For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.
CLICK A CAPPERS NAME TO SEE THEIR PREMIUM DAILY EXPERT PLAYS + PREDICTIONS!
Schedule: NFL |Â CFB |Â MLB |Â NBA |Â CBB |Â NHL
WANT FREE SPORTS PICKS to your inbox? | Newsletter Sign-UP!
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-19-19 | Virginia v. Duke -3 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Virginia. The Devils were stunned, 95-91, at home by Syracuse in their last game. And Duke was a 17-point favorite vs. the Orange! That was the first time (of 91 games) that Duke had lost at home to an unranked team while being ranked #1 in the AP poll. Now, the #1 Blue Devils (AP Poll) will face the team ranked #1 in the Coaches Poll, Virginia. We'll take the Devils, as they've cashed 65% over the past 29 years off a loss, if they failed to cover the spread by more than 15 points in that defeat. Take Duke. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-19-19 | California +17.5 v. Washington | Top | 52-71 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Washington. The Bears have lost six straight games, and have failed to cover four straight. Meanwhile, the Huskies are mirror opposites, as they've won their last six, and have covered their last four. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Huskies, but over the past 29 seasons, teams off 5+ wins and 3+ covers have cashed just 32% vs. foes off 5+ losses, and 3+ ATS defeats, including just 3 of 27 games when favored by more than 15 points. Additionally, the Golden Bears fall into 82-38, 186-88, 293-169 and 124-47 ATS systems of mine. Grab the points with California. Pac-12 Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Ball State -1.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 83-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals minus the points over Central Michigan. The Cardinals are 10-7 (and 1-3 in Mid-American Conference play), but favored over the Chippewas, who are 14-3 overall, and 3-1 inside the conference. It's counter-intuitive, of course, but road favorites with a worse conference record, as well as a worse overall record, have covered 71% of Mid-American Conference games. Even worse for Central Michigan: it's an awful 2-10-1 ATS in MAC Conference games as a home underdog with a winning record. Take Ball State. MAC GAme of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-19-19 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Cougars + the points over Hofstra. The Pride have won 13 straight games, but have not performed well over the years as a home favorite, as they're 31-54-1 ATS, while the Cougars have been solid as a road underdog, with a 76-48-2 ATS record. Additionally, Charleston falls into a 510-358 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with inferior records. Look for Charleston to snap Hofstra's long winning streak this afternoon. Take Charleston + the points. |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Kings v. Avalanche -174 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Los Angeles Kings. One of the better teams in the league through the month of November, the Colorado Avalanche have been in a bit of a free-fall since early December. The Avs have gone 4-14 since December 8 and have won just twice in their last 12 games. But seven of their last 11 have been on the road and now the Avs come home to a place that's almost always been kind to them -- and they have five straight here, starting with this afternoon affair against the Kings. If they're looking for a way to get back on track -- which they obviously are -- this home date with the Kings would seem to be a perfect formula. L.A is just 8-15 on the road this season, and the Kings have by far the worst scoring average in the NHL when playing games away from their home ice -- a paltry 1.87 goals per game (vs. 2.62 GPG at home). The Kings upset the Stars, 2-1 on Thursday, but they are just 2-10 after not giving up 2+ goals in their previous game. Take the Avalanche. |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Richmond v. Davidson -10.5 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Richmond. The Wildcats have lost the last four meetings to Richmond, but fall into a 112-71 ATS revenge system of mine. Even better: they come into this game off a loss at St Joseph's. But Davidson is 12-5 ATS at home off a conference defeat. Take Davidson minus the points. |
|||||||
01-18-19 | Penguins -155 v. Coyotes | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over Arizona. The Pens come into tonight's game off back to back blowout losses by an identical 5-2 score. I love Pittsburgh to bounce back tonight, as it's owned the Coyotes, of late, with three blowout wins since last season (outscoring the Coyotes 11-3) and five wins in the last six meetings (outscoring Arizona, 27-7). Arizona's 11-40 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 2 goals, while Pittsburgh is 9-1 off back to back road defeats. Take the Penguins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
|||||||
01-18-19 | Islanders v. Capitals -180 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -180 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over New York. The Caps have dropped three straight games (coinciding with the injury sustained to Braden Holtby in Saturday's overtime loss to Columbus), but they're an awesome 18-5 (+11 games on the money line) off back to back losses. And they received some good news when they learned this morning that Braden Holtby will be back in goal. Take Washington. |
|||||||
01-18-19 | Senators v. Hurricanes -230 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -230 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Ottawa Senators. The Hurricanes were on quite a roll, winning seven of eight games between New Years Eve and January 13. During that stretch, they out-scored their opponents by 31-19 in those seven victories and the lone loss came in Tampa against the team with the best record in the NHL. Then in their last one, the 'Canes laid an egg, losing to the Rangers in New York badly, 6-2. But it was their fourth game in six days and they clearly needed a rest and a chance to get back to home ice. Tonight, the 'Canes are back in Raleigh with two off-days since that disappointing effort in the Big Apple. Home has been a good place overall for the Hurricanes this season as they've lost in regulation just seven times in 24 games here. And the road has been a struggle for the Senators, who are just 6-16 away from Ottawa. Finally, the home team is 28-9 in the last 37 meetings, including a perfect 5-0 the last five in this building. Take the 'Canes. |
|||||||
01-18-19 | Eastern Michigan +16 v. Buffalo | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the E. Michigan Eagles + the points over Buffalo. These two teams met in Ypsilanti just two weeks ago, and the Bulls came away with a 74-58 win. We'll take E. Michigan in the re-match, as revenge-minded Mid-American Conference road underdogs, off a straight-up loss, have gone 46-23 ATS against conference foes off a win. Take the Eagles. |
|||||||
01-18-19 | Ohio +9 v. Toledo | Top | 52-75 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Toledo. Ohio was upset at home, 66-52, as a 4-point favorite by Kent State. However, I love Ohio to rebound tonight, as it's gone 51-27-2 ATS off an upset loss to a Mid-American Conference foe. Take the Bobcats + the points. |
|||||||
01-18-19 | Maryland v. Ohio State -2 | Top | 75-61 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Maryland. The Terrapins are on a 6-game win streak, while Ohio State has lost its last three games, both SU and ATS. But we'll lay the points with Ohio State, as favorites (or PK'em teams) are 46-22 ATS if they're off 3+ losses, and their opponent is off 4+ wins, and owns a .500 (or better) record. Take the Buckeyes. |
|||||||
01-17-19 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +2 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Michigan State. The Spartans have won their last 10 games, and have covered six straight. Unfortunately for Michigan State, NCAA road teams off 10+ wins and 3+ covers are a poor 20% ATS in the regular season when not favored by more than 3 points, if they were playing the 2nd of back to back games away from home. Take Nebraska. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-17-19 | The Citadel v. Samford -8 | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over The Citadel. Samford returns to its home arena tonight, after a 3-game road trip which saw it go 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. But Samford's been terrific at home this year, as it's 8-2 straight-up, and 7-2 ATS. It's true that Samford is off back to back SU losses as a favorite. However, it falls into 86-38, 80-35 and 72-34 ATS systems of mine that each play on certain teams off upset losses. Lay the points with Samford. |
|||||||
01-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets -3 | Top | 95-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Sacramento. These two teams met in the California state capital five days ago, and the Kings earned a 104-97 victory, as a 6-point home favorite. That win was part of a 3-game home stand for the Kings, in which they went 3-0 SU/ATS. Now, however, Sacramento is on the road. And it's an awful 3-12 ATS its last 15 when facing a revenge-minded foe on the road, while Charlotte is 6-3 ATS this season when playing with revenge. And Sacramento is a also a poor 4-12 ATS as an underdog off 3 ATS wins, and 21-44 ATS on the road off 3+ straight-up wins. Lay the points with the Hornets. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-17-19 | Towson +5.5 v. Drexel | Top | 66-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Towson Tigers + the points over Drexel. The Dragons are favored tonight, even though they've lost the last six in this series, and 10 of the last 12. Of course, the primary reason is that Towson is mired in a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak. But Colonial Athletic Association teams are a solid 84-62 ATS in conference games off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take Towson + the points. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Jazz v. Clippers -1.5 | Top | 129-109 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Utah.  The Clippers are on a 3-game losing streak, while the Jazz are on a 4-game win streak. But I love Los Angeles to put an end to its losing ways, tonight. The Clippers are 22-10-1 ATS at home, off a home loss, if their opponent was off back to back wins, including 8-0-1 ATS when priced from -2 to +3.5 points. And Utah's a poor 17-39-1 ATS as a road underdog of less than 8 points in the regular season. Take the Clippers. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Iowa State +5.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, on ESPN-U television, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders have won five straight games, including a road win at Texas, on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Cyclones have dropped their last two contests. But Texas Tech falls into a negative 33-74 ATS system of mine following that upset win, in Austin. Additionally, the Cyclones are a super 49-30-2 ATS off a loss, if their opponent is off back to back wins. And they're 69-47-2 ATS off back to back point spread losses. Finally, the Red Raiders are a money-burning 17-36 ATS at home (or on neutral courts) off an upset win, including 2-16 ATS when priced from +2 to -9 points. Take Iowa State. NCAA TV Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -6.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Georgia Tech. Clemson is winless in ACC Conference play, with an 0-3 record. Of course, it was also an underdog in those three ACC games. Tonight, it's a home favorite vs. Georgia Tech. And Clemson has won 13 straight (8-5 ATS) home games vs. the Yellow Jackets, by an average of 9.92 ppg. The Tigers are also 53-23 ATS at home off a double-digit loss. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Spurs +1 v. Mavs | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over Dallas. The Spurs were upset by Tony Parker & the Charlotte Hornets, 108-93, on Monday, as a 7.5-point favorite. But San Antonio generally bounces back from upset home defeats, as it's 116-78 ATS, including 3-1 ATS this season. Take San Antonio. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 108-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over Toronto. The Celtics will get the services of PG Kyrie Irving back tonight, which is all I need to pull the trigger on them, here, at home. Boston's dropped its last three games, but it's an awesome 19-5 ATS in the regular season off 3+ defeats (including 9-0 ATS at home). Take the Celtics. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Drake v. Bradley -3.5 | Top | 69-52 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over Drake. The Braves are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, but I love them to bounce back tonight. Bradley's generally been great at home, as they're 19-9-1 ATS their last 29. And Missouri Valley Conference home teams are also a super 96-68-4 ATS off 3 (or more) SU/ATS losses. Take Bradley. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Bruins -132 v. Flyers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Bruins were rolling along with 5 straight wins around the start of 2019. However they've now lost two of their last three after that win streak. But all three of those were against some of the better teams in the East (Washington, Toronto, Montreal), so now they get a bit of a break by taking on the 17-29 Flyers. No matter what happens to them, the Flyers will likely remember this season as the one where every one of their net-minders got injured.  Despite that run of bad luck in goal the Flyers exploded in their last game, and beat the Wild, 7-4. It's the most goals they've scored since their fourth game of the season when they beat the Senators in Ottawa by the same tally. But that's not necessarily a good thing for tonight as Philly is a horrid 3-13 in its last 16 after scoring five goals or more in its previous game. Also, this series has not been kind to Philadelphia recently as the Bruins are 22-7 in the last 29 meetings. Take Boston. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -3.5 | Top | 74-71 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over South Carolina. The Commodores are 9-6 on the season, but do come into this game on a 3-game losing streak. I look for Vandy to get back into the win column this evening, as it is 18-5 ATS at home off back to back losses, if it had a .600 (or better) record. Take the Commodores. |
|||||||
01-16-19 | Iowa v. Penn State -1.5 | Top | 89-82 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Iowa. The Nitts have started the Big 10 season 0-6, but they were underdogs in five of those six games. They're favored this evening. And they're 33-19 ATS their last 52 as favorites, including 8-1 ATS off back to back losses, and 21-9 ATS when the line was -7 (or less) points! In contrast, the Nitts are 4-12 ATS as underdogs of +7 or less points, and 12-18-1 ATS, overall, as underdogs. Meanwhile, Iowa enters off 3 SU/ATS wins. But Big 10 Conference single-digit underdogs are an awful 30-57 ATS over the last 28 seasons if they won and covered their three previous games. And the Hawkeyes have also covered just seven of their last 31 road games. Take Penn State. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-15-19 | Nevada v. Boise State +8 | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos + the points over Nevada. The Broncos have a very strong home court, and have won 87 of 101 home games over the past seven seasons. They've also won their last three games by 14, 24, and 23 points. That bodes well for them as a big home underdog tonight, as home teams off a nine-point win, and 3 ATS wins overall, have gone 20-1 ATS when getting 4+ points, if they have a strong home court, with at least 32 wins in their previous 40 home games. Take Boise State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-15-19 | Kings v. Wild -180 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Los Angeles Kings. Last night, the Wild were drilled, 7-4, by the Philadelphia Flyers. I love them to rebound tonight, however, as the Wild are 28-17 after allowing more than 3 goals. And they're 20-7 following a loss by more than 2 goals. The Kings have also had trouble in this series, of late, as they lost both meetings earlier this season (being outscored 7-2). And, even worse, they've only won one of the last 12 meetings in regulation! Take Minnesota. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-15-19 | Heat v. Bucks -8.5 | Top | 86-124 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami. This is a major revenge spot for the Milwaukee Bucks, who have lost six straight times to Miami, including a 94-87 defeat earlier this season. But NBA revenge-minded favorites of -5 or more points, that have lost their previous six meetings to their opponent (including an earlier season defeat), have covered at a 58% clip over the past 29 seasons. That bodes well for the Bucks. As does the fact that Milwaukee is #1 in point differential this season, and is outscoring foes at home by 13.6 ppg (120.4 to 106.8). Not surprisingly, the Bucks are 19-4 straight-up, and 15-7-1 ATS at home. Finally, the Bucks return to Milwaukee tonight after a 3-game road trip. And the Bucks are 51-31 ATS at home off a 3-game (or longer) road trip. Take the Bucks minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-15-19 | Ducks -105 v. Red Wings | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over the Detroit Red Wings. Double-digit-game losing streaks are never fun for the team that's going through them, and the latest one to attest to that is Anaheim. The Ducks' dry spell has grown to 11 games heading into tonight. But there are some positive signs in their last two as the Ducks' offense -- which was basically a no-show throughout the first nine losses -- was able to put up seven total goals (four and three, respectively) over the weekend. And those two games were against two of the NHL's best in the Penguins and Jets, the latter of which went to overtime in Winnipeg before the home team finally prevailed. So perhaps Anaheim couldn't have hand-picked a better situation to try to finally put an end to its bleeding. For one thing, Detroit is just as bad at home (9-16) as it is on the road (8-14). And this is one team that the Ducks have dominated in recent meetings (and there aren't many of those) taking eight of the last 11, overall, including three of the last four. The Wings are also 5-13 (-7 games on the money line) revenging a road loss. Take Anaheim. Hockey Game of the Month. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-15-19 | South Florida v. Cincinnati -13 | Top | 74-82 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over South Florida. Cincy is 14-3 on the season, but has lost its last three games to the point spread. Meanwhile, South Florida has covered its last four. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Bulls, and against the "cold" Bearcats. But consider that double-digit favorites, with win percentages greater than .800, have covered 70% since 1990 if they lost their previous three games to the spread, while their opponent was off three ATS wins. And South Florida's a wallet-busting 5-13 ATS on a 3-game ATS win streak. Take Cincy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-14-19 | Blues v. Capitals -190 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -190 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the St. Louis Blues. The Caps had their winning streak snapped at three straight by the visiting Blue Jackets on Saturday even though they out-played the visitors and out-shot them by 33-22. The Caps got a scare when Braden Holtby was forced out of the game after Cam Atkinson's stick went under Holtby's mask and caught him in the eye. Although he didn't return, Holtby appears to have avoided serious injury and may be back in goal tonight. If not, back-up Pheonix Copley has been very solid and should provide another quality outing at home. The Blues come into tonight having won back-to-back contests against the Canadiens and Stars, but they're just 1-5 in the last six meetings with Washington. They are one of the least productive road teams in the league, averaging just 2.31 goals-per-game away from St. Louis. They did beat the Caps just 10 days ago at home, 5-2. However, the Caps are 6-1 in their last seven (and 42-19, +18 games on the money line, in their last 61) when playing with revenge from a same-season loss to an opponent. Take Washington. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-14-19 | Florida State -4.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Seminoles are 13-3 this season, with losses to ACC rivals Duke + Virginia (arguably the top 2 teams in the entire country), and Villanova -- the defending national champions. Tonight, they'll travel to the Steel City to take on Pittsburgh, which has rebounded nicely off its winless ACC Conference season last year. Pitt has won 11 of its first 16 games, overall, and has covered the spread in two of its first three ACC games.  But long-term, the Panthers haven't done well at home for almost a decade. Since November 27, 2010, the Panthers are an awful 46-76-2 ATS at home, including 19-44-1 ATS vs. opponents off a straight-up loss. With FSU, indeed, off a loss to Duke in its last game, we'll lay the points with Florida State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots OVER 47 | Top | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 80 h 3 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots and LA Chargers to go 'over' the total, as it falls into Totals systems of mine that are 52-23 and 32-10. After missing the Playoffs following their 2008 season, the Patriots have qualified for the post-season every single year. And, even more impressively, they've owned one of the top 2 seeds (and, thus, at least one home game) in each of these 10 seasons. And they've been a solid bet to go 'over' the total when playing at home, or on neutral fields. And especially when the over/under line was greater than 43 points, as they've gone 'over' the total 13-4-1. It's true that the Chargers have gone 'under' the total their last three games. But they didn't face a quality offense in those three games (Ravens (twice); Broncos). The last two times that the Chargers faced a potent offense (Chiefs, Steelers), they went 'over' the total in both games. Finally, since 1980, in Playoff games between two teams that entered off 'unders' in their previous game, 58% have gone 'over' the total when the over/under line was 43+ points. Take the 'over.' NFL Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-13-19 | Predators -117 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
At 12:35 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Carolina Hurricanes. It's a bit unusual when two teams don't meet in a calendar year, but this will be the first meeting of these two since December 2017. This is the sixth and final game in the Predators road trip and it was a successful one regardless of the outcome this afternoon. The Preds have won three of the five games so far, including a shutout victory in Toronto against a very good Maple Leafs team. Today, they'll take on a Hurricanes squad which beat the Sabres in their last one, 4-3. But the Canes were out-shot in that one as they have been in each of their last four games. And winning a close game doesn't necessarily bode well for Carolina today as it is 13-25 (-19 games on the money line) in its last 28 immediately following a victory by one goal in the previous game. The Predators' offense has actually been more productive on the road this season (3.17 GPG) than it has been at home (2.88), and I look for Nashville to get the road victory. Take Nashville. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Colts v. Chiefs -5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 21 m | Show |
At 4:35 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Indianapolis. Certainly, the Chiefs' lack of playoff success (1-11 record since 1994) hangs like an albatross around their neck. But from my perspective that factoid is a bunch of noise, and has worked to provide us with point spread value in this game. Instead, the most important statistic for this game is that the Chiefs had the #1 offense in the league this season (425.6 yards), and scored the most points (35.3). And if I can play on a rested home team, which has a proficient offense which scores 28+ points a game, and lay less than a touchdown against an opponent playing back-to-back road playoff games, I'm going to do it virtually every time. Of course, Indianapolis isn't just playing "back-to-back" road games. This will actually be its 3RD STRAIGHT game away from home. And NFL road teams have cashed just 35.7 percent in the playoffs if they were playing their 3rd straight on the road. Take Kansas City to blow out the Colts. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Austin Peay v. Tennessee-Martin +7.5 | Top | 72-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks + the points over Austin Peay. The Governors are off three straight wins -- each by double-digits. But off those wins, we'll fade Austin Peay this afternoon, as it's an awful 20% ATS over the past 17 seasons as a favorite of more than 4 points off back to back double-digit wins. And Tennessee-Martin also falls into 123-59, 158-87 and 82-42 ATS systems of mine. Grab the points with the home underdog Skyhawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Delaware v. College of Charleston -10 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over Delaware. The Cougars were upset, 79-78, as a 13-point home favorite in their last game, while Delaware enters off four straight wins and covers. But I love the Cougars to bounce back this afternoon, as they've covered 69% over the last 14 years off an upset loss if their opponent was off back to back wins. Lay the points with Charleston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | South Alabama v. Arkansas-Little Rock -2.5 | Top | 62-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans minus the points over South Alabama. Little Rock upset Troy State, 73-59, as a 2-point home underdog in its last game. And that upset win has triggered one of my best "momentum" systems this afternoon. That system has a record of 107-43 ATS since 1990, and is the primary reason for our play today on the Trojans. Additionally, South Alabama has covered just 37% as an underdog vs. foes off upset wins, and has won straight-up just once in its past 22 road games (which is a factor here, given the very short point spread). Lay the small number with Arkansas Little Rock. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | South Florida v. Temple -9.5 | Top | 80-82 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over South Florida. We played on Temple in its last game, when it handed the then-15-0 Houston Cougars their first loss of the season. They now have to play another tough foe in South Florida, which is 12-3 to start the 2018-19 campaign. But Temple excels against great teams as it's 45-27-4 ATS vs. .690 (or better) foes, including 24-10 ATS at home. Take the Owls. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Princeton v. Pennsylvania -6.5 | Top | 62-53 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers minus the points over Princeton. These two teams met last Saturday to kick off this Ivy League season, and the Tigers won outright, in overtime, as a 1.5-point home underdog. We'll take the Quakers to avenge that defeat, as they've cashed 73% at home since 1992 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and priced from -3 to -10 points. Take Pennsylvania. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Flyers v. Devils -116 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Flyers must have one heck-of-a collection of goalie equipment in the storage room these days. That's because this team has tied the NHL record for most goalies started in a single season (7). And we're only at the half-way point. This is not a good thing by the way. Their top three net minders (Elliott, Neuvirth, Stolarz) are all out with various injuries, which leaves the Flyers with the unfortunate pair of 20-year-old rookie Carter Hart and 35 YO journeyman Mike McKenna. Philadelphia is McKenna's eighth NHL team, and third already this season, as the Flyers claimed him off waivers from the Canucks after he was with them for one day following a trade from Ottawa. Hart will likely be in goal tonight in New Jersey, but it hardly matters as with a 16-28 overall record, Phily's season is all but over already. The Flyers were shut out by the Devils at home on November 15, and they are 1-8 in their last nine revenging a same-season loss. Prudential Center has also not been kind to them lately as they are 1-4 in their last five here. Take New Jersey. As always, good luck...Al McMordie |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -5.5 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi. The Bulldogs were upset on the road earlier this week by the South Carolina Gamecocks. But I love the Bulldogs to rebound off that defeat, and snap Ole Miss' 9-game win streak in the process. Over the last 29 years, the Bulldogs are a super 67% ATS at home off an upset road loss. And the favorite in this rivalry series is 6-0 if the underdog is off back to back wins, and it's a perfect 10-0 ATS when priced from -5 to -7.5 points. Take Mississippi State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Miami-OH +17.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 64-88 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks + the points over Buffalo. The Bulls are 14-1, and are ranked among the Top 20 in the nation. And they've won their last three games by 15, 16 and 30 points. But I love Miami to get inside the number today, as it falls into a 116-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit losses. Additionally, Mid-American Conference teams have only cashed 20% at home over the past 13 years off three straight wins by 15+ points. Take the Red Hawks. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Virginia v. Clemson +7 | Top | 63-43 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Virginia. The Cavaliers are undefeated, at 14-0, and were also my preseason pick (at 22-1 odds) to win the NCAA Championship this season. But we will fade Virginia this afternoon, as Clemson comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses at Duke and Syracuse. However, Clemson is an incredible 100-63 ATS off back to back losses since 1990, including 48-28 ATS if they also failed to cover the spread in each of those two defeats. Take the Tigers. |
|||||||
01-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors -9.5 | Top | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Brooklyn. The Raptors lost the first meeting this season between these two teams. But that loss has triggered a very good 134-65 ATS revenge system of mine. I look for Toronto to avenge that defeat, as it had won 12 straight games vs. the Nets (8-4 ATS) before its defeat last month. The Raptors are 42-27 ATS their last 69 vs. losing teams, and 22-5 ATS at home vs. division rivals (including 14-0 ATS when favored by less than 11 points). Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-11-19 | Sabres v. Hurricanes -114 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Buffalo Sabres. After a very promising start to the season which saw them go 17-8 in their first 25 games, the Sabres have really struggled lately. Buffalo is just 3-6 in its last nine games, and those wins came against the likes of the Devils, Panthers, and Ducks -- three losing teams with a combined record of 52-75. So this is not a team trending in the right direction as its heads into the second half of the season. It doesn't help matters that the Sabres are still without their best player -- #1 Center Jack Eichel -- who has been nursing an upper body injury and hasn't played in a game since the end of 2018. The 'Canes, meanwhile, have been playing their best hockey of the season, having won five straight by a combined score of 21-13 before losing at Tampa, the best team in the league, on Thursday. Despite their loss in that one, the 'Canes should still be confident about their chances this evening. Buffalo is 0-6 in the last six meetings and 2-8 in the last 10 trips to Raleigh. Take Carolina. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-10-19 | Pacific +25 v. Gonzaga | Top | 36-67 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Gonzaga. The Bulldogs come into this game off five straight wins and covers, and have won each of those five games by 43+ points. But we'll go against the Bulldogs tonight, as double-digit home favorites have covered just 36% of conference games since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS wins, if they won each of those games by 25+ points. Take Pacific + the points. |
|||||||
01-10-19 | Senators v. Kings -202 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -202 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over Ottawa. Last night, the Senators came back in the 3rd period to tie Anaheim at 1 goal apiece, and then scored the game-winner in overtime for a 2-1 victory. That snapped an 8-game losing streak, but the Senators' success should be short-lived. Tonight, they'll have to go into Staples Center to take on a Kings team looking for revenge from a 5-1 loss suffered in Ottawa earlier this season. The Kings are 35-17 when playing with revenge from a loss by 4+ goals, while Ottawa is 1-7 this season when playing without rest. Take the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-10-19 | Murray State v. Tennessee-Martin +12.5 | Top | 98-77 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks + the points over Murray State. The Racers are on a 3-game win streak, following home wins over Eastern Kentucky, Morehead State and Bethel. But the Racers are an awful 12-38 ATS as a favorite of more than 8 points off back to back wins. Take Tennessee-Martin. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-10-19 | Middle Tennessee +11.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + the points over Southern Mississippi. The Blue Raiders have covered the point spread just once this season -- three games ago at Rhode Island. We cashed Middle Tenn in that game, and will come back with it, here, tonight, as it falls into a strong 76-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Additionally, the Blue Raiders are 19-9 ATS off an upset loss, and 5-0 ATS off back to back home defeats. Take the Blue Raiders. |
|||||||
01-10-19 | UAB v. Louisiana Tech -5.5 | Top | 53-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over UAB, as the Bulldogs fall into a 121-60 ATS system of mine. The Blazers are 3-0 straight-up and 2-0 ATS in their last three games. But all three of those games were played at home. The Blazers have played just two true road games this season (among their 15 games), and are 0-2 ATS in those two games. And they're 8-17 ATS their last 25 road games, and 2-9 ATS on the road off a home win. The Bulldogs, meanwhile, were upset by Rice last Saturday, 78-66. But Louisiana Tech is a solid 10-5 ATS off an upset loss, including 7-1 ATS as a single-digit favorite. Take the Bulldogs. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-10-19 | SMU v. Connecticut -1.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over SMU. The Huskies are 9-6 on the season, but have started out 0-2 in American Athletic Conference play. Meanwhile, SMU has won both its conference games. But I love UConn tonight, as .600 (or better) teams that are winless in Conference play, with an 0-2 (or worse) record, are 69.4% ATS vs. conference foes that are 2-0 (or better) inside the conference, if our winless team was PK'em or favored. Take the Huskies. AAC Game of the Month! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-09-19 | Pistons +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-113 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the LA Lakers. LeBron James remains out for the Lakers, who have won just two of seven games in his absence. One of those victories was their last game, at Dallas. But the Lakers are an awful 10-18 ATS off a straight-up win, and 7-17 ATS vs. losing clubs. Finally, L.A. is 1-4 SU/ATS vs. the Pistons in the last five meetings. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-09-19 | Senators v. Ducks -201 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -201 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over Ottawa. Certainly, something will have to give tonight, as both teams enter off eight-game losing streaks. But in this match-up between the league's worst defense (Ottawa), and the league's next-to-last offense (Ducks), we'll take Anaheim, as it's 42-29 (+9 games on the money line) against opponents that give up 3+ goals per game. Additionally, the Ducks have won the last three home meetings vs. Ottawa, and nine of the last 11. And they're a solid 21-8 after a blowout defeat by more than 2 goals (Edmonton blanked the Ducks, 4-0, on Sunday). Likewise, they're 36-20, +18 games on the money line, after giving up more than three goals in their previous game. Finally, the Senators are 0-9 after scoring more than three goals in their previous game (Ottawa lost, 5-4, to Carolina on Sunday). Take the Ducks. Good luck, as always.....Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-09-19 | Houston v. Temple +1.5 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls over Houston. The Cougars enter this game with a perfect 15-0 record. But I expect the Owls to saddle the Cougars with their first defeat of the season. Temple is 38-12 ATS at home over the last 12 years vs. conference foes if the Owls weren't favored by more than six points, including 17-2 ATS if their win percentage was greater than .580. Take Temple. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6 | Top | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Oklahoma. This series has been dominated by the homestanding teams. Since February 23, 2000, the home team has gone 24-13 ATS including 8-0 ATS since 2015. That bodes well for the Red Raiders tonight. As does the fact that the Sooners are 0-15 ATS with a winning record, if they were off a home/neutral win vs. a Big 12 Conference foe in their previous game. Take Texas Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-08-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | Top | 119-117 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Minnesota. These two teams also played here, in Oklahoma, 16 days ago, and the Thunder were upset, 114-112. We'll take the Thunder in this revenge situation on Tuesday, as the Thunder are 61.4% ATS since 1990 against losing teams, when OKC is playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and not favored by more than 9 points. Even better: the Thunder lost, 116-98, here vs. the Wizards on Sunday. But .625 (or better) teams have cashed 61% since 1990 at home off a home loss in which they failed to cover the point spread by 25+ points. Take OKC. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-08-19 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -172 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Columbus Blue Jackets. Some years, you will get to the mid-way point of a season without a clear-cut front-runner. That is not the case with the 2018-2019 NHL season. The Tampa Bay Lightning are threatening to run away with the Presidents Trophy with a 32-8-2 record and a commanding 10-point lead over the next-best clubs. Whether or not they will be able to make a deep run in the post-season is another matter, but the Bolts are without doubt the best team in hockey right now. They started the second half with a bit of a clunker in their 42nd game, losing to the Sharks, 5-2. But that was the final game of a 3-game western road swing, so we can certainly understand if Tampa was a little bit tired and not at 100% in that one. Back home after a two-day break should find the Bolts in peak form against the Jackets, who they've dominated over the last two years. The Jackets are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa, while the Bolts are 11-2 in their last 13 immediately following a game in which they allowed four or more goals. And Tampa's also 11-0 at home following a road trip of 3+ games. Take Tampa. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 95-114 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over New Orleans. The Grizzlies' promising start to the season is nothing but a memory at this point. Memphis started 12-5 SU and ATS. But it has gone 6-16 SU and 5-17 ATS since. It is currently riding a 5-game losing streak (and 6-game ATS losing streak). I look for the Grizzlies, though, to snap their point spread slide tonight. They're on the road at division rival, New Orleans, which is coming off a 35-point blowout of Cleveland. And since 1990, road underdogs of more than 4 points have cashed 60% vs. division rivals off a straight-up win. Even better: Memphis is 10-4 SU/ATS vs. New Orleans since April 2015. And New Orleans is an awful 9-31-1 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) win. Take Memphis. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 162 h 42 m | Show |
At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Alabama. It's hard for me to pass up this many points with a team which has the better rush defense, the better rush offense, and the better defense in terms of points per game. Clemson has allowed 11.9 ppg, while Alabama's defense has given up 16.2. And Clemson rushed for 6.7 yards per carry (against foes that give up 4.5 ypr). On defense, the Tigers were also stellar, as they gave up just 2.4 yards per rush (against foes that averaged 4.4). In contrast, Alabama rushed for 5.3 ypr (against foes that surrendered 4.5 ypr (the same as Clemson's opponents, but 1.4 ypr less than Clemson gained)). And Alabama gave up 3.5 ypr against foes that averaged 4.8 ypr). When all the numbers are blended together, then Clemson's total YPR differential was +2.40 relative to Alabama. And its defense differential was +3.28 ppg. To illustrate how rare it is that you get that combination of YPR and Defensive PPG strength in a big underdog in a bowl game, consider that in the last 39 years, there has NEVER been an underdog of +6 or more points -- until Clemson in this game -- that owned a defense 3.28 ppg better, and a Total YPR differential of +2.40. Ok, so what if we relaxed our stats and just looked at how single-digit underdogs did if they owned a defensive PPG differential greater than 0, and a Total YPR differential greater than 0? Then, we find those teams have gone a very solid 104-71-2 ATS in the Bowl games. That's one reason I love Clemson as a big underdog. Another is that the Tigers lost in the semi-finals last year to Alabama. And defending National Champions are an awful 8-29-2 ATS when priced from -2 to -6.5 points vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-19 ATS if their opponent covered its previous game by more than 3 points! With the Tigers in off a 30-3 blowout of Notre Dame, as a 10.5-point favorite, we'll grab the points with the Tigers. Take Clemson. NCAA Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Wild v. Canadiens -115 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the Minnesota Wild. Two teams floundering in fifth place in their respective divisions at the half-way point in the season meet tonight in Montreal. It is first meeting of these two here in more than a year (November 2017) and it's been pretty much all Minnesota lately when they get together. But the Habs have been playing perhaps their best hockey of the season lately, winning five of their last seven games, including a recently completed road trip in which they took four of the last five. Carey Price has fought through injuries in two of the last three seasons, but he finally appears to be healthy and is playing like the Carey Price of old, registering a shutout two games ago against the Canucks. His 2.76 GAA is almost 1/2 goal better than the number he put up last season. He had a bit of a letdown in the game after the shutout, allowing three goals in 31 shots in a 4-1 loss to the Predators. But that may not be a bad thing for tonight as the Canadiens are 22-6 in their last 28 games following a home loss by three or more goals. Take Montreal. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Pacers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 105-121 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + over Toronto. The Pacers had last night off, while Toronto was in Milwaukee to play the Bucks. Toronto won that game, but now has to take on a revenge-minded Pacers team, which Toronto defeated by 3 points earlier this season. And Indiana also comes into this game on a red-hot roll, with six wins in a row. The Pacers are a fantastic 216-154, 58.4% ATS when rested and playing with revenge against an opponent off a win, and we'll back Indiana this evening. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Capitals -165 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Detroit Red Wings. The Caps looked like they might break out of their funk on Friday night when they went to a 3-on-3 overtime period against the Stars. They came out of Dallas with a point, but their losing streak grew to three games when Seguin scored in the OT and now DC finds itself tied atop the Metro Division with the surging Penguins. The Capitals likely couldn't have hand-picked a better match-up for Sunday in an effort to get back to their winning ways. Washington is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Red Wings and 5-1 in its last six trips to Detroit. The Wings beat the Predators as a big underdog in their last game. And, although that victory was here in Detroit, the Wings are just 7-22 in their last 29 home games vs. teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Caps are 26-7 (+19 games on the money line) in their last 33 immediately following a losing streak of at least two games. And they are 30-9 in their last 39 after scoring fewer than two goals in their previous game. NHL Game of the Week! Take Washington. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Stars v. Jets -148 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Dallas Stars. The Jets reached the Conference Finals last May for the first time in their history and they're looking to build on that success. So far, so good, as Winnipeg will finish the first half of the season atop the Central Division. Clearly, this is not the same Jets team we were used to seeing in seasons past. Winger Blake Wheeler led the NHL in assists last season and, with more weapons at his disposal, is on track to smash through the 68 helpers he notched (he currently has 44 in 40 games). The Stars wrapped up a successful four-game home-stand with an OT win over the Caps on Friday. But the road has been a struggle for them so far as Dallas is just 8-13 away from American Airlines Center. And a trip to Winnipeg presents even more problems for the Stars.  The Jets have won eight of the last nine meetings including five straight here at home. Dallas won the only meeting this season back in early October, 5-1 at home, but the Jets are 39-17 (+20 on the money line) in their last 56 revenging a road loss. Take Winnipeg. NHL Payback Payday. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears OVER 41 | Top | 16-15 | Loss | -104 | 131 h 5 m | Show |
At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles OVER the total. The Eagles had a great season last year, and also had a great Playoffs run, as they held the Falcons to 10 points, and the Vikings to just seven points in their two NFC wins before winning the Super Bowl, 41-33, vs. New England. But without a doubt, the fact that they had the #1 seed, and home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs was a major factor in their success (and ability to hold the Falcons and Vikings to 17 points combined). This season, it's a completely different story, as they won't play any of their games at home. And that's problematic, as their defense didn't play well at all this season against teams that are currently in the Playoffs, and especially not on the road. Philly had six regular season games against other current Playoff teams, and 10 games against teams that failed to make the Playoffs. In those 6 games against Playoff competition, the Eagles' defense gave up 173 points for an average of 28.8 per game! And on the road that defensive number ballooned to 33.3 ppg. In contrast, the Eagles' defense gave up just 17.5 ppg vs. non-playoff teams (and just 16.8 in its road games vs. non-Playoff teams). This will be a high-scoring game. Take the 'over.' NFL Conference Playoff Total of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. George Mason | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over George Mason. The Patriots kicked off their Atlantic 10 campaign with an upset win over St. Joseph's, 85-60 to move their record to 7-7 this season. They'll try to make it two Conference wins in a row this afternoon. But the Patriots are a horrid 2-16-2 ATS at home in Conference games, including 0-11-2 ATS as a favorite, if they entered off an upset win in their previous game. That certainly doesn't bode well for George Mason today. Nor does the fact that two of my better systems -- with records of 402-247 and 299-187 ATS -- both go against the Patriots today. Finally, .500 (or worse) Atlantic 10 Conference teams have covered just 56 of 139 Conference home games off an upset win. Take the points with St. Bonaventure. Perfect 10 Club play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Oilers v. Kings -110 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over Edmonton. The Kings are off back to back losses, and are in last place in the Western Conference, but have actually played better than the Oilers since December 16. The Oilers have won just once in their last 7 games, while the Kings are 5-3 over their last eight. Even worse for the Oilers: they've won just once in Los Angeles in their last 14 games here at Staples Center, dating back to 2012. I look for the Kings to continue their home dominance tonight. Take Los Angeles. NHL Roadkill Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Warriors -7.5 v. Kings | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento. The Warriors were up BIG over the Houston Rockets at the half of Thursday's game, but fell apart in the 2nd half, and lost at the buzzer, 135-134. Golden State is now in the 3rd seed in the Western Conference -- just 2 games ahead of Houston. And the Warriors are only 2.5 games in front of the Clippers for the division lead. I love Golden State to rebound off that loss in this Pacific division game in Sacramento, as the Warriors are an awesome 45-19 ATS off a loss, if matched up against a division rival. It's true that Sacramento is much-improved this season. The Kings are 19-19 straight-up, and 21-16-1 ATS. But the Kings are doing a lot better vs. teams that don't score a lot of points, compared to the ones that do. Indeed, this season, Sacramento is 14-6 straight-up and 15-5 ATS vs. foes that average less than 110 points per game. Against the better offenses that score 110+ points per game, Sacramento is 5-13 straight-up, and 6-11-1 ATS. Golden State, of course, has one of the league's best offenses, and scores 116.2 ppg. Similarly, the Warriors are excelling against the league's lesser defenses and/or faster-paced teams that give up 110+ points. Golden State is a solid 11-8 ATS vs. those teams, but an awful 5-15 ATS vs. foes that don't surrender 110 points per game. Take the Warriors to blow out the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Southern Utah +13.5 v. Weber State | Top | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds + the points over Weber State. It's true that the Thunderbirds come into this game off four double-digit losses by 42, 30, 13, and 20 points. But this string of defeats have triggered two of my best systems, with records of 398-214 and 495-281 ATS since 1990. Moreover, the Wildcats have not performed well as a favorite, as they've covered just 21 of 54 games. Take Southern Utah. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -240 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Vancouver Canucks. For the third time this season, the Maple Leafs have lost back-to-back home games coming into tonight. If the other two occasions are any indication then Toronto could be sitting on a big game tonight. On October 24, the Leafs beat Winnipeg 4-2 after losing two straight at home to the Penguins and Blues. And on November 3, they crushed the Pens 5-0 after losing back-to-back in Toronto to the Flames and Stars. Both the Jets and Pens are much better teams than Toronto will be facing tonight as the Canucks visit Scotiabank Arena for the first time in almost a year. The Leafs are down to their third goalie as both Frederik Andersen and Garret Sparks are out with injuries. But 28-year-old Michael Hutchinson is a pretty solid net-minder in his own right and he grew up in the Toronto area rooting for the Leafs. Hutchinson is sure to have plenty of friends and family in the stands tonight for the heavily favored home team. This has been a very host-friendly series in recent years as the home team is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. Take the Leafs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Elon +8 v. Delaware | Top | 65-77 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over the Delaware Blue Hens. Delaware comes into this game off back to back upset wins over Northeastern and William and Mary. The Hens have actually done quite well this season as an underdog, as they're 7-2-1 ATS. But, tonight, Delaware is a big favorite, and it is a relatively poor 1-3 ATS as a favorite this season, including two outright losses as an 11-point favorite (vs. Navy) and as a 21.5-point favorite (vs. Delaware St.). Delaware is a money-burning 13-23 ATS at home off back to back wins, and it is just 35% ATS since 2007 as a favorite off an upset win. Finally, Elon falls into 401-246 and 330-196 ATS systems of mine. Take Elon + the points. NCAA Underdog Shocker. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Colorado. The Sun Devils pulled off a big upset when they defeated then-No. 1-ranked Kansas, 80-76, two weeks ago. Somewhat predictably, the Sun Devils had a letdown and proceeded to get upset in each of their next two games -- vs. Princeton and Utah. But off those two upset losses, I look for Arizona State to right its ship this evening. Since Jan. 17, 2015, the Sun Devils are an awesome 9-0 SU/ATS at home off back to back losses. And they're 40-19 ATS at home off back to back losses since 2001. Meanwhile, the Buffaloes are a horrid 11-28 ATS their last 39 road games when installed as an underdog. Take Arizona State. Pac 12 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Kansas v. Iowa State -1 | Top | 60-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Kansas. The Jayhawks have lost just once this season, but find themselves as an underdog at 11-2 Iowa State. We'll go against Kansas, as Big 12 Conference underdogs that have a better record than Iowa State have covered just 27% away from home vs. the Cyclones. Take Iowa State. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Colts v. Texans -2.5 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -103 | 130 h 58 m | Show |
At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over Indianapolis. This is a great playoffs match-up between two AFC South division rivals that rebounded strongly this season off 4-12 records last year. These two teams split road wins in their two regular season match-ups, and we cashed tickets in both games. In the first game, we had a huge play on the Houston Texans, who won, 37-34, at Indianapolis. Then, in the more recent game, here in Houston, we played on the 'under' 49, and cashed when the Colts won, 24-21. For this game, we'll take the homestanding Texans, and go against an Indianapolis team off a 33-17 win last Sunday, at Tennessee. Unfortunately for Frank Reich's men, road teams off a SU/ATS win, with winning SU/ATS records, have fared poorly in divisional match-ups when priced from +1.5 to -6.5 points. Since 1980, such road teams have covered just 41% of their games. Even worse for the Colts, AFC South division road teams have covered just one of six Wild Card Playoff games since 2005. And, finally, revenge-minded teams, like Houston, with win percentages between .600 and .750, that lost the season's previous meeting by less than 4 points, have cashed 94% (15-1 ATS) in the Playoffs. Take Houston. NFL Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Northeastern +7 v. Hofstra | Top | 72-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra. The Huskies were shocked, 82-80, as a 12-point home favorite last Sunday, while Hofstra won its ninth straight game (and covered its fifth in a row) with a 14-point blowout win over Drexel. But I look for the Huskies to bounce back on this Saturday afternoon, as NCAA teams off an upset loss as a 12-point (or bigger) favorite, have covered 62% over the past 29 years vs. teams with a winning SU/ATS record that were off back to back SU/ATS wins. And in this series, the underdogs has gone 13-1-1 ATS since February 23, 2010 if it was getting more than 2 points. Take Northeastern. Colonial Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Northern Kentucky -3.5 v. Detroit | Top | 95-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit. The Norse were upset on the road by the Oakland Grizzlies on Thursday, while Detroit won its 3rd straight game (and covered its fifth straight) with a 21-point blowout of Wright State. I look for Northern Kentucky to rebound off its upset defeat, as road favorites are 100%, 10-0 ATS, since 2008 off an upset road loss, if they're playing a conference foe off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Norse. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Creighton v. Butler -4.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Creighton. Butler comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Florida (we had a big play against Butler in that game) and Georgetown, in which it was a 9.5-point home favorite. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are in off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. UMKC and an upset win at Providence. However, with Butler off an upset home defeat, and Creighton off an upset road win, we will fade the Blue Jays as a road underdog today. For technical support, consider that in conference games between winning teams, it's been extremely profitable (65.7% ATS) over the last 29 years to play on home favorites off an upset home conference loss, if their opponent was off an upset road conference win. Throw in the fact that Butler is 17-5 ATS at home off an upset loss to a conference foe, while Creighton is 2-12 ATS its last 14 as a road underdog, and we have all the ammunition to pull the trigger on the Bulldogs this afternoon. Lay the points. High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-04-19 | Golden Knights v. Ducks +112 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 4 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over the Vegas Golden Knights. Last season's surprise Stanley Cup Finalists are out to prove that it was no fluke. But the Golden Knights have some work to do if they're to become the first team to go to back-to-back finals in their first two seasons of existence since the St. Louis Blues in the late 1960s (and the Blues did that in their first THREE seasons). Halfway through the season the Knights find themselves in second place in their division behind the Flames. Their biggest problem so far has been their performance on the road, as Vegas is 11-13 away from T-Mobile Arena. This is a revenge situation for the Ducks as they were blown out by the Knights, 5-0 on November 14 in Vegas. But they've done well in these situations recently as the Ducks are 34-13 (+23 games on the money line) in their last 47 when revenging a loss in which they scored less than two goals. The Ducks have also lost their last two games in overtime coming into this one and they are 5-0 in their last five games following back-to-back OT losses. Take Anaheim. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-04-19 | Ball State +6.5 v. Toledo | Top | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Toledo. The Cards have won and covered each of their last three games, including a 59-point blowout of Delaware State on Saturday (and 27 and 16-point wins prior to that). We'll grab the points with Ball State in this Mid-American Conference opener, as teams off back to back 25-point wins are 97-69 ATS vs. conference foes, if our team wasn't favored by 3+ points. And the Cardinals, since 2011, are also 9-0 ATS off a win by 12+ points, if they're getting more than 2 points. Take Ball State. NCAA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -8.5 | Top | 135-134 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston. The problem for Golden State in the regular season the last few years is that it (justifiably) cannot get motivated. It understands that all that matters is the post-season, which is why it had just the 3rd best record in the league last season (and a full 7 games worse than this Houston team). This season, it's much of the same, as Golden State is 25-13 straight-up and a poor 16-22 ATS. Thus, as a professional gambler, I try to pick my spots to invest in Golden State, as the team often goes through the motions and doesn't put forth its best effort. They may not come through tonight but, at the very least, one can rest assured that the effort will be there. And that's because they're playing James Harden & the Houston Rockets, who stretched the Warriors to seven games in the de facto NBA Championship last season. And the Warriors are also playing with revenge from a 21-point blowout loss at Houston on November 15, which ranks as the worst road defeat suffered by the Warriors this season. Tonight, though, Golden State is at home. And the Warriors are a super 39-8 straight-up and 29-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a road defeat, including 23-7 ATS when not favored by double-digits. And Golden State is 8-1, 89% ATS vs. Houston when playing with revenge from a loss to Houston earlier in the season. Take the Warriors to blow out Houston tonight. NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-03-19 | Hurricanes v. Flyers -109 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Carolina Hurricanes. The Flyers are no-doubt happy to get back to Philadelphia, where they went 2-1 in their last home stand between December 18 and 22. They followed that up with a disastrous road trip in which they took only the first of five games -- and needed a shootout in New York to do that against the Rangers. They went on to lose four straight by a combined 15-7. One of those was on New Years Eve in Raleigh against this same Hurricanes team. And the Hurricanes have been off for the two days following that 3-1 win. This is not only a revenge situation, then, for the Flyers, but also for 20-year-old rookie goalie Carter Hart. Hart was pulled after allowing three 'Canes goals in just 10 shots in that 3-1 loss, and he's slated to get another chance tonight back at home. With #1 G Brian Elliott still about three weeks away from a return, the Flyers are splitting time between #2 Michal Neuvirth and Hart, but they are willing to give the youngster a long look as he has played well and is their future in net. Notwithstanding Carolina's win on Monday, the 'Canes are still just 25-45 in division games. And the 'Canes are also 7-16 (-14 games on the money line) off a win against a division opponent. Take Philadelphia. NHL Payback Payday. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
|||||||
01-03-19 | Monmouth v. Iona -5.5 | Top | 84-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over the Monmouth Hawks. After starting the season with 12 straight losses, the Hawks finally broke into the win column on Saturday with an upset win, as a 14-point underdog, vs. Pennsylvania. Now, Monmouth gets to take on an Iona team looking to snap its own 7-game losing streak. Unfortunately for Monmouth, over the past 15 seasons, losing teams, off an upset road win as a 13-point (or bigger) underdog, have covered just 15.4% on the road vs. foes off back to back losses. Lay the points with Iona. NCAA HOOPS ROADKILL WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-02-19 | Colorado State v. UNLV -8.5 | Top | 76-78 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Colorado State. The Rebels were blown out by 25 points, 97-72, by Bucknell in their previous game, even though UNLV was favored to win. That game was in Honolulu, in the Diamond Head Classic, on Christmas Day. And UNLV was 0-2, overall, in that Holiday Tournament. But UNLV is back home tonight, and I expect it to bounce back strong in front of its home faithful. Indeed, over the past 14 years, NCAA home teams off 25-point (or worse) upset losses away from home have covered 69% of the time (and 74% if they also lost two games back). And the Rebels are 8-0 ATS the past four seasons at home off a non-conference loss. Take UNLV. NCAA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-02-19 | Oklahoma v. Kansas -8 | Top | 63-70 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oklahoma. The Sooners haven't won at Allen Fieldhouse in over 25 years, as they've lost the last 17 meetings. Of course, Kansas doesn't lose at home to any team very often, as it's 241-13 at home since Bill Self took over as head coach in 2003. Kansas did lose for the first time this season, on the road two games ago, when it fell, 80-76, at Arizona State. But it bounced back with a 24-point win (and cover) over Eastern Michigan on Saturday. I look for Kansas to blow out Oklahoma, as it's 64-1 straight-up and 44-18-3 ATS at home if it wasn't off back to back wins, including 26-6 ATS if it was favored by 15 points or less. And Oklahoma is a horrid 32-65-2 ATS away from home vs. Big 12 Conference opponents, when not getting double-digits, including 0-9 ATS its last nine. Take Kansas. Big 12 Conference Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-02-19 | Devils v. Stars -165 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the New Jersey Devils. Good teams with deep talent can often afford to lose a top offensive player. But bad teams usually cannot. The Devils are a case of the latter. Left winger -- and top point-producer -- Taylor Hall suffered a lower body injury following the Devils game on December 23 and they were hoping the Hart Trophy winner would play through it. But the New Year didn't begin well for New Jersey as the Devils announced they put Hall (37 points in 33 games) on Injured Reserve. To make matters worse, their #2 winger on that side -- Marcus Johansson -- was already on IR for an upper body ailment. Somehow despite these handicaps, the Devils have managed to win three straight by a combined score of 11-2. But two of those were at home and now they have to go into Dallas shorthanded on offense against one of the best home defenses in the NHL (2.47 GAA at AA Center). The Stars lost to the Devils back in October, 3-0, and they are 7-2 in their last nine revenging same-season losses and 5-1 in their last six off a home loss. Take Dallas. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Texas +12.5 v. Georgia | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Georgia. The Bulldogs have the unenviable task of playing in the SEC Conference where they often have to get by Alabama in order to have a shot at a National Championship. They were unable to do it this year, and lost to the Crimson Tide in the SEC Title game. They're now double-digit favorites vs. Texas. But Bowl favorites of more than 7 points, off a loss in their previous game, are an awful 33-56 ATS since 1986. And if they're playing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss that also failed to cover the point spread two games back, then our Bowl favorite is 2-8 ATS. Texas comes into this game off a 39-27 loss to Oklahoma in the Big 12 Title game. But double-digit Bowl underdogs off a loss in which they gave up 38+ points, have cashed 73%, including a perfect 5-0 ATS if their opponent was also off a loss. Take Texas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Washington +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Ohio State. The storyline for this game is that it is coach Urban Meyer's swan song. And, yes, he is the 2nd best coach in College Football (behind Nick Saban). But I'm still going to go against him today. Ohio State comes into this game off five straight wins. But the Buckeyes are an horrid 0-9 ATS since November 21, 2015 off five straight wins! Also, this Big 10 Championship team is unusual for the Big 10 Conference in that it has a poor defense. The Buckeyes have given up 25.6 ppg (a whopping 10.2 ppg more than Washington's defense gives up). Of course, over the decades, the best Big 10 Conference teams have generally been built around strong defenses and solid rushing attacks. So, in Bowl games, when you get a Big 10 team that is greatly outmatched on defense by its opponent, it's generally a good idea to fade that Big 10 team. Indeed, since 1980, Big 10 teams with a defense at least 6 points per game worse than their foe's defense have gone 8-21 ATS, including 0-5 ATS as a favorite, and also 0-6 ATS if the differential was minus 10.2 points (or worse) per game. Take the Huskies + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | CS-Northridge v. San Diego State -15.5 | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Cal State Northridge. The Aztecs threw in a clunker of a game on Saturday, as they were bombed, 82-61, at home by Brown, even though SDSU was favored by 11. But don't be surprised if Brian Dutcher's men bounce back in a big way on Tuesday in their last non-conference game before the start of the Mountain West season. Indeed, over the last 29 years, teams off double-digit losses as double-digit favorites have rebounded to cover the point spread 62% of the time in their next game, if they were matched up against a non-conference foe. Take San Diego State. NCAA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Kentucky +7 v. Penn State | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Penn State. Kentucky's defense gave up just 16.2 ppg this season. And that was against a largely-SEC Conference schedule. Anytime I can get an SEC Conference team, which has a great defense, as an underdog in a Bowl game, I'm going to strongly consider it. Indeed, SEC Conference dogs that didn't give up 16.4 ppg have cashed 76.1 percent since 1980 if they were getting 3 or more points. And if the line was 6 or more (which is, as of this writing, the number for this game, then our SEC defensive underdogs have gone 7-2 straight-up and a PERFECT 9-0 against the spread. Take Kentucky. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | LSU -7 v. Central Florida | Top | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
At 1 pm, on New Year's Day, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Central Florida. Last year, the Knights went undefeated, with a 13-0 record. And it is trying to duplicate that feat this afternoon. But it's not easy to go undefeated in back-to-back years. Since 1980, five teams have tried, and only one found success -- the Nebraska Cornhuskers in 1994-1995. The other four teams (Miami, 1992; Miami, 2002; USC, 2005; and Florida State, 2014) all got destroyed in their bowl games, and failed to cover the point spread by a staggering 22.5 points per game. That doesn't bode well for Central Florida today. And neither does the fact that LSU comes into this game off a loss to Texas A&M. And one of the last things one should do in the Bowls is bet against an SEC Conference team off a loss to end its season. These teams play with a chip on their shoulder, and have rolled to a 70-45 ATS record in the Bowl games, including 38-19 ATS when they owned a .625 (or better) SEC Conference record. Take Louisiana State to blow out Central Florida. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Iowa +7.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Mississippi State. The Hawkeyes' defense gave up, on average, just 17.4 ppg this season. And one of the things I love to do in Bowl games is play on teams with very good defenses, in an underdog role. Since 1981, underdogs of 7+ points that didn't give up 20+ points per game have covered 59% of the time. And in match-ups between the Big 10 Conference and the SEC Conference, the Big 10 teams have gone 9-1 ATS since 1982 as underdogs of +4.5 or more points if they had a defense which didn't give up 20+ points per game. Take Iowa. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Sharks v. Flames -123 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over San Jose. The winner of this game will be in first place in the Pacific division, as Calgary is currently in 1st (tied with Vegas), with 50 points, while the Sharks are one point behind, at 49. The Flames were upset by Vancouver, in overtime, in their last game, but are 10-5 off a loss this season. Meanwhile, the Sharks are off back to back wins over Anaheim and at Edmonton, but they're an awful 23-29 (minus 17 games on the money line) off a road win, and 31-34 (minus 15 games on the money line) off back to back wins. Take Calgary. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Mavs v. Thunder -8 | Top | 102-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas. These two teams met last night in the Lone Star State, and the Mavericks upset OKC, 105-103, as 2.5-point underdogs. We'll lay the points with Billy Donovan's crew in this rematch, as the Thunder are 71-53 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss. And they've cashed 72% since 2010 when laying 6+ points in the regular season against a team off a SU/ATS win, if OKC lost earlier in the season to that opponent. Finally, the Thunder fall into 76-38 and 132-81 ATS revenge systems of mine. Take OKC. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Rangers v. Blues -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the New York Rangers. Two teams that are treading water at the half-way point of the season meet tonight in St. Louis. With records that are on the wrong side of .500, both the Rangers and Blues will be saying "good riddance" to 2018 and hoping for better things in the New Year. But while New York's record in what was expected to be a rebuilding season is not surprising, St. Louis' somewhat is. And the Blues were showing signs of coming around, with five wins in seven games before going up against a red-hot Penguins club here at home on Saturday and dropping a lopsided 6-1 decision. Tonight should bring some class relief coupled with the fact that the Rangers are just 5-11 in the last 16 meetings of these two. And New York's outstanding defenseman, Kevin Shattenkirk has landed on IR with a separated shoulder and will be out for two to four weeks. The Blues are 74-28 in their last 102 home games vs. teams with a road winning % of less than .400 while the Rangers are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. teams with a losing home record. Take St. Louis. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington -2.5 | Top | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, on Monday afternoon, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles minus the points over Idaho State. The Bengals upset their rival, Idaho, 72-55, on Saturday, and I look for a letdown today, as they're a poor 20-35 ATS off an upset win. Additionally, this game is cut from a similar cloth to a play we had on Sunday. Yesterday, we played on Middle Tennessee State, which started the season with 10 straight ATS defeats, and I wrote how that was tied for the 2nd-worst ATS start of any team over the past 29 years. Well, the Eagles have also been just as historically awful in their start to the 2018 campaign, as they're 0-10-1 ATS in their 11 lined games, thus far! But the Eagles' lack of point spread success has provided us with decent line value tonight, and we'll lay the points with them in this Big Sky Conference game vs. Idaho State, as I have a terrific 80-41 ATS system on the Eagles in this contest. Moreover, Eastern Washington has won the last three meetings in this series, and six of the last seven. And it's 26-13 ATS off a home loss to a conference foe, and 20-12 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset wins. Take the Eagles minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Missouri v. Oklahoma State +10 | Top | 33-38 | Win | 100 | 40 h 32 m | Show |
At 3:45 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Missouri. All things being equal, I'll look to take points in Bowl games. And especially at the higher price points. Indeed, favorites of more than 7 points are an awful, including 93-122-4 ATS when priced from -7.5 to -14 points. And, yes, it's true that Missouri played great down the stretch, with four straight wins, while Oklahoma State lost its finale to TCU, and five of its last seven, overall. But Bowl favorites off 4+ wins have cashed just 39% over the last 39 years vs. opponents off a straight-up loss. Finally, Missouri is a horrid 9-21 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes, if Missouri is off a straight-up and ATS win, and its opponent is off a SU/ATS loss, including 0-8 ATS when favored by more than six points! And Okie State is 12-1 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against foes off a win! Take the Cowboys. Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Stanford | Top | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 39 h 18 m | Show |
At 2 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Stanford. The Panthers come into this Sun Bowl game off back to back blowout losses. They fell, 24-3, to Miami in their final regular season game. And then they lost, 42-10, to Clemson in the ACC Championship game. But one of the things I love to do is in the post-season is play on teams off back to back blowout losses. For example, underdogs of more than 3 points off back to back defeats by 21+ points have gone 12-0 ATS. Moreover, underdogs that didn't score 14+ points in their final two games have also cashed 71% in the Bowls the past 39 years. Indeed, we just saw both of these two angles in play a couple days ago in the Independence Bowl when Duke smashed Temple, 56-27, as a 3.5-point underdog, after losing 35-6 to Clemson and 59-7 to Wake Forest in their final two games to end the season. Additionally, this Sun Bowl game in El Paso has long been good to the underdog. Since 1980, they've cashed 90% (18-2 ATS) when catching 3.5 or more points. Finally, Pittsburgh falls into several of my favorite Bowl systems, with records of 93-38, 119-61 and 24-7 ATS. Take the Panthers. Blowout of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Virginia Tech +6 v. Cincinnati | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 37 h 32 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, on Monday, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Cincinnati. The Hokies had a mid-season swoon which saw them lose five of six games (and go 0-6 ATS). But they bounced back to defeat Virginia (34-31) and Marshall (41-20) to end their regular season. And both Virginia and Marshall won their Bowl games in Blowout fashion, by 28 and 18 points, respectively. It's true that the Bearcats went 10-2 this season. But against other Bowl teams they didn't step up their game, as they went 1-4 ATS in their five games vs. teams that qualified for a bowl game. And three of those five games were also played on Cincy's home field. In Cincy's two road games this season vs. teams playing in Bowl games, they went 0-2 SU and ATS, with losses to Central Florida (38-13) and Temple (24-17). And if we go back further, we find that the Bearcats have covered the point spread in just 11 of their last 37 games vs. foes with a .500 (or better) record. Finally, Cincy is 0-3 SU/ATS their last three Bowl games, and 0-5 ATS their last five Bowl games when priced between -2 and -8 points. Take the Hokies + the points. NCAA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the Sacramento Kings. The Lakers were in control of Thursday's game vs. Sacramento, as they led by 15 with under 7 minutes to play. But Bogdan Bogdanovic's 3-pointer at the buzzer earned the Kings the 117-116 victory. That was L.A.'s second straight loss, and both were to division rivals (they lost, 118-107, to the Clippers two games back). We'll play on the Lakers in the rematch, as L.A. is 67.8% ATS at home over the past 29 years when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season to a division rival, if priced from +2.5 to -6 points. And L.A. is also 18-4 ATS at home off back to back losses to division rivals, including 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points. Take Los Angeles. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
|||||||
12-30-18 | Middle Tennessee +15 v. Rhode Island | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Rhode Island. Admittedly, the Blue Raiders have been as bad as a team could be to start the season. They've yet to cover the point spread in any of their 10 lined games, which ranks as the second-worst ATS start (tied with four other schools) of any team to a season in the last 29 years (the worse was in 2007-08 when Austin Peay started with 13 straight ATS losses). But we'll grab the points with Middle Tennessee today, as College Basketball road underdogs (or PK) off back to back SU/ATS losses, and on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, have cashed 58% ATS since 1990 vs. foes that weren't off back to back SU/ATS losses. And Rhode Island has won just eight of 26 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Blue Raiders. NCAA Road Warrior Winner! Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
- Early Lines
- High Limits
- NEW VIP Rewards
- VIP Program
- Mobile Betting
- Crypto
- VIP Program
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting!
- Crypto
- Live & Mobile Betting
- 48 Hour Payouts
- 35% Crypto Bonus
- Live Betting
- Mobile Friendly
Guaranteed Winners or your money back and Free Picks in the NFL football, NBA basketball, MLB baseball, NCAA college football and basketball, Nascar Racing, Arena Football nhl hockey leagues and more.
We are part of the internets Premier Sports Handicappers League with full documentation of all members on this sports betting news and info portal. Free Membership, Join Today and start Winning!
For any resources you could need like sports handicapping odds, handicapping stats, schedules, or handicappers free picks and tips please click on any of the links on the right hand side of this page.