast road trip with a game against Lonzo Ball's Lakers at Staples Center. And this game is a fantastic spot to fade the Pistons, especially given that the Lakers will enter the contest off blowout losses to the Raptors and Jazz. Since 1990, NBA teams, like Detroit, off back to back upset wins as an underdog of +8 or more points, are a poor 22-41-1 ATS, including 1-11 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Take the Lakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-31-17 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers 'under' the total. They're calling it basically the wildest World Series game ever. And with leads being lost on five different occasions before the Astros finally walked it off in the bottom of the 10th, it's hard to argue with that assessment. But even with 25 men crossing the plate, one thing that Sunday's game wasn't was the highest scoring in the Fall Classic. Back in 1993, the Phillies and Blue Jays played a 15-14 donnybrook in game four that was won by the eventual Series Champs - Toronto. So how did game five turn out in that series? After firing every bullet they had in that fourth game, the Phils and Jays fought to a 2-0 final the following day. And while this game may not turn out quite that way with a day of rest in between, two of the best starters of this post-season will lead their teams as RH Justin Verlander and LH Rich Hill take the mound in a must-win for the home team.  The key in this pitching match-up is the fact that if both of these starters are on their game, they can potentially go nine innings, and that's important given what's happened with both of these bullpens in this series.  The under is 19-8-3 in Astros last 30 when their opponent scores five or more runs in their previous game, while the Dodgers have gone 'under' in 12 of 14 following a game which produced 17+ runs. And, with respect to the two starters, Rich Hill has gone 'under' in 75 of 115 (65%), while Verlander has gone 'under' in 28 of his last 43 nighttime starts; 7 of his last 10 road games; and 13 of his last 20, overall. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-31-17 | Kings +5 v. Pacers | Top | 83-101 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Indiana Pacers. Sacramento opened the season with two straight ATS wins, but is 0-4 SU/ATS over its last four games. But I love them to get the $$$ vs. Indiana, as Sacramento falls into a 200-131 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain road teams off SU/ATS losses. In their last game, the Pacers upset the San Antonio Spurs, as 6.5-point underdogs, to level their record at 3-3 on the year. Unfortunately, this season, .500 (or better) NBA teams have gone just 3-19-1 ATS off an upset win, including 0-11-1 ATS vs. opponents with a losing record. Take the points with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-30-17 | Broncos v. Chiefs OVER 42 | Top | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Denver/Kansas City game. Last week, in a Thursday game, the Kansas City Chiefs lost a heartbreaker to the Oakland Raiders, 31-30. The Chiefs were winning, 30-24, but succumbed on the game's final play, a 2-yard touchdown pass from Derek Carr to Michael Crabtree. That was Kansas City's 2nd straight upset loss, as Pittsburgh stunned it, 19-13, here at Arrowhead 15 days ago. So, the Chiefs are now 5-2 on the season. Likewise, the Broncos also suffered their 2nd straight upset defeat, as they lost, 21-0, at the Chargers last weekend. I expect a high-scoring game tonight, as .700 (or better) teams have gone 'over' the total 65.5% over the past 28 years, if they're off an upset loss, and scored 28+ points in that defeat. Also, these two teams met twice last season, and both games went 'over' the total, by 17 and 5 points, respectively. And since 2001, 11 of the 16 meetings here in Kansas City have gone 'over.' Look for this game to sail 'over' the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions +3 | Top | 20-15 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Pittsburgh.  This Sunday night matchup features two teams with Playoff aspirations. The Detroit Lions are 3-3, while the Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-2. And I certainly have all the confidence in the Steelers, as they were my preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win this year's Super Bowl. But this is a great spot to go against them as a road favorite at Detroit. The Lions do come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, but gained an advantage by having last week off to rest, and re-group. And rested underdogs off a loss have cashed over 57% vs. unrested foes off a win since 1991. Likewise, in matchups between non-losing teams, it's been extremely profitable (67.5%) over the years to take a team off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins, so that also bodes well for Jim Caldwell's crew on Sunday. But the clincher for me is that Detroit has covered the pointspread by an average of 4.5 ppg this season, while the Steelers have failed to cover by an average of 0.85 ppg. And home underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have cashed a staggering 63% of the time over the past 38 years if they also owned an average pointspread differential of +4.29 (or better). Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Dodgers -145 v. Astros | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -145 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Houston Astros. Game four of the 2017 World Series last night followed a pattern that we've seen before -- most recently in game two in L.A. That pattern is that both starters pitch very well deep into the game only to have the bullpen ruin it. Last night it was the Houston relievers that imploded and cost the home team the victory. It could prove to be a particularly costly meltdown (by Giles and Musgrove in this case) as the 'Stros must now face the best pitcher on the planet in what is essentially a must-win game five. There were some questions about Clayton Kershaw and his ability to perform in the post-season coming into October, but the southpaw ace seems to have put those behind him as Kershaw has gone 3-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in four starts covering 24 1/3 innings (more than any other pitcher) this playoffs. And the scary thing for Houston is that Kershaw seems to be getting better with each start. With their win on Saturday, the Dodgers are now 22-7 in their last 29 inter-league games and 9-3 in their last 12 playoff contests. Take L.A. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Dodgers v. Astros OVER 7 | Top | 12-13 | Win | 105 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros 'over' the total. Once again a Manager decided to use his closer in a non-save situation in a critical game and once again it backfired horribly. This time, it was AJ Hinch bringing in Ken Giles with the score tied 1-1 in the ninth and Giles proceeded to give up three runs without recording an out. And, just like that, the Dodgers tied up this series. Now L.A. has to be considered the favorite going forward with Kershaw going tonight, and the subsequent game(s) being played back in L.A. But starting pitching hasn't been the problem -- for either team really -- in this series. With its melt-down last night, Houston's bullpen now sports a playoff ERA over five runs while the Dodgers pen -- though better -- hasn't been immune either. L.A.'s normally perfect closer, Kenley Jansen, gave up another run last night (a HR) and now has allowed two runs on four hits in his last three innings. LHP Dallas Keuchel gets the start tonight and, although he was very good this season, he allowed three runs in six innings (4.50) in his Game 1 start in pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium. The over is 4-1-1 in the Astros last six inter-league home games and 3-0-1 in their last four home games vs. teams with a winning road record. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Ducks v. Hurricanes -160 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -160 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Anaheim Ducks. Two teams with identical records so far meet for the first time in 2017 as the Ducks visit Raleigh. Midway through last season it became painfully clear that despite having one of the NHL's best defenses, the Hurricanes would not be a playoff team with an aging Cam Ward and inconsistent Eddie Lack as their goalie tandem. GM Ron Francis hopes he corrected the situation by acquiring Scott Darling from the Blackhawks for a third-round draft pick, then signing him to a four-year contract.  Darling has seen most of the work this season, although he had the night off in Carolina's last game, a 2-1 loss to the Blues. The 'Canes also brought 36-year-old F Justin Williams back to be a veteran presence on the offense, and Williams thinks this fast-improving team will give him a shot to win his fourth Stanley Cup (he won his first here back in '06). There's no questioning the level of talent on a mostly unchanged Anaheim team, but the Ducks are off to a slow start compared to 2016.  Injuries have certainly played a part, most notably the losses of #2 C Ryan Kesler and #1 D Cam Fowler. Both are expected to be out until December. The Ducks are 2-7 in their last nine games playing on 0 days rest. Take the 'Canes. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Raiders +3 v. Bills | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -135 | 61 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over the Buffalo Bills, as Oakland falls into 145-67, 23-0 and 63-18 ATS systems of mine, based on various season statistics. The Raiders are sitting on a losing, 3-4 record, in no small part due to an injury suffered by QB Derek Carr earlier this season. But Carr is healthy, and back under center now. And he led the Raiders to a thrilling, last-second win last Thursday vs. division rival, Kansas City. Oakland still has much work to do if it is to get back into the Playoff picture, so it needs to go into Buffalo and get the upset win. I believe it will, as Oakland is 28-17-1 ATS its last 46 as road underdogs, while Buffalo is a wallet-busting 7-21 ATS at home off a win, including 1-9 ATS vs. non-winning teams. Take the points with Oakland. NFL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Colts +10.5 v. Bengals | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts + the points over Cincinnati. Last week, the Colts were blown out, 27-0, at home by Jacksonville, while Cincy lost, 29-14, at Pittsburgh. That 27-0 defeat, though, has triggered my very best "Blowout Bounce-back" system, which is 138-61 ATS since 1980 -- and 5-0 already this season, including a win two weeks ago on the Cardinals over the Bucs after Arizona was blown out by 27 in Philly the previous week. For the season, the Colts are 2-5, and are certainly in the league's lower tier so long as QB Andrew Luck remains sidelined. But they generally rebounc off losses, as they're 3-1 ATS already this season off a loss, and 29-9 ATS off their last 38 defeats (including a perfect 7-0 ATS when getting more than 6 points)! Finally, NFL teams also tend to react well to being shutout at home in their previous games, as they're 57-36-2 ATS in that situation since 1980, including 33-9 ATS vs. non-division foes if our team isn't getting 13+ points. Take the Colts. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-29-17 | Vikings v. Browns +10.5 | Top | 33-16 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
At 9:30 am, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over the Minnesota Vikings. We played on the Browns last week, as a home underdog vs. Tennessee, and got the cash when Cleveland fell, 12-9, in overtime, as a 6-point dog. This week, the Browns have been installed as an even bigger underdog vs. the Vikings, in this early game played in London, England. In the NFL, it's extremely dangerous to lay this many points away from home. Indeed, since 1995, NFL underdogs of +9 or more points have covered 61% of the time (107-69 ATS) at home, or on neutral fields, including 26-16 ATS if our underdog is (like Cleveland) winless on the season. That doesn't bode well for Minnesota on Sunday. Nor does the fact that the Vikings have covered just 32 of 90 when favored by 7+ points in the regular season. Take Cleveland + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | San Diego State v. Hawaii +9.5 | Top | 28-7 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 32 m | Show |
At 11:15 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over San Diego State. Hawaii does come into this game off a 37-26 win over San Jose, but it failed to cover the spread in that game, and has dropped five straight to the number, overall. But we'll step in and take the points with Hawaii, as it falls into an 85% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ ATS losses. Also, the Rainbow Warriors are a solid 22-9 ATS as a home dog (or PK) off a win, while the Aztecs are a money-burning 8-15 ATS as a favorite away from home vs. .401 (or better) teams. Take Hawaii. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | USC -3 v. Arizona State | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 49 h 45 m | Show |
At 10:45 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Arizona State. USC is 6-2 this season, but hasn't made many friends in Vegas, as it's covered just once (vs. Stanford), and enters this game on a six-game ATS losing streak. Arizona State, on the other hand, is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS its last four (all Pac-12 Conference games), including upset wins in each of its two previous games (as 17.5 and 9.5-point underdogs). But those last two upset wins set up our play on Saturday, as NCAA teams off back to back upset wins as an underdog of more than 9 points are a poor 36.6% ATS since 1980. Additionally, USC is a strong 22-9 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss. Take Southern Cal minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Pistons +7 v. Clippers | Top | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Blake Griffin nailed a 3-pointer as time expired to upset the Trail Blazers, 104-103, in Rip City on Thursday. But off that huge win, I look for a letdown tonight, at home, vs. Stan Van Gundy's Pistons. And even though Detroit isn't undefeated like the Clippers, it has played even better than its 3-2 record would indicate, as it's 4-1 ATS. Meanwhile, the Clippers are an atrocious 26-48 ATS off four straight covers, and also fall into a negative 31-65 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on a win streak. Finally, .500 (or better) teams off an upset win are a poor 1-16 ATS this season. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Dodgers +118 v. Astros | Top | 6-2 | Win | 118 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Houston Astros. The left-handed pitching for the Dodgers has been pretty good in this World Series. The right-handers however -- not so much. The Dodgers turned to their first righty starter last night and the 'Stros lineup proceeded to light up Yu Darvish for four runs in less than two innings. So tonight, the Dodgers will go back to one of their three southpaw starters in hopes of better things as Alex Wood takes the mound for his first-ever World Series appearance. Wood was probably one of the most unlikely All Stars in the league this season as he went 16-3 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 27 games, including 25 starts. His 5.79 ERA this post-season doesn't sound great, but Wood also has a 0.86 WHIP and seven strikeouts with no walks in 4 2/3 innings. You may think that Wood is venturing into uncharted territory tonight, but that's not exactly the case. Wood's only other career start vs. Houston was here at Minute Maid Park in 2014 and he threw a gem (no runs on three hits in seven innings). Even with their loss on Friday, the Dodgers are still 8-3 in their 11 post-season games. Take L.A. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Arkansas State v. New Mexico State +3 | Top | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 11 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Arkansas State. The Red Wolves have won and covered four in a row in this series. But they were favored by more than 14 points in the three previous games. It's a much different story for this game, as the point spread indicates the game should be very competitive. And College Football teams have covered just 36% since 1995 if they were playing on the road vs. a revenge-minded team which had lost SU/ATS each of the three previous games, if our road team was favored by more than 10 points in those three games, but is not favored by 5+ points for the current game. New Mexico St. also had last week off, so it will be playing this game with an extra week of rest. And New Mexico State has cashed 80% when playing with rest, if it was off a win, and its foe was unrested. Take New Mexico State. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Mississippi State v. Texas A&M +1.5 | Top | 35-14 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Mississippi State. Both teams are 5-2 on the season, and come into this game off SEC Conference wins. The Bulldogs blew out Kentucky, 45-7, at home last week, while Texas A&M upset Florida two weeks ago, 19-17, as a 3.5-point underdog. The Aggies' extra week off is a big factor for me in this game, as Texas A&M falls into one of my best College Football "Rest" angles, which is 101-45 ATS since 1990. Moreover, since 1980, the Aggies are a strong 18-3 SU and 14-5 ATS at home when playing with rest vs. an unrested foe. And they're also 14-2 ATS at home as an underdog (or PK) vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win. Take the points with the home underdog Aggies. |
|||||||
10-28-17 | Rangers v. Canadiens -137 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the New York Rangers. Two of the proudest franchises in NHL history are having seasons that no one would be proud of right now. The Canadiens are 2-8 in their first ten games while the Rangers are only slightly better at 3-8 in their first 11. Both veteran goalies -- Montreal's Carey Price and New York's Henrik Lundqvist -- have struggled mightily so far, and Lundqvist won't get the start tonight. While the Habs have a solid back-up in Al Montoya (.912 sv pct and 2.67 GA last season), the Rangers traded away their #2, Antti Raanta over the summer, possibly when they were going to need him most as Lundqvist is now 35 years old. Now they have to rely on Ondrej Pavelec tonight and that could get very ugly. He was Winnipeg’s third-string goalie in a non-playoff season and he had a 3.55 GAA in eight NHL games. New York also lost Derek Stepan in the off-season which creates a big hole in the depth chart at the center position. The Canadiens are 8-0 in their last eight games following a home loss of three or more goals. The Rangers are 0-5 in their last five road games and 0-4 in their last four vs. Eastern Conference Teams. Take the Habs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.